WEBVTT 00:00:00.949 --> 00:00:03.770 Welcome back to the Buffalo Bread Podcast. Dan 00:00:03.770 --> 00:00:07.450 and JJ here to recap Week 15 against the New 00:00:07.450 --> 00:00:12.410 England Patriots up there in Baston. And holy 00:00:12.410 --> 00:00:18.390 crap, Dan. It was a tale of two halves, as were 00:00:18.390 --> 00:00:21.350 so many of the Bills games this year. We haven't 00:00:21.350 --> 00:00:22.609 heard from Brandon. I haven't heard from Brandon. 00:00:23.230 --> 00:00:25.719 I heard from Brandon. How's Brandon doing? Yeah, 00:00:25.719 --> 00:00:28.839 he's he's okay. We had actually a very irrational 00:00:28.839 --> 00:00:31.760 discourse over text after that game So yeah, 00:00:31.760 --> 00:00:33.560 that's what I like about Brandon chill dude, 00:00:33.719 --> 00:00:35.799 like watches the game for what it is like never 00:00:35.799 --> 00:00:37.979 gets overly emotional Yeah, definitely a good 00:00:37.979 --> 00:00:40.060 hang even though he doesn't root for the proper 00:00:40.060 --> 00:00:43.439 team Recognizes that the pets still probably 00:00:43.439 --> 00:00:44.939 have the division. It's just gonna take them 00:00:44.939 --> 00:00:48.259 a little bit longer. Exactly Yeah, so but I mean 00:00:48.259 --> 00:00:51.060 it was definitely I'm I will fully admit it. 00:00:51.060 --> 00:00:54.450 I was I was doom mafia I was Doom Mafia the first 00:00:54.450 --> 00:00:57.310 half. I was I was in the the, you know, game 00:00:57.310 --> 00:00:59.350 thread on Reddit being like, fuck everybody. 00:00:59.509 --> 00:01:02.770 Oh, my God. We're the worst team that's ever 00:01:02.770 --> 00:01:05.870 lived. They're wasting Josh Allen's talent. Keon 00:01:05.870 --> 00:01:08.989 Coleman's a scrub. You know, like I was a dude. 00:01:09.129 --> 00:01:13.049 I was off. I was off the hinges. I what did I 00:01:13.049 --> 00:01:15.409 say? Oh, one of my top comments that actually 00:01:15.409 --> 00:01:17.090 got up, dude, did a couple of times, which is 00:01:17.090 --> 00:01:18.790 rare because it's always just a stream of consciousness 00:01:18.790 --> 00:01:21.450 for everybody. Was that quicker? So was a massive 00:01:21.450 --> 00:01:24.290 overpay and a complete failure of a pick. You're 00:01:24.290 --> 00:01:27.269 probably still not wrong. No, I had a sack in 00:01:27.269 --> 00:01:28.890 this game, but you're probably still not wrong. 00:01:29.430 --> 00:01:31.989 Yeah, but it was like I was just watching him 00:01:31.989 --> 00:01:34.510 just do literally nothing every step and being 00:01:34.510 --> 00:01:36.689 like, well, he's not injured. There's nothing 00:01:36.689 --> 00:01:42.469 to explain why he sucks. So it was. I was with 00:01:42.469 --> 00:01:45.549 you, Bill's Mafia. I was with you through it 00:01:45.549 --> 00:01:48.670 all. It was a roller coaster. Over, under, JJ. 00:01:48.909 --> 00:01:52.510 7 .4 million regrettable tweets sent out by Bill's 00:01:52.510 --> 00:01:55.310 Mafia in the first half of that game. Over by 00:01:55.310 --> 00:01:59.349 10 million. Over. So far over. But I mean, listen, 00:02:00.109 --> 00:02:03.890 the frustration was justified. And this is the 00:02:03.890 --> 00:02:07.209 thing, dude. And I've gone through all my notes 00:02:07.209 --> 00:02:09.729 from that game, all my observations. I've rewatched 00:02:09.729 --> 00:02:12.629 a couple of key sets. I don't know what it is, 00:02:12.629 --> 00:02:14.789 particularly about the defensive side of the 00:02:14.789 --> 00:02:16.909 ball, because the offensive play calling to me 00:02:16.909 --> 00:02:19.509 and the schematics didn't change from half one 00:02:19.509 --> 00:02:21.669 to half two. It was just better execution by 00:02:21.669 --> 00:02:23.870 the bills. I don't know what it is about the 00:02:23.870 --> 00:02:25.669 first half of games with this bill's defense 00:02:25.669 --> 00:02:28.870 that they wait to do the things that we all know 00:02:28.870 --> 00:02:31.849 are going to be successful for them for a team 00:02:31.849 --> 00:02:34.509 that doesn't have a lot of elite personnel for 00:02:34.509 --> 00:02:38.189 a team that really has. genuine schematic disadvantages 00:02:38.189 --> 00:02:41.150 against other teams. There are levers that they 00:02:41.150 --> 00:02:43.909 can pull, albeit limited that they just wait 00:02:43.909 --> 00:02:47.090 to pull until the second half. I thought for 00:02:47.090 --> 00:02:49.030 sure they were going to light up Drake may with, 00:02:49.189 --> 00:02:52.030 with some sort of blitzing pressure, right? Make 00:02:52.030 --> 00:02:56.150 a young QB in a high leverage moment. Try to 00:02:56.150 --> 00:02:58.289 identify where the blitz is coming from. Where 00:02:58.289 --> 00:03:00.990 is the pressure coming from? Because the McDaniel's 00:03:00.990 --> 00:03:04.759 offense. is very tailored to a QB who can get 00:03:04.759 --> 00:03:07.819 to the line of scrimmage, identify coverage patterns, 00:03:07.819 --> 00:03:10.500 and then understand where his route availability 00:03:10.500 --> 00:03:13.740 is going to be. It's not what Josh is being asked 00:03:13.740 --> 00:03:15.819 to do, or even what Trevor Lawrence is now being 00:03:15.819 --> 00:03:18.400 asked to do in the Liam Coleman offense in Jacksonville, 00:03:18.680 --> 00:03:20.780 where you're calling out different, different 00:03:20.780 --> 00:03:23.500 markers and different potential blitzers and 00:03:23.500 --> 00:03:26.139 adjusting all this, all the, all of your protections 00:03:26.139 --> 00:03:28.639 at the line of scrimmage. Like Drake Maywell, 00:03:28.659 --> 00:03:30.919 as good as he is, is not doing a lot of the pre 00:03:30.919 --> 00:03:33.740 -stats. snap stuffs because McDaniels isn't asking 00:03:33.740 --> 00:03:36.939 him to. So it seemed ripe with opportunity JJ 00:03:36.939 --> 00:03:38.759 all throughout that game for the Bills to take 00:03:38.759 --> 00:03:42.020 advantage of that. And they did, but only after 00:03:42.020 --> 00:03:45.060 they spotted the Patriots a 21 point lead. I 00:03:45.060 --> 00:03:47.400 just don't get, I don't get it. I don't get why 00:03:47.400 --> 00:03:49.800 it takes them so long to get this defense going 00:03:49.800 --> 00:03:52.840 in games. Well, it's interesting because, you 00:03:52.840 --> 00:03:55.039 know, I think that the conversation I was having 00:03:55.039 --> 00:03:59.289 during the second half was like, I guess you'd 00:03:59.289 --> 00:04:01.490 rather have a second half team than a first half 00:04:01.490 --> 00:04:03.030 team, right? Like everyone would rather have 00:04:03.030 --> 00:04:05.310 the team. What's wrong with a four quarter team? 00:04:05.490 --> 00:04:06.990 What's wrong with that? There's nothing wrong 00:04:06.990 --> 00:04:09.229 with a four quarter team. Dan, the problem is 00:04:09.229 --> 00:04:11.909 with this Bill's team, if this Bill's team plays 00:04:11.909 --> 00:04:14.069 like Josh Allen in the fourth quarter for four 00:04:14.069 --> 00:04:17.310 quarters, they'll win every game 114 to zero. 00:04:17.589 --> 00:04:20.410 And like, that was fine. I would love that. But 00:04:20.410 --> 00:04:25.089 that's okay, JJ. That's fine. So yeah, no, it's 00:04:25.089 --> 00:04:28.569 it's wacky because, you know, I saw exactly what 00:04:28.569 --> 00:04:30.329 you did. They were heating them up with blitzes. 00:04:30.329 --> 00:04:32.990 They were, you know, disguising things. They 00:04:32.990 --> 00:04:34.389 were rotating safeties and they were doing all 00:04:34.389 --> 00:04:35.910 in the second half. In the first half, they were 00:04:35.910 --> 00:04:39.310 sort of vanilla. It was very even. It was like 00:04:39.310 --> 00:04:42.550 preseason vanilla. Yes. And they were out of 00:04:42.550 --> 00:04:45.189 and while being vanilla, they were also out of 00:04:45.189 --> 00:04:47.850 position. So I feel like they potentially came 00:04:47.850 --> 00:04:49.170 into the game being like, we're going to play 00:04:49.170 --> 00:04:51.629 our fundamentals strong. And then after they're 00:04:51.629 --> 00:04:54.740 like, well, that didn't work. Let's. dump the 00:04:54.740 --> 00:04:57.000 freaking junk drawer on the table and filter 00:04:57.000 --> 00:04:58.899 through what's there, right? And so that's kind 00:04:58.899 --> 00:05:01.180 of where the junk drawer approach is what I think 00:05:01.180 --> 00:05:04.120 the second half defense is to be explained. Well, 00:05:04.120 --> 00:05:06.120 and they didn't, they didn't even get a huge 00:05:06.120 --> 00:05:08.220 pressure rate on Drake May. Like he's been sitting 00:05:08.220 --> 00:05:11.199 at about 30 % this season because we know that 00:05:11.199 --> 00:05:13.319 New England offensive line has had its issues. 00:05:13.800 --> 00:05:17.040 They only got about a 17 .4 % pressure rate on 00:05:17.040 --> 00:05:18.920 Drake May in this game, according to next gen 00:05:18.920 --> 00:05:21.459 stats, but it felt like they made the pressure 00:05:21.459 --> 00:05:24.240 count. They were either making him hold onto 00:05:24.240 --> 00:05:26.879 the ball too long or he was taking sacks. They 00:05:26.879 --> 00:05:29.420 sacked him three times in this game. So they 00:05:29.420 --> 00:05:32.670 were, the pressure was I will say this, it was 00:05:32.670 --> 00:05:35.449 Jerry Hughes effective. You had a lot of guys 00:05:35.449 --> 00:05:39.110 on that defensive line with effort in the pressure 00:05:39.110 --> 00:05:41.550 game against Drake May that will not show up 00:05:41.550 --> 00:05:43.829 in the stat box. And I think for the first time 00:05:43.829 --> 00:05:46.730 all season to me, that was effective enough for 00:05:46.730 --> 00:05:48.850 the Bills to get to an opposing QB in the way 00:05:48.850 --> 00:05:52.910 that they did. I just, I don't understand why 00:05:52.910 --> 00:05:55.870 it has to take them so long. JJ, do you think 00:05:55.870 --> 00:05:57.829 McDermott was calling plays in the second half? 00:05:57.959 --> 00:06:00.120 Because I absolutely do. I saw him roll out in 00:06:00.120 --> 00:06:02.019 the second half with the place play call sheet. 00:06:02.699 --> 00:06:06.480 And I think it's as simple as McDermott and high 00:06:06.480 --> 00:06:08.319 leverage moments are starting to call place for 00:06:08.319 --> 00:06:10.259 the defense. Taking play calling over. Well, 00:06:10.300 --> 00:06:12.199 and I think that we did. It was the same thing 00:06:12.199 --> 00:06:14.680 in the second half against the Houston Texans. 00:06:14.699 --> 00:06:18.560 I feel like maybe he lets Bobby Babich call the 00:06:18.560 --> 00:06:20.899 game to start the game, but then just yanks it 00:06:20.899 --> 00:06:24.040 back any time like this. Well, and like that's 00:06:24.040 --> 00:06:27.189 the thing, too, is like, I feel like. In the 00:06:27.189 --> 00:06:29.310 event that this this kind of trend keeps going 00:06:29.310 --> 00:06:31.730 I think it's almost guaranteed that Bobby Babich 00:06:31.730 --> 00:06:35.009 will be leaving this team in the offseason, right? 00:06:35.050 --> 00:06:37.889 Like I think Sean McDermott respects him too 00:06:37.889 --> 00:06:39.870 much. They have he respects his dad too much 00:06:39.870 --> 00:06:42.889 They have too much of a rapport over the years 00:06:42.889 --> 00:06:46.529 for him to unceremoniously like can him midseason 00:06:46.529 --> 00:06:49.449 But I think he may just take play calling away 00:06:49.449 --> 00:06:53.009 from him repeatedly when they need to and then 00:06:53.009 --> 00:06:56.449 eventually just like, you know, the mutual part 00:06:56.449 --> 00:07:00.769 ways type thing. And it's interesting because 00:07:00.769 --> 00:07:04.550 from what we know of Bobby Babich as a position 00:07:04.550 --> 00:07:09.149 coach, I wonder if he'll ever be a solid play 00:07:09.149 --> 00:07:11.490 caller in the NFL. And I wonder how much of it 00:07:11.490 --> 00:07:14.670 is his ability to play call and how much of it 00:07:14.670 --> 00:07:18.100 is the scheme that is not his. to design, right? 00:07:18.139 --> 00:07:20.319 Like it's, we all know it's Sean McDermott's 00:07:20.319 --> 00:07:23.180 defense. Like that is the thing. And so I wonder 00:07:23.180 --> 00:07:26.180 how much of it is, is Bobby Babich a terrible 00:07:26.180 --> 00:07:29.199 play caller or is Sean McDermott's scheme such 00:07:29.199 --> 00:07:31.829 that Bobby Babich isn't good at calling it? But 00:07:31.829 --> 00:07:34.569 Sean McDermott is, I think it's probably a little 00:07:34.569 --> 00:07:36.970 bit of mix of both. And I think Babbage is a 00:07:36.970 --> 00:07:40.730 really smart coach. Like we were very excited 00:07:40.730 --> 00:07:43.550 because he was out there interviewing for DC 00:07:43.550 --> 00:07:45.930 positions. He interviewed with Miami before Anthony 00:07:45.930 --> 00:07:48.769 Weaver got that job. He was out there coveted 00:07:48.769 --> 00:07:51.449 by other teams because I think people realize 00:07:51.449 --> 00:07:54.490 that he is a young ascendant defensive mind. 00:07:54.670 --> 00:07:58.149 I think. Where he is at with play calling is 00:07:58.149 --> 00:08:00.730 just he doesn't have enough reps under his belt 00:08:00.730 --> 00:08:03.750 And when you have the personnel that the Buffalo 00:08:03.750 --> 00:08:07.329 Bills do which is to your point Personnel that 00:08:07.329 --> 00:08:10.329 is built for what Sean McDermott wants to do 00:08:10.329 --> 00:08:13.569 with this defense and not necessarily where your 00:08:13.569 --> 00:08:16.689 mind thinks It should be applied. I can definitely 00:08:16.689 --> 00:08:19.269 see that kind of holding him back and it being 00:08:19.269 --> 00:08:22.899 a struggle I don't want to I want to see him 00:08:22.899 --> 00:08:24.459 lose play calling because I just don't think 00:08:24.459 --> 00:08:26.819 the chops are there. But also when you asked 00:08:26.819 --> 00:08:29.019 me, should, do I think he should be jettisoned 00:08:29.019 --> 00:08:32.240 from the team? He brings a ton of value as a 00:08:32.240 --> 00:08:34.320 positional coach, like that linebacker room. 00:08:34.679 --> 00:08:36.740 He maximized every bit of talent out of that 00:08:36.740 --> 00:08:39.860 room for years with the squad. I don't just because 00:08:39.860 --> 00:08:42.559 he can't do this one thing at a high level doesn't 00:08:42.559 --> 00:08:44.159 mean there isn't more value that he still brings 00:08:44.159 --> 00:08:46.559 to the team. I'm I'm legitimately conflicted 00:08:46.559 --> 00:08:48.399 about Babbage because I don't think he should 00:08:48.399 --> 00:08:50.919 call any more plays, but I also don't want to 00:08:50.919 --> 00:08:53.620 lose him either, if that makes sense. And is 00:08:53.620 --> 00:08:55.179 it the kind of thing where it's like one of those 00:08:55.179 --> 00:08:58.779 like. weird offseason shuffles that coaching 00:08:58.779 --> 00:09:01.879 staffs do where like, oh, Bobby Babich is the, 00:09:01.879 --> 00:09:04.039 you know, assistant head coach and defensive 00:09:04.039 --> 00:09:07.019 coordinator doesn't play calls anymore. They 00:09:07.019 --> 00:09:09.700 elevate the defensive line coach that they brought 00:09:09.700 --> 00:09:12.700 in who was formerly a DC and make him like the 00:09:12.700 --> 00:09:14.700 game day defensive coordinator. You know, like 00:09:14.700 --> 00:09:16.700 they do some of those weird kind of jumble things 00:09:16.700 --> 00:09:19.460 where people don't get pay cuts. They don't lose 00:09:19.460 --> 00:09:21.659 titles, but they kind of had their responsibilities 00:09:21.659 --> 00:09:23.950 are moved around to a point where it's. Sean 00:09:23.950 --> 00:09:25.690 McDermott calling the plays and he's got a couple 00:09:25.690 --> 00:09:27.649 of assistants helping him with, you know, the 00:09:27.649 --> 00:09:30.230 head coaching stuff on game day. Yep, for sure. 00:09:31.889 --> 00:09:34.450 Someone who I don't think is going to have any 00:09:34.450 --> 00:09:37.769 of their responsibilities reshuffled is one Josh 00:09:37.769 --> 00:09:41.230 Allen. Another Winter Soldier, masterful type 00:09:41.230 --> 00:09:44.110 of game. And when you juxtapose it with how inept 00:09:44.110 --> 00:09:46.809 the first half was, up until that first touchdown 00:09:46.809 --> 00:09:49.750 score passed to James Cook at the end of the 00:09:49.750 --> 00:09:53.509 first half, he had a net negative passing yardage 00:09:53.509 --> 00:09:57.330 of minus two yards. all the way back finishes 00:09:57.330 --> 00:09:59.370 with, I think three total touchdowns in this 00:09:59.370 --> 00:10:01.809 particular game would have been four, which would 00:10:01.809 --> 00:10:04.870 have given him 300 for his career. Sadly, we're 00:10:04.870 --> 00:10:06.830 going to have to wait one more, one more game 00:10:06.830 --> 00:10:09.230 for him to get that. But JJ, just another great 00:10:09.230 --> 00:10:12.210 game from Josh Allen and the way he's seeing 00:10:12.210 --> 00:10:15.570 the field, the way no moment, no deficit feels 00:10:15.570 --> 00:10:19.929 too big for him. Are you buying into after this 00:10:19.929 --> 00:10:22.620 game? The Buffalo Bills now officially without 00:10:22.620 --> 00:10:25.120 my homes, now officially without Joe Burrow in 00:10:25.120 --> 00:10:27.860 the postseason and looking very likely that there's 00:10:27.860 --> 00:10:30.860 no Lamar Jackson. Are you buying into this is 00:10:30.860 --> 00:10:32.440 the year for the Buffalo Bills to make their 00:10:32.440 --> 00:10:35.779 run? I've been buying into that since we saw 00:10:35.779 --> 00:10:39.080 the Chiefs and Ravens floundering in the middle 00:10:39.080 --> 00:10:42.620 of the season. I've been the resistance through 00:10:42.620 --> 00:10:46.840 the playoffs. Is is minor like I always thought 00:10:46.840 --> 00:10:49.240 the Patriots were a real team and I still do 00:10:49.240 --> 00:10:51.019 I think they're a real team They're a well coached 00:10:51.019 --> 00:10:55.580 team. They play pretty good consistent ball And 00:10:55.580 --> 00:10:57.679 I think I think that they could give the bills 00:10:57.679 --> 00:11:02.169 fits I just Drake may is not at that level yet 00:11:02.169 --> 00:11:04.429 when it comes to the QB versus Q whose whose 00:11:04.429 --> 00:11:06.929 guy is better in critical of clutch moments Drake 00:11:06.929 --> 00:11:10.009 Nate Drake may is not that guy yet, and he very 00:11:10.009 --> 00:11:12.289 well could be I think that Drake may was a little 00:11:12.289 --> 00:11:16.250 bit let down by McDaniel's play calling and the 00:11:16.250 --> 00:11:18.090 fact that they only ran the ball three times 00:11:18.090 --> 00:11:21.470 in the second half was a travesty for the Patriots 00:11:21.470 --> 00:11:24.669 fans because They were crushing the Bills with 00:11:24.669 --> 00:11:27.549 the run one of those three runs was a 65 yard 00:11:27.549 --> 00:11:31.590 TD like holding or not right like that was a 00:11:31.590 --> 00:11:34.769 that would they just ripped that thing and so 00:11:34.769 --> 00:11:37.009 Cole Bishop was having a pretty terrible game 00:11:37.009 --> 00:11:40.909 it with his run fits and Max Harrison was a struggle 00:11:40.909 --> 00:11:43.769 max yeah Max Harrison was struggling Shaq Thompson 00:11:43.769 --> 00:11:46.090 I think missed five tackles which is rare for 00:11:46.090 --> 00:11:48.269 him it was a really really rough game for him 00:11:48.269 --> 00:11:51.259 he was out of position pass coverage too I think 00:11:51.259 --> 00:11:53.720 I posted this on socials a couple of times in 00:11:53.720 --> 00:11:57.600 our accounts for Darian Lowe erased Shaq Thompson 00:11:57.600 --> 00:12:00.659 multiple times at the second level in this game. 00:12:01.179 --> 00:12:03.980 And to me, JJ, I feel like that that's the continued 00:12:03.980 --> 00:12:06.960 vulnerability for this team. Like, we know how 00:12:06.960 --> 00:12:09.399 this team is going to lose, right? They don't 00:12:09.399 --> 00:12:14.340 fit the run well. They're relying on. Uh, Phoenix 00:12:14.340 --> 00:12:17.179 like rebirth of Shaq Thompson after an injury 00:12:17.179 --> 00:12:19.360 riddled campaign with Carolina the past couple 00:12:19.360 --> 00:12:21.840 of years, but like a lot of this stuff feels 00:12:21.840 --> 00:12:24.820 like a grain of sand type of situation where 00:12:24.820 --> 00:12:27.940 if one thing goes wrong, IE, you can't rely on 00:12:27.940 --> 00:12:31.620 Shaq Thompson to fit the run or a team like Houston. 00:12:31.879 --> 00:12:34.179 or a team like what New England did here in the 00:12:34.179 --> 00:12:36.940 first half of this game, makes your DBs try to 00:12:36.940 --> 00:12:39.080 fit the run. And we know that, yes, Benford's 00:12:39.080 --> 00:12:41.320 reliable at that. That's never been Trey White's 00:12:41.320 --> 00:12:43.460 game. And Max Harrison is still figuring that 00:12:43.460 --> 00:12:47.259 stuff out. It feels like, it feels like there 00:12:47.259 --> 00:12:49.919 are real disadvantages that still persist with 00:12:49.919 --> 00:12:52.519 this Buffalo Bills team that make me hesitate, 00:12:52.620 --> 00:12:55.500 even though we have, there's no, not even debatable. 00:12:55.879 --> 00:12:59.789 We'll have the most experienced. postseason QB 00:12:59.789 --> 00:13:03.409 aside from Aaron Rodgers on our side in this 00:13:03.409 --> 00:13:06.149 draw in the playoffs. Also, maybe Philip Rivers, 00:13:06.490 --> 00:13:09.889 but we can talk about. Oh, God. Oh, God. So, 00:13:09.889 --> 00:13:13.289 yeah, I think to your point before and kind of 00:13:13.289 --> 00:13:17.690 to finish my thought, I, I, I have been since 00:13:17.690 --> 00:13:21.169 probably week eight, nine, 10, maybe I have been. 00:13:21.880 --> 00:13:24.919 thinking if the Bills can secure their spot in 00:13:24.919 --> 00:13:28.399 the playoffs, they are going to have the best 00:13:28.399 --> 00:13:30.980 quarterback, the best playoff quarterback of 00:13:30.980 --> 00:13:33.500 the entire field, with the exception of maybe 00:13:33.500 --> 00:13:36.039 somebody on the NFC side, Matt Stafford, right? 00:13:36.360 --> 00:13:38.820 Stafford, yeah. They will have the most, you 00:13:38.820 --> 00:13:41.399 know, battle tested and most skilled quarterback 00:13:41.399 --> 00:13:45.600 of the whole field. And so, you know, it's the 00:13:45.600 --> 00:13:49.470 kind of thing where if somebody knocks the Rams 00:13:49.470 --> 00:13:52.710 out at some point on the NFC side. It could be 00:13:52.710 --> 00:13:55.330 a Josh Allen. Josh Allen could be the only quarterback 00:13:55.330 --> 00:13:58.190 left who knows how to get it done in crunch time 00:13:58.190 --> 00:14:02.110 like that. So, I mean, it's interesting. I do, 00:14:02.330 --> 00:14:05.570 you know, there are matchups for the Bills, you 00:14:05.570 --> 00:14:08.289 know, Houston at Houston that I'm not excited 00:14:08.289 --> 00:14:14.789 about. But I feel very good about the fact that 00:14:15.399 --> 00:14:17.679 As soon as the game wrapped for the Bills, it 00:14:17.679 --> 00:14:19.519 switched to the Chiefs just in time for me to 00:14:19.519 --> 00:14:22.620 watch Patrick Mahomes blow his ACL, which I don't 00:14:22.620 --> 00:14:27.980 wish for injuries ever. But to see a despondent 00:14:27.980 --> 00:14:30.299 Chiefs team in general, not injury related, but 00:14:30.299 --> 00:14:32.340 rather out of the playoffs related, that was 00:14:32.340 --> 00:14:34.779 just delicious. That just made my a peach of 00:14:34.779 --> 00:14:37.559 a Sunday. Right. To have Chris Jones at the post 00:14:37.559 --> 00:14:40.039 game podium say, well, we got we were still fighting 00:14:40.039 --> 00:14:40.940 and they're like, you're out of the playoffs. 00:14:41.039 --> 00:14:43.679 He's like, oh, we got a playoffs. Well, you know 00:14:43.679 --> 00:14:46.559 like that was amazing like they did it's clear 00:14:46.559 --> 00:14:49.000 that the the coaching Safdini even prepped them 00:14:49.000 --> 00:14:51.059 for that that potential outcome You know what? 00:14:51.080 --> 00:14:53.039 I mean, they're just not a situation. They're 00:14:53.039 --> 00:14:54.879 used to being in for sure They don't know how 00:14:54.879 --> 00:14:56.820 to live in that space, right? This will be the 00:14:56.820 --> 00:14:58.940 first AFC championship game in five years that 00:14:58.940 --> 00:15:01.860 Patrick Wilhelms has not been in exactly exactly 00:15:01.860 --> 00:15:05.059 So JJ the Buffalo Bills here live and die with 00:15:05.120 --> 00:15:07.600 with playing two quarters at a time. They are 00:15:07.600 --> 00:15:10.980 like the Vin Diesel, Fast and Furious version 00:15:10.980 --> 00:15:13.399 of a football team where they live in the shortest 00:15:13.399 --> 00:15:16.279 possible intervals to make their highest leverage 00:15:16.279 --> 00:15:19.039 plays. Joey Bosa has some great splash plays, 00:15:19.259 --> 00:15:22.840 also some great pressures in this game too. Lots 00:15:22.840 --> 00:15:24.700 of takeaways from this game that I think we can 00:15:24.700 --> 00:15:27.340 extrapolate, not just the Bills next matchup 00:15:27.340 --> 00:15:29.799 against Cleveland, but also as we've been doing, 00:15:29.879 --> 00:15:32.539 kind of future into the playoffs. One thing I 00:15:32.539 --> 00:15:34.929 want to note here, because it costs me winning 00:15:34.929 --> 00:15:37.529 that prop that I made with you and Brandon, the 00:15:37.529 --> 00:15:39.909 over under I put on wide receiver catches for 00:15:39.909 --> 00:15:42.570 this Buffalo bill squad was five and a half for 00:15:42.570 --> 00:15:45.250 this game. And you guys were like too low, too 00:15:45.250 --> 00:15:49.250 low. There's no way it was six, but I will argue 00:15:49.250 --> 00:15:51.730 it should have been five because as pretty as 00:15:51.730 --> 00:15:54.669 that pass was to Khalil Shakir that was ruled 00:15:54.669 --> 00:15:58.169 a catch and then also ruled PI. I am not a hundred 00:15:58.169 --> 00:16:01.090 percent sure. Coel Shakir had possession of that 00:16:01.090 --> 00:16:03.090 ball. The PI was a real thing, but I don't think 00:16:03.090 --> 00:16:06.450 he did. But I just want to point out that technically 00:16:06.450 --> 00:16:09.649 I think it was really just five and I was correct. 00:16:09.789 --> 00:16:12.269 But so that begs the question because we're walking 00:16:12.269 --> 00:16:14.149 into a Cleveland Browns game and we'll get into 00:16:14.149 --> 00:16:16.649 a full full blown preview in a second. Walking 00:16:16.649 --> 00:16:19.529 into a Browns game where they've been susceptible 00:16:19.529 --> 00:16:24.000 by DVOA to number two wide receivers. but they 00:16:24.000 --> 00:16:26.519 defend tight ends really, really well. And they 00:16:26.519 --> 00:16:29.179 defend your primary wide receiver option really 00:16:29.179 --> 00:16:32.019 well too. This is a game where, and they're a 00:16:32.019 --> 00:16:34.779 good run defense. This is a game where it feels 00:16:34.779 --> 00:16:37.539 like you would want a couple of wide receivers 00:16:37.539 --> 00:16:40.240 to step up and do something if you're going to 00:16:40.240 --> 00:16:42.220 be the best version of your offense against this 00:16:42.220 --> 00:16:45.539 wildly successful defense. JJ, what was your 00:16:45.539 --> 00:16:48.320 impression of the Buffalo Bills wide outs in 00:16:48.320 --> 00:16:50.659 this particular game? We know they block, right? 00:16:50.759 --> 00:16:53.100 But the only wide receivers that were targeted 00:16:53.100 --> 00:16:57.279 in this game were Shakir and Josh Palmer. Brandon 00:16:57.279 --> 00:17:01.320 Cooks also had three targets in this game, most 00:17:01.320 --> 00:17:04.359 notably the bobble catch that was overturned. 00:17:04.460 --> 00:17:06.400 But then Shavers and Kian Coleman, no official 00:17:06.400 --> 00:17:08.599 targets because the one target we saw to Coleman 00:17:08.599 --> 00:17:13.289 was ruled defensive pass interference. Is there 00:17:13.289 --> 00:17:15.289 a formula for success that you have seen based 00:17:15.289 --> 00:17:17.230 on this game where the Buffalo Bills can really 00:17:17.230 --> 00:17:21.390 live with only three viable wide receiver options? 00:17:23.309 --> 00:17:26.609 Yes, and I can't believe I'm saying it, but it 00:17:26.609 --> 00:17:32.329 is a lineup of Josh Palmer, Gabe Davis and Khalil 00:17:32.329 --> 00:17:34.940 Shakir. Like it is that those are the three, 00:17:35.220 --> 00:17:36.980 you know, three wide receiver set. Those are 00:17:36.980 --> 00:17:38.859 the three people on the field for me where I'm 00:17:38.859 --> 00:17:41.539 like, we have a chance of making something happen 00:17:41.539 --> 00:17:44.920 to an outside receiver or that is crazy to say. 00:17:45.119 --> 00:17:46.900 I didn't think anything of Gabe Davis being a 00:17:46.900 --> 00:17:48.839 healthy scratch for this game because it felt, 00:17:49.119 --> 00:17:51.900 it feels like they, they want him on the playoff 00:17:51.900 --> 00:17:54.759 roster. This felt more like an audition for Ken 00:17:54.759 --> 00:17:57.140 Coleman. And it felt like Coleman really, really 00:17:57.140 --> 00:18:00.789 failed. Failed it. Yeah. Lazy routes again. Yeah 00:18:00.789 --> 00:18:04.130 lazy routes decent. I guess run blocking but 00:18:04.130 --> 00:18:06.150 nothing spectacular That's what I don't get. 00:18:06.289 --> 00:18:08.609 He does he does like try to block his butt off 00:18:08.609 --> 00:18:11.410 He's not Tyrell shavers right shavers is like 00:18:11.410 --> 00:18:14.390 mall and he's very good at it. Yeah. Yes He is 00:18:14.390 --> 00:18:17.630 like he is like a lanky offensive lineman with 00:18:17.630 --> 00:18:19.730 the way he blocks this technique is really sound 00:18:19.730 --> 00:18:22.950 like but Coleman's pretty game But it just feels 00:18:22.950 --> 00:18:25.029 like they are gonna do this with the smallest 00:18:25.029 --> 00:18:28.400 rotation possible after bringing in the everybody 00:18:28.400 --> 00:18:31.019 eats mantra last year. Yeah. Yeah. And I think 00:18:31.019 --> 00:18:33.380 that that's the for me, that's the picture going 00:18:33.380 --> 00:18:36.059 forward. I don't like I don't like Keon Coleman 00:18:36.059 --> 00:18:39.259 steps over Gabe Davis, which just sounds terrible. 00:18:39.440 --> 00:18:41.619 But I've just seen more from Gabe Davis as a 00:18:41.619 --> 00:18:43.960 route runner, as a reliable chemistry option 00:18:43.960 --> 00:18:47.460 for Josh Allen. And we know Gabe Davis is not 00:18:47.460 --> 00:18:49.000 only a willing blocker, because that's the thing. 00:18:49.160 --> 00:18:50.880 Keon Coleman looks like a willing blocker. He 00:18:50.880 --> 00:18:52.940 looks like he puts energy into it. He's just 00:18:52.940 --> 00:18:56.140 really, really poor at it most of the time. He 00:18:56.140 --> 00:18:58.809 had I love bringing up the Seattle Seahawks game 00:18:58.809 --> 00:19:00.509 because that was the one flash where we're like, 00:19:00.630 --> 00:19:02.690 oh my gosh, this guy could be what they were 00:19:02.690 --> 00:19:05.970 hoping for. But that other than that game and 00:19:05.970 --> 00:19:07.650 maybe a couple of their snaps in a few other 00:19:07.650 --> 00:19:10.630 games, he doesn't look like he knows how to position 00:19:10.630 --> 00:19:13.089 his body, how to drop his hips, how to like actually 00:19:13.089 --> 00:19:16.029 push a push a person or square off or square 00:19:16.029 --> 00:19:18.890 out a block as a wide receiver. Like blocking 00:19:18.890 --> 00:19:22.390 in space is it's more about basketball than football, 00:19:22.390 --> 00:19:25.240 which shocks me that he's not good at it. Because 00:19:25.240 --> 00:19:28.859 he's a basketball player, right? Yeah. I think 00:19:28.859 --> 00:19:33.240 the Bills putting some of these deep shots on 00:19:33.240 --> 00:19:35.640 film for Brandon Cooks is very intentional, too. 00:19:35.799 --> 00:19:37.720 Come postseason, they want teams to be afraid 00:19:37.720 --> 00:19:39.599 of this. They're eventually going to need to 00:19:39.599 --> 00:19:42.259 connect on some of that. It'll be interesting 00:19:42.259 --> 00:19:44.559 to see what happens when McColl Hardman comes 00:19:44.559 --> 00:19:47.099 back because his practice window is about to 00:19:47.099 --> 00:19:51.940 open up. It could very well be that a rotation 00:19:51.940 --> 00:19:55.420 that started With Curtis Samuel, with Elijah 00:19:55.420 --> 00:19:59.500 Moore and Keanu Coleman ends up being, uh, Khalil 00:19:59.500 --> 00:20:03.119 Shakir, Gabe Davis, no Keanu Coleman, McCole 00:20:03.119 --> 00:20:06.579 Hardman, and Brandon Cooks is like this four, 00:20:06.799 --> 00:20:10.019 this set of four type of wide receivers complimenting 00:20:10.019 --> 00:20:13.119 what has become a really solid receiving tight 00:20:13.119 --> 00:20:17.609 end duo. in Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid as 00:20:17.609 --> 00:20:19.829 well. JJ, that'll bring me to the last thing 00:20:19.829 --> 00:20:22.269 I want to ask you about this game. Buffalo Bill's 00:20:22.269 --> 00:20:25.190 play action rate in this game was 30%. Previous 00:20:25.190 --> 00:20:29.410 game against the Cincinnati Bengals, it was almost 00:20:29.410 --> 00:20:33.529 40%. And it was almost exclusively early down 00:20:33.529 --> 00:20:37.460 boot action to tight ends. Is this the final 00:20:37.460 --> 00:20:40.380 form of this passing offense to you? Where they're 00:20:40.380 --> 00:20:42.220 going to establish the run, they're going to 00:20:42.220 --> 00:20:46.400 be a 52 % run team versus a 48 % pass team, and 00:20:46.400 --> 00:20:48.819 this is a team that is going to spam play action 00:20:48.819 --> 00:20:50.460 to their tight ends in the middle of the field 00:20:50.460 --> 00:20:52.799 to take advantage of linebacker matchups. Is 00:20:52.799 --> 00:20:55.700 this the final form of the Bills offense to you 00:20:55.700 --> 00:20:58.619 that they'll carry into the postseason? I hope 00:20:58.619 --> 00:21:01.599 not. I hope they have one or two more wrinkles 00:21:01.599 --> 00:21:04.779 left because what we're seeing, the success we're 00:21:04.779 --> 00:21:08.000 seeing, the five straight drives with touchdowns 00:21:08.000 --> 00:21:10.599 that we're seeing against the Pats, the incredible 00:21:10.599 --> 00:21:12.880 second half success we saw against the Cincinnati 00:21:12.880 --> 00:21:16.779 Bengals on offense. A lot of it was showing tendencies 00:21:16.779 --> 00:21:19.579 and breaking them. It was play action on first 00:21:19.579 --> 00:21:21.240 down where they used to run every first down. 00:21:21.539 --> 00:21:24.779 It was, you know, show the like on a couple of 00:21:24.779 --> 00:21:28.000 the. on a critical third down conversion to Ty 00:21:28.000 --> 00:21:30.539 Johnson, they showed the whip screen to Khalil 00:21:30.539 --> 00:21:32.359 Shakir and then turned the other way and threw 00:21:32.359 --> 00:21:34.940 it to Ty Johnson. Like some of those tendency 00:21:34.940 --> 00:21:37.799 breaking plays are the ones that are showing 00:21:37.799 --> 00:21:40.720 up now. I hope they have one more pivot because 00:21:40.720 --> 00:21:44.569 if this is the final form, defenses. coach is 00:21:44.569 --> 00:21:46.369 too good in this league. They're going to figure 00:21:46.369 --> 00:21:48.890 that out. They're going to show those keys and 00:21:48.890 --> 00:21:49.950 they're going to be able, they're going to be 00:21:49.950 --> 00:21:52.390 able to cover both plays. Like it's not impossible 00:21:52.390 --> 00:21:55.309 for a defense to say, look here first, then they're 00:21:55.309 --> 00:21:58.269 like, here's your keys. Right. And so, um, I 00:21:58.269 --> 00:22:00.809 do hope that they have kind of some different, 00:22:00.950 --> 00:22:03.930 even if it's just Mitch mix up the formations, 00:22:03.930 --> 00:22:06.509 have some, have those types of plays. Cause you 00:22:06.509 --> 00:22:08.170 know, you're good at them run out of some different 00:22:08.170 --> 00:22:11.029 looks. Um, but I will say that, you know, what 00:22:11.029 --> 00:22:13.650 we've seen in You know, December, late November, 00:22:13.750 --> 00:22:15.789 December football from the Bills, with the exception 00:22:15.789 --> 00:22:19.630 of the Houston game, has been exceptional in 00:22:19.630 --> 00:22:22.309 terms of maintaining drives and letting Josh 00:22:22.309 --> 00:22:25.309 Allen do some things. I think also we know this 00:22:25.309 --> 00:22:27.369 is the case. It's happened every year for the 00:22:27.369 --> 00:22:30.150 past three years. When November, December and 00:22:30.150 --> 00:22:32.390 January hits, Josh Allen's allowed to do whatever 00:22:32.390 --> 00:22:34.690 he wants. And that's where the Bills are always 00:22:34.690 --> 00:22:36.829 the most dangerous. Absolutely. It's not it's 00:22:36.829 --> 00:22:39.130 not, you know, keep yourself healthy. Just don't 00:22:39.130 --> 00:22:40.710 take what the defense will give you with your 00:22:40.710 --> 00:22:43.170 legs. Just. eat the ball, throw it out of bounds, 00:22:43.289 --> 00:22:44.970 do it, you know, like live for another down. 00:22:45.349 --> 00:22:47.490 Now it's like crunch time, go for it, do whatever 00:22:47.490 --> 00:22:51.369 you need to. Yep, absolutely. JJ, you talking 00:22:51.369 --> 00:22:53.609 about the postseason is a perfect transition 00:22:53.609 --> 00:22:55.509 for us. Before we get into the Cleveland game. 00:22:56.670 --> 00:22:58.490 I have not started doing a ton of homework yet 00:22:58.490 --> 00:23:02.490 on the AFC side of the playoff card, other than 00:23:02.490 --> 00:23:04.190 the teams that the Bills have already played 00:23:04.190 --> 00:23:08.680 the Texans, the Patriots, the Steelers. real 00:23:08.680 --> 00:23:10.299 quick before we move on to Cleveland, because 00:23:10.299 --> 00:23:12.640 it looks like the Bills are going to make the 00:23:12.640 --> 00:23:15.480 postseason. They're now in that time in the calendar 00:23:15.480 --> 00:23:18.380 where if this team loses or this team ties, the 00:23:18.380 --> 00:23:21.180 Bills are in type of situations. So assuming 00:23:21.180 --> 00:23:24.640 the Bills make the postseason, give me one team 00:23:24.640 --> 00:23:28.059 that you have your eye on as one that is worrying 00:23:28.059 --> 00:23:30.319 you the most currently for the way this Buffalo 00:23:30.319 --> 00:23:36.400 Bills team is still constructed. I'll give you 00:23:36.400 --> 00:23:41.119 a one and a 1A. I'd say the one is Houston, because 00:23:41.119 --> 00:23:45.059 all reasons, right? They have an absolute kryptonite 00:23:45.059 --> 00:23:49.240 of a pass rush. Josh Allen shaking most sacks 00:23:49.240 --> 00:23:52.099 is only useful if he can shake those sacks, and 00:23:52.099 --> 00:23:55.880 he can't. They're too good, right? And then two 00:23:55.880 --> 00:24:00.190 is, the one B would be Denver. They also have 00:24:00.190 --> 00:24:02.569 a very solid defense. They've got a plucky team 00:24:02.569 --> 00:24:05.049 They tend to be able to kind of turn it turn 00:24:05.049 --> 00:24:08.369 it up when they need to and so And plus they'd 00:24:08.369 --> 00:24:10.869 have the extra added motivation of the early 00:24:10.869 --> 00:24:13.170 exit the bills delivered to them in Buffalo last 00:24:13.170 --> 00:24:16.769 year in the playoffs Right and they too have 00:24:16.769 --> 00:24:20.170 a quarterback who also only likes to play for 00:24:20.170 --> 00:24:22.609 about two Maybe one and a half quarters every 00:24:22.609 --> 00:24:25.930 game as well, but say saves his magic for the 00:24:25.930 --> 00:24:28.299 the latter parts of the game Houston's really 00:24:28.299 --> 00:24:31.220 scared of me JJ not because of that not just 00:24:31.220 --> 00:24:34.000 because the defense which is formidable and we 00:24:34.000 --> 00:24:36.339 know that the bills want to make your DB's tackle 00:24:36.339 --> 00:24:39.400 and those DB's in Houston are more than happy 00:24:39.400 --> 00:24:42.039 to tackle open space Dude, they figured out some 00:24:42.039 --> 00:24:45.339 stuff on offense. They've realized that they 00:24:45.339 --> 00:24:48.759 have a very traditional pocket presence, pocket 00:24:48.759 --> 00:24:51.640 passing QB, kind of a throwback in CJ Stroud. 00:24:51.920 --> 00:24:54.380 And those types of QBs love to exploit the middle 00:24:54.380 --> 00:24:57.740 of the field. They have two cyclops like wide 00:24:57.740 --> 00:25:00.980 receivers and Nico Collins who has six four and 00:25:00.980 --> 00:25:03.500 Jayden Higgins who has six four. And all they're 00:25:03.500 --> 00:25:05.460 doing is running in breakers to the middle of 00:25:05.460 --> 00:25:07.819 the field because there is not a team in the 00:25:07.819 --> 00:25:11.119 league that has the skill other than. potentially 00:25:11.119 --> 00:25:14.440 the Denver Broncos to stop those two behemoths 00:25:14.440 --> 00:25:17.259 from absolutely owning in between the hash marks. 00:25:17.480 --> 00:25:18.880 And that's all they've been doing. They've been 00:25:18.880 --> 00:25:20.660 spamming in breakers and a little bit of play 00:25:20.660 --> 00:25:22.079 action to the middle of the field to get this 00:25:22.079 --> 00:25:24.900 passing offense serviceable and going here in 00:25:24.900 --> 00:25:27.759 Houston. If Houston can also figure out how to 00:25:27.759 --> 00:25:29.539 run the ball a little bit more efficiently heading 00:25:29.539 --> 00:25:32.359 into the postseason, that to me is a team that's 00:25:32.359 --> 00:25:35.440 on the cusp of, of being complete. So Houston 00:25:35.440 --> 00:25:37.960 is my one, but I'll give you my one B and it 00:25:37.960 --> 00:25:40.799 might surprise you. The Jacksonville Jaguars. 00:25:41.339 --> 00:25:43.859 I think, I think that defense is for real. I 00:25:43.859 --> 00:25:46.039 think that linebacker core can keep pace with 00:25:46.039 --> 00:25:48.859 our tight ends in the play action game. And while 00:25:48.859 --> 00:25:51.019 I think they're still figuring some things out 00:25:51.019 --> 00:25:53.960 with their DBs, their DBs have been shown themselves 00:25:53.960 --> 00:25:57.480 more than willing to tackle and fit the run when 00:25:57.480 --> 00:26:01.960 called upon. I'm not sure I quite believe yet 00:26:01.960 --> 00:26:04.799 that Trevor Lawrence is this, this version of 00:26:04.799 --> 00:26:07.940 himself with this six total TD game that he had 00:26:07.940 --> 00:26:11.059 this past Sunday, but he has looked really good 00:26:11.059 --> 00:26:13.480 over the past four weeks. And the addition of 00:26:13.480 --> 00:26:16.559 Jacobi Myers to that offense, it just feels like 00:26:16.559 --> 00:26:19.099 that wide receiver room now slots in so much 00:26:19.099 --> 00:26:21.799 better. You don't need Brian Thomas Jr. to now 00:26:21.799 --> 00:26:24.039 do these in breaking routes coming across the 00:26:24.039 --> 00:26:26.809 middle that he didn't want to do. He's now your 00:26:26.809 --> 00:26:29.109 vertical threat, your sideline burner, and you've 00:26:29.109 --> 00:26:31.650 got Myers owning all this space everywhere else 00:26:31.650 --> 00:26:33.410 in the middle of the field. And dude, they run 00:26:33.410 --> 00:26:36.089 the piss out of the ball with ETN junior. I mean, 00:26:36.089 --> 00:26:39.170 it's just crazy. And they've got a good tight 00:26:39.170 --> 00:26:41.710 end game too with this Brenton strange kid. That 00:26:41.710 --> 00:26:43.869 that's an offense to me that's going to vex the 00:26:43.869 --> 00:26:46.829 Buffalo Bills defense. And I think their defense 00:26:46.829 --> 00:26:49.349 can throw enough wrinkles at the Bills offense 00:26:49.349 --> 00:26:52.910 to make it competitive. So Houston to me is threat 00:26:52.910 --> 00:26:56.119 one number one a But like, the Jaguars, man, 00:26:56.220 --> 00:26:58.220 right now, that's who we're matched up with in 00:26:58.220 --> 00:27:00.599 a 3 -6. If the playoffs were to start today, 00:27:01.240 --> 00:27:03.299 that's not going to be an easy out, and the Bills 00:27:03.299 --> 00:27:05.700 have played some weird games against that franchise 00:27:05.700 --> 00:27:08.660 in the past. Yeah, it's one of those weird... 00:27:08.660 --> 00:27:10.619 I feel like Houston and Jacksonville are those 00:27:10.619 --> 00:27:12.720 two teams in the AFC that the Bills just seem 00:27:12.720 --> 00:27:15.019 to not have an answer for, don't know how to 00:27:15.019 --> 00:27:18.039 navigate. Yeah. Yeah. And it could be either. 00:27:18.539 --> 00:27:21.960 There is, of course, you know, it's like crazy, 00:27:21.960 --> 00:27:24.579 you know, white board with the cigarette, always 00:27:24.579 --> 00:27:26.940 sunny in Philadelphia, meantime, Charlie Day, 00:27:27.079 --> 00:27:29.480 baby. Yeah. Looking at looking at all of the 00:27:29.480 --> 00:27:31.980 outcomes that could possibly result in the bills 00:27:31.980 --> 00:27:35.349 with the first seed and a first round by. It 00:27:35.349 --> 00:27:37.309 could happen. It's still it's not outside the 00:27:37.309 --> 00:27:38.950 box. There's a lot of things that bills have 00:27:38.950 --> 00:27:40.809 to win out and then a lot of other stuff has 00:27:40.809 --> 00:27:43.250 to happen. There's maybe a couple of ties that 00:27:43.250 --> 00:27:45.549 need to happen. But but really we could get there. 00:27:45.730 --> 00:27:48.390 And so that's the still hoping for that. So for 00:27:48.390 --> 00:27:50.430 the division in the first round by. But without 00:27:50.430 --> 00:27:52.089 that, yeah, there's there's match ups I would 00:27:52.089 --> 00:27:54.369 really not want to see. And there's teams I would 00:27:54.369 --> 00:27:58.269 really want to see. You know, like, for instance, 00:27:58.450 --> 00:28:01.589 the Houston Houston playing against Jack. Houston 00:28:01.589 --> 00:28:04.109 playing against Jacksonville or Houston or Jacksonville 00:28:04.109 --> 00:28:06.450 playing it's Denver Where the bills have to play 00:28:06.450 --> 00:28:09.549 somewhere else would be ideal for me if we are 00:28:09.549 --> 00:28:12.930 on the wild card weekend Just to get to the ground 00:28:12.930 --> 00:28:14.809 two and have one of those two in each of those 00:28:14.809 --> 00:28:18.769 matchups gone How do you feel if the if the matchup 00:28:18.769 --> 00:28:21.609 somehow? Works itself out to where we get the 00:28:21.609 --> 00:28:23.410 Patriots again in the wild card round How do 00:28:23.410 --> 00:28:25.329 you feel about facing them for a third time traveling 00:28:25.329 --> 00:28:27.529 to the Patriots? I feel good about it because 00:28:27.529 --> 00:28:31.809 I I don't think that there's, I don't think there's 00:28:31.809 --> 00:28:34.849 enough talent with the Patriots team broadly 00:28:34.849 --> 00:28:37.950 as a roster for them, for the Bills not to have 00:28:37.950 --> 00:28:40.250 an answer in some way, right? Like I think that 00:28:40.250 --> 00:28:43.289 the Patriots threw everything they possibly could 00:28:43.289 --> 00:28:47.029 at the Bills and they got their 21 point lead 00:28:47.029 --> 00:28:49.769 and then they kind of, that was that, you know, 00:28:49.809 --> 00:28:52.150 the counter punch came and they couldn't do anything, 00:28:52.369 --> 00:28:55.309 so. They were working real hard to make Drake 00:28:55.309 --> 00:28:57.450 may on those first couple of drives look like 00:28:57.450 --> 00:29:00.029 Josh Allen. I mean, not asking him to throw the 00:29:00.029 --> 00:29:02.710 ball. They were taking their runs to the outside, 00:29:02.789 --> 00:29:05.269 outside the tackle, making our DB's tackle, which 00:29:05.269 --> 00:29:07.730 is what we were going to do to them. The designed 00:29:07.730 --> 00:29:10.390 runs for Drake may, they were working really 00:29:10.390 --> 00:29:13.650 hard to not only try to win that game, but really 00:29:13.650 --> 00:29:16.269 kind of rub it into the bill. Yes. Yes. I mean, 00:29:16.349 --> 00:29:18.289 you could tell that they really cared about that. 00:29:18.410 --> 00:29:20.589 They wanted to posterize it. Yeah, they did. 00:29:20.809 --> 00:29:24.069 I mean, Diggs chirping, Hollins chirping, the 00:29:24.069 --> 00:29:26.750 crybaby tour of Mike Vrabel with the New England 00:29:26.750 --> 00:29:29.769 media now about the officials. And that's like, 00:29:30.549 --> 00:29:32.329 well, the thing it's like, yeah, that was pathetic. 00:29:32.329 --> 00:29:36.630 And it's like you you've got to be a real a real 00:29:36.630 --> 00:29:39.869 piece of work to go out and start crying about, 00:29:39.869 --> 00:29:44.990 you know, the the refs. As an NFL coach, any 00:29:44.990 --> 00:29:47.289 NFL coach crying about the refs is a bad look 00:29:47.289 --> 00:29:49.930 because everyone gets screwed sometimes. And 00:29:49.930 --> 00:29:53.490 it also is a worse look because Vrabel, of course, 00:29:53.789 --> 00:29:56.569 was a member as a player of the Patriots teams 00:29:56.569 --> 00:30:00.390 that had Brady where they had statistically significant 00:30:00.390 --> 00:30:03.130 bad calls against opponents and good calls for 00:30:03.130 --> 00:30:06.690 them and rule changes to benefit them. And so 00:30:06.690 --> 00:30:09.710 he just looks like an entitled crybaby. We're 00:30:09.710 --> 00:30:12.589 openly found to be cheating on multiple occasions, 00:30:12.589 --> 00:30:15.369 right? But I proven proven team of cheaters feels 00:30:15.369 --> 00:30:17.329 like they should still be getting every call 00:30:17.329 --> 00:30:19.990 and he still seems to feel that way Yeah, no, 00:30:19.990 --> 00:30:22.849 it was crazy. But man that game meant a lot to 00:30:22.849 --> 00:30:24.910 the Patriots, right? And it makes you wonder 00:30:24.910 --> 00:30:27.410 it does make you wonder I think variables a great 00:30:27.410 --> 00:30:30.430 coach. He's a great Great game day situational 00:30:30.430 --> 00:30:32.549 coach. There are lots of examples, even in the 00:30:32.549 --> 00:30:34.910 game against Buffalo, even a losing offer where 00:30:34.910 --> 00:30:36.589 I'm like, man, variables just making the right 00:30:36.589 --> 00:30:38.789 call there. You know what I mean? But it does 00:30:38.789 --> 00:30:41.529 make you wonder if with the bye week leading 00:30:41.529 --> 00:30:44.630 into that game, if they had maybe vested too 00:30:44.630 --> 00:30:47.970 much emotion and closing out the division in 00:30:47.970 --> 00:30:50.970 a certain way against this Buffalo Bills team, 00:30:51.369 --> 00:30:53.829 it does make you wonder how they would recalibrate. 00:30:53.980 --> 00:30:56.420 to get this Patriots team up for a third game 00:30:56.420 --> 00:30:59.180 against the Bills, you know, so, you know, maybe 00:30:59.180 --> 00:31:02.079 we see it, maybe we don't, but regardless, the 00:31:02.079 --> 00:31:04.960 referee is better, better not swallow their flags 00:31:04.960 --> 00:31:07.319 when the Buffalo Bills are offensively holding 00:31:07.319 --> 00:31:09.960 the New England Patriots. Otherwise, Mike Frable 00:31:09.960 --> 00:31:13.819 will be very upset with you. JJ, I will be upset 00:31:13.819 --> 00:31:15.839 if we don't get to talk about this Cleveland 00:31:15.839 --> 00:31:18.839 Browns matchup we have coming up. Um, it's meaningful 00:31:18.839 --> 00:31:21.720 not only because it is an AFC game and conference 00:31:21.720 --> 00:31:24.319 record may count towards some type of tiebreaker 00:31:24.319 --> 00:31:27.279 later on down the road for the division or to 00:31:27.279 --> 00:31:29.440 your point, hopefully for the, uh, one seed, 00:31:30.019 --> 00:31:32.259 but JJ, this is also going to be the final road 00:31:32.259 --> 00:31:34.079 game of the Buffalo bill season before they head 00:31:34.079 --> 00:31:36.980 into the playoffs, um, against a really good 00:31:36.980 --> 00:31:38.980 defense that I think is going to test this, this 00:31:38.980 --> 00:31:41.079 version of the bill's offense and a couple of 00:31:41.079 --> 00:31:42.900 interesting ways. So where do you want to start? 00:31:42.980 --> 00:31:45.049 JJ, do you want to start? with the Cleveland 00:31:45.049 --> 00:31:47.450 Browns defense against the Bills offense? Or 00:31:47.450 --> 00:31:49.670 do you want to go Shador Sanders versus Matt 00:31:49.670 --> 00:31:53.670 Mulatto? Let's go Cleveland defense Bills offense. 00:31:54.890 --> 00:31:59.369 And I will give you my basic my basic complete 00:31:59.369 --> 00:32:02.450 picture of the of the Browns defense and how 00:32:02.450 --> 00:32:05.950 it's going to hurt the Bills. Miles Garrett. 00:32:07.369 --> 00:32:13.609 That's it. End of show. No, Miles Garrett and 00:32:13.609 --> 00:32:17.220 Alex Wright are both exceptionally good edge 00:32:17.220 --> 00:32:20.779 rushers. They pair extremely well. And then of 00:32:20.779 --> 00:32:23.660 course they have Shelby, the aged Shelby Harris 00:32:23.660 --> 00:32:27.599 and the rookie Mason Graham in the middle to 00:32:27.599 --> 00:32:29.920 round out that defensive line. It's a solid defensive 00:32:29.920 --> 00:32:34.119 line especially against the run. Not to mention 00:32:34.119 --> 00:32:37.680 their safeties, linebackers and one of their 00:32:37.680 --> 00:32:40.579 two starting cornerbacks in Campbell, Tyson Campbell 00:32:40.579 --> 00:32:44.589 are all Exceptional against the run like they 00:32:44.589 --> 00:32:48.970 only they have one liability or I guess two liabilities 00:32:48.970 --> 00:32:51.390 in the run game in tackling and that's their 00:32:51.390 --> 00:32:54.609 slot corner and Their other outside corner web 00:32:54.609 --> 00:32:57.589 like that's it. There's everybody else is awesome 00:32:57.589 --> 00:33:01.609 at Philip fitting their own Devin Bush and Carson 00:33:01.609 --> 00:33:05.470 Swessinger the rook Swessinger tackling machine 00:33:05.470 --> 00:33:09.250 so good. It's it's it was hard to watch some 00:33:09.250 --> 00:33:12.140 of their games and then kind of do the mental, 00:33:12.579 --> 00:33:14.759 you know, do the fantasy land game of like, OK, 00:33:14.900 --> 00:33:16.660 what would it look like? The bills, knowing what 00:33:16.660 --> 00:33:19.660 I know about their blocking schemes, their approaches 00:33:19.660 --> 00:33:22.559 to fitting the run and finding ways to to open 00:33:22.559 --> 00:33:24.519 up seams. What would that look like? Where's 00:33:24.519 --> 00:33:27.660 the cutback lane? It's nowhere. I think this 00:33:27.660 --> 00:33:31.539 is to your point earlier. If the bills don't 00:33:31.539 --> 00:33:33.960 find a way to make their outside wide receivers 00:33:33.960 --> 00:33:37.430 work in this game, it's going to be. a miserable 00:33:37.430 --> 00:33:39.589 long game, which is what we've seen with Bills 00:33:39.589 --> 00:33:41.970 Brown so many times. Right. Like the nine six 00:33:41.970 --> 00:33:45.829 nine threes. Yes. You know, thirteen tens. So 00:33:45.829 --> 00:33:47.789 I'm really I'm really worried it's going to be 00:33:47.789 --> 00:33:50.329 that because I could see even this high powered 00:33:50.329 --> 00:33:52.730 Buffalo was offense. Even Josh Allen, who we 00:33:52.730 --> 00:33:56.869 both know is exceptional. This is going to be 00:33:56.869 --> 00:34:01.470 the very near second best rushing attack or pass 00:34:01.470 --> 00:34:04.369 rushing attack that the Bills have faced. just 00:34:04.369 --> 00:34:08.150 just a hair behind Houston. And it would be that 00:34:08.150 --> 00:34:10.409 way, even if Miles Garrett was lined up across 00:34:10.409 --> 00:34:15.489 from, you know, I don't know, T .J. Sanders, 00:34:15.630 --> 00:34:19.409 right, like somebody who's not great so far. 00:34:19.530 --> 00:34:22.690 Yeah. Because he is that exceptional. He's what 00:34:22.690 --> 00:34:25.090 does he have? Twenty two already. Or he's got 00:34:25.090 --> 00:34:26.909 twenty one and a half. He's got twenty one and 00:34:26.909 --> 00:34:28.829 a half. So he could get the record against the 00:34:28.829 --> 00:34:32.440 bills. Right. And so and I think he will. I fully 00:34:32.440 --> 00:34:34.599 think he will too, yeah. I think he will too. 00:34:36.679 --> 00:34:39.880 So the Cleveland Browns, JJ, number four in overall 00:34:39.880 --> 00:34:43.840 defensive DVOA, number two against the run, better 00:34:43.840 --> 00:34:47.440 than the Houston Texans who we've already kind 00:34:47.440 --> 00:34:49.920 of laid a lot of praise at their feet for shutting 00:34:49.920 --> 00:34:53.380 down this Buffalo Bills run game earlier this 00:34:53.380 --> 00:34:56.780 season in that Thursday night game. Lots of problems 00:34:56.780 --> 00:34:59.860 that this particular Cleveland Browns defense 00:34:59.860 --> 00:35:03.300 presents to the Buffalo Bills Including the ability 00:35:03.300 --> 00:35:05.280 because of that linebacker core you mentioned 00:35:05.280 --> 00:35:07.559 to take away some of their answers in the passing 00:35:07.559 --> 00:35:10.239 game I eat tight ends the Bills have been leading 00:35:10.239 --> 00:35:14.980 hard into early play action boot action Shots 00:35:14.980 --> 00:35:18.039 to tight ends up the seam and I mean swashinger 00:35:18.719 --> 00:35:20.599 Excellent at guarding opposing tight ends. He's 00:35:20.599 --> 00:35:22.739 not just a tackling machine. He's not just great 00:35:22.739 --> 00:35:24.320 at the line of scrimmage and fitting the run. 00:35:24.719 --> 00:35:27.340 This dude is legit in coverage as well. They're 00:35:27.340 --> 00:35:30.780 the number four best team in DBOA when it comes 00:35:30.780 --> 00:35:33.800 to stopping opposing tight ends as pass catchers. 00:35:34.559 --> 00:35:37.639 JJ, the answers are, I think to your point, Shakir 00:35:37.639 --> 00:35:41.320 in the slot, but then not, not much else. This 00:35:41.320 --> 00:35:43.079 is also a Cleveland Browns team that's really 00:35:43.079 --> 00:35:45.280 good against designed QB runs. They're number 00:35:45.280 --> 00:35:49.929 three in DBOA. I, I find it really difficult 00:35:49.929 --> 00:35:53.670 other than our defense flipping game script in 00:35:53.670 --> 00:35:56.369 our favor and get, and winning the field position 00:35:56.369 --> 00:35:58.949 game, which is how teams have stressed this Cleveland 00:35:58.949 --> 00:36:01.389 Browns defense before, because shockingly their 00:36:01.389 --> 00:36:04.849 red zone efficiency isn't top five. It's only 00:36:04.849 --> 00:36:07.809 top 11. So if you're going to get to the Browns, 00:36:07.869 --> 00:36:10.429 it's going to be somehow inside the twenties. 00:36:10.769 --> 00:36:13.809 Right? So the D our defense to me, JJ has to 00:36:13.809 --> 00:36:17.260 give us advantageous field position. Because 00:36:17.260 --> 00:36:21.239 it's going to be a long day if the bills who 00:36:21.239 --> 00:36:23.380 currently sit with the third worst average starting 00:36:23.380 --> 00:36:26.099 field position in the league offensively have 00:36:26.099 --> 00:36:30.519 to go 80 yards, 79 yards, 74 yards regularly 00:36:30.519 --> 00:36:32.659 and matriculate the ball up the field against 00:36:32.659 --> 00:36:36.500 this defense. Yeah, absolutely. It's gonna it's 00:36:36.500 --> 00:36:40.039 gonna be tough. I'm I'm Yeah, I agree with field 00:36:40.039 --> 00:36:42.480 position. That's the best analysis I think you 00:36:42.480 --> 00:36:44.219 could give for this. Yeah, man, this is going 00:36:44.219 --> 00:36:46.639 to be really hard. This is going to be so tough. 00:36:46.920 --> 00:36:48.880 Yeah, I know. Well, and that's the thing, too, 00:36:48.980 --> 00:36:52.400 is the way that the Bills work with their gap 00:36:52.400 --> 00:36:56.719 and zone run scheme is by essentially finding 00:36:56.719 --> 00:37:00.079 the mismatch, creating space, and then letting 00:37:00.079 --> 00:37:03.119 James Cook navigate, right? He has patience. 00:37:03.119 --> 00:37:06.480 He's great at navigating. They do that. But in 00:37:06.480 --> 00:37:09.179 order to do that, you have to put pressure on 00:37:09.179 --> 00:37:11.400 the weak link. You have to do those duo blocks 00:37:11.400 --> 00:37:14.960 and scrape up to the linebacker and find a smaller 00:37:14.960 --> 00:37:17.980 linebacker who's bad at getting off of a guard 00:37:17.980 --> 00:37:21.679 or a center and make that seam happen where you 00:37:21.679 --> 00:37:25.460 kind of build the runway. And they just don't 00:37:25.460 --> 00:37:28.059 have that kind of liabilities. And then once 00:37:28.059 --> 00:37:30.059 you get outside, okay, the bills have done both. 00:37:30.719 --> 00:37:34.159 Okay, the gap run to the center, the duos with 00:37:34.159 --> 00:37:36.769 a lead blocker. You know, if that's shut down, 00:37:36.909 --> 00:37:38.769 OK, fine. We're going to go wide and make their 00:37:38.769 --> 00:37:40.849 DBS and safety stack. Well, their DBS and safeties 00:37:40.849 --> 00:37:43.090 are awesome at tackling. They're really good. 00:37:43.429 --> 00:37:46.309 So, yeah, you don't they don't. I don't look 00:37:46.309 --> 00:37:49.489 at this game and see a clear answer to how the 00:37:49.489 --> 00:37:52.610 bills rushing it. Rushing attack is going to 00:37:52.610 --> 00:37:55.730 lead. So they have to find a way with the passing 00:37:55.730 --> 00:37:57.510 attack to lead, because I think that's the place. 00:37:58.070 --> 00:38:00.010 Like you mentioned, you can you can make some 00:38:00.010 --> 00:38:03.130 hay. The outside corners are not exceptional 00:38:03.130 --> 00:38:05.449 coverage corners. They're much better kind of 00:38:05.449 --> 00:38:07.750 just general generalists and all around corners. 00:38:08.150 --> 00:38:10.949 And so you have to kind of play the matchups 00:38:10.949 --> 00:38:12.849 to the outside. You have to make that a quick 00:38:12.849 --> 00:38:15.309 hitting attack too, because Miles Garrett and 00:38:15.309 --> 00:38:17.570 Alex Wright are not going to wait. Absolutely. 00:38:17.670 --> 00:38:18.809 And you're going to have to figure out a way 00:38:18.809 --> 00:38:22.050 to do it with less than maximizing your route 00:38:22.050 --> 00:38:23.590 runners that you're putting out there because 00:38:23.800 --> 00:38:26.139 You're going to have to leave some extra protectors 00:38:26.139 --> 00:38:29.039 and get a Tyrell shavers, be at a running back, 00:38:29.039 --> 00:38:32.639 right? Um, God, even there, even the Cleveland 00:38:32.639 --> 00:38:35.760 Browns, when they attack running backs as pass 00:38:35.760 --> 00:38:38.059 catchers are top five in the league in DVO way. 00:38:38.239 --> 00:38:40.400 I just, yes, the answers will be few and far 00:38:40.400 --> 00:38:43.639 between JJ, but to me, it's about giving our 00:38:43.639 --> 00:38:47.340 offense as many bites at that Apple as we can 00:38:47.340 --> 00:38:49.639 and simply win a war of attrition. And that's 00:38:49.639 --> 00:38:51.139 going to be happened by our defense stepping 00:38:51.139 --> 00:38:54.619 up against one Shador Sanders. So JJ, flipping 00:38:54.619 --> 00:38:57.659 it over here, our defensive matchup against the 00:38:57.659 --> 00:39:00.039 Cleveland Browns offense. This is a team that's 00:39:00.039 --> 00:39:02.719 notably struggled to find its QB. They've gone 00:39:02.719 --> 00:39:04.980 through various iterations from Joe Flacco to 00:39:04.980 --> 00:39:07.719 Dylan Gabriel, now settling on Shador Sanders. 00:39:09.300 --> 00:39:11.900 This is not, not that this has mattered for other 00:39:11.900 --> 00:39:15.260 teams. The Cleveland Browns have not been overly 00:39:15.260 --> 00:39:17.750 efficient. They're only number 29 in the league 00:39:17.750 --> 00:39:19.989 when it comes to rushing of incency. And JJ, 00:39:20.050 --> 00:39:22.050 this is the worst passing offense in the league 00:39:22.050 --> 00:39:24.130 too, despite the fact that they've rotated through 00:39:24.130 --> 00:39:27.489 three QBs. Shador Sanders is really unique to 00:39:27.489 --> 00:39:30.190 me, JJ, not just because of the media hype around 00:39:30.190 --> 00:39:34.369 him, but the fact that it's a night and day scenario. 00:39:34.610 --> 00:39:36.809 When he is throwing behind the line of scrimmage, 00:39:36.889 --> 00:39:38.909 running back screens, wide receiver screens, 00:39:39.349 --> 00:39:42.050 his EPA per play is top four in the league according 00:39:42.050 --> 00:39:45.269 to next gen stats. All other throws. meaning 00:39:45.269 --> 00:39:48.590 all other throws, one yard past the line of scrimmage 00:39:48.590 --> 00:39:51.909 and more, he is bottom four in the league. He's 00:39:51.909 --> 00:39:55.510 rolling in with a completion percentage that 00:39:55.510 --> 00:39:59.429 sits at 52 .4 % right now, and he just invites 00:39:59.429 --> 00:40:03.150 a ton of pressure. Five TDs to six INTs this 00:40:03.150 --> 00:40:05.610 year. He's basically playing like a rookie. To 00:40:05.610 --> 00:40:09.710 me, JJ, whatever advantage the Cleveland Browns 00:40:09.710 --> 00:40:11.829 defense has against this Buffalo Bills offense, 00:40:12.469 --> 00:40:15.409 this Bills defense needs to take advantage of 00:40:15.409 --> 00:40:17.449 the rookie QB that they're facing on the other 00:40:17.449 --> 00:40:20.190 side, generate turnovers, which we haven't seen 00:40:20.190 --> 00:40:24.019 them do in great consistency this year. and give 00:40:24.019 --> 00:40:27.679 Josh Allen and James Cook multiple opportunities 00:40:27.679 --> 00:40:29.739 for points up on the board. It could very well 00:40:29.739 --> 00:40:32.320 be a field goal affair. But to me, this should 00:40:32.320 --> 00:40:34.260 be a game where the Buffalo Bills are getting 00:40:34.260 --> 00:40:37.420 nine, even 10 offensive drives just by virtue 00:40:37.420 --> 00:40:39.300 of the fact that we should be able to expect 00:40:39.300 --> 00:40:41.980 sacks and turnovers against this Cleveland Browns 00:40:41.980 --> 00:40:44.360 offense. Yeah, they don't have a single wide 00:40:44.360 --> 00:40:47.619 receiver that's rated better than like hundred 00:40:47.619 --> 00:40:50.059 and sixth in the league, right? Like they are 00:40:50.059 --> 00:40:53.789 they are very poor talent. talent wise on the 00:40:53.789 --> 00:40:56.630 offensive side of the ball. Quinn Sean Judkins 00:40:56.630 --> 00:40:59.230 and Harold Fanon Jr. are both awesome. I have 00:40:59.230 --> 00:41:01.849 them both on my fantasy team. They can do really 00:41:01.849 --> 00:41:04.130 good things. They can blow up here and there 00:41:04.130 --> 00:41:06.409 if they if they have an opportunity to do so. 00:41:06.449 --> 00:41:09.550 So I see some problems with the Bills rushing 00:41:09.550 --> 00:41:15.949 defense here, but. It's not the same even as 00:41:15.949 --> 00:41:18.650 the Patriots. They have a pretty poor offensive 00:41:18.650 --> 00:41:20.969 line. Their right tackle is a seventh round pick. 00:41:21.449 --> 00:41:23.789 Their left tackle is Cam Robinson, who's been 00:41:23.789 --> 00:41:27.630 a journeyman, not super good left tackle. Their 00:41:27.630 --> 00:41:29.289 center is one of the worst in the league. I think 00:41:29.289 --> 00:41:32.329 he's a backup because I want to say that their 00:41:32.329 --> 00:41:35.369 starting center went down. If their starting 00:41:35.369 --> 00:41:40.179 center didn't go down, then it's atrocious. amount 00:41:40.179 --> 00:41:42.579 of roster building to have Whippler starting 00:41:42.579 --> 00:41:44.780 because he's one of the worst in the league. 00:41:44.820 --> 00:41:46.760 So it's it's the kind of thing where I agree 00:41:46.760 --> 00:41:49.519 with you completely. You know, based on when 00:41:49.519 --> 00:41:51.239 you look at an opponent, you say, OK, what do 00:41:51.239 --> 00:41:54.320 they do best? What do we need to shut down? They 00:41:54.320 --> 00:41:56.579 don't do a lot very well on offense. Their offense 00:41:56.579 --> 00:41:58.980 is quite inept, and that is why they only have 00:41:58.980 --> 00:42:01.860 three wins on the season and they just lean on 00:42:01.860 --> 00:42:04.159 their defense. And so, yeah, it might be a low, 00:42:04.280 --> 00:42:07.579 low scoring field goal affair. But I do agree 00:42:07.579 --> 00:42:11.889 that. The Bills defense has looked opportunistic 00:42:11.889 --> 00:42:15.889 enough to, especially with Bosa in there playing 00:42:15.889 --> 00:42:17.690 with Shaq Thompson. Hopefully this is a rebound 00:42:17.690 --> 00:42:20.909 game for him. And then hopefully the Bills can 00:42:20.909 --> 00:42:22.949 see Benford back on the outside because I think 00:42:22.949 --> 00:42:26.739 that Benford not only. is a better corner than 00:42:26.739 --> 00:42:29.599 any of their starting wide receivers. He also 00:42:29.599 --> 00:42:32.539 offers so much in helping the wide run, you know, 00:42:32.639 --> 00:42:35.079 support game. He's an incredible tackler and 00:42:35.079 --> 00:42:37.159 they really need that. They will need that in 00:42:37.159 --> 00:42:38.800 this game and a game where I feel like it's going 00:42:38.800 --> 00:42:42.599 to get messy. It is. In a field goal affair, 00:42:42.800 --> 00:42:45.320 it is really terrible that the Buffalo Bills 00:42:45.320 --> 00:42:47.500 do not have their starting place kicker because 00:42:47.500 --> 00:42:49.360 it looks like Matt Prater. Matt Prater's already 00:42:49.360 --> 00:42:51.159 been ruled out for this game with an injury. 00:42:52.320 --> 00:42:56.550 Did his gout acting up, his arthritis? Terrible. 00:42:56.750 --> 00:42:59.389 That's terrible. That's terrible. He's been awesome. 00:42:59.530 --> 00:43:01.530 He's been great. And we're both old men too. 00:43:01.670 --> 00:43:04.829 So don't invite on him what you could curse us 00:43:04.829 --> 00:43:08.190 with. I think he's our age, right? Is he 40? 00:43:08.289 --> 00:43:11.989 Is he 42? He's 42. Yeah. Dear Jesus, yes. God 00:43:11.989 --> 00:43:14.989 bless him and Phil Rivers, man. I know, yeah. 00:43:15.449 --> 00:43:18.170 Dear Lord. All right, JJ, let's get some prediction 00:43:18.170 --> 00:43:20.329 sure to go wrong here. The bills are favored 00:43:20.329 --> 00:43:23.219 by 10. on the road against Cleveland, despite 00:43:23.219 --> 00:43:25.059 the fact that they've got this Fanta defense. 00:43:25.559 --> 00:43:28.099 Over -under is a 42 and a half, so Vegas is expecting 00:43:28.099 --> 00:43:31.420 a fairly low -scoring game in this affair. JJ, 00:43:31.519 --> 00:43:34.039 where are you at with final score? They're favored 00:43:34.039 --> 00:43:36.739 by 10? They're favored by 10 on the road. What 00:43:36.739 --> 00:43:39.699 is the over -under again? 42 and a half. OK. 00:43:40.480 --> 00:43:43.719 Oh, my gosh. Stunning, isn't it? Yeah. I'm going 00:43:43.719 --> 00:43:47.699 to say, oh, man, I'm going to say Bill's 21, 00:43:48.199 --> 00:43:52.420 Brown's 13. Because I just that just that just 00:43:52.420 --> 00:43:55.179 what that's what it feels like in my bones. Yeah, 00:43:55.179 --> 00:43:59.380 I'm gonna go I'm gonna go bills 21 here Cleveland 00:43:59.380 --> 00:44:02.480 three Okay, I think the bit I think it's gonna 00:44:02.480 --> 00:44:05.079 be an ugly day for the for all sides of the ball 00:44:05.079 --> 00:44:07.500 for the Buffalo Bills But this bills defense 00:44:07.500 --> 00:44:11.639 With its four -man pressure should be more than 00:44:11.639 --> 00:44:14.820 enough to get to Shador Sanders and cause him 00:44:14.820 --> 00:44:17.619 to make some mistakes JJ, this could also very 00:44:17.619 --> 00:44:19.840 well be a game where I'm screaming at the TV 00:44:19.840 --> 00:44:22.280 because the Buffalo Bills defense, despite all 00:44:22.280 --> 00:44:24.880 its issues, is playing an inferior opponent and 00:44:24.880 --> 00:44:26.840 playing down to the level of that opponent, which 00:44:26.840 --> 00:44:29.340 they have done so many times this season. But 00:44:29.340 --> 00:44:33.039 it's December, playoff seeding is on the line. 00:44:33.239 --> 00:44:35.440 I would hope that they find another gear and 00:44:35.440 --> 00:44:36.960 figure it out. So I'm going to go Buffalo Bills 00:44:36.960 --> 00:44:42.719 21, Cleveland Browns three. Okay. I would like 00:44:42.719 --> 00:44:47.280 to present a prop, which is Over under, Shador 00:44:47.280 --> 00:44:49.320 Sanders, half interception. It's the same prop 00:44:49.320 --> 00:44:51.619 I brought up last week and got right when I said 00:44:51.619 --> 00:44:54.219 over to Trey White. I called it Trey White with 00:44:54.219 --> 00:44:56.639 a pick. I was surprised you waited this long 00:44:56.639 --> 00:44:59.260 into the pod to bring that up. So I'm going to 00:44:59.260 --> 00:45:02.039 say Shador Sanders throws an interception in 00:45:02.039 --> 00:45:06.440 this game and I'm saying it's over half interception 00:45:06.440 --> 00:45:08.800 and it's to Hairston this time. Yeah, oh Max 00:45:08.800 --> 00:45:12.380 Hairston. Harrison could use one I I love the 00:45:12.380 --> 00:45:14.719 way he's battled the past two weeks against T 00:45:14.719 --> 00:45:17.480 Higgins in Cincinnati and then in battling his 00:45:17.480 --> 00:45:21.199 run fits against New England Dude, I just see 00:45:21.199 --> 00:45:23.320 that kids a gamer. I would love to see him get 00:45:23.320 --> 00:45:26.039 a pick here Yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna take the 00:45:26.039 --> 00:45:29.800 over like Sanders is a low completion percentage 00:45:29.800 --> 00:45:33.599 QB struggles with with It's gonna sound like 00:45:33.599 --> 00:45:36.239 a shot and I guess it is struggles with the forward 00:45:36.239 --> 00:45:41.039 passing game in the NFL And, you know, all the 00:45:41.039 --> 00:45:43.119 bad habits that he had in college, he's brought 00:45:43.119 --> 00:45:46.400 here to a really bad. Holds the ball around. 00:45:47.139 --> 00:45:50.079 Yeah. Like to me, there is no reason why the 00:45:50.079 --> 00:45:52.119 Bills shouldn't be able to turn him over, which 00:45:52.119 --> 00:45:54.960 tells me that they probably won't. But so given 00:45:54.960 --> 00:45:56.460 that that's the case, I'm still going to take 00:45:56.460 --> 00:45:58.679 the over. I got faith in Max Ariston. He's my 00:45:58.679 --> 00:46:03.139 guy. I've got one prop bet for you as well. JJ. 00:46:04.019 --> 00:46:07.440 wide receiver catches in this game over under 00:46:07.440 --> 00:46:10.239 five and a half. So the Buffalo Bills offense, 00:46:10.360 --> 00:46:13.840 just so we're, has put up over 90 points combined 00:46:13.840 --> 00:46:16.840 the past three weeks. Their wide receiver room 00:46:16.840 --> 00:46:20.659 has a grand total of 17 catches during that, 00:46:20.659 --> 00:46:24.579 during that time, that time frame. And they only 00:46:24.579 --> 00:46:28.219 have one TD catch out of those 90 plus points. 00:46:28.699 --> 00:46:31.019 So JJ over under five and a half catches. We've 00:46:31.019 --> 00:46:32.559 already talked about how the wide receivers might 00:46:32.559 --> 00:46:36.030 need to feature. I'm saying over I have to had 00:46:36.030 --> 00:46:37.949 have to hit over because I want it like I said 00:46:37.949 --> 00:46:40.170 earlier in the pod when I look at this this matchup 00:46:40.170 --> 00:46:42.210 They have to have production from wide receivers 00:46:42.210 --> 00:46:44.289 if they want the offense to be effective it's 00:46:44.289 --> 00:46:47.170 not going to come just by force -feeding James 00:46:47.170 --> 00:46:50.030 Cook and Trying to throw to the seam where the 00:46:50.030 --> 00:46:53.210 strength of the Cleveland defense is if it's 00:46:53.210 --> 00:46:56.980 over That shows me that Joe Brady has taken the 00:46:56.980 --> 00:47:00.539 step he needs to, to be truly creative and truly 00:47:00.539 --> 00:47:03.840 non -predictable in this particular game, which 00:47:03.840 --> 00:47:06.480 is why I'm taking the under, because I am not 00:47:06.480 --> 00:47:11.380 convinced that Joe Brady is going to lean into 00:47:11.380 --> 00:47:14.199 any tenancy breakers. I think we're still going 00:47:14.199 --> 00:47:16.039 to see a lot of boot action to tight ends. We'll 00:47:16.039 --> 00:47:17.900 see how effective it is. I think we're going 00:47:17.900 --> 00:47:20.840 to see a lot of stuff out of the Ty Johnson screen 00:47:20.840 --> 00:47:24.179 game, Khalil Shakir screen game. I just think 00:47:24.179 --> 00:47:28.699 that Brady believes more in the formula to beat 00:47:28.699 --> 00:47:35.179 teams than we do as a general game watching fan 00:47:35.179 --> 00:47:38.090 base. Even variable was saying it at the end 00:47:38.090 --> 00:47:40.409 of this Patriots game. He's like, yeah, we knew 00:47:40.409 --> 00:47:42.349 what they were running on offense. What did they 00:47:42.349 --> 00:47:43.829 say after the Pittsburgh game? Yeah, we knew 00:47:43.829 --> 00:47:45.849 what they were running on offense. Like it's 00:47:45.849 --> 00:47:47.429 just a matter of whether or not you can stop 00:47:47.429 --> 00:47:49.710 it. And I think Brady is a little bit of a sicko, 00:47:49.710 --> 00:47:52.329 which I admire in that he likes doing stuff that 00:47:52.329 --> 00:47:54.409 people know is coming and that they can't stop. 00:47:54.429 --> 00:47:56.849 And I think he's addicted to that high. And I 00:47:56.849 --> 00:47:58.570 think he's going to do it in this game. And I 00:47:58.570 --> 00:48:00.849 don't think it's going to be effective. Right. 00:48:01.030 --> 00:48:04.570 Yeah, no, I agree. And he's got to find a way 00:48:04.570 --> 00:48:07.630 to pivot or it's not going to work. Yeah. We'll 00:48:07.630 --> 00:48:09.969 see how it goes. We'll see how it goes. But yeah, 00:48:10.050 --> 00:48:13.289 man, it's going to be a very telling game, I 00:48:13.289 --> 00:48:15.030 think. It's going to be the last, I think, great 00:48:15.030 --> 00:48:16.550 defense the Bills are going to face this season 00:48:16.550 --> 00:48:18.730 before they enter into the playoffs. So great 00:48:18.730 --> 00:48:20.809 road test for them, without a doubt, is they 00:48:20.809 --> 00:48:23.909 get playoff caliber. So JJ, always a pleasure 00:48:23.909 --> 00:48:25.949 podding with you. For all of you listening at 00:48:25.949 --> 00:48:27.769 home, like, share, and subscribe wherever you 00:48:27.769 --> 00:48:30.150 get your pods. We are on YouTube, Apple, Spotify. 00:48:30.349 --> 00:48:32.010 And as always, go Bills. Go Bills.