WEBVTT

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Breaking free from the chains of the past Where

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truth moves faster than a Holstein calf No law

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waiting on some printed page We're charting new

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ground in the digital age From genomic codes

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to robot facts We cut through the noise, no hold

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them back not your daddy's dairy news tonight

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we're sparking Welcome to the Bullvine Podcast,

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where we cut through the noise to bring you the

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genetic insights that actually matter to your

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operation's bottom line. I'm your host, and today

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we're diving deep into what might be the most

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significant genetic evaluation shakeup we've

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seen in years. The August 2025 proofs just dropped,

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and frankly, some of these ranking changes should

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have every progressive breeder paying attention.

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We're talking about bulls. losing over 100 points

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overnight, proven sires delivering $2 ,400 per

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cow advantages, and a fundamental shift happening

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between genomic promises and economic reality.

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From Canada's dramatic leadership change to Italy's

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genomic volatility that should concern everyone,

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today's episode breaks down what these evaluations

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really mean for your breeding strategy. Whether

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you're running 50 cows or 5000, The trends we're

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seeing across the US, Canada, UK, Germany, and

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Italy are reshaping how smart producers approach

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genetic selection. And trust me, the old playbook

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of chasing the highest TPI scores, that might

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be costing you serious money. Let's dive in.

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We're talking about the August 2025 genetic evaluations,

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and frankly, they've delivered some of the most

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dramatic ranking reshuffles we've witnessed in

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years. Oh, absolutely. Just look at Stanton's

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remover, PP. Making a spectacular leap from number

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seven to number one in Canada. It's not just

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a shakeup. It's a fundamental question mark,

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I think, over the very stability of genomic predictions.

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So the big tension right now is, are genomic

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promises truly delivering on their hype? Or is

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that tried and true reliability of proven sires

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making a strong comeback? Yeah, that's really

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the core issue, isn't it? And it's something

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I've been watching closely for, oh, over two

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decades now. Believe me, these kinds of ranking

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shifts where a top bull can lose over 100 points

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in a single evil. Unthinkable. Almost. It would

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have been unthinkable just a few years ago. And

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the implications for your breeding program, for

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your farm's financial health are, well, they're

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truly massive. What's really caught my attention

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isn't just the new leaders, you know. as impressive

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as some of them are. It's this escalating gap,

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this dance between what genomics promise us through

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predictions and what proven bulls actually deliver

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in the real world. That real world performance.

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Exactly. And honestly, some of the volatility

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we're seeing should prompt every producer to

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pause and consider if they're becoming perhaps

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a bit too aggressive with unproven genetics.

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It's definitely a reality check for the industry.

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That volatility really hits home when you look

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at the numbers. The article has some pretty stark

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examples, doesn't it? It does. Take the Italian

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case study, for instance. Cookie cutter Hadley

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ET, a bull that was once number two genomic.

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Right at the top. Dropped to number 10, losing

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a staggering 102 points in one single evaluation

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cycle. One cycle. That's not just a minor adjustment.

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For a producer, that's a complete reversal of

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fortune, a complete shift in the projected value

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of his offspring. it's an astronomical shift

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really and for any producer who had invested

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heavily in hadley et perhaps buying a lot of

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semen or you know banking on his future daughter

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planning their whole herd around it potentially

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it's a direct and immediate hit to their confidence

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and potentially their financial projections to

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lose 102 points in one go from a top tier position

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is almost unprecedented in terms of its magnitude

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wow it highlights the inherent risk when you're

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dealing with predictions that don't yet have

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that real -world data to fully back them up.

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This isn't just about a number on a page. It's

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about the breeding decisions made on the farm,

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the capital spent on semen. My heifer's already

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born. Exactly. The future performance of heifels

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that were born based on that earlier, higher

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prediction. It's a stark reminder that while

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genomics offer speed, they can also carry significant

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risk if not approached, you know, strategically.

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So the contrast with Chrysalis is undeniable.

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In sharp contrast, you have the proven sire,

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ZFC, Chrysalis RF, who actually gained points.

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Gained 29 points. And solidified his number one

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position in Italy. The article points out he

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has thousands of daughters actually milking in

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real barns, dealing with real feed costs and

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real heat stress. And that's the key phrase right

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there. That's a powerful statement about the

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value of real world validation, isn't it? For

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a farmer, that's where the rubber meets the road.

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It absolutely is. Chrysalis is the perfect counter

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-narrative to Hadley ET's dramatic fall. When

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you have a bull with thousands of milking daughters,

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that data isn't speculative, it's concrete, it's

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validated, it's, well, it's reliable. You know

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what you're getting. Exactly. Those daughters

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are experiencing the same daily challenges your

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cows are, the same feed costs, the same environmental

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stressors, the same management systems. So when

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a proven sire like Chrysalis gains points and

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strengthens his position, it speaks to an undeniable

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level of reliability and consistent performance

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under actual farm conditions. That's the kind

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of stability that truly pays dividends over the

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long term, reducing your risk in a volatile market.

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It's the difference between, say, a highly accurate

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weather forecast for tomorrow, which you can

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plan your day around, and a speculative forecast

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for next year. You know, you might hope for the

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best, but you wouldn't bet your entire farm on

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it. And that analogy really clarifies the risk.

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Moving over to Germany, the article highlights

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another interesting gap. Genomic leaders Evenstar

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and Pennywise both hit RZG 164. Top of the charts.

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Now, RZG, for those unfamiliar, is Germany's

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total merit index, designed to balance production

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with crucial functional treats. That 164 RZG

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is a full 17 -point advantage over the proven

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leader, Zivit, at RZG 147. That's a big gap.

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A huge gap. The article then adds that critical

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phrase, if the predictions hold true, noting

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that this gap represents serious money in lifetime

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profit. What kind of serious money are we talking

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about here and how does a producer... weigh that

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potential against a proven track record. Well,

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that phrase, if the predictions hold true, is

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really the crux of the matter in Germany and,

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well, everywhere genomics are used, frankly.

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On paper, a 17 -point RZG advantage is incredibly

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significant. Huge. For a typical herd, that could

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translate to hundreds, even thousands of dollars

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per cow in lifetime profitability. We're talking

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about more milk, yes, but also improved health,

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better fertility, greater longevity, all traits

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that directly impact your bottom line. The whole

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package. Right. However, the Italian experience

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with Hadley ET serves as a stark reminder that

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those genomic predictions, while powerful and

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often accurate, are still predictions. Germany's

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breeding program is world -class, no doubt about

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it. But even there, you have to weigh the potential

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upside of those high genomic numbers against

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the proven, reliable performance of a bull like

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Zivit, who is already demonstrating his worth

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through actual daughters. It's a gamble, isn't

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it? It's a high -stakes gamble, potentially,

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for serious money. But a gamble nonetheless.

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You have to ask yourself, how much risk are you

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willing to take on for that potential gain? But

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then we look at the UK, and it almost seems like

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an exception to this rule of genomic volatility.

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It does, yeah. Marco Winters from AHDB is quoted

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saying, The six new graduates in the top 10 already

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have around 7 ,000 heifers registered in UK milk

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-recorded herds, with some now milking. Their

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proven high PIL values deviate by just one point

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on average from their earlier genomic predictions.

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Just one point. That's incredible. Now, POI,

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the Profit Lifetime Index, is the UK's index

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for estimated lifetime profit. That's a massive

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vote of confidence for genomics, isn't it? What's

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going on in the UK that sets them apart? It absolutely

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is an incredible success story, and it provides

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such a strong counterpoint to the volatility

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we just discussed in Italy. When you have 7 ,000

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heifers across numerous milk -recorded herds,

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some already milking, validating their sire's

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genomic predictions with only a one -point deviation

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on average in PIPLI. Wow. That's accuracy. That's

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incredibly powerful. It signifies an extremely

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high level of accuracy and predictability in

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their genomic evaluation system for those specific

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traits. It suggests that factors like robust

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data collection, a well -structured genomic reference

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population, and perhaps the specific traits emphasized

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in their PLI are contributing to this remarkable

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consistency. So UK breeders can feel pretty good

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about using those young sires. Well, yeah, for

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breeders in the UK, this gives them a much higher

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degree of confidence in adopting those genomic

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young sires early, knowing that the real world

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performance is highly likely to closely mirror

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the initial predictions. This isn't just good

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news. It's groundbreaking for accelerating genetic

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progress with significantly reduced risk. It

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truly shows what's possible when genomics are

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done right. So if you're a farmer trying to make

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breeding decisions right now. Yeah. How do you

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balance this pursuit of rapid genetic progress

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that genomics promise with the fundamental need

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for reliability and stability that proven sires

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offer? It feels like you're walking a tightrope

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trying to get the most advanced genetics without...

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you know falling into a financial hole you are

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absolutely it's a constant balancing act the

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key is recognizing that genomic and proven aren't

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mutually exclusive categories you have to choose

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between they're both powerful tools in your breeding

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toolbox the uk example shows that genomics can

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be incredibly accurate and reliable offering

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a pathway to faster genetic gain but the italian

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situation reminds us that they are not always

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accurate and that volatility carries real financial

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exposure so what's the approach then For a producer,

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this means you need to adopt a portfolio approach,

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which we'll definitely dive into more later.

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You can't just chase the highest genomic numbers

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blindly. You need to look at the reliability

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percentage of those genomic predictions, look

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at the depth of the pedigree, and critically

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evaluate the specific market you're operating

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in. Gotcha. If you're in a market where the genomic

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validation is strong, like the UK seems to be,

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perhaps you can be more aggressive. But in others,

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maybe a more conservative, balanced approach

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makes much more sense. It's about being progressive

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without being reckless. It's about being smart

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with your genetic investments, just like any

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other investment on your farm. That's a crucial

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distinction. Now let's transition across the

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pond to North America, because the article notes

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how economic reality is truly driving genetic

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choices there, especially in the U .S. market.

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The focus seems to be shifting. And I get the

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sense it's all about profitability. Indeed, it

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is. Very much so. When we talk about the U .S.

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market, it's easy for producers to get caught

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up in the TPI numbers. TPI, or Total Performance

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Index, right? The Holstein Association USA's

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Index for Genetic Merit, a broad composite. Sure,

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everyone knows TPI. Exactly. For instance, Beyond

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High Level ET might claim the number one genomic

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spot at plus 3 or 539 TPI. But, as the article

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points out, that's not the whole story. While

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TTI is important for genetic merit, especially

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maybe for breeding stock, it doesn't always directly

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translate to profitability for the commercial

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producer. Okay, so what's the better measure

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then? The real conversation, especially with

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the economic pressures farmers are facing in

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2025, needs to be about net merit and what that

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means for your milk check, because that's where

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the rubber meets the road for daily operations.

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So tell us more about this economic domination

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by genosaurs in the U .S. net merit rankings.

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The article says it's a complete takeover. It

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really is quite something. With genosaurus retrospective

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leading at an incredible plus 1317 NMA, followed

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closely by a stablemate's genosaurus endurance

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deep at plus 1233 NM and genosaurus purdy at

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plus 1222 NMLO. Why is this so significant? And

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what exactly does net merit signify for a dairy

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producer dealing with the realities of 2025?

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This is a seismic shift, truly a defining moment

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in U .S. dairy genetics. Net merit, or deninima,

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is an economic index that estimates the lifetime

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profitability of a cow. It's incredibly comprehensive,

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taking into account a broad range of economically

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important traits. Not just milk. Not just milk.

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It includes production, component yields, fat

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and protein, health, fertility, productive life,

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and even things like body size. It then weights

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them by their actual economic value to the producer,

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factoring in things like feed costs, milk prices,

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replacement costs. So tell me about the bottom

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line. Precisely. So when Genisaurus takes the

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top three spots in Net Merit, It's not just about

00:13:28.289 --> 00:13:31.470
high production. It signals a strategic and systematic

00:13:31.470 --> 00:13:33.950
breeding for traits that actually make money,

00:13:34.090 --> 00:13:36.950
rather than simply chasing TPI points that might

00:13:36.950 --> 00:13:39.009
look good on paper but don't always translate

00:13:39.009 --> 00:13:41.330
into real world profitability. Especially with

00:13:41.330 --> 00:13:44.149
feed costs. Exactly. With feed costs being what

00:13:44.149 --> 00:13:46.649
they are in 2025, which the article emphasizes

00:13:46.649 --> 00:13:49.370
is non -negotiable, selecting for profitability

00:13:49.370 --> 00:13:52.330
through net merit is absolutely critical. It's

00:13:52.330 --> 00:13:54.330
about breeding for efficiency and resilience,

00:13:54.750 --> 00:14:10.549
ensuring that every cow can That's the goal.

00:14:10.610 --> 00:14:12.830
For a producer, this means fewer surprises on

00:14:12.830 --> 00:14:14.490
the expense side and more consistent income.

00:14:14.789 --> 00:14:16.889
And on the proven side in the U .S., SDG Cap

00:14:16.889 --> 00:14:20.870
Garza EAT is leading at plus 3488 TTI with an

00:14:20.870 --> 00:14:23.830
impressive 98 % reliability. Rock solid reliability.

00:14:24.570 --> 00:14:26.250
The article highlights his balanced profile,

00:14:26.549 --> 00:14:30.029
plus 146 pounds fat, plus 53 pounds protein,

00:14:30.250 --> 00:14:35.350
and plus 3 .7 productive life, PL. For a producer,

00:14:35.549 --> 00:14:37.590
how does that combination of fat, protein, and

00:14:37.590 --> 00:14:40.710
PL translate into actual profitability, especially

00:14:40.710 --> 00:14:43.549
when milk prices or feed costs start to fluctuate?

00:14:43.669 --> 00:14:46.090
Garza is a textbook example of a proven sire

00:14:46.090 --> 00:14:48.289
that offers true stability and profitability

00:14:48.289 --> 00:14:52.059
in a volatile market. The 98 % reliability means

00:14:52.059 --> 00:14:54.700
there's very little guesswork involved. His performance

00:14:54.700 --> 00:14:57.200
is validated by a huge number of daughters already

00:14:57.200 --> 00:14:59.899
in production. Proven performance. Proven. And

00:14:59.899 --> 00:15:03.440
his balance is key. High fat. plus 146 pounds

00:15:03.440 --> 00:15:06.240
in protein, plus 53 pounds, ensure getting paid

00:15:06.240 --> 00:15:08.279
for components, which is increasingly important

00:15:08.279 --> 00:15:10.559
in many milk markets where premiums are tied

00:15:10.559 --> 00:15:12.700
to solids, not just volume. Right, that impacts

00:15:12.700 --> 00:15:14.820
the milk check directly. Directly, making each

00:15:14.820 --> 00:15:17.519
pound of milk more valuable. Plus, that plus

00:15:17.519 --> 00:15:20.720
3 .7 productive life, PL, is crucial for longevity.

00:15:21.100 --> 00:15:23.259
In practical terms, it means his daughters are

00:15:23.259 --> 00:15:25.120
expected to stay in the herd almost four months

00:15:25.120 --> 00:15:27.039
longer than average. And that saves on replacement

00:15:27.039 --> 00:15:30.379
costs. Dramatically. When you combine strong,

00:15:30.399 --> 00:15:32.820
component -rich production with cows that stay

00:15:32.820 --> 00:15:35.279
in the herd longer and have fewer health issues,

00:15:35.480 --> 00:15:37.559
you dramatically reduce your replacement costs

00:15:37.559 --> 00:15:40.299
and veterinary bills, improving overall efficiency.

00:15:40.840 --> 00:15:42.960
These are the traits that act as a financial

00:15:42.960 --> 00:15:45.840
buffer when feed prices are high or milk prices

00:15:45.840 --> 00:15:48.620
are volatile. They provide consistent, reliable

00:15:48.620 --> 00:15:51.600
income and reduce expenses, helping you weather

00:15:51.600 --> 00:15:54.019
those economic storms. Moving north to Canada,

00:15:54.159 --> 00:15:56.159
the article describes the remover revolution.

00:15:57.100 --> 00:15:59.980
Stanton's remover PP made this spectacular jump

00:15:59.980 --> 00:16:02.720
from number 7 to number 1 in August. Quite the

00:16:02.720 --> 00:16:06.259
jump. Backed by 234 daughters across 32 hertz.

00:16:06.480 --> 00:16:09.480
That's real -world validation proving his genomic

00:16:09.480 --> 00:16:12.350
predictions. How is Remover's balanced profile

00:16:12.350 --> 00:16:14.309
specifically addressing the needs of Canadian

00:16:14.309 --> 00:16:17.009
producers, especially with those rapidly rising

00:16:17.009 --> 00:16:19.789
replacement costs? Remover Search No. 1 in Canada

00:16:19.789 --> 00:16:22.389
is a fantastic story of genomic prediction meeting

00:16:22.389 --> 00:16:25.950
real -world validation. The 234 daughters across

00:16:25.950 --> 00:16:28.769
32 herds aren't just a number. They represent

00:16:28.769 --> 00:16:31.070
diverse management systems and environments from

00:16:31.070 --> 00:16:33.009
B .C. to Quebec, right? Right across the country.

00:16:33.279 --> 00:16:36.019
This means his performance is robust and repeatable

00:16:36.019 --> 00:16:38.820
under varying conditions, giving Canadian producers

00:16:38.820 --> 00:16:41.980
high confidence. His balanced profile is exactly

00:16:41.980 --> 00:16:44.500
what Canadian producers need right now. With

00:16:44.500 --> 00:16:46.860
replacement costs climbing rapidly, we're talking...

00:16:47.179 --> 00:16:49.960
thousands of dollars to raise or buy a new heifer.

00:16:50.039 --> 00:16:52.039
Yeah, it's getting serious. Producers need cows

00:16:52.039 --> 00:16:54.059
that are durable and productive for multiple

00:16:54.059 --> 00:16:57.259
lactations. Remover offers solid production numbers,

00:16:57.360 --> 00:16:59.639
but critically, he brings those essential durability

00:16:59.639 --> 00:17:03.759
traits. Strong feet and legs, good udders, and

00:17:03.759 --> 00:17:06.220
overall conformation that allows cows to withstand

00:17:06.220 --> 00:17:09.599
the rigors of modern dairy farming, even in Canada's

00:17:09.599 --> 00:17:12.819
diverse climates. So fewer problems, cows last

00:17:12.819 --> 00:17:15.710
longer. Exactly. This translates directly into

00:17:15.710 --> 00:17:18.509
fewer herd health issues, fewer forced calls,

00:17:18.710 --> 00:17:21.230
and cows staying in the herd longer, which directly

00:17:21.230 --> 00:17:23.490
reduces those increasingly painful replacement

00:17:23.490 --> 00:17:26.410
costs. For a producer, it's about investing in

00:17:26.410 --> 00:17:28.289
a cow that will pay you back year after year.

00:17:28.529 --> 00:17:30.849
And on the genomic young sire front in Canada,

00:17:31.309 --> 00:17:37.599
OCD Milan ET leads at plus 4118 GPA LPI. LPI,

00:17:37.720 --> 00:17:39.700
for those listening, is Canada's Livestock Performance

00:17:39.700 --> 00:17:42.940
Index, a multi -trade index for lifetime profitability.

00:17:43.500 --> 00:17:46.240
Milan has impressive numbers like plus 638 milk,

00:17:46.420 --> 00:17:49.460
plus 108 fat, plus robust type, plus 10 mammary

00:17:49.460 --> 00:17:52.299
system, plus 6 feet and legs. Really strong numbers

00:17:52.299 --> 00:17:54.599
there. How does this combination of high production

00:17:54.599 --> 00:17:57.279
and structural soundness align with what the

00:17:57.279 --> 00:17:59.319
Canadian industry is selecting for, particularly

00:17:59.319 --> 00:18:01.599
given its diverse climate and management challenges?

00:18:02.170 --> 00:18:05.049
Milan is incredibly exciting for the genomic

00:18:05.049 --> 00:18:07.809
category in Canada. His combination of high production,

00:18:08.049 --> 00:18:10.049
especially in components with that exceptional

00:18:10.049 --> 00:18:13.230
plus 108 fat, alongside truly robust type traits

00:18:13.230 --> 00:18:15.769
like a plus 10 mammary system and plus six fetal

00:18:15.769 --> 00:18:18.480
eggs is, well, it's. Almost the ideal package

00:18:18.480 --> 00:18:20.420
for the Canadian industry. Why is that type so

00:18:20.420 --> 00:18:22.259
important in Canada? Well, Canada has a wide

00:18:22.259 --> 00:18:24.180
range of climates, right? From harsh winters

00:18:24.180 --> 00:18:26.460
that demand resilient animals to hot, humid summers

00:18:26.460 --> 00:18:28.759
and diverse management systems, from large free

00:18:28.759 --> 00:18:31.039
stalls to smaller tie stalls. Cattle bred with

00:18:31.039 --> 00:18:33.220
strong structural soundness and functional type

00:18:33.220 --> 00:18:35.339
can withstand these varied conditions better.

00:18:35.559 --> 00:18:38.200
Makes sense. Fewer issues. They have fewer lameness

00:18:38.200 --> 00:18:40.960
issues because of strong feet and legs, fewer

00:18:40.960 --> 00:18:44.259
mastitis problems due to superior udders, and

00:18:44.259 --> 00:18:47.069
they simply last longer in the herd. This translates

00:18:47.069 --> 00:18:49.450
directly into more profitable cows that require

00:18:49.450 --> 00:18:52.470
less intervention and are more resilient to environmental

00:18:52.470 --> 00:18:55.430
and management stressors. He's the type of bull

00:18:55.430 --> 00:18:58.269
that delivers on both ends, making abundant,

00:18:58.470 --> 00:19:01.630
valuable milk and lasting in the herd to pay

00:19:01.630 --> 00:19:04.470
dividends over time. Less headaches, more profit.

00:19:04.589 --> 00:19:06.549
That's it. For a farmer, it means less headaches

00:19:06.549 --> 00:19:08.710
and more profit. So whether you're in the U .S.

00:19:08.710 --> 00:19:11.490
or Canada, how do these market -specific trends

00:19:11.490 --> 00:19:14.329
and economic priorities impact a listener's breeding

00:19:14.329 --> 00:19:17.329
goals? How should they consider these differing

00:19:17.329 --> 00:19:19.730
indices when making their crucial breeding decisions?

00:19:20.109 --> 00:19:22.369
You really need to intimately understand what

00:19:22.369 --> 00:19:25.029
drives profitability in your specific operation,

00:19:25.230 --> 00:19:27.390
because one size definitely does not fit all.

00:19:27.470 --> 00:19:30.009
It's not plug and play. For example. If you're

00:19:30.009 --> 00:19:32.369
in the U .S. and selling into a market that heavily

00:19:32.369 --> 00:19:35.829
penalizes somatic cell count or rewards fat and

00:19:35.829 --> 00:19:38.670
protein significantly, then net merit is your

00:19:38.670 --> 00:19:41.589
absolute best friend. It's specifically designed

00:19:41.589 --> 00:19:44.549
to align with those economic realities. If you're

00:19:44.549 --> 00:19:46.910
in Canada, facing high replacement costs and

00:19:46.910 --> 00:19:49.869
diverse environmental conditions, then LPI with

00:19:49.869 --> 00:19:52.630
an emphasis on durability, productive life, and

00:19:52.630 --> 00:19:55.150
solid production might be your primary focus.

00:19:55.450 --> 00:19:58.589
Don't just chase the highest TPI or LPI if it

00:19:58.589 --> 00:20:00.109
doesn't align. line with how your milk is paid

00:20:00.109 --> 00:20:02.849
for or the specific challenges your cows face

00:20:02.849 --> 00:20:05.670
daily. Know your own situation. It's about understanding

00:20:05.670 --> 00:20:08.289
the nuances of your own market, your unique farm

00:20:08.289 --> 00:20:10.710
setup and selecting genetics that will perform

00:20:10.710 --> 00:20:12.789
optimally and profitably within that context.

00:20:13.069 --> 00:20:15.410
It's about being strategic, not just following

00:20:15.410 --> 00:20:17.690
a generalized top list. That's a powerful call

00:20:17.690 --> 00:20:19.890
to action for our listeners. Now let's shift

00:20:19.890 --> 00:20:22.150
our focus to the European markets, which the

00:20:22.150 --> 00:20:24.670
article highlights as exemplifying a functional

00:20:24.670 --> 00:20:27.269
excellence revolution. They seem to have somewhat

00:20:27.269 --> 00:20:29.690
different priorities, driving a unique aspect

00:20:29.690 --> 00:20:32.490
of genetic progress focused on overall cow health

00:20:32.490 --> 00:20:35.430
and durability. They absolutely do. European

00:20:35.430 --> 00:20:38.829
evaluations, particularly in Germany, are widely

00:20:38.829 --> 00:20:41.130
regarded as world -class for their comprehensive

00:20:41.130 --> 00:20:44.190
approach to functional traits that go well beyond

00:20:44.190 --> 00:20:46.410
just milk volume. More than just production numbers.

00:20:46.609 --> 00:20:49.200
Much more. And as we discussed earlier, the UK

00:20:49.200 --> 00:20:51.980
provides a fantastic counterpoint to the volatility

00:20:51.980 --> 00:20:54.799
we saw in Italy, showing how well genomics can

00:20:54.799 --> 00:20:57.279
work when the validation system is robust and

00:20:57.279 --> 00:21:00.160
consistently accurate. This section of the article

00:21:00.160 --> 00:21:02.279
really drills down into what it means to breed

00:21:02.279 --> 00:21:05.799
a truly resilient, long -lasting cow, not just

00:21:05.799 --> 00:21:07.960
a high -producing one. The whole animal. Exactly.

00:21:07.980 --> 00:21:10.079
It's about breeding for the whole animal for

00:21:10.079 --> 00:21:12.720
the entire life cycle and ensuring profitability

00:21:12.720 --> 00:21:15.160
through health and efficiency. Let's revisit

00:21:15.160 --> 00:21:17.500
the UK first because it's a shining example of

00:21:17.500 --> 00:21:19.500
where genomic predictions actually worked incredibly

00:21:19.500 --> 00:21:22.680
well. The article states that six new daughter

00:21:22.680 --> 00:21:25.420
proven sires entered the top 10 PLI positions

00:21:25.420 --> 00:21:29.099
and their proven values match their genomic predictions

00:21:29.099 --> 00:21:31.339
almost perfectly. Yeah, that one point deviation

00:21:31.339 --> 00:21:34.700
again. To recap, their values deviated by just

00:21:34.700 --> 00:21:37.589
one point on average. Talk about a confidence

00:21:37.589 --> 00:21:40.569
boost. What makes this so remarkable? And what

00:21:40.569 --> 00:21:42.690
can other markets learn from this kind of consistency?

00:21:43.089 --> 00:21:45.710
It's an incredible success story that truly highlights

00:21:45.710 --> 00:21:48.660
the potential of genomics. That level of accuracy

00:21:48.660 --> 00:21:51.460
-proven values deviating by just one point on

00:21:51.460 --> 00:21:54.619
average from earlier genomic predictions is truly

00:21:54.619 --> 00:21:57.539
the gold standard for genomic reliability. It's

00:21:57.539 --> 00:21:59.839
what everyone aims for. It is. It means that

00:21:59.839 --> 00:22:02.599
the UK's genomic evaluation system, particularly

00:22:02.599 --> 00:22:06.319
for their PPi, profit lifetime index, is highly

00:22:06.319 --> 00:22:09.200
reliable and robust. For a producer, this means

00:22:09.200 --> 00:22:11.279
you can have an exceptionally high degree of

00:22:11.279 --> 00:22:13.700
confidence in using those elite genomic young

00:22:13.700 --> 00:22:16.059
sires. You're not just taking a leap of faith,

00:22:16.140 --> 00:22:18.000
you're making an informed decision based on a

00:22:18.000 --> 00:22:20.240
system that has demonstrated its ability to predict

00:22:20.240 --> 00:22:22.559
real -world performance with remarkable precision,

00:22:22.839 --> 00:22:26.440
validated by 7 ,000 milking daughters. So what

00:22:26.440 --> 00:22:28.940
can others learn? Well, this is what unlocks

00:22:28.940 --> 00:22:31.839
the true potential of genomic selection. Faster

00:22:31.839 --> 00:22:34.700
genetic progress with significantly reduced risk.

00:22:34.859 --> 00:22:37.279
Other markets can learn from their rigorous data

00:22:37.279 --> 00:22:39.440
collection, the depth of their reference populations,

00:22:39.880 --> 00:22:42.000
and perhaps their emphasis on traits that are

00:22:42.000 --> 00:22:44.599
more consistently predictable through genomic

00:22:44.599 --> 00:22:46.839
markers. It's about building trust in the system,

00:22:46.900 --> 00:22:49.839
which then allows for more aggressive yet responsible

00:22:49.839 --> 00:22:52.900
adoption of new genetics. And leading that charge

00:22:52.900 --> 00:22:55.700
is OCD trooper Sheepster, the new proven leader

00:22:55.700 --> 00:22:59.619
at 779 PLI. His production numbers are excellent,

00:22:59.740 --> 00:23:02.779
but the article points out his plus 113 day lifespan

00:23:02.779 --> 00:23:05.519
improvement as crucial. Why is that specific

00:23:05.519 --> 00:23:07.980
longevity trait so economically significant,

00:23:08.140 --> 00:23:10.400
especially with UK replacement costs exceeding

00:23:10.400 --> 00:23:12.579
2 ,000 pounds per animal? Yeah, that's a big

00:23:12.579 --> 00:23:14.440
number. For a typical herd, what does that really

00:23:14.440 --> 00:23:16.759
mean in terms of savings? Chupra Sheepster is

00:23:16.759 --> 00:23:19.700
a phenomenal example of the modern ideal for

00:23:19.700 --> 00:23:22.519
profitability in today's dairy landscape. His

00:23:22.519 --> 00:23:26.180
production is excellent, yes, but that plus 113

00:23:26.180 --> 00:23:28.380
-day lifespan improvement is where the true economic

00:23:28.380 --> 00:23:31.319
magic happens for the producer. Let's put it

00:23:31.319 --> 00:23:33.779
into perspective. If a replacement heifer costs

00:23:33.779 --> 00:23:37.500
you over £2 ,000 to raise or purchase, which

00:23:37.500 --> 00:23:39.500
is a very real number in the UK. Absolutely.

00:23:39.869 --> 00:23:41.930
Every additional day, every additional month,

00:23:42.029 --> 00:23:44.809
every additional lactation, a cow stays healthy

00:23:44.809 --> 00:23:46.769
and productive in your herd directly reduces

00:23:46.769 --> 00:23:49.910
your overhead. For a 100 -cow herd, if you can

00:23:49.910 --> 00:23:52.049
improve the average productive life of your cows

00:23:52.049 --> 00:23:54.230
by even just a few months, you might reduce your

00:23:54.230 --> 00:23:56.990
annual replacement rate by maybe 5 -10%. Which

00:23:56.990 --> 00:23:59.269
means? Which translates into avoiding the cost

00:23:59.269 --> 00:24:02.609
of 5 -10 new heifers. That's 10 ,000 to 20 ,000

00:24:02.609 --> 00:24:05.109
pounds annually just in avoided replacement costs,

00:24:05.289 --> 00:24:08.029
not to mention the sustained milk income. Longevity

00:24:08.029 --> 00:24:22.299
isn't just a welfare concern. It's a trade that

00:24:22.299 --> 00:24:24.819
truly pays you back, directly improving your

00:24:24.819 --> 00:24:26.940
cash flow. That makes perfect sense. And then

00:24:26.940 --> 00:24:28.839
you have the genomic leader, Peak Alta Value

00:24:28.839 --> 00:24:33.519
Pack, at 877 PLI, showing even stronger longevity

00:24:33.519 --> 00:24:36.720
at plus 122 days, while still maintaining solid

00:24:36.720 --> 00:24:39.400
production with nearly 800 kilograms of milk.

00:24:39.559 --> 00:24:41.960
Even better longevity. The article calls him

00:24:41.960 --> 00:24:45.819
the modern ideal. What makes him the epitome

00:24:45.819 --> 00:24:47.960
of what breeders are scribing for now, and how

00:24:47.960 --> 00:24:50.279
does he embody this functional excellence revolution?

00:24:50.740 --> 00:24:53.220
Peak Alta Value Pack truly represents the direction

00:24:53.220 --> 00:24:55.259
the industry is heading globally, not just in

00:24:55.259 --> 00:24:57.779
the UK. To combine excellent production, nearly

00:24:57.779 --> 00:25:00.279
800 kilograms of milk with an astounding plus

00:25:00.279 --> 00:25:03.400
122 days of extended lifespan. And that higher

00:25:03.400 --> 00:25:05.920
PLI is to breed a cow that delivers on all fronts.

00:25:06.039 --> 00:25:08.099
The complete package. He's not just a production

00:25:08.099 --> 00:25:11.420
machine. He's building a resilient, long -lasting

00:25:11.420 --> 00:25:14.440
herd that will consistently generate income while

00:25:14.440 --> 00:25:17.619
minimizing expenses. This focus on comprehensive

00:25:17.619 --> 00:25:21.000
genetic merit, where functional traits like longevity,

00:25:21.380 --> 00:25:24.299
health and fertility are given equal or even

00:25:24.299 --> 00:25:26.940
greater importance than just raw production volume,

00:25:27.259 --> 00:25:30.660
is what defines the modern ideal. So it's about

00:25:30.660 --> 00:25:33.109
efficiency and health. It's about breeding for

00:25:33.109 --> 00:25:36.529
efficiency, health, and sustainability, all of

00:25:36.529 --> 00:25:38.269
which contribute to long -term profitability

00:25:38.269 --> 00:25:40.809
and significantly reduced management headaches

00:25:40.809 --> 00:25:42.950
for the farmer. It's creating cattle that are

00:25:42.950 --> 00:25:45.210
built to last and to perform consistently over

00:25:45.210 --> 00:25:47.730
that extended lifespan, allowing producers to

00:25:47.730 --> 00:25:49.910
focus on optimizing their operations rather than

00:25:49.910 --> 00:25:51.950
constantly dealing with replacements and health

00:25:51.950 --> 00:25:54.440
issues. It's also striking how Genesaur's captain,

00:25:54.599 --> 00:25:56.720
a former industry leader, dropped to fifth place

00:25:56.720 --> 00:26:00.880
at 723 PLI despite having over 2 ,000 UK milking

00:26:00.880 --> 00:26:02.559
daughters. Yeah, that's quite a drop for such

00:26:02.559 --> 00:26:05.220
a proven bull. This really illustrates how rapidly

00:26:05.220 --> 00:26:08.099
genetic progress can transform breeding hierarchies

00:26:08.099 --> 00:26:11.720
when functional traits take precedence. Is it

00:26:11.720 --> 00:26:14.259
that captain is less good? Or that the bar has

00:26:14.259 --> 00:26:16.740
just been raised so dramatically. It's absolutely

00:26:16.740 --> 00:26:19.400
the latter. It's a stark illustration of the

00:26:19.400 --> 00:26:22.640
incredible pace of genetic progress and the continuously

00:26:22.640 --> 00:26:25.920
shifting priorities within the industry. Genesaur's

00:26:25.920 --> 00:26:29.119
captain has been a fantastic, reliable sire for

00:26:29.119 --> 00:26:32.099
years, a true workhorse. Sure, a household name.

00:26:32.440 --> 00:26:35.019
Absolutely. But the fact that he's been displaced

00:26:35.019 --> 00:26:37.640
from the very top, even with thousands of proven

00:26:37.640 --> 00:26:40.619
daughters validating his performance, shows how

00:26:40.619 --> 00:26:43.339
quickly the genetic landscape is evolving. The

00:26:43.339 --> 00:26:45.400
industry is moving toward a more holistic view

00:26:45.400 --> 00:26:47.680
of profitability, where health, fertility, and

00:26:47.680 --> 00:26:50.140
efficiency traits are paramount. So is that a

00:26:50.140 --> 00:26:52.619
knock on Captain? Not at all. This isn't a knock

00:26:52.619 --> 00:26:54.440
on Captain. It's a testament to the continuous

00:26:54.440 --> 00:26:57.220
improvement in genetics, where newer sires are

00:26:57.220 --> 00:26:59.380
simply offering a more complete package that

00:26:59.380 --> 00:27:01.180
aligns with the current economic and management

00:27:01.180 --> 00:27:03.950
demands. It's proof that standing still means

00:27:03.950 --> 00:27:06.529
falling behind in dairy genetics. You constantly

00:27:06.529 --> 00:27:08.750
need to be looking for that next level of improvement

00:27:08.750 --> 00:27:11.589
across all economically relevant traits. Over

00:27:11.589 --> 00:27:14.390
in Germany, their precision breeding truly shines,

00:27:14.529 --> 00:27:17.670
focusing heavily on functional traits. Proven

00:27:17.670 --> 00:27:21.549
leader Zivit commands RZG 147 through an impressive

00:27:21.549 --> 00:27:27.369
balance, plus 1 ,971 kg milk, plus 88 kg fat,

00:27:27.589 --> 00:27:31.009
plus 86 kg protein combined with functional traits

00:27:31.009 --> 00:27:35.609
like RZN longevity index 121 and RZG's overall

00:27:35.609 --> 00:27:38.609
health index 113. Really solid functional numbers

00:27:38.609 --> 00:27:40.829
there. How do these numbers specifically reflect

00:27:40.829 --> 00:27:43.089
a bull that actually works in commercial settings?

00:27:43.269 --> 00:27:45.130
What does that mean for a German producer on

00:27:45.130 --> 00:27:47.549
a daily basis? Zivid epitomizes the German breeding

00:27:47.549 --> 00:27:49.990
philosophy, which emphasizes a balanced functional

00:27:49.990 --> 00:27:52.089
animal built for commercial dairy operations.

00:27:52.490 --> 00:27:55.309
The RZG index in Germany is designed to identify

00:27:55.309 --> 00:27:57.430
bulls that excel across multiple traits important

00:27:57.430 --> 00:27:59.839
for profitability and ease of management. So

00:27:59.839 --> 00:28:02.519
it's the combination that matters. Exactly. While

00:28:02.519 --> 00:28:04.900
his milk, fat, and protein numbers are excellent,

00:28:05.119 --> 00:28:07.299
it's the combination with functional traits that

00:28:07.299 --> 00:28:11.099
truly sets him apart. RZN 121 for longevity means

00:28:11.099 --> 00:28:13.799
his daughters are built to last, reducing replacement

00:28:13.799 --> 00:28:18.480
costs. RZG's 113 for overall health, which includes

00:28:18.480 --> 00:28:21.099
traits like mastitis resistance, fertility, and

00:28:21.099 --> 00:28:23.680
calving ease, indicates that his daughters are

00:28:23.680 --> 00:28:26.599
not just high producers, but also healthy, fertile,

00:28:27.160 --> 00:28:29.500
and durable. Less trouble, basically. For a German

00:28:29.500 --> 00:28:31.839
producer, this means less veterinary intervention,

00:28:32.279 --> 00:28:35.039
fewer reproductive issues, and cows that stay

00:28:35.039 --> 00:28:37.119
in the herd longer without needing constant attention.

00:28:37.779 --> 00:28:39.839
That's what working in commercial settings truly

00:28:39.839 --> 00:28:42.579
means. Delivering consistent, low -maintenance

00:28:42.579 --> 00:28:45.099
profitability day in and day out, freeing up

00:28:45.099 --> 00:28:47.240
time and resources for other aspects of the farm.

00:28:47.319 --> 00:28:49.500
And the genomic sphere in Germany produced twin

00:28:49.500 --> 00:28:52.740
leaders. Evenstar and Pennywise, both at RZG

00:28:52.740 --> 00:28:55.619
164. Tied at the top. Evenstar's projected numbers

00:28:55.619 --> 00:28:59.720
are incredible. Plus 2 ,090 kg milk, plus 120

00:28:59.720 --> 00:29:03.779
kg fat, plus 69 kg protein, plus a fantastic

00:29:03.779 --> 00:29:06.960
RZN 134 for longevity. This really positions

00:29:06.960 --> 00:29:10.019
him as a premium choice. How might a producer

00:29:10.019 --> 00:29:13.160
decide between a proven bull like Zivit and a

00:29:13.160 --> 00:29:16.140
genomic leader? like Evenstar. Absolutely. Evenstar

00:29:16.140 --> 00:29:19.460
and Pennywise at RZG 164 are at the absolute

00:29:19.460 --> 00:29:22.299
cutting edge of genomic potential. Evenstar's

00:29:22.299 --> 00:29:24.940
projected numbers, particularly that plus 120

00:29:24.940 --> 00:29:28.279
kilograms fat and an outstanding RZN 134 for

00:29:28.279 --> 00:29:30.680
longevity, indicate a bull that could significantly

00:29:30.680 --> 00:29:33.019
elevate a herd's performance across the board.

00:29:33.140 --> 00:29:35.339
Big potential jump. Huge jump. This isn't just

00:29:35.339 --> 00:29:37.779
about raw milk volume. It's about highly profitable

00:29:37.779 --> 00:29:40.240
components in cows that will have extended productive

00:29:40.240 --> 00:29:43.059
lives. For operations that can tolerate the inherent,

00:29:43.240 --> 00:29:45.759
albeit lower genomic risk, perhaps larger herds

00:29:45.759 --> 00:29:48.039
that can absorb the occasional genomic re -ranking.

00:29:48.059 --> 00:29:50.539
Where diversification helps. Bowls like Evenstar

00:29:50.539 --> 00:29:53.359
represent opportunity to achieve rapid genetic

00:29:53.359 --> 00:29:55.559
leaps, producing cattle that are both highly

00:29:55.559 --> 00:29:58.400
productive and incredibly durable. The decision

00:29:58.400 --> 00:30:00.680
between Zivit and Evenstar would come down to

00:30:00.680 --> 00:30:02.839
a producer's risk tolerance and their specific

00:30:02.839 --> 00:30:05.799
breeding goals. Zivit offers rock -solid, proven

00:30:05.799 --> 00:30:08.539
reliability. Evenstar offers the potential for

00:30:08.539 --> 00:30:11.400
faster, higher genetic gains, but with the inherent

00:30:11.400 --> 00:30:14.140
genomic prediction risk. It's a strategic choice

00:30:14.140 --> 00:30:16.779
for maximum progress. It's also fascinating to

00:30:16.779 --> 00:30:19.000
see the continued progress in Red Holstein genetics

00:30:19.000 --> 00:30:21.799
in Germany, with Ginger leading proven sires

00:30:21.799 --> 00:30:25.779
at RZG 143 and Shock leading genomics at RZG

00:30:25.779 --> 00:30:28.509
161. What does this indicate for the broader

00:30:28.509 --> 00:30:30.789
industry? The strength and continued progress

00:30:30.789 --> 00:30:32.829
of Red Holstein genetics in Germany is remarkable.

00:30:33.410 --> 00:30:36.869
Ginger, a proven sire at RCG 143 with over 2

00:30:36.869 --> 00:30:40.109
,600 kilograms of milk from 510 daughters, shows

00:30:40.109 --> 00:30:42.170
that this segment of the breed is not only holding

00:30:42.170 --> 00:30:44.529
its own but making significant strides in productivity

00:30:44.529 --> 00:30:47.250
and functional traits. So Red Holsteins are keeping

00:30:47.250 --> 00:30:51.730
pace. Absolutely. And Shock, a genomic red Holstein

00:30:51.730 --> 00:30:55.769
at RZG 161, demonstrates that the same rapid

00:30:55.769 --> 00:30:58.490
genetic progress seen in Holsteins is also being

00:30:58.490 --> 00:31:01.410
achieved in red Holsteins. This offers producers

00:31:01.410 --> 00:31:03.630
more choices and allows for important genetic

00:31:03.630 --> 00:31:05.789
diversification, which is always a good thing

00:31:05.789 --> 00:31:07.750
for long -term breed health and adaptability.

00:31:08.049 --> 00:31:10.549
More options are always good. Exactly. It signifies

00:31:10.549 --> 00:31:12.690
that you don't have to compromise on performance

00:31:12.690 --> 00:31:15.329
for color preference or specific market niches.

00:31:15.450 --> 00:31:18.069
It provides a valuable alternative. for producers

00:31:18.069 --> 00:31:20.809
looking to diversify their genetics or who simply

00:31:20.809 --> 00:31:24.130
prefer the red Holstein breed. And finally, Italy.

00:31:24.490 --> 00:31:27.210
The article describes their evaluations as providing

00:31:27.210 --> 00:31:29.890
the starkest illustration of genomic volatility

00:31:29.890 --> 00:31:32.230
you've seen in the world. Yeah, it's pretty dramatic

00:31:32.230 --> 00:31:34.670
over there sometimes. What exactly should worry

00:31:34.670 --> 00:31:37.710
every reader about the dramatic swings of 100

00:31:37.710 --> 00:31:41.410
points or more in a single evaluation? It sounds

00:31:41.410 --> 00:31:43.069
like playing a game of chance with your genetics.

00:31:43.630 --> 00:31:45.990
What should worry every breeder about Italy's

00:31:45.990 --> 00:31:49.210
genomic volatility is precisely that. The sheer

00:31:49.210 --> 00:31:51.390
unpredictability it introduces into breeding

00:31:51.390 --> 00:31:54.250
programs. Imagine you've invested in a genomic

00:31:54.250 --> 00:31:56.829
bull, a rising star, whose evaluation drops by

00:31:56.829 --> 00:32:00.490
100 points or more in a single cycle. That's

00:32:00.490 --> 00:32:02.990
not just a statistical anomaly, that's a direct

00:32:02.990 --> 00:32:05.630
and sudden devaluation of semen you've purchased,

00:32:05.849 --> 00:32:08.190
a significant change in the expected performance

00:32:08.190 --> 00:32:11.049
of offspring already on the ground, and a major

00:32:11.049 --> 00:32:12.890
disruption to your long -term breeding plan.

00:32:13.210 --> 00:32:15.710
It makes long -term planning incredibly difficult

00:32:15.710 --> 00:32:18.049
and highlights the substantial financial risk

00:32:18.049 --> 00:32:20.369
of relying too heavily on unproven genetics in

00:32:20.369 --> 00:32:22.250
such a volatile system. It undermines confidence.

00:32:22.529 --> 00:32:24.789
Completely. It's a loud warning about the potential

00:32:24.789 --> 00:32:27.269
pitfalls of over -reliance on predictions without

00:32:27.269 --> 00:32:29.849
sufficient real -world validation. And it can

00:32:29.849 --> 00:32:31.609
leave producers feeling like they've been left

00:32:31.609 --> 00:32:33.930
holding the bag. So on the flip side of that...

00:32:34.079 --> 00:32:37.099
Why does a proven bull like ZFZ Chrysalis RF

00:32:37.099 --> 00:32:42.220
at 5169 GPFT provide important stability in the

00:32:42.220 --> 00:32:44.319
Italian market, especially given that volatility?

00:32:44.660 --> 00:32:47.660
And GPFT, by the way, is Italy's genomic production

00:32:47.660 --> 00:32:50.279
and fitness total index. Chrysalis provides that

00:32:50.279 --> 00:32:52.970
crucial stability. Precisely because he is proven.

00:32:53.309 --> 00:32:57.329
His GPFT of 5169 is based on the actual performance

00:32:57.329 --> 00:33:00.109
of his daughters already milking in real -world

00:33:00.109 --> 00:33:03.549
Italian dairy settings. It eliminates the guesswork

00:33:03.549 --> 00:33:05.450
and the potential for drastic, unpredictable

00:33:05.450 --> 00:33:08.730
re -ranking. For an Italian producer where profitability

00:33:08.730 --> 00:33:11.410
can be very tight due to specific market conditions

00:33:11.410 --> 00:33:14.390
and feed costs, having a bull like Chrysalis

00:33:14.390 --> 00:33:16.829
in their breeding program offers a reliable foundation.

00:33:17.269 --> 00:33:19.009
They know what they're getting, they know his

00:33:19.009 --> 00:33:21.019
daughters perform consistently, and And that

00:33:21.019 --> 00:33:23.680
consistency acts as a vital anchor against the

00:33:23.680 --> 00:33:26.160
unpredictable shifts seen in the genomic rankings.

00:33:26.299 --> 00:33:28.970
A safe bet. He's the safe, reliable choice that

00:33:28.970 --> 00:33:31.470
mitigates risk, allowing producers to build their

00:33:31.470 --> 00:33:33.710
herd's genetic base with confidence, which is

00:33:33.710 --> 00:33:36.009
invaluable in a high -risk environment. And peak

00:33:36.009 --> 00:33:39.109
spellbound ET is the new number one genomic at

00:33:39.109 --> 00:33:43.250
5458 GPFT, specifically highlighted for his exceptional

00:33:43.250 --> 00:33:47.569
component percentages, plus 1 .07 % fat and plus

00:33:47.569 --> 00:33:51.029
0 .54 % protein. Those are huge percentages.

00:33:51.369 --> 00:33:54.150
Why are these components so critical for Italy's...

00:33:54.299 --> 00:33:56.779
cheese -focused industry, and how does that tie

00:33:56.779 --> 00:34:00.460
into the ICSPR index, where Smarty PET leads

00:34:00.460 --> 00:34:05.359
at 1398 ICSPR -O? Italy's dairy industry is unique

00:34:05.359 --> 00:34:08.179
because of its incredibly strong focus on value

00:34:08.179 --> 00:34:11.039
-added products, particularly high -quality cheeses

00:34:11.039 --> 00:34:14.139
like Parmigiano -Reggiano and Grano Panano. Right,

00:34:14.199 --> 00:34:16.659
cheese is king there. Absolutely. For cheese

00:34:16.659 --> 00:34:18.519
production, while the volume of milk is important,

00:34:18.800 --> 00:34:20.980
the percentage of fat and protein is absolutely

00:34:20.980 --> 00:34:23.789
paramount. These are the milk solids that directly

00:34:23.789 --> 00:34:27.190
translate into cheese yield. So spellbound ET's

00:34:27.190 --> 00:34:30.849
incredible component percentages plus 1 .07 %

00:34:30.849 --> 00:34:34.730
fat and plus 0 .54 % protein are not just impressive

00:34:34.730 --> 00:34:36.989
numbers. They directly address this crucial market

00:34:36.989 --> 00:34:39.469
need. More cheese per liter of milk. Exactly.

00:34:39.710 --> 00:34:42.110
His daughters will produce milk that is far more

00:34:42.110 --> 00:34:44.050
valuable for cheesemaking, meaning producers

00:34:44.050 --> 00:34:46.170
are paid significantly more per hundred weight

00:34:46.170 --> 00:34:49.610
of milk. The ICSPR index, which Smarty PET leads,

00:34:49.889 --> 00:34:53.010
explicitly reflects this economic reality. It's

00:34:53.010 --> 00:34:55.269
an index heavily weighted to prioritize profitability

00:34:55.269 --> 00:34:57.789
based on the value of components over sheer volume.

00:34:57.989 --> 00:35:00.030
So it reflects the market perfectly. What this

00:35:00.030 --> 00:35:02.090
means for Italian producers is that breeding

00:35:02.090 --> 00:35:04.630
for high component percentages directly translates

00:35:04.630 --> 00:35:08.090
into substantially higher milk checks because

00:35:08.090 --> 00:35:10.190
they are paid more for the quality and yield

00:35:10.190 --> 00:35:12.840
of their milk for cheese production. It's a perfect

00:35:12.840 --> 00:35:15.039
example of market -specific selection driving

00:35:15.039 --> 00:35:17.920
genetic priorities, making these bulls exceptionally

00:35:17.920 --> 00:35:20.519
profitable within their specific industry context.

00:35:20.900 --> 00:35:22.860
So for our listeners, even if you're not in Europe,

00:35:23.000 --> 00:35:25.619
how can understanding these diverse market priorities

00:35:25.619 --> 00:35:28.119
and outcomes inform your own breeding program?

00:35:28.380 --> 00:35:30.920
What universal lessons can be learned about balancing

00:35:30.920 --> 00:35:34.070
production and functional traits? The core lesson

00:35:34.070 --> 00:35:36.429
here, no matter where you are geographically,

00:35:36.530 --> 00:35:39.150
is that you must intimately understand your own

00:35:39.150 --> 00:35:41.829
market's payment system and your own farm's specific

00:35:41.829 --> 00:35:44.849
challenges. The Italian focus on high components

00:35:44.849 --> 00:35:47.969
for cheese, the UK's emphasis on longevity due

00:35:47.969 --> 00:35:50.989
to high replacement costs, or Germany's balanced

00:35:50.989 --> 00:35:53.289
functional traits for overall commercial viability,

00:35:53.510 --> 00:35:55.730
these aren't just European quirks. They're examples.

00:35:56.050 --> 00:35:58.449
They are brilliant examples of how genetic selection

00:35:58.449 --> 00:36:01.389
must align with economic realities on your farm.

00:36:01.860 --> 00:36:04.579
You need to ask yourself, how am I actually paid

00:36:04.579 --> 00:36:07.099
for my milk? What are my biggest costs? Is it

00:36:07.099 --> 00:36:09.860
feed, replacements, vet bills? What management

00:36:09.860 --> 00:36:12.860
challenges do I face? Daily heat stress, lameness,

00:36:12.940 --> 00:36:16.190
repro issues? Do your homework. Exactly. Once

00:36:16.190 --> 00:36:18.130
you answer those questions honestly, you can

00:36:18.130 --> 00:36:20.630
then identify precisely which functional traits,

00:36:20.809 --> 00:36:23.250
beyond just raw milk volume, are going to drive

00:36:23.250 --> 00:36:25.050
your profitability and make your life easier.

00:36:25.250 --> 00:36:27.570
It's about tailoring your genetic strategy to

00:36:27.570 --> 00:36:29.710
your unique circumstances and financial goals,

00:36:29.829 --> 00:36:32.070
not just chasing a global top list that might

00:36:32.070 --> 00:36:34.309
not apply to your farm. That brings us to our

00:36:34.309 --> 00:36:37.110
next major point, broadening the discussion to

00:36:37.110 --> 00:36:39.469
the overarching trends impacting dairy genetics

00:36:39.469 --> 00:36:42.219
globally. It's clear these are heavily driven

00:36:42.219 --> 00:36:44.860
by economic pressures and a shifting understanding

00:36:44.860 --> 00:36:47.400
of what truly defines a profitable, sustainable

00:36:47.400 --> 00:36:50.039
cow. Absolutely. What we're seeing across all

00:36:50.039 --> 00:36:51.920
these markets isn't just a series of isolated

00:36:51.920 --> 00:36:54.820
events. It's a collective industry response to

00:36:54.820 --> 00:36:57.340
rising costs, tighter margins, and increased

00:36:57.340 --> 00:36:59.619
consumer and societal demands. They're all connected.

00:37:00.119 --> 00:37:02.619
Very much so. These traits we're about to discuss,

00:37:02.820 --> 00:37:05.760
health, longevity, component production, feed

00:37:05.760 --> 00:37:08.820
efficiency, and even pole genetics, they are

00:37:08.820 --> 00:37:11.559
no longer nice to have fissures. They're becoming

00:37:11.559 --> 00:37:14.000
absolutely essential for profitability and even

00:37:14.000 --> 00:37:16.960
for survival in today's dairy climate. The economic

00:37:16.960 --> 00:37:20.099
realities of 2025 are forcing producers to be

00:37:20.099 --> 00:37:22.800
incredibly strategic and holistic with their

00:37:22.800 --> 00:37:25.639
breeding decisions, looking for every edge to

00:37:25.639 --> 00:37:28.760
optimize their operations. Let's dive into health

00:37:28.760 --> 00:37:31.599
and longevity first. The article mentions Progenesis

00:37:31.599 --> 00:37:35.440
Watchman's Elite 8 .6 Health Index as defensive

00:37:35.440 --> 00:37:38.320
genetics. What exactly does that mean and how

00:37:38.320 --> 00:37:40.920
do values like the UK's Healthy Cow or Germany's

00:37:40.920 --> 00:37:44.139
RZG scores link directly to rising veterinary

00:37:44.139 --> 00:37:46.559
costs and ultimately economic survival for a

00:37:46.559 --> 00:37:48.849
producer? Defensive genetics is a perfect term

00:37:48.849 --> 00:37:51.949
for Watchman's elite 8 .6 health index. It means

00:37:51.949 --> 00:37:53.889
breeding animals that are inherently more robust

00:37:53.889 --> 00:37:56.269
and resistant to common diseases and health issues.

00:37:56.489 --> 00:37:58.730
Think of it as building a stronger immune system

00:37:58.730 --> 00:38:01.090
and a more resilient body through genetics. Building

00:38:01.090 --> 00:38:03.869
resilience. Exactly. In today's environment where

00:38:03.869 --> 00:38:06.849
vet costs are escalating and every sick cow means

00:38:06.849 --> 00:38:10.170
lost production, extra labor. drug expenses,

00:38:10.329 --> 00:38:13.650
and often a higher likelihood of being cold prematurely.

00:38:13.650 --> 00:38:16.570
It all adds up fast. It does. Selecting for robust

00:38:16.570 --> 00:38:18.969
health traits is like building a financial fortress

00:38:18.969 --> 00:38:21.650
around your herd. The UK's Healthy Cow values

00:38:21.650 --> 00:38:25.369
and Germany's RZG scores are comprehensive indices

00:38:25.369 --> 00:38:27.610
that combine multiple health -related traits,

00:38:27.949 --> 00:38:31.150
mastitis resistance, metabolic health, calving

00:38:31.150 --> 00:38:33.809
ease, calf survival. When you breed for these,

00:38:33.929 --> 00:38:35.710
you're not just improving animal welfare, which

00:38:35.710 --> 00:38:37.690
is incredibly important. Very important. But

00:38:37.690 --> 00:38:39.809
you're directly impacting your bottom line by

00:38:39.809 --> 00:38:42.349
significantly reducing the incidence of costly

00:38:42.349 --> 00:38:44.690
health problems. Imagine cutting your vet bill

00:38:44.690 --> 00:38:46.969
by 10 % or more just by having healthier cows.

00:38:47.250 --> 00:38:49.630
In essence, healthy cows equal more profitable

00:38:49.630 --> 00:38:52.710
cows. And in tight economic times, prioritizing

00:38:52.710 --> 00:38:55.230
health traits truly is a matter of economic survival.

00:38:55.570 --> 00:38:57.909
Less time treating, more time managing. Precisely.

00:38:58.170 --> 00:39:00.929
It directly translates to less time spent treating

00:39:00.929 --> 00:39:03.050
sick animals and more time managing a productive,

00:39:03.190 --> 00:39:05.570
efficient herd. It's a complete paradigm shift,

00:39:05.750 --> 00:39:08.269
moving from just volume to focusing on the cow's

00:39:08.269 --> 00:39:10.570
entire contribution. And speaking of economic

00:39:10.570 --> 00:39:12.829
shifts, the article highlights component production

00:39:12.829 --> 00:39:16.449
as the new economic reality moving away from

00:39:16.449 --> 00:39:19.690
volume alone. A huge shift. Contrast Ginger's

00:39:19.690 --> 00:39:22.690
high volume with Peak Spellbound ET's exceptional

00:39:22.690 --> 00:39:25.769
fat percentage and explain why component premiums

00:39:25.769 --> 00:39:28.449
are becoming more significant. leading to better

00:39:28.449 --> 00:39:30.449
returns for producers. This is a fundamental

00:39:30.449 --> 00:39:32.329
change in how many producers are getting paid

00:39:32.329 --> 00:39:34.710
across the globe. For decades, the focus was

00:39:34.710 --> 00:39:37.590
primarily on sheer volume. How many kilograms

00:39:37.590 --> 00:39:40.710
or pounds of milk could a cow produce? Ginger,

00:39:40.769 --> 00:39:44.030
with over 2 ,600 kilograms of milk, still excels

00:39:44.030 --> 00:39:46.030
in that traditional volume metric, producing

00:39:46.030 --> 00:39:48.820
a lot of liquid. The old way. Right. However,

00:39:49.019 --> 00:39:51.000
for a growing number of markets, particularly

00:39:51.000 --> 00:39:53.039
those involved in value -added products like

00:39:53.039 --> 00:39:55.760
cheese, yogurt, or butter, it's the fat and protein

00:39:55.760 --> 00:39:58.099
percentages and total yields that truly drive

00:39:58.099 --> 00:40:01.579
the milk check. Peak spellbound ETs plus 1 .07

00:40:01.579 --> 00:40:06.119
% fat and plus 0 .54 % protein are astronomically

00:40:06.119 --> 00:40:08.199
high. Really high. Meaning his daughters will

00:40:08.199 --> 00:40:10.360
produce milk with a much higher concentration

00:40:10.360 --> 00:40:13.079
of solids, the good stuff that processors actually

00:40:13.079 --> 00:40:16.280
want. As processors increasingly pay more for

00:40:16.280 --> 00:40:18.139
these valuable components rather than just the

00:40:18.139 --> 00:40:20.679
water in the milk, producers with component -rich

00:40:20.679 --> 00:40:23.380
milk receive significantly higher premiums. So

00:40:23.380 --> 00:40:26.000
quality pays more than quantity now in many cases.

00:40:26.199 --> 00:40:28.400
That's exactly it. This means that even if a

00:40:28.400 --> 00:40:31.559
cow produces slightly less volume, if her components

00:40:31.559 --> 00:40:34.380
are significantly higher, she can be far more

00:40:34.380 --> 00:40:37.159
profitable than a high -volume, low -component

00:40:37.159 --> 00:40:40.500
cow. Imagine two cows producing the same volume,

00:40:40.619 --> 00:40:43.760
but one brings in an extra 20 -30 cents per hundredweight

00:40:43.760 --> 00:40:46.579
due to components. Over a herd, that adds up

00:40:46.579 --> 00:40:49.019
to thousands of dollars annually. It's about

00:40:49.019 --> 00:40:51.239
quality over quantity, and it's becoming the

00:40:51.239 --> 00:40:54.099
dominant payment model for a reason. It rewards

00:40:54.099 --> 00:40:57.059
efficiency and value. Another fascinating trend

00:40:57.059 --> 00:40:59.500
highlighted is polled integration, which is finally

00:40:59.500 --> 00:41:01.900
happening seamlessly. We're seeing top -ranking

00:41:01.900 --> 00:41:04.219
polled genetics like Germany's CreateP achieving

00:41:04.219 --> 00:41:08.780
RZG161 and Canada's Vogue A2P2PP maintaining

00:41:08.780 --> 00:41:12.059
plus 15 CONF without any apparent performance

00:41:12.059 --> 00:41:13.980
compromises. Yeah, that's a big development.

00:41:14.300 --> 00:41:17.420
Why is this significant beyond just a preference

00:41:17.420 --> 00:41:20.320
for naturally hornless animals? What are the

00:41:20.320 --> 00:41:23.010
real -world benefits for a farmer? This is a

00:41:23.010 --> 00:41:25.690
win -win situation for both animal welfare and

00:41:25.690 --> 00:41:28.869
farm management, and it's a sign of real progress

00:41:28.869 --> 00:41:32.269
in genetic selection. Historically, polled genetics

00:41:32.269 --> 00:41:34.230
sometimes came with a performance penalty, right?

00:41:34.289 --> 00:41:35.829
Yeah, there was often a trade -off. You might

00:41:35.829 --> 00:41:37.730
have had to compromise on production or other

00:41:37.730 --> 00:41:39.909
desirable traits to get a naturally hornless

00:41:39.909 --> 00:41:42.550
animal. But now, as the article highlights with

00:41:42.550 --> 00:41:45.929
CreateP and Vogue A2P2PP, we're seeing elite

00:41:45.929 --> 00:41:48.440
genetics that also happen to be polled. This

00:41:48.440 --> 00:41:50.800
is incredibly significant because it allows producers

00:41:50.800 --> 00:41:53.480
to meet growing consumer demands and welfare

00:41:53.480 --> 00:41:55.920
concerns around dehorning without sacrificing

00:41:55.920 --> 00:41:58.880
any genetic progress. So no more dehorning hassle.

00:41:59.019 --> 00:42:01.820
Exactly. For the farmer, it completely removes

00:42:01.820 --> 00:42:04.559
a major management headache. Dehorning takes

00:42:04.559 --> 00:42:07.320
time, labor, equipment, and can be stressful

00:42:07.320 --> 00:42:09.539
for the animals, potentially leading to setbacks.

00:42:10.010 --> 00:42:12.889
Having naturally pulled calves is a huge efficiency

00:42:12.889 --> 00:42:15.849
gain, reduces labor costs, eliminates the need

00:42:15.849 --> 00:42:18.030
for specialized equipment, and aligns with growing

00:42:18.030 --> 00:42:21.170
public expectations for animal care. It's a great

00:42:21.170 --> 00:42:23.110
example of how responsible breeding can address

00:42:23.110 --> 00:42:25.969
multiple needs simultaneously, making the farm

00:42:25.969 --> 00:42:28.349
operation smoother and more aligned with modern

00:42:28.349 --> 00:42:30.969
expectations. But with all this incredible progress,

00:42:31.309 --> 00:42:34.429
the article also raises a critical concern, the

00:42:34.429 --> 00:42:37.449
bloodline concentration problem. The dominance

00:42:37.449 --> 00:42:40.429
of specific sire lines, like overdrive sons or

00:42:40.429 --> 00:42:43.230
genosaurus genetics, is highlighted. Yeah, that's

00:42:43.230 --> 00:42:44.710
definitely something we need to keep an eye on.

00:42:44.789 --> 00:42:47.090
What are the long -term risks to breed adaptability

00:42:47.090 --> 00:42:49.110
when you have this kind of concentration? And

00:42:49.110 --> 00:42:51.010
why should we be wary of repeating historical

00:42:51.010 --> 00:42:53.820
mistakes in animal breeding? This is a serious

00:42:53.820 --> 00:42:56.119
long -term concern that can easily be overlooked

00:42:56.119 --> 00:42:58.679
in the excitement of short -term genetic gains.

00:42:59.039 --> 00:43:02.619
When a few dominant sire lines like the Overdrive

00:43:02.619 --> 00:43:05.340
Sons or the Genisaurus family become ubiquitous

00:43:05.340 --> 00:43:08.460
across the industry, you're effectively narrowing

00:43:08.460 --> 00:43:11.420
the genetic pool of the entire breed. Like putting

00:43:11.420 --> 00:43:13.900
all your eggs in one basket. Pretty much. While

00:43:13.900 --> 00:43:16.139
these specific genetics are undoubtedly high

00:43:16.139 --> 00:43:19.139
-performing today, excessive concentration creates

00:43:19.139 --> 00:43:22.329
what's essentially a genetic monoculture. This

00:43:22.329 --> 00:43:24.849
means the breed becomes less adaptable to future

00:43:24.849 --> 00:43:27.869
unforeseen challenges, whether it's a new aggressive

00:43:27.869 --> 00:43:30.429
disease that a concentrated bloodline might be

00:43:30.429 --> 00:43:33.010
particularly susceptible to, a dramatic shift

00:43:33.010 --> 00:43:35.289
in climate that requires different adaptive traits,

00:43:35.469 --> 00:43:37.869
or an unforeseen change in feed availability

00:43:37.869 --> 00:43:40.230
or market demands. We've seen this before, right?

00:43:40.460 --> 00:43:42.199
We've seen this movie before in other animal

00:43:42.199 --> 00:43:45.519
breeds, where a narrow genetic base led to significant

00:43:45.519 --> 00:43:48.500
vulnerabilities or the emergence of undesirable

00:43:48.500 --> 00:43:51.179
genetic defects that spread rapidly because everyone

00:43:51.179 --> 00:43:54.860
was using the same few sires. If a specific bloodline

00:43:54.860 --> 00:43:57.440
carries a hidden genetic flaw that only emerges

00:43:57.440 --> 00:44:00.380
later in life, or simply isn't suited to an emerging

00:44:00.380 --> 00:44:04.360
challenge, the entire breed can be at risk. Maintaining

00:44:04.360 --> 00:44:06.780
genetic diversity is crucial for the long -term

00:44:06.780 --> 00:44:09.480
health, resilience, and adaptability of the Holstein

00:44:09.480 --> 00:44:11.599
breed. So it's about future -proofing the breed.

00:44:11.760 --> 00:44:14.559
It's like having all your eggs in one very successful

00:44:14.559 --> 00:44:17.800
but ultimately fragile basket. It's about ensuring

00:44:17.800 --> 00:44:20.739
the breed can evolve, not just excel in today's

00:44:20.739 --> 00:44:23.260
environment. And with elevated feed costs being

00:44:23.260 --> 00:44:26.239
a consistent pain point in 2025, feed efficiency

00:44:26.239 --> 00:44:29.119
is called the make -or -break trait. How do indices

00:44:29.119 --> 00:44:32.019
like the UK's Maintenance Index or Italy's ICS

00:44:32.019 --> 00:44:34.739
PR rankings and a bull like Genesaurus Captain

00:44:34.739 --> 00:44:38.219
with his impressive plus 255 feed advantage underscore

00:44:38.219 --> 00:44:40.539
why feed efficiency often determines profitability

00:44:40.539 --> 00:44:43.329
more than raw production numbers? This is truly

00:44:43.329 --> 00:44:45.610
foundational and it hits directly at the largest

00:44:45.610 --> 00:44:48.809
line item on most dairy farm budgets. Feed is

00:44:48.809 --> 00:44:51.869
by far the largest input cost for any dairy operation.

00:44:52.170 --> 00:44:55.230
No question. When feed costs are elevated, as

00:44:55.230 --> 00:44:59.150
they are in 2025, any inefficiency in feed conversion

00:44:59.150 --> 00:45:02.090
directly eats into your margins day in and day

00:45:02.090 --> 00:45:05.030
out. The UK's maintenance index helps identify

00:45:05.030 --> 00:45:07.269
cows that are more efficient at maintaining their

00:45:07.269 --> 00:45:09.429
body weight, meaning they require less feed just

00:45:09.429 --> 00:45:11.969
to exist, leaving more of that expensive feed

00:45:11.969 --> 00:45:15.969
for milk production. Italy's ICS PRO, which factors

00:45:15.969 --> 00:45:18.309
in components, implicitly rewards efficiency

00:45:18.309 --> 00:45:20.710
because you're getting more valuable output for

00:45:20.710 --> 00:45:23.610
your feed input. And a bull like Genesaur's captain

00:45:23.610 --> 00:45:26.590
with a plus 255 feed advantage implies his daughters

00:45:26.590 --> 00:45:28.670
are significantly more efficient at converting

00:45:28.670 --> 00:45:30.690
feed into milk or components. Like more milk

00:45:30.690 --> 00:45:33.889
per pound of feed. In simple terms, yes. For

00:45:33.889 --> 00:45:36.289
every pound of feed they consume, they produce

00:45:36.289 --> 00:45:38.670
more profitable milk or produce it more efficiently.

00:45:39.110 --> 00:45:41.449
If you're spending thousands of dollars a day

00:45:41.449 --> 00:45:44.050
on feed, even a small percentage improvement

00:45:44.050 --> 00:45:47.010
in efficiency can translate into enormous savings

00:45:47.010 --> 00:45:50.559
over a year. When margins are tight, this efficiency

00:45:50.559 --> 00:45:52.900
can literally be the difference between a profitable

00:45:52.900 --> 00:45:54.960
year and one where you're struggling to break

00:45:54.960 --> 00:45:57.699
even. It's basic economics. It's basic economics

00:45:57.699 --> 00:46:00.380
on the farm. Reducing your biggest variable cost

00:46:00.380 --> 00:46:02.780
is often the fastest way to boost your bottom

00:46:02.780 --> 00:46:05.639
line, even more so than just chasing higher and

00:46:05.639 --> 00:46:07.559
higher production numbers. Finally, let's talk

00:46:07.559 --> 00:46:09.860
about replacement costs and why longevity pays.

00:46:10.079 --> 00:46:12.639
The article states that rapidly rising replacement

00:46:12.639 --> 00:46:16.260
heifer costs often over $2 ,000 per animal to

00:46:16.260 --> 00:46:18.900
raise or purchase, are elevating longevity traits

00:46:18.900 --> 00:46:21.300
to critical importance. Hugely important now.

00:46:21.519 --> 00:46:24.639
Revisit OCD Trooper Sheepster with his plus 113

00:46:24.639 --> 00:46:27.039
days lifespan improvement and Peak Alta Value

00:46:27.039 --> 00:46:30.780
Pack with plus 122 days and explain how every

00:46:30.780 --> 00:46:33.840
additional lactation from a cow represents thousands

00:46:33.840 --> 00:46:36.460
of dollars in value and ignoring longevity is

00:46:36.460 --> 00:46:39.909
choosing to hemorrhage money. This really brings

00:46:39.909 --> 00:46:41.610
it all back to the producer's wallet. This is

00:46:41.610 --> 00:46:43.530
arguably one of the most critical and impactful

00:46:43.530 --> 00:46:45.849
points from the entire article for any producer

00:46:45.849 --> 00:46:48.170
because the math is undeniable and affects every

00:46:48.170 --> 00:46:50.969
single word. If a replacement heifer costs you

00:46:50.969 --> 00:46:53.489
over $2 ,000 to raise or purchase, which is a

00:46:53.489 --> 00:46:55.849
very conservative estimate in many regions. Easily.

00:46:56.219 --> 00:46:59.119
Every cow that leaves your herd prematurely forces

00:46:59.119 --> 00:47:01.340
you to incur that substantial cost again. Think

00:47:01.340 --> 00:47:03.940
about it. That's $2 ,000 in sunk costs that you're

00:47:03.940 --> 00:47:06.159
constantly trying to recover. When you have a

00:47:06.159 --> 00:47:08.780
bull like OCT Trooper Chicster adding 113 days

00:47:08.780 --> 00:47:11.179
or Peak Alta Value Pack adding an incredible

00:47:11.179 --> 00:47:13.960
122 days to the productive life of their daughters,

00:47:14.099 --> 00:47:16.940
it's not just a statistic. It's a direct economic

00:47:16.940 --> 00:47:20.199
injection into your operation. Real money. Real

00:47:20.199 --> 00:47:23.019
money. an additional lactation from a healthy

00:47:23.019 --> 00:47:25.800
productive cow can easily represent thousands

00:47:25.800 --> 00:47:28.420
of dollars in milk revenue spread over reduced

00:47:28.420 --> 00:47:30.800
fixed costs and avoided replacement expenses

00:47:30.800 --> 00:47:33.820
if a cow produces 80 pounds of milk a day and

00:47:33.820 --> 00:47:36.539
she stays in the herd an extra four months that's

00:47:36.539 --> 00:47:39.059
the dozens of pounds of milk translating to significant

00:47:39.059 --> 00:47:41.800
income without the cost of a new heifer so ignoring

00:47:41.800 --> 00:47:45.469
longevity is just costly. So when the article

00:47:45.469 --> 00:47:47.610
says ignoring longevity is choosing to hemorrhage

00:47:47.610 --> 00:47:50.670
money, it's not hyperbole. It means you are consciously

00:47:50.670 --> 00:47:53.449
signing up for higher costs, reduced efficiency,

00:47:53.809 --> 00:47:56.590
and a constant drain on your capital as you replace

00:47:56.590 --> 00:47:59.289
cows that should still be in their prime. It's

00:47:59.289 --> 00:48:01.309
an open financial wound if you're not actively

00:48:01.309 --> 00:48:03.369
breeding for cows that stay in the herd longer,

00:48:03.630 --> 00:48:06.289
healthier, and more productive. It's simply smart

00:48:06.289 --> 00:48:08.570
business to prioritize it. That's a powerful

00:48:08.570 --> 00:48:12.000
statement to end on. So for our listeners, Which

00:48:12.000 --> 00:48:14.340
of these trends, health and longevity, component

00:48:14.340 --> 00:48:17.099
production, polled integration, genetic diversity,

00:48:17.460 --> 00:48:19.719
feed efficiency, or managing replacement costs,

00:48:19.880 --> 00:48:23.199
is most impactful to your operation? And how

00:48:23.199 --> 00:48:25.360
are you adapting your breeding program to address

00:48:25.360 --> 00:48:27.780
these critical economic and industry shifts?

00:48:28.199 --> 00:48:30.579
It truly requires a holistic view, doesn't it?

00:48:30.639 --> 00:48:32.840
It absolutely does. And the answer will be different

00:48:32.840 --> 00:48:35.460
for everyone because every farm is unique. It

00:48:35.460 --> 00:48:38.019
comes down to meticulously analyzing your own

00:48:38.019 --> 00:48:40.219
profit and loss statement, understanding your

00:48:40.219 --> 00:48:42.920
local milk market's payment system, and identifying

00:48:42.920 --> 00:48:45.300
where your biggest opportunities for improvement

00:48:45.300 --> 00:48:47.619
or cost savings lie. Know your numbers. Know

00:48:47.619 --> 00:48:50.000
your numbers. If you're paying huge vet bills,

00:48:50.239 --> 00:48:53.099
then health indices become paramount. If your

00:48:53.099 --> 00:48:55.119
milk check is primarily based on components,

00:48:55.460 --> 00:48:57.679
that's where your genetic focus absolutely should

00:48:57.679 --> 00:48:59.690
be. If you're struggling with high turnover,

00:48:59.929 --> 00:49:02.170
longevity is your answer. It's about leveraging

00:49:02.170 --> 00:49:04.230
these insights, understanding what the genetic

00:49:04.230 --> 00:49:06.630
evaluations actually mean for your farm, and

00:49:06.630 --> 00:49:09.050
making informed, strategic decisions tailored

00:49:09.050 --> 00:49:11.409
to your unique circumstances and long -term goals.

00:49:11.650 --> 00:49:14.190
So after all that incredible detail and analysis,

00:49:14.469 --> 00:49:17.269
what's the absolute key takeaway for a farmer

00:49:17.269 --> 00:49:20.309
listening today? Summing up how to navigate this

00:49:20.309 --> 00:49:24.130
evolving genetic landscape. Okay, yeah. The primary

00:49:24.130 --> 00:49:26.849
takeaway, and one I can't stress enough, is to

00:49:26.849 --> 00:49:29.289
adopt a portfolio approach to your genetic selection.

00:49:30.219 --> 00:49:32.460
The volatility we've seen, particularly in some

00:49:32.460 --> 00:49:34.860
genomic evaluations, underscores the need for

00:49:34.860 --> 00:49:37.539
genetic diversification. Don't put all your eggs

00:49:37.539 --> 00:49:39.519
in one basket, whether that basket is purely

00:49:39.519 --> 00:49:42.099
genomic or purely proven. Balance it out. Balance

00:49:42.099 --> 00:49:44.480
it out. My recommendation and what successful

00:49:44.480 --> 00:49:46.519
forward -thinking operations are doing is to

00:49:46.519 --> 00:49:49.320
build a balanced genetic portfolio. Aim for something

00:49:49.320 --> 00:49:53.559
like, say, 60 -70 % proven sires to provide that

00:49:53.559 --> 00:49:56.119
reliable foundation and stability, the rock -solid

00:49:56.119 --> 00:49:58.699
performers you can count on. Then strategically

00:49:58.699 --> 00:50:02.219
use 30 -40 % genomic young sires to capture rapid

00:50:02.219 --> 00:50:04.059
genetic advancement and push your herd forward

00:50:04.059 --> 00:50:06.320
faster in specific traits. But just based on

00:50:06.320 --> 00:50:09.440
risk tolerance. Exactly. You can adjust those

00:50:09.440 --> 00:50:11.760
percentages based on your specific risk tolerance

00:50:11.760 --> 00:50:13.760
and how aggressively you want to push genetic

00:50:13.760 --> 00:50:16.699
progress. The principle of diversification remains

00:50:16.699 --> 00:50:19.880
key to maintaining reliability while still moving

00:50:19.880 --> 00:50:22.699
your herd forward. Secondly, remember the absolute

00:50:22.699 --> 00:50:25.360
importance of market specific selection. One

00:50:25.360 --> 00:50:28.159
size absolutely does not fit all in dairy genetics.

00:50:28.420 --> 00:50:30.860
You cannot follow global rankings blindly and

00:50:30.860 --> 00:50:33.000
expect optimal results for your farm. Tailor

00:50:33.000 --> 00:50:35.340
it. You need to intimately understand your specific

00:50:35.340 --> 00:50:38.280
market's payment systems and your own farm's

00:50:38.280 --> 00:50:41.679
unique management conditions. For example, as

00:50:41.679 --> 00:50:44.320
we discussed, if you're an Italian producer focused

00:50:44.320 --> 00:50:46.739
on cheese production, your priorities for high

00:50:46.739 --> 00:50:48.599
component percentages will be very different

00:50:48.599 --> 00:50:50.820
from a Canadian operation selling fluid milk,

00:50:50.960 --> 00:50:53.119
where perhaps durability and feed efficiency

00:50:53.119 --> 00:50:55.340
are paramount due to high replacement costs and

00:50:55.340 --> 00:50:58.199
diverse climates. Tailor your strategy to the

00:50:58.199 --> 00:51:00.360
traits that genuinely drive profitability in

00:51:00.360 --> 00:51:02.960
your unique situation, rather than just chasing

00:51:02.960 --> 00:51:06.000
the highest TPI or PLI score. It's about making

00:51:06.000 --> 00:51:08.119
sure your genetics directly align with your financial

00:51:08.119 --> 00:51:11.599
goals. And finally, regarding timing genomic

00:51:11.599 --> 00:51:13.559
adoption, be progressive without being reckless.

00:51:13.880 --> 00:51:16.400
The UK's strong validation of genomic predictions

00:51:16.400 --> 00:51:18.460
through proven daughters offers a good model

00:51:18.460 --> 00:51:20.679
for where genomic accuracy can give you confidence

00:51:20.679 --> 00:51:23.539
for early adoption of superior young sires. Where

00:51:23.539 --> 00:51:26.579
it's proven to work. Right. If a system is consistently

00:51:26.579 --> 00:51:29.179
proving its genomic predictions, you can lean

00:51:29.179 --> 00:51:31.780
into them more. However, the Italian experience

00:51:31.780 --> 00:51:34.880
with a bull like cookie cutter Hadley ET, where

00:51:34.880 --> 00:51:37.659
we saw such dramatic re -rankings, serves as

00:51:37.659 --> 00:51:40.519
a very stark cautionary tale against extensive

00:51:40.519 --> 00:51:43.440
use of unproven genetics, especially in systems

00:51:43.440 --> 00:51:45.780
that show such high volatility. Be cautious.

00:51:46.079 --> 00:51:48.579
Successful breeders are adopting measured approaches,

00:51:49.000 --> 00:51:51.460
using genomic bulls selectively to accelerate

00:51:51.460 --> 00:51:53.940
progress in specific areas, while maintaining

00:51:53.940 --> 00:51:56.320
a strong core breeding program built on the rock

00:51:56.320 --> 00:51:58.929
-solid foundation of proven genetics. It's about

00:51:58.929 --> 00:52:02.010
being smart and strategic, not just jumping on

00:52:02.010 --> 00:52:04.070
every new high genomic number without understanding

00:52:04.070 --> 00:52:06.289
the underlying reliability and risk. It's about

00:52:06.289 --> 00:52:08.889
being a savvy genetic investor. Those are incredibly

00:52:08.889 --> 00:52:11.289
clear, actionable insights. And I think that's

00:52:11.289 --> 00:52:13.530
the precise roadmap producers need right now.

00:52:13.769 --> 00:52:15.849
Thank you for walking us through that. And for

00:52:15.849 --> 00:52:18.519
our listeners, here's a final thought. The future

00:52:18.519 --> 00:52:21.300
isn't about choosing between proven and genomic

00:52:21.300 --> 00:52:23.599
selection. It's about leveraging both approaches

00:52:23.599 --> 00:52:26.519
strategically and intelligently to create cattle

00:52:26.519 --> 00:52:29.059
that thrive in an increasingly challenging environment,

00:52:29.400 --> 00:52:31.300
ultimately showing up in your milk checks and

00:52:31.300 --> 00:52:34.139
boosting your bottom line. Great points. And

00:52:34.139 --> 00:52:35.760
that's all the time we have for today's Deep

00:52:35.760 --> 00:52:38.059
Dive. For more articles and insights on the dairy

00:52:38.059 --> 00:52:42.539
industry, be sure to visit www .thebullvine .com.

00:52:42.679 --> 00:52:44.599
Don't forget to subscribe wherever you get your

00:52:44.599 --> 00:52:46.590
deep dives. Thanks for listening. That wraps

00:52:46.590 --> 00:52:49.809
up today's deep dive into the August 2025 genetic

00:52:49.809 --> 00:52:52.670
evaluations. If there's one thing you take away

00:52:52.670 --> 00:52:55.590
from this episode, it's this. The gap between

00:52:55.590 --> 00:52:57.849
genomic predictions and proven performance is

00:52:57.849 --> 00:53:00.130
widening, and the winners are building balanced

00:53:00.130 --> 00:53:02.969
portfolios rather than gambling everything on

00:53:02.969 --> 00:53:05.769
unproven genetics. For all the charts, data,

00:53:05.869 --> 00:53:10.980
and detailed analysis we covered today, That's

00:53:10.980 --> 00:53:14.880
T -H -E -B -U -L -V -I -N -E dot com. You'll

00:53:14.880 --> 00:53:17.079
find the complete breakdown of every ranking

00:53:17.079 --> 00:53:20.360
change, the economic analysis behind our recommendations,

00:53:20.820 --> 00:53:23.179
and the strategic frameworks that progressive

00:53:23.179 --> 00:53:26.699
operations are already implementing. And if you

00:53:26.699 --> 00:53:29.440
found value in today's episode, make sure to

00:53:29.440 --> 00:53:32.340
subscribe to the Bullvine Podcast wherever you

00:53:32.340 --> 00:53:35.179
listen to podcasts. We bring you the genetic

00:53:35.179 --> 00:53:37.980
intelligence and market insights that influence

00:53:37.980 --> 00:53:40.789
real breeding decisions. not just the latest

00:53:40.789 --> 00:53:44.170
industry hype. Until next time, keep building

00:53:44.170 --> 00:53:47.150
herds that actually pay the bills. This has been

00:53:47.150 --> 00:53:48.170
the Bullvine Podcast.
