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The forecast might say it's raining, but guess what?

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It is dry as a bone outside.

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That's right, folks.

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We're going to be talking about the market forecast.

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This is going to be something that's going to be implemented during the off-season and

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during the season and post-season as well.

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I'm going to be talking about why do certain position markets reset so often.

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Future position markets that arise, how much does the draft effect position markets and

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what market values will remain stagnant?

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And all of this and more, as well as my predictions for the free agency class and the draft class.

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All of this and more.

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We're going to talk about all of this on the 14th episode of the Football Junkies Podcast.

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I am your host, your GM, your chief meteorologist, your financial advisor who currently isn't

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with a group right now.

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Kale, let's get it.

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All right, folks.

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Well, unfortunately, yes, we do not have no bagglers to talk about, but we do have a

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new segment as I've just said before.

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Decided to do something a little bit different.

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Allow us to analyze and take a deep breath and reflect on the bagglers that have happened.

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You know, just in this offseason alone and sort of pick apart, you know, why are things

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happening the way that they are right now?

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So let's just take a deep dive right into it.

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So when we look at, you know, when I decided to finally, you know, do something like this

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in a market forecast, I was thinking about it was like, how in the world don't want to,

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you know, break this down so people can understand this?

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Well, I got to put in my factors and, you know, what grounds of information do I use

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in order to make, you know, my predictions and whatnot.

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So here goes.

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Okay.

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So when I look at, you know, my market forecast, especially for the offseason leading into the

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start of the new season, okay, I look at for, you know, a few factors, right?

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The rising salary cap, teams valuing other, you know, certain positions than others, you

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know, impact as well as the free agency class.

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Okay.

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And in and in the future draft class as well, I forgot to leave that in my notes, but, you

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know, it's whatever.

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But the reason why I have those different things is because all of those things have

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a very, you know, very pivotal piece and why certain teams, you know, may overpay or,

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you know, reset the market more often for certain positions compared to others, right?

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And so, you know, when we, when I take a look at everything, you know, for one next year's

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draft class is supposed to be a defensive draft class.

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Okay.

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You're going to have, you know, a pretty good edge class.

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Okay.

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You're going to have a pretty good edge class.

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The running back class is pretty good as well.

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There's going to be some, you know, some good corners that are going to be coming out this

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class too.

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I can't tell you who they are right now because I'm still looking at tape and whatnot.

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But quarterback class, however, is a little bit rocky.

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And the reason why I say that is because there isn't someone, well, there isn't at least

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a group where it's like, okay, these guys are, you know, bonafide top five, you know,

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picks or, you know, they'll be taken in the first round somewhere in the middle or whatever.

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It's not like that.

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Okay.

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The only quarterback that I can think of right now, well, the only two quarterbacks I can

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think of that many teams may try to go after is Quinn Ewers from Texas and Carson Beck

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from Georgia.

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Those are only two.

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The only reason why I say that's because Carson Beck has, you know, it's probably the most

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experienced quarterback, you know, in college football right now.

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And I know there's going to be people saying, what about your door?

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What about your door?

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The reason why I left your door out, and I'm going to be completely honest with you.

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The reason why I did that is because personally, I feel like your door could, he has the potential

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to be a top five pick, but the problem is, is he going to have a better season than what

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he did previously?

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Because yes, I understand he didn't have, you know, the best offensive line.

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So he had to do whatever he had to do.

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And I understand that, you know, at first in the beginning part of the season, it was

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pretty good, and then as the season went on, it just, you know, got worse and worse.

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But Shador really has to show that he is a better quarterback than everybody else.

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Because if he doesn't, then, you know, scouts are just going to automatically disqualify

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him as a first round quarterback.

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And if we're being real here, his mechanics need to be worked on and refined more than

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just solely relying on his athleticism.

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And that is something that I feel like a lot of quarterbacks, you know, coming out of college

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rely on too much.

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Okay.

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I understand, yes, you may be athletic, but the problem is, is that what happens is once

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that athleticism is gone, you still have those mechanics.

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And if your mechanics weren't even worked on in college, let alone when you first got

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into the league, then they're going to be basically gone by the time your athleticism

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runs out and you need that as a quarterback.

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You do.

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You in my mind, personally, I feel like if your mechanics were worked on more than your

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athleticism, that will put you, that will put you in a better tier here to just, you

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know, oh, okay, well, I mean, I can run out the pocket and I know if I do this, you know,

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these two moves that, you know, it gets everybody and whatnot.

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No, it doesn't work like that.

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Okay.

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And so, you know, it's, it's one of those things where, you know, within the past few

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drafts, we've had more defensive, you know, draft classes and offensive draft classes.

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I think the only real draft, the only real offensive draft class that we've had was the

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one that just happened, you know, a few months ago, where you had Katelyn Williams and you

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had Roma Dunes day and you had, you know, JJ McCarthy and you had this person and that

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person, Marvin Harrison, Jr. You had all these offensive players that are coming out the

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draft at the same time.

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And so, you know, you have that and then, you know, now you're going back into the cycle

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where it's going to be a defensive draft class, you know, in next year.

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And, you know, who was to say that, you know, teams will be more open to possibly, you know,

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trading up or being aggressive to try to get one of those quarterbacks.

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I don't be personally, I just don't.

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I think the only person I probably would maybe be interested in is possibly Carson Beck.

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And even then, I still have to see how, how is he going to play this upcoming season, you

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know, with the SEC going through the things that they went through with, you know, Nick

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Saber and retiring and whatnot.

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But you know, that's another story for another day.

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Now, moving on to the free agency class.

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Okay.

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When we look at the free agency class for next year, to me personally, it's an older free

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agency class.

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You have more, you know, players who are, you know, a little bit up in age and some

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of them are, you know, they have, they have more, they have less years ahead of them than

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behind them.

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They're possibly looking, you know, to possibly, you know, win at least a championship or at

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least get on to a team that, you know, is protected, is projected to be a, you know,

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a playoff caliber team.

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And then you also have some who are looking for their first, you know, big contract, you

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know, and for instance, you know, T Higgins, right?

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T Higgins is somewhat of the outlier when it comes to the free agency class because

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he's not even close to being, you know, 29 or even 30 years old, right?

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Compared to when you have Stephon days, Khalil Mack, uh, Dak Prescott and, you know, Buddha

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Baker and company, you know, those are older players.

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And who was to say, you know, GMs will be willing to give them, you know, a pretty, a

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pretty significant deal, right?

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Some of them may try to nickel and dime them.

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Others may, you know, try to play the long game.

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Others may just, you know, just go through the draft and just get somebody compared to

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paying them.

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But you know, when you, when you really look at it, right?

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And this is, this is just my, my prediction, you know, personally for the free agency class

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next year, I truly believe that GMs are not going to give the traditional four years.

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I feel like they're going to give them at least a two or three year deal with a high

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signing bonus with a low year average.

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That way, if, you know, if anything crazy happens, guess what?

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They can move them off very quickly compared to having to, you know, deal with this large,

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you know, dead cat that they have to find a way to spread, you know, through the next

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two or three years or, you know, take it all at, you know, in one year and then be, be

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cool for the next few years or whatever the case may be, right?

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And so, you know, the reason, the reason why I value, you know, the free agency class as

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well as the draft class is because oftentimes if a team realizes that they cannot go and

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get, you know, a certain position or, or a certain player and whatnot, they'll just

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make up for it and get in, in, in free agency compared to having to, you know, you know,

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move, you know, 10 spots up to get to get that person or, you know, give up three first

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round picks or two first round picks or a first round pick in this player or, you know, whatever

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the case may be, right?

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And oftentimes, you know, teams will address, you know, a majority of their needs in the

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free agency and then maybe leave one, you know, one very big hole, you know, leading

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up to the draft based off of, you know, where they are in the draft or just, you know, their

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confidence that, you know, that player may, may fall or they will be able, you know, to

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get them with little to no movement, right?

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And moving on to the salary cap, right?

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Now, you're probably wondering, why is the salary cap so important?

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I'm going to tell you why.

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Because when you look at how, you know, how things went, you know, post pandemic, the

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league would, the league is just starting to like really be in a much better place compared

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to what they were maybe about two or three years ago, right?

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So let's look at these numbers.

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Okay.

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So when you look at 2021, right, their salary cap, 182.5 million.

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We look at 2022, 208.2 million.

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When you look at 2023, 224.8 million.

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When you look at 2024 this year, 255.4 million.

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That is $30 million per team from just this one year.

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And mind you, before the league put out their official number, there were a lot of people

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that were speculating if the number was going to be more or less or maybe even in the middle.

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And you know, once the number did finally come out, it actually surprised a lot of people

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because 30 million extra for a lot of teams, that is, you know, that can be the difference

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between having to cut a player or do a restructure or, you know, being in a better place where

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they can go after two or three people, two or three bigger, bigger name people in free

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agency compared to just, you know, the low level tier of free agents, no disrespect to

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them.

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And a lot of that has to do with, you know, the bigger TV deals as well as Taylor Swift.

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Now you're probably wondering, are you a Taylor Swift man?

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No, I am not.

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But we do have to recognize the influence that she brings because guess what?

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She's bringing her own fan base here.

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So when she's bringing all of her fans over to the NFL, guess what that's going to do?

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That's going to rise up those revenues.

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All of them.

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Because guess what?

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Anytime the Chiefs do something or Travis Kelsey scores a touchdown or gets a first

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down or makes a big play, guess what?

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The camera's going to go straight to her because that's the moneymaker right there.

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Okay.

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But that is another story for another day, unfortunately.

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But when we really look at it, right, positions, you know, there are certain positions that

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are going to be valued a little bit more than others, right?

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And you know, and you sort of see that with how the playoff teams are constructed.

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They have a, you know, premier, you know, premier tackle or that be, you know, both

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the left and right tackle or just mainly, you know, either the left or the right tackle.

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They have, you know, a pretty good receiving core running back is not invested, you know,

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as much the quarterback is probably, you know, signed to a longer term deal.

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And you know, the defense is, you know, pretty good to elite, right?

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And so when we really look at things, you know, teams value in a left tackle, your center,

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your quarterback and the number one receiver and possibly your tight end, depending on

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how things go.

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Now, when you move over to the defense, it's mainly your defensive tackles, your pass rushers

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and your corners.

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Okay.

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Middle line backers and safeties, they don't get as much love as they should, even though,

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you know, they play just as much as it does, right?

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And so, you know, I say all that to say this, right?

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When, when we really look at, you know, these, these, these bad alerts that we've had lately,

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you know, Trevor Lawrence, 55 million, Jared Gough, 53 million, Baker Mayfield, 33 million,

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Justin Jefferson, 35 million, Amon Ross, St. Brown, 30 million, AJ Brown, 32 million

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in here.

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Those markets, the quarterback market and the receiver market alone is getting to a point

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where, you know, although, although yes, you know, the, the, the receivers are better now

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than what they've ever been, however, the problem is the price tag that comes with them is starting

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to get a little bit excessive and it's going to take a team to basically, you know, put

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their foot, put their foot down and basically say, Hey, listen, we're not going to do this

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no more.

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Okay.

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Enough is enough because this market is just growing, you know, exponentially, it's getting

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out of control and, you know, we just need, we need things to cool down and to sort of

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regulate itself.

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Now a lot of that has to do with, you know, certain receivers and certain players as

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a whole getting overpaid than, you know, what they should be getting paid.

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And the reason why I say that is because when you overpay for a player, guess what happens?

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It messes up the entire market for that particular position because now, guess what?

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Players that are going to be looking for future contracts, they're going to use that person

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that got overpaid and say, Oh yeah, you see my stats, both stats are way better than what

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00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:49,280
that person got overpaid for.

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And a lot of times it's, it's true, right?

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00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:57,400
And so what you have is, you know, when you have someone like a Calvin Rintley, who he

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00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:03,280
basically got overpaid with the Titans, the Christian Kirk, the one who came from Arizona

230
00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:05,520
and then went to Jacksonville.

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00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:11,440
Those two examples alone for the receiver market, they got overpaid and it messed up

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00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:12,800
a lot of things.

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And you know, before I go any further, I am pro player.

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00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:22,360
I'm definitely pro player, but at the same time, it comes a time of point where, you

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know, just it's starting to get out of hand.

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It really is.

237
00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:29,080
Same thing with the quarterback market.

238
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:30,760
Same thing with the defensive line market.

239
00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:33,840
Well, not the defensive line market, but the patch rush for market.

240
00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:34,840
Okay.

241
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:39,480
So, you know, the defensive line market, they have just, you know, exploded and not really

242
00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:43,880
overnight, but they've definitely exploded within the last five to 10 years.

243
00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:50,120
Now a lot of that has to do with, you know, premier great players in those respective,

244
00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:55,680
you know, positions, but at the same time, it's like, yo, this has to, this has to slow

245
00:16:55,680 --> 00:17:00,200
down a little, just a little bit, not a whole lot, but just a little bit, right?

246
00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:03,440
And you know, it hasn't, it's just going to continue to grow, grow and grow.

247
00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:08,640
And also doesn't help, especially for quarterback, when you have to shine Watson basically getting

248
00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:15,640
a fully guaranteed deal, like it's just certain, certain contracts and certain players that,

249
00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:18,360
you know, it can mess up the entire market.

250
00:17:18,360 --> 00:17:24,160
And when it messes up the entire market, sometimes, you know, it can, it can cycle itself out

251
00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:26,240
and sort of regulate itself.

252
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And then other times it doesn't, and it messes up the market permanently.

253
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And then, you know, GMs are sort of stuck in this bind where it's either you have to

254
00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:42,080
overpay for, for that particular player, or, you know, you know, wish upon a star and policy,

255
00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:48,720
see if you can draft someone that can be as close or even better than them, right?

256
00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:55,160
And so, you know, when we look at, you know, when we look at, you know, teams and, and

257
00:17:55,160 --> 00:18:00,360
their impact for, you know, for free agents, you know, we have to realize that, you know,

258
00:18:00,360 --> 00:18:04,800
there are certain players, well, not even certain players, but certain free agents that

259
00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:09,360
you know that if you get them, and if you, you know, bring them on to your team, guess

260
00:18:09,360 --> 00:18:10,360
what's going to happen?

261
00:18:10,360 --> 00:18:14,000
That's going to instantly change your team from being this team that's not really looked

262
00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:17,680
at and not really as, you know, respected to a team that's like, oh man, they could

263
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be a playoff caliber team.

264
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And we've seen, we've seen that, we've seen that multiple times, right?

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00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:30,120
We've seen it where, okay, for instance, when the Ravens traded for, you know, the

266
00:18:30,120 --> 00:18:34,720
Roquan Smith, everyone's like, yo, that, that, that was a crazy trade.

267
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:36,360
Yo, that puts them over the top.

268
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That puts them in a great place because why?

269
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Because of his impact.

270
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That his impact alone can, you know, literally change the mindset of a lot of teams because

271
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now you have somebody who is, you know, at the top of their game and who is regarded as,

272
00:18:54,360 --> 00:18:59,120
you know, the best of the best now on an already stacked team.

273
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That's, you know, they're already thinking about a Super Bowl.

274
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They're already thinking about, you know, going here or going there or whatever the

275
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case may be.

276
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So, you know, you have those different types of things, but moving forward, you know, let's,

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let's get into, you know, my prediction for these rising markets and stagnant markets.

278
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Okay.

279
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And mind you, this episode is not going to be pretty long.

280
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It's going to be pretty short because I don't want to give you guys, you know, these long

281
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drawn out episodes.

282
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I'm going to try to give you something, you know, that's compact, that's not too long,

283
00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:37,080
but not too short, but it's just right because again, we are in this drought and I'm still

284
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looking at prospects and I'm still learning a few things.

285
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:44,680
And it's just a whole lot of stuff going on in the background here at the footballs junkies

286
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,920
podcast, but we always prioritize you guys first.

287
00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:51,480
Now, these are my predictions for the rising markets.

288
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Okay.

289
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:56,520
Cornerback, center, guard, tight end running back.

290
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:59,560
Now you're probably wondering why the running back market.

291
00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:05,800
The reason why I say that is because the running back market is it's not going to, you know,

292
00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:12,400
basically explode, but you are starting to see someone of a gradual rise and you see

293
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,520
it especially with Christian McCaffrey.

294
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:15,520
Okay.

295
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:20,320
Christian McCaffrey in my mind will be the reason why the running back market crashes

296
00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:23,760
over that $20 million mark.

297
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:30,840
And if it's not him, then it'll probably be Alvin Camero because they are two of the best

298
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:33,480
running backs in the game right now.

299
00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:38,600
And you know, everybody realizes and knows that, you know, when they get on the field,

300
00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:40,480
they're going to change the game.

301
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:41,480
Okay.

302
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:49,400
They're influence alone can be a deciding factor if, you know, if the team gets a first

303
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:51,960
down or if they get a touchdown.

304
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:57,720
That's how big of an influence that they know that they have, but, but when we look at the

305
00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:02,800
tight end market, tight ends are starting to become a little bit more valuable simply

306
00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:07,080
because of, you know, because of the linebackers.

307
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:13,560
The linebackers aren't as effective or as used as much as they were compared to when

308
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,920
Ray Lewis was playing, right?

309
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:19,760
Everybody knew that, you know, if he was going up the Ravens and, you know, Ray Lewis was

310
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:23,200
playing, guess what, don't throw it in the middle.

311
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:27,440
Now the rules a little bit more softened a little bit more tamped it down.

312
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:31,720
So linebackers really can't do as many things as they want to do.

313
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:39,040
And then not to mention there's not as, as many elite middle linebackers as they were,

314
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:41,560
what maybe 10, maybe 15 years ago.

315
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:47,000
Now you mainly have Fred Warner's of the world, the Roquan Smith's of the world.

316
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:50,160
Is there anybody else I could think of?

317
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:52,440
Is there anybody else I could think of?

318
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:57,320
I mean, not bodywagoner because Bobby Wagner is a little bit older now, but, you know,

319
00:21:57,320 --> 00:21:58,840
you're Patrick Queens of the world.

320
00:21:58,840 --> 00:21:59,840
Okay.

321
00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:05,080
You, you have those type of middle linebackers now compared to, you know, back in the day,

322
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:08,720
you know, you had Ray Lewis, you had this person, you had that person, James Farrier,

323
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:12,920
you had all these different types of, you know, of people, right?

324
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:18,040
And, you know, tight ends are starting to be more athletic.

325
00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:23,080
They can double, you know, for someone for, for being, you know, in the slot, they can,

326
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:27,440
you know, move around, they can be, you know, elite blockers and still catch the ball pretty

327
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:29,000
well and vice versa.

328
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,640
So, you know, you have those different type of things.

329
00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:38,280
And you know, you're in a situation now where you have tight ends who are bigger, stronger,

330
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:41,920
faster, more athletic, you know, and, you know, you know, you're in a situation now where

331
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:47,640
you know, when, when we look at a lot of the elite teams, guess what they all have in common?

332
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:49,720
They have an elite tight end.

333
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:56,760
The 49ers, George Kittle, the Browns, David and Joe Coup, the Ravens, Mark Andrews, right?

334
00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:59,560
The Lions, Sam LaPorta.

335
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:03,720
I was going to say the Eagles, but I'm not going to say the Eagles.

336
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:10,240
But you know, just, you know, I just feel like they're going to get their, their market

337
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:14,200
is going to rise, but it's not going to be to the point where it's going to be like,

338
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:16,480
oh, this person is making 25 million.

339
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,240
Oh, this person making 35 million.

340
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,160
Oh, this person is making 40 million.

341
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:21,160
No.

342
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:26,080
Now, I will say this, you know, when you have people like Kyle Pitts, Pat Fiery, Moff and

343
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:30,920
Company who pretty soon they're coming up for, you know, for new contracts, maybe there's

344
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:36,360
a possibility that they may, you know, possibly reset the market or get close to resetting

345
00:23:36,360 --> 00:23:41,280
the market, but to say that, you know, the market is just going to, you know, explode

346
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:42,720
like how other markets have.

347
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,360
No, I just don't see that.

348
00:23:44,360 --> 00:23:46,960
Now moving on to offensive linemen.

349
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:47,960
Okay.

350
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,480
Although offensive linemen do not get paid.

351
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:55,000
Well, not all, but although certain positions on the offensive line doesn't get paid as

352
00:23:55,000 --> 00:24:01,760
much, I do believe that the center and guard market is going to continue to rise because

353
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:08,600
of, you know, the defensive line being valued a little bit more by teams because let's be

354
00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:10,520
real here, folks.

355
00:24:10,520 --> 00:24:15,880
Defense of linemen are getting bigger, stronger, faster and more athletic.

356
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:16,880
Okay.

357
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:22,480
And the only way that you can counteract that is, you know, investing into the offensive

358
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:23,480
line.

359
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:28,880
You just have to, unfortunately, because if you don't, you are going to mess yourself

360
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:29,880
up.

361
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:30,880
Okay.

362
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:33,160
And I mean, you have to protect your quarterback.

363
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:38,040
You have to invest some amount of money into your offensive line.

364
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:42,200
Now, does it mean that you have to put all your money into the offensive line?

365
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:47,160
No, but you do have to, you know, pick and choose which parts of the offensive line that

366
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:49,160
you want to value.

367
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:53,840
I mean, because when we look at it, you know, for center specifically, you have Creed Humphrey,

368
00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:59,000
you have Nick Harris, you have Ryan Kelly, Frank Ragnar, who pretty soon will be coming

369
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:00,000
up for a new deal.

370
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,200
You know, Connor Williams and whatnot.

371
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:10,520
There are still really good centers and, you know, and teams value that they value that

372
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,800
more than just saying, Oh, no, we can just let this center go.

373
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,080
We can let him free hit, hit free agency.

374
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:20,040
It's no problem when it's like, no, a lot of teams, they do value their title.

375
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:23,760
I mean, they're not tight ends, but centers, they do.

376
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:28,360
Now to say that they're going to be like, Oh, we're going to pay them an exuberant amount

377
00:25:28,360 --> 00:25:30,640
of money. I don't really know.

378
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,280
I don't know, but I can say this.

379
00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:40,840
People when you look at Lloyd Cushingberry's deal, you know, when he hit free agency this

380
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:46,040
year, he got paid pretty, pretty well, pretty well for a center.

381
00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:51,400
And you know, I know for a fact that Creed Humphrey, once it's time for him to get paid,

382
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:53,200
he's going to get paid.

383
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:54,880
He's going to get paid, paid.

384
00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:55,880
Okay.

385
00:25:55,880 --> 00:26:01,320
So that's for Tyler Linnabong with the Ravens. Those are just a few examples of, you know,

386
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:06,400
top end players who are still relatively young, but, you know, play at a very elite level

387
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:10,160
who are going to be compensated pretty well.

388
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:16,600
Now to say that it's going to be something like, you know, earth shadowing and whatnot.

389
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:20,680
I can't tell you, but, you know, only time will tell.

390
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:25,840
Now when it comes for the guard market, that's where I think it's really going to explode.

391
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:26,840
Okay.

392
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:31,880
Because you have people like James Daniels, who is still, you know, in the prime of his

393
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:38,040
career and is still fairly young, who he is, he's been playing a very, you know, pretty

394
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:39,560
well since being with the Steelers.

395
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:41,280
And I'm not saying that because I'm a Steelers fan.

396
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:46,480
I'm saying that because statistically, he only, if I'm not mistaken, I don't have the

397
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:48,000
exact stat with me.

398
00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:52,080
I probably should have, but he only allowed one sack.

399
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:57,440
And for him to be, I think only 26 or 27 years old, oh yeah, he's definitely due for another

400
00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:58,440
back alert.

401
00:26:58,440 --> 00:26:59,440
Okay.

402
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:05,240
Now for someone like a Zach Martin, who is, you know, sort of at the tail end of his career,

403
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:09,760
he may be trying to go to a, you know, playoff caliber team just to, you know, experience

404
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:13,920
that because, you know, Cowboys fans, they never haven't been to the Super Bowls since,

405
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:15,880
you know, since I don't know how when.

406
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:16,880
Sorry Cowboys fans.

407
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:19,000
I love you guys though.

408
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:20,000
Moving forward.

409
00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:26,200
Um, you know, people like Tevin Jenkins and Liam Eikenberg guards are a little bit, you

410
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:32,840
know, are a little bit not questionable, but a little bit shaky because sometimes, you

411
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:39,920
know, GMs will value, you know, investing more into the center and the tackles and then

412
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:45,080
just getting some, you know, average to above average guards just to, you know, hope things

413
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:48,120
together because let's be real here, folks.

414
00:27:48,120 --> 00:27:52,760
Do you really need like an elite offensive line where every single person has a first

415
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:56,040
round pick and, you know, they're this and that statistically?

416
00:27:56,040 --> 00:28:02,880
No, but as long as it tackles early in your center, the guards, you can, you can, you

417
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:06,040
know, you can pick them out, shuffle them, pick them out, shuffle them, pick them out,

418
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:07,040
shuffle them.

419
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:08,040
Right.

420
00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:09,040
Now, moving on to the guard market.

421
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:12,320
I mean, not guard market, cornerback market, excuse me.

422
00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:18,400
Guard market is a little bit weird itself as well simply because for next year's free

423
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:21,920
agency class four corners, the only corner that I could really think of that's going

424
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:27,880
to be, you know, really sought after a lot is possibly AJ Turrell.

425
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:28,880
That's probably the only one.

426
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:35,200
Now, Carlton Davis, he, he, depending on how he does this season, he may, he may be

427
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:39,000
due for like a, you know, a pretty, pretty good deal.

428
00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:43,040
But to say like team, like multiple teams are going to be after them, like how, you

429
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,760
know, teams were after with Jerry, it's neat and company.

430
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:48,080
No, I just don't see that personally.

431
00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:53,320
CJ Henderson is sort of in, is sort of like in between of that as well.

432
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:58,960
I just personally feel like the corner, cornerback market is going to rise a little bit, but

433
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:06,160
it's not really going to explode until Patrick Sertain and Sauce are due for their contract.

434
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:11,200
Same thing for those two corners, because those two corners are literally the best corners

435
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:12,680
in the league right now.

436
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:13,680
Okay.

437
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:19,400
You're talking about, you know, two corners who basically eliminate the side of the field

438
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:20,400
that they are on.

439
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:21,400
Okay.

440
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:22,400
And I'm not going to, I'm just going to leave that there.

441
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:26,000
I'm not going to go any further because if I do, I'm going to go down an entire rabbit

442
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:27,000
hole with corners.

443
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:28,000
Okay.

444
00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:29,640
Now let's look at these stagnant markets.

445
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:30,640
Okay.

446
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:34,280
And it's mainly two markets, safety and inside linebacker.

447
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:40,120
And the reason why I say that is because safeties are not valued as much as how they were, you

448
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:44,880
know, back in the day, you know, back in the day, and I'm not trying to reveal my age,

449
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:49,120
but you know, you have people like the Ed reads, Bob Sanders, Troy Palma, lose of the

450
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:50,760
world, right?

451
00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:53,920
Compared to now, you know, the elites are probably what?

452
00:29:53,920 --> 00:30:00,200
Kyle Hamilton, Marcus Williams, Durwin James, Mica Fitzpatrick and company where, okay,

453
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:04,560
yes, they are making pretty good money, but to say that the safety market as a whole is

454
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:08,840
going to be this robust market that's just going to, you know, change overnight.

455
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:11,520
No, I think it's going to remain pretty stagnant.

456
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:15,240
There may be one or two people that may get, you know, a pretty good deal, but to say that

457
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,280
it's going to be a lot of turnover.

458
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:18,280
No.

459
00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:23,520
And it sort of showed because, you know, Antoine Winfield Jr. was he reset at the market if

460
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:26,040
I'm not mistaken.

461
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:31,360
And that's mainly because he plays such a pivotal role on the Buccaneers and he is one

462
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:35,440
of the best states that no one really isn't, you know, talking about it as much.

463
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:36,440
He's really good.

464
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:41,560
You're talking about a tackling machine, someone who can go and get the ball.

465
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:45,440
And you know, when you need him to get the job done, he is that person that does it.

466
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:46,440
Okay.

467
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:51,720
Now, do now out of the people that I think could possibly get a pretty good payday, probably

468
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:58,400
maybe Javon Holland or Julian Love, maybe Jeremy Chen, maybe Justin Reed, Buddha Baker.

469
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:04,520
I don't know because I don't know how do teams view Buddha Baker.

470
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:09,400
I don't know if they value him to say, you know, okay, we'll give you, you know, five

471
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:14,360
to eight million a year or, you know, whatever the case may be because there are still some

472
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,240
safeties in the market right now.

473
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:17,960
You know, you have your Jamal Adams.

474
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,840
You have Eddie Jackson's of the world and whatnot.

475
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:25,480
So, you know, who, who knows honestly?

476
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:30,400
And you know, lately within the last maybe, you know, three to five years, the safety

477
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:37,240
market has just really just been taking a beating because, you know, GM's don't value

478
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:40,200
them as far as wanting to resign them.

479
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,640
Most of the times they'll, you know, they'll just go in the draft.

480
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:47,400
If they see a safety that's, you know, pretty elite and they'll just invest in that compared

481
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:49,560
to, you know, overpaying for them.

482
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:53,480
Now with the inside linebacker market, right?

483
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:57,560
Just to name a few, you know, you have Willie Gay Jr. and Anthony Walker and Devin Bush

484
00:31:57,560 --> 00:31:58,560
for next year.

485
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:00,120
That's not really good.

486
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,880
It's just not, it's, it's, it's tough.

487
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:03,880
It's a tough one.

488
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:04,880
Okay.

489
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:09,440
Um, out of all of those names that I just said, probably Willie Gay Jr. probably could have

490
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:15,160
made, you know, some pretty good money, but the problem is, like I've said before, the

491
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:20,600
inside linebacker market is not valued as much as all the other markets, even though they

492
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:27,440
play a very major role, um, because they are the ones that sort of counteract with these,

493
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:30,800
you know, super athletic, you know, tight ends and whatnot.

494
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:36,160
But unfortunately, you know, they do not, they don't really invest to them a whole lot

495
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:37,320
and it shows.

496
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:38,960
It does unfortunately.

497
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:44,000
Now do I think, do I think the market will, will rise just a little bit?

498
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:45,000
I don't know.

499
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:49,600
I don't know because, you know, when you have people like real Quon Smith, who, you know,

500
00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:54,160
coming into the league, he was regarded as one of the best, you know, middle linebackers.

501
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:57,240
He had to be compensated, you know, for that.

502
00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:58,240
He had to.

503
00:32:58,240 --> 00:32:59,240
Okay.

504
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,520
Fred Warner, he's probably going to get another deal that's going to probably get as close

505
00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:06,960
or maybe it's a past real Quon Smith, but to say that, you know, this person is going

506
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:07,960
to get it.

507
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:08,960
This person is going to get it.

508
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:09,960
This person going to get it.

509
00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:10,960
No.

510
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:14,960
Because even with Patrick Queens's deal, Patrick Queen actually took less to go to the Steelers.

511
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:21,480
Because like he said, in his interview with, with Derek Bell, shout out to shout out to

512
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:25,760
Derek Bell and everybody at Steelers now.

513
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:30,240
You know, he said that he took less and he said there were multiple offers, better offers,

514
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,560
you know, with other teams, but he felt like he just wanted to be with the Steelers, which

515
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:34,560
is fine.

516
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:35,560
You know, that's perfectly fine.

517
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:40,800
I'm not saying that because I'm a Steelers fan, but you know, it just shows you that certain

518
00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:47,240
types of middle linebackers may get a better chance of, you know, maybe getting a pretty

519
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:51,760
good payday compared to, you know, just the entire market as a whole.

520
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,920
So I want to end all that to say this.

521
00:33:54,920 --> 00:34:01,000
Do I think, do I think that, you know, next year could be as crazy as it was this year

522
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,080
with all the bag alerts?

523
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:09,640
Not as much, but I think, I think it will, there'll still be bag alerts, but to say it

524
00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:13,760
will be as crazy as how it was, you know, leading up to the draft and even during the

525
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:15,120
draft and post draft.

526
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:16,720
No, I just don't see that.

527
00:34:16,720 --> 00:34:17,720
I just don't.

528
00:34:17,720 --> 00:34:22,280
With it being a defensive class, I think a lot of teams are going to try to, you know,

529
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:27,160
create some money and possibly try to reload their defense with younger talent, better

530
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:29,840
talent possibly and just go from there.

531
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:32,360
But I'm just going to end this episode right now.

532
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:38,000
If you guys like what you are listening, please download the episode that allows us to let

533
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:42,240
us know that you guys like what we are talking about.

534
00:34:42,240 --> 00:34:46,160
Please leave a star review, five star review if possible.

535
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:49,840
I would deep, I would deeply appreciate it from the bottom of my heart.

536
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:51,680
Follow us on YouTube.

537
00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:54,800
You can follow us on Spotify as well.

538
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:58,920
You can follow us on Tiktok content for Tiktok is coming out soon.

539
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:04,680
You can follow us on Instagram at football underscore junkies pod YouTube football underscore

540
00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:10,320
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541
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:16,720
social social media shout out to Spotify shout out to Apple podcast shout out to RSS feed

542
00:35:16,720 --> 00:35:18,320
for helping us out as well.

543
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:21,280
Shout out to all the platforms that we are on.

544
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:23,960
If there's any that I have forgotten, I'm sorry.

545
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:27,120
You may have not come to mind right now.

546
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,480
But you know, as always, I love you guys.

547
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,680
I appreciate you guys so much.

548
00:35:31,680 --> 00:35:35,840
You know, for for riding with me with this journey, you know, to say that I would have

549
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:40,360
started a podcast, you know, where I am right now, I would have called you a liar.

550
00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:45,080
But to be, you know, 14 episodes in, you know, it is, it feels great.

551
00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:46,720
It really does feel amazing.

552
00:35:46,720 --> 00:35:50,440
And I appreciate, you know, all of you guys for supporting me, you know, throughout all

553
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:51,440
of this.

554
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:54,520
And, you know, it's only up from here, you know, it's only up from here.

555
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:58,160
So YouTube content will be coming out.

556
00:35:58,160 --> 00:36:03,680
Still got to get back in the lab to look at, you know, a few prospects and whatnot.

557
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:07,720
And yeah, if there's anything crazy that happens, you know, best believe we'll either put out

558
00:36:07,720 --> 00:36:12,240
an episode or do something just to let you guys know we'll go over it quickly and then,

559
00:36:12,240 --> 00:36:13,480
you know, put it out.

560
00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:17,240
But as always, I hope I gave you guys the fix that you guys loved and needed.

561
00:36:17,240 --> 00:36:19,240
And as always, peace and love.

562
00:36:19,240 --> 00:36:20,240
I'm out.

563
00:36:20,240 --> 00:36:46,240
I'm out.