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Welcome to the Improving Development Evaluation Podcast.

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I'm your host David Wand and welcome to episode eight,

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part one, where we in this part one introduce you

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to a new international development organization

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and we give you a brief description of the project

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delivered by that international development organization

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and a little summary of my review of the outcomes

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and the outcome indicators for this project.

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So I'll begin by saying we're doing a little bit

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of a different one on this episode eight.

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If you've been following the podcast,

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all of the episodes focus on delivering services

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to actual human beings, which means you can measure

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those actual human beings and that's the only way

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you're gonna get proper measurement and evaluation.

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And as you've learned from this podcast,

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a lot of these international development organizations

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are avoiding direct measurement

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and only they know the reasons why.

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But anyway, in this episode eight,

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instead of delivering a bunch of services

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to a bunch of human beings,

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we are going to look at a product that's delivered

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to a bunch of human beings and then what are the expected

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outcomes from delivering that product.

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The new international development organization

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for episode eight, part one is

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the United Nations Development Program.

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You can learn more about the UNDP at their website,

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UNDP.org and the particular project here

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is in Bangladesh at Cox's Bazaar District

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and in particular, the Cox's Bazaar Refugee Camp

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for the Rohingyas who've escaped from,

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depends who you ask, Myanmar or Burma,

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but it also includes the host Bangladesh communities

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around the refugee camp at Cox's Bazaar.

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That's the location.

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The title of the project is called

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Fighting Environmental Degradation

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and Promoting Greener Energy.

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The cost to the Canadian taxpayer for this project

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is $30 million and the magical product

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that they're delivering is LPG,

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liquefied petroleum gas to the refugees

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and the purpose of that is to replace

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the refugees having to go out and collect firewood

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to then burn to cook their meals.

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Now the interesting thing is in the project,

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they indicate that it also is delivering this LPG

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to the Bangladesh communities outside of the refugee camp

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but in the performance measurement framework

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that I've acquired through an access to information request,

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there are no monitoring indicators at all

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on the LPG that's been delivered

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to the host Bangladesh communities

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outside of the refugee camp.

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So that's something that I would love to discuss

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with the UNDP representative for part two

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if they show up for the podcast.

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So let me get into the outputs for this project.

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The first one obviously is liquefied petroleum gas

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to refugee households.

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They have a target of 827,611 refills per year

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of the LPG in the tanks.

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They also have an output called energy studies

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to assess alternatives to LPG, liquefied petroleum gas

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because you're hoping in the long term,

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even the firewood that's replaced by the LPG,

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then the LPG you hope will be replaced

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by something more renewable.

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If you're familiar with refugee camps,

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there are solar cookers that use the sun to cook meals

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and there's also biogas.

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That's at the refugee camp if I remember in South Sudan.

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I've also been to the Cox's Bazaar refugee camp.

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So this is why I picked this one just out of interest.

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But forget about me, let's get back to the project.

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So one point I'd like to make here

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is that on these studies,

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if those studies don't look at solar cookers or biogas,

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then it's a waste of money out of the 30 million.

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So let's hope that the studies,

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it would be nice if they were on the Global Affairs Canada

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project browser website, but they're not.

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But that would be nice if they were there.

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So we could see what plan they have

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and if it's feasible to then phase out the LPG

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and bring in solar cookers or biogas systems

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to replace the LPG.

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And one other final point is since the Canadian taxpayers

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popping out 30 million bucks to pay for these LPG tanks,

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827,611 is the target per year.

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Another curious question I would ask UNDP

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if they show up for part two is,

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did you hire a Canadian oil company

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to supply with this 30 million dollars the LPG tanks?

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So that's number one output.

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And the idea is obviously to replace the firewood

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that they have to go out and collect

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because there's a whole bunch of negative consequences

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from going out and collecting firewood.

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One is it's not safe for the women to do that

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because they're susceptible to sexual assault and rape.

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Number two, the children when they burn the firewood,

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they inhale the smoke, it's not good.

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And obviously it's not environmentally sound.

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And another reason, if you're gonna notice

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from the outputs that I'm gonna describe later,

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is it degrades the surrounding forest

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because they have to cut down the trees deforestation

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and which then leads to mudslides,

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landslides, flooding, et cetera,

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because the forest isn't there to absorb the water.

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So those are the reasons for wanting to replace

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the firewood with liquidified petroleum gas.

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Another output outside of just delivering the LPG

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is the monitoring and the management of the forest

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where refugees go to collect firewood

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before the LPG arrives and to make sure

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that the forest is maintained, protected, and restored.

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And related to that, the output number three is the land,

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including the forest, is quote, rehabilitated

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and revegetated, but also they indicate

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in the performance measurement framework

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some of the outputs are the stream banks

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are rehabilitated and maintained.

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And some other pieces of the $30 million

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the Canadian taxpayer is paying for

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is cash that's given to the refugees

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to pay them for the labor for rehabilitating the land

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and revegetating it,

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because there's a lot of labor involved in doing that,

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probably clearing the brush

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and also the planting of seedlings, et cetera.

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And then finally, there's another payment

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from the $30 million, which is cash for quote,

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workers provided with equipment.

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So I'm assuming that means they're paying workers

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for the rental of the equipment that they provide.

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Maybe it's the Bangladesh local businesses

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that have the equipment available

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for them to clear the land.

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It's not clear, but I think that's what's going on here.

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It's payment for the rental of the equipment

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to quote, rehabilitate, revegetate the land.

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And another fourth output is the training.

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There is some services to human beings in this project,

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not just the delivery of LPG.

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And that is the training to the refugees

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on resolving conflicts over natural resources.

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And that would be the fighting that goes on

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over the firewood, access to firewood,

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but you would hope as the LPG comes in,

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less people will be going out and getting firewood.

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And also the growing of the crops,

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because part of the training is also to do gardening,

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so that they can grow vegetables and alternatives

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to what they're currently depending on.

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Also in this output, they're providing households

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with renewable energy technology,

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but they don't indicate in the performance

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measurement framework, what types for this project.

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I'm assuming and hoping it's related to the project,

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which is to get them to cook with alternatives

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other than firewood and other than liquidified petroleum gas.

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So you would hope that they're introducing solar cookers

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or biogas as alternatives, but we don't know,

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because the current focus of the project

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is simply to bring in the liquefied petroleum gas

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to replace their need to go out and collect firewood.

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And some little issues in the outputs.

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One of the output indicators is the percent of conflicts

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over natural resources successfully managed.

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That's an outcome, so that should be moved

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into the outcome area, which we'll talk about in part two.

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They also have training on home gardening

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and fresh food waste management,

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hint, hint, composting.

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So that's good, that's another output.

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And they've got another outcome indicator

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that they call incorrectly an output indicator,

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which is percent of targeted households

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practicing sustainable skills development.

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So that's an outcome, after you train them,

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you expect them to be doing it.

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No targets provided in the PMF for that indicator,

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which is another issue, but the major point is

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that is an outcome indicator

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that should be moved into the outcomes.

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And what's interesting, as I mentioned earlier,

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is these outputs only focus on the refugees,

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but if you read in the project browser

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on Global Affairs Canada, they mention the host communities,

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the Bangladesh communities.

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So there may be liquefied petroleum gas

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going into the host communities

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outside of the refugee project.

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But we don't know, from the PMF,

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there's no separate target group

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of host Bangladesh communities.

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So there's no output indicators there,

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so that would be another question to ask UNDP.

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Are you only serving the refugees inside the camp,

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or are also you delivering liquefied petroleum gas

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to the host Bangladesh communities?

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So that's basically the project.

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Now, the interesting thing is, as I alluded to earlier,

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the logic of replacing the firewood with the LPG

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is so that a variety of expected outcomes

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should be achieved, right?

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So I'm logically just telling you what they are.

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One is reduce the number of times

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they have to go out and collect firewood

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because they now have LPG.

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Also, they have quicker access to being able to cook

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with the LPG, they just fire up the smoke

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with the LPG, they just fire up the stove.

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And that means that they probably can prepare

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more frequently nutritious meals

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rather than with firewood.

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Which means you would expect, particularly the children,

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their nutritional status, that is, their weights to go up.

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Also, the reduction in burning firewood

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also reduces smoke inhalation, which is a related illness.

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So you would expect reported illnesses related

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to smoke inhalation from the firewood burning

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would also be going down.

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So those are some expected outcomes from it.

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And in part two, we'll talk about some of the issues

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with the outcome indicators and even the outcomes

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that they've defined based on what I've just told you there

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of what you would expect to achieve as an outcome

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when you bring in this LPG to replace the firewood.

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They have only three outcomes

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in the performance measurement framework

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and a total of nine outcome indicators

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measuring those three outcomes

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as to whether they've been achieved.

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I've looked at all nine outcome indicators.

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Two of them are really good out of the nine.

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The other seven are not good,

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but I'm not going to jump to the conclusion

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that they can't claim the project is achieving its outcomes.

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It's not that severe because it is a product

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you're just bringing in LPG.

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It's not a lot of measurement going on with human beings,

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but there are still some issues that we'll talk about

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on the remaining seven outcome indicators in part two.

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So what I'm gonna do now is I'm gonna send this part one

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along with my summary of the nine outcome indicators

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indicating that only two of them are really properly done.

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And I'm gonna send it to UNDP in New York,

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but I'm also gonna send it to the UNDP office email address

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in Bangladesh, because that's where they're delivering it.

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And also the regional Asia office

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that oversees Bangladesh at UNDP.

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And I also had the opportunity to,

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when I was at Cox's Bazaar,

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work with the NGO, I think I have it right, called SAFE.

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I think they're the local NGO responsible

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for delivering the LPG and those other outputs,

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but I may be wrong there.

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It could be UNDP is doing it directly,

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but often they'll contract out a local partner,

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international development, non-governmental organization

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to deliver the outputs into the camp.

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And we'll see if they agree to show up and or

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give a written response if they don't show up

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to part two of the podcast.

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And I'll hopefully have that done by the end of June,

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part two.

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So stay tuned for part two of this podcast,

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episode eight, United Nations Development Program

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for LPG and Cox's Bazaar.

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And again, if you're interested in receiving

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any of the performance measurement frameworks

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and my critique of those performance measurement frameworks,

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feel free to send me an email at evaluatecanadaaidatgmail.com

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and I'd be happy to send them to you.

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Stay tuned for episode eight, part two.

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Bye for now.

