WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:02.339 Welcome back to the Buffalo Bread Podcast. Dan 00:00:02.339 --> 00:00:05.679 and JJ here with you. Happy belated Merry Christmas 00:00:05.679 --> 00:00:08.359 and happy belated Hanukkah and all the other 00:00:08.359 --> 00:00:10.580 kind of holiday time things that have happened 00:00:10.580 --> 00:00:12.939 most recently. Hope everyone is healthy, well, 00:00:12.980 --> 00:00:15.619 has enjoyed a little bit of, you know, some not 00:00:15.619 --> 00:00:18.500 so good for you food and some relaxation. I certainly 00:00:18.500 --> 00:00:23.480 have. And I've also not enjoyed watching the 00:00:23.480 --> 00:00:26.300 Bills nearly lose to the Cleveland Browns, even 00:00:26.300 --> 00:00:29.120 though they came out, what, two? Turnovers ahead 00:00:29.120 --> 00:00:31.420 in that game. So where we want to start with 00:00:31.420 --> 00:00:36.060 this one Dan. We are in week 17 and we have Two 00:00:36.060 --> 00:00:38.039 remaining to play against the Philadelphia Eagles 00:00:38.039 --> 00:00:40.899 at home and then against the Jets at home wearing 00:00:40.899 --> 00:00:43.479 the red helmets. Yes. I don't want to spend a 00:00:43.479 --> 00:00:45.439 lot of time on the Cleveland game. You noted 00:00:45.439 --> 00:00:47.719 that we are well past the holidays and anyone 00:00:47.719 --> 00:00:50.219 out there listening that's wanted to get some 00:00:50.219 --> 00:00:52.600 analysis or going to break down of the Browns 00:00:52.600 --> 00:00:54.920 versus Bills. I mean, there's lots of places 00:00:54.920 --> 00:00:57.100 you could find it. They're probably going to 00:00:57.100 --> 00:00:59.439 give you a lot more detail than we are going 00:00:59.439 --> 00:01:02.079 to give here as our focus turns towards the Eagles. 00:01:02.299 --> 00:01:05.159 I'll say this, JJ, this Buffalo Bills team. We 00:01:05.159 --> 00:01:07.579 talked about it in the pre -show. It is the team 00:01:07.579 --> 00:01:09.680 that plays down to their competition. It just 00:01:09.680 --> 00:01:12.560 is. And you can say that that is coaching to 00:01:12.560 --> 00:01:15.099 blame. You can say that this is a veteran team 00:01:15.099 --> 00:01:18.079 that knows exactly what it needs to do to overcome 00:01:18.079 --> 00:01:21.219 an inferior opponent, if you will, right? Whichever 00:01:21.219 --> 00:01:23.079 way you want to spin it. At the end of the day, 00:01:23.159 --> 00:01:25.000 that was a game that was a lot closer than a 00:01:25.000 --> 00:01:27.280 lot of people thought it should have been and 00:01:27.280 --> 00:01:29.900 would have been. And I also think by the same 00:01:29.900 --> 00:01:32.730 token, It is not a hallmark for anything that 00:01:32.730 --> 00:01:35.109 we're going to see the Bills roll into the playoffs 00:01:35.109 --> 00:01:38.010 having to shake off other than it was another 00:01:38.010 --> 00:01:40.909 atrocious performance by the run defense. And 00:01:40.909 --> 00:01:43.189 here in week 17, if there is anything we can 00:01:43.189 --> 00:01:45.109 say about the Buffalo Bills, there are things 00:01:45.109 --> 00:01:47.189 starting to solidify about this team that are 00:01:47.189 --> 00:01:49.250 very real. They're going to be tested against 00:01:49.250 --> 00:01:51.450 the Eagles this weekend. Yeah, absolutely. I 00:01:51.450 --> 00:01:54.500 think that that is, you know, It's so late in 00:01:54.500 --> 00:01:57.120 the season that the questions of what kind of 00:01:57.120 --> 00:01:58.560 team are they going to bring to the playoffs 00:01:58.560 --> 00:02:01.719 have largely been answered. They are a team that 00:02:01.719 --> 00:02:05.000 lives and dies by splash plays on defense, mostly 00:02:05.000 --> 00:02:08.979 dies by all other offensive plays and hopes beyond 00:02:08.979 --> 00:02:12.020 hope that Josh Allen can put his unicorn headband 00:02:12.020 --> 00:02:15.099 on and draw them out of the fire of defeat every 00:02:15.099 --> 00:02:18.139 week. It's crazy to me, Jay. I shouldn't say 00:02:18.139 --> 00:02:21.000 it's crazy, right? But it was on full display 00:02:21.000 --> 00:02:24.370 in that Cleveland Browns game. where I actually 00:02:24.370 --> 00:02:26.150 had made some comments online that I thought. 00:02:26.300 --> 00:02:29.120 Josh had a better game than the, than the box 00:02:29.120 --> 00:02:31.319 score would indicate. I thought his ball placement 00:02:31.319 --> 00:02:33.879 was good, other than that horrific back to back 00:02:33.879 --> 00:02:36.800 where he just sailed one on Cluel Shakir. And 00:02:36.800 --> 00:02:38.680 it looked like he was expecting Tyrell Shavers 00:02:38.680 --> 00:02:41.900 to run maybe a post route and Shavers just flattened 00:02:41.900 --> 00:02:44.259 out and ran more of like a dig route, a six route. 00:02:44.539 --> 00:02:46.319 Other than that though, his ball placement was 00:02:46.319 --> 00:02:48.840 great. His wide receivers and his pass catchers, 00:02:49.020 --> 00:02:51.539 Dawson Knox in the end zone, Brandon Cooks again 00:02:51.539 --> 00:02:54.379 on the sideline, just kind of let him down. But 00:02:54.379 --> 00:02:56.629 it's interesting in that. I thought this was 00:02:56.629 --> 00:02:59.909 a great game plan from Joe Brady. Yes, I'm saying 00:02:59.909 --> 00:03:01.889 that. And I thought the play sequencing actually 00:03:01.889 --> 00:03:04.509 made a lot of sense against Cleveland to the 00:03:04.509 --> 00:03:07.129 fact that they knew where they were going to 00:03:07.129 --> 00:03:10.469 be able to exploit this Cleveland Browns defense. 00:03:10.590 --> 00:03:13.030 And it just happens to be the ways that Joe Brady 00:03:13.030 --> 00:03:15.069 likes to exploit a defense, which is pound the 00:03:15.069 --> 00:03:17.389 rock relentlessly with James Cook and then hit 00:03:17.389 --> 00:03:19.250 some early down play action to your tight ends, 00:03:19.289 --> 00:03:21.689 which has been a nice wrinkle. Where are the 00:03:21.689 --> 00:03:24.629 offense to me, JJ? And this is the thing in addition 00:03:24.629 --> 00:03:27.180 to the run. defense that may also carry over 00:03:27.180 --> 00:03:29.379 into the postseason, depending on our matchups. 00:03:29.680 --> 00:03:32.400 When the offense ultimately kind of plateaued 00:03:32.400 --> 00:03:35.819 is when James Cook was stifled for a couple of 00:03:35.819 --> 00:03:39.460 runs, tight ends were limited by the linebacker 00:03:39.460 --> 00:03:42.139 core or the safety core of the Cleveland Browns 00:03:42.139 --> 00:03:45.159 and Jit and Josh had to go outside to the wide 00:03:45.159 --> 00:03:48.080 receivers. And there was just nothing there time 00:03:48.080 --> 00:03:50.419 and time again. I made the prop with you last 00:03:50.419 --> 00:03:52.539 week, wide receiver catches over under five and 00:03:52.539 --> 00:03:55.740 a half. They had six again. And I think five 00:03:55.740 --> 00:03:59.000 of them were Shakir and one of them was Tyrell 00:03:59.000 --> 00:04:02.120 Shavers, right? Like at the end of the day, this 00:04:02.120 --> 00:04:04.840 team is going to be beat by a squad that can 00:04:04.840 --> 00:04:08.219 shut down the run and it's going to be challenged 00:04:08.219 --> 00:04:10.699 by a defense that is going to force it to go 00:04:10.699 --> 00:04:12.919 to its wide receivers. And the Bills know this. 00:04:13.199 --> 00:04:15.479 And we'll talk about this when we get into the 00:04:15.479 --> 00:04:17.959 Eagles game, but the Bills understand this and 00:04:17.959 --> 00:04:20.220 they have intentionally developed a scheme. I 00:04:20.220 --> 00:04:23.300 think to cover up the fact that when it comes 00:04:23.300 --> 00:04:26.019 to that, that other level of the pass game, the 00:04:26.019 --> 00:04:28.480 wide receivers in the, in the pass game, they 00:04:28.480 --> 00:04:31.230 just haven't developed it fully yet. Yeah, absolutely. 00:04:31.389 --> 00:04:34.649 I think that it's interesting because this, just 00:04:34.649 --> 00:04:37.889 as you said, if this season ends prematurely 00:04:37.889 --> 00:04:41.050 for these Buffalo Bills, it ends because they 00:04:41.050 --> 00:04:44.089 have met a match of somebody who can control 00:04:44.089 --> 00:04:46.850 the run game completely, who can shut down James 00:04:46.850 --> 00:04:50.290 Cook, who can completely fill the gaps and stifle 00:04:50.290 --> 00:04:53.050 that. that part of their offense and then the 00:04:53.050 --> 00:04:54.930 wide receivers let them down as they have all 00:04:54.930 --> 00:04:58.649 season long. It's been a almost nonstop, you 00:04:58.649 --> 00:05:02.759 know, parade of disappointments, letdowns, cuts, 00:05:03.199 --> 00:05:05.740 signings for these bills and their outside receivers. 00:05:06.199 --> 00:05:08.759 And nobody looks worse right now than Brandon 00:05:08.759 --> 00:05:12.579 Bean after blowing up on the radio show on WGR 00:05:12.579 --> 00:05:15.399 about them being, you know, everybody bitching 00:05:15.399 --> 00:05:17.139 about us not having whatever when we had the 00:05:17.139 --> 00:05:19.620 best offense in franchise history. It just, oh 00:05:19.620 --> 00:05:22.759 my, it aged like... Spoiled milk. They clearly 00:05:22.759 --> 00:05:25.519 are outmatched every single week I think they 00:05:25.519 --> 00:05:28.259 put all of their eggs in the key on Coleman developing 00:05:28.259 --> 00:05:30.560 into a wide receiver one basket sure dead and 00:05:30.560 --> 00:05:35.060 they're all broken and rotting I Yes, I still 00:05:35.060 --> 00:05:36.920 hate him. He sucks. He's he's gone this offseason 00:05:36.920 --> 00:05:39.540 if he's not gone. It's a mistake He's he's Kierlem 00:05:39.540 --> 00:05:42.319 2 .0. He's terrible I mean, I think you're probably 00:05:42.319 --> 00:05:44.959 right and I think there's going to be like a 00:05:44.959 --> 00:05:47.139 long discourse Especially if the bills don't 00:05:47.139 --> 00:05:50.699 bounce right back and draft another Top end wide 00:05:50.699 --> 00:05:53.399 receiver for Josh or go sign one or trade for 00:05:53.399 --> 00:05:55.500 one and free agents trade for one in the off 00:05:55.500 --> 00:05:57.819 season. I think the key on Coleman discourse 00:05:57.819 --> 00:06:00.620 is going to be at a fever pitch this off season, 00:06:00.939 --> 00:06:02.459 particularly if they choose to hang onto them, 00:06:02.500 --> 00:06:05.000 which. All indications are they have no plan 00:06:05.000 --> 00:06:07.759 to do so, but I mean, JJ, this is, you know, 00:06:07.759 --> 00:06:09.620 it's interesting. And, and I think we can, I 00:06:09.620 --> 00:06:12.300 think we can gloss over the Cleveland post game 00:06:12.300 --> 00:06:14.939 because I think the lessons learned here are 00:06:14.939 --> 00:06:17.120 again, going to be challenged by the Philadelphia 00:06:17.120 --> 00:06:19.519 Eagles as they come into Buffalo this weekend. 00:06:19.959 --> 00:06:23.319 The Philadelphia Eagles are, have a great secondary, 00:06:23.519 --> 00:06:26.519 some questions with injuries in their safety 00:06:26.519 --> 00:06:29.759 room right now, but overall. This is a team with 00:06:29.759 --> 00:06:33.779 the likes of Cooper Dejean and Andrew Micuba 00:06:33.779 --> 00:06:38.060 who you like some of these outside the numbers 00:06:38.060 --> 00:06:40.860 matchups with our wide receiver room. So again, 00:06:40.860 --> 00:06:42.660 it's going to be a situation where the Bills 00:06:42.660 --> 00:06:45.800 are going to want to run the ball against a Philadelphia 00:06:45.800 --> 00:06:48.420 Eagles team that isn't bad at stopping the run. 00:06:48.519 --> 00:06:50.379 They're literally middle of the pack in efficiency 00:06:50.379 --> 00:06:53.360 at success rate, but they roll out more light 00:06:53.360 --> 00:06:56.319 boxes due to the Vic Fangio kind of scheme where 00:06:56.319 --> 00:06:58.910 he invites the run. And they're all more like 00:06:58.910 --> 00:07:01.709 boxes, even when they play base than any other 00:07:01.709 --> 00:07:03.790 team in the league. So the bills and Joe Brady 00:07:03.790 --> 00:07:04.990 are going to see that and they're going to want 00:07:04.990 --> 00:07:07.790 to pound the rock first. Then with a beat up 00:07:07.790 --> 00:07:09.670 linebacker room, the Kobe Dean, I believe has 00:07:09.670 --> 00:07:12.269 already been ruled out for this game. And Zach 00:07:12.269 --> 00:07:14.329 Bond has also been dealing with a hand injury 00:07:14.329 --> 00:07:16.490 though. I think he's going to be a full go. They're 00:07:16.490 --> 00:07:18.730 going to lean on our tight ends who right now, 00:07:18.810 --> 00:07:20.389 both of our starting tight ends are injured, 00:07:20.410 --> 00:07:22.329 but they're going to want to lean into the play 00:07:22.329 --> 00:07:25.720 action game. And then after that. they don't 00:07:25.720 --> 00:07:27.579 have a whole lot of answers. You know what I 00:07:27.579 --> 00:07:29.939 mean? So if the Bills can't hit those two gears 00:07:29.939 --> 00:07:33.660 against the Eagles, it could be a harder day 00:07:33.660 --> 00:07:36.699 than it should be against what is a elite pass 00:07:36.699 --> 00:07:39.579 rush in Philadelphia when it comes to their defense, 00:07:39.939 --> 00:07:43.079 but a team that ultimately can be gotten in certain 00:07:43.079 --> 00:07:45.120 areas that the Bills should be able to exploit. 00:07:45.759 --> 00:07:47.180 I think you're absolutely onto something, and 00:07:47.180 --> 00:07:51.420 that is that the Eagles team has looked... like 00:07:51.420 --> 00:07:53.639 they can be had in the run, the times that they 00:07:53.639 --> 00:07:56.100 were on a three game lose streak and they were 00:07:56.100 --> 00:07:58.560 being run all over at that point in time. And 00:07:58.560 --> 00:08:01.939 so that has sort of resolved itself. But I think 00:08:01.939 --> 00:08:04.720 that, you know, seeing the Kobe Dean is out and 00:08:04.720 --> 00:08:06.540 kind of flipping to the offense for the Eagles, 00:08:06.720 --> 00:08:08.180 seeing that Leon Johnson is going to miss another 00:08:08.180 --> 00:08:09.300 week. They thought they were going to get him 00:08:09.300 --> 00:08:10.939 back this week, but it looks like he's out again. 00:08:11.100 --> 00:08:13.420 That really helps the Bills. Their right tackle 00:08:13.420 --> 00:08:16.410 as a stand in is solid. But like nobody is Lane 00:08:16.410 --> 00:08:19.170 Johnson as a right tackle, except for maybe upstart, 00:08:19.250 --> 00:08:21.209 you know, plucky upstart Spencer Brown on his 00:08:21.209 --> 00:08:23.410 way, right? Like that is the best in the league. 00:08:23.730 --> 00:08:25.670 And so, especially when it comes to the Bills 00:08:25.670 --> 00:08:27.750 offense, their opportunity is going to be... 00:08:27.819 --> 00:08:30.199 running that wide zone because the invitation 00:08:30.199 --> 00:08:32.779 to run is outside. And I think that the one area 00:08:32.779 --> 00:08:35.960 that the Bills consistently have shown in a world 00:08:35.960 --> 00:08:38.000 where they're inconsistent, they've consistently 00:08:38.000 --> 00:08:40.519 shown that the thing they're better at is blocking 00:08:40.519 --> 00:08:43.340 DBs and linebackers out in space, whether that's 00:08:43.340 --> 00:08:45.519 with their linemen, their guards, their tackles, 00:08:45.600 --> 00:08:48.379 or their wide receivers or tight ends. You know, 00:08:48.460 --> 00:08:50.879 the fact that Jackson Hawes is maybe the most 00:08:50.879 --> 00:08:53.659 well -equipped tight end coming into this matchup 00:08:53.659 --> 00:08:55.039 means he's probably going to be on the field 00:08:55.039 --> 00:08:56.980 a lot, which means they have their best blocking 00:08:56.980 --> 00:08:59.179 tight end. and out. We might see a Jackson Hawes 00:08:59.179 --> 00:09:01.200 game because the Bills are not going to stop 00:09:01.200 --> 00:09:03.769 throwing it to tight ends. And with Nikobi being 00:09:03.769 --> 00:09:06.110 out, I think that that's one vulnerability, even 00:09:06.110 --> 00:09:08.629 though the safeties have been iffy for the Eagles, 00:09:08.769 --> 00:09:10.509 they have some pretty good coverage and Cooper 00:09:10.509 --> 00:09:13.049 Dejean's amazing in the slot. I think Reid Blankenship 00:09:13.049 --> 00:09:14.850 is going to get some play in this game for them, 00:09:14.990 --> 00:09:17.049 right? That's an opportunity for the Bills potentially 00:09:17.049 --> 00:09:20.090 to exploit in that safety room. But yeah, I mean, 00:09:20.210 --> 00:09:23.909 it's it's I mean, to your point earlier about 00:09:23.909 --> 00:09:26.950 the the Eagles and their offensive situation, 00:09:27.149 --> 00:09:29.570 I have. All the confidence in the world, the 00:09:29.570 --> 00:09:31.570 bills are going to run the piss out of the ball 00:09:31.570 --> 00:09:33.649 against the Eagles. The Eagles on the other hand 00:09:33.649 --> 00:09:35.710 have really struggled to get the run game going. 00:09:35.950 --> 00:09:38.529 Although the cure for any team with an ailing 00:09:38.529 --> 00:09:41.870 rush game is to play the Buffalo Bills in any 00:09:41.870 --> 00:09:45.230 form that you may choose to. So, but not having 00:09:45.230 --> 00:09:48.490 a guy like Lane Johnson is going to mean that 00:09:48.490 --> 00:09:50.750 the bill Buffalo Bills will hopefully be able 00:09:50.750 --> 00:09:52.950 to get off the field on some third downs or force 00:09:52.950 --> 00:09:55.230 the ball into jail and hurts his hand and hands. 00:09:55.230 --> 00:09:58.659 And he has had a. Up and down season, I think 00:09:58.659 --> 00:10:01.159 it's fair to say. I mean, they've got two absolute 00:10:01.159 --> 00:10:03.259 ball winners on the outside with Demonta Smith 00:10:03.259 --> 00:10:07.450 and. AJ Brown. AJ Brown. Yeah. So, and AJ Brown, 00:10:07.470 --> 00:10:09.509 despite his tooth issue, looks like he's going 00:10:09.509 --> 00:10:12.210 to be a full go this week. So it's going to be 00:10:12.210 --> 00:10:14.610 about what it always is. And I feel like we're 00:10:14.610 --> 00:10:16.389 at the point where it gets kind of boring because 00:10:16.389 --> 00:10:18.549 we say the same thing every week, but it's week 00:10:18.549 --> 00:10:21.009 16. It's going to be a ball control game. And 00:10:21.009 --> 00:10:23.009 if the Buffalo Bills can get multiple bites at 00:10:23.009 --> 00:10:25.870 the apple, their offense, like novocaine, no 00:10:25.870 --> 00:10:28.929 pun intended AJ, should be able to wear down 00:10:28.929 --> 00:10:30.710 the Philadelphia Eagles to the point where they 00:10:30.710 --> 00:10:32.769 should be able to squeak out a win here at home. 00:10:32.809 --> 00:10:34.710 And that's going to be the recipe that the Bills 00:10:34.710 --> 00:10:37.570 are going to to here in the postseason too. JJ, 00:10:38.110 --> 00:10:41.309 the Buffalo Bills run the ball more than any 00:10:41.309 --> 00:10:43.210 other team in the league. And because you only 00:10:43.210 --> 00:10:45.850 get two options on offense, you either rush it 00:10:45.850 --> 00:10:48.909 or you pass it. That means as a byproduct with 00:10:48.909 --> 00:10:52.250 Josh Allen reigning NBPSQB, this is a team that 00:10:52.250 --> 00:10:54.529 is the least prolific at passing the ball. They 00:10:54.529 --> 00:10:57.629 choose openly to pass the ball less than any 00:10:57.629 --> 00:11:00.090 other team in the league. They rank 32 in pass 00:11:00.090 --> 00:11:02.330 attempts and percentage of pass plays called 00:11:02.330 --> 00:11:04.789 this year. So we know what they're going to do. 00:11:04.909 --> 00:11:06.730 They're going to want to run the ball and they're 00:11:06.730 --> 00:11:08.870 going to want to chew up as much clock as they 00:11:08.870 --> 00:11:12.769 can. When it comes to average time on the 42nd 00:11:12.769 --> 00:11:14.529 play clock used by a team, the Buffalo Bills 00:11:14.529 --> 00:11:17.940 are number one at almost 30 seconds. And we've 00:11:17.940 --> 00:11:20.460 talked about it on the pod multiple times, Josh 00:11:20.460 --> 00:11:22.759 checking things off at the line with Connor, 00:11:23.120 --> 00:11:25.179 ultimately them missing it and a free rusher 00:11:25.179 --> 00:11:27.559 coming, coming loose on some play action play. 00:11:27.779 --> 00:11:29.159 But that's what the bills are going to do. They're 00:11:29.159 --> 00:11:31.360 going to want to stick this game in the mud and 00:11:31.360 --> 00:11:33.000 they're going to want to try to flip game script 00:11:33.000 --> 00:11:35.700 in their favorite own time of possession and 00:11:35.700 --> 00:11:37.840 try to cram it down the throats of the Eagles. 00:11:38.000 --> 00:11:40.200 I mean, I wish we had something more sophisticated 00:11:40.200 --> 00:11:42.820 to say or a fun stat to pull out, but again, 00:11:42.879 --> 00:11:44.659 it's the end of the season and the Buffalo Bills 00:11:44.659 --> 00:11:47.620 have shown us. how they want to win and they've 00:11:47.620 --> 00:11:49.519 shown us how they're going to lose. And I don't 00:11:49.519 --> 00:11:51.120 know that the Eagles are necessarily a team that 00:11:51.120 --> 00:11:53.080 can exploit the way that the Bills can lose. 00:11:53.179 --> 00:11:55.419 Yeah. I think that there's, there's part of it 00:11:55.419 --> 00:11:57.940 too, that comes in the way of, you know, Josh 00:11:57.940 --> 00:11:59.720 Allen has never beaten the Eagles. They're the 00:11:59.720 --> 00:12:01.720 only team in the league he has not. scored a 00:12:01.720 --> 00:12:03.860 victory against in his career, he's going to 00:12:03.860 --> 00:12:06.480 have some sauce at home for that particular statistic, 00:12:06.500 --> 00:12:08.779 even though he will never talk about it in the 00:12:08.779 --> 00:12:10.980 media, right? Like that's just giving fodder 00:12:10.980 --> 00:12:13.240 to the other team to chew on all week. He'll 00:12:13.240 --> 00:12:15.399 never bring it up, but I'm sure it means something 00:12:15.399 --> 00:12:18.279 to him. And so you're going to see it, but again, 00:12:18.340 --> 00:12:20.919 you know, running bet, Ty Johnson, Ray Davis, 00:12:21.159 --> 00:12:23.679 James Cook out of the backfield, Jackson Hawes, 00:12:23.759 --> 00:12:26.240 and whichever of, you know, Kinkade or Knox is 00:12:26.240 --> 00:12:28.379 healthy, if either, is probably going to get 00:12:28.379 --> 00:12:30.860 those targets because Khalil Shakir Probably 00:12:30.860 --> 00:12:33.100 a little bit too because they've seen we've seen 00:12:33.100 --> 00:12:35.620 this this story before as you've said They throw 00:12:35.620 --> 00:12:37.539 the least because they don't trust their outside 00:12:37.539 --> 00:12:39.740 receivers They don't have any matchup winners 00:12:39.740 --> 00:12:42.279 And the eagles are not a team with their outside 00:12:42.279 --> 00:12:44.259 corner strength that you really want to test 00:12:44.259 --> 00:12:46.720 too much anyway Yeah, and I think flipping it 00:12:46.720 --> 00:12:48.639 to the other side of the ball the eagles while 00:12:48.639 --> 00:12:50.399 they have struggled to get the run game going 00:12:50.399 --> 00:12:52.379 and we already talked about How much missing 00:12:52.379 --> 00:12:54.779 Lane Johnson is going to impact this team? This 00:12:54.779 --> 00:12:58.580 is a team to JJ on on offense with the eagles 00:12:58.580 --> 00:13:02.720 that I mean They can kind of exploit the bills 00:13:02.720 --> 00:13:05.759 in the outside pass game. I actually call me 00:13:05.759 --> 00:13:09.379 crazy. I actually kind of like Christian Benford, 00:13:09.580 --> 00:13:12.379 should he be fully healthy, ready to go and the 00:13:12.379 --> 00:13:15.240 platoon of Max Harrison and Trey White, who ever 00:13:15.240 --> 00:13:17.539 since they've taken a snap percentage down to 00:13:17.539 --> 00:13:20.340 the platoon with Max, I actually kind of like 00:13:20.340 --> 00:13:23.659 our ability not to totally bottle up Smith and 00:13:23.659 --> 00:13:26.080 Brown, but to at least be competitive at that 00:13:26.080 --> 00:13:28.139 point, which means we're putting our linebackers 00:13:28.139 --> 00:13:31.539 in a situation where Maybe we are, we're dealing 00:13:31.539 --> 00:13:33.620 with their tight ends, right? And Jalen Hurst 00:13:33.620 --> 00:13:35.620 has had some success going to guys like Goddard 00:13:35.620 --> 00:13:37.440 and lot two and all that kind of stuff this season. 00:13:37.940 --> 00:13:40.240 But I actually kind of like the Bill's ability 00:13:40.240 --> 00:13:42.139 to be competitive on the outside with these two 00:13:42.139 --> 00:13:44.379 big wide receivers. It's all a matter of to me 00:13:44.379 --> 00:13:46.639 can Philly get the run game going because. The 00:13:46.639 --> 00:13:48.919 Buffalo Bills run the ball the most in the league 00:13:48.919 --> 00:13:51.639 and the Philadelphia Eagles, according to FTN, 00:13:51.759 --> 00:13:53.779 they're on the ball at the fourth highest clip 00:13:53.779 --> 00:13:55.639 in the league. So these are two teams that like 00:13:55.639 --> 00:13:58.100 to pound the rock and dislike passing the ball. 00:13:58.379 --> 00:14:00.460 This game's going to start at 1 p .m. and be 00:14:00.460 --> 00:14:04.600 over at 2 14 p .m. because that's a great prop 00:14:04.600 --> 00:14:07.019 over and under on full game time when this is 00:14:07.019 --> 00:14:09.200 going to be over. Yeah, they're going to whatever 00:14:09.200 --> 00:14:10.860 affiliate is carrying this game. I think it might 00:14:10.860 --> 00:14:13.720 be NBC is going to have to like fill time to 00:14:13.720 --> 00:14:16.080 get to the four o 'clock window. because it's 00:14:16.080 --> 00:14:19.059 just, yeah, I could see the same. This is going 00:14:19.059 --> 00:14:21.340 to be a run heavy affair. It's going to be interesting. 00:14:21.500 --> 00:14:22.720 The thing that's going to be most interesting 00:14:22.720 --> 00:14:25.820 to me is if one of the team, if the Bills or 00:14:25.820 --> 00:14:29.240 the Eagles are able to get a consistent stuff 00:14:29.240 --> 00:14:31.759 for like two or three series, which team, you 00:14:31.759 --> 00:14:33.879 know, which team is going to lose chicken first 00:14:33.879 --> 00:14:36.279 and stop running it and try to start airing it 00:14:36.279 --> 00:14:38.080 out? Because I think that's going to be the team 00:14:38.080 --> 00:14:40.740 that loses the team that, you know, because I 00:14:40.740 --> 00:14:42.710 think both of these Both of these teams strengths 00:14:42.710 --> 00:14:44.850 is running the ball and both of them struggle 00:14:44.850 --> 00:14:48.129 a little bit to have consistent consistent operation 00:14:48.129 --> 00:14:50.950 and offense. Yeah, I totally. Yeah, I totally 00:14:50.950 --> 00:14:53.090 agree. And listen, I know the Eagles have run 00:14:53.090 --> 00:14:55.289 the ball better the past couple of weeks, but 00:14:55.289 --> 00:14:56.909 that was against the Raiders and the commanders 00:14:56.909 --> 00:14:59.710 to I think defenses we would say that are are 00:14:59.710 --> 00:15:02.529 highly suspect. And again, the bill like but 00:15:02.529 --> 00:15:05.230 it's not like the bills are any better. They're 00:15:05.230 --> 00:15:08.149 there. They're 30 second overall success rate 00:15:08.149 --> 00:15:11.379 and efficiency against the run. But. I think 00:15:11.379 --> 00:15:13.519 back to the Pittsburgh game, I think back to 00:15:13.519 --> 00:15:16.279 a couple of games in recent memory, the Patriots 00:15:16.279 --> 00:15:19.179 game, with the exception of the like watching 00:15:19.179 --> 00:15:22.120 a kid soccer game on that Henderson run and everybody 00:15:22.120 --> 00:15:24.179 shifted his side of the field as he skirts back 00:15:24.179 --> 00:15:26.299 the other way. Other than that and against the 00:15:26.299 --> 00:15:28.340 Bengals, they've done pretty well against the 00:15:28.340 --> 00:15:31.220 run here on the second half of the season, but 00:15:31.220 --> 00:15:33.460 Cleveland ran the ball all up and down them. 00:15:34.129 --> 00:15:36.809 That's true, but I do also, it's worth noting 00:15:36.809 --> 00:15:38.990 that Shaq Thompson missed a lot of that game 00:15:38.990 --> 00:15:41.230 and played a very poor game before he was injured 00:15:41.230 --> 00:15:43.850 against Cleveland. And he looks to be good to 00:15:43.850 --> 00:15:47.470 go this week. But is he hit kind of like that 00:15:47.470 --> 00:15:49.129 vet wall do you think at this point in the season? 00:15:49.129 --> 00:15:51.570 Yeah, that's a question, right? All the stuff 00:15:51.570 --> 00:15:53.529 he's dragging around for the whole season has 00:15:53.529 --> 00:15:55.590 caught up with him a little bit. Right. I mean, 00:15:55.649 --> 00:15:57.590 this is the most football he's played in like 00:15:57.590 --> 00:16:00.990 two years, isn't it? Yeah. So you got to wonder, 00:16:01.149 --> 00:16:03.720 right? It'd be a great time to get... Bernard 00:16:03.720 --> 00:16:06.399 fully back up to speed. JJ, I want to talk a 00:16:06.399 --> 00:16:07.860 little bit about I want to talk a little bit 00:16:07.860 --> 00:16:09.460 more about the defense because I don't want to 00:16:09.460 --> 00:16:12.460 write off this, this defending Super Bowl champion 00:16:12.460 --> 00:16:16.200 Philadelphia Eagles offense. Do you think this 00:16:16.200 --> 00:16:18.500 is a game where we see Maxwell Harrison snap 00:16:18.500 --> 00:16:21.600 share sneak closer to 70 or 80 % or straight 00:16:21.600 --> 00:16:23.279 white playing so good right now that you want 00:16:23.279 --> 00:16:26.759 to continue to see the 60 40 55 45 platoon the 00:16:26.759 --> 00:16:28.580 bills have been kind of mixing in there. I think 00:16:28.580 --> 00:16:32.000 that all depends on how many catches that Devonta 00:16:32.000 --> 00:16:35.000 Smith has in the first quarter, right? If Devonta 00:16:35.000 --> 00:16:37.820 Smith is cooking Trey White, I could see Maxwell 00:16:37.820 --> 00:16:40.259 Hairston almost taking the job over the rest 00:16:40.259 --> 00:16:42.399 of the time, just because it's like, if your 00:16:42.399 --> 00:16:44.659 vet who's savvy and knows where he needs to be 00:16:44.659 --> 00:16:47.860 on the field and all that is just not being competitive 00:16:47.860 --> 00:16:51.000 with somebody who is an elite kind of speed specimen. 00:16:51.259 --> 00:16:53.559 You gotta, you gotta pivot. I would actually 00:16:53.559 --> 00:16:55.379 think that they're gonna probably ride Trey White 00:16:55.379 --> 00:16:58.700 longer. With Maxwell Hairston specifically, because 00:16:58.700 --> 00:17:01.159 he missed so much his training camp, he looks 00:17:01.159 --> 00:17:04.200 like an old school McDermott rookie play where 00:17:04.200 --> 00:17:06.519 he's like protecting him from being overwhelmed. 00:17:07.059 --> 00:17:09.829 Yeah. You know, and it seems to have worked. 00:17:10.049 --> 00:17:12.349 He has some good snaps. He has some like up and 00:17:12.349 --> 00:17:14.150 down games. They're kind of riding the rookie 00:17:14.150 --> 00:17:15.930 roller coaster with him. And I would actually 00:17:15.930 --> 00:17:18.509 expect that to continue in this one unless Trey 00:17:18.509 --> 00:17:21.349 White is late. If Maxwell Hurston plays 80 % 00:17:21.349 --> 00:17:23.569 of the snaps, I feel like Devonta Smith also 00:17:23.569 --> 00:17:26.940 has a stat line that's like. nine for 110 and 00:17:26.940 --> 00:17:30.980 a Tuddy at least. Without a doubt. Yeah. Do you 00:17:30.980 --> 00:17:32.299 think the Bills are going to be able to get some 00:17:32.299 --> 00:17:34.519 pressure on Jalen Hurts? I mean, it's interesting 00:17:34.519 --> 00:17:37.740 when you look at both opposing teams in the trenches, 00:17:38.180 --> 00:17:40.420 the Buffalo Bills, I know, listen, pressure is 00:17:40.420 --> 00:17:42.359 not sacks. And I know the Bills don't get sacks, 00:17:42.359 --> 00:17:45.339 but their pressure right now is number six and 00:17:45.339 --> 00:17:48.339 overall, or I'm sorry, number 12 and overall 00:17:48.339 --> 00:17:51.119 defensive efficiency. So slightly above average 00:17:51.119 --> 00:17:53.160 for the rest of the league. And the Eagles are 00:17:53.160 --> 00:17:56.509 11th, right? flip side of that, the Buffalo Bills 00:17:56.509 --> 00:17:59.869 allow the least, sixth least amount of pressure 00:17:59.869 --> 00:18:02.089 in the league by percentage of snaps per play. 00:18:02.589 --> 00:18:05.009 Um, and the Eagles defense, they're a top 10 00:18:05.009 --> 00:18:07.769 unit as far as garnering pressure rate. So this 00:18:07.769 --> 00:18:09.970 feels in the trenches, despite some of the injuries 00:18:09.970 --> 00:18:12.289 that are at play, kind of a strength on strength 00:18:12.289 --> 00:18:15.190 matchup. Do you think JJ two -parter? Do you 00:18:15.190 --> 00:18:16.970 think the Buffalo Bills will be able to get pressure 00:18:16.970 --> 00:18:18.930 on Jaylen Hertz? And will they be able to make 00:18:18.930 --> 00:18:22.009 that pressure count? I E and sacks. And then 00:18:22.009 --> 00:18:23.430 do you think the Buffalo Bills are going to be 00:18:23.430 --> 00:18:25.910 able to adequately project Josh? Should he need 00:18:25.910 --> 00:18:28.630 to gimp the injury and all have to drop back 00:18:28.630 --> 00:18:31.190 and put the ball on his cannon of a right arm? 00:18:31.789 --> 00:18:34.589 I mean, with no injury designation coming out 00:18:34.589 --> 00:18:39.089 from the Bills for either Deion Dawkins or Spencer 00:18:39.089 --> 00:18:41.349 Brown, I think that the Bills are going to be 00:18:41.349 --> 00:18:43.529 much better. Their offensive line is one of the 00:18:43.529 --> 00:18:46.069 healthiest units on the team right now. And so 00:18:46.069 --> 00:18:47.490 I think they're going to be much better at protecting 00:18:47.490 --> 00:18:50.069 Josh Allen in this one. And I think also what 00:18:50.069 --> 00:18:52.869 we saw from Josh Allen, Connor McGovern, and 00:18:52.869 --> 00:18:55.970 Joe Brady last week against the Browns was that 00:18:55.970 --> 00:18:59.150 they learned a very important lesson when they 00:18:59.150 --> 00:19:01.880 played the Texans. and Josh Allen got absolutely 00:19:01.880 --> 00:19:05.180 smeared across the field. Don't send five guys 00:19:05.180 --> 00:19:08.039 out on routes. Yeah, don't send five guys out 00:19:08.039 --> 00:19:10.960 on routes against elite pass rushers. Have some 00:19:10.960 --> 00:19:14.319 scheme answers to limit the space or extend the 00:19:14.319 --> 00:19:16.200 space between Josh Allen and the biggest threats. 00:19:16.509 --> 00:19:18.329 And I think that they're going to continue to 00:19:18.329 --> 00:19:20.869 expose that kind of learning in this one as well. 00:19:20.990 --> 00:19:22.589 So I think that they're going to be far better 00:19:22.589 --> 00:19:24.950 at protecting Josh from pressure than they will 00:19:24.950 --> 00:19:26.809 be at generating pressure against Jalen Hertz. 00:19:27.170 --> 00:19:29.369 With Daquan Jones out and Jordan Phillips, even 00:19:29.369 --> 00:19:31.529 though I don't think he's been super good, with 00:19:31.529 --> 00:19:35.009 two of your top, you know, five defensive tackles 00:19:35.009 --> 00:19:37.910 off the shelf or on the shelf rather, I can't 00:19:37.910 --> 00:19:40.130 imagine that they're going to be able to generate 00:19:40.130 --> 00:19:42.170 a lot of pressure because whoever's playing in 00:19:42.170 --> 00:19:44.829 the middle, Deion Walker hasn't been super good 00:19:44.829 --> 00:19:47.930 at pass rushing in a number of weeks. His flash 00:19:47.930 --> 00:19:50.069 plays have kind of disappeared. I think he might 00:19:50.069 --> 00:19:51.430 have hit the rookie wall a little bit. Rookie 00:19:51.430 --> 00:19:54.069 wall. Hardcore. Yep. Yep. You're exhausted. You've 00:19:54.069 --> 00:19:56.029 only ever played 10 games in a season and all 00:19:56.029 --> 00:19:58.589 of a sudden it's like week 18. And so I think 00:19:58.589 --> 00:20:03.069 that there's some, you know, in the world of 00:20:03.069 --> 00:20:06.450 trench play, geared or skilled and under athletic 00:20:06.450 --> 00:20:09.529 defensive tackles are the easiest people in the 00:20:09.529 --> 00:20:11.309 world to block when you've got three people in 00:20:11.309 --> 00:20:13.549 the interior to block them. So it's a matter 00:20:13.549 --> 00:20:15.390 of like any of these guards is probably going 00:20:15.390 --> 00:20:17.730 to be able to comfortably shift out and help 00:20:17.730 --> 00:20:20.069 out on the edges with whomever the bills are 00:20:20.069 --> 00:20:22.529 sending and the only capable pass rushers I think 00:20:22.529 --> 00:20:24.670 the bills have for this one are Joey Bosa and 00:20:24.670 --> 00:20:27.170 Greg Rousseau and Greg Rousseau is like an asterisk 00:20:27.170 --> 00:20:28.930 because he has to have something else go right 00:20:28.930 --> 00:20:31.349 to get there. Well, he needs to be playing against 00:20:31.450 --> 00:20:34.210 backups, no shade. He saved the game against 00:20:34.210 --> 00:20:36.309 Cleveland, right? He is the reason why we're 00:20:36.309 --> 00:20:38.769 still even in the hunt for the division. So like 00:20:38.769 --> 00:20:40.509 no shade at Gregor. So two and a half second 00:20:40.509 --> 00:20:42.650 against Cleveland was great, but it was against 00:20:42.650 --> 00:20:45.549 a backup offensive line in Cleveland. So if you 00:20:45.549 --> 00:20:47.890 can get some of those matchups here against Philly, 00:20:48.009 --> 00:20:50.450 like there are points where he just chooses to 00:20:50.450 --> 00:20:53.109 use his massive frame and overpower guys. I just 00:20:53.109 --> 00:20:56.289 don't know why he doesn't. do it more. I mean, 00:20:56.430 --> 00:20:59.009 there's some pass rush reps where I knew you're 00:20:59.009 --> 00:21:00.990 better at trench play than I am. I don't know 00:21:00.990 --> 00:21:03.390 if it's a lack of like a plan in approaching 00:21:03.390 --> 00:21:05.690 the pass rush. I don't know if it's a lack of 00:21:05.690 --> 00:21:08.970 tools and the toolkit necessarily. But he's not 00:21:08.970 --> 00:21:11.789 doubled at a high percentage or at least a percentage 00:21:11.789 --> 00:21:15.589 you would think a $20 million a year as Russia 00:21:15.589 --> 00:21:18.579 would be. He gets a lot of one -on -ones and 00:21:18.579 --> 00:21:21.019 pass rush opportunities and he kind of gets washed. 00:21:21.460 --> 00:21:24.000 I mean, is it simply that he needs to be playing 00:21:24.000 --> 00:21:26.160 against inferior competition? Is there something 00:21:26.160 --> 00:21:28.660 you think he can add or he's going to figure 00:21:28.660 --> 00:21:30.900 out? I mean, again, this is a pretty beat up 00:21:30.900 --> 00:21:33.759 offensive line for the, the, the Philadelphia 00:21:33.759 --> 00:21:36.720 Eagles and they have had issues, not just to 00:21:36.720 --> 00:21:39.140 tackle, but also protecting on the interior as 00:21:39.140 --> 00:21:41.980 well. Do we see more of a NASCAR package in this 00:21:41.980 --> 00:21:44.670 game, particularly with all the DT? injuries 00:21:44.670 --> 00:21:47.069 that we have and do we see maybe Rousseau flip 00:21:47.069 --> 00:21:49.269 inside for a couple more pass pass rush reps 00:21:49.269 --> 00:21:51.650 than usual? I certainly hope so. I think it's 00:21:51.650 --> 00:21:54.369 the classic like necessity is the mother of invention 00:21:54.369 --> 00:21:56.549 game for that matter because they're not gonna 00:21:56.549 --> 00:21:58.910 have enough. They don't have enough bodies to 00:21:58.910 --> 00:22:01.349 kind of just stand pat and do the rotation. They're 00:22:01.349 --> 00:22:02.730 gonna have to do some different things. Different 00:22:02.730 --> 00:22:03.890 people are gonna have to rush from different 00:22:03.890 --> 00:22:06.089 positions and that might be the exact answer. 00:22:06.779 --> 00:22:08.799 I just don't understand why they haven't used, 00:22:08.839 --> 00:22:10.839 I think it's bodies, again, why they haven't 00:22:10.839 --> 00:22:12.720 used Greg Russo in the interior more often, because 00:22:12.720 --> 00:22:14.960 he looks like an absolute dynamo when he's, you 00:22:14.960 --> 00:22:16.779 know, rushing from the inside on long and late 00:22:16.779 --> 00:22:19.759 downs. It's mostly because he's the best play 00:22:19.759 --> 00:22:22.859 the rush on the way to the pass. player they 00:22:22.859 --> 00:22:24.640 have, you know, on the whole field. All right, 00:22:24.740 --> 00:22:26.460 JJ, one more question before we get to some prop 00:22:26.460 --> 00:22:28.059 bets here. It feels like the Bills are still 00:22:28.059 --> 00:22:30.599 figuring out this wide receiver room. In Cleveland, 00:22:30.839 --> 00:22:33.339 we saw both Ken Coleman and Gabe Davis's healthy 00:22:33.339 --> 00:22:36.500 scratches in favor of McCole Hardman and Brandon 00:22:36.500 --> 00:22:39.480 Cooks. JJ, you know, give it to me. What do you 00:22:39.480 --> 00:22:41.440 think ultimately the wide receiver room is going 00:22:41.440 --> 00:22:44.349 to look like? I think Gabe Davis. has to kind 00:22:44.349 --> 00:22:47.670 of see the field in this particular game. Especially 00:22:47.670 --> 00:22:51.670 if Dalton Kincaid and or Dawson Knox or apocalyptic 00:22:51.670 --> 00:22:54.750 scenario both can't go in this game. Gabe Davis 00:22:54.750 --> 00:22:56.970 has played that Dalton Kincaid role before and 00:22:56.970 --> 00:23:01.329 we know he's game and the run block and run block 00:23:01.329 --> 00:23:04.049 reps. So I think Gabe has to be a must start. 00:23:04.269 --> 00:23:06.250 Outside of that, I really don't know what this 00:23:06.250 --> 00:23:07.769 room is going to look like. They definitely were 00:23:07.769 --> 00:23:11.569 trying to make the Cleveland plays one high middle 00:23:11.569 --> 00:23:14.359 of the field closed. You know lean on their corners 00:23:14.359 --> 00:23:17.380 cover three type coverage, you know, and and 00:23:17.380 --> 00:23:20.640 with that they you know They they are inviting 00:23:20.640 --> 00:23:23.180 people to burn them down the field basically 00:23:23.180 --> 00:23:25.480 pick the side the safety is gonna start leaking 00:23:25.480 --> 00:23:28.259 over towards Throw the other way to the other 00:23:28.259 --> 00:23:30.640 guy if he can win his one -on -one They took 00:23:30.640 --> 00:23:33.640 some some shots to cook cook on a couple of occasions 00:23:33.640 --> 00:23:35.500 and I think Shakir even had a couple too They 00:23:35.500 --> 00:23:37.720 let him run some routes past the line of scrimmage. 00:23:37.720 --> 00:23:41.089 Yeah, right amazingly. So I actually see You 00:23:41.089 --> 00:23:43.289 know, I think Brandon Cooks wasn't on the injury 00:23:43.289 --> 00:23:45.490 report, but I feel like he should have been, 00:23:45.950 --> 00:23:48.849 because he looked like he was not good when he 00:23:48.849 --> 00:23:50.650 got up from that one he dropped. Then again, 00:23:50.809 --> 00:23:52.369 I don't know if you noticed this, but having 00:23:52.369 --> 00:23:54.849 watched football so much of my whole life, the 00:23:54.849 --> 00:23:57.410 classic wide receiver injured on a really bad 00:23:57.410 --> 00:24:00.269 drop is like one of those classic moves where 00:24:00.269 --> 00:24:02.869 the guy's, oh, my hands are, something's wrong 00:24:02.869 --> 00:24:06.279 in my shoulder. That must be why, you know? His 00:24:06.279 --> 00:24:08.740 injury status post game was shame. It was just 00:24:08.740 --> 00:24:12.039 shame. He was injured by shame. Yeah. So I think 00:24:12.039 --> 00:24:15.200 they'll see Brandon Cooks again because he, I 00:24:15.200 --> 00:24:17.559 feel like he just has to, he has to finally get 00:24:17.559 --> 00:24:19.460 one. Like there've been so many missed connections. 00:24:19.579 --> 00:24:22.099 He is winning his routes. He's winning down the 00:24:22.099 --> 00:24:26.619 field. He is open. He's open. He's 38 ,000 years 00:24:26.619 --> 00:24:29.559 old and he is our best downfield separator. So 00:24:29.559 --> 00:24:33.309 JJ, so. Gabe Davis we feel strongly about. Obviously 00:24:33.309 --> 00:24:36.230 Shakir is, he's going to be in. Cook's probably 00:24:36.230 --> 00:24:38.509 because they're so desperate to get him catching 00:24:38.509 --> 00:24:41.730 a ball downfield on film before the postseason. 00:24:41.950 --> 00:24:43.869 He might be a fun prop, but for us to do too. 00:24:44.089 --> 00:24:47.279 Josh Palmer. Mm -hmm was supposed to be our downfield 00:24:47.279 --> 00:24:50.000 threat here our downfield separator separation 00:24:50.000 --> 00:24:52.759 God and he has been a non -factor since coming 00:24:52.759 --> 00:24:55.400 back from his Injury that he suffered against 00:24:55.400 --> 00:24:58.720 Atlanta. I think he's in the room. They're paying 00:24:58.720 --> 00:25:02.299 he's gonna be get a jersey on game day Like they're 00:25:02.299 --> 00:25:04.640 paying him too much money for him not to but 00:25:04.640 --> 00:25:07.240 he's been a non -factor this year Yeah, no as 00:25:07.240 --> 00:25:09.759 for the wide receiver room. I think it is Brandon 00:25:09.759 --> 00:25:13.700 Cook's Khalil Shakir Gabe Davis, Josh Palmer, 00:25:14.359 --> 00:25:16.900 and - Cole Hardman again. Yeah, McColl Hardman 00:25:16.900 --> 00:25:19.660 or Keon Coleman. Keon Coleman might be asked, 00:25:19.779 --> 00:25:21.819 he might be brought up for this one just for 00:25:21.819 --> 00:25:24.099 blocking. He's been a better run blocker than 00:25:24.099 --> 00:25:26.380 a lot of the other wide receivers when he wants 00:25:26.380 --> 00:25:29.140 to, when he tries. Like that's the biggest, that's 00:25:29.140 --> 00:25:31.200 the reason he's been inactive too, is because 00:25:31.200 --> 00:25:33.299 when he turns it on and tries, he looks good 00:25:33.299 --> 00:25:35.380 as a, you know, contributing in the, in the run 00:25:35.380 --> 00:25:38.779 blocking game, but he has a lot of tape of, you 00:25:38.779 --> 00:25:41.240 know, kind of soft blocks or taking, taking plays 00:25:41.240 --> 00:25:44.640 off. Sean McDermott is so effusive in his praise 00:25:44.640 --> 00:25:47.500 of McCole Hardman. He just, and none of it is 00:25:47.500 --> 00:25:50.220 showing up on game film at this point. I wonder. 00:25:50.559 --> 00:25:53.240 I wonder if they ride McCall Hardman one more 00:25:53.240 --> 00:25:56.140 game and then we see Kian Coleman activated again 00:25:56.140 --> 00:25:59.279 against the Jets in a game that may not mean 00:25:59.279 --> 00:26:02.619 anything, right? So I wonder if that, I wonder 00:26:02.619 --> 00:26:04.859 if Kian gets to wear the red, red helmets and 00:26:04.859 --> 00:26:07.000 week 18 and sits out this game. It just feels 00:26:07.000 --> 00:26:09.640 gross. I know, I know. I'm sorry. I don't even 00:26:09.640 --> 00:26:12.000 think the top four really matter. I think the 00:26:12.000 --> 00:26:15.319 Buffalo Bills just need to find three or four 00:26:15.319 --> 00:26:17.710 guys. They feel comfortable having out in the 00:26:17.710 --> 00:26:20.170 field and stop with all these crazy in and out 00:26:20.170 --> 00:26:22.789 rotations. Like the fact that Khalil Shakir can't 00:26:22.789 --> 00:26:25.890 get three consecutive snaps in this offense is 00:26:25.890 --> 00:26:29.170 nuts to me because he is, while flawed, by far 00:26:29.170 --> 00:26:31.369 their best wide receiver in the pass catcher 00:26:31.369 --> 00:26:33.809 room. Yeah, absolutely. I don't know, man. It 00:26:33.809 --> 00:26:36.809 feels like saying he's their by far best pass 00:26:36.809 --> 00:26:39.490 catcher in the wide receiver room is like he's 00:26:39.490 --> 00:26:42.869 the most buoyant deck chair on the on the top 00:26:42.869 --> 00:26:45.900 of the Titanic because it just doesn't It doesn't 00:26:45.900 --> 00:26:48.740 move the needle like it's somebody who consistently 00:26:48.740 --> 00:26:51.900 miss his long balls and can't seem to catch them 00:26:51.900 --> 00:26:53.619 when they hit him right in his hands. Being the 00:26:53.619 --> 00:26:57.140 best route winning receiver is it's pretty abysmal. 00:26:57.420 --> 00:27:00.099 I'm very worried about these Buffalo Bills in 00:27:00.099 --> 00:27:02.039 this you know the end of the season and going 00:27:02.039 --> 00:27:04.140 forward especially in the playoffs. Just the 00:27:04.140 --> 00:27:06.380 fact that if a team can figure out a way to stop 00:27:06.380 --> 00:27:09.069 them on the ground and stop their middle of the 00:27:09.069 --> 00:27:11.089 field tight end running back, you know, routes. 00:27:11.509 --> 00:27:13.869 It's, it's basically game over. Yeah. Again, 00:27:14.009 --> 00:27:16.329 I will say the thing that gives me a little bit 00:27:16.329 --> 00:27:19.390 of hope is in that Cleveland Browns game. And 00:27:19.390 --> 00:27:22.309 maybe we listen, those are good outside corners 00:27:22.309 --> 00:27:24.309 that they roll out there in Cleveland. It's a 00:27:24.309 --> 00:27:26.089 well coached secondary. This is going to be a 00:27:26.089 --> 00:27:28.190 well coached secondary in Philly. What gives 00:27:28.190 --> 00:27:31.430 me hope is that maybe we see some of Brady's 00:27:31.430 --> 00:27:33.950 play calling variants that we saw against Cleveland. 00:27:34.470 --> 00:27:36.789 Again, the issue was not his sequencing or his 00:27:36.789 --> 00:27:40.210 game plan. The issue was execution by the guys 00:27:40.210 --> 00:27:41.849 on the field. Listen, the Bills are going to 00:27:41.849 --> 00:27:43.910 run the ball 60 % of the time in this game, but 00:27:43.910 --> 00:27:47.799 those 40 % Pass passes that pass plays that they 00:27:47.799 --> 00:27:51.880 get. I'd like to see a few more than eight targets 00:27:51.880 --> 00:27:54.299 to the wide receivers in this game just because 00:27:54.299 --> 00:27:55.819 right. You're going to need them. Yeah, they 00:27:55.819 --> 00:27:57.680 got it. They got to figure out some way to propagate 00:27:57.680 --> 00:27:59.519 the ball down the field with wide receivers. 00:27:59.720 --> 00:28:03.039 They just need to know it's just I don't think 00:28:03.039 --> 00:28:05.960 Joe Brady should have a job after the season. 00:28:06.180 --> 00:28:09.019 Even if James Cook wins the rushing title, because 00:28:09.019 --> 00:28:11.980 I feel like more of that. is the line coach. 00:28:12.519 --> 00:28:14.759 Yeah, it's Cromer run game coordinator. It's 00:28:14.759 --> 00:28:17.480 it's the line coach. Yeah, I just don't I mean, 00:28:17.680 --> 00:28:19.819 he's proven time and again that yeah, he doesn't 00:28:19.819 --> 00:28:21.799 have the elite talent. He doesn't have a Jamar 00:28:21.799 --> 00:28:24.519 chase to work with. But he can't do anything. 00:28:24.559 --> 00:28:28.539 There are plenty of teams with B and C graded 00:28:28.539 --> 00:28:30.680 wide receivers who find ways to get those guys 00:28:30.680 --> 00:28:33.279 1000 yards. Look at New England. I mean, you 00:28:33.279 --> 00:28:35.299 don't gotta look in the division, you know what 00:28:35.299 --> 00:28:37.859 I mean? But I'm ready to talk about some prediction 00:28:37.859 --> 00:28:40.309 sure to go wrong. Are you? Let's do it. All right. 00:28:40.529 --> 00:28:43.130 Let's roll this out here. So this line's fluctuated. 00:28:43.359 --> 00:28:47.400 Ever so slightly since it opened, it was, um, 00:28:47.400 --> 00:28:49.519 bills favored by one and a half at home. The 00:28:49.519 --> 00:28:51.640 line shrunk to one earlier in the week and it 00:28:51.640 --> 00:28:54.279 was back up to one and a half per draft Kings. 00:28:54.640 --> 00:28:57.220 The overrunner on this game is 43 and a half 00:28:57.220 --> 00:28:59.759 JJ. The Eagles have clinched the division. They 00:28:59.759 --> 00:29:02.460 don't have a ton to play for right now. These 00:29:02.460 --> 00:29:04.619 are two teams that have been very, very good 00:29:04.619 --> 00:29:06.700 in close games and they tend to play a lot of 00:29:06.700 --> 00:29:09.220 close games. The bills are five and two in close 00:29:09.220 --> 00:29:11.559 games and the Eagles are a whopping seven and 00:29:11.559 --> 00:29:14.339 three and games to. to buy one score, very similar 00:29:14.339 --> 00:29:17.259 margins of victory here as well. JJ, what's your 00:29:17.259 --> 00:29:19.559 score prediction? I don't think it's going to 00:29:19.559 --> 00:29:22.019 be a big one. I think it's going to be, you know, 00:29:22.259 --> 00:29:30.819 like a, I like the bills like 24, 21, something 00:29:30.819 --> 00:29:34.079 that's going to give everybody, you know, a cardiac 00:29:34.079 --> 00:29:36.559 arrest. It's that kind of game. Like I think, 00:29:36.819 --> 00:29:38.779 I think probably a kick wins this game in the 00:29:38.779 --> 00:29:40.880 last two minutes. Yeah. This feels like a sweaty 00:29:40.880 --> 00:29:44.059 one. I'm going to go, um, I'm going to go Bill's 00:29:44.059 --> 00:29:50.559 24 and Eagles 17. Okay. I just, I, I, I like, 00:29:50.720 --> 00:29:53.119 and I know this is stupid and this is Hopium. 00:29:53.369 --> 00:29:56.730 But I like the bills a little bit better than 00:29:56.730 --> 00:30:00.130 most people do against this Philadelphia Eagles 00:30:00.130 --> 00:30:03.529 run game. And I like their chances should the 00:30:03.529 --> 00:30:05.730 Eagles have to air it out on the pass game. Although 00:30:05.730 --> 00:30:07.910 one thing I want to see the bills do stop stop 00:30:07.910 --> 00:30:09.930 deferring the decision if you win the toss, take 00:30:09.930 --> 00:30:12.089 the ball, put seven on the board, you're the 00:30:12.089 --> 00:30:14.309 number one team in the league and first drive 00:30:14.309 --> 00:30:16.849 efficiency and scoring metrics, put seven on 00:30:16.849 --> 00:30:20.000 the board and make the Philadelphia Eagles play 00:30:20.000 --> 00:30:22.339 your game script, play to your dictation of how 00:30:22.339 --> 00:30:24.660 the game flow should go. But I like the, I like 00:30:24.660 --> 00:30:26.539 the bills here and I like the defense to have 00:30:26.539 --> 00:30:28.779 a surprising showing. And I am totally going 00:30:28.779 --> 00:30:30.900 to be wrong about this. I know. I know. All right. 00:30:31.000 --> 00:30:34.000 Prop bets. We can hope we can hope. So I'll start 00:30:34.000 --> 00:30:37.259 with a, with one TJ Sanders registers a sack 00:30:37.259 --> 00:30:40.460 over under half sack TJ Sanders under he's been 00:30:40.460 --> 00:30:42.619 around a lot of stuff. I'd love to see him get 00:30:42.619 --> 00:30:45.599 one. They They've kind of just like thrown out 00:30:45.599 --> 00:30:48.140 this year from a development standpoint. So if, 00:30:48.180 --> 00:30:50.140 if it's not coming from the outside, which I 00:30:50.140 --> 00:30:51.720 don't think you and I think it will come from 00:30:51.720 --> 00:30:53.740 the outside. I don't know. I don't think he gets 00:30:53.740 --> 00:30:56.259 it. Yeah. That's fair. Yep. What about you over? 00:30:57.019 --> 00:30:58.819 Yeah, I'm going to go over. I want to see him 00:30:58.819 --> 00:31:00.619 get one. I feel like he might be able to build 00:31:00.619 --> 00:31:02.839 on that into the playoffs. Yeah. But again, the 00:31:02.839 --> 00:31:04.799 Ricky wall, right? That's real. Yeah. I mean, 00:31:04.859 --> 00:31:08.019 you know, he hopefully hits his a lot. a lot 00:31:08.019 --> 00:31:10.119 later than Deion Walker did because of the injury 00:31:10.119 --> 00:31:11.720 that he had earlier in the season. He missed 00:31:11.720 --> 00:31:15.259 some time, but I just, I think what is compounding 00:31:15.259 --> 00:31:18.259 right now, TJ Sanders overall performance is 00:31:18.259 --> 00:31:20.319 the fact he's playing out of position. So, all 00:31:20.319 --> 00:31:23.099 right, JJ, I got a wild prop out for you. We, 00:31:23.099 --> 00:31:25.880 we talked about how the Buffalo Bills and the 00:31:25.880 --> 00:31:28.599 Philadelphia Eagles love to run the ball almost 00:31:28.599 --> 00:31:30.960 more than anybody else in the league except the 00:31:30.960 --> 00:31:34.690 Baltimore Ravens, right? These are two teams. 00:31:34.869 --> 00:31:37.849 One is the reigning MVP. The other is fresh off 00:31:37.849 --> 00:31:40.950 a Superbowl. And neither team seems to want their 00:31:40.950 --> 00:31:42.849 quarterback to have to pass the ball at all. 00:31:43.430 --> 00:31:48.529 For under 39 and a half combined pass attempts 00:31:48.529 --> 00:31:52.589 between Josh Allen and Jalen Hertz. So this, 00:31:52.589 --> 00:31:54.549 this would mean someone's like, if you're taking 00:31:54.549 --> 00:31:58.009 the under, it's like 20 to 19. And pass attempts 00:31:58.009 --> 00:32:00.369 in this game. Well, I mean, Josh Allen had 19 00:32:00.369 --> 00:32:02.609 pass attempts last week. So that's what I'm saying. 00:32:02.650 --> 00:32:05.829 It's not crazy. It's not. I'm going to say over 00:32:05.829 --> 00:32:08.089 because I do think that the sweaty nature of 00:32:08.089 --> 00:32:09.849 this somebody like there's going to be somebody 00:32:09.849 --> 00:32:12.029 with quick passing driving, trying to drive the 00:32:12.029 --> 00:32:14.109 ball to score at the end of the game. And that 00:32:14.109 --> 00:32:15.769 alone could be like seven or eight attempts. 00:32:15.769 --> 00:32:18.150 Right. Like one series near the end of the game 00:32:18.150 --> 00:32:20.990 could really push you up into the 20s. So I'm 00:32:20.990 --> 00:32:22.769 going to say over over the thirty nine and a 00:32:22.769 --> 00:32:24.329 half. I'm going to say it's going to be at least 00:32:24.329 --> 00:32:27.900 40. I'm a sicko, man. I'm going under. I'm going 00:32:27.900 --> 00:32:29.920 under on this game. I'm going to, I'm even, I'm 00:32:29.920 --> 00:32:31.740 even going to give you a number to go off of. 00:32:31.859 --> 00:32:34.299 I'm going to say Josh Allen has 20 pass attempts. 00:32:34.420 --> 00:32:37.099 I'm going to say Jalen Hertz has 17. Yeah. Okay. 00:32:37.579 --> 00:32:40.400 Yeah. Wow. I, both of these, neither of these 00:32:40.400 --> 00:32:43.460 teams are good against the run. And I think both 00:32:43.460 --> 00:32:45.160 of these offensive coordinators are going to 00:32:45.160 --> 00:32:46.680 want to run the hell out of the ball, right? 00:32:47.019 --> 00:32:49.299 So yeah, it's going to be over so fast to this 00:32:49.299 --> 00:32:51.039 kid going to be a fat, which is great because 00:32:51.039 --> 00:32:53.799 this is a four 25 PM kick. Oh, it's four 25. 00:32:53.980 --> 00:32:56.700 Yep. It's a four 25 PM kick, I believe. So like 00:32:56.700 --> 00:32:58.579 I'll have plenty of time to watch the game and 00:32:58.579 --> 00:32:59.980 then get my kids to bed, which will be awesome. 00:33:00.140 --> 00:33:01.819 There you go. Yeah, there it is. There it is. 00:33:02.009 --> 00:33:04.029 All right, JJ. Well, I'm glad you had a great 00:33:04.029 --> 00:33:05.769 holiday. Hopefully all of you listening at home 00:33:05.769 --> 00:33:07.990 had a great holiday as well. And for all of you 00:33:07.990 --> 00:33:09.630 listening at home, as always, like, share and 00:33:09.630 --> 00:33:11.630 subscribe wherever get your pods. We're on YouTube, 00:33:11.809 --> 00:33:14.250 Apple and Spotify. And as always, go Bills. Go 00:33:14.250 --> 00:33:14.609 Bills.