1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:24,200 Hello everyone, welcome to Drisco's election dissection, your election analysis for Across 2 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:25,200 the Circus. 3 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,120 I hope you all are doing well today, wherever you are. 4 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:36,640 Well, it's our first show of the year 2025 and our first show of the second Trump administration, 5 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:40,440 which as you may have noticed in the news has already been very busy. 6 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:45,720 And also something else that's busy is election season, which is finally started for this 7 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:46,720 year. 8 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:50,680 Now, as we mentioned back in our last show in December, it is an off year election this 9 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,880 year, meaning there aren't as many elections happening. 10 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,480 But that doesn't mean there's going to be some action along the way. 11 00:00:56,480 --> 00:01:01,220 We're going to focus on a lot of international elections this year, and of course, special 12 00:01:01,220 --> 00:01:05,120 congressional elections, which is exactly what we're going to talk about today. 13 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:13,360 For Tuesday, January 28th, there are two special primary elections for two House seats. 14 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:18,680 So let's dive right into it and let's pack our bags and head to the sunshine state, the 15 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:20,600 state of Florida. 16 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:22,200 One is more competitive than the other. 17 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:27,440 So we'll start first in the special election for Florida's sixth congressional district. 18 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:31,680 Now according to the online boundaries here, it's a pretty urban district and includes 19 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:36,000 the city of Daytona Beach, as well as some southern suburbs of Jacksonville. 20 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:41,320 And according to the Cook Partisan Voting Index, Republicans are favored by 14 points. 21 00:01:41,320 --> 00:01:46,760 So we're going to be talking about the Republican primary today, as whoever the Republican nominee 22 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:50,240 is, they will likely have the higher chance of winning in the general election, which 23 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:53,160 will take place on Tuesday, April 1st. 24 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:55,560 And that's no April fools. 25 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:56,560 Remember to vote. 26 00:01:56,560 --> 00:02:02,380 So the former congressman from this seat was Representative Mike Waltz, who resigned on 27 00:02:02,380 --> 00:02:07,160 Inauguration Day, January 20th, as he accepted a position in the Trump administration as 28 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:09,360 Trump's national security advisor. 29 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:14,540 And that job does not need any Senate approval, unlike most cabinet officials, so he was able 30 00:02:14,540 --> 00:02:15,540 to get right to work. 31 00:02:15,540 --> 00:02:21,080 As a result, the seat is vacant, although currently, state Senator Randy Fine has the edge when 32 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:25,960 it comes to name recognition, endorsements, and the little polls that have been done. 33 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:31,360 And with that, if he does win the primary, he'll have the likely edge in the April general. 34 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:38,000 But we'll move to a more competitive primary, and that's happening in Florida's first congressional 35 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:39,000 district. 36 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:44,440 Now this district covers the western panhandle of the state, anchored in the city of Pensacola, 37 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:46,600 along with the surrounding counties. 38 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:53,960 And also, this seat has an edge for Republicans of 19 points, according to the Cook Partisan 39 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:59,560 Voting Index, making this the most Republican district in the state of Florida. 40 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,600 And as we know, Florida's a pretty red state, so there you go. 41 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:07,200 Now the former representative for Florida's first congressional district was Republican 42 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:09,200 Representative Matt Gaetz. 43 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:10,200 You may have heard of him. 44 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:15,000 Well, he was in the news a lot over the past couple months, and to make a long story short, 45 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:21,200 former Representative Gaetz resigned on November 13th as he was expecting an appointment of 46 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:24,280 the United States Attorney General under the Trump administration. 47 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:28,660 However, a few weeks after that, he withdrew himself from consideration. 48 00:03:28,660 --> 00:03:33,840 And although he was eligible to take his seat back on the first day of Congress on January 49 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:39,680 3rd because he won the 2024 election for the seat, he ultimately declined to do so, thus 50 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:41,100 making the seat vacant. 51 00:03:41,100 --> 00:03:47,240 And with this being the most Republican seat in the state, it has a very heavy Republican 52 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:50,640 primary, although there are three major candidates to look at. 53 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:56,360 And they are 2024 candidate for this seat, Aaron Dimmick, Florida State Chief Financial 54 00:03:56,360 --> 00:04:00,740 Officer Jimmy Patronus, and state Representative Joel Rudman. 55 00:04:00,740 --> 00:04:04,680 Now there hasn't been a lot of polls, there has been fundraising, and Patronus seems to 56 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:09,160 have the lead there, as well as endorsements, including the endorsement of the now current 57 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:11,880 President Donald Trump, a Florida resident. 58 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:15,800 So that may help him in the primary, we'll just have to wait and see. 59 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:22,920 So those two primary elections will be taking place on Tuesday, January 28th, and the winners 60 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:28,120 of these primary elections will move on to the general election on Tuesday, April 1st. 61 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:33,140 And as always, I say, if you are a registered voter in the state of Florida, I don't care 62 00:04:33,140 --> 00:04:36,400 who you vote for, but I do care that you vote. 63 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:37,400 So please do. 64 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:39,860 Thank you for listening to Driscoll's Election Dissection. 65 00:04:39,860 --> 00:04:44,160 If you would like to learn more about the show, go online to AlgyvProductions.com slash 66 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:45,320 across the circus. 67 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:49,960 If you're willing to learn more about elections in your area, be sure to check out politicsone.com 68 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:55,120 as well as Ballotpedia.com and be sure to listen to us on any podcasting forum you like. 69 00:04:55,120 --> 00:05:22,120 Thank you all for listening and I will see you all very soon. 70 00:05:26,120 --> 00:06:51,880 This episode was brought to you by Algid Productions LLC. 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