WEBVTT

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Welcome to Drumbeats, the must -listen -to podcast

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which explains why Indigenous partnerships are

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the key to securing successful outcomes in natural

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resource and infrastructure investment in Canada.

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I'm Mark McNacca, and my co -host Robert Branton

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and I are here today to discuss Canadian Prime

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Minister Mark Carney's first budget as he sets

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a new direction for the country. And what a direction

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it is. This budget signals something we've been

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talking about on drumbeats for months now. Indigenous

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partnerships are no longer on the periphery of

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Canada's economic strategy. They're central to

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it. Carney's laid out specific mechanisms, legislative

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changes, and funding programs that embed Indigenous

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participation into Canada's investment future.

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In this conversation, you'll discover three game

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-changing Indigenous economic initiatives. How

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the First Nations Finance Authority is now working

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to be able to use special purpose vehicles. Why

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new bonding programs open defence procurement

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to Indigenous contractors. And how First Nations

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can monetize future revenues for immediate capital

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investments. We'll also explore why Canada's

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fiscal position gives it competitive advantages.

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against nearly all G7 countries, and that investors

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in the UK and continental Europe should certainly

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take notice of. The opportunity is clear. CAN

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needs over a trillion dollars in private capital

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over the next five years, and the pathways for

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Indigenous partnerships are now being systematically

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built into policy. Join us as we discuss Prime

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Minister Mark Carney's first budget. So here

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we are, the morning after the night before. Good

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morning, Mark. Great to be here. Nice to see

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you. Bright and early, I'm coming to you from

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beautiful Susina Nation, Treaty 7 territory,

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just outside of Calgary this morning. It's a

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very early morning, a bright start, but it's

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an important topic. Yes, it is, and it's great

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to have a Western perspective on Prime Minister

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Mark Carney's first... budget as he sets a new

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direction for the country. And it is a new direction.

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I mean, there's a lot of detail in there. We

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are just hours from the budget being released,

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but there's some really interesting initiatives

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that Indigenous people will find encouraging.

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There's also a little bit of pain in that budget

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too. Let's unpack it. So it's not the budget

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anyone's expected from the most recent liberal

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governments we have. I'm sure there's many members

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of the conservatives or what was partly the progressive

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conservatives before they allied with reform

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who would think, OK, maybe there's some things

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that have been addressed correctly. But maybe

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we should have seen it with coming with Mark

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Carney, one of the reasons he got elected. is

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he knows how to run a business. He knows how

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to run big organizations. And on one hand, we're

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seeing massive infrastructure spending proposed.

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And on the other hand, they're cutting tens of

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thousands of public service jobs. And this unusual

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combination of austerity and ambition that they

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had talked about before was going to happen.

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But it's kind of new for Canadians because they

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haven't used to being seen something like this

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for... many, many years. Now, they still need

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the votes to pass it for our listeners, certainly

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over in the UK. Carney leads a minority government.

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He must have been a very happy man yesterday

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because he needs three people, three more MPs

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to have a majority government. And there was

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a Conservative member from the Maritimes who

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switched before the session yesterday. So now

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there's only two. Again, there's, I think, seven

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NDP members, the New Democratic, the Socialist

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Party of Canada, and maybe they'll abstain. But

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I think we're in an interesting time. There'll

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be a confidence vote later. We can talk about

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that. But let's talk about what's going on. Yeah,

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because there was a big build -up to this budget,

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if you recall. It was postponed from the spring,

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right after the federal election. And so we've

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been waiting for some time, and there's been

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a lot of rhetoric about generational change.

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I'm not sure there is as big a change some people

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wanted to see in this first budget, but I think

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there's only so much you can do in a budget like

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this. So it's definitely a pivot from recent.

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budget focuses, and like I said, some really

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interesting Indigenous initiatives. Great. I

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think, though, from a historical perspective,

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when Prime Minister Jean Chrétien and his finance

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minister, who were also liberals, they came in,

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which was a completely radical budget, challenging

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times for Canada way back when that was, and

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really took the bull by the horns. So for myself,

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I'm a little bit surprised that perhaps it wasn't

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as transformative as one could expect. But that

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comes back into this issue, is Canada in good

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shape or bad shape? And just before we get into

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some of the details, let me quote some of the

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headlines from the newspapers. Since we're on

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a UK -based podcast here, we're going to talk

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about newspaper headlines. Yes, yes. Which is

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a great tradition over here. So Global Mail.

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Global Mail is Canada's national newspaper. Some

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can dispute that, but let's go with that. Carney

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earmarks billions in new spending to counter

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US protectionism. The opinion analysis section,

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we had Andrew Coyne of the Global Mail saying,

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after all the hype, the budget fails to meet

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the moment. Shannon Proudfoot, Carney's budget

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is a manifesto of no. Campbell Clark, when the

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big day came, it wasn't quite as advertised.

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And Adam Rawonsky said, budget signals Carney's

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new tone on climate, but little substance. So

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not exactly overwhelming. Wow, this was what

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Canada needed. The Financial Times has Canada's

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Mark Carney pledges 141 billion Canadian to counter

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Donald Trump's trade war, giving an interesting

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perspective for those from the UK. And nothing

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has shown up in The Economist yet. But the Wall

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Street Journal says Canada plans wider deficits

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to jolt the economy to get things going. So a

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lot of outsiders have been looking at what's

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going on in Canada to see what is going to be

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the future. Yeah, and for me, Mark, one of the

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interesting parts of this budget, and I saw Goldie

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Heider, the head of the Business Council of Canada.

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comment that you know some good steps but not

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enough uh and uh so business business may have

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been hoping for more but one of the interesting

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uh aspects of it i was or that i saw was the

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the focus on uh trading partners outside of north

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america uh and uh the target to double exports

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outside of north america uh over the next few

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years. And there's talk in the budget about needing

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more reliable partners, which I think is a dig

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at the US, but there's definite outward focus.

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Do you think so? A definite outward focus in

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this budget too, which is nice to see. Yes, it

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is. And prior to the budget, when Prime Minister

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Carney, along with other of the leaders were

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in Southeast Asia, The Prime Minister of Canada

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met with President Xi of China, and it's been

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a long time since the Canadian Prime Minister

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has met with him. And Carney had led a North

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American business delegation, I think, a couple

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of years ago, but that's kind of given a reset.

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And China has announced early on that they will

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increase the number of group tourism that can

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go to Canada, which is obviously always a carrot.

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The Chinese government has to say we can direct

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a lot of consumer spending your way. So I think

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that was an early sign of a warming relationship.

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And it's been in a deep freeze, right? For sure.

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The Saudi investment minister was through Toronto

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just the other day. And again, that relationship

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is thawing. Trying to encourage foreign investment,

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talk about infrastructure gaps and the billions

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of dollars of investment that are needed. And

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it's pretty clear that Canada alone can't fund

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that gap and we're going to need financial partners

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from all over the world. So yeah, you're seeing

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a reset in China, Saudi, a new focus on Europe.

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all culminating, I'm sure, at our summit next

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April. Yes, I'm sure. So let's look at where

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Canada is just before we get into the budget

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and the impact on the Indigenous Nations and

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what that means for the foundational peoples

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of Canada. So on a per capita basis, GDP has

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been declining. From 2020 to 2024, it's declined

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2%, which according to the Fraser Institute,

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well -known institute in Canada, is the worst

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five -year performance since the Great Depression.

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For those of us who are old enough to know, the

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Great Depression was something our grandparents

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went through, okay? So that's a long, long time

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ago. Average Canadian worker is less machinery

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and equipment to work with, lower productivity,

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right? Fewer raw materials, ideas, and inputs

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being transformed into goods and services. And

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while the total GDP looks bigger on paper, It's

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because the population grew so significantly.

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Like many countries, a lot of immigrants were

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let in thinking that was a solution or lack of

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control of borders. Who knows? But now we're

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dealing with consequences. And as a result, Canada

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and Canadians are not generating more economic

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value per person. And Canada ranks last in G7

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per capita GDP growth over this period. So that

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is really something. And it's interesting being

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on this side of the pond because the UK government

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is also talking, how are we doing against our

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G7 frenemies? So there's a lot going on on that.

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And when we talk about the low productivity issue,

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which has been an issue here as well as in Canada,

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okay, people generate less tax revenue and that

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affects the deficit, right? This budget deficit,

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the headline numbers, $78 billion. It's nearly

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doubled. Whereas the prior year deficit was $62

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billion, which was a 77 % jump from the prior

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year. So deficits are accelerating. And why are

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we having the deficits increase? Revenue loss

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from scrapping the retaliatory tariffs on the

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U .S. expected about $20 billion. relief measures

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to tariff industries, huge increase in defense

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spending to meet our NATO commitment, which Canada

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has consistently been a low performer. And it's

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always been embarrassing. And Rob, I know you've

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supported the military through your work with

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veterans for a number of years, but to see Canada

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always at the bottom, that has been an ongoing

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concern. Yeah, and that's one area in this budget

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where you see clear increase. in real spending

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and investment. Part of it is... Which is great

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to see. Yeah, yeah. I think most people agree

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it's long, long overdue. And there's money for

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new hires, but as well to raise some of the standards

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of our service, men and women, be able to pay

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higher salaries. But investment in technology,

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investment in the North, That is a clear focus,

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and that is partly why you see sustained deficit

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spending for a while. There's an investment needed.

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Great. So you mentioned earlier Canada has to

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attract foreign capital. We always have needed

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it, but more so today. But now Canada has this

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reputation as being a difficult place to deal

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with. So now we're going to get into it. What's

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going on? Our World Bank ease of doing business

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rankings. Canada fell from number four globally

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in 2006 to 23rd by 2020. And it's taken three

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to six years just for a regulatory review. We

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had Michael McPhee on last week or a couple of

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weeks ago, and he talked about 15 years to get

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a mining project going is kind of standard. This

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is regulatory accumulation. It's a factor everywhere

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in all countries. But it looks like it's been

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out of control, especially with federal, provincial

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levels, the ping pong going back and forth. And

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then Indigenous nations have a right to be consulted.

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So why don't we, that's the bad news. Here's

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where we are. The great news is the future is

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bright, right? So why don't you take us out of

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this bleak picture that I've... Paint it from

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London. You're on the ground in Calgary, right?

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Well, I will pass on some positive news. I had

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a breakfast last week with four of the CEOs of

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some of Canada's biggest pension funds. And it

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was a breakfast with 100 or more people. But

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the CEOs were in conversation about their outlook

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on the Canadian economy and the global economy.

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in general. And long term, even medium term,

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they're very bullish on where Canada is headed

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and its place in the global economy. We just

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have too much going for us. And they are encouraged

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by some of the recent attempts to streamline

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approvals, processes, some of the focus on capital

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investment. And, you know, they said things like

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in the short term, there is some pain and there's

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some adjustment as we reduce and try to reduce

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regulatory burden while still coping with the

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different rights holders and stakeholders who

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have an interest in everything that's happening.

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But there's an adjustment that is happening and

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there's... A prime minister who, if he understands

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one thing, it's economic issues and foreign investment

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requirements. And so they were encouraged about

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our long -term prospects and our place in the

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world. They would like to invest more in Canada

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themselves. So they're quite eager and they were

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anticipating some of the budget moves. they're

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ready to open up their checkbooks again. Good

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news, because for a long time, they've just been

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primarily focused overseas. So that's really

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positive feedback. And coming back to Prime Minister

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Carney, he knows how to make money, right? He

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knows what you have to do to succeed. And, you

00:16:41.720 --> 00:16:45.720
know, with his international background and experience,

00:16:46.139 --> 00:16:49.019
you know, Governor of Bank of Canada, Governor

00:16:49.019 --> 00:16:51.799
of the Bank of England. And the work that he's

00:16:51.799 --> 00:16:56.179
done globally, he knows the importance of competing.

00:16:57.000 --> 00:17:00.080
And to have a high level of compete is what Canada

00:17:00.080 --> 00:17:04.220
needs to succeed. So that's great. And 800 companies

00:17:04.220 --> 00:17:08.220
chose Canada last year. Right? They decide to

00:17:08.220 --> 00:17:12.079
invest in Canada. So those are good numbers.

00:17:12.880 --> 00:17:16.500
Absolutely. And some of the fine print in that

00:17:16.500 --> 00:17:22.259
budget. But from an Indigenous economy perspective,

00:17:22.619 --> 00:17:26.279
I was encouraged to see quite a few things, actually.

00:17:26.339 --> 00:17:28.480
For example, our friends over at First Nations

00:17:28.480 --> 00:17:34.980
Finance Authority, Ernie Daniels and the gang

00:17:34.980 --> 00:17:39.380
have been working hard for a while to get a change

00:17:39.380 --> 00:17:42.440
to legislation that would allow FNFA to lend.

00:17:43.130 --> 00:17:46.109
to special purpose vehicles, the way their governing

00:17:46.109 --> 00:17:49.109
legislation works at the moment. They're only

00:17:49.109 --> 00:17:52.549
permitted to lend directly to their members.

00:17:52.950 --> 00:17:55.369
If you recall, their members are First Nations

00:17:55.369 --> 00:17:58.470
who've been certified by the First Nations Financial

00:17:58.470 --> 00:18:04.690
Management Board. And so up to this point, FNFA

00:18:04.690 --> 00:18:08.930
is only permitted to lend directly to First Nations

00:18:08.930 --> 00:18:11.910
who are their members. But more and more with

00:18:11.910 --> 00:18:14.230
these projects, there are special purpose vehicles

00:18:14.230 --> 00:18:17.849
that are set up. And this change in legislation,

00:18:18.069 --> 00:18:20.130
which will now have to come, so the budget just

00:18:20.130 --> 00:18:23.170
announced that they will be tabling legislation

00:18:23.170 --> 00:18:25.970
to make this change, which will free up FNFA

00:18:25.970 --> 00:18:30.490
to lend directly to SPVs instead of having to

00:18:30.490 --> 00:18:34.990
circumvent and do indirectly financed projects.

00:18:35.029 --> 00:18:38.450
This will allow... more projects to be financed

00:18:38.450 --> 00:18:43.930
by FNFA, who seem to have insatiable demand for

00:18:43.930 --> 00:18:47.690
their bonds. They just raised almost $500 million

00:18:47.690 --> 00:18:51.650
more a couple of weeks ago in the debt capital

00:18:51.650 --> 00:18:55.170
markets. They say they can raise more if the

00:18:55.170 --> 00:18:58.950
projects are there, and this change will allow

00:18:58.950 --> 00:19:02.849
them to lend to more projects, and it will allow

00:19:02.849 --> 00:19:06.859
First Nations who take advantage of this SPV

00:19:06.859 --> 00:19:10.740
route to not necessarily put their assets at

00:19:10.740 --> 00:19:14.039
risk. If they've got a government guarantee,

00:19:14.380 --> 00:19:18.180
then they won't have to put their assets at risk.

00:19:18.240 --> 00:19:20.039
And that'll be another feature, I think, of this

00:19:20.039 --> 00:19:23.640
change in legislation. Anyway, very encouraging.

00:19:23.859 --> 00:19:26.299
And I'm sure our FNFA friends are happy this

00:19:26.299 --> 00:19:30.140
morning to see that. Yes, that is good news.

00:19:30.200 --> 00:19:32.200
And it builds on the work, as you said, Ernie

00:19:32.200 --> 00:19:35.039
Daniels and his team have been doing. over the

00:19:35.039 --> 00:19:37.380
past number of years now. We've been talking

00:19:37.380 --> 00:19:40.539
a bit about Canada and deficits and it's a larger

00:19:40.539 --> 00:19:44.539
deficit. But when we look at our debt to GDP

00:19:44.539 --> 00:19:47.740
ratio in Canada, there's a lot of fiscal capacity

00:19:47.740 --> 00:19:51.880
because Canada at the federal level, the debt

00:19:51.880 --> 00:19:57.079
sits around 42 % of GDP, right? Size of the economy.

00:19:57.220 --> 00:20:00.420
The US is 95 to 100 and every day they shut down.

00:20:00.519 --> 00:20:03.299
I'm sure that number is pushing up. How can you

00:20:03.299 --> 00:20:05.940
be out of business for 30 days? How can a country

00:20:05.940 --> 00:20:09.599
prosper in those situations? The UK is around

00:20:09.599 --> 00:20:12.099
100%. We all know the challenges the UK has.

00:20:12.539 --> 00:20:18.140
France is 110 % plus. Italy is 140 % plus, but

00:20:18.140 --> 00:20:20.400
coming down. Maloney seems to be doing a good

00:20:20.400 --> 00:20:24.700
job. And Japan's at 260 % plus. So for all the

00:20:24.700 --> 00:20:28.240
challenges that Canada has. The great thing,

00:20:28.279 --> 00:20:32.200
going back a lot to Prime Minister Chrétien and

00:20:32.200 --> 00:20:35.039
his finance minister, Paul Martin, and under

00:20:35.039 --> 00:20:39.160
the Stephen Harper Conservatives, there's a solid

00:20:39.160 --> 00:20:43.279
fiscal foundation in Canada. And now with Prime

00:20:43.279 --> 00:20:45.220
Minister Carney, as we've talked about his knowledge

00:20:45.220 --> 00:20:48.579
and experience, to build on that, he has the

00:20:48.579 --> 00:20:52.319
capacity to do things. So Canada has real borrowing

00:20:52.319 --> 00:20:56.059
capacity that peer countries simply don't have.

00:20:56.569 --> 00:21:00.589
That's a great point, Mark. And I think that's

00:21:00.589 --> 00:21:03.450
part of the point that the CEOs at the breakfast

00:21:03.450 --> 00:21:05.650
or the pension funds were making, that all of

00:21:05.650 --> 00:21:09.130
this is relative. We've got our issues, but other

00:21:09.130 --> 00:21:13.549
countries have bigger issues. And when you look

00:21:13.549 --> 00:21:16.049
around, I think Canada's in a great spot for

00:21:16.049 --> 00:21:18.990
a lot of reasons. I was reading a quote just

00:21:18.990 --> 00:21:22.410
this week from one of my old professors at Western.

00:21:23.500 --> 00:21:26.640
economics professor Peter Howitt, who just recently

00:21:26.640 --> 00:21:31.220
was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics this

00:21:31.220 --> 00:21:34.799
year. Oh, fantastic. That was something, wasn't

00:21:34.799 --> 00:21:37.000
it? It was. It was great. And you were one of

00:21:37.000 --> 00:21:39.980
his students. So hopefully some of this rubbed

00:21:39.980 --> 00:21:41.980
off on you, Ralph. I was one of his students.

00:21:42.019 --> 00:21:45.099
You know I'm a failed, frustrated business student,

00:21:45.160 --> 00:21:49.200
but I did economics at Western, and law was always

00:21:49.200 --> 00:21:55.589
a plan B for me. That's okay. Okay, well, aren't

00:21:55.589 --> 00:22:00.269
we lucky. But to quote Peter Howitt, and I'll

00:22:00.269 --> 00:22:02.490
read from what he said, they were asking him

00:22:02.490 --> 00:22:06.130
about how you think Canada is set up to absorb

00:22:06.130 --> 00:22:11.470
the fallout from the AI bubble that everybody

00:22:11.470 --> 00:22:14.250
thinks is a bubble, just don't know when it's

00:22:14.250 --> 00:22:17.779
going to burst. And he says, Canada is particularly

00:22:17.779 --> 00:22:20.359
fortunate in having a conservative kind of financial

00:22:20.359 --> 00:22:23.740
system, which is quite sensibly regulated. And

00:22:23.740 --> 00:22:26.400
it's generally thought amongst economists that

00:22:26.400 --> 00:22:28.720
Canada has the worst financial system of all

00:22:28.720 --> 00:22:33.859
until there's a financial crash. And then it's

00:22:33.859 --> 00:22:37.119
the best of them all. So I think Canada is probably

00:22:37.119 --> 00:22:40.799
going to do as well as anybody when that AI bubble

00:22:40.799 --> 00:22:46.039
crashes. Wow. Great quote, and from a Nobel Prize

00:22:46.039 --> 00:22:49.559
winner, which I haven't heard of any big names

00:22:49.559 --> 00:22:54.160
from the US winning a Nobel Prize. Certainly,

00:22:54.299 --> 00:22:57.279
if you're listening, Canada got that one, right?

00:22:57.460 --> 00:23:00.319
And of course, other advantages. Canada has political

00:23:00.319 --> 00:23:03.880
stability, which is increasingly rare around

00:23:03.880 --> 00:23:06.180
the world. And when you think of that, we have

00:23:06.180 --> 00:23:09.779
a parliamentary democracy plus a written constitution.

00:23:10.339 --> 00:23:14.000
So we have something very unique. that other

00:23:14.000 --> 00:23:17.880
parliament democracies don't necessarily have.

00:23:18.059 --> 00:23:20.380
So I think that's important. Rule of law obviously

00:23:20.380 --> 00:23:24.519
functions due to people like you, Rob. We don't

00:23:24.519 --> 00:23:26.779
have too many lawyers, but we got enough to make

00:23:26.779 --> 00:23:29.660
sure the rule of law still functions. Canada

00:23:29.660 --> 00:23:31.920
has the most highly educated workforce in the

00:23:31.920 --> 00:23:38.579
G7. And of course, Canada is endowed with natural

00:23:38.579 --> 00:23:45.329
resources for energy. Oil, gas, uranium, hydro,

00:23:45.650 --> 00:23:48.750
wind, solar potential, the Bay of Fundy off the

00:23:48.750 --> 00:23:50.710
East Coast. If we could ever crack that one,

00:23:50.910 --> 00:23:54.069
we'd be lighting up the Eastern seaboard, right?

00:23:54.130 --> 00:23:56.410
Critical minerals for batteries and clean tech

00:23:56.410 --> 00:23:59.789
and supply chain and defense security, agriculture.

00:24:00.390 --> 00:24:02.589
The prairies are a breadbasket for the world.

00:24:02.890 --> 00:24:06.569
Fresh water. I think Canada has the largest reserves

00:24:06.569 --> 00:24:11.049
of fresh water around the world. We grow up with

00:24:11.049 --> 00:24:13.490
that. We don't really appreciate. what that means.

00:24:13.970 --> 00:24:19.569
So Canada has so much going for it. So why don't

00:24:19.569 --> 00:24:25.789
we talk, Rob, about Carney's vision and what

00:24:25.789 --> 00:24:27.670
you've seen from the budget and how it comes

00:24:27.670 --> 00:24:30.549
back to the opportunity by working with Indigenous

00:24:30.549 --> 00:24:34.190
nations to make Canada that energy superpower.

00:24:35.210 --> 00:24:38.529
Yeah, there's some other interesting initiatives

00:24:38.529 --> 00:24:42.380
aimed at the Indigenous economy. They're going

00:24:42.380 --> 00:24:46.440
to table legislation and I think a pilot project

00:24:46.440 --> 00:24:53.880
to help First Nations contractors get bonded.

00:24:54.119 --> 00:24:57.539
So at the moment, there's a problem under the

00:24:57.539 --> 00:25:01.279
Indian Act with First Nations businesses and

00:25:01.279 --> 00:25:06.059
people using assets on reserve. for collateral

00:25:06.059 --> 00:25:09.119
and if you're a construction company your contractor

00:25:09.119 --> 00:25:11.180
and you want to get bonded because you have to

00:25:11.180 --> 00:25:14.519
do for these big jobs but you can't use your

00:25:14.519 --> 00:25:17.579
collateral uh your assets that you've got on

00:25:17.579 --> 00:25:21.700
reserve you can imagine how that uh crazy yeah

00:25:21.700 --> 00:25:23.880
how that restricts you so there's a proposal

00:25:23.880 --> 00:25:27.559
uh again i think this is something that ffa have

00:25:27.559 --> 00:25:32.599
been pushing for for a while but uh to take money

00:25:33.160 --> 00:25:36.420
uh and i think they're going to do a pilot project

00:25:36.420 --> 00:25:41.539
uh sell a bond in the market and then use that

00:25:41.539 --> 00:25:44.619
money to fund different first nations contractors

00:25:44.619 --> 00:25:47.900
to allow to make it easier to for them to get

00:25:47.900 --> 00:25:53.740
bonded to compete for construction projects procurement

00:25:53.740 --> 00:25:57.160
is a huge opportunity when you talk about defense

00:25:57.160 --> 00:26:00.920
and all the procurement possibilities that are

00:26:00.920 --> 00:26:03.970
coming there If you're a First Nations business

00:26:03.970 --> 00:26:06.890
and you want to participate in that, you'll need

00:26:06.890 --> 00:26:09.109
to get bonded. And this program hopefully will

00:26:09.109 --> 00:26:12.650
help make that easier to do. Well, it has to.

00:26:12.710 --> 00:26:14.690
How can you compete when you can't get bonded?

00:26:14.849 --> 00:26:16.809
And you can't get bonded because of the Indian

00:26:16.809 --> 00:26:18.930
Act, if that's not tying your hands behind your

00:26:18.930 --> 00:26:22.990
back. The Inuit now, luckily, weren't covered

00:26:22.990 --> 00:26:26.470
by the Indian Act. Okay, I think it was too cold

00:26:26.470 --> 00:26:29.839
and most people just didn't think about it. They're

00:26:29.839 --> 00:26:32.099
ready and set to go for opportunities in the

00:26:32.099 --> 00:26:35.519
Arctic. But you have Canada going to have 12

00:26:35.519 --> 00:26:38.039
submarines. We haven't had that many, I think,

00:26:38.039 --> 00:26:40.519
in history. And certainly, I'm not even sure

00:26:40.519 --> 00:26:43.220
if the Canadian Navy has 12 ships today. But

00:26:43.220 --> 00:26:46.000
at the end of World War II, we had the third

00:26:46.000 --> 00:26:49.960
largest navy in the world. And for that contract

00:26:49.960 --> 00:26:52.960
of 12 submarines, and they're diesel, not nuclear,

00:26:53.559 --> 00:26:57.259
we are talking, Canada is talking to German shipyards.

00:26:57.930 --> 00:26:59.549
Prime Minister Karim was visiting there. And

00:26:59.549 --> 00:27:01.869
when he was over, he was talking to the South

00:27:01.869 --> 00:27:06.549
Koreans who have a very strong shipbuilding program.

00:27:06.930 --> 00:27:10.349
So both those countries and those companies in

00:27:10.349 --> 00:27:14.230
those countries will be looking, how do we succeed

00:27:14.230 --> 00:27:18.849
with Indigenous nations to help win those contracts?

00:27:19.130 --> 00:27:23.210
Because that will be very important. And I think

00:27:23.210 --> 00:27:25.869
sometimes when you're coming from outside of

00:27:25.869 --> 00:27:31.410
Canada. you have a greater respect for the cultural

00:27:31.410 --> 00:27:34.970
differences when you're dealing with the Indigenous

00:27:34.970 --> 00:27:37.009
peoples of Canada because you expect them to

00:27:37.009 --> 00:27:40.829
be different. Whereas sometimes Canadians think,

00:27:40.910 --> 00:27:42.710
oh, well, we're all in Canada, we all like the

00:27:42.710 --> 00:27:46.269
same things and don't really think through what

00:27:46.269 --> 00:27:48.410
it means to be an Indigenous Canadian and the

00:27:48.410 --> 00:27:51.930
barriers. So hopefully that bond issue gets settled

00:27:51.930 --> 00:27:55.900
right away. Yeah, yeah, absolutely. So that's

00:27:55.900 --> 00:27:57.519
encouraging and I'll have to see the details.

00:27:58.019 --> 00:28:02.480
There's another initiative to allow First Nations

00:28:02.480 --> 00:28:07.240
to monetize their transfer payments that they

00:28:07.240 --> 00:28:09.220
would get on an annual basis from the federal

00:28:09.220 --> 00:28:13.259
government to run those programs and to make

00:28:13.259 --> 00:28:16.279
investments in particular on their reserves.

00:28:16.799 --> 00:28:19.619
so this is a new initiative in the budget as

00:28:19.619 --> 00:28:23.279
well excellent uh and so that again will allow

00:28:23.279 --> 00:28:31.859
first nations to secure effectively those future

00:28:31.859 --> 00:28:34.099
revenues that they're going to be getting transfer

00:28:34.099 --> 00:28:36.599
transfers from the federal government but use

00:28:36.599 --> 00:28:41.220
them today to make investments these are long

00:28:41.220 --> 00:28:45.359
-term capital investments so that's encouraging

00:28:46.400 --> 00:28:50.140
There's reference to establishing some tax jurisdiction

00:28:50.140 --> 00:28:53.740
frameworks with more First Nations. So I think

00:28:53.740 --> 00:28:57.460
that's hinting at wanting more to provide more

00:28:57.460 --> 00:29:03.480
tax taxing authorities to Indigenous communities

00:29:03.480 --> 00:29:06.119
to raise their own revenues and give them tax.

00:29:06.980 --> 00:29:10.740
taxing authorities. There's, for example, a resource

00:29:10.740 --> 00:29:12.940
charge that's been talked about. I don't think

00:29:12.940 --> 00:29:14.940
that's mentioned in this budget, but that's one

00:29:14.940 --> 00:29:17.099
of the possibilities when you talk about establishing

00:29:17.099 --> 00:29:20.160
tax jurisdiction frameworks, which would allow

00:29:20.160 --> 00:29:24.200
Indigenous people to tax more directly some of

00:29:24.200 --> 00:29:28.740
the projects in their territories. There's a

00:29:28.740 --> 00:29:33.680
Housing Build Canada Homes initiative, which

00:29:33.680 --> 00:29:38.150
is going to include Indigenous housing as part

00:29:38.150 --> 00:29:41.609
of that. So all of that is encouraging. It is.

00:29:41.690 --> 00:29:45.730
So when you look at Canada, fiscal room, resources,

00:29:45.970 --> 00:29:51.750
and stability, and the clarity now that the Indigenous

00:29:51.750 --> 00:29:55.970
peoples of Canada, through the Supreme Court,

00:29:56.170 --> 00:30:01.950
what's in the Constitution, UNDRIP, there's that

00:30:01.950 --> 00:30:04.150
stability, whereas in the past, it hasn't been

00:30:04.150 --> 00:30:08.740
clear. Right? Now it is. The Indigenous peoples

00:30:08.740 --> 00:30:13.160
are your partners. They are rights holders. That's

00:30:13.160 --> 00:30:16.539
how to achieve things. The old way doesn't work

00:30:16.539 --> 00:30:19.839
anymore. So you have a clear vision. And again,

00:30:19.940 --> 00:30:21.799
we've heard from many of our guests on podcasts,

00:30:21.880 --> 00:30:23.400
when you work with the Indigenous peoples to

00:30:23.400 --> 00:30:26.279
make your projects succeed, you have long -term

00:30:26.279 --> 00:30:28.640
commitment because they're not looking, how do

00:30:28.640 --> 00:30:30.779
I make a buck today? They're thinking seven generations

00:30:30.779 --> 00:30:35.690
ahead. They know how to get things done because

00:30:35.690 --> 00:30:39.130
it's their land and they've navigated the bureaucracy

00:30:39.130 --> 00:30:42.329
that's been imposed on them, unfortunately, successfully.

00:30:42.650 --> 00:30:45.529
So they know how to play it. Yeah, there's talk,

00:30:45.569 --> 00:30:49.289
there's a bit of fleshing out of the first, the

00:30:49.289 --> 00:30:54.130
major projects office and a couple hundred million

00:30:54.130 --> 00:30:56.730
dollars allocated to that and also the Indigenous

00:30:56.730 --> 00:30:59.950
Advisory Council, which will advise that office

00:30:59.950 --> 00:31:03.359
and make sure. indigenous equity participation

00:31:03.359 --> 00:31:08.119
and other indigenous meaningful indigenous participation

00:31:08.119 --> 00:31:11.680
is a part of all of these projects that's reinforced

00:31:11.680 --> 00:31:16.900
in this budget as well so that that all is encouraging

00:31:16.900 --> 00:31:19.839
i like the talk of the arctic infrastructure

00:31:19.839 --> 00:31:26.509
fund there's a Critical Minerals Sovereign Wealth

00:31:26.509 --> 00:31:30.049
Fund that's being established. We've seen a real

00:31:30.049 --> 00:31:33.990
-life example just recently with a graphite miner

00:31:33.990 --> 00:31:40.170
being funded by the Canadian government. Effectively,

00:31:40.170 --> 00:31:42.490
the government has signed an offtake agreement

00:31:42.490 --> 00:31:45.950
guaranteeing a minimum price for the graphite.

00:31:46.329 --> 00:31:48.910
That's excellent. That's a first in a long time.

00:31:51.319 --> 00:31:53.299
Critical Minerals Sovereign Wealth Fund is going

00:31:53.299 --> 00:31:59.299
to make more investments like that to allow this

00:31:59.299 --> 00:32:05.900
miner to get funded and ensure the economics

00:32:05.900 --> 00:32:09.799
work. And then the federal government is going

00:32:09.799 --> 00:32:13.819
to try to get other countries signed up to this

00:32:13.819 --> 00:32:17.000
Critical Minerals Sovereign Wealth Fund. And

00:32:17.000 --> 00:32:23.849
that's all to battle. uh the might of china in

00:32:23.849 --> 00:32:27.309
this in this space and take some of that power

00:32:27.309 --> 00:32:32.829
back and the insecurity of the u .s right canada

00:32:32.829 --> 00:32:35.329
remains your preferred north american partner

00:32:35.329 --> 00:32:40.690
we've always been loyal yeah so with all those

00:32:40.690 --> 00:32:44.650
great assets including its people indigenous

00:32:44.650 --> 00:32:47.930
and non -indigenous it's a place to come and

00:32:47.930 --> 00:32:50.259
do business in I'm sure that's the message Prime

00:32:50.259 --> 00:32:53.599
Minister Carney is out there pushing, and he

00:32:53.599 --> 00:32:58.539
has the reputation to deliver that. What about

00:32:58.539 --> 00:33:01.420
the initial feedback, Rob, from... I know it's

00:33:01.420 --> 00:33:03.380
only morning, and you may have been to the breakfast

00:33:03.380 --> 00:33:08.000
already. Okay. But what's the initial feedback

00:33:08.000 --> 00:33:12.099
from people you've been speaking with after the

00:33:12.099 --> 00:33:15.900
budget? Well, literally got off the plane while

00:33:15.900 --> 00:33:20.000
the budget was being... uh announced and uh have

00:33:20.000 --> 00:33:22.220
been sleeping i have not been to the breakfast

00:33:22.220 --> 00:33:25.339
yet so i don't know what others are thinking

00:33:25.339 --> 00:33:28.819
i've you know i mentioned goldie heider uh who

00:33:28.819 --> 00:33:31.359
is also here uh would have liked to have seen

00:33:31.359 --> 00:33:38.400
more um indigenous reaction uh i i think there's

00:33:38.400 --> 00:33:40.970
there's Those are the encouraging things that

00:33:40.970 --> 00:33:44.170
I see. There's also the 2 % cut to Indigenous

00:33:44.170 --> 00:33:48.210
services, Canada and Indigenous relations. All

00:33:48.210 --> 00:33:51.730
government departments are going to have to work

00:33:51.730 --> 00:33:57.109
with less people and less money. And that's going

00:33:57.109 --> 00:34:01.329
to hit some of the programs. And so when you're

00:34:01.329 --> 00:34:05.230
already talking about being behind and there

00:34:05.230 --> 00:34:08.420
being gaps when it comes to Indigenous... infrastructure

00:34:08.420 --> 00:34:11.800
and services, having to work with even less money

00:34:11.800 --> 00:34:15.019
going forward and fewer people. That's going

00:34:15.019 --> 00:34:19.280
to be a big challenge. And AI won't magically

00:34:19.280 --> 00:34:24.480
solve all productivity issues overnight. That's

00:34:24.480 --> 00:34:29.420
a period of adjustment. Yes. And I think, you

00:34:29.420 --> 00:34:32.019
know, I was surprised when I read that about

00:34:32.019 --> 00:34:35.250
Indigenous services. being cut back and understand

00:34:35.250 --> 00:34:37.230
you know share the pain across all departments

00:34:37.230 --> 00:34:41.289
but indigenous services is not just like all

00:34:41.289 --> 00:34:45.489
departments because the people it's serving aren't

00:34:45.489 --> 00:34:48.010
treated equally and there's still barriers just

00:34:48.010 --> 00:34:49.969
as we're talking about you know how to get a

00:34:49.969 --> 00:34:55.829
bond when you're on a reserve right it just so

00:34:55.829 --> 00:35:00.409
that was that was a surprising move uh but hopefully

00:35:00.409 --> 00:35:03.460
hopefully Some of these others will give the

00:35:03.460 --> 00:35:05.400
compensation because I think some of the most

00:35:05.400 --> 00:35:08.519
competitive businesses today are Indigenous led

00:35:08.519 --> 00:35:10.699
and run. And we've spoken to some of these guys

00:35:10.699 --> 00:35:15.659
and they're hungry. So if Canada becomes an even

00:35:15.659 --> 00:35:18.340
more welcoming business environment, they're

00:35:18.340 --> 00:35:20.380
going to be fighting for their share of that.

00:35:20.539 --> 00:35:22.960
And they've had to compete because they've had

00:35:22.960 --> 00:35:25.849
so many restrictions. You've had so many restrictions

00:35:25.849 --> 00:35:28.250
placed on you. I think they're trying to lay

00:35:28.250 --> 00:35:30.409
the groundwork. If it's not as transformative

00:35:30.409 --> 00:35:33.610
as people would have hoped, I think they are

00:35:33.610 --> 00:35:36.849
trying to lay groundwork for private capital

00:35:36.849 --> 00:35:40.889
to come in within Canada and outside of Canada.

00:35:41.010 --> 00:35:46.309
There's some tax deductions and some other initiatives

00:35:46.309 --> 00:35:49.730
that will make it cheaper to do business in Canada,

00:35:49.889 --> 00:35:54.119
which will be attractive. They're trying to reduce

00:35:54.119 --> 00:35:59.800
the regulatory burden. They were outwardly beyond

00:35:59.800 --> 00:36:04.840
North America, very focused on those places for

00:36:04.840 --> 00:36:08.440
capital. And they're trying to encourage more

00:36:08.440 --> 00:36:13.340
meaningful Indigenous participation and economic

00:36:13.340 --> 00:36:17.300
development. It will be transformative if the

00:36:17.300 --> 00:36:20.260
private sector, private investors take advantage

00:36:20.260 --> 00:36:25.340
of these initiatives. Yes. And Canada depends

00:36:25.340 --> 00:36:29.280
on the private sector. If it's led, our wealth

00:36:29.280 --> 00:36:33.059
is dependent on private enterprise saying this

00:36:33.059 --> 00:36:36.159
is a good place to invest. And it looks like

00:36:36.159 --> 00:36:40.880
they're making Canada more attractive in the

00:36:40.880 --> 00:36:44.000
global competition for capital, whether it's

00:36:44.000 --> 00:36:48.280
money or brains. Canada is back open for businesses,

00:36:48.300 --> 00:36:51.019
what I like to think about. Now, Carney also

00:36:51.019 --> 00:36:53.679
talked when he was in Asia about... Canada being

00:36:53.679 --> 00:36:56.480
an energy superpower. And it's mentioned that

00:36:56.480 --> 00:36:58.619
time and time again, and that's true. And I think

00:36:58.619 --> 00:37:01.739
there's 40 billion available through crown corporations

00:37:01.739 --> 00:37:04.659
for major energy and infrastructure projects,

00:37:04.880 --> 00:37:07.579
right? You've talked about some of the tax changes

00:37:07.579 --> 00:37:10.639
and investment incentives aimed at unlocking

00:37:10.639 --> 00:37:12.760
a trillion in total investment over the next

00:37:12.760 --> 00:37:14.420
five years, which is what they're looking for.

00:37:14.559 --> 00:37:17.219
And, you know, this is mostly private money.

00:37:17.280 --> 00:37:20.840
The government can only go so far. So let's come

00:37:20.840 --> 00:37:23.530
back to the vision for Canada. Reduce reliance

00:37:23.530 --> 00:37:26.269
on the U .S. amid the trade war. And even if

00:37:26.269 --> 00:37:29.769
the trade war ends tomorrow, Canadians are not

00:37:29.769 --> 00:37:33.170
going back to the way it was. There's a big discussion

00:37:33.170 --> 00:37:37.449
about a nuclear energy deal with Westinghouse

00:37:37.449 --> 00:37:40.090
and Cameco. And a lot of people are saying, well,

00:37:40.230 --> 00:37:43.889
why aren't we using Can -Do, Canadian nuclear

00:37:43.889 --> 00:37:46.530
technology? Why are we partnering with that?

00:37:46.610 --> 00:37:48.590
Do we really want to be dependent on the Americans

00:37:48.590 --> 00:37:52.050
for our nuclear reactors? So that will continue.

00:37:53.100 --> 00:37:56.360
Canada is a stable energy and critical minerals

00:37:56.360 --> 00:38:01.360
partner for all nations around the world. Canada

00:38:01.360 --> 00:38:03.760
will continue to position itself as a leader

00:38:03.760 --> 00:38:06.780
in clean energy and the clean energy economy.

00:38:07.840 --> 00:38:10.579
And the infrastructure is being put in place

00:38:10.579 --> 00:38:13.940
to grow the economy faster than the debt. And

00:38:13.940 --> 00:38:16.900
I think everybody's up for the challenge. Canada

00:38:16.900 --> 00:38:20.880
is one of the top five globally in oil, uranium.

00:38:21.719 --> 00:38:24.320
hydro and natural gas. We've talked about wind

00:38:24.320 --> 00:38:28.179
and solar. Okay, we have traditional energy and

00:38:28.179 --> 00:38:31.780
clean energy. And you mentioned about critical

00:38:31.780 --> 00:38:36.380
minerals. So I think we're in a very, very strong

00:38:36.380 --> 00:38:40.619
place going forward. And it might not be as transformative

00:38:40.619 --> 00:38:43.400
as we thought, but Canada is certainly becoming

00:38:43.400 --> 00:38:46.360
more investable, right? Let's bring this home.

00:38:46.990 --> 00:38:50.449
Absolutely, Mark. Yeah, one step at a time, but

00:38:50.449 --> 00:38:54.690
we are moving in the right direction and I'm

00:38:54.690 --> 00:38:59.909
encouraged. Yes, record FDI in the past year,

00:39:00.030 --> 00:39:04.030
even with all the mess, right? Canada, record

00:39:04.030 --> 00:39:09.389
FDI in 2024. So Canada is transforming. This

00:39:09.389 --> 00:39:13.010
is a real change. I think it's important to mention

00:39:13.010 --> 00:39:16.179
at this point in time because we've... We've

00:39:16.179 --> 00:39:17.980
covered a lot today, Rob. It's been great to

00:39:17.980 --> 00:39:20.300
catch up with you even before breakfast in Calgary.

00:39:20.800 --> 00:39:24.039
Okay. I skipped lunch for this podcast. Okay.

00:39:24.119 --> 00:39:28.800
So we're both kind of looking for some energy,

00:39:28.900 --> 00:39:32.059
but the conversation itself has been very energetic.

00:39:32.099 --> 00:39:35.679
And, you know, as we're coming into November

00:39:35.679 --> 00:39:40.699
now, it's Remembrance Day. As our viewers can

00:39:40.699 --> 00:39:44.380
see, we have our poppies on. Canada was formed.

00:39:45.389 --> 00:39:48.449
The Canada, what we as Canadians call Canada

00:39:48.449 --> 00:39:52.389
today, Vimy Ridge in World War I and World War

00:39:52.389 --> 00:39:56.050
II were defining moments for Canada as it stood

00:39:56.050 --> 00:40:00.429
on its path. But the history of Canada has been

00:40:00.429 --> 00:40:04.090
fought for by the Indigenous peoples of Canada

00:40:04.090 --> 00:40:06.710
from the get -go. That's where our relationship

00:40:06.710 --> 00:40:11.449
came from, fighting together to be free, not

00:40:11.449 --> 00:40:15.690
to be ruled by a dictator in Washington. which

00:40:15.690 --> 00:40:20.030
has proven itself in recent times. And in World

00:40:20.030 --> 00:40:23.969
War I, even with the constraints that the Indigenous

00:40:23.969 --> 00:40:26.869
peoples had, they were out there fighting for

00:40:26.869 --> 00:40:30.630
the country. Yeah, per capita basis, sacrificed

00:40:30.630 --> 00:40:34.710
more than any other group of people and all on

00:40:34.710 --> 00:40:38.449
a volunteer basis. So it is an important week

00:40:38.449 --> 00:40:46.380
to remember all of our service. people uh and

00:40:46.380 --> 00:40:50.400
all of those who especially gave their lives

00:40:50.400 --> 00:40:55.139
um and we also remember marie sinclair this week

00:40:55.139 --> 00:40:59.320
who died passed away one year ago what a huge

00:40:59.320 --> 00:41:03.400
loss for canada as well as the indigenous peoples

00:41:03.400 --> 00:41:07.420
of canada because he truth and reconciliation

00:41:07.420 --> 00:41:10.800
commission i've said this many times but one

00:41:10.800 --> 00:41:15.110
of those rare individuals who when i heard him

00:41:15.110 --> 00:41:18.269
speak, I stopped whatever I was doing to listen

00:41:18.269 --> 00:41:23.110
and listen intently. So we remember him this

00:41:23.110 --> 00:41:30.789
week and Indigenous Veterans Day coming up. We

00:41:30.789 --> 00:41:33.969
remember especially all those Indigenous veterans

00:41:33.969 --> 00:41:38.469
and also Remembrance Sunday and Remembrance Day.

00:41:39.250 --> 00:41:43.650
A very special week. We shall remember them.

00:41:44.969 --> 00:41:48.289
And just for some of our viewers who didn't know

00:41:48.289 --> 00:41:51.929
you in the UK, and I think many of them did,

00:41:51.989 --> 00:41:53.809
our viewers and listeners, can you talk a little

00:41:53.809 --> 00:41:56.250
bit about the Maple Leaf Trust over here in the

00:41:56.250 --> 00:41:58.349
UK and its work? Maple Leaf Trust was set up

00:41:58.349 --> 00:42:01.909
after World War II to help Canadian veterans

00:42:01.909 --> 00:42:05.469
and their families who were settling in the UK

00:42:05.469 --> 00:42:09.030
and weren't returning to Canada. uh and fell

00:42:09.030 --> 00:42:11.329
between the cracks of government support because

00:42:11.329 --> 00:42:14.050
they weren't in canada they were in the uk but

00:42:14.050 --> 00:42:16.650
they weren't brits and so this charity was set

00:42:16.650 --> 00:42:21.269
up to help support those veterans and families

00:42:21.269 --> 00:42:25.949
that still exist today we still have three spouses

00:42:25.949 --> 00:42:30.269
three veterans on our books not all from world

00:42:30.269 --> 00:42:33.590
war ii we still actually have a spouse whose

00:42:33.590 --> 00:42:37.300
husband fought For the Brits in World War I and

00:42:37.300 --> 00:42:39.940
for Canada in World War II, you can imagine.

00:42:41.519 --> 00:42:45.460
And the Maple Leaf Trust also does many other

00:42:45.460 --> 00:42:48.820
things. Today it funds many scholarships for

00:42:48.820 --> 00:42:53.039
Canadians studying in the UK. We're also associated

00:42:53.039 --> 00:42:56.099
with the Terry Fox Foundation and help raise

00:42:56.099 --> 00:43:00.599
money for cancer research led by a Canadian professor

00:43:00.599 --> 00:43:08.639
in London. And so many great initiatives as well

00:43:08.639 --> 00:43:10.579
as just honoring veterans in different ways.

00:43:11.860 --> 00:43:15.400
So special time, a time to remember all those

00:43:15.400 --> 00:43:19.619
who went before us. So thank you, Rob. Great

00:43:19.619 --> 00:43:21.699
to catch up. Look forward to seeing you next

00:43:21.699 --> 00:43:25.460
week on our podcast. Absolutely. Thanks, Mark.

00:43:25.500 --> 00:43:28.659
It's great talking to you. Enjoy Calgary. Thanks.

00:43:28.800 --> 00:43:33.880
May they win a game. Thank you for joining Rob

00:43:33.880 --> 00:43:36.400
and I today in a special podcast where we discussed

00:43:36.400 --> 00:43:38.420
an issue of critical importance for our listeners

00:43:38.420 --> 00:43:41.480
and viewers. Be sure to share, subscribe, and

00:43:41.480 --> 00:43:43.539
leave a review on your favorite podcast channel.

00:43:44.139 --> 00:43:46.639
Thanks for listening to Drumbeats. Until next

00:43:46.639 --> 00:43:51.059
time. Mark your calendars for the upcoming 2026

00:43:51.059 --> 00:43:54.440
Summit taking place on the 8th of April. Be sure

00:43:54.440 --> 00:43:56.820
to share, subscribe, and leave a review on your

00:43:56.820 --> 00:43:59.480
favorite podcast channel. Thanks for listening

00:43:59.480 --> 00:44:01.360
to Drumbeats. Until next time.
