WEBVTT

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Welcome to the Bullvine Podcast, where we tackle

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the toughest challenges facing today's dairy

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industry. And what I'm about to share might be

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the most uncomfortable truth you'll hear this

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year. Your dairy legacy has a staggering 83 .5

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% chance of disappearing by the third generation.

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While you're obsessing over milk prices and feed

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costs, the real threat to your operation isn't

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in the barn. It's at your kitchen table. Today,

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we're ripping the lid off the family dairy time

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bomb that's ticking under operations across North

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America. You'll discover the hidden math, family

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dynamics, and strategic fixes that separate the

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16 .5 % of farms that survive generational transfers

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from the overwhelming majority that implode.

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This isn't just another podcast about succession

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planning. It's your wake -up call to ensure your

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life's work doesn't become another statistic.

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Let's dive in. All right, welcome to The Deep

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Dive, where we grab the bull by the horns and

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really get down to what matters in the dairy

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industry. Glad to be digging in. And today, well,

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we're kicking things off with a statistic that

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should make every family dairy operation set

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up and take notice. A huge number. 83 .5 % of

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family dairy farms don't make it to the third

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generation. Wow. Just let that sink in for a

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second. Is your farm potentially facing that

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same uphill battle? Yeah, it's a tough question.

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It's a direct question, absolutely. But frankly,

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it's one we can't afford to sugarcoat here. No,

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definitely not. It's a sobering truth, really.

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We all know the daily grind, right? The constant

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juggling of milk prices, feed costs, the weather.

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Oh, yeah. The day -to -day. But the reality is

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those numbers. They don't lie. Often the biggest

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threat to a farm's long -term survival isn't

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just market swings. It's closer to home. It's

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what happens within the family. It's the lack

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of a solid plan for the future. It's like the

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succession elephant right there in the milking

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parlor. The succession elephant. I like that.

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We're calling this the family dairy time bomb.

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Aptly named. Because it's not some distant worry

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for... way down the road. It's a present danger

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if we're not proactive. Absolutely. It sneaks

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up on you. Think about it. The USDA tells us

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97 % of farms are family -owned. That's almost...

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All of them. Right. The vast majority. Yet surveys

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time and again show that only around 20 percent

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of farmers feel truly confident in their succession

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plan. That's a huge gap. It's a Grand Canyon

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size gap between, you know, good intentions and

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actually being prepared. It really highlights

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this disconnect, doesn't it? Between wanting

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to pass the farm on and having a concrete roadmap

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to actually make it happen. And we've all heard

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that old saying, you know, shirt sleeves to shirt

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sleeves in three generations or the third generation

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losing the farm. Yeah, it's almost folklore.

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And it can be easy to just brush it off like,

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oh, that won't happen to us. But then you look

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at the actual data, like from the Small Business

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Administration. No, it's not pretty. Not at all.

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Less than a third of family businesses even make

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it to the second generation. And only about,

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what, 16 .5 % survived to the third? 16 .5%.

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Wow. So you realize this isn't just some old

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wives' tale. It's a statistical reality. It's

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backed by data across different sectors, different

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cultures, even going back centuries. And let's

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be honest, the dairy sector, our sector, has

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its own unique set of hurdles. It makes the succession

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puzzle even trickier than, say, a family hardware

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store. Oh, definitely. You've got factors that

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just amplify the challenge. Like what specifically?

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Well, first off, it's a 247 business. There's

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no clocking out at five. Nope. Cows don't take

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weekends. Exactly. Then there's the massive investment

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needed in specialized equipment. Think robotics,

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feeding systems. It's always evolving, always

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expensive. And the regulation. Don't get me started.

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Right. The regulatory landscape can feel like,

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well, like navigating a maze blindfolded sometimes.

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Yeah. So all of that just makes handing over

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the reins that much harder. It absolutely amplifies

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the challenges. And you know, we talk a lot about

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sustainability these days. Usually meaning environmental

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stuff. Right. Environmental stewardship, which

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is crucial, of course. We need to apply that

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same critical thinking to the operational sustainability.

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The basic question, will your farm still exist,

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still be running 30 years from now? That's the

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core question. Remember that Farm Journal survey?

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80 % of farmers intend to pass the farm on. Good

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intentions. Yeah. Only about 20 % feel confident

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they'll actually manage it successfully. Intent

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versus confidence, big difference. Huge difference.

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And then that Iowa State study. Half of farmers

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didn't even have a basic estate plan. Half. That's

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shocking. And nearly three quarters hadn't identified

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a clear successor. So the picture is pretty clear.

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Good intentions just aren't enough. You need

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concrete action. Okay. Now, I know when you start

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talking farm transitions, one of the first things

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that pops into a lot of farmers' minds, something

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we hear about at the bullvine too, is estate

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taxes. Ah, yes. The tax man. It's always a concern.

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It's a legitimate concern for sure. But is it

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the main killer? Well, look. Tax planning is

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definitely a piece of the succession puzzle.

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You can't ignore it. Right. But it's crucial

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to understand it's rarely the sole reason or

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even the primary reason that family farms fail

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to make it through the generations. So what are

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the real culprits then? Think about the farms

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you've seen that didn't make it. More often than

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not, the root causes are things like, well, an

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inability to adapt and scale the operation. To

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stay competitive. Keeping up with the times.

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Exactly. Or unresolved conflicts simmering within

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the family. That's a big one. Family dynamics,

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yeah. Or simply the next generation. Maybe they

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lack the passion, that fire in the belly, or

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maybe they just haven't developed the necessary

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management skills to take the farm forward successfully.

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Those sound like the silent killers you mentioned.

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That's exactly what they are, the silent killers

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of family farm legacies. Less dramatic than a

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tax bill, maybe, but often far more destructive.

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Okay, so let's really dig into the nitty gritty

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here. What are these specific challenges within

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dairy that make these generational transitions

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so darn difficult? Right. Dairy does have some

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very distinct hurdles. First and foremost, you've

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got the sheer capital intensity of modern operations.

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The money. Always the money. Always the money.

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We're not just talking land prices, which are

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significant enough. Think about the investment

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in things like robotic milking systems. Those

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aren't cheap. Not even close. We're talking upwards

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of $200 ,000 per unit in many cases. Per unit.

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Wow. Yeah. And a 2024 Compere financial report

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really hammered this home. They basically said,

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with the skyrocketing costs and the trend towards

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larger scale, the old model. The kids just buy

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out the parents. Exactly. That model, where the

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next generation simply buys out the retiring

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folks while keeping the business afloat financially,

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it's becoming increasingly unrealistic for many.

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The numbers just don't pencil out anymore. So

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it puts the next generation in a really tough

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spot right from day one, saddled with huge debt

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before they even, you know, make their mark.

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Precisely. And then you factor in the lifestyle

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commitment we talked about. It's unlike almost

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any other industry. Not a nine to five, that's

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for sure. No way. It's round -the -clock dedication.

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So anyone thinking about taking over isn't just

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making a business decision. They're choosing

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a way of life, really. It affects everything.

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Everything. Their family, their time. Their whole

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existence. Interestingly, some research out of

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Brazil in 2023 actually found a positive link

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between bigger farm size and actually doing formal

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succession planning. Really? So bigger farms

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are more likely to plan? It seems so. It suggests

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that maybe at a certain scale, with the increased

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complexity and the bigger financial stakes, the

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need for planning becomes more obvious. You can't

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just wing it. That makes sense. Or maybe smaller

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operations are just too swamped day to day. That

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can be part of it, too. The sheer daily demands

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might leave less time, less mental bandwidth

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for that long term strategic thinking. Yeah.

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When you're dealing with a sick cow or a broken

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feeder, next year's transition plan feels pretty

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far away. Exactly. And beyond the tangible stuff,

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the land, the cows, the equipment and the crazy

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workload, there's all that knowledge, isn't there?

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The dairy wisdom. That's a good way to put it.

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That intellectual capital, the deep understanding

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of. Herd genetics, repro cycles, nutrition quirks,

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keeping that milk quality perfect. Stuff you

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can't learn overnight. Not at all. And that invaluable

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knowledge needs to be transferred just as deliberately

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as the physical assets. A 2023 study, I think

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it was in the Journal of Agribusiness and Rural

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Development Research, identified farm transfer

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and farm handover as key patterns. Okay. And

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both of those require getting the potential successors

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involved actively and early. You need that overlap

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to make sure that vital, often unspoken knowledge

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isn't lost. Right. You can't just hand over the

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keys and say, good luck. Definitely not. Yeah.

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Expecting it all to magically transfer is a recipe

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for failure. So it sounds like the deck is kind

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of inherently stacked against a smooth transition

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in Derry, unless there's a really conscious,

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really well thought out effort. I think that's

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fair to say it requires intentionality. And that

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brings us to what you've identified as the three

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critical elements for either survival or, well,

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failure in this process. Unity. Talent and drive

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and asset growth. That's right. Those are the

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pillars. Let's start by unpacking this idea of

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unity. You emphasize it goes way beyond just

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everyone in the family getting along at Thanksgiving

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dinner. Oh, absolutely. That romantic notion,

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you know, that family harmony will just automatically

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prevail once the next generation is involved.

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It's a dangerously naive assumption. Just because

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you shared a bunk bed doesn't mean you can run

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a multi -million dollar business together. Exactly.

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The stakes are much higher. livelihoods, significant

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assets. It's a different ballgame. Legal experts

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who specialize in this, like Sandin Law, often

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talk about the challenge of balancing things.

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Balancing what? Balancing the needs and expectations

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of the kids who stay on the farm versus the kids

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who leave. How do you distribute assets fairly

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and keep the farm financially viable? It's a

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real tightrope walk. A very tough balancing act.

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You've even got a table here outlining what unity

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is and... maybe more importantly, what it isn't

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in a family farm business. Let's hit a few of

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these. Unity isn't about everyone always agreeing.

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Correct. True unity, in this context, is about

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creating an environment where everyone feels

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safe to speak up, even if they disagree, even

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if it's uncomfortable. So disagreement is okay?

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Healthy, even? It can be very healthy. Yeah.

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It leads to more robust discussion, better decisions

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in the end, suppressing different opinions just

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for a superficial piece. That's weak unity. Okay.

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And it's also not about needing total consensus

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on every single decision because that sounds

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impossible. It pretty much is impossible. And

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trying for it leads to paralysis. Nothing gets

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done. So what's the alternative? Intentional

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unity means that even if someone doesn't fully

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agree with a decision, once it's made, everyone

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commits. They get on board, work together to

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make it succeed. It's about trust and shared

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commitment to the farm's goals, even with individual

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reservations. Right. And this one might hit home

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for some families. Unity doesn't mean everyone

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has to be best friends outside of work. Exactly.

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Look, positive relationships help, obviously.

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But the foundation of unity in the business is

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about clear professional expectations. How do

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we interact here on the farm during business

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hours? Respecting roles and responsibilities?

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Yes. Mutual respect, shared commitment to the

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farm's success, regardless of whether you hang

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out together on Saturday night. Okay. And this

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one feels crucial for multi -gen farms. Unity

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isn't always about strict equality in pay. ownership,

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or responsibilities. This is a big one. Fairness

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in business isn't always the same as absolute

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equality. Oh, so? Unity here means having clearly

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defined roles, clear responsibilities, and transparent

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compensation structures that everyone understands

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and accepts. It's about setting realistic expectations

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up front. How does the next generation earn their

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way in? What's the exit plan for the senior generation?

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How are jobs divided? All agreed upon proactively.

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Not assumed. Never assumed. You quote Daryl Wade

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from Farm Life Financial Planning Group, saying

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that not having these tough conversations inevitably

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leads to bigger headaches later. That rings true.

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Avoidance just makes it worse. Absolutely. He

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stresses having regular family business meetings,

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separate from the day -to -day operational chat.

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Dedicated time for the tough stuff. Exactly.

00:12:42.250 --> 00:12:44.389
A structured space to tackle these succession

00:12:44.389 --> 00:12:47.299
issues before they blow up. Intentional unity

00:12:47.299 --> 00:12:50.279
doesn't just happen. It takes effort, communication,

00:12:50.720 --> 00:12:53.179
maybe even some structured arguments. Okay, so

00:12:53.179 --> 00:12:55.879
unity is more about structure and professionalism

00:12:55.879 --> 00:12:57.980
than just warm, fuzzy feelings. Pretty much,

00:12:58.080 --> 00:13:00.639
yeah. The second critical element... talent and

00:13:00.639 --> 00:13:03.460
drive in the next generation. And you make a

00:13:03.460 --> 00:13:06.440
really key point that entrepreneurial fire, the

00:13:06.440 --> 00:13:09.500
thing that maybe started the farm, it isn't automatically

00:13:09.500 --> 00:13:12.259
passed down like eye color. No, it's very natural

00:13:12.259 --> 00:13:14.620
for it to diminish, actually. The founding generation

00:13:14.620 --> 00:13:17.940
often starts with less, right? They operate out

00:13:17.940 --> 00:13:20.440
of necessity, maybe scarcity. Yeah. That breeds

00:13:20.440 --> 00:13:23.039
incredible work ethic, huge sacrifices. Built

00:13:23.039 --> 00:13:25.220
it from scratch. Right. Subsequent generations

00:13:25.220 --> 00:13:27.100
often grow up with more comfort, more security.

00:13:27.200 --> 00:13:30.419
So that initial intense, almost primal drive,

00:13:30.600 --> 00:13:33.320
it can naturally lessen. So farms need to actively

00:13:33.320 --> 00:13:35.580
counter that. Sustainable family farms recognize

00:13:35.580 --> 00:13:37.879
this. They put strategies in place. They know

00:13:37.879 --> 00:13:40.340
the business can't thrive long term if the owners

00:13:40.340 --> 00:13:42.379
lack drive, if they aren't bringing high value,

00:13:42.519 --> 00:13:44.519
if they aren't willing to adapt. And there seems

00:13:44.519 --> 00:13:46.940
to be a wider issue, too, with just getting young

00:13:46.940 --> 00:13:49.740
talent into farming in general. The average age

00:13:49.740 --> 00:13:52.159
keeps climbing. There is indeed. The Canadian

00:13:52.159 --> 00:13:55.059
Bar Association pointed this out. Farming is

00:13:55.059 --> 00:13:57.879
getting more capital intensive, more reliant

00:13:57.879 --> 00:14:00.899
on complex tech, advanced management skills.

00:14:01.120 --> 00:14:03.019
Needs a different skill set, maybe. It does.

00:14:03.240 --> 00:14:05.960
And at the same time, the percentage of farmers

00:14:05.960 --> 00:14:09.539
under 35 has plummeted. It went from 20 % back

00:14:09.539 --> 00:14:14.759
in 91 to just 8 % in 2021. 8 %! That's a tiny

00:14:14.759 --> 00:14:17.500
pipeline. It's a very real challenge. Finding

00:14:17.500 --> 00:14:19.919
and cultivating that next generation of skilled

00:14:19.919 --> 00:14:22.830
dairy operators is getting harder. And even when

00:14:22.830 --> 00:14:24.690
the next generation is involved working hard

00:14:24.690 --> 00:14:26.809
every day, it doesn't guarantee they see a clear

00:14:26.809 --> 00:14:28.809
path forward for themselves, does it? No, and

00:14:28.809 --> 00:14:31.629
that can be really disheartening. That 2024 Compure

00:14:31.629 --> 00:14:34.389
report mentioned this too. Often, the kids are

00:14:34.389 --> 00:14:37.129
deep in the labor, maybe even management, but

00:14:37.129 --> 00:14:39.590
they lack a clear, communicated vision for their

00:14:39.590 --> 00:14:42.009
future role. Like ownership or real decision

00:14:42.009 --> 00:14:44.870
-making power. Exactly. And that uncertainty,

00:14:45.049 --> 00:14:47.610
it can really stifle their long -term drives.

00:14:48.110 --> 00:14:50.830
Why pour your heart and soul into it if you don't

00:14:50.830 --> 00:14:53.309
see a tangible path forward, a real stake in

00:14:53.309 --> 00:14:55.629
the future? Yeah, that makes sense. And you also

00:14:55.629 --> 00:14:57.809
brought up this idea of the hidden succession

00:14:57.809 --> 00:15:00.250
challenge technology transfer. It's not just

00:15:00.250 --> 00:15:02.769
about breeding cows anymore. Not by a long shot.

00:15:03.190 --> 00:15:06.970
Modern dairy is so tech heavy. Automated milking,

00:15:07.090 --> 00:15:10.210
advanced genetic software, complex data analytics

00:15:10.210 --> 00:15:12.570
for herd management, financials. The list goes

00:15:12.570 --> 00:15:15.009
on. It really does. The next generation needs

00:15:15.009 --> 00:15:16.730
to be more than just comfortable with this stuff.

00:15:17.080 --> 00:15:19.500
They need to be proficient. It's a core competency

00:15:19.500 --> 00:15:22.899
now, alongside the traditional skills. Failing

00:15:22.899 --> 00:15:25.740
to transfer that tech aptitude, that's a critical

00:15:25.740 --> 00:15:28.179
but often overlooked failure point. The farm

00:15:28.179 --> 00:15:30.639
of tomorrow needs tech skills. Absolutely. And

00:15:30.639 --> 00:15:32.940
you included that example, kind of sad really,

00:15:33.100 --> 00:15:36.080
of Loveland Dairy Whip in Ohio. The ice cream

00:15:36.080 --> 00:15:38.279
shop with dairy roots. Yeah, closed after 31

00:15:38.279 --> 00:15:40.039
years because the next generation just wasn't

00:15:40.039 --> 00:15:42.399
interested. A clear consequence of that transfer

00:15:42.399 --> 00:15:45.539
failing. It really underscores it. When the passion

00:15:46.029 --> 00:15:50.269
the knowledge, the interest. When it isn't successfully

00:15:50.269 --> 00:15:53.629
passed down, legacies can just end. You can't

00:15:53.629 --> 00:15:55.669
assume they'll want it. You have to actively

00:15:55.669 --> 00:15:58.889
nurture that interest and capability. Okay, so

00:15:58.889 --> 00:16:01.570
we've got unity, talent, and drive. The third

00:16:01.570 --> 00:16:03.450
essential piece you talked about is asset growth,

00:16:03.610 --> 00:16:06.049
what you called the uncomfortable math. Yeah,

00:16:06.070 --> 00:16:08.389
uncomfortable because it forces a hard look at

00:16:08.389 --> 00:16:10.710
the financial realities. Which are? Which are

00:16:10.710 --> 00:16:13.850
that dairy farming takes huge capital. And every

00:16:13.850 --> 00:16:16.070
time another family member comes back to the

00:16:16.070 --> 00:16:18.929
farm, wanting to work, wanting ownership eventually,

00:16:19.210 --> 00:16:21.629
that's another household needing financial support

00:16:21.629 --> 00:16:24.110
from the business. Another mouth to feed, essentially,

00:16:24.289 --> 00:16:27.350
from the farm's profits. Exactly. So without

00:16:27.350 --> 00:16:29.629
corresponding strategic growth in the farm's

00:16:29.629 --> 00:16:33.090
assets, it's profitability. The basic math just

00:16:33.090 --> 00:16:35.289
doesn't work long term. You can't just maintain

00:16:35.289 --> 00:16:37.049
the status quo if you're adding more families

00:16:37.049 --> 00:16:39.870
to the draw. You have to grow the pie. It seems

00:16:39.870 --> 00:16:42.350
straightforward, but easy to ignore in the daily

00:16:42.350 --> 00:16:44.309
rush. You have to ask, right? If two kids come

00:16:44.309 --> 00:16:46.470
back, how much more net profit do we need just

00:16:46.470 --> 00:16:48.289
to keep everyone at the same standard of living?

00:16:48.830 --> 00:16:52.090
Precisely. And while that Brazil research linked

00:16:52.090 --> 00:16:54.610
bigger scale to more planning. Which makes sense.

00:16:54.769 --> 00:16:57.129
It does. But they also made a crucial point.

00:16:57.669 --> 00:17:01.409
Scale alone isn't the magic bullet. Oh. The communication,

00:17:01.669 --> 00:17:03.909
the strategic planning that goes with that scale,

00:17:03.970 --> 00:17:06.609
that's just as critical, maybe more so. Yeah.

00:17:06.859 --> 00:17:09.519
You can have a big, efficient farm, but if the

00:17:09.519 --> 00:17:11.819
financial structure can't support multiple families

00:17:11.819 --> 00:17:15.160
or if there's no plan for future growth, succession

00:17:15.160 --> 00:17:17.559
is still going to hit major roadblocks. Okay.

00:17:17.619 --> 00:17:20.079
So given all these potential traps, what can

00:17:20.079 --> 00:17:22.619
dairy farmers actually do? How do they defuse

00:17:22.619 --> 00:17:26.140
this family dairy time bomb? You've got a five

00:17:26.140 --> 00:17:28.599
-step action plan. Step one, assess your current

00:17:28.599 --> 00:17:31.019
readiness. This is ground zero. You need some

00:17:31.019 --> 00:17:33.200
honest self -reflection, maybe even uncomfortable

00:17:33.200 --> 00:17:35.759
reflection. Asking the hard questions. Exactly.

00:17:35.759 --> 00:17:38.140
Like, do we have a written, up -to -date succession

00:17:38.140 --> 00:17:40.519
plan? And has everyone involved actually reviewed

00:17:40.519 --> 00:17:42.799
it and agreed to it? Okay. What else? Have we

00:17:42.799 --> 00:17:45.000
clearly identified potential successors? And

00:17:45.000 --> 00:17:47.279
more importantly, are their current skills and

00:17:47.279 --> 00:17:49.519
training genuinely lining up with what the farm

00:17:49.519 --> 00:17:51.619
will need in the future, not just what it needs

00:17:51.619 --> 00:17:54.839
now? Future needs. Got it. Have we actually sat

00:17:54.839 --> 00:17:57.279
down and crunched the numbers? Calculated the

00:17:57.279 --> 00:17:59.680
long -term financial needs for every family member

00:17:59.680 --> 00:18:01.940
who plans to be involved. The uncomfortable math

00:18:01.940 --> 00:18:05.299
again. Yep. And finally, is our current growth

00:18:05.299 --> 00:18:08.940
path realistic? Is it actually enough to meet

00:18:08.940 --> 00:18:11.460
those future financial needs? And if the answer

00:18:11.460 --> 00:18:14.099
to any of those is no... Then your operation

00:18:14.099 --> 00:18:17.900
is likely in that danger zone. A no to even one

00:18:17.900 --> 00:18:21.539
puts you at significant risk. Experts generally

00:18:21.539 --> 00:18:25.009
say a comprehensive plan needs... Well, things

00:18:25.009 --> 00:18:26.950
like a three -year and five -year business plan.

00:18:27.049 --> 00:18:29.549
Okay. A unanimous shareholder agreement if you're

00:18:29.549 --> 00:18:32.150
incorporated. Clear lease agreements if land

00:18:32.150 --> 00:18:35.430
is rented. Updated financials, obviously. And

00:18:35.430 --> 00:18:38.130
explicit plans for grooming, training, knowledge

00:18:38.130 --> 00:18:40.589
transfer. Needs to be on paper, not just in someone's

00:18:40.589 --> 00:18:43.490
head. Absolutely. Documented, agreed upon. Okay.

00:18:43.549 --> 00:18:45.970
Tangible items. Step two in your plan, develop

00:18:45.970 --> 00:18:47.789
financial structures that actually support the

00:18:47.789 --> 00:18:49.769
transition. What does that look like practically?

00:18:50.069 --> 00:18:51.589
This often needs some creative thinking about

00:18:51.589 --> 00:18:54.180
structure, legal, and financial. The Canadian

00:18:54.180 --> 00:18:56.559
Bar Association had a good case study. What was

00:18:56.559 --> 00:18:59.059
the approach? Splitting the farm into two companies.

00:18:59.640 --> 00:19:02.940
One holds the main long -term assets land, big

00:19:02.940 --> 00:19:05.559
machinery, often kept by the senior generation

00:19:05.559 --> 00:19:08.039
initially. Okay, an asset holding company? Right.

00:19:08.160 --> 00:19:10.339
And a second company operates the actual farming

00:19:10.339 --> 00:19:13.740
business. It leases the assets from the holding

00:19:13.740 --> 00:19:17.019
company. And this operating company is what the

00:19:17.019 --> 00:19:19.859
successor generation gradually buys into. Ah,

00:19:19.940 --> 00:19:21.819
so they don't have to buy the whole farm outright

00:19:21.819 --> 00:19:25.140
at the start. Exactly. It massively eases the

00:19:25.140 --> 00:19:27.400
financial burden on them. They don't need that

00:19:27.400 --> 00:19:30.480
huge chunk of capital up front. Plus, it gives

00:19:30.480 --> 00:19:33.039
the retiring generation a steady income stream

00:19:33.039 --> 00:19:36.000
via the lease payments. That's clever. A win

00:19:36.000 --> 00:19:38.579
-win, potentially. It can be. The underlying

00:19:38.579 --> 00:19:41.640
idea is that sustainable farms push each generation

00:19:41.640 --> 00:19:44.000
to learn the skills needed for the future, not

00:19:44.000 --> 00:19:46.559
just the past. And the financial structure should

00:19:46.559 --> 00:19:48.599
support that forward look. Okay, interesting

00:19:48.599 --> 00:19:50.940
structure. Step three sounds simple, but maybe

00:19:50.940 --> 00:19:53.589
isn't? Start meaningful family conversations

00:19:53.589 --> 00:19:56.549
and start them now. Deceptively simple, absolutely.

00:19:56.930 --> 00:19:59.609
That Penn State Extension study, it consistently

00:19:59.609 --> 00:20:01.849
found communication is the hardest part of farm

00:20:01.849 --> 00:20:04.069
transitions. The biggest hurdle. Often, yes.

00:20:04.750 --> 00:20:07.109
And they stress that successful transitions,

00:20:07.369 --> 00:20:10.170
especially in complex operations like dairy,

00:20:10.349 --> 00:20:13.289
can realistically take five to ten years. Five

00:20:13.289 --> 00:20:15.980
to ten years. even when things go well. Even

00:20:15.980 --> 00:20:19.440
under the best circumstances, with everyone cooperating.

00:20:19.700 --> 00:20:22.500
That timeline alone shows why you need to start

00:20:22.500 --> 00:20:25.759
talking now. Urgently. Can't wait until retirement

00:20:25.759 --> 00:20:28.539
is looming. Definitely not. The Bullvine actually

00:20:28.539 --> 00:20:31.140
had an article on this back in February 24, ensuring

00:20:31.140 --> 00:20:34.319
the future. It's stressed starting early, having

00:20:34.319 --> 00:20:37.480
open, honest talks about everyone's goals, expectations.

00:20:37.680 --> 00:20:40.000
Getting it all out on the table. Yes. Getting

00:20:40.000 --> 00:20:42.900
everyone on the same page early minimizes conflict

00:20:42.900 --> 00:20:44.880
later. Makes the whole thing smoother. Makes

00:20:44.880 --> 00:20:46.700
sense. Can't solve a problem we won't discuss.

00:20:46.880 --> 00:20:49.980
Okay, step four. Intentionally develop your successors.

00:20:50.039 --> 00:20:51.819
This isn't just sink or swim. No, not at all.

00:20:51.839 --> 00:20:54.390
It has to be deliberate. systematic skill development,

00:20:54.529 --> 00:20:57.150
mentorship. That Compere article made another

00:20:57.150 --> 00:20:59.210
good point here. What's that? Lenders are increasingly

00:20:59.210 --> 00:21:02.710
asking about next -gen involvement, about the

00:21:02.710 --> 00:21:05.210
transition plan. They see a farm without a clear

00:21:05.210 --> 00:21:08.109
succession strategy as a higher long -term risk.

00:21:08.430 --> 00:21:11.369
So not having a plan, not developing successors,

00:21:11.369 --> 00:21:13.369
could actually hurt your borrowing ability now.

00:21:13.630 --> 00:21:16.109
It potentially could, yes. So whether it's formal

00:21:16.109 --> 00:21:18.950
ag education, structured on -farm training with

00:21:18.950 --> 00:21:21.609
more responsibility over time, external mentors.

00:21:23.259 --> 00:21:25.480
Successors need to actively build the skills,

00:21:25.619 --> 00:21:27.759
the knowledge, the leadership they'll need. Building

00:21:27.759 --> 00:21:30.680
capacity. Exactly. That Agraris Journal study

00:21:30.680 --> 00:21:34.000
backed this up too. Early, meaningful participation

00:21:34.000 --> 00:21:37.259
by successors is critical for long -term sustainability.

00:21:37.480 --> 00:21:39.779
You're investing in them, not just waiting for

00:21:39.779 --> 00:21:41.779
them to inherit. Right. A proactive investment.

00:21:42.119 --> 00:21:45.039
Okay. Fifth and final step. Get expert help to

00:21:45.039 --> 00:21:47.500
test and refine your plan. Don't go it alone.

00:21:47.759 --> 00:21:50.339
Absolutely non -negotiable. Succession planning

00:21:50.339 --> 00:21:53.279
hits so many complex areas. Legal, financial,

00:21:53.660 --> 00:21:56.259
tax, and maybe the trickiest, family dynamics.

00:21:56.519 --> 00:21:58.700
All intertwined. Deeply. As Compure advised,

00:21:58.980 --> 00:22:01.700
get guidance from pros, ag lawyers, tax advisors

00:22:01.700 --> 00:22:03.799
who get farm transitions, business consultants,

00:22:03.980 --> 00:22:05.980
your lenders. They all bring a piece. Because

00:22:05.980 --> 00:22:09.359
every farm is different. Totally unique. Assets,

00:22:09.359 --> 00:22:13.319
debts, family situation. A one -size -fits -all

00:22:13.319 --> 00:22:16.210
plan just won't work. Baker Tele Canada listed

00:22:16.210 --> 00:22:18.690
all the components. Family dynamics, training,

00:22:18.970 --> 00:22:21.049
financial transition, management transition,

00:22:21.349 --> 00:22:24.269
legal, taxes. It takes a team. It really does.

00:22:24.329 --> 00:22:27.089
A coordinated team to cover all the angles, make

00:22:27.089 --> 00:22:30.130
sure the plan is solid, legal, and actually doable.

00:22:30.410 --> 00:22:32.829
And we included a table, kind of a timeline.

00:22:33.150 --> 00:22:35.650
Yeah, I saw that. Immediate, short -term, long

00:22:35.650 --> 00:22:38.349
-term actions. Right. Just to show it's a process.

00:22:38.589 --> 00:22:41.769
Yes. A marathon, not a sprint. And you need experienced

00:22:41.769 --> 00:22:44.509
guides. Makes perfect sense. You wouldn't do

00:22:44.509 --> 00:22:47.589
surgery on your herd yourself. Why try to navigate

00:22:47.589 --> 00:22:50.930
the farm's future alone? Now, we've mostly talked

00:22:50.930 --> 00:22:52.829
parent to child, but you mentioned alternatives.

00:22:53.329 --> 00:22:54.630
Yeah, it's important to remember that's not the

00:22:54.630 --> 00:22:57.309
only path. Yeah. Always the best one. That Loveland

00:22:57.309 --> 00:22:59.130
Dairy Whip example. Where the kids didn't want

00:22:59.130 --> 00:23:01.349
it. Right. They ended up selling to an unrelated

00:23:01.349 --> 00:23:03.710
family who wanted to continue the business. The

00:23:03.710 --> 00:23:05.289
original owners hoped they'd build their own

00:23:05.289 --> 00:23:07.190
tradition there. So a different kind of legacy,

00:23:07.470 --> 00:23:10.799
but the business continues. Exactly. And other

00:23:10.799 --> 00:23:13.460
models are gaining traction, too. Worker cooperatives,

00:23:13.579 --> 00:23:15.920
employee ownership transitions. When there's

00:23:15.920 --> 00:23:18.039
no family successor. Right. Or if the family

00:23:18.039 --> 00:23:19.660
wants a different outcome. It keeps the farm

00:23:19.660 --> 00:23:22.339
going, keeps the employees employed. An Ontario

00:23:22.339 --> 00:23:26.119
Ministry of Ag report in 2023 stressed being

00:23:26.119 --> 00:23:29.279
flexible, considering a range of scenarios. Finding

00:23:29.279 --> 00:23:31.880
the right fit for that specific farm and family.

00:23:32.059 --> 00:23:34.519
Precisely. Finding a sustainable path forward,

00:23:34.599 --> 00:23:37.119
whatever it looks like. Okay. You also included

00:23:37.119 --> 00:23:39.539
a self -assessment tool. How does that work?

00:23:39.819 --> 00:23:41.960
Yeah, just a quick way for listeners to kind

00:23:41.960 --> 00:23:44.299
of gauge where they stand. High level, but useful.

00:23:44.539 --> 00:23:47.140
Five areas. Five key areas. Written planning,

00:23:47.359 --> 00:23:49.779
financial preparation, communication systems,

00:23:49.980 --> 00:23:52.220
talent development, and contingency planning.

00:23:52.400 --> 00:23:54.740
And you rate yourself one to five. Right. One

00:23:54.740 --> 00:23:57.019
means lots of work needed. Five means you're

00:23:57.019 --> 00:23:59.700
on solid ground. Add up the scores. If you're

00:23:59.700 --> 00:24:03.359
below 20 total. Red flag. Yeah, it suggests significant

00:24:03.359 --> 00:24:05.759
work is needed to improve your odds of a successful

00:24:05.759 --> 00:24:07.950
transition. We had a client once talking about

00:24:07.950 --> 00:24:09.809
the challenges. Their main goal, they said, was

00:24:09.809 --> 00:24:12.470
just not becoming terminal. They knew they were

00:24:12.470 --> 00:24:15.049
profitable now, but not structured to survive

00:24:15.049 --> 00:24:18.769
beyond them without a real plan. Wow. Not becoming

00:24:18.769 --> 00:24:21.789
terminal. That's blunt. But honest. And that

00:24:21.789 --> 00:24:24.210
self -awareness is often the crucial first step.

00:24:24.569 --> 00:24:27.049
Puts the stakes in perspective. So we've hit

00:24:27.049 --> 00:24:28.730
the challenges, the steps, the alternatives.

00:24:29.029 --> 00:24:31.670
But what are the real consequences of doing nothing,

00:24:31.809 --> 00:24:34.029
of inaction? Well, those grim stats we started

00:24:34.029 --> 00:24:36.589
with, two -thirds failing by Gen 2, over 80 %

00:24:36.589 --> 00:24:38.089
by Gen 3, that's just part of it. It's just the

00:24:38.089 --> 00:24:41.109
business side. Right. Compure reminded us, unforeseen

00:24:41.109 --> 00:24:44.170
stuff happens. Health scares, market crashes.

00:24:44.829 --> 00:24:48.230
A plan is a crucial safeguard. But beyond the

00:24:48.230 --> 00:24:50.369
money, beyond the farm may be dissolving. The

00:24:50.369 --> 00:24:53.119
human cost. the emotional psychological cost

00:24:53.119 --> 00:24:55.440
can be devastating. Family relationships already

00:24:55.440 --> 00:24:58.680
complex on a farm can be just destroyed. Bitter

00:24:58.680 --> 00:25:01.059
legal fights, no communication, the whole legacy

00:25:01.059 --> 00:25:04.440
built over generations evaporated, gone. Acrimony

00:25:04.440 --> 00:25:07.059
and regret instead of legacy. Exactly. Hopes

00:25:07.059 --> 00:25:09.240
and dreams just dissolved. It's incredibly sad

00:25:09.240 --> 00:25:12.359
when it happens. It is. A heavy thought, but

00:25:12.359 --> 00:25:16.079
vital. So as we wrap this deep dive, what's the

00:25:16.079 --> 00:25:18.920
fundamental question every dairy farm family

00:25:18.920 --> 00:25:22.059
needs to ask themselves? right now. The core

00:25:22.059 --> 00:25:25.460
question, the bottom line is this. Are you actively

00:25:25.460 --> 00:25:30.220
building a lasting legacy? Or are you maybe inadvertently

00:25:30.220 --> 00:25:32.740
creating a future liability for your loved ones?

00:25:32.960 --> 00:25:35.880
Legacy or liability? That's it. Census data shows

00:25:35.880 --> 00:25:37.900
a massive amount of farmland changing hands in

00:25:37.900 --> 00:25:40.480
the next couple of decades. Huge transfer. Risk

00:25:40.480 --> 00:25:43.980
and opportunity. Both. Big risk if you're unprepared.

00:25:44.099 --> 00:25:47.839
Huge opportunity if you plan proactively. Penn

00:25:47.839 --> 00:25:50.420
State Extension reframed it well. How so? They

00:25:50.420 --> 00:25:52.299
said succession planning is really about answering

00:25:52.299 --> 00:25:54.319
the question, what happens if the owner is suddenly

00:25:54.319 --> 00:25:58.640
unable to run the farm? Illness, accident. Modern

00:25:58.640 --> 00:26:00.839
farming is too complex to figure that out after

00:26:00.839 --> 00:26:02.539
a crisis hits. You can't wait for the emergency.

00:26:02.920 --> 00:26:05.160
No. And you hear from farmers who have successfully

00:26:05.160 --> 00:26:07.240
passed it on. They often say it's the hardest

00:26:07.240 --> 00:26:09.319
thing they ever did. But also their proudest

00:26:09.319 --> 00:26:11.460
achievement and the common thread. None of them

00:26:11.460 --> 00:26:12.960
left it to chance. They were all intentional.

00:26:12.960 --> 00:26:15.420
They planned. So the takeaway is crystal clear.

00:26:15.869 --> 00:26:18.349
Can't put this off. Not at all. The clock is

00:26:18.349 --> 00:26:20.589
absolutely ticking on that family dairy time

00:26:20.589 --> 00:26:23.410
bomb. The choice to diffuse it through planning,

00:26:23.490 --> 00:26:25.849
through communication, or risk letting it detonate.

00:26:26.089 --> 00:26:28.710
That choice rests entirely with you and your

00:26:28.710 --> 00:26:31.670
family. Okay. And just to quickly recap the absolute

00:26:31.670 --> 00:26:33.650
core messages from our discussion today. Right.

00:26:33.690 --> 00:26:37.769
First, remember that shocking stat, 83 .5 % don't

00:26:37.769 --> 00:26:40.250
make it to Gen 3. often due to poor planning,

00:26:40.390 --> 00:26:43.650
family conflict, lack of financial scaling. Okay,

00:26:43.730 --> 00:26:46.190
second. True unity isn't about zero conflict.

00:26:46.349 --> 00:26:48.509
It's about having structures to handle disagreements,

00:26:48.569 --> 00:26:51.230
formal agreements, maybe mediation to stay aligned

00:26:51.230 --> 00:26:53.809
on goals. Got it, third. Developing next -gen

00:26:53.809 --> 00:26:56.769
talent and drive needs deliberate effort. Skills,

00:26:56.990 --> 00:26:59.589
experience, real responsibility. It's not just

00:26:59.589 --> 00:27:02.170
inherited. Sustainable asset growth is essential

00:27:02.170 --> 00:27:04.630
to support multiple households. This often means

00:27:04.630 --> 00:27:06.609
creative financial structures, like separating

00:27:06.609 --> 00:27:09.470
assets from operations. And finally? Dairy has

00:27:09.470 --> 00:27:13.769
unique challenges. 247. High tech costs. Succession

00:27:13.769 --> 00:27:15.650
plans need to be tailored to these realities,

00:27:15.809 --> 00:27:18.650
not generic advice. And just to boil it down

00:27:18.650 --> 00:27:20.829
even further, the executive summary? Basically.

00:27:21.259 --> 00:27:24.140
Dairy faces a huge succession challenge, low

00:27:24.140 --> 00:27:27.220
success rates. Despite the complexity and cost

00:27:27.220 --> 00:27:30.599
of modern dairy, few have solid plans. Success

00:27:30.599 --> 00:27:33.839
hinges on unity, via structure, developing talent,

00:27:34.079 --> 00:27:36.920
and ensuring financial scalability. Dairy -specific

00:27:36.920 --> 00:27:40.240
demands amplify these needs. Proactive planning,

00:27:40.420 --> 00:27:42.740
family meetings, financial restructuring, skill

00:27:42.740 --> 00:27:44.940
development is vital to avoid farm collapse.

00:27:45.259 --> 00:27:48.019
With massive land transfer coming, the urgency

00:27:48.019 --> 00:27:50.920
is immense. Couldn't say it better. So there

00:27:50.920 --> 00:27:53.880
you have it. Succession planning isn't some optional

00:27:53.880 --> 00:27:56.240
luxury for dairy farm families. It's an absolute

00:27:56.240 --> 00:27:58.440
necessity if you want that legacy to continue.

00:27:58.619 --> 00:28:00.859
A must do. And with that, we want to leave you

00:28:00.859 --> 00:28:03.500
with one final thought, a call to action, really.

00:28:04.000 --> 00:28:06.839
What is one specific thing, however small it

00:28:06.839 --> 00:28:08.920
seems, that you can commit to doing today about

00:28:08.920 --> 00:28:11.380
your farm succession plan? Just one step. Maybe

00:28:11.380 --> 00:28:13.359
it's finally scheduling that family meeting you've

00:28:13.359 --> 00:28:15.240
been putting off. Maybe it's digging out your

00:28:15.240 --> 00:28:17.460
current will or estate plan just to look at it.

00:28:17.500 --> 00:28:20.039
Maybe it's doing 15 minutes of online research

00:28:20.039 --> 00:28:21.839
about different business structures. Anything

00:28:21.839 --> 00:28:24.680
to get the ball rolling. Exactly. Taking that

00:28:24.680 --> 00:28:27.359
first step. even if it feels overwhelming, is

00:28:27.359 --> 00:28:30.180
often the most critical move. We really hope

00:28:30.180 --> 00:28:32.480
this deep dive has given you some valuable insights

00:28:32.480 --> 00:28:34.940
and maybe the push you needed to start diffusing

00:28:34.940 --> 00:28:37.859
your family dairy time bomb. Thanks for tuning

00:28:37.859 --> 00:28:40.400
in to The Deep Dive. Until next time. That wraps

00:28:40.400 --> 00:28:43.019
our deep dive into the family dairy time bomb.

00:28:43.920 --> 00:28:47.039
Remember, building a lasting dairy legacy isn't

00:28:47.039 --> 00:28:49.980
about chance. It's about intention. The clock

00:28:49.980 --> 00:28:52.440
is ticking on your family farm's future and the

00:28:52.440 --> 00:28:55.309
choice to diffuse that bomb. or let it detonate,

00:28:55.349 --> 00:28:58.609
rests entirely with you. If this episode hit

00:28:58.609 --> 00:29:02.109
close to home, take one action this week. Schedule

00:29:02.109 --> 00:29:03.970
that uncomfortable family meeting you've been

00:29:03.970 --> 00:29:07.130
avoiding. Your dairy's future depends on conversations

00:29:07.130 --> 00:29:09.990
happening at your kitchen table, not just decisions

00:29:09.990 --> 00:29:13.029
made in the barn. For more industry -challenging

00:29:13.029 --> 00:29:16.250
insights and practical strategies, visit us at

00:29:16.250 --> 00:29:18.609
thebullvine .com, where we're constantly adding

00:29:18.609 --> 00:29:21.589
fresh, provocative content to help your operation

00:29:21.589 --> 00:29:25.710
thrive. Subscribe to our podcast, follow us on

00:29:25.710 --> 00:29:29.390
social media, and join the conversation. Thank

00:29:29.390 --> 00:29:31.710
you for joining us for this episode of the Bullvine

00:29:31.710 --> 00:29:34.150
Podcast, where we're not just passionate about

00:29:34.150 --> 00:29:37.029
dairy farming, we're obsessed with helping you

00:29:37.029 --> 00:29:40.349
build a legacy that lasts. Until next time, keep

00:29:40.349 --> 00:29:42.950
challenging conventional wisdom and building

00:29:42.950 --> 00:29:44.470
something worth passing on.
