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Welcome to Veterans Radio.

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I am Jim Fausone.

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I'm the officer of the deck today.

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We've got some great programs for you.

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I think you'll find very interesting.

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We always want to remind you you can find more about Veterans Radio at its Facebook site

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or at the web.

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VeteransRadio.org is our new URL, VeteransRadio.org.

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Where we're on the web 24-7, you can find a lot of our podcasts there as well.

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We post new ones every Tuesday, so you can get a new story, a new interview, something

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you didn't know before by going to VeteransRadio.org.

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And before we get started, we want to thank our sponsors.

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First up, we want to thank National Veteran Business Development Council, NVBDC.org.

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It was established to certify both service disabled and veteran owned businesses.

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You'll find out how they can help your business by going to NVBDC.org.

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We want to thank Legal Help for Veterans.

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Legal Help for Veterans fights for veterans disability rights all across the nation.

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You can reach them at 800-693-4800 or on the web at LegalHelpForVeterans.com.

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We're going to hear from two extraordinary Americans talking about, is the United States

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ready on a national security stance to deal with what's coming?

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And we're going to look at it both from the Air Force standpoint and from the Navy Fleet

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standpoint.

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Our first guest has the handle Lucky.

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Her name is Heather Penny, she'll tell her story about flying.

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And then we're going to talk to Admiral Green about the Navy Fleet.

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So I think you'll get really informed about what we need to be doing as a country to make

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sure that our freedoms remain protected both here and around the world as we're in July

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of 2024 in the shadow of Independence Day.

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We want to welcome to Veterans Radio today Heather Penny.

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She is a senior resident fellow at the Mitchell Institute of Aerospace Studies.

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We have her on because of her extensive pilot and deep thinking about the Air Force.

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We've got an interesting topic to talk about.

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But Heather, welcome to Veterans Radio.

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Thank you so much.

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I'm so pleased to be here.

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Well, let's start at the beginning because your whole life really has been centered around

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flying and things related to flying.

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But how did a nice girl from Reno, Nevada end up with such a passion over aviation?

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I'm afraid I came by it honestly.

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My daddy is a fighter pilot in Vietnam.

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He flew A7s as a Sandy.

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So we did the combat search and rescue mission picking up down pilots and air crews.

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And then when he got out, he continued to serve by flying for the Reno Air National

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Guard doing the rec emission in our Air Force.

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So I grew up around military aviation and I just loved the fighters.

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They were fast.

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They were mean looking.

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And they just felt so strong and purposeful.

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But I also fell in love with the community.

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The pilots in my dad's squadron, they were full of purpose, the brotherhood, the connection

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and community they had.

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And they were focused on excellence and doing their mission well.

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And plus, when they would tell their stories, it sounded like the greatest adventure story

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that you could go on.

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So I was hooked on aviation from a very young age.

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And of course, being in Reno and my dad racing, I grew up around all kinds of aviation.

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So it's just something I couldn't get out of my blood.

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Well, I've read a lot about you online, but that part of the backstory isn't generally

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told.

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So I figured there was a family connection to military aviation.

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So thanks for telling it.

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But here's a better story that you're not going to find anywhere else listeners.

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And we're talking to Heather Penny.

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I asked Heather earlier, hey, how did a nice girl like you end up at Purdue University

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where you picked up both your bachelor's and your master's degree?

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And there's always a story too, how that happens.

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How did that happen here?

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I can't believe you're making me fess up.

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I am.

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I am.

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They won't take back your degrees at this point.

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Oh, thank goodness.

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It was the school with the latest application date.

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I was terrified about the process.

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I didn't really understand how to navigate college applications.

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And it was the school with the latest application date.

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So I am so fortunate they took me in.

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But I am very much a proud Boiler Maker.

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And I'm happy to say that my youngest daughter is following in my footsteps, not in the

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aviation realm.

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But she has been accepted into Purdue.

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She accepted her admission.

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And she'll be attending Purdue as a rising freshman this next year.

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Oh, that's great.

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We in the Midwest think highly of Purdue University.

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It has a great engineering school.

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And we know a lot of proud alumni from there.

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But from there you went on and said, OK, I've got my degrees.

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Let's get into aviation.

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Tell us about your time in the service.

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Well, actually, part of the reason why Purdue was on my list was because they had the ROTC

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department.

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And I wanted to be a fighter pilot.

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And when I arrived on campus and I contacted the artist, they were like, no, no, no, girls

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can't be fighter pilots.

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Because at the time, in 1992, they couldn't.

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The combat exclusion for aviation had not been lifted by Congress until later.

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So that's when I ended up going into the humanities into the College of Liberal Arts

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where I got my bachelor's and my master's.

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So I was in the middle of my master's degree studying American studies, which is an interdisciplinary

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field, when I learned that Congress had indeed removed that exclusion.

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And I could apply to become a fighter pilot.

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And so there I went to the Air National Guard Route, not the active duty.

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And the reason why is in the mid 1990s, the Soviet Union had fallen.

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It was the end of history.

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The Berlin Wall had crumbled years earlier.

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And so our nation was trying to reap this peace dividend.

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They didn't think we were the only superpower on the globe.

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So why do we need to have a military anymore?

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And they literally cut our air force in half.

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And so the active duty, their planes cut in half.

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They were doing a reduction in force.

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So they were actually forcibly exiting pilots from the service saying, thank you very much,

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but next year you're not going to be in the air force anymore.

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Go find a job.

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And so because I wanted to fly fighters, it was really high risk to go into the active

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duty.

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So because my dad had been in the Guard, I knew that if I was hired by the Guard, if

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they had fighters on their ramp, and if I was good enough, if I was qualified and I passed

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all the check rise, if I was good enough, I could control my destiny and go fly fighters.

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So I was hired.

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It's important.

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I want to point out, Heather.

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It's important to this 1990 experience that you went through about that reduction, because

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it's going to come back when we talk about the issue on which you're quoted in the Defense

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News article that caught my attention.

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But that's why you got yourself into the Guard and tell us about your time in the Guard,

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your overseas deployments.

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Yes.

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I was fortunate to be hired by the DC Air National Guard, the 121st Fighter Squadron

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in Washington, DC, and they fly F-16s.

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So I went through NJET, which is the Euro NATO Joint Jet Pilot Training in Texas.

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My qualifications got me above the threshold to attend this undergraduate pilot training,

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which is pretty exclusive.

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If you graduate from there, you're going to get a fighter.

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It's kind of an all or nothing gamble.

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And then I went through my F-16 training and showed up to my fighter unit and became combat

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mission ready in early 2001.

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Well, guess what happens next?

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Exactly.

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So on 9-11, Mark Sassabill and I were sent in unarmed F-16s on a suicide mission to Flight

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93.

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As you can imagine, this was unprecedented times for our nation.

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And we are very fortunate that the passengers on Flight 93 are true heroes.

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I mean, they took their fate into their own hands to protect our nation.

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But this led to the last several decades, couple decades of the long wars in the Middle

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East.

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And I've got two combat deployments underneath my belt.

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One was initial combat operations to Iraqi Freedom, where my unit, our wing, we were

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tasked with hunting scuds.

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So I was primarily a nighttime scout hunter.

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And we went back and then did more F-16s.

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And then I transitioned from the fighter, I had to leave it as a single mom with two

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little girls that couldn't sustain the deployments.

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And so I was fortunate to be able to fly the DV airlift mission.

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And then I retired out of the Pentagon, out of the National Military Command Center.

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But during that time, I also, as a guard man and then as a reservist, worked within the

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defense industry.

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So I understood the defense industry.

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And I'm now a senior fellow at the Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies, which is

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a think tank that focuses on air power and air force issues.

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And that's really what got us to this article on MeTrack.

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And you down to talk about, you mentioned the defense industry and you had various positions

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with Lockheed Martin as the director of different air force programs.

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So you had both the military service, the contractor, defense contractor information

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experience and now this think tank experience.

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And that kind of gets us to this article that I guess I hadn't thought about and probably

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many veteran radio listeners have not thought about.

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And that is the stress both on the fleet and the force that the air force has experienced

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because of these long wars that you mentioned.

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Set this up for us.

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Tell us what the looming problem is as you see it.

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The looming problem is that our air force is, I'm just going to say, it's in a death

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spiral.

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So in the 1990s, we cut the force in half and like for example, the fighter force literally

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cut in half just divided by two.

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So you've got 50% of what you had and then we go into operations in the Middle East.

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Well now you have fewer aircraft but the demand signal has gone up dramatically.

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Now even though we had been doing operation Northern Watch and Southern Watch, so everyone

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else got to come home after a desert storm, the air force did not get to.

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We conducted airspace control operations over Iraq, both the southern side and the northern

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side to protect the Kurds and also to prevent further aggression from Saddam Hussein.

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So the air force never came home.

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But now suddenly they're doing more with less.

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And so not only do you measure the age of aircraft in terms of chronological years,

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but you measure it in terms of flight hours.

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So we are just flying the hell out of these airplanes and they are dying sooner than they

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had been planned.

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Most of the aircraft that were built in the 1980s, now you remember the Reagan era build-up,

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he didn't actually grow the air force tremendously.

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What he did was he did a complete turnover of the air force.

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So all of the Century Series fighters and Vietnam type fighters that we had, he recapitalized

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with the modern 4th generation fighters that we're familiar with, the F-15, the A-10, the

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F-16.

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During the 1980s, we were buying these aircraft at 200 to 300 a year.

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So now they're 20 years old as we go into operation in Iraqi freedom and during freedom.

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And not only are they at least 20 years old, but now suddenly we're flying them much harder

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than they were planned to be.

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So instead of 4,000 hours, we're now flying these aircraft to 8,000 hours.

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So you can imagine how sort of long in the tooth and tired they are.

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As a matter of fact, in I think it was 2015, and you could probably double check the actual

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year, but an F-15 is flying over St. Louis, it's doing a normal training sortie and it

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just breaks in half because it was the metal was the biggest.

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Metal stress, yeah.

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Fatigue.

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Yeah, yeah.

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It was so fatigued.

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So even though we can modernize these aircraft with new widgets and new radars and new data

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links and all that good stuff, the airframes are still old.

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And while numbers don't tell you the whole story, the numbers here kind of do give you

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a little shocking view of this is it's predicted that the fleet is going to drop, the Air Force's

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fleet is going to drop below 5,000 fighters, bombers, tankers, the whole thing in 2025,

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and it's never been that low if I understand it.

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It's never been as low as it is today and it's getting even smaller.

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The Navy has actually bought more fighters than the Air Force has in the last 20 years.

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And even since we started Operation Iraqi Freedom and Enduring Freedom, and we've been

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continuing this combat operations, the Air Force has continued to get smaller even though

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the demand signal is going up.

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Somebody in Congress must be looking at this and saying, hey, we're paying attention to

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how many ships we have in the Navy because of the China situation.

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Are we paying, is Congress paying any attention, is the public paying any attention to what's

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happening to the Air Force?

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I don't think there's as much attention being paid to this as it should be because now fortunately

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we do have some members in Congress that are blocking the Air Force from divesting more

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aircraft without a plan.

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But if you think about it, the United States military has operated under a veil of air

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supremacy since 1954.

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They haven't had to worry about enemy bombers, enemy fighters, enemy missiles, or things

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like that since 1954.

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And so I think they take air power for granted.

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They just assume that the Air Force is going to continue to be able to completely control

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the skies.

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And I wish there had been more of a wake-up call when our base in Iraq was attacked this

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past year by Iranian ballistic missiles because that should have had people go, whoa, whoa,

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wait a second, maybe we need to pay more attention to air control.

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Because if you think about what's going on in Ukraine, which feels a lot like World

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War I, with the way that the lines are, it's just a battle of attrition and atrocity.

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Yeah, ground pounding.

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Yeah.

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Yeah, I mean, and that is primarily because neither side has real air power in the way

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that we have shaped our joint force to employ.

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And so it is at the end going to be just a matter of who has bigger numbers of bodies

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and bullets the way they're fighting Ukraine.

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And what a horrific way to fight war.

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Well, sometimes when we have these discussions, people say, well, we don't need to be as big

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as we have been or are to maintain, for example, air supremacy because we have allies, we

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have friends, that's part of the argument about the Navy and Australia is going to be

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there for us and Japan is going to be there for us.

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We'll see.

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But is that the argument that the U.S. Air Force doesn't need to be of its size because

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you've got NATO or something?

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What's the explanation for letting the Air Force fleet wither on the vine?

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I would say there's three factors and one is just simply budgets.

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The Air Force has not been provided the necessary resources to recapitalize the way that it

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needs to.

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And some of this is if you look at the last 20 years, the Army has been the preponderance

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of forces in the Middle East.

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And so the Air Force has been funded, as a comparison, $1.3 trillion less than the Army

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over the last 20 years.

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At the same time, that has forced them to cut their recapitalization plans.

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So where the Air Force is right now is they basically have to recapitalize every single

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major weapon system they have now because they have been limping everything along as

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long as they possibly can.

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So they have to recapitalize helicopters, strategic deterrents.

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So this is they have to recapitalize and replace the Minuteman 3, which has been our ground-based

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nuclear deterrent for the last 70 years.

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They've got to recapitalize bombers.

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They've got to recapitalize fighters.

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They've got to recapitalize their specialized, what we call them, HAVAs, the high-value assets,

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everything from AWACS to JSTARS to Rivet Joint to all of these other aircraft, all at the

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same time.

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So that's a huge bill because they've been deferring this for so long because of budget

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pressures, right?

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Yeah, that catches up to you and that's what's happening, right?

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Well, yeah, and there's two more pieces.

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So that's a main causal root cause.

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But there's also this belief in third offset technologies, that's the buzzword for your

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listeners.

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And that's one of the side-ders where the more exquisite and the more sophisticated the technology

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is, the more effective we can be so we need less stuff.

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But that only works to a point.

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And that's, for example, one of the reasons why air power is able to be so dominant in

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desert storm that the Army was just basically able to walk right up to Baghdad is because

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of these advances in technology and how we employed that.

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What the problem is is that twofold, one, technology is no longer the unique domain

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of the free world and specifically of America.

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There's a lot of really smart engineers and software coders and technologies out there,

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right?

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And two, one thing can only be in one place at one time.

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It doesn't matter how effective it is.

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So that's sort of like the Battlestar problem, right?

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Is that you have one widget, it might be incredibly effective, but you cannot cover the entire

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breadth of the Pacific with it.

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You cannot cover, you know, you cannot feel the force of the small amount of things.

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So scope and geography is now, and also now that we're facing more, I would actually call

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them peer threats, right?

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Where China, Russia, and other nations are becoming, they're getting better at what they

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do.

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And they might begin to account for attrition as well.

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So that's really, and so Secretary Kendall right now is, he is embarking and has been

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divesting older platforms so he can invest in research and development.

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But the problem is it creates this bathtub where you're getting rid of the aircraft

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that you have to a very, very small force in the hopes that future technologies will

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arrive in the 2035 timeframe that will be relevant to that timeframe.

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So Kendall is trying to transform the Air Force, and I don't disagree with his intent,

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but what I'm deeply concerned about is this, the next decade of how the Air Force is becoming

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so small that we will not be able to meet the demands of our national security interests.

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We won't be there for our joint partners, and how do we grow when we've gotten too,

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too small?

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It's a death spiral.

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Yeah, trying to ramp back up every business, every team, every whatever you've ever been

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in understands the idea of how much more difficult it is to ramp back up after you've gotten

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that small.

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And we've moved cyber into a new segment, and we have things, you talk about technology

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offsets, I think, do people think drones are, you don't need the Air Force of old because

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you've got drone technology?

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Unfortunately, people do.

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People are of this belief that suddenly now quadcopters are around and there's drones,

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there's artificial intelligence, we just put these little unmanned vehicles up there.

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And we're seeing a lot of that in Ukraine, but people are not seeing how these drones

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are falling out of the sky there.

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And so when we look at Ukraine and what's going on in Ukraine and how they're using

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drone technology there, there are uses for these kinds of drones, but then also the Air

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Force is looking at what they call collaborative combat aircraft.

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And they should be smaller, cheaper, autonomous aircraft that are probably modular.

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They can have different capabilities like jamming or sensing or they can be missile trucks

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or things like that.

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But they should help address the capacity requirement that the Air Force will have in

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future war.

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And also they have the interesting opportunity to change the risk calculus.

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So we did a war game last year at the Mitchell Institute to look at how you might use these

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collaborative combat aircraft.

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And what we found was that operators wanted to use them in disruptive and sort of chaotic

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little ways.

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They wanted to be able to use these drones to be able to detonate adversary tactics,

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force the adversary to react, to deplete the adversary magazine, and to get them off

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their game.

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So that basically then would put our manned aircraft in a position of advantage.

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And let me tell you why humans in the battle space, especially in aircraft, will continue

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to be really important because we don't even have smart self-driving cars just yet.

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And that's a two-dimensional problem set with well-known, well-accepted rules of the

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road in an unchanging environment.

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Fairly unchanging, right?

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The roads generally stay where the roads are.

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Going into a high-intensity conflict in three-dimensional airspace is not quite so easy of a problem

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set.

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And so having humans being able to make decisions through uncertainty, ambiguity, and improvise

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within the battle space based off of the human mind and imagination and training will continue

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to be a critical component of our combat edge.

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As opposed to putting a drone out there that we'll call it smart, but still is only as

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smart as it's trained and doesn't have the ability to adapt to deception, doesn't have

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the ability to adapt to hacking, and could be, depending on what goes on with the adversary,

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could be fairly predictable to the enemy.

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And I guess we're going to run out of time, and boy, we could have gone a lot longer.

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But as you cut airframes, you're cutting the workforce.

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Yeah, you're cutting pilots.

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And mechanics and everybody in between.

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Yep, exactly.

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And it's the people that are combat edge, our combat advantage.

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And so in the air force, the end strength or the manpower or the number of workers you

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have is all based off of how many air planes and how many weapon systems you have.

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So for example, in my fighter squadron, we had had a 2.5 to 1 crew ratio.

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So we had 2.5 pilots for every single airplane that we had.

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And that allowed us to fly full flying schedule, give people crew rest, train the appropriate

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levels.

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We weren't over manned.

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We had the number of training flights and the sorties that they needed.

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And that also drove the amount of intel officers that we had and how many mechanics we had

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and how many weapons troops.

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So the guys that build the bombs and the missiles, how many of those guys we had.

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So when you cut platforms, when you cut aircraft, you cut the workforce.

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And you're usually cutting your most experienced people.

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And experience matters in combat.

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And we know this from history, whether or not it's in Vietnam or you go back to World

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War II.

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For example, Germany had some of the most experienced fighter pilots at the beginning

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of the war.

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And just through statistics and nutrition, those guys died out.

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So by the end of the war, Germany was building and producing more fighters than they did

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at the beginning of the war.

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But the kids they put in there were so inexperienced, they just got shot down.

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The same reason why Japan had to come to kamikaze attacks in the end, because they lost their

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experienced pilots.

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Well, we've been talking to Heather Penny, called Sign Lucky, who has been helping us

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understand the challenges that the United States Air Force is facing as its airframes

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dip below 5,000 in fiscal year 2025, and the risk that that causes to the nation our national

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security, being able to have the up tempo that we are often called to have in the Air

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Force.

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Heather, this has been a great conversation.

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We appreciate your work here as senior resident fellow at the Mitchell Institute for Aerospace

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Studies.

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You've given us a great insight into this problem, which is something we all should

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be watching.

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Oh, thank you, Jim.

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It really has been an honor to speak with you.

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If you don't have an Air Force, you can't have a joint force.

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I hope to, I'll be able to chat with you again.

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I hope you found that informative.

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00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:24,680
Heather Penny is a real patriot.

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You certainly got that from the interview.

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But you should also know that on September 11, 2001, when she was just a first lieutenant

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at the time, she was ordered to, along with another pilot, take her F-16 fighter and head

403
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:44,440
it to Pennsylvania.

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00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:51,000
They were ordered to down the United Flight 93, which was heading to Washington, D.C.

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Now they were up doing training missions and there was no ammunition.

406
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These two F-16s were flying, but they were not outfitted with live ammunition, other

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than maybe 100 rounds of ball ammunition always carried to maintain trim.

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So the mission was take down United 93.

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And if the passengers on United 93 did not crash that into the fields in Pennsylvania,

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it would have been the job of Heather Penny to do just that.

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And she was lucky that didn't have to occur and she's still here to tell the stories.

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But you can understand how that molded her to her core as a pilot, as a patriot.

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So great story, a lot to learn.

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Stick around, you're going to learn now what the concerns are with the naval fleet and

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00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:55,240
what our opposition is doing versus what we're doing here in building out the fleet.

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00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:57,160
Military veterans touch everyone's life.

417
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:02,440
I'm guessing right now you're thinking of a veteran, a close friend, relative, maybe

418
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:03,560
it's you.

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00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:08,320
Even the toughest of us sometimes need help, but don't know where to turn for support.

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00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,880
You don't need special training to help a veteran in your life.

421
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,760
We can all help someone going through a difficult time.

422
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:15,840
Learn how you can be there for veterans.

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00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:22,600
Visit veteranscrisisline.net, veteranscrisisline.net, a message from the U.S. Department of Veterans

424
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:24,720
Affairs.

425
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:28,600
If you have a VA claim denied by the Board of Veterans Appeals, contact Legal Help for

426
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:32,840
Veterans at 1-800-693-4800.

427
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:36,840
There are experts in handling cases before the U.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims.

428
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:41,000
Their number again, 1-800-693-4800.

429
00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:47,480
We want to welcome back to Veterans Radio today Vice Admiral Kevin Green, United States

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00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:48,480
Navy retired.

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00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:54,960
We're going to talk about the fleet structure and issues related to that.

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00:30:54,960 --> 00:31:00,920
And then we're also going to get into talking about the Navy's recruiting issue and how

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00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:04,000
that impacts all these other decisions.

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00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,600
But let me set this up a little bit.

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00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:14,480
Kevin Green went to Annapolis in 1971 and about 30 years later, 30-plus years of military

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00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:21,280
service retired as a Vice Admiral has been very active in all things defense and Navy

437
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:27,960
since then, both in the private government, private corporation world as well as government

438
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:31,680
affairs and stays very attuned to things.

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00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:37,320
He commanded the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Group when he was active duty.

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00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:42,560
And I think his last assignment was Deputy Chief of Naval Operations, Plans and Policy

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00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:44,120
before his retirement.

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00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,720
Admiral, welcome back to Veterans Radio.

443
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:47,720
Thank you, Jim.

444
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:49,600
I'm happy to be with you.

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00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:55,240
Well we spoke before about something that's going on, which is NATO's 75th anniversary

446
00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:59,960
and we got done and I said, hey Admiral, I got some more questions for you and you were

447
00:31:59,960 --> 00:32:03,960
gracious enough to say, yeah, we should talk about that.

448
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:10,920
So really what we want to talk about, it starts with acknowledging some of the challenges

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00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:17,360
that the United States has in its national security around the world on the high seas

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00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:22,600
and that leads you into thinking about, well, what's the right Navy force structure or

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00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:26,560
what are the plans that we have to have in place?

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00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:31,320
So why don't you recap a little bit about what the Navy looks at in terms of strategic

453
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:36,560
concerns on the oceans around the world?

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Certainly and the foundation of all of that is a description of the missions of the Navy.

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Why do we have the Navy in the first place?

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And what does the Navy do for the country?

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More than 50 years ago, the Chief of Naval Operations, the senior Admiral of the Navy,

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made out four basic commissions for the Navy, one of them strategic deterrents principally

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00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:08,280
through our strategic submarine force.

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The next was sea control, maintaining control of the seas, projection of power ashore with

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our partners, the United States Marine Corps and the Army to be complete and naval presence

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around the world.

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And by missions, what we're talking about are the outputs of the objectives of having

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a Navy in the first place.

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Recently the current Chief of Naval Operations, Admiral Franchetti, answered the question publicly

466
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:44,760
when asked what does the Navy do?

467
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:51,880
And the Navy is here to preserve the peace, to respond in a crisis and to win decisively

468
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:53,480
in wars.

469
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:59,440
The Navy operates far forward around the world and around the clock from the seabed to space

470
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:07,560
and cyberspace and in the information environment, promoting our nation's prosperity and security,

471
00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:12,280
deterring aggression and providing options to our nation's leaders.

472
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:17,880
We deliver power for peace and are always postured and ready to fight and win as part

473
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:22,000
of the joint force that is with the other U.S. military services.

474
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:29,800
And alongside our allies and partners, the headquarters of the Navy is focused on organizing,

475
00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:37,880
training and equipping the Navy in order to carry out the missions that are assigned by

476
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,280
the combatant commanders.

477
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:46,320
The geographic combatant commanders run various sections of the globe and we, along with the

478
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:51,880
other services, provide the forces that allow them to carry out their peacetime and their

479
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:54,080
wartime missions.

480
00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:57,080
So what we do is a really important part of that.

481
00:34:57,080 --> 00:35:05,560
And when we start thinking hard about the force structure, the size of the fleet, one

482
00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:10,080
measure is the total number of battle force ships.

483
00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:19,160
Today, there are 293 battle force ships, meaning what you would think of as warships, aircraft

484
00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:29,960
carriers, amphibious assault ships, destroyers, cruisers, frigates, literal combat ships and

485
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:30,960
so forth.

486
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,880
293 of them altogether.

487
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:39,600
When we also count the military seal of command ships, the ships that provide the logistic

488
00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:44,480
support for that battle force.

489
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:51,480
When you put that in context, give us some indication of the, I don't know, I think most

490
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:57,520
people don't understand how old the fleet is, maybe how long a ship is good for until

491
00:35:57,520 --> 00:35:59,720
it has to be replaced.

492
00:35:59,720 --> 00:36:07,120
Help the uninformed get a better idea of, is 293 all you need?

493
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:12,120
Or how does replacement and those sorts of things come into play?

494
00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:21,680
Sure, well, it is a fact that things that humans build don't generally last forever.

495
00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:28,160
And that's certainly true of ships and aircraft that operate in the complex, demanding and

496
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:37,880
very, very difficult environment of the sea, of the oceans of the world and the literal

497
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:42,480
areas, that is, the parts of the ocean that are close to land.

498
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:50,400
Typically we like to keep a ship for 30 to 40 years.

499
00:36:50,400 --> 00:37:02,800
We have an average age on our fleet today of about 24 years and that includes submarines,

500
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:08,960
the aircraft carriers and the destroyers, cruisers and literal combat ships, some of

501
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:17,240
them quite new, but you can tell from that average age of in the mid-20s or so that it

502
00:37:17,240 --> 00:37:18,760
is a big challenge.

503
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:26,840
We are constantly building new ships, bringing them out, putting them into commission and

504
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:32,680
operating them in order to carry out these missions that are assigned to us.

505
00:37:32,680 --> 00:37:36,200
You mentioned or you asked if 293 was the right number.

506
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:41,360
Well, the day I entered the Naval Academy in the 1960s we had almost a thousand ships

507
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:43,160
in the Navy, in the fleet.

508
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:50,280
Now, a lot of them were, frankly speaking, relics from World War II.

509
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:52,760
Others were relatively new ships.

510
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:59,960
They had different kinds of missions and they were nowhere near as capable as the ships

511
00:37:59,960 --> 00:38:01,600
we have today.

512
00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:06,560
So when we talk about the right size of the ship and how one would compare that with any

513
00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:14,960
other ship around the world, it is by consensus in the people who analyze naval forces that

514
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:20,120
the number one, the top, the most powerful fleet in the world today is the United States

515
00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:21,120
Navy.

516
00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:23,680
There is a little question about that.

517
00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:30,560
The Chinese fleet has more holes in the water, but in terms of capability, in terms of missions,

518
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:37,080
in terms of modernization, in terms of the things that really matter in the measure of

519
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:42,160
a ship, we are at the top of the heap.

520
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:45,920
That doesn't give us a heck of a lot of margin, however.

521
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:53,240
When we talk about potential operations that the Navy might be involved with in the future,

522
00:38:53,240 --> 00:38:59,240
we only have to consider the kinds of operations the Navy is involved in today around the world.

523
00:38:59,240 --> 00:39:08,640
We look at, in the Red Sea, for example, USS Eisenhower, an aircraft carrier strike group,

524
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:16,280
every day taking out anti-ship missiles that are endangering the sea lanes, endangering

525
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:25,760
merchant ships, plying their normal peacetime innocent travel around the world to provide

526
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:31,120
products and services to the world, to the countries of the world.

527
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:34,640
We look at threats to Taiwan and the South China Sea.

528
00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:41,800
We look at issues having to do with the Korean Peninsula and concerns there.

529
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:48,440
We look at areas of the globe, believe it or not, there is still a piracy issue around

530
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:58,440
the world, whether it's in the South Asia area or in the Western Pacific or it's off

531
00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:04,920
the coast of Africa or either in the South Atlantic or in the Indian Ocean.

532
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:08,920
It's a genuine mission that continues.

533
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:19,600
One of the challenges, one of the concerns we have is even with the exquisitely equipped,

534
00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:26,200
crewed, trained and ready ships that we have in that battle force, a ship can only be in

535
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:29,040
one place at one time.

536
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:34,560
When there are lots of different challenges around the world, whether it has to do with

537
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:43,160
Eastern Europe, the Black Sea, the Mediterranean, the Pacific, you name it, it is a real challenge

538
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:49,000
satisfying those operational demands of our combatant commanders to provide the fleet

539
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:52,920
forces that are necessary for them to carry out their missions.

540
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:57,600
I am very sure that if you were to talk with any of those combatant commanders, they would

541
00:40:57,600 --> 00:41:03,440
tell you, yes, we can do our mission today, but it's a narrow margin.

542
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:10,280
I here wish I had more forces at hand, ships, aircraft, and this pertains to the other military

543
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:13,200
services as well.

544
00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:18,360
What's unique though on the Navy mission though is you mentioned it, you can only have that

545
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:23,360
ship in one spot and it takes a long time to transit somewhere else.

546
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:31,000
It's not a matter about jumping on a plane and moving folks by air travel.

547
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:38,840
It's a much slower process and it's not just the number of ships you have, but the types

548
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:43,720
and the locations where they can be deployed because you just ran us around the whole world

549
00:41:43,720 --> 00:41:52,680
from the mid-east to the South China Sea and everywhere in between.

550
00:41:52,680 --> 00:41:59,480
How do you then, how is the country now planning because a ship has such a long life and a

551
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:03,520
long time to be, you know, takes to build?

552
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,240
How do you plan for the future like that?

553
00:42:05,240 --> 00:42:09,640
The ship you launched today is going to be around for 35 years.

554
00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:14,720
How do you think about what it's actually going to be used for over that 35-year period?

555
00:42:14,720 --> 00:42:21,000
Well, that's a great question, Jim, and it's the center of why the National Defense Strategy

556
00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:22,920
is so important.

557
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:31,920
The National Defense Strategy anticipates developments around the world that would make

558
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:39,880
a big difference in the planning for structure, meaning how many people do we need to have

559
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:45,400
on active duty, how many aircraft, how many ships, how much ammunition, how many systems.

560
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:53,960
How do we tie all of those things together electronically in the sense of sharing information

561
00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:58,640
and intelligence and all of that?

562
00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:03,840
Keeping in mind that while we're doing our planning, our potential adversaries are doing

563
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:11,120
the same, they are designing and building their forces, naval forces, military, air forces,

564
00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:16,800
space, and certainly cyber forces to overcome the strengths that we have today.

565
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:20,680
And our National Military Strategy leans forward on that.

566
00:43:20,680 --> 00:43:26,680
What do we have to be able to do to maintain our current advantages and avoid a situation

567
00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:31,720
where we're outgunned, we're outnumbered, and we've run out of ideas?

568
00:43:31,720 --> 00:43:37,920
We have got to create the warfighting advantages, and that will dictate what we need to build

569
00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:42,000
and what we need to invest in.

570
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:51,400
And while we're doing that, one of the issues that is a controlling factor is the defense

571
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:54,800
industrial sector.

572
00:43:54,800 --> 00:44:02,360
What can our private sector companies, our industry partners, and academia do to help

573
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:03,360
us move forward?

574
00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:11,280
And I have to tell you that when we look at a battle force of 293 ships, not all of those

575
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:13,240
ships are available all the time.

576
00:44:13,240 --> 00:44:15,320
They're going through maintenance.

577
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:20,640
Nuclear propelled ships go through periodic nuclear refueling, which takes a long time

578
00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:22,640
to get completed.

579
00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:24,320
It's expensive as well.

580
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:32,000
The capacity of shipyards, both federal shipyards, and there are a few of those left, but commercial

581
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:40,160
shipyards where the ships are built, where the ships are maintained, and the other industrial

582
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:46,120
firms that provide maintenance and provide the systems, the armaments, the munitions,

583
00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:50,240
and the other systems, it's a big challenge.

584
00:44:50,240 --> 00:44:55,800
So the question at this point comes, well, what are we going to do about all of this?

585
00:44:55,800 --> 00:45:03,000
Seeing what the military leadership and what the senior folks in Congress and what the

586
00:45:03,000 --> 00:45:11,920
administration are dealing with, number one thing for them to keep in mind, and they do,

587
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:17,920
is that the threats to our nation and our interests around the world are real and they're growing.

588
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:21,640
It's a changing strategic environment.

589
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:23,680
We've got to be able to defend the homeland.

590
00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:27,320
We've got to be able to deter strategic attack.

591
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:33,560
And we've got to be able to deter potential adversaries from moving against us and be

592
00:45:33,560 --> 00:45:41,880
prepared to prevail in the event of a strategic attack or in the event of any conflict with

593
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:45,640
any of the host of potential adversaries that are out there.

594
00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:50,840
Well, you said one of the four pillars here of the mission is strategic deterrence, and

595
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:56,560
you can't have strategic deterrence if your adversaries say, well, their fleet continues

596
00:45:56,560 --> 00:46:00,240
to erode and get older and they're not replacing it fast enough.

597
00:46:00,240 --> 00:46:04,360
We just have to wait them out 10 years and we'll have the advantage because there isn't

598
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:06,520
strategic deterrence.

599
00:46:06,520 --> 00:46:12,960
So I recently was reading in preparation to talking to you the Congressional Research

600
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:19,640
Services White Paper on March 1st of 2024 on the Navy Force structure and shipbuilding

601
00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:24,920
plans and they say, well, we're going to build 11 ships per year for 35 years and that'll

602
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:28,600
get us up to something like 355 ships.

603
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:35,400
And my first reaction was, oh my god, 35 years to get up to that number?

604
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:40,960
Again, I have just a general layman's view of this thing.

605
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:46,200
When you look at those kind of projections, and again, we're talking to retired Vice Admiral

606
00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:52,880
Kevin Green, who was the Deputy Chief Naval Operations Plans and Policy Director at one

607
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:58,000
point, how do you look at those sort of plans and say, well, here's a 35-year plan.

608
00:46:58,000 --> 00:47:00,120
We'll try to build 11 a year.

609
00:47:00,120 --> 00:47:06,720
Well, I'll tell you, Jim, it worries me and I'm not alone.

610
00:47:06,720 --> 00:47:18,080
And we have put ourselves in a situation where in the short term, we have to focus on readiness,

611
00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:22,680
readiness of the force, the platforms, that is, the ships, aircraft, and other systems

612
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:31,520
that we use, but ensuring that when they deploy, when they leave port to go over and carry

613
00:47:31,520 --> 00:47:33,920
out an operational mission, they are ready.

614
00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:35,640
They are trained.

615
00:47:35,640 --> 00:47:37,840
They are well-armed.

616
00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:39,280
The systems work.

617
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:46,520
They have the spares and the materials and the ammo that they need to get the job done.

618
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:52,560
That doesn't solve the longer-term problem, but it solves the immediate problem when we're

619
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:54,240
able to get enough of them out there.

620
00:47:54,240 --> 00:48:02,000
There's been a lot of focus in the past several years on how many of this battle force, how

621
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:06,920
many of the battle force ships are fully ready for mission.

622
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:12,480
And the aviation world, they refer to that measure as full mission capable.

623
00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:20,880
And the FMC rates, full mission capability rates of the naval air force has gone up significantly

624
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:26,760
in the last several years due to investments and better means of managing that force.

625
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:31,240
They've done a great job and they have to stay on it.

626
00:48:31,240 --> 00:48:38,240
One of the things that occurs to me is this relationship with the Defense Industrial Base

627
00:48:38,240 --> 00:48:48,000
and expanding the Defense Industrial Base and finding things like disruptive capabilities,

628
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:52,800
the things that we haven't had in the past, things that make a difference.

629
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:57,160
The Secretary of the Navy has put together a new disruptive capabilities office that

630
00:48:57,160 --> 00:48:58,880
is looking at just that.

631
00:48:58,880 --> 00:49:05,280
And they're principally looking at things like cyber warfare and use of drones and all

632
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:06,600
that.

633
00:49:06,600 --> 00:49:13,520
I have observed, I have seen and been present at demonstrations from a lot of different

634
00:49:13,520 --> 00:49:20,360
companies, companies that are not traditional defense firms that are applying new technologies

635
00:49:20,360 --> 00:49:24,240
to things that sound awfully mundane, things like propulsion systems.

636
00:49:24,240 --> 00:49:35,040
I saw a demo recently of a new kind of propulsion system for assault craft, amphibious craft

637
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:40,040
and so forth that is so different from what's been used before.

638
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:46,720
And finding a way of connecting the government, the Department of Defense and the folks who

639
00:49:46,720 --> 00:49:51,200
do the acquisition of new systems to connect them with the companies.

640
00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:58,640
I mean, this is good old American know-how and inventiveness and energy, brilliant new

641
00:49:58,640 --> 00:50:02,120
thoughts and being able to connect all of this together.

642
00:50:02,120 --> 00:50:08,120
You really have to count on some of that to stay up with folks, countries who may be

643
00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:17,760
spending more money and attempting to leapfrog you in just numbers of ships at sea.

644
00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:22,400
You have to try to move forward with some technologies, this disruptive capabilities

645
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:23,400
you mentioned.

646
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:28,400
And that's one of the ones I wanted you to expand on a little bit because the Navy is

647
00:50:28,400 --> 00:50:37,680
planning on actually quite a number of larger unmanned underwater vehicles for a variety

648
00:50:37,680 --> 00:50:44,000
of work and missions over the next couple of decades and maybe moving that number up

649
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:48,080
to like, I think I read 150.

650
00:50:48,080 --> 00:50:53,440
Again, help us who aren't in this regularly to think about what does that do?

651
00:50:53,440 --> 00:50:55,440
How does that help your capabilities?

652
00:50:55,440 --> 00:51:01,440
Well, first of all, back to that earlier point that one ship can only be in one place at

653
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:03,440
a time.

654
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:11,360
The fifth fleet in the Persian Gulf and the northern Indian Ocean and the Red Sea has

655
00:51:11,360 --> 00:51:18,640
for years now been engaged in a brilliantly successful and extremely innovative program

656
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:31,080
to use unmanned systems, platforms, principally surface-based boats, if you will, aircraft

657
00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:38,000
also to be able to expand their ability to conduct surveillance and intelligence gathering.

658
00:51:38,000 --> 00:51:44,880
That's been true in the fourth fleet area of responsibility as well in the Caribbean and

659
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:48,080
around South America and Central America.

660
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:56,120
They're able to use these systems in a theater where it's hard to get a large number of ships

661
00:51:56,120 --> 00:52:02,480
at aircraft because it's a very large area and there's lots of work to be done.

662
00:52:02,480 --> 00:52:08,320
But being able to use those kinds of systems is extraordinarily powerful.

663
00:52:08,320 --> 00:52:13,320
Evel Poparo, who's the commander of the U.S. Pacific Fleet now and has been confirmed by

664
00:52:13,320 --> 00:52:19,760
the Senate to be the next commander of the Indo-Pacific Command later this year, has

665
00:52:19,760 --> 00:52:30,160
made a number of public statements concerning the use of thousands of such unmanned systems,

666
00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:38,360
subsurface, surface and aerial, to be able to again expand his ability to gain intelligence,

667
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:45,680
conduct surveillance and in some cases they can have other kinetic missions as well.

668
00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:55,800
It's a very exciting change and it requires fewer people to be placed at the scene of

669
00:52:55,800 --> 00:53:02,480
action if you will and some of these platforms have extraordinary endurance.

670
00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:10,920
We've got a number of fleet exercises in the last year and a half or so that have demonstrated

671
00:53:10,920 --> 00:53:15,240
the value to the fighting force of what these platforms can do.

672
00:53:15,240 --> 00:53:20,680
Well, it's really interesting and I think in a very positive way for national security

673
00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:29,240
admiral and while I also am very worried that we don't either have the Congressional

674
00:53:29,240 --> 00:53:35,960
Budget for or the Defense and Duffer's drill base to build more ships that are more rapid

675
00:53:35,960 --> 00:53:40,280
paced than we need, I don't want to end this on a downer, I really want to come back and

676
00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:46,480
say one of the things that I think is also going on in recognition of what some of our

677
00:53:46,480 --> 00:53:51,280
adversaries are doing is a greater effort to have naval partners and I'm thinking of

678
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:57,240
Australia in particular but I suspect this goes on worldwide that the US Navy is working

679
00:53:57,240 --> 00:54:06,160
hard to have naval partners in other countries sort of as a force multiplier and strategic

680
00:54:06,160 --> 00:54:07,200
deterrent.

681
00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:09,960
Can you advise us a little bit about that?

682
00:54:09,960 --> 00:54:17,120
Absolutely and you and I were speaking last week about things, I mentioned that I served

683
00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:21,200
on a German ship back in my midship and days.

684
00:54:21,200 --> 00:54:28,280
Ships that I served on as a commission officer had exchange officers and others and we operated

685
00:54:28,280 --> 00:54:36,840
with NATO ships and with Japanese ships and with Korean ships and others as well.

686
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The British, the French, the Germans, members of NATO, countries in Europe are already engaged

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in planning and continuing a series of operations of their ships in the western Pacific because

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of their understanding that if there's a serious problem somewhere in the globe it's going

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to affect the entire globe and that's a very, very encouraging and positive development.

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I have to say that once again the strength of our national abilities is not dependent

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on us alone.

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We have great partners who have been proven in combat who have made it very clear where

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their loyalties lie and we couldn't be more fortunate than to have the friends that we

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do and typically the adversaries that we consider for potential concern in the future don't

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have that luxury of having strong, capable friends to be able to help them out.

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When you get a chance and you bump into your local congressman or senator, you ought to

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ask them what are they doing about, how much support are they given to the Air Force and

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the Navy so that we have the machinery to defend the country when it comes time.

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Well, you're not going to hear these stories anywhere but on Veterans Radio I hope you'll

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stay in contact with us through our webpage at veteransradio.org or on Facebook.

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I'm Jim Fossone, Dale Throneberry.

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We'll be back next week to talk about some of these issues and we certainly appreciate

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all of our partners like NVBDC and those Ann Arbor based Veterans Service Organizations

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which have been helping us out for a long time and my fellow board members who are always

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working to bring you the best we can in Veterans Radio and until next time on Veterans Radio

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you are dismissed.

