1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:05,600
Disclaimer, all these thoughts and opinions are our own and our guests and do not belong to any entities we're involved in.

2
00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:11,800
Also keep in mind we are active college students so any of this does not reflect active investment advice or counsel.

3
00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:14,800
Yo Crockett, what would you do if you had a billion dollars?

4
00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:17,600
I like where this is going.

5
00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:18,600
Um...

6
00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:21,600
I don't know, are there any caveats?

7
00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:25,000
Yeah, one big one. You ended up losing 87% of it.

8
00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:28,400
Alright, I don't like where this is going anymore.

9
00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:32,400
Well what's your next move you think? You had a billion dollars and you lose 87% of it. What do you do next?

10
00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:40,400
I gotta get that money back. Probably like, I don't know, going to finance, boring job, investment banking, something like that.

11
00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:43,400
Um, I don't know, do you have any suggestions?

12
00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:45,400
Yeah, what about, you know, selling carpets?

13
00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:47,400
What?

14
00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:50,400
Yeah, you know, carpets, rugs. Every house needs a carpet, no?

15
00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:52,400
I feel like this is going somewhere.

16
00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:53,400
Yeah, it's going somewhere.

17
00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:54,400
I feel like this could make an interesting episode.

18
00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:55,400
I think so too.

19
00:00:55,400 --> 00:01:05,400
Alright guys, welcome back to Uninvested. Today we're going to be talking about John Foley, who is the ex-CEO of Peloton and his new venture, which sells custom carpets.

20
00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:06,400
I'm Sahil Seth.

21
00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:07,400
I'm Crockett Calloway.

22
00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:08,400
And this is Uninvested.

23
00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:10,400
Welcome back everyone.

24
00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:20,400
Real quick in the beginning, thanks for the support on all the new social media channels. We've been trying to load up our Instagram, our YouTube is growing, our TikTok is growing actually.

25
00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:28,400
Yep, follow us at un.invested on Instagram. We're posting funny short clips from the videos, got some memes up there.

26
00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:29,400
Our memes are good.

27
00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:30,400
All the good stuff.

28
00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:37,400
Pretty good. And thank you again for the Spotify and Apple Podcast listeners for tuning in. Shout out to you guys, we never forget about you.

29
00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:46,400
But let's get back to this. So, the idea today is John Foley, ex-CEO of Peloton and his new venture, which includes selling carpets?

30
00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:55,400
Yeah, so it's called Ernesta. It's a new venture. So, for those of you who know the ex-CEO of Peloton, Peloton has gone through a pretty, you know, they've gone through a lot of turmoil.

31
00:01:55,400 --> 00:02:02,400
Why don't we talk about that first, you know, the rise and fall of Peloton, you know. Sounds similar to when we talked about Adam Newman, you know, the rise and fall of WeWork.

32
00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,400
This is not as bad, but I will say it's pretty bad.

33
00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:07,400
Yeah. Let's give, I mean, I can give some background, right?

34
00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:08,400
Yeah, for sure.

35
00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:20,400
I assume most of the people listening, you guys know what Peloton is, the at home fitness bike and online fitness program company.

36
00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:23,400
During the pandemic, they were huge. Let's give some background, right?

37
00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:25,400
They got treadmills. They got treadmills.

38
00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:28,400
They got treadmills too, but I feel like they're known for the bikes and the shoes.

39
00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,400
Everyone likes to flex about them when you have them.

40
00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:31,400
Yeah.

41
00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:35,400
It's a big part of it. I don't know. I've never been on one, so have you been on one?

42
00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:41,400
Yeah, I've been on one once, but I've never done it with like where you like have the giant screen, watch like the videos and like follow along.

43
00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:43,400
It's usually like a normal like stationary bike.

44
00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:47,400
Well, maybe it's good that we haven't used them because they're going through some stuff. I'll walk you through the background for the listeners.

45
00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:50,400
So, the year is 2012.

46
00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:59,400
Five people come together and they found Peloton. Those people include John Foley, who we're highlighting today, Hissow Koushi, Tom Cortese.

47
00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:00,400
I have the names up here.

48
00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:09,400
Graham Stanton and Yoni Feng. That last guy, Yoni Feng, he like met the rest of them because one of his roommates worked at the company where all the other founders worked.

49
00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:14,400
They worked at IAC, which was a software and internet services company.

50
00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:16,400
So they're like working like SaaS software center?

51
00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:19,400
Yeah, basically. It still exists. Like their stock is up as of today.

52
00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:23,400
So, you know, this company still exists, but they all quit IAC.

53
00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:26,400
2012, they come together. They found Peloton.

54
00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:33,400
They in 2013 go on Kickstarter and they released their first early bird bike.

55
00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,400
Their like most expensive version was fifteen hundred dollars.

56
00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,400
Really? Which I think that's like cheaper than it's like two thousand now.

57
00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:41,400
I think the cheapest version is like two thousand.

58
00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,400
Yeah, probably something crazy like that.

59
00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:51,400
So, right. Humble beginnings. In the beginning, it said that Foley let the other guys kind of I think there's an exact quote.

60
00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:58,400
The other guys took it, ran with it and built it while I was gone. And what he was gone doing, this is Foley in this case, was fundraising.

61
00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:07,400
So he was leading, going out to investors. We've talked a lot on the show about there's the idea that, you know, investors have to pitch VCs just as much as VCs have to pitch.

62
00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,400
Excuse me. Investors have to pitch founders just as much as founders have to pitch investors.

63
00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:14,400
And so he was kind of the point man going out and pitching Peloton.

64
00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:16,400
He was pitching or was he getting pitched to? Was he like?

65
00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:17,400
Probably a bit of both.

66
00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:20,400
Yeah, I don't think Peloton was that big, you know, like it is now.

67
00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,400
Especially. No, you're definitely at that point wasn't that big.

68
00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:29,400
But, you know, the point is from a financing perspective, he was the guy going out and trying to raise capital on their behalf.

69
00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:33,400
So they start shipping their bikes in 2014. Again, slow rise.

70
00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:36,400
Twenty eighteen, they start to pick up a lot of momentum.

71
00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:41,400
As of twenty eighteen, they'd raised more than half a billion dollars in VC funding.

72
00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:46,400
The five hundred and fifty million in VC funding that put them at a valuation of four point one billion.

73
00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:54,400
That's crazy. All that funding, like even before the pandemic, everyone stuck at home and like essentially forced to use, you know, home exercise units like a Peloton.

74
00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,400
They were already the market was already primed.

75
00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,400
They were already like there was a rising interest in at home work.

76
00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,400
So COVID was like a gift to them almost. Oh my. It was like the layup.

77
00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:04,400
They like really just fast tracked them. Beyond the layup.

78
00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:08,400
So so here's the thing, Sahil, and like you pointed out, it's a brilliant segue.

79
00:05:08,400 --> 00:05:10,400
COVID happens, right? People can't go outside. Yeah.

80
00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:17,400
I'm sure many of our listeners know this Peloton skyrockets to a point that actually in twenty nineteen they IPO.

81
00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:19,400
Yeah. An IPO is an initial public offering.

82
00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:23,400
So that's when me and Crockett go out. We could become, you know, owners of Peloton now.

83
00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:26,400
Yes. So now at this point, you can buy a share of Peloton.

84
00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:31,400
It's what's known as it's now a public company before it was a private company because anyone can go out.

85
00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:36,400
They IPO at thirty dollars a share. That means you can buy one share of Peloton is thirty dollars.

86
00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:41,400
I know there are some like Schwab lets you buy half shares and like you can buy like Robin Hood. Right.

87
00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:43,400
You can buy like a fraction of a share. Yeah, exactly.

88
00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:47,400
So you could go put a dollar into into Peloton. You wouldn't own much of it.

89
00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:51,400
But they started off in COVID. Thirty dollars a share at the height of COVID.

90
00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:53,400
They're trading at one hundred and seventy one dollars a share.

91
00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:57,400
Yeah. And that's that's what John Fowler becomes the billionaire. He gets the B. Yes.

92
00:05:57,400 --> 00:06:01,400
He hits the one B, which is which is where intro came out in the beginning of this.

93
00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:03,400
Even before that, they'd hit unicorn status. Right.

94
00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:08,400
Unicorn status again is a startup valued at least a billion dollars. Four point one billion dollar valuation.

95
00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:11,400
So they're doing really well. Right. Since then.

96
00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:14,400
And by the way, we just noted like COVID was a prime time for them.

97
00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:19,400
Right. Because it's just it's it's everything Peloton will want. There's online classes.

98
00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:21,400
You have a perfect at home workout machine.

99
00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:24,400
You can brag to your friends about these awesome things you're doing at home.

100
00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:29,400
And suddenly they want to up their like in-home workout space. It's perfect. Yeah.

101
00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:32,400
And since then, how have they done so? Yeah, I know.

102
00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:38,400
I think people were like, do I pay two thousand dollars to get a bike that doesn't move,

103
00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:44,400
that sits in my house, but you know, I could go outside and run, you know, just as good going to bike outside.

104
00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,400
It's nice. And I feel like, you know, after a couple of people really cooped up.

105
00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,400
So it's like, I don't want to spend more time at my house than I have to.

106
00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:55,400
If I go to a gym, finally, I might as well just go out and get myself a membership, which is exponentially cheaper.

107
00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,400
Maybe like thirty dollars a month. I like a lot of gyms.

108
00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:01,400
They can get more expensive, but nowhere touching two thousand dollars.

109
00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:06,400
So it's almost like you can tell the future because that's exactly what happened with Peloton.

110
00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:09,400
They ended up their stock ended up taking at one point.

111
00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:14,400
Their stock was trading at like six dollars and sixty cents a share.

112
00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:17,400
Mind you, like I just said, they IPO to thirty dollars a share.

113
00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:19,400
At one point, they were at one hundred and seventy dollars.

114
00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:23,400
So you can one share is one hundred seventy dollars. You're going down to six dollars.

115
00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:27,400
These days, they're consistently trading below their IPO price.

116
00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:34,400
So they're less than thirty dollars just this year. Companies laid off reportedly more than five thousand employees.

117
00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:37,400
They lost their top four executives.

118
00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:41,400
I mean, that's nowhere near what Metta just Facebook Metta, whatever you want to call them, just laid off.

119
00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:46,400
Eleven thousand people. Yeah. Just, you know, one weekend and then Twitter the weekend before.

120
00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:50,400
Everyone's here. That's here. The thing is like everyone's going through tough times right now, especially.

121
00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:56,400
But I think when you look at Peloton, like this is a business who made their profits off the pandemic that, you know,

122
00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:59,400
obviously, covid still going around. There's no denying that.

123
00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:03,400
But the height of their success, the environment that they operated in is gone.

124
00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:05,400
Metta is just like, look, crypto is here to stay.

125
00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,400
And if he's here to stay, the metaverse is here to stay.

126
00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:10,400
They're just going through tough times, especially given like the recession. Yeah. Fair enough.

127
00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:13,400
Would you blame Foley like you think it's his fault?

128
00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:15,400
Do you think it's just like, you know, company blew up?

129
00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:19,400
Look, you know, got too big or I think he had a little bit of poor leadership there.

130
00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:25,400
You know, I don't think he really had that, like took full advantage of that growth and like anticipated for the downturn.

131
00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:28,400
No, I think you're right. Like there's room for foresight.

132
00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:33,400
There's room to look at his own success, be aware that the pandemic is what's contributing to it.

133
00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:37,400
Yeah. And maybe make like a strategic pivot.

134
00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:41,400
What is it? Just for our listeners, what is a pivot in the VC and entrepreneurial space?

135
00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:44,400
Like define pivot. Well, pivot can be in celebrate things.

136
00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:48,400
You know, it could be changing of ideas, changing the business, really just a change.

137
00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:54,400
We'll call pivot a change. But specifically Foley had a very big pivot in what he's doing with his life.

138
00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:57,400
He had a life pivot. What's that?

139
00:08:57,400 --> 00:09:01,400
So now he's going to see he just started this company, Ernesto. So he quit.

140
00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:03,400
So he's done. Yeah, he did quit.

141
00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:06,400
We came under a lot of scrutiny. It wasn't like, you know, putting on my own accord.

142
00:09:06,400 --> 00:09:11,400
It was like people are like, listen, like this company is failing. We need new leadership.

143
00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:16,400
So he quits. And by the way, he's not quitting it like just any time.

144
00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:22,400
There's reports right now that like Nike, Apple, Amazon are interested in actually purchasing and buying out Peloton.

145
00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:26,400
Right. So he's like he's feeling a lot of external pressure at this point.

146
00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:28,400
He's a hard and entrepreneur. He's a hard and leader.

147
00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:33,400
Actually, before he had left ISE to go found Peloton, he was the president of Barnes and Noble for a little bit.

148
00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:36,400
Oh, wow. I didn't know that. Yeah. So he so he's he's a hard and leader.

149
00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,400
He's he's no newbie. So he's well.

150
00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:42,400
So it's like a founder and like a proven CEO. Yes. OK. Well, proven.

151
00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:46,400
I mean, prove scale company. Well, I mean, what does he prove exactly?

152
00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:48,400
Yeah. I mean, we could say like Adam Newman is proven.

153
00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:52,400
They're able to scale it, but, you know, consistency was that they will call it.

154
00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:59,400
So so he leaves just like Adam Newman at his which we'll talk about in a second.

155
00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:03,400
He leaves and he found Ernesta. What's the current status there?

156
00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:07,400
So this raised twenty five million dollars in a series day.

157
00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:13,400
So basically like one of the first big funding rounds will call it by a lot of his old investors that invested in Peloton.

158
00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:17,400
So he kind of used his network, used his connections to get more money for his new idea.

159
00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:26,400
This is kind of brings back to that point about Adam Newman of these venture capital firms really having faith in these founders, knowing the team itself, not just the idea.

160
00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:31,400
You can have a great idea, but these firms also have to have a lot of faith in the people backing the idea.

161
00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:35,400
And that's that's also the role of like an active investor.

162
00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:41,400
It's like you back the person, you back who they are, you back the concept that this person is going to go on to do bigger and better things.

163
00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:44,400
Yeah. And they're going to keep being successful and entrepreneurial.

164
00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:47,400
And you stick with which is what which is what, for example, a true venture is doing.

165
00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:55,400
Exactly. True Ventures in addition, you know, both the both the people that, you know, love those companies were early in on Peloton.

166
00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:59,400
You know, their series B and C round. So they're very accustomed to Jack Foley.

167
00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:01,400
They have a lot of faith in him. They think he's going to scale his business.

168
00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:09,400
But, you know, it's kind of hard to imagine that this custom rug idea in like this recessionary environment got twenty five million dollars.

169
00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:11,400
There's got to be something more to it. There's got to be something special.

170
00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:20,400
Look, are people like to get more context what the company does essentially instead of, you know, going to like Home Depot Lowe's buying like these generic carpets they sell in bulk.

171
00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:25,400
You know, you know, it's like going to a pottery bar and getting like a specialty rug for your house instead.

172
00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:31,400
And the idea is that they're all they're all a custom cut. Right. Yeah. So they like whatever that means. Yeah. I don't know.

173
00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:36,400
They buy like they like lots of carpets, I guess, and cut them and do everything themselves.

174
00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:42,400
But I don't know. Makes me think like, is that the number one people are like worrying about now? Like gas prices are really high.

175
00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:48,400
I think you're going to save to buy gas for your car rather than buy a new rug, especially like for first time homeowners.

176
00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:52,400
Well, what I'm curious about, too, is we keep questioning like whether or not this is a good idea.

177
00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:58,400
How can you justify pivoting from like a massive like something in the fitness industry, which is like a booming industry?

178
00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:01,400
Yes. That's tech slash tech industry. Right.

179
00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:06,400
I think there's got to be another angle on this carpet. Like what is their next product? Like are they trying to sell something else?

180
00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:10,400
This is just like the beachhead product for those of you that don't know.

181
00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:17,400
The beachhead is like kind of like how you enter the market, how you like grip your customers before, you know, selling them something else, selling them more products, really like hooking them in.

182
00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:22,400
Because what I have a hard time forgetting about right now is, look, he was the president of Barnes and Noble.

183
00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:28,400
Barnes and Noble is a B2C business. B2C means business to consumer. And so you're a business, you're selling things to consumers.

184
00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:35,400
Other other types of businesses are like B2B. You're a business who sells a product to another business like software or something like that.

185
00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:40,400
So we use B2C, business to consumer at Barnes and Noble. Then he goes to Peloton. That's a B2C business as well.

186
00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:45,400
He knows the space. Yeah, direct to consumer. He's selling just to consumers, not to other businesses.

187
00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:51,400
Direct to consumers. So he obviously knows like the times when B2C businesses work, when they succeed, the team you need.

188
00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:57,400
So he's clearly seeing some. And so Ernest said this rug business, the carpet business, it's a B2C business as well.

189
00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:02,400
So he's clearly seeing. So he knows the space. He knows people. He knows how to sell retail.

190
00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:08,400
It's a very different product, you might say, but same industry will call it. It's also like an at home industry too, right?

191
00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:12,400
Yeah, exactly. Just like Peloton. It's like big assets, expensive assets. Rugs aren't cheap.

192
00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:17,400
You know, when I first rented out, when I first rented this place, I had no idea how expensive rugs were.

193
00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:25,400
Much more expensive than I initially thought. So it makes me think this is like this is gold undercut the rug market and sell like mass amounts of cheap prices.

194
00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:34,400
I guess, but still like it's not like he will. His claim is like pitches is like people are going to protect the hardwood, hardwood floors under number one assets.

195
00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:43,400
No one asked it being their home. But I don't know the future. I see people buying homes less and less, you know, interest rates touching right around seven percent.

196
00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:48,400
Only going to climb, you know, the Fed, the people that control the interest rates are just saying, you know, they're not slowing down at all.

197
00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:54,400
They want to slow down spending and they're going to keep raising the interest rates. And that means buying a home ultimately is more expensive.

198
00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:59,400
They cut like for every dollar you put on your home, it's more than just that dollar. You have to pay that interest rate on it.

199
00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:03,400
So then. OK, so my question to you is that this is just speculation. Yeah.

200
00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:07,400
So in a time when people are concerned about their home value, they have less purchasing power as well.

201
00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:10,400
Like, do you want to be upping the value of your home by purchasing a rug?

202
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:15,400
Because now you're making this space nicer, like if you're buying a place where they're not, you're buying a place with or without furniture.

203
00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,400
If you're showing a house and there's a nice rug in the house, home value goes up.

204
00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:24,400
Or is it that like maybe this is dangerous because you're already worried about the amount of money you have, you worried about your home value.

205
00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:28,400
Why are you going to go spend money accessorizing your house? Exactly. That's what my thoughts.

206
00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:31,400
That's exactly my thoughts. Why would I go buy? It just seems extra.

207
00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:38,400
There seems to be like no demand there for carpets, like as people have less demand for spending carpets going to go right down with it.

208
00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:42,400
It's not like carpets have this steady inelastic demand that's going to be persistent over time.

209
00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:46,400
I feel like one of the first things to go in this room is going to be the carpet. It's not going to be the couch.

210
00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:51,400
It's going to be the furniture. It's going to be the first thing we're selling when our house goes under is we're selling our carpets.

211
00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:55,400
Yeah, like none of you can see the carpets, but you can all see the couch if you're watching, of course.

212
00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:59,400
But I mean, this makes me think too, right? Is like we keep going.

213
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:01,400
We have so many questions for him at the end of the day.

214
00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:04,400
There are VC firms that just raised twenty five million dollars for him.

215
00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:06,400
So we must have picked something special to someone. Yeah. Right.

216
00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:09,400
Because you can be an active investor, but the end of the day, you're going to you're going to question things.

217
00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:15,400
You're going to do your due diligence. You're not just going to accept his idea for a just like a completely.

218
00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:17,400
Your custom rug business. Right.

219
00:15:17,400 --> 00:15:22,400
The other thing I keep thinking about is he had a little bit of foresight when he was doing Peloton. Right.

220
00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:25,400
Like he must have explored this market of people increasingly doing at home.

221
00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:27,400
Yeah. Fitness industry itself.

222
00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:32,400
He knew he he had ideas that people didn't have about like where space was going. Yeah.

223
00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:38,400
Is there a certain direction that like the rug market is going?

224
00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:42,400
I wonder what like the average lifespan of a person buying a rug is.

225
00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:46,400
Do you buy a rug keep that for the rest of your life? Like a custom rug?

226
00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:49,400
Mm hmm. Like how long do you keep like a custom rug?

227
00:15:49,400 --> 00:15:51,400
I would imagine you keep it up. Right.

228
00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,400
That's like you're customized. You're putting value into it.

229
00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,400
Like but then you don't have a lot of repeat customers.

230
00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:58,400
I mean, I guess you buy a rug for like every room in your house.

231
00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:00,400
But that customer is not coming back.

232
00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:03,400
You don't really have to like sell something like we're like Peloton.

233
00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:06,400
You have two thousand dollars. Super high churn. Right. Yeah, exactly.

234
00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:11,400
And let me. Yeah. So churn, by the way, in entrepreneurship in VC is.

235
00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:12,400
So there's retention and churn.

236
00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,400
Retention is the people that stick with your business and keep doing it.

237
00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,400
Churn is the people that churn out of your business.

238
00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,400
Yeah. And they're no longer customers to your business.

239
00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:24,400
And so when we say that they have intense churn here, it's like you're buying a rug once.

240
00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:26,400
And then you never buy from them again. You're never using this business.

241
00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:30,400
Unless it's like a subscription, you know, like you you pay 30 bucks a month to keep your rug.

242
00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:35,400
Yeah. And then as soon as you don't pay the 30 dollars, someone knocks at your door, pulls the rug out of your house.

243
00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:37,400
Yeah. I mean, what's crazy to me is they don't even have like a product.

244
00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:42,400
They haven't even established like maybe they've gotten like deals in contracts that can make cheaper rugs.

245
00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:47,400
But it's not like they have listed a rug, shown a physical product, having a custom rug that is cheaper.

246
00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:50,400
I mean, what happens when you go on the website right now? Like what's the website?

247
00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:52,400
Yeah. The website does have like any information.

248
00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:55,400
Just like, oh, join our newsletter, you know, sign up for your information.

249
00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,400
News will launch like in the spring or something. Right.

250
00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:03,400
I mean, there's pretty much nothing. Which I mean, you know what this exactly reminds me of?

251
00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:08,400
Speaking of nothing on it, we have talked about in a previous episode is Adam Newman.

252
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:14,400
Yeah. Right. Like, Adam Newman, founder of WeWork, like we talked about in a previous episode.

253
00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,400
We can we can roll the clip for everyone listening.

254
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:25,400
Adam Newman, famed and somewhat failed CEO, has just had a massive recent 350 million dollar investment

255
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:33,400
backed by his same former lead investor, Anderson Horowitz, for his new company, which people are widely speculating about.

256
00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:37,400
Yeah. So so there you heard it. Adam Newman, extreme parallels here.

257
00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:42,400
He goes on to found his next real estate venture and there's no information on it.

258
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:45,400
And there's very little information about Ernesta here, too. Exactly.

259
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:51,400
Like are they operating in stealth or like are they just still too early for any product to be out there?

260
00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,400
I don't know. Because at the end of the day, right, like you're a new founder.

261
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:58,400
You want a certain degree of stealth, especially when you're you have so many eyeballs on you.

262
00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:00,400
Yeah. Like John Foley does here.

263
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:02,400
Like people know he has good ideas.

264
00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:07,400
It's he's clearly afraid that like as soon as he releases any information, it's going to get copied,

265
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:09,400
which happens with every single business out there. Exactly.

266
00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:15,400
What do you see is like the differences between what he's doing versus what Adam Newman has also done?

267
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:18,400
I don't know. I mean, there wasn't really that much like press on.

268
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:23,400
If you're not really following like V.C. News, like you would have no idea that the ex-CEO Peloton is starting to start.

269
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:28,400
You know, but I guess like that's twofold just because the amount of money he raised was three hundred million dollars.

270
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:35,400
And Peloton, unlike we were, didn't like lose people billions at the top of the people lost a lot of money.

271
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:39,400
But it wasn't like a complete failure like we work is today.

272
00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:47,400
But I guess the parallels would be like between the two people themselves just like using their like charisma to go out and give themselves a second chance.

273
00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:51,400
But I don't know, are they owed that? Like do they have the ability? Like should they get this chance?

274
00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:57,400
Look, I I deaf. OK, in my opinion, I think this is really different than we work.

275
00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,400
I think that John Foley is is owed this experience.

276
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:05,400
He can continue on. He can continue on and like found a new venture.

277
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:11,400
It's very different than Adam Newman, like Adam Newman made a lot of poor leadership decisions in we work.

278
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:20,400
Of course, then, like even if if it was heavily like dramaticized and there was we crashed, like even if that stuff wasn't completely true,

279
00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:24,400
that's how people see him now. Right. And you can't help but like changing people's minds.

280
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:32,400
John Foley didn't make any like direct like maybe he didn't have the foresight to anticipate that the end of the pandemic would also lead to kind of a decline in Peloton.

281
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:37,400
But like that's something a lot of people could have made a decision like to do the exact same thing.

282
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:39,400
He's just doing the best he can. I don't know.

283
00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:44,400
It's like that's so he didn't do like promise anything like fake dreams.

284
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:49,400
I think at the end of the day, this is a lot just more interesting to me than it is like scary.

285
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:53,400
Like Adam Newman stuff scares me scary like giving him three hundred million dollars.

286
00:19:53,400 --> 00:20:01,400
Scary. Yeah. Terrifying. This is this is just you're having nice active investors stick with you, giving you another twenty five million dollars.

287
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:06,400
He made a safe exit from the company. It wasn't a contested exit from the company.

288
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:10,400
Maybe the like the status he left Peloton was contested. But yeah, it feels pretty.

289
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:13,400
Yeah. I mean, twenty five million like to us, that's like a lot.

290
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:16,400
That's a lot of a lot of money. But like to these firms, you have to think about it.

291
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:19,400
They have to like they have to spend all the money in their funds.

292
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:24,400
They have to like deploy that capital, we'll say, and give it to entrepreneurs.

293
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:30,400
You know, they have billions of dollars to get twenty five billion like is a big check size, I'll say.

294
00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:35,400
But, you know, in the grand scheme of things, they're allowed like they have the ability to take that bet.

295
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:39,400
Right. It's also like it's a big check size. We don't know what kind of valuation they have yet.

296
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:50,400
So it could I don't know, it could really be anything at this point. But what we'll do is like look, we'll probably continue to post updates about this on our on our Instagram and all of our social.

297
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:56,400
They're expected to launch or Nessa officially in the spring. So yeah, we'll keep up.

298
00:20:56,400 --> 00:21:01,400
They may we'll do an update episode on how our nest is doing. Maybe if it's cheaper by our custom rug, who knows?

299
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:06,400
Oh, maybe we should do an Arnessa review. Oh, yeah, that'd be fun. We'll get like a little uninvested rug or something.

300
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:12,400
Let us know. Give us a give us a comment in the YouTube or on the on the Instagram or any of our platforms and a little bit of review on it. Yeah.

301
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:16,400
Good stuff. For sure. Well, hope you guys enjoyed the episode.

302
00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:21,400
Sorry to John Foley for getting the rug pulled out under him. No pun intended from Peloton.

303
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:36,400
But as always, I'm so Sahil, I'm Crockett Calloway, and this is Uninvested. Thank you.

