WEBVTT

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Breaking free from the chains of the past Where

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truth moves faster than a Holstein calf No law

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waiting on some printed page We're charting new

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ground in the digital age From genomic codes

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to robot facts We cut through the noise, no hold

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them back not your daddy's dairy news tonight

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we're sparking Hey there, farmers and dairy enthusiasts.

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Welcome to the Bullvine Podcast, your go -to

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source for straight talk on dairy profitability

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and management. In today's episode, we're unmasking

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the hidden leaks in your dairy financials caused

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by common feed cost miscalculations. These aren't

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small errors. They're costing you serious cash.

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We'll break down what's happening, why it matters,

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and how you can stop the bleeding. So grab your

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coffee and let's dig in. Welcome back to the

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Bullvine Podcast, the show that digs deep into

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the topics that matter to dairy producers. That's

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right. Today, we're tackling a really interesting

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feature article from the Bullvine that's got

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everyone talking. We're going to break it all

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down. Yeah, really unpack its nuances and, you

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know, show you why it's so critical for your

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farm's future. We are indeed. Today, our deep

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dive is into an article titled, The True Cost

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of Dairy Feed. now for anyone running a dairy

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operation you already know feed is your single

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largest expense it's often uh the first line

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item on your budget that makes you wince a little

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right but this piece it truly pulls back the

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curtain on something even more uncomfortable

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How many operations are fundamentally misunderstanding,

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or frankly, severely underestimating, just how

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much they're truly spending on feed? Yeah, it's

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not just about the price per ton you pay, is

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it? No, it's about a cascade of hidden expenses,

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the subtle blind spots that accumulate silently,

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and frankly, to siphon away your profits without

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you even realizing it. And this isn't just about...

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better accounting for the sake of it. The article

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really hammers home that this isn't just some

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spreadsheet exercise. It's about the very survival

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and strategic decision -making capacity of your

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dairy. Especially in a marketplace that's becoming,

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well, increasingly unforgiving. Absolutely. In

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a market as volatile as dairy is right now, where

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margins are razor thin and milk prices can swing

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wildly by double -digit dollars, knowing your

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true cost of production, especially your feed

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costs, is just So our mission today is to illuminate

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these often overlooked financial leaks and, more

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importantly, offer you clear, actionable strategies

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to plug them. Exactly. This deep dive is designed

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to give you the insights to make more strategic,

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more resilient, and ultimately more profitable

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decisions for your farm. Okay, let's unpack this

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because the article starts right off the bat

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with a statement that probably gets home for

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a lot of producers. It talks about that gut feeling

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you get when you're walking past the feed bunk.

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watching the TMR get pushed up, and it just doesn't

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quite sit right. Like there's money walking out

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the barn door that somehow never shows up on

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your milk check. Yeah, that feeling. And then

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it drops the bomb, and it states, if you're calculating

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feed costs the way most juries do, you're probably

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underestimating your true costs by more than

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$3 .50 per hundredweight. Wow. $3 .50. Now, that's

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not a rounding error, is it? Not by any stretch

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of the imagination. When you start to break down

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the sheer magnitude of that underestimation,

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it quickly becomes alarming. Almost catastrophic,

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really. Think about it. For a medium -sized dairy,

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let's say a 200 -cow operation, averaging about

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85 tons of milk per cow daily, that seemingly

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abstract $3 .50 per 100 -weight error translates

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to over $50 ,000 annually. $50 ,000. In misprofit

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or hidden losses. Imagine that for a moment.

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$50 ,000. What could that mean for your farm?

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Is it new parlor equipment that would make life

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easier? Paying down debt? Or just having a healthier

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bottom line when prices dip. Right. That peace

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of mind. Exactly. This isn't a small accounting

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glitch. The article calls them systematic blind

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spots. So deeply ingrained in traditional dairy

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accounting that producers might not even realize

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they're bleeding cash this way. It's like having

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a slow, invisible leak in your financial pipeline.

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And the article powerfully points out how market

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volatility just amplifies these errors exponentially.

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Absolutely. It really gets me. Fired up, as the

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author puts it, thinking about that staggering

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$12 .05 per hundredweight swing in income over

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feed costs from the lows of 2023 to early 2024.

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It's a wild ride. It is. But if your baseline

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numbers are already off, if you're flying blind,

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as the article describes it, those market swings

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don't just rock your farm. They can absolutely

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hammer it twice as hard. Right. You're losing

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money on two fronts. The market downturn and

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your inaccurate cost accounting. It's like trying

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to navigate a ship through a storm with a faulty

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compass. You're already battling the elements,

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but your internal guidance system is just giving

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you bad directions. Leading you further astray.

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What's truly fascinating here, and the article

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emphasizes this, is the concept of feed as the

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ultimate financial lever. Right. It's not just

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a cost, it's the cost. For most dairy operations,

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feed accounts for a massive 50 -60 % of total

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production costs, sometimes even over 70%. When

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you look at numbers like Illinois farms reporting

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nearly $3 ,000 per cow annually just on feed.

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$3 ,000 per cow. It quickly becomes clear why

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even a small error here is so devastating. Yeah,

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if feed is 60 % of your total expenses and you're

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off by just 5 % in your calculation. Just 5%.

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That seemingly small error can effectively wipe

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out your entire profit for the year. It's a concept

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the article calls an accounting illusion. An

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illusion, yeah. Operations that appeared profitable

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on paper running what they thought were healthy

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margins. Were actually operating at a significant

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loss once their feed costing methodology was

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corrected and all these blind spots were revealed.

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That's the brutal math, isn't it? It forces you

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to question the very foundation of your business

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planning. So what does this all mean for your

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operation? If you're not fully accounting for

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this largest, most impactful expense. How can

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you truly know if you're profitable? How can

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you make sound strategic decisions about expanding,

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investing, or even just confidently continuing?

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This strategic blindness, as the article calls

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it, can lead to monumental decisions being made

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based on profoundly flawed profitability data.

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It's a risk most producers simply can't afford

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to take, not in today's environment. Absolutely

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not. It's about your farm's long -term viability.

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Okay, so the stakes are incredibly high, which

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leads us to the critical question. What are these

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specific calculation traps having such a devastating

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impact? Right. The article zeroes in on a core

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issue right away, the as -fed trap. The as -fed

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trap seems so simple, almost too obvious. Exactly.

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Yet it's costing dairies a fortune. The example

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given is brilliant in its clarity. Imagine two

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loads of corn silage arriving at your farm, both

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quoted at $60 per ton as -fed. Okay, 60 bucks

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a ton sounds the same. You'd think they're essentially

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the same product, same value, right? But then

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you look at the dry matter percentages. One load

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is 30 % dry matter. The other is 40%. Ah, okay.

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Big difference. Huge. And this is where the simple

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math really hits you. If you break it down to

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the actual cost per ton of nutrients, which is

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what you're truly buying. Right, not just tonnage.

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That first load at 30 % dry matter is actually

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costing you... $200 per ton of nutrients. So

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$100. But the second load, at 40 % dry matter,

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only costs you $150 per ton of nutrients. Wow,

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that's a 33 % difference in value. 33%. For what

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looks like the exact same product, same price

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per ton. As New Mexico State Extension bluntly

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puts it, the water component contains no nutrients.

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Right. Yet when you buy as -fed... without accounting

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for dry matter, you're basically paying for water

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as if it were valuable feed. It's astonishing

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how often this happens. And the article shares

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a really impactful anecdote about a central Wisconsin

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farm. They were consistently overpaying for wet

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distillers grains, precisely because they weren't

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converting to a dry matter basis, just paying

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per wet ton. So they started testing. Once they

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implemented a simple dry matter testing protocol

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and adjusted their purchasing, they saved over

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$15 ,000. in just four months. 15 grand in four

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months just by changing how they calculated the

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value. Exactly. Not even changing the supplier

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or the price per ton. It directly connects to

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profitability. You're literally paying for water

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instead of nutrients. And that $15 ,000 savings

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was real cash staying in their pocket. For a

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200 -cow dairy, that's already a huge chunk of

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that $50 ,000 annual blind spot we mentioned.

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And that's just one blind spot. The next one

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is equally insidious. Treating free forage as

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if it truly costs nothing. Or maybe pricing it

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based on last year's production costs, right?

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Yeah, maybe worse. This is where the psychology

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of farming often clashes directly with economic

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reality. Because you grew it, you chopped it,

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stored it, you put in the work, paid for the

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inputs. It feels like once it's in the bunk,

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it's free to your cows. A sunk cost. Exactly.

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But economically, that's just not the case. The

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USDA Economic Research Service recommends pricing

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homegrown feeds at current market values. And

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for a very good reason. Every ton of homegrown

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silage, haylage, or hay you feed is a ton. You're

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not selling on the open market. That's its opportunity

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cost. Right. You're choosing to use it yourself,

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which is fine, but you need to account for what

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you could have gained by selling it. Otherwise,

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you're subsidizing your dairy enterprise with

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your crop enterprise without even realizing it.

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The article gives a really clear example of this.

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A southern Minnesota farm. Yeah, this one was

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truly devastating. The owner genuinely thought

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his dairy was highly profitable. Production was

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good, cows healthy, cash flow looked positive

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on paper. But then when they worked with a consultant

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and repriced his homegrown feeds at current market

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rates... Everything changed. What they discovered

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was his crop enterprise was actually subsidizing

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a dairy operation that was, well, marginally

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profitable at best. Maybe even operating at a

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loss. Potentially. This meant he was strategically

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blind to the true performance of his dairy. He

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couldn't make informed decisions about expansion,

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land use, or even if he should stay in dairy

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versus maybe shifting to cash crops. That's not

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just bad accounting. It's a fundamental lack

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of clarity about your entire business model.

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So I have to ask you, the listener, are you falling

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into this trap thinking because you grew it,

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it's truly free and potentially masking deeper

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issues? That's a powerful question. It forces

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you to look at your whole operation through a

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clearer, more realistic lens. And then we have

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the invisible herd. Yes, the invisible herd.

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Another one that trips up even sharp managers.

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calculating feed costs only for the milking string,

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and completely ignoring dry cows and, crucially,

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replacement heifers. I think it's obvious to

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include them, right? They're eating. Yeah. But

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the article points out how often this vital segment

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is just overlooked. This omission is massive.

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Its impact on your true cost per hundredweight

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is startling. Industry analysis, cited in the

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article, shows that by only counting the milkers,

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you underestimate true feed costs by about 38%.

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38%. Think about that number. That translates

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to a staggering $3 .16 per hundredweight error,

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just from the scope of your calculation. Let's

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put numbers to it. 200 milking cows. Okay. You're

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realistically feeding another 40, 50 dry cows,

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plus maybe 180, 200 replacement animals, calves,

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heifers. None producing milk that hits the bulk

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tank today. Exactly. Their feed costs are a very

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real part of your overall cost of production

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for every hundred weight of milk that does get

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sold. It's a jarring disconnect, as the article

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puts it. Farms are investing heavily in genomics,

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precision breeding, cutting -edge genetics. Spending

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thousands to optimize the future potential of

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their herd. Yet when it comes to a fundamental

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financial metric like feed costs, they're calculating

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like it's 1985, ignoring a huge chunk of their

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biological inventory. It's like building a high

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-tech race car with all the latest engineering,

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but putting cheap, under -inflated tires on it

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and wondering why it's not performing optimally.

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Great analogy. You simply can't reach your full

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potential if a fundamental component of your

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cost structure is so wildly inaccurate it blinds

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you to the full picture. If those animals aren't

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contributing to current milk revenue, their feed

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costs absolutely need to be factored into your

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overall cost per hundredweight of milk sold.

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Otherwise, you create this artificial sense of

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profitability. Which isn't sustainable and leads

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to misinformed decisions. Yeah. Then there's

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feed shrink. The silent profit killer. Ah, shrink.

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The feed you paid for, hauled, stored, but never

00:13:28.909 --> 00:13:31.409
actually makes it to the cow's mouth. Spoilage,

00:13:31.669 --> 00:13:35.289
spillage, pests like birds or rodents, improper

00:13:35.289 --> 00:13:37.889
storage and handling. The article really dives

00:13:37.889 --> 00:13:39.690
into this, and the numbers are truly eye -opening.

00:13:39.809 --> 00:13:41.830
It's a huge problem that often flies completely

00:13:41.830 --> 00:13:44.169
under the radar. It's not a direct invoice, right?

00:13:44.230 --> 00:13:46.350
Exactly. Research from Hubbard Feeds indicates

00:13:46.350 --> 00:13:49.570
an average shrinkage of 5 .42 % for purchased

00:13:49.570 --> 00:13:51.789
feeds across the industry. Five and a half percent.

00:13:51.870 --> 00:13:54.610
That's already significant and often unacknowledged.

00:13:54.690 --> 00:13:57.809
But it gets worse. Losses can routinely hit 8

00:13:57.809 --> 00:14:00.889
.06 % for commodities in open storage exposed

00:14:00.889 --> 00:14:03.529
to the elements. 8%. And the article notes shrink

00:14:03.529 --> 00:14:07.429
rates can even exceed 12 % on farms with inadequate

00:14:07.429 --> 00:14:11.009
protocols. 12%. Imagine paying for 100 tons of

00:14:11.009 --> 00:14:13.649
feed and only 88 tons actually getting consumed.

00:14:13.769 --> 00:14:15.889
That's a massive amount of money just vanishing.

00:14:16.070 --> 00:14:18.990
It is. The article gives a vivid example. A 1

00:14:18.990 --> 00:14:21.509
,000 cow operation tracked its shrink losses,

00:14:21.809 --> 00:14:26.350
found it was losing $5 ,733 over just 47 days.

00:14:26.590 --> 00:14:29.720
Whoa. So annually, that's... Nearly $45 ,000

00:14:29.720 --> 00:14:32.519
just vanishing into thin air, or as the author

00:14:32.519 --> 00:14:34.740
says, into bird bellies and blowing away with

00:14:34.740 --> 00:14:37.610
the wind. And the economics are staggering when

00:14:37.610 --> 00:14:40.049
you consider the potential savings from fixing

00:14:40.049 --> 00:14:42.370
it. Absolutely. Moving from an open commodity

00:14:42.370 --> 00:14:45.250
shed to proper enclosed storage for that same

00:14:45.250 --> 00:14:48.230
1 ,000 cow dairy could lead to potential savings

00:14:48.230 --> 00:14:51.629
of over $135 ,000 annually. That kind of saving

00:14:51.629 --> 00:14:53.590
can often pay for the new building itself within

00:14:53.590 --> 00:14:55.309
a few years. It's an investment that pays for

00:14:55.309 --> 00:14:57.250
itself. Definitely. But what's really concerning

00:14:57.250 --> 00:14:59.169
about shrinkage, beyond just the volume loss,

00:14:59.330 --> 00:15:02.029
is the double impact it has. Double impact. How

00:15:02.029 --> 00:15:05.279
so? You're not just losing volume. You're often

00:15:05.279 --> 00:15:07.340
losing the most valuable parts of the feed first.

00:15:07.860 --> 00:15:10.360
The lightest, most nutrient -dense particles.

00:15:11.100 --> 00:15:14.100
The expensive stuff often blow away or get picked

00:15:14.100 --> 00:15:16.139
out first. Ah, okay, so you're paying twice.

00:15:16.620 --> 00:15:19.620
Exactly. Once for the lost feed, and again because

00:15:19.620 --> 00:15:22.659
the remaining feed in your bunk is now an imbalanced

00:15:22.659 --> 00:15:25.000
ration compared to what your nutritionist formulated.

00:15:25.360 --> 00:15:28.899
Which then hits cow health, production, feed

00:15:28.899 --> 00:15:32.559
efficiency. A cascading problem undermines the

00:15:32.559 --> 00:15:35.000
nutritionist's work. It's like buying premium

00:15:35.000 --> 00:15:37.200
fuel and having half evaporate before it reaches

00:15:37.200 --> 00:15:39.379
the engine. And even when costs are calculated

00:15:39.379 --> 00:15:42.080
correctly, the article warns that good metrics

00:15:42.080 --> 00:15:45.580
go bad when feed efficiency is misapplied. Yes,

00:15:45.639 --> 00:15:47.960
this is something I see a lot. The classic mistake

00:15:47.960 --> 00:15:50.120
of using average feed conversion rates instead

00:15:50.120 --> 00:15:52.320
of focusing on marginal response. This is where

00:15:52.320 --> 00:15:54.279
it gets really interesting because it's subtle

00:15:54.279 --> 00:15:57.299
but crucial. It is. And it's where truly precise

00:15:57.299 --> 00:16:00.399
management shines. Average feed conversion tells

00:16:00.399 --> 00:16:03.259
you, broadly, how many pounds of milk per pound

00:16:03.259 --> 00:16:05.840
of feed across the whole herd. Useful benchmark.

00:16:06.259 --> 00:16:09.320
Marginal response, however, asks, What additional

00:16:09.320 --> 00:16:11.840
milk do I get from the next additional pound

00:16:11.840 --> 00:16:14.659
of feed I give a cow? It's about the return on

00:16:14.659 --> 00:16:17.340
the very last unit of feed. Which is what matters

00:16:17.340 --> 00:16:19.580
when you're considering pushing for more production.

00:16:19.980 --> 00:16:22.240
Right. The article gives the example of a producer

00:16:22.240 --> 00:16:24.600
who thought adding two pounds of concentrate

00:16:24.600 --> 00:16:27.889
would yield six additional pounds of milk. based

00:16:27.889 --> 00:16:31.509
on his average rate. 3 .1 looked great. But in

00:16:31.509 --> 00:16:34.490
reality, from that extra two pounds, he only

00:16:34.490 --> 00:16:37.149
got maybe two extra pounds of milk. Precisely.

00:16:37.210 --> 00:16:39.649
His marginal feed rate for that increment was

00:16:39.649 --> 00:16:42.990
now 1 .1, tripling his marginal feed cost per

00:16:42.990 --> 00:16:45.289
pound of milk. So instead of a profitable margin,

00:16:45.409 --> 00:16:48.350
he was barely breaking even, maybe even losing

00:16:48.350 --> 00:16:50.850
money. He was making decisions based on incomplete

00:16:50.850 --> 00:16:53.929
or misleading data, thinking he was gaining efficiency

00:16:53.929 --> 00:16:56.190
when he was just increasing costs with minimal

00:16:56.190 --> 00:16:58.649
return. That's where profitability is won or

00:16:58.649 --> 00:17:01.190
lost at the bunk. And some operations, chasing

00:17:01.190 --> 00:17:03.830
impressive average numbers, push this even further.

00:17:04.089 --> 00:17:05.869
Yeah, without considering the broader economics

00:17:05.869 --> 00:17:08.769
or animal welfare, the article highlights the

00:17:08.769 --> 00:17:10.970
danger of pushing cows so hard they start milking

00:17:10.970 --> 00:17:13.289
off their backs. Sacrificing body condition,

00:17:13.589 --> 00:17:16.970
energy reserves, future fertility for short -term,

00:17:17.009 --> 00:17:19.309
potentially misleading gains. It's a critical

00:17:19.309 --> 00:17:22.849
point. True profitability isn't just maximizing

00:17:22.849 --> 00:17:26.170
one metric in isolation. It's optimizing the

00:17:26.170 --> 00:17:28.789
whole system for long -term health and resilient

00:17:28.789 --> 00:17:30.730
returns. It's the difference between a sprint

00:17:30.730 --> 00:17:34.150
and a marathon for your herd. Exactly. So when

00:17:34.150 --> 00:17:37.349
you combine all these errors as fed pricing,

00:17:37.609 --> 00:17:41.049
free forage, incomplete herd costing, unaccounted

00:17:41.049 --> 00:17:43.670
shrink. All of it together. The article calculates

00:17:43.670 --> 00:17:46.970
a staggering miscalculation of over $1 ,200 per

00:17:46.970 --> 00:17:51.039
cow annually. $1 ,200 per cow on a 200 -cow dairy.

00:17:51.180 --> 00:17:54.259
That's a quarter million dollar blind spot. It's

00:17:54.259 --> 00:17:56.099
truly shocking when you see it laid out. But

00:17:56.099 --> 00:17:58.599
here's the crucial part. The core message is

00:17:58.599 --> 00:18:01.140
that every one of these errors is fixable. Okay,

00:18:01.160 --> 00:18:03.079
good. It's not just doom and gloom. Not at all.

00:18:03.119 --> 00:18:05.140
This isn't a doomsday scenario. It's a roadmap

00:18:05.140 --> 00:18:07.559
to reclaiming significant profitability. And

00:18:07.559 --> 00:18:09.940
the article details the dramatic returns documented

00:18:09.940 --> 00:18:12.099
when these issues are corrected. For instance,

00:18:12.279 --> 00:18:14.460
strategic nutritional grouping. Right. Moving

00:18:14.460 --> 00:18:17.420
from a single TMR to distinct diets for high,

00:18:17.539 --> 00:18:21.680
mid, low producers can save over $400 per cow

00:18:21.680 --> 00:18:25.500
annually. $400 per cow. That's huge. It's a big

00:18:25.500 --> 00:18:27.900
operational change, yes, but a massive tangible

00:18:27.900 --> 00:18:31.019
return. Beyond that, feed center upgrades, reducing

00:18:31.019 --> 00:18:35.049
shrink from, say, 8 % down to 3%. Direct savings.

00:18:35.289 --> 00:18:37.210
And then there's precision feeding implementation

00:18:37.210 --> 00:18:41.329
using tech like AI -driven optimization. Documented

00:18:41.329 --> 00:18:44.170
to save $31 per cow annually through improved

00:18:44.170 --> 00:18:46.049
efficiency. Yeah. These aren't just theoretical

00:18:46.049 --> 00:18:48.579
savings. They're real impacts. Which brings us

00:18:48.579 --> 00:18:50.539
to a really crucial point the article highlights,

00:18:50.799 --> 00:18:53.980
how technology is creating these two distinct

00:18:53.980 --> 00:18:56.359
dairy industries. Yeah, this is important. On

00:18:56.359 --> 00:18:58.720
one side, you have progressive operations embracing

00:18:58.720 --> 00:19:01.799
AI -driven feed optimization, real -time monitoring,

00:19:02.039 --> 00:19:03.740
precision feeding. And they're seeing what, like

00:19:03.740 --> 00:19:07.000
7 -12 % reductions in feed costs? Exactly. While

00:19:07.000 --> 00:19:09.359
often improving production and health. That $31

00:19:09.359 --> 00:19:12.420
per cow saving from AI is a powerful example

00:19:12.420 --> 00:19:14.900
of fine -tuning that, frankly, human management

00:19:14.900 --> 00:19:17.319
alone can't achieve at scale. But the key here,

00:19:17.460 --> 00:19:19.339
and the article is direct about it, is that this

00:19:19.339 --> 00:19:22.000
technology isn't cheap. It needs investment and

00:19:22.000 --> 00:19:24.839
expertise. Expertise that many smaller operations

00:19:24.839 --> 00:19:28.579
might lack. This creates a widening gap. Larger

00:19:28.579 --> 00:19:30.500
farms capture these efficiencies, lower their

00:19:30.500 --> 00:19:33.440
costs, while smaller operations struggle with

00:19:33.440 --> 00:19:35.859
higher cost structures. Making it exponentially

00:19:35.859 --> 00:19:38.579
harder to compete. It's presented as a question

00:19:38.579 --> 00:19:41.799
of pure survival. So if you're not leveraging

00:19:41.799 --> 00:19:45.549
these tools or finding alternatives, What does

00:19:45.549 --> 00:19:48.470
this mean for your scale? Are you being left

00:19:48.470 --> 00:19:51.170
behind? It's a critical strategic challenge for

00:19:51.170 --> 00:19:54.069
the entire industry, regardless of size. A make

00:19:54.069 --> 00:19:56.130
or break consideration for many. And the article

00:19:56.130 --> 00:19:58.109
then broadens the scope to the global context.

00:19:58.190 --> 00:20:00.329
We can't ignore what's happening internationally.

00:20:00.970 --> 00:20:03.509
Right. China's rapidly expanding dairy industry,

00:20:03.630 --> 00:20:05.650
for instance, is fundamentally altering global

00:20:05.650 --> 00:20:08.849
feed demand and prices. Feed is what, 64 % of

00:20:08.849 --> 00:20:11.470
their costs? 64%. So their buying strategies

00:20:11.470 --> 00:20:13.910
have a direct impact on global commodity markets.

00:20:14.009 --> 00:20:15.910
Right back to our local feed bill. Absolutely.

00:20:16.089 --> 00:20:19.059
And it's not just China. European producers are

00:20:19.059 --> 00:20:21.240
grappling with significant environmental regulations.

00:20:21.500 --> 00:20:23.720
Pushing them towards highly efficient waste -reducing

00:20:23.720 --> 00:20:26.400
feed management. Their focus on precision feeding,

00:20:26.559 --> 00:20:30.160
nutrient management. It's not just about costs.

00:20:30.240 --> 00:20:33.140
It's increasingly about compliance. And the article

00:20:33.140 --> 00:20:35.000
makes the point that these pressures are coming

00:20:35.000 --> 00:20:37.839
to North America. Early discussions about carbon

00:20:37.839 --> 00:20:40.160
pricing, environmental compliance. It's already

00:20:40.160 --> 00:20:42.589
happening. This connects directly to why accurate

00:20:42.589 --> 00:20:44.930
feed costing isn't just about immediate profitability.

00:20:45.329 --> 00:20:48.349
It's about global competitiveness and preparing

00:20:48.349 --> 00:20:51.009
for future regulations. You can't be compliant

00:20:51.009 --> 00:20:53.230
if you don't know your numbers. Okay, so with

00:20:53.230 --> 00:20:55.390
all these challenges and opportunities laid out,

00:20:55.470 --> 00:20:58.869
the article provides a really actionable 90 -day

00:20:58.869 --> 00:21:01.609
implementation roadmap. Yes, this isn't just

00:21:01.609 --> 00:21:04.009
theory. It's a step -by -step practical guide

00:21:04.009 --> 00:21:06.369
for you to start fixing these errors, broken

00:21:06.369 --> 00:21:09.250
into three phases. Phase one, the first 30 days.

00:21:09.759 --> 00:21:11.539
Foundation building. What does that involve?

00:21:11.859 --> 00:21:14.180
Start by auditing your current method. Compare

00:21:14.180 --> 00:21:16.960
lactating -only costs to a recalculation, including

00:21:16.960 --> 00:21:19.859
the entire herd dry cows, heifers, plus shrink

00:21:19.859 --> 00:21:22.380
adjustments. You can do this with existing software

00:21:22.380 --> 00:21:24.480
or even just a spreadsheet, right? Absolutely.

00:21:24.700 --> 00:21:27.349
The goal is just to see the difference. Then,

00:21:27.410 --> 00:21:30.009
implement weekly dry matter testing for forages

00:21:30.009 --> 00:21:33.150
and wet byproducts. Get a tester or work with

00:21:33.150 --> 00:21:35.549
your nutritionist. And crucially, price homegrown

00:21:35.549 --> 00:21:37.869
feeds at current market rates. Check local elevator

00:21:37.869 --> 00:21:40.670
prices, commodity reports. And finally, start

00:21:40.670 --> 00:21:44.650
simple. Measure actual shrink. Track deliveries

00:21:44.650 --> 00:21:47.589
versus consumption. Even visual assessment helps.

00:21:47.710 --> 00:21:49.950
These are foundational steps for an accurate

00:21:49.950 --> 00:21:52.470
baseline. Okay, so that's month one, then days

00:21:52.470 --> 00:21:55.690
31, 60, system integration. Right. Move beyond

00:21:55.690 --> 00:21:57.589
auditing and integrate the new comprehensive

00:21:57.589 --> 00:22:00.450
costing into regular financial reporting. All

00:22:00.450 --> 00:22:03.750
animals, all shrink in your cost per hundredweight

00:22:03.750 --> 00:22:06.730
calcs. Then benchmark. Compare your numbers to

00:22:06.730 --> 00:22:09.230
industry standards, like that University of Minnesota

00:22:09.230 --> 00:22:12.890
FinBIN data, $10 .38 per hundredweight average

00:22:12.890 --> 00:22:15.720
for 2023. See where you stand. At this stage,

00:22:15.819 --> 00:22:18.619
evaluate technology needs too. Does your scale

00:22:18.619 --> 00:22:20.900
justify feed management software? And critically,

00:22:21.119 --> 00:22:23.779
train your team. Everyone involved needs to understand

00:22:23.779 --> 00:22:26.119
the new methods, why they're vital. It's a team

00:22:26.119 --> 00:22:27.940
effort, not just an accounting change. Makes

00:22:27.940 --> 00:22:31.940
sense. And finally, days 61 -90. Strategic optimization.

00:22:32.519 --> 00:22:34.640
This is where you leverage that accurate data

00:22:34.640 --> 00:22:37.259
for strategic decisions. Implement precision

00:22:37.259 --> 00:22:40.400
feeding where feasible, maybe nutritional grouping

00:22:40.400 --> 00:22:43.170
if herd size warrants. Splitting the herd into

00:22:43.170 --> 00:22:45.789
groups based on production. Exactly. Assess infrastructure

00:22:45.789 --> 00:22:49.109
needs, calculate ROI for feed center improvements,

00:22:49.390 --> 00:22:52.309
maybe an enclosed shed, better storage. Develop

00:22:52.309 --> 00:22:54.750
robust risk management strategies using those

00:22:54.750 --> 00:22:57.130
accurate cost baselines for forward contracting

00:22:57.130 --> 00:22:59.769
or DRP decisions. When you know your true break

00:22:59.769 --> 00:23:02.720
-if, these tools become genuinely powerful. and

00:23:02.720 --> 00:23:05.140
establish monitoring protocols, regular reviews,

00:23:05.420 --> 00:23:07.819
adjustment procedures, make it an ongoing practice.

00:23:07.980 --> 00:23:09.759
Continuous improvement. So it's not just a one

00:23:09.759 --> 00:23:12.220
-time fix. Definitely not. And the article closes

00:23:12.220 --> 00:23:15.420
with the uncomfortable questions every producer

00:23:15.420 --> 00:23:17.220
needs to ask themselves. Okay, what are they?

00:23:17.299 --> 00:23:20.079
First, when was the last time your feed cost

00:23:20.079 --> 00:23:23.000
calculations were really audited? Not just math

00:23:23.000 --> 00:23:25.819
errors, but the methodology, scope, assumptions.

00:23:26.119 --> 00:23:27.779
The fundamental method, not just the numbers.

00:23:27.859 --> 00:23:30.400
Exactly. Second, are you making major business

00:23:30.400 --> 00:23:33.630
decisions? expansion equipment, land based on

00:23:33.630 --> 00:23:36.490
incomplete or inaccurate cost data. Because if

00:23:36.490 --> 00:23:38.849
the foundation is shaky, those big plans are

00:23:38.849 --> 00:23:42.670
built on sand. Precisely. And third, how do your

00:23:42.670 --> 00:23:45.289
feed costs truly compare to industry benchmarks

00:23:45.289 --> 00:23:49.750
like that Finbin $10 .38? If you're way higher,

00:23:49.950 --> 00:23:52.630
these errors might be why. Not just bad luck.

00:23:52.930 --> 00:23:55.890
Progressive operations, the ones thriving, treat

00:23:55.890 --> 00:23:58.839
feed costs like... genetic evaluation data -driven,

00:23:58.940 --> 00:24:01.480
regularly updated fundamental. They invest in

00:24:01.480 --> 00:24:03.839
accurate measurement, understand income over

00:24:03.839 --> 00:24:06.859
feed cost, not just minimizing expense. And they

00:24:06.859 --> 00:24:09.099
benchmark religiously. Know where they stand,

00:24:09.279 --> 00:24:11.660
always striving for improvement. This highlights

00:24:11.660 --> 00:24:14.359
that fundamental split developing. The old approach

00:24:14.359 --> 00:24:16.559
of close enough just doesn't cut it anymore.

00:24:16.819 --> 00:24:19.299
Not with thin margins and volatility. Plus, climate

00:24:19.299 --> 00:24:21.680
change adds complexity. Variable forage quality

00:24:21.680 --> 00:24:24.589
makes accurate costing even more critical. And

00:24:24.589 --> 00:24:27.089
regulatory pressure is only increasing. Environmental

00:24:27.089 --> 00:24:29.569
compliance will likely demand more detailed tracking.

00:24:30.190 --> 00:24:32.349
Sophisticated cost management becomes essential.

00:24:32.589 --> 00:24:35.190
The bottom line reality check is stark. This

00:24:35.190 --> 00:24:37.329
isn't just better accounting. It's about survival

00:24:37.329 --> 00:24:40.319
and sustainability. Farms that nail feed costing

00:24:40.319 --> 00:24:42.519
have accurate baselines for risk management,

00:24:42.720 --> 00:24:45.599
reliable data for decisions, a solid foundation.

00:24:45.960 --> 00:24:48.319
The ones that don't. They're getting squeezed

00:24:48.319 --> 00:24:51.160
out when markets turn tough, often without understanding

00:24:51.160 --> 00:24:53.700
why their seemingly profitable enterprise suddenly

00:24:53.700 --> 00:24:55.700
can't pay the bills. They're left guessing in

00:24:55.700 --> 00:24:59.019
the dark. So here's the articles challenge, direct

00:24:59.019 --> 00:25:01.839
to you, the listener. Calculate your feed costs

00:25:01.839 --> 00:25:05.119
using the comprehensive method. Whole herd shrink.

00:25:05.630 --> 00:25:08.170
Dry matter basis, market rates for homegrown.

00:25:08.309 --> 00:25:09.950
Then compare that number to what you've been

00:25:09.950 --> 00:25:12.190
traditionally using. The author bets the difference

00:25:12.190 --> 00:25:14.809
will shock you. More importantly, it gives you

00:25:14.809 --> 00:25:17.130
the accurate baseline needed to build a truly

00:25:17.130 --> 00:25:20.109
resilient operation. The question isn't whether

00:25:20.109 --> 00:25:22.470
you can afford to make these changes. It's whether

00:25:22.470 --> 00:25:24.970
you can afford not to. While you're debating,

00:25:25.250 --> 00:25:27.549
your competitors are capturing the profits you're

00:25:27.549 --> 00:25:30.170
leaving on the table. Will you act decisively

00:25:30.170 --> 00:25:32.970
or let market forces decide your farm's fate?

00:25:33.519 --> 00:25:36.460
So after all that, what's the absolute key takeaway

00:25:36.460 --> 00:25:39.700
for a farmer listening today for immediate application?

00:25:40.279 --> 00:25:42.740
Okay, immediate application. You could pocket

00:25:42.740 --> 00:25:46.740
an extra $444 per cow annually just by switching

00:25:46.740 --> 00:25:51.200
to strategic nutritional grouping. $444, separating

00:25:51.200 --> 00:25:53.720
high producers from low producers, feeding them

00:25:53.720 --> 00:25:55.900
more precisely. Exactly. It's a direct saving

00:25:55.900 --> 00:25:58.799
that really adds up. And you can slash feed shrink

00:25:58.799 --> 00:26:01.700
losses from that 8 % average down to maybe 3

00:26:01.700 --> 00:26:04.500
% through... Better storage and handling? Right.

00:26:04.579 --> 00:26:08.019
That one farm saved over $100 ,000 yearly just

00:26:08.019 --> 00:26:09.859
by upgrading their feed center and management.

00:26:10.079 --> 00:26:13.059
Real ROI there. It's significant money. Plus,

00:26:13.059 --> 00:26:16.000
boosting cost accuracy by 40 % just by switching

00:26:16.000 --> 00:26:18.500
to dry matter basis for all feeds and including

00:26:18.500 --> 00:26:21.700
the entire herd, dry cows, heifers, they count.

00:26:21.880 --> 00:26:23.980
Eliminates those profitability illusions. Gives

00:26:23.980 --> 00:26:26.009
you an honest picture. Fundamental. And looking

00:26:26.009 --> 00:26:28.509
ahead, leveraging AI -powered feed management

00:26:28.509 --> 00:26:31.829
can squeeze out another 3 -5 % efficiency gain.

00:26:32.009 --> 00:26:34.349
Constant optimization. In today's market, that

00:26:34.349 --> 00:26:36.690
3 -5 % can be the difference between thriving

00:26:36.690 --> 00:26:38.910
and just surviving. It's an investment with a

00:26:38.910 --> 00:26:41.670
proven payoff. Finally, and critically, use that

00:26:41.670 --> 00:26:43.569
accurate baseline for smart risk management.

00:26:43.930 --> 00:26:47.289
Know your true break -even. Then tools like DRP

00:26:47.289 --> 00:26:49.990
and forward contracting become genuinely effective

00:26:49.990 --> 00:26:53.410
strategic instruments, not just gambling, empowering

00:26:53.410 --> 00:26:55.769
your decisions with real data. Great points.

00:26:56.009 --> 00:26:58.130
And that's all the time we have for today's Deep

00:26:58.130 --> 00:27:00.309
Dive. For more articles and insights, be sure

00:27:00.309 --> 00:27:04.029
to visit www .thebullvine .com. Don't forget

00:27:04.029 --> 00:27:05.930
to subscribe wherever you get your podcasts.

00:27:06.329 --> 00:27:08.410
Thanks for listening. Thanks for tuning in to

00:27:08.410 --> 00:27:11.049
The Bullvine Podcast. If you're ready to stop

00:27:11.049 --> 00:27:13.769
leaving money on the table, start mastering your

00:27:13.769 --> 00:27:17.309
feed cost calculations today. Share this episode

00:27:17.309 --> 00:27:19.710
with your fellow farmers, visit our website for

00:27:19.710 --> 00:27:21.990
resources, and join the conversation online.

00:27:22.809 --> 00:27:25.900
Until next time. Keep those cows happy and those

00:27:25.900 --> 00:27:26.779
profits growing.
