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So, welcome to Labour NHS Chaos Part 1.

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I believe there's multi-issues from scrapping the winter allowance for 2024.

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Number one, there's not been enough time for people to get onto the register if they're

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owed it and there's not enough time for other people to save.

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So there's a lot of unintended consequences, so I'm expecting that 90,000 beds will be

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needed this year solely for this particular issue.

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We're going to have lots of retirees which will not go out for their usual sort of Friday

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or Monday lunch into the civilisation.

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They'll spend more time huddled at home and they would probably eat less.

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All indications can look, and this will be part of my section 2, 3 and maybe 4, 5, that

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the winter of 2024 will be biting cold with snow.

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Now the problem is with most things related to heating and the weather is that we've

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got a north, south, east, west.

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Now in the north it's probably going to be a lot, lot colder than the south and the east

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is probably going to be a lot, lot colder than the west.

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There should be some sort of factor involved and I think there should be a campaign with

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local authorities to actually get some funding so that we don't, I mean we haven't spent

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sort of 4, 5, 6 years with people losing their careers, losing their livelihoods.

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I mean effectively some committing suicide because we were stuck at home for that many

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years to actually not care in another time period about our elderly.

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And I think that you have to support people in their own older life.

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I mean the campaign probably should go ahead, maybe the first year to make sure that everybody

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who can claim has claimed.

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People can actually start to get a war chest and for other people that are on the crux

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of that matter there needs to be something implemented so that for that period they just

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keep warm and they can pay it off in increments a lot later and nobody when they're paying

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for direct debit in their, you know over 65 should be trudging to get a credit which

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they have to put in their prepaid meter.

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I mean it is a little bit barbaric.

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But here I found this document, I mean I'm doing this in stages because the first document

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effectively says that there's a lot of unintended excess deaths as it's called, not just for

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just the elderly but for you know you've got the flip side.

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You know it's the elderly, it's the young, it's the undernourished.

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And another report that I'm going to portray maybe in number three is to say that this

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year is going to be biting.

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So let's start.

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So even with the relevant credit, the actual massive subsidies you had about 5,000 people

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excess winter deaths.

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So let's go straight to the chart.

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So 2022, 2023, so I don't have 2023, 2024.

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So I suppose the temperature was roughly the same.

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I mean it's effectively about the temperature.

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So we're going to have sort of 5,000 excess deaths.

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Now the other thing is that it's quite difficult to determine whether you died through hypothermia

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or something else.

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So I would take that to probably read with a zero on the end.

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So I would say it's probably more likely to be 50,000 people because there's a lot of

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people that aren't heating their homes properly, which adds to probably dying by their current

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ailments and fighting back as well as potentially their mold spores that grow in the property.

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So this is out of end fuel poverty.co.uk.

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So they've got this published.

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I mean it's directly from the government.

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So historic records already indicate that when the mean temperature in the UK drops

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below four degrees centigrade, the level of excess winter deaths skyrocket.

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The average temperature last winter was 4.3 degrees.

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So maybe there should be a rethink and they've got all of the records for the pensioners.

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If in the region that it drops below four degrees, they should probably get an automatic

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credit for probably that week.

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So they don't have to worry because we should protect our pensioners, but also we should

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protect the NHS.

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So there's going to be a lot of pensioners who could quite easily look after themselves

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at home with the adequate resources, which will be bombarding the NHS or will be potentially

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bombarding the NHS and other sort of government sources.

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So it says here, while December 2023 was exceptionally warm, average daily temperatures for the UK

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in January are full costs, the dip to as low as minus 1.6 degrees and fell to minus 14

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in some parts of the country.

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I mean minus 14, you probably have to have the heating on all the time, multiple layers

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and that costs.

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So the government continues to rely on warm homes discount, cold weather payments and

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winter fuel payments as a measure of support to households.

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So if they're gone, that's going to cause a massive burden.

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This winter, the government refused demand to support households through an emergency

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energy chowref and a help to repay scheme for those in energy debt.

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So I mean, effectively pay over time.

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So the Met Office official guidance is that El Nino winters are more likely, which I'll

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come to probably in my part three.

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With 2023 being declared as the hottest year on record, and we're still getting quite a

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hefty number of excess deaths, campaigners have urged politicians to grasp the seriousness

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of the situation.

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Singers from the Warm This Winter campaign share that 8.3 million adults are living in

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cold damp homes.

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So that's just not pensioners.

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But why shouldn't everybody have the dignity to effectively survive the winter?

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As temperatures drop, these conditions go from being uncompromising to downright dangerous.

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But while households struggle, ministers are sitting on their hands and leaving matters

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of life and death to chance.

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So I mean, we probably need some sort of the relevant gas companies to say any pensioner

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can get their boiler serviced at a reduced cost or for free.

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And there are so many of us who do not service our boiler.

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And when we need it in the cold time of the year, it packs up.

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And then we are sort of using candles, which are dangerous.

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We are using open fires, which can be dangerous or illegal.

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And we are using electricity to actually warm ourselves, which is costly.

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And in some areas, people believe that you can just use it like a radiator so you can

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close over the top of it, which leads to lots of other problems.

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So there's probably going to be an uptick this winter in the need for the police, ambulance,

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NHS, and local authorities.

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So instead of taking action on energy bills, they have allowed energy firms to restart

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using the courts to force households onto prepayment meters and have now ruled out reformed

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for energy tariffs to help those most in need.

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I mean, effectively, I think most people wouldn't really mind if you have a household where

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everybody is over the age of, say, 65, 68.

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They have a special tariff, which is subsidized by the rest of us.

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Maybe that's something to think about.

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They would rather play politics with a ridiculous oil and gas licensing bill that will do nothing

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to improve energy security or lower bills than take meaningful action to help households

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struggling right now.

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I mean, how long would UK energy take to come on board?

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And we're looking at outmoded and dangerous wind farms as well as incredibly old style

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use of solar panels.

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You know, just sticking them on the ground isn't the way forward because you want the

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ground to maintain itself.

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There are totally different ways to actually install solar panels where you can have grazing,

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you can have a proper field which will grow wildfire, wild flowers and wildlife, and you

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can actually rotate these fields in the future.

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So we're concerned at the level of disinterest shared by the government.

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Well, paying from the vulnerable to the unions probably isn't the way.

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Welfare of older people at a time when temperatures drop in well below freezing, because I think

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that will be the case at the end of 2024.

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And we've spent a lot of money, time and effort making sure that the elderly survive through

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the pandemic and then we're letting them run wild and not supporting them at this time.

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I mean, the extreme was minus 14 degrees.

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And then it does not get much warmer until later in the day.

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So I mean, it's at night when it gets really chilly, people are just warming up just one

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room because they can't afford it and then they've got lots and lots of damage later

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on and have the indignity of sort of sleeping downstairs in the armchair, which can lead

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to other problems.

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Add to this the decision of OFGEM and the government to allow the force fitting of energy

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repayment meters to resume.

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I mean, I sort of agree with this only if you are fit and able and under the age of

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50, because then you can actually go and get one.

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But that is the thing.

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It takes time and effort to get the repayment meter.

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I mean, if it was linked to another mechanism, but I suppose most people would have just

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cash or acquire cash, but it needs to be properly rethought out with those, you know, subset

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of those individuals on the board.

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I mean, it's been abandoned of those struggling to pay their bills without any relief on the

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horizon.

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We should have a tariff called the winter tariff, which doesn't have a standing charge

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and you're just paying for the energy.

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If you have a special, well, even if you don't have a meter, I mean, it should be set up

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for vulnerable people, old people and people that need that energy to frankly stay alive,

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because there's a lot of people that have breathing apparatus, etc. at home.

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I mean, it is a scandal because the society reflects on how you look after the young and

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the old.

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Yet every year, thousands of people are dying as a result of it being too cold.

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And when you have an autopsy, you don't always declare that because they can say, oh, well,

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this person's had cancer, they've died of cancer.

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But they really died of the cold and cancer sort of raged away or a lot of survival is

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the person's mindset.

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So if you, I mean, this is the thing, you know, if you have that mindset at an older

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age that you don't want to hang around, then it's unnerving.

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Insulating homes at speed.

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I mean, you can have another way, which I have done.

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You've got this paint, well, not really paint, but I mean, you paint it on and it absorbs

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all the brickwork or stonework and it makes it breathe, but it's impenetrable to water.

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So throughout the period, the property actually, over time, expels the water and allows the

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brick to breathe.

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Because the main issue is, is that you are heating that water and it's very, very costly,

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if you just heat the brickwork as the barrier.

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It doesn't take very long, but I mean, I think I paid, what was it, 100, probably 200 pounds

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and two weekends to apply it to probably about 10 or 12 brick height.

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But yes, I mean, it needs to have insulation, but of course you need to have double glazing.

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But I mean, even something as simple as having, you know, fleeces that are provided, the quick

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flick, thick fleeces, just going around.

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I know there's a big workload, but going around over the few months, identifying those pensions

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over a certain age and the ones that could potentially be vulnerable and checking up

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on, you know, how are they doing, et cetera, et cetera.

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I mean, we had that sort of scheme during the pandemic.

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Maybe there's a lot of volunteers that will do that.

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So we've got this information here, which is from the ONS for England and Wales.

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Unfortunately, I haven't included Scotland and Northern Ireland, but I would expect them

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to be worse because it's going to be a lot colder.

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So the main thing is to read off the temperature or there might be an anomaly.

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So 2.4, that's 6,000.

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4.5, that's, let's call it five and a half.

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3.3, seven and a half.

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Five, two, four and a half.

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Three, nine.

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So that's 11.

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So that's some sort of anomaly.

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Then you've got 2016, you know, it's quite warm, but we've still got a big chunk of people.

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We've got five, eight.

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So you've got, this looks like the start of when things were going a little bit badly.

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So you've got 12,000.

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So I would take this as a figure for 2024.

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So inflation is bad.

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You're going to have a very cold winter and people aren't prepared.

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So you've got 5.2, that's still 6,000.

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I mean, here's potentially where we had a lot of help.

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But here we're still getting 15,000.

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So it jumps around when the weather is cool.

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I don't think it's going to be around the fours or five.

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So I would take it, you know, officially to be 15,000 that can be directly identified

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of dying due to the cold.

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But of course, you'd probably put a nought on it because, you know, you could have the

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flu where if you had the proper temperature, you'd be able to get through.

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I mean, it's the same with cancers and other things because it just makes you miserable

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and you don't want to hang around.

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So that's the end of part one.

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Please comment.

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If you could share, that would be great because I want to get this information spread out

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throughout the whole of the UK.

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But more importantly, I want you to subscribe so I can get the numbers up so that I can

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get this information out.

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Because a lot of this is heard and forgotten, but I want it to be remembered so that we,

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you know, I'm wanting to do a campaign to raise sort of, you know, fleeces and sort

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of outside warmers so that we can make sure that our, the dignity for pension is maintained.

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But more importantly, we don't swap the NHS with people where for the sake of what is

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it, a few hundred pounds, you can see by the stats that we can get over this.

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And what I see is that what is it?

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I hear between one and a half and three and a half billion can be saved.

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I think a lot more will be needed for the NHS, the ambulances, the police, the local

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authority, probably the 90,000 beds on hand because the pensioners aren't stupid.

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They will do as much as possible to get them in the right position.

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And they may sort of bring our early certain operations or stay in, you know, they say,

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well, I can't return home because my house isn't heated and they won't be discharged.

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There's no point having somebody that's convalescing going back to an icebox which will not promote

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that convalescing.

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So also, so I can do more of these in the show notes, I've got a donation link and

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I've also got an email where you can actually email me if you want to sponsor this or the

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other many channels that I've got.

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But I feel strongly about this because it's not just the elderly that is involved.

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It's the people who need help, who have babies and toddlers and those people that are on

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that cusp where they don't get any help from the government and they just don't have enough

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money to properly survive without actually removing what makes life somewhat enjoyable

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and having that indignity, you know, that they need that dignity because I mean, when

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you are old, you know, you think great, I'll, you know, I have that one meal out a month,

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I'll get that reduced fish and chips or I do that meal once a week where I get it reduced

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and this is the only time that a lot of these pensioners venture out because a lot of them

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have been beaten up by the actual job that they have and maybe the actual job that they've

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had has made it very difficult for their life.

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So I think, you know, we need to find that money from somewhere else.

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Now the other problem is that there's wind of if you are on your own as a single pensioner,

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you get a 25% discount from council tax, which potentially is going to be removed.

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But I think that is not very good because it's just going to pull most people into poverty

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because they've been paying all of their life and we have to support them and that, and

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effectively that is why it is there.

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If you have somebody who has not just sufficient funds to, you need people with sufficient

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funds that are well above a low criteria to actually be paying this, not people who would,

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you know, they enjoy that, let's say, thousand pound and that thousand pound allows them

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either to have that dignity or not have that dignity.

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So I think a lot of these criteria should be finely detailed.

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And I think the main problem is that we've got archaic systems.

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I mean, it should be a system where we can say, right, how many pensioners have a nice

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hefty ceiling where they can go on holiday, they can run a car, you know, they can go

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on multiple holidays.

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I mean, we got to look at the people that said, right, after, say you get a pension

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of 12,000 and they've only got barely any other money, maybe a couple of K on top and

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they have to run their own house, they have to pay council tax, they have to pay this,

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they have to pay that.

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There isn't a great deal of wriggle room because they're before they stray into poverty.

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So thank you very much for listening and please share it to everybody because I think I've

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got a valid point where we probably need to get this properly thought and not have a sledgehammer

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to crack a nut mentality.

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Thank you very much.

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Thank you.