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Bag alert bag alert bag alert bag alert bag alert folks. That's right Trevor Lawrence got paid. I

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Don't know how to really feel about this, but we'll just have to figure it out speak

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You know I need to go to the store I need to go to the store give me a football

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See if I can start throwing some 50 and 60 yard bottles

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Maybe I can try to make it to the NFL get one good contract just leave

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I don't know we'll figure it out, but

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We'll gotta you know we got to talk about you know if he was you know overpaid or underpaid

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How does this affect future quarterback?

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Contracts it has the quarterback market gotten out of hand all of this and more on the 12th episode bonus episode to be honest with you

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You in two episodes in one week. That's crazy, right? I know on the 12th episode of the football junkies podcast

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I'm your host Kale your GM who is still scouting three years in advance

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Even though guess what he's still not on the team. Let's get it

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Alright folks, so I'm going to try to be as professional as I possibly can but I

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You just have to laugh at this. You just have to because ain't no way

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Ain't no way you mean to tell me that

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you can be

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Average to a little bit above average

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Never seen him before but hey, well whoever their agents are I need you guys to represent me

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Okay, because there's no way that this happened, but it happens. So we have to talk about it

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So if you guys don't know

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Trevor Lawrence quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars ain't a five-year extension with them, right?

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five years 275 million with a 37 million dollar signing bonus

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200 million guarantee he'll be making 55 million a year

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142 million will be guaranteed at signing and 200 million in total guarantees according to spot right now

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Before we you know get into the opinions and whatnot. Let's look at the stats as well. Okay, so according to CBS Sports

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Trevor Lawrence is fifth all-time in most passing yards in the first three seasons at

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11,770 yards. He is third all-time in quick passes since entering the league at

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5,483 yards according to next-gen stats. He has had three

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1,000 plus passing yard seasons according to ESPN 2021. He had

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3,641 yards, excuse me 2022 he had

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4,113 passing yards and then in 2023 he had

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4,016 passing yards and

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right he had a passive rating of

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71.9 in 2021

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95.2 in 2022 and 88.5 in 2023 and

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he's had two years of

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20 plus touchdown season in both 2022 and 2023 according to ESPN, right?

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Now when you look at these when you read off of these stats, it's like wow

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He sounds like an elite quarterback that's you know doing a whole lot of whatnot. Yes, that is true

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That is true. Trevor Lawrence, you know is definitely

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Up there, you know with quarterbacks. However

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You know

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When you pay it when you pay any player, especially quarterbacks this this a type of amount of money

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What happens is it puts the team in a chokehold

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because

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The team is no longer it makes the team harder to you know to build around you, right?

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When you look at

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The Patriots dynasty for for for instance, Tom Brady always took less because why he wanted to be surrounded with talent, right?

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And so

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When you are building a team

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Most times you're gonna have to take less you're gonna have to sacrifice a little bit simply because if you want to bring in, you know

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Top comp, you know a top player

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You're gonna have to you're gonna have to compensate them in some way

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Especially when you make a trade or you sign somebody for your agency, whatever the case may be

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You're gonna have to you know

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Some something's gonna have to get cut something right and so, you know paying paying a player

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55 million

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Definitely puts the team in a chokehold and you know per example with Joe Burrow, right?

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People think oh, you know the bangles did the right thing and sign a Joe Burrow which they did

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But it's the amount of money that they signed him to right because when you look at it right now

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They're in a situation where they have to pay both to Marge's and T. Heckins and if we're being real here to Marge's

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That's the number one receiver. So he's gonna want top dollar money same thing with T. Heckins

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They just let go of Joe mixing

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So they they've had to you know figure out and they've they've tried to you know

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trim the fat a little bit just to figure out exactly how in the world are they going to you know be able to

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Try to build a team around Joe Burrow

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That's what it boils down to right when you if you want a team to be able to make a playoff run and eventually when a Super Bowl

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You have to be able to you know

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Recognize that okay certain positions you are going to invest into and then other positions

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Whereas the quarterback you may want to pay them less because if you pay them less

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That gives you the freedom to bring in anybody that you think could play a major role on the team

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Right when you and that's why a lot of you know a lot of GM's

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You know believe in the notion that when you get a rookie quarterback

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That's the perfect time to build you know to build around them because you don't have to pay them for five years, right?

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Five years you don't even have to have a conversation about them about money at all for five years almost six years

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if you franchise tag them right and so

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You know I say all that to say this you know and I have to think about this I have to think about it

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I had to sleep on it honestly

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You know I was like you know what did they overpay him did not overpay him did they did they do a little bit too much?

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They overpaid it they overpaid they overpaid him by a mile because there is no way in the hell that

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Trevor Lawrence should be making 55 million now if it's 50 million 51 million if it's around the same of like Lamar or Jaylen Hertz

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But to say that you are going to be tied with Joe Burrow as you know as the highest paid

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Quarterback that's just outrageous because when you look at the highest paid quarterbacks according to CBS Sports via Spotrack

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They're they're tied. Okay, Trevor Lawrence and Joe Burrow tied as the highest paid quarterbacks right now

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Under them you have Jurg off at 53 million Justin Herbert 52.5 million Lamar Jackson 52 million Jaylen Hertz 51 million

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Kyla Murray 46.1 million to Sean Watson 46 million Kirk Cousins 45 millions and Patrick Mahomes 45 million

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Patrick Mahomes

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Super Bowl winning champion

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Patrick Mahomes is making 45 million a year

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Right. He still got his money

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But he but he left enough money to where if they need to go and then and they need to get another receiver

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If they need to get another offense alignment a tackle a running back

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Middle linebacker whatever the case may be they have the they have the funds to do that

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That's how you continue to win. That's how you continue to be competitive

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It's not when you just overpay for your quarterback and then try to figure out how you're gonna do everything else

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It's not how it works. Okay

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And it's gonna show it's gonna show you

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People are not going to see the effects of this contract now because it's fresh

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Give it three years

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We'll have a different conversation, right?

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Because and and even then even when you when you break down the the playoff records for some of the highest paid

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You know quarterbacks

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Patrick Mahomes is the only one with a winning

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Playoff record at 15 and 3. Okay, Kirk Cousins playoff record 1 and 3

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Dashaun Watson's 1 and 2 Kyler Murray's

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You know one loss Jalen Hertz 2 and 3 Lamar Jackson 2 and 4 Justin Herbert

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1 loss Jared golf 4 and 4

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Um Joe Burrow 5 and 2 and Trevor Lawrence 1 and 1 right and so I say all that to say this

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You know when you are paying these quarterbacks you have to factor in everything

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Because if you don't you're gonna put yourself in a hole and then you know once once you're too deep in the contract where

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The cap hits are you know

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A gregis and you're unable to really make any moves and you're basically put in this chokehold type of situation because

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There can be a situation. I know I've said it multiple times

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But I want I want you to understand and I want to emphasize the importance of not paying a quarterback

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you know

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Almost record-breaking, you know money because there's gonna reach a point in the season, right?

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Where somebody might be hurt and there is an opening, you know and there could be a player that's basically saying, you know

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I want out. I want to go somewhere else and you can get them for the low for the low low without having to

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Give up, you know a first-round pick and two players and

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compensatory picks and whatnot

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Can't do it if you have a quarterback who's cap hit, you know, well not even cap it

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But who's making 55 million a year can't do that. Can you know you can't so you know

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It's a it's gonna be frustrating. It really is but

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You know, this is the decision that the Jaguars made until now

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They basically made their bed and now they must lay in it now

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Transitioning over to the next topic, right when you look at, you know, these these these quarterback contracts, right?

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Especially this contract this contract is directly going to affect

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The the upcoming contracts are supposed to be happening for the quarterbacks, right?

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Because when you break it down, right the future

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Free agent quarterbacks Jordan love dag presscott to it and Justin Fields, right?

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When you look at for instance Jordan loves his market value according to spot rack his market value is a four-year

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191.5 million dollar deal. He will be making 47.9 million a year. That's pretty good. That's pretty good

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That allows you to be able

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To go after, you know a key free agent that you've had your eye on

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To be able to re-sign a few other players that you want to stay with the team

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Whatever the case may be, right? And you know, even even even as we continue on with other

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You know free future free agent quarterbacks

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That that presscotts market value according to spot rack is a four-year

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203.5 million dollar deal. He'll be making 50.9 million a year

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Which you know, it is in that 50 million threshold

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But it's not you know, it's something that's a little bit more manageable

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If you know if you have a GM that can structure the contract correctly where basically, okay

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Yes, he gets his money but at the same time you're not breaking the bank, right?

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It still gives you a little bit a little bit of wiggle room to you know

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Bring in a few people if you need to make a few splash moves or free agency, whatever the case may be, right?

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We look at tool is market value tool is market value is four years

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198.5 million he'll be making forty nine point six million here. That's even better

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That's even better folks that 40 that that 49 to like 52 million dollar range

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That's the sweet spot because even then you can you can configure the contract to where

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Basically, you know for like the first two years is like where you're really seeing, you know

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Those crazy cap hits and those in those crazy numbers and then for the rest of the contract

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It's more easy. It's more manageable. It's more digestible

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And you know if the two if the quarterback wants to leave the team or if you want to you know land a

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Superstar guess what you can do it because why you have to leverage to do it with your cap

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When you look at Justin Fields market value, right?

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Four years

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179.5 million you'll be making forty four point nine million a year. That's really good

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That's really good. That is how you are able to continue to surround them

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Not only with talent but continue to keep the team competitive

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To a point where they can possibly make a playoff run and eventually maybe even make a Super Bowl run, right?

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I'm the reason why I'm saying the reason why I'm saying all this and the reason why I'm emphasizing

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quarterback contracts is because we have seen multiple times

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When a quarterback takes up a large majority of the cap space and they don't go anywhere and then you know when the quarterback, you know

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Public publicly goes and says, you know, I don't have any weapons. I need weapons, you know this and the other blah blah blah

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Well, you can't get you can't ask for weapons. Mr. Smartass if you got you know, if you're making, you know

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54 55 million a year you can't really do anything

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You just can't I'm sorry. You just cannot do it

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Case in point with for instance the Chargers, right?

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And I know this is probably crazy example

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But with with their with their whole situation after they gave Justin Herbert that deal in

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Some ways they had to break up the offense a little bit and they had to change how they did everything, right?

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And it wasn't only just because they brought a new head coach and you know different philosophies and different things of that nature

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But you had Kenan Allen who didn't want to take a pay cut

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You had Mike Williams who could not stay healthy and he had a large cap hit

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You had Joey Bolster that had a large cap hit during when James Khalil Mack

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You have multiple players on that team that had very large cap hit and you're not going to give it to Justin Herbert

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You can get rid of a Kenan Allen or Mike Williams. Unfortunately, and that's exactly what happened

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They let my they released Mike Williams. They trade away Kenan Allen to the Bears and

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Justin Herbert is there, you know with a

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Average to possibly above average receiving core, right? So I say all that to say this

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quarterback contracts can get very very very very very

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very very rocky

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Because one or two things are gonna happen either they're gonna overpay the quarterback and then it puts the entire team in a chokehold or

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They underpaid the quarterback, but they're basically telling him hey by us underpaying you

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It allows us to surround you with the talent that you need, right?

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And so, you know moving on to the to the next topic because I don't I don't want this

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I don't want this episode, you know to be longing and in drawing out and whatnot, but when you look at future quarterback contracts, right?

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The quarterback market is starting to get that reach that point where it's out of where it's gonna go, you know out of hand

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And I understand, you know, the league is making a lot of money

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They've recovered from the COVID years and whatnot and it shows, you know with with the with the cap calculations because

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Originally a lot of people were reporting that it wasn't going to be as much as you know as it was, you know

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Reporting but once they did see it and it's like oh, okay. That's when a lot of teams were like, okay

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We can start showing our money. We can start paying players because originally

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You know after after the after 2020

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There was a point where not not as many teams were willing to

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Really pay, you know a lot of players

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Simply because everybody was still recovering from COVID and then, you know, the numbers were down

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So that meant that the revenue for the league as a whole was down

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So it was a lot of mo it was multiple factors that played in, you know

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People not getting, you know crazy contracts, but now that we've you know past that phase

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And you have someone like Taylor Swift that's starting to you know bring her

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Her following over into the league that's gonna boost revenue and so was and so the trickle down effect is bigger contracts

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And it's show in this offseason alone, right now and and I've had this conversation

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With my friends, you know shout out, you know, shout out to everybody that you know

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That supports me and supports the podcast that it's gonna get someone is gonna hit the $60 million mark mark my words

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It may not happen this year, but I guarantee it. I

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Would not be surprised if next year's free agency market. Somebody hits that $60 million market

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Now do I know who it is? I wouldn't be surprised if it's deck. I just don't I would not be surprised

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simply because I think I think the dolphins are not gonna

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You know, they're not gonna really want to pay to I think they're gonna want to ride this season out and see if he can

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You know show another year of consistency and not you know being not being hurt

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Then they you know, then they'll probably you know, right, right and right to check

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But to say that they're gonna like go over leaps and bounds to pay him. No, they're not gonna do that

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Same thing with Justin Fields. I think he's not gonna he's gonna get paid, but he's not gonna get paid paid

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But I do think that is probably gonna be the only person

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That's really gonna get close to that $60 million range and even then I think the only teams

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I probably would do that our teams that are going through rebuild struggling and they're in a position where you know on the draft board

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Where they will not be able to get a high-end quarterback someone like a deck presscott

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But yeah, that's it

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It's a it's a weird situation and it's an I wouldn't say it's frustrating

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but it's just weird because

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We have seen the model of when when the quarterback takes less

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It allows the team to build around them and to you know keep them competitive

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and we've also seen the model of overpay the quarterback and

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You know, it basically just goes to shit, right?

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We have seen both models and you would think that you know quarterbacks would you know want to get paid

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But at the same time not break the bank, but it's clearly it shows otherwise and you know

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Nothing and that's you know, it's nothing against them because again, you you want to get paid

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This is probably gonna be

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Your only or your or your second to only chance of you know, really, you know getting a significant payday whatnot

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So not opposed to that but at the same time if you want to be able to win a championship

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And that's your goal that your dream within sacrifices are gonna have to be made

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Simple Tom Brady was not the highest paid quarterback, you know all those years. He wasn't he took pay cuts multiple pay cuts and

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You know it paid off because he won six championships with a Patriots and then he won

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One with the Buccaneers and now he's the greatest quarterback of all time now. I'm not saying that you know if quarterback does that that they're gonna follow

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the same path as a Tom Brady, but

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The but but to say that you know, you didn't see a difference with them surrounding him with talent

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That is true. That is definitely true

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But I'm gonna end this right here

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Just you know, just something just something to hold you guys over just something for you guys to think about

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You know going into the weekend and whatnot if you guys like what you guys are listening to please please please please please

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Download the episodes give us a five-star review if possible

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On your you know, whatever wherever pot podcasting street for

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Streaming platform that you guys listen to where that be Apple podcast Spotify, whatever the case may be

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Follow us on Instagram at football

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Underscore junkies pot again that is football underscore junkies pod also

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Also, also also if you have not heard we have our audio episodes on the

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On our YouTube page at football junkies pot again, that's football junkies pot

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Tick tock on content coming out soon. We're trying to work through the you know, the ins and outs and that trying to get everything set up

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I do know that the league is gonna be sort of going on a break for like six weeks

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You know, this is sort of the the drought period the last drought period before things really start ramping up

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So we're gonna try to see if we can put out some content

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Probably maybe have some special guests things are things are gonna get done

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We're gonna we're gonna get through this. Okay, we're gonna weather this storm. Okay, and as always

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I hope I gave you guys the fix that you guys need and love

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Just as much as I do. I love you guys. Peace out

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You