WEBVTT

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Breaking free from the chains of the past Where

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truth moves faster than a Holstein calf No law

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waiting on some printed page We're charting new

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ground in the digital age From genomic codes

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to robot facts We cut through the noise, no hold

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them back not your daddy's dairy news tonight

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we're sparking Welcome to the Bullvine Podcast,

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where we dive deep into the vital issues shaping

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the modern dairy industry worldwide. I'm your

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host, and today we're exploring the crucial balance

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between genetic progress and maintaining herd

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health. Whether you're a seasoned dairy producer,

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breeder, or anyone interested in the future of

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dairy genetics, this episode is packed with insights

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for you. Let's get started. Welcome back to the

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Bullvine Podcast, the show that digs deep into

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the topics that matter to dairy producers. That's

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right. Today, we're tackling a really interesting

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feature article from the Bullvine that's got

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everyone talking. We're going to break it all

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down. Today, we're taking a deep dive into an

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incredibly important piece from the Bullvine

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titled The Silent Cost of Elite Dairy Genetics.

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Our mission with this deep dive is really to

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pull back the curtain on something that's...

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quietly yet significantly draining profits from

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dairy operations worldwide. That's the often

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overlooked financial impact of inbreeding. We're

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going to explore why focusing only on those high

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genomic indexes and TPI numbers, you know, without

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considering the bigger genetic picture, could

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be costing you a lot more than you realize. Yeah,

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it's a hidden cost. Exactly. And we'll unpack

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the critical industry -wide shift that's now

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happening towards prioritizing, well, true genetic

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diversity in dairy breeding. It's a topic that

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might make some people a bit uncomfortable, especially

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those who've prided themselves on achieving,

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you know, top genomic scores and building what

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they think are the most elite herds. But a crucial

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point the article makes is that while we've been

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relentlessly chasing those high TPI numbers,

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often with the best intentions, maybe trying

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to maximize profit, there's been this significant

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often unseen costs just piling up in the background.

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So we're going to challenge some common assumptions

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about what elite really means in today's dairy

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world and discuss why it's, well, it's never

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been more critical to look beyond just the immediate

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performance numbers for long -term herd health,

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resilience, and yeah, ultimately profitability.

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Okay, let's unpack this then. Our first major

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theme from the article is the hidden drain unpacking

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the silent cost of inbreeding. Right. The piece

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kicks off by highlighting this growing feeling

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among industry leaders, globally, actually, that

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the genetic diversity challenge isn't just crucial

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anymore. It's rapidly turning into, well, potentially

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a crisis. Yeah, like it's poised to become a

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major industry problem if we don't, you know,

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get ahead of it. Exactly. Get ahead of it fast.

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It really makes you rethink things, doesn't it?

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For so long, we've poured resources into chasing

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the highest genomic indexes, those impressive

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TPI numbers. We celebrate them. We aim for them.

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But the article points out we hardly ever dig

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into what's lurking underneath those shiny scores,

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which is the escalating risk of losing genetic

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diversity and, crucially, just quietly bleeding

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cash without even noticing. Yeah, it's like finding

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a silent leak, like you said, in the strongest

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part of your barn. You never knew to look for

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it until, whoops, the floorboards are damp. That's

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a great analogy. It perfectly captures it. And

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it brings to mind that specific anecdote from

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the article, too. Oh, yeah, the farm visit. Right,

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the writer visiting that pretty solid 2 ,500

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cow operation up in New York State. The owner

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was, you know, understandably beaming. Proud

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his herd's average TPI had hit 2 ,800. And on

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the surface, those are fantastic numbers. That's

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the benchmark most producers would love to hit.

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Absolutely. But then the conversation took this

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sharp, kind of unexpected turn. The article describes

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how behind those glittering stats, the herd's

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genetic base looked, and I quote, dangerously

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narrow. Dangerously narrow. Yeah. And that's

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when the comfortable chat about elite genetics

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suddenly shifted. It became about facing this

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looming threat of a shrinking gene pool. And

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the writer just says, and honestly, it got uncomfortable

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real quick. That phrase really hits home, doesn't

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it? It captures that unspoken tension that's

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gripping the industry now. It's uncomfortable

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because for years we've chased these high TPIs

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as the ultimate sign of success, right? We've

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invested heavily. And now the very foundation

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of that success is being questioned. It exposes

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this hidden vulnerability that could honestly

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cost a fortune. Uncomfortable, real quick, is

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definitely putting it mildly. When you start

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talking about the math that should keep you awake

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at night, that's the next big thing the article

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tackled. Yeah, the dollars and cents. Because

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this isn't some abstract genetic theory. This

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is about real money just walking right out your

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barn door totally unnoticed. Right. The article

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specifies that every single 1 % increase in a

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cow's inbreeding coefficient, which is basically

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a measure of how likely she is to have identical

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genes from both parents because of shared ancestry.

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Shared family lines. Right. That 1 % uptick can

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cost you around $22 to $24 in lifetime profit

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per cow. $22 to $24 per cow for every 1%. Yeah.

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Let's really put that into perspective. If you've

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got, say, a 500 -cow herd and your average inbreeding

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goes up by just 1%, you're potentially losing

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$11 ,000 to $12 ,000 in lifetime profit across

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that herd. Wow. And that's not a one -off hit.

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It compounds year after year, cow after cow.

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And it shows up in ways you might not immediately

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connect to inbreeding, right? Like reduced fertility.

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Exactly. More breeding attempts, longer calving

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intervals. Higher disease susceptibility. So

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more vet bills, more treatments. Yep. Lower calf

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figure, maybe higher calf mortality rates, meaning

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fewer good replacements coming through. Which

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then leads to, I guess, a shorter productive

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life for the cow overall. You got it. Higher

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replacement costs. Each one of those things just

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quietly chips away at your bottom line. Well,

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that's only part of the picture because here's

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the real kicker, the thing that should genuinely

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make you sit up and pay attention. There was

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a 2023 Italian study, the article cites it, and

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it suggested that the real damage from inbreeding

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might be, get this, 40 % worse than we previously

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thought. 40 %? Wow. No, the older estimates were

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based on pedigree calculations, you know, just

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looking at the family tree. Right. Those suggested

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about a 44 kilogram loss of milk per 1 % increase

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in inbreeding. But now, with genomic data, where

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you can actually see the identical DNA segments,

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that figure jumped to 61 kilograms of milk loss.

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61 kilograms instead of 44. That's huge. It's

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a massive difference. It reveals a much higher

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unseen cost, reflecting the true biological hit

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that we just couldn't measure accurately before

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genomics. That's a 40 % higher unseen cost hitting

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production directly. And when you put those losses

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in today's market, The article mentioned, you

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know, milk prices around $18 .93 a hundredweight,

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labor costs pushing $18 an hour. Yeah, the current

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realities. When you combine that direct profit

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loss per cow, the $22, $24, with this bigger

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underestimated milk production drop and then

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multiply that across your whole herd. It adds

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up incredibly fast. It's definitely not small

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potatoes. It's quietly eroding years of hard

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work, hitting your bottom line hard. It really

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is a wake -up call. And the article then asks

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this really... pointed question. Have you actually

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calculated your operations in breeding exposure?

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Good question. It goes on. Most producers I know

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haven't. And I get why it's not exactly the sexy

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topic your AI rep brings up during sire selection

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meetings. No, probably not the first thing they

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lead with. Which leads us to why elite has become

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this kind of double -edged sword and why there's

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this unspoken consensus in the industry that

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nobody really wants to tackle head on. Right.

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Because genomic selection, I mean, it's been

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undeniably powerful right it drove incredible

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genetic progress helped us find the best performers

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way faster than before absolutely game changer

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but at the same time it's acted like this massive

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accelerant for inbreeding it concentrated those

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elite genetics so quickly that it's kind of inadvertently

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created this genetic bottleneck that now directly

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threatens the health and productivity of our

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herds. That's the paradox, isn't it? Yeah. The

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tool that pushed us forward so fast is now creating

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this major long -term challenge. Exactly. And

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the numbers really back this up. The Council

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on Dairy Cattle Breeding data showed that even

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back in 2017, the genetic concentration in North

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American AI programs was already at concerning

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levels. Concerning how? Well, we're talking about

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a situation where just a handful of elite sires

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were basically fathering the vast majority of

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young bulls entering AI programs worldwide. Wow,

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a small group having a huge impact. Think about

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the ripple effect. If the top 10 or 20 bulls

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are used everywhere, overwhelmingly, their genes

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quickly dominate the whole population. Now, take

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that level of concentration and multiply it across...

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millions, literally millions, of breeding decisions

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made by dairy producers everywhere, you can see

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how that genetic bottleneck doesn't just become

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possible. It becomes, like the article says,

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inevitable. Inevitable. That's a strong word.

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And the reluctance to talk about it openly. It

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often comes down to challenging that prevailing

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idea that just chasing the highest TPI is always

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the best, most profitable move. Right. Because

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that's been the mantra for so long. But as we're

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seeing, it's quietly eating away at profitability

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and resilience. And if your AI rep isn't bringing

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it up, well, it's often because the focus is

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still on that immediate performance kick, not

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the long -term genetic health and the true cost

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of that genetic erosion. Okay, so if that's the

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problem, what's the solution? Where do we go

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from here? This is where the conversation gets

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really interesting as we pivot into what the

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article calls the elite outcross revolution.

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Right. The fix. Now, for a long time, outcrossing,

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well, it had a pretty bad rap in the dairy industry,

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didn't it? Oh, yeah, definitely. People worried

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it would dilute their prized bloodlines. They

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thought it meant, you know, random mating with

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some genetically distant animal that might actually

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be inferior overall. And you can see why, right?

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That would set a serious breeding program back.

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Nobody wants to just throw random, potentially

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negative genetics into years of careful work,

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undo decades of progress just to be different.

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Absolutely not. But the article really emphasizes

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that this new approach to outcrossing, it's fundamentally

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different from that old risky idea. How so? It's

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not a wild gamble anymore. It's precision science.

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It's about leveraging all this robust genomic

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data we now have to make calculated, almost surgical

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strikes in breeding programs. Surgical strikes.

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I like that. Yeah. It's about bringing in new

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genetics deliberately with a clear understanding

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of what they offer and their potential impact,

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not just, you know, throwing darts at a board,

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hoping for some genetic wildcard. Makes sense.

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And here's a crucial insight the article shares.

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Many industry insiders, you know, people at major

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companies like Select Sires, ABS, they're actually

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moving away from the term outcrossing altogether.

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Oh, why is that? Because of that historical baggage,

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that negative connotation, they're talking about...

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diversity instead. Diversity. And their reasoning

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makes a lot of sense. The real goal isn't just

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finding one genetically distant bull who's an

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outlier. I mean, that might bring in some novelty,

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sure, but that one bull could still be pretty

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mediocre overall. Right. Different doesn't automatically

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mean better. Exactly. The true objective, as

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they see it, is strategically using many different

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genetic lines, building genuine long -term resilience.

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and breadth in your herd's genetic base. It's

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about variety on both sides of the pedigree siren

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dam to construct something that's fundamentally

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stronger, more adaptable, and ultimately more

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sustainable. Okay, so it's not just finding a

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stranger, it's finding a complementary stranger.

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Someone who adds real genetic value and broadens

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the base in a targeted way. Precisely. And the

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article gives some solid, proven examples that

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show the strategy works. It shows that outcrossing

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isn't gambling when it's backed by good genomic

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data and clear breeding goals. Like who? Well,

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think about bulls like co -op boss -eyed Massey.

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He brought really wide appeal by offering something

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genetically different but still high -performing.

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He essentially created a whole new valuable branch

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on the Holstein family tree. I remember Massey,

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yeah. Or Zannie Bolton -Maskely's. He famously

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brought European bloodlines into North America,

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which really diversified the gene pool here at

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a crucial time. Brought in fresh genetic combos

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we didn't have. Okay. And more recently, you've

00:13:18.000 --> 00:13:22.000
got stars like 14 -015 -15 -179, Trooper, and

00:13:22.000 --> 00:13:26.460
his son, 7 -H -0162 -76, Sheepster. They showed

00:13:26.460 --> 00:13:28.659
how you can meticulously blend unique maternal

00:13:28.659 --> 00:13:31.690
lines. with high merit sires to create real lasting

00:13:31.690 --> 00:13:34.129
value. So these aren't just flukes, it's strategic

00:13:34.129 --> 00:13:36.509
planning paying off. Exactly. These bulls weren't

00:13:36.509 --> 00:13:38.330
just different, they were purposefully different,

00:13:38.529 --> 00:13:41.149
carefully picked to bring in new desirable genes

00:13:41.149 --> 00:13:43.110
without wrecking the overall performance package.

00:13:43.450 --> 00:13:45.750
And this fundamentally changes the conversation

00:13:45.750 --> 00:13:47.789
for producers, right, when they're making breeding

00:13:47.789 --> 00:13:50.409
decisions. Absolutely. It's not just about asking

00:13:50.409 --> 00:13:52.929
the simple question, what's his TPI? anymore.

00:13:53.149 --> 00:13:54.830
I mean, TPI is still important, tells you about

00:13:54.830 --> 00:13:57.570
performance potential. Sure. But the smart money,

00:13:57.669 --> 00:14:00.190
as the article puts it, is now asking much more

00:14:00.190 --> 00:14:03.470
nuanced questions like, okay, what's his relationship

00:14:03.470 --> 00:14:08.429
to my herd? Deeper dive. Yeah. It forces you

00:14:08.429 --> 00:14:10.750
to look at the pedigree and the genomic data

00:14:10.750 --> 00:14:13.889
to see how closely related this potential sire

00:14:13.889 --> 00:14:17.230
is to your existing cows. Make sure you're not

00:14:17.230 --> 00:14:19.570
just chasing high numbers within an already narrow

00:14:19.570 --> 00:14:21.850
pool. And the other key question. Critically.

00:14:22.250 --> 00:14:25.490
How does his genetic background really complement

00:14:25.490 --> 00:14:28.049
what I've already got? It's not just about avoiding

00:14:28.049 --> 00:14:30.409
inbreeding. It's about actively looking for genetic

00:14:30.409 --> 00:14:33.450
profiles that fill gaps in your herd. Like adding

00:14:33.450 --> 00:14:35.690
disease resistance or heat tolerance, maybe?

00:14:35.889 --> 00:14:38.789
Exactly. Things like that. Introduce new strengths.

00:14:39.309 --> 00:14:43.090
Enhance overall herd health. Productivity. It's

00:14:43.090 --> 00:14:45.909
about building true long -term resilience and

00:14:45.909 --> 00:14:48.629
adaptability, not just chasing those short -term

00:14:48.629 --> 00:14:51.330
gains that might come with these hidden accumulating

00:14:51.330 --> 00:14:54.950
costs down the line. It's strategic thinking

00:14:54.950 --> 00:14:57.490
for the sustainability and profitability of your

00:14:57.490 --> 00:15:00.669
dairy. Which brings us right to how the smart

00:15:00.669 --> 00:15:04.769
money is playing this game. Because the AI companies,

00:15:04.909 --> 00:15:06.269
well, they definitely figured this out, haven't

00:15:06.269 --> 00:15:09.159
they? And they're adapting fast. Oh, yeah. They

00:15:09.159 --> 00:15:10.919
see the writing on the wall. They're realizing

00:15:10.919 --> 00:15:13.259
they aren't just selling semen packages anymore.

00:15:13.379 --> 00:15:15.740
It's more like they're selling sophisticated

00:15:15.740 --> 00:15:18.139
genetic risk management. That's a good way to

00:15:18.139 --> 00:15:20.000
put it. It's a whole new ballgame. And the ones

00:15:20.000 --> 00:15:21.820
who are doing it right are really innovating,

00:15:21.840 --> 00:15:24.100
setting themselves apart. But the article points

00:15:24.100 --> 00:15:26.019
out a challenge they face, too, right? Yeah,

00:15:26.019 --> 00:15:27.879
there's this market reality they have to deal

00:15:27.879 --> 00:15:30.779
with. The article mentions German AI professionals

00:15:30.779 --> 00:15:33.620
observing that, look. a lot of large commercial

00:15:33.620 --> 00:15:36.399
operations, they still prioritize those top performance

00:15:36.399 --> 00:15:39.480
indexes above everything else, including pedigree

00:15:39.480 --> 00:15:42.659
diversity. So the market still rewards the highest

00:15:42.659 --> 00:15:45.980
TPI bull. In many cases, yeah, regardless of

00:15:45.980 --> 00:15:48.220
genetic relationships, which, you know, unfortunately

00:15:48.220 --> 00:15:50.379
doesn't always incentivize companies in the short

00:15:50.379 --> 00:15:53.279
term anyway to maintain those really diverse

00:15:53.279 --> 00:15:57.769
genetic portfolios. That's tricky. It is. But

00:15:57.769 --> 00:16:00.129
despite that, some companies are making really

00:16:00.129 --> 00:16:03.289
significant strides. The Canadian approach, using

00:16:03.289 --> 00:16:05.850
Cemex as an example, is pretty interesting. What

00:16:05.850 --> 00:16:07.590
are they doing? They've deliberately maintained

00:16:07.590 --> 00:16:10.590
what they call genetically free female lines.

00:16:11.009 --> 00:16:14.149
These are unique cow families, basically, that

00:16:14.149 --> 00:16:17.029
aren't heavily related to the mainstream Holstein

00:16:17.029 --> 00:16:19.730
population. Wow. It's a long -term vision. It

00:16:19.730 --> 00:16:20.929
means they can always bring something genuinely

00:16:20.929 --> 00:16:23.330
different, genetically unique to the market when

00:16:23.330 --> 00:16:25.889
diversity becomes absolutely critical for producers

00:16:25.889 --> 00:16:28.070
down the road. That's like building a genetic

00:16:28.070 --> 00:16:31.110
insurance policy. Kind of. It's a proactive approach,

00:16:31.350 --> 00:16:34.029
reflects maybe a Canadian perspective on sustainable

00:16:34.029 --> 00:16:36.870
breeding, that values future resilience, genetic

00:16:36.870 --> 00:16:39.929
flexibility, not just immediate gains. They're

00:16:39.929 --> 00:16:42.429
curating a genetic library for future needs.

00:16:42.940 --> 00:16:45.620
That's incredibly forward thinking. And it's

00:16:45.620 --> 00:16:48.379
not just Cemex, right? ABS Global is mentioned

00:16:48.379 --> 00:16:50.879
too. Right. ABS Global has their genetic management

00:16:50.879 --> 00:16:55.879
system 2 .0. This system uses advanced genomic

00:16:55.879 --> 00:16:58.960
intelligence to guide mating choices. And crucially,

00:16:59.059 --> 00:17:01.799
it specifically includes genomic inbreeding calculations.

00:17:02.320 --> 00:17:05.299
So more precise than just pedigree. Way more

00:17:05.299 --> 00:17:08.019
precise. It's moving from a rough guess based

00:17:08.019 --> 00:17:11.380
on the family tree to a much more accurate data

00:17:11.380 --> 00:17:13.900
-driven approach using the actual DNA. Instead

00:17:13.900 --> 00:17:15.779
of just knowing a bull and cow share a great

00:17:15.779 --> 00:17:18.359
-grandparent, they can pinpoint the exact DNA

00:17:18.359 --> 00:17:20.680
segments that are identical. Gives you a much

00:17:20.680 --> 00:17:23.059
clearer picture of the true genetic relationship

00:17:23.059 --> 00:17:26.059
and the risk. Okay. And CEMEX has tools for farmers,

00:17:26.119 --> 00:17:28.839
too. Yeah. CEMEX also has tools like CEMEXworks

00:17:28.839 --> 00:17:31.049
and Optimate. These essentially hand the keys

00:17:31.049 --> 00:17:33.170
over to the farmers. They let producers define

00:17:33.170 --> 00:17:35.849
their own economic parameters, build personalized

00:17:35.849 --> 00:17:38.230
selection indexes based on their specific herd

00:17:38.230 --> 00:17:40.430
goals. Maybe it's milk fat, maybe fertility,

00:17:40.670 --> 00:17:43.029
maybe longevity, or some combinations. You can

00:17:43.029 --> 00:17:45.289
customize it to your farm. Exactly. It's like

00:17:45.289 --> 00:17:47.109
giving you the GPS for your breeding program

00:17:47.109 --> 00:17:49.410
instead of just telling you where to turn. You

00:17:49.410 --> 00:17:51.430
set your destination based on your herd's needs,

00:17:51.650 --> 00:17:54.289
and the tool helps you navigate the complex genetic

00:17:54.289 --> 00:17:57.549
map, avoiding those genetic potholes and optimizing

00:17:57.549 --> 00:18:00.220
for your unique path. What about Select Sires?

00:18:00.400 --> 00:18:02.720
Select Sires isn't sitting still either. They

00:18:02.720 --> 00:18:06.160
combine sort of high -touch consulting with tech

00:18:06.160 --> 00:18:08.900
through programs like Stratagen. Stratagen, okay.

00:18:08.980 --> 00:18:11.279
What does that do? What Stratagen does is manage

00:18:11.279 --> 00:18:14.319
inbreeding by rotating distinct, unrelated sire

00:18:14.319 --> 00:18:17.630
lines every 18 months. Oh, interesting. Simple

00:18:17.630 --> 00:18:20.289
idea. Simple, but pretty brilliant in practice.

00:18:20.609 --> 00:18:23.490
It creates this natural break in genetic concentration

00:18:23.490 --> 00:18:26.430
by ensuring new, diverse bloodlines are regularly

00:18:26.430 --> 00:18:28.849
introduced before inbreeding can build up too

00:18:28.849 --> 00:18:31.589
much within one specific line. So it prevents

00:18:31.589 --> 00:18:33.970
that accumulation. Right. It offers dairies a

00:18:33.970 --> 00:18:36.750
clear path to manage genetic risk without necessarily

00:18:36.750 --> 00:18:39.859
sacrificing performance. This whole discussion,

00:18:39.920 --> 00:18:41.779
though, it brings up a key point for you, the

00:18:41.779 --> 00:18:44.359
producer, standing there with your AI catalog.

00:18:44.640 --> 00:18:46.720
What's the takeaway? My advice, and the article

00:18:46.720 --> 00:18:50.019
really hammers this home, is clear. Don't just

00:18:50.019 --> 00:18:52.519
take the sales pitch at face value. You need

00:18:52.519 --> 00:18:55.500
to ask the hard questions. Ask about true genetic

00:18:55.500 --> 00:18:58.779
diversity in their outcross catalogs. Who's really

00:18:58.779 --> 00:19:02.160
giving you genuinely diverse genetics with low

00:19:02.160 --> 00:19:05.000
expected future inbreeding? And who's just selling

00:19:05.000 --> 00:19:07.880
shiny TPI promises that might be masking underlying

00:19:07.880 --> 00:19:11.019
risks? So demand transparency. Absolutely. Demand

00:19:11.019 --> 00:19:13.759
transparency. Ask your genetic providers about

00:19:13.759 --> 00:19:16.599
their inbreeding management strategies. Ask about

00:19:16.599 --> 00:19:18.680
their free lines. Ask how their tools... can

00:19:18.680 --> 00:19:21.279
help you specifically analyze your herd's relationships

00:19:21.279 --> 00:19:23.819
and manage your inbreeding coefficient. Push

00:19:23.819 --> 00:19:26.480
them. Make them show you the data, not just the

00:19:26.480 --> 00:19:28.960
glossy brochure. And looking even further ahead,

00:19:29.259 --> 00:19:31.200
the article points to some really groundbreaking

00:19:31.200 --> 00:19:33.140
stuff on the horizon, things that could totally

00:19:33.140 --> 00:19:36.019
reshape dairy genetics. We're talking the future

00:19:36.019 --> 00:19:39.140
horizon AI, global policies, and gene editing.

00:19:39.319 --> 00:19:41.960
Yeah, the really futuristic stuff. The future,

00:19:42.140 --> 00:19:44.599
as the article sees it, belongs to machine learning.

00:19:46.169 --> 00:19:49.509
Imagine AI just crunching these massive genomic

00:19:49.509 --> 00:19:52.430
databases, optimizing matings through incredibly

00:19:52.430 --> 00:19:55.329
powerful algorithms like optimal contribution

00:19:55.329 --> 00:19:58.990
selection. OCS. OCS. It's not just about picking

00:19:58.990 --> 00:20:02.009
the best bull for one cow. It's operating on

00:20:02.009 --> 00:20:04.109
a whole different level, looking at the entire

00:20:04.109 --> 00:20:06.730
population. How does it work, basically? Well,

00:20:06.750 --> 00:20:09.349
a truly groundbreaking part of OCS is that it's

00:20:09.349 --> 00:20:12.329
like... Playing chess on a global scale. Every

00:20:12.329 --> 00:20:15.210
move, every mating it suggests, considers not

00:20:15.210 --> 00:20:17.210
just the immediate genetic gain you might get

00:20:17.210 --> 00:20:19.569
in the next generation, but also the crucial

00:20:19.569 --> 00:20:21.730
long -term sustainability of the whole breed.

00:20:22.289 --> 00:20:25.130
OCS calculates the ideal genetic contribution

00:20:25.130 --> 00:20:27.970
from each potential parent to maximize overnight

00:20:27.970 --> 00:20:30.230
progress across the herd, while simultaneously

00:20:30.230 --> 00:20:32.589
keeping inbreeding constrained to healthy levels.

00:20:32.750 --> 00:20:35.430
So it optimizes for both performance and health.

00:20:35.720 --> 00:20:38.759
Exactly. It proactively prevents the kind of

00:20:38.759 --> 00:20:40.920
bottlenecks we've been talking about by making

00:20:40.920 --> 00:20:42.819
sure parental contributions are diverse across

00:20:42.819 --> 00:20:45.180
the population. The companies that master this,

00:20:45.240 --> 00:20:47.400
this intersection of artificial intelligence

00:20:47.400 --> 00:20:50.359
and artificial insemination. They are absolutely

00:20:50.359 --> 00:20:52.960
going to dominate the next chapter of dairy breeding.

00:20:53.119 --> 00:20:55.240
It won't just be about who has the highest TPI

00:20:55.240 --> 00:20:57.819
bulls anymore. It'll be about who has the sharpest

00:20:57.819 --> 00:21:01.319
algorithms to use all that genomic data. effectively,

00:21:01.519 --> 00:21:04.539
strategically, to build a sustainable genetic

00:21:04.539 --> 00:21:07.819
future. It's a fundamental shift. And this isn't

00:21:07.819 --> 00:21:10.380
just about your individual farm, is it? The article

00:21:10.380 --> 00:21:13.339
makes that point. Your herd doesn't exist in

00:21:13.339 --> 00:21:15.259
isolation. Crucial point. And here's something

00:21:15.259 --> 00:21:17.500
that might surprise people, but the article highlights

00:21:17.500 --> 00:21:20.720
it. The Holstein breed. It's now effectively

00:21:20.720 --> 00:21:24.660
a single global population. Really? How so? Elite

00:21:24.660 --> 00:21:27.559
genetics just flow freely across borders. North

00:21:27.559 --> 00:21:30.759
American bloodlines, driven by those early genomic

00:21:30.759 --> 00:21:33.400
selection wins, basically dominate worldwide

00:21:33.400 --> 00:21:36.700
now. In some regions, it's over 90 % North American

00:21:36.700 --> 00:21:39.420
genetics being used. Wow. So that genetic bottleneck

00:21:39.420 --> 00:21:41.740
isn't just a U .S. or Canadian issue. It's a

00:21:41.740 --> 00:21:44.039
global one. It affects everyone with Holstein

00:21:44.039 --> 00:21:45.779
genetics. It makes the problem exponentially

00:21:45.779 --> 00:21:48.480
bigger, more complex. It shows the reach of these

00:21:48.480 --> 00:21:51.180
genetics. But it's also a stark warning about,

00:21:51.299 --> 00:21:54.630
you know, shared vulnerability. And that global

00:21:54.630 --> 00:21:58.309
context means policy and international coordination

00:21:58.309 --> 00:22:01.069
becomes super important, right, for managing

00:22:01.069 --> 00:22:03.609
this shared resource. Exactly. And what's really

00:22:03.609 --> 00:22:06.650
fascinating here is Italy's leadership on the

00:22:06.650 --> 00:22:09.009
policy front. They've actually updated their

00:22:09.009 --> 00:22:12.609
National Genetic Index, the PFT, to include a

00:22:12.609 --> 00:22:15.950
direct mathematical correction based on a bull's

00:22:15.950 --> 00:22:18.410
expected future inbreeding. What does that mean?

00:22:18.759 --> 00:22:21.740
It's groundbreaking. Bulls predicted to increase

00:22:21.740 --> 00:22:24.420
inbreeding in the population get penalized in

00:22:24.420 --> 00:22:26.920
their official rankings. Bulls that actively

00:22:26.920 --> 00:22:29.440
bring diversity and reduce future inbreeding

00:22:29.440 --> 00:22:32.039
get a boost. So they're actively rewarding diversity

00:22:32.039 --> 00:22:34.799
at a national level. Yes. It's the first time

00:22:34.799 --> 00:22:36.940
I've seen a country build inbreeding management

00:22:36.940 --> 00:22:40.619
right into its national breeding policy. So it's

00:22:40.619 --> 00:22:42.819
a powerful example other countries might follow

00:22:42.819 --> 00:22:44.940
as they face similar issues. And there are international

00:22:44.940 --> 00:22:47.299
groups working on this too. Yeah, beyond just

00:22:47.299 --> 00:22:49.420
national policies, you've got organizations like

00:22:49.420 --> 00:22:51.900
the Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, CDCB, and

00:22:51.900 --> 00:22:54.559
InterBull working hard behind the scenes. They

00:22:54.559 --> 00:22:56.619
coordinate international genetic evaluations,

00:22:57.019 --> 00:23:00.279
ensure data integrity across borders so producers

00:23:00.279 --> 00:23:03.420
worldwide can compare bulls fairly. Okay. Their

00:23:03.420 --> 00:23:05.640
systems help you understand how genetics will

00:23:05.640 --> 00:23:08.000
perform under specific conditions, which is vital,

00:23:08.140 --> 00:23:11.200
but they also play a huge role in managing global

00:23:11.200 --> 00:23:14.319
diversity by providing that transparent, standardized

00:23:14.319 --> 00:23:17.140
data. And then there's the really cutting -edge

00:23:17.140 --> 00:23:21.039
tech, gene editing. CRISPR. Yeah, yes, CRISPR

00:23:21.039 --> 00:23:24.339
holds incredible promise for really precise genetic

00:23:24.339 --> 00:23:27.490
tweaks. Like that. Imagine being able to make

00:23:27.490 --> 00:23:30.170
super precise changes, like adding polled genetics

00:23:30.170 --> 00:23:32.369
to elite lines so you skip dehorning altogether.

00:23:32.750 --> 00:23:35.210
Okay. Boosting disease resistance, maybe cutting

00:23:35.210 --> 00:23:38.430
down vet bills and antibiotic use, or even modifying

00:23:38.430 --> 00:23:41.430
milk composition directly for, say, better cheese

00:23:41.430 --> 00:23:44.390
yield. All without that linkage drag you get

00:23:44.390 --> 00:23:46.410
with traditional breeding. Linkage drag. Yeah.

00:23:46.470 --> 00:23:48.589
That's when you get unwanted traits along with

00:23:48.589 --> 00:23:50.849
the good ones. Exactly. It's a common headache.

00:23:51.690 --> 00:23:54.880
CRISPR... By precisely cutting and pasting DNA

00:23:54.880 --> 00:23:58.440
could be the ultimate elite outcross. The surgical

00:23:58.440 --> 00:24:00.799
introduction of a desired trait or diversity

00:24:00.799 --> 00:24:03.799
without any of the associated baggage or risk

00:24:03.799 --> 00:24:06.759
of bringing in junk genetics. Pinpoint accuracy.

00:24:07.200 --> 00:24:09.599
So like targeting heat tolerance or mastitis

00:24:09.599 --> 00:24:12.500
resistance directly. Precisely. Researchers are

00:24:12.500 --> 00:24:14.200
actively working on things like that instead

00:24:14.200 --> 00:24:16.700
of relying on the slower, less predictable conventional

00:24:16.700 --> 00:24:19.099
breeding path. But it's not quite mainstream

00:24:19.099 --> 00:24:21.859
yet, is it? No, definitely not. It's truly revolutionary

00:24:21.859 --> 00:24:24.519
in potential. But we have to acknowledge there

00:24:24.519 --> 00:24:27.539
are significant hurdles. Regulatory hurdles are

00:24:27.539 --> 00:24:29.980
huge. How do you classify these animals and their

00:24:29.980 --> 00:24:32.440
products? Are they GMOs? Something else. That

00:24:32.440 --> 00:24:34.730
affects everything from labels to trade. And

00:24:34.730 --> 00:24:37.430
ethical concerns. Big ones. Animal welfare implications,

00:24:37.769 --> 00:24:40.109
broader public acceptance of, you know, designer

00:24:40.109 --> 00:24:42.930
animals and gene edited food. Getting the science

00:24:42.930 --> 00:24:44.849
right is one thing. Getting society on board

00:24:44.849 --> 00:24:47.430
is another. Exactly. Public perception will be

00:24:47.430 --> 00:24:50.069
massive in its adoption. It holds immense potential

00:24:50.069 --> 00:24:52.690
to reshape dairy genetics, offering unprecedented

00:24:52.690 --> 00:24:56.309
control. But its journey to widespread use depends

00:24:56.309 --> 00:24:58.549
on a lot more than just the science working.

00:24:58.910 --> 00:25:02.759
OK. So after digesting all of that. What's the

00:25:02.759 --> 00:25:05.019
key takeaway? What are the really actionable

00:25:05.019 --> 00:25:07.599
insights for pharma listening right now? Right.

00:25:07.700 --> 00:25:09.920
Well, their article provides a clear action plan

00:25:09.920 --> 00:25:13.200
because, as it wisely says, knowledge without

00:25:13.200 --> 00:25:16.519
action is just expensive education. Good point.

00:25:16.660 --> 00:25:20.559
So step one. First. Audit your genetic risk exposure.

00:25:20.799 --> 00:25:23.119
Most producers just don't have a clear data -driven

00:25:23.119 --> 00:25:25.559
handle on their herd's inbreeding levels. So

00:25:25.559 --> 00:25:27.660
step one is start genomic testing your breeding

00:25:27.660 --> 00:25:30.440
females. Establish a baseline for their inbreeding

00:25:30.440 --> 00:25:32.660
coefficients. Using that FROH measure you mentioned.

00:25:32.799 --> 00:25:34.859
Exactly. Fraction of runs of homozygosity. It's

00:25:34.859 --> 00:25:36.680
not just a number. It actually identifies the

00:25:36.680 --> 00:25:38.500
segments of DNA that are identical from both

00:25:38.500 --> 00:25:41.740
parents. Gives you a much clearer genomic snapshot

00:25:41.740 --> 00:25:44.819
of true relatedness than old pedigrees ever could.

00:25:44.940 --> 00:25:47.740
And this saves money. The article is clear. This

00:25:47.740 --> 00:25:51.740
can save you up to $24 per cow annually. Think

00:25:51.740 --> 00:25:54.279
of it like getting a report card for your herd's

00:25:54.279 --> 00:25:56.519
hidden genetic liabilities, letting you tackle

00:25:56.519 --> 00:25:58.680
issues before they cost you next year's profits.

00:25:59.240 --> 00:26:01.299
Especially with the margin squeeze we're seeing

00:26:01.299 --> 00:26:04.400
in 2025 from high feed and energy costs, you

00:26:04.400 --> 00:26:06.599
need to understand and manage this. Okay, audit

00:26:06.599 --> 00:26:10.119
the risk. What's number two? Second, demand diversity

00:26:10.119 --> 00:26:13.039
to recover production. you need to really evaluate

00:26:13.039 --> 00:26:16.099
your AI company's diversity management. Don't

00:26:16.099 --> 00:26:19.279
just look at the top TPIs. Ask your rep specifically

00:26:19.279 --> 00:26:23.539
about elite outcross sires bulls that bring genuine

00:26:23.539 --> 00:26:25.900
genetic diversity without sacrificing merit.

00:26:26.059 --> 00:26:28.359
Ask about their strategies. Yes. Ask about their

00:26:28.359 --> 00:26:30.940
strategies for maintaining variety in their bullsteds.

00:26:31.259 --> 00:26:33.599
This approach, backed by that Italian study,

00:26:33.779 --> 00:26:36.599
could recover potentially 61 kilograms of lifetime

00:26:36.599 --> 00:26:40.019
milk per cow just by reducing the impact of those

00:26:40.019 --> 00:26:42.640
genetic bottlenecks. This isn't just future -proofing.

00:26:42.680 --> 00:26:45.000
It's part of a global shift towards sustainable

00:26:45.000 --> 00:26:47.500
genetics that's happening now. Get on board early

00:26:47.500 --> 00:26:49.960
for a competitive edge. Got it. Demand diversity.

00:26:50.220 --> 00:26:53.599
Third. Third, embrace advanced mating strategies.

00:26:54.250 --> 00:26:56.690
Push your AI provider for strategies that use

00:26:56.690 --> 00:26:59.109
tools like Optimal Contribution Selection, OCS.

00:26:59.430 --> 00:27:02.289
These AI -driven approaches balance that immediate

00:27:02.289 --> 00:27:05.650
genetic gain with long -term genetic health and

00:27:05.650 --> 00:27:07.930
diversity. And the benefit there? By using these

00:27:07.930 --> 00:27:10.990
tools actively, you can directly cut vet and

00:27:10.990 --> 00:27:12.970
replacement costs. You get better fertility,

00:27:13.230 --> 00:27:16.009
less disease, improved longevity. Forward -thinking

00:27:16.009 --> 00:27:18.049
farms are already seeing real results with these

00:27:18.049 --> 00:27:21.109
AI tools in 2025. They're practical, profitable

00:27:21.109 --> 00:27:24.220
solutions, not just theory. Embrace advanced

00:27:24.220 --> 00:27:27.430
strategies. And finally, future -proof your operation

00:27:27.430 --> 00:27:29.490
against this genetic squeeze that's tightening

00:27:29.490 --> 00:27:31.730
worldwide. That means demanding transparency

00:27:31.730 --> 00:27:34.009
from your genetics provider about the actual

00:27:34.009 --> 00:27:36.549
genetic relationships in their bull lineup. Don't

00:27:36.549 --> 00:27:39.569
just take TPI at face value. Exactly. Don't just

00:27:39.569 --> 00:27:42.390
trust the marketing. Ask for detailed genomic

00:27:42.390 --> 00:27:45.190
relationship info. Understand how truly diverse

00:27:45.190 --> 00:27:48.450
their outcrossed bulls really are. This understanding

00:27:48.450 --> 00:27:52.109
is critical as global Holsteinization keeps consolidating

00:27:52.109 --> 00:27:55.049
the gene pool faster than ever. It's about positioning

00:27:55.049 --> 00:27:57.230
your herd for long -term health, productivity,

00:27:57.410 --> 00:27:59.910
and profit in a world where genetic diversity

00:27:59.910 --> 00:28:03.410
is becoming a super valuable asset. That's incredibly

00:28:03.410 --> 00:28:06.369
practical, vital advice. It really drives home

00:28:06.369 --> 00:28:08.670
that ignoring this genetic risk management stuff

00:28:08.670 --> 00:28:11.950
is, well, perilous. It just quietly drains profits

00:28:11.950 --> 00:28:14.359
when you're not looking. Precisely. And the article

00:28:14.359 --> 00:28:17.220
leaves us with this really powerful, almost unsettling

00:28:17.220 --> 00:28:19.420
thought that I think every dairy producer should

00:28:19.420 --> 00:28:22.079
really internalize. What's that? The most expensive

00:28:22.079 --> 00:28:24.039
cow isn't the one that costs the most up front.

00:28:24.160 --> 00:28:26.240
It's the one that silently costs you money for

00:28:26.240 --> 00:28:28.579
years without you knowing it. Wow. That is hard.

00:28:29.319 --> 00:28:32.480
Doesn't it? Those who act now gauge their risk,

00:28:32.640 --> 00:28:35.940
rethink sire selection, demand transparency and

00:28:35.940 --> 00:28:38.400
advanced tools. They're the ones who will be

00:28:38.400 --> 00:28:40.480
the winners in the next decade. They'll be the

00:28:40.480 --> 00:28:42.799
thriving operations, while others are scrambling

00:28:42.799 --> 00:28:45.059
to catch up when adversity truly becomes the

00:28:45.059 --> 00:28:47.660
scarcest resource. This conversation is just

00:28:47.660 --> 00:28:50.240
getting started and waiting. Waiting just makes

00:28:50.240 --> 00:28:52.259
managing the risk more expensive and finding

00:28:52.259 --> 00:28:54.640
solutions harder. It's really time to make genetic

00:28:54.640 --> 00:28:56.839
diversity a non -negotiable part of your breeding

00:28:56.839 --> 00:28:59.339
strategy. Great points. And that's all the time

00:28:59.339 --> 00:29:01.740
we have for today's Deep Dive. For more articles

00:29:01.740 --> 00:29:05.039
and insights, be sure to visit www .thebullvine

00:29:05.039 --> 00:29:07.500
.com. Don't forget to subscribe wherever you

00:29:07.500 --> 00:29:09.630
get your podcasts. Thanks for listening. Thank

00:29:09.630 --> 00:29:12.470
you for joining us on the Bullvine Podcast. We

00:29:12.470 --> 00:29:14.589
hope today's episode gave you valuable knowledge

00:29:14.589 --> 00:29:17.170
to improve your breeding strategies and protect

00:29:17.170 --> 00:29:20.089
your herd's longevity. Don't forget to subscribe,

00:29:20.430 --> 00:29:23.210
leave a review, and share this episode with fellow

00:29:23.210 --> 00:29:26.829
farmers. Follow us on social media to stay updated

00:29:26.829 --> 00:29:30.589
and connected. Until next time, keep innovating

00:29:30.589 --> 00:29:32.089
and keep your herd healthy.
