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Friends and foes, we have another battle this weekend.

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On one hand you have the ravens of Baltimore, and on the other hand you have the bills of

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Buffalo, all being fought on the cold Tundra, and on the other hand you have the Texans

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of Houston and the Chiefs of Kansas City, and on the other hand you have the Eagles

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of Philadelphia and the Rams of LA, as well as the Commanders of Washington, even though

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they are in Maryland technically speaking.

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Do not argue with thee, but argue with thine self, and on the other hand you have the Lions

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of Detroit, all fighting for one goal, and that is to be a champion.

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Who will win these battles?

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Who will advance to the next round of the tournament?

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We will all find out on this weekend.

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So until then, I am your host with the most.

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Your GM who currently is not on a team right now, but don't you worry your very minds about

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that, my dear fellow people.

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Now I am also your GM, your Bagro Domus, the one who gives predictions of all things related

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to the bag as well as things connected to the National Football League.

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I am your host Kale.

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Yes, my tone is a little bit different.

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We're going to do something a little bit different because this is the 60th episode of the Junkies

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Football Podcast, or as we say it in layman's term, the Football Junkies Podcast.

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I am your host Kale.

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You already know what we've already said.

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Prior to this point, so on three, let us all say it in a joyous way.

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One, two, three, lock in, we shall.

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All right, folks, let's just get into the meat and potatoes and everything that is going

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on in the league right now.

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Yes, I decided to switch things up a little bit just to keep you guys on your toes.

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Okay, I'm letting you know right now this episode is going to be fairly short, simply

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because outside of all the coaching interviews and whatnot, there's really not a lot going

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on.

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Honestly, I could talk about what happened with Mike Tomlin, but don't nobody really

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care about that.

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I'll save all of my opinions and all those different types of things.

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Once we get to the episode when I talk about the entire offseason for all 32 teams, I'll

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probably break it down division by division just so we can stress things out a little

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bit because these episodes are going to be fairly pretty long because I'm going to be

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doing an in-depth analysis of every single team, cap space, positional needs, where they

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are on the draft, what they should do in free agency, all those different types of things

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and more.

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Once the season is completely over, that's when we'll do it.

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But until then, we still got some games that we have to talk about.

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Let's get into all the playoff games that are going on right now.

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Let us start with the Ravens and Bills.

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For me personally, I think this is going to be a really good game.

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On top of that, apparently it's supposed to be snowing.

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You already know.

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Snow games, especially in the playoffs, legendary.

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Now, it may not be the best for the players, but for us as the consumers, we're probably

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going to want to love it.

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But let's just get into these junky nuggets that I found on Pro NFL.

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Shout out to them.

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In-zone coverage.

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Lamar threw for 2,989 passing yards, 23 touchdowns and 3 picks and 9.5 yards per 10.

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The Bills played 76.3% of snaps in-zone coverage, which is the eighth highest rate in the league

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and allowed 17 touchdowns and intercepted 12 passes.

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And the Bills have loaded the box 43.1%, which is a little bit low compared to the league

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average, which is about 45.7%.

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Now this is what I will say.

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For the Bills, you have a tough task and that is to try to limit both Lamar Jackson and Derek

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Henry.

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And the reason why I say that is because this is a type of game for someone like a Derek

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Henry, those bigger, powerful running backs.

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Okay.

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It may not be the best for the Lucidbacks, but someone that's a old school downhill runner,

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I'm going to put you in the ground type of running back.

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Oh, this is perfect for them.

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But even when we go a little bit more in depth with these junkie nuggets, okay, since 2018,

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the Ravens averaged 7.1 yards per play when using motion.

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And in week four, when the receivers were open, Lamar Jackson was 12 for 13, 144 yards

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and 2 touchdowns.

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I'm just going to be honest here.

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If it was me personally, I wouldn't let Zay Flores play this game.

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I would save him for the AFC championship.

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Most likely you're either going to go up against the Chiefs or the Texans.

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So you want to be prepared for that ensemble.

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Now the expectation for the Bills is most likely they are going to load up the box and

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they're going to try to limit Derek Henry in the beginning of the game.

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But we all know Derek Henry being the battering ram that he is.

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At some point he's going to break through and he's going to make that big run.

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And when he does, that is going to be the start of many.

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Now the question is how exactly are they going to try to mitigate Derek Henry?

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There is no answer because it's not going to happen because as of right now, in my eyes,

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I feel like the Bills defense is not equipped to stop Derek Henry.

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If it was someone like a Justice Hill or somebody else, yeah, they could definitely do the thing.

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But someone like a Derek Henry that's going to wear down on defenses.

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They may start out perfectly fine at first.

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But as the game continues to go on, they're going to get more tired and worn down.

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And before you know it, guess what?

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Those gaps get a little bit more open and he's hitting the home run every single time.

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He is going for the touchdown straight up the middle or somewhere else.

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And guess what? most likely he is stiff arming somebody before he gets to the end zone.

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So the Bills have a tall task ahead of them.

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When it comes to Derek Henry, I think they'll be able to hold their own against, you know,

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Isaiah likely and Mark Andrews and Rashad Bateman.

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But only time will tell.

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Now when we shift things over to the Bills, though, I think the Bills are going to be

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playing catch up this entire game simply because for one, they don't have the secondary to

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compete with the Ravens, as well as we all know that if Josh Allen does not have a really

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good game, oh, they're screwed.

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So they're going to have to try to put as many points as they can on the board every

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chance that they get instead of going for, you know, the fourth and one or instead of

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trying to make, you know, a crazy pass or whatever, just get the three or just try to,

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you know, get the touchdown and just, just do the routine things.

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Just try to put as many points on the board because you already know once the Ravens get

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into a rhythm, once they figure out, okay, this works in this situation.

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Okay, we got a little bit of traction.

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Oh, that's it.

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Because again, I want people to understand this.

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The Ravens are just as dangerous on offense as they are on defense.

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And that defense is built to put a lot of pressure on someone like a Josh Allen.

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Okay, those patch rushers, they're cooking right now.

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Kyle Van Noy, he's cooking right now.

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So you have a mixture of that on top of Kyle Hamilton may either be put in the box or he's

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going to pay or he's going to play in the backfield.

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Now if he plays in the box, that's going to limit James Cook.

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But if he plays more in the backfield, that keeps a lid over any deep passes that that

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the bills may try to do me personally, I think they're going to try to put a lid on a Mario

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Cooper because we all know a Mario Cooper is still dangerous.

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I don't care, you know, what this stat says or what that stat says.

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When you need a Mario Cooper, a Mario Cooper is going to make a play.

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So if they can limit a Mario Cooper and force Josh Allen to rely on Mack Hollins, Curtis

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Samuel, Keon Coleman and company, I think things could be in the Ravens favor.

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Just being honest, now there's probably a whole bunch of people that are saying, well,

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you're rooting for the Ravens more than anything.

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No, but what I realize is the Ravens as a whole is better equipped for this game than

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what the bills are.

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Now granted, the bills, they are a really good team.

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I'm not taking that away from them.

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But me personally, I don't see anybody on the bills team that can try to mitigate Derek

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Henry, that can try to limit Mark Andrews and Isaiah likely and Rashad Bateman.

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They don't have the secondary that they used to have where they used to have Trey White

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and you know, both of the safeties and Tremaine Edmonds and company, they don't have that

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no more.

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So again, this is going to be a team effort for the bills.

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It really is and they're going to have to keep things close.

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If they can keep things close, they could possibly win this game.

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But if the distance starts to, you know, stretch out a little bit, little by little, hold on,

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no, that's it.

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That is if that is a wrap.

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Folks, get ready to go to Cancun.

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One, two, three, Cancun.

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Now for the commanders and Lions game, this game is a little bit more interesting for

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me personally.

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And the reason why I say that is because here you have someone in Jaden Daniels who continues

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to be a magician, game in and game out.

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You're going up against the Lions.

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Now granted, I understand there are people are saying, well, I think the Lions can beat

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the commanders.

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Oh, hold on there.

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Pause the breaks.

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I think the commanders may have a chance of beating the Lions.

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I really do.

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And the only reason why I say that is because this commander's team, I don't know what it

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is, but it's just something special about them.

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I don't know.

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I don't know if it's Jaden Daniels.

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I don't know if it's just, you know, their story this entire season.

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I don't know what it is, but it's something special about them that I think they can try

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to do the impossible and beat the Lions.

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And I'm not saying that the commander's going to go to the Super Bowl, but what I am saying

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is this could be a very close game.

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When we look at these junkie nuggets, okay, when facing man coverage, Jarragov completed

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71.3% of his passes and through 20 touchdowns and no picks.

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So you already know if he sees man coverage, oh, barbecue chicken, barbecue chicken alert,

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barbecue chicken alert, barbecue chicken alert already.

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All right.

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Now, when we look at, you know, these other junkie nuggets on design runs under center,

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the Lions gained 1,801 rushing guards.

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Okay.

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So expect for them to be under center a lot in this game.

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Now the question is how effective will this run game be against the commander's defensive

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line?

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Because remember, you got Franky Louvue, you got Dante Fowler, June, you got Jonathan

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Allen, you got Durand Payne and you got Johnny Newton.

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So I think this defensive line could try to limit the run game for the Lions.

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Now I'm not saying they're going to try to, you know, disable it completely, but I do

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think they do have the personnel that can try to limit them as much as they can.

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If they do, you can keep this game fairly close.

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Now when we look at things for the commanders though, when targeting Goal Rouse, Jaden Daniels

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throws the most touchdowns without any interceptions and the commanders utilize man blitzes 21.1

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0.9% of pass rushes this season.

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So expect for them to blitz at some point in this game.

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Now the question is how is the blitz going to look like?

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Because we've seen them blitz with Franky Louvue, we've seen them blitz with Dante

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Fowler, Jr.

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We've seen them blitz with slot corners.

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So prepare for the blitz.

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I can already tell you right now, Jerichoff probably has that written on a notepad or

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something to watch out for the blitzes because they're going to try to put pressure on Jerichoff.

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Now the question is, will that pressure convert into interceptions or, you know, fourth announce

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or whatever?

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Who knows?

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But I will say this is going to be a really good game.

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I'm not saying it's going to be a high scoring game, but I think as long as the commander's

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defense keeps them in this game, I think there's a fair, there's a fair enough chance.

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I'm not saying, you know, the commander's going to come in and just destroy the Lions.

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No.

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But what I am saying is this, they can do something.

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They can do something.

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I'm just, I'm just saying, I keep on saying it.

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The commanders might do something crazy.

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And if they do, man, oh man.

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Now let's get into this Texans in chiefs game.

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Okay.

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So the game that me personally, I feel like it's going to be another upset.

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Now you're probably thinking, why do you think all these upsets?

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Because when we look at things from a broader perspective, right, especially for the Texans,

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the Texans defense, especially their patch rushers can create enough pressure on my homes

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because let's be real here.

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Those tackles, they know they can't get off super early because you already know most

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likely it's going to get called.

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And you're going to be going up against the Neil Hunter and will Anderson.

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That's a tough, a tough, tough, tough assignment.

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And I don't think they're going to be prepared for it.

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Not to mention the chiefs are going to have a tough decision that they're going to have

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to make either use Travis Kelsey for extra blocker or try to see if they can get the

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ball off as super quick as possible.

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Because as of right now, either the Neil Hunter is going to get through or will Anderson is

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going to get through or the both of them want to get through.

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And if the both of them get through, Patrick Mahomes is going down.

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Just saying.

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But when we look at these junkie nuggets here, okay, Patrick Mahomes is six and no in divisional

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round matchups.

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Okay, Will Anderson and the Neil Hunter, as we just talked about, combined for 24 and

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a half sacks a season, that is tied for the most of any duo in the league right now.

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Since their week 11 loss against the bills, Mahomes has thrown for 11 touchdowns and no

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picks.

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That is the most passing touchdowns without a pick in the league over a span.

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The Texans have utilized 12 personnel on 31.7% this season, including the playoffs, which

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is the fifth highest in the league.

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So expect for the Texans to try to run, try to, you know, bring things down to their level.

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Because we all know the recipe for beating the Chiefs is you have to create a lot of

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pressure on Patrick Mahomes and you have to win the time of possession.

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Because the longer that you keep Mahomes on the bench, the better chance that you have

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it winning.

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Because if you don't let him sit, Patrick Mahomes is going to be a magician.

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We have seen it before.

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It's sort of the same thing with Brady.

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The only reason why certain teams were successful against Brady because why they controlled

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the time of possession.

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When you control the time of possession, you can basically control the trajectory of the

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game.

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Now, the problem that I do have with this game though is the Texans offensive line is

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not that strong.

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And you know, most likely Spax is going to have Chris Jones here or there everywhere.

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Okay.

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Probably going to have him lined up on the edge.

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Probably some, you know, sometimes in the middle, one on the other edge, he's going

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to be everywhere.

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Okay.

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So you know, you're going to have to keep a close eye on Chris Jones as well as George

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Coloftus.

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All right.

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But outside of that, I think this is somewhat of an even playing field for both teams.

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Because let's be real here.

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That game against the Chargers, the Texans were not doing well at first.

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It was mainly the defense that was keeping them in games.

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So CJ Stroud and that offense, especially the offensive line, they're going to have to step

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up.

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They're going to have to make plays because if not, the Chiefs are going to do Chiefs

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things.

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And before you know it, they're going to be headed to another AFC Championship.

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Now on to the final game that we have to talk about, and that is the Rams and the Eagles.

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Another game that I think it could be an upset, just saying, I understand there are people

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that are saying, why do you think so many upsets?

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It's because we have seen the underdogs come in and you're thinking, oh, they're not going

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to be able to hold their own against this team.

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Oh, they can't hold a candle with them.

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Next thing you know, that team that everybody was putting money on, guess what?

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They are heading to Cancun.

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But let's get into these junkie nuggets right now.

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So when AJ Brown, Devonte Smith and Jalen Hertz are all active, Jalen Hertz is 10 and

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0 with 27 touchdowns, 0 picks and a 112.5 passer rating.

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The Rams offense have the second highest rate of motion and 82.1%.

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The Eagles use four man fronts at 70.3% of plays, which is the sixth highest in the league.

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Matthew Stafford executed 67 ruleouts this season, which was the second most in the league.

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Now while he did this, he was 48 of 66 with his passes, which is 72.7% for 437 yards,

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which was the second most in the league, along with nine touchdowns without no picks.

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Expect this game to be offensively driven.

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Expect this game to be somewhat of a shootout.

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But I do think the Eagles do have the advantage over the Rams, only because defensively they

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have the corners and the defensive line that can create pressure on Matthew Stafford.

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When we look at things from the defensive side, though, especially for the Rams, the

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Rams secondary isn't strong enough to go up against this Eagles offense, especially,

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you know, AJ Brown and Devonte Smith and Jahan Dotson and company, I just don't see it.

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I really don't.

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I think the Eagles are going to come out guns blazing, create a lead and basically just

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put all of the pressure they can on the Rams.

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We already know what Seyquan Barkley is going to do.

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Okay, you already know, most likely at first he may have a little bit of some struggles,

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but as the game continues to go on, Seyquan is going to do Seyquan things.

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Okay, we've seen it before.

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Now the question is, what chapter is AJ Brown going to be on in this game?

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But on a serious note, though, I do think each and every one of these games are fairly

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balanced.

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I don't think one team or the other team, you know, has the advantage.

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I think these are going to be very close games down to the wire.

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And I think if I'm the rest for any of these games, I'm staying out of them.

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I am letting the players dictate the ending of this game.

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I am not trying to intervene as much.

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Now if it's something egregious, okay, yeah, fine, cool.

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Throw up the flag, but all that, you know, tip for tat and I'm going to call more flags

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on this team because I don't like this team.

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And my record shows that when I referee games with this team playing, I usually do it with

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them.

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No, call it down the middle, fair.

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And that's it.

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Just leave it alone because I'm telling you, if this game is handled by the refs, man,

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oh man, are you going to have some angry fans?

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I'm going to end this episode right here.

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I told you guys I was going to keep things light because again, there's not a whole lot

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to talk about.

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Sure, I can talk about all the interviews and whatnot.

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That really doesn't matter until people are actually hired, which that probably won't

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happen until the Super Bowl, maybe depending on who wins and who loses.

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But make sure you guys download the episode so I can recognize and see what you guys

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like so I can give you the fix that you guys need and love.

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Okay.

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00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:05,840
Also, make sure that you guys leave a review and please five stars, please, please, please.

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00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:06,920
I don't ask for a whole lot.

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Just please five stars and review.

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That means the world to me.

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Now, for my YouTube people, Football Junkies Pod, okay, Football Junkies Pod.

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When you go on our YouTube page, there is a link, the link tree, okay?

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00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:23,120
When you go in that link tree, it will take you to anywhere and everywhere that we have

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00:22:23,120 --> 00:22:28,840
Football Junkies content, whether that be TikTok, Instagram, Twitter, Blue Sky, and

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00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,560
of course YouTube, but there's no need for you to do that because you're already on the

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00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:32,560
YouTube, right?

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Now, for my TikTok people, Football Junkies Pod, okay, Football Junkies Pod.

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I'm going to try to see if I can crank out some clips this weekend, okay?

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Because I know you guys, you know, haven't missed some clips.

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Oh, I forgot as well for my TikTok people.

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00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:52,600
I'm going to be posting mock drafts for every single team moving forward.

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So I did the Steelers yesterday.

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Let me know which team I should do today.

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All right.

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Now for my Instagram people, Football underscore junkies pod, okay, Football underscore junkies

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00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:12,000
pod, junkies pod is not what it is together, not spaced.

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00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,520
It is together, not spaced.

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00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:19,320
Football underscore junkies pod, junkies pod is together, not spaced.

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Is there anything else that I'm missing?

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Oh, follow me on Twitter, GM underscore kale, okay?

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GM underscore kale.

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00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:32,800
That's where I do all my arguing with fellow fans, especially Steelers fans about why we

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should draft defensive linemen and possibly corners in the first round instead of getting

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receivers.

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00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:42,960
Man, oh man, have I been going back and forth with everybody this past week in the week

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00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:43,960
prior.

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So, hey, you're going there.

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We're going to have a debate.

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Okay.

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I'm going to share my thoughts, I'm going to share my views, I'm going to share my opinions

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about where your team is, but it's all love at the end of the day.

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Now for my blue sky people, okay?

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GM kale blue sky.

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All right.

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00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:00,920
GM kale blue sky.

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That's where you can find me on blue sky, post all of the episodes as well on there.

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I got to start posting more content on there as well.

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So as always, I hope I gave you guys the fixes you guys need.

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I love you guys.

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00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:14,520
I appreciate you guys so much.

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Thank you for listening up until this point.

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60 episodes, folks.

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60 episodes.

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That means we are 40 episodes away from a hundred episodes, but I love you guys.

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00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:29,940
I appreciate you guys so much.

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This is your GM kale signing out.

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Peace and love.

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Thanks so much for listening literature.