WEBVTT

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Hello, everyone, and welcome to the 203rd episode

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of the Bullvine Podcast. I'm Bella, joined as

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always by my co -host Douglas. Today, we're diving

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into a fascinating market disruption that's reshaping

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the dairy genetics industry. Traditional genetics

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companies are being blindsided, while dairy farmers

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and beef specialists are capturing a massive

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portion of the beef on dairy market. That's right,

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Bella. We'll be unpacking how this seismic shift

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happened seemingly overnight, who the new players

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are, and what it means for dairy producers across

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North America. We'll look at the economic drivers,

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explain why traditional companies missed the

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boat, and provide some practical advice for producers

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navigating this new landscape. I've heard that

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traditional genetics companies now control only

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about 25 % of the beef on dairy market. That's

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a dramatic change from just a few years ago.

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Absolutely. And we're going to explain exactly

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how that happened and who's winning in this new

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reality. So let's dive right in. And Douglas,

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let's start with the basics. What exactly happened

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in the genetics marketplace that traditional

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companies didn't see coming? Well, Bella. It's

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quite simple. While the main AI players were

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busy perfecting their dairy genetic evaluation

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systems and marketing high TPI bulls, they completely

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missed the explosion of beef on dairy breeding.

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They were so focused on dairy genetics that they

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never anticipated how quickly dairy farmers would

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shift to using beef semen. But how quickly did

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this shift actually happen? Do we have any numbers

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on that? According to peer -reviewed research

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published in January 2023, the contribution of

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dairy steers to the U .S.-fed beef supply increased

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from 6 .9 % to 16 .3 % over just two decades.

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That's more than doubling their market presence.

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That's a remarkable increase. What drove this

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change? Several factors converged. First, we've

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seen declining beef cow numbers nationwide. Second,

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there's been increased use of sex dairy semen,

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which allows dairy farmers to produce replacement

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heifers from only their best cows. And third,

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maybe most importantly, Holstein bull calves

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essentially became worthless around 2016. Major

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U .S. beef packers were actively rejecting Holstein

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-fed calves, leaving dairy farmers in a terrible

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position. So, when dairy farmers couldn't sell

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their Holstein bull calves, they needed an alternative.

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and breeding to beef bulls provided a solution.

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Exactly. It was simple economics. If you can't

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sell a Holstein bull calf for a profit, but you

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can sell a beef cross calf for significantly

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more, the decision makes itself. What started

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as a survival tactic quickly became standard

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practice. It sounds like traditional genetics

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companies were caught completely flat -footed

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by this market transformation. They absolutely

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were. They spent decades building elaborate genomic

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indexes and commanding premium prices for dairy

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genetics while assuming their market dominance

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was untouchable. Meanwhile, innovative dairy

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producers and beef -focused companies were quietly

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building a parallel genetic supply chain. Let's

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talk about these new players. Who exactly stepped

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in to fill this market need when traditional

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companies weren't paying attention? There are

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really two major groups that captured this opportunity.

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First, we have specialized beef genetics providers

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who understood both the dairy production system

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and beef quality requirements. And second, perhaps

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more surprisingly, we have large dairy operations

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that started producing their own genetics in

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-house. Can you give us some examples of these

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new providers? One fascinating example is Grimius

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Cattle Company. They were primarily known as

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a cattle feeding operation handling dairy steers

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and heifers since the 1960s. But they've transformed

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themselves into a genetic powerhouse by aggressively

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acquiring premium Angus genetics. How exactly

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did they do that? Rather than trying to build

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a genomic program from scratch, Grimmius purchased

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high -selling bulls from elite breeders, including

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Hoover Angus Farm, Spring Cove Ranch, and Gardner

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Angus Ranch. They went straight to proven genetics

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that deliver in the feedlot, something they understand

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better than most dairy -focused genetic companies

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ever could. So they leveraged their practical

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experience in feeding beef dairy crosses to identify

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the genetics that would work best. Precisely.

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But perhaps even more disruptive are the large

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dairy operations that have completely bypassed

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traditional genetics providers altogether. How

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are they doing that? Operations like Riverview

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and Faria have thousands of cows under management.

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At that scale, they've determined it's more economical

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to develop their own semen production facilities

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than to purchase from established companies.

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Faria now produces all its own beef semen, leveraging

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its massive scale to justify the investment in

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collection facilities and bull maintenance. That's

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vertical integration in the dairy industry. What

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makes this approach so economically attractive?

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The economics are actually quite simple and devastating

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for traditional providers. At sufficient scale,

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in -house production eliminates markup, allows

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customized genetic selection, and even creates

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potential for additional revenue by selling excess

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inventory to neighboring operations. It's a complete

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upheaval of the traditional business model. Let's

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talk about the impact this market transformation

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has had on traditional genetics companies. How

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badly have they been hurt? The financial consequences

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have been severe and are getting worse. As beef

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on dairy breeding has exploded, the market for

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conventional dairy semen has contracted significantly.

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Some estimates put the reduction at 25 to 35

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percent virtually overnight. And this market

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contraction coincided with inflationary pressures

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that increased operational costs across the board.

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So they're getting hit from both sides, selling

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less product while costs are rising. Exactly.

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For companies structured around high -volume

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sales with substantial overhead, the math simply

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doesn't work anymore. Their entire business model

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was built around a specific blend of sales and

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volumes that the beef -on -dairy revolution has

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completely undermined. Let's see what specific

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challenges do they face in competing in this

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new market. Traditional genetics companies now

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face higher per -unit costs for dairy semen production

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because their fixed expenses, things like facilities,

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bull housing, genetic testing, and staff, must

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be spread across fewer units sold. Meanwhile,

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their beef programs lack the specialized expertise

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and market connections that give focused beef

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genetics providers their competitive edge. It's

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a classic disruption scenario. So their cost

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structure doesn't work with lower volumes, and

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they don't have the specialized beef knowledge

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to quickly pivot. That's exactly right. They

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were optimized for a market that has fundamentally

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changed. Douglas, one thing I find fascinating

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is how differently dairy farmers and beef producers

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think about genetics. Can you explain that disconnect?

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This is actually one of the most interesting

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aspects of this market transformation. Dairy

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producers have traditionally selected which cows

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to breed to beef based primarily on reproductive

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performance, lactation number, and milk production.

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Basically, which cows aren't worthy of producing

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replacement heifers. And what criteria do dairy

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farmers use when selecting which beef bulls to

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use? That's where it gets really interesting.

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For many dairy producers, the criteria are remarkably

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straightforward. calving ease, and solid black

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hair coat. This black calf syndrome, as some

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call it, represents both a market failure and

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an enormous opportunity. So many dairy producers

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are just looking for any black calf without much

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concern for specific beef genetic traits. That's

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right. Most aren't considering comprehensive

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genetic merit that would maximize value throughout

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the beef supply chain. Research shows that of

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the beef breeds used in dairy herds, Angus dominates

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at 89%, followed by Limison at 12%, Charolais

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at 7%, and Simmental at 4%. This preference for

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black -hided calves is driven by U .S. beef production

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premiums for black, coat -colored calves. Healing.

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But there must be significant differences between

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dairy and beef cattle beyond just hair color,

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right? Absolutely. Many dairy producers don't

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fully appreciate the significant differences

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between dairy and beef cattle carcasses. Scientific

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research shows that dairy steers have lesser

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dressing percentages and yield 2 -12 % less red

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meat compared to beef steers. This is due to

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a greater ratio of bone to muscle, internal fat,

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organ size, and gastrointestinal tract weight.

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Additionally, Holstein carcasses tend to be longer,

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while Jersey carcasses are typically lighter

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weight than carcasses from beef breeds. I understand

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there have been some efforts in the industry

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to address these challenges with specialized

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genetic indexes. Could you explain these initiatives

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in more detail? Absolutely. The beef industry

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recognized this opportunity and developed specific

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tools to help optimize beef on dairy breeding.

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The American Angus Association, for example,

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developed the Dollar Angus on Holstein Index,

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commonly written as Dollar AXH, and the Dollar

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Angus on Jersey Index. written as dollar AXJ.

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How exactly do these indexes work? Are they similar

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to the dairy indexes most of our listeners are

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familiar with? In concept, yes. Just like how

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the dairy industry has net merit, or TPI, that

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combine multiple traits into a single economic

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value, these beef on dairy indexes combine traits

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that matter specifically for crossbred animals.

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The $AXH index emphasizes calving ease, which

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is less of an issue in Holstein crosses, but

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heavily weights marbling, muscle conformation,

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and appropriate carcass length to address the

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specific challenges of Holstein -influenced carcasses.

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And what about the Holcim index you mentioned

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earlier? The Holcim index is particularly interesting

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because it represents a formal collaboration

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between the Holcim Association USA and the American

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Cemental Association. It was specifically designed

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for selecting cemental and angus -crossed bulls

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for use on Holstein females. What makes this

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unique is that it represents the dairy and beef

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industries actually working together to solve

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these challenges. With these specialized tools

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available, why aren't more dairy producers using

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them? That's the million -dollar question. Despite

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these resources being available, adoption has

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been limited. Part of the issue is that dairy

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people don't think like beef people, as the saying

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goes. Dairy producers are accustomed to selecting

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for milk production components and health traits.

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The concept of selecting for carcass traits,

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feed efficiency in the feedlot, and beef quality

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grade is simply outside their traditional area

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of focus. Are there any success stories of dairy

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producers who have embraced these specialized

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indexes? While individual success stories exist,

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the broader industry hasn't yet made this transition.

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The peer -reviewed research shows that of beef

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on dairy crosses reported by the Council on Dairy

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Cattle Breeding from 2016 to 2019, 95 % used

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Angus semen. But very few were using specialized

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beef on dairy indexes to select those Angus bulls.

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This represents a significant opportunity for

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education and improvement. Let's dive deeper

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into the specific differences between dairy steers

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and beef steers. I know there's research on this

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topic that could help our listeners understand

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the economic implications better. I'd be happy

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to walk through the research findings. Based

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on peer -reviewed research published in January

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2023, there are six key characteristics where

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dairy steers differ from beef steers, and each

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represents an opportunity for improvement through

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optimized breeding. What's the first characteristic?

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First is dressing percentage. That's the ratio

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of carcass weight to live weight. Dairy steers

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have a lower dressing percentage than beef steers.

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However, with optimized beef by dairy breeding

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strategies, producers can achieve a 2 -5 % improvement

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in this metric. And what about the actual meat

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yield? That's the second key difference. Red

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meat yield from dairy steers is typically 2 -12

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% less than from beef steers. This is considered

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the baseline in the industry. With proper beef

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on dairy crossbreeding, producers can see a 3

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-8 % improvement in red meat yield. That's significant

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when you consider the economics of beef production.

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What about carcass conformation issues? The third

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and fourth characteristics relate to carcass

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dimensions. Holstein carcasses tend to be longer

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than standard beef carcasses, while Jersey carcasses

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are typically lighter weight. Both of these characteristics

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can be addressed with proper sire selection.

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This is where those specialized indexes we discussed

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can be particularly valuable. Absolutely. The

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fifth characteristic is quality grade, where

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dairy steers often have more desirable scores

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on average compared to beef steers. And the sixth

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characteristic is performance predictability.

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Dairy animals show high uniformity compared to

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the more variable beef steers. Both of these

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advantages can be maintained with proper genetics

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while addressing the disadvantages. So with a

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strategic breeding approach, dairy producers

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can maintain the quality advantages of dairy

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animals while improving the characteristics that

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typically make them less valuable for beef production.

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That's exactly right. And that's why selecting

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bulls based solely on black hide color and calving

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ease leave significant value on the table. There's

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potential for much greater economic returns with

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a more sophisticated approach. Earlier, you mentioned

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five questions dairy farmers should ask when

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evaluating beef genetics providers. Let's explore

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these in more practical terms. How might a typical

00:15:17.120 --> 00:15:19.840
dairy producer actually use these questions?

00:15:20.779 --> 00:15:22.940
Let's walk through each question with a real

00:15:22.940 --> 00:15:25.960
-world example. Imagine you're a 200 -cow dairy

00:15:25.960 --> 00:15:28.539
operation looking to change your beef semen provider.

00:15:29.379 --> 00:15:32.059
When meeting with potential suppliers, the first

00:15:32.059 --> 00:15:35.620
question to ask is, beyond black hide and calving

00:15:35.620 --> 00:15:38.139
ease, what specific genetic traits does your

00:15:38.139 --> 00:15:40.899
program select for that will maximize my calves'

00:15:41.019 --> 00:15:44.659
value in the beef chain? What should producers

00:15:44.659 --> 00:15:48.019
listen for in the response? They should listen

00:15:48.019 --> 00:15:51.139
for specific traits like feed efficiency, ribeye

00:15:51.139 --> 00:15:55.299
area, marbling score, and red meat yield. A quality

00:15:55.299 --> 00:15:57.539
provider will talk about these traits in economic

00:15:57.539 --> 00:16:00.519
terms. For example, explaining that a one square

00:16:00.519 --> 00:16:02.840
inch increase in ribeye area might translate

00:16:02.840 --> 00:16:06.879
to $15 more value per calf. If they just talk

00:16:06.879 --> 00:16:09.100
about better beef qualities without specifics,

00:16:09.399 --> 00:16:12.720
that's a red flag. What about the second question

00:16:12.720 --> 00:16:16.899
regarding feedlot performance? When asking, what

00:16:16.899 --> 00:16:19.399
data can you provide on feedlot performance and

00:16:19.399 --> 00:16:22.059
carcass characteristics of your sire's progeny,

00:16:22.600 --> 00:16:24.879
Producers should expect to see actual data sheets,

00:16:25.080 --> 00:16:28.000
not just marketing claims. A serious beef genetics

00:16:28.000 --> 00:16:30.419
provider should have information on average daily

00:16:30.419 --> 00:16:34.120
gain, feed conversion ratios, and USDA yield

00:16:34.120 --> 00:16:37.379
and quality grades from actual progeny. Ideally,

00:16:37.539 --> 00:16:40.019
they'd have comparison data showing how their

00:16:40.019 --> 00:16:42.940
genetics perform, specifically in beef on dairy

00:16:42.940 --> 00:16:45.899
crosses, rather than just purebred beef settings.

00:16:46.519 --> 00:16:49.259
The third question was about specialized beef

00:16:49.259 --> 00:16:52.279
on dairy indexes. How should a farmer evaluate

00:16:52.279 --> 00:16:56.019
those answers? When asking if they use specific

00:16:56.019 --> 00:17:00.759
beef on dairy indexes like $AXH or HALSIM, listen

00:17:00.759 --> 00:17:02.720
for whether they understand the unique challenges

00:17:02.720 --> 00:17:06.480
of beef -dairy crosses. A good answer would include

00:17:06.480 --> 00:17:09.259
an explanation of how these indexes weight different

00:17:09.259 --> 00:17:12.420
traits compared to standard beef indexes, and

00:17:12.420 --> 00:17:15.880
why that matters for dairy producers. If they

00:17:15.880 --> 00:17:18.660
dismiss these specialized indexes or seem unfamiliar

00:17:18.660 --> 00:17:21.480
with them, That suggests they haven't really

00:17:21.480 --> 00:17:24.220
focused on the specific needs of dairy clients.

00:17:24.680 --> 00:17:27.180
The fourth question was about price premiums.

00:17:27.180 --> 00:17:31.019
What constitutes a good answer there? For the

00:17:31.019 --> 00:17:34.299
question, what price premiums are your beef on

00:17:34.299 --> 00:17:36.619
dairy calves averaging compared to generic black

00:17:36.619 --> 00:17:39.559
calves? Producers should look for specific dollar

00:17:39.559 --> 00:17:42.420
amounts backed by auction data or contract prices.

00:17:43.119 --> 00:17:45.819
A quality provider might say something like,

00:17:46.410 --> 00:17:49.289
Our beef on dairy calves consistently bring $25

00:17:49.289 --> 00:17:52.569
to $40 more per hundredweight than standard black

00:17:52.569 --> 00:17:56.190
crosses at regional auctions. Vague answers suggest

00:17:56.190 --> 00:17:58.390
they don't track this critical economic information.

00:17:59.390 --> 00:18:02.230
And finally, what about references from other

00:18:02.230 --> 00:18:05.910
dairy producers? This might be the most important

00:18:05.910 --> 00:18:08.950
question. Can you provide references from dairy

00:18:08.950 --> 00:18:11.690
producers who've seen measurable economic benefits

00:18:11.690 --> 00:18:15.150
from using your genetics? A reputable provider

00:18:15.150 --> 00:18:17.329
should immediately offer contact information

00:18:17.329 --> 00:18:19.930
for existing clients with operations similar

00:18:19.930 --> 00:18:23.190
to yours. Follow up with these references and

00:18:23.190 --> 00:18:26.589
ask specific questions about calving ease, buyer

00:18:26.589 --> 00:18:29.710
feedback, and price differentials. Real experiences

00:18:29.710 --> 00:18:32.950
from other dairy farmers are invaluable in evaluating

00:18:32.950 --> 00:18:36.089
these claims. So these questions help dairy producers

00:18:36.089 --> 00:18:38.990
cut through the marketing hype and determine

00:18:38.990 --> 00:18:42.089
which genetic providers are truly offering superior

00:18:42.089 --> 00:18:47.460
value. Exactly. These five questions transform

00:18:47.460 --> 00:18:50.660
a dairy producer from a passive buyer to an informed

00:18:50.660 --> 00:18:53.180
consumer who can make breeding decisions based

00:18:53.180 --> 00:18:55.720
on economic outcomes rather than just tradition

00:18:55.720 --> 00:19:05.220
or convenience. We're witnessing a fundamental

00:19:05.220 --> 00:19:07.519
restructuring that traditional companies simply

00:19:07.519 --> 00:19:11.380
cannot ignore. Of the beef on dairy crosses reported

00:19:11.380 --> 00:19:16.609
from 2016 to 2019, A staggering 95 % used Angus

00:19:16.609 --> 00:19:19.809
semen, demonstrating just how concentrated this

00:19:19.809 --> 00:19:23.009
market has become on one breed. What do traditional

00:19:23.009 --> 00:19:25.910
genetics companies need to do to survive in this

00:19:25.910 --> 00:19:30.450
new reality? They really have two options. Either

00:19:30.450 --> 00:19:33.210
dramatically downsize their operations to match

00:19:33.210 --> 00:19:36.910
the reduced dairy semen market, or develop specialized

00:19:36.910 --> 00:19:40.049
beef genetics divisions that can truly compete

00:19:40.049 --> 00:19:43.720
with focused providers. Major genetics companies

00:19:43.720 --> 00:19:45.920
have already begun moving in this direction by

00:19:45.920 --> 00:19:48.359
expanding their beef operations, but they're

00:19:48.359 --> 00:19:50.240
playing catch up in a market where specialist

00:19:50.240 --> 00:19:52.839
providers have established significant advantages.

00:19:54.200 --> 00:19:57.559
And what about dairy producers? Will we see more

00:19:57.559 --> 00:20:02.140
vertical integration? Absolutely. Innovative

00:20:02.140 --> 00:20:04.599
dairy producers are likely to continue moving

00:20:04.599 --> 00:20:06.920
toward vertical integration of their genetic

00:20:06.920 --> 00:20:10.099
supply. The economics are simply too compelling

00:20:10.099 --> 00:20:13.099
to ignore. Why pay premium prices for genetics

00:20:13.099 --> 00:20:15.500
when you can produce custom -tailored semen in

00:20:15.500 --> 00:20:18.720
-house at a fraction of the cost? Of course,

00:20:18.799 --> 00:20:20.960
this only works for operations with sufficient

00:20:20.960 --> 00:20:25.140
scale. What opportunities do you see for specialized

00:20:25.140 --> 00:20:28.960
beef genetics providers? The opportunity is enormous.

00:20:29.930 --> 00:20:32.450
By focusing exclusively on the beef on dairy

00:20:32.450 --> 00:20:35.150
segment and developing products optimized for

00:20:35.150 --> 00:20:37.630
this specific market niche, they can deliver

00:20:37.630 --> 00:20:40.490
superior economic outcomes compared to generic

00:20:40.490 --> 00:20:43.990
black calf programs. The real innovation will

00:20:43.990 --> 00:20:46.329
come from providers who can bring dairy -style

00:20:46.329 --> 00:20:48.690
genomic evaluation to beef on dairy breeding

00:20:48.690 --> 00:20:52.430
decisions. As this market transformation continues,

00:20:52.930 --> 00:20:55.390
who do you see as the clear winners and losers?

00:20:56.940 --> 00:20:59.440
The winners are definitely the nimble, specialized

00:20:59.440 --> 00:21:02.920
beef genetics providers who understand both dairy

00:21:02.920 --> 00:21:05.559
production systems and beef quality requirements.

00:21:06.000 --> 00:21:08.839
We're also seeing large dairy operations with

00:21:08.839 --> 00:21:11.940
sufficient scale to justify in -house semen production

00:21:11.940 --> 00:21:15.279
coming out ahead. And the third group of winners

00:21:15.279 --> 00:21:18.140
are the innovative crossbreed specialists who

00:21:18.140 --> 00:21:20.539
can optimize for both dairy and beef traits.

00:21:21.339 --> 00:21:25.160
Traditional genetics companies that fail to adapt

00:21:25.160 --> 00:21:27.890
quickly enough are the clear losers in this scenario.

00:21:28.930 --> 00:21:31.289
The market share they've already lost is likely

00:21:31.289 --> 00:21:34.349
gone forever. The only question is whether they

00:21:34.349 --> 00:21:37.049
can stabilize their position or continue losing

00:21:37.049 --> 00:21:40.690
ground. Newfall, what does this transformation

00:21:40.690 --> 00:21:42.930
mean for the average dairy producer who might

00:21:42.930 --> 00:21:47.390
be listening to our podcast right now? For dairy

00:21:47.390 --> 00:21:50.329
producers, this transformation creates both opportunities

00:21:50.329 --> 00:21:54.430
and challenges. The proliferation of genetic

00:21:54.430 --> 00:21:57.049
sources provides more options than ever before,

00:21:57.269 --> 00:22:00.089
but it also requires more sophisticated evaluation

00:22:00.089 --> 00:22:03.869
of potential partners. Those who approach beef

00:22:03.869 --> 00:22:06.210
on dairy breeding with the same analytical rigor

00:22:06.210 --> 00:22:08.349
they apply to their dairy breeding program will

00:22:08.349 --> 00:22:10.950
capture significantly more value than those settling

00:22:10.950 --> 00:22:15.990
for commodity black calves. We've covered a lot

00:22:15.990 --> 00:22:19.109
of ground today. The beef on dairy revolution

00:22:19.109 --> 00:22:21.690
has permanently altered the genetics landscape.

00:22:22.480 --> 00:22:24.700
What was once a market dominated by a handful

00:22:24.700 --> 00:22:27.460
of large genetics companies has transformed into

00:22:27.460 --> 00:22:30.420
a diverse ecosystem where specialized providers

00:22:30.420 --> 00:22:33.339
and vertically integrated dairy operations play

00:22:33.339 --> 00:22:37.140
increasingly important roles. That's right, Bella.

00:22:37.259 --> 00:22:39.759
The established genetic providers were caught

00:22:39.759 --> 00:22:43.400
flat -footed by this transformation. While they've

00:22:43.400 --> 00:22:45.970
begun adjusting their strategies, The question

00:22:45.970 --> 00:22:48.150
remains whether they can adapt quickly enough

00:22:48.150 --> 00:22:50.849
to recapture market share from the upstarts who

00:22:50.849 --> 00:22:57.569
recognized this opportunity first. For our listeners,

00:22:57.849 --> 00:23:00.670
the message is clear. The genetic marketplace

00:23:00.670 --> 00:23:03.589
is more competitive and diverse than ever before.

00:23:04.049 --> 00:23:06.309
Whether you're running a large -scale operation

00:23:06.309 --> 00:23:09.299
considering vertical integration, or a medium

00:23:09.299 --> 00:23:12.319
-sized farm evaluating breeding options, the

00:23:12.319 --> 00:23:15.299
days of simply defaulting to traditional genetics

00:23:15.299 --> 00:23:19.180
providers are over. Absolutely. The genetics

00:23:19.180 --> 00:23:21.559
industry has been disrupted, and smart producers

00:23:21.559 --> 00:23:23.819
will leverage this disruption to capture more

00:23:23.819 --> 00:23:27.460
value from every breeding decision. I recommend

00:23:27.460 --> 00:23:30.000
all dairy producers take a fresh look at their

00:23:30.000 --> 00:23:32.920
beef on dairy strategy with the same attention

00:23:32.920 --> 00:23:36.400
they give their dairy genetics program. The economic

00:23:36.400 --> 00:23:39.930
benefits can be substantial. That brings us to

00:23:39.930 --> 00:23:42.390
the end of today's episode of the Bullvine Podcast.

00:23:43.289 --> 00:23:45.549
We want to thank you for listening, and we'd

00:23:45.549 --> 00:23:48.150
love to hear about your experiences with beef

00:23:48.150 --> 00:23:51.170
on dairy breeding. You can reach us through our

00:23:51.170 --> 00:23:56.390
website at www .thebullvine .com or on all major

00:23:56.390 --> 00:23:59.089
social media platforms. And don't forget to subscribe

00:23:59.089 --> 00:24:01.490
to the Bullvine Podcast wherever you get your

00:24:01.490 --> 00:24:06.289
podcasts. Until next time, I'm Douglas. And I'm

00:24:06.289 --> 00:24:07.690
Bella. Thanks for listening.
