WEBVTT

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You're listening to a stage talk titled Monitoring

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Violence in Myanmar with Bellingcat's Pooja Chaudhuri.

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Pooja reminded us of the complexity of reporting

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on a region such as Myanmar and gave advice based

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on her own experiences researching Rakhine states.

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You can find links to all the resources mentioned

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on the talk in the podcast description. This

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talk was hosted by me, Charlotte Maher, on Thursday

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the 28th of May, 2026, in the Bellingcat Discord

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server. I think we should get started. Welcome

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to this week's State Talk. Today we're joined

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by my wonderful colleague and talented researcher,

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Pooja Chaudhuri. Pooja specialises in human rights

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and conflict reporting. For the last three years,

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she's been monitoring developments in Myanmar

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via open sources, plotting evidence of the destruction

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of villages and reporting on airstrikes and violence.

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In her latest, published yesterday, she identified

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115 villages in Rakhine State as partially or

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completely destroyed since the February 2021

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military coup that overthrew Myanmar's democratically

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elected government. Today we'll hear more about

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that work, the tools, methods and skills involved

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in ongoing monitoring and why open source research

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can be so valuable in regions facing conflict

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and upheaval like Myanmar. We will have time

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for audience questions. You can place your questions

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in the chat accessible on the right -hand corner

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of your screen. But please remember, especially

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if this is your first stage talk, that this is

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being audio recorded for our podcast series.

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So if you don't want me to mention your username,

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please add that as a note in your question and

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I will absolutely avoid doing that. Okay. Pooja,

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tell us a little bit more about your investigation,

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please. Like Charlie said, I've been looking

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at Myanmar for a few years now. But just to clarify,

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it's a big country. Different regions, different

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states have their own issues. And I am not an

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expert on Myanmar in any way, but I have focused

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the past few months looking at Rakhine. And the

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issues that Rakhine faces would be different

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from other states in Myanmar. because the country

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has a lot of armed ethnic groups trying to fight

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the military and trying to gain control of their

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respective states. The focus of my story was

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looking at what happened in the last five years

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in Rakhine since the 2021 coup. And it's already

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reported a lot that the military does airstrikes.

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and tries to bomb civilian areas as well. But

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what I wanted to see is what happens to villages

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and towns once they are attacked? Is there redevelopment?

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If the armed groups are taking control of a certain

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area, what happens to that area? Are people able

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to return back? And also, do settlements get

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completely erased once they are bombed? lots

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of questions I had while trying to do this research.

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It's very difficult to find answers to most of

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these questions because of the tight grip of

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the military in Myanmar and the tight grip of

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the Arakanami in areas that it controls. To briefly

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tell everyone about what is happening in Rakhine

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is... So the military is fighting this ethnic

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armed group called the Arakan Army. Ethnic armed

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groups are based in different states in the whole

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of the country, and Arakan Army is the one that

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is based in Rakhine. Why I looked specifically

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at Rakhine is for two reasons. One is that Arakan

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Army has been able to take over most of the state

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from the military. Rakhine has 17 townships and

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the Arakanami right now controls 14 of those

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townships. So there are three which are not in

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control of Arakanami yet. And the armed group

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has vowed to take over the state by next year.

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Whether or not that will happen, time will tell.

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But a lot of the fighting currently is concentrated

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in the townships that the Arakanami or AA hasn't

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been able to take over. So because of the progress

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that the AA has made in Rakhine, I wanted to

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look at it. And the second was the civilians

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in Rakhine, mainly the Rohingya, face attacks

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from both sides. So both from the military and

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from the AA. And why that is, is because the

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military does forced recruitment of Rohingya

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to fight on its behalf. And what happens is that

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if an area is attacked by the military, along

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with Rohingya militia, there are retaliation

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attacks from the Arakanami. And then they target

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Rohingya villages and Rohingya towns. So the

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civilians face attacks from both sides. And this

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has also been reported since the military started

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losing a lot of territory to the Arakanami. they

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increased the force conscription of Rohingya.

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And in 2024, which we also reported on this attack

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that happened in a township called Bhutidong.

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And Bhutidong is one of the two townships that

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has the largest Rohingya population of the country.

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And this township was first attacked by the military

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and Rohingya militants and then in retaliation,

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the Arakanami then attack the township. And if

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you see satellite imagery of lots of areas of

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the main town, which shares the name of the township,

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Puthidong, and neighboring villages, you'll see

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that a lot of it just looks burned. So this is

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what I wanted to focus on. I wanted to find out

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how many villages have been destroyed, both by

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the AA and the military, although Because reporting

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is so difficult in Myanmar for a lot of villages,

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you will not be able to tell who did the attack.

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You can make good assumptions based on the kind

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of attacks, because if it's a heavily civilian

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area, the military is more prone to doing attacks.

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The military also has more air power than a Rakan

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army. So there can be informed assumptions about

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who carried on an attack, depending on when it

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took place and what it looks like on satellite

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imagery. But the story does not say for a lot

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of the villages who did the attacks because there

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is no reporting. So how I found areas that have

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had large scale destruction is the methodology.

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It took me a while to figure out the methodology

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because you know, due to lack of reporting, and

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I wasn't sure where to look at. And it's very

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rural, the villages are tiny, like, you know,

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some have like 50 homes, some have 10 homes,

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some have 80 homes, and they're very spread out.

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So it's difficult to know where you should be

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looking at. And there is lack of updated satellite

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imaging. So the sources that I refer to were,

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one was Accolade, which has conflict data, and

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it's very easy to use. I can show how I used

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Acklid. So you can download data from Acklid.

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So when you download the data, it will give you

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a CSV file, which would also have coordinates.

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It will not have coordinates of the exact point

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where an attack took place, but it would have

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coordinates of the area. So if a village was

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attacked, it would have coordinates of the village

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that was attacked. And then you can, if you have,

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if the tag was big enough, you know, you'll be

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able to see the destruction and satellite imagery.

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If not, then there could be video or images of

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that village being attacked and then you can

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do geolocation. So I used Ackler, I used NASA

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firms. If the fire is big enough, then it would

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show up on NASA firms and then you get an area

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of where, you know, fire was detected and then

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you can see if the destruction was also captured,

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if it was not enough to be captured on satellite

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image. The third was looking at just news reports

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and including on social media. There are media

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organizations that just operate out of Facebook

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and just checking what they have been reporting

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on. And of course, the fourth was just lurking

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in planet and I spent hours and hours just like

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looking at different townships and just like

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seeing which one has the most updated satellite

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imagery and then just being sort of like a satellite

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yourself and trying to see what this area looks

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like versus this area looks like. So that's how

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I got the data for the story. And what I found,

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I think the most interesting finding in the story

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was from this township called Mangdao, which

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is next to Butidong. And Mangdao and Butidong

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has the most number of Rohingya population in

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the country. And I saw that there were villages

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that I could see on planet on Mangdao. And I

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could not find the name of those villages, some

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of those villages. on the township map that the

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UN produces. And the UN map is based on data

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from the Myanmar government. So technically those

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maps are from, those are government maps, those

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are official maps. And I saw that some of these

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villages, while I can see that they are marked

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on the planet and they look destroyed, they aren't

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marked on the maps. So I saw that then what is

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happening potentially is that settlements get

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destroyed and then they get officially removed

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from sources. And I spoke to experts about what

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could be the reason behind removing names of

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villages from maps. And the experts told me it

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could be to just erase the identity of the local

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population there. There has been some reporting

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on this when it happened after the 2017 violence

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in Rakhine, the Rohingya genocide. And experts

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then said that it's so that people can't go back

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to their homes. It's not just that the village

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has been completely flattened, but its trace

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has been removed officially. So where do people

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go back to? So I think that was one interesting

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finding and there could be a bigger story there.

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Like I did not spend too much time on finding

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out all the villages that have been removed officially

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from maps, but I did find six or seven of them

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that are no longer from Wangdao that are no longer

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in the latest maps that was released by the UN,

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which is from 2024. Yeah, so that was mainly

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what the focus of the story was. And it also

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speaks about what is currently happening in the

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townships that are not in the control of the

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Arakanami. Data for one of the townships wasn't

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available, but the two townships for which data

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was available is Situwe and Chaupiu. Situwe is

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also the capital. And so the name of the city

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is Sittwe city, which is the capital and it's

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in the township, which is also called Sittwe.

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And so a lot of the fighting is now focused in

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Sittwe. And what we found is that surrounding

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the city, the villages that surround the city,

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they have been cleared and a lot of defense structures

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have been built in place of these villages. and

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the expert that we spoke to said that this is

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so that it becomes difficult for the Arakanami

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to advance into the city. Sittwe also holds thousands

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of people who have taken refuge in the city fleeing

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from other parts of Rakhine. So taking over Sittwe

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would mean whether the Arakanami is able to take

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over or whether the military is able to retain

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control. It doesn't look good for the civilian

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population there because whatever side wins or

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loses, there is going to be loss of life. And

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Situwe is difficult for the Arakanami to take

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over because it's surrounded by water on three

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sides and the Arakanami does not have naval capabilities.

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Same with Chaopiu. It's an island. it's going

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to be difficult and challenging for their economy

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to advance there because of lack of naval capabilities.

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These areas, experts told us, also has jamming

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technology. So our economy, they do have some

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drones, but it's possible that the military would

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jam them. And both Situ Wei and Chaopiao are

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very important because they have foreign investments,

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both India and China have. invested in infrastructure

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projects there. And if the Rakanami is able to

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take over both those regions, it would also give

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them some diplomatic advantage, you know, because

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then this is an arm -glue which will be able

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to negotiate potentially with governments of

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neighboring countries. So lots of important issues

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happening in Rakhine and we'll see what happens

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next year. If the EA is able to take over, it

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would be the first armed group that has taken

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over a capital. When I say it weighs the capital,

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it's the capital of Rakhine. It's the capital

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of the state of the country. Yeah, so that was

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mainly the research and my colleague and co -author,

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Miguel. made a scroll for the story just to explain

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what's happening and show visually how the areas

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look. And even if a certain area has a destruction

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which is large enough, we don't need high -resolution

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satellite image. You can still tell with mid

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-resolution satellite image. Google Earth, in

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this case, was very useful because Google Earth

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had a lot of imagery. The timeline was big enough.

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It was five years. So Google Earth also had a

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lot of imagery that we could rely on. And the

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story also includes images from Google Earth.

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That was quite a long brief for the story. No,

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I appreciate it. It's really useful to hear it

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from your perspective and hear the methodology

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as well and the obstacles that you've faced.

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I've put in the chats, the links that were mentioned,

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including the link to yesterday's article, the

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2024 article that was mentioned, ACLED, NASA

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firms, which you mentioned. And I've also put

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in links to spaces within this server where you

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can talk about some of the things mentioned,

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including the specific munitions and the region.

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So please do check out those spaces if you want

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to continue the conversation here. I wanted to

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start off the question and answer. portion of

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this talk. And again, please feel free to put

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in the chat if you have any questions for Pooja.

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I wanted to ask what makes reporting and verification

00:17:10.069 --> 00:17:13.769
particularly difficult in that region? You wrote

00:17:13.769 --> 00:17:16.710
in the article that evidence is often slow to

00:17:16.710 --> 00:17:23.069
emerge. How does that delay and affect verification

00:17:23.069 --> 00:17:29.740
workflows and public understanding? Yeah, so

00:17:29.740 --> 00:17:33.240
I think accountability becomes difficult because

00:17:33.240 --> 00:17:35.579
there's only so much you can do with open source

00:17:35.579 --> 00:17:38.839
reporting. The Human Rights Watch recently published,

00:17:39.000 --> 00:17:42.819
I think last week published a report on what

00:17:42.819 --> 00:17:46.059
happened in this village in Rakhine, which is

00:17:46.059 --> 00:17:48.680
in Bhutidong. I'm not going to try to pronounce

00:17:48.680 --> 00:17:51.079
the village, just the name of the village. But

00:17:51.079 --> 00:17:56.619
according to Human Rights Watch investigation,

00:17:58.140 --> 00:18:01.019
170 Rohingya men, women and children were killed

00:18:01.019 --> 00:18:05.380
by the Rakanami last year in April, May. I briefly

00:18:05.380 --> 00:18:08.319
spoke about what happened in Bhutanang in April,

00:18:08.319 --> 00:18:13.279
May last year. And this village was also part

00:18:13.279 --> 00:18:16.299
of at least 40 villages that were targeted then.

00:18:17.480 --> 00:18:20.539
And I mean, we knew what had happened. We knew

00:18:20.539 --> 00:18:24.539
that the first attack The township was first

00:18:24.539 --> 00:18:26.740
attacked by the military and Rohingya militants.

00:18:26.960 --> 00:18:29.599
And later on, in retaliation attacks, the Arabian

00:18:29.599 --> 00:18:35.240
army just burned down large parts of the township.

00:18:36.839 --> 00:18:42.599
But there was denial from the Arabian army that

00:18:42.599 --> 00:18:44.720
they did not target civilian areas. They said

00:18:44.720 --> 00:18:49.240
that they targeted military soldiers and they

00:18:49.240 --> 00:18:53.880
targeted Rohingya militants. But it took more

00:18:53.880 --> 00:18:58.000
than a year for this report to come out because

00:18:58.000 --> 00:19:01.059
people who were displaced, the Human Rights Watch

00:19:01.059 --> 00:19:05.420
spoke to them in Bangladesh when they reached

00:19:05.420 --> 00:19:09.759
the shelters. Lots of Rohingya asylum seekers

00:19:09.759 --> 00:19:13.279
are in Bangladesh. So they did ground reporting,

00:19:13.460 --> 00:19:15.420
they spoke to witnesses, and then they were able

00:19:15.420 --> 00:19:18.140
to... There's satellite imagery of the village

00:19:18.140 --> 00:19:22.589
that shows that... shows that it has been attacked.

00:19:24.730 --> 00:19:27.549
But there were no confirmed, you know, witness

00:19:27.549 --> 00:19:32.309
reports. And so it takes a lot of time for accountability,

00:19:32.470 --> 00:19:35.069
some sort of accountability to happen. And that

00:19:35.069 --> 00:19:37.130
is, like I said, so only so much you can do with

00:19:37.130 --> 00:19:43.490
open source reporting. The way a village or a

00:19:43.490 --> 00:19:46.769
town is attacked gives some ideas, idea about

00:19:46.769 --> 00:19:52.480
who is behind the attack. And there is some reporting

00:19:52.480 --> 00:19:56.680
that happens by, you know, tiny media organizations

00:19:56.680 --> 00:20:00.759
that still exist. But a lot of journalists from

00:20:00.759 --> 00:20:04.000
Myanmar are in exile and a lot of them operate

00:20:04.000 --> 00:20:08.079
from Thailand. So most journalists or a lot of

00:20:08.079 --> 00:20:10.859
journalists that are reporting on Rakhine or

00:20:10.859 --> 00:20:14.240
in Myanmar or sorry, on Myanmar, they're doing

00:20:14.240 --> 00:20:19.519
it not from the country. And so reporting just

00:20:19.519 --> 00:20:22.799
takes time. And it's not an area which is covered

00:20:22.799 --> 00:20:27.319
a lot by satellite imagery. So the reports are

00:20:27.319 --> 00:20:30.420
sort of delayed. What is happening right now,

00:20:30.519 --> 00:20:33.579
you may be able to report on it a few months

00:20:33.579 --> 00:20:36.500
from now, once the satellite images are more

00:20:36.500 --> 00:20:42.440
updated. But I think one good way to report on

00:20:42.440 --> 00:20:46.809
it is to, again, look at the overview. of what's

00:20:46.809 --> 00:20:51.390
happening by looking at data from Accolade. Like

00:20:51.390 --> 00:20:55.190
how I would research Myanmar, Accolade would

00:20:55.190 --> 00:20:58.109
do it in the same way. Like refer to news reports,

00:20:58.269 --> 00:21:00.750
refer to social media and try to collect the

00:21:00.750 --> 00:21:04.609
data and give it in a more organized way. There

00:21:04.609 --> 00:21:08.470
aren't links to the reports, but you can look

00:21:08.470 --> 00:21:11.049
them up. They have like description of what happened

00:21:11.049 --> 00:21:12.910
in a certain village. So it will give you an

00:21:12.910 --> 00:21:16.539
idea of what's happening. But yeah, it's a difficult

00:21:16.539 --> 00:21:21.519
region to report on just because it's under -reported

00:21:21.519 --> 00:21:25.400
and it's not covered as much by satellite image.

00:21:26.019 --> 00:21:31.099
But if you want to, say, report on what happened

00:21:31.099 --> 00:21:34.700
to the villages that were destroyed during the

00:21:34.700 --> 00:21:38.799
Rohingya genocide in 2017, Google Earth would

00:21:38.799 --> 00:21:41.319
be good enough for that reporting. You can go

00:21:41.319 --> 00:21:44.019
and look at imagery on Google Earth and try to

00:21:44.019 --> 00:21:46.660
see what happened to those villages. Is there

00:21:46.660 --> 00:21:53.019
redevelopment? Is there barren land? Like I said,

00:21:53.200 --> 00:21:57.559
in Situwe, the military cleared villages to build

00:21:57.559 --> 00:22:01.240
defense installations. Are there defense installations

00:22:01.240 --> 00:22:04.819
in those villages that were destroyed back in

00:22:04.819 --> 00:22:07.700
2017? What do they look like now? Are they still

00:22:07.700 --> 00:22:11.640
on maps? So lots of things that you can do, going

00:22:11.640 --> 00:22:14.380
back in time and seeing what is the condition

00:22:14.380 --> 00:22:17.000
right now. So I think one way to report on it

00:22:17.000 --> 00:22:20.339
is just it requires a bit of, I think, patience.

00:22:20.500 --> 00:22:24.119
It's because you don't have as much as you would

00:22:24.119 --> 00:22:27.039
want in terms of satellite image. But there are

00:22:27.039 --> 00:22:30.059
other avenues. And sometimes a disruption is

00:22:30.059 --> 00:22:32.960
large enough to. look at mid resolution or low

00:22:32.960 --> 00:22:35.119
resolution, which is more updated satellite image

00:22:35.119 --> 00:22:38.599
than high resolution. I guess the difficulty

00:22:38.599 --> 00:22:41.279
of reporting on this region really highlights

00:22:41.279 --> 00:22:44.500
why it's important to report on this region because

00:22:44.500 --> 00:22:49.519
there's probably less eyes and less people attempting

00:22:49.519 --> 00:22:53.119
to do it. And that doesn't mean that these areas

00:22:53.119 --> 00:22:57.730
don't deserve that kind of investigation. In

00:22:57.730 --> 00:23:00.190
regards to the data that you've been talking

00:23:00.190 --> 00:23:02.890
about, we had a question earlier about removal

00:23:02.890 --> 00:23:06.690
of data. You mentioned that one of the townships

00:23:06.690 --> 00:23:11.569
you didn't have data for, was that data removed

00:23:11.569 --> 00:23:14.049
and what kinds of evidence tend to disappear

00:23:14.049 --> 00:23:18.509
fastest from your experience? What should researchers

00:23:18.509 --> 00:23:23.170
prioritize preserving when researching Rakhine

00:23:23.170 --> 00:23:27.819
State and in other areas in Myanmar? The data

00:23:27.819 --> 00:23:31.079
for the township that was not available, it's

00:23:31.079 --> 00:23:35.019
called, the approximate pronunciation is Manong.

00:23:35.460 --> 00:23:38.079
It's a very small island and I don't think it

00:23:38.079 --> 00:23:41.880
has a lot of villages, very few. So because it's

00:23:41.880 --> 00:23:43.880
an island, it's not covered that much by satellite

00:23:43.880 --> 00:23:47.259
image. There's less reporting. It's kind of,

00:23:47.259 --> 00:23:51.309
it's sort of isolated. And because of how small

00:23:51.309 --> 00:23:53.769
it is, I think that's probably why the data is

00:23:53.769 --> 00:23:55.890
not available. When I say data not available,

00:23:55.950 --> 00:23:58.170
I mean, actually didn't have data for that township.

00:23:58.789 --> 00:24:01.190
It's possible, multiple reasons, maybe nothing

00:24:01.190 --> 00:24:02.890
actually happened there. That's why the data

00:24:02.890 --> 00:24:07.950
is not there. Or, you know, like, it's just not

00:24:07.950 --> 00:24:11.329
there because it's kind of isolated. I don't

00:24:11.329 --> 00:24:15.710
think there was any possible removal of data

00:24:15.710 --> 00:24:18.079
in that township. It's just... It's just not

00:24:18.079 --> 00:24:22.980
there. It's very small. Your second question

00:24:22.980 --> 00:24:28.099
about what should be preserved? I think one thing

00:24:28.099 --> 00:24:30.220
that I noticed when I was doing this research

00:24:30.220 --> 00:24:35.460
is I was looking at the township maps that are

00:24:35.460 --> 00:24:38.940
released by the UN and I was looking at the 2024

00:24:38.940 --> 00:24:45.920
maps. And I did want to do a comparison between

00:24:45.920 --> 00:24:50.859
how the map maps looked whenever they released

00:24:50.859 --> 00:24:53.599
the previous map. Probably, I think they released

00:24:53.599 --> 00:24:58.240
it in 2021. But I couldn't find those maps. So

00:24:58.240 --> 00:25:00.819
right now, the 2024 maps are there. It would

00:25:00.819 --> 00:25:04.579
be a good idea to archive them, save them locally,

00:25:04.819 --> 00:25:07.359
so that when the new maps are released, you can

00:25:07.359 --> 00:25:10.920
then refer to the new map and see what is the

00:25:10.920 --> 00:25:14.119
change in those two maps. And then that might

00:25:14.119 --> 00:25:19.099
be given an idea. of what has been, the villages

00:25:19.099 --> 00:25:21.980
that have been removed. And then you can see

00:25:21.980 --> 00:25:24.599
that, okay, what happened here? Why are these

00:25:24.599 --> 00:25:28.680
villages removed? And it would be a fairly simple

00:25:28.680 --> 00:25:30.539
investigation, right? Like if you have names

00:25:30.539 --> 00:25:34.000
of all the villages from 2024, and then you have

00:25:34.000 --> 00:25:35.900
names of all the villages from 2021, you can

00:25:35.900 --> 00:25:38.319
just compare and see what names do not appear.

00:25:38.460 --> 00:25:41.779
And then you can go and check what happened to

00:25:41.779 --> 00:25:44.410
those villages. So I think... That is something,

00:25:44.470 --> 00:25:47.190
there are some previous maps that are available,

00:25:47.450 --> 00:25:49.690
you know, like research gate or like some other

00:25:49.690 --> 00:25:52.049
websites like that, but it's not, you can't search

00:25:52.049 --> 00:25:56.789
them on what is the name of the website. It's

00:25:56.789 --> 00:26:02.009
called the MIMO, the Myanmar information management

00:26:02.009 --> 00:26:05.190
unit. I mean, I can send the link to you. This

00:26:05.190 --> 00:26:09.230
is where you can look at all the maps, township

00:26:09.230 --> 00:26:13.849
maps, but they don't have. it's like a PDF of

00:26:13.849 --> 00:26:20.170
a map. So you still have to like see, like open

00:26:20.170 --> 00:26:22.509
up Google Earth or something, or like plan it

00:26:22.509 --> 00:26:26.930
and try to see where you're looking at. And if

00:26:26.930 --> 00:26:29.630
you have the tech skill of converting, which

00:26:29.630 --> 00:26:34.089
Miguel did for my story, is if you can convert

00:26:34.089 --> 00:26:38.150
the PDF into some sort of GeoJSON or something,

00:26:38.170 --> 00:26:43.150
and then try to like open it up on QGIS or some

00:26:43.150 --> 00:26:48.990
other software that lets you open GeoJSON files,

00:26:49.690 --> 00:26:53.630
then you could potentially use the PDF maps to

00:26:53.630 --> 00:26:58.210
just get the coordinates. How I was doing it

00:26:58.210 --> 00:27:01.289
was very, very time consuming. I was like, okay,

00:27:01.490 --> 00:27:03.589
so the main town is here and then there is a

00:27:03.589 --> 00:27:05.690
village here. And I was like tracking where the

00:27:05.690 --> 00:27:07.910
river is flowing and then seeing, okay, it's

00:27:07.910 --> 00:27:11.630
near this... you know, this village name appears

00:27:11.630 --> 00:27:13.990
next to this river. So I was like going on Google

00:27:13.990 --> 00:27:15.829
Earth and trying to find the river. And it was

00:27:15.829 --> 00:27:18.650
very time consuming, but you could make it easier

00:27:18.650 --> 00:27:21.269
for yourself if you have some tech skills. Um,

00:27:22.190 --> 00:27:25.569
and, uh, yeah, but I guess do archive the maps

00:27:25.569 --> 00:27:28.029
and save them locally if you're interested in

00:27:28.029 --> 00:27:32.369
Myanmar. Get archiving folks. Uh, thank you for

00:27:32.369 --> 00:27:36.190
that tip. Really important to highlight. you

00:27:36.190 --> 00:27:38.910
know, where the gaps in data are and what could

00:27:38.910 --> 00:27:41.789
possibly be important that you might not think

00:27:41.789 --> 00:27:45.190
about immediately. Your piece can combine satellite

00:27:45.190 --> 00:27:48.430
imagery, firms, fire data, accurate data, social

00:27:48.430 --> 00:27:51.130
media, local reporting, as you said. How do you

00:27:51.130 --> 00:27:54.730
decide when there's enough cooperation to confidently

00:27:54.730 --> 00:27:58.930
identify a village as completely destroyed? Like,

00:27:59.130 --> 00:28:04.799
how do you make that editorial call that the

00:28:04.799 --> 00:28:07.559
villages that you're reporting on are completely

00:28:07.559 --> 00:28:10.539
wiped off the map, other than their erasure from

00:28:10.539 --> 00:28:13.599
these government maps. How do you visually tell

00:28:13.599 --> 00:28:18.000
when something is, how do you visually and confidently

00:28:18.000 --> 00:28:21.279
say that these villages have been impacted that

00:28:21.279 --> 00:28:26.400
badly? Yeah, there's no confident way to say

00:28:26.400 --> 00:28:28.559
unless something has been officially removed

00:28:28.559 --> 00:28:34.640
because that it's possible that a village was

00:28:34.640 --> 00:28:39.059
destroyed and then rebuilt later. Unless you

00:28:39.059 --> 00:28:42.380
have the latest available satellite image, you

00:28:42.380 --> 00:28:46.079
don't exactly know what happened there. For a

00:28:46.079 --> 00:28:49.920
lot of the villages, we did have latest satellite

00:28:49.920 --> 00:28:52.140
image, so we were able to tell that currently

00:28:52.140 --> 00:28:55.180
these villages are destroyed. But I think I've

00:28:55.180 --> 00:28:57.809
written in the story as well that At least in

00:28:57.809 --> 00:29:01.410
five villages, we saw that there was signs of

00:29:01.410 --> 00:29:04.369
reconstruction. It's difficult to tell whether

00:29:04.369 --> 00:29:07.690
the reconstruction was for civilian purposes

00:29:07.690 --> 00:29:10.289
or otherwise. They didn't look like defense structures.

00:29:10.329 --> 00:29:16.569
They did look like buildings. But again, it's

00:29:16.569 --> 00:29:19.609
tough. It's tough to exactly say what happened

00:29:19.609 --> 00:29:24.130
somewhere, unless you have latest satellite image.

00:29:24.250 --> 00:29:28.059
And how do you detect something? that looks destroyed.

00:29:29.420 --> 00:29:32.960
I can share my screen. Let me share my screen.

00:29:35.000 --> 00:29:37.339
While you're getting that up, perhaps also while

00:29:37.339 --> 00:29:39.259
you're sharing the screen, it would be really

00:29:39.259 --> 00:29:41.400
interesting to understand, maybe for people who

00:29:41.400 --> 00:29:47.880
aren't used to highlighting when military fortifications

00:29:47.880 --> 00:29:51.019
have appeared in Saas -Wa -Imji, what indicators

00:29:51.019 --> 00:29:53.160
in Saas -Wa -Imji tell you that a civilian settlement

00:29:53.160 --> 00:29:55.680
has become a military position as well? that

00:29:55.680 --> 00:29:57.680
might be something interesting to look at while

00:29:57.680 --> 00:29:59.259
you're, while you're sharing your screen, if

00:29:59.259 --> 00:30:01.799
that's possible. Yeah. Let me, let me talk about

00:30:01.799 --> 00:30:03.640
the military. That's a good question. Like if

00:30:03.640 --> 00:30:09.299
you Google like say trenches from trenches satellite,

00:30:09.700 --> 00:30:13.759
because Myanmar is not unique in this. A lot

00:30:13.759 --> 00:30:17.779
of areas have military installations and structures

00:30:17.779 --> 00:30:21.259
built, right? So if you just like familiarize

00:30:21.259 --> 00:30:25.140
yourself with like how military installations

00:30:25.140 --> 00:30:27.400
would look like then you when you look at a satellite

00:30:27.400 --> 00:30:29.759
image you're like okay you know that that is

00:30:29.759 --> 00:30:32.180
probably what I'm looking at like for instance

00:30:32.180 --> 00:30:36.579
like this those are like sort of like trenches

00:30:36.579 --> 00:30:39.539
and this is what it would look like on satellite

00:30:39.539 --> 00:30:47.380
image like zig zigzag lines or you know like

00:30:47.380 --> 00:30:52.519
something like this has it too like something

00:30:52.519 --> 00:30:57.119
which look has like some sort of a pattern and

00:30:57.119 --> 00:30:59.859
When you're looking at like I think all of us

00:30:59.859 --> 00:31:04.140
have looked at it looked at you know how a place

00:31:04.140 --> 00:31:08.039
looks which has like some sort of a Human settlement

00:31:08.039 --> 00:31:10.559
right there would be houses there would be buildings

00:31:10.559 --> 00:31:14.619
When that is replete by what you know odd patterns

00:31:14.619 --> 00:31:16.700
you know that something happened there were clearance

00:31:16.700 --> 00:31:18.660
operations or like something has happened there,

00:31:18.720 --> 00:31:22.640
but the easiest like way to familiarize yourself

00:31:22.640 --> 00:31:25.000
is just like Google and see how other people

00:31:25.000 --> 00:31:27.660
have reported on it. I didn't know what trenches

00:31:27.660 --> 00:31:31.460
looked like. And I wasn't sure what I was looking

00:31:31.460 --> 00:31:34.240
at. So this is what I did. And I saw that, OK,

00:31:35.019 --> 00:31:37.180
if there are structures like that, these are

00:31:37.180 --> 00:31:40.420
probably like military installations. And then

00:31:40.420 --> 00:31:42.599
you will also be able to see bunkers and things

00:31:42.599 --> 00:31:47.039
like that. So in this story, I'm just going to...

00:31:50.960 --> 00:31:57.720
So this is Sitwe. This entire region is Sitwe,

00:31:57.900 --> 00:32:00.140
the township. And this is Sitwe city, which is

00:32:00.140 --> 00:32:04.420
the capital of Rakhine. And lots of villages

00:32:04.420 --> 00:32:08.460
around the city, we saw that there were some

00:32:08.460 --> 00:32:10.920
sort of clearance operations and they were replaced

00:32:10.920 --> 00:32:16.849
by some of the villages were replaced by defense

00:32:16.849 --> 00:32:20.329
installations, like this one. This village, this

00:32:20.329 --> 00:32:24.849
is what it appeared intact in March 2024 Google

00:32:24.849 --> 00:32:29.289
Earth image. And then later on, we saw that it

00:32:29.289 --> 00:32:34.109
was destroyed. Now, another thing, when you're

00:32:34.109 --> 00:32:38.210
looking at satellite image and you can see buildings

00:32:38.210 --> 00:32:41.910
have been destroyed, you can sort of tell the

00:32:41.910 --> 00:32:45.500
method used to destroy. This does not look like

00:32:45.500 --> 00:32:49.400
some sort of aerial 500 pound bomb dropped because

00:32:49.400 --> 00:32:51.019
then the vegetation would also be destroyed.

00:32:51.180 --> 00:32:55.700
It would look more burnt. Here, you can see that

00:32:55.700 --> 00:33:00.420
specifically the structures itself were destroyed.

00:33:00.599 --> 00:33:03.640
These buildings have been destroyed. It almost

00:33:03.640 --> 00:33:07.460
looks like they were destroyed one by one. You

00:33:07.460 --> 00:33:09.980
can see that the nearby vegetation does not look

00:33:09.980 --> 00:33:13.039
impacted. So you can tell that, okay, maybe this

00:33:13.039 --> 00:33:15.460
was like targeted some sort of clearance operation.

00:33:16.480 --> 00:33:19.460
So this is from 2025 Google Earth image. And

00:33:19.460 --> 00:33:24.059
if you notice here on the side here, there is

00:33:24.059 --> 00:33:27.299
nothing right now in 2024. And when I'm scrolling

00:33:27.299 --> 00:33:31.920
to 2025, there is some sort of those exact lines

00:33:31.920 --> 00:33:34.619
have appeared. So next to the village, there

00:33:34.619 --> 00:33:38.279
has been some military installation. And this

00:33:38.279 --> 00:33:43.069
is again from Google Earth, we saw trenches and

00:33:43.069 --> 00:33:45.730
outposts being built. So something like this,

00:33:46.630 --> 00:33:50.069
if you look at satellite image, this does not

00:33:50.069 --> 00:33:54.650
look like a civilian development, development

00:33:54.650 --> 00:33:57.769
for civil populations. So anything that looks

00:33:57.769 --> 00:34:00.390
odd or stands out, looks kind of barren, where

00:34:00.390 --> 00:34:02.509
there's some structures there, that could be

00:34:02.509 --> 00:34:05.369
a hint that there has been some defense installations

00:34:05.369 --> 00:34:09.309
there. And some of this you can also tell by

00:34:09.309 --> 00:34:11.909
looking at low resolution satellite image. Again,

00:34:11.929 --> 00:34:14.789
if it's large enough. This is low resolution

00:34:14.789 --> 00:34:18.130
satellite image from planet. And you can see

00:34:18.130 --> 00:34:21.869
that this village, you can just see vegetation.

00:34:22.789 --> 00:34:25.150
If you were able to see buildings, you would

00:34:25.150 --> 00:34:27.829
see like tiny white spots or something like that.

00:34:28.809 --> 00:34:32.610
But nothing is visible in this village. So it's

00:34:32.610 --> 00:34:36.500
a hint that it's destroyed. And next to them,

00:34:36.500 --> 00:34:40.579
you can see some sort of lines built around those

00:34:40.579 --> 00:34:44.320
villages. And that is also a hint that, okay,

00:34:44.639 --> 00:34:46.800
there's some structures that has been built there.

00:34:47.539 --> 00:34:50.199
So it's possible even with low resolution satellite

00:34:50.199 --> 00:34:53.300
image to be able to tell sometimes that there

00:34:53.300 --> 00:34:58.219
has been some construction that the military

00:34:58.219 --> 00:35:01.420
has done. This is another village. And here the

00:35:01.420 --> 00:35:03.739
village is almost replaced by defense installations.

00:35:03.739 --> 00:35:08.670
You can see those zigzag lines on the side of

00:35:08.670 --> 00:35:12.369
the villages. Instead of next to the village,

00:35:12.389 --> 00:35:14.389
you can almost see that they are on top of the

00:35:14.389 --> 00:35:20.570
village. So this is low resolution image, satellite

00:35:20.570 --> 00:35:23.289
image, which compares two villages. This one,

00:35:23.329 --> 00:35:27.590
which had the zigzag lines, and this one, which

00:35:27.590 --> 00:35:30.349
does not. So you can also compare, even with

00:35:30.349 --> 00:35:34.250
low resolution image, which villages have had

00:35:34.929 --> 00:35:37.389
military development versus which hasn't had.

00:35:37.730 --> 00:35:39.889
So even if you don't have access to high resolution

00:35:39.889 --> 00:35:43.630
image, you can get some hint even with low resolution

00:35:43.630 --> 00:35:46.190
image. Like this looks really different from

00:35:46.190 --> 00:35:49.789
this village. This almost looks like barren land

00:35:49.789 --> 00:35:53.329
with some greenery in it. But this one, you can

00:35:53.329 --> 00:35:55.469
tell there are lines there. So it's possible

00:35:55.469 --> 00:35:58.730
that there has been some development there. So

00:35:58.730 --> 00:36:05.050
that is one way to detect what has happened after

00:36:05.050 --> 00:36:07.949
a clearance operation happens, after human settlements

00:36:07.949 --> 00:36:10.829
or civilian areas have been cleared or removed

00:36:10.829 --> 00:36:13.690
or destroyed. This is another village where trenches

00:36:13.690 --> 00:36:18.550
you can see are like all over the circumference

00:36:18.550 --> 00:36:23.690
of the village. Okay. Hope that was helpful.

00:36:25.489 --> 00:36:29.050
Really clear. And I just wanted to shout out

00:36:29.050 --> 00:36:32.969
Miguel again, because even as a presentation

00:36:32.969 --> 00:36:35.989
tool, that scrolly telly is super useful. And

00:36:35.989 --> 00:36:40.429
if you're listening back on the podcast, everything

00:36:40.429 --> 00:36:45.329
that Pooja just showed in this talk can be seen

00:36:45.329 --> 00:36:48.929
and scrolled through by yourself on the article

00:36:48.929 --> 00:36:52.110
that will be linked in the description. So do

00:36:52.110 --> 00:36:54.610
check out there for some of those examples of

00:36:54.610 --> 00:36:56.989
fortifications that she was just talking about.

00:36:57.420 --> 00:37:01.960
We've been very careful in the article not to

00:37:01.960 --> 00:37:07.760
attribute blame, but are there methods and open

00:37:07.760 --> 00:37:13.280
source ways of identifying which potential armed

00:37:13.280 --> 00:37:16.260
group could be responsible for some of these

00:37:16.260 --> 00:37:21.300
attacks? Obviously, in terms of, we're not suggesting

00:37:21.300 --> 00:37:26.039
you name them right now, but As there's multiple

00:37:26.039 --> 00:37:28.920
armed actors operating in the same area, how

00:37:28.920 --> 00:37:33.679
could you possibly identify who's at play in

00:37:33.679 --> 00:37:38.579
these particular regions or states? Right. So

00:37:38.579 --> 00:37:43.099
which armed group is going to be difficult? I

00:37:43.099 --> 00:37:47.960
haven't looked at the whole country. If you're

00:37:47.960 --> 00:37:54.619
looking at Myanmar, it's It's tough to report

00:37:54.619 --> 00:37:58.820
on the entire region because there are so many

00:37:58.820 --> 00:38:03.000
ethnic groups fighting the military. So I have

00:38:03.000 --> 00:38:06.960
been focused on Rakhine. I would not be able

00:38:06.960 --> 00:38:09.679
to talk about the rest of the country. If there

00:38:09.679 --> 00:38:15.659
are large patterns of villages destroyed or the

00:38:15.659 --> 00:38:18.139
military also destroys religious establishments

00:38:18.139 --> 00:38:20.860
like... There is a state called Chin State, which

00:38:20.860 --> 00:38:23.659
has a lot of churches, and the military has been

00:38:23.659 --> 00:38:27.780
destroying churches as well. So if it's a broad

00:38:27.780 --> 00:38:33.019
overview story like that, sure, there are some

00:38:33.019 --> 00:38:36.219
hints that which group might have attacked a

00:38:36.219 --> 00:38:40.260
certain area. You can check if the ethnic armed

00:38:40.260 --> 00:38:42.519
group that you're looking at, whether or not

00:38:42.519 --> 00:38:48.199
it has air power. If an area looks like it has

00:38:48.199 --> 00:38:52.119
been destroyed by a bomb or something, if you

00:38:52.119 --> 00:38:55.059
can see like a crater or something, you can tell

00:38:55.059 --> 00:38:57.519
that, okay, this armed group does not have air

00:38:57.519 --> 00:39:01.179
power, so potentially the military did this attack.

00:39:01.699 --> 00:39:06.400
So that's one way of going about it. And armed

00:39:06.400 --> 00:39:10.659
groups generally, like this is again... This

00:39:10.659 --> 00:39:13.239
is not always true. We generally don't attack

00:39:13.239 --> 00:39:17.860
civilian areas, at least in Rakhine. Their fight

00:39:17.860 --> 00:39:22.880
is with the military. So if a military outpost

00:39:22.880 --> 00:39:24.840
has been attacked, they attack police stations

00:39:24.840 --> 00:39:27.559
as well. You know that the attack was by the

00:39:27.559 --> 00:39:30.420
armed group. Now there are exceptions to this,

00:39:30.440 --> 00:39:32.860
of course, because like I said, the Rohingya

00:39:32.860 --> 00:39:36.000
population in Rakhine has been attacked both

00:39:36.000 --> 00:39:39.519
by the military and by armed groups. The type

00:39:39.519 --> 00:39:44.119
of attack is a good way to tell what has happened.

00:39:45.300 --> 00:39:48.860
You can check if a particular township currently

00:39:48.860 --> 00:39:52.440
is controlled by the military or is controlled

00:39:52.440 --> 00:39:56.159
by the armed group, then you can tell who did

00:39:56.159 --> 00:40:00.300
the attack. Because an expert also told us that

00:40:00.300 --> 00:40:03.599
the military attacks villages or towns that it

00:40:03.599 --> 00:40:09.769
has lost. leave an ungovernable region for the

00:40:09.769 --> 00:40:12.010
armed group. You know, it's sort of like you

00:40:12.010 --> 00:40:14.489
want to take this land from us, go ahead and

00:40:14.489 --> 00:40:16.329
do that. You are not going to be able to govern

00:40:16.329 --> 00:40:18.349
it because there's nothing left. It's bad enough

00:40:18.349 --> 00:40:20.889
and there is no people left. So what are you

00:40:20.889 --> 00:40:25.389
going to govern? So those are some hints into,

00:40:25.389 --> 00:40:29.710
you know, telling what happened in a region or

00:40:29.710 --> 00:40:32.809
in a specific area. But due to lack of reporting,

00:40:33.260 --> 00:40:36.599
You cannot always conclusively tell what happened,

00:40:36.719 --> 00:40:38.559
but that doesn't mean there's no reporting coming

00:40:38.559 --> 00:40:40.900
out of Myanmar. There are smaller organizations

00:40:40.900 --> 00:40:44.019
that are doing ground reporting. Witnesses, when

00:40:44.019 --> 00:40:46.760
they, you know, human rights groups, when they

00:40:46.760 --> 00:40:50.760
talk to them, you can tell what exactly happened.

00:40:51.960 --> 00:40:54.960
Large scale destruction most likely would be

00:40:54.960 --> 00:40:58.079
military of, you know, civilian areas. So those

00:40:58.079 --> 00:41:00.440
are some things that give a hint about who may

00:41:00.440 --> 00:41:04.349
have carried an attack. So it's really about

00:41:04.349 --> 00:41:08.690
scale and also weaponry used, which is really,

00:41:08.690 --> 00:41:12.329
really useful to note. I've also linked in the

00:41:12.329 --> 00:41:16.190
chat your other report from last year on this

00:41:16.190 --> 00:41:20.909
area following the earthquake ceasefire. So you

00:41:20.909 --> 00:41:24.449
can have a read of that as well. We've got about

00:41:24.449 --> 00:41:27.710
15 minutes left for questions, so please pop

00:41:27.710 --> 00:41:30.829
them in the chat if you have any. I wanted to

00:41:30.829 --> 00:41:34.159
quickly ask... Because this is a longitudinal

00:41:34.159 --> 00:41:37.300
analysis, you've done it over a five year period.

00:41:38.280 --> 00:41:42.440
Did you spot any significant patterns or perhaps

00:41:42.440 --> 00:41:49.539
escalation within the data sets? Was there more

00:41:49.539 --> 00:41:54.079
reported violence or more reported destruction

00:41:54.079 --> 00:41:57.880
over a certain year period in Rakhine State?

00:41:58.880 --> 00:42:04.400
Has it been kind of a steady process in all of

00:42:04.400 --> 00:42:10.719
these particular township? That's a good question.

00:42:11.340 --> 00:42:17.079
And there has been pattern in the violence because

00:42:17.079 --> 00:42:22.159
in late 2023 is when armed groups sort of restarted

00:42:22.159 --> 00:42:24.579
their offensive against the military. So you

00:42:24.579 --> 00:42:29.150
will see a spike. I can even share my, because

00:42:29.150 --> 00:42:30.769
I've been talking about and giving a shout out

00:42:30.769 --> 00:42:37.130
to Akhlet so much. And I think I should talk

00:42:37.130 --> 00:42:41.449
about how I used Akhlet. So there is also a chart

00:42:41.449 --> 00:42:48.349
in my story here, which shows how this is just

00:42:48.349 --> 00:42:50.909
the military's air and drone strikes in Rakhine.

00:42:52.030 --> 00:42:55.269
I've only done two years, but I looked at I think

00:42:55.269 --> 00:43:04.289
from 2022 to 2025 or maybe like April 2026. But

00:43:04.289 --> 00:43:07.170
you can see a clear pattern between 2024 and

00:43:07.170 --> 00:43:12.369
2025. So late 2023 is when the offensive by armed

00:43:12.369 --> 00:43:15.769
groups against the military increased. So when

00:43:15.769 --> 00:43:17.730
any offensive increases against the military,

00:43:17.869 --> 00:43:20.190
the military also increases their attacks. So

00:43:20.190 --> 00:43:22.309
it will do more airstrikes and drone strikes.

00:43:22.349 --> 00:43:26.289
It will target more civilian areas. One of the

00:43:26.289 --> 00:43:29.150
experts also told us that it is the way of the

00:43:29.150 --> 00:43:32.510
military to tell the local population that if

00:43:32.510 --> 00:43:35.889
you support these armed groups, you are going

00:43:35.889 --> 00:43:38.989
to get attacked. Like armed groups sometimes

00:43:38.989 --> 00:43:41.789
can take shelters, you know, villages can provide

00:43:41.789 --> 00:43:45.409
you resources and things like that. So the idea

00:43:45.409 --> 00:43:48.969
is to destroy civilian areas so that the armed

00:43:48.969 --> 00:43:51.630
groups don't get shelter, don't get resources.

00:43:51.969 --> 00:43:53.730
So that's why the military attacked civilian

00:43:53.730 --> 00:43:58.909
areas. Now, if you see in 2024, in all of these

00:43:58.909 --> 00:44:05.809
areas, compared to 2025, there were a lot more.

00:44:06.130 --> 00:44:08.829
And the attacks then fell. These are military

00:44:08.829 --> 00:44:12.590
attacks. In all of these townships in 2025, they

00:44:12.590 --> 00:44:17.079
decreased. In almost all the townships, they

00:44:17.079 --> 00:44:19.760
decrease except one, this one where it's remained

00:44:19.760 --> 00:44:23.579
the same, barring two townships, which is Chaopiu

00:44:23.579 --> 00:44:27.860
and Sittwe, where the attacks increased in 2025.

00:44:28.699 --> 00:44:31.900
Everywhere else, they decreased in 2025. Now,

00:44:31.900 --> 00:44:35.820
why that has happened is because all of these

00:44:35.820 --> 00:44:37.940
other townships were already captured by the

00:44:37.940 --> 00:44:42.610
Rakanami. 2025. So the military has now shifted

00:44:42.610 --> 00:44:46.190
its focus to Chaopu and Sitwe. So now it's mainly

00:44:46.190 --> 00:44:49.190
attacking those two regions and so many attacks

00:44:49.190 --> 00:44:52.710
in Chaopu. Again, like if you read about it,

00:44:52.750 --> 00:44:58.230
Like I said, Chaopu has a lot of infrastructural

00:44:58.230 --> 00:45:01.449
projects. China has invested heavily in Chaopu

00:45:01.449 --> 00:45:04.789
and it has an oil and gas pipeline, which provides

00:45:04.789 --> 00:45:08.030
an alternate route to China to directly transport

00:45:08.030 --> 00:45:10.789
oil from Myanmar to China through the pipeline.

00:45:11.030 --> 00:45:13.389
So it's super important for China. China has

00:45:13.389 --> 00:45:18.130
also sent some of its soldiers to protect its

00:45:18.130 --> 00:45:22.829
infrastructure there. There has been a lot of

00:45:22.829 --> 00:45:26.349
attacks in Xiaopu, just because of its strategic

00:45:26.349 --> 00:45:30.670
importance. Sittwe as well, not a heavy increase,

00:45:30.710 --> 00:45:33.289
but at least according to ACLIN data, there has

00:45:33.289 --> 00:45:38.090
been an increase because, again, it's the capital.

00:45:38.449 --> 00:45:40.710
A lot of the military is trying to protect the

00:45:40.710 --> 00:45:44.849
capital. An army would get a lot of power if

00:45:44.849 --> 00:45:50.380
it controls the state capital. Charlie, can you

00:45:50.380 --> 00:45:56.360
see this? Can you see I'm sharing? Yeah, so this

00:45:56.360 --> 00:46:00.719
is like an actually data. If you have even basic

00:46:00.719 --> 00:46:05.280
Python, it's very easy to analyze because the

00:46:05.280 --> 00:46:11.099
data is very formatted. You don't have to do

00:46:11.099 --> 00:46:15.559
a lot of cleaning with the data. Or you can also,

00:46:15.579 --> 00:46:18.599
you know. wipe code and like look at chat GPT

00:46:18.599 --> 00:46:21.380
and it might help you with the coding. And this

00:46:21.380 --> 00:46:28.260
is the complete data for all those years. I only

00:46:28.260 --> 00:46:32.559
did 2024 and 2025, but if you see from 2022 to

00:46:32.559 --> 00:46:36.239
2026, but 2026 of course is not complete data.

00:46:36.960 --> 00:46:39.860
You can see the pattern. You can see that it

00:46:39.860 --> 00:46:42.579
really increased in 2024 and then it dropped

00:46:42.579 --> 00:46:47.179
in 2025. And right now in 2026, it's not that

00:46:47.179 --> 00:46:49.239
much, because again, you only had three months

00:46:49.239 --> 00:46:52.440
of data. But even in 2026, you can then go and

00:46:52.440 --> 00:46:55.500
see where the attacks are concentrated. So I

00:46:55.500 --> 00:47:02.079
also did like, this is year -wise townships,

00:47:02.079 --> 00:47:04.659
what's happening in the townships, like how many

00:47:04.659 --> 00:47:09.960
attacks in particular townships. So data from

00:47:09.960 --> 00:47:12.559
places like Accolade can give you a good idea,

00:47:12.719 --> 00:47:14.539
even though of course new data is going to be

00:47:14.539 --> 00:47:18.210
exhaustive. It can give you a good idea about

00:47:18.210 --> 00:47:21.610
where fighting is concentrated, what areas, you

00:47:21.610 --> 00:47:24.010
know, I should be looking at. Why is there an

00:47:24.010 --> 00:47:28.909
uptick in violence in a particular year? And

00:47:28.909 --> 00:47:31.010
this is date -wise. So if you want, you can go

00:47:31.010 --> 00:47:33.289
even more granular. You can do like month -wise.

00:47:33.849 --> 00:47:36.070
Why in a certain month, the military attacked

00:47:36.070 --> 00:47:40.030
a certain region more? Was there uptick in daily

00:47:40.030 --> 00:47:43.039
attacks? You know, you can do... do a lot with

00:47:43.039 --> 00:47:47.059
it. And then you can look at, like I said, it

00:47:47.059 --> 00:47:49.079
has coordinates, it has village coordinates.

00:47:49.699 --> 00:47:52.059
So once you know that, okay, this certain village,

00:47:52.739 --> 00:47:56.019
there's reporting that it was attacked, maybe

00:47:56.019 --> 00:47:57.940
there's a lot of, maybe it was attacked, which

00:47:57.940 --> 00:47:59.860
villages were attacked multiple times, you know,

00:47:59.960 --> 00:48:03.440
through the years, maybe the same villages being

00:48:03.440 --> 00:48:06.719
attacked. So you can... then say that, okay,

00:48:06.840 --> 00:48:09.400
this village was attacked like five times since

00:48:09.400 --> 00:48:12.219
2022. So there's lots that you can do with it.

00:48:12.300 --> 00:48:17.159
And I also relied a lot on it just to get the

00:48:17.159 --> 00:48:19.539
research started because I didn't know, okay,

00:48:19.539 --> 00:48:22.619
where do I start? It's a huge region. How do

00:48:22.619 --> 00:48:25.500
I get all of these villages that have been partially

00:48:25.500 --> 00:48:30.420
or completely destroyed? So yeah, I would say

00:48:30.420 --> 00:48:33.909
for anyone trying to start, research in a new

00:48:33.909 --> 00:48:36.650
territory, I think Accolade is a good place to

00:48:36.650 --> 00:48:39.130
start because it gives you a good overview of

00:48:39.130 --> 00:48:43.409
what is happening. We've got a few questions

00:48:43.409 --> 00:48:45.949
in and we're running out of time, so I wanted

00:48:45.949 --> 00:48:47.829
to quickly go through them. You mentioned just

00:48:47.829 --> 00:48:51.070
then that China has investments in some of the

00:48:51.070 --> 00:48:54.289
townships. We had a question from Alt Grade Tab

00:48:54.289 --> 00:48:57.179
asking, Is there any way of knowing if Chinese

00:48:57.179 --> 00:49:00.079
resources have been used in these attacks? I

00:49:00.079 --> 00:49:03.920
know you haven't particularly covered the munitions

00:49:03.920 --> 00:49:07.920
found, for example, at the scenes, munition remnants

00:49:07.920 --> 00:49:09.800
found at the scene of these attacks, but is there

00:49:09.800 --> 00:49:13.900
any indication that there's foreign influence

00:49:13.900 --> 00:49:17.940
in regards to this particular conflict? Yeah,

00:49:18.340 --> 00:49:20.880
for sure. I mean, munitions is not my expertise.

00:49:22.139 --> 00:49:24.139
I personally get super overwhelmed when I'm looking

00:49:24.139 --> 00:49:25.920
at munitions. I'm like, I don't know where this

00:49:25.920 --> 00:49:29.659
came from. But other organizations like CIR,

00:49:29.900 --> 00:49:33.039
they do a really fantastic job on reporting on

00:49:33.039 --> 00:49:36.380
Myanmar. They have this initiative called Myanmar

00:49:36.380 --> 00:49:40.619
Witness, and the team reports a lot on different

00:49:40.619 --> 00:49:43.639
kinds of issues. And I think they did a report

00:49:43.639 --> 00:49:49.400
on, I think, Russian planes in Myanmar, if I'm

00:49:49.400 --> 00:49:52.760
not wrong. So you could report on that because

00:49:52.760 --> 00:49:57.900
the military has air power. How do they get fighter

00:49:57.900 --> 00:50:00.599
jets? Who's supplying them fighter jets? There

00:50:00.599 --> 00:50:04.380
are Facebook news organizations, like I said,

00:50:04.599 --> 00:50:08.360
that exist on Facebook. While you won't have

00:50:08.360 --> 00:50:11.199
visuals of the attack itself, you might have

00:50:11.199 --> 00:50:14.420
visuals of the aftermath and there would be remnants.

00:50:15.179 --> 00:50:19.880
And that could tell you where a specific munitions

00:50:19.880 --> 00:50:23.340
came from. But again, I haven't personally looked

00:50:23.340 --> 00:50:30.340
at the munitions and this specific topic, but

00:50:30.340 --> 00:50:33.019
there are other organizations that are reporting

00:50:33.019 --> 00:50:36.219
on it. And there is Chinese influence. And like

00:50:36.219 --> 00:50:40.039
I said, in Chaopu, because of the Chinese infrastructure

00:50:40.039 --> 00:50:43.159
projects there, China also sent their mercenaries

00:50:43.159 --> 00:50:48.960
there to just protect the area. Yeah, so foreign

00:50:48.960 --> 00:50:54.480
influence happens in most conflicts and in this

00:50:54.480 --> 00:50:59.860
one as well, there is some munitions and air

00:50:59.860 --> 00:51:03.780
power that the military has gotten from external

00:51:03.780 --> 00:51:10.760
parties. Thank you. If you are interested in

00:51:10.760 --> 00:51:13.420
digging into munition types and want to learn

00:51:13.420 --> 00:51:16.030
a little bit more, we actually did have a stage

00:51:16.030 --> 00:51:19.909
talk a couple of months ago now with Bellingcat

00:51:19.909 --> 00:51:22.349
researcher Trevor Ball, who was talking specifically

00:51:22.349 --> 00:51:25.170
about identifying munitions in the war with Iran,

00:51:25.949 --> 00:51:29.550
however gave really interesting and thorough

00:51:29.550 --> 00:51:33.969
talk on ways to identify different munition types

00:51:33.969 --> 00:51:37.230
and who might be using them, including a full

00:51:37.230 --> 00:51:40.150
list of resources for that kind of work. So again,

00:51:40.150 --> 00:51:45.159
we also have the space within the server. bombs,

00:51:45.380 --> 00:51:48.139
arms, drones, and other killing machines. And

00:51:48.139 --> 00:51:51.739
within there, there's loads of experts on munition

00:51:51.739 --> 00:51:55.360
types and you can learn a lot by living in that

00:51:55.360 --> 00:51:57.699
particular space. So please do check both of

00:51:57.699 --> 00:52:00.719
those resources out, both the stage talk by Trevor

00:52:00.719 --> 00:52:05.199
and also the space within the Discord. MatthewsNoise

00:52:05.199 --> 00:52:07.960
asked, there's a lot of GPS jamming in the region.

00:52:08.119 --> 00:52:11.960
Do you use flight tracking in your reporting

00:52:11.960 --> 00:52:15.190
and has the jamming affected that? Have you ever

00:52:15.190 --> 00:52:17.989
thought about using fight tracking in this particular

00:52:17.989 --> 00:52:22.130
state? So there is a lot of scope to be able

00:52:22.130 --> 00:52:25.070
to report on what kind of arms are being used

00:52:25.070 --> 00:52:27.110
in Myanmar. And it doesn't specifically have

00:52:27.110 --> 00:52:30.849
to be the arms that the military is using. You

00:52:30.849 --> 00:52:34.289
could pick a region and then see what is happening

00:52:34.289 --> 00:52:38.650
in that region and what kind of arms a specific

00:52:38.650 --> 00:52:40.949
ethnic group is using against the military. So

00:52:40.949 --> 00:52:44.500
that could also be a way to go about it. about

00:52:44.500 --> 00:52:47.380
flight tracking, no, I will not be able to speak

00:52:47.380 --> 00:52:51.619
about that because I haven't done it, no. Somebody

00:52:51.619 --> 00:52:54.960
has asked, what about funding using drug trafficking?

00:52:55.300 --> 00:52:58.920
Is there any reporting on that? I've not come

00:52:58.920 --> 00:53:00.900
across anything, but have you seen anything on

00:53:00.900 --> 00:53:07.639
that particularly in this region? Yeah, no. I've

00:53:07.639 --> 00:53:09.860
read a lot of reporting on the scam centers in

00:53:09.860 --> 00:53:13.920
Myanmar that exist in the border regions, specifically

00:53:13.920 --> 00:53:18.119
with Thailand, but no, I haven't looked at drug

00:53:18.119 --> 00:53:23.829
trafficking, unfortunately. In regards to this

00:53:23.829 --> 00:53:27.230
region, and maybe this might be our last question

00:53:27.230 --> 00:53:30.610
because of the time, but we'll see. In regards

00:53:30.610 --> 00:53:34.789
to this region, what developments in Myanmar

00:53:34.789 --> 00:53:38.610
are you watching most closely right now? Now

00:53:38.610 --> 00:53:40.730
your investigation is out, where would you have

00:53:40.730 --> 00:53:46.289
your eyes going forwards? I would still focus

00:53:46.289 --> 00:53:49.489
on Rakhine. Like I said, it's a big country.

00:53:52.539 --> 00:53:54.800
It's tough to report on the different states

00:53:54.800 --> 00:53:58.860
just because they have such different issues

00:53:58.860 --> 00:54:02.579
and things going on. Their economy is made up

00:54:02.579 --> 00:54:06.260
of majority Rakhine people. And the fight in

00:54:06.260 --> 00:54:09.760
Rakhine is unique to the geography of the state

00:54:09.760 --> 00:54:14.699
and to the politics of the state, to the diversity

00:54:14.699 --> 00:54:17.000
of the state. A different state would have different

00:54:17.000 --> 00:54:20.929
issues. So it's tough. to hop from one state

00:54:20.929 --> 00:54:23.750
to the other, because it's a very ethnically

00:54:23.750 --> 00:54:27.969
diverse country. So because I have focused on

00:54:27.969 --> 00:54:29.789
Rakhine, I think I will continue to focus on

00:54:29.789 --> 00:54:33.389
Rakhine, also because the AA has vowed to take

00:54:33.389 --> 00:54:38.329
over the state next year. It's going to be challenging,

00:54:38.389 --> 00:54:42.309
but would be interesting to look at how the fighting

00:54:42.309 --> 00:54:47.469
will progress. And if the military does any counteroffensives,

00:54:48.840 --> 00:54:52.619
The story that I did is still a very small overview

00:54:52.619 --> 00:54:55.579
of what has happened. There are thousands and

00:54:55.579 --> 00:54:57.539
thousands of villages. And while I found only

00:54:57.539 --> 00:55:01.940
115, so there is so much scope to still report

00:55:01.940 --> 00:55:05.860
on. And it's not just that the villages are bombed

00:55:05.860 --> 00:55:09.980
and destroyed, but what happens after that or

00:55:09.980 --> 00:55:13.320
what used to exist before that. And there's a

00:55:13.320 --> 00:55:17.019
lot that can be reported on. suggestions about

00:55:17.019 --> 00:55:20.139
looking at munitions or flight tracking and all

00:55:20.139 --> 00:55:26.179
of that, which I haven't looked at myself yet,

00:55:26.340 --> 00:55:29.340
but it could be something to look at as well.

00:55:30.159 --> 00:55:32.860
So yeah, my focus is still going to be Rakhine.

00:55:32.920 --> 00:55:36.000
I did get a follow -up idea from this story.

00:55:36.940 --> 00:55:41.559
It would be premature to discuss it, but yeah,

00:55:41.619 --> 00:55:44.579
definitely going to focus on Rakhine. Keeping

00:55:44.579 --> 00:55:47.739
your cards close to your chest. I appreciate

00:55:47.739 --> 00:55:54.639
that. Yeah, in terms of digging into the, also

00:55:54.639 --> 00:55:58.480
into the erasure of those villages on the maps

00:55:58.480 --> 00:56:01.980
as well is really interesting. And making sure

00:56:01.980 --> 00:56:05.079
that what you found already has been archived

00:56:05.079 --> 00:56:08.000
and saved somewhere is also incredibly important.

00:56:08.159 --> 00:56:12.320
To close, if anybody in this talk or listening

00:56:12.320 --> 00:56:16.820
back on the podcast is interested in reaching

00:56:16.820 --> 00:56:19.199
out to you, perhaps they know a little bit more

00:56:19.199 --> 00:56:23.059
about Rakhine State and want to give you some

00:56:23.059 --> 00:56:27.460
information. Perhaps they are interested in looking

00:56:27.460 --> 00:56:30.380
into the region themselves and want to learn

00:56:30.380 --> 00:56:32.500
a little bit more from you. How can people reach

00:56:32.500 --> 00:56:39.420
out and connect with you? You can DM me on Discord.

00:56:39.619 --> 00:56:42.400
You can email me. I tend to be more active on

00:56:42.400 --> 00:56:45.420
email. If you want to email me, it's puja at

00:56:45.420 --> 00:56:52.659
bellingcat .com. I would be very happy to help

00:56:52.659 --> 00:56:55.940
anyone with their research in Myanmar. While

00:56:55.940 --> 00:57:02.199
I have focused on Rakhine, the methodology can

00:57:02.199 --> 00:57:06.719
be used in other areas as well. We can chat about

00:57:06.719 --> 00:57:11.559
the different avenues there are to look at the

00:57:11.559 --> 00:57:16.920
region. Even if you don't have access to Planet

00:57:16.920 --> 00:57:20.639
or something, you can still report on Myanmar

00:57:20.639 --> 00:57:25.239
because again, it's an under covered area. So

00:57:25.239 --> 00:57:29.800
it's not like Planet has a large amount of high

00:57:29.800 --> 00:57:35.099
resolution image. You can do a lot with key satellite

00:57:35.099 --> 00:57:39.460
tools which are available for everyone. And yeah,

00:57:39.599 --> 00:57:43.760
I would be very, very happy to help anyone who

00:57:43.760 --> 00:57:47.030
wants to report on Myanmar. Thank you for that.

00:57:47.070 --> 00:57:50.570
And thank you for the talk today. As I said earlier,

00:57:50.670 --> 00:57:53.889
we do have a space in the Discord that needs

00:57:53.889 --> 00:57:56.550
a little bit of love actually. It used to be

00:57:56.550 --> 00:57:59.630
pretty popular and it hasn't been commented in

00:57:59.630 --> 00:58:02.429
for a little bit. So if anybody attending this

00:58:02.429 --> 00:58:07.769
talk wants to go into the space. Myanmar, Burma

00:58:07.769 --> 00:58:10.949
in brackets and to talk about some of the reporting

00:58:10.949 --> 00:58:14.230
just mentioned. Please do. Please jump in there

00:58:14.230 --> 00:58:17.110
and continue to populate it because we really

00:58:17.110 --> 00:58:20.900
want to keep focus on. these under -reported

00:58:20.900 --> 00:58:24.280
regions. And thank you again, Pooja, for doing

00:58:24.280 --> 00:58:27.980
this talk. We'll be back in two weeks' time with

00:58:27.980 --> 00:58:31.840
a stage talk with CNN. Keep your eyes peeled

00:58:31.840 --> 00:58:34.880
on announcements and the events tab for more

00:58:34.880 --> 00:58:37.739
information about that. But for now, thank you

00:58:37.739 --> 00:58:42.840
very much, everybody. Thanks, everyone. Thank

00:58:42.840 --> 00:58:45.699
you for listening to the stage talk. If you'd

00:58:45.699 --> 00:58:48.559
like to catch a stage tour live where you can

00:58:48.559 --> 00:58:51.219
ask the guest questions, join the Bellingcat

00:58:51.219 --> 00:58:57.619
Discord server by visiting www .discord .gg slash

00:58:57.619 --> 00:59:00.519
Bellingcat. The music you've heard is titled

00:59:00.519 --> 00:59:04.460
Dawn by Newer Self and is courtesy of Artlist.
