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Bag alert, bag alert, bag alert, bag alert, bag alert folks.

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That's right.

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Ramon Dre Stevenson gets paid.

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All right.

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Yes.

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We got some motion.

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We got some friction.

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We got something to talk about folks.

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What does this mean for the future running back contracts and will running back contracts

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ever exceed to the $20 million mark?

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We're going to talk about all about this.

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This is a packed episode, a lot of twists and turns, but trust me, follow me.

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I'll lead you all the way through.

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I am your host, your GM, your favorite GM who still is not on the team right now.

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Kale, let's get it.

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All right, folks.

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So this is a little bit of a shocker.

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I definitely put out that we were going to take a break just because I knew that there

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really wasn't going to be anything really to talk about within these next few weeks because

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this is the phase where a lot of teams, people in the front office, coaches and whatnot,

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this is probably going to be the last time that they're going to be able to really spend

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some time with family, friends, and do whatever little things that they need to do for their

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personal life.

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We were blindsided with the bag alert.

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So with all bag alerts, we got to talk about it.

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We have to talk about the bag alerts because why?

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We value the bag alerts.

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Always, always have, always will be.

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Valuing the bag alerts.

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So let's get into it.

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So running back for the New England Patriots, Ramon Dre Stevenson, into a four year, $36

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million extension.

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$17 million is guaranteed, he'll be making $9 million a year according to SpotWrap.

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Shout out to SpotWrap.

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Now let's look at these stats.

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So we look at these stats.

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According to ESPN, and this is just strictly last season, he had 156 rushing attempts, 619

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yards, four touchdowns, and he averaged four yards a carry.

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Cool.

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Let's go a little bit deeper and look more into the analytical side of these stats.

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So according to pro football reference, he had 13 rushing attempts per game, 49.4% rushing

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success rate.

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He had 51 receiving receptions and he had 6.3 receiving yards per reception.

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Also I forgot this one, I left this one out.

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He had 74.5% catching percentage.

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And that was strictly for last season.

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When you look at Ramon Dre Stevenson, Ramon Dre Stevenson is in a situation where if we're

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being real, he probably could have hit free agency, but who was to say he would have been

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offered a contract that is similar to what the Patriots are offering.

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One can basically say at this point that he is their best running back.

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Let's face it, folks.

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There are certain teams in the league who they value certain positions more than others.

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There are some teams who they value receivers more.

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They're running backs.

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There are some teams that value running backs over tight ends.

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It just really depends on what team it is.

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And this probably opens up to a more broader conversation as a whole.

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When Ramon Dre Stevenson getting paid, the money that he get paid, when you first look

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at the numbers, you're probably thinking, oh man, that's a crazy deal.

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But when you really break it down, he's not making a whole lot of money.

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He's only making 9 million a year, which I mean, you know, that's still pretty good

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money, but you would think by now at this point with the league making as much money

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as they're making that the running back market would sort of catch up just a little bit.

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Not a whole lot, but just a little bit.

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And clearly it hasn't in its shows because when you look at it, for instance, you know,

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the receiver market blew up over, you know, this off season.

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The offensive line market blew up just a little bit, not a whole lot, but just a little bit.

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But I think it's going to blow up, you know, probably next year.

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Probably, I don't know.

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I'm just a GM.

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We'll figure that out.

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But that's another that's going to be that's going to be episode in itself.

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Okay.

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I'm giving you heads up right now.

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There's going to be one episode is going to be dedicated to all, you know, future predictions

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for certain positions and whatnot.

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That's going to be a few episodes.

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I don't know if it's going to be the next one.

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I don't know if people figure it out now back to the running backs.

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Okay.

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Um, running backs, you know, as a whole, even when you look at their franchise tag, it's

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not even worth a whole lot of money.

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Like everybody else's franchise tag has gone up, you know, substantially to a good amount.

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You know, some, some franchise tags, you know, numbers are a little bit more than others,

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but everyone's has gone up just a little bit.

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And you know, what you're seeing is, you know, the league will not really the league, but

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GM's as a whole, you know, continue to say that, you know, they quote unquote air quotes,

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big air quotes that they don't value the running back market.

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Even though that is a lie, you know, when you look at the recent, you know, running

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back signings, you look at Christian McCaffrey's deal, you got to look at Seyquan's deal.

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You got to look at Jonathan Taylor's deal.

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There are teams that are still willing to be the outliers and pay the running back market.

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Now are they going to pay them, you know, a boatload of money?

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No, but is it going to be a substantial amount of money for running back?

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Yes, it is.

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Right.

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And so, you know, in this before, okay, you know what this will do.

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Before we can talk about the present, we have to talk about the past, right?

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Because sometimes the past can, you know, answer the questions of the present and the

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future.

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Right.

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That's a good quote right there.

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I'm going to keep that in my back pocket.

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When you look at past running back contracts, right?

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The main three contracts that everybody talks about and they even do it for me every single

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time I'm running back, it's sign is Levy on bells, Todd Gurley's and Zeke's.

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Right.

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Those three, those three, those three contracts are contracts that were just completely bad,

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you know, from the moment that they were announced in the moment that they were signed, they

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just bad contracts and we're going to talk about it right now.

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So we look at Levy on's deal when he signed with the jets, right?

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He inked a four year, 52 million dollar deal, you know, at that time that was a lot of money.

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And so he got a $8 million signing bonus.

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He was guaranteed $27 million at signing.

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He had $27 million of total guarantees and he was making $13.2 million a year.

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Right.

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When you look at Todd Gurley's deal when he was with, you know, when he was still with

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the Rams, he ain't a four year, 57.5 million dollar deal, a $21 million signing bonus, $21.9

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million was guaranteed at signing $45 million in total guarantees and he was making $14.3

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million a year.

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Right.

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He had Zeke's.

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Now the only thing with Zeke's, it's a little bit weird because he was still on his rookie

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deal and I think he still had, I think two years left on his deal, on his rookie deal

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before, you know, they could start doing any of those things, but that's another story

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for another day.

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Right.

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With his deal, six years, $90 million, $7.5 million signing bonus, $28 million guarantee

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that signing $50 million in total guarantees and he was making $15 million a year.

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Now, when you look at those numbers, those are some pretty crazy numbers at that time,

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you know, for running max because at that time, the league was still paying, you know,

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those type of running backs a high amount of money because you had, you know, these,

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these three running backs who their skill set was just amazing and every single time

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that they got the ball, it just seemed like they always made magic, especially with Levy

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on and talker.

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Right.

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And so, you know, they definitely fought tooth and nail for their deals and they finally

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got them.

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But the problem is, is that when they got the deals in some ways, it messed up the running

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back market because for that period from, from the time that they got those deals up

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until now, there wasn't a lot of running backs that were getting paid, you know, cuckoo

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for cocoa puffs type of money.

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They weren't, they were getting, you know, dined and nickeled a little bit.

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They were getting, you know, the seven or eight million dollars a year, which I mean,

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that still is good money.

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However, you know, when you look at all the other positions, you know, on a team, both

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offensively and defensively running backs is probably the, the one position where they

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not really making a whole lot of money, you know, and it also doesn't help that their

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shelf life is not as long as a receiver, a tight end, an offense alignment, a quarterback,

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a corner, a detackle.

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It's not a majority of their prime years is used up where in college.

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So by the time that they get into the league, they got so much wear and tear on their bodies

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that it's just like, oh, I don't know.

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I don't know if we can give them a second deal.

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I don't know if we want to give them a third deal.

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Now of course there are running backs, you know, that are outliers in those situations,

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but for the majority, a lot of running backs don't see a third or fourth contract.

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It's rare.

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It's very rare.

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The first thing I could think of right now, who was still getting contracts, you know,

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even as he got older was Adrian Peterson, right?

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Because even though Adrian Peterson didn't have, you know, that sort of explosive speed

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that he used to have when he was younger, guess what?

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He still had that power.

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He could still run up the middle, truck you over, run you over, run two or three people

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over and get you a first down and more, right?

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Now what you see is, you know, someone like a Christian McCaffrey, I wouldn't be surprised

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if this is, if he gets maybe one more extension.

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I wouldn't be surprised just because of he can, you know, double as a slot receiver and

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he's also receiving back.

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I wouldn't be surprised.

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I just wouldn't.

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And so, you know, what you see is teams, you know, are going to fight a little bit harder

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when it comes to giving, you know, extensions.

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They're going to do that.

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Okay.

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Case in point with Alvin Camero right now.

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He's, he's in, he's not, I wouldn't say he's holding out, but you know, he wants more money

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because why?

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He's, you know, one of the best running backs in the league right now.

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He is and he plays a very pivotal role on that Saints offense.

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It's not the receivers.

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It's not Taysom Hill.

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It's Alvin Camero.

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Okay.

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Without Alvin Camero, that offense does not run the right way.

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It just doesn't.

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And so he feels like he wants to be compensated.

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Just how, you know, like Christian McCaffrey got compensated.

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Now, do I think he will get anything close to what Christian McCaffrey got?

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Possibly.

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It may not be 19, but I wouldn't be surprised if he get maybe, you know, 18.5, 18.9 or they'll

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try to, they're not going to get to 19, but they're going to try to get as close as they

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can to 19, right?

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And so, you know, I say all that to say this, right?

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Now, you know, going, you know, full circle and everything, when you look at those past

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contracts, those were, those were, you know, really bad.

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But when you look at the recent contracts, you know, for running backs, look at Christian

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McCaffrey's deal, right?

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He ain't a two year, 38 million dollar extension with the Niners, 14.2 million dollar signing

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bonus, 24 million guaranteed at signing 24 million in total guarantees, he's making

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19 million a year, right?

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We look at Saquon when he signed with the Eagles, right?

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He ain't a three year, 37.7 million dollar deal, right?

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11.6 million dollar signing bonus, 26 million guaranteed at signing 26 million in total

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guarantees, 12.5 million a year.

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When you look at Jonathan Taylor's extension to stay with the Colts, right?

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Three years, 42 million dollars, 10.2 million dollar signing bonus, 19.3 million guaranteed

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at signing 26.5 million in total guarantees, 14 million a year, right?

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Those three, those three running backs alone are what you would classify as the outliers

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of the running back market because of their skillset and how much of a pivotal role that

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they play on that offense, right?

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And so, you know, when you have those type of players, of course they're going to demand

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a lot of money.

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But when you look at, you know, the free agency running back market next year, right?

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For instance, you have James Conner, Aaron Jones and Nick Chubb just to name a few, right?

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When you look at their deals that they got recently, James Conner, three years, 21 million,

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six million dollar signing bonus, 13.5 million guaranteed at signing, seven million a year.

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I mean, look at Aaron Jones' deal when he signed with the Vikings one year, seven million

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dollars, right?

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Four million dollar signing bonus, seven million guaranteed at signing, seven million a year.

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Nick Chubb, that situation is a little bit more unique in itself because that was sort

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of a restructure simply because they wanted to get some money back, you know, with the

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injury that he had last season and whatnot.

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That's a weird situation in itself as well.

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His was a one year, two point two million dollar quote unquote extension, nine hundred

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twenty five million, nine hundred twenty five thousand dollar signing bonus, nine hundred

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twenty five guaranteed at signing two point twenty seven million a year, right?

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So there's tears, there's levels to this thing, right?

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You have your, you know, you have the big fish, Christian McCaffrey, Seguin Barclays,

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Jonathan Taylor's, you know, Alvin Cameras of the world, then you have the Nick Chubbs,

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the Aaron Jones, the James Cones of the world, and then you have, you know, everybody else,

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right?

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If we're being real here, if we're really, really, really, really being real here, the

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running back market in my mind is probably not going, well, no, it probably will.

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It is probably going to crest that 20, that 20 million mark.

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There is going to be a team that they're going to be so desperate in landing a certain type

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of running back that they will be willing, willing to hit that 20 million dollar mark.

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Now do I know who the running back is?

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Do I know who the team is?

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No, I don't because I don't have a crystal ball right in front of me, but I can guarantee

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you this.

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If Christian McCaffrey still wants to play and he is still playing at an elite level

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two years from now, I guarantee you he will hit that 20 dollar mark.

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I guarantee you it's either going to be him, Alvin Camara, or is there anybody else I can

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think of?

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Anybody else?

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No, I think those are probably the only two right now that I could think of that can, you

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know, hit that mark.

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And even then, you know, when we look at this thing a little bit deeper, right?

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When you look at the majority of playoff teams, what do they all have in common?

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I'll let you think about it for a second.

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Better yet, I'll just give you the answer.

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They all value the running back.

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Now, some of the teams value the running back position a little bit more than others, but

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they all value the running back in some position.

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I mean, in some way, right?

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You look at the 49ers, Christian McCaffrey, you look at the Dolphins, they got Raheem

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Mostard, David N'Chain, and they just drafted somebody else.

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We look at the Eagles, they got Saquon.

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When you look at the Ravens, they got, you know, Derek Henry, and then they also have

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Keaton Mitchell and whatnot.

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When you look at the Chiefs, they still have Isaiah Pacheco, and I think they have Clyde

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Elmer-Teller as well.

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So you cannot tell me at this point, at this juncture, that teams do not value the running

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back as a whole.

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You cannot tell me.

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When the Super Bowl teams have a, you know, above average to an elite running back on

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their team, you just can't tell me that.

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Now there are some, you know, some playoff teams that have the one-two punch, you know,

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combination with running backs, and then there's, you know, then there's some who, they don't

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need that.

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They have, you know, the primary back, you know, they have the guy, you know, at the

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running back position.

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But, you know, I say all that to say this, and I'll probably just end it right here.

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I didn't want to really, you know, stretch this thing out, you know, too long dealing

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and make a long and drawn out episode that just doesn't make any sense.

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But I will say this, you know, and this will be my final statement.

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The running back market has to get properly compensated for the things that they do weekend

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and week out.

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You cannot tell me, nor can you show me a team or a highlight where basically there's

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not the running back doing something crazy.

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They're not, you know, going off for 30 yards untouched or a crazy juke move or they make,

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you know, the game winning touchdown or something like that.

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You can't tell me that.

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You can't.

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And it shows with history in the NFL.

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Some of the greatest football players that we all know and love are what running backs

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Barry Sanders, the Damian Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Jerome Betis, right?

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Emmett Smith, all of those guys, Walter Payton, right?

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There is a clear cut, you know, path that shows that the running back market is very

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influential in the league.

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It's just you have GMs who are, you know, I wouldn't say cheap, but they just value

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certain positions more than others.

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And you know, the league cycle, as I call it, are in a phase where you have to have

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the, you have to have the receiver.

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If you don't have the number one receiver and if you don't have a, you know, a crazy

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skilled quarterback and you don't have nothing, but you're going to see that phase start to

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wane off a little bit, especially with this upcoming draft where it's going to be defensive

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driven.

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Teams are going to want to value running backs more, right?

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So we'll leave it right there.

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That's going to be a bigger topic for another time.

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Thank you guys so much for listening to this quick little episode of football's junkies

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podcast.

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If you guys love what you are listening, please leave a five star review, download the episodes

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because that allows us to analyze and see what can we give our fellow junkies the fix

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that they need.

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Okay.

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Also, also, also.

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We have the tick tock page is up football junkies pod.

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Again, that's football junkies pod run, you know, run over there and follow us over there.

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We're going to be uploading some clips and content as well over there.

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Follow us on YouTube football junkies pod as well.

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Also follow us on Instagram at football underscore junkies pod.

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That's right.

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Football underscore junkies pod.

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You can listen to this, you know, this great, great, great, great, great podcast on any

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streaming platform that you listen to podcasts.

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And as always, I hope I gave you guys this quick fix that you guys need just to carry

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us, you know, through this crazy little break that we're in right now.

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I have to go back into the lab to look at more film to research more things so I can

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give you guys more, more information and a better fix than this one.

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All right.

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I love you guys.

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I'm out.

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Bye.

