WEBVTT

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You're listening to There Auto Be A Law, the

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Center for Auto Safety podcast with Executive

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Director Michael Brooks, Chief Engineer Fred

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Perkins, and hosted by me, Anthony Cimino. For

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over 50 years, the Center for Auto Safety has

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worked to make cars safer. Hey, listeners, welcome

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to another exciting episode of what's going on

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with the reflecting pool. Wait, that's not the

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show. Anyway, today is Wednesday, June 24th,

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and we're going to start off with a little publication

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called The New York Times. They they have this.

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I'm very happy. They have this big article on

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how SUVs in particular have gotten bigger and

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there's. The problem with rear over and forward

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over, which we've, I think, talked about since

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episode one. The Center for No Savings has been

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covering this for 20 plus years. But the New

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York Times just discovered this. And their writers

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are teenagers. Because I'm going to quote directly

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from this. The surge in pedestrian deaths has

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baffled researchers. You know. After analyzing

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federal and industry records, including never

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before examined data on vehicle dimensions, we

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found that the rise of large pickups and SUVs

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is an important factor. What? That's a little

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over the top, right? They're trying to present

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this as a novel idea, I guess, that they discovered.

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But obviously, if you've been listening to us

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for four years, we've talked about a lot. Yeah.

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And so further quoting, our estimate is. Estimate

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is that about 200 to 400 pedestrians a year would

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not have died if vehicles had remained approximately

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the same size over the past quarter century.

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That represents about 10 % of the recent increase

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in pedestrian deaths. Well, hey, New York Times,

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round of applause for discovering the year 2000.

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I mean, look, it's a great article. It is. I

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mean, I really like a lot of these articles that

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have been kind of coming out in the last two

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to three or four years. Scroll through it and

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they integrate video and explanation, visual

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explanations other than text into the article.

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I think those are super cool. I think they did

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a good job showing the vision of the driver making

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left turns when a pedestrian is there, you know,

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kind of showing how this giant vehicle problem

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that we're the growing vehicle problem that we're

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experiencing in America is impacting both drivers

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and pedestrians. So great article. Yeah, but

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we also have to give the New York Times credit

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for giving the interns from the Columbia School

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of Journalism a chance to actually see their

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work in print. I think that's too generous. No,

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I OK. Enough sarcasm aside, Michael, you're absolutely

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right. I think this is a great article. They

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really highlight something that most people don't

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think about. Unfortunately, the three of us are

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not most people. Or kids in car safety, like,

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you know, this is, you know, or Consumer Reports.

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Wait a second. I was going to say Consumer Reports

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wrote about this like 10 years, 15 years ago.

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But anyway, hey, it's great. The New York Times

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put this out there. I think one very positive

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thing that came out of this is right after this,

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a couple of Congress people are like, wait a

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second, NHTSA, you should look into this, which

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is great. Congressman Mary Gay Scanlon, Mike

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Thompson, Laura Friedman. They introduced on

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last week the Pedestrian Protection Act to address

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the rapid rise of pedestrian fatalities. Yes.

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They actually they reintroduced that. It was

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introduced last year, two years ago, I believe.

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But they reintroduced that actually before the

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New York Times article. So it wasn't a response.

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It was it preceded it. But the Pedestrian Protection

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Act, you know, essentially makes NHTSA dive into

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this issue. They've got to look at. visibility.

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They've got to look at vehicle height, vehicle

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weight. They've got to look at essentially everything

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that is contributing to this problem and also

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incorporate, you know, the larger vehicle testing

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and all of this into NCAP. so that consumers

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have that availability as a rating when they're

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buying their vehicle. At least those consumers

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who care about their impact on other folks on

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the roads would pay attention to it, which is

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great. But you see in the New York Times article

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kind of why we're at where we're at, because

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the industry is passing the buck, right? It's

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nothing to see here, move along. So we've got,

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and these would be great gas lights. I hope I'm

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not stepping on any of y 'all's toes, but. We've

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got Mike Levine or Mike Levin at Ford saying,

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while vehicle safety is critical, blaming larger

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vehicles for pedestrian deaths overlooks systemic

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issues, including the design of roads. Yeah,

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thanks, bud. You can address both at once, right?

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I mean, you know, nothing to see here, Ford says.

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We need better roads, not the ability for the

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driver to actually see people out of the damn

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car. Makes no sense. And then, you know, General

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Motors came in and said, you know, and here's

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part of the article, I'll just quote it. Automakers

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say that new technology designed to detect and

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avoid pedestrians, including systems that automatically

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apply the brakes, would dramatically improve

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safety. For example, Bill Grotz, a spokesman

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for General Motors, pointed to a recent study

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that found that GM vehicles with so -called front

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pedestrian braking reduced the frequency of injuries

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by 35 percent. Hey, Bill, General Motors is part

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of the Alliance for Automotive Innovation, which

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is suing it to stop the pedestrian automatic

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emergency braking rule from progressing right

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now. So I don't know what to tell you other than,

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you know. you can't you can't tout a technology

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while at the same time trying to tear it down

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from a regulatory standpoint um so you know again

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i guess the industry is backwards on this um

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but when you look at these crashes i think i

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guess one of the one of the big takes from the

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new york times article and something that everyone

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should get out of it is that When you see a pedestrian

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in a collision with a vehicle with a lower hood,

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a car, a sedan, or an older pickup or older SUV

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model, the human body essentially tends to roll

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over the hood and by doing so escapes the rest

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of the force that the vehicle is potentially

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transmitting to them. When you look at the higher

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hooded vehicles, what they're essentially doing

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is instead of the person rolling up onto the

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hood and out of the path of the massive amount

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of mass and momentum, I guess, that's there.

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What the big vehicles do is they essentially,

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and the article said it this way, I think it's

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a good way to phrase it. It punts the human in

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front of the vehicle, but the human remains in

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the path of the truck. can then be run over by

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the truck and subject to even more injuries and

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potential death. So that's really a lot of what

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we're looking at here beyond the visibility problem

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where manufacturers are blaming roof crush standards

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and the A -pillar, which I disagree with. I think

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that manufacturers could design smaller A -pillars.

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They're just doing it cheaply, which is why the

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A -pillars are so large. But ultimately, I think

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we really need to consider the height of hoods

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striking humans here as a big part of the problem.

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What I want to know is, so manufacturers will

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put in, you know, we've got rear view cameras

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and we've got things like that for pedestrian

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thing. Does this make people complacent? Because

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these systems, as we know, rear view cameras

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fail all the time. I imagine the pedestrian forward

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detection thing fails all the time. Does this

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start making drivers complacent to not turn around

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and actually look, and they don't use these tech

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add -ons as a supplement to what they should

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be doing as a driver? Are you trying to segue

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into the Tesla stories this week? No, no, no,

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no. That's the same process here, right? I mean,

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people become so comfortable and entrust their

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cars so much that when it does act up, they don't

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have the ability to take over and correct the

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problem, right? Right, because the example I'm

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thinking of is last week, I was traveling in

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a bunch of rental cars. And we're through some

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tight passages where you're backing up and I'm

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noticing the drivers, they're just relying on

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the rear view camera. And I was having a blast

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because rental car is not in my name. And they'd

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ask questions like, wait, is the yellow line

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or the red line? Should we be worried about?

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And I'm like, how about the stone wall you're

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aiming towards? Yeah, you're probably screwing

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up if you're just looking at the indicators that

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the technology puts on your screen and not at

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the actual objects. Yeah, I think that's something

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that all drivers have to realize that it doesn't

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matter what the tech is and how amazing and great

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it is. The best technology you have is the Mark

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I eyeball. Just look around. Mark one eyeball.

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Is that a brand name? I don't know. That's what

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a sailing instructor told me. He turned off all

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the electronics on the boat. All right. So you

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said it, Michael. You said the T word. It's time

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for us to jump into the world of Tesla. We have

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a couple of links to these stories. This is from

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the New York Times. And on the New York Times

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article, you can see the doorbell camera. What

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happens is a driver said they were using some

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sort of. They said they were an autopilot. They

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said they were using an autopilot, but autopilot

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doesn't exist anymore. It's renamed to full self

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-driving, supervised self -drive. Whatever the

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thing is, they were using Tesla nonsense. And

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the car accelerated to, I think they said like

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73 miles per hour residential area. And it went

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flying through a brick wall and unfortunately

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killed a woman inside. You can see the doorbell

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camera footage of this. And it's like nothing,

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nothing, nothing, nothing. Is this what? Nothing.

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And then, wow, a car come flying at it. The driver's

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not drunk, totally sober and saying, hey, what's

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going, you know, completely cooperative. Quoting

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from New York Times articles, the autopilot function,

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again, the exact name, don't know. Tesla's driver

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assistance technology is a popular feature among

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drivers, but it's had its issues over the years.

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That's playing a little mildly with it, that

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it's had its issues over the years. From an article

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in Electric, I'm going to quote, says, On Monday,

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CEO Elon Musk pushed back on the idea that the

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car was driving itself at all, posting that FSD

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drives slowly through neighborhood streets and

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this was a high -speed crash. Now Tesla's own

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account places its driver assistance software

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in the loop at the moment of the crash, with

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the driver's pedal input as the override. So

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Tesla's making the claim is that, hey, the driver

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overrode our software. Now, a question I have,

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and maybe this is my gaslight, sure, is that

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if Tesla or any company can create software that

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can do object detection in front of them, why

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would it allow the driver to override a clear

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inherent danger? Was this vehicle on Kool -Aid

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mode? Oh, yeah. I know that was lame, but you're

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all. Well, I mean, I guess there's a simple answer

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to that, right? If it's a supervised automation

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with the driver supervision, you've got to give

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the driver the ability to override vehicle commands,

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right? But in such a dangerous way. Well, that's

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what that's see, that's kind of the crux here.

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What happened there? Like, you know, Musk has

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come out and, you know, done the usual Twitter

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blame the human game. You know, yes, you know,

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admitted, at least in this case, which is not

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always the case that the vehicle is on full self

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-drive or autopilot, whatever the full self -driving

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system that's working here is. But, you know,

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they don't address at all what happens when these,

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you know, these situations occur. You know, they

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say there was pedal misapplication. There's still

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some questions around that and Tesla's data.

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Are the pedal misapplications they're seeing

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on their end real? Are they actually, you know,

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what's going on there? We never get to see the

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data. And so we're never really going to know

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that. And it's a very similar. excuse that they've

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given, you know, in, in, in the NHTSA investigation

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around, you know, sudden acceleration, you know,

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it's, you know, a hundred percent pedal misapplication.

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We've seen it in the data. Well, have we, you

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know, we're going to, we're going to be talking

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about this in the towel coming up. Can we, can

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we trust what's actually going on there? Should

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I leap into that now? Yeah, why don't you, well,

00:13:03.759 --> 00:13:06.919
give us a few minutes and we'll jump to your

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towel. But essentially, you know, it goes back

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to what we were talking about with the other

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vehicles, right? Are they kind of breeding or

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creating the situation that the human, that requires

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a human to essentially possess? super human capabilities

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to overcome the safety problem that the vehicle

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has created? And are they creating situations

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that, you know, the human can't recover the vehicle

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from? In this case, you know, it's a neighborhood

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with low speeds and somehow, you know, we know

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it tells us it can accelerate incredibly fast,

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right? That's a big part of their marketing.

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So, you know, a vehicle leaping from, you know,

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35 miles per hour to 70 miles per hour. takes,

00:13:57.750 --> 00:14:00.889
you know, a split, you know, half a second maybe.

00:14:00.990 --> 00:14:03.389
So we're not talking about it, you know, yeah,

00:14:03.470 --> 00:14:05.429
we're not really talking about, you know, the

00:14:05.429 --> 00:14:08.129
driver holding their foot down the pedal for

00:14:08.129 --> 00:14:10.549
30 seconds and flying to the neighborhood here.

00:14:10.649 --> 00:14:12.149
I mean, this certainly is something that could

00:14:12.149 --> 00:14:14.789
have occurred in, you know, a matter of a second

00:14:14.789 --> 00:14:20.610
or two, right? So that is well within the timing

00:14:20.610 --> 00:14:23.850
that we think is problematic for humans to recover

00:14:23.850 --> 00:14:28.029
or to, you know. take back attention and take

00:14:28.029 --> 00:14:31.950
back control of the vehicle. How long do you

00:14:31.950 --> 00:14:34.429
think it'll be before Tesla uses this as a testament

00:14:34.429 --> 00:14:38.370
to the structural integrity of their car? I mean,

00:14:38.470 --> 00:14:42.169
you know, pretty soon I'm sure we'll see advertising

00:14:42.169 --> 00:14:46.230
that says Tesla's such a strong car that it protected

00:14:46.230 --> 00:14:48.889
the driver when it penetrated the wall of a house.

00:14:49.490 --> 00:14:51.490
Yeah, that woman should have been sitting in

00:14:51.490 --> 00:14:53.809
her living room inside of a Tesla. I get it.

00:14:54.590 --> 00:14:56.789
Absolutely. Yeah, it was her fault for not having

00:14:56.789 --> 00:14:59.269
bought a Tesla that she could bring into her

00:14:59.269 --> 00:15:01.909
living room. Well, fortunately for them, they've

00:15:01.909 --> 00:15:03.750
got a, you know, I think another Tesla went off

00:15:03.750 --> 00:15:07.389
a cliff recently and people survived. So they've

00:15:07.389 --> 00:15:10.850
got at least two, you know, 200 foot, 300 foot

00:15:10.850 --> 00:15:13.799
cliff drops in their favor. Over a house that,

00:15:13.820 --> 00:15:16.179
you know, that kind of brings I don't know. I

00:15:16.179 --> 00:15:17.820
don't think the situation is one they want to

00:15:17.820 --> 00:15:21.100
highlight. No, but so related to my initial question

00:15:21.100 --> 00:15:23.580
is like, OK, why would you allow someone to override

00:15:23.580 --> 00:15:25.919
so dramatically? And also, since you're in a

00:15:25.919 --> 00:15:28.799
residential neighborhood again, why would you

00:15:28.799 --> 00:15:32.879
allow the driver to override to such a speed?

00:15:32.980 --> 00:15:35.500
It seems to me that, hey, if you guys are the

00:15:35.500 --> 00:15:38.480
most software, the best software engineers and

00:15:38.480 --> 00:15:40.559
hardware engineers in all time. wouldn't you

00:15:40.559 --> 00:15:43.159
at least be like, hey, driver, are you sure you

00:15:43.159 --> 00:15:46.419
want to go this fast in this neighborhood? I

00:15:46.419 --> 00:15:48.820
think there's that gap missing there. I understand,

00:15:48.919 --> 00:15:50.500
Michael, your point of saying, yes, at times,

00:15:50.500 --> 00:15:52.019
if it's supervised by humans, you want to be

00:15:52.019 --> 00:15:54.620
able to override this. But there should be warnings

00:15:54.620 --> 00:15:56.860
presented to users because there's no scenario

00:15:56.860 --> 00:15:58.480
where you're in a residential street where you're

00:15:58.480 --> 00:16:00.299
doing 30 and you're like, I'm going to do 75

00:16:00.299 --> 00:16:02.179
all of a sudden. Yeah, you know what? It should

00:16:02.179 --> 00:16:04.779
even be, I don't know, every time that kind of

00:16:04.779 --> 00:16:08.350
subject comes up, if the vehicle... is capable

00:16:08.350 --> 00:16:11.570
of seeing that the driver is exceeding the speed

00:16:11.570 --> 00:16:14.309
limit in a neighborhood, why is the vehicle slowing

00:16:14.309 --> 00:16:17.070
itself down in the first place? That's my problem.

00:16:17.070 --> 00:16:19.590
We've talked about this before. Why are people

00:16:19.590 --> 00:16:22.049
using a list technology to warn not only the

00:16:22.049 --> 00:16:26.370
driver, but also the people in the neighborhood

00:16:26.370 --> 00:16:28.830
of the car that something dangerous is happening?

00:16:29.169 --> 00:16:31.409
You know, if somebody's speeding this badly,

00:16:31.629 --> 00:16:33.850
there should be lights that's going off and lights

00:16:33.850 --> 00:16:38.799
flashing and klaxons klaxing. I mean, in this

00:16:38.799 --> 00:16:40.799
case, you know, granted that this may have only

00:16:40.799 --> 00:16:44.179
taken a second or two. So warnings are not going

00:16:44.179 --> 00:16:47.120
to help maybe as much as, you know, as you might

00:16:47.120 --> 00:16:50.320
think. But I don't know. It's definitely something

00:16:50.320 --> 00:16:52.120
that I think we should consider with vehicles

00:16:52.120 --> 00:16:56.480
that are being robots being supervised by humans.

00:16:57.220 --> 00:17:01.019
It makes me wonder if we if we need to put put

00:17:01.019 --> 00:17:04.079
in some type of warning signs or at least. You

00:17:04.079 --> 00:17:05.660
know, the manufacturer of these vehicles, that's

00:17:05.660 --> 00:17:07.640
the last thing they want because they think that's

00:17:07.640 --> 00:17:10.740
a beacon saying this car isn't safe. Right. It's

00:17:10.740 --> 00:17:13.000
like, hey, why? I don't have to put in seatbelts.

00:17:13.059 --> 00:17:17.420
My car is safe. So but out of this. So Senators

00:17:17.420 --> 00:17:20.680
Markey and Blumenthal, they wrote a letter to

00:17:20.680 --> 00:17:22.720
NHTSA saying, hey, you got to give us some answers.

00:17:23.180 --> 00:17:26.900
What's going on with Tesla's FSD? And they told

00:17:26.900 --> 00:17:30.400
NHTSA you have July 7th to respond. And who knows

00:17:30.400 --> 00:17:35.039
what will happen there? Their it's essentially

00:17:35.039 --> 00:17:37.640
was their response to that Reuters article. I

00:17:37.640 --> 00:17:39.160
think we talked about a couple of weeks ago that

00:17:39.160 --> 00:17:41.819
was taking a look at Tesla's bullshit data that

00:17:41.819 --> 00:17:44.140
they're submitting to the European authorities

00:17:44.140 --> 00:17:46.240
and that they're advertising on their website

00:17:46.240 --> 00:17:49.579
and that no one else on Earth has been able to

00:17:49.579 --> 00:17:54.359
independently review and verify. So Tesla's data

00:17:54.359 --> 00:17:58.380
is supremely problematic. And with that, Mr.

00:17:58.539 --> 00:18:02.380
Perkins, you were eager. And excited to jump

00:18:02.380 --> 00:18:04.240
into your towel. I hear it's been peer reviewed

00:18:04.240 --> 00:18:07.160
this week. It's been peer reviewed. Yes, this

00:18:07.160 --> 00:18:11.240
is a peer reviewed study, which, as we all know

00:18:11.240 --> 00:18:14.960
from Waymo's experiences, really important to

00:18:14.960 --> 00:18:18.720
get people to publicly accept or to get the public

00:18:18.720 --> 00:18:21.339
to accept the results. So maybe we'll get into

00:18:21.339 --> 00:18:23.819
the New York Times, too. Who knows? But anyway,

00:18:24.839 --> 00:18:28.000
you know, we hear a lot about edge cases. So

00:18:28.000 --> 00:18:30.680
I started to wonder whether an edge case is a

00:18:30.680 --> 00:18:35.759
bug or a feature of the AI -controlled car. So

00:18:35.759 --> 00:18:42.599
ran a few numbers on this. And so a couple of

00:18:42.599 --> 00:18:47.220
assumptions that basically there's 100 safety

00:18:47.220 --> 00:18:51.140
-critical features that you can identify in the

00:18:51.140 --> 00:18:55.700
car that are potentially failure modes, but only

00:18:55.700 --> 00:18:58.410
100. In fact, the car's got many more. There

00:18:58.410 --> 00:19:03.150
might be several hundred electronic control units.

00:19:03.289 --> 00:19:06.269
There's sensors. Sensors can fail in different

00:19:06.269 --> 00:19:10.509
ways. But to make the numbers easy, I just selected,

00:19:10.670 --> 00:19:13.609
you know, assumed that there were a hundred different

00:19:13.609 --> 00:19:16.329
things that are safety critical that can fail.

00:19:16.529 --> 00:19:19.210
Can you give me an example of what one of these

00:19:19.210 --> 00:19:26.259
would be? Oh, sure. A camera. That would be used

00:19:26.259 --> 00:19:29.519
in the cars. So, you know, Tesla says they've

00:19:29.519 --> 00:19:33.299
got 23 cameras. Excuse me, Waymo says they have

00:19:33.299 --> 00:19:37.339
23 cameras. Or excuse me, 13 cameras. They have

00:19:37.339 --> 00:19:41.920
four lidars and six radars. And they've got at

00:19:41.920 --> 00:19:46.299
least one CPU. Each of the cameras has got at

00:19:46.299 --> 00:19:49.480
least one perception module associated with it.

00:19:49.539 --> 00:19:52.849
So you get the raw data. Then the data flows

00:19:52.849 --> 00:19:56.329
through a perception module to say, okay, what

00:19:56.329 --> 00:19:59.410
is this object that I'm looking at? Is it a cow

00:19:59.410 --> 00:20:03.910
or is it a house? And then there's the main computer.

00:20:04.029 --> 00:20:07.230
You've got engine control units. You've got units

00:20:07.230 --> 00:20:10.369
that are electronically controlling the steering

00:20:10.369 --> 00:20:12.829
and the brakes. So all of these things, if they

00:20:12.829 --> 00:20:17.759
fail, they have safety consequences. Right. And

00:20:17.759 --> 00:20:20.099
so that's what we're looking at. So there's hundreds

00:20:20.099 --> 00:20:25.660
in any vehicle. But again, to just make the arithmetic

00:20:25.660 --> 00:20:28.140
a little easier, I said, let's assume there's

00:20:28.140 --> 00:20:32.619
100. And let's further assume that the car is

00:20:32.619 --> 00:20:37.400
designed to be two -fault tolerant. So in other

00:20:37.400 --> 00:20:40.460
words, if you've got one failure, the car will

00:20:40.460 --> 00:20:43.759
be safe. It will safely come to a halt or something.

00:20:46.480 --> 00:20:50.440
it could potentially cause injury to the occupants

00:20:50.440 --> 00:20:52.960
or somebody around it. So two -fault tolerant

00:20:52.960 --> 00:20:56.960
would mean you can fail two and you'll still

00:20:56.960 --> 00:21:00.160
be safe or you'll still be able to preserve the

00:21:00.160 --> 00:21:03.799
safety of the occupant. If you do that, what

00:21:03.799 --> 00:21:09.319
you find is that there are at least 5 ,000 combinations,

00:21:09.839 --> 00:21:12.920
100 features, two failures. There's at least

00:21:12.920 --> 00:21:17.779
5 ,000 combinations. That can result in injury

00:21:17.779 --> 00:21:22.480
to the occupants or to the people, vulnerable

00:21:22.480 --> 00:21:28.180
users around the vehicle. Now, in order to assure

00:21:28.180 --> 00:21:31.039
that your vehicle is going to be safe, you'd

00:21:31.039 --> 00:21:34.900
have to validate all of those combinations. It's

00:21:34.900 --> 00:21:39.099
not within anybody's range of dollars or time

00:21:39.099 --> 00:21:45.009
who's developing a vehicle to do that. Just there

00:21:45.009 --> 00:21:47.109
isn't enough time and money in the world to do

00:21:47.109 --> 00:21:50.170
that. And that's, again, assuming that you've

00:21:50.170 --> 00:21:52.690
only got 100 features. If you've got many more

00:21:52.690 --> 00:21:54.589
features, of course, you've got many more combinations

00:21:54.589 --> 00:21:59.109
and a lot more to do. So in practice, what the

00:21:59.109 --> 00:22:03.569
developers do is they look at, as best they understand,

00:22:03.670 --> 00:22:05.849
the risk profile associated with each of the

00:22:05.849 --> 00:22:08.069
potential failures and say, well, we're going

00:22:08.069 --> 00:22:12.650
to look at a couple of the really high risk features.

00:22:13.289 --> 00:22:16.049
High probability and high consequence, for example,

00:22:16.170 --> 00:22:20.230
or very high probability and medium consequence.

00:22:20.589 --> 00:22:23.109
So there's a way of managing the risk. And what

00:22:23.109 --> 00:22:27.089
they do is they pick a few. But notably, they

00:22:27.089 --> 00:22:31.150
do not pick all of them. So if you look at a

00:22:31.150 --> 00:22:36.650
couple of the leading risk factors, like is this

00:22:36.650 --> 00:22:39.789
car possibly going to run into a house automatically?

00:22:40.890 --> 00:22:44.369
That's something you might want to address. That

00:22:44.369 --> 00:22:49.789
leaves 5 ,048 potential combinations that are

00:22:49.789 --> 00:22:53.190
risky that you have not looked at. And each of

00:22:53.190 --> 00:22:55.230
these has got a certain probability of happening.

00:22:55.869 --> 00:22:59.869
But if you combine the certain probability of

00:22:59.869 --> 00:23:02.690
it happening with the huge number of potential

00:23:02.690 --> 00:23:06.450
consequences, you end up saying, you know, this

00:23:06.450 --> 00:23:09.769
is inevitable that something's going to happen.

00:23:10.650 --> 00:23:15.069
risk the lives of the occupants of the car. But

00:23:15.069 --> 00:23:18.450
another factor is that if you're using AI to

00:23:18.450 --> 00:23:23.410
run your car, you have no idea even how to develop

00:23:23.410 --> 00:23:27.910
a really reliable way of figuring out whether

00:23:27.910 --> 00:23:29.769
or not this is going to happen, what the risk

00:23:29.769 --> 00:23:33.069
profile is, because we know that AI will inject

00:23:33.069 --> 00:23:37.569
false results into any analysis that it's doing.

00:23:38.240 --> 00:23:40.240
And you've got AI sprinkled throughout the car.

00:23:40.380 --> 00:23:43.220
You've got it in the perception module, right?

00:23:43.279 --> 00:23:46.380
How is it going to figure out what is in front

00:23:46.380 --> 00:23:48.980
of the car based upon the inputs from the cameras?

00:23:49.619 --> 00:23:52.380
You've got it involved in the driving itself.

00:23:53.640 --> 00:23:56.859
How do you interpret the speed of the car, the

00:23:56.859 --> 00:23:59.720
location of the car, the acceleration of the

00:23:59.720 --> 00:24:02.319
car? How do you know that what you've been training

00:24:02.319 --> 00:24:06.960
the car on is actually going to provide a reasonable

00:24:06.960 --> 00:24:10.259
result? out of the computer, because we know

00:24:10.259 --> 00:24:14.559
that the AI just sprinkles false results into

00:24:14.559 --> 00:24:18.720
whatever it's doing. So I've come to the conclusion,

00:24:19.019 --> 00:24:22.099
and I'm sure a lot of people may not come to

00:24:22.099 --> 00:24:25.039
the same conclusion, that what people call edge

00:24:25.039 --> 00:24:29.259
cases are in fact intrinsic to the architecture

00:24:29.259 --> 00:24:32.400
you've built the car around. So they're not bugs,

00:24:32.519 --> 00:24:35.920
they're features. They're going to happen. You

00:24:35.920 --> 00:24:38.269
know they're going to happen. And they will not

00:24:38.269 --> 00:24:41.490
happen repeatedly. They'll not happen reliably.

00:24:42.089 --> 00:24:44.569
But they're sure going to happen. This is just

00:24:44.569 --> 00:24:49.509
a feature of the AI architecture that's driving

00:24:49.509 --> 00:24:53.569
the vehicle. And it's inevitable. And so I think

00:24:53.569 --> 00:24:56.490
that when people talk about edge cases, and I

00:24:56.490 --> 00:24:57.869
know a lot of people are going to beat me up

00:24:57.869 --> 00:24:59.869
over this, but they're really just providing

00:24:59.869 --> 00:25:03.069
cover for the industry to say, well, no, we never

00:25:03.069 --> 00:25:07.690
bothered to. properly evaluate and properly validate

00:25:07.690 --> 00:25:09.630
all of the things that can happen in the car.

00:25:10.309 --> 00:25:14.430
Because this is just an edge case. It's not something

00:25:14.430 --> 00:25:17.750
that's plausibly ever going to happen. My argument

00:25:17.750 --> 00:25:21.769
is that it has to happen because you've built

00:25:21.769 --> 00:25:24.269
an architecture that makes it inevitable that

00:25:24.269 --> 00:25:26.390
something really bad is going to happen. And

00:25:26.390 --> 00:25:28.690
you've never put the proper amount of time and

00:25:28.690 --> 00:25:32.660
energy into validating all of the... safety results

00:25:32.660 --> 00:25:37.180
as you need to to make sure that well for example

00:25:37.180 --> 00:25:39.180
that the car is not going to run into a house

00:25:39.180 --> 00:25:43.140
in a residential neighborhood so that's that

00:25:43.140 --> 00:25:45.779
makes sense is that clear i think i'm wandering

00:25:45.779 --> 00:25:48.160
a little bit yeah but you started wandering into

00:25:48.160 --> 00:25:51.980
english um so i i get you so fred you've spent

00:25:51.980 --> 00:25:54.559
you know a quite a bit of time doing software

00:25:54.559 --> 00:25:57.759
development hardware development what's the worst

00:25:57.759 --> 00:26:00.279
part of both of those things that no one wants

00:26:00.279 --> 00:26:03.069
to do Well, the worst part is the uncertainty.

00:26:04.349 --> 00:26:09.710
Because if you look at AI, right, it's not like

00:26:09.710 --> 00:26:12.930
an input is going to give you a certain output.

00:26:13.390 --> 00:26:17.210
You have an input that you're giving it, an image,

00:26:17.329 --> 00:26:19.849
for example, of a human being dressed in a cow

00:26:19.849 --> 00:26:25.269
costume. And somehow the AI is going to interpret

00:26:25.269 --> 00:26:27.890
that one way or another, and the odds that it's

00:26:27.890 --> 00:26:31.029
going to interpret it wrong. are reasonably high.

00:26:31.410 --> 00:26:34.569
But you as a human being have no way of figuring

00:26:34.569 --> 00:26:38.630
out what the AI is going to do. So the only way

00:26:38.630 --> 00:26:42.670
you can responsibly validate its results is to

00:26:42.670 --> 00:26:46.569
run a huge number of tests to see where the boundaries

00:26:46.569 --> 00:26:50.049
are, to see if this has a one in a million chance

00:26:50.049 --> 00:26:52.910
of happening, or if it has a one in 10 chance

00:26:52.910 --> 00:26:57.170
of misinterpreting the results. That's very expensive

00:26:57.170 --> 00:27:00.769
to do, right? And in fact, what the AI companies

00:27:00.769 --> 00:27:04.690
are doing is ignoring all that. They have never

00:27:04.690 --> 00:27:11.109
set up test apparatus that allow them to go and

00:27:11.109 --> 00:27:14.769
look at the things that have occurred that are

00:27:14.769 --> 00:27:18.589
either lethal or very hazardous from the AI control

00:27:18.589 --> 00:27:21.069
system to say, okay, the minimum we should do

00:27:21.069 --> 00:27:25.200
is have a test system that looks at Events that

00:27:25.200 --> 00:27:26.920
have already happened that have either killed

00:27:26.920 --> 00:27:29.279
people or threatened the lives of people and

00:27:29.279 --> 00:27:32.920
put our AI through the paces to make sure, as

00:27:32.920 --> 00:27:37.180
a minimum, that it will have a very low probability

00:27:37.180 --> 00:27:42.279
of repeating that lethal consequence because

00:27:42.279 --> 00:27:45.720
I've now fixed the software. What is, I mean,

00:27:45.740 --> 00:27:48.440
it's just from that point, what, what is it?

00:27:49.259 --> 00:27:51.200
Do you have any guarantee, even if you perform

00:27:51.200 --> 00:27:53.119
those tests, that the AI isn't going to change

00:27:53.119 --> 00:27:54.940
its mind and start behaving differently the next

00:27:54.940 --> 00:27:58.299
day? No. No, I have no guarantee. So what's the

00:27:58.299 --> 00:28:04.200
point? Is AI just not ever going to be trustworthy

00:28:04.200 --> 00:28:07.160
in this area? Well, it depends on what you mean

00:28:07.160 --> 00:28:09.500
by trustworthy. If you say trustworthy means

00:28:09.500 --> 00:28:12.480
there's a 1 ,000 chance it's going to come up

00:28:12.480 --> 00:28:15.039
with the wrong result, you've got to run several

00:28:15.039 --> 00:28:17.819
thousand tests to verify that, yeah, it's probably

00:28:17.819 --> 00:28:21.980
not going to happen. When an AI company releases

00:28:21.980 --> 00:28:25.240
a software update two days after a lethal event

00:28:25.240 --> 00:28:28.380
and says, well, now it's fixed, it is pure bullshit.

00:28:28.440 --> 00:28:30.920
There's no way in the world you can validate

00:28:30.920 --> 00:28:33.880
that with real hardware and a real system in

00:28:33.880 --> 00:28:37.000
two days. That's just not going to happen. So

00:28:37.000 --> 00:28:44.769
really, this is all based upon people's... really

00:28:44.769 --> 00:28:47.049
anthropomorphizing, is that a word? The computer

00:28:47.049 --> 00:28:50.089
itself to say, well, it's a human being and we

00:28:50.089 --> 00:28:53.369
slapped it and now it's going to behave properly.

00:28:53.789 --> 00:28:56.849
But when you've got AI in the mix, it's never

00:28:56.849 --> 00:28:58.950
going to be deterministic and you as a human

00:28:58.950 --> 00:29:02.829
being will never be able to understand what the

00:29:02.829 --> 00:29:06.609
computer is going to do to interpret this new

00:29:06.609 --> 00:29:09.289
input or this new rule that you put in place.

00:29:09.990 --> 00:29:12.119
This ain't going to happen. There's no time.

00:29:13.000 --> 00:29:16.039
The point of doing this, Michael, is to try and

00:29:16.039 --> 00:29:20.079
get that error rate down as small as possible.

00:29:20.160 --> 00:29:23.880
But even that's not reliable if the AI is changing.

00:29:24.259 --> 00:29:28.099
Well, OK, so that's how you do a testing. Yeah,

00:29:28.200 --> 00:29:30.900
there's a bunch of weird things here. Yeah, those

00:29:30.900 --> 00:29:34.299
are like the way we understand testing completely

00:29:34.299 --> 00:29:38.150
change for AI. I think, yes, right? Well, that's

00:29:38.150 --> 00:29:39.950
the problem. The way we understand testing has

00:29:39.950 --> 00:29:42.789
not changed, but the way we should have interpreted

00:29:42.789 --> 00:29:48.849
it has changed significantly. Okay, so there

00:29:48.849 --> 00:29:50.569
really should be a completely different approach.

00:29:51.849 --> 00:29:54.369
Now, the companies understand this. That's why

00:29:54.369 --> 00:29:56.769
they say, well, we need to drive a jillion miles

00:29:56.769 --> 00:29:59.710
to validate this. This is why we need to threaten

00:29:59.710 --> 00:30:03.009
the public with untested vehicles to make sure

00:30:03.009 --> 00:30:06.230
that, you know, it doesn't kill too many people.

00:30:06.889 --> 00:30:09.750
That's because that's the best they can do. Or

00:30:09.750 --> 00:30:11.769
they could say, well, we're going to put it on

00:30:11.769 --> 00:30:14.349
a test track. We know certain things are very

00:30:14.349 --> 00:30:17.849
hazardous and very difficult to live through.

00:30:17.990 --> 00:30:20.309
So that's what we're going to put in place on

00:30:20.309 --> 00:30:23.569
the test track. Not the easy stuff, the hard

00:30:23.569 --> 00:30:28.230
stuff. And nobody's doing that. Well, I mean,

00:30:28.250 --> 00:30:29.930
they make the absurd claim that we don't know

00:30:29.930 --> 00:30:31.569
what the hard stuff is. These are edge cases.

00:30:31.730 --> 00:30:33.920
And then they claim like, you know. Flooded streets

00:30:33.920 --> 00:30:36.460
are an edge case. It's not. Or school buses with

00:30:36.460 --> 00:30:38.480
their stop arm extended. It's an edge case. It's

00:30:38.480 --> 00:30:41.720
not. But breaking away from this, so it's separate

00:30:41.720 --> 00:30:44.420
from AI. Just programming in itself is never

00:30:44.420 --> 00:30:47.680
perfect. It never will be. Or if it's, you know,

00:30:47.720 --> 00:30:49.759
you're doing object -oriented or functional or

00:30:49.759 --> 00:30:51.759
AI, whatever, you'll never get to perfection.

00:30:52.160 --> 00:30:55.660
I don't care what you claim. So the example I

00:30:55.660 --> 00:30:58.740
think of, again, is like Airbus and Boeing. So

00:30:58.740 --> 00:31:01.579
they have these mission -critical systems that

00:31:01.579 --> 00:31:05.720
can fail. But they have and there's no way they

00:31:05.720 --> 00:31:08.259
will ever claim that everything in their systems

00:31:08.259 --> 00:31:10.740
are perfect. There are complex systems. And every

00:31:10.740 --> 00:31:12.579
time there's a crash, they use that as a learning

00:31:12.579 --> 00:31:15.019
experience to get things better. I remember there

00:31:15.019 --> 00:31:19.579
was an Airbus incident in in in Russia where

00:31:19.579 --> 00:31:22.779
one of the pilots let their kids sit it there.

00:31:22.900 --> 00:31:24.420
And like, you know, it was an autopilot and he

00:31:24.420 --> 00:31:25.920
just, you know, play with the wheel and nothing

00:31:25.920 --> 00:31:28.099
happened. But they didn't know that he threw

00:31:28.099 --> 00:31:30.940
the wheel all the way to port. And that set some

00:31:30.940 --> 00:31:34.640
flag inside Airbus' systems, like autopilot is

00:31:34.640 --> 00:31:37.720
now disabled. And the pilots had no clue what

00:31:37.720 --> 00:31:39.319
was going on. They didn't know how to recover

00:31:39.319 --> 00:31:41.720
from this. And that was not programmed that way.

00:31:41.779 --> 00:31:44.500
That was not some intentional thing. It was just

00:31:44.500 --> 00:31:47.420
a weird glitch. Or maybe it wasn't. It was never

00:31:47.420 --> 00:31:49.940
explained to people. But either way, these are...

00:31:50.410 --> 00:31:54.910
That's an edge case. You let a teenager sit behind

00:31:54.910 --> 00:32:00.349
a $1 million jet. You let a non -trained pilot

00:32:00.349 --> 00:32:05.069
in the cockpit behind the joystick. It's the

00:32:05.069 --> 00:32:09.269
yoke. That's no different than putting your car

00:32:09.269 --> 00:32:12.390
out, an autonomous vehicle out in a flash flood,

00:32:12.589 --> 00:32:15.529
right? See, that's the difference. So the airline

00:32:15.529 --> 00:32:18.410
industry. recognize this shit's going to happen

00:32:18.410 --> 00:32:21.809
so they've got a process through which when this

00:32:21.809 --> 00:32:25.190
shit happens everybody gets together and discusses

00:32:25.190 --> 00:32:28.809
what happened and they put you know and they

00:32:28.809 --> 00:32:31.529
get to the root cause and then they do their

00:32:31.529 --> 00:32:34.069
best to address the root cause and and they're

00:32:34.069 --> 00:32:37.089
pretty damn good at doing that okay the automobile

00:32:37.089 --> 00:32:41.089
industry doesn't do that they assume that every

00:32:41.089 --> 00:32:44.440
safety architecture is proprietary They're not

00:32:44.440 --> 00:32:46.319
going to share it with anybody, much less the

00:32:46.319 --> 00:32:48.180
public. They're certainly not going to share

00:32:48.180 --> 00:32:51.740
it with their competitors. So this is a structural

00:32:51.740 --> 00:32:55.819
failure of the way the automobile industry is

00:32:55.819 --> 00:32:59.619
set up and the way that they handle information

00:32:59.619 --> 00:33:05.519
that is never going to result in rapid identification

00:33:05.519 --> 00:33:10.180
and correction of the failures they've got. And

00:33:10.180 --> 00:33:12.460
they're stuck with this AI and they're stuck

00:33:12.460 --> 00:33:15.680
with their... PR that says it's perfect. It's

00:33:15.680 --> 00:33:17.640
better than human. It never sleeps. It never

00:33:17.640 --> 00:33:21.059
shits. It never does any of this stuff that distracts

00:33:21.059 --> 00:33:23.440
you from the driving. I also think there's a

00:33:23.440 --> 00:33:26.440
cultural shift, too, in terms of software engineers.

00:33:26.680 --> 00:33:28.880
So the engineers that I've spoken to that are

00:33:28.880 --> 00:33:30.460
10 years younger than me that work for these

00:33:30.460 --> 00:33:33.339
large multinational corporations, I've asked

00:33:33.339 --> 00:33:35.220
them basic questions like, oh, who does your

00:33:35.220 --> 00:33:38.619
testing process? Some of them at very large corporations

00:33:38.619 --> 00:33:42.720
that we all use are like, no one. A friend of

00:33:42.720 --> 00:33:44.940
mine at a large financial institution that we've

00:33:44.940 --> 00:33:48.359
all used, she said she gets to test her own code.

00:33:48.619 --> 00:33:52.960
I'm like, no, no, no, no. That's not a no. No,

00:33:53.059 --> 00:33:56.119
you can't. No, that's that's. Wait, is this peer

00:33:56.119 --> 00:34:00.200
review? You're your own peer. And so I I mean,

00:34:00.240 --> 00:34:02.319
I remember when I was, you know, coming up in

00:34:02.319 --> 00:34:04.579
this in the late 90s, that was not a situation

00:34:04.579 --> 00:34:07.690
like. You're absolutely like, and I was specialized

00:34:07.690 --> 00:34:09.429
in a specific thing where people didn't have

00:34:09.429 --> 00:34:11.670
these skills. I couldn't review my own stuff.

00:34:12.010 --> 00:34:14.489
Like still other people had to review it and

00:34:14.489 --> 00:34:16.550
say, hey, is this input and output correct? Is

00:34:16.550 --> 00:34:18.730
this what we expect? And if it wasn't, they'd

00:34:18.730 --> 00:34:21.510
tell me to fix it. Like you can't test your own

00:34:21.510 --> 00:34:23.670
thing. And I think there's been a winnowing away

00:34:23.670 --> 00:34:27.489
of that in the software. From what is anecdotal,

00:34:27.510 --> 00:34:29.710
but in the software engineering field is, oh,

00:34:29.789 --> 00:34:31.750
we have these automated tools that do some sort

00:34:31.750 --> 00:34:33.590
of testing. We have this automated release pipeline

00:34:33.590 --> 00:34:38.599
that does things. But there's no QA teams anymore,

00:34:38.760 --> 00:34:41.219
as best I can tell. You don't need QA because

00:34:41.219 --> 00:34:44.239
you've got AI. Yeah, but even prior to AI tools

00:34:44.239 --> 00:34:46.599
doing this stuff, they just kind of gave up on

00:34:46.599 --> 00:34:49.340
that because that's expensive and the managers,

00:34:49.500 --> 00:34:52.559
they don't understand this shit. Well, I mean,

00:34:52.599 --> 00:34:55.739
I guess in the financial arena, you'd stand to

00:34:55.739 --> 00:34:57.760
lose a lot of money if you screw some of that

00:34:57.760 --> 00:35:00.360
up, right? Oh, yeah. I mean, and then but if

00:35:00.360 --> 00:35:02.340
you're so that doesn't make sense that they wouldn't

00:35:02.340 --> 00:35:04.360
want to test it there. But even more so when

00:35:04.360 --> 00:35:06.719
you've got a life on the line, a car. Yeah. So

00:35:06.719 --> 00:35:09.039
I think that's part of the issue. And I would

00:35:09.039 --> 00:35:11.960
love to hear from anybody at these, you know,

00:35:11.960 --> 00:35:15.639
at the GM or Ford or Waymo and whatnot. We're

00:35:15.639 --> 00:35:17.079
not going to talk about your name or anything

00:35:17.079 --> 00:35:19.119
like that. I just want some engineers there and

00:35:19.119 --> 00:35:22.380
say, no, no, no, no. We have this is our detailed

00:35:22.380 --> 00:35:24.960
process. We're not going to reveal any of your

00:35:24.960 --> 00:35:29.539
your secret sauce. But I make me. And our listeners

00:35:29.539 --> 00:35:31.920
feel slightly more comfortable that it's not

00:35:31.920 --> 00:35:34.059
just, oh, they're just automated testing. It's,

00:35:34.059 --> 00:35:36.760
you know, we just release things and, you know,

00:35:36.780 --> 00:35:39.420
there's a test case. Because that's my impression

00:35:39.420 --> 00:35:43.059
from talking to people that that's been going

00:35:43.059 --> 00:35:45.380
on for at least the last 10, 15 years, which

00:35:45.380 --> 00:35:49.460
is. Well, to be fair to Waymo, they have published

00:35:49.460 --> 00:35:51.519
a lot of information about how they do their

00:35:51.519 --> 00:35:55.099
safety releases. Okay. And you can go to their

00:35:55.099 --> 00:35:57.239
website and it talks all about the structures

00:35:57.239 --> 00:36:00.289
that they've got. And they've got review teams

00:36:00.289 --> 00:36:05.070
and they have three levels or whatever of people

00:36:05.070 --> 00:36:08.329
reviewing it. What they do not have is independence.

00:36:08.949 --> 00:36:13.570
And what they do not have is some way of a person

00:36:13.570 --> 00:36:16.670
to stand up and say, this is wrong. This is just

00:36:16.670 --> 00:36:19.889
not the right way to go. What instead they have

00:36:19.889 --> 00:36:23.849
are all Waymo employees reviewing the Waymo work

00:36:23.849 --> 00:36:26.469
and objectives, which is a lot like what you

00:36:26.469 --> 00:36:29.250
said. I would like to point out that they do

00:36:29.250 --> 00:36:31.889
have a way. It's the NHTSA whistleblower regulations

00:36:31.889 --> 00:36:34.750
that, you know, if they come forward and provide

00:36:34.750 --> 00:36:37.949
that information, they can actually get a percentage

00:36:37.949 --> 00:36:40.550
of any penalties that are that are, you know,

00:36:40.550 --> 00:36:43.309
assessed against Waymo for violations of the

00:36:43.309 --> 00:36:45.510
Safety Act. So there is one one thing they can

00:36:45.510 --> 00:36:47.730
do there. Right. Well, how would that be implemented?

00:36:48.210 --> 00:36:50.289
Well, I mean, what would a person do? Who do

00:36:50.289 --> 00:36:56.039
they call? They call NHTSA's chief counsel. And

00:36:56.039 --> 00:36:58.659
they start the process there. Okay. Isn't it

00:36:58.659 --> 00:37:01.679
legally bound to provide them with protection?

00:37:02.420 --> 00:37:05.300
Yeah. That's as legally bound to keep their information

00:37:05.300 --> 00:37:09.000
confidential. And after you do that whistleblower,

00:37:09.019 --> 00:37:11.980
go to autosafety .org and click on donate. Bam.

00:37:12.239 --> 00:37:15.500
Do we have that whistleblower phone number on

00:37:15.500 --> 00:37:18.010
our website? Yep. Yep. And you can look at it.

00:37:18.050 --> 00:37:19.570
We have a little more information, too, on the

00:37:19.570 --> 00:37:22.130
new whistleblower act that was passed in 2021.

00:37:22.329 --> 00:37:24.349
I think that was part of the IJA. You can go

00:37:24.349 --> 00:37:26.449
to autosave .org and type in whistleblowers and

00:37:26.449 --> 00:37:31.130
you'll find it. Yeah. And that expanded the classification

00:37:31.130 --> 00:37:33.809
of people that can actually be whistleblowers

00:37:33.809 --> 00:37:36.829
to the extent that it covers, you know, the type

00:37:36.829 --> 00:37:39.550
of, you know, maybe not even employees, but contractors

00:37:39.550 --> 00:37:43.650
that are involved in some of these vehicle manufacturers,

00:37:44.030 --> 00:37:47.090
but definitely employees. All right. With that,

00:37:47.110 --> 00:37:51.630
I think that was an excellent towel. As somebody

00:37:51.630 --> 00:37:53.510
who peer -reviewed the paper you sent to Michael

00:37:53.510 --> 00:37:56.070
and I, I didn't understand it, but I'm glad I

00:37:56.070 --> 00:37:58.409
got the opportunity to peer -review it. Thank

00:37:58.409 --> 00:38:01.849
you. No problem. Thank you for the review. Sure.

00:38:02.010 --> 00:38:04.190
Let's jump into gaslights. I mean, I kind of

00:38:04.190 --> 00:38:06.829
vaguely threw one in there, but I'm going to

00:38:06.829 --> 00:38:10.090
start off. It's not really a gaslight. Maybe

00:38:10.090 --> 00:38:14.070
vaguely, it's a complaint against all auto manufacturers.

00:38:14.969 --> 00:38:19.090
And this past week, I was in a car called – it

00:38:19.090 --> 00:38:22.809
was made in Malaysia called a Proton. And I did

00:38:22.809 --> 00:38:25.250
what every smart person does in this situation.

00:38:25.530 --> 00:38:27.869
I texted Michael Brooks and said, Michael Brooks,

00:38:27.969 --> 00:38:29.949
I'm in a Malaysian -made car. Should I get out?

00:38:30.050 --> 00:38:32.269
And his response was, it's safer than being on

00:38:32.269 --> 00:38:36.590
a motorcycle. And he was right. So this Malaysian

00:38:36.590 --> 00:38:38.329
-made Proton – I've never heard of this before.

00:38:38.630 --> 00:38:42.690
Where were you? I was in Barbados. Okay. So it

00:38:42.690 --> 00:38:45.960
had a – It had a couple of two fascinating features

00:38:45.960 --> 00:38:48.699
that I think every auto manufacturer should have.

00:38:48.920 --> 00:38:52.940
One, you could put the car in drive, but it would

00:38:52.940 --> 00:38:56.199
not move unless every occupant's seatbelt was

00:38:56.199 --> 00:39:00.119
clicked. All right. Which was awesome. Two, you

00:39:00.119 --> 00:39:05.039
could not open the doors unless the car was stopped

00:39:05.039 --> 00:39:09.389
and in park. These are very simple things. Oh,

00:39:09.469 --> 00:39:11.090
you don't wait. Michael's making a face like

00:39:11.090 --> 00:39:12.389
he doesn't like that one. Well, that second one

00:39:12.389 --> 00:39:14.849
gives me serious concerns about post -crash escape.

00:39:16.789 --> 00:39:19.510
Okay, but I... You're not shifting into park

00:39:19.510 --> 00:39:22.849
after a crash to open your door, right? So presumably...

00:39:22.849 --> 00:39:27.590
Yeah, presumably that would have to be deactivated

00:39:27.590 --> 00:39:30.750
if a crash pulse was sensed. But even then, that

00:39:30.750 --> 00:39:33.670
didn't give me a whole lot of hope, right? Well,

00:39:33.769 --> 00:39:36.750
who knows? That may have been implemented. Because

00:39:36.750 --> 00:39:39.369
you didn't crash. No, but I liked it because

00:39:39.369 --> 00:39:42.130
one of the occupants of the car, my wife, was

00:39:42.130 --> 00:39:45.650
very excited by a fruit stand. And tried to jump

00:39:45.650 --> 00:39:47.369
out of the vehicle. I mean, the movie was like

00:39:47.369 --> 00:39:50.030
moving a mile per hour. And our friend who was

00:39:50.030 --> 00:39:51.590
driving, it was like, she's like, why can't I

00:39:51.590 --> 00:39:53.070
open the door? Why can't I open the door? That's

00:39:53.070 --> 00:39:54.670
great for some things. Like it's an automatic

00:39:54.670 --> 00:39:56.829
child lock. But, you know, just like some of

00:39:56.829 --> 00:40:02.039
the, one of the major problems with the. electric

00:40:02.039 --> 00:40:05.179
door latch problem that we've seen recently that

00:40:05.179 --> 00:40:07.880
there's some um movement on congress hopefully

00:40:07.880 --> 00:40:10.579
to fix problem that we've generally seen with

00:40:10.579 --> 00:40:14.019
teslas and some other electric vehicles and battery

00:40:14.019 --> 00:40:17.619
fires and escape is that there's a there's a

00:40:17.619 --> 00:40:19.760
kind of a conflict when it comes to the child

00:40:19.760 --> 00:40:23.030
safety locks right you're essentially When you

00:40:23.030 --> 00:40:25.889
turn on a child lock on a rear door, you're essentially

00:40:25.889 --> 00:40:29.010
disabling the ability of that person, that child,

00:40:29.070 --> 00:40:30.849
or anyone else who happens to sit in the back

00:40:30.849 --> 00:40:32.869
while your child locks are on to escape during

00:40:32.869 --> 00:40:36.429
a crash. And so there's an inherent conflict

00:40:36.429 --> 00:40:39.389
in any regulation that comes out of that process

00:40:39.389 --> 00:40:41.590
because you're going to have to figure out how

00:40:41.590 --> 00:40:45.550
to make child locks stay operable, protecting

00:40:45.550 --> 00:40:48.989
children in the rear while also being able to

00:40:48.989 --> 00:40:52.500
unlatch in case of a crash. Well, but, but you

00:40:52.500 --> 00:40:54.119
like the first one where it wouldn't, the car

00:40:54.119 --> 00:40:55.559
wouldn't drive unless all the seatbelts were

00:40:55.559 --> 00:40:57.880
clicked. Absolutely. Yeah. And I think I, you

00:40:57.880 --> 00:40:59.500
know, one of the, one of the areas I think where

00:40:59.500 --> 00:41:02.400
autonomous vehicles are beating humans for sure

00:41:02.400 --> 00:41:05.480
is that many of them require all occupants to

00:41:05.480 --> 00:41:09.079
be latched before they can proceed. Okay. Unlike,

00:41:09.159 --> 00:41:12.820
unlike our cars. So my, my simple gas light is,

00:41:12.820 --> 00:41:15.599
I don't know why any auto manufacturer is not

00:41:15.599 --> 00:41:18.639
doing this in their, you know. How much do you

00:41:18.639 --> 00:41:20.699
think that car actually cost? I don't know. Okay,

00:41:20.739 --> 00:41:22.400
so the rest of the car sucked, let's be honest.

00:41:22.500 --> 00:41:24.380
Like, yeah, we were stopped at a speed hump,

00:41:24.460 --> 00:41:27.219
like to pay airport parking, and you had to literally

00:41:27.219 --> 00:41:30.119
gun it to get over the speed hump, or else it

00:41:30.119 --> 00:41:33.340
just would not make it. It was a weird vehicle,

00:41:33.519 --> 00:41:35.780
but those two features I like, but now I only

00:41:35.780 --> 00:41:38.880
like one of those features. So that's my vague,

00:41:38.940 --> 00:41:41.139
not real gaslight. I'll let one of you guys win

00:41:41.139 --> 00:41:42.800
this week. Michael Brooks, would you like to

00:41:42.800 --> 00:41:46.250
do your gaslight? Yeah, I mean, I would love

00:41:46.250 --> 00:41:48.250
to just go ahead and say that those two quotes

00:41:48.250 --> 00:41:50.889
from the New York Times article from Ford and

00:41:50.889 --> 00:41:53.250
General Motors are gaslights. But this week,

00:41:53.269 --> 00:41:56.369
I'm going to venture into Fred territory and

00:41:56.369 --> 00:42:01.570
just do an easy one and give a gaslight to Waymo's.

00:42:03.909 --> 00:42:07.110
Waymo's recall remedies that are just, you know,

00:42:07.150 --> 00:42:09.030
they're continuing to do things on the school

00:42:09.030 --> 00:42:11.829
buses. They're continuing to do things on the

00:42:11.829 --> 00:42:14.909
problem with running into water. They're continuing

00:42:14.909 --> 00:42:19.949
to do things on the speeding. What was it? The

00:42:19.949 --> 00:42:23.289
freeway issue. Right. And they're putting out

00:42:23.289 --> 00:42:26.530
recalls and, you know, the recalls inevitably

00:42:26.530 --> 00:42:30.289
are failing down the road. And so, you know.

00:42:30.980 --> 00:42:35.599
We're being gaslit by this pretend world that

00:42:35.599 --> 00:42:37.460
Waymo's created where the recall remedies are

00:42:37.460 --> 00:42:40.179
going to do anything to change the safety characteristics

00:42:40.179 --> 00:42:43.920
of these vehicles. And, you know, it's concerning.

00:42:44.159 --> 00:42:46.179
And a lot of this has to do with what we were

00:42:46.179 --> 00:42:49.260
talking about earlier with AI and training. How

00:42:49.260 --> 00:42:51.599
do you ensure that consistent performance over

00:42:51.599 --> 00:42:55.500
time? And I just think that needs to be acknowledged

00:42:55.500 --> 00:42:58.099
more in this case. I feel like Waymo, when they

00:42:58.099 --> 00:43:00.320
experience a big problem like this, instead of

00:43:00.320 --> 00:43:02.019
pushing forward and saying, we're going to continue

00:43:02.019 --> 00:43:05.420
operating, pulls back, says, we're going to stop

00:43:05.420 --> 00:43:08.940
this until we have at least some certainty that

00:43:08.940 --> 00:43:13.019
this problem isn't going to continue. Issuing

00:43:13.019 --> 00:43:15.539
a recall that's destined to fail, as they've

00:43:15.539 --> 00:43:17.719
done in a lot of cases recently, is not going

00:43:17.719 --> 00:43:20.840
to work. Pretty good. All right, Mr. Perkins,

00:43:21.039 --> 00:43:24.260
it's your time to shine. I'm going with Tesla's

00:43:24.260 --> 00:43:27.380
homepage because interesting things on there.

00:43:27.920 --> 00:43:30.639
One of the assertions they make is there's seven

00:43:30.639 --> 00:43:33.599
times fewer collisions. They don't say relative

00:43:33.599 --> 00:43:36.800
to what, but there's no references or analysis

00:43:36.800 --> 00:43:40.519
or caveats provided. But what they show there

00:43:40.519 --> 00:43:45.440
are six drivers who are shown using FSD underway.

00:43:46.280 --> 00:43:49.679
And one of them is making espresso in the console

00:43:49.679 --> 00:43:53.000
while looking away from the road. One of them

00:43:53.000 --> 00:43:55.480
is butt dancing while looking away from the road

00:43:55.480 --> 00:43:57.820
and talking to the videographer. Wait, what is

00:43:57.820 --> 00:44:00.719
butt dancing? I would assume they're shifting

00:44:00.719 --> 00:44:03.219
cheeks, right? You know, it's what you do when

00:44:03.219 --> 00:44:05.460
Jumpin' Jack Flash comes on the radio. Okay.

00:44:06.500 --> 00:44:08.739
I'm more of a steering wheel drummer, but you

00:44:08.739 --> 00:44:12.039
know. One is an elderly woman who's shown looking

00:44:12.039 --> 00:44:14.800
from left to right away from the direction of

00:44:14.800 --> 00:44:18.510
travel. Another is looking away from the direction

00:44:18.510 --> 00:44:21.250
of travel. And all of them are distracted by

00:44:21.250 --> 00:44:24.789
communicating with the videographer while underway.

00:44:26.670 --> 00:44:30.429
One of their other video shows a Tesla passing

00:44:30.429 --> 00:44:33.690
at a relatively high speed, passing another car

00:44:33.690 --> 00:44:38.469
at a relatively high speed during rain that certainly

00:44:38.469 --> 00:44:40.530
degrades the sensors and makes it difficult to

00:44:40.530 --> 00:44:43.889
look out of the windshield. So that was... Pure

00:44:43.889 --> 00:44:47.670
gaslight, I think, on top of the claim of 7x

00:44:47.670 --> 00:44:50.989
fewer collisions, which is meaningless. But they

00:44:50.989 --> 00:44:55.070
go on to say that they don't share any of your

00:44:55.070 --> 00:44:57.650
data and they don't keep any of your data. And

00:44:57.650 --> 00:45:00.429
then if you dive in a little deeper, it says

00:45:00.429 --> 00:45:03.489
how to obtain a copy of the data associated with

00:45:03.489 --> 00:45:06.909
your Tesla account. There should just be an asterisk

00:45:06.909 --> 00:45:09.469
about everything Tesla puts out. Just kidding.

00:45:09.650 --> 00:45:12.170
Then it says the data associated with your Tesla

00:45:12.170 --> 00:45:14.840
account includes, Order details, account information,

00:45:15.260 --> 00:45:18.559
customer support, activity, service history,

00:45:18.760 --> 00:45:21.860
vehicle usage information, safety events, infotainment

00:45:21.860 --> 00:45:25.980
system settings, mobile app, supercharging history.

00:45:26.420 --> 00:45:28.880
So this is all part of the data that they say

00:45:28.880 --> 00:45:32.400
they don't collect. It's very interesting. And

00:45:32.400 --> 00:45:37.699
then they say, you know, in their consumer privacy

00:45:37.699 --> 00:45:41.219
notice, information we may collect. We may collect

00:45:41.219 --> 00:45:45.679
three main types. You use the product's information

00:45:45.679 --> 00:45:48.940
from or about you, information from or about

00:45:48.940 --> 00:45:54.260
your Tesla vehicle. So I give Tesla my nomination

00:45:54.260 --> 00:45:58.900
for complete doublespeak and complete internal

00:45:58.900 --> 00:46:03.000
contradiction of their safety and state of privacy

00:46:03.000 --> 00:46:06.880
standards. Fred, you won because you made Michael

00:46:06.880 --> 00:46:10.800
and I laugh. So that's how you win. But I'm surprised

00:46:10.800 --> 00:46:14.710
neither of you did. a different Waymo take. So

00:46:14.710 --> 00:46:16.409
we're going to jump into this, whereas we've

00:46:16.409 --> 00:46:17.889
talked about in the past, Fred in particular

00:46:17.889 --> 00:46:20.090
has talked in the past about Waymo citing their

00:46:20.090 --> 00:46:22.070
data about how this is how we're safer than a

00:46:22.070 --> 00:46:25.489
human. We paid our employees to tell us that

00:46:25.489 --> 00:46:27.929
we're safer than a human, or we paid these researchers

00:46:27.929 --> 00:46:30.230
to tell us the world that we're safer than a

00:46:30.230 --> 00:46:33.090
human, and we're going to use our data from 2020

00:46:33.090 --> 00:46:37.670
to back this up, even though it's 2026. So while

00:46:37.670 --> 00:46:40.449
Waymo is, I guess maybe they've heard the complaints

00:46:40.449 --> 00:46:43.800
of Fred and... And now Waymo has come up with

00:46:43.800 --> 00:46:46.840
a new model to decide if how to show the world

00:46:46.840 --> 00:46:48.519
how they're safer than a human. According from

00:46:48.519 --> 00:46:51.099
a tech crunch piece, the new model, Waymo said,

00:46:51.239 --> 00:46:54.519
evolves this concept serving as a behavioral

00:46:54.519 --> 00:46:56.900
benchmark for autonomous driving systems able

00:46:56.900 --> 00:46:59.599
to realistically represent reasonable expectations

00:46:59.599 --> 00:47:03.139
on how a careful and competent human driver responds

00:47:03.139 --> 00:47:06.719
to traffic conflicts. What first year law student

00:47:06.719 --> 00:47:11.780
wrote that? Like, this is just, I mean. There

00:47:11.780 --> 00:47:15.219
are so many caveats on here to realistically

00:47:15.219 --> 00:47:21.119
represent reasonable expectations. A lot of weasel

00:47:21.119 --> 00:47:24.199
words. Yeah, 100%. So Waymo is saying, wait,

00:47:24.300 --> 00:47:26.920
people are catching on that we're talking bullshit.

00:47:26.940 --> 00:47:29.139
So instead, we're going to invent a fictitious

00:47:29.139 --> 00:47:33.019
person and compare our driver to this fictitious

00:47:33.019 --> 00:47:37.260
person in a reasonable kind of way, sort of,

00:47:37.260 --> 00:47:40.639
depending if it's Tuesday. And again, I want

00:47:40.639 --> 00:47:43.079
to repeat, this is the company that hit a child

00:47:43.079 --> 00:47:45.300
and said, we hit it at a lower speed than a human

00:47:45.300 --> 00:47:48.280
would have. Instead of saying, fuck, we hit a

00:47:48.280 --> 00:47:51.760
child. You know, like that's the correct response.

00:47:52.659 --> 00:47:55.699
So that would have been the greatest gaslight.

00:47:55.840 --> 00:47:59.019
I mean, I'm interested in this to the extent

00:47:59.019 --> 00:48:02.619
that... You need another gaslight? No, to the

00:48:02.619 --> 00:48:05.920
extent that they're comparing the performance

00:48:05.920 --> 00:48:09.199
of Waymo vehicles to the performance of... good

00:48:09.199 --> 00:48:12.280
human drivers, right? All we hear about from

00:48:12.280 --> 00:48:14.599
the autonomous vehicle industry is about the

00:48:14.599 --> 00:48:17.099
drunks and the distracted people and how they're

00:48:17.099 --> 00:48:18.900
better than them. Well, of course they are. We're

00:48:18.900 --> 00:48:21.719
all better. I mean, a lot of us. A vast majority

00:48:21.719 --> 00:48:24.179
of drivers are better than those people, right?

00:48:24.340 --> 00:48:27.260
So comparing your autonomous vehicle to a shitty

00:48:27.260 --> 00:48:30.300
driver doesn't prove anything to us, right? So

00:48:30.300 --> 00:48:33.400
maybe here they're comparing to a good driver

00:48:33.400 --> 00:48:35.619
and we'll get to see what happens. I'm not sure

00:48:35.619 --> 00:48:39.880
that this is all going to be an exercise we can

00:48:39.880 --> 00:48:44.130
rely on, but it's. It's the progress, I think,

00:48:44.130 --> 00:48:46.730
from what has been going on in the autonomous

00:48:46.730 --> 00:48:49.789
vehicle industry, going back to Kyle and Cruz,

00:48:49.969 --> 00:48:54.389
where they are insistent that the autonomous

00:48:54.389 --> 00:48:56.889
vehicles are better than humans, but they're

00:48:56.889 --> 00:49:00.429
only looking at the worst of us. All right. From

00:49:00.429 --> 00:49:04.230
a technical perspective, it's a simulation, right?

00:49:04.309 --> 00:49:07.090
And every simulation is doomed to failure or

00:49:07.090 --> 00:49:10.690
doomed to success, I should say, in every circumstance.

00:49:11.990 --> 00:49:14.730
what's key here is that they haven't talked about

00:49:14.730 --> 00:49:17.570
how they validated this, what test sequences

00:49:17.570 --> 00:49:20.710
they used, what situations they use, and why

00:49:20.710 --> 00:49:22.909
should anybody believe that? It's just another

00:49:22.909 --> 00:49:26.210
computer model. So, yeah. I look forward to this

00:49:26.210 --> 00:49:32.530
reasonable driver to change over time to help

00:49:32.530 --> 00:49:35.309
their numbers. I think it's hilarious. But Michael

00:49:35.309 --> 00:49:39.570
mentioned Kyle and Cruz, which jumps us to General

00:49:39.570 --> 00:49:43.000
Motors. From an article from thenextweb .com,

00:49:43.079 --> 00:49:47.219
I'm going to quote, GM is rehiring its cruise

00:49:47.219 --> 00:49:50.159
employees. Quoting, the rehiring is a reversal

00:49:50.159 --> 00:49:53.280
from a painful exit. GM acquired Cruise in 2016

00:49:53.280 --> 00:49:56.900
for $581 million and spent more than $10 billion

00:49:56.900 --> 00:50:01.059
on the division before pulling the plug. This

00:50:01.059 --> 00:50:03.320
is when, you know, it hit somebody, dragged a

00:50:03.320 --> 00:50:05.059
person, lied about it, and California regulators

00:50:05.059 --> 00:50:07.679
suspended the company's driver's license. So

00:50:07.679 --> 00:50:10.599
the person running this new autonomous section

00:50:10.599 --> 00:50:15.039
of GM has said, hey, you know, RoboTax is probably

00:50:15.039 --> 00:50:16.980
going to be in our future. Why not? That's not

00:50:16.980 --> 00:50:18.860
how we're going to start. And the person who

00:50:18.860 --> 00:50:20.820
runs this used to run a company called Aurora.

00:50:21.519 --> 00:50:24.360
And we've talked about Aurora, Aurora Trucking,

00:50:24.360 --> 00:50:27.719
and he's getting paid, what was it, $30 million,

00:50:28.119 --> 00:50:30.460
something like that, $40 million. He was hired

00:50:30.460 --> 00:50:33.559
last in May 2025 with a $40 million compensation

00:50:33.559 --> 00:50:37.409
package. And he ran Aurora, and Aurora, as best

00:50:37.409 --> 00:50:40.429
anyone can tell, has two customers and still

00:50:40.429 --> 00:50:42.590
just operating in Texas. Now they have a route

00:50:42.590 --> 00:50:45.670
to Oklahoma as well, a very limited area. But

00:50:45.670 --> 00:50:52.230
GM is like, hey, he's different than Kyle. Is

00:50:52.230 --> 00:50:55.769
he? I don't know. GM, like. Well, he also, you

00:50:55.769 --> 00:50:57.510
know, let's let's you know, I don't know if I

00:50:57.510 --> 00:50:59.110
can't. I may have missed it if you mentioned

00:50:59.110 --> 00:51:02.050
this, but he also, you know, ran Tesla's autopilot.

00:51:03.110 --> 00:51:06.789
So just a little background. His resume is nicer

00:51:06.789 --> 00:51:09.829
looking than Kyle. But, you know, and it's just

00:51:09.829 --> 00:51:12.829
I don't understand what GM is doing here. Yeah,

00:51:12.829 --> 00:51:16.699
I will say that Aurora is. At least from my perspective,

00:51:16.960 --> 00:51:19.679
a whole hell of a lot more careful than Tesla.

00:51:19.940 --> 00:51:23.420
So I don't know. Yeah. Yeah. But again, as far

00:51:23.420 --> 00:51:25.420
as I can tell, I was doing looking into this

00:51:25.420 --> 00:51:28.320
before saying, like, what's going on with Aurora?

00:51:28.619 --> 00:51:31.539
And like, there's not really any news out of

00:51:31.539 --> 00:51:34.260
that company. It's still doing that, mainly that

00:51:34.260 --> 00:51:38.440
same short run in Texas. Were they the company

00:51:38.440 --> 00:51:40.840
that their customer said put human drivers back

00:51:40.840 --> 00:51:43.650
in the cab? Was that Aurora? Yeah, I had to put

00:51:43.650 --> 00:51:46.070
it back in because I think it was Packer, Packer,

00:51:46.070 --> 00:51:49.050
one of those companies wouldn't essentially said

00:51:49.050 --> 00:51:51.150
the liabilities too much for us. They didn't

00:51:51.150 --> 00:51:52.610
come out public and say that, but it was pretty

00:51:52.610 --> 00:51:54.030
clear that's what they were concerned about.

00:51:54.309 --> 00:51:58.469
So anyway, we'll keep you in touch as GM shows

00:51:58.469 --> 00:52:00.929
how they can set billions of dollars on. Yeah.

00:52:00.949 --> 00:52:03.429
And GM is saying a lot of weird stuff like, you

00:52:03.429 --> 00:52:06.449
know, at least. Sterling Anderson is, you know,

00:52:06.469 --> 00:52:12.570
after years of saying that these autonomous vehicle

00:52:12.570 --> 00:52:14.670
companies saying, you know, you can't build,

00:52:14.670 --> 00:52:18.070
you know, level two, level three, you can't build

00:52:18.070 --> 00:52:20.230
upwards. These are separate technologies, autonomy

00:52:20.230 --> 00:52:22.750
and advanced driver assistance systems. Here's,

00:52:22.750 --> 00:52:24.550
you know, Sterling Anderson saying, ultimately

00:52:24.550 --> 00:52:28.400
the two converge, right? There's just so much

00:52:28.400 --> 00:52:31.420
nonsense out there. It's bizarre. With that,

00:52:31.519 --> 00:52:33.659
we got to run into recalls because we have a

00:52:33.659 --> 00:52:35.860
massive, massive list of recalls. We're not doing

00:52:35.860 --> 00:52:38.719
all of them. What do you mean? I want to do all

00:52:38.719 --> 00:52:41.860
of them. You want to do all 11 Ford recalls?

00:52:42.119 --> 00:52:44.440
Don't ruin it for the public. First, we're going

00:52:44.440 --> 00:52:46.199
to start off with Waymo because they've got a

00:52:46.199 --> 00:52:50.900
recall of 3 ,871 vehicles, the fifth generation

00:52:50.900 --> 00:52:54.820
ADS. Under certain circumstances, the AV may

00:52:54.820 --> 00:52:57.559
enter and drive at speed in freeway construction

00:52:57.559 --> 00:53:00.239
zones due to inappropriately prioritizing the

00:53:00.239 --> 00:53:02.820
avoidance of other freeway hazard and or failing

00:53:02.820 --> 00:53:07.199
to recognize the construction zone. Safer than

00:53:07.199 --> 00:53:13.400
a human. Waymo. Yeah. I mean, the remedy will

00:53:13.400 --> 00:53:15.659
enhance Waymo's AV performance in and around

00:53:15.659 --> 00:53:18.530
freeway construction zones. How do you know?

00:53:18.730 --> 00:53:22.090
We don't. It's again, they had the simple solution

00:53:22.090 --> 00:53:25.590
of saying, hey, let's take things off the freeway

00:53:25.590 --> 00:53:27.869
for a while. Hey, let's stop. They're still off

00:53:27.869 --> 00:53:29.789
the freeways, right? I mean, that's a geofence

00:53:29.789 --> 00:53:31.989
essentially, right? That works because you're

00:53:31.989 --> 00:53:34.530
not going to be putting yourself in this scenario

00:53:34.530 --> 00:53:37.829
anymore. But now they're saying, you know, we've

00:53:37.829 --> 00:53:40.070
got a software improvement and a remedy. So we're

00:53:40.070 --> 00:53:42.030
going to be able to perform on the freeway. So

00:53:42.030 --> 00:53:44.690
presumably they're going to. put their vehicles

00:53:44.690 --> 00:53:46.909
back into operation on 3As, and then we're going

00:53:46.909 --> 00:53:50.230
to get to see if this recall works, right? Right.

00:53:50.909 --> 00:53:53.570
And then the next recalls, as Michael alluded,

00:53:53.789 --> 00:53:57.389
so he sent an article to us from USA Today, and

00:53:57.389 --> 00:54:01.429
that Ford has more recalls than any other automaker

00:54:01.429 --> 00:54:06.230
by far, as we know this. They have 51 recalls.

00:54:06.789 --> 00:54:09.389
I think that's pre these new 11 ones, right?

00:54:10.659 --> 00:54:13.519
And Michael Brooks. Oh, that's with them. And

00:54:13.519 --> 00:54:15.619
Michael Brooks is quoted in this article. And

00:54:15.619 --> 00:54:17.760
Michael, what's the reason that Ford is leading

00:54:17.760 --> 00:54:24.280
the recall bunch? So in late 2024, NHTSA, I'm

00:54:24.280 --> 00:54:26.599
sure we've discussed this before, but NHTSA basically

00:54:26.599 --> 00:54:29.480
cracked down on Ford for a lot of different violations

00:54:29.480 --> 00:54:33.659
of the Safety Act. And they fined them or. set

00:54:33.659 --> 00:54:36.239
up a consent agreement where Ford could be fined.

00:54:36.239 --> 00:54:40.860
I think it was about $165 million. And they made

00:54:40.860 --> 00:54:45.400
Ford essentially go under Ford's recall and safety.

00:54:46.199 --> 00:54:49.000
programs are having to run through an independent

00:54:49.000 --> 00:54:52.780
monitor type situation for three or four years.

00:54:52.960 --> 00:54:55.980
And that runs until 2027. You know, virtually

00:54:55.980 --> 00:54:58.440
ever since we've seen that consent order go into

00:54:58.440 --> 00:55:01.440
place, Ford has been pumping out recalls left

00:55:01.440 --> 00:55:03.480
and right. They've been going back and fixing

00:55:03.480 --> 00:55:06.739
a lot of bad recall remedies that came out. And

00:55:06.739 --> 00:55:08.780
they've also been going forward and fixing, you

00:55:08.780 --> 00:55:11.159
know, new recall, new safety issues on their

00:55:11.159 --> 00:55:15.690
vehicles. And so since 2024, they have been I

00:55:15.690 --> 00:55:18.289
mean, crushing the competition, I guess you could

00:55:18.289 --> 00:55:20.409
say, on the recall charts. They've significantly

00:55:20.409 --> 00:55:24.510
more recalls than any other manufacturer. And,

00:55:24.630 --> 00:55:26.630
you know, this is the latest story on how they're

00:55:26.630 --> 00:55:28.969
leading this year, but they're leading, you know,

00:55:28.969 --> 00:55:31.710
for the past three years, essentially. And I

00:55:31.710 --> 00:55:35.829
don't see that stopping at least. through 2027,

00:55:35.909 --> 00:55:37.809
which is the year where they're finally going

00:55:37.809 --> 00:55:41.289
to be released, maybe, from the NHTSA consent

00:55:41.289 --> 00:55:43.989
agreement, they have to show that they haven't

00:55:43.989 --> 00:55:46.369
committed any more Safety Act violations during

00:55:46.369 --> 00:55:48.750
that period, which is why I think we're seeing

00:55:48.750 --> 00:55:52.170
Ford do so many recalls and be so involved in

00:55:52.170 --> 00:55:54.809
this area, because if they don't get released

00:55:54.809 --> 00:55:56.250
from that consent order, they're going to lose,

00:55:56.289 --> 00:55:59.329
I think it's another $50 million or so. So that's

00:55:59.329 --> 00:56:01.949
hanging in the balance, and Ford doesn't want

00:56:01.949 --> 00:56:04.579
to lose that money. But why would they on June

00:56:04.579 --> 00:56:07.860
9th of this year release 11 recalls all at once?

00:56:07.960 --> 00:56:09.719
And this is a Tuesday. It's not like a late Friday

00:56:09.719 --> 00:56:12.880
afternoon. No one will see a thing. Yeah, that's

00:56:12.880 --> 00:56:16.159
I mean, that's that's odd that you see a manufacturer.

00:56:16.300 --> 00:56:18.159
You know, some manufacturers you'll see they'll

00:56:18.159 --> 00:56:20.320
have their quarterly recall meeting or their

00:56:20.320 --> 00:56:23.300
monthly recall safety meeting. And you'll see,

00:56:23.320 --> 00:56:25.579
you know, two, two recalls, three recalls come

00:56:25.579 --> 00:56:29.860
out of that. Eleven is. A very large number is

00:56:29.860 --> 00:56:31.780
all at once. Okay, so let's run through some

00:56:31.780 --> 00:56:34.340
of these or maybe all of these. Unexpected downshift

00:56:34.340 --> 00:56:38.239
can cause loss of control. 44 ,963 vehicles.

00:56:39.460 --> 00:56:42.360
Their transmission output shaft speed sensor

00:56:42.360 --> 00:56:46.260
and powertrain control module can cause the vehicle

00:56:46.260 --> 00:56:49.300
to unexpectedly shift to first gear. Oh, God.

00:56:49.659 --> 00:56:51.420
Yeah, well, you're just driving along and all

00:56:51.420 --> 00:56:53.219
of a sudden you shifted to first gear. Can't

00:56:53.219 --> 00:56:56.940
be good, right? This is a recall of a recall.

00:56:57.119 --> 00:56:59.980
So they've already done a recall on this in 2024.

00:57:00.460 --> 00:57:03.800
Not a good recall under the order with NHTSA.

00:57:03.900 --> 00:57:05.659
They've got to make sure they're going back and

00:57:05.659 --> 00:57:08.039
fixing bad recalls from the past. So here we

00:57:08.039 --> 00:57:10.360
go. They're going to put out another program.

00:57:10.920 --> 00:57:13.300
It looks like it's going to be another software

00:57:13.300 --> 00:57:16.139
update of the power control module software that

00:57:16.139 --> 00:57:18.889
owners should hear about. In the next two weeks.

00:57:19.110 --> 00:57:22.230
Okay, I'm going to jump into another one. Transmission

00:57:22.230 --> 00:57:26.030
clutch may fracture and leak fluid. 5 ,252 vehicles.

00:57:26.630 --> 00:57:28.690
And this one's an obvious to me because it's

00:57:28.690 --> 00:57:31.030
focused on the Ford Focus and Fusion vehicles.

00:57:32.030 --> 00:57:35.010
You know, these were not the best made vehicles

00:57:35.010 --> 00:57:38.610
of all time. And the clutch may fracture, resulting

00:57:38.610 --> 00:57:40.829
in damage to the transmission assembly and possibly

00:57:40.829 --> 00:57:44.449
transmission fluid leak. In this case, I'm sorry.

00:57:44.590 --> 00:57:47.510
There have been massive problems with the fusions

00:57:47.510 --> 00:57:49.530
from those model years and their transmission.

00:57:49.809 --> 00:57:54.530
So it's, you know, some of the vehicles being

00:57:54.530 --> 00:57:56.190
serviced under this have been on the road for

00:57:56.190 --> 00:57:59.849
about 14 years. So clearly they're continuing

00:57:59.849 --> 00:58:02.670
to see some significant problems with those transmissions.

00:58:02.730 --> 00:58:04.969
And I'm glad they're taking action there because

00:58:04.969 --> 00:58:07.829
that's an issue that has been out there for about

00:58:07.829 --> 00:58:10.730
a decade or more now. Right. Next up, unintended

00:58:10.730 --> 00:58:15.869
vehicle movement. This is 10 ,742 vehicles. The

00:58:15.869 --> 00:58:20.989
2018 F -150 previously repaired incorrectly under

00:58:20.989 --> 00:58:25.690
another recall. Yep. Oh, no. Quickly moving the

00:58:25.690 --> 00:58:27.809
shift lever from park to drive may cause a loss

00:58:27.809 --> 00:58:29.570
of gear indication on the instrument cluster

00:58:29.570 --> 00:58:32.409
and a momentary selection of an unintended gear

00:58:32.409 --> 00:58:36.070
such as reverse or neutral. Yikes. So they had

00:58:36.070 --> 00:58:39.449
a recall on this, and their recall was a failure.

00:58:40.880 --> 00:58:45.059
Is that what I just read? Yeah. And essentially

00:58:45.059 --> 00:58:48.179
they're saying, quoting from Ford, you know,

00:58:48.179 --> 00:58:50.719
the underlying safety risks specified in the

00:58:50.719 --> 00:58:54.820
2017 recall still exists on this vehicle. So

00:58:54.820 --> 00:58:57.699
apparently the fix that they put into play in

00:58:57.699 --> 00:59:02.219
2017 did not work. So they're going back and

00:59:02.219 --> 00:59:04.420
doing another fix here. Okay. I want to point

00:59:04.420 --> 00:59:06.300
out that computers will not make everything better.

00:59:06.420 --> 00:59:10.760
Engineering is hard. Next up window automatic

00:59:10.760 --> 00:59:15.239
reversal system malfunction. This is 18 ,124

00:59:15.239 --> 00:59:18.980
vehicles, certain 2017 escape vehicles repaired

00:59:18.980 --> 00:59:22.440
incorrectly under another recall. Oh my God.

00:59:22.480 --> 00:59:24.840
And this is like, if you have your arm or your

00:59:24.840 --> 00:59:27.199
neck in the way, it just, it doesn't reverse

00:59:27.199 --> 00:59:32.579
automatically the window. Right. Right. And they're

00:59:32.579 --> 00:59:36.539
not. So there's, there's kind of a weird. Federal

00:59:36.539 --> 00:59:38.699
Motor Vehicle Safety Standard 118 essentially

00:59:38.699 --> 00:59:41.739
prevents, the main goal of this is to prevent

00:59:41.739 --> 00:59:44.559
children from getting entrapped in windows while

00:59:44.559 --> 00:59:46.619
screwing around with the buttons in the car,

00:59:46.780 --> 00:59:48.360
that type of thing. That's why you no longer

00:59:48.360 --> 00:59:52.619
see the rocker switches to control your windows,

00:59:52.719 --> 00:59:54.719
and you're typically having to pull up on a button

00:59:54.719 --> 00:59:58.340
because it prevents actuation of the switch by

00:59:58.340 --> 01:00:01.599
a child's knee or an unintentional actuation.

01:00:02.480 --> 01:00:05.739
And so in this situation, when they upgraded

01:00:05.739 --> 01:00:09.400
that standard in the early 2000s, they provided

01:00:09.400 --> 01:00:11.739
a pathway that essentially let manufacturers

01:00:11.739 --> 01:00:16.199
do one thing and avoid – do one thing to pass

01:00:16.199 --> 01:00:19.179
or install automatic reversing. A lot of vehicles

01:00:19.179 --> 01:00:22.019
have had this technology. I think my 2003 Volkswagen

01:00:22.019 --> 01:00:24.860
Jetta had auto -reverse in it. We used it as

01:00:24.860 --> 01:00:27.420
a prop in one of our press conferences around

01:00:27.420 --> 01:00:30.730
this in the early 2000s. Auto reverse technology

01:00:30.730 --> 01:00:34.730
is old and it's cheap and it should probably

01:00:34.730 --> 01:00:37.789
be going into every vehicle, even though it's

01:00:37.789 --> 01:00:40.250
not explicitly required. All right. I'm going

01:00:40.250 --> 01:00:42.610
to jump to someone related to instrument cluster,

01:00:42.789 --> 01:00:46.769
instrument cluster failures. 4 ,445 vehicles,

01:00:47.110 --> 01:00:51.809
2017 F -150s, they are repaired incorrectly again.

01:00:52.469 --> 01:00:54.670
Yeah. So you're seeing, and this is something

01:00:54.670 --> 01:00:58.010
that I've been trying to point out to a lot of

01:00:58.010 --> 01:01:00.070
reporters when they call about Ford, because

01:01:00.070 --> 01:01:02.389
there's a lot of questions coming in on Ford

01:01:02.389 --> 01:01:04.409
recalls, because the numbers, you know, number

01:01:04.409 --> 01:01:05.949
of recalls they're putting out is crazy. But

01:01:05.949 --> 01:01:08.849
a lot of these recalls they're doing are actually

01:01:08.849 --> 01:01:13.750
fixes of previous recall repairs. They did a

01:01:13.750 --> 01:01:16.449
really bad job on some recalls. If you look through

01:01:16.449 --> 01:01:20.989
all this, you can pick out dozens of recalls

01:01:20.989 --> 01:01:25.170
over the past three years since the NHTSA consent

01:01:25.170 --> 01:01:27.989
order where Ford's going back and saying, oh,

01:01:28.030 --> 01:01:31.250
we screwed this one up. So I think that's reflective

01:01:31.250 --> 01:01:33.969
of just how poorly they were doing and how necessary

01:01:33.969 --> 01:01:37.030
that action by NHTSA was. So what's the bottom

01:01:37.030 --> 01:01:41.199
line here for our listeners? Bought a Ford with

01:01:41.199 --> 01:01:45.019
it, or if their Ford is less than, what, 10 years

01:01:45.019 --> 01:01:47.980
old, they should make sure that they check in

01:01:47.980 --> 01:01:50.039
with their dealer. Yeah, I would stay on top

01:01:50.039 --> 01:01:54.619
of, you know, I would be plugging my vehicle's

01:01:54.619 --> 01:01:56.980
VIN number or my license plate in the NHTSA website

01:01:56.980 --> 01:01:59.980
a lot more because, you know. If you own a Ford,

01:02:00.099 --> 01:02:02.800
frankly, you're going to have more recalls coming

01:02:02.800 --> 01:02:04.679
out on your vehicle than any other manufacturer

01:02:04.679 --> 01:02:08.119
on average, right? So you're going to need to

01:02:08.119 --> 01:02:10.139
stay on top of those because an issue you thought

01:02:10.139 --> 01:02:13.980
might have been fixed in 2017 wasn't fixed. And

01:02:13.980 --> 01:02:16.860
that's got to be confusing for consumers. They

01:02:16.860 --> 01:02:18.559
say they get a recall notice. Oh, my instrument

01:02:18.559 --> 01:02:20.420
cluster. No, no, no. They fixed that two years

01:02:20.420 --> 01:02:23.039
ago. This must be a repeat of the same thing.

01:02:24.139 --> 01:02:26.500
Like when they do a recall of a recall. You just

01:02:26.500 --> 01:02:28.300
need to understand anytime you get a new recall

01:02:28.300 --> 01:02:30.559
on your vehicle that it's going to require a

01:02:30.559 --> 01:02:34.039
remedy, right? Just because you had something

01:02:34.039 --> 01:02:37.099
fixed once doesn't mean that fix was proper or

01:02:37.099 --> 01:02:40.159
appropriate or worked. And so anytime you get

01:02:40.159 --> 01:02:42.480
a new recall notice, you need to do due diligence.

01:02:42.719 --> 01:02:44.500
You know, you can't poo -poo a recall notice.

01:02:45.019 --> 01:02:48.539
So where do people find the VIN for their vehicle?

01:02:49.199 --> 01:02:51.340
Well, there's I mean, there's a lot of places

01:02:51.340 --> 01:02:54.400
you can look on your on your registration. You

01:02:54.400 --> 01:02:57.699
can look on the driver's side windshield. There's

01:02:57.699 --> 01:03:00.159
usually a bar there, which will have your VIN

01:03:00.159 --> 01:03:03.079
on it. And I believe it's on the placard on the

01:03:03.079 --> 01:03:06.219
inside of your driver's door as well. So what

01:03:06.219 --> 01:03:09.449
people should do is. Take the registration. You

01:03:09.449 --> 01:03:11.010
don't even need that. You can go to the NHTSA

01:03:11.010 --> 01:03:13.070
website, put your license plate number in it.

01:03:13.070 --> 01:03:15.909
They've made it so easy to look up active recalls

01:03:15.909 --> 01:03:18.590
on vehicles now without having to dig up your

01:03:18.590 --> 01:03:21.170
VIN number in all 17 digits. Just put your license

01:03:21.170 --> 01:03:22.650
plate number in and it'll look it up for you.

01:03:23.150 --> 01:03:28.010
And the NHTSA website is what? NHTSA .gov. Yep.

01:03:28.309 --> 01:03:30.210
Even simpler. If you discover you have a Ford

01:03:30.210 --> 01:03:32.590
vehicle, sell it off to somebody you don't like.

01:03:32.869 --> 01:03:36.300
You know, give them a deal. And another one,

01:03:36.360 --> 01:03:39.059
another instrument cluster may go blank on startup

01:03:39.059 --> 01:03:43.559
2349 vehicles, the 2019 Mustang Nautilus Navigator.

01:03:43.820 --> 01:03:48.760
And yeah, this is the dealership program, the

01:03:48.760 --> 01:03:51.780
instrument cluster cluster panel cluster assembly.

01:03:52.079 --> 01:03:55.500
This is just come on, guys. Yeah, I mean, we

01:03:55.500 --> 01:03:58.300
continue to see instrument panel failures. I

01:03:58.300 --> 01:04:04.900
there's some. I think between all these instrument

01:04:04.900 --> 01:04:11.039
cluster failures and all of the backup camera

01:04:11.039 --> 01:04:13.460
failures that we're seeing too. All right. So

01:04:13.460 --> 01:04:15.480
I'm just going to do two more of these. And these

01:04:15.480 --> 01:04:19.019
are the ones with big numbers. Engine stall from

01:04:19.019 --> 01:04:23.380
canister purge valve malfunction. This is 255

01:04:23.380 --> 01:04:30.500
,404 vehicles, 2012 to 2018 Focus vehicles. that

01:04:30.500 --> 01:04:33.420
were previously repaired incorrectly under a

01:04:33.420 --> 01:04:38.480
recall. What is a canister purge valve? I have

01:04:38.480 --> 01:04:42.860
no idea. Oh, no. Well, you know, if Fred has

01:04:42.860 --> 01:04:45.619
no idea, probably just throw it out. You don't

01:04:45.619 --> 01:04:48.079
need it. Yeah, it's got something to do. It's

01:04:48.079 --> 01:04:50.460
got, I think it, I think it. Something to do

01:04:50.460 --> 01:04:53.199
with the power. This is similar to, I think some

01:04:53.199 --> 01:04:55.119
of the, I think it was a Hyundai and Kia recalls

01:04:55.119 --> 01:05:01.880
that we saw where the, the gas tank. The canister

01:05:01.880 --> 01:05:04.820
purge valve has something to do with the evaporative

01:05:04.820 --> 01:05:07.760
emissions in the gas in the fuel tank and preventing

01:05:07.760 --> 01:05:10.039
pressures from building up in the fuel tank.

01:05:10.300 --> 01:05:13.760
So when the CPV sticks open, they're saying it

01:05:13.760 --> 01:05:16.679
can cause excess vacuum in the fuel system, which

01:05:16.679 --> 01:05:18.719
can deform the fuel tank. I think we talked about

01:05:18.719 --> 01:05:21.800
Hyundai and Kia. Right. We had a guest on about

01:05:21.800 --> 01:05:26.639
that years ago. Yeah. I get you. Last one. Center

01:05:26.639 --> 01:05:32.389
console may peel, causing sharp edges. 548 ,463

01:05:32.389 --> 01:05:36.789
vehicles. 2018 to 2024 expedition. The chrome

01:05:36.789 --> 01:05:38.989
plating on the center console may bubble and

01:05:38.989 --> 01:05:44.510
peel resulting in sharp edges. I mean, these

01:05:44.510 --> 01:05:46.190
are one of these things where people are like,

01:05:46.230 --> 01:05:48.829
you know, software will fix everything. These

01:05:48.829 --> 01:05:51.929
guys can't get chrome plating correct. What makes

01:05:51.929 --> 01:05:55.170
you think that autonomy will be solved? Like,

01:05:55.210 --> 01:06:00.239
come on. This is like a technology. Look, chrome

01:06:00.239 --> 01:06:03.139
plating's been around since what, the early 1900s?

01:06:03.380 --> 01:06:07.280
Like, this is... I'm going to walk everywhere.

01:06:08.340 --> 01:06:11.239
Hey, if we mention Piggly Wiggly... I'll walk

01:06:11.239 --> 01:06:14.519
to a Piggly Wiggly. Yeah, and owners on this

01:06:14.519 --> 01:06:17.000
one, you know, good luck getting a remedy anytime

01:06:17.000 --> 01:06:19.340
soon. It looks like that Ford is not going to

01:06:19.340 --> 01:06:22.420
have anything ready on this until late January

01:06:22.420 --> 01:06:26.980
of 2027. With that, ladies and gentlemen, thank

01:06:26.980 --> 01:06:29.579
you for listening. I hope this has been educational

01:06:29.579 --> 01:06:34.099
or entertaining. And go to autosafety .org and

01:06:34.099 --> 01:06:37.679
click on Donate. Until next week, bye -bye. Bye

01:06:37.679 --> 01:06:41.699
-bye. For more information, visit www .autosafety

01:06:41.699 --> 01:06:42.239
.org.
