So, welcome to Labour NHS Chaos Part 1.
I believe there's multi-issues from scrapping the winter allowance for 2024.
Number one, there's not been enough time for people to get onto the register if they're
owed it and there's not enough time for other people to save.
So there's a lot of unintended consequences, so I'm expecting that 90,000 beds will be
needed this year solely for this particular issue.
We're going to have lots of retirees which will not go out for their usual sort of Friday
or Monday lunch into the civilisation.
They'll spend more time huddled at home and they would probably eat less.
All indications can look, and this will be part of my section 2, 3 and maybe 4, 5, that
the winter of 2024 will be biting cold with snow.
Now the problem is with most things related to heating and the weather is that we've
got a north, south, east, west.
Now in the north it's probably going to be a lot, lot colder than the south and the east
is probably going to be a lot, lot colder than the west.
There should be some sort of factor involved and I think there should be a campaign with
local authorities to actually get some funding so that we don't, I mean we haven't spent
sort of 4, 5, 6 years with people losing their careers, losing their livelihoods.
I mean effectively some committing suicide because we were stuck at home for that many
years to actually not care in another time period about our elderly.
And I think that you have to support people in their own older life.
I mean the campaign probably should go ahead, maybe the first year to make sure that everybody
who can claim has claimed.
People can actually start to get a war chest and for other people that are on the crux
of that matter there needs to be something implemented so that for that period they just
keep warm and they can pay it off in increments a lot later and nobody when they're paying
for direct debit in their, you know over 65 should be trudging to get a credit which
they have to put in their prepaid meter.
I mean it is a little bit barbaric.
But here I found this document, I mean I'm doing this in stages because the first document
effectively says that there's a lot of unintended excess deaths as it's called, not just for
just the elderly but for you know you've got the flip side.
You know it's the elderly, it's the young, it's the undernourished.
And another report that I'm going to portray maybe in number three is to say that this
year is going to be biting.
So let's start.
So even with the relevant credit, the actual massive subsidies you had about 5,000 people
excess winter deaths.
So let's go straight to the chart.
So 2022, 2023, so I don't have 2023, 2024.
So I suppose the temperature was roughly the same.
I mean it's effectively about the temperature.
So we're going to have sort of 5,000 excess deaths.
Now the other thing is that it's quite difficult to determine whether you died through hypothermia
or something else.
So I would take that to probably read with a zero on the end.
So I would say it's probably more likely to be 50,000 people because there's a lot of
people that aren't heating their homes properly, which adds to probably dying by their current
ailments and fighting back as well as potentially their mold spores that grow in the property.
So this is out of end fuel poverty.co.uk.
So they've got this published.
I mean it's directly from the government.
So historic records already indicate that when the mean temperature in the UK drops
below four degrees centigrade, the level of excess winter deaths skyrocket.
The average temperature last winter was 4.3 degrees.
So maybe there should be a rethink and they've got all of the records for the pensioners.
If in the region that it drops below four degrees, they should probably get an automatic
credit for probably that week.
So they don't have to worry because we should protect our pensioners, but also we should
protect the NHS.
So there's going to be a lot of pensioners who could quite easily look after themselves
at home with the adequate resources, which will be bombarding the NHS or will be potentially
bombarding the NHS and other sort of government sources.
So it says here, while December 2023 was exceptionally warm, average daily temperatures for the UK
in January are full costs, the dip to as low as minus 1.6 degrees and fell to minus 14
in some parts of the country.
I mean minus 14, you probably have to have the heating on all the time, multiple layers
and that costs.
So the government continues to rely on warm homes discount, cold weather payments and
winter fuel payments as a measure of support to households.
So if they're gone, that's going to cause a massive burden.
This winter, the government refused demand to support households through an emergency
energy chowref and a help to repay scheme for those in energy debt.
So I mean, effectively pay over time.
So the Met Office official guidance is that El Nino winters are more likely, which I'll
come to probably in my part three.
With 2023 being declared as the hottest year on record, and we're still getting quite a
hefty number of excess deaths, campaigners have urged politicians to grasp the seriousness
of the situation.
Singers from the Warm This Winter campaign share that 8.3 million adults are living in
cold damp homes.
So that's just not pensioners.
But why shouldn't everybody have the dignity to effectively survive the winter?
As temperatures drop, these conditions go from being uncompromising to downright dangerous.
But while households struggle, ministers are sitting on their hands and leaving matters
of life and death to chance.
So I mean, we probably need some sort of the relevant gas companies to say any pensioner
can get their boiler serviced at a reduced cost or for free.
And there are so many of us who do not service our boiler.
And when we need it in the cold time of the year, it packs up.
And then we are sort of using candles, which are dangerous.
We are using open fires, which can be dangerous or illegal.
And we are using electricity to actually warm ourselves, which is costly.
And in some areas, people believe that you can just use it like a radiator so you can
close over the top of it, which leads to lots of other problems.
So there's probably going to be an uptick this winter in the need for the police, ambulance,
NHS, and local authorities.
So instead of taking action on energy bills, they have allowed energy firms to restart
using the courts to force households onto prepayment meters and have now ruled out reformed
for energy tariffs to help those most in need.
I mean, effectively, I think most people wouldn't really mind if you have a household where
everybody is over the age of, say, 65, 68.
They have a special tariff, which is subsidized by the rest of us.
Maybe that's something to think about.
They would rather play politics with a ridiculous oil and gas licensing bill that will do nothing
to improve energy security or lower bills than take meaningful action to help households
struggling right now.
I mean, how long would UK energy take to come on board?
And we're looking at outmoded and dangerous wind farms as well as incredibly old style
use of solar panels.
You know, just sticking them on the ground isn't the way forward because you want the
ground to maintain itself.
There are totally different ways to actually install solar panels where you can have grazing,
you can have a proper field which will grow wildfire, wild flowers and wildlife, and you
can actually rotate these fields in the future.
So we're concerned at the level of disinterest shared by the government.
Well, paying from the vulnerable to the unions probably isn't the way.
Welfare of older people at a time when temperatures drop in well below freezing, because I think
that will be the case at the end of 2024.
And we've spent a lot of money, time and effort making sure that the elderly survive through
the pandemic and then we're letting them run wild and not supporting them at this time.
I mean, the extreme was minus 14 degrees.
And then it does not get much warmer until later in the day.
So I mean, it's at night when it gets really chilly, people are just warming up just one
room because they can't afford it and then they've got lots and lots of damage later
on and have the indignity of sort of sleeping downstairs in the armchair, which can lead
to other problems.
Add to this the decision of OFGEM and the government to allow the force fitting of energy
repayment meters to resume.
I mean, I sort of agree with this only if you are fit and able and under the age of
50, because then you can actually go and get one.
But that is the thing.
It takes time and effort to get the repayment meter.
I mean, if it was linked to another mechanism, but I suppose most people would have just
cash or acquire cash, but it needs to be properly rethought out with those, you know, subset
of those individuals on the board.
I mean, it's been abandoned of those struggling to pay their bills without any relief on the
horizon.
We should have a tariff called the winter tariff, which doesn't have a standing charge
and you're just paying for the energy.
If you have a special, well, even if you don't have a meter, I mean, it should be set up
for vulnerable people, old people and people that need that energy to frankly stay alive,
because there's a lot of people that have breathing apparatus, etc. at home.
I mean, it is a scandal because the society reflects on how you look after the young and
the old.
Yet every year, thousands of people are dying as a result of it being too cold.
And when you have an autopsy, you don't always declare that because they can say, oh, well,
this person's had cancer, they've died of cancer.
But they really died of the cold and cancer sort of raged away or a lot of survival is
the person's mindset.
So if you, I mean, this is the thing, you know, if you have that mindset at an older
age that you don't want to hang around, then it's unnerving.
Insulating homes at speed.
I mean, you can have another way, which I have done.
You've got this paint, well, not really paint, but I mean, you paint it on and it absorbs
all the brickwork or stonework and it makes it breathe, but it's impenetrable to water.
So throughout the period, the property actually, over time, expels the water and allows the
brick to breathe.
Because the main issue is, is that you are heating that water and it's very, very costly,
if you just heat the brickwork as the barrier.
It doesn't take very long, but I mean, I think I paid, what was it, 100, probably 200 pounds
and two weekends to apply it to probably about 10 or 12 brick height.
But yes, I mean, it needs to have insulation, but of course you need to have double glazing.
But I mean, even something as simple as having, you know, fleeces that are provided, the quick
flick, thick fleeces, just going around.
I know there's a big workload, but going around over the few months, identifying those pensions
over a certain age and the ones that could potentially be vulnerable and checking up
on, you know, how are they doing, et cetera, et cetera.
I mean, we had that sort of scheme during the pandemic.
Maybe there's a lot of volunteers that will do that.
So we've got this information here, which is from the ONS for England and Wales.
Unfortunately, I haven't included Scotland and Northern Ireland, but I would expect them
to be worse because it's going to be a lot colder.
So the main thing is to read off the temperature or there might be an anomaly.
So 2.4, that's 6,000.
4.5, that's, let's call it five and a half.
3.3, seven and a half.
Five, two, four and a half.
Three, nine.
So that's 11.
So that's some sort of anomaly.
Then you've got 2016, you know, it's quite warm, but we've still got a big chunk of people.
We've got five, eight.
So you've got, this looks like the start of when things were going a little bit badly.
So you've got 12,000.
So I would take this as a figure for 2024.
So inflation is bad.
You're going to have a very cold winter and people aren't prepared.
So you've got 5.2, that's still 6,000.
I mean, here's potentially where we had a lot of help.
But here we're still getting 15,000.
So it jumps around when the weather is cool.
I don't think it's going to be around the fours or five.
So I would take it, you know, officially to be 15,000 that can be directly identified
of dying due to the cold.
But of course, you'd probably put a nought on it because, you know, you could have the
flu where if you had the proper temperature, you'd be able to get through.
I mean, it's the same with cancers and other things because it just makes you miserable
and you don't want to hang around.
So that's the end of part one.
Please comment.
If you could share, that would be great because I want to get this information spread out
throughout the whole of the UK.
But more importantly, I want you to subscribe so I can get the numbers up so that I can
get this information out.
Because a lot of this is heard and forgotten, but I want it to be remembered so that we,
you know, I'm wanting to do a campaign to raise sort of, you know, fleeces and sort
of outside warmers so that we can make sure that our, the dignity for pension is maintained.
But more importantly, we don't swap the NHS with people where for the sake of what is
it, a few hundred pounds, you can see by the stats that we can get over this.
And what I see is that what is it?
I hear between one and a half and three and a half billion can be saved.
I think a lot more will be needed for the NHS, the ambulances, the police, the local
authority, probably the 90,000 beds on hand because the pensioners aren't stupid.
They will do as much as possible to get them in the right position.
And they may sort of bring our early certain operations or stay in, you know, they say,
well, I can't return home because my house isn't heated and they won't be discharged.
There's no point having somebody that's convalescing going back to an icebox which will not promote
that convalescing.
So also, so I can do more of these in the show notes, I've got a donation link and
I've also got an email where you can actually email me if you want to sponsor this or the
other many channels that I've got.
But I feel strongly about this because it's not just the elderly that is involved.
It's the people who need help, who have babies and toddlers and those people that are on
that cusp where they don't get any help from the government and they just don't have enough
money to properly survive without actually removing what makes life somewhat enjoyable
and having that indignity, you know, that they need that dignity because I mean, when
you are old, you know, you think great, I'll, you know, I have that one meal out a month,
I'll get that reduced fish and chips or I do that meal once a week where I get it reduced
and this is the only time that a lot of these pensioners venture out because a lot of them
have been beaten up by the actual job that they have and maybe the actual job that they've
had has made it very difficult for their life.
So I think, you know, we need to find that money from somewhere else.
Now the other problem is that there's wind of if you are on your own as a single pensioner,
you get a 25% discount from council tax, which potentially is going to be removed.
But I think that is not very good because it's just going to pull most people into poverty
because they've been paying all of their life and we have to support them and that, and
effectively that is why it is there.
If you have somebody who has not just sufficient funds to, you need people with sufficient
funds that are well above a low criteria to actually be paying this, not people who would,
you know, they enjoy that, let's say, thousand pound and that thousand pound allows them
either to have that dignity or not have that dignity.
So I think a lot of these criteria should be finely detailed.
And I think the main problem is that we've got archaic systems.
I mean, it should be a system where we can say, right, how many pensioners have a nice
hefty ceiling where they can go on holiday, they can run a car, you know, they can go
on multiple holidays.
I mean, we got to look at the people that said, right, after, say you get a pension
of 12,000 and they've only got barely any other money, maybe a couple of K on top and
they have to run their own house, they have to pay council tax, they have to pay this,
they have to pay that.
There isn't a great deal of wriggle room because they're before they stray into poverty.
So thank you very much for listening and please share it to everybody because I think I've
got a valid point where we probably need to get this properly thought and not have a sledgehammer
to crack a nut mentality.
Thank you very much.
Thank you.