WEBVTT

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You're listening to There Auto Be A Law, the

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Center for Auto Safety podcast with Executive

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Director Michael Brooks, Chief Engineer Fred

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Perkins, and hosted by me, Anthony Cimino. For

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over 50 years, the Center for Auto Safety has

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worked to make cars safer. Hey listeners, today's

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Wednesday, June 10th. Wait a second, wasn't last

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week Wednesday, June 10th? Yes, we're in the

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past. You're in the future. We just recorded

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these episodes back to back. So if something

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crazy happened in the last week, we missed it.

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Wait for the following week and we'll catch up

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on you. What could have crazy could have happened?

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Waymo says that they're the greatest thing in

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the world while they drive into a wall. I don't

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know what happened. Police had to rescue a Zooks

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from something. You know, I don't know. I don't

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know. Elon fesses up. Yeah, Elon's now I'm a

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trillionaire, man. My companies don't make a

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profit, but you keep falling for it. Oh, you

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know, you just inspired me, Michael. You inspired

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me to start off with my gaslight. That's right.

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Going right into it. Kathy. Late stage capitalism

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would. For those of you don't know, Kathy Wood

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is a investment manager. I don't know. She's

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a salesperson. You have to understand, everybody

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on Wall Street who stock analysts, they do sales.

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They're not unbiased. They do sales. All these

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companies, Merrill Lynch, when they're like,

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hey, SpaceX is worth trillions of dollars. That's

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fraud. That's bullshit sales. This is just lies.

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They are used car salespeople with really nice

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clothes. From this article in this video that

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we're linking to from Benzinga. I can't even

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say that with a straight face. Benzinga. Kathy

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Wood. She rides around in a Waymo and talks about

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how it's the greatest thing. No, I'm sorry. In

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a Tesla. In a Tesla. In Austin. In Austin, yeah.

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And the greatest thing in the world. And I don't

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know. I really don't know if she's just naive,

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stupid, or full of shit. Maybe that's the game

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we should play instead of Gaslight. It's naive,

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stupid, or just full of shit. Or all the above.

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Yeah. So she's saying that Tesla, because they're

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amazing and her entire financial stake is basically

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invested in Tesla, says they're going to get

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their costs for their robo taxi service down

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to 25 cents per mile. Lie. Nope. There's no data

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to back this up. I will actually point out where

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Kathy would and. Her ARK Investments gets all

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their data from when I finish my rant here. She

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claims in this video, there are five parking

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spaces per car in the US. That's fiction. That's

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just made up. No one knows. No one has any clue.

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Sorry, you can search for this and there's estimates

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going from three parking spaces per car to 10

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parking spaces per car. No one, this data is

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not, no one's compiled it. Okay. She claims Waymo

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has the data to prove that autonomous driving

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is safer than human driving. Fred Perkins, what's

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your thought on that? Yep. He has to clean off

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his microphone now. And she says it will only

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get better over time, that their safety will

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get better over time. If anything, what we've

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learned from Waymo is that it gets worse over

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time. You know, they used to stop behind school

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buses. They don't do that anymore. You know,

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they regularly drive into puddles that are blood

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zones. When the cell service goes out, they die.

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They have not gotten better over time. And then

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she, the piece de resistance, she says states

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are putting their populations at risk by not

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encouraging autonomy by this being autonomous

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vehicles. She is a menace. This is the behavior

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of a lunatic. This is a charlatan. Well, this

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is the establishment of an urban myth. You know,

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we talked about that, actually, how that Waymo

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started that nonsense. And it's been picked up

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by CNN. It's been picked up by The New York Times.

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Now here it's going back again through the echo

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chamber. It's unbelievable. She keeps saying

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save lives, but she wraps it in air quotes. She

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literally said save lives. And she's using like

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little finger air quotes things. Why? Why would

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you say that? That is like just kidding. Like,

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I don't I don't get it. It's it's insane. She

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says the reason that Tesla will succeed is they've

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been training their vehicles for 10 years. So

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they and there's a direct quote. They know all

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the things that can go wrong. Oh, and she said

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for the things that go wrong, they're called.

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Corner cases. Lady, did you even read the fucking

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cliff notes? Come on. How? How? How? Corner cases,

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I love it. And I am going to wrap up on my guest

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letter. She implies that most auto accidents

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are caused by young people texting. Now, we know

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distracted driving is a major problem. Unfortunately,

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speeding and drunk driving are three to four

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times as likely to cause a crash. Yeah. I mean,

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again, this is lazy. lazy fraudulent bullshit

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i hope for her to be locked up or just her mouth

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duct tape people just stop listening to people

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because you think they made she made an investment

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in a con of a company called tesla people bought

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into it because the s &amp;p said let's put this

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in an index fund all these index funds buy it

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so the stock goes up and she's like aren't i

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amazing i'm brilliant because i got in early

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on the con she's like employee number two at

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amway Like that's what this is. Anyway, my gas

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under your skin. She upsets me as much as Waymo

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harassing the police. Kathy Wood is in Anthony's

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head. It's just it's more. It is not. I mean,

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look, she she amongst others. She stands out

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in the investment community as the person who

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is most willing to kind of trumpet. the same

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things that Elon's saying than to try to attract

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more people to buy the stock so that her valuation

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keeps going up, right? Absolute nonsense. That

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is my gaslight of this week and a wonderful way

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to start this episode. Does anyone else have

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a gaslight? No, I'm out of gas. Oh, Michael,

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did you have a gaslight you wanted to add? My

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gaslight is you, Anthony, because you said we

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weren't doing gaslights in this episode and then

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you did one. Ah, well, I win. I can't argue with

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your winnings this week. Yeah, it's hard. It's

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hard to argue with that. I mean, even if you

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guys had one, come on, this is a good one. I

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did. It was you. Well, that's a good one. Let's

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get into tires. And I've asked you guys about

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tires before because I, you know, I haven't replaced

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tires in my car yet. They don't need it. They

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still got tread depth. I don't understand tires

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as a consumer. There's a. plethora of choices

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i don't get it i understand very basic things

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i want a tire to stop my vehicle and keep me

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on the road it's that is the scent of my the

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extent of my knowledge uh there's an article

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from jalopnik titled california's new tire regulations

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could be a nightmare for enthusiasts it talks

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about how the california energy commission has

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proposed replacement tire efficiency program

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it's saying i'm summarizing that replacement

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tires that's Third -party tires that you buy

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after you have your new car have to have the

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same efficiency standards as the original equipment

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manufacturers' tires. And now this is an issue.

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Why? This is a problem that a lot of people don't

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know about. In fact, we got a complaint from

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a consumer last month who was saying, you know,

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my OEM tires are running out with like, you know,

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after 25 ,000 miles. You know, why aren't they're

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not typically going to be covered under your

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warranty. So you're going to be responsible for

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replacing them. And her question was, you know,

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why are OEM tires only getting, you know, only

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lasting this long, whereas the aftermarket tires

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are warranted for, you know, 60, 70 ,000 miles

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in some cases. And the truth behind all that

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is that the tires that come with your vehicle.

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are typically designed specifically to produce

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the greatest efficiency in that vehicle. They

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might be a little softer. They might have lots

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of characteristics that make them work great

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with that vehicle during your test drive and

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during your first couple of years of ownership.

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A lot of people will experience... you know early

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failures well before you know the 50 or 60 000

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miles you'd like to get out of your tires on

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the oem tires because they are not the same as

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the aftermarket tires and part of the problem

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with this proposal is that it is seeking to make

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the aftermarket tires you buy as efficient as

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the ones that come with the vehicle which arguably

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is going to make them not last as long, which

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can, you know, even though this is a rule that's

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geared towards greater fuel economy and efficiency,

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it could result in more tires being bought and

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used and thrown out over time. And tire pollution

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is not, you know, not a joke. It is a significant

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concern. And so there have been a lot of, you

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know, I don't think industry and the tire industry

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is all that happy with these regulations. I don't

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know. They would ultimately end up selling more

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tires, it seems like. But I just don't know.

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You know, this is a proposal right now. It's

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still being vetted in California. And so it may

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not come to pass because there are some problems

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here. But it's certainly something that we'll

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keep an eye on as it moves forward. But I guess

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the point I want consumers to understand out

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of all this is that the tires that come on your

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vehicle when you buy a new car. are most likely

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not going to last as long as the tires that come

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after. They're essentially designed to give those

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cars the greatest initial fuel economy that they

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can get. When they say that they could create

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a problem and could possibly result in more tires

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being manufactured, that's true. But it could

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also mean that the tire companies will step up

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and get tires that... both provide good efficiency

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and also last a long time. So that's another

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possibility. And the competition could drive

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them in that direction, which I suspect it will.

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You know, previously the tire companies had no

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reason to develop the tires that, you know, did

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both things, right? And so now they do. So it

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could go both ways. It could be bad, could be

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good. I guess the future is full of surprises,

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isn't it? We'll find out. So what terms of efficiency

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drop off are we talking about? Is it one mile

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a gallon? Is it 10? Like, do we have any idea?

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Well, it depends on the tire, right? I mean,

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if you're taking your factory tires on your pickup

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and replacing them with big mud tires, it could

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significantly impact your fuel economy. Or if

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you're switching to snow tires for the winter.

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or something like that, you're going to have

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an impact. And it could be small, it could be

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large, depending on how different those tires

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are in function and quality to the OEM ones.

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Is that still a thing? Because I remember as

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a kid, we'd have like an extra set of tires in

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our garage and they'd be like, oh, I got to put

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on the snow tires and then the winter tire. And

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I thought it was just all season now is what

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everybody had. I think all -season tires, they

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have their place. But if you're in areas of heavy

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snow and ice, they're not going to do what you

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really want them to do. You need dedicated snow

00:12:35.399 --> 00:12:37.600
tires. Well, the other thing that's happened

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is front -wheel drive and all -wheel drive has

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come into play since you were a child more than

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it was before. So there's just less emphasis

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on snow tires. That's a good point. When I was

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first trying to drive, I was told certain things

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that made sense in a rear wheel driven car versus

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a front wheel. It's like, oh, when you go into

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a curve, you want to hit the accelerator more

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so your back end doesn't kick out. I'm not sure

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if that was a good advice with rear wheel drive

00:13:05.899 --> 00:13:13.659
anyway. No. Where I grew up, you would want to

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have the rear wheels kick out because it's more

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fun. In response to these concerns that both

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Jalopnik and Car and Driver have put out, the

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California Energy Commission issued the following

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statement. In partnership with Smithers, this

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is not a lie. In partnership with Smithers, a

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leading independent tire testing laboratory,

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the CEC tested tires that are sold for the most

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popular cars and light trucks in California as

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measured by the California DMV license registrations.

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That's surprising. The research showed there's

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no relationship between efficiency and tire lifespan

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within the California market. In fact, the proposal

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is specifically designed to encourage manufacturers

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to produce longer -lasting tires, which save

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consumers money and reduce tire waste. So that's

00:13:58.509 --> 00:14:02.110
to your point, Fred, to your hope that they could

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make something even better. The thing that surprised

00:14:05.250 --> 00:14:09.049
me is the measure by California DMV license registrations.

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I live in California. I had a car. I don't remember

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telling the DMV what kind of tires were on my

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car. Like, how would they? I mean, when you buy

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tires, they're not sending that information to

00:14:21.700 --> 00:14:24.000
the DMV unless something changed in the last

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26 years. But I don't know. That was a. That

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was an odd one. Well, I mean, that you would,

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you know, if the tire, if it was an OEM tire,

00:14:32.070 --> 00:14:34.029
the registrations you would pick up, you would

00:14:34.029 --> 00:14:35.789
know the car, know the tire, but you wouldn't

00:14:35.789 --> 00:14:37.750
be able to determine anything about a replacement.

00:14:38.149 --> 00:14:39.750
Right. And even then, like, I mean, I imagine

00:14:39.750 --> 00:14:41.610
manufacturers, they'll change the vehicles. Are

00:14:41.610 --> 00:14:44.169
they telling like, hey, my Saturn SL1 is now

00:14:44.169 --> 00:14:45.970
using Goodyear instead of Michelin? Yeah, I'm

00:14:45.970 --> 00:14:48.370
sure they change, switch up from time to time.

00:14:48.509 --> 00:14:52.529
Anyway, California, you're a strange place. Oh,

00:14:52.889 --> 00:14:55.809
here's a, here's a, let's see. I'm going to find

00:14:55.809 --> 00:15:00.429
a good one here. This is just a one -liner. That's

00:15:00.429 --> 00:15:03.470
it. Okay. We have an article from, I believe

00:15:03.470 --> 00:15:05.710
it was Automotive News, right? Yeah, Automotive

00:15:05.710 --> 00:15:07.649
News titled, and unfortunately we can't link

00:15:07.649 --> 00:15:10.889
to this, Ford has no regrets about quitting sedans,

00:15:10.909 --> 00:15:13.190
even if it considers bringing them back. And

00:15:13.190 --> 00:15:16.029
it's a long interview, blah, blah, blah. And

00:15:16.029 --> 00:15:20.070
the only thing, my takeaway from it was from

00:15:20.070 --> 00:15:24.299
the VP they're interviewing at Ford. He has this

00:15:24.299 --> 00:15:28.000
line. Where'd it go? We have a really great Mustang

00:15:28.000 --> 00:15:34.240
that people consider a car. I love it. He said

00:15:34.240 --> 00:15:36.059
that. That's the only takeaway I had from that

00:15:36.059 --> 00:15:41.039
entire interview. They're talking more and more

00:15:41.039 --> 00:15:42.799
about bringing back sedans. You know, we've talked

00:15:42.799 --> 00:15:46.740
a lot about Farley and him, you know, admiring

00:15:46.740 --> 00:15:49.620
some of the Chinese sedans and acknowledging

00:15:49.620 --> 00:15:54.360
that. the market doesn't offer probably as many

00:15:54.360 --> 00:15:57.100
sedans as it should and definitely not at low

00:15:57.100 --> 00:15:59.059
enough cost for a lot of them to afford us so

00:15:59.059 --> 00:16:03.580
i drive a sedan i i i like the idea of bringing

00:16:03.580 --> 00:16:05.899
back more of them but you know you also have

00:16:05.899 --> 00:16:08.820
to wonder if the market is there to you know

00:16:08.820 --> 00:16:11.820
i don't know if we'll ever reach numbers again

00:16:11.820 --> 00:16:14.240
like we used to when 50 of the vehicles on the

00:16:14.240 --> 00:16:17.549
road were sedans You know, now I think it's only

00:16:17.549 --> 00:16:20.929
around 15 % or so of vehicles sold are sedans.

00:16:21.129 --> 00:16:23.049
And even though they make a lot more sense for

00:16:23.049 --> 00:16:25.570
fuel economy and other things, a lot of Americans

00:16:25.570 --> 00:16:29.429
have chosen to go with larger SUVs and that kind

00:16:29.429 --> 00:16:34.009
of thing. You know, it's hard to say whether,

00:16:34.070 --> 00:16:36.750
you know, can a company just start building sedans

00:16:36.750 --> 00:16:39.590
and expect Americans to buy them? Or is this

00:16:39.590 --> 00:16:43.330
kind of a culture shift we need away from SUVs

00:16:43.330 --> 00:16:45.730
and back towards more sensible, smaller vehicles?

00:16:45.950 --> 00:16:49.669
I don't know. I went to a Toyota dealer just

00:16:49.669 --> 00:16:53.090
out of curiosity to see how much the CJ5s cost.

00:16:53.210 --> 00:16:55.669
I think that's what they're called. Anyway, it's

00:16:55.669 --> 00:16:58.759
their fancy. Four -wheel drive. It used to be

00:16:58.759 --> 00:17:01.559
called the Land Rover. Oh, yeah. Like a Land

00:17:01.559 --> 00:17:04.880
Cruiser. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, CJ, I guess, something

00:17:04.880 --> 00:17:08.200
like that. No idea. That's a Jeep CJ. Sicker

00:17:08.200 --> 00:17:12.440
price was $72 ,000. Yep. So you bought two of

00:17:12.440 --> 00:17:17.000
them? Holy crap. So, you know, that was the end

00:17:17.000 --> 00:17:22.259
of my interest. But if the companies can make

00:17:22.259 --> 00:17:25.220
as much money on one SUV that they're selling

00:17:25.220 --> 00:17:29.240
as for... two sedans that they're selling, man,

00:17:29.299 --> 00:17:31.319
as long as they can keep pushing people into

00:17:31.319 --> 00:17:33.619
SUVs, that's where they're going to go. And that's

00:17:33.619 --> 00:17:35.440
what they like. The bigger vehicles have bigger

00:17:35.440 --> 00:17:38.079
profit margins. And that's why we have, you know,

00:17:38.079 --> 00:17:41.660
the average vehicle costs $50 ,000. Yeah. And

00:17:41.660 --> 00:17:44.119
if people are willing to spend $1 ,000 a month

00:17:44.119 --> 00:17:47.660
on car payments, plus insurance, plus, you know,

00:17:47.680 --> 00:17:51.079
basically if it adds up to $2 ,000 a month to

00:17:51.079 --> 00:17:54.759
support your car habit, a company is more than

00:17:54.759 --> 00:17:57.480
willing to. Have people do that, but boy, I'm

00:17:57.480 --> 00:17:59.980
not going that way. But Fred, when you're going

00:17:59.980 --> 00:18:02.680
to Costco and you're buying a pallet of toilet

00:18:02.680 --> 00:18:06.000
paper and a half a cow, you can't fit that into

00:18:06.000 --> 00:18:10.599
a sedan. That's true. That's a good point. And

00:18:10.599 --> 00:18:13.579
when you buy a half a cow, you do need all that

00:18:13.579 --> 00:18:16.099
toilet paper. I think that's what sunroofs are

00:18:16.099 --> 00:18:20.960
for. I've never been to a Costco. I just, I don't

00:18:20.960 --> 00:18:22.240
have a membership. I don't know what it's like.

00:18:22.359 --> 00:18:24.539
I just imagine. I imagine you can buy half a

00:18:24.539 --> 00:18:27.910
cow. Don't have them up here. But continuing

00:18:27.910 --> 00:18:32.730
with China and autos, there's an article from

00:18:32.730 --> 00:18:36.390
Ars Technica talking about how Michigan politicians

00:18:36.390 --> 00:18:40.130
want to ban Chinese -badged cars from even visiting

00:18:40.130 --> 00:18:44.769
the U .S. And a quote from the article, this

00:18:44.769 --> 00:18:48.470
is some politician type, says they can certainly

00:18:48.470 --> 00:18:50.980
come across the border. Just talking to Chinese

00:18:50.980 --> 00:18:53.400
vehicles or vehicles with Chinese technology

00:18:53.400 --> 00:18:55.359
in it. They can certainly come across the border,

00:18:55.500 --> 00:18:58.019
drive up to Selfridge Air Force Base, take some

00:18:58.019 --> 00:19:00.380
video with the car. The car is traveling. The

00:19:00.380 --> 00:19:02.599
car is a traveling surveillance package. And

00:19:02.599 --> 00:19:04.700
all that data that the car is collecting is being

00:19:04.700 --> 00:19:09.059
sent straight back to Beijing. This is lazy fear

00:19:09.059 --> 00:19:10.500
monitoring. That's a little crazy. Like, right?

00:19:10.559 --> 00:19:13.240
Can't you just hop in your car with a video camera

00:19:13.240 --> 00:19:15.079
and do the same thing? Can't you just show up

00:19:15.079 --> 00:19:17.880
with your iPhone that's designed by an American

00:19:17.880 --> 00:19:22.230
company but made in China? This is dumb. This

00:19:22.230 --> 00:19:25.250
is yeah, this is just pure fear mongering. And

00:19:25.250 --> 00:19:28.150
this is just very protectionist behavior against

00:19:28.150 --> 00:19:31.329
Detroit auto manufacturers who. Well, I mean,

00:19:31.349 --> 00:19:33.329
this really made me wonder about, you know, the

00:19:33.329 --> 00:19:37.529
CEO of Ford, Jim Farley, who applied and I think

00:19:37.529 --> 00:19:40.170
got an exemption to bring a Chinese. Was it one

00:19:40.170 --> 00:19:43.069
of the BYDs or another Chinese vehicle into America

00:19:43.069 --> 00:19:47.829
for his own use about a year ago? You know. Is

00:19:47.829 --> 00:19:50.609
this bill going to ban that kind of activity

00:19:50.609 --> 00:19:53.410
as well? No, no, no, no, no. Because Jim Farley

00:19:53.410 --> 00:19:56.430
is wealthy. The laws don't apply to wealthy people.

00:19:57.190 --> 00:19:59.809
That's got a good point. And, you know, we've

00:19:59.809 --> 00:20:02.970
had the, you know, this is, there's been, you

00:20:02.970 --> 00:20:05.009
know, I think the Biden administration's kicked

00:20:05.009 --> 00:20:07.750
this off. They put an import tariff on Chinese

00:20:07.750 --> 00:20:11.309
-made cars, 100 % import tariff, which functionally

00:20:11.309 --> 00:20:14.630
is a ban. And then the Department of Commerce

00:20:14.630 --> 00:20:18.480
started rulemaking. That was implemented during

00:20:18.480 --> 00:20:20.480
this administration that banned the imported

00:20:20.480 --> 00:20:23.700
connected cars from China starting next year.

00:20:23.900 --> 00:20:28.480
So functionally, this has already been done.

00:20:28.619 --> 00:20:31.900
I'm not really sure what Michigan is hoping to

00:20:31.900 --> 00:20:34.400
do with state legislation that the federal government

00:20:34.400 --> 00:20:38.220
isn't already doing. And I also wonder if they

00:20:38.220 --> 00:20:43.960
have the authority to ban certain vehicles from

00:20:43.960 --> 00:20:47.779
entering the country. state law i don't know

00:20:47.779 --> 00:20:51.140
it's it's it sounds odd yeah it just seems like

00:20:51.140 --> 00:20:53.319
a lot of fear -mongering i love the fact that

00:20:53.319 --> 00:20:55.180
they bring in it's oh it's china china's the

00:20:55.180 --> 00:20:59.619
big concern i mean really i'm more concerned

00:20:59.619 --> 00:21:01.599
of just you know i mean we have the example already

00:21:01.599 --> 00:21:05.079
of gm you know selling their customers data but

00:21:05.079 --> 00:21:06.880
yeah china is going to take a picture of a fence

00:21:06.880 --> 00:21:09.700
at an air force base it's a you know maybe the

00:21:09.700 --> 00:21:13.049
chinese should invent satellites you know Get

00:21:13.049 --> 00:21:16.269
a better view. Or balloons. Or balloons and say

00:21:16.269 --> 00:21:18.730
we lost track of it. I don't know. Just flying

00:21:18.730 --> 00:21:24.109
over your country. Nonsense. But our friends

00:21:24.109 --> 00:21:27.849
in Europe, the EU have something called the European

00:21:27.849 --> 00:21:33.390
Union AI Act. And we have a link to this from

00:21:33.390 --> 00:21:38.630
automotive -iq .com. And I'm going to lean on

00:21:38.630 --> 00:21:40.430
you guys because I didn't really fully understand

00:21:40.430 --> 00:21:43.859
it. I'm going to quote from this piece. The regulation

00:21:43.859 --> 00:21:46.599
places particular focus on AI systems that could

00:21:46.599 --> 00:21:49.740
pose serious risks to health, safety, or fundamental

00:21:49.740 --> 00:21:52.980
rights. In practical terms, automotive companies

00:21:52.980 --> 00:21:55.940
will need to understand whether an AI -enabled

00:21:55.940 --> 00:21:58.480
vehicle function is a low risk, limited risk,

00:21:58.559 --> 00:22:01.500
or high risk, and what obligations follow from

00:22:01.500 --> 00:22:03.980
that classification. That sounds like something

00:22:03.980 --> 00:22:12.339
we all love, right? Yeah. Yeah. There's some

00:22:12.339 --> 00:22:15.539
things in cars that use AI that might be classified

00:22:15.539 --> 00:22:20.000
as limited risk, maybe low risk. That could be

00:22:20.000 --> 00:22:25.759
like you're, you know, interfacing with an LLM

00:22:25.759 --> 00:22:28.480
or air conditioning or whatever you're doing

00:22:28.480 --> 00:22:31.549
with it. I don't know how. you know, AI -enabled

00:22:31.549 --> 00:22:33.289
air conditioning. I don't know if that's a thing

00:22:33.289 --> 00:22:36.549
yet. But as far as infotainment and that kind

00:22:36.549 --> 00:22:38.569
of thing, you know, maybe there's low risk there.

00:22:38.670 --> 00:22:40.470
But when you're talking about vehicle performance,

00:22:40.730 --> 00:22:45.509
vehicle safety systems, clearly those vehicles

00:22:45.509 --> 00:22:49.849
should be regulated as, you know, high risk artificial

00:22:49.849 --> 00:22:53.680
intelligence. components of the vehicle because

00:22:53.680 --> 00:22:56.880
you know there's there's a lot of ai that could

00:22:56.880 --> 00:22:58.660
be used the vehicles coming up right and that

00:22:58.660 --> 00:23:00.720
is being used now you know we've got you know

00:23:00.720 --> 00:23:04.859
driver monitoring you've got um that any all

00:23:04.859 --> 00:23:07.599
sorts of assisted driving across the industry

00:23:07.599 --> 00:23:09.799
that's being loaded into cars now you've got

00:23:09.799 --> 00:23:13.339
autonomous driving um And there are a lot of

00:23:13.339 --> 00:23:16.480
other areas where cybersecurity comes into play

00:23:16.480 --> 00:23:20.839
a lot here. So this is something that we do not

00:23:20.839 --> 00:23:23.619
have in the United States, right? We do not have

00:23:23.619 --> 00:23:26.720
a legal framework to ensure that AI is safe.

00:23:26.859 --> 00:23:30.619
In fact, we've come perilously close in the past

00:23:30.619 --> 00:23:35.160
year to passing laws that would exempt. the AI

00:23:35.160 --> 00:23:39.019
industry from a lot of state laws that could

00:23:39.019 --> 00:23:42.960
do something similar here in the absence of federal

00:23:42.960 --> 00:23:46.319
AI regulation. There has been a little movement

00:23:46.319 --> 00:23:49.819
in the executive branch around AI regulation

00:23:49.819 --> 00:23:52.000
in the past week or so, but it's hard to tell

00:23:52.000 --> 00:23:55.660
whether that's really safety concerns or Trump

00:23:55.660 --> 00:23:58.759
trying to enrich his family once again somehow.

00:24:00.920 --> 00:24:03.099
There's even been talk of the United States taking

00:24:03.099 --> 00:24:06.200
a stake in some of the AI companies that are

00:24:06.200 --> 00:24:08.619
operating here. So there's a lot going on in

00:24:08.619 --> 00:24:11.420
this area. But I think one thing we can certainly

00:24:11.420 --> 00:24:14.539
say is that we're a little jealous of the EU

00:24:14.539 --> 00:24:17.440
for actually having a legal framework here to

00:24:17.440 --> 00:24:20.119
look out for its citizens versus what's going

00:24:20.119 --> 00:24:22.819
in the United States right now, where I would

00:24:22.819 --> 00:24:26.859
argue that the people who are supporting and

00:24:26.859 --> 00:24:30.109
pushing to. put AI into everything the United

00:24:30.109 --> 00:24:32.910
States are doing so at a speed that's not good

00:24:32.910 --> 00:24:36.069
for safety. I haven't read the regulation yet.

00:24:36.089 --> 00:24:38.670
I only read the personal issues associated with

00:24:38.670 --> 00:24:42.049
it. My opinion may change, but I didn't notice

00:24:42.049 --> 00:24:46.049
and I didn't see any emphasis on inspection and

00:24:46.049 --> 00:24:49.670
validation of the AI performance itself. Because

00:24:49.670 --> 00:24:54.029
inherent in AI operation is ambiguity in the

00:24:54.029 --> 00:24:56.619
output. You never know what you're going to get

00:24:56.619 --> 00:25:00.000
out of it. It's like, you know, a box of chocolates

00:25:00.000 --> 00:25:02.819
in the hands of Forrest Gump. You never know.

00:25:02.940 --> 00:25:05.880
This applies to both large decisions that it's

00:25:05.880 --> 00:25:07.880
going to make and small decisions that it's going

00:25:07.880 --> 00:25:11.579
to make. I'm looking for, when I read this regulation,

00:25:11.960 --> 00:25:14.660
I'm looking for some evidence that there's a

00:25:14.660 --> 00:25:19.869
third -party way or some validation method. For

00:25:19.869 --> 00:25:22.690
the AI operations itself, the conclusions you

00:25:22.690 --> 00:25:26.150
draw from one or two observations will in fact

00:25:26.150 --> 00:25:32.670
pertain to the overall AI operation. We've talked

00:25:32.670 --> 00:25:35.950
about this before and the need to have inspectable

00:25:35.950 --> 00:25:40.349
features that are safety critical on computer

00:25:40.349 --> 00:25:44.230
-driven vehicles. There's no emphasis on that

00:25:44.230 --> 00:25:46.970
in the public and there's no... evidence of that

00:25:46.970 --> 00:25:49.450
and what I've seen so far in this AI regulation.

00:25:49.809 --> 00:25:52.849
I think that's critical to any application for

00:25:52.849 --> 00:25:56.190
vehicles. You've got to be able to do a safety

00:25:56.190 --> 00:25:59.529
inspection to make sure that the vehicle is operating

00:25:59.529 --> 00:26:03.069
in conformance with the performance limits that

00:26:03.069 --> 00:26:05.170
have been placed on it by the manufacturer, right?

00:26:06.390 --> 00:26:09.930
Even, I mean, something like adaptive cruise

00:26:09.930 --> 00:26:13.950
control. You want to verify that the car, in

00:26:13.950 --> 00:26:18.430
fact, is... following other vehicles at the appropriate

00:26:18.430 --> 00:26:22.289
distance. How do you do that? Unless it's built

00:26:22.289 --> 00:26:25.170
in by the manufacturer, how in the world can

00:26:25.170 --> 00:26:27.390
a state that's concerned about the safety of

00:26:27.390 --> 00:26:32.390
its residents verify that, in fact, the adaptive

00:26:32.390 --> 00:26:35.470
cruise control or any other feature you want

00:26:35.470 --> 00:26:38.789
to name is doing what it's supposed to do? I

00:26:38.789 --> 00:26:41.029
think this is a huge gap. I haven't yet seen

00:26:41.029 --> 00:26:44.329
evidence that this European regulation is addressing

00:26:44.329 --> 00:26:47.069
that. The closest I see to that is they have

00:26:47.069 --> 00:26:49.450
a section called more documentation and traceability.

00:26:49.789 --> 00:26:52.049
I'm going to quote, high -risk AI systems require

00:26:52.049 --> 00:26:54.730
detailed technical documentation. For automotive

00:26:54.730 --> 00:26:56.650
companies, this could mean stronger traceability

00:26:56.650 --> 00:26:58.789
between AI requirements, training data sets,

00:26:58.930 --> 00:27:01.130
model versions, validation results, software

00:27:01.130 --> 00:27:05.490
releases, and post -market monitoring. I mean,

00:27:05.490 --> 00:27:09.029
that's kind of in the right direction, but you're

00:27:09.029 --> 00:27:11.190
right, Fred. We need, what are the actual specific

00:27:11.190 --> 00:27:13.390
details? Maybe that is in the specific regulation.

00:27:13.529 --> 00:27:16.400
I don't know. Maybe what they could do is they

00:27:16.400 --> 00:27:18.480
could go to autosafety .org and check out the

00:27:18.480 --> 00:27:21.119
AV checklist, get inspired from that, because

00:27:21.119 --> 00:27:25.680
that's a great way to start. That's a fantastic

00:27:25.680 --> 00:27:29.119
idea. I agree. And, hey, EU regulators, while

00:27:29.119 --> 00:27:31.220
you're there, just click on Donate. We don't

00:27:31.220 --> 00:27:33.019
care if you live overseas. It's fine, right?

00:27:33.200 --> 00:27:37.200
We can take it. We'll take your S. Yeah. They

00:27:37.200 --> 00:27:39.039
have sovereign investment funds. Shouldn't they

00:27:39.039 --> 00:27:42.460
have sovereign safety funds, too? Use that to

00:27:42.460 --> 00:27:45.259
invest in people like us. Finland, I know you

00:27:45.259 --> 00:27:47.740
got burned by donut. You know, we're no donut.

00:27:48.380 --> 00:27:50.779
We do believe it was Finland, right? Or was it

00:27:50.779 --> 00:27:52.960
Norway? It was Finland. I don't know. It was

00:27:52.960 --> 00:27:54.779
so long ago. Go ahead and make up a country.

00:27:54.880 --> 00:27:58.740
Why not? Yeah. Funore. Oh, Funore. Their food

00:27:58.740 --> 00:28:01.339
is amazing, I bet. Oh, I love a good Funore.

00:28:01.579 --> 00:28:03.619
Yeah, it's a nice food. Samoristan, yeah. Yeah,

00:28:03.619 --> 00:28:06.700
that's great. Well, where did the Marx Brothers

00:28:06.700 --> 00:28:08.420
fight in Animal Crackers? What was that country?

00:28:10.119 --> 00:28:14.119
Anybody? Before my time. Ah. Well, with that,

00:28:14.180 --> 00:28:17.460
I think it's time for a deep dive on the world

00:28:17.460 --> 00:28:23.000
of GNSS, brought to you by Fred Boom Boom Perkins.

00:28:23.660 --> 00:28:28.099
Oh, this is actually a very important subject,

00:28:28.180 --> 00:28:31.460
which very few people have really thought about.

00:28:31.579 --> 00:28:34.519
Last week, we talked about Zoox and how they

00:28:34.519 --> 00:28:38.319
said there are no single -point failures in Zoox.

00:28:39.400 --> 00:28:43.359
Every AV company is busily mapping. cities so

00:28:43.359 --> 00:28:45.980
that their cars know where they are. But think

00:28:45.980 --> 00:28:48.460
of, you know, what does it really take to do

00:28:48.460 --> 00:28:51.099
that? If you know where a landmark is and you

00:28:51.099 --> 00:28:53.000
know where you are relative to the landmark,

00:28:53.240 --> 00:28:55.960
then you can know where you are, right? If you're

00:28:55.960 --> 00:28:59.220
next to a street sign that says My Town USA,

00:28:59.539 --> 00:29:02.500
you know pretty much where you are. That's how

00:29:02.500 --> 00:29:06.799
GPS works and all the similar systems. So the

00:29:06.799 --> 00:29:10.319
formal names is Global Navigation Satellite System.

00:29:10.920 --> 00:29:13.819
There are several different systems, one by the

00:29:13.819 --> 00:29:17.759
U .S., one by Europe, one by China, that provide

00:29:17.759 --> 00:29:21.579
essentially parallel capabilities. So here's

00:29:21.579 --> 00:29:24.420
how it works. GPS satellites, and I'm going to

00:29:24.420 --> 00:29:26.920
call them all GPS satellites just because GNS.

00:29:27.920 --> 00:29:30.619
I'm sorry? I just called you a dirty American

00:29:30.619 --> 00:29:33.539
by calling it GPS. GPS is the brand name of the

00:29:33.539 --> 00:29:36.960
U .S. version. Actually, it's not. It's called

00:29:36.960 --> 00:29:40.589
Global Navigate something. I don't know. The

00:29:40.589 --> 00:29:43.029
international never star or whatever, blah, blah,

00:29:43.049 --> 00:29:44.970
blah. Anyway, this is how they work. The satellites

00:29:44.970 --> 00:29:46.730
are up there. The satellites know where they

00:29:46.730 --> 00:29:50.089
are. When you receive the radio signal that comes

00:29:50.089 --> 00:29:53.450
from the satellite, it comes into your device,

00:29:53.589 --> 00:29:56.849
whatever it is. And it decodes the information

00:29:56.849 --> 00:30:00.390
in that message. That includes the time at which

00:30:00.390 --> 00:30:03.690
the message was launched and the location of

00:30:03.690 --> 00:30:05.789
somewhere in space that it was launched from.

00:30:06.519 --> 00:30:08.980
And since you know what the time is where you

00:30:08.980 --> 00:30:13.779
are, if you compare your time to its time, since

00:30:13.779 --> 00:30:16.160
what did you say, Michael? Three things in life

00:30:16.160 --> 00:30:18.519
are constant. Death taxes and the speed of light

00:30:18.519 --> 00:30:21.319
in a vacuum or something like that. Well, I would

00:30:21.319 --> 00:30:24.500
say taxes aren't so sure anymore. Yeah, well,

00:30:24.599 --> 00:30:26.440
that's true. It depends on how rich you are,

00:30:26.480 --> 00:30:29.539
too. But anyway, radio waves are light, so their

00:30:29.539 --> 00:30:32.319
speed is well known. There's a lot of research

00:30:32.319 --> 00:30:35.380
that goes on to that. So if you know the two

00:30:35.380 --> 00:30:39.079
ends, of the communication and the time associated

00:30:39.079 --> 00:30:41.799
with the delay between them, you can compare

00:30:41.799 --> 00:30:43.579
that to the speed of light and you know where

00:30:43.579 --> 00:30:46.660
you are, right? You drive 10 miles an hour for

00:30:46.660 --> 00:30:51.339
one hour, you're 10 miles apart. So if you drive

00:30:51.339 --> 00:30:55.400
or if you are so far apart in time and you know

00:30:55.400 --> 00:30:58.079
what the speed is, that's what the distance is.

00:30:58.900 --> 00:31:01.259
So the GPS satellites know where they are relative

00:31:01.259 --> 00:31:05.200
to Earth. And since they do, They broadcast that

00:31:05.200 --> 00:31:07.279
information and it's freely available for you

00:31:07.279 --> 00:31:10.079
to listen to. But how do you get that information?

00:31:10.200 --> 00:31:13.259
It comes through a radio signal. And that radio

00:31:13.259 --> 00:31:17.740
signal is very faint because they picked a part

00:31:17.740 --> 00:31:20.640
of the spectrum where there's very little background

00:31:20.640 --> 00:31:25.220
noise from anything in the universe. So the transmission

00:31:25.220 --> 00:31:28.819
power from the satellite is only about 50 watts.

00:31:29.079 --> 00:31:31.759
And since that satellite is tens of thousands

00:31:31.759 --> 00:31:34.880
of miles away from you, You can imagine that

00:31:34.880 --> 00:31:38.279
it's a very small signal. 50 watts, by the way,

00:31:38.279 --> 00:31:41.700
is about the power that's radiated by the high

00:31:41.700 --> 00:31:45.420
beam of your LED headlights. So if you think

00:31:45.420 --> 00:31:47.839
of the problem of seeing your headlights from

00:31:47.839 --> 00:31:50.599
12 ,000 miles away, you can have some appreciation.

00:31:51.200 --> 00:31:53.660
How far are satellites actually away from us?

00:31:53.819 --> 00:31:55.900
12 ,000 sounds like a lot, but they were only

00:31:55.900 --> 00:31:59.980
like in the, you know, like hundreds of miles

00:31:59.980 --> 00:32:03.420
into the atmosphere versus... The satellites

00:32:03.420 --> 00:32:06.299
are about 12 ,000 to 13 ,000 miles from the Earth

00:32:06.299 --> 00:32:09.500
-bound listener. So the orbits are up 12 ,500

00:32:09.500 --> 00:32:11.400
feet or so, but of course you've got the distance

00:32:11.400 --> 00:32:14.920
on the Earth that varies because it's in orbit.

00:32:15.380 --> 00:32:18.420
So it's like 12 ,000 to 13 ,000 miles. So they're

00:32:18.420 --> 00:32:21.400
all over the place out there. Yeah, but broadcast

00:32:21.400 --> 00:32:24.339
power is 50 watts, so it's just not much power.

00:32:25.099 --> 00:32:28.940
So what has happened, though, is that the bad

00:32:28.940 --> 00:32:32.019
guys... And maybe the good guys, who knows? We

00:32:32.019 --> 00:32:33.779
don't talk about the good guys as much. But the

00:32:33.779 --> 00:32:36.460
bad guys have figured out that if you screw with

00:32:36.460 --> 00:32:38.960
a radio signal that's coming from the satellite

00:32:38.960 --> 00:32:43.099
to the Earth, you can cause it to provide bad

00:32:43.099 --> 00:32:46.059
information on the Earth. Like you can change

00:32:46.059 --> 00:32:49.660
the indicated location from the actual location.

00:32:50.440 --> 00:32:52.740
You guys probably saw Die Hard 2, didn't you?

00:32:53.740 --> 00:32:56.599
Loved it. And so in Die Hard 2, there's a scene

00:32:56.599 --> 00:32:59.410
in which the bad guys... take over the communication

00:32:59.410 --> 00:33:03.890
system to the navigation system to the airlines

00:33:03.890 --> 00:33:08.950
and cause the airlines to think that they are

00:33:08.950 --> 00:33:11.609
someplace they're not. And so they cause an airline

00:33:11.609 --> 00:33:14.829
to dive into the earth and crash rather than

00:33:14.829 --> 00:33:18.970
land safely on the runway. It turns out that's

00:33:18.970 --> 00:33:22.269
actually a possibility. For cars, what it means

00:33:22.269 --> 00:33:26.230
is that the map that the car is reading is also

00:33:26.230 --> 00:33:31.200
based upon GPS. The car's instant location is

00:33:31.200 --> 00:33:35.859
based upon GPS to some extent. So if either the

00:33:35.859 --> 00:33:40.339
map or the car is wrong, then the car doesn't

00:33:40.339 --> 00:33:42.660
know where it is. And if there's no human supervising

00:33:42.660 --> 00:33:46.279
where the car is going, it's relying on GPS information

00:33:46.279 --> 00:33:49.880
to some extent to know where it is. So if that's

00:33:49.880 --> 00:33:53.079
faulty, it can be crashing into things because

00:33:53.079 --> 00:33:55.819
the map is no good or their location is no good.

00:33:56.190 --> 00:33:58.730
I don't think the cars are absolutely relying

00:33:58.730 --> 00:34:02.549
on this information because they also have sensors

00:34:02.549 --> 00:34:05.829
that look for obstacles near them. And they could

00:34:05.829 --> 00:34:09.309
be mapping based upon some other location information

00:34:09.309 --> 00:34:12.429
associated with the topography. But that's very

00:34:12.429 --> 00:34:14.710
complicated. So I don't think that they're doing

00:34:14.710 --> 00:34:17.909
that. But if you postulate that the cars are

00:34:17.909 --> 00:34:21.909
navigating based upon a GPS signal and you perturb

00:34:21.909 --> 00:34:25.050
the GPS signal, let's say that causing the car

00:34:25.050 --> 00:34:27.820
to think it's, 30 feet to the left of where it

00:34:27.820 --> 00:34:32.280
actually is, then it's going to crash into things

00:34:32.280 --> 00:34:35.199
that are in the area that it thought was free

00:34:35.199 --> 00:34:38.539
of obstacles. Does that make sense? Yeah, it

00:34:38.539 --> 00:34:42.500
makes sense. I mean, we were talking about this

00:34:42.500 --> 00:34:45.880
because of the Veritasium video that came out

00:34:45.880 --> 00:34:50.159
last week that suggested that Russia has deployed

00:34:50.159 --> 00:34:54.019
at least one and maybe a number of satellites.

00:34:56.010 --> 00:35:00.369
That can interfere with so far they've noticed

00:35:00.369 --> 00:35:05.489
the European GNSS system. We don't have any evidence

00:35:05.489 --> 00:35:07.190
that that can happen in the United States, but

00:35:07.190 --> 00:35:10.090
it looked it appeared. I don't know. I don't

00:35:10.090 --> 00:35:12.130
know if you can get full confirmation of this.

00:35:12.190 --> 00:35:15.210
It appeared that the Russian satellite that the

00:35:15.210 --> 00:35:18.630
video was talking about was operating in a spectrum

00:35:18.630 --> 00:35:22.869
that was kind of adjacent to the GPS spectrum

00:35:22.869 --> 00:35:25.389
and caused some brief interference, but that

00:35:25.389 --> 00:35:29.059
it. looked like they may be testing the technology

00:35:29.059 --> 00:35:35.480
as a way to essentially jam all GPS or GNSS systems

00:35:35.480 --> 00:35:38.320
in Europe all at once. It looked like that it

00:35:38.320 --> 00:35:41.800
had the capability to do that. But Russia simply

00:35:41.800 --> 00:35:44.760
hasn't used it yet. We're not sure if Russia

00:35:44.760 --> 00:35:46.659
has other satellites that could target the United

00:35:46.659 --> 00:35:51.639
States or other continents. But it made me wonder,

00:35:51.679 --> 00:35:56.539
like. Is there a redundancy that can be put in

00:35:56.539 --> 00:35:59.219
place here? Are there land -based GPS solutions?

00:35:59.420 --> 00:36:02.900
Are there ways that, you know, we can ensure

00:36:02.900 --> 00:36:06.539
that, you know, one flip of the switch in, you

00:36:06.539 --> 00:36:08.880
know, Leningrad or wherever they're operating

00:36:08.880 --> 00:36:13.239
from in Russia can't kill people in cars in America?

00:36:13.780 --> 00:36:16.199
Well, number one, if they can do it in Europe,

00:36:16.300 --> 00:36:19.539
they can do it anywhere, okay? If they can create

00:36:19.539 --> 00:36:23.690
a European -wide disruption. Number two, they

00:36:23.690 --> 00:36:26.289
do this every day. It happens every day in the

00:36:26.289 --> 00:36:29.909
Ukraine war where they're interrupting the GPS

00:36:29.909 --> 00:36:33.769
signals for the flying objects that are competing

00:36:33.769 --> 00:36:36.110
with each other, right? All the drones that are

00:36:36.110 --> 00:36:39.309
out there. Yes, there are ways of correcting

00:36:39.309 --> 00:36:42.610
the information in the vehicle. You can do a

00:36:42.610 --> 00:36:44.989
couple of things. One is you can abandon the

00:36:44.989 --> 00:36:47.889
use of radio. And that's why there are so many

00:36:47.889 --> 00:36:52.260
fiber optic drones. crisscrossing Ukraine right

00:36:52.260 --> 00:36:56.139
now because they were previously using GPS for

00:36:56.139 --> 00:37:00.019
navigation. And they can't do that now because

00:37:00.019 --> 00:37:02.539
of all the radio interference that the Russians

00:37:02.539 --> 00:37:04.840
and presumably the Ukrainians are also putting

00:37:04.840 --> 00:37:08.639
up locally in that area. The consequence for

00:37:08.639 --> 00:37:12.139
the vehicles and for self -driving vehicles is

00:37:12.139 --> 00:37:16.360
that if you are reliant on GPS, then there are

00:37:16.360 --> 00:37:19.400
already mechanisms in place. or interrupting

00:37:19.400 --> 00:37:22.380
the GPS signals. So when somebody like Zouk says

00:37:22.380 --> 00:37:25.159
there are no single point failures that are in

00:37:25.159 --> 00:37:28.099
our control system, you got to wonder if that's

00:37:28.099 --> 00:37:31.239
really true. Because if they have engineered

00:37:31.239 --> 00:37:34.659
solutions that can navigate the vehicles in the

00:37:34.659 --> 00:37:37.800
absence of GPS, they certainly have not advertised

00:37:37.800 --> 00:37:42.239
that widely. Now, can that be done? Yes, it can.

00:37:42.420 --> 00:37:44.820
Think of a nuclear submarine, okay? A nuclear

00:37:44.820 --> 00:37:48.019
submarine does not... Or I should have said,

00:37:48.079 --> 00:37:51.420
yeah, a nuclear submarine. They navigate underwater

00:37:51.420 --> 00:37:54.880
for weeks or months at a time. They cannot get

00:37:54.880 --> 00:37:57.519
the GPS signals when they're underwater. So what

00:37:57.519 --> 00:37:59.980
they have is they have an inertial navigation

00:37:59.980 --> 00:38:04.719
system, which tells them where they are. And

00:38:04.719 --> 00:38:06.480
then if they know where they're supposed to be

00:38:06.480 --> 00:38:08.860
and they know where they are, they can navigate

00:38:08.860 --> 00:38:12.139
to that other point. But those are very expensive.

00:38:12.440 --> 00:38:15.559
Those are very high precision. And they allow

00:38:15.559 --> 00:38:19.139
them to navigate for a long time, but all navigation

00:38:19.139 --> 00:38:22.420
systems are going to drift after a while. So

00:38:22.420 --> 00:38:26.159
the truth of where you are from your inertial

00:38:26.159 --> 00:38:28.900
navigation system always has to be qualified

00:38:28.900 --> 00:38:32.519
by within certain limits. Now, GPS is the same

00:38:32.519 --> 00:38:35.639
way. If you have a GPS signal, you can know where

00:38:35.639 --> 00:38:39.179
you are, but only within certain limits of a

00:38:39.179 --> 00:38:42.300
few feet. That's the best you can really do.

00:38:42.730 --> 00:38:44.449
That's good enough to know whether or not you're

00:38:44.449 --> 00:38:47.949
in a highway or you're on the wrong way in a

00:38:47.949 --> 00:38:52.030
one -way street, those kinds of things. But it

00:38:52.030 --> 00:38:55.949
can't tell you if you are six inches to the right

00:38:55.949 --> 00:38:59.309
of a traffic signal, for example, or six inches

00:38:59.309 --> 00:39:03.170
to the right of a highway painted line. It just

00:39:03.170 --> 00:39:05.409
doesn't have that kind of resolution. I ran into

00:39:05.409 --> 00:39:07.869
a problem the other day with GPS. We were driving

00:39:07.869 --> 00:39:10.280
along this road and... Google Maps is saying,

00:39:10.360 --> 00:39:12.179
oh, keep going straight here. And we're driving

00:39:12.179 --> 00:39:15.320
underneath an underpass. And the elevated highway

00:39:15.320 --> 00:39:19.800
above us is probably 75 feet above us. And it's

00:39:19.800 --> 00:39:22.280
telling us to keep going down on the lower pass,

00:39:22.380 --> 00:39:24.619
we'll say, the street level. And all of us in

00:39:24.619 --> 00:39:26.639
the car are like, I don't think this is right.

00:39:26.780 --> 00:39:29.280
Unless something changed. We haven't been around

00:39:29.280 --> 00:39:31.059
here in a while. What's going on? And, of course,

00:39:31.079 --> 00:39:32.840
it drives us into a dead end. And it's trying

00:39:32.840 --> 00:39:34.639
to tell us to go somewhere else. And we realize,

00:39:34.780 --> 00:39:38.019
oh, it thinks we're 75 feet in the air. Like

00:39:38.019 --> 00:39:40.960
it thought like it got that resolution was just

00:39:40.960 --> 00:39:44.320
off by that's a pretty significant amount. I

00:39:44.320 --> 00:39:47.880
mean, cause consumer level, um, GPS is what we

00:39:47.880 --> 00:39:50.000
have in our phones that that should be accurate

00:39:50.000 --> 00:39:52.119
within like two meters. I think it's only accurate

00:39:52.119 --> 00:39:55.199
from the, I guess the top down. Right. Not, I

00:39:55.199 --> 00:39:58.440
mean, no, it gets your altitude. Yeah. Yeah.

00:39:58.480 --> 00:40:00.440
Yeah. Cause that think, think of the, the radio

00:40:00.440 --> 00:40:03.420
signal it's, it's tracking from satellite down

00:40:03.420 --> 00:40:05.219
to where your receiver is. And my receivers,

00:40:05.380 --> 00:40:09.000
you know, at, at. close to street level, whereas

00:40:09.000 --> 00:40:12.280
it would get the signal a couple of nanoseconds

00:40:12.280 --> 00:40:14.880
quicker if I was 75 feet in the air. Is that

00:40:14.880 --> 00:40:18.139
correct, Mr. Perkins? Yeah! It does give three

00:40:18.139 --> 00:40:20.460
-dimensional data. Yes, it absolutely does. I

00:40:20.460 --> 00:40:23.380
always assumed GPS was two -dimensional. No.

00:40:23.699 --> 00:40:26.480
But where are some of the problems with that?

00:40:26.559 --> 00:40:29.760
Well, there's ionospheric activity that can perturb

00:40:29.760 --> 00:40:32.079
the signal, so that's the source of uncertainty.

00:40:32.889 --> 00:40:35.730
There are tidal motions of the actual Earth's

00:40:35.730 --> 00:40:39.170
surface. That's not just the water in the ocean

00:40:39.170 --> 00:40:42.469
that moves. It's the entire Earth's surface that

00:40:42.469 --> 00:40:45.389
moves in response to tidal motion. So there's

00:40:45.389 --> 00:40:48.010
a lot of things going on, as well as electrical

00:40:48.010 --> 00:40:51.590
disturbances, the sun, solar flares. Who knows?

00:40:51.730 --> 00:40:56.019
There's just a lot of stuff going on. The GPS

00:40:56.019 --> 00:41:01.760
is only known within certain limits. It may be

00:41:01.760 --> 00:41:04.699
completely accurate, but that would be an accident

00:41:04.699 --> 00:41:06.380
and you would never know that it was completely

00:41:06.380 --> 00:41:09.099
accurate because you only can be certain within

00:41:09.099 --> 00:41:12.079
some limits of where you are. The consequence

00:41:12.079 --> 00:41:15.500
for cars, though, is that if your self -driving

00:41:15.500 --> 00:41:19.539
vehicle has no way of a human correcting an error

00:41:19.539 --> 00:41:23.639
that's associated with GPS navigation. And there

00:41:23.639 --> 00:41:25.920
are many sources of errors, both natural and

00:41:25.920 --> 00:41:29.699
artificial, that can affect the location, the

00:41:29.699 --> 00:41:32.420
actual location of the vehicle relative to whatever

00:41:32.420 --> 00:41:35.239
you might have mapped or perceive using GPS.

00:41:35.599 --> 00:41:38.119
If your car is driving itself based on that information,

00:41:38.619 --> 00:41:43.440
you've got a lot of vulnerability there, both

00:41:43.440 --> 00:41:47.179
for malicious action as well as natural phenomenon

00:41:47.179 --> 00:41:51.940
that can affect the location of the car. So there's

00:41:51.940 --> 00:41:54.690
a lot at risk. Anyway, that's the consequence,

00:41:55.130 --> 00:41:57.909
purpose, the point I was trying to get across,

00:41:58.090 --> 00:42:03.130
is that the GPS is really good for some things,

00:42:03.250 --> 00:42:06.570
but it's not really good for everything. And

00:42:06.570 --> 00:42:09.730
it's not constantly available with high accuracy.

00:42:10.289 --> 00:42:14.289
And it can be perturbed by either malicious actors

00:42:14.289 --> 00:42:19.030
or natural events to cause safety consequences

00:42:19.030 --> 00:42:21.849
and fatal consequences for the self -driving

00:42:21.849 --> 00:42:24.820
car. I've never seen this addressed by anybody

00:42:24.820 --> 00:42:29.360
from the AV industry, and I think it's something

00:42:29.360 --> 00:42:31.280
that should really be borne in mind by people

00:42:31.280 --> 00:42:33.659
who are regulating or attempting to regulate

00:42:33.659 --> 00:42:36.260
these vehicles. Yeah, I wonder how an AV would

00:42:36.260 --> 00:42:38.139
have handled it. I think everyone's experienced

00:42:38.139 --> 00:42:41.000
that thing of using whatever map program in their

00:42:41.000 --> 00:42:43.019
car, and all of a sudden it just thinks you're

00:42:43.019 --> 00:42:46.000
in the wrong location, and it glitches, and it

00:42:46.000 --> 00:42:48.750
does that whole thing. I wonder how an AV would

00:42:48.750 --> 00:42:50.369
have handled the situation that I was in the

00:42:50.369 --> 00:42:51.969
other day, like I said, where I thought I was

00:42:51.969 --> 00:42:56.389
75 feet in the air, where I clearly wasn't. I

00:42:56.389 --> 00:42:58.630
mean, because it was sending me down a dead end

00:42:58.630 --> 00:43:01.230
and it was telling me keep going straight. If

00:43:01.230 --> 00:43:02.929
I kept going straight, I would have hit a wall.

00:43:03.309 --> 00:43:06.530
So, you know, I made a turn around. And when

00:43:06.530 --> 00:43:08.469
I was doing that, the entire system was just

00:43:08.469 --> 00:43:11.010
like, no, go back, go back to where you were

00:43:11.010 --> 00:43:13.250
and go left. And I'm like, there's no left. There's

00:43:13.250 --> 00:43:15.389
no left here at all. What are you talking about?

00:43:16.280 --> 00:43:18.219
I think it would have been a fun loop. You sound

00:43:18.219 --> 00:43:21.059
like a human being, Anthony, which is somewhat

00:43:21.059 --> 00:43:24.059
encouraging. So we know you're not an AI bot,

00:43:24.260 --> 00:43:29.099
so that's good. We do know that the Teslas and

00:43:29.099 --> 00:43:32.199
ride shares are dropping people off at the wrong

00:43:32.199 --> 00:43:35.039
location because they are relying on their GPS

00:43:35.039 --> 00:43:38.980
sensors rather than their eyes. And this is one

00:43:38.980 --> 00:43:42.260
of the vulnerabilities unique for blind people

00:43:42.260 --> 00:43:45.239
who are trying to rely on self -driving vehicles.

00:43:46.079 --> 00:43:47.800
Because you don't know if they're actually going

00:43:47.800 --> 00:43:51.280
to give you delivery at the location where you're

00:43:51.280 --> 00:43:53.719
expecting to be dropped off. We've already seen

00:43:53.719 --> 00:43:57.260
this happen. So I think that this vulnerability

00:43:57.260 --> 00:44:02.280
is really underrated and underappreciated by

00:44:02.280 --> 00:44:06.739
the AV industry. So that's today's tile. That's

00:44:06.739 --> 00:44:11.219
a good one because it makes everybody... hopefully

00:44:11.219 --> 00:44:14.039
second guess their gps system i mean because

00:44:14.039 --> 00:44:16.860
again everybody's run into a glitch with it at

00:44:16.860 --> 00:44:19.539
some point and you realize oh right what happens

00:44:19.539 --> 00:44:24.079
when there's no one driving well we'll see um

00:44:24.079 --> 00:44:27.019
with that go to auto safety click on uh donate

00:44:27.019 --> 00:44:30.440
and now i have to uh transition to a more serious

00:44:30.440 --> 00:44:34.239
story not that wasn't serious this is uh from

00:44:34.239 --> 00:44:37.710
friends of the show kids in car safety This is

00:44:37.710 --> 00:44:43.949
an article linking to from WBIW. Why does that

00:44:43.949 --> 00:44:47.829
seem weird to me? Anyway, WBIW .com. It's titled

00:44:47.829 --> 00:44:50.250
10 Children Killed in Driveway and Parking Lot

00:44:50.250 --> 00:44:53.869
Tragedies in Just 18 Days. This is surprising.

00:44:54.710 --> 00:44:58.429
We've talked about this before with forward over

00:44:58.429 --> 00:45:01.820
and rear over. where people are in their SUVs,

00:45:01.820 --> 00:45:04.079
typically, or trucks, and in their driveway,

00:45:04.139 --> 00:45:06.519
they don't see that there's a child behind them

00:45:06.519 --> 00:45:08.980
or in front of them because of height differences,

00:45:09.079 --> 00:45:14.139
and they unfortunately run over the kids. According

00:45:14.139 --> 00:45:18.059
to data released by Kids and Car Safety, there's

00:45:18.059 --> 00:45:20.519
been 10 children left dead across the U .S. in

00:45:20.519 --> 00:45:24.599
just the span of 18 days. The recent cluster

00:45:24.599 --> 00:45:26.739
of fatalities highlights a largely hidden safety

00:45:26.739 --> 00:45:29.610
crisis back over and front over incidents. These

00:45:29.610 --> 00:45:31.889
tragedies occur when a driver, frequently a parent,

00:45:31.949 --> 00:45:34.530
guardian, or close relative unknowingly strikes

00:45:34.530 --> 00:45:36.809
a child who is positioned in the massive blind

00:45:36.809 --> 00:45:41.670
zone of a moving vehicle. You know, this is probably

00:45:41.670 --> 00:45:44.050
a problem that can be fixed. Instead, you know,

00:45:44.050 --> 00:45:47.650
they want to spend stuff on Waymos and whatnot.

00:45:47.949 --> 00:45:51.369
I mean, it's a problem that is occurring because

00:45:51.369 --> 00:45:56.400
vehicles are getting much larger. without corresponding

00:45:56.400 --> 00:45:58.960
regulations to ensure that driver visibility

00:45:58.960 --> 00:46:04.460
is preserved. And also because these incidents

00:46:04.460 --> 00:46:08.360
are happening in parking lots, driveways, and

00:46:08.360 --> 00:46:11.960
in places where the federal crash data and fatality

00:46:11.960 --> 00:46:17.019
collection doesn't happen. You know, the FAR

00:46:17.019 --> 00:46:19.639
system, fatality analysis reporting system that

00:46:19.639 --> 00:46:23.389
NHTSA uses. to gather data on a lot of its decision

00:46:23.389 --> 00:46:29.269
-making, only takes data from crashes that occurred

00:46:29.269 --> 00:46:32.849
while vehicles were in transit, which means not

00:46:32.849 --> 00:46:36.710
on private property, on public roads. There is

00:46:36.710 --> 00:46:40.949
a not -in -transport surveillance system that

00:46:40.949 --> 00:46:44.809
does a little data gathering on these type of

00:46:44.809 --> 00:46:47.909
incidents, but we're in the middle of trying

00:46:47.909 --> 00:46:50.820
to make some efforts to get that. you know, put

00:46:50.820 --> 00:46:54.980
into law better data collection around this problem,

00:46:55.480 --> 00:46:58.400
just so that we can know how often it's happening.

00:46:58.519 --> 00:47:00.820
We see here, you know, there have been 10 deaths

00:47:00.820 --> 00:47:04.300
in 18 days. So that can give you an idea if you

00:47:04.300 --> 00:47:07.000
expand that across a year, just how often this

00:47:07.000 --> 00:47:09.400
is happening. And these are situations where

00:47:09.400 --> 00:47:13.260
vehicles are, you know, not going fast. They're

00:47:13.260 --> 00:47:16.739
in a driveway backing out or in a driveway pulling

00:47:16.739 --> 00:47:20.050
forward or, you know. driving in a parking lot

00:47:20.050 --> 00:47:23.869
at lower speeds and children and other people

00:47:23.869 --> 00:47:26.190
are being caught in the crossfire, essentially.

00:47:26.449 --> 00:47:29.610
So we think there are automatic systems, you

00:47:29.610 --> 00:47:31.690
know, similar to automatic emergency braking.

00:47:31.929 --> 00:47:33.869
Why isn't, you know, automatic emergency braking

00:47:33.869 --> 00:47:36.909
doesn't work under, I think it's 6 .2 miles per

00:47:36.909 --> 00:47:39.050
hour or something like that, which, you know,

00:47:39.050 --> 00:47:41.909
a car running over a child, even at a low speed,

00:47:42.010 --> 00:47:45.530
poses a significant threat of severe injury or

00:47:45.530 --> 00:47:49.440
death. These are areas where we think NHTSA needs

00:47:49.440 --> 00:47:51.920
to put a little more pressure on automakers to

00:47:51.920 --> 00:47:56.159
do things. And they are doing some things. They

00:47:56.159 --> 00:48:01.980
recently released a study or a rule that they're

00:48:01.980 --> 00:48:04.980
preparing around rear automatic emergency braking.

00:48:05.260 --> 00:48:07.500
It's actually for NCAP. They're going to start

00:48:07.500 --> 00:48:10.219
evaluating the performance of rear automatic

00:48:10.219 --> 00:48:13.599
emergency braking, which plays into the backover

00:48:13.599 --> 00:48:19.230
events. There's still not a. front over definition

00:48:19.230 --> 00:48:21.250
in federal law. There's some other issues there,

00:48:21.349 --> 00:48:23.250
and there's some legislation that we think is

00:48:23.250 --> 00:48:25.070
going to be coming up in the next month or so

00:48:25.070 --> 00:48:27.809
that's going to address that. So it's worth keeping

00:48:27.809 --> 00:48:31.909
an eye on this space because this is a problem

00:48:31.909 --> 00:48:35.010
that has continued for many, many years. It's

00:48:35.010 --> 00:48:37.550
only getting worse due to the larger vehicles

00:48:37.550 --> 00:48:40.230
involved. And, you know, it's something that

00:48:40.230 --> 00:48:42.469
I think needs to be addressed, even though it's

00:48:42.469 --> 00:48:45.409
not happening on public roads. It's happening

00:48:45.409 --> 00:48:48.130
in driveways and in private space. which makes

00:48:48.130 --> 00:48:51.409
the collecting the data difficult just means

00:48:51.409 --> 00:48:53.070
that there's still some work to be done here.

00:48:54.170 --> 00:48:56.610
Yeah, I'd like to remind people that these are

00:48:56.610 --> 00:48:59.929
not necessarily, you know, negligent people or,

00:48:59.949 --> 00:49:02.110
you know, people with bad motives. They just

00:49:02.110 --> 00:49:04.289
had the worst day of their life. And it's this

00:49:04.289 --> 00:49:08.829
can literally happen to anybody. You know, take

00:49:08.829 --> 00:49:11.110
a couple, you know, take a minute and walk around

00:49:11.110 --> 00:49:15.369
your vehicle beforehand because this is just.

00:49:16.190 --> 00:49:19.570
It's a problem that can be solved, and it's horrible

00:49:19.570 --> 00:49:26.150
if it happens to you. With that, I want to try

00:49:26.150 --> 00:49:28.369
and change the mood a little bit before we end.

00:49:28.710 --> 00:49:32.250
Let's switch and go into a deep cleansing breath.

00:49:33.329 --> 00:49:38.670
In, out. Fred Perkins, what state has the most

00:49:38.670 --> 00:49:42.889
aggressive drivers, the most road rage? Oh, man,

00:49:42.969 --> 00:49:46.139
that's a tough one. I do not know. I'm going

00:49:46.139 --> 00:49:50.360
to guess it's Oklahoma. Oh, that's a pretty good

00:49:50.360 --> 00:49:53.199
guess. Michael Brooks, you already know the answer.

00:49:53.559 --> 00:49:56.239
Hold on. Before you knew the answer, what would

00:49:56.239 --> 00:50:01.619
be your guess? You know, I think I might have

00:50:01.619 --> 00:50:03.780
guessed Florida just because it's a little wild

00:50:03.780 --> 00:50:06.079
down there. I would have guessed Connecticut.

00:50:06.619 --> 00:50:09.480
But the answer is, according to Consumer Affairs,

00:50:09.760 --> 00:50:13.179
Arkansas. I was right next door. We were so close.

00:50:13.719 --> 00:50:17.039
I very, very close. Did you know they have lots

00:50:17.039 --> 00:50:20.639
of piggly wigglies in Arkansas? I did. Do they?

00:50:20.699 --> 00:50:25.860
Show is over. Yeah. According to this article,

00:50:25.960 --> 00:50:29.019
traffic incidents involving gun violence, point

00:50:29.019 --> 00:50:31.780
three, six per one hundred thousand people. Holy

00:50:31.780 --> 00:50:34.940
crap. That's that's not that high. And that's

00:50:34.940 --> 00:50:37.760
not that high. It was one point six nine. That's

00:50:37.760 --> 00:50:41.559
the highest. Yeah. Yeah. That's that's why. stop

00:50:41.559 --> 00:50:44.000
carrying a gun well really what are you doing

00:50:44.000 --> 00:50:46.400
okay look there's surgeries you can get done

00:50:46.400 --> 00:50:50.480
to enhance your yourself in a way there's hair

00:50:50.480 --> 00:50:53.239
clinics in turkey there's you know there's there's

00:50:53.239 --> 00:50:55.500
all sorts of things you can do to feel more like

00:50:55.500 --> 00:50:58.119
a go buy a cyber truck if that makes you feel

00:50:58.119 --> 00:51:01.159
this is anthony's second career is advising advising

00:51:01.159 --> 00:51:05.079
on masculinity his life coach yeah yeah it's

00:51:05.079 --> 00:51:07.159
i'm life coaching okay you don't need a pistol

00:51:07.159 --> 00:51:11.480
you need a Uh, Hey, a different show. Uh, you

00:51:11.480 --> 00:51:13.679
know, fatal accidents involving aggressive or

00:51:13.679 --> 00:51:16.900
careless driving 8 .3 per 100 ,000 people. That

00:51:16.900 --> 00:51:19.260
is the highest in the U S they accounted for

00:51:19.260 --> 00:51:23.380
47 % of all fatal crashes in the state. Now I,

00:51:23.519 --> 00:51:28.000
uh, I've never been to Arkansas. Uh, so I can't

00:51:28.000 --> 00:51:31.579
speak on its behalf, but shame, shame on you,

00:51:31.659 --> 00:51:35.619
Arkansas. Come on. I've driven across Arkansas

00:51:35.619 --> 00:51:39.929
exactly once. And my big takeaway from it was

00:51:39.929 --> 00:51:45.289
the existence of a town called Toad Lick. That's

00:51:45.289 --> 00:51:47.130
pretty good. So I'm going to go down this list

00:51:47.130 --> 00:51:50.030
to find where we think our suspects were. So,

00:51:50.090 --> 00:51:55.750
Fred, yours was what? What state did you choose

00:51:55.750 --> 00:52:00.150
again? Oklahoma. No, Oklahoma. Oklahoma does

00:52:00.150 --> 00:52:03.550
not make the top 10. No, they're 37. Yeah, Florida

00:52:03.550 --> 00:52:06.909
does not make the top 10. Florida is, where's

00:52:06.909 --> 00:52:11.010
Florida? 12th. 12th, ah, so close. I chose Connecticut,

00:52:11.230 --> 00:52:15.070
13th. Ah, pretty good. But the top 10, Arkansas,

00:52:15.389 --> 00:52:18.710
New Mexico, Louisiana, Colorado, New Jersey comes

00:52:18.710 --> 00:52:21.469
in at number five. Sounds about right. Nevada,

00:52:21.849 --> 00:52:25.349
Montana, which is surprising because my experience

00:52:25.349 --> 00:52:28.210
there were very conscientious drivers. Wisconsin,

00:52:28.610 --> 00:52:32.599
Hawaii. Also, surprising. I thought their roads

00:52:32.599 --> 00:52:35.280
were great. And 10, North Carolina. Ooh, I have

00:52:35.280 --> 00:52:37.000
to go to North Carolina in a few weeks. Uh -oh.

00:52:37.380 --> 00:52:41.039
I'm not driving, though. Washington, D .C. only

00:52:41.039 --> 00:52:43.260
made 18th. Washington, D .C. should honestly

00:52:43.260 --> 00:52:46.059
be much higher, considering that the road layout

00:52:46.059 --> 00:52:49.340
was designed by somebody who hates people. Again,

00:52:49.519 --> 00:52:51.400
I'd like to point out, I lived on D Street. It

00:52:51.400 --> 00:52:54.059
was parallel to itself. Not for the entire thing,

00:52:54.159 --> 00:52:58.539
just for random segments. Like, very strange

00:52:58.539 --> 00:53:02.659
place. And the safest one coming in at number

00:53:02.659 --> 00:53:08.980
51, Maine. Love Maine. Anyway, with that, ladies

00:53:08.980 --> 00:53:10.719
and gentlemen, I think that concludes our show

00:53:10.719 --> 00:53:12.500
for this week. Hopefully we didn't miss any amazing

00:53:12.500 --> 00:53:14.860
stories. Sure, Ford probably recalled everything.

00:53:15.320 --> 00:53:19.420
We missed that. Waymo started, you know, stopping.

00:53:20.500 --> 00:53:23.760
Next to school buses and they say this is a improvement

00:53:23.760 --> 00:53:25.619
and we're working and safety is our number one

00:53:25.619 --> 00:53:29.880
priority. Kathy Wood said something stupid. Elon

00:53:29.880 --> 00:53:35.480
Musk, you know, had another child. And with that,

00:53:35.480 --> 00:53:37.380
that concludes our show. Thanks so much. Bye

00:53:37.380 --> 00:53:41.659
bye. Bye bye. For more information, visit www

00:53:41.659 --> 00:53:43.719
.autosafety .org.
