WEBVTT

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You're listening to There Auto Be A Law, the

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Center for Auto Safety podcast with Executive

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Director Michael Brooks, Chief Engineer Fred

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Perkins, and hosted by me, Anthony Cimino. For

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over 50 years, the Center for Auto Safety has

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worked to make cars safer. Hey, everybody. Welcome

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to another episode. Today is Tuesday, March 31st.

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Keep in mind, we're recording this on Tuesday,

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March 31st. This is not an April Fool's Day episode.

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I mean, yes, there'll be nonsense, but none of

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it is made up. It's unofficial nonsense. Well,

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that's just my role on this. So anyway, thanks

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for joining us, listeners. Let's start off with

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the Institute for Insurance. And I can't. Oh,

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God. You know, I can't do anything. IIHS. There

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you go. Okay. Keep it simple. Yeah. They have

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an article, safety benefits stack up from driver

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assistance features. So what these guys did is

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they went through, because they're really good

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at research, and they said, hey, how much does

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AEB plus seatbelts, plus all these other things,

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how does it help reduce injuries? And basically

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one of their headlines. They didn't look at seatbelts.

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They didn't look at seatbelts. Look, this is,

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you know, A, B, but seatbelts are part of it,

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right? Look, it's driver assistance features.

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Yes, seatbelts are tangentially going to be,

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you know, associated with what they're looking

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at in insurance claim frequencies here. However,

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what they're really looking at here are the driver

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assistance features, specific ones, you know,

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automatic emergency braking. lane departure warning

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um prevention lane departure prevention pedestrian

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aeb rear automatic emergency braking all these

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sorts of things and they're looking at you know

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So they're basically looking at Mazda vehicles

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and they started looking at them, I think, around,

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I want to say 2011, maybe it was 2015 model year

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where these features were starting to be introduced.

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They've looked at them, you know, kind of over

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time and noticed that as more of these things

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are bundled together, the the insurance claims

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go down because they are preventing crashes.

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That's the short of it. Yeah. One of the things

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they mentioned is people get concerned with these

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modern vehicles that are a lot more expensive

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to repair if you get into an accident because

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they've got all these sensors and the bumpers

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and cameras. And so quoting from this says, if

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you're worried about rising repair costs, the

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smartest thing you can do is get a vehicle with

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rear AEB and make sure it is turned on, which

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I think is hilarious because make sure your car

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has more sensors in it that are more the ends

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of the cost of repair. But I was in a car once

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with a head rear AEB and it annoyed me at first

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because I wasn't ready for it. But then I really

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appreciate it. Yeah, I mean, all these systems

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are there, you know, there still is not a federal

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rule in place that's guiding. the development

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or the safety of any of these systems. The automatic

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emergency braking rule was put into effect by

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NHTSA. However, it is under challenge, I guess,

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both by the current NHTSA and by automakers who

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filed suit to stop it. There are no rules on

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lane departure warning on adaptive cruise control,

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lane departure prevention, pedestrian AAB, rear

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AAB, driver attention alert, driver monitoring.

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All of these things kind of exist in a realm

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where they could be very different from manufacturer

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to manufacturer. So, you know, the HLDI study

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here is looking specifically at Mazda vehicles

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and judging, you know, the rate of decline in

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insurance claims in those vehicles as evidence

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that, you know, these features overall are helping

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safety on our roads. obviously could be an objection

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here that some manufacturers don't do as well

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as others, which I think is a fair objection.

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And that, you know, some, you know, for instance,

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adaptive cruise controllers here, well, you know,

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we have concerns about certain adaptive cruise

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controls that, you know, tend to convince the

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drivers that they are driving a vehicle that's

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autonomous and lead to complacency and, you know.

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crashes because of the technology's presence.

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So there still remain concerns, but I think overall,

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you know, it's a good look at how this technology

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is advancing safety. I will add that, you know,

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I think a lot of these technologies could advance

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safety even more if there were minimum safety

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standards that adhere to them and required manufacturers

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to put a certain level of good ADS in their vehicles.

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I also want to point out there are certain bewildered

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United States presidents and legislators who

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are saying that, well, this is why cars are so

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expensive because you've got all these whiz -bang

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protective devices in them, so let's get rid

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of them. But the truth is, cars are so expensive

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because of the tariffs put in place against Chinese

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vehicles. Cars would be half as expensive and

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have about the same quality if they merely removed...

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the protected tariffs that are currently keeping

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the automobile prices so high. If that were done,

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there would be no discussion about removing safety

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devices to reduce the cost of vehicles. So just

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as an aside, I think it's important to maintain

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the perspective on what's really driving the

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price of cars for American consumers. And ultimately

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here, what these figures are showing is that

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These systems are reducing the claim frequency

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associated with these systems. And so they are

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reducing costs overall, even if they might cost

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something on the front end. Ultimately, they

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are providing a benefit that's going to outweigh

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the cost to install them or the cost to purchase

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them. So the advice for the consumer is I go

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into a dealership and I want to buy a car and

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there's all these. package add -ons and whatnot

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you're saying smart money is if you can afford

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it get the ones with all the safety features

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added in i mean from a simple perspective yes

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however depending on the manufacturer you might

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you know there might be a manufacturer whose

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automatic emergency braking doesn't work as well

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as what we saw from toyota for instance in the

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evaluations and it's a did of a b in support

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of its its automatic emergency braking rule i

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mean It's not as though this is one system that's

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being installed on every vehicle in America and

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works the same way. There are dozens of manufacturers

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making dozens of different systems. So I think

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it's important for consumers to understand that

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going in and to look to studies like this and

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to some of the other ratings that IHS does around

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ADAS features to determine which manufacturers

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are installing really good systems in this area.

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I wasn't suggesting at all that anyone go purchase

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a Ford. Because they get recalled all the time.

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Well, you know, Ford's got a hearing with the

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MTSB today on their Blue Cruise feature, so we'll

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see how that goes. Just wrapping up this article,

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another part I'm going to quote from. In contrast,

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the effects of a feature called traffic sign

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recognition were unclear. This feature uses a

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Ford sensing camera or recorded information in

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the navigation system to identify and display

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traffic signs such as speed limit and stop signs.

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The lack of a clear benefit may stem from systems

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limitations or may simply be the result of a

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small sample size since fewer vehicles are equipped

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with it. than other features from a data point

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of one garbage my car has something like that

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and it's right 70 of the time a for for speed

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limits signs uh it gets confused if you're in

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a construction zone and it just chooses what's

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ever on a white sign because i guess that was

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only trained on with a black text on a white

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background versus construction signs are more

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orangey black i think right yeah so Not a useful

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feature in my experience. Yeah, and you're seeing

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variations here. Like there was one, I think

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it was the fifth bundle in the IHS study that

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looked at the driver attention alert. You know,

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I think you probably have something similar in

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your Toyota where after a while of driving, it'll

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say, hey, you need a cup of coffee or whatever

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it is it says. You know, do you need to pull

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over? Blah, blah, blah. Mine comes with a little

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cup of bourbon. Hey, you want some bourbon? For

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some reason, they saw that there were raised

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costs in that bundle in the area of bodily injury

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liability. So I don't know. I didn't dive in

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deep enough to figure that one out completely,

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but I do know that these driver retention features

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are kind of all over the place. This is not driver

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monitoring. It's basically – it's similar, somewhat

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similar to driver monitoring. Apparently, you

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hop into the Mazda. And then it studies how you

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drive for 20 minutes and learns you. And then

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as you continue driving, it can detect differences

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in your behavior over time that suggests you're

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not completely paying attention. You know, this

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is in the early days for features like that,

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that can, you know, actively monitor drivers

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and determine when something's going wrong. I

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was on a date like that once, I think. Yeah.

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Yeah, she was convinced she learned me within

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20 minutes. And I ejected. Anyway, related to

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IIHS, this is the quoting from an article on

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AOL. Yet in the latest round of crash worthiness

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testing by the Insurance Institute for Highway

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Safety. See, we just spelled out. I know what

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its name is. Not one Detroit brand earned the

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highest possible accolade. The top safety pick

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plus award. This article is talking about how

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the big three, big two and a half, I guess, automakers

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are like, hey, drive our cars big. But they can't

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get safety awards. I don't get it. I think they're

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still building and selling cars to a fictitious

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man from the 1950s. White guy. I think he wanted

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to smoke Marlboro. and ride a horse, but instead

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he's driving a truck to his accounting job. I

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don't even know what that means, but... Neither

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do I. Look, we're recording on a different day.

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You know, the... I mean, it's... I think it makes

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a good... You know, this point is just a good

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argument that American manufacturers aren't keeping

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up. with the changes that IHS is making. IHS

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is making changes to their crash testing and

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their evaluation of vehicle programs a whole

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lot faster than NHTSA. So while you might see

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some of the Detroit manufacturers you know, do

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a little better in some of the crash tests that

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NHTSA administers, IHS is changing them at a

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rate that, you know, ultimately inspires the

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kind of, you know, incentivized safety that we

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want to see the NCAP over at NHTSA doing. You

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know, I think at this point in the evolution

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of both the IHS testing and the NCAP testing,

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you know, we frequently recommend to consumers

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that they Look to the IHS testing because it

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does test vehicles and, you know, some of the

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more modern technology better. NHTSA doesn't

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even test a lot of these technologies that we're

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talking about like IHS does at this point. You

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know, I don't know if Detroit is focused too

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much on passing the NCAP and not IHS or if they're

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just not investing appropriately in the types

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of safety measures that the Insurance Institute

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is looking at. Maybe a combination of both. If

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you work for a Detroit automaker, write in, contact

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at autosafety .org and tell us what's more important

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in your workplace. Is it something called a HEMI

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or is it saving people's lives and making their

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injuries less important? Or is it Donut Day Tuesdays?

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They give out donuts on Tuesdays? I love a good

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donut. It's available, I think. Okay. Hey, Anthony,

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I have a question for you. Please, I'm awake.

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Has the war in Iran affected delivery of coffee

00:12:48.320 --> 00:12:52.919
to New York City? I'm just curious. Yeah, okay.

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Moving on. The New York Times has an interesting

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video we have a link to about, it's titled, Why

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Are Women More Likely to Die in Crashes? And

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this is a subject we've covered before. We've

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covered it a number of times about how the crash

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test dummy used is designed for, originally was

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designed for a five foot nine, 170 pound male.

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I think it's that standard changed a little bit

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and how they don't test cars for smaller frames,

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different frames. And as a result, women get

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greater injuries in car crashes. They had more

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injuries, more fatalities because. These systems

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are not tested for people who are not the typical

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average male. Fred and I both object to this

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because he's the too tall male and I'm the perfect

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size of a Roman soldier. But this video is pretty

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good. It's fun. It's got some little entertainment

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value to it. But at the same time, it's my gaslight

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of the week. Yes, it is. It is. And I will tell

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you why. OK, because it's good and it goes through

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and explains the whole thing and about how important

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it is and that there's new dummies out there,

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the female dummy, and they should be tested and

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whatnot. And it's the entire time the video is

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talked about how cars need to be safer for women.

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And then in the end, the filmmaker, a woman,

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drives her way in a 1960 something Ford Mustang,

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the least safe vehicle for any gender. come on

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this is insane you're complaining about how cars

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are not safe for women and then you get in that

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death trap gaslight i mean wasn't that just for

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show gaslight actually um anyway the i think

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what there's a lot that's that that i mean it's

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an easy video to watch i think it explains the

00:14:49.559 --> 00:14:54.129
problem um very well and it also explains and

00:14:54.129 --> 00:14:56.590
goes into some of the gas lighting that the currentness

00:14:56.590 --> 00:14:58.610
is doing around this where they you know come

00:14:58.610 --> 00:15:01.809
out and announce they've produced this female

00:15:01.809 --> 00:15:05.649
dummy but in in actuality the you know as we've

00:15:05.649 --> 00:15:09.370
talked about many times the process for instrumenting

00:15:09.370 --> 00:15:13.590
and certifying these dummies takes a very very

00:15:13.590 --> 00:15:19.289
long time um i don't know if it's feasible um

00:15:20.000 --> 00:15:24.740
long -term for a dummy to be produced that represents,

00:15:24.740 --> 00:15:28.039
you know, every different type of body and size.

00:15:28.480 --> 00:15:31.679
And can we, can NHTSA afford to crash test, you

00:15:31.679 --> 00:15:35.120
know, multiple vehicles from the same model in

00:15:35.120 --> 00:15:37.539
order to put passengers of different sizes and

00:15:37.539 --> 00:15:39.970
different positions in the car? All that stuff

00:15:39.970 --> 00:15:42.750
gets really expensive. NHTSA's NCAP budget has

00:15:42.750 --> 00:15:45.110
been slashed dramatically to the point where

00:15:45.110 --> 00:15:47.049
I'm concerned they can't even afford enough cars

00:15:47.049 --> 00:15:50.610
to test, much less, you know, have the programs

00:15:50.610 --> 00:15:53.190
and facilities around to test them accurately.

00:15:53.830 --> 00:15:56.549
So there are a lot of problems in the NCAP program.

00:15:56.870 --> 00:15:59.269
There's a lot of problems in crash testing, and

00:15:59.269 --> 00:16:00.809
there's a lot of problems in NHTSA regulations

00:16:00.809 --> 00:16:04.649
that apply to how protective vehicles are of

00:16:04.649 --> 00:16:08.049
different body types. So there is a lot to address

00:16:08.049 --> 00:16:11.730
here. Ultimately, are dummies the solution? Maybe

00:16:11.730 --> 00:16:14.389
they're part of it, but also I think there's,

00:16:14.389 --> 00:16:17.779
you know. They're very limited crash circumstances

00:16:17.779 --> 00:16:21.600
that are tested in NHTSA testing, even in IHS

00:16:21.600 --> 00:16:25.279
testing. You can't test for every single type

00:16:25.279 --> 00:16:27.440
of crash from every direction. There's almost

00:16:27.440 --> 00:16:30.559
an infinite number of possibilities there. And

00:16:30.559 --> 00:16:34.019
I think ultimately, long term, we really need

00:16:34.019 --> 00:16:38.919
to dive into simulation to get a lot more understanding

00:16:38.919 --> 00:16:41.620
of how the bodies work here versus building physical

00:16:41.620 --> 00:16:43.779
crash dummies that represent every single body

00:16:43.779 --> 00:16:47.600
type. Do you think that sounds right, Fred? I

00:16:47.600 --> 00:16:52.919
think it sounds right. Well, part of the engineering

00:16:52.919 --> 00:16:55.779
religion is that every simulation is doomed to

00:16:55.779 --> 00:17:00.700
succeed. Right. That's a problem. And the amount

00:17:00.700 --> 00:17:04.059
of computing power that is required to do a full

00:17:04.059 --> 00:17:07.599
-scale simulation of a human being in a vehicle

00:17:07.599 --> 00:17:10.359
that's being crashed against a wall is astounding.

00:17:11.480 --> 00:17:14.319
I'm not sure that... If you could even load it

00:17:14.319 --> 00:17:17.539
into one of these data farms, what are they called?

00:17:17.680 --> 00:17:22.119
Data, big data things. If you could take one

00:17:22.119 --> 00:17:26.420
of those over, you could probably start down

00:17:26.420 --> 00:17:30.039
that road. But it's going to be a long time before

00:17:30.039 --> 00:17:34.160
you've got a model that works in a computer that

00:17:34.160 --> 00:17:36.559
is validated for different body types and different

00:17:36.559 --> 00:17:39.319
vehicles. So it's an enormous computing problem.

00:17:40.039 --> 00:17:42.920
And when those companies can sell bullshit instead

00:17:42.920 --> 00:17:45.859
of selling facts, the bullshit's always going

00:17:45.859 --> 00:17:51.319
to win because it's a lot more margin. So yes,

00:17:51.480 --> 00:17:56.839
it's a great idea. It's going to take much longer

00:17:56.839 --> 00:18:00.119
than just building the test devices, putting

00:18:00.119 --> 00:18:04.400
them in cars, and trying them out. So that's

00:18:04.400 --> 00:18:07.500
good news and bad news. Is anyone going down

00:18:07.500 --> 00:18:09.240
that road, Michael, with that type of simulation?

00:18:09.359 --> 00:18:11.859
Because one of the things that that is missing

00:18:11.859 --> 00:18:15.319
in all of the crashes from NHTSA and IIHS is,

00:18:15.400 --> 00:18:18.099
you know, they'll have a dummy in the front seat.

00:18:18.160 --> 00:18:20.039
They'll have a dummy in the rear seat. Great.

00:18:20.539 --> 00:18:23.839
But I'm rarely in a car where it's just people

00:18:23.839 --> 00:18:25.880
that are loose. There's groceries that are loose.

00:18:26.220 --> 00:18:28.740
There's random objects that are in there. And

00:18:28.740 --> 00:18:31.839
that's, I think, more realistic and a much harder

00:18:31.839 --> 00:18:35.210
problem to solve for. But I don't. I mean, if

00:18:35.210 --> 00:18:37.589
you can get to a simulation that's even 80 %

00:18:37.589 --> 00:18:40.029
accurate, that probably clears out a lot of issues.

00:18:41.210 --> 00:18:44.450
I think virtually every manufacturer is using

00:18:44.450 --> 00:18:48.890
some type of simulation in developing their vehicles.

00:18:49.130 --> 00:18:52.210
Yeah, they do. So here's the technical side of

00:18:52.210 --> 00:18:56.630
that, okay? Every simulation, every computer

00:18:56.630 --> 00:18:59.069
simulation that uses a finite element technology

00:18:59.069 --> 00:19:03.259
of one kind or another, Starts with what are

00:19:03.259 --> 00:19:05.039
called boundary conditions, right? You've got

00:19:05.039 --> 00:19:07.700
to have a technical description of what's happening

00:19:07.700 --> 00:19:10.859
at the beginning of the simulation. And then

00:19:10.859 --> 00:19:13.599
you run the simulation and you get some results.

00:19:14.500 --> 00:19:17.740
There's an infinite array of boundary conditions.

00:19:18.480 --> 00:19:22.180
You know, you've got an object in the back. Okay,

00:19:22.259 --> 00:19:25.140
that's fine. How is that object oriented? Whatever

00:19:25.140 --> 00:19:28.000
its degrees of freedom, where are they pointing?

00:19:28.180 --> 00:19:31.900
So even to just look at that and say, I'm just

00:19:31.900 --> 00:19:33.619
going to have a baseball glove in the back seat

00:19:33.619 --> 00:19:36.599
to see where it goes. You're going to say, okay,

00:19:36.660 --> 00:19:38.579
how are you going to put the baseball glove in

00:19:38.579 --> 00:19:40.119
there? You're going to have it strapped. You're

00:19:40.119 --> 00:19:41.400
going to have it in a container. Is it going

00:19:41.400 --> 00:19:44.180
to be upside down, the right side up? It goes

00:19:44.180 --> 00:19:49.640
on and on and on. So you're never going to have

00:19:49.640 --> 00:19:54.599
resolution on every possible situation that can

00:19:54.599 --> 00:19:57.680
happen in a car. What you need to do is to settle

00:19:57.680 --> 00:20:02.059
on some critical criteria. put them into the

00:20:02.059 --> 00:20:05.920
simulation, run a test, and then compare it with

00:20:05.920 --> 00:20:08.019
an actual result. That's called validating the

00:20:08.019 --> 00:20:13.059
results of the simulation. That is at least as

00:20:13.059 --> 00:20:16.140
expensive as running the test alone in the first

00:20:16.140 --> 00:20:20.160
place. And it requires enormous amounts of engineering

00:20:20.160 --> 00:20:24.180
judgment and a lot of smart people to set it

00:20:24.180 --> 00:20:28.099
up and make it happen. Don't think it's easy.

00:20:28.200 --> 00:20:29.660
Don't think it's easy to say you're going to

00:20:29.660 --> 00:20:32.559
do a simulation. Very expensive, very difficult,

00:20:32.619 --> 00:20:35.259
and very limited. What I'm hearing is virtually

00:20:35.259 --> 00:20:38.079
no matter which way you go, whether it's through

00:20:38.079 --> 00:20:41.859
instrumenting dummies that represent a significant

00:20:41.859 --> 00:20:45.299
part of the population or simulation, it's a

00:20:45.299 --> 00:20:50.619
long, arduous task. Yeah, not simple. It just

00:20:50.619 --> 00:20:52.619
makes me wonder if there's more that can be done

00:20:52.619 --> 00:20:55.519
in the meantime to address, like, we know that

00:20:55.519 --> 00:20:57.980
one of the, you know, the number one ways that

00:20:57.980 --> 00:21:02.059
women are injured in crashes, you know, the biggest

00:21:02.059 --> 00:21:04.579
gap between women and men injuries in crashes,

00:21:04.599 --> 00:21:07.519
I think, is in the lower limb area. And, you

00:21:07.519 --> 00:21:10.700
know, I wish we could look at that problem and

00:21:10.700 --> 00:21:14.000
address it specifically versus. bringing this

00:21:14.000 --> 00:21:17.079
whole other problem of having the right dummies

00:21:17.079 --> 00:21:19.299
and simulation into play. You know, can we look

00:21:19.299 --> 00:21:21.380
at that problem individually, figure out why

00:21:21.380 --> 00:21:23.980
those lower limb injuries are happening so much

00:21:23.980 --> 00:21:26.240
more frequently for women, and then do something

00:21:26.240 --> 00:21:31.640
about that versus trying to fix the entire system

00:21:31.640 --> 00:21:35.799
of crash testing, dummy, and, you know, do we

00:21:35.799 --> 00:21:38.319
have to resolve all that to get some action that's

00:21:38.319 --> 00:21:40.480
going to protect women? So the answer is no,

00:21:40.599 --> 00:21:43.079
because you cannot resolve all that. But the

00:21:43.079 --> 00:21:46.259
other answer is there's no single answer. Any

00:21:46.259 --> 00:21:48.220
answer you put in there has got to look at a

00:21:48.220 --> 00:21:51.779
distribution of proportions for the women, for

00:21:51.779 --> 00:21:56.900
the men, or whoever is in it. And an astute analyst

00:21:56.900 --> 00:21:59.319
would say, okay, what are the critical parts

00:21:59.319 --> 00:22:01.740
of this? What are the critical parameters? So

00:22:01.740 --> 00:22:04.720
the first stage would be to set up simulations

00:22:04.720 --> 00:22:08.660
that identify the critical parameters. Okay.

00:22:09.130 --> 00:22:11.109
And then the second stage would be to say, okay,

00:22:11.150 --> 00:22:12.990
given that we now know what the critical parameters

00:22:12.990 --> 00:22:16.210
are, let's find out where the corners of the

00:22:16.210 --> 00:22:20.990
envelope are and test it at those points. And

00:22:20.990 --> 00:22:22.630
when you do that, you assume everything in the

00:22:22.630 --> 00:22:25.150
middle is going to be less critical than the

00:22:25.150 --> 00:22:27.049
critical points on the extremes that you're looking

00:22:27.049 --> 00:22:29.170
at. It's kind of like when people talk about

00:22:29.170 --> 00:22:34.430
edge cases in AV simulations. They can simulate

00:22:34.430 --> 00:22:37.690
stuff that happens in between. Anything that's

00:22:37.690 --> 00:22:39.109
too hard, they throw up their hands and say,

00:22:39.150 --> 00:22:42.089
well, that's an edge case. Of course, the problem

00:22:42.089 --> 00:22:45.589
is edge cases happen hundreds or thousands of

00:22:45.589 --> 00:22:47.750
times every day in the United States. So you

00:22:47.750 --> 00:22:50.390
can't just catalog the edge cases and say, well,

00:22:50.430 --> 00:22:54.069
we're going to run those because life's too short

00:22:54.069 --> 00:22:57.509
and computing power is too unavailable. So it's

00:22:57.509 --> 00:23:03.410
a huge problem. No easy answer, but clearly the

00:23:03.410 --> 00:23:07.099
answer is not to reduce the budget. For the engineers

00:23:07.099 --> 00:23:09.279
who are trying to study this. Right. I mean,

00:23:09.279 --> 00:23:11.940
just as an example, I think NCAP's budget over

00:23:11.940 --> 00:23:15.660
the last decade has gone from like $15 million

00:23:15.660 --> 00:23:20.039
to around $6 million. I mean, $6 million does

00:23:20.039 --> 00:23:24.160
not buy you a lot of modern cars for testing,

00:23:24.200 --> 00:23:25.880
and it certainly doesn't allow you to buy those

00:23:25.880 --> 00:23:30.059
cars and have the facilities and everything you

00:23:30.059 --> 00:23:32.019
need to test them. That's what NCAP's budget

00:23:32.019 --> 00:23:36.430
is. It's a disgrace. I mean, it should be significantly

00:23:36.430 --> 00:23:39.750
more multiples of what it is now. Well, engineers

00:23:39.750 --> 00:23:42.130
are not cheap either. The fully burdened rate

00:23:42.130 --> 00:23:44.289
for engineers is probably a quarter million dollars

00:23:44.289 --> 00:23:49.029
a year for engineer. So, you know, if your budget's

00:23:49.029 --> 00:23:52.849
$10 million, maybe you can buy, you know, maybe

00:23:52.849 --> 00:23:54.769
you can pay for 10 engineers and some equipment

00:23:54.769 --> 00:23:57.869
for them to work on. But it's not a lot of money.

00:24:01.060 --> 00:24:03.859
I think the takeaway is increase funding for

00:24:03.859 --> 00:24:06.599
NCAP. Increase NHTSA's budget. That's right,

00:24:06.680 --> 00:24:08.859
NHTSA. You've heard it here. We've said it a

00:24:08.859 --> 00:24:11.339
few times. Increase. Get your budget increased.

00:24:11.480 --> 00:24:13.099
Hey, Jonathan Morrison, why don't you take some

00:24:13.099 --> 00:24:15.380
of those Apple stock options you got and just

00:24:15.380 --> 00:24:18.740
fund it? Fund it yourself. Come on. What else

00:24:18.740 --> 00:24:21.339
are you going to do with that money? Buy hats?

00:24:21.660 --> 00:24:25.819
I don't know. Okay, this is a good one, but I

00:24:25.819 --> 00:24:27.660
kind of like I'm leaning towards Michael. Hey,

00:24:27.799 --> 00:24:29.319
I wonder if they could focus on the lower leg

00:24:29.319 --> 00:24:32.000
extremities or even just redesigning lap belts

00:24:32.000 --> 00:24:36.259
shoulder belts i don't know uh it's it's interesting

00:24:36.259 --> 00:24:38.839
and i hope someone comes up with some incremental

00:24:38.839 --> 00:24:42.359
solutions before the magic solution that we all

00:24:42.359 --> 00:24:44.759
know elon's already figured out he's got it figured

00:24:44.759 --> 00:24:48.019
out how to make everything perfect uh and with

00:24:48.019 --> 00:24:49.940
that who's uh who wants to do their gas likes

00:24:49.940 --> 00:24:54.660
i already did mine I'll enjoy it because I have

00:24:54.660 --> 00:24:56.599
I have some quick ones. I probably got three

00:24:56.599 --> 00:24:58.720
this week. I didn't really come down on. I got

00:24:58.720 --> 00:25:02.160
a few, but I let just just the one. Yeah. I mean,

00:25:02.160 --> 00:25:06.160
you know, one one quick one. The you know, we

00:25:06.160 --> 00:25:09.059
saw another school, a school bus crash that killed

00:25:09.059 --> 00:25:11.900
two girls and injured a dozen or more children

00:25:11.900 --> 00:25:18.839
over the weekend. And in Tennessee, you look

00:25:18.839 --> 00:25:21.259
at the crash and, you know, it was a head on

00:25:21.259 --> 00:25:25.730
collision with. a dump truck i believe um and

00:25:25.730 --> 00:25:30.029
it's absolutely 100 a situation where if those

00:25:30.029 --> 00:25:33.190
children had seat belts on their buses many of

00:25:33.190 --> 00:25:35.089
them would have been spared injury it's hard

00:25:35.089 --> 00:25:37.470
to tell we don't have you know all the crash

00:25:37.470 --> 00:25:40.250
information yet whether you know lives could

00:25:40.250 --> 00:25:43.069
have been saved it's you know a dump truck is

00:25:43.789 --> 00:25:46.349
school bus hitting each other is a whole lot

00:25:46.349 --> 00:25:49.190
of energy combined in one area. So, you know,

00:25:49.210 --> 00:25:51.190
I think we can safely say that a lot of those

00:25:51.190 --> 00:25:53.869
students would could have remained uninjured.

00:25:54.910 --> 00:25:57.230
But we're not sure about the fatalities. We just

00:25:57.230 --> 00:25:59.509
don't have enough information yet. But I will

00:25:59.509 --> 00:26:02.750
continue to award the gaslight to all of the

00:26:02.750 --> 00:26:06.470
school systems and school bus manufacturers who

00:26:06.470 --> 00:26:09.789
have over the years colluded on this solution

00:26:09.789 --> 00:26:13.779
for school buses that doesn't include Seatbelts,

00:26:13.779 --> 00:26:16.279
that is one gaslight. My other gaslight I'm skipping

00:26:16.279 --> 00:26:21.920
over to IHS. I like IHS. However, they awarded

00:26:21.920 --> 00:26:25.319
the Cybertruck their top safety pick. I wasn't

00:26:25.319 --> 00:26:27.000
even going to mention that. You know, this is

00:26:27.000 --> 00:26:29.779
a car that has some pretty significant weight

00:26:29.779 --> 00:26:33.640
and design impacts on other road users. It's

00:26:33.640 --> 00:26:35.819
got some serious issues with emergency grass

00:26:35.819 --> 00:26:38.420
escaping the vehicle in a fire and other things.

00:26:39.289 --> 00:26:41.470
We obviously have concerns about the partial

00:26:41.470 --> 00:26:43.869
automation safeguards with autopilot and full

00:26:43.869 --> 00:26:46.970
self -driving. And on top of all that, it's banned

00:26:46.970 --> 00:26:50.990
in the European Union. So I'm giving a quick

00:26:50.990 --> 00:26:54.190
gaslight to IHS for including the Cybertruck

00:26:54.190 --> 00:26:58.450
in their top safety picks of the year. And, you

00:26:58.450 --> 00:27:00.569
know, I think I'll leave it at that. You know,

00:27:00.589 --> 00:27:04.289
I had another one. Oh, my other one was the Ophelia,

00:27:04.490 --> 00:27:08.440
Sony's entry into the auto. Do you want that

00:27:08.440 --> 00:27:13.019
one? No, no, no. Okay. The Afila is the latest

00:27:13.019 --> 00:27:16.319
CES promotion nonsense that is, you know, two

00:27:16.319 --> 00:27:19.299
years later being canceled after Sony and Honda

00:27:19.299 --> 00:27:21.619
came out promising all these wonderful things

00:27:21.619 --> 00:27:25.599
in this car. It's over. And they just showed

00:27:25.599 --> 00:27:28.299
it in January. I feel another bullshit CES promotion

00:27:28.299 --> 00:27:31.519
coming. This won't be the last one. Wow, that's

00:27:31.519 --> 00:27:33.720
a good one. Okay, so related to the Cybertruck.

00:27:34.269 --> 00:27:36.650
We've talked about how escaping from the back

00:27:36.650 --> 00:27:38.789
seats and even the front seats because of their

00:27:38.789 --> 00:27:41.029
electronic door locks is next to impossible.

00:27:41.809 --> 00:27:44.470
You know, because they just poor engineering

00:27:44.470 --> 00:27:48.109
choices on Tesla's part. Very bad decision. Somebody,

00:27:48.150 --> 00:27:50.369
I think it might be in a related article, they

00:27:50.369 --> 00:27:52.750
suggested if you put your kid or anyone in a

00:27:52.750 --> 00:27:55.130
Cybertruck, probably any Tesla for that matter,

00:27:55.190 --> 00:27:56.970
make sure there's a hammer in there. Because

00:27:56.970 --> 00:27:58.910
in case they get a crash, they need that to try

00:27:58.910 --> 00:28:02.009
and smash the windows to get out. You know, that

00:28:02.009 --> 00:28:04.029
wasn't just anyone saying that. That was Gilbert

00:28:04.029 --> 00:28:06.250
Arenas, former point guard for the Washington

00:28:06.250 --> 00:28:10.109
Wizards. His son was almost killed and was trapped

00:28:10.109 --> 00:28:13.630
and I believe briefly unconscious, was rescued

00:28:13.630 --> 00:28:18.069
from the vehicle, was put into a coma. So, you

00:28:18.069 --> 00:28:20.369
know, Gilbert says if you're a parent and your

00:28:20.369 --> 00:28:22.670
teen has this car, you may want to put a hammer

00:28:22.670 --> 00:28:25.369
in that joint, right? Yeah. Something that would

00:28:25.369 --> 00:28:28.369
break the window, you know. I would say if you

00:28:28.369 --> 00:28:30.950
are a parent and your teen has this car, you

00:28:30.950 --> 00:28:33.509
have a clear case of MMTB. What's that, Anthony?

00:28:34.390 --> 00:28:37.309
More money than brains. There we go. There we

00:28:37.309 --> 00:28:40.710
go. IIHS. You were great as a point guard as,

00:28:40.829 --> 00:28:44.569
you know, I question your decisions involving

00:28:44.569 --> 00:28:47.470
your teenager's car. Well, it's a popular. Hey,

00:28:47.549 --> 00:28:49.569
before I do my gaslight, I got a social question

00:28:49.569 --> 00:28:52.730
for you guys. Anthony, you have friends, right?

00:28:52.829 --> 00:28:56.369
Yes. Why? Who told you I didn't? Nobody, but

00:28:56.369 --> 00:29:00.230
I'm just verifying that you are ahead of me because

00:29:00.230 --> 00:29:02.630
you actually have friends. So here's what happened.

00:29:03.069 --> 00:29:06.890
We met some new people, very nice people, and

00:29:06.890 --> 00:29:12.990
came over to my house to deliver a sign in his

00:29:12.990 --> 00:29:17.589
Tesla. Oh, no. Oh, no. So I said, well, that's

00:29:17.589 --> 00:29:19.970
nice. And he was talking about it. He bought

00:29:19.970 --> 00:29:23.269
it several years ago. So I said, you know, these

00:29:23.269 --> 00:29:26.569
have some problems with escaping from the rear

00:29:26.569 --> 00:29:29.109
and you really need to look for the emergency

00:29:29.109 --> 00:29:33.630
release. And of course he had not, but he appreciated

00:29:33.630 --> 00:29:36.170
that. And then I said, you know, people have

00:29:36.170 --> 00:29:40.170
been trapped in these. And he showed me the escape

00:29:40.170 --> 00:29:45.769
hammer that he had in the well on the passenger

00:29:45.769 --> 00:29:49.089
side door with a little hardened steel point

00:29:49.089 --> 00:29:52.640
on it to break the window, right? So I said,

00:29:52.779 --> 00:29:55.859
you know, that's a great idea. But the problem

00:29:55.859 --> 00:30:00.000
is, see, this is laminated glass. And so this

00:30:00.000 --> 00:30:03.819
little device you've got here isn't going to

00:30:03.819 --> 00:30:07.019
do the job. And you really need to carry a bigger

00:30:07.019 --> 00:30:09.359
hammer if you're going to smash your way through

00:30:09.359 --> 00:30:14.059
the glass. So he thanked me and drove to the

00:30:14.059 --> 00:30:19.000
No Kings Rally. And I thought that was very good.

00:30:19.059 --> 00:30:21.809
So here's my question. How do you know anything

00:30:21.809 --> 00:30:25.210
about this cars and have a conversation with

00:30:25.210 --> 00:30:28.589
people who don't think you're a dork? Well, it's

00:30:28.589 --> 00:30:31.549
impossible. Yeah. Just you're going to be a dork.

00:30:31.549 --> 00:30:35.930
Just accept it. So you have that tattooed on

00:30:35.930 --> 00:30:37.750
my forehead or something. All right. No, hold

00:30:37.750 --> 00:30:39.730
on. Was this the first time you'd met this person?

00:30:40.930 --> 00:30:45.609
No, no. This is actually the third personal.

00:30:46.380 --> 00:30:48.359
I mean, I'm in contact with this person. He's

00:30:48.359 --> 00:30:50.259
an organized guy. I'm sure he's a lovely person.

00:30:50.359 --> 00:30:53.079
I mean, but I mean, I don't know if the third

00:30:53.079 --> 00:30:55.660
date, that might be a little too early to talk

00:30:55.660 --> 00:30:59.720
about how his hammer is inadequate. Well, it's

00:30:59.720 --> 00:31:01.759
been kind of a persistent problem for me for

00:31:01.759 --> 00:31:05.619
the last, oh, I don't know, 73 years or so. So

00:31:05.619 --> 00:31:07.740
I was hoping you'd give me some advice on that.

00:31:08.140 --> 00:31:09.480
I think it's one of the first things everyone

00:31:09.480 --> 00:31:11.720
should look at when they buy a new vehicle is

00:31:11.720 --> 00:31:14.759
what type of glass they have in their side windows.

00:31:15.140 --> 00:31:17.460
If it's tempered, one of those tools could work.

00:31:18.559 --> 00:31:20.539
If it's laminated, you're going to need a lot

00:31:20.539 --> 00:31:23.539
more than the little key chain tools than a lot

00:31:23.539 --> 00:31:26.460
of the escape tools that are sold. And I think

00:31:26.460 --> 00:31:28.839
the people who are selling the escape tools need

00:31:28.839 --> 00:31:31.660
to be clear about that. And they're not in their

00:31:31.660 --> 00:31:33.480
advertising. They sell these things as kind of

00:31:33.480 --> 00:31:36.000
a one size fits all solution to getting out of

00:31:36.000 --> 00:31:40.109
a vehicle. However, a lot of people who were

00:31:40.109 --> 00:31:42.369
carrying that tool in their car are going to

00:31:42.369 --> 00:31:45.430
discover to their chagrin that they don't have

00:31:45.430 --> 00:31:48.430
tempered glass. They have laminated glass on

00:31:48.430 --> 00:31:49.750
their windows and they're not going to be able

00:31:49.750 --> 00:31:51.950
to use that to escape. Did you offer to try and

00:31:51.950 --> 00:31:54.230
use his little tool to break the windows and

00:31:54.230 --> 00:31:56.210
just show him? That would have been fun. I'm

00:31:56.210 --> 00:31:59.089
not that much of a dork. No. Come on. Get a couple

00:31:59.089 --> 00:32:00.910
of drinks in the guy. Come on. Let's go try to

00:32:00.910 --> 00:32:02.630
bust your windows, buddy. Come on. Let's do it.

00:32:02.650 --> 00:32:06.349
Woo. Well, my big drink these days is pomegranate

00:32:06.349 --> 00:32:08.970
juice, so I'm not sure that's going to... Well,

00:32:09.130 --> 00:32:11.289
that reinforces dorkiness, doesn't it? Never

00:32:11.289 --> 00:32:13.630
mind. I'm going to move on to my gaslight here.

00:32:14.029 --> 00:32:16.609
Okay, so my gaslight is, forgive the pronunciation,

00:32:16.970 --> 00:32:22.190
by Omar Zubi, Z -O -U -B -I, who's the head of

00:32:22.190 --> 00:32:25.250
a company called Taskus. And this is on a podcast

00:32:25.250 --> 00:32:28.329
by the Driverless Digest, and that link will

00:32:28.329 --> 00:32:32.230
be on our website. What his company, Taskus,

00:32:32.250 --> 00:32:35.940
does... is they provide human -in -the -loop

00:32:35.940 --> 00:32:41.559
services for robo -taxis. And so it's kind of

00:32:41.559 --> 00:32:46.039
sort of the interesting aspects to this. They

00:32:46.039 --> 00:32:48.940
do contractor staffing for the remote Michigan

00:32:48.940 --> 00:32:54.400
call center that Waymo uses for its, you know,

00:32:54.420 --> 00:32:56.980
human -in -the -loop responses, right? So it

00:32:56.980 --> 00:32:59.609
reinforces the idea that... These autonomous

00:32:59.609 --> 00:33:02.569
vehicles really are not fully autonomous. They're

00:33:02.569 --> 00:33:04.509
partially autonomous. They all have a human in

00:33:04.509 --> 00:33:07.150
the loop. And it's also interesting that Waymo

00:33:07.150 --> 00:33:11.069
doesn't staff that itself, because by using this

00:33:11.069 --> 00:33:13.589
subcontractor, it gives itself one more layer

00:33:13.589 --> 00:33:17.430
of legal insulation from liability associated

00:33:17.430 --> 00:33:21.630
with any error that causes death or injury. Doesn't

00:33:21.630 --> 00:33:26.000
it, Michael? I mean, you know, maybe it's a layer.

00:33:26.099 --> 00:33:28.440
It's all going to depend on what happens and

00:33:28.440 --> 00:33:30.819
what the case looks like. But I mean, it's definitely

00:33:30.819 --> 00:33:33.559
one more area to point the finger if something

00:33:33.559 --> 00:33:36.700
goes wrong, right? Yeah. So anyway, quoting from

00:33:36.700 --> 00:33:38.759
him, he says, this technology doesn't sleep.

00:33:39.079 --> 00:33:41.880
It doesn't get distracted. It doesn't get drunk.

00:33:41.960 --> 00:33:44.039
And it sees more than a human being can see.

00:33:44.599 --> 00:33:47.559
I think safety is the one area that every one

00:33:47.559 --> 00:33:51.359
of them, the robo -taxi companies, is very public

00:33:51.359 --> 00:33:55.480
about sharing. What nonsense. OK, so I'll stop

00:33:55.480 --> 00:33:57.920
quoting here. He didn't say no nonsense. But,

00:33:57.920 --> 00:34:03.519
you know, that is an old, old saying that they're

00:34:03.519 --> 00:34:06.000
using to distract people from the real safety

00:34:06.000 --> 00:34:09.599
issues. And in fact, the robo taxi companies,

00:34:09.760 --> 00:34:14.980
and it's only one as far as I know, are very

00:34:14.980 --> 00:34:18.420
active about diverting people from the whole

00:34:18.420 --> 00:34:22.800
idea that they are. In fact, putting safety as

00:34:22.800 --> 00:34:26.019
the very highest priority. Clearly, safety is

00:34:26.019 --> 00:34:28.820
a priority, but it's way down the list. And continued

00:34:28.820 --> 00:34:32.000
operations is the highest priority. If you look

00:34:32.000 --> 00:34:35.280
at Waymo's experience in Texas with school buses,

00:34:35.400 --> 00:34:38.380
for example, clearly the safest approach would

00:34:38.380 --> 00:34:40.440
be to not operate the damn Waymos when the school

00:34:40.440 --> 00:34:43.059
buses are loading and unloading passengers. Yet

00:34:43.059 --> 00:34:45.860
we know that for several months, Waymo has been

00:34:45.860 --> 00:34:50.690
operating. And diverting attention from this,

00:34:50.789 --> 00:34:54.429
they've actually tested it, their software on

00:34:54.429 --> 00:34:57.369
school buses on the road, school buses in a parking

00:34:57.369 --> 00:35:00.070
lot, school buses with the cooperation of the

00:35:00.070 --> 00:35:02.349
Texas Independent School District, Austin Independent

00:35:02.349 --> 00:35:06.630
School District, in a closed area, none of which

00:35:06.630 --> 00:35:09.309
has solved the problem, all of which has involved

00:35:09.309 --> 00:35:12.909
jeopardizing children's safety and taxpayers'

00:35:13.210 --> 00:35:17.750
support for the Waymo introduction in Texas.

00:35:21.610 --> 00:35:25.449
So, first of all, human -in -the -loop operation

00:35:25.449 --> 00:35:28.809
means it's not truly autonomous. And if they

00:35:28.809 --> 00:35:30.969
provide the remote human -in -the -loop guidance

00:35:30.969 --> 00:35:33.610
that directs vehicle operation, they are driving

00:35:33.610 --> 00:35:35.949
the cars no matter how much they want to obfuscate.

00:35:36.150 --> 00:35:38.210
They say that they're just providing guidance

00:35:38.210 --> 00:35:40.409
and, you know, they're really not driving the

00:35:40.409 --> 00:35:43.590
cars, even though the cars then do what their

00:35:43.590 --> 00:35:47.190
guidance suggests. So, I'm not sure how they're

00:35:47.190 --> 00:35:51.719
going to square that. And then they say, second,

00:35:51.840 --> 00:35:54.079
the technology doesn't blah, blah, blah, blah,

00:35:54.119 --> 00:35:57.280
blah. But note that the lack of information is

00:35:57.280 --> 00:36:00.400
not information. So by saying they don't do certain

00:36:00.400 --> 00:36:02.519
things, they're not providing information of

00:36:02.519 --> 00:36:04.920
what they do. They're just not providing information.

00:36:05.679 --> 00:36:08.320
But some of the things that this automated technology

00:36:08.320 --> 00:36:13.579
does do is they implement software errors. They

00:36:13.579 --> 00:36:15.599
exhibit a wide range of failure modes common

00:36:15.599 --> 00:36:18.650
to computers, networks, and sensors. They suffer

00:36:18.650 --> 00:36:21.690
potentially lethal latency from remote human

00:36:21.690 --> 00:36:24.429
-in -the -loop facilities. They experience electrical

00:36:24.429 --> 00:36:27.730
and electronic faults. They freeze and otherwise

00:36:27.730 --> 00:36:30.929
malfunction from communication failures, none

00:36:30.929 --> 00:36:35.030
of which humans suffer. So if you do a cost and

00:36:35.030 --> 00:36:38.170
benefit analysis, you really need to identify

00:36:38.170 --> 00:36:40.550
the costs as well as the potential benefits.

00:36:42.570 --> 00:36:46.110
Nobody's illustrated this better in my mind than...

00:36:46.980 --> 00:36:50.340
Mr. Zuby, again, for the pronunciation if it's

00:36:50.340 --> 00:36:55.320
wrong. So there is no independent study to date

00:36:55.320 --> 00:36:57.960
that has shown the intrinsic safety benefits

00:36:57.960 --> 00:37:00.599
of computer -driven cars. So to start with the

00:37:00.599 --> 00:37:04.199
presumption that safety is inherent in a computer

00:37:04.199 --> 00:37:07.300
operation is simply wrong. There's no evidence

00:37:07.300 --> 00:37:10.000
to support that. There is a lot of evidence to

00:37:10.000 --> 00:37:13.900
the contrary, including the frequent reports

00:37:13.900 --> 00:37:18.059
from Texas and Atlanta, Georgia. of these vehicles

00:37:18.059 --> 00:37:20.260
interfering with loading and unloading children

00:37:20.260 --> 00:37:23.940
from school buses, as well as hitting children

00:37:23.940 --> 00:37:27.699
in California who are doing nothing worse than

00:37:27.699 --> 00:37:32.039
getting out of school. And the idea that safety

00:37:32.039 --> 00:37:34.400
is the one area that every one of them is very

00:37:34.400 --> 00:37:37.840
public about sharing is a cruel joke. Their safety

00:37:37.840 --> 00:37:40.159
data is at best biased heavily towards the illusion

00:37:40.159 --> 00:37:42.719
of safety, and at worst shows that experience

00:37:43.369 --> 00:37:45.929
is many times more hazardous than human operation.

00:37:46.989 --> 00:37:49.389
That experience is irrelevant to the software

00:37:49.389 --> 00:37:52.710
stack currently used for operations because it's

00:37:52.710 --> 00:37:54.869
all that experience is based upon rules -based

00:37:54.869 --> 00:37:56.789
software that's completely different than what

00:37:56.789 --> 00:38:04.070
they're using now with end -to -end AI. And I'll

00:38:04.070 --> 00:38:06.190
remind you that when you call a Waymo, you're

00:38:06.190 --> 00:38:09.449
giving up all your rights to sue Waymo as well

00:38:09.449 --> 00:38:12.110
as to sue the company that gives you the information.

00:38:13.179 --> 00:38:16.480
Protection by the Communications Act, Michael,

00:38:16.579 --> 00:38:19.559
that insulates the Internet companies from liability

00:38:19.559 --> 00:38:23.280
associated with the information it carries. The

00:38:23.280 --> 00:38:28.699
DMCA. DMCA. So a little bit longer than I would

00:38:28.699 --> 00:38:31.480
have liked, I guess. But that's my nominee is

00:38:31.480 --> 00:38:36.719
Mr. Omar Zubi with company Taskus. Pretty good.

00:38:36.820 --> 00:38:39.260
I mean, you were trying to trigger me there.

00:38:39.340 --> 00:38:41.280
You kept saying the phrase human in the loop

00:38:41.280 --> 00:38:44.199
over and over again. And I kept biting my tongue.

00:38:44.820 --> 00:38:47.119
But the human in the loop, the story of the hula

00:38:47.119 --> 00:38:50.099
hoop. I don't know. There's a thousand other

00:38:50.099 --> 00:38:52.400
ones. That was the most safe one. Michael's disappointed

00:38:52.400 --> 00:38:55.079
in me shaking his head. Well, the human in the

00:38:55.079 --> 00:38:57.380
loop is a standard engineering term for development

00:38:57.380 --> 00:39:01.300
of complex systems. Yes. You know, you start

00:39:01.300 --> 00:39:05.139
with the simulation. Then you do computer in

00:39:05.139 --> 00:39:07.099
the loop and see if it works. Then you do human

00:39:07.099 --> 00:39:12.340
in the loop. All right. Since Michael got to

00:39:12.340 --> 00:39:14.940
do multiple gaslights, I'm going to do one. Another

00:39:14.940 --> 00:39:21.219
one. Time Magazine. Laura Avena has an article

00:39:21.219 --> 00:39:23.880
titled or an opinion piece, I assume. First of

00:39:23.880 --> 00:39:26.019
all, no idea. Time Magazine was still a thing.

00:39:26.900 --> 00:39:29.480
But this is titled What Cities Need to Consider

00:39:29.480 --> 00:39:33.360
Before Allowing Self -Driving Cars. And I'm going

00:39:33.360 --> 00:39:35.840
to quote from it. The debate over these autonomous

00:39:35.840 --> 00:39:39.050
vehicles often collapses into two camps. One

00:39:39.050 --> 00:39:42.409
side treats any regulation whatsoever as an obstacle

00:39:42.409 --> 00:39:45.190
to progress. The other argues we should pause

00:39:45.190 --> 00:39:47.590
on innovation until every future risk is resolved.

00:39:48.150 --> 00:39:51.670
This is cartoonish. This is, I mean, yes, we

00:39:51.670 --> 00:39:53.670
know the Alliance for Automotive Innovation,

00:39:53.769 --> 00:39:56.750
they're like, no regulations. I don't know if

00:39:56.750 --> 00:40:00.250
it's that cartoonish. No, I mean, as safety advocates.

00:40:00.829 --> 00:40:03.030
Really? We're saying don't do any progress? That's

00:40:03.030 --> 00:40:04.829
the problem I had with it. Pause all innovation

00:40:04.829 --> 00:40:07.150
until we figure everything out. No, I don't think

00:40:07.150 --> 00:40:09.590
any of us have made that argument. I think we

00:40:09.590 --> 00:40:11.650
have a checklist for that, don't we? We do have

00:40:11.650 --> 00:40:14.469
a checklist instead. Further on, she's talking

00:40:14.469 --> 00:40:17.869
about how she was the FDNY commissioner in 2022

00:40:17.869 --> 00:40:20.329
and talking about how we know how to get things

00:40:20.329 --> 00:40:24.429
safely out there, but then she magically forgets

00:40:24.429 --> 00:40:28.389
what's an issue. She's talking about these e

00:40:28.389 --> 00:40:30.449
-bikes and lithium -ion batteries, how we're

00:40:30.829 --> 00:40:34.289
They were introduced in New York City and they

00:40:34.289 --> 00:40:36.889
started causing all these fires. And so I'm going

00:40:36.889 --> 00:40:39.289
to quote from continue. While these batteries

00:40:39.289 --> 00:40:41.690
had been deemed safe in a lab setting, everything

00:40:41.690 --> 00:40:43.969
about city living made them more dangerous, more

00:40:43.969 --> 00:40:45.929
prone to fire from potholes, all covered streets,

00:40:45.989 --> 00:40:48.230
the damage of protective casing, small apartments

00:40:48.230 --> 00:40:50.530
where bikes are just blocking the exit, the growing

00:40:50.530 --> 00:40:53.110
demand for fast delivery, blah, blah, blah. No,

00:40:53.269 --> 00:40:55.909
these were not deemed safe in a lab. The ones

00:40:55.909 --> 00:40:58.969
that were exploding into flames were were. bad

00:40:58.969 --> 00:41:01.909
imitations that were never tested in a lab these

00:41:01.909 --> 00:41:04.170
were ones that they identified strictly where

00:41:04.170 --> 00:41:07.150
they came from that they had no safety behind

00:41:07.150 --> 00:41:11.210
them at all these were bogus these were uh what's

00:41:11.210 --> 00:41:14.750
uh knockoffs what's the what's the term counterfeit

00:41:14.750 --> 00:41:16.929
thank you these were counterfeit i don't know

00:41:16.929 --> 00:41:20.869
so there's a lot of confusing and and and frankly

00:41:20.869 --> 00:41:24.170
dangerous and lazy things here uh continuing

00:41:24.170 --> 00:41:26.789
it didn't have to be this way online real tellers

00:41:27.210 --> 00:41:29.530
Could have been seen as partners in the rollout

00:41:29.530 --> 00:41:31.849
of this new technology. And companies could have

00:41:31.849 --> 00:41:33.969
worked in the city to build best practices and

00:41:33.969 --> 00:41:35.690
outdoor infrastructure that will protect residents

00:41:35.690 --> 00:41:37.409
from these fires these batteries are causing.

00:41:38.150 --> 00:41:40.789
Or you could have not let counterfeit batteries

00:41:40.789 --> 00:41:45.849
in to begin with. That's hard. But I mean, come

00:41:45.849 --> 00:41:47.590
on. I mean, we're seeing it right now. We're

00:41:47.590 --> 00:41:51.079
seeing millions of. Fake auto parts. And we're,

00:41:51.519 --> 00:41:54.840
you know, NHTSA and other, you know, the Border

00:41:54.840 --> 00:41:57.900
Patrol hasn't been able to stop all the counterfeit

00:41:57.900 --> 00:42:00.380
airbags coming in that are causing some pretty

00:42:00.380 --> 00:42:02.280
serious problems. I understand. But this is making

00:42:02.280 --> 00:42:04.219
the assumption that all of this stuff was designed

00:42:04.219 --> 00:42:06.519
safely. It just wasn't meant for an urban environment.

00:42:06.800 --> 00:42:10.619
That is not true. This was explosive damage garbage

00:42:10.619 --> 00:42:13.739
that was not designed to be used by humans ever.

00:42:15.320 --> 00:42:19.429
Please. I'm going to nitpick a little bit. Nitpick

00:42:19.429 --> 00:42:22.710
away. You will lose gasoline. You said that they're

00:42:22.710 --> 00:42:26.389
not designed safely. These counterfeit batteries.

00:42:26.389 --> 00:42:28.050
That can be completely wrong because the design

00:42:28.050 --> 00:42:30.030
could have been completely safe, but the implementation,

00:42:30.510 --> 00:42:33.730
the quality control and validation may have been

00:42:33.730 --> 00:42:36.469
completely faulty. So there's a difference between

00:42:36.469 --> 00:42:39.869
design and there's a difference between validation.

00:42:40.070 --> 00:42:45.250
So again, I'm a dork, but dorkiness is important

00:42:45.250 --> 00:42:48.190
in certain contexts, and that's one. So has the

00:42:48.190 --> 00:42:50.050
guy with the Tesla, has he come over for a fourth

00:42:50.050 --> 00:42:55.389
visit? Not yet. We'll see. And I wouldn't nitpick

00:42:55.389 --> 00:42:57.309
this article too much to death because ultimately

00:42:57.309 --> 00:43:01.670
what the point here is, is that the cities or

00:43:01.670 --> 00:43:04.849
the local authorities and the technology companies

00:43:04.849 --> 00:43:08.469
need to work more closely together and kind of

00:43:08.469 --> 00:43:11.690
definitely here there's a push to say, hey, technology

00:43:11.690 --> 00:43:13.570
companies, you need to have a little more respect.

00:43:14.409 --> 00:43:17.050
for what the localities are requesting, you know,

00:43:17.070 --> 00:43:19.150
where we've seen this problem, you know, we just

00:43:19.150 --> 00:43:21.070
mentioned it in Austin with the school buses

00:43:21.070 --> 00:43:24.429
in Waymo. There's a way where these things could

00:43:24.429 --> 00:43:27.369
make, could, you know, a way where the vehicles

00:43:27.369 --> 00:43:30.210
could avoid the problem that's being caused by

00:43:30.210 --> 00:43:32.929
avoiding, you know, operation around school buses

00:43:32.929 --> 00:43:35.550
during drop -off pickup hours, that kind of thing.

00:43:35.730 --> 00:43:38.050
But Waymo is basically saying, no, we're going

00:43:38.050 --> 00:43:42.750
to do our own thing. And so, you know, I think

00:43:42.750 --> 00:43:45.150
that what this article really is, is a pitch

00:43:45.150 --> 00:43:50.269
for cities to have a little more authority in

00:43:50.269 --> 00:43:52.329
determining, you know, some of the and being

00:43:52.329 --> 00:43:54.170
able to work out some of the safety issues caused

00:43:54.170 --> 00:43:56.250
by advanced technology. And that's something

00:43:56.250 --> 00:43:59.230
we're fully behind. Right. Yes, I agree. My objection

00:43:59.230 --> 00:44:02.650
to this is the cartoonish portrayal of it's either

00:44:02.650 --> 00:44:05.349
black or white. And whereas, as Fred's pointed

00:44:05.349 --> 00:44:07.329
out, we've come out, hey, here's checklists to

00:44:07.329 --> 00:44:09.949
help regulators. We're not asking any regular,

00:44:10.050 --> 00:44:13.010
any innovation to stop. We want more AEB out

00:44:13.010 --> 00:44:15.570
there. We're not saying don't do it until we

00:44:15.570 --> 00:44:18.170
figure everything out. And then it just, it's,

00:44:18.170 --> 00:44:20.449
it's a little shocking to have a former FDNY

00:44:20.449 --> 00:44:22.789
commissioner being like, all of a sudden these

00:44:22.789 --> 00:44:25.730
batteries are exploding. All of a sudden garbage

00:44:25.730 --> 00:44:28.909
was exploding. Like it wasn't, these were not

00:44:28.909 --> 00:44:32.030
ones from reputable companies. So anyway, that's

00:44:32.030 --> 00:44:35.250
my, it's not a gas. It's my giant nitpick of

00:44:35.250 --> 00:44:37.690
the week. You're an anti -darkite, aren't you?

00:44:38.090 --> 00:44:40.949
A little bit. A little bit. Okay, so this late

00:44:40.949 --> 00:44:42.849
gaslight winner is Fred, because he kept saying

00:44:42.849 --> 00:44:44.929
human in a loop, and he was trying to trigger

00:44:44.929 --> 00:44:47.570
me. Wow, that's never happened. It worked. This

00:44:47.570 --> 00:44:49.510
is your third time you've won, and each time

00:44:49.510 --> 00:44:52.510
you win, you say it's never happened. Well, who's

00:44:52.510 --> 00:44:56.210
keeping track? Me. Okay. Sticking to the greater

00:44:56.210 --> 00:44:58.269
New York City area, the New York Times has another

00:44:58.269 --> 00:45:02.050
opinion piece, which I approve of. This one's

00:45:02.050 --> 00:45:04.409
titled, Trump said this policy would make Manhattan

00:45:04.409 --> 00:45:09.030
a ghost town. He was wrong. Quoting from it,

00:45:09.110 --> 00:45:11.849
it's talking about how all these lawmakers are

00:45:11.849 --> 00:45:14.570
objecting to congestion pricing in Manhattan.

00:45:14.710 --> 00:45:16.030
And for those who don't know, if you enter the

00:45:16.030 --> 00:45:18.150
congestion pricing below, which is in Manhattan

00:45:18.150 --> 00:45:22.710
below 60th Street, you pay $9 or something like

00:45:22.710 --> 00:45:25.110
that. I don't know, between the hours of X and

00:45:25.110 --> 00:45:29.710
Y. I don't know. So quoting. It's going up, right?

00:45:29.730 --> 00:45:33.150
It's $9 now. It's going up to $12 and then $15

00:45:33.150 --> 00:45:37.369
in 2031. Government. So quoting, it's nothing

00:45:37.369 --> 00:45:39.809
more than a scam, a cash grab, said Representative

00:45:39.809 --> 00:45:42.150
Mike Lawler, Republican congressman from New

00:45:42.150 --> 00:45:44.849
York City's northern suburbs. A disaster, said

00:45:44.849 --> 00:45:46.750
New Jersey's governor at the time, Philip Murphy,

00:45:46.849 --> 00:45:49.190
a Democrat. Businesses will be will fully warrant

00:45:49.190 --> 00:45:52.849
Donald Trump and continuing over its first 14

00:45:52.849 --> 00:45:55.090
months. The congestion pricing system has exceeded

00:45:55.090 --> 00:45:57.750
even the high hopes of many supporters. It's

00:45:57.750 --> 00:46:00.030
reduced traffic, improved quality of life and

00:46:00.030 --> 00:46:03.599
even provided a boost for business. Talk of killing

00:46:03.599 --> 00:46:05.599
it has faded. This month, a federal judge ruled

00:46:05.599 --> 00:46:07.639
the Trump administration's attempt to end the

00:46:07.639 --> 00:46:11.239
program was illegal. So three cheers for congestion

00:46:11.239 --> 00:46:15.000
pricing. Yeah, I'm having, you know, we've seen

00:46:15.000 --> 00:46:17.360
multiple articles come out now that are really

00:46:17.360 --> 00:46:19.920
showing a lot of successes here, and I'm having

00:46:19.920 --> 00:46:23.519
a hard time figuring out where the negatives

00:46:23.519 --> 00:46:26.780
are here. It's the is the negative, literally

00:46:26.780 --> 00:46:29.360
the people who are having to pay to come into

00:46:29.360 --> 00:46:31.699
the city these hours whining about nine dollars.

00:46:31.900 --> 00:46:34.539
Or is is there another negative here that I'm

00:46:34.539 --> 00:46:37.539
missing? So there's this there's always this

00:46:37.539 --> 00:46:40.820
fantasy theory that, oh, there's the secret cabal.

00:46:40.820 --> 00:46:42.539
They get together and they're going to try and

00:46:42.539 --> 00:46:44.579
rule the world. Oh, the secret cabal is just

00:46:44.579 --> 00:46:46.639
a moment. People don't want to pay taxes. And

00:46:46.639 --> 00:46:49.539
that's this is part of it. This is another tax

00:46:49.539 --> 00:46:51.619
and they don't want to pay taxes. Don't take

00:46:51.619 --> 00:46:54.170
money out of my pocket. I'm. I'm busy taking

00:46:54.170 --> 00:46:59.750
taxpayer money to dump stuff in the ocean. Yeah,

00:46:59.829 --> 00:47:01.769
it's I think that's really just what it comes

00:47:01.769 --> 00:47:04.309
down to. And even the representative from the

00:47:04.309 --> 00:47:06.349
northern New York City suburbs, as we pointed

00:47:06.349 --> 00:47:08.550
out a couple of weeks ago, traffic around their

00:47:08.550 --> 00:47:11.130
suburbs have improved greatly because congestion

00:47:11.130 --> 00:47:13.090
has dropped off because you have less people

00:47:13.090 --> 00:47:15.769
trying to people coming through. I mean, same

00:47:15.769 --> 00:47:17.510
amount of people coming through, but not all

00:47:17.510 --> 00:47:19.789
of them in an individual car now. Now they're

00:47:19.789 --> 00:47:22.909
taking mass transit and, you know. People are

00:47:22.909 --> 00:47:25.909
meeting new friends. Marriages are starting.

00:47:25.989 --> 00:47:30.610
Marriages are ending. It's a rom -com to be made.

00:47:31.050 --> 00:47:33.829
What about freedom and these damn liberals trying

00:47:33.829 --> 00:47:36.829
to run every aspect of your life? Well, I'd like

00:47:36.829 --> 00:47:41.230
to meet them one day. Which? All of those liberals?

00:47:41.349 --> 00:47:43.110
Yeah, I want to meet these liberals running my

00:47:43.110 --> 00:47:48.650
life. Less decisions for me. Good point. Thank

00:47:48.650 --> 00:47:51.289
you. With a good point, would you like to tell

00:47:51.289 --> 00:47:56.869
us? No, I'm going to let that one go. Okay. No

00:47:56.869 --> 00:47:59.909
Tao this week. Tao is a noun. Oh, the Tao. I'm

00:47:59.909 --> 00:48:02.889
sorry. I misunderstood. All right. I'm going

00:48:02.889 --> 00:48:05.730
to spend just a few minutes talking about 48

00:48:05.730 --> 00:48:08.889
-volt versus 12 -volt electrical systems in cars.

00:48:09.130 --> 00:48:10.429
Because I do have questions. Another fascinating

00:48:10.429 --> 00:48:16.429
subject. So for those who've been paying attention,

00:48:16.650 --> 00:48:20.030
you've seen that some cars are moving from a

00:48:20.030 --> 00:48:23.119
12 -volt electrical system to a 48 -volt. This

00:48:23.119 --> 00:48:26.900
is the first major shift in about, oh, I don't

00:48:26.900 --> 00:48:30.340
know, 50 years when cars moved from a 6 -volt

00:48:30.340 --> 00:48:34.039
system to a 12 -volt system. So why is this happening

00:48:34.039 --> 00:48:38.219
and why should anybody care? Well, there's a

00:48:38.219 --> 00:48:39.940
couple of standards. We'll put them on the website

00:48:39.940 --> 00:48:43.019
for why this is happening. But I'm going to compare

00:48:43.019 --> 00:48:46.280
12 -volt and 48 -volt. So 12 -volt system has

00:48:46.280 --> 00:48:50.239
fewer cells in its battery. Of course, there

00:48:50.239 --> 00:48:52.739
are more cells in a 48 -volt battery, four times

00:48:52.739 --> 00:48:56.219
as many. There's a minimal shock hazard from

00:48:56.219 --> 00:48:59.480
either one. So all of these spy movies you've

00:48:59.480 --> 00:49:03.179
seen where they tie somebody to a battery and

00:49:03.179 --> 00:49:05.619
shock them to give up the secrets, those are

00:49:05.619 --> 00:49:08.059
all nonsense. It doesn't work. Wait, I can't

00:49:08.059 --> 00:49:10.500
take jumper cables to a 12 -volt battery and

00:49:10.500 --> 00:49:12.559
then put the terminals on you and get the truth?

00:49:13.519 --> 00:49:15.340
Nothing's going to get the truth from me. Well,

00:49:15.460 --> 00:49:17.800
okay. Including not that, yeah. But that's really?

00:49:18.489 --> 00:49:20.530
Because like I've taken the ends and you always

00:49:20.530 --> 00:49:25.250
bang them together and get sparks. Yeah. So here's

00:49:25.250 --> 00:49:30.250
the thing. AC is constantly changing the voltage

00:49:30.250 --> 00:49:33.730
when you attach somebody to DC. It's just the

00:49:33.730 --> 00:49:37.469
resistance of the human body and the amount of

00:49:37.469 --> 00:49:39.130
current that's going through initially, which

00:49:39.130 --> 00:49:41.969
turns out to be very small. So you feel it when

00:49:41.969 --> 00:49:45.349
it starts, but it doesn't hurt you. It doesn't

00:49:45.349 --> 00:49:49.210
really kill you. Still don't advise licking your

00:49:49.210 --> 00:49:51.670
fingers with salt or putting salt water in the

00:49:51.670 --> 00:49:54.730
fingers and attaching them to a battery. So what

00:49:54.730 --> 00:49:56.730
we're talking about here is incidental contact.

00:49:56.989 --> 00:50:00.429
Okay. But yeah, you're safe. But that's why I've

00:50:00.429 --> 00:50:05.650
shocked myself with 110 volt line. Is this less

00:50:05.650 --> 00:50:07.989
so the 12 volt battery is less painful? Because

00:50:07.989 --> 00:50:10.690
that was a big difference between 110 volt AC

00:50:10.690 --> 00:50:16.210
and 110 volt DC. 110 volt DC. It's considered

00:50:16.210 --> 00:50:19.610
safe. Good to avoid it. You can get a momentary

00:50:19.610 --> 00:50:22.690
shock from it, but it's not going to zap you

00:50:22.690 --> 00:50:25.550
the way that a 110 -volt AC will. That's what

00:50:25.550 --> 00:50:27.590
it wants. And whatever's coming out of your socket

00:50:27.590 --> 00:50:31.110
in your house is alternating current or AC. So

00:50:31.110 --> 00:50:34.389
stay away from that. Yeah, it wasn't fun. Yeah,

00:50:34.409 --> 00:50:37.150
this is the Thomas Edison Tesla debate. Elephant

00:50:37.150 --> 00:50:41.409
debate. Okay. Yeah. So your car is direct current.

00:50:41.989 --> 00:50:49.070
Your car is direct current. Yes, sir. So the

00:50:49.070 --> 00:50:50.730
12 -volt, you're going to need a bigger motor

00:50:50.730 --> 00:50:54.809
than the 48 -volt just because you can get more

00:50:54.809 --> 00:50:58.429
power, higher power density with a 48 -volt system.

00:50:58.690 --> 00:51:01.309
So there'd be some weight savings there with

00:51:01.309 --> 00:51:06.630
a 48 -volt. Contrasting again, there's less potential

00:51:06.630 --> 00:51:11.869
for a destructive electrical arc during a short

00:51:11.869 --> 00:51:16.039
circuit in a 12 -volt system. And 48 -volt, there's

00:51:16.039 --> 00:51:19.159
significant potential, but it's unlikely to happen

00:51:19.159 --> 00:51:21.920
every day. It might happen in certain circumstances

00:51:21.920 --> 00:51:25.340
like a loose contact or a collision to break

00:51:25.340 --> 00:51:31.639
some wires, but still not a huge jeopardy. The

00:51:31.639 --> 00:51:34.360
12 -volt system in general is heavier, and the

00:51:34.360 --> 00:51:38.380
48 -volt system is lighter, so that's good. There's

00:51:38.380 --> 00:51:41.300
more current in the 12 -volt system, less current

00:51:41.300 --> 00:51:45.880
in the 48 -volt system for constant power. And

00:51:45.880 --> 00:51:50.699
so there's less bad workmanship or loose contact

00:51:50.699 --> 00:51:54.000
hazard in the 12 -volt system than in the 48

00:51:54.000 --> 00:51:57.920
-volt system. So you need to be more careful

00:51:57.920 --> 00:52:00.679
about the workmanship in the 48 -volt system

00:52:00.679 --> 00:52:02.199
to make sure you're not going to have any loose

00:52:02.199 --> 00:52:05.139
wires floating around than in the 12 -volt system.

00:52:07.539 --> 00:52:10.739
So why does anybody care? I mean, if you have

00:52:10.739 --> 00:52:12.960
the choice between the 12 -volt system and the

00:52:12.960 --> 00:52:15.539
48 -volt system, Or you just don't want to buy

00:52:15.539 --> 00:52:18.360
a new car because of the 48 -volt system. What

00:52:18.360 --> 00:52:21.059
are the basis for making that kind of decision?

00:52:21.920 --> 00:52:25.900
Well, on the pro side for 48 -volt, it has a

00:52:25.900 --> 00:52:30.340
lower current at a given power and smaller wires

00:52:30.340 --> 00:52:33.059
at constant load. Generally speaking, you need

00:52:33.059 --> 00:52:36.800
smaller motors and generators and potentially

00:52:36.800 --> 00:52:41.269
smaller electrical contacts and batteries. Sorry,

00:52:41.429 --> 00:52:42.989
by motors in this case, are you referring to

00:52:42.989 --> 00:52:46.829
the alternator or the car's engine itself? Starter

00:52:46.829 --> 00:52:50.789
motor. Okay. The alternator. The motor that's

00:52:50.789 --> 00:52:54.989
running your fan and your defroster. All those.

00:52:55.130 --> 00:52:57.170
There's a bunch of electric motors. But not like

00:52:57.170 --> 00:53:00.269
my V8 Hemi. Not the engine. Not the engine. Not

00:53:00.269 --> 00:53:05.030
the prime mover. Essentially smaller contacts.

00:53:05.090 --> 00:53:09.010
Maybe some smaller batteries. I don't know. Because

00:53:09.010 --> 00:53:12.210
there's a couple of considerations. And finally,

00:53:12.389 --> 00:53:15.690
you could have lighter weight jumper cables because

00:53:15.690 --> 00:53:18.210
the wires could be smaller. I'm not sure this

00:53:18.210 --> 00:53:20.289
is an issue for anybody, but it's a potential.

00:53:20.630 --> 00:53:24.429
On the con side for the 48 volt system, you have

00:53:24.429 --> 00:53:26.590
a higher voltage at a given power and the higher

00:53:26.590 --> 00:53:30.769
voltage implies more hazard associated with arcs

00:53:30.769 --> 00:53:36.210
and short circuits and things like that. You're

00:53:36.210 --> 00:53:39.829
encouraging actually the developers. to put higher

00:53:39.829 --> 00:53:42.409
loads into the motors that they've got because

00:53:42.409 --> 00:53:44.690
they're able to carry more electricity through

00:53:44.690 --> 00:53:48.409
a given wire. So that might encourage them to

00:53:48.409 --> 00:53:52.250
just opt the ante for how many motors they want

00:53:52.250 --> 00:53:54.550
to put in the car and what they're doing and

00:53:54.550 --> 00:53:56.710
maybe increase the speed of the motors that are

00:53:56.710 --> 00:54:00.650
moving the seat and who knows what. So not sure

00:54:00.650 --> 00:54:04.329
that that's a great thing. The motors themselves

00:54:04.329 --> 00:54:07.030
are going to have larger internal electrical

00:54:07.030 --> 00:54:10.250
loads. You have to tie the wires together and

00:54:10.250 --> 00:54:12.829
bundles and do all those kind of things when

00:54:12.829 --> 00:54:14.429
you're building an electric motor so it doesn't

00:54:14.429 --> 00:54:16.969
fly apart naturally due to the electrical loads.

00:54:17.030 --> 00:54:19.650
And those are higher for the higher voltage.

00:54:19.989 --> 00:54:22.329
I'm not sure that's an issue that affects the

00:54:22.329 --> 00:54:26.230
cost, but it's possible. You do need to have

00:54:26.230 --> 00:54:29.769
increased electrical contact quality. You've

00:54:29.769 --> 00:54:31.389
got to make sure somehow they're not going to

00:54:31.389 --> 00:54:33.449
come apart, that they're not going to vibrate

00:54:33.449 --> 00:54:36.349
loose, that they're not going to cause... In

00:54:36.349 --> 00:54:39.050
intermittent contact, that could in turn generate

00:54:39.050 --> 00:54:42.849
sparks, short circuit, high temperature electrical

00:54:42.849 --> 00:54:47.429
arc, because those can be very destructive. Batteries

00:54:47.429 --> 00:54:49.570
are going to be more expensive because you've

00:54:49.570 --> 00:54:52.409
got twice as many cells. And the number of cells

00:54:52.409 --> 00:54:57.489
will basically have a lot to say about how much

00:54:57.489 --> 00:55:01.190
the battery costs to manufacture. That's not

00:55:01.190 --> 00:55:03.730
to say the purchase price will necessarily go

00:55:03.730 --> 00:55:06.469
up. but the cost to manufacture them probably

00:55:06.469 --> 00:55:10.210
will go up. And getting back to the lighter weight

00:55:10.210 --> 00:55:13.389
jumper cables, if that is an issue for you, you're

00:55:13.389 --> 00:55:16.050
going to need better clamps on the 48 -volt system

00:55:16.050 --> 00:55:19.110
than a 12 -volt system so that you don't get

00:55:19.110 --> 00:55:22.130
all that sparking when you put them on. And also,

00:55:22.210 --> 00:55:24.030
if you're in the middle of Manitoba somewhere

00:55:24.030 --> 00:55:26.710
in the winter, there might not be another 48

00:55:26.710 --> 00:55:28.829
-volt battery around that can give you a jump.

00:55:29.349 --> 00:55:34.710
So something to think about, I guess. But that's

00:55:34.710 --> 00:55:38.030
a very brief introduction to 48 -volt systems.

00:55:38.150 --> 00:55:40.730
And a lot of the companies are migrating in that

00:55:40.730 --> 00:55:43.690
direction. So you may be seeing this coming up

00:55:43.690 --> 00:55:47.670
in your next car. So we see it with Tesla and

00:55:47.670 --> 00:55:49.590
a few other manufacturers where their electrical

00:55:49.590 --> 00:55:53.409
system is running off of 48 volts, but they still

00:55:53.409 --> 00:55:56.789
have a 12 -volt battery system, I guess, for

00:55:56.789 --> 00:56:00.360
a starter. Some do. Yeah, why wouldn't you? I

00:56:00.360 --> 00:56:01.900
don't think that's quite right. I don't think

00:56:01.900 --> 00:56:04.159
Tesla has one. I think, you know, you're talking

00:56:04.159 --> 00:56:06.780
about mostly mild hybrids that have kind of a

00:56:06.780 --> 00:56:09.300
12 -volt battery and a 48. I think the Tesla

00:56:09.300 --> 00:56:11.659
Cybertruck has got a 48 -volt system. Yeah, but

00:56:11.659 --> 00:56:12.619
I think the Model 3 has a 12 -volt system. So

00:56:12.619 --> 00:56:14.480
that's instead of the 12 -volt system. Yeah,

00:56:14.480 --> 00:56:18.539
yeah. I don't know of any car that has both.

00:56:19.059 --> 00:56:22.260
So you've got high -voltage systems that run

00:56:22.260 --> 00:56:25.630
the wheels for electric cars. Right. Right. And

00:56:25.630 --> 00:56:27.730
then you've got a lower voltage system to run

00:56:27.730 --> 00:56:32.429
the accessories to, you know, all of the little

00:56:32.429 --> 00:56:35.010
motors like windshield wipers and fans and stuff

00:56:35.010 --> 00:56:39.409
like that. So the lower voltage system in the

00:56:39.409 --> 00:56:43.710
Cybertruck and a couple of European brands is

00:56:43.710 --> 00:56:47.769
now 48 volt instead of the 12 volt. So I don't

00:56:47.769 --> 00:56:52.679
see any. I don't see any. Systems that have both

00:56:52.679 --> 00:56:56.019
48 -volt and 12 -volt systems. They're alternatives.

00:56:57.119 --> 00:57:00.159
Okay. And now can this... Sorry, go ahead. You'll

00:57:00.159 --> 00:57:02.840
see a lot of vehicles that have the 12 -volt

00:57:02.840 --> 00:57:09.639
lead -acid battery and the 48 -volt mild hybrid

00:57:09.639 --> 00:57:12.659
together, I think. Oh, my God. I don't think

00:57:12.659 --> 00:57:15.219
so. Ladies and gentlemen, I'm sorry. This episode

00:57:15.219 --> 00:57:19.949
is brought to you by lead -acid -basin. I haven't

00:57:19.949 --> 00:57:22.309
said this the entire show, but if you big supporters

00:57:22.309 --> 00:57:24.849
of lead acid acid, go to autosafety .org and

00:57:24.849 --> 00:57:28.010
click on donate. Sorry. Again, about that coffee,

00:57:28.190 --> 00:57:31.429
Anthony, you're okay with that? Just repeating

00:57:31.429 --> 00:57:35.309
what Michael said. Okay. And with 48, my last

00:57:35.309 --> 00:57:37.269
dorky quite see, I can play the dork game too.

00:57:37.550 --> 00:57:40.409
48 volt system. Cause now you can move to digital

00:57:40.409 --> 00:57:43.250
switching. Is that I, maybe you can do a 12 volt

00:57:43.250 --> 00:57:45.929
systems too. So you can have less wire runs.

00:57:47.159 --> 00:57:49.119
I mean, you don't have to do point -to -point.

00:57:49.139 --> 00:57:51.039
I think that's a red herring. I think the digital

00:57:51.039 --> 00:57:54.619
switching is about the same for either one on

00:57:54.619 --> 00:57:59.099
the digital side. Digital systems generally run

00:57:59.099 --> 00:58:04.039
out these days at 1 .2 volts. So you've got components

00:58:04.039 --> 00:58:07.360
that act the way relays used to act that take

00:58:07.360 --> 00:58:09.440
the digital signal and allow the passage of the

00:58:09.440 --> 00:58:12.519
higher voltage current. But on the digital side,

00:58:12.659 --> 00:58:15.679
it's still very low voltage. All right. Well,

00:58:15.679 --> 00:58:18.400
that's a very informative update to the world

00:58:18.400 --> 00:58:21.159
of 48 -volt batteries. So don't be afraid of

00:58:21.159 --> 00:58:23.519
48 volts. I'm just going to hold off until we

00:58:23.519 --> 00:58:27.440
move to 96 volts. You'll be waiting a long time.

00:58:27.440 --> 00:58:31.400
You don't know me. Good for you. Yeah. Speaking

00:58:31.400 --> 00:58:33.039
of people who looks like they're going to be

00:58:33.039 --> 00:58:35.500
waiting for a long time is Nissan Leaf owners.

00:58:36.679 --> 00:58:39.079
Guardian has an article titled, Shockingly Bad.

00:58:39.340 --> 00:58:42.619
Nissan Leaf Drivers Voice Anger Over App Shutdowns.

00:58:42.619 --> 00:58:45.260
Quoting. Owners of some Nissan LEAF electric

00:58:45.260 --> 00:58:47.380
vehicles are angry after the carmaker announced

00:58:47.380 --> 00:58:49.440
it would shut down an app that lets them remotely

00:58:49.440 --> 00:58:51.360
control battery charging and other functions.

00:58:51.639 --> 00:58:57.219
And this brings up a whole issue of what happens

00:58:57.219 --> 00:59:00.760
as a car becomes more software than hardware.

00:59:01.199 --> 00:59:05.340
And we've seen it with Fisker, their Ocean. Like,

00:59:05.340 --> 00:59:07.159
you can't use any of the software really with

00:59:07.159 --> 00:59:08.900
their stuff anymore because the company doesn't

00:59:08.900 --> 00:59:12.369
exist. We've all experienced this with by subscribing

00:59:12.369 --> 00:59:17.050
to some silly music video system where all of

00:59:17.050 --> 00:59:19.429
a sudden, hey, I thought I had all this music

00:59:19.429 --> 00:59:21.949
movie video system stuff, but that service no

00:59:21.949 --> 00:59:24.250
longer exists. And now it's happening to your

00:59:24.250 --> 00:59:27.429
car when everything becomes amplified. So like

00:59:27.429 --> 00:59:29.909
if I, you know, because me, I said, hey, BMW,

00:59:30.130 --> 00:59:33.010
I want to pay for heated seats in my car. I want

00:59:33.010 --> 00:59:35.329
to subscribe to this. And they said, sir, you

00:59:35.329 --> 00:59:37.630
want a Toyota? And I was like, give me a hat,

00:59:37.730 --> 00:59:41.360
something. But what happens when they just turn

00:59:41.360 --> 00:59:45.639
that service off? Are consumers just going to

00:59:45.639 --> 00:59:48.840
have to be up in arms and hope they turn things

00:59:48.840 --> 00:59:52.900
back on? Well, software changes all the time,

00:59:52.920 --> 00:59:55.260
right? This goes back to the discussion about

00:59:55.260 --> 00:59:58.900
the Waymo claiming safety based upon software

00:59:58.900 --> 01:00:02.800
that they're no longer using. So it's a big issue,

01:00:02.840 --> 01:00:06.579
a big opportunity for companies to throw sand

01:00:06.579 --> 01:00:08.880
or... Throw dust in your eyes? Is that what it

01:00:08.880 --> 01:00:12.880
is? Not throw sand in your eyes, but it's kind

01:00:12.880 --> 01:00:15.260
of inside baseball, but this is a huge issue

01:00:15.260 --> 01:00:18.820
throughout the industry. Yeah, I mean, ultimately

01:00:18.820 --> 01:00:21.340
here, it's just the question of, you know, it's

01:00:21.340 --> 01:00:23.360
something that's hard for consumers to determine

01:00:23.360 --> 01:00:25.260
at the time they're purchasing a new vehicle

01:00:25.260 --> 01:00:28.440
is whether the technology in that vehicle will

01:00:28.440 --> 01:00:31.519
still be able to be used within the lifespan

01:00:31.519 --> 01:00:34.519
of the car. Here you've got... Nissan LEAF owners

01:00:34.519 --> 01:00:37.420
who have, you know, vehicles that are seven years

01:00:37.420 --> 01:00:39.920
old, in some cases about four years old, and

01:00:39.920 --> 01:00:42.679
they're completely losing their ability to do

01:00:42.679 --> 01:00:45.199
things like, I think it's remote start and heated

01:00:45.199 --> 01:00:48.119
seat and some other features that they assumed

01:00:48.119 --> 01:00:51.019
they had when they bought the vehicle. And Nissan

01:00:51.019 --> 01:00:53.360
is now saying, well, if you want these features,

01:00:53.500 --> 01:00:58.940
you're going to have to pay a subscription. Unfortunately,

01:00:59.219 --> 01:01:02.260
I think this is the future for a lot of hopefully

01:01:02.260 --> 01:01:07.840
non -safety related features in the car. We still

01:01:07.840 --> 01:01:09.920
haven't seen any manufacturers who have made

01:01:09.920 --> 01:01:12.900
any safety features available via subscription.

01:01:13.099 --> 01:01:17.860
Although, if there's ever any evidence that some

01:01:17.860 --> 01:01:21.940
of the automated features that are being charged

01:01:21.940 --> 01:01:24.960
for a monthly subscription do provide a safety

01:01:24.960 --> 01:01:27.309
benefit, hopefully that'll get... We'll get there

01:01:27.309 --> 01:01:30.230
one day. Then there's an argument there that

01:01:30.230 --> 01:01:34.010
safety features should not be a subscription.

01:01:34.449 --> 01:01:38.449
They should be provided for everyone. But at

01:01:38.449 --> 01:01:41.650
any rate, I completely identify with the frustrations

01:01:41.650 --> 01:01:43.650
of all the Nissan LEAF owners here who bought

01:01:43.650 --> 01:01:47.510
a vehicle and are finding that it is obsolete

01:01:47.510 --> 01:01:51.719
within four to seven years after purchase. I

01:01:51.719 --> 01:01:53.539
have a feature on my car that's never worked.

01:01:53.659 --> 01:01:55.400
You click on the map button and it's like, you

01:01:55.400 --> 01:01:57.599
don't have this service. I don't even know how

01:01:57.599 --> 01:01:59.900
to get that service. I just plug in my phone.

01:02:00.739 --> 01:02:02.900
Yeah, it's, you know, a lot of manufacturers,

01:02:03.199 --> 01:02:05.320
you know, and Toyota, I guess you have, is one

01:02:05.320 --> 01:02:07.599
of them that I've experienced where they require

01:02:07.599 --> 01:02:10.019
you to update your maps and your vehicle every

01:02:10.019 --> 01:02:12.199
few years and they charge you a premium for that.

01:02:12.960 --> 01:02:15.739
which drives most people to use their smartphone

01:02:15.739 --> 01:02:19.400
instead and use Google Maps or Waze or whatever

01:02:19.400 --> 01:02:21.659
they decide. They drive them to do it. That's

01:02:21.659 --> 01:02:23.519
exactly the situation with my four -year -old

01:02:23.519 --> 01:02:27.420
Subaru. They want me to update several services

01:02:27.420 --> 01:02:30.699
and pay subscription fees. And, you know, interestingly,

01:02:30.860 --> 01:02:34.449
I find life goes on without subscribing. Yeah.

01:02:34.469 --> 01:02:37.090
I mean, the amounts are absurd. I mean, essentially,

01:02:38.489 --> 01:02:40.250
I mean, back in the day, at least this was probably

01:02:40.250 --> 01:02:42.550
10 years ago when I was involved in it, you had

01:02:42.550 --> 01:02:45.269
to go to the dealer and they basically popped

01:02:45.269 --> 01:02:48.630
the DVD into your car, uploaded the software

01:02:48.630 --> 01:02:51.429
and it was done and you're out 600 bucks just

01:02:51.429 --> 01:02:54.250
for that. So the prices were outrageous and it's

01:02:54.250 --> 01:02:57.030
kind of a money grab on the part of dealers and

01:02:57.030 --> 01:02:59.789
manufacturers. Crazy. Speaking of dealers and

01:02:59.789 --> 01:03:02.960
manufacturers, let's do some recalls. Starting

01:03:02.960 --> 01:03:08.059
off with Hyundai, 46 ,787 vehicles, the 2026

01:03:08.059 --> 01:03:12.639
Palisade, Palisade Hybrid. On -fastened seatbelts

01:03:12.639 --> 01:03:16.219
could increase the risk. What? Okay. The internal

01:03:16.219 --> 01:03:18.840
wiring within the third row left -hand driver's

01:03:18.840 --> 01:03:22.320
side seatbelt buckles may become damaged due

01:03:22.320 --> 01:03:24.019
to excessive tension applied when the buckle

01:03:24.019 --> 01:03:27.119
is pulled. Damage to the buckle wiring can prevent

01:03:27.119 --> 01:03:29.159
detection of the seatbelt latch status for the

01:03:29.159 --> 01:03:31.809
third row driver's side seating position. This

01:03:31.809 --> 01:03:35.809
is a really big car. It's got a third row. So

01:03:35.809 --> 01:03:38.590
it seems. These are the same vehicles, I believe,

01:03:38.710 --> 01:03:42.650
that were involved in that fatality of the child

01:03:42.650 --> 01:03:45.190
who was crushed in the seat a few weeks back.

01:03:45.409 --> 01:03:49.849
The kind of the fancy models of the Hyundai Palisade.

01:03:50.010 --> 01:03:54.530
Oh, boy. Get that fixed. But when is that? They

01:03:54.530 --> 01:03:57.869
were. It looks like, you know, owners. Essentially,

01:03:57.909 --> 01:03:59.650
what's going on here is the vehicle is not able

01:03:59.650 --> 01:04:03.280
to detect if the. buckle is properly latched

01:04:03.280 --> 01:04:07.579
um and so if someone is unbuckled the warning

01:04:07.579 --> 01:04:13.599
will not go off um And also, if you're plugged

01:04:13.599 --> 01:04:15.619
in and the warning's not going off, you think

01:04:15.619 --> 01:04:17.280
your buckle's latched, but it's not. You have

01:04:17.280 --> 01:04:19.579
a crash. You're not secured in the vehicle by

01:04:19.579 --> 01:04:22.380
your seatbelt. So big problem. It looks like

01:04:22.380 --> 01:04:25.099
owners will be waiting a couple months till mid

01:04:25.099 --> 01:04:29.159
-May before they hear about a fix. And I think

01:04:29.159 --> 01:04:34.260
the fix is going to be fixing the wiring that's

01:04:34.260 --> 01:04:37.619
damaged, the wiring harness. Yeah, it says that

01:04:37.619 --> 01:04:40.579
the fix is the internal wiring harness using

01:04:40.579 --> 01:04:43.239
the remedy of the seatbelt assembly is 110 millimeters,

01:04:43.519 --> 01:04:46.539
longer to reduce tension during handling. They're

01:04:46.539 --> 01:04:48.739
just putting a bigger there. And come on, Fred,

01:04:48.820 --> 01:04:51.420
math quiz, 110 millimeters. What's that in fathoms?

01:04:53.679 --> 01:04:56.659
Fathoms? Next recall. Six light years. Perfect.

01:04:56.679 --> 01:04:58.739
What is that? That's a quarter. That's a third

01:04:58.739 --> 01:05:01.360
of a fathom. There you go. Now it's like .00

01:05:01.360 --> 01:05:06.119
something, I bet. Toyota. 8 ,230 vehicles. The

01:05:06.119 --> 01:05:10.880
2024 to 2026 Toyota Tundra Hybrid. The 2024 to

01:05:10.880 --> 01:05:15.559
2025 Tundra. The Tacoma Hybrid. The regular Tacoma.

01:05:15.599 --> 01:05:18.400
The Sequoia Hybrid. RAV4. Land Cruiser. Highlander

01:05:18.400 --> 01:05:20.539
Hybrid. Grand Highlander. By the time I get to

01:05:20.539 --> 01:05:22.099
the end of this, if it is a rear view camera

01:05:22.099 --> 01:05:24.460
recall, I'm going to be... It is not. Yeah, okay,

01:05:24.539 --> 01:05:26.500
good. Due to a system error, the total weight

01:05:26.500 --> 01:05:27.920
of the accessories installed in the subject vehicles

01:05:27.920 --> 01:05:31.659
was miscalculated. Whoa. This resulted in a load

01:05:31.659 --> 01:05:34.360
carrying capacity modification label with an

01:05:34.360 --> 01:05:36.639
understated reduction in load carrying capacity

01:05:36.639 --> 01:05:38.860
greater than 1 % of the actual added weight.

01:05:39.420 --> 01:05:43.340
Oh, OK. So this is it's got to put a new sticker.

01:05:44.059 --> 01:05:46.320
Pretty much. This is one of those recalls where

01:05:46.320 --> 01:05:49.880
there's there's no nothing, no physical defect

01:05:49.880 --> 01:05:55.219
in the car. However, the car is does not. match

01:05:55.219 --> 01:05:58.719
the Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards. In

01:05:58.719 --> 01:06:00.719
this case, it's Federal Motor Vehicle Safety

01:06:00.719 --> 01:06:04.019
Standard 110, which is mainly concerned with

01:06:04.019 --> 01:06:06.679
gross vehicle weight labeling. Not something

01:06:06.679 --> 01:06:08.599
we talk about a lot here, but I threw this one

01:06:08.599 --> 01:06:13.360
in just because. It's interesting to note that

01:06:13.360 --> 01:06:15.780
what this is going to require essentially is

01:06:15.780 --> 01:06:17.340
that you're going to go to your dealer and they're

01:06:17.340 --> 01:06:21.139
going to replace the label on your vehicle. And

01:06:21.139 --> 01:06:23.860
owners will have that available in about two

01:06:23.860 --> 01:06:26.119
months. And this isn't something they could just

01:06:26.119 --> 01:06:28.300
mail the new label to people and have them do

01:06:28.300 --> 01:06:33.420
it themselves? You know, I have I have I am assuming

01:06:33.420 --> 01:06:35.539
that they could do that as well, but I'm not

01:06:35.539 --> 01:06:38.440
sure exactly where this label is. Maybe it's,

01:06:38.440 --> 01:06:41.400
you know, in a spot where they they really feel

01:06:41.400 --> 01:06:43.679
like they need to be the ones that do it to ensure

01:06:43.679 --> 01:06:45.599
it's there. I don't know. Well, we got to check

01:06:45.599 --> 01:06:48.019
your we have to rotate the air in your tires,

01:06:48.079 --> 01:06:53.130
too. Last recall, Chrysler 117 ,902 vehicles,

01:06:53.190 --> 01:06:57.389
the 2024 -2025 Jeep Wrangler 4XE, the Cherokee

01:06:57.389 --> 01:07:02.730
4XE. They may have been built with an engine

01:07:02.730 --> 01:07:05.010
which may be contaminated with sand from the

01:07:05.010 --> 01:07:10.909
casting process. Oh, man. Sand from the casting

01:07:10.909 --> 01:07:13.010
process can contaminate internal engine components,

01:07:13.130 --> 01:07:15.829
leading to a catastrophic engine failure. which

01:07:15.829 --> 01:07:18.590
can result in a vehicle fire unexpected and unrecoverable

01:07:18.590 --> 01:07:22.809
loss of propulsion. So they're sandcasting, which

01:07:22.809 --> 01:07:26.050
is fine. It's been going on for how long has

01:07:26.050 --> 01:07:29.650
sandcasting been going on, Fred? Centuries? A

01:07:29.650 --> 01:07:33.070
couple thousand years, maybe? Yeah. And, hey,

01:07:33.329 --> 01:07:39.000
you know, they couldn't get it right. This thing's

01:07:39.000 --> 01:07:41.599
going to happen. Yeah. And, you know, this is

01:07:41.599 --> 01:07:44.679
a recall from last year, right? This was an update

01:07:44.679 --> 01:07:51.159
that Jeep just put into the recall file because

01:07:51.159 --> 01:07:54.599
they have, you know, essentially been trying

01:07:54.599 --> 01:07:59.320
to figure this one out for a while. And they've

01:07:59.320 --> 01:08:01.940
determined that, you know, some folks, they're

01:08:01.940 --> 01:08:05.699
basically going to inspect your vehicle. using

01:08:05.699 --> 01:08:08.260
software and they're going to try to determine

01:08:08.260 --> 01:08:11.000
if you have engine bearing failure. If you have

01:08:11.000 --> 01:08:12.719
it, I think they're going to replace the long

01:08:12.719 --> 01:08:16.239
block in your engine. If you don't have detected

01:08:16.239 --> 01:08:18.119
engine bearing failure, they're going to give

01:08:18.119 --> 01:08:23.239
you a software. So, you know, I think owners

01:08:23.239 --> 01:08:26.180
have been waiting quite some time for this one

01:08:26.180 --> 01:08:30.640
around seven, six, seven months before they'll

01:08:30.640 --> 01:08:33.859
be able to get the remedy. But expect that in

01:08:33.859 --> 01:08:36.880
a little over a month. Unlike the last recall,

01:08:37.060 --> 01:08:40.680
this is one absolutely 100 % positively get there.

01:08:40.699 --> 01:08:43.460
The day one, this recall is available. The fix

01:08:43.460 --> 01:08:47.899
is available 100%. And with that, that's our

01:08:47.899 --> 01:08:52.340
show. We'll be back next week. Thank you for

01:08:52.340 --> 01:08:56.119
listening. Bye -bye. For more information, visit

01:08:56.119 --> 01:08:58.720
www .autosafety .org.
