WEBVTT

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Breaking free from the chains of the past Where

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truth moves faster than a Holstein calf No law

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waiting on some printed page We're charting new

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ground in the digital age From genomic codes

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to robot facts We cut through the noise, no hold

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them back not your daddy's dairy news tonight

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we're sparking Welcome to the Bullvine Podcast,

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where dairy producers and industry insiders come

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together for real talk about the future of dairying.

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I'm your host, and today we're diving into the

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numbers and the stories behind the hidden genetic

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risks that are shaping herd health, profitability,

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and the decisions we make in the barn every day.

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If you've ever wondered... why your milk checks

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aren't growing as fast as your herd's genetic

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merit, or if you're questioning whether chasing

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the highest genomic proofs is really paying off,

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you're in the right place. We'll break down the

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latest research, share practical insights from

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producers across North America, and give you

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the tools you need to make smarter breeding decisions,

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without the jargon. So grab a cup of coffee,

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settle in, and let's get started with this week's

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episode of The Bullvine. Welcome back to The

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Deep Dive, the show where we unearth the most

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critical insights for dairy producers. If you're

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constantly chasing efficiency, battling rising

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costs, and trying to get every ounce of profit

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from your herd, then today's Deep Dive is definitely

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for you. It absolutely is. Today, we're tackling

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a really interesting feature article from The

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Bullvine that, honestly, it shook me a bit when

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I first read it. We're going to uncover a silent,

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multi -billion dollar problem that might... be

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quietly eroding your profits, even if you think

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you're using the most advanced genetics available.

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Yeah, we are diving into a piece titled Inbreeding's

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Hidden Costs Protecting Dairy Herd Profits. Our

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mission today is to reveal some truly surprising

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facts about how current breeding practices, even

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with the best intentions, the best tools, might

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be impacting herd health and, well, your bottom

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line. It's really about what your bull proofs

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aren't telling you and why that matters for every

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single cow in your barn. And that hidden information,

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I mean, once you see it, it is game -changing.

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We're talking real money, real herd performance,

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and really making absolutely sure that our genetic

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progress isn't coming at an unforeseen and, frankly,

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an unacceptable cost. Okay, let's unpack this.

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Have you ever had that nagging feeling like...

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You're running faster just to stay in the same

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place. You're pouring over bull proofs, chasing

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those top genetic numbers. Maybe on paper your

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herds never looked better, yet conception rates

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might be slumping, health issues seem to creep

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up, and something just doesn't quite add up to

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that promised genetic leap. Yeah, that feeling.

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It's not just in your head. I've heard echoed

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by producers from California dry lots all the

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way to Wisconsin tie stalls. It's not isolated.

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It's a quiet trend, but it's pervasive. The article

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calls it a multi -billion dollar genetic reckoning.

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It suggests there are costs here that go way

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beyond just milk price or feed costs, even though,

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yeah, those certainly keep us up at night. Okay,

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here's where it gets really interesting and honestly

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a bit shocking. Let me hit you with a number

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that genuinely stopped me in my tracks. A 2020

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study from Penn State. It showed that between

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2011 and 2019, the U .S. Holstein industry lost

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somewhere between $2 .5 and $6 billion. Wow.

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Think about that. Billions. Not from market crashes,

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not feed crises, but from something much more

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insidious. Rising inbreeding. Quietly eroding

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profits right under our noses. Just as genomic

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selection was really hitting its stride. That's

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an astonishing figure. Almost unbelievable when

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you first hear it. And to really put it into

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perspective for your operation, the American

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Holstein Breeders Association quantifies it even

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more precisely. They say every 1 % increase in

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inbreeding costs you about... $23 per cow annually

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per lactation. $23. Imagine that for a moment.

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You're milking, say, 1 ,000 cows. That's $23

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,000 a year lost for every single percentage

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point of inbreeding your herd picks up over five

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years. That's a staggering $115 ,000, enough

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to replace, what, 40 solid cows? That's a direct

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hit to your bottom line, and a lot of folks aren't

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even aware it's happening. It really is a paradox,

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isn't it? Because genomic selection, I mean,

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it's been a game changer. Right. It's slash generation

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intervals, you know, from maybe 5 .5 years down

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to less than two. And research from the Council

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on Dairy Cattle Breeding, CDCB, shows genetic

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gain jumped anywhere from 12 percent to over

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100 percent compared to the old progeny testing

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days. It feels like rocket fuel for genetic progress.

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So how can something so beneficial simultaneously

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create such a huge problem? That is the million

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dollar question or maybe the six billion dollar

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question, right? Yeah. Because that same rocket

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fuel. Well, it's speeding up progress. Has inadvertently

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driven down the effective population size of

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U .S. Holstein bulls. It's down to a historic

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low. Just 43 to 66 animals. Yeah. Think about

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that number. The genetic diversity of the world's

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most dominant dairy breed is now resting on fewer

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animals than most high school graduating classes.

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We're concentrating our genetic base like never

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before. And that creates a systemic vulnerability.

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A big one. Okay, we've seen the staggering cost,

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but how exactly is this inbreeding working its

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silent magic? It's not just one simple number,

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is it? Understanding the nuance here is absolutely

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critical if you want to fight back. We've traditionally

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looked at pedigree -based inbreeding. That's

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like, you know, cattle genealogy. Right, pedigree

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-based inbreeding. It calculates the odds an

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animal inherited identical genes from a common

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ancestor way back when. But here's the critical

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part the article highlights. It often underestimates

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what's truly happening genetically. Genomic inbreeding,

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on the other hand, uses what scientists call

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runs of homozygosity or ROH. Picture it like

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scanning the cow's entire DNA blueprint and highlighting

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these long stretches where the genetic code from

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both parents is identical. It gives us a much

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more precise real -time picture. A real -time

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picture of the animal's actual genetic makeup,

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not just the probability based on ancestors.

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Exactly. And what's really fascinating is that

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genomic inbreeding can distinguish between old

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inbreeding, you know, stuff from way back in

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the pedigree, and recent inbreeding, which comes

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from repeatedly using those popular high -ranking

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sires we just talked about. This distinction

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is vital. Why is that distinction so important

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between old and new? Well, a 2023 study from

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the University of Gulf showed that this recent

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inbreeding, the kind accumulating under genomic

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selection, has a sharper, more detrimental impact.

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It hits both production and fitness traits harder

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than the older sort of traditional inbreeding

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our breeds have carried for generations. Okay.

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So when you're looking at your numbers, you really

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want to use genomic measures if you can get them.

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Absolutely. Because they give you the truest

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picture of what's happening in your herd right

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now. Which naturally leads to the next question.

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Where do you actually find these critical numbers

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for your herd? Good question. For U .S. herds,

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the CDCB website Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding.

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That's your primary resource. They publish current

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Holstein inbreeding reports offering both pedigree

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and genomic levels for AI sires. And it's a free

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resource. You just need to look. Okay, CDCB for

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the U .S. What about Canada? For Canadian producers,

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the info is actually integrated right into their

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genetic evaluation system through Lactanit. So

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potentially easier to access there. That's good.

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But here's an interesting point the article makes.

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Most breed associations don't routinely put these

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inbreeding levels front and center in their regular

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communications. You often have to dig for it,

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which the article argues really needs to change

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if we're going to tackle this head on as an industry.

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Yeah, it needs to be more visible. So when you

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do dig, what do you find? Are there big differences?

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You find some really interesting comparisons.

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Top genomic sires, those young bulls everyone's

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chasing, they're averaging around 4 -6 % inbreeding.

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Okay. Proven sires, the ones with daughter data,

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typically run maybe 3 -5%. Slightly lower. Slightly

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lower. Now, it's really important to clarify,

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these are the bulls' own inbreeding levels. The

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average Holstein cow walking around today is

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already at about 11 % genomic inbreeding. 11%.

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Wow. So AI companies are actually managing this

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to some extent. They're selecting elite bulls

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that are often less inbred than the general female

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population they'll be bred to. So why are the

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genomic bulls still slightly higher in inbreeding

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then, if they're managing it? It really comes

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back to that selection intensity. When you can

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identify the quote -unquote best animals at six

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months old instead of waiting five years for

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progeny tests, well, the temptation, the economic

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pressure, is to concentrate selection on a smaller,

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very elite group. Right. Get that gain faster.

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Exactly. The math for immediate genetic gain

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looks great until it creates these longer -term

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diversity issues. The bottleneck gets tighter.

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This trend also highlights some really interesting

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breed differences, doesn't it? Holsteins versus

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jerseys, for example. It really does. Holsteins,

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like I said, average around 11 % genomic inbreeding

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globally. Jerseys typically run closer to 9%.

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Okay, 11 % and 9%. Doesn't sound like a massive

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difference, but you're saying it has real implications.

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It absolutely does. That seemingly small 2 %

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difference means Holsteins bear the brunt of

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that $23 per cow hit much more significantly.

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Jerseys... partly because of their more regional

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breeding patterns historically, and maybe less

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reliance on just a handful of global superstar

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sires experience less inbreeding depression.

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Interesting. So smaller economic losses for them

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just from that factor. Exactly. Holstein genetics

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flow globally, very interconnected. Jersey breeding,

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while it's international, is often a bit more

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regionalized, which seems to foster more diverse

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sire usage, naturally buffering things a bit.

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Okay, let's bring this down to something really

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practical, something you can picture on your

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own farm. The article shares this compelling

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tale of two neighbors, two 80 -cow Holstein herds,

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both using genomic selection but with vastly

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different philosophies. Yeah, it's a great illustration.

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So you've got Farm A. They are laser -focused

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on maximizing milk volume, just sheer pounds

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in the tank. They've chased the highest -ranking

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genomic bulls for milk yield, and their cows

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average a really remarkable 100 pounds per day.

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Sounds incredible, right? 100 pounds a day average?

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Yeah, that sounds great on paper. Look at their

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components. Their herd averages 4 .1 % butterfat

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and 3 .0 % protein. You do the math, that works

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out to about 7 .2 pounds of combined solids per

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cow per day. Okay, 7 .2 pounds of solids. Now,

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Farm B. Farm B takes a different approach. Their

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main goal is maximizing component yield and herd

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health, not just sheer volume. They strategically

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select bowls based on fat and protein percentages.

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Their cows average 90 pounds of milk per day,

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a bit less volume on paper. 10 pounds less. 10

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pounds less. But... With significantly higher

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percentages, 4 .6 % butterfat and 3 .4 % protein,

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they also produce 7 .2 pounds of combined solids

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per cow per day. Exactly the same amount of solids

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shipped as Farm A. Precisely. They're matching

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Farm A on the actual product they get paid for.

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But here's where it gets really profound. Think

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about the difference in their daily lives, the

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cows' lives. Farm bees' cows are under significantly

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less metabolic stress. Right. Pushing for that

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extra 10 pounds takes a toll. A huge toll. So

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think about what that means. Less stress for

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the cow translates directly to fewer health issues,

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better fertility, easier breeding. Lower vet

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bills. Lower vet bills. Cows staying in the herd

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longer, probably lower cull rates. And think

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about the staff. Less burnout, lower turnover.

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Absolutely. A less stressful operation overall.

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When you pencil it all out. Farm B is just as

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profitable, very likely more profitable, running

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a less stressful, more sustainable operation.

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The lesson there is just incredibly clear, isn't

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it? Chasing maximum milk yield isn't always the

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path to maximum profit or herd health, especially

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when you focus on what truly matters, pounds

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of fat and protein shipped, cow well -being,

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and a system that actually works for both people

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and animals in the long run. And this isn't just

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a nice story and anecdote. There are hard numbers

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backing this up from research all over the world.

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It paints a consistent picture of what inbreeding

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depression actually costs you. Okay, let's get

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specific. What are the direct hits? Well, for

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production, every 1 % increase in inbreeding

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typically knocks off 26 to 41 kilograms of milk

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annually. That's, what, 57 to 90 pounds less

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milk per cow per year. Per cow. Multiply that

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across the herd. Exactly. And for fat and protein,

00:13:11.879 --> 00:13:14.039
you're looking at losses of maybe one to two

00:13:14.039 --> 00:13:17.240
kilograms each per percent inbreeding. Again,

00:13:17.320 --> 00:13:19.980
multiply that out. It adds up fast, silently

00:13:19.980 --> 00:13:22.279
draining profits. Okay. Production takes a hit.

00:13:22.360 --> 00:13:24.720
What else? The article mentioned fertility. Fertility

00:13:24.720 --> 00:13:26.460
takes the biggest hit. That's what the article

00:13:26.460 --> 00:13:28.659
really emphasizes and what many studies show.

00:13:29.320 --> 00:13:31.240
Calving intervals stretch out by about a quarter

00:13:31.240 --> 00:13:34.779
of a day, 0 .25 days for every 1 % of inbreeding.

00:13:34.899 --> 00:13:37.039
A quarter day sounds tiny, but... It sounds tiny,

00:13:37.120 --> 00:13:38.700
but when you're already fighting to get cows

00:13:38.700 --> 00:13:41.539
bred back on time, every single day matters to

00:13:41.539 --> 00:13:43.399
your bottom line. Those open days are expensive.

00:13:43.899 --> 00:13:46.120
Definitely. And then there are the hitting costs.

00:13:46.419 --> 00:13:49.080
Yeah, the less obvious stuff, but just as costly.

00:13:49.559 --> 00:13:52.100
Increased somatic cell counts, higher culling

00:13:52.100 --> 00:13:55.080
rates for vague reasons, more stillbirths, and

00:13:55.080 --> 00:13:59.779
those frustrating mystery ailments. Cows that

00:13:59.779 --> 00:14:01.820
aren't clinically sick with something obvious,

00:14:01.919 --> 00:14:04.279
but they just don't thrive. They don't perform

00:14:04.279 --> 00:14:06.559
like they should on paper. Right. They're just

00:14:06.559 --> 00:14:09.379
not doing well, cows. Exactly. And what's particularly

00:14:09.379 --> 00:14:11.320
concerning, especially from recent research coming

00:14:11.320 --> 00:14:14.120
out of places like Australia and Europe, is that

00:14:14.120 --> 00:14:17.019
the inbreeding we're accumulating now under intense

00:14:17.019 --> 00:14:20.080
genomic selection seems to be more detrimental

00:14:20.080 --> 00:14:22.919
than the traditional inbreeding from past generations.

00:14:23.440 --> 00:14:25.440
Why would that be? The thinking is we're making

00:14:25.440 --> 00:14:27.580
genetic changes faster than natural selection

00:14:27.580 --> 00:14:30.080
can comfortably keep up with. We're concentrating

00:14:30.080 --> 00:14:32.919
not just good genes, but potentially hidden negative

00:14:32.919 --> 00:14:35.100
ones, too, very quickly. And speaking of hidden

00:14:35.100 --> 00:14:37.539
negatives, we can't forget the actual genetic

00:14:37.539 --> 00:14:40.759
defects, the junk that can accumulate. Oh, yeah.

00:14:40.840 --> 00:14:44.200
There are over 130 known genetic defects in cattle,

00:14:44.220 --> 00:14:46.340
and that's just what we have reliable tests for.

00:14:46.480 --> 00:14:48.919
And a lot of losses probably come from early

00:14:48.919 --> 00:14:51.779
embryonic death, right? Cows that just seem not

00:14:51.779 --> 00:14:54.600
to settle. Exactly. That's a huge, often invisible

00:14:54.600 --> 00:14:58.379
cost. Organizations like Lactanet and CDCB are

00:14:58.379 --> 00:15:00.139
tracking these and developing tests, which is

00:15:00.139 --> 00:15:02.460
great. Most AI companies now provide carrier

00:15:02.460 --> 00:15:05.440
status for about 22 known defects on their bulls.

00:15:05.500 --> 00:15:08.379
Which is helpful. A good start, definitely. But

00:15:08.379 --> 00:15:10.179
it's still a small fraction of what might be

00:15:10.179 --> 00:15:12.600
out there lurking in the gene pool. And the real

00:15:12.600 --> 00:15:16.059
nightmare scenario for geneticists. Is the possibility

00:15:16.059 --> 00:15:19.940
of new influential mutations popping up. Especially

00:15:19.940 --> 00:15:23.519
in a super popular AI sire. If a widely used

00:15:23.519 --> 00:15:26.500
bull carries a new harmful mutation, maybe even

00:15:26.500 --> 00:15:28.740
a mosaic one where only some sperm carry it,

00:15:28.799 --> 00:15:31.120
that mutation can spread like wildfire through

00:15:31.120 --> 00:15:33.740
the global population before anyone even realizes

00:15:33.740 --> 00:15:36.059
it's there. Right, until you start seeing problems

00:15:36.059 --> 00:15:38.340
crop up everywhere. The classic, really stark

00:15:38.340 --> 00:15:41.580
example is Pawnee Farm Arlinda Chief. One sire,

00:15:41.600 --> 00:15:44.360
one mutation. It's estimated to have caused over

00:15:44.360 --> 00:15:46.320
half a million spontaneous abortions worldwide.

00:15:46.580 --> 00:15:50.379
The economic loss. Around $420 million globally.

00:15:51.039 --> 00:15:53.159
From one bull. From one bull. That's a really

00:15:53.159 --> 00:15:56.039
sobering reminder of the risks we run with such

00:15:56.039 --> 00:15:58.860
a concentrated genetic base. Okay, so we've definitely

00:15:58.860 --> 00:16:00.960
laid out the scale of the challenge. It is a

00:16:00.960 --> 00:16:03.960
sobering picture. But this isn't just about identifying

00:16:03.960 --> 00:16:06.879
problems, right? It's about empowering producers

00:16:06.879 --> 00:16:10.139
with solutions. So let's pivot. Let's talk about

00:16:10.139 --> 00:16:12.919
some truly smart strategies that are building

00:16:12.919 --> 00:16:15.580
genetic resilience right now in the real world.

00:16:15.720 --> 00:16:18.360
Absolutely. Because there are solutions. One

00:16:18.360 --> 00:16:21.299
key strategy is called optimum contribution selection

00:16:21.299 --> 00:16:25.440
or OCS. OCS. OK, what is that exactly? It's essentially

00:16:25.440 --> 00:16:28.860
informed genetic planning. Yeah. Taking a much

00:16:28.860 --> 00:16:30.960
more holistic approach than just picking the

00:16:30.960 --> 00:16:32.940
hashtag one bull. Yeah. Instead of just ranking

00:16:32.940 --> 00:16:36.460
bulls individually. OCS analyzes an entire group

00:16:36.460 --> 00:16:38.820
of candidate bulls together. It figures out the

00:16:38.820 --> 00:16:41.419
optimal genetic contribution from each one. The

00:16:41.419 --> 00:16:43.600
goal is always maximizing genetic gain, yes,

00:16:43.759 --> 00:16:45.860
but doing it while keeping inbreeding firmly

00:16:45.860 --> 00:16:47.740
under control across the whole herd, generation

00:16:47.740 --> 00:16:49.740
after generation. Okay, so instead of putting

00:16:49.740 --> 00:16:52.100
all your eggs in one genetic basket, say using

00:16:52.100 --> 00:16:55.200
the hashtag 1TPI bull on almost everything. Right.

00:16:55.340 --> 00:16:58.580
You might use that hashtag 1TPI bull, but maybe

00:16:58.580 --> 00:17:01.399
only on 40 % of your herd. Then the hashtag 5

00:17:01.399 --> 00:17:04.019
bull might go on 30%. And then you strategically

00:17:04.019 --> 00:17:06.859
use a few others, maybe lower ranking overall,

00:17:07.019 --> 00:17:10.319
but bringing in different sire lines to add critical

00:17:10.319 --> 00:17:12.480
diversity. So you're still getting tremendous

00:17:12.480 --> 00:17:15.140
genetic progress from that top tier. I feel like.

00:17:15.240 --> 00:17:17.299
But you're not concentrating all your risk into

00:17:17.299 --> 00:17:19.480
just one or two pedigrees. You're spreading it

00:17:19.480 --> 00:17:21.900
out, building resilience. And does it work? Is

00:17:21.900 --> 00:17:24.119
there proof? Yeah. The research really backs

00:17:24.119 --> 00:17:26.759
this up. Studies, including work involving Cornell

00:17:26.759 --> 00:17:29.880
University, have shown OCS programs can actually

00:17:29.880 --> 00:17:33.599
achieve higher long -term genetic gain than traditional

00:17:33.599 --> 00:17:36.680
selection methods. All while keeping those inbreeding

00:17:36.680 --> 00:17:39.460
rates squarely in check. It's not just theory.

00:17:39.819 --> 00:17:42.119
It's proven science. It balances that immediate

00:17:42.119 --> 00:17:45.420
game with future sustainability. OK. OCS is one

00:17:45.420 --> 00:17:47.200
powerful tool. What else? The article mentions

00:17:47.200 --> 00:17:49.259
crossbreeding. Crossbreeding is another strategy

00:17:49.259 --> 00:17:51.240
that's definitely gaining traction, especially

00:17:51.240 --> 00:17:53.400
for commercial producers, particularly those

00:17:53.400 --> 00:17:55.380
paid primarily on components, not just fluid

00:17:55.380 --> 00:17:58.519
milk. Right. If fat and protein are king. Exactly.

00:17:58.660 --> 00:18:02.140
A well -planned three -way. Cross, maybe Holstein,

00:18:02.339 --> 00:18:04.880
Jersey, and then something like a Montbelliard

00:18:04.880 --> 00:18:07.500
or a Brown Swiss can deliver significant measurable

00:18:07.500 --> 00:18:10.420
improvements. You get that hybrid vigor, which

00:18:10.420 --> 00:18:13.099
often translates to better fertility, better

00:18:13.099 --> 00:18:16.500
health, more robustness. So healthier cows, fewer

00:18:16.500 --> 00:18:19.000
vet visits, easier breeding, cows staying in

00:18:19.000 --> 00:18:22.019
the herd longer. That's real money saved, real

00:18:22.019 --> 00:18:25.039
efficiencies gained. Even if your specific market

00:18:25.039 --> 00:18:28.140
demands purebreds, maybe it's not for you. But

00:18:28.140 --> 00:18:30.259
for commercial operations focused on profit per

00:18:30.259 --> 00:18:33.099
cow and herd robustness, it's definitely worth

00:18:33.099 --> 00:18:35.759
a serious look. And gene banking. That sounds

00:18:35.759 --> 00:18:38.019
a bit sci -fi. It might sound that way, but it's

00:18:38.019 --> 00:18:40.059
becoming more practical. Think of it as genetic

00:18:40.059 --> 00:18:43.079
insurance. Storing semen and embryos from diverse

00:18:43.079 --> 00:18:45.619
animals, maybe older lines or... different breeds,

00:18:45.920 --> 00:18:48.180
just provides vital options down the road if

00:18:48.180 --> 00:18:50.319
current breeding trends create unforeseen problems

00:18:50.319 --> 00:18:53.039
or if needs change. It's about keeping options

00:18:53.039 --> 00:18:55.859
open. Okay, OCS, crossbreeding, gene banking,

00:18:56.099 --> 00:18:59.039
these sound fantastic on paper, but we both know

00:18:59.039 --> 00:19:01.119
the real world throws up hurdles. What are the

00:19:01.119 --> 00:19:03.400
challenges to actually doing this? Oh, for sure,

00:19:03.539 --> 00:19:06.829
logistics is a big one. If you commit to an OCS

00:19:06.829 --> 00:19:09.109
program, for example, you might get a breeding

00:19:09.109 --> 00:19:11.970
plan calling for very specific matings. Bull

00:19:11.970 --> 00:19:17.009
A to cow 123, bull B to cow 456. Yeah, that requires

00:19:17.009 --> 00:19:19.809
serious organization. Meticulous record keeping.

00:19:19.930 --> 00:19:23.170
A super organized semen tank. Knowing exactly

00:19:23.170 --> 00:19:26.250
which straw goes to which cow. It's more complex

00:19:26.250 --> 00:19:28.809
than just using one or two main bowls. And inventory

00:19:28.809 --> 00:19:31.410
costs, using more bowls. That's another one.

00:19:31.470 --> 00:19:33.910
Using a more diverse group of sires often means

00:19:33.910 --> 00:19:36.450
keeping more different bowls in your tank, which

00:19:36.450 --> 00:19:39.269
ties up more capital in semen inventory. And

00:19:39.269 --> 00:19:41.250
then there's the human element. Always the human

00:19:41.250 --> 00:19:43.670
element. It takes discipline. It takes a significant

00:19:43.670 --> 00:19:46.690
mindset shift, really. Moving away from maximizing

00:19:46.690 --> 00:19:49.609
every single mating for immediate, short -term

00:19:49.609 --> 00:19:52.119
milk yield. Of course, optimizing the long -term

00:19:52.119 --> 00:19:54.700
health, production efficiency, and welfare of

00:19:54.700 --> 00:19:56.779
the entire herd. That needs buy -in from everyone

00:19:56.779 --> 00:19:58.759
involved. From the owner, the herd manager, the

00:19:58.759 --> 00:20:01.240
AI technician, everyone has to be on the same

00:20:01.240 --> 00:20:03.099
page. Absolutely. It's a team effort. Yes, here's

00:20:03.099 --> 00:20:05.500
the encouraging news, right? Producers who have

00:20:05.500 --> 00:20:07.619
made this transition, who've embraced these strategies.

00:20:07.940 --> 00:20:10.180
They consistently report that, yeah, it might

00:20:10.180 --> 00:20:12.400
be tricky at first, but it gets easier with time

00:20:12.400 --> 00:20:15.079
and the results. They absolutely speak for themselves.

00:20:15.380 --> 00:20:18.500
They see it in improved herd health, better longevity,

00:20:18.599 --> 00:20:21.299
and ultimately, more sustainable profitability.

00:20:21.700 --> 00:20:23.900
The payoff is there. Okay, looking forward then.

00:20:24.019 --> 00:20:27.880
What's next? How is the future of genetic diversity

00:20:27.880 --> 00:20:30.079
management shaping up? It's only getting more

00:20:30.079 --> 00:20:34.039
sophisticated. Artificial intelligence, AI, is

00:20:34.039 --> 00:20:37.250
starting to play a really crucial role. AI algorithms

00:20:37.250 --> 00:20:40.049
can analyze vast amounts of data to optimize

00:20:40.049 --> 00:20:42.829
breeding strategies, not just for gain, but simultaneously

00:20:42.829 --> 00:20:45.670
managing inbreeding and diversity across multiple

00:20:45.670 --> 00:20:48.470
generations. They can see complex patterns humans

00:20:48.470 --> 00:20:50.910
might miss. That's fascinating. And sequencing.

00:20:51.190 --> 00:20:53.589
Whole genome sequencing. It's rapidly becoming

00:20:53.589 --> 00:20:55.569
more affordable. It's dropped from thousands

00:20:55.569 --> 00:20:57.750
of dollars per animal down to just hundreds now.

00:20:57.930 --> 00:21:00.750
That's a huge drop. It is. Yeah. And it means

00:21:00.750 --> 00:21:03.230
we'll soon be much better at identifying harmful

00:21:03.230 --> 00:21:05.509
mutations before they spread widely. through

00:21:05.509 --> 00:21:07.549
the population. We could potentially head off

00:21:07.549 --> 00:21:10.450
the next Pawnee Farm Arlinda Chief scenario before

00:21:10.450 --> 00:21:13.250
it happens. Proactive rather than reactive. Exactly.

00:21:13.490 --> 00:21:15.849
And what's truly exciting, I think, are the combined

00:21:15.849 --> 00:21:18.569
strategies of herging. Research is looking at

00:21:18.569 --> 00:21:21.369
using multiple approaches at the same time. Things

00:21:21.369 --> 00:21:24.269
like combining OCS with maybe weighted selection

00:21:24.269 --> 00:21:27.450
for rare but beneficial genes, some strategic

00:21:27.450 --> 00:21:30.650
outcrossing, and active management of known genetic

00:21:30.650 --> 00:21:33.089
defects. Layering the approaches. Precisely.

00:21:33.480 --> 00:21:35.720
Early research suggests these combined, integrated

00:21:35.720 --> 00:21:38.180
approaches might deliver the best of both worlds.

00:21:38.859 --> 00:21:42.140
Continued, strong genetic progress with much

00:21:42.140 --> 00:21:44.259
better, more deliberate diversity maintenance.

00:21:44.970 --> 00:21:47.430
So what does this all boil down to for you, the

00:21:47.430 --> 00:21:49.730
listener? It feels like we're truthfully at a

00:21:49.730 --> 00:21:52.569
crossroads in dairy genetics. We can continue

00:21:52.569 --> 00:21:54.670
down the path of chasing maximum short -term

00:21:54.670 --> 00:21:56.769
genetic gain and just kind of accept the hidden

00:21:56.769 --> 00:21:59.869
costs of genetic erosion as, well, the price

00:21:59.869 --> 00:22:02.769
of doing business. Or we can get smarter about

00:22:02.769 --> 00:22:04.910
how we breed our cattle. We can capture that

00:22:04.910 --> 00:22:18.339
incredible... And the evidence is just unequivocally

00:22:18.339 --> 00:22:21.339
clear on this. Producers who take genetic diversity

00:22:21.339 --> 00:22:24.799
seriously, they don't sacrifice genetic progress.

00:22:25.460 --> 00:22:27.900
Not in the long run. In fact, they optimize it

00:22:27.900 --> 00:22:30.420
for the long haul. They're not accepting lower

00:22:30.420 --> 00:22:32.480
profits. They're building more sustainable, more

00:22:32.480 --> 00:22:35.180
robust operations, ultimately more competitive

00:22:35.180 --> 00:22:38.259
advantages for their farms. That multi -billion

00:22:38.259 --> 00:22:40.839
dollar hit the industry has already taken. It's

00:22:40.839 --> 00:22:43.579
both a stark warning. And an incredible opportunity.

00:22:43.859 --> 00:22:46.680
The producers who heed that warning now are going

00:22:46.680 --> 00:22:48.599
to be the ones who capture the opportunity and

00:22:48.599 --> 00:22:50.400
build a more resilient future for their dairies.

00:22:50.640 --> 00:22:52.579
So here's our challenge to you, our listener.

00:22:52.759 --> 00:22:54.700
Next time you're sitting down to select sires,

00:22:54.759 --> 00:22:57.619
ask yourself and maybe ask your genetics advisor

00:22:57.619 --> 00:23:00.059
some tough, specific questions. Like, what's

00:23:00.059 --> 00:23:02.579
my herd's current inbreeding level, really? And

00:23:02.579 --> 00:23:05.779
how is it trending? Is it going up? And how can

00:23:05.779 --> 00:23:08.420
we apply some of these OCS principles, even in

00:23:08.420 --> 00:23:11.059
a simplified way, to strike a healthier balance?

00:23:11.579 --> 00:23:14.240
a balance between our genetic goals and maintaining

00:23:14.240 --> 00:23:17.579
diversity. And maybe, what outcrossed Sires,

00:23:17.720 --> 00:23:20.440
if any, would be suitable for my system to introduce

00:23:20.440 --> 00:23:22.920
some fresh genetics without wrecking my overall

00:23:22.920 --> 00:23:25.859
goals? Because the real question here, the provocative

00:23:25.859 --> 00:23:28.440
thought the article leaves us with, isn't whether

00:23:28.440 --> 00:23:30.579
you can afford to implement these strategies.

00:23:30.799 --> 00:23:33.720
It's whether you can afford not to. Oof. The

00:23:33.720 --> 00:23:36.740
smartest, most forward -thinking producers in

00:23:36.740 --> 00:23:40.019
2025 and beyond are actively protecting their

00:23:40.019 --> 00:23:42.640
herds and their profits by thinking beyond just

00:23:42.640 --> 00:23:45.119
the next bull proof. They're planning for genetic

00:23:45.119 --> 00:23:48.240
resilience. So after all that, what's the key

00:23:48.240 --> 00:23:50.539
takeaway? If a farmer listening today only does

00:23:50.539 --> 00:23:53.400
one thing, what should it be? Give us those actionable

00:23:53.400 --> 00:23:55.380
insights. Okay, yeah, let's boil it down. Here

00:23:55.380 --> 00:23:57.039
are the key takeaways to really chew on, the

00:23:57.039 --> 00:24:00.099
immediate actions you can consider. First, stop

00:24:00.099 --> 00:24:02.420
those silent profit leaks. Just remember that

00:24:02.420 --> 00:24:05.440
number. Every 1 % rise in inbreeding costs you

00:24:05.440 --> 00:24:09.279
about $23 per cow per year. 23 bucks. Action.

00:24:09.380 --> 00:24:11.359
Check your herd's inbreeding numbers. Go to the

00:24:11.359 --> 00:24:14.299
CDCB or LactaNet website today or ask your advisor

00:24:14.299 --> 00:24:16.200
to pull them. Know your number. Okay, know your

00:24:16.200 --> 00:24:19.019
number. Got it. Second, understand that genomic

00:24:19.019 --> 00:24:21.299
testing is powerful, but it's a double -edged

00:24:21.299 --> 00:24:23.599
sword. Yes, it boosts genetic gain like crazy,

00:24:23.720 --> 00:24:26.779
12 to 100%. Amazing. But it's also shrinking

00:24:26.779 --> 00:24:29.960
your genetic base fast. Action. Ask your genetics

00:24:29.960 --> 00:24:32.200
rep for the inbreeding coefficient on every single

00:24:32.200 --> 00:24:34.599
bull you consider buying. Aim for bulls below

00:24:34.599 --> 00:24:36.839
the breed average if you can. That's around 11

00:24:36.839 --> 00:24:39.359
% for Holsteins right now. Be picky about the

00:24:39.359 --> 00:24:43.220
bull's own inbreeding. Makes sense. Third, components

00:24:43.220 --> 00:24:46.119
consistently beat sheer volume for real ROI.

00:24:46.480 --> 00:24:49.339
Remember the tale of two neighbors. Same solid

00:24:49.339 --> 00:24:51.619
shipped, vastly different operations. Don't just

00:24:51.619 --> 00:24:54.420
chase milk pounds. Action. Shift your sire selection

00:24:54.420 --> 00:24:56.559
index, or at least how you mentally weight it,

00:24:56.599 --> 00:24:58.920
to prioritize fat and protein percentages and

00:24:58.920 --> 00:25:01.339
yield, not just total milk yield. Focus on what

00:25:01.339 --> 00:25:02.920
you get paid for and the cow's health. Fourth,

00:25:03.299 --> 00:25:06.619
diversify or pay the price down the line. Herds

00:25:06.619 --> 00:25:08.940
using OCS principles or strategic crossbreeding

00:25:08.940 --> 00:25:12.039
are seeing better health, lower vet bills, longer

00:25:12.039 --> 00:25:15.640
cow lifespans. Even if daily milk isn't record

00:25:15.640 --> 00:25:18.960
shattering, action. Maybe try OCS planning for

00:25:18.960 --> 00:25:21.200
a portion of your herd or introduce one suitable

00:25:21.200 --> 00:25:24.099
crossbred bull. Just observe. See how it impacts

00:25:24.099 --> 00:25:26.619
your call rate, your vet bills, even your staff

00:25:26.619 --> 00:25:29.019
workload and morale. Experiment a little. See

00:25:29.019 --> 00:25:31.720
the results. Exactly. And finally, number five.

00:25:32.539 --> 00:25:35.200
Resilience is the name of the game for 2025 and

00:25:35.200 --> 00:25:37.599
beyond. Feed costs aren't dropping. Labor is

00:25:37.599 --> 00:25:40.000
tight. Your genetics program has to deliver more

00:25:40.000 --> 00:25:42.380
than just big numbers on paper. It needs to build

00:25:42.380 --> 00:25:44.940
a robust, healthy, efficient herd that lasts.

00:25:45.380 --> 00:25:48.150
Action. Review your entire breeding plan. Look

00:25:48.150 --> 00:25:49.710
at it through the lens of long -term genetic

00:25:49.710 --> 00:25:52.470
diversity and operational sustainability. Don't

00:25:52.470 --> 00:25:54.569
get left behind focusing only on short -term

00:25:54.569 --> 00:25:57.029
index gains. Powerful points. Build resilience.

00:25:57.170 --> 00:25:59.410
That's the key message. Great points. And I think

00:25:59.410 --> 00:26:00.990
that's about all the time we have for today's

00:26:00.990 --> 00:26:02.750
Deep Dive. For more articles and insights that

00:26:02.750 --> 00:26:04.890
matter to your dairy operation, be sure to visit

00:26:04.890 --> 00:26:08.890
www .thebullvine .com. And don't forget to subscribe

00:26:08.890 --> 00:26:11.170
wherever you get your Deep Dives so you don't

00:26:11.170 --> 00:26:13.329
miss the next one. Thanks so much for listening.

00:26:13.569 --> 00:26:15.750
That's it for this episode of the Bullvine Podcast.

00:26:16.430 --> 00:26:19.150
We hope today's discussion gave you new ideas

00:26:19.150 --> 00:26:21.990
and maybe a few tough questions to bring back

00:26:21.990 --> 00:26:24.990
to your next breeding meeting. Remember, the

00:26:24.990 --> 00:26:27.369
choices you make in your genetics program today

00:26:27.369 --> 00:26:29.710
will shape your herd's health and profitability

00:26:29.710 --> 00:26:33.650
for years to come. If you enjoyed the show, don't

00:26:33.650 --> 00:26:36.349
forget to subscribe, leave us a review, and share

00:26:36.349 --> 00:26:38.450
this episode with your fellow dairy producers.

00:26:40.680 --> 00:26:44.940
research, and resources, head over to www .thebullvine

00:26:44.940 --> 00:26:47.759
.com. Thanks for listening, and until next time,

00:26:47.839 --> 00:26:49.900
keep your cows healthy, your milk check strong,

00:26:50.119 --> 00:26:51.619
and your genetic decisions smart.
