WEBVTT

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Howdy Star Gazers and welcome to Star Trails.

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I'm Drew and I'll be your guide to the night

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sky for the week of October 26 through November

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the 1st. The calendar is turning toward November

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now and the stars have that unmistakable autumn

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clarity. The air is a little sharper, the nights

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come earlier, and the sky feels deeper, like

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it's holding its breath before winter sets in.

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Also, Halloween is later this week, and for our

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final episode of October, we're going to examine

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another eerie topic. In a universe as vast as

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ours, we ask the question, where is everybody?

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We're not looking for little green men or flying

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saucers necessarily, but with all the potential

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worlds that surround us, why haven't we received

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any indication that someone or something is out

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there? Could it be that we truly are alone? It's

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called the Fermi paradox and we'll take a detour

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into that and more in the second half of the

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show. Before I get into the night sky report

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for this week, I just have a quick update on

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the show website. If you're a new listener to

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the show, you might be wondering which other

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episodes would be good to go back and listen

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to. So, I've created a section on the website

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StarTrails .Show with resources for beginning

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astronomers and new listeners. On the site, you'll

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see a new option in the top menu called Start

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Here. On this page, you'll find a collection

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of my favorite episodes from the more than 80

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we've published since last year. Some of these

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are very much aimed at the new astronomer, while

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others cover topics that might be a bit off the

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wall but still thought -provoking. I've also

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compiled a collection of links that new astronomers

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might find helpful, from some of the stargazing

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apps I use to websites that are helpful for astronomers

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at any skill level. And, as always, if you have

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a question or comment about the show, you can

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use the contact form on the site to send me feedback.

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I really enjoy those listener questions. So with

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that announcement out of the way, let's see what's

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up in the sky this week. The moon begins as a

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slender, waxing crescent and grows brighter each

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night, reaching its first quarter phase on Wednesday.

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Early in the week, you'll still have dark evening

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skies, making it a prime time for faint objects

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and binocular or small -scope observing. By midweek,

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the moon will shine high at sunset and show off

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sharp craters and mountain ranges along the terminator,

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the line between lunar night and day. After that,

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the moon transitions into a waxing gibbous, staying

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up later into each night. That brighter moon

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may wash out faint deep sky targets, but it opens

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great opportunities for lunar surface photography

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or simply enjoying the moonlit landscape. Farther

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out, Saturn is still ruling the evening sky.

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You'll find it glowing a soft yellow -white in

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the southeast after sunset. climbing higher through

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the night. Even a modest telescope will reveal

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its rings and a few of its moons. Jupiter arises

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later, around mid -evening, and dominates the

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eastern sky. If you're up late or awake before

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dawn, it's one of the showstoppers. Mercury makes

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a fleeting appearance this week. On the 29th,

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it will reach its greatest eastern elongation.

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that's its furthest angular separation from the

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Sun in the evening sky. Keep a clear view toward

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the western horizon just after sunset, about

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30 or so minutes after sundown. If the sky is

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clear and the horizon is free of trees or buildings,

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you might spot the elusive twilight planet. Mars

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is fading low in the west after sunset and chasing

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into twilight. And Venus is now a morning star

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rising just before dawn in the east. It's worth

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a glance if you're an early riser. Our solar

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system is still hosting two special guests, and

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if you've been active on any astrophotography

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forums lately, you've probably seen some beautiful

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images of at least one of them. Our photogenic

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visitor is Comet C2025A6 or Comet Lemmon. Discovered

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earlier this year by the Mount Lemmon Survey,

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it's on a long -period orbit of roughly 1 ,150

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years. It's currently brightening and may be

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visible even with the naked eye under very dark

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skies, though binoculars will make it much easier

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to spot. For observers in North America, it's

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best after sunset in the northwest to west sky.

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It's low right now, but becoming more accessible.

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If you have a clear horizon, try locating it

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with binoculars in the constellation Boötes,

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a little more than five degrees northeast of

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Arcturus. And if you can't find it, just keep

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enjoying those stunning images other astronomers

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are capturing. It has a well -defined coma and

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a long tail that looks like it's shimmering in

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a cosmic breeze. The second visitor that has

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many people intrigued is interstellar object

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3I Atlas. This object arrived from outside our

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solar system and it just cruised past Mars a

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couple weeks ago. It's classified as an interstellar

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object because its trajectory is hyperbolic,

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meaning it's not bound to our Sun. And it's only

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the third such object like this we've ever recorded.

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Scientists are studying it carefully, though

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for backyard observers it's faint and difficult

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to spot. The buzz about it is largely thanks

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to its interstellar origins. You may have seen

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some of the speculation and conspiracies claiming

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it might be artificial or alien in origin, but

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mainstream science strongly supports the view

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that it's a natural body. So while it's a fascinating

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object to follow, keep your expectations grounded

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because it's not much to look at, at least right

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now. Now for the constellations and the quieter

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stars of fall. We've mentioned them in the past

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few episodes, but high overhead you'll find the

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Great Square of Pegasus, that large distinctive

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square shape marking the winged horse of myth.

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From its top corner you can trace a line northeast

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to the Andromeda Galaxy, our galactic neighbor.

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A pair of binoculars will help you find it. North

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of that, you'll find Cassiopeia, the queen of

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the northern sky, hanging high from mid -northern

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latitudes. Just below Cassiopeia lies one of

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my favorite binocular targets, the double cluster

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in Perseus, a pair of star clusters, bright and

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compact, easily enjoyed even in modest skies.

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The Milky Way isn't as obvious as it is in summer,

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but if you're under dark skies early in the week

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while the moon is still thin, you can trace its

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faint river starting south and moving through

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Cygnus, Cassiopeia, and into Perseus before it

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drifts into the northeast. It's a subtle beauty,

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less dramatic than the summer belt, but rewarding

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all the same. Meteor activity from the Orionids

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is tapering off, but don't rule out a stray meteor

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before dawn. If you're out late, keep a casual

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eye toward Orion rising in the east and you may

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catch a bright one. As always, to truly appreciate

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the fall sky, take a moment between targets.

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Let your eyes adapt to darkness for about 10

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to 15 minutes. With the heat of summer gone,

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the air is clearer and your view reaches farther.

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Next up, we'll step into that stillness more

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deeply, exploring the vast silence between the

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stars and why, in a universe so old and full

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of worlds, no one seems to be there to answer

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us. That's coming up after the break. Stay with

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us. Welcome back. There's a kind of silence in

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the cosmos that feels different from any other

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kind. It isn't peaceful or serene. It's unsettling.

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It's the silence of absence, the long echo of

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a question that's never been answered. We call

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it the Fermi paradox, the contradiction between

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how likely life seems to be and how alone we

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appear to be. In 1950, physicist Enrico Fermi

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was having lunch with colleagues at Los Alamos.

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The conversation turned to UFO sightings, and

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Fermi simply asked, where is everybody? It was

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both a joke and a revelation, because by that

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time, astronomers already knew the galaxy was

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ancient, 10 billion years older than the Earth,

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and vast beyond comprehension. Even if just a

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tiny fraction of those stars had planets and

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an even tinier fraction had life, shouldn't we

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see some sign of it? And keep in mind, at this

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point in astronomy we hadn't discovered a single

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exoplanet. That breakthrough was still more than

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40 years away. A decade after Fermi's question,

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astronomer Frank Drake tried to make sense of

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it mathematically. In 1961 he hosted a small

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meeting at the Green Bank Observatory in West

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Virginia, the first gathering devoted to the

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search for extraterrestrial intelligence. He

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scribbled a simple formula on a blackboard to

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structure their discussion, never imagining it

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would become iconic. That formula became the

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Drake Equation. It looks intimidating at a first

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glance, full of variables and symbols, but the

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idea is straightforward, and it's solvable using

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basic algebra, provided you can fill in the variables.

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Drake broke the problem into seven factors. How

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many stars form each year? What fraction of those

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have planets? How many of those worlds could

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support life? How many of those worlds indeed

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produce life? How often life develops intelligence?

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How often intelligent life develops technology?

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And finally, how long such civilizations can

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send detectable signals into space? Simply multiply

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those together and you get an estimate of how

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many civilizations might be communicating right

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now in the Milky Way. But the genius of the equation

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wasn't its precision, it was its humility. It

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showed us exactly where our ignorance lay. Every

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variable is a mystery to be solved and each new

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discovery exoplanets, biosignatures, radio surveys,

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tightened the numbers a little more. Right now,

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if you plug some hopeful numbers into the equation,

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you might get a few dozen civilizations in our

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galaxy right now. If you use more careful or

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skeptical numbers, you might end up with a number

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less than one, meaning we could be the only ones

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here at this moment. The problem is, most of

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the numbers in the equation are giant question

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marks. We don't know how often life begins, how

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often it becomes intelligent, or how long a civilization

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like ours stays detectable before it disappears.

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The math is strangely easy. It's the facts we

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don't have. Drake didn't stop there. He also

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co -founded Project Osma. the first modern SETI

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experiment using the Green Bank Telescope to

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listen for radio signals from two nearby stars.

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The effort was modest, just a few months of listening,

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but it sparked something profound. Soon after

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came the idea that we shouldn't just listen,

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but speak. In 1974, the Arecibo message was transmitted

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toward the globular cluster M13. a tightly packed

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group of stars 25 ,000 light years away. The

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signal, composed entirely of binary digits, encoded

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the numbers 1 through 10, the elements essential

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to life, DNA's double helix, a stick figure representing

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a human, the solar system, and the Arecibo telescope

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itself. It was symbolic more than practical.

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By the time the signal arrives, M13 will have

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drifted away. But it was a statement. We are

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here. A few years before Arecibo, in 1972 and

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73, NASA's Pioneer 10 and 11 spacecraft became

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the first human -made objects to leave the solar

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system. Each carried a small aluminum plaque

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etched with a map of our location in the galaxy

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and the image of a man and woman greeting whoever

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might find it. The Voyager 1 and 2 spacecraft

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went further. Each carried a gold -plated record

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sealed against time containing music from Bach

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to Chuck Berry, greetings in dozens of languages

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and sounds of our planet such as wind, rain,

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laughter. thunder, bird song, and even the heartbeat

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of a mother and child. Together, these were our

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cosmic time capsules, drifting ever outward at

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17 kilometers per second, bearing a message for

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listeners we may never meet. We covered the Golden

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Record in episode 52 and included many sounds

00:15:39.909 --> 00:15:42.389
from it in the episode, so go back and check

00:15:42.389 --> 00:15:46.769
it out if you missed it. By the 1990s, the search

00:15:46.769 --> 00:15:51.529
took a new form. digital crowdsourcing. The SETI

00:15:51.529 --> 00:15:55.169
at Home project turned ordinary computers into

00:15:55.169 --> 00:15:59.490
a distributed radio telescope. Millions of volunteers,

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and I was one of them and maybe you were too,

00:16:03.149 --> 00:16:05.809
downloaded screensavers that processed chunks

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of data collected by the Arecibo Observatory,

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searching for narrow -band signals that might

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indicate alien transmissions. For two decades

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it quietly scanned billions of frequencies running

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in the background on computers around the world.

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Humans, united by curiosity, gave their idle

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CPU cycles to the search for cosmic company.

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It was science as global collaboration and the

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largest volunteer computing project in history.

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Sadly, SETI at home never discovered any alien

00:16:43.490 --> 00:16:46.940
signals. The program went into hibernation in

00:16:46.940 --> 00:16:50.840
2020, but its legacy continues in new AI -driven

00:16:50.840 --> 00:16:54.059
searches like Breakthrough Listen, which now

00:16:54.059 --> 00:16:57.059
monitors billions of stars with unprecedented

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sensitivity. And yet the silence persists. Which

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brings us back to Fermi's haunting question.

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Some have speculated a great filter, a stage

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in evolution so perilous that few make it past.

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Perhaps intelligence carries the seeds of its

00:17:16.460 --> 00:17:20.059
own destruction. Ecological collapse, nuclear

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war, or even artificial intelligence run amok.

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If the filter lies behind us, we're lucky. If

00:17:28.140 --> 00:17:31.019
it lies ahead, the silence may be a warning.

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Others suggest more poetic explanations. Maybe

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civilizations retreat inward, turning to virtual

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worlds richer than reality itself. Maybe they

00:17:46.380 --> 00:17:49.339
transcend physical space altogether, existing

00:17:49.339 --> 00:17:52.960
as patterns of energy or information. Or maybe

00:17:52.960 --> 00:17:56.700
the galaxy is a dark forest where every civilization

00:17:56.700 --> 00:17:59.920
hides in terror, knowing that to announce their

00:17:59.920 --> 00:18:03.869
presence might invite annihilation. In that sense,

00:18:04.349 --> 00:18:08.369
silence isn't failure, it's a strategy. And then

00:18:08.369 --> 00:18:11.069
there's the humbling possibility that we simply

00:18:11.069 --> 00:18:14.710
don't know how to listen. Alien intelligence

00:18:14.710 --> 00:18:17.750
might communicate in ways beyond our comprehension,

00:18:18.369 --> 00:18:21.809
through neutrinos or gravitational waves or quantum

00:18:21.809 --> 00:18:24.829
entanglement. Their language could be encoded

00:18:24.829 --> 00:18:28.799
in magnetic fields or stellar oscillations. To

00:18:28.799 --> 00:18:32.079
them, our radio beacons might be as primitive

00:18:32.079 --> 00:18:39.119
as cave paintings. Personally, I believe in the

00:18:39.119 --> 00:18:43.880
simplest explanation. Space is unimaginably vast.

00:18:44.940 --> 00:18:48.279
The nearest star, Proxima Centauri, is more than

00:18:48.279 --> 00:18:51.680
four light years away. That's about 25 trillion

00:18:51.680 --> 00:18:55.359
miles. Even if we sent a message traveling at

00:18:55.359 --> 00:18:57.819
light speed, it would take more than eight years

00:18:57.819 --> 00:19:01.039
for a round -trip conversation. And that's our

00:19:01.039 --> 00:19:04.180
closest neighbor. The rest of the galaxy stretches

00:19:04.180 --> 00:19:09.079
across a hundred thousand light years. Also,

00:19:09.599 --> 00:19:12.619
radio waves, like light, weaken as they travel.

00:19:13.160 --> 00:19:15.940
What begins as a clear signal near its source

00:19:15.940 --> 00:19:19.640
dissolves into noise over cosmic distances. If

00:19:19.640 --> 00:19:22.500
you're involved in ham radio, you've likely seen

00:19:22.500 --> 00:19:25.259
signals fade dramatically over just hundreds

00:19:25.259 --> 00:19:29.319
of miles. The signals that escape Earth fade

00:19:29.319 --> 00:19:32.140
into the background hum of the universe long

00:19:32.140 --> 00:19:34.640
before they reach most of the stars we dream

00:19:34.640 --> 00:19:37.700
about. It's not like the beginning of the movie

00:19:37.700 --> 00:19:40.660
Contact, where we zoom into the solar system

00:19:40.660 --> 00:19:44.819
from light years away, hearing our earliest broadcasts

00:19:44.819 --> 00:19:47.420
echo through the void as clear as they were the

00:19:47.420 --> 00:19:51.819
day they were made. It's entirely possible that

00:19:51.819 --> 00:19:55.019
the cosmos is teeming with voices each calling

00:19:55.019 --> 00:19:58.400
out into the dark But none strong enough to bridge

00:19:58.400 --> 00:20:02.500
the gulf between them a million lonely transmitters

00:20:02.500 --> 00:20:08.180
all speaking all unheard Maybe the idea of that

00:20:08.180 --> 00:20:11.500
loneliness creates a feeling of existential dread

00:20:11.500 --> 00:20:14.829
and here's another eerie Halloween thought When

00:20:14.829 --> 00:20:17.609
you look up, much of the starlight falling on

00:20:17.609 --> 00:20:20.589
your eyes began its journey long before humans

00:20:20.589 --> 00:20:24.990
even existed. It crossed unimaginable distances,

00:20:25.349 --> 00:20:28.890
unbothered by our loneliness, carrying no reply,

00:20:29.529 --> 00:20:35.829
just photons from ancient suns. And the silence

00:20:35.829 --> 00:20:39.450
isn't nothing. The quiet between the stars may

00:20:39.450 --> 00:20:42.900
be the most profound message of all. A reminder

00:20:42.900 --> 00:20:45.900
that the universe is vast enough to contain both

00:20:45.900 --> 00:20:50.819
our fears and our hopes, our solitude and our

00:20:50.819 --> 00:20:57.450
longing. If the stars spoke to you this week

00:20:57.450 --> 00:20:59.769
or if a question's been on your mind, I'd love

00:20:59.769 --> 00:21:03.289
to hear it. Visit StarTrails .Show where you

00:21:03.289 --> 00:21:06.970
can contact me and explore past episodes. Be

00:21:06.970 --> 00:21:10.309
sure to follow Star Trails on Blue Sky and YouTube.

00:21:10.750 --> 00:21:13.690
Links are in the show notes. Until we meet again

00:21:13.690 --> 00:21:16.190
beneath the stars, clear skies everyone.
