1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:17,000
Alan Cring Productions in association with Emergent Light Studio presents the Illinois State Collegiate Compendium, academic lectures in business and economics.

2
00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:29,000
This is business finance, FIL 341 for Autumn Semester 2024.

3
00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:41,000
Today, corporate governance. This is a topic and I have a special PowerPoint presentation that is a major part of this lecture.

4
00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:46,000
And I will upload that. It's called, the PowerPoint is called Agency.

5
00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:52,000
And it will be in your file, in Canvas, your files, PowerPoints.

6
00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:56,000
And it will be there along with the chapter PowerPoints, but it's not one of them.

7
00:00:56,000 --> 00:01:03,000
It's one of my own. I've produced it, I produced the original years ago.

8
00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:09,000
And I have augmented it and added to it and modified it over the years.

9
00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:14,000
But it is definitely a must read set of PowerPoints.

10
00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:24,000
And it helps you with some of the terminology because in this lecture I will go kind of just push past words and terms.

11
00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:26,000
I'll say this is this, this is this.

12
00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:32,000
So the PowerPoint will help you if you don't get everything written down that I say.

13
00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:36,000
It's a large subject and it's become very hot.

14
00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:50,000
The whole thing about corporate governance has become so hot that professors, especially in finance, who are specialists in corporate governance, are now being kind of a thing.

15
00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:55,000
We just hired a professor two years ago, I think it was, or last year.

16
00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:58,000
She is, her specialty is corporate governance.

17
00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:04,000
That gives you an idea. We're paying for this kind of knowledge base in academia.

18
00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:10,000
And their companies are really serious about this, very serious in fact.

19
00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,000
But we'll get into that in just a little bit here.

20
00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,000
First we have a look at the numbers.

21
00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:19,000
And as you can see, there's nothing important going on.

22
00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:28,000
It is a dead as a doornailed kind of day here on Wall Street land.

23
00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:37,000
Now interestingly enough, just going through, obviously these numbers that you're seeing, the Dow is down about a quarter of a percent.

24
00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:40,000
The S&P 500 is up a quarter of a percent.

25
00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:46,000
The NASDAQ is the only one who's really showing much life, and that's not much life, at three-quarters of a percent.

26
00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:52,000
So there's not a lot of movement.

27
00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:57,000
Now here's something interesting about, let me hit crude oil here.

28
00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:03,000
For those of you who want to get into a life of commodities trading and all of that.

29
00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:06,000
Now crude was pushing upward.

30
00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:10,000
Generally that would be considered a war premium.

31
00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:17,000
Not a high probability of war, but the price had broken back into the 72 and above range.

32
00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:23,000
And so that was more prospect of a war, especially between Israel and Iran.

33
00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:32,000
Well interestingly enough, well, last week, late last week, Israel bombed the whoopee doo out of Iran.

34
00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:39,000
Just bombed the hell out of its war-making facilities and a lot of other things.

35
00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:43,000
And at first that caused the price of oil to surge.

36
00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:49,000
Because Iran's obviously going to turn around and escalate the war back.

37
00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:59,000
But then as I began to get the picture from some of the traders that I know, at first it surged it.

38
00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:06,000
But then the price of oil, as you can see, well, hell's bells and pigeon poop.

39
00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:10,000
Then the price of oil began to fall.

40
00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:16,000
And now it's fallen clear down to about under $68 a barrel.

41
00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:19,000
Well what the hell is that about?

42
00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:25,000
Commodity traders said, look, Israel has crippled Iran's ability to wage war.

43
00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:29,000
That means we now have a lower probability of a war.

44
00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:36,000
So the war premium is shrinking on this attack that Israel did on Iran.

45
00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,000
And it makes sense.

46
00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:42,000
But then another thing happened.

47
00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:47,000
Did you see this spike this morning in oil?

48
00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:57,000
That was because a news story came out that the White House was ordering the strategic reserve,

49
00:04:57,000 --> 00:05:03,000
our oil reserve of millions of barrels of oil to be replaced.

50
00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:09,000
Because it had been drained to get gas prices down a couple of years ago.

51
00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,000
So it was going low.

52
00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:18,000
And so this announcement that the government was going to refill it, that was the expectation.

53
00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:24,000
Demand would go up for oil because the government was stepping in to buy a ton of it.

54
00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:28,000
And then that would drive the price up.

55
00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,000
So you see that spike this morning.

56
00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:33,000
That was that expectation.

57
00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:39,000
And then the commodity traders came in and said, first of all,

58
00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:48,000
that's a very small amount of oil that is in the strategic reserve compared to how much there is out there.

59
00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:51,000
Second of all, they're not going to buy it all.

60
00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:54,000
Once they're not stupid, they're going to do it incrementally.

61
00:05:54,000 --> 00:06:00,000
So that it does not impact the overall demand very much.

62
00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:04,000
And it does not adversely affect the overall supply very much.

63
00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,000
So calm down all you crazies.

64
00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:16,000
And then as you see, once it began to be clear, as that information began to get processed more deeply,

65
00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:22,000
well, the price of oil, the barrel price of oil began to sag back down.

66
00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:25,000
So there's a lot of dynamics that go on here.

67
00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,000
That's one of the reasons that commodity traders love what they do,

68
00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:36,000
because you're dealing in a world of physicality of these things that you're trading.

69
00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:39,000
But also you're in geopolitics.

70
00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:44,000
You're in classic economic theory, supply and demand dynamics.

71
00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:51,000
So you've got everything you could possibly want if you are a geek, a trading geek.

72
00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:54,000
So that's not to say that I promote that,

73
00:06:54,000 --> 00:07:00,000
but I do have some former students who have gone to work as commodity traders,

74
00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:03,000
primarily at ADM, Arthur Daniels Midland.

75
00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:08,000
I mean, the pressure of the job is just sky high.

76
00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:14,000
And they are paid more than they're paid almost as much as God is paid.

77
00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:18,000
They make a lot of money just right off the bat.

78
00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:19,000
They make money.

79
00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:24,000
And the only downside is that ADM is located in Decatur.

80
00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:29,000
And so that means that you would have to, if you want to work for ADM, you'd have to live in Decatur,

81
00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:32,000
which is basically saying you have to live in hell.

82
00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:35,000
If you don't know what Decatur is, that's good.

83
00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:37,000
You don't know what Decatur is.

84
00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:41,000
But if you do know what Decatur is, you know you don't want to live there.

85
00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:42,000
Well, I do.

86
00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:49,000
You know, I've got a trailer and I can find a couple of three-legged dogs and all that.

87
00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:56,000
But anyway, it is a lifestyle of some finance majors.

88
00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:57,000
They get into it.

89
00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:58,000
They like it.

90
00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:02,000
Others say FTS and they get away from it.

91
00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:04,000
But it is something that you can do.

92
00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:10,000
Oil, wheat, hog bellies, gold, treasury bills, anything in the world.

93
00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:11,000
Not treasury bills.

94
00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:14,000
Well, yeah, actually they do for some hedging, I guess.

95
00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:16,000
But I don't know that for a fact.

96
00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:22,000
But anyway, that's enough of that promoting another one of our odder fields most people don't think about.

97
00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:25,000
Now, if we go over here, you see the 10-year bond.

98
00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:29,000
It's doing the kangaroo right now.

99
00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:31,000
It's bouncing up and down and up and down.

100
00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:36,000
Here's something that I finally found out.

101
00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:37,000
Okay.

102
00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:41,000
You've got all these days when the price of bonds is going down.

103
00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:45,000
That means because the yield is going up.

104
00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:46,000
Okay.

105
00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:52,000
If the price of bonds is going down, that means the bond investors are selling their bonds.

106
00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:57,000
So that drives the price down and that drives the yields up as we're seeing here.

107
00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:58,000
Okay.

108
00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:03,000
So what the mystery is, okay, they're getting funds by selling the bonds.

109
00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:09,000
So that should flow over into equities because you've got money to spare.

110
00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:10,000
You buy some stocks.

111
00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:16,000
But yet we don't see any major surges in the equities prices.

112
00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:21,000
S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq, they're just as likely to go down as they are up on a given day.

113
00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:34,000
Plus the other uncomfortable part about this is these unholy, light trading volumes we see.

114
00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:36,000
Look at this today.

115
00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:41,000
We are well our way to the end of trading today.

116
00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:43,000
Only a couple of hours left on it.

117
00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:52,000
And yet we have the average over the past year has been 3.8 billion shares of S&P 500 stocks.

118
00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:59,000
Today we're right now clocking in at a blistering 1.4 billion south of 1.4 billion.

119
00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:03,000
We probably won't make it to 2 billion by the end of the day.

120
00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:05,000
Where the hell is the trading?

121
00:10:05,000 --> 00:10:06,000
Why?

122
00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:13,000
Because if there's funds flowing out of bonds driving bond prices down, bond yields up.

123
00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:20,000
And yet you don't see active trading in the heavies.

124
00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:24,000
The number of shares is just very thin trading.

125
00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:27,000
So where the hell are the funds going?

126
00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:31,000
Well, my reaction was, well, they're just putting it into money markets,

127
00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:34,000
holding it there until they see clear direction.

128
00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:35,000
You've heard me say that.

129
00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:38,000
Well, I found out something that I did not know.

130
00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:42,000
I was today years old when I found out where the money is going.

131
00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:49,000
It's going into CDs, certificates of deposits, one to three year.

132
00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,000
That's where it's going.

133
00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:55,000
You look at the volume of CDs, and I'm not talking about the CDs.

134
00:10:55,000 --> 00:11:01,000
Well, I put $500 into a one-year CD, substantial interest penalty for early withdrawal,

135
00:11:01,000 --> 00:11:02,000
but boy, I put my money.

136
00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:04,000
No, that's not the CDs I'm talking about.

137
00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:10,000
I'm talking about certificates of deposit, the big ones, $50 million, $100 million, $500 million.

138
00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:16,000
Those are the CDs that are being invested in.

139
00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:22,000
This money is not going into money markets where you get high liquidity.

140
00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:27,000
This is going into CDs, which are somewhat longer hauled.

141
00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:32,000
In other words, this money is not going to come out of there tomorrow when the sun shines.

142
00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:38,000
It's packed away in crates that do not open for one to three years.

143
00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:46,000
So there is not going to be a major flood of liquidity flowing back into the equities anytime soon.

144
00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,000
It's going to stay like this.

145
00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:52,000
And what's going on here?

146
00:11:52,000 --> 00:12:01,000
The general consensus is that there's going to be a period we don't know what the F is going to happen

147
00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:08,000
for the next year to three years because we've got so many situations happening globally,

148
00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:16,000
and we've got political instability in the United States as well as the rise of extreme right-wing factions

149
00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:23,000
to parliamentary and leadership positions in Europe, Orban in Hungary.

150
00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:29,000
The neo-Nazis took a number of parliamentary seats in Austria.

151
00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,000
They've been trying for years, and now here they are.

152
00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:33,000
In Germany, they're coming on strong.

153
00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:37,000
So you've got political instability like we haven't had since the 1930s.

154
00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:40,000
You also have the Middle East situation.

155
00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:45,000
You have Russia and Ukraine bombing the hell out of each other.

156
00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:53,000
They're putting their money away for a slightly longer time until all of this shakes itself out.

157
00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:55,000
That's what I'm hearing.

158
00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:59,000
And this is after a period of time, one thing that I do encourage.

159
00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:01,000
You're going to be in finance.

160
00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:03,000
Wire yourself.

161
00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:04,000
Get to know people.

162
00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:07,000
Find those you can connect with.

163
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,000
They might know something you don't.

164
00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:11,000
You might know something that they don't.

165
00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:16,000
You begin to be an information animal because that's all we live on in finance.

166
00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,000
We don't live on these commodities.

167
00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,000
We don't live on those stocks.

168
00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:23,000
We live on the information that drives our prices.

169
00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:25,000
So keep that in mind.

170
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,000
Get to know some people.

171
00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:38,000
Or become a professor like I am, and you get to create the people so that you get to know them better then when they go out there.

172
00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:41,000
Forty-four years has to have been good for something here.

173
00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:44,000
Let me show you the rest of this here.

174
00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,000
Seriously, okay.

175
00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:47,000
Let me go.

176
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:51,000
For God's sake, all your ads are just tedious.

177
00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:53,000
No one looks at them.

178
00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:54,000
Okay.

179
00:13:54,000 --> 00:14:00,000
Now, the Nikkei actually had another one of those days where it spikes up and then it just floats.

180
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:02,000
You see this over and over again.

181
00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:05,000
Sometimes it spikes up at the opening bell.

182
00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:07,000
In this case, it ramped up.

183
00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:10,000
It actually spent maybe an hour ramping up.

184
00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:20,000
But then once it had finished this ramp up, it just sat there and lived in the dream for the rest of the trading day over in Tokyo.

185
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:25,000
As you can see, it finished up three-quarters of a percent both sides.

186
00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:26,000
Well, that's wonderful.

187
00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:30,000
But all of that happened in the first hour, hour and a half of trading.

188
00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:41,000
The rest of it was just nothing else to look at probably because Tokyo is on its market,

189
00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:48,000
it's running when the rest of the world is asleep in Europe and the United States.

190
00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:50,000
So I don't know. That's part of it.

191
00:14:50,000 --> 00:15:01,000
London tried to start a bull rally, but it just slid off into the oblivion on the FTSE 100.

192
00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:10,000
London is just most of these European markets are in something of where we are.

193
00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:16,000
There is a deepened level of just basic uncertainty.

194
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:24,000
I mean, the funny thing is that you are coming of age in a world that's quite different from what would have happened

195
00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:35,000
if you had been coming of age in like the 80s or especially the 90s where everything was cruising upward, everything looked good.

196
00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:41,000
And then it began to get its turbulence at the beginning of the 21st century.

197
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:47,000
And we really never have had that certainty of the future like we did back in the 90s.

198
00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:58,000
But now it's even more toxic. Looking very quickly here at the VIX, it's probably slow right now.

199
00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:04,000
Look at this. It's red because for the day it's been down.

200
00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:14,000
But do you see how there was volatility building and it spiked and then it just dropped off the face of the earth about midday?

201
00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:18,000
No, no, no. That would have been early this morning is when it dropped off.

202
00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:24,000
VIX is a futures market. Futures markets don't have the same clock as stock markets do.

203
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:31,000
So the VIX has its own and at about just, well, that's kind of interesting because it was a little,

204
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:36,000
looks like it was a little before the opening bell on the stock market.

205
00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:41,000
Suddenly the volatility in the market just went away.

206
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:50,000
Very much like the weather. As a matter of fact, the dynamics, the physical dynamics, they are very similar.

207
00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:56,000
The equations are. And here we go. It just dropped off the face of the earth like a storm building.

208
00:16:56,000 --> 00:17:02,000
And then there was the thunder and then it just went away. And that's what you see here.

209
00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:08,000
You're going to get that feel that this is very much just a physical dynamic system.

210
00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:16,000
This is fluid dynamics in action. So you're almost partly meteorologist, I guess, in here.

211
00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:25,000
So in other words, the uncertainty is off. But that doesn't change the underlying edginess of the markets themselves.

212
00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:30,000
Any certainty that these traders are going to have, these investors I should say,

213
00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:38,000
is going to come from knowing that their money is now in a safe, comfy little house called CDs.

214
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:49,000
That's where their comfort will come. That's where their greater level of certainty, their decrease in uncertainty will come.

215
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:57,000
We're stashing our money away. It's safe now. We're okay. And that doesn't mean much for the stock markets though.

216
00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:03,000
But now another thing I should point out is that earnings are just pouring out right now.

217
00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:12,000
So that's just going to be one of those things over the next few weeks as we get to the end of October, the beginning of November.

218
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:21,000
You're going to see stocks jumping up, dropping off the face of the earth as the announcements of the earnings

219
00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:28,000
are compared by the traders to what the estimates were that the companies had made for them.

220
00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:38,000
So for example, and I showed you this one last week, Intel, it is INTC.

221
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:47,000
It is forecasting that we'll have a slight earnings loss for the quarter three.

222
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:57,000
And we can see what the market thinks about that. They're thinking that that estimate is too optimistic.

223
00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:05,000
They're thinking, if you look down here, they're thinking that their estimate is down here at a slightly negative.

224
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:10,000
They are thinking that it probably will be a little worse than that.

225
00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:14,000
And that's why the rumors are driving the price down.

226
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:22,000
But you can see, well, we'll see what happens as we get closer to the earnings date.

227
00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:27,000
This will become a little bit more dramatic and we'll just have to see if Intel comes in.

228
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:34,000
Even if it comes in right at the earnings that are projected, that will bring the stock price back up a little bit

229
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:40,000
because the sentiment now is that they're going to get earnings that are worse than their forecast.

230
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:49,000
So if Intel comes in at, it hits its earnings estimate, that will cause a pop, even though it would be negative earnings.

231
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:59,000
If Intel comes in with anything positive as far as earnings go, that will really cause an upward jump in the stock price.

232
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,000
That will be against the market expectations.

233
00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:11,000
If you go over here to a few other ones, another one that's a really small cap, Rivian.

234
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:15,000
Why does this suck?

235
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:19,000
Did I unplug something?

236
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:22,000
Huh.

237
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:29,000
R? Well, why does my keyboard suck right now?

238
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:33,000
Oh, it's probably because I unplugged it, yeah.

239
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:37,000
As a matter of fact, I got it caught in the stupid wheel.

240
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:42,000
Oh, this is going to be fun.

241
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:45,000
Ow, that hurt.

242
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:50,000
What did I do that I'm going to have to blame one of you for what I did?

243
00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:53,000
Okay, I've got it.

244
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:59,000
There. Now.

245
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:02,000
Don't bully me.

246
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:05,000
Okay.

247
00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:08,000
Oh, okay, good. Apologies for that.

248
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:15,000
Rivian, R-I-V-N.

249
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:17,000
It's taking a bath.

250
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:25,000
Its earnings come out on November the 7th, and it is projecting that it's going to have a real jump in its earnings.

251
00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:30,000
The market's saying, bullshit, you're going to have bad earnings.

252
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:41,000
And so the market is adjusting for an earnings, the actual earnings being considerably less than what Rivian is estimating they will be.

253
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:49,000
Now, again, if Rivian comes in near or at its target, that's going to cause Rivian stock price to surge up.

254
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:53,000
This is the kind of thinking that we do. Probability.

255
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:56,000
Okay, the market, you don't fight the market.

256
00:21:56,000 --> 00:22:02,000
But right now, the investors are thinking that Rivian is going to have really sucky earnings.

257
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:09,000
Maybe you have a better analysis and you think that they're going to come in on target or at least close to target,

258
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:20,000
in which case you would do a swing, just grab the stock a couple of days before the earnings report and see if they actually pull it off,

259
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:27,000
unless you really think that the investing community is right about them, which it probably is.

260
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:30,000
But this is the kind of thinking that we do in this.

261
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:37,000
Now, again, you could go in, see who's calling earnings in the next week or so.

262
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,000
That's where the action is going to be.

263
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:46,000
That's where you could actually make some money if you want to run contrary to what the market sentiment is,

264
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:52,000
or you could lose some money doing the same thing, fighting the consensus.

265
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:56,000
So there you go.

266
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:59,000
Okay, let me take this off the board.

267
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,000
This is corporate governance.

268
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:17,000
Now, corporate governance is more or less the set of laws, rules, and policies that influence a company's actions, both financial and operations.

269
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:24,000
Now, corporate governance covers both sides of it, operations side of it and the financial side of it.

270
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:30,000
Corporate governance begins at the very top, and this is where the action has been happening,

271
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,000
recently.

272
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:42,000
There are challenges, let me put it this way, challenges to the old ways of corporate governance.

273
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:51,000
There's always been corporate governance, but those old ways of corporate governance are, to some extent,

274
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:55,000
they are inconsistent with the 20th, 21st century.

275
00:23:55,000 --> 00:24:02,000
And you have, finance, we are conservative, not necessarily politically.

276
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:11,000
We can be liberals politically, but in terms of corporate governance, we have a conservative part to us.

277
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:20,000
As I, my old Kentucky relatives, when they saw something new, they, they, I literally, they'd sit back and say,

278
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:25,000
might be right for some, but it ain't for us, God-fearing folk.

279
00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:30,000
That's almost the idea that you have in corporate America.

280
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:43,000
And we have been burned when we try to quickly move policies, governance policies, even marketing campaigns.

281
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:52,000
When we move too quickly just because of a fad, you're probably, we see these spectacular examples of that

282
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:58,000
really turning sour, and that makes us run back to our conservative positions.

283
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:01,000
Well, we don't, we're not going to change anything after that.

284
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:04,000
FTS, we're not going to do any more changes.

285
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:08,000
And obviously Budweiser was a good example of that.

286
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:11,000
Target even got, ended up being a good example of that.

287
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:18,000
We've seen that there's been a pullback from DEI, a rather hard pullback from it.

288
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:27,000
The question is, where is the balance between maintaining the old ways that have worked so far

289
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:36,000
and still being progressive enough to embrace a new century and all of the things about that new century that are new?

290
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:41,000
Our workforce is much more diverse than it was a long time ago.

291
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:43,000
It really is.

292
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:49,000
And our workforce is also very much different in terms of its educational level,

293
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:54,000
in terms of its social awareness level, and all of those things.

294
00:25:54,000 --> 00:26:05,000
So we can't just reel back to 1950 when we had things much more stable.

295
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,000
It's we're moving forward too fast now.

296
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:09,000
We're plowing into the future.

297
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:12,000
How do we do that in corporate governance?

298
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:22,000
The first thing that we have to appreciate is that in this world, it's going to start at the top, at the board of directors level.

299
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,000
That is where everything flows.

300
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:31,000
And we have to recognize that changes must be made.

301
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:37,000
We can pretend that we don't have to change, but the world is going to tell us differently.

302
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:43,000
A good example of that is companies that move to multinational status.

303
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:52,000
In Europe, the governance of the corporation at the board level is shockingly, in some ways,

304
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:56,000
quite different from what it is here in the United States.

305
00:26:56,000 --> 00:27:02,000
There are laws that impose strict requirements on the board of directors.

306
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:12,000
One of those laws is that it must have a significant representation of outside directors.

307
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:18,000
In other words, directors that are not connected with the company.

308
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,000
They give a more objective look at it.

309
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:25,000
And in Europe, you have to do it that way.

310
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:35,000
Another thing that would be shocking here in the United States is that you must have a government representative on the board, a board member.

311
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,000
You have to have one.

312
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:42,000
And that makes for a rather interesting situation if your board is going to do naughty things,

313
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:48,000
and you've got the government right there watching them, well, you're probably not going to do naughty things.

314
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:51,000
You're not even going to think naughty thoughts.

315
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:58,000
You're not even going to watch My Little Pony with evil motives.

316
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:00,000
My Little Pony isn't wrong, man.

317
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:06,000
But look, this is something we would say, oh, you're restricting our freedom.

318
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:09,000
And that's something that we have to deal with on a larger level.

319
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:20,000
There's a big thing now about freedom of speech, freedom of speech, and all the Constitution and shrines that we can say whatever we want, that is false.

320
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:26,000
The Constitutional law is very clear that no, you can't say whatever you want.

321
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:35,000
And it makes a very clear distinction between speech that is protected and speech that constitutes behavior.

322
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:42,000
And so we are still in corporate America in this thought that we're allowed to do anything we want.

323
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:47,000
And recent Supreme Court rulings have reinforced that, but it won't last for long,

324
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:55,000
especially in a global environment where our big competitors have very different ideas of how boards of directors work

325
00:28:55,000 --> 00:29:01,000
and what constitutes freedom of action in a free enterprise environment, in a market environment.

326
00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:05,000
So let me get on from there and give you a couple of pointers.

327
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:12,000
First thing first, where is corporate governance changing right now?

328
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:20,000
Well, the idea of outside directors is beginning to get really, get into the stream.

329
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:27,000
You don't want some idiot coming in from the outside and being a board of directors, a board member.

330
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:35,000
You do want people who are intelligent, well-educated, connected, and all of that.

331
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:43,000
So it's a balancing act, but we do see that that is corporate governance is changing in that way.

332
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:46,000
And there's kind of a question.

333
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:55,000
If a corporation does not want that significant presence of outside directors, what the hell are they trying to hide?

334
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:59,000
You're afraid to have people who aren't connected to this company?

335
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:02,000
Are you afraid that you won't have a good old boys' network?

336
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:11,000
Okay. Another part that has changed to some extent, and this is taken out of the, I'm taking this away from DEI.

337
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:17,000
In the corporate governance world, diversity is actually happening in boards of directors.

338
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:20,000
It's beginning to stir in.

339
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:31,000
People of color, women, people of different types of belief systems are beginning to kind of, are showing up on boards of directors.

340
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,000
We really have to.

341
00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:39,000
If you're running a corporation that most of your sales are to people in the United States, well, guess what?

342
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:48,000
Our population distribution is changing in terms of age, color, and faith, and all of that.

343
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:51,000
Well, we better have a corporation that reflects this.

344
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:54,000
So there's a driving motivation behind this.

345
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:58,000
Another thing that is interesting, too, and this is something the book brings up,

346
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:11,000
and it's almost like, well, this has been the law for more than a century, well, for almost a century, interlocking directorates.

347
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:22,000
In other words, it is actually illegal to have two companies in the same industry that are supposedly competitors

348
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:28,000
that have directors from one on the board of the other.

349
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:34,000
That's enshrined in law, and yet it happens all the time.

350
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:37,000
And that's something that we have got to shake out.

351
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:43,000
For one thing, the power of competition cannot be understated.

352
00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:46,000
Everyone has this, there's this bad mentality.

353
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:54,000
Well, the founder of modern economics, Adam Smith, said free markets are the best.

354
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,000
He said no such thing.

355
00:31:56,000 --> 00:32:04,000
He said competitive markets are the best, where you are fighting for every dollar that you get.

356
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,000
You need efficiency.

357
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:11,000
You need to use resources at the lowest level possible.

358
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:17,000
You need static efficiency, and all through time you are constantly engaged in dynamic efficiency.

359
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:20,000
Remember from the first lecture I talked about those?

360
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:21,000
Well, here we are.

361
00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:28,000
You see, competitive markets, you don't need directors from two competitors on each other's boards

362
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:33,000
because you don't have competition anymore, and that's something that we've got to shake back out.

363
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:41,000
And unfortunately, that may require a few major high-profile lawsuits against ginormous corporations

364
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:45,000
where basically you're breaking the law.

365
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:50,000
Yeah, go out there and cry crocodile tears about, oh, the government is trying to control us,

366
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:53,000
and we don't want to be controlled, you don't want to be controlled, we don't want to.

367
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:54,000
Bullshit.

368
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:57,000
It's law, and it's a good idea.

369
00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:01,000
And so some companies are actually beginning to shake out that interlocking.

370
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:03,000
They're beginning to take it out.

371
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:07,000
And especially corporations that, you've got to ask yourself,

372
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:13,000
okay, this corporation over here is our competitor, and we've got his director on our board.

373
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:16,000
What the hell are we getting out of that?

374
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:18,000
We're not getting anything out of that.

375
00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:20,000
They're getting something out of that.

376
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:25,000
And if we have a major advancement in our technological know-how,

377
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:30,000
why are we going to have a board meeting where that son of a bitch hears about it?

378
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:34,000
Where our board member over there is hearing about the same old same old,

379
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:40,000
their director over here is hearing about all these new cool things that we're doing.

380
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:46,000
So companies are beginning to think, this isn't such a good idea after all.

381
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:47,000
Okay?

382
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:54,000
Now, another thing that is, well, I'd love to say that it's something that's happening,

383
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:56,000
but it isn't happening nearly enough.

384
00:33:56,000 --> 00:34:02,000
CEOs, CEOs who are board members.

385
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:05,000
In other words, the board is supposed to be the boss.

386
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:09,000
The shareholders are the boss of the board.

387
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:16,000
The board is supposed to be the boss of, excuse me, the boss of the C-suite.

388
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:23,000
If you've got the CEO is his own boss because he's on the board of directors,

389
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:29,000
that's not an accountable system that lacks that power of accountability.

390
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,000
So there you are.

391
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:35,000
We've got that problem there that is something that we have to shake out.

392
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:42,000
You see the corporations, they have some name, chief executive officer and president, CEO and president.

393
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:48,000
Well, that means he's the top of the C-suite and he is the top of the board of directors.

394
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:52,000
How do you have accountability in a situation like that?

395
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:55,000
What is he going to do, spank himself?

396
00:34:55,000 --> 00:35:09,000
I mean, I don't know.

397
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:10,000
Okay.

398
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:19,000
Now, the board has important duties.

399
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:25,000
Governance policies are going to determine the board of directors.

400
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:35,000
Now, here are a couple of other ones that I should bring up before I lose myself in what's coming next.

401
00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:39,000
The board is elected by the shareholders, obviously.

402
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:43,000
Let's say I have four board members and you have a sheriff's dog.

403
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:46,000
You get one vote for each of them.

404
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:53,000
Well, you see, that's actually not the ideal way to do it.

405
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:57,000
Now, some companies are already, their charters already specify this.

406
00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:01,000
It would be better if you have four votes.

407
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:06,000
You could actually concentrate them on one of the positions.

408
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:11,000
Instead of scattered across four, you could let the other three go.

409
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:14,000
You don't have a vote for them and you vote my ass out.

410
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:20,000
You see, that would have a much greater impact on incompetent board members

411
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:30,000
because then you could focus a lot of direction onto one position that was dodgy, that we didn't like.

412
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:38,000
That would be actually, that is one of those things that we're encouraging corporations to go to,

413
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:43,000
essentially what is a cumulative voting rights of the stockholders.

414
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:51,000
That would be good because then everyone's watered down if you have only one vote per position.

415
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:58,000
But if a lot of people are pissed off at, let's say, the treasurer of the board of directors,

416
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:03,000
well, they could aim at him and get him off and let the other ones off the hook.

417
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:07,000
And it would also send a signal to the other board members,

418
00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:15,000
don't be like this guy who just got nailed because everyone focused their votes on that one position.

419
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:20,000
It makes them a little more accountable.

420
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:24,000
That's something that is in some corporations already

421
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:34,000
and we're encouraging other corporations to move toward this voting pattern model.

422
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:41,000
This is getting into something, this will probably definitely spill over to Thursday,

423
00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:54,000
but at the level of the board of directors, I've met board members on corporations.

424
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:59,000
A lot of them are very knowledgeable people.

425
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:06,000
Unfortunately, some of them are some of the stupidest people I have ever met in my life.

426
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:14,000
They got board positions because of who they knew or how much money they had.

427
00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:18,000
Literally, I've met them on both sides.

428
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:20,000
I talked to one board member.

429
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:24,000
The guy was just incredible in his knowledge of the industry, of the company.

430
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:27,000
As a matter of fact, there was a joke someone else asked him.

431
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:31,000
He said, I don't want to work for a living.

432
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:36,000
I just sit here on the board making broad policy decisions.

433
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:41,000
But the other side of it is that you do have some board members who are boxes of rocks.

434
00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:44,000
It's just the way it is. It's going to be both ways.

435
00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:53,000
The problem is that at the board level, big financial decisions have to be made there.

436
00:38:53,000 --> 00:39:00,000
Otherwise, you're putting the CEO or the CFO or the CIO, whatever, COO,

437
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:08,000
you're putting them in a situation where they might not see the largest picture.

438
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,000
That is where the board of directors.

439
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:11,000
Let me give you an example.

440
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:14,000
Just as quickly, it would be capital structure.

441
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:20,000
Remember, the capital structure is the combination of debt and equity that comprises total assets.

442
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:23,000
That should be a board decision.

443
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:29,000
It should be informed by the C-suite jockeys.

444
00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:34,000
But at the final end of the day, the board should make that decision.

445
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:41,000
That means that the board can't be populated with boxes of rocks sitting in nice chairs.

446
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:49,000
It has to be where the board understands what capital structure means,

447
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:52,000
just a basic definition of it for God's sake.

448
00:39:52,000 --> 00:40:00,000
Then from there, they have to understand what the implications of the chosen capital structure are.

449
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:06,000
If I want a capital structure that is leaning more toward debt,

450
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:10,000
I understand that that could very well increase ROE,

451
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:19,000
but at the same time, it could also cause some real problems with the risk of the company.

452
00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:21,000
You're moving toward more leverage.

453
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:27,000
Well, that's going to increase your cost of debt because that's going to scare the hell out of the investment bankers

454
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:31,000
who are going to take care of your issues of bonds.

455
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,000
But at the same time, well, let's back off that.

456
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:38,000
Let's get back down here to 10% debt, 90% equity.

457
00:40:38,000 --> 00:40:46,000
Okay, good for you, but that means that you are not realizing hardly any gains to leverage

458
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:49,000
that would benefit your shareholders.

459
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:55,000
And the job of the corporation, the one and only one job of the corporation

460
00:40:55,000 --> 00:41:00,000
is to maximize the wealth of those shareholders, period.

461
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:06,000
So if you are scared of debt, neither a borrower nor a lender be,

462
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:16,000
well, you are probably not in a position where you should be fulfilling the wealth maximization requirement.

463
00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:18,000
You've got to find a balance in there.

464
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:31,000
Do your board members understand that difficulty in finding the balance between debt and equity?

465
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:36,000
Other things that the board does, and I could list you a lot,

466
00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:44,000
and yes, some boards do just sit back and lull their way and let the C-suite make these decisions.

467
00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:45,000
They shouldn't.

468
00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:52,000
Other things also, internal auditing, accounting and auditing controls.

469
00:41:52,000 --> 00:42:02,000
We are all in a world of Sarbanes-Oxley where we have to have hellacious internal controls.

470
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:06,000
Are we fulfilling that Sarbanes-Oxley requirement?

471
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:09,000
How do we know we are?

472
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:16,000
The worst hack in the world is the one that you don't know happens.

473
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:20,000
That's a geek's philosophy.

474
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:24,000
And so do you know that you have internal controls?

475
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:33,000
The worst embezzlement in the world is the embezzlement that you can't find, you can't catch.

476
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:43,000
These are critical, and this is the board's responsibility to ensure that the best of the best is going to happen.

477
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:53,000
Now, let's move a little bit forward from just the internal controls to the whole world that we are in in the 21st century.

478
00:42:53,000 --> 00:43:00,000
First things first, we have to have a CIO, a Chief Information Officer,

479
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:10,000
and that means that the board has to understand the absolute criticality of our information systems.

480
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:17,000
I'm building a course. You may be able to take it next year.

481
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:20,000
It is in emerging technologies.

482
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:28,000
And when I drop you into that world, you're going to be amazed at how deep and complex it is.

483
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:39,000
I'm required, because of my certifications, I'm required to watch these continuing education videos done by IBM and all these others.

484
00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:43,000
And I swear, sometimes I just start seeing the wheels on the bus go round and round.

485
00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:45,000
I'm out. I'm gone. I'm dead.

486
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:52,000
But we have to keep plowing and knowing and understanding what in the hell is going on here.

487
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:57,000
And it's wild. Even in, you hear the term cloud computing?

488
00:43:57,000 --> 00:44:01,000
I mean, that is a whole world of its own.

489
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:05,000
Do you choose SAAS, software as a service?

490
00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:13,000
Do you choose PAAAS, platform as a service? Or do you choose IAAAS, infrastructure as a service?

491
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:19,000
And once you have made that choice, what are your responsibilities within that cloud computing environment?

492
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:26,000
This has to be, at least at the top level, understood how critical all of this is.

493
00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:33,000
Cybersecurity is a nightmare right now. It is an absolute freaking nightmare.

494
00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:38,000
Also, the 20th century is a nightmare for us now, too.

495
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:44,000
I just went through the hell of learning about something called identity fabric.

496
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:46,000
And I thought, what the hell?

497
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:55,000
And after about four hours of videos and quizzes, I thought, oh, God, I never even thought of that.

498
00:44:55,000 --> 00:45:00,000
This is a haunting. This is a zombie from the 20th century.

499
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:09,000
Where you have employees, customers, suppliers, and they all have their own identities, their own passwords,

500
00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:17,000
their own access points, their own ways that they can get into the system and how deep they can get into the system.

501
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:24,000
This is the identity fabric. Each individual could have as many as five passwords in a company.

502
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:32,000
A supplier might have two, but that supplier really needs to have three identity levels of depth

503
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:35,000
to get the information out of your system, to get it over there.

504
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:41,000
What are the protections you have on the security? Is it end-to-end encryption or is it something in the middle?

505
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:46,000
I don't want to get into this. I promised myself I wouldn't say this much, and I'll stop right there.

506
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:50,000
But the 20th century is a problem for us in the 21st century.

507
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:57,000
That's just something that the board of directors has to understand.

508
00:45:57,000 --> 00:46:10,000
We've got this setup here that I'm trying to convince you that the governance starts at the top of the organization.

509
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:15,000
At the top, you must have a new breed of board members.

510
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:22,000
They have to have, for lack of a better way to put it, they have to have the knowledge of old people,

511
00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:31,000
the wisdom of old people, and the dynamic understanding of the world, of you people, young people.

512
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:38,000
How do we do that? Well, that's your problem, not mine. I just teach in a great school.

513
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:45,000
But do understand, this is all part of governance, and it is nothing like...

514
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:52,000
Okay, I should say this one more time. We see spikes off corporate governance.

515
00:46:52,000 --> 00:47:03,000
Spikes like DEI, and those are laudable goals, but they are goals that we are going to have to do carefully,

516
00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:10,000
because those are the ones that the exterior world can find out about and then bitch.

517
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:17,000
Even though they don't know anything about what they're talking about, they're going to cause us problems.

518
00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:22,000
So we do those slowly. The internal stuff, we can do more quickly.

519
00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:30,000
We can't just charge in, but we have to have a balance, but always, always making sure that we understand

520
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:37,000
that ultimately the future is going to belong to another generation, other generations,

521
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:41,000
and we have to appreciate that we can go back to the past.

522
00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:48,000
When it was easy to be a racist, a sexist, or whatever else, we have to move forward to a more inclusive environment.

523
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:52,000
And that's not a liberal position. I'm generally kind of a conservative,

524
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:57,000
but you also have to appreciate what the world's going to be, and that's where corporate governance comes in.

525
00:47:57,000 --> 00:48:05,000
Now, I'm going to start this, and I'm going to stop a little early here, because if I get in and dig in too deep,

526
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:11,000
I'm going to be...I'll leave you in a place where I don't want to leave you with lecture today.

527
00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:22,000
But let's do this. I'm trying to look at someone who fits this story.

528
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:30,000
You. You are driving your car out here on the big American prairie.

529
00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:38,000
Straight road, beautiful sunshine day, and there's this nice, long, beautiful road, smooth,

530
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:45,000
and you see a speed limit sign, 55 miles per hour.

531
00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:53,000
Now, out here, I found out that you see that as...what you say when you see that as challenge accepted.

532
00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:59,000
So you hear this little voice in your head that says, warp six.

533
00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:07,000
So you start grinding that pedal, and you get it up to a speed where you see the stars streaming by you,

534
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:14,000
like they do in the Star Trek movies and all that kind of stuff, and everything's fine.

535
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:22,000
But then way up the road, it's corn fields, but one of those spurs that go into a field, a drive that goes into a field,

536
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:31,000
you see a car there. There's a farmer. And you get closer and go, oh my God, that's a sheriff's deputy's car.

537
00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:39,000
Well, what are you going to do? Have you ever been on a highway and all the cars in front of you,

538
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:47,000
their brake lights come on all at once? Well, that's because they found Jesus, and his name was a highway patrol officer up the road.

539
00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:59,000
You're driving and you're going to slow down because you are being monitored. So that's the first thing.

540
00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:11,000
Now the second thing that happens, you get closer and you see that the sheriff's deputy is standing, or at least you see his finger,

541
00:50:11,000 --> 00:50:19,000
outside of the car. Oh God, he's got a radar gun. And he bleep, bleep, bleep. Yeah, slow down more.

542
00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:29,000
But then as you get really close, you see that he is actually stooped over and he's changing the tire on his car.

543
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:37,000
You want to stay slowed down? Well, I'll just pick up my speed again. Hi, officer, how are you doing there?

544
00:50:37,000 --> 00:51:01,000
So in other words, enforcement. Both of these are critical to the next thing I'm going to bring up, contracts.

545
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:10,000
You see, no contract is better than the monitoring of it, of its provisions, and the enforcement of those provisions.

546
00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:22,000
If you got a contract, and that contract has all kinds of monitoring involved in it, but there's nothing about what to do if someone violates the contract,

547
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:32,000
you got no contract whatsoever. On the other hand, if you have iron fist, thou shalt not, we shall twack you in the ass if you do that,

548
00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:46,000
but no one's watching, well, you have no contract there either. By 240 classes, I have more than a small amount of cheating that goes on.

549
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:57,000
Of course, obviously, if they are found guilty of cheating, they're kicked out of the university, and I'm not afraid to do that.

550
00:51:57,000 --> 00:52:09,000
But if I can't watch them, a 200-room caterpillar auditorium, how do I monitor it? So in other words, the enforcement doesn't matter.

551
00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:18,000
The policy says that I can see to it that that student is dismissed from the university, suspension for one year or whatever.

552
00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:27,000
Well, if I can't watch, see them doing it, well, nothing. On the other hand, if I can get monitoring up to watch them,

553
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:36,000
but I have no ability to enforce no cheating rules, there is no meaning to those. People will continue to cheat.

554
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:44,000
That's the thing about any contract. Now, contract is important here because we're about to get to something called the agency dilemma.

555
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:54,000
And this directly impacts corporate governance. It is actually the heart of corporate governance.

556
00:52:54,000 --> 00:53:09,000
It is the contract between an agent and a principal.

557
00:53:09,000 --> 00:53:38,000
The first, the principal, and that's with P-A-L, principal. This is a person whose welfare is to be maximized.

558
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:47,000
Now, before I go any further, you must understand what the word person means.

559
00:53:47,000 --> 00:53:55,000
That could be an individual, but I'm talking about person as it is defined under the law.

560
00:53:55,000 --> 00:54:05,000
A person could be an individual. It could be a couple. It could be an institution, a corporation, a company.

561
00:54:05,000 --> 00:54:16,000
A person is an entity that is recognized by law as acting as a unit to some purpose.

562
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:25,000
So when I use the word principal and it's a person, that could be an individual, but it could also be a board of directors.

563
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:35,000
A person could be a couple, a marriage. A person could be a partner to domestic partners recognized by that state's laws.

564
00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:42,000
A person could be a lot of different things, a professional organization, a partnership.

565
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:49,000
These are all persons under the law. So understand that I am using this in a way that is not common.

566
00:54:49,000 --> 00:55:02,000
There is a problem with this. It was, I think, 14 years ago.

567
00:55:02,000 --> 00:55:20,000
We have been moving, we had been moving since the 1970s toward a broader interpretation of person beyond just plain business and legal contracts.

568
00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:35,000
Courts, including the Supreme Court, had been beginning to recognize that in the Constitution, the person could be something other than an individual citizen.

569
00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:47,000
Now at first this was pretty tame stuff. Courts found that, for example, a company could tell white lies about its products.

570
00:55:47,000 --> 00:56:02,000
That's called puffing. You're lying about your product, but it's okay because a person can do that, whether it's an individual person or a corporation could do that puffing.

571
00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:10,000
So you've seen that your whole lives. I mean, it was a little surprising when I began to see it when I was in the 1970s.

572
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:19,000
Now it was always considered, you can't lie to us about a product. Well, companies would do it and then the FTC would kick their asses.

573
00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:29,000
But then beginning in the 70s we began to see little white lies. Everything, just nothing major. Cleaner than clean, whiter than white.

574
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:38,000
What does whiter than white even mean? I mean, you pull your laundry out, oh God, I'm blind, it's too white. No, but it's allowed.

575
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:52,000
Puffing. So in other words, the courts began to recognize that just like individuals can lie, companies can lie as long as it's not a material lie and everyone, supposedly everyone knows.

576
00:56:52,000 --> 00:57:06,000
But the problem was that this began a slippery slope where courts began to recognize more and more constitutional rights and privileges as belonging to persons instead of to individual citizens.

577
00:57:06,000 --> 00:57:22,000
It came to a really nasty head in, I believe it was 2010 when the Supreme Court ruled that corporations could contribute as much as they wanted to political candidates.

578
00:57:22,000 --> 00:57:36,000
Because people, individuals can, they're people and corporations are people so we can't keep corporations from putting whatever money they want to into campaigns.

579
00:57:36,000 --> 00:57:48,000
And they do it through political action committees, through astroturf things. So it's gotten unfortunately out of hand.

580
00:57:48,000 --> 00:58:06,000
We're restricting this only to the concept of the contract in that context. We're not putting anything about anything outside of law and business here.

581
00:58:06,000 --> 00:58:32,000
Now, the other one that I will define here is called the agent. The agent is a person who is charged with maximizing

582
00:58:32,000 --> 00:58:56,000
the welfare of a principle.

583
00:58:56,000 --> 00:59:18,000
Okay, let's try it. We'll do a couple of different examples here. A doctor, I'm your doctor, you're my patient. Who is the agent and who is the principle?

584
00:59:18,000 --> 00:59:30,000
Yes, and I am the agent because I am charged with maximizing your health. That's clear. That one's easy. Same would be with a lawyer and a client.

585
00:59:30,000 --> 00:59:43,000
The lawyer is the agent, the client is the principle. The lawyer has knowledge and ability to maximize the freedom of the client.

586
00:59:43,000 --> 00:59:57,000
Let's try another one. A parent and a child. Who is the agent and who is the principle?

587
00:59:57,000 --> 01:00:19,000
The child is the principle. The child is the principle because the parent is charged under law, in fact and in law, with maximizing the welfare of the child.

588
01:00:19,000 --> 01:00:33,000
So the child is the principle in that relationship. Now let's try another one.

589
01:00:33,000 --> 01:00:56,000
Who is the principle and who is the agent in a marriage? I caution you. Be careful. You know what you want to say. Let's try it.

590
01:00:56,000 --> 01:01:06,000
Tell me this. Who is the agent and who is the principle in a marriage? The guy's the agent and the girl's the agent.

591
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:18,000
Good answer. You will live. Man card issued. No, actually, the marriage is the principle. The man and the woman, or the husband and wife, are the agents.

592
01:01:18,000 --> 01:01:30,000
They are charged as a couple, as a person, with maximizing the welfare of the marriage. Neither of them is a principle.

593
01:01:30,000 --> 01:01:40,000
They are both the agents of the marriage and it is their duty under the contract of marriage to maximize the health of that marriage.

594
01:01:40,000 --> 01:01:49,000
That is a very strange one. This is the beginning of realizing that the principle doesn't even have to be a living thing.

595
01:01:49,000 --> 01:01:57,000
It can be a contract. It can be represented on a piece of paper.

596
01:01:57,000 --> 01:02:09,000
So that's why, as a soldier, you swear an oath to defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign or domestic.

597
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:21,000
In other words, that Constitution is the principle and I, as a soldier, was and am the agent.

598
01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:30,000
Famously, some people say it happened and others say it didn't. George W. Bush, many years ago, President Bush,

599
01:02:30,000 --> 01:02:42,000
someone told him that something he was doing was violating the Constitution and he supposedly said the Constitution is just a goddamn piece of paper.

600
01:02:42,000 --> 01:02:57,000
And there was just a shock. Oh my God, wow, he's right. The only thing that gives it life is those who defend it, who are charged with and carry out their agency duty to defend it.

601
01:02:57,000 --> 01:03:13,000
That's just the reality of it. No person who is a principle will survive if the agents do not carry out their duties under the contract between the agent and the principle.

602
01:03:13,000 --> 01:03:22,000
Now, let's shift that to the corporate environment. Guess what? The board of directors is the agent of the shareholders.

603
01:03:22,000 --> 01:03:37,000
Not as individuals, but as a body, the body of shareholders, as an aggregate mass that is the principle, a singular entity with respect to the contract.

604
01:03:37,000 --> 01:03:45,000
So the board of directors is the agent of the principles who are the principle.

605
01:03:45,000 --> 01:03:55,000
Now the C-suite, to whom do they answer? They answer to the board, which answers to the body of shareholders.

606
01:03:55,000 --> 01:04:03,000
So there is a chain that happens there and that's where corporate governance begins to put its teeth into this,

607
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:17,000
is that the corporate governance is how we carry out the contract, whereby the board of directors maximizes the wealth of the shareholders as a body.

608
01:04:17,000 --> 01:04:29,000
And that's why this is critically important when we get to this level of finance, is where you will go out there and you will be the agent of some principle.

609
01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:37,000
You will also be the principle in some, possibly in some situations, in some regards.

610
01:04:37,000 --> 01:04:45,000
But this is where it all begins and we'll finish this on Thursday. Remember, we're starting at 1 o'clock on Thursday.

611
01:04:45,000 --> 01:04:59,000
That's all I have for you. I thank you.

