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Hello, and welcome to another installment of the KMO Show.

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I'm your host, KMO, and this is episode number 17, prepared for release onto the World Wide

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Web on Wednesday, June 28th, 2023.

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In this episode of the podcast, I am going to share a conversation that I recorded a

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week or so ago with somebody that I've known for a very long time as a result of my previous

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podcasting efforts, the C-Realm Podcast.

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His name is Christopher Harrison, and I think the best introduction to him is that he's

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a really smart guy, trained as an engineer.

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He cares a lot about ecology and community and human happiness.

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And he's very practiced at articulating the, what I would call the tensions in our socio-political

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economic arrangements.

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I don't think he is a Marxist.

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He doesn't use any of the jargon.

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He doesn't talk about contradictions in capitalism.

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He's much more specific than that, which I think is useful.

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And he is somebody who, like many smart people who have an interest in sustainability and

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who are frustrated with many aspects of our current way of life, gravitated in the early

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part of this century to the peak oil fast collapse narrative.

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And like, I think, a growing number of people who were in that cohort, he's come to realize

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that collapse isn't coming, not a fast collapse anyway, and that preparing for the zombie

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apocalypse is really not the best use of your time.

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But that doesn't mean that everything learned during that period needs to be abandoned.

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What's more, Chris sent me an email back in 2020 in response to a conversation that I

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had with Brent Bednarik.

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Brent is also somebody who was on the peak oil fast collapse track for a while.

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And I talked to him just at the very beginning of the COVID epidemic.

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And Brent said at the time that if the COVID epidemic didn't take down industrial global

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society that he would then have to revisit his views on the topic.

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Well, global industrial society survived COVID.

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And so I spoke with Brent more recently.

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I didn't use that in a podcast episode, but I will post a link to a YouTube version of

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that conversation in the show notes for this episode, which you can find at KMO.show or

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on YouTube.

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So I got a little confused.

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Somehow Christopher's three year old message in response to that three year old conversation

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with Brent came to my attention again.

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But I thought that he was making reference to my more recent conversation with Brent.

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And so I asked him to come on the show and discuss his email and he agreed.

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And it wasn't until we actually got on the call that the pieces fell into place for me.

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And I realized that I had invited him on to talk about a three year old email.

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Now the email, I'm going to read it in the beginning of our conversation.

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And it is essentially an essay.

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I mean, it would stand as a blog post.

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It's certainly something that is worth reading.

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It was worth rereading, reading aloud, editing, you know, my imperfect reading.

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And it's something that I'm happy to share with you.

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And it should probably exist in text form online somewhere.

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And at this point, I'm tempted to start discussing the specifics of the conversation.

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But rather than do that, I'll just play it for you.

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Here's my conversation with Christopher Harrison.

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You're listening to the KMO show.

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Let's go.

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Hi KMO.

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I just finished listening to your recent free episode with Brent Badnarek.

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So this is an episode of the Sea Realm podcast from back when I was living in Vermont.

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So not the conversation with Brent that I thought you were referencing.

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So we go on.

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Oh, let me just mention what I remember from that conversation with Brent.

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Brent was wavering in his commitment to peak oil doomerism back then, but he hadn't really

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made the switch.

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And this was just at the beginning of COVID.

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And he basically said, I do think this civilization is fragile.

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And I think if COVID doesn't take it down, then I'm really going to have to re-examine

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my worldview.

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And COVID didn't take it down.

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So we reconnected just a few weeks ago for another conversation.

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And he's gone from being a doomer to just a curmudgeon, which I can relate.

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I can relate to that.

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I definitely have a strong curmudgeonly current in my own personality.

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But now I'm going to stop commenting on your email and return to reading it, although I

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am going to ask for clarification when we get to one point.

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OK.

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So you just listen to the conversation with Brent and you continue.

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I found this episode, like many of the ones you have put out over the years, to be thought

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provoking, even if my worldview doesn't quite map with yours or Brent's for that matter,

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quite as much as maybe as it did in the past.

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I had a few thoughts and perspectives on some of the things you discussed in that episode

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that I'd like to share.

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First, when you referenced Joseph Tainter's work and cited J.M.G., John Michael Greer,

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as a kind of counterbalance or different argument, I think you may have actually missed Tainter's

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core thesis, because to be honest, it's not very different from John Michael Greer's idea

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of catabolic collapse, but just looks at the process from a higher viewpoint.

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Catabolic collapse is a ground level view based on the idea that people will start to

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cannibalize the infrastructure of a decaying society to fix the things that can be fixed

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and cobble together what they need to get through daily life.

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Tainter's idea is that civilizations use increasing complexity to solve problems, and this typically

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involves more complex infrastructure over time when they are experiencing infusions

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of energy and capital early on in their development.

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However, as time goes on, the cost of maintaining the complex infrastructure and social arrangements

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goes up while the infusions of energy and capital, commonly plunder taken through conquest,

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starts to decline, thus reducing the rate of return until it turns flat and then even

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negative.

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This process also eats up spare capacity of civilizations to deal with external shocks,

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such as bad harvests, because all this spare capacity is devoted toward maintaining growth

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rather than kept for when needed, the Anastasi network of sharing food between settlements

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being the prime example, he cites.

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Tainter never argued that this would result in a flash crash of civilizations.

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Like Greer, he sees collapse as a process that plays out over centuries for most societies

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affected by it.

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This brings me to my second point, which is in regards to the idea of Doomers vs. Technophiles

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for the purposes of simplification.

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Like you, I sometimes feel as if I wasted some opportunities to greatly increase my

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own financial standing because I adopted Doomer views around peak oil and the likes, but while

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I've moderated my views on many of these subjects, unlike you, I've also never really left them

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entirely.

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Do you remember the series that JMG did on his old blog about the world after the dissolution

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of the United States, chronicling an emissary traveling from the nation that comprises the

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northeast in New England to that made up by the former Great Lakes states?

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So you're referencing a series of blog posts that he later published as a novel called

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Retrotopia.

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Because I think personally that the Atlantic Republic as portrayed in that series gives

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a pretty good glimpse into the trajectory of the United States.

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That society was one that was starkly divided among class lines, with a small elite that

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was still able to take advantage of all the most recent technological advances and new

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gadgets while a massive and impoverished underclass went about their days barely able to make

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ends meet.

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I see the trajectory of technology in the US playing out along similar lines, at least

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vis-à-vis economic activity, especially combined with a state seemingly devoted to its new

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mission as propping up high finance by any means necessary while telling everyone else

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to go scratch.

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We will continue to experience technological advancement, but the subset of people who

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enjoy the benefits of that advancement will shrink until we either have a highly privileged

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elite and small professional managerial class, PMC, who are integrated into that world with

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the remaining 80-90% becoming proles who have access only to those features of it meant

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to distract and entertain.

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I think a reason for this is also that we will experience a declining base of surplus

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energy to support a high-tech civilization, because no matter how much shale oil is out

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there, the simple fact of the matter is that a lot more energy is burned up in extracting

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it than what had to be devoted to light sweet crude.

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And that means that there is less net energy left over for other economic activity.

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Yes, we'll continue to go after it, and I would not be at all surprised to see the state

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move in and essentially guarantee financing to continue that project, but it will become

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more and more a case of a dog chasing its own tail as time moves forward.

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I also think that Jasper, and this is where I have a question, because this is your first

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mention of Jasper in the email, but you don't identify who Jasper is.

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Oh, I would have to hear the statement to even jog my memory.

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OK, the full statement is, I also think that Jasper is a lot more on point with his analysis

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of China than Brent is.

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That might have been someone in the comments on that one.

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Ah, OK.

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China is quite literally the world's longest continuous civilization, and they are simply

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resuming the role that they previously held for three thousand plus years, the center

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of gravity for Eastern Asia, culturally and economically.

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The French demographer Emmanuel Todd published a book titled After the Empire around 2004,

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in which he argued that the unipolar world was coming apart and would soon, within a

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couple of decades, be replaced by a multipolar world of regional powers with their own spheres

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of control.

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For what it's worth, Todd also predicted the coming dissolution of the USSR based on demographic

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analysis in the 1970s, a time when many Western conservative intellectuals were portraying

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it as a great menace only growing in power and influence.

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Along those lines, I think that it's far more likely that the United States ceases to exist

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as a political entity over the next two decades than the current incarnation of China.

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About four and a half weeks ago, my wife and I binge-watched the HBO series Chernobyl,

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and one of the things featured in it that hit me upside the head like a sledgehammer

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is the way that the Soviet bureaucracy's concern with appearances to higher-ups drove every

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step of the response overlooking at it objectively and deciding what needed to be done until

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they almost passed the point of no return, and how that mapped onto the emerging ham-handed

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response to COVID-19 in the U.S. at that time.

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And I've only seen the U.S. map onto the Soviet ineptitude exponentially since then, given

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that the U.S. does not have any singular geographical features that link it together, nor does it

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have a long-standing history of political integration and unity between these disparate

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regions like China.

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For the first time in my life, I'm seeing the breakup of the U.S. as a very real possibility

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in the coming decade or two.

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Not saying it's a foregone conclusion, or even necessarily likely at this point, but

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I am saying that it's definitely possible.

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Especially as our political class continues to bumble and fumble the response to the pandemic,

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not to mention the economic carnage that is following close behind.

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And regarding that last point, economic carnage, I'm not too sanguine on the current political

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order surviving the present crisis, because it's just past its due date.

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If you subscribe to the idea of historical cycles or anacyclosis established, orders

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last around 80 to 90 years before they crumble in the face of mounting crises they cannot

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deal with, and a new order emerges out of that wreckage.

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The U.S. has been through the process three times already during its colonial history

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through to the present.

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The first crisis started in 1763 with the end of the Seven Years' War, and hit its breaking

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point in 1775 at Lexington and Concord, while the destruction of the colonial order and

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the rise of the early republic and its détente between slave societies in the South and the

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burgeoning industrialism in the North.

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The second crisis started in 1850 with the Fugitive Slave Act and continued through the

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sectional crisis of the 1850s, finally bursting apart with the firing on Fort Sumter in 1861.

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The model of industrialism driven by corporate entities won the day at that point, but that

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model began to fall apart with the deepening inequality and labor unrest of the Gilded

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Age, papered over, for a little while, by the reforms of the Progressive Era, but finally

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done in with the speculative boom of the 1920s and the massive burst in 1929 that brought

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in the Great Depression.

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The New Deal and the U.S.'s assuming the role of global empire through World War II's outcome

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ushered in the new era of centralized institutions and global industrial capitalism.

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But it started to fall apart in the early 2000s with the dot-com bust, and the 2008-2009

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financial crisis was the equivalent of a patient going through terminal and the response of

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the doctors in the political class and the Fed was to hook that patient up to every machine

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and IV they could think of while telling the family that the patient was perfectly healthy,

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while he was not.

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The COVID-19 pandemic didn't have to be a death blow, but for a patient as sick as our

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financial system was, it was like a person with terminal cancer catching a cold that

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turned into pneumonia and killed them.

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The patient has flatlined, but the political class we have, being unaccustomed to anything

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other than promoting the interests of large corporations and high finance, will spend

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the next few years trying to restart its heart with the electroshock paddles over and over

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and over again until we have another singular political figure who comes from the fringes

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of the current system to deal with the crisis at hand and establish a new sociopolitical

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order like Washington, Lincoln, and FDR did.

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None of that means that what comes next will be better.

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It will just be different.

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And it will be preceded by a lot of pain and hardship, I'm sorry to say.

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That brings me to my personal point.

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Since you asked how and what people are currently doing, I myself am taking on the project of

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doing a deep dive into my local community, mainly because I believe that under the current

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political order, unless we are part of the top 5 to 10 percent, we will largely be on

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our own, and the only way we'll make it through that situation is by learning to trust one

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another, work together, and have each other's backs when needed.

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Toward that end, I am initiating a Homesteaders' Grange to take advantage of the wealth of

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knowledge my community has around topics of household economy, an informal network of

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sharing information, skills, and even eventually labor, to help each other out in real and

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tangible ways, in addition to providing real assistance to the least among us who are in

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danger of falling through the cracks.

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It may not presently be possible to meet in groups, but my vision for this organization

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is that it will not be an online thing, but rather one that meets primarily in the flesh.

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I have already gotten an enthusiastic response from many people in the community around this

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effort, and I have gotten the Episcopal Church we attend on board with it as well.

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In the next months, I will also be leaving my full-time employment as a public works

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construction engineer to concentrate on these community-building efforts, as well as drive

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a regenerative farming enterprise, as longer agricultural supply lines are already showing

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signs of distress and breaking.

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It may seem counterintuitive to give up a good-paying and relatively secure job during

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what is likely to be a severe economic downturn, but this is a calling I have felt for some

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time, one which was only hardened a thousand times over after reading David Holmgren's

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book Retro Suburbia, The Downshifters' Guide to a Resilient Future.

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And it increasingly feels like being pulled towards something where I am really needed

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instead of where I can necessarily feel the most safe personally.

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So I hope this message finds you well, KMO.

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I do sincerely miss being able to interact with you on Facebook, because I got kicked

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off, and I should have reached out to you earlier as your voice has been one that has

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accompanied me during my commute and work days for many years now.

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And email does offer the opportunity for deeper and more substantive exchanges than the ephemerality

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of social media.

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So until next time, warmest regards, Chris.

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All right.

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So let me say that that's something you wrote three years ago.

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So the first question in my mind is, how has your thinking evolved since then?

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OK, I would say that on the broad patterns, it's remained pretty constant.

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The shift has been in the details.

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And you know, the first part of that I could go into is probably a little bit more on the

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personal side of it.

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I attempted to do kind of a pasture poultry operation, which I just couldn't make money

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off of because I was trying to raise poultry on pasture in chicken tractors with all organic

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supplement feed on someone else's land and without a great deal of capital to do it.

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And as a result, it was just something that economies of scale, there's no way you can

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make any any money off of it.

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But it was a very valuable kind of opportunity, both from the standpoint of on the business

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side, but also working within the natural system side more intensively and kind of learning

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what some of the limits are to deal with on that and looking at things like where my supply

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chains came from for the birds and what needed to remain intact and how those might be either

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what their what their prospects were for the future and how they might be replaced or kind

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of raising birds on land a little bit more in context with what the land can support

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in a lot of ways.

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The second year, I tried basically going into my own little piece of land here, which is

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pretty small.

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It's essentially like a an exurban lot.

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I wouldn't say a suburban lot where it's you know, we've got over an acre initially, and

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now we have about two and a quarter and about a third of that is wooded third to half.

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But it wasn't anything that could support like an ongoing enterprise was a lot more

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in the household economy.

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But in that year in twenty twenty one, I actually came down with a very significant case of

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Lyme disease where, you know, I got hit pretty hard by it and it really, you know, kind of

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walloped me during the summer when I'm trying to do gardening and manage chickens and all

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of that.

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And it made it exponentially more difficult.

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And I never really came back from that.

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And what I kind of came back around to was what my original idea was, which was concentrating

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on the more of like the design side and consultancy around this sort of thing, because my prior

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career, I'm a licensed civil engineer.

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I worked in public works for a long period of time as a consulting engineer.

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And so I had a lot of background in kind of the idea of analyzing data, being able to

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tie things together and present them in a way that was holistic for my permaculture training

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too.

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And so that started picking up steam.

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But I ended up last year then being hit by kind of a chronic case of Lyme.

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And this is where a lot of my learning process came into play and where a lot of my views

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around this kind of shifted a little bit, but remain the same in terms of patterns.

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And what that experience I basically went where I ended up bedridden for about a week

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where I would get up in the morning, crawl to a chair or the couch.

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And within a half an hour, I was literally crawling back into bed and not even really

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able to move for the day.

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Just the chronic fatigue hit me so bad.

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And the crawling back up out of literally out of that kind of nadir of my life, it was

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at a time in the year of late summer in early fall, right?

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A lot of Garvin harvest that needed to be done.

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I had firewood that needed to be split, that sort of thing.

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And just by letting people be aware of what my situation was within our church community,

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within kind of the circle of friends that I had gotten around me to a degree, that ended

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up with them volunteering to step forward to help me.

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And I was not in a situation where I could say no at that point, because one of the conclusions

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I've kind of come to is we live in a society, even in American culture, where we are encouraged

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to try to help other people.

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But it's also kind of in a very paradoxical framework in which we are discouraged to ask

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other people for help.

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That it's looked at as being a sign of weakness if you can't do things yourself.

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Well, I was in a situation here where I couldn't even afford the luxury of any kind of social

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appearances.

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So it forced me to put myself in a position of vulnerability and accept other people's

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offers for help.

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And out of that experience, I kind of realized, OK, this is the direction I need to take this.

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I need to take this in, gathering other people around me that kind of like we can all be

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vulnerable enough to accept each other's offers for help.

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And it started with some of the people that helped me out in that time.

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And out of that grew kind of a core group of people that I have in the community that

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are all doing kind of like their own funky things, but they're connected to kind of the

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homestead and community building type of space.

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And it really started out with us just doing a few potlucks at each other's houses.

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And then that kind of went into developing a list of projects that we have or things

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that we need to do at our own places that we can't handle ourselves and organizing

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labor parties where we show up at each other's house on a certain day of the month that all

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of us or most of us can get together and we help each other knock out these projects.

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And we've done two of them so far within our group.

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We've hit a little bit of kind of scheduling issues around the end of the school year and

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beginning of summer, which isn't surprising.

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But I'm very hopeful on this, just with the idea of it forming something that other things

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can spin off of with it.

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And if I could describe it with a natural analog, it would be very similar to a rhizome

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network that you've got individual nodes that are each kind of doing their own thing.

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But there's free flow of information and communication between those nodes that they're helping each

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other out, maybe cross pollinating with labor, with skills, with knowledge, that sort of

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thing.

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With my consultancy business, I'm making effort to kind of get out into the community.

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And I have one of the people in my group manages a kind of what's called a common ground community

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garden where they pretty much just open up the food to people that come and help out,

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but also whoever in the community wants to come by and get free food and is in need of

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fresh vegetables and things like that.

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Well, they're hosting a water harvesting workshop.

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And that's really kind of my value with the crossover of my engineering license and engineering

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experience and the permaculture realm.

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And so I'm doing the water harvesting workshop to help them out with that and also gain a

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little bit of exposure for my business, but also just to kind of scare to share this skill

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in the community in the hopes that it will kind of spin out with other people doing similar

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things on their own properties.

337
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Because in this year, I don't know what the weather has been like and your location came

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in, but we had a May here in southeastern New York that was really without rain at the same

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time that we're planting our gardens and expecting the rain to kind of kickstart everything off.

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And I had certain vegetables just did not do well, like carrots did not germinate for

341
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anything.

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You know, my potatoes did well because I was mulching them and they were buried deep enough.

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And then once I got my drip irrigation in and started, you know, irrigating with that,

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but that's well water, it's highly mineralized.

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So water capture and storage is something that I see as being a major issue moving forward.

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And this is even spun out in another direction with one of the other people in our group

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00:25:16,360 --> 00:25:24,280
were looking at opportunities for kind of doing like a community land trust enterprise

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within the green belt around our village, which has tourism, kind of agro tourism as

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a core ideal.

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And they want to prevent the fringes of the village from being undergoing just tracked

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suburban development.

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So we're looking at the possibility of this one parcel that is available right now of

353
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trying to put together a plan on that and bring in investors and things like that.

354
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So it's just looking at areas that we can kind of, you know, seed this kind of vision

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of cooperation and collaboration a lot more within the local community in the physical

356
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realm, and do it in a way that is very grounded in biological and ecological processes and

357
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principles and patterns.

358
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Well, I apologize.

359
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We got your rain.

360
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:21,560
It's just so the ground is so we're getting we're getting it now, thankfully, but everything

361
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:24,360
is thrown thrown off like crazy.

362
00:26:24,360 --> 00:26:31,640
Like I'm seeing certain cycles out there with certain volunteer plants that will come up

363
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:35,480
that typically would have come up about a month ago that are just now starting to show

364
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:40,080
like anywhere there's volunteer tomatoes, for instance, usually we start seeing those

365
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:41,800
around Memorial Day.

366
00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:47,880
And this year we're in mid mid June, and we're seeing them and, you know, I took one of my

367
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:53,080
professional development courses for my engineering license recently, it was a roundtable.

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There was a couple conversations about long term development planning in Bangladesh, which

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was actually fascinating because you're looking at there a culture that is very strapped for

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resources, especially in terms of capital.

371
00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:13,360
And what is their plan in dealing with this rapidly changing world, because they're kind

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of on the front row of climate change and being a tropical or subtropical delta region.

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And in the last part of it, it was looking at how to deal with climate change.

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And the presenter was bringing up the fact that their growing seasons there have shifted

375
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up to two months.

376
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And it's not because of temperatures, it's because of precipitation patterns changing.

377
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And, you know, it's that really got me thinking along the lines of this water capture and

378
00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:47,400
storage and kind of seeding the ground when you've got, you know, when you've got precipitation

379
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:53,920
events and, you know, snow melts and things like that in order to hold on to it longer

380
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:59,200
in the soils and also in kind of reserve tanks and things like that to be able to keep your

381
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:07,000
agriculture in line with kind of what the temperature growing season is in the temperate

382
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:10,000
regions.

383
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,440
The email from you that I read, again, is three years old.

384
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:15,760
You were writing it in April of 2020.

385
00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:20,640
So you didn't know what the full impact of the covid pandemic would be.

386
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,060
You didn't know what the government response would be.

387
00:28:23,060 --> 00:28:24,060
And you just didn't know.

388
00:28:24,060 --> 00:28:29,960
I mean, nobody knew how long it would last or what the ultimate impacts would be.

389
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,160
So here we are three years on.

390
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:39,380
You sort of echoed Brent in thinking that, you know, the damage to I'm not sure if it's

391
00:28:39,380 --> 00:28:43,880
the United States or industrial civilization generally would be a lot more significant

392
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:45,880
than I think it has been.

393
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:51,000
What's what's your your perspective here at the tail end of covid?

394
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:56,560
OK, I think that it's it's followed again.

395
00:28:56,560 --> 00:29:03,400
It's followed in line with what the patterns are in a lot of ways in that, you know, the

396
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:11,760
United States, we we suffered a death rate that was four times basically what it should

397
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:15,080
have been in accordance with what global averages are.

398
00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:18,300
And when I bring this up to people, I've had them say, well, you know, other countries

399
00:29:18,300 --> 00:29:22,920
might be jiggering their stats and my response is, well, are they jiggering their stats where

400
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,240
they're only recording a quarter of covid deaths?

401
00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:28,580
Because even if they're only reporting half, we're still twice.

402
00:29:28,580 --> 00:29:30,560
And this is supposed to be the wealthiest country in the world.

403
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:37,760
I mean, to me, that's not exactly indicative of a society that is on the rise.

404
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:42,200
And you look at the distribution of a lot of those deaths, it tends to follow a lot

405
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:47,860
more with with levels of society where people can't really quarantine themselves.

406
00:29:47,860 --> 00:29:54,680
You know, where they're even just their basic home living patterns are a lot more in contact

407
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:58,780
with with other human beings.

408
00:29:58,780 --> 00:30:01,120
And you know, it really broke down long class lines.

409
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:05,540
And it also follows that, you know, we continue to see, especially when you look at it adjusted

410
00:30:05,540 --> 00:30:12,280
for income distribution, the bottom 60 percent in this country is not doing well.

411
00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:20,080
I mean, among white males that are in the bottom 60 percent of, you know, income distribution,

412
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:25,560
their life expectancy has been falling and continues to fall in a lot of ways.

413
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:31,200
You're seeing this this continued consolidation of capital around kind of like a shrinking

414
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:33,780
pool of people.

415
00:30:33,780 --> 00:30:37,360
And you know, when we look at a lot of these things that come out now that are touted like

416
00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:39,360
the jobs reports and things like that.

417
00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:44,520
Well, part of the question is what, you know, what are the wages that those jobs are offering,

418
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:47,000
especially in median terms?

419
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:51,040
And how does that compare to real rises in the cost of living?

420
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:54,840
And I think in a lot of those instances, it's not looking rosy.

421
00:30:54,840 --> 00:31:02,040
I mean, what we're looking at is kind of this playing out of the slow motion decline, you

422
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:08,840
know, that's punctuated then by, you know, kind of these stair steps and reconsolidations

423
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:09,840
in a lot of ways.

424
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:15,880
And I think about it in my adult lifetime, you know, being a being a Gen X or well, I've

425
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:21,480
experienced this, you know, in the early 90s or the late 80s, early 90s, just as I was

426
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:27,280
coming out of high school and in the college with the recession that took place then.

427
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:33,080
And then again with the dot com bust and again with the housing crash and then again with

428
00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:39,560
COVID, but a lot of the a lot of the things for the kind of fueled the COVID crash were

429
00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:41,960
building up at that time.

430
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:45,600
And let's also not forget that the only thing that prevented a COVID crash was basically

431
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:52,640
governments infusing tremendous amounts of capital, whether it be in states like a lot

432
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:57,200
of the European states where they gave job guarantees and basically paid people to, you

433
00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:03,360
know, to sit at home or in the U.S. where they gave people a two thousand dollar check,

434
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:10,800
but then really solidified, you know, the the biggest firms ability to to weather that.

435
00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:16,720
And those are all debts that, you know, we could kind of go down the rabbit hole of of

436
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:25,800
the nature of financial debts, but debts ultimately are a claim on, you know, future production.

437
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:30,920
And as long as that production is expanding continuously, we're in good shape.

438
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:36,920
But as soon as it starts to flatten out or worse yet, even go negative, then we're we're

439
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:39,120
in a world of it at that point.

440
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:45,120
And you know, we've seen this with how the how little it takes for the global economy

441
00:32:45,120 --> 00:32:50,480
to decline, to throw finance and industrial capital into just absolute chaos like it did

442
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,000
during COVID.

443
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:56,800
Well, it is not my intention here to tell you that you should have a different point

444
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:57,800
of view.

445
00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:03,040
But what I notice is that I'm hearing a lot of things that I used to hear regularly, you

446
00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:05,360
know, when I was in the peak oil scene.

447
00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:13,040
And for example, I think Jim Kunstler is possibly the author of the the bond mot that debts

448
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:16,280
that cannot be repaid won't be.

449
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:23,080
And in the peak oil community, that means, you know, the financial system as it is constructed

450
00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:28,200
right now is not sustainable for the long term and it will crash and burn and bring

451
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:30,840
take the rest of industrial society down with it.

452
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:34,760
And you know, my perspective is debts that can't be repaid won't be and there'll be

453
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:39,320
a bookkeeping correction and we'll continue on.

454
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:44,960
You know, and the what leads to one conclusion from that same starting premise versus the

455
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:48,880
other conclusion to me is a matter of temperament.

456
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:57,160
And I just, you know, from my perspective, pessimism and particularly doomerism is just

457
00:33:57,160 --> 00:34:01,280
a self-defeating personal strategy.

458
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:04,640
It's a self-defeating approach to life.

459
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:10,880
And just in, you know, empirically speaking, in terms of whether one adopts a pessimistic

460
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:16,680
or an optimistic attitude, people who adopt optimistic attitudes have better life outcomes.

461
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:22,920
So I've you know, you say that you've maybe moderated your stance since the peak oil doom

462
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:28,760
days, but I repudiate any participation in that mindset.

463
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:30,880
You know, I don't I haven't adjusted.

464
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:32,000
I reject it.

465
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,320
I have nothing to do with it myself.

466
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:38,340
I'm still happy to talk to people, you know, that I know from that period.

467
00:34:38,340 --> 00:34:39,640
That was the best part about that period.

468
00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:44,240
You know, traveling around, talking to different people, the people that, you know, fixate

469
00:34:44,240 --> 00:34:47,200
on collapse, they tend to be smarter than the average.

470
00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:49,280
You know, they tend to be more interesting conversationalist.

471
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,080
They tend to have more varied life experience.

472
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:55,780
But the same is true of flat earthers.

473
00:34:55,780 --> 00:34:58,560
Flat earthers tend to be smarter than most people.

474
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:03,640
And it's because it takes a higher intellect to defend a particular worldview like that

475
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:08,480
against refutation from empirical, you know, inputs from the outside.

476
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:15,240
So it tends to be the smarter people who gravitate to these more sort of esoteric worldviews.

477
00:35:15,240 --> 00:35:22,040
And you know, I don't want to equate peak oil doomerism with flat eartherism, but they

478
00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:27,760
do have a very similar overlap in terms of the mentality of the people that they attract.

479
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:32,280
In particular, they tend to attract higher IQ people.

480
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:39,400
So but you know, to me, doomerism is a mind virus and one needs to defend oneself from

481
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,480
that mind virus and root it out.

482
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:47,680
I mean, seriously, root it out and, you know, put up barriers to keep it from reestablishing

483
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:48,680
itself.

484
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:52,440
And well, let me just have you respond to that.

485
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:54,760
I'm sorry, I got distracted by the chat.

486
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:55,960
No, no, that's fine.

487
00:35:55,960 --> 00:36:00,640
I think that I want to make sure that as we're discussing this, we're not kind of talking

488
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:08,000
past each other and when when I'm talking about debts, debts take, you know, debts take

489
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:13,520
typically the form of of the financial economy in terms of being denominated in dollars and

490
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:22,000
cents, which if we're to look at, you know, the economy is kind of consisting as I think

491
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:26,560
the best definition I've heard of this is the one that EF Schumacher developed and John

492
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:28,320
Michael Greer kind of tweaked a little bit.

493
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:34,760
And this is in terms of very broad strokes, but that the economy consists of largely three

494
00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:37,520
parts in the modern world.

495
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:41,440
And there's the primary economy, which is the economy of nature, which is basically

496
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:48,240
everything that we get for close to free that the natural world gives us.

497
00:36:48,240 --> 00:36:52,240
That can be things like pollution sinks, you know, the things that we refer to as natural

498
00:36:52,240 --> 00:36:58,520
resources, food products, you know, those sorts of things that you can forage.

499
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:00,680
Those are all part of the primary economy of nature.

500
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:08,360
Also anything that we use towards the secondary economy, which is everything that is labor

501
00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:14,400
value added to turn into products and services of some sort.

502
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:18,920
So this is where agricultural commodities can come in because there's labor that's

503
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:23,880
required to actually do like some sort of broad field agriculture and resources that

504
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:24,880
flow into that.

505
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:27,040
But it's still based upon the hard resources.

506
00:37:27,040 --> 00:37:31,200
Then you have the tertiary economy, which is the economy of money and financial instruments.

507
00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:38,460
Now that should be based upon the primary and secondary economies.

508
00:37:38,460 --> 00:37:43,280
But because it is an abstraction, it has the ability to really separate itself from a lot

509
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:44,680
of those things.

510
00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:52,520
So this is why, for instance, we can look at a barrel of oil being drastically underpriced

511
00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:57,480
in terms of the tertiary economy in regards to the amount of physical work that it can

512
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:05,600
provide, because it's literally on the order of like, you know, working for a person working

513
00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:08,560
for years to produce the energy that's in there.

514
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:11,440
But yet it only costs $55.

515
00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:17,100
Now that's also a product of the abundance with which it is brought to the market.

516
00:38:17,100 --> 00:38:24,100
But again, if you're comparing physical work to physical work, it's drastically underpriced.

517
00:38:24,100 --> 00:38:30,020
Also with a lot of these sorts, you know, the main way that we have gotten rid of debts

518
00:38:30,020 --> 00:38:34,520
and been able to pay debts over the years, especially over our adult lifetime or over

519
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:39,920
our lifetimes, is by inflating away the currency in the financial realm.

520
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:45,160
Now there has been actual growth that has taken place during that time, but a lot of

521
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:48,040
that is flattened, especially in the developed world.

522
00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:52,400
So I think that when we're talking about those debts, we need to draw that connection

523
00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:55,800
between there's the currency that the debts are repaid.

524
00:38:55,800 --> 00:39:00,920
And there's a lot of games that can be played with that, and nobody will ever go broke betting

525
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:07,400
on the ability of capital to kind of consolidate and, you know, push the, you know, kick the

526
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:10,040
can down the road a little bit more.

527
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:12,880
But the other side of that is also the physical realm.

528
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:17,040
And if we look at the physical realm, the, you know, the news on that front, it's not

529
00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:18,040
good.

530
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:23,000
You know, I saw recently in the last week where they were looking at mean temperatures

531
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:28,120
in the North Atlantic Ocean, and they're vastly departing from the mean over the last 40 years

532
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,820
in terms of getting a lot warmer.

533
00:39:31,820 --> 00:39:35,000
We're looking at the effects of climate change coming down.

534
00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:41,600
We're looking at through climate and geopolitics reduced grain harvests around the world.

535
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:47,200
We're looking at continued resource and energy.

536
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:51,280
I don't want to say scarcity because we still live under unbelievable abundance in those

537
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:57,800
terms, but things are getting tougher to get what we need.

538
00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:01,080
And then if you look at all the things that are talked about as far as a transition from

539
00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:06,160
any moving away from fossil fuels, the amount of material that's needed to do that, we,

540
00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:08,800
I don't, it's not there by the numbers.

541
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:13,920
And when we talk about a lot of these things, as far as doomerism, I really go back to a

542
00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:15,280
lot of data on this.

543
00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:17,520
I mean, look, I went to school for engineering.

544
00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:21,800
I also went, you know, I also have studied history in a lot of depth.

545
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:27,440
I always go back to data and looking at how these things play out.

546
00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:34,000
And that's what leads me to when I look at industrial civilization, I don't have an optimistic

547
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:35,280
view of it.

548
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:42,120
I try to just look at it for kind of like, okay, what, what is, and where is this thing

549
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:43,120
heading?

550
00:40:43,120 --> 00:40:47,560
Now, where I went wrong in the past was listening to the people who were putting a date on peak

551
00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:51,520
oil, um, listening to people who are putting a date on really anything.

552
00:40:51,520 --> 00:40:56,280
Because when you're talking about these things in terms of patterns versus details, details

553
00:40:56,280 --> 00:41:01,120
can change a lot, but when you kind of assemble them and you look at a lot of these things

554
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:07,400
in a broader context in terms of ecology, energy, materials, even, you know, like the

555
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:13,400
financial economy and how it overlays a lot of those, a lot of those things, I find it

556
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:20,800
very hard to maintain an outlook that that's going to continue to grow and provide bigger

557
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:22,100
and better things.

558
00:41:22,100 --> 00:41:29,400
And this is the reason why I've kind of looked at staking, you know, a lot of my life within

559
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:31,640
developing alternatives in a lot of ways.

560
00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:36,920
And this has not been from the standpoint of, you know, running towards doomerism as

561
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:46,080
much as it's been about recognizing the lost art of community and the way that bringing

562
00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:52,260
economy and discovering other forms of capital other than finance capital, which really has

563
00:41:52,260 --> 00:41:59,480
commodified everything around the world for the last 150 years, the way that that can

564
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:05,680
help people gain a measure of agency over their own lives by working together with other

565
00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:06,680
people.

566
00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:11,120
And, you know, I came to the viewpoint a while ago that a lot of the, a lot of the reason

567
00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:17,880
why people have embraced commoditization of everything, part of it has to do with marketing

568
00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:21,500
because they're continually bombarded with the advertising telling them that it's true.

569
00:42:21,500 --> 00:42:29,260
Part of it has been kind of coerced because capital markets try to curtail any opportunities

570
00:42:29,260 --> 00:42:36,040
to tap into other forms of capital, like social capital, experiential capital, you know, spiritual

571
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:41,320
capital, things like that in order to meet your needs because they're not able to be

572
00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:42,920
profited off of.

573
00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:46,280
But the other thing is people kind of move towards that stuff because it allows them

574
00:42:46,280 --> 00:42:49,740
to get away from the difficulty of dealing with other people.

575
00:42:49,740 --> 00:42:56,320
But paradoxically, that cooperation and collaboration with other people is what gives you kind of

576
00:42:56,320 --> 00:43:01,080
like a measure of freedom from maybe being completely controlled by those forces.

577
00:43:01,080 --> 00:43:07,080
So, you know, like my garden in my backyard growing more and more food or trying to every

578
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:11,420
year where we can support ourselves and maybe even have a little bit of spare capacity to

579
00:43:11,420 --> 00:43:17,240
help other people out or even just share with other people to kind of build up social capital.

580
00:43:17,240 --> 00:43:23,880
Those sorts of things I think are very worthwhile projects for a world in which more people

581
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:31,720
seem like they're being kind of spun off of being within that demographic that gets the

582
00:43:31,720 --> 00:43:35,160
benefits of industrial society.

583
00:43:35,160 --> 00:43:39,320
I know I kind of went into my screed a little bit there and I was trying not to at the beginning,

584
00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:44,400
but I think that it's important that if we're discussing this, I'm very clear about kind

585
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:52,280
of where, you know, the place that I'm coming from with it and make sure that if you're

586
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:58,920
rejecting my doomerism to make sure that it's clear, you know, if you're still rejecting

587
00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:01,880
it, I don't have, you know, obviously I don't have an issue with that.

588
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:05,840
This is kind of a worldview that I've developed over a long period of time and taking in a

589
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:09,320
lot of information and a lot of data.

590
00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:14,240
But I want to make sure that, you know, it's that you're rejecting what I'm actually proposing,

591
00:44:14,240 --> 00:44:15,240
if that makes sense.

592
00:44:15,240 --> 00:44:17,920
Well, this is not a debate.

593
00:44:17,920 --> 00:44:25,000
Second, I mean, can you see that the answer that you just gave to my statement is very

594
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:27,720
much an illustration of my statement?

595
00:44:27,720 --> 00:44:30,880
OK, I can.

596
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:37,240
But at the same time, like I feel like this thing of running towards running towards community

597
00:44:37,240 --> 00:44:44,480
is trying to replace some is trying to tap into something that can give people happiness

598
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:52,080
and purpose from the standpoint of, you know, a lot of things that have been lost with the

599
00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:54,560
culture that we inhabit.

600
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:59,440
And look, I come from a rural area where this is, you know, I look at the stories that I

601
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:05,600
got from growing up in a place that my you know, my family on one side had occupied for

602
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:16,800
200 years and seeing how many of those institutions that had furthered communal life were had

603
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:22,520
evaporated by the time I came along and how it's only gotten worse in the time since.

604
00:45:22,520 --> 00:45:28,720
So you know, yes, there's a side of it that's looking at it from the perspective of.

605
00:45:28,720 --> 00:45:35,320
You know, I haven't seen a compelling case that we've got a cornucopia on the horizon

606
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:36,400
in a lot of ways.

607
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,960
That's really where my quote unquote, doomerism comes from on that.

608
00:45:39,960 --> 00:45:48,300
But the other flip side of it is that that opens up the opportunities for building other

609
00:45:48,300 --> 00:45:57,600
things that are very worthwhile and that are very much missing in a lot of our a lot of

610
00:45:57,600 --> 00:45:58,800
our lives.

611
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:05,040
And being able to see that is something that maybe, you know, contaminates or infects other

612
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:07,640
people within my locality.

613
00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:11,960
And there's already a lot of fertile ground for that already because I live in a place

614
00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:15,300
where when there's something that needs to be done, it's the kind of place where people

615
00:46:15,300 --> 00:46:20,640
just kind of step in and and fill those gaps in a lot of ways.

616
00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:26,160
So yeah, it's I think there's a there's a little bit of a little bit of both of those

617
00:46:26,160 --> 00:46:27,800
impulses going on at the same time.

618
00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:32,760
And this is this goes into a lot of my own spiritual kind of development with embracing

619
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:37,720
a lot of things on Eastern thought that I really hadn't considered over the last few

620
00:46:37,720 --> 00:46:43,000
years of living within dualities and, you know, instead of dichotomies in a lot of ways

621
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:53,800
and living within that tension of opposing poles.

622
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:55,840
That was Christopher Harrison.

623
00:46:55,840 --> 00:47:00,800
And I wrote to him and I asked him if he had a website that he wanted me to link to or

624
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:03,520
some notification about an upcoming event.

625
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:05,960
And he wrote back and he said, no, not really.

626
00:47:05,960 --> 00:47:08,000
Everything he's doing is really hyper local.

627
00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:14,880
If you don't live where he lives, you know, you're not going to be part of his activities.

628
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:16,600
He's not selling anything online.

629
00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:18,840
He doesn't he's not pimping a course.

630
00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:22,800
He doesn't have a show or a book that he wants you to spend money on.

631
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:29,760
He really is directing his efforts at building local community and local resilience.

632
00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:36,800
So obviously there's a few things that Christopher and I disagree on, but I have a policy that

633
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:42,580
after a guest has left the conversation, I do not use these closing remarks to score

634
00:47:42,580 --> 00:47:44,980
final points against them.

635
00:47:44,980 --> 00:47:50,400
So instead, what I'm going to do is reiterate the places where I agree with what Christopher

636
00:47:50,400 --> 00:47:53,140
articulated in this conversation.

637
00:47:53,140 --> 00:47:58,360
First of all, there's a famous quote by John Paul Sartre and I had to look it up because

638
00:47:58,360 --> 00:47:59,440
I didn't know the source.

639
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:02,760
It's just sort of this free floating quote that stuck in my head.

640
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:04,320
Hell is other people.

641
00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:08,040
It's from his 1944 play No Exit.

642
00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:12,960
And I take that to mean that, you know, most of the frustrations that we experience in

643
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:17,560
life are from our interactions with other people.

644
00:48:17,560 --> 00:48:23,080
But at the same time, all of our hopes, you know, all of our ambitions and most of our

645
00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:27,720
satisfactions in life come from our interactions with other people or involve our interactions

646
00:48:27,720 --> 00:48:29,840
with other people.

647
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:35,360
And one thing that Chris has articulated, which I really agree with, is that the modern

648
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:42,960
world with its sprawling international supply lines and mechanisms that allow us to access

649
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:49,480
the expertise and the labor of distant strangers, and also the commodification of everything,

650
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:54,680
has made it very easy to avoid lots of human interactions, which in the past would have

651
00:48:54,680 --> 00:48:56,840
been unavoidable.

652
00:48:56,840 --> 00:49:01,960
And as a result, our interpersonal skills have atrophied.

653
00:49:01,960 --> 00:49:08,000
Our ability to enter into cooperative, collaborative interactions with the people around us to

654
00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:14,320
achieve goals that we all need to have achieved have atrophied to our detriment.

655
00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:18,600
Because in addition to being a burden, that was also a source of satisfaction.

656
00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:23,760
It was also a source of what Theodore Kaczynski called human freedom, in which I would just

657
00:49:23,760 --> 00:49:26,560
call human flourishing.

658
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:32,880
We have evolved to cooperate with a group of people whom we know very, very well to

659
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:39,480
achieve the mutually beneficial goal of the survival of everybody in our group.

660
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:45,440
That means providing for food, protection from the elements, protection from rival human

661
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:54,680
bands, and also participation in the commemoration of the passage of certain life mile markers.

662
00:49:54,680 --> 00:49:59,320
When I was young, I rode horses a lot, because my dad was into horses.

663
00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:05,760
I've spent many, many hours in the saddle, but I never did learn to cinch a saddle, which

664
00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:08,880
is to say how to tie the saddle onto the horse.

665
00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:14,600
It's a particular knot with a long strap and a couple of rings, and my dad always did

666
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:17,060
it for me.

667
00:50:17,060 --> 00:50:22,240
So while if you, you know, if you present a saddled horse to me, I can get on and ride

668
00:50:22,240 --> 00:50:28,480
it like I know something, present me the horse and the saddle, and I'll probably have to

669
00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:34,040
pull out my phone and then fiddle with the saddle strap for a long time to get it cinched

670
00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:36,400
up properly.

671
00:50:36,400 --> 00:50:43,080
That's a skill that in a previous time, most everybody would know how to saddle a horse.

672
00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:45,540
And now very few people do.

673
00:50:45,540 --> 00:50:46,720
But we don't need to.

674
00:50:46,720 --> 00:50:49,320
Most of us don't have access to horses.

675
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:53,260
I think this is a phrase I got from Albert Bates, who runs the Ecovillage Training Center

676
00:50:53,260 --> 00:50:58,240
on the farm in Summertown, Tennessee, a place where I lived for a couple of years.

677
00:50:58,240 --> 00:51:04,120
He called horses land yachts, which is to say just very expensive toys that you don't

678
00:51:04,120 --> 00:51:08,880
use very often that don't really do all that much, but which cost a lot of money.

679
00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:13,040
Similar to the definition of a boat, which is a hole in the water that you throw money

680
00:51:13,040 --> 00:51:14,880
into.

681
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:16,160
But that wasn't always the case.

682
00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:21,480
It used to be that if you needed to go someplace further than it was convenient to walk, you

683
00:51:21,480 --> 00:51:25,880
used horses, which meant you knew how to put a saddle on a horse, or you knew how to hook

684
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:31,560
a horse up to a conveyance of some sort, a wagon or a carriage.

685
00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:32,880
Nobody knows how to do that anymore.

686
00:51:32,880 --> 00:51:33,960
And it's not a big deal.

687
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:36,600
We don't need to know how to do that.

688
00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:38,200
But it is a loss.

689
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:43,520
And when it comes to interacting with human beings, it's a devastating loss, I think.

690
00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:49,800
I put up a video yesterday in which I was responding to a post to a subreddit that I

691
00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:51,240
mostly just lurk on.

692
00:51:51,240 --> 00:51:59,720
It's called StupidPoll, or StoopidPoll, criticizing identity politics from a Marxist perspective.

693
00:51:59,720 --> 00:52:07,880
And I was reading both the initial post about why we in the United States and in the industrialized,

694
00:52:07,880 --> 00:52:14,280
so-called, previously so-called, First World generally don't rebel or can't rebel effectively.

695
00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:17,440
The original poster was saying it's largely because of social media.

696
00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:23,440
All of our discontent goes into crafting angry tweets, and we just don't get together and

697
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:25,360
do anything effective.

698
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:29,240
And other people, they chimed in saying, eh, not so much.

699
00:52:29,240 --> 00:52:31,880
Probably one of the reasons we don't rebel is we are pretty comfortable.

700
00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:35,640
There is great inequality, but even people at the very lowest end are mostly suffering

701
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:38,880
from a lack of dignity, not a lack of food and shelter.

702
00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:46,040
And other people have chimed in to say, look, the demographic that is going to carry out

703
00:52:46,040 --> 00:52:49,540
a revolution is typically young men.

704
00:52:49,540 --> 00:52:57,000
Men age 15 to 30 will put their lives on the line for attention, for validation, or in

705
00:52:57,000 --> 00:52:58,920
the service of an ideology.

706
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:02,960
But once you're over 30, that willingness to throw your body into the meat grinder of

707
00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:07,520
a battle in the service of an ideology is greatly diminished.

708
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:12,600
And in aging societies like the one in which we live, the idea that there's going to be

709
00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:17,640
a violent uprising against the government, particularly when we are mostly pretty comfortable,

710
00:53:17,640 --> 00:53:19,560
it's just, it's a stretch.

711
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:23,960
And our young men today are cocooned.

712
00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:27,240
You know, they don't really need to get out and interact with people.

713
00:53:27,240 --> 00:53:34,040
They can just stay at home and play video games and increasingly interact with AI companions.

714
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:36,200
And AI companions are very easy to get along with.

715
00:53:36,200 --> 00:53:37,400
You don't have to be nice to them.

716
00:53:37,400 --> 00:53:39,900
They will always be nice to you.

717
00:53:39,900 --> 00:53:46,240
You don't have to learn how to negotiate the ongoing interaction so as to maintain the

718
00:53:46,240 --> 00:53:47,400
relationship.

719
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:50,200
The AI does all that for you.

720
00:53:50,200 --> 00:53:53,740
And while, you know, it can be really nice to have a long conversation about something

721
00:53:53,740 --> 00:54:00,760
you're interested in with, you know, for me, it's Pi from inflection.ai or, you know, with

722
00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:08,520
chat GPT or if you're into, you know, simulated romantic relationships, an app like replica.

723
00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:12,640
While that can be a nice outlet, it's better than nothing in an environment where somebody

724
00:54:12,640 --> 00:54:13,960
is starved for comfort.

725
00:54:13,960 --> 00:54:19,680
The more you lean into that, the more you lose your ability to actually get along with

726
00:54:19,680 --> 00:54:25,720
real human beings and getting along with real human beings is what we are designed to do.

727
00:54:25,720 --> 00:54:27,400
Designed, I would say, by evolution.

728
00:54:27,400 --> 00:54:33,460
But, you know, even if you're a theist, it's clear that, you know, if you think of our

729
00:54:33,460 --> 00:54:39,080
psychology as something given to us by God, that God intended for us to interact with

730
00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:46,360
other human beings and to cooperate with them to meet our survival needs and our sprawling

731
00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:51,080
international, you know, supply system, this mechanism by which we provide people with

732
00:54:51,080 --> 00:54:55,520
food, shelter, clothing, medical care, and entertainment, it's so sprawling we can't

733
00:54:55,520 --> 00:55:00,280
know everybody who is engaged in the process of bringing us the things that we need.

734
00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:04,920
It becomes all very impersonal, which for us, given our psychology, be it God given

735
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:10,440
or instilled in us by evolution, that's just not how we are designed to live and thrive

736
00:55:10,440 --> 00:55:12,720
and enjoy our existence.

737
00:55:12,720 --> 00:55:20,480
So while we are old, fat, and happy, and not about to rock the boat, we're also unhappy.

738
00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:25,960
But the system that provides for our needs makes it really difficult to reestablish those

739
00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:27,060
local networks.

740
00:55:27,060 --> 00:55:31,620
As Christopher demonstrates with his ongoing efforts and his ongoing actions, he's clearly

741
00:55:31,620 --> 00:55:37,320
committed to the project, but it's an uphill battle, but one that is certainly worth fighting

742
00:55:37,320 --> 00:55:39,040
and I'm glad he's fighting it.

743
00:55:39,040 --> 00:55:43,040
Alright, you heard about half of the conversation with Christopher.

744
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:47,240
The remaining half will be on the next episode of the Sea Realm Vault podcast, which, if

745
00:55:47,240 --> 00:55:52,000
memory serves, will be episode number 461.

746
00:55:52,000 --> 00:55:54,400
That is a podcast that is behind a paywall.

747
00:55:54,400 --> 00:55:58,840
It's $7 a month, if you want to listen to it, and the only way for new subscribers to

748
00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:00,600
access it is through Patreon.

749
00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:06,680
So my Patreon page is patreon.com slash KMO.

750
00:56:06,680 --> 00:56:12,360
Now I'm a little chagrined, I haven't listened to the second part of the conversation, but

751
00:56:12,360 --> 00:56:15,440
I've seen the WAV files and I see...

752
00:56:15,440 --> 00:56:19,960
I remember going on a long rant and I can see that it's more than 20 minutes, you know,

753
00:56:19,960 --> 00:56:22,520
of like a 45 minute conversation.

754
00:56:22,520 --> 00:56:30,720
So I'm reluctant to even listen to it, but I will.

755
00:56:30,720 --> 00:56:34,080
I will make it available in the next episode of the Sea Realm Vault podcast.

756
00:56:34,080 --> 00:56:39,240
So if you want to hear the conclusion of the conversation with Christopher, do check out

757
00:56:39,240 --> 00:56:41,360
my Patreon, patreon.com slash KMO.

758
00:56:41,360 --> 00:56:45,720
And if you just want to hear me rant, well, I do it on YouTube all the time.

759
00:56:45,720 --> 00:56:52,440
My YouTube channel is out of my head, which if you search for it by the title, you'll

760
00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:53,440
never find it.

761
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:55,800
YouTube will never show it to you.

762
00:56:55,800 --> 00:57:00,680
But I post links to my YouTube videos on my Patreon feed and they are not behind a paywall,

763
00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:04,920
so there's plenty of free content at patreon.com slash KMO.

764
00:57:04,920 --> 00:57:07,040
All right.

765
00:57:07,040 --> 00:57:08,040
Thank you very much for listening.

766
00:57:08,040 --> 00:57:10,560
I will talk to you again quite soon.

767
00:57:10,560 --> 00:57:31,600
Stay well.

