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But I guess, see your name is H, but I'll introduce myself and then maybe we can go

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around and introduce each other.

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So ourselves.

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So my name is Keegan and I founded Canonlytics.

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So I've been working in the cannabis space for three or four years now.

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Started as a laboratory analyst, found clever ways to collect data and save people a lot

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of time.

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And, you know, now I'm just trying to primarily help laboratories just do cannabis testing

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better, simply, easily.

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And I found that a lot of people have an interest in data analytics.

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So my background is in economics.

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So in a comparative advantage of mine.

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So I just thought I would just share what I know and see if there's other people that

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are interested in.

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There's quite a few.

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So it's always fun to talk.

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Let's go next.

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I guess Paul, would you want to just, I guess, reintroduce yourself real quick?

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Sure.

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Yeah.

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My name is Paul.

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I'm a data scientist with a major automotive manufacturer in Michigan.

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I'm just wrapping up a master's program in data science.

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I'm getting a little bit of feedback.

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I don't know if that's coming from somebody's speaker.

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So I'm wrapping up this master's program in data science, and I was looking for a project

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sponsor and Keegan was nice enough to agree to help me with my graduate project.

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It's on some retail analytics in the cannabis industry.

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So yeah, and Charles has been helping as well.

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So yeah, that's my story.

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I hear you Keegan.

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Sorry, I was on mute for the feedback.

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So Charles is helping analytics with an interesting project right now.

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So we're sprinting on a laboratory information management system.

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The critical part of that is importing data from scientific instruments.

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There are a lot of these instruments are spitting out data files and the labs are collecting

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them in various means, often different means for different instruments.

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And we think there's just a simple, easy way just to collect the data.

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That way people at the lab, like the analysts, quality assurance manager, scientific director

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can review the data, issue their certificates and spend more time doing science, less time

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doing data entry, which is something computers excel at.

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So Charles, would you want to pick up from there?

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So yeah, my name is Charles and I have about 27 years of programming experience and I've

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worked in a lot of different areas and now I'm sort of transitioning into data science

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and machine learning.

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So Charles is helping with the parsing and importing of the instrument data because he's

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a good data wrangler.

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And then H, would you like to introduce yourself?

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You can pass if you'd like, we can jump in.

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I'll go ahead.

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Okay.

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Can you hear me all right?

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Yeah.

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Cool.

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I'm Heather.

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I'm not going to say I'm an ex-scientist, but I haven't been in the lab since like 2014.

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But since then, I have begun to use cannabis.

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So it's like the two worlds have now combined where I've been out of the lab, but I still

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have an innate interest in data science and in the cannabis industry.

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So that is why I'm here.

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Well, that's awesome.

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You could, if you want to check out the CanLytics GitHub, it's open source.

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And so I'll put the link in the chat.

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And your unique background in the lab space would probably be helpful because you'd be

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surprised there's the amount of people with know-how of how laboratories function and

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work and the workflow.

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It's limited.

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There's a shortage.

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So there's a high demand for people that understand that workflow and can articulate it.

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So yeah, we're always happy to have you, the board.

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Yeah.

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The interest is there.

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I just think that there's not too much available where I live, unfortunately.

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So yeah, that's the conflict.

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So I'm sort of visiting labs, but there's a lot of remote work that can essentially

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be done.

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So really anyone around the world who can own the repository and as a text editor and

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make contributions.

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That's a good point.

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Good point.

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Keegan, I have a quick question for you.

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In the lab testing world, can any of that lab test work be done somehow remotely?

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I was just curious if that, I don't know anything about it.

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So I was just curious.

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In an ideal world.

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So the lab space is real interesting.

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So there's amazing opportunities, right?

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So the instruments are powerful.

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So they have a lot of capabilities.

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So if you had everything set up perfectly, you could operate instruments with minimal

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effort by the analysts.

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You could get the data and you could almost view the data remotely.

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Potentially issue certificates remotely.

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You could view things like chromatographs and even potentially operate the instruments

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themselves remotely in an ideal world.

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In reality, getting the network set up at the laboratories is a huge challenge.

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So Heather can attest to this, it's hard to have everything communicating.

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So typically the microbiology department has their data stream and things coming off of

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the gas chromatographies coming in the HPLC, that data streaming somewhere.

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And then they may have like a LCMSMS doing pesticides.

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And then that may have an entirely different data stream.

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And it's for a variety of factors, right?

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You may set up your instruments in staggered times.

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You may set one up in January.

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You may set one up in April and another one up in August.

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They could be different manufacturers.

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So you may go with Agilent for your HPLC.

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And then you may have another vendor for your, if you're doing heavy metals, like an ICPMS.

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And then if you've got two different vendors, they don't have the incentive to help you

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aggregate your data.

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Yeah.

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It sounds like there's a lot of potential for, I guess, like, well, what you're doing,

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right?

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Like lab automation, bringing together everything in one source and integration, and then probably

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scaling as well, if you get past those hurdles.

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It's interesting.

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Okay.

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Well, it's, well, exactly.

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And so that's actually what Charles and I are working on really this week.

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So basically by next week, hopefully we'll have like a minimal use case in potentially

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in production.

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Oh, that's awesome.

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Congrats.

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So, well, we've got some coding ahead of us, but the idea is the data files are a little

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different instrument to instrument and maybe how the data files are output.

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But you can maybe kind of abstract that a little bit and just kind of take that into

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consideration and because ultimately you're just getting the data.

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So really you just want to get the data from all the instruments and just, okay, this instrument's

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an Agilent.

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So we'll just take that into consideration when we're parsing the data.

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Or this one's a Schumas do HPLC.

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So we need to parse the data slightly differently.

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But then once the data is parsed, let's just upload it to the database, all the data relatively

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the same.

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So we can kind of structure the data the same and get it in real time.

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So from just deep thought about the laboratory space, I think this is a particular bottleneck

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that you can shave off a huge amount of time on your turnaround time because it's essentially.

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So your instrument, you've loaded up maybe 50 to 100 samples and each sample takes 10

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minutes to run.

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So you could wait for 500 to 1000 minutes and then parse all the data and then issue

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your certificates.

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Or if you somehow have this nice and automated, sample one gets tested, maybe you get 10 samples

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tested, you can issue 10 certificates and then everything else is still running.

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So it helps smooth out your production so it's not so lumpy.

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And you can prioritize things, you can get some.

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It's amazing.

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So if you review sample one's results before the instrument's finished running, you can

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potentially run and prepare a new quality assurance check.

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This will happen.

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So if you're running edibles and you just get a wild result, you typically do a quality

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assurance check, just a sanity check.

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Okay, this is what we think it was.

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There was an analyst in it.

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Like missed pipette or some sort of.

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Right.

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So it sounds like with the, and maybe Heather knows a little bit about this as well, but

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so the opportunity for you to streamline and optimize is there, but you can't scale people

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very well.

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So from a technical expert kind of perspective, we talked about this a little last time, but

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where do you think the bottlenecks are as far as like having the right people in the

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lab and that being a bottleneck?

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Honestly, it's really just based on my experience, the finances in the lab.

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So all of this mention HPLC, LCMS, like everything I did was manual up until the very last time

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that I left.

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I hope to go back one day, but all the column work, everything, having to walk in and out

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of the, any dark room, cold room, everything is running not with an automated system that

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will even track and tell you like, oh, this is running low.

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You should add this or wash with this solution.

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There's nothing to everything was manual.

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So my, and would it, I mean, ultimately I, you know, my decision to leave academia was

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also because you have to decide, do you want to, you know, to fight for grants for the

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rest of your life?

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And the thing is that's okay if you want to do that, but I know that I didn't have what

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it took.

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And I know the impact within the lab on of the finances on the anybody working in there,

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they become competitive among each other within the lab.

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And that can affect the, I guess, the scientific growth of everybody working there.

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It's so, I don't mean to like stray off the main topic, but that's just my opinion is

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it's just literally how much money does your lab have and can they keep the people in there

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long enough so that they make something and create something, find something that's a

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breakthrough something.

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Heather hit on an interesting observation that goes to, yeah, like, well, yeah, how

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we really envision labs.

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So basically it's like, Oh, Keegan, we lost you.

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No, I'm just thinking.

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So basically you have like your method development managers.

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And so you want them like doing science and research.

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So you want them trying to optimize your methods, figure out how things are running.

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But what they end up doing is like Heather says, they have to record temperatures.

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They have to, you know, they have to make reagents.

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They have to record IDs in their lab notebooks.

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And so you end up spending, if things aren't like super efficient, then you end up spending

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a lot of time just taking measurements and doing like trivial tasks.

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And then you never have time to do any research or any science or you have limited time.

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It really cuts into your time.

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So I didn't know that.

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So I was just naively thinking that when these labs are running, they're just trying to crank

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through generating lab results and reports so they can get to the customer.

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So it's more there's actually research going on in these testing facilities.

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Well, essentially, yes.

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So like at the cannabis industry, it's cutting edge and it's competitive.

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So there's some like research articles.

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So there's like some like gold standard articles and like everybody tries to kind of base their

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methods off of these articles.

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But then you kind of run into complications.

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You realize, oh, in practice, this will gunk up your instrument.

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And so you have to, you know, take extra precautions or you have to there's like quality assurance

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steps that you can take that aren't well defined.

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So the standardization doesn't seem like it's because it's a new industry.

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There's not that kind of I'm not say a recipe or formula, but it seems like that's all kind

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of being kind of discovered and developed.

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Exactly.

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It's real like and it's it's kind of competitive, so people are kind of they like, you know,

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they they've spent a lot of time and money developing their methods.

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So like, when they're doing these things, they may break a piece in their instrument

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or they may spend a whole bunch of money on strange compounds or reagents.

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So they may like try this one reagent.

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And then they may.

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So basically, like when you're putting things on the HPLC, you use solvents.

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And then when you put things on a GC, you use carrier gases.

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And you can use different types of them.

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So you you may experiment and so you say, oh, this one gas.

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Like I'm not like a GC expert, but maybe there's hydrogen or nitrogen and various mixes.

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And then with the HPLC, I think there's like methanol and maybe acetonitrile.

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And so you may experiment and you'd say, oh, maybe methanol works better.

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Or maybe the acetonitrile works better.

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And.

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Sorry, Keegan.

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So if I guess states have different standards for their testing, right?

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So there's no standardized across the board like these 12 things that we have, we have

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a threshold and you can't pass the threshold on these 12 measures, whatever they are.

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There's nothing like that.

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This kind of the Wild West.

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Well, typically you have to pass.

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You have to like.

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Like match like standards, they said.

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So I'm not sure if I'm using the right terminology.

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Which the word proficient like proficiency tests.

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So they'll basically send you a substance and you have to measure the.

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Like the like the concentrations within a certain bound.

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So you have to be like within maybe 10 percent of what they expect or something like that.

242
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:44,480
So you know, when everybody's getting their license and getting accredited, they basically

243
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:49,120
have to prove that, OK, yes, we can measure pesticides.

244
00:20:49,120 --> 00:20:56,440
We can get the concentrations, you know, relatively close to what they're going to be because

245
00:20:56,440 --> 00:21:01,040
there's always a bound that your confidence bounds.

246
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:10,840
And so with a lot of the method development is, is just getting more accurate, more consistent.

247
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:15,600
Because then.

248
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:19,200
When you're more accurate and more consistent, like like there's less things that are called

249
00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:20,200
like out of spec.

250
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:21,200
So then.

251
00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:28,160
To say you like, you know, you run your your standard and it's not what you expect.

252
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:35,760
So you see you're expecting it to come out at 80 percent THC.

253
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:41,640
This is a rough example and your standard comes out at like 60 percent THC.

254
00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:45,320
You're like, OK, something went wrong.

255
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,040
What went wrong?

256
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:54,040
And then, you know, potentially we're going to have to maybe relook at all of these samples

257
00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:57,160
because something may have just gone wrong in the.

258
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:58,800
I see.

259
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:04,280
So there are there are different standards between states.

260
00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:08,360
Like what's what you have to test for and what's acceptable.

261
00:22:08,360 --> 00:22:10,880
Oregon is really different than Washington.

262
00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:17,040
And I don't know about California or Michigan or any other states, but I know between Oregon

263
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:23,000
and Washington, there's a huge difference about what's what's allowable and what they

264
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:24,680
have to test for.

265
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:29,840
OK, so that that definitely complicates things, doesn't it?

266
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:30,840
Yes.

267
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:37,800
And like Charles said, with pesticides, there's a whole nother level of complication because

268
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:41,800
the cannabinoids, they've got it pretty well dialed in.

269
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:50,000
There's like a few like, you know, tricks of the trade where people can better analyze

270
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:51,800
the cannabinoids and others.

271
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:56,120
But generally they can measure them fairly well.

272
00:22:56,120 --> 00:23:01,240
And that's all about just everybody's just trying to do it as quickly as possible.

273
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,880
So everyone's trying to just shorten their test time.

274
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:04,880
Right.

275
00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:09,600
So you could do it a long one, maybe like 16 to 18 minutes.

276
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:14,520
If you get a super good instrument, you can do it in like four to six.

277
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:20,000
And then typically maybe somewhere in between there, you know, you're trying to push that

278
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:21,920
down.

279
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:26,480
The pesticides you're testing.

280
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:36,040
Many some states, maybe just 12, but typically 70 plus in Canada, it's in the hundreds.

281
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:40,320
So like 120 or so.

282
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:44,520
And then when you're doing that, there's all these complications.

283
00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:50,600
So maybe this one compound is just notorious for false positives.

284
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:55,280
And so if you run it your instrument one way, you'll get a false positive.

285
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:58,760
And then you're like, okay, let's run it the other way.

286
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:04,280
And then it's like, oh, no, that's not what we think it is.

287
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:08,440
So there's and this is where I'm not an expert.

288
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,200
No, I'm sorry.

289
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,360
There's a lot going on.

290
00:24:13,360 --> 00:24:19,680
I definitely don't want to, you know, totally run a rough shot over the over the conversation.

291
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,360
So I was just, it's really fascinating.

292
00:24:21,360 --> 00:24:22,720
I know there's a lot going on here.

293
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:26,640
And I just didn't, I really don't know much about this area, especially, you know, in

294
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:27,640
the testing space.

295
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:28,640
So just curious.

296
00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:36,080
It's it's yeah, we don't have to get bogged down in this, but it's yeah, it's quite interesting.

297
00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:43,960
And it adds a lot of good data points that are often missing.

298
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:53,120
Because now we like, you know, we know a lot about the actual products themselves.

299
00:24:53,120 --> 00:24:59,160
So we can kind of see, okay, well, what appeals to people.

300
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:06,400
So this is where some some ideas are, but there's not much research, but just kind of

301
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:13,720
seeing, okay, dude, you know, certain people gravitate to certain, you know, breakdowns

302
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:18,560
of these compounds of chemicals and like the terpene.

303
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:19,560
Gotcha.

304
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:22,120
Well, thanks for sharing that.

305
00:25:22,120 --> 00:25:25,000
I, yeah, like I said, I didn't have much perspective on it.

306
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:30,280
But now I kind of see where all the some of the new nuance creeps in here and where the

307
00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:32,800
opportunity space is.

308
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:40,440
Yes, because, you know, like, like I said, you know, you know, I'm in essentially the

309
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:42,280
business of data wrangling.

310
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:47,360
And this is like, you know, Charles is going to find out quickly.

311
00:25:47,360 --> 00:25:55,600
This is hundreds, depending on how you want to count them thousands of data points.

312
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:58,920
And so you can't necessarily get them all.

313
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:07,000
But basically, we're just trying to collect as much data as we can and help help the labs

314
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:09,200
essentially review the data, right?

315
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:16,600
Because if they're spending all their time entering in data, then that's a lot less time

316
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:24,560
that they get to spend actually reviewing it, making sure things like look like they're

317
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:30,000
in spec and enduring a method development.

318
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:37,720
Yeah, I could see where the lab would definitely be could potentially be a choke point right

319
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:41,280
in the whole the whole value chain.

320
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:47,200
Because if you have trouble getting the right people in the lab, have trouble with standards,

321
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:52,080
you have trouble with calibrating your tests and all these things, it definitely seems

322
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,880
like there could be a lot that could be improved.

323
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:55,880
Yes.

324
00:26:55,880 --> 00:27:06,240
And just from from what I've observed, it seems that for whatever reason, it's basically

325
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:15,440
like the maybe the like the wholesalers, it's all like the wholesalers are always just trying

326
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,080
to find retailers to, you know, buy their products.

327
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:22,000
And it seems like, okay, once they've established their relationship, then it's like, okay,

328
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:25,560
now let's get our products tested and sold.

329
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:31,400
And so then they basically they show up at the lab and they're like, hey, will you test

330
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,080
this like we're ready to sell it.

331
00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:37,640
And then the labs like, oh, you know, we're backed up.

332
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:44,400
Yeah, it's going to take like five days plus the weekend and or method development managers

333
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:48,200
on vacation or, you know, what have you.

334
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:56,320
And so then like, yeah, the wholesalers just calling up the lab saying like, hey, like

335
00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,320
we're trying to trying to sell our products.

336
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:03,000
You know, we're we're results.

337
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:04,000
Yeah.

338
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:10,360
And so this is I just had it was not in her head.

339
00:28:10,360 --> 00:28:14,200
It sounds like she's probably suffered through some of this stuff.

340
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:17,800
Have you had her?

341
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:25,160
Well, yeah, I mean, I feel like sometimes there's like a dearth of terpene terpene levels

342
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:27,720
in the flower in the state that I live.

343
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:29,600
And it doesn't matter what the brand is.

344
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,560
It's just a pattern that I've noticed.

345
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:35,840
There are little local things like that.

346
00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:38,080
Like why going on?

347
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:39,320
Maybe I'm overthinking it.

348
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:41,920
You know, it could have been that gorilla glue.

349
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:47,560
I don't know.

350
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:54,960
So maybe so that could be a sign of basically people just rushing things to market.

351
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:57,360
Yeah, you can tell.

352
00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:00,520
Like this is usually almost at two percent mercy.

353
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:02,060
Why is it my why?

354
00:29:02,060 --> 00:29:07,560
Not that I wouldn't still buy it necessarily, but it's like point four percent or less than

355
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:08,560
like it's not.

356
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:13,360
I mean, it's the same, you know, genetically the same strain, but it doesn't hit as hard.

357
00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:19,840
So depending on what you need it for medically or otherwise, that's just, you know, something

358
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:20,840
I'm mindful of.

359
00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:24,280
So yes, I'm laughing at my own pain.

360
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:31,800
Well, it's interesting to observe because we've talked about this before.

361
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:35,280
The great debate is, was does THC matter?

362
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:41,920
And in your case, you're going beyond that and you're saying, you know, mercy matters,

363
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:50,040
which is which is interesting because we.

364
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,360
You'll hear a lot of different takes.

365
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:59,760
So a lot of people put a lot of stock into the cannabinoids terpene data and they'll

366
00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:02,760
even base their breeding strategies on that.

367
00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:16,040
And then other people will just, you know, dismiss it and they just go by rules of thumb.

368
00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:22,520
But they are there's both successful players in both camps.

369
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:32,680
So is there a big drive to quickly set up labs to meet the demand?

370
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:36,160
Well, it doesn't necessarily have to be quickly.

371
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,480
There is just a high demand to set up labs.

372
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:40,480
So.

373
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,480
And it takes some time.

374
00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:44,480
So maybe you're right.

375
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:49,400
So maybe there is demand to do it quickly because people always wait too long to do

376
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:50,400
things.

377
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:58,040
So, for example, with the labs, you really want to get started like a year before, at

378
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:04,600
least before.

379
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:09,840
Your state were to get cannabis permitted.

380
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:11,520
So like a year before.

381
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:17,920
So if you like saw that, oh, I think.

382
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:25,240
Whatever the next state is to permit cannabis.

383
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:28,880
Louisiana maybe, but.

384
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:34,040
Or rather a lot of labs are setting up in Florida.

385
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:36,720
I think New York's not yet online.

386
00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:43,720
So I bet you there's a lot of labs that are setting up right now in New York.

387
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:50,000
And it's not always too late to set up a new lab in a state that's already going because

388
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:51,440
there's a high demand for it.

389
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:56,280
But it does take some time because you're going to have to get your building, get all

390
00:31:56,280 --> 00:32:04,240
your instruments in there, get your team, then get like sort of internally validated

391
00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:06,560
to make sure like, yes, we can test things.

392
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:12,800
Then you're going to have to get like certified by the state.

393
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:19,400
And then, yeah, then start ironing things out, growing your team, hiring lab analysts.

394
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:23,880
Yeah, and that's not even considering all the financing that must be involved to try

395
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:25,240
and set something like this up.

396
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:28,440
Must be a lot of money.

397
00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:30,120
Yes.

398
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:41,760
So it's interesting to see people pull it off because there's some, so like there's

399
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:52,800
an awesome example of somebody in Washington state, Jeff Doughty, Capital Analytics.

400
00:32:52,800 --> 00:33:01,040
So he basically started as a cultivator, just a small cultivator, and then bought an HPLC,

401
00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:03,040
which is not cheap.

402
00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:07,280
That could run you $40,000 to $80,000.

403
00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:10,280
That's not negligible.

404
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:15,360
But then he just started testing cannabinoids in-house.

405
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:19,280
And then people just were like, oh, like, and so I think he's maybe started doing a

406
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,720
lot of research and development testing.

407
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:26,480
So just doing essentially cannabinoids.

408
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:28,720
Yeah, essentially cannabinoids.

409
00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:33,320
And then he built up essentially, well, he built up a lab.

410
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:37,080
So then you would get a GC next.

411
00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:40,720
So you would get a GC or a little cheaper.

412
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:50,400
There may be a real cheap one, maybe like 15, but maybe 15 to 30 or 40,000.

413
00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:55,000
And then you can start testing turkeys.

414
00:33:55,000 --> 00:34:02,560
And at the same time, you can set up your microbiology lab just to do simple testing

415
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:06,320
of microbes and micro toxins.

416
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,360
That's still going to be expensive.

417
00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:16,240
But if you get a small team, you may be able to run that for 10 or 15 or 1,000.

418
00:34:16,240 --> 00:34:22,120
So you can start a small lab if you've got a science.

419
00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:31,600
It often takes an entrepreneur and someone with a good science background that can be

420
00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:34,720
the same person I've observed.

421
00:34:34,720 --> 00:34:39,880
But it can be any team.

422
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:48,560
But I've seen it done where they start small just doing the basic tests and then gradually

423
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:50,320
build up some clients.

424
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:56,920
And then they can buy the big instruments like the LCMSMS, which is going to be like

425
00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:57,920
300,000.

426
00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:04,400
And the ICP, which is 175.

427
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:13,680
And then once you get instruments like that, you have to get expert.

428
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:23,080
You really, really need method development managers and several chemists and several

429
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:26,480
analysts just to make sure you can get everything done.

430
00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:31,960
So I would honestly recommend.

431
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:33,840
Well I'm not sure what I would recommend.

432
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:40,240
So you do see labs just starting up just with everything, just going full speed.

433
00:35:40,240 --> 00:35:48,240
But I don't think there's anything wrong with gradually growing your lab.

434
00:35:48,240 --> 00:35:54,560
As we were talking about before with some of the shortage of the technical experts,

435
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,280
that's another area, right?

436
00:35:56,280 --> 00:36:03,640
Could you potentially, this might be a little naive, but could you potentially teach somebody

437
00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:09,480
to do the lab tech work without necessarily having an advanced degree to meet that kind

438
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:14,760
of demand and still be effective at what they would be doing?

439
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:16,720
Well I'm sort of living proof.

440
00:36:16,720 --> 00:36:23,280
So I just showed it at the laboratory and I had a degree in economics.

441
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:32,600
I principally got the job because like I said, there's a real shortage in people with, it's

442
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:33,600
interesting.

443
00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:38,440
So you'd think there'd be more, but there is a shortage with people with scientific

444
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:44,280
degrees that are interested in doing lab work and aren't already snatched up, especially

445
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,880
people with experience.

446
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:51,560
And then, so it's tough to find people.

447
00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:55,160
So I had a degree in economics.

448
00:36:55,160 --> 00:37:00,640
So I think the lab manager thought, okay, maybe this person can end up doing statistics

449
00:37:00,640 --> 00:37:02,560
at some point.

450
00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:08,520
But it's really just, we just need somebody competent who can just read the, what's called

451
00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:11,720
the standard operating procedures, the SOPs.

452
00:37:11,720 --> 00:37:17,800
So we just need someone who can just read those and just go through the steps because

453
00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,200
it's not the trickiest thing in the world.

454
00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:32,320
And honestly, I think lab work's real fun and it's fun work because you basically have

455
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:34,080
got your steps there.

456
00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:36,720
And so you can just go through the steps.

457
00:37:36,720 --> 00:37:42,400
And yes, it does help to like know a lot about the reagents and the chemicals, but you have

458
00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:44,000
all the steps right in front of you.

459
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:55,000
So it says pretty clearly like, okay, you want to pipette some, pipette like one milliliter

460
00:37:55,000 --> 00:38:01,160
of methanol into this vial and then put some cannabis in there.

461
00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:07,600
And then go through these steps.

462
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:16,760
So it's pretty straightforward, but you need someone preferably with a degree in science

463
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:24,600
who can go through and follow the steps and just be reliable and all that.

464
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:34,760
For whatever reason, it's hard to, yeah, it's hard to find lab analysts, I think.

465
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:35,760
Yeah.

466
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:36,760
That's interesting.

467
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:37,760
Yeah.

468
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:44,240
So I could see some bright entrepreneur that's working in a lab that could go, I could boil

469
00:38:44,240 --> 00:38:49,360
this down to like you're talking about some of these lab analyst type steps, like recipes

470
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:53,120
or whatever, and then start training these people to meet that demand.

471
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:56,560
That is an opportunity there too, it seems like.

472
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,000
Oh, well, like definitely.

473
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:06,400
And like Heather, you may seem like you could do something like this, where it's just like,

474
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:13,080
you just basically kind of give people instructions on, okay, this is how you pipette, you hold

475
00:39:13,080 --> 00:39:15,080
the pipette straight.

476
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:20,560
You don't tilt it or you're going to get a wonky measurement.

477
00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:24,720
So there's just little things like that.

478
00:39:24,720 --> 00:39:29,560
And then once you kind of have given your people instructions, then they're off to the

479
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:31,560
races.

480
00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:36,360
I think there's a, like you said, there's a, not even in the lab space, but everywhere,

481
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:38,880
but it's just essentially just a video tutorial.

482
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:44,640
So if you're an expert, you would basically maybe have like a video tutorial on how you

483
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:58,320
could test microbial or test microbes in cannabis, or this is how you do an extraction for pesticides.

484
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:12,800
This is how you clean the filter on your HPLC, or this is how you do inside the HPLC, they

485
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:15,520
have what's called the column.

486
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:19,880
And sometimes you have to change them and like put in a new one.

487
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:28,360
And it's a really intimidating thing for someone who may not have like a background in science,

488
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:32,600
because it's basically like, you're going to have to kind of take apart the instrument,

489
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,880
maybe like unscrew some things.

490
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:42,440
And it's a little involved, but it's one of those things where if you learn, it's real

491
00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:43,440
valuable.

492
00:40:43,440 --> 00:40:52,200
So I think there, like you said, there's value to be added where you could just have simple

493
00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:58,440
video instructions on how you can go about testing and maintaining the lab.

494
00:40:58,440 --> 00:40:59,440
Yeah.

495
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:02,120
So I've got a background in aviation.

496
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:03,800
I've done some flying.

497
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:12,280
And then when I was in the Air Force as a missile launch officer, working with the ICBMs,

498
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,520
that was all checklist driven.

499
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:22,880
And these checklists were extensive and flying is a checklist discipline activity as well.

500
00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:24,480
You can write a checklist for just about anything.

501
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:29,080
I know a lot of surgeons, a lot of doctors use checklists in the OR and stuff.

502
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:33,040
So I mean, it's just people rely on them heavily.

503
00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:37,480
And it sounds like this could be one of those spaces that could rely on.

504
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:43,200
Of course, you definitely given the opportunity, you want somebody who can run a checklist,

505
00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:48,280
but they also have the context of understanding of why they're doing what they're doing because

506
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:50,640
that helps.

507
00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:57,040
But it seems at the bare minimum for a lot of these lab tech roles, some of the work

508
00:41:57,040 --> 00:42:03,600
could be boiled down to checklists and for the more simplistic things.

509
00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:09,760
Definitely, and this actually kind of brings us full circle.

510
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:15,960
So if the method development manager is spending their time doing data entry, they're not going

511
00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:23,480
to have very much time to train the new chemist or the new lab analyst.

512
00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:29,320
And that's a critical, critical part of the whole operation.

513
00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:38,880
You would be surprised that when things are running well, the senior chemists and the

514
00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:45,120
method development managers, they may spend a lot of their time essentially mentoring

515
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:56,720
or explaining things to the junior chemists or the lab analysts.

516
00:42:56,720 --> 00:43:04,080
So even the method development managers, everybody can learn from each other.

517
00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:10,600
The micro team can learn from the gas chromatography team.

518
00:43:10,600 --> 00:43:15,240
So that's interesting.

519
00:43:15,240 --> 00:43:18,800
So thank you for sharing all this.

520
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:22,480
I actually now have a general picture in my mind based around the instruments that you've

521
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:31,400
been talking about, like the HPLC and the GC, was it LC, SMS, the bio, is like a bio

522
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:35,400
lab team for looking at microbes and that sort of thing.

523
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:39,960
So just by virtue of you just talking about these different spaces, I kind of started

524
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:45,760
to get a picture in my mind of the different teams or functional groups within the lab.

525
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:47,960
So that's pretty cool.

526
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:48,960
Exactly.

527
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:55,240
I mean, there are like small labs where people wear a lot of different hats.

528
00:43:55,240 --> 00:44:02,680
It's sort of when your lab grows, these become like different departments because they're

529
00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:12,400
real specialized and you want almost like someone with a degree in microbiology or biology

530
00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:16,840
in your testing for microbes.

531
00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:20,000
And there's different types of chemistry.

532
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:27,800
So certain chemists are really good at analyzing heavy metals.

533
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:34,880
And then others are just really good at using like the liquid chromatography for cannabinoids.

534
00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:39,240
And then so everyone has their own sort of expertise.

535
00:44:39,240 --> 00:44:46,320
So yeah, I was just popped into my head, but you know, when you take your car into a dealership

536
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:51,320
to get worked on, right, you've got all these different folks that know different aspects

537
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:55,080
of the car's function and they know a lot about troubleshooting and fixing issues and

538
00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:56,680
things like that.

539
00:44:56,680 --> 00:45:01,200
But sometimes you just need to take it to the jiffy lube, right, and have a certain

540
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:05,880
thing done and it's done quickly and it's done well over and over again.

541
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:12,920
And it just, it seems like they're, I don't know, my prediction of, you know, in the future

542
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:18,440
that I imagine that somebody somewhere is going to see this opportunity and gobble it

543
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:23,280
up and turn it into a standardized, as much as you can, obviously.

544
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:29,360
You're talking about the method develop manager and there's definitely an art and a science

545
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:35,520
to this, but I can see somebody optimizing this opportunity at some point.

546
00:45:35,520 --> 00:45:36,520
They're trying.

547
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:37,520
Are they?

548
00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:44,640
And on all the board, and so it's, you know, if they can do it well and just test things

549
00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:50,920
well and cheaply, then I mean, let's do that because right now, like I said, there's a

550
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,160
ton of improvement that needs to be made.

551
00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:59,200
So we'll see.

552
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:01,160
Like I said, there are definitely people trying.

553
00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:09,200
So there are like big laboratories, multi-state laboratories, but I would love to see how

554
00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:10,560
the sausage is made.

555
00:46:10,560 --> 00:46:15,840
I would love to see how organized their data is.

556
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:18,400
Yeah, good stuff.

557
00:46:18,400 --> 00:46:19,400
Good conversation.

558
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:20,400
Definitely.

559
00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:23,760
I'm not dissing them.

560
00:46:23,760 --> 00:46:30,480
I'm sure, I think there's some phenomenal labs out there.

561
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:38,080
Any multi-state laboratory probably has a grid system to keep things organized.

562
00:46:38,080 --> 00:46:40,160
Yeah.

563
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:47,200
But I don't want to keep, I keep asking questions.

564
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:51,920
I don't want to keep Tony in the conversation, so I'll be quiet.

565
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,800
Oh no, it's good to get some feedback.

566
00:46:54,800 --> 00:47:03,720
Yeah, I guess we were going to talk about like sales data and things today, but myself

567
00:47:03,720 --> 00:47:08,960
and now Charles, we're just going to be in the weeds with this, at least for the next

568
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:09,960
week or so.

569
00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:10,960
Yeah.

570
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:18,360
But we're just going to try to make our contribution here because like you said, there's a whole

571
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:19,840
lot that could be done.

572
00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:25,720
And like, I'm not going to pretend I'm going to, like, so you, like kind of like you were

573
00:47:25,720 --> 00:47:33,800
talking about with, or maybe we were talking about with processors and cultivators where

574
00:47:33,800 --> 00:47:40,480
they can start automating this, like assembly line style.

575
00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:45,320
People would love to do that in the lab space because just like, oh yeah, just put the sample

576
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:50,440
here and it'll grind it up and put it on the HPLC and test it.

577
00:47:50,440 --> 00:47:54,240
And all you have to do is sign the certificate and send it out.

578
00:47:54,240 --> 00:48:01,600
But that's like, like we said at the beginning in the ideal world, that's how things would

579
00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:02,600
work.

580
00:48:02,600 --> 00:48:10,600
And it's just, just real smooth automated, but in practice, there's a lot of moving pieces.

581
00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:11,600
Yeah.

582
00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:12,600
Yeah.

583
00:48:12,600 --> 00:48:13,600
Well, you gave me a taste of that today.

584
00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:15,600
There's tons.

585
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:16,600
Yeah.

586
00:48:16,600 --> 00:48:20,200
And it's like, and that role standardized.

587
00:48:20,200 --> 00:48:24,240
So there's different vendors.

588
00:48:24,240 --> 00:48:30,960
You'll learn quickly when you talk with scientists that they all have real strong opinions about

589
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:33,000
how things should be done.

590
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:42,720
So, so it's fun when you get a couple of scientists in a room.

591
00:48:42,720 --> 00:48:43,720
Yeah.

592
00:48:43,720 --> 00:48:48,600
It's been a good conversation.

593
00:48:48,600 --> 00:49:00,800
So I guess we've got 10 minutes left.

594
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:09,280
Do you want to just look at a forecasted some Colorado data real quick or just call it a

595
00:49:09,280 --> 00:49:12,280
day or it's up to you guys.

596
00:49:12,280 --> 00:49:15,800
I know that you mentioned last week that you might be showing something.

597
00:49:15,800 --> 00:49:18,080
So if you have too much trouble, I'd like to see it.

598
00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:19,080
Oh yeah, sure.

599
00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:20,600
We've got 10 minutes left.

600
00:49:20,600 --> 00:49:34,200
So we can run through, I do some data analysis real quick.

601
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:43,400
So Colorado, like we were saying, does a fairly good job at publishing their data and better

602
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:46,240
than I thought, unless it was updated recently.

603
00:49:46,240 --> 00:49:53,600
So at first I thought you just had to get monthly reports, which are useful because

604
00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:56,640
you have sales by county.

605
00:49:56,640 --> 00:50:05,480
And I sort of had mentioned this to Paul, but an interesting thing you could do here

606
00:50:05,480 --> 00:50:20,760
is basically run a regression of total sales in each county on the county's medium income

607
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:28,360
and the population, because I realized Paul that you want to control for population because

608
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:35,920
obviously places with the high population are going to have higher sales.

609
00:50:35,920 --> 00:50:47,800
But it would be interesting to see if the medium income affects total sales in each

610
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:48,800
county.

611
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:54,760
I don't think that's true by the population.

612
00:50:54,760 --> 00:51:02,080
The article I read about the counties along the Oregon-Idaho border, they actually have

613
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:09,760
a higher per capita sales than in Multnomah County, which is the Portland area, because

614
00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:14,280
you have an influx of people coming from over the border.

615
00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:18,800
So you basically would need a...

616
00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:22,160
I would have to think about how you would interpret the results.

617
00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:25,920
You always have to think about how you interpret the results when you start tossing a lot of

618
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:34,280
variables, but you could basically add a control, like a zero or one, if the county is a border

619
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:38,280
county.

620
00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:51,720
So that would maybe control for the cross state sales, theoretically.

621
00:51:51,720 --> 00:51:56,160
But just to keep this moving quickly, that is an analysis you could do.

622
00:51:56,160 --> 00:52:08,400
For now, we're just grabbing these totals, which are actually conveniently in this historical

623
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:10,400
report.

624
00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:25,280
So I already had some Colorado data, and so I just sort of depended this on.

625
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:41,360
So I really need to flesh this data out, because Colorado also does these annual reports.

626
00:52:41,360 --> 00:52:48,840
So I think they're quarterly, but they don't publish them that frequently.

627
00:52:48,840 --> 00:52:59,680
But if you look at one of these, you have some amazing data points here.

628
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:08,800
So you have the new businesses.

629
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:16,960
I think you have the expired licenses, and then the ones renewed.

630
00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:23,880
So this may have been where I was calculating the entries and exits from.

631
00:53:23,880 --> 00:53:34,240
But long story short is, I haven't actually parsed this data yet, or at least not in an

632
00:53:34,240 --> 00:53:36,800
automated way.

633
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:45,880
So there's fruit here to be had, but it may be high-hanging fruit.

634
00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:53,040
But nonetheless, just wanted to show you this data, because you can get some good plants

635
00:53:53,040 --> 00:53:54,040
here.

636
00:53:54,040 --> 00:53:57,040
That was cool.

637
00:53:57,040 --> 00:54:06,840
But we're just going to just look at the totals, total sales, just for simplicity's sake for

638
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:07,840
today.

639
00:54:07,840 --> 00:54:15,320
And in fact, we had looked at this data back in March or so, and I really should have done

640
00:54:15,320 --> 00:54:16,320
the forecast then.

641
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:23,440
And I thought I was planning on it, but somehow I didn't get around to it.

642
00:54:23,440 --> 00:54:24,800
It doesn't look like.

643
00:54:24,800 --> 00:54:30,160
So now is better than never is the Python philosophy.

644
00:54:30,160 --> 00:54:38,800
So we're just going to do some quick forecasts of this Colorado data.

645
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:49,760
So we'll just kind of walk through this.

646
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:57,080
So just real quick to just show you what the data looks like.

647
00:54:57,080 --> 00:55:20,960
So as we see, Colorado has quite impressive sales.

648
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:33,400
Just to look at just the last handful of observations.

649
00:55:33,400 --> 00:55:51,760
In April of this year, they did 200 million in cannabis sales in Colorado, and it's just

650
00:55:51,760 --> 00:55:56,120
hard to really comprehend the scale of that.

651
00:55:56,120 --> 00:56:03,600
I mean, it may make sense, I guess, based on the population in Colorado, but to me,

652
00:56:03,600 --> 00:56:07,240
it seems just like a staggering amount of revenue.

653
00:56:07,240 --> 00:56:16,680
And it seems like there's some seasonality in the sales here because you've got dips

654
00:56:16,680 --> 00:56:18,960
in wintertime and peaks in summertime.

655
00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:24,440
Do you think that's due to just harvesting times or for outdoor crops, or is there something

656
00:56:24,440 --> 00:56:25,440
else going on?

657
00:56:25,440 --> 00:56:27,840
It's related to the economy.

658
00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:38,160
So as we were talking about earlier, there's some studies, and I'm going to add them to

659
00:56:38,160 --> 00:56:44,560
the repository after this, but just to back up this claim, so I'll correct myself if I'm

660
00:56:44,560 --> 00:56:45,560
wrong.

661
00:56:45,560 --> 00:56:54,080
Unless I'm wrong, I believe studies show that as your income rises on average, your cannabis

662
00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:56,680
consumption decreases.

663
00:56:56,680 --> 00:57:10,320
So there's an interesting play in cannabis sales related to economic growth, really.

664
00:57:10,320 --> 00:57:18,440
So basically, when the economy is doing well, people's income increases on average.

665
00:57:18,440 --> 00:57:23,580
And so there's counteracting effects.

666
00:57:23,580 --> 00:57:31,720
So there's an income effect where people generally have more income, and when you have more income,

667
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:34,240
you just buy more of everything.

668
00:57:34,240 --> 00:57:38,320
So when you have more income, you'll buy more cannabis.

669
00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:48,320
But then there's a substitution effect where as people have higher incomes, they spend

670
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:57,160
a relatively lower portion of their income on cannabis, and they spend it on other things.

671
00:57:57,160 --> 00:58:01,200
I'm not sure why this is, maybe.

672
00:58:01,200 --> 00:58:12,440
I don't know why, but this is just what people have observed.

673
00:58:12,440 --> 00:58:15,280
Which effect dominates?

674
00:58:15,280 --> 00:58:21,440
It actually kind of looks like the income effect dominates where when the...

675
00:58:21,440 --> 00:58:29,840
Well, the pandemic was a strange time, but generally I feel that cannabis sales spike

676
00:58:29,840 --> 00:58:38,520
when economic growth spikes and goes down with economic growth, but they're not perfectly

677
00:58:38,520 --> 00:58:41,880
correlated by any means.

678
00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:44,640
That's cool.

679
00:58:44,640 --> 00:58:49,000
Because Washington State, do you know if Washington State has a lot of summary stats like this,

680
00:58:49,000 --> 00:58:52,840
like Colorado does?

681
00:58:52,840 --> 00:58:56,200
I'll need to check.

682
00:58:56,200 --> 00:58:57,880
I could do some digging around and checking.

683
00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:01,240
I just would wonder off the top of your head if you knew.

684
00:59:01,240 --> 00:59:08,640
I mean, for some reason, I just don't think they do, but there are some services, more

685
00:59:08,640 --> 00:59:15,840
than a few third parties that do aggregate the total sales.

686
00:59:15,840 --> 00:59:19,600
For some reason, I don't think the state does.

687
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:26,600
I think they were, but under their current traceability system, I don't think they're

688
00:59:26,600 --> 00:59:28,640
doing summary statistics.

689
00:59:28,640 --> 00:59:29,640
Okay.

690
00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:33,640
That's cool stuff.

691
00:59:33,640 --> 00:59:43,400
And then just to just wrap up real quick, we can just do a quick forecast just with

692
00:59:43,400 --> 00:59:44,400
ARIMA.

693
00:59:44,400 --> 00:59:52,120
And so I'll get the presentation where we talked about ARIMA uploaded, but basically

694
00:59:52,120 --> 00:59:56,480
just using past observations to predict the future.

695
00:59:56,480 --> 01:00:08,240
And as you can see, our forecasts really aren't that much more informative than really we're

696
01:00:08,240 --> 01:00:10,800
just kind of continuing the trend.

697
01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:19,720
But it's useful because we can kind of get a rough estimate of what the year total may

698
01:00:19,720 --> 01:00:20,720
be.

699
01:00:20,720 --> 01:00:31,960
And so now we can get an early estimate that we're looking at, like 2.5 billion in cannabis

700
01:00:31,960 --> 01:00:33,840
sales in Colorado.

701
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:34,840
Wow.

702
01:00:34,840 --> 01:00:43,560
And just to give you some perspective, in my hometown, they got a new elementary school,

703
01:00:43,560 --> 01:00:56,800
and I think they spent 2 million on their new elementary school.

704
01:00:56,800 --> 01:01:04,920
So you could, if you had spent all of that on schools, you could buy, or they could find

705
01:01:04,920 --> 01:01:10,480
1200 new elementary schools.

706
01:01:10,480 --> 01:01:14,200
Well, that's total revenue.

707
01:01:14,200 --> 01:01:19,240
So they're not getting all of that in taxes, but they're getting a heck of a lot in taxes.

708
01:01:19,240 --> 01:01:26,800
They're probably getting, I think in Colorado, 25% or so in taxes.

709
01:01:26,800 --> 01:01:33,320
Maybe not that much, but I think in Oklahoma, they're getting 7%.

710
01:01:33,320 --> 01:01:47,640
So you could maybe make between maybe 80 and 300 elementary schools with the amount of

711
01:01:47,640 --> 01:01:51,760
tax revenue that Colorado is bringing in.

712
01:01:51,760 --> 01:01:57,360
So I always kind of like to kind of put things in perspective.

713
01:01:57,360 --> 01:02:06,480
And I thought that was an interesting way to make these huge amounts of money more concrete.

714
01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:13,720
Yeah, it's a good data storytelling technique there.

715
01:02:13,720 --> 01:02:24,560
Exactly because I'm not saying they're necessarily putting their money towards education, but

716
01:02:24,560 --> 01:02:35,040
you know, that's a lot of public good that this was revenue that was getting captured

717
01:02:35,040 --> 01:02:41,280
by, in some cases, not necessarily the best actors.

718
01:02:41,280 --> 01:02:51,920
I mean, I'm not saying everybody in the illegal cannabis markets are bad people, but I'm sure

719
01:02:51,920 --> 01:02:54,080
there are some shady characters there.

720
01:02:54,080 --> 01:03:01,000
So at least now, the people making revenue, they have to file for a license.

721
01:03:01,000 --> 01:03:05,520
They typically get a background check.

722
01:03:05,520 --> 01:03:09,720
So they're at least not criminals.

723
01:03:09,720 --> 01:03:17,800
So anywho, I personally kind of think that's a positive thing, but think of it what you

724
01:03:17,800 --> 01:03:18,800
will.

725
01:03:18,800 --> 01:03:19,800
Sounds good.

726
01:03:19,800 --> 01:03:25,160
But we've run a little extra here.

727
01:03:25,160 --> 01:03:37,040
So thank you for staying tuned and seeing that quick presentation of data.

728
01:03:37,040 --> 01:03:40,000
Thanks for answering all those questions.

729
01:03:40,000 --> 01:03:41,440
I really appreciate it.

730
01:03:41,440 --> 01:03:45,640
And good luck to you and Charles in the week or so coming up with the work that you're

731
01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:46,640
doing.

732
01:03:46,640 --> 01:03:47,640
Definitely.

733
01:03:47,640 --> 01:03:51,040
Thanks for coming, Paul and Heather and Charles.

734
01:03:51,040 --> 01:03:53,360
So thanks for listening.

735
01:03:53,360 --> 01:03:56,200
It's always fun to share.

736
01:03:56,200 --> 01:04:02,080
And then until next week, we'll be making laboratory software and check in next week

737
01:04:02,080 --> 01:04:08,680
and we should have a lot to tell about how things went.

738
01:04:08,680 --> 01:04:11,760
And hopefully we've got some software up and running.

739
01:04:11,760 --> 01:04:12,760
Sounds good.

740
01:04:12,760 --> 01:04:13,760
All right.

741
01:04:13,760 --> 01:04:14,760
Thanks guys.

742
01:04:14,760 --> 01:04:15,760
Take care.

743
01:04:15,760 --> 01:04:16,760
Bye.

744
01:04:16,760 --> 01:04:17,760
Bye.

