WEBVTT 00:00:00.400 --> 00:00:03.439 Welcome back to the Buffalo Bread Podcast. Dan 00:00:03.439 --> 00:00:07.519 and JJ here in week two. We are on football Sunday. 00:00:08.000 --> 00:00:10.019 The Buffalo Bills will be facing the New York 00:00:10.019 --> 00:00:12.939 Jets in New Jersey, their home, because they're 00:00:12.939 --> 00:00:17.519 the New Jersey Jets. The Jets are 0 -1, having 00:00:17.519 --> 00:00:20.079 lost to the Steelers last week. And the Bills 00:00:20.079 --> 00:00:22.640 are 1 -0, of course, having miraculously come 00:00:22.640 --> 00:00:25.980 back against the Ravens, after the Ravens pretty 00:00:25.980 --> 00:00:28.339 soundly trounced them for three and a half quarters. 00:00:29.079 --> 00:00:32.740 Dan? Where, where's your heart at today? Uh, 00:00:32.880 --> 00:00:35.579 my heart is full of anxiety about this game, 00:00:35.759 --> 00:00:38.899 JJ, you know, and, and I think last week is the 00:00:38.899 --> 00:00:41.320 epitome of how football goes. I would, I would 00:00:41.320 --> 00:00:45.420 argue that the Jets played a better, more sound 00:00:45.420 --> 00:00:48.659 overall game and week one across four quarters 00:00:48.659 --> 00:00:51.179 and they got the L. The Bills put it together 00:00:51.179 --> 00:00:53.820 for one out of four quarters and they got the 00:00:53.820 --> 00:00:56.820 W. That's how football goes. And JJ, I think 00:00:56.820 --> 00:00:58.920 regardless of records, there are some things. 00:00:59.289 --> 00:01:02.649 on paper that the Jets have some clear advantages 00:01:02.649 --> 00:01:05.349 against the Bills this week. And we have not 00:01:05.349 --> 00:01:07.950 been able to say that in quite a few years. So 00:01:07.950 --> 00:01:10.129 I'm excited to get into this one. A little anxious 00:01:10.129 --> 00:01:11.650 to get into this one. I think it's going to be 00:01:11.650 --> 00:01:14.549 a tougher game than most people expect. Yeah, 00:01:14.549 --> 00:01:18.290 I think that the things that kind of turned the 00:01:18.290 --> 00:01:21.510 Bills defense inside out last week are the same 00:01:21.510 --> 00:01:24.609 things the Jets did against the Steelers. And 00:01:24.609 --> 00:01:26.569 the Bills can expect some heavy zone running. 00:01:26.670 --> 00:01:29.599 They can expect some kind of play action passing. 00:01:30.239 --> 00:01:33.599 It's all on the table there. And I'm sure that 00:01:33.599 --> 00:01:36.400 this is a copycat league. The Jets did not look 00:01:36.400 --> 00:01:39.879 at that Ravens film and say, oh, we're not going 00:01:39.879 --> 00:01:42.040 to try any of that, right? No, they're going 00:01:42.040 --> 00:01:46.079 to try every of that. And I think that as you're 00:01:46.079 --> 00:01:47.620 talking about the way that Bill's won last week, 00:01:47.739 --> 00:01:50.459 I think The thing that came to mind for me was 00:01:50.459 --> 00:01:53.659 that it was like the procrastination victory 00:01:53.659 --> 00:01:56.079 of the universe, right? They were like, let's 00:01:56.079 --> 00:01:58.920 put off playing a complete football game until 00:01:58.920 --> 00:02:01.840 there is no time, but we have to play every second 00:02:01.840 --> 00:02:05.900 in a perfect way. Procrastinators everywhere 00:02:05.900 --> 00:02:09.139 rejoice at that Bill's comeback, but the Jets 00:02:09.139 --> 00:02:12.039 put in a kind of workman -like job and then got... 00:02:11.949 --> 00:02:16.090 taken down in the end. So Gibson, who returned 00:02:16.090 --> 00:02:18.150 the punt against the Bills in overtime a couple 00:02:18.150 --> 00:02:21.250 of years ago in Josh Allen's three turnover game, 00:02:21.629 --> 00:02:24.449 was released because he may have blown the game 00:02:24.449 --> 00:02:27.210 against the Steelers with a fumble, and so they 00:02:27.210 --> 00:02:29.789 don't have a returner. That's an interesting 00:02:29.789 --> 00:02:33.740 wrinkle. It is especially with the way kick and 00:02:33.740 --> 00:02:36.400 punt returns have been factoring in Largely at 00:02:36.400 --> 00:02:38.699 least here week one in the football season. I 00:02:38.699 --> 00:02:40.800 mean JJ There's a ton that we can talk about 00:02:40.800 --> 00:02:43.259 about this game special teams defense offense. 00:02:43.659 --> 00:02:47.139 Where do you want to start? Let's go ahead and 00:02:47.139 --> 00:02:49.740 get get started in the weakest. Let's let's do 00:02:49.740 --> 00:02:52.620 the hardest work first, which is the defense 00:02:52.620 --> 00:02:55.599 Yeah, the bills defense versus just just offense 00:02:55.599 --> 00:02:59.409 and I think that for me, kind of my overall general 00:02:59.409 --> 00:03:04.409 concept is that the the Jets are like a Diet 00:03:04.409 --> 00:03:07.849 Coke version of the Ravens offense in a lot of 00:03:07.849 --> 00:03:10.689 ways in that their running back is not Derek 00:03:10.689 --> 00:03:13.830 Henry, but Breeze Hall is very good. Their quarterback 00:03:13.830 --> 00:03:16.330 is not Lamar Jackson, but Justin Fields looked 00:03:16.330 --> 00:03:19.370 very good, including passing the ball, which 00:03:19.370 --> 00:03:22.330 has never been. his kind of strong point, he 00:03:22.330 --> 00:03:24.310 looked like he, you know, had some things together 00:03:24.310 --> 00:03:26.310 that Aaron Gled's influence has been good, that 00:03:26.310 --> 00:03:28.150 their offensive coordinator's influence has been 00:03:28.150 --> 00:03:30.590 good. So it's going to be interesting. I think 00:03:30.590 --> 00:03:33.849 that for me, again, the kind of front to back, 00:03:34.710 --> 00:03:37.590 with Ed Oliver being out, the defensive line 00:03:37.590 --> 00:03:40.990 needs to absolutely step up to cover his absence. 00:03:41.680 --> 00:03:44.319 And the linebackers, this is a redemption game 00:03:44.319 --> 00:03:46.960 for Bernard and Milano. They got absolutely washed 00:03:46.960 --> 00:03:49.340 out last week. They were not making any kind 00:03:49.340 --> 00:03:52.340 of impact plays. They were, could be counted 00:03:52.340 --> 00:03:54.479 on for a tackle here or there when they were 00:03:54.479 --> 00:03:56.860 in the right place, but nothing like we have 00:03:56.860 --> 00:03:58.680 seen from both of them throughout their career. 00:03:59.639 --> 00:04:02.860 Yeah. And it's, it's going to take a, it takes 00:04:02.860 --> 00:04:05.340 a village, which sounds like such a cliche, but 00:04:05.340 --> 00:04:08.139 to stop a run game as complete as the Ravens 00:04:08.139 --> 00:04:12.370 and as modern and complete as the Jets run game 00:04:12.370 --> 00:04:14.870 looks like at least after one week, it's going 00:04:14.870 --> 00:04:17.670 to take everybody. I mean, JJ, I think that stuck 00:04:17.670 --> 00:04:20.470 out to me the most watching the Jets and then 00:04:20.470 --> 00:04:23.779 re -watching that game is how modern. the offense 00:04:23.779 --> 00:04:27.139 looked. I mean, condensed sets, they ran out 00:04:27.139 --> 00:04:30.639 12th personnel on about a third of their offensive 00:04:30.639 --> 00:04:33.639 snaps, which was double the rate that they ran 00:04:33.639 --> 00:04:35.860 at last year. And they were very effective out 00:04:35.860 --> 00:04:38.399 of it, particularly running Breesault to the 00:04:38.399 --> 00:04:41.420 left side of that offensive line toward Olufoshanu 00:04:41.420 --> 00:04:44.519 and John Simpson. 16 of his 19 attempts headed 00:04:44.519 --> 00:04:48.240 that way, 5 .8 yards per carry. I mean, They 00:04:48.240 --> 00:04:51.600 have found a recipe for success and a lot of 00:04:51.600 --> 00:04:54.680 those condensed twelve personnel sets the Steelers 00:04:54.680 --> 00:04:57.339 shows to blitz Justin Fields and to your point 00:04:57.339 --> 00:05:00.920 earlier. They had answers. Tanner Engstrom, the 00:05:00.920 --> 00:05:03.819 new offensive coordinator for the Jets, had answers 00:05:03.819 --> 00:05:06.519 for fields in that blitz game. He was five of 00:05:06.519 --> 00:05:10.480 six against man blitzes, 72 .7 % completion rate 00:05:10.480 --> 00:05:13.660 overall. And he was able to buy time with his 00:05:13.660 --> 00:05:15.959 feet. Time to throw over three and a half seconds. 00:05:16.279 --> 00:05:17.980 But when you've got a mobile quarterback like 00:05:17.980 --> 00:05:21.740 that that can chuck it and run, or can buy time 00:05:21.740 --> 00:05:25.560 by moving the pocket, this is a recipe. This 00:05:25.560 --> 00:05:27.920 is a recipe that has consistently confounded 00:05:27.920 --> 00:05:30.120 the Bills defense, even when they're healthy, 00:05:30.459 --> 00:05:33.079 even when they've got all their guys in. This 00:05:33.079 --> 00:05:35.839 has been a formula that the Bills defense has 00:05:35.839 --> 00:05:38.240 really struggled against. I'm looking for a couple 00:05:38.240 --> 00:05:39.879 of things here. You mentioned the linebackers, 00:05:39.959 --> 00:05:42.720 JJ, but when teams run out a lot of those condensed 00:05:42.720 --> 00:05:45.360 formats like the Jets plan to do, I would assume 00:05:45.360 --> 00:05:48.430 today. It's also about the DBs. DBs are drawn 00:05:48.430 --> 00:05:50.769 in closer to the line of scrimmage, and we're 00:05:50.769 --> 00:05:53.509 just going to have to see better run fits from 00:05:53.509 --> 00:05:56.829 guys like Cole Bishop, Taylor Rapp, who just 00:05:56.829 --> 00:05:59.949 took some horrible angles, horrible angles in 00:05:59.949 --> 00:06:02.670 that Baltimore Ravens game. And then Dorian Strong, 00:06:02.850 --> 00:06:04.670 you know, Benford's going to be there on his 00:06:04.670 --> 00:06:07.209 assignment in run defense, but then you've got 00:06:07.209 --> 00:06:10.350 three unknowns in the defensive backfield that 00:06:10.350 --> 00:06:12.129 I think are going to also have to step up today 00:06:12.129 --> 00:06:18.899 too. Yeah, I think that it I just was pulling 00:06:18.899 --> 00:06:21.740 up the the PFF, you know I know that we talked 00:06:21.740 --> 00:06:24.079 about PFF rankings not be the being the be all 00:06:24.079 --> 00:06:26.480 end all but they're certainly a good place to 00:06:26.480 --> 00:06:30.319 start the conversation Terrell Bernard and Matt 00:06:30.319 --> 00:06:34.209 Milano were the 58th they're tied exactly tied 00:06:34.209 --> 00:06:38.050 for 58th out of 61 graded linebackers. They were 00:06:38.050 --> 00:06:40.970 equally bad. They were equally two of the most 00:06:40.970 --> 00:06:43.889 terrible people playing football last week, according 00:06:43.889 --> 00:06:47.490 to this one site. And then also Taylor Rap was 00:06:47.490 --> 00:06:50.569 the absolute worst safety playing in NFL football 00:06:50.569 --> 00:06:53.110 last weekend, according to this rating site. 00:06:53.750 --> 00:06:57.310 And then we have TJ Sanders who has a rating 00:06:57.310 --> 00:07:01.420 so low it's not even charted. Um, so wasn't looking 00:07:01.420 --> 00:07:03.720 great, uh, across the board. Let's hope that 00:07:03.720 --> 00:07:07.060 a week of experience under the belts of, of TJ 00:07:07.060 --> 00:07:10.120 Sanders and Deon Jones, um, improves their defense, 00:07:10.180 --> 00:07:12.360 but you're absolutely right. I think that the, 00:07:12.360 --> 00:07:15.040 the Jets offensive line looks much improved. 00:07:15.420 --> 00:07:19.420 Um, Armand Membu, uh, if somebody can get, if 00:07:19.420 --> 00:07:21.319 Joe, if somebody can get past him, it's gotta 00:07:21.319 --> 00:07:24.120 be Joey Bosa because I just don't think that 00:07:24.120 --> 00:07:28.379 he is such a talented looking rookie that, um, 00:07:29.660 --> 00:07:33.040 I'm happy for Jared that it seems like the Jets 00:07:33.040 --> 00:07:35.420 hit on that one, because it's such a relief to 00:07:35.420 --> 00:07:39.000 have a solid starting tackle in the draft. But 00:07:39.000 --> 00:07:41.620 for the Bills fans who want to see a sack party, 00:07:42.079 --> 00:07:44.240 I don't know. Justin Fields is an incredibly 00:07:44.240 --> 00:07:47.079 sackable quarterback. He is and you know, we 00:07:47.079 --> 00:07:49.259 talked about the strength of that offensive line 00:07:49.259 --> 00:07:52.560 in the run game But in the pass game Justin Fields 00:07:52.560 --> 00:07:56.060 face faced 16 pressures last week against Pittsburgh 00:07:56.060 --> 00:07:59.379 15 of them came off that very same left side 00:07:59.379 --> 00:08:02.319 of the offensive line. So as good as they looked 00:08:02.540 --> 00:08:05.560 and mauling in the run game last week, JJ, they 00:08:05.560 --> 00:08:08.379 can be had in obvious passing down situations. 00:08:08.600 --> 00:08:11.060 And the Bills, I mean, the struggle is not going 00:08:11.060 --> 00:08:14.000 to be third down, hopefully, if the Bills can 00:08:14.000 --> 00:08:15.740 get it to third and five and third and seven 00:08:15.740 --> 00:08:17.800 and getting some passing sets. The struggle is 00:08:17.800 --> 00:08:19.939 going to be first and second down and trying 00:08:19.939 --> 00:08:22.939 to keep this Jets run game off schedule. That's 00:08:22.939 --> 00:08:25.160 where it's going to be. Because if you can get, 00:08:25.579 --> 00:08:28.519 switch that left side of the offensive line into 00:08:28.519 --> 00:08:31.120 pass pro mode, That's where you've got some advantage 00:08:31.120 --> 00:08:34.500 with a lot of your natural penetrators and Rousseau 00:08:34.500 --> 00:08:38.059 and Bosa and Sanders. And let's not forget Dion 00:08:38.059 --> 00:08:41.200 Walker too. He's a big body dude, but his ability 00:08:41.200 --> 00:08:43.820 to move and gain penetration factors more for 00:08:43.820 --> 00:08:46.360 me into the pass game this week than it does 00:08:46.360 --> 00:08:49.600 into the run defense game for sure. Yeah, absolutely. 00:08:49.779 --> 00:08:52.679 And I think that that that has to be the right 00:08:52.679 --> 00:08:55.840 script to play. You have to the bills. cannot 00:08:55.840 --> 00:08:58.340 just screw around for the first three quarters 00:08:58.340 --> 00:09:00.759 and hope that this is gonna turn out okay. They 00:09:00.759 --> 00:09:03.039 have to do what the Jets were trying to do to 00:09:03.039 --> 00:09:05.440 the Steelers and effectively, and that's control 00:09:05.440 --> 00:09:08.879 the game script. That is, stay on the, you know, 00:09:08.919 --> 00:09:11.419 keep your offense on the field, long sustained 00:09:11.419 --> 00:09:15.299 drives, score on every, score seven on every 00:09:15.299 --> 00:09:18.759 of your possessions that you can, and then force 00:09:18.759 --> 00:09:22.220 a few turnovers from the Jets, not in terms of. 00:09:22.269 --> 00:09:24.889 you know, interceptions fumbles, but rather making 00:09:24.889 --> 00:09:27.429 sure that they're punting and not having the 00:09:27.429 --> 00:09:30.529 same long sustained clock eating drives with 00:09:30.529 --> 00:09:32.669 ending in seven. I think you're absolutely right. 00:09:32.830 --> 00:09:35.230 And that is the place that they need to apply 00:09:35.230 --> 00:09:39.970 the pressure to is in dialing up some exotic 00:09:39.970 --> 00:09:41.710 things. Because that's one of the things about 00:09:41.710 --> 00:09:44.330 Justin Fields is that he was one of the most 00:09:44.330 --> 00:09:47.350 efficient pastors last week, but it was very 00:09:47.350 --> 00:09:51.179 much second reaction plays. It was never his 00:09:51.179 --> 00:09:54.779 like kind of, it wasn't a Tua game. It was closer 00:09:54.779 --> 00:09:57.620 to a Lamar Jackson type game where, you know, 00:09:57.659 --> 00:10:00.419 he was not just hitting his back foot and zipping 00:10:00.419 --> 00:10:02.559 it. It was, you know, hitting his back foot, 00:10:02.700 --> 00:10:04.379 kind of scrambling around a little bit, and then 00:10:04.379 --> 00:10:07.139 finding somebody open. Often Garrett Wilson, 00:10:07.320 --> 00:10:11.480 who we know is exactly that guy. And so it's 00:10:11.480 --> 00:10:13.240 going to be interesting and I hope that the Bills 00:10:13.240 --> 00:10:16.279 can get some things done because what we saw 00:10:16.279 --> 00:10:18.080 in preseason, what we've seen in the first week 00:10:18.080 --> 00:10:20.360 so far is that the Bills are willing to go man 00:10:20.360 --> 00:10:21.940 and they're willing to blitz a little bit more. 00:10:22.080 --> 00:10:24.360 And I think that, you know, they blitzed something 00:10:24.360 --> 00:10:26.940 like 37 % of the time or whatever against the 00:10:26.940 --> 00:10:29.740 Ravens and they may need to do the same. And 00:10:29.740 --> 00:10:31.620 I think it's going to be more effective against 00:10:31.620 --> 00:10:35.039 Justin Fields if a few people can win their individual 00:10:35.039 --> 00:10:37.299 matchups in that front seven. That's what it's 00:10:37.299 --> 00:10:39.519 about man. It's about winning those one -on -one 00:10:39.519 --> 00:10:42.320 matchups, but then also the back end of the defense 00:10:42.320 --> 00:10:44.879 Staying sticky in coverage and winning their 00:10:44.879 --> 00:10:48.440 matchups, too You know, there's been a lot of 00:10:48.440 --> 00:10:49.960 there's been a lot of talk you bring up Garrett 00:10:49.960 --> 00:10:52.120 Wilson or Garrett Wilson rather There's been 00:10:52.120 --> 00:10:55.139 a lot of talk about you know, Christian Benford 00:10:55.139 --> 00:10:57.779 and how he was targeted almost mercilessly by 00:10:57.779 --> 00:11:01.639 Lamar last week I mean Lamar went after Benford 00:11:01.639 --> 00:11:06.259 on 33 % of his dropbacks Benford allowed a passer 00:11:06.259 --> 00:11:09.240 rating of 150 .9. For those of you unfamiliar 00:11:09.240 --> 00:11:12.299 with passer rating, perfect rating is 153 .8. 00:11:12.600 --> 00:11:15.100 So Lamar was damn near perfect targeting Benford. 00:11:15.460 --> 00:11:19.139 He gave up two TDs and a completion percentage 00:11:19.139 --> 00:11:22.639 above expectation of 12 .4%, according to NFL 00:11:22.639 --> 00:11:25.159 Next Gen stats. But he was sticky in coverage. 00:11:25.600 --> 00:11:28.720 He forced, Brenford forced 42 % tight window 00:11:28.720 --> 00:11:31.360 throws when he was in man coverage and he only 00:11:31.360 --> 00:11:34.379 allowed about two yards of separation. To me, 00:11:34.519 --> 00:11:37.679 to your point, JJ, if the Bills are going to 00:11:37.679 --> 00:11:40.740 choose to play man, I do not know that Justin 00:11:40.740 --> 00:11:43.580 Fields has yet shown me enough in his development 00:11:43.580 --> 00:11:46.559 as a passer that he can maximize those tight 00:11:46.559 --> 00:11:50.049 window throws. So I do think if the Bills have 00:11:50.049 --> 00:11:52.330 to dial up some more exotic packages. If they 00:11:52.330 --> 00:11:55.529 are going to run more man blitzes, I think they 00:11:55.529 --> 00:11:58.070 will be more successful than the Steelers were. 00:11:58.210 --> 00:12:00.990 Because remember, the Steelers were without Joey 00:12:00.990 --> 00:12:03.009 Porter Jr. for a large stretch of this game, 00:12:03.230 --> 00:12:05.190 and they lost, I think, both of their starting 00:12:05.190 --> 00:12:08.769 safeties. So not to take away from anything that 00:12:08.769 --> 00:12:12.309 we saw from Justin Fields last week, but he was 00:12:12.309 --> 00:12:14.990 playing against second unit guys in that Pittsburgh 00:12:14.990 --> 00:12:18.450 secondary for a large extent. I think if Benford 00:12:18.450 --> 00:12:21.250 can stay sticky like he did against the Ravens, 00:12:21.289 --> 00:12:23.409 he's just going to naturally see more success 00:12:23.409 --> 00:12:25.909 because the ball placement for Fields is not 00:12:25.909 --> 00:12:28.389 going to be as surgical as it was for Lamar Jackson. 00:12:30.350 --> 00:12:32.730 Yeah, that's a great point. And that kind of 00:12:32.730 --> 00:12:34.470 harkens back to when I said that they're going 00:12:34.470 --> 00:12:38.450 against the diet duo of, you know, Jackson and 00:12:38.450 --> 00:12:43.009 Henry with Fields and Hall. And I think that 00:12:43.009 --> 00:12:46.740 that's hopefully that is a way that these bills 00:12:46.740 --> 00:12:50.299 can, and we talked about it so much pre -game, 00:12:50.299 --> 00:12:53.179 post -game, that the Ravens are a team that is 00:12:53.179 --> 00:12:55.860 absolutely built to hurt the bills in the ways 00:12:55.860 --> 00:13:00.080 that they can be hurt the most. The Jets are 00:13:00.080 --> 00:13:01.860 trying to build that team. They just may be a 00:13:01.860 --> 00:13:04.340 little bit early in their build in terms of putting 00:13:04.340 --> 00:13:07.500 it all together. And the QB is such a question 00:13:07.500 --> 00:13:10.440 mark in this game. I think that, you know, if... 00:13:11.259 --> 00:13:14.559 If it comes down to a Justin Fields versus Josh 00:13:14.559 --> 00:13:18.080 Allen shootout, I like our guy, whereas I'm not 00:13:18.080 --> 00:13:21.659 as confident when it's just, you know, when it's 00:13:21.659 --> 00:13:24.139 Josh Allen versus Lamar Jackson in a shootout 00:13:24.139 --> 00:13:26.639 because of those reasons. They're both supremely 00:13:26.639 --> 00:13:29.899 talented. I know, I know. The Ravens are like 00:13:29.899 --> 00:13:32.620 that ex -girlfriend that just knows how to hurt 00:13:32.620 --> 00:13:35.740 you, you know what I mean? It's like, yeah. That's 00:13:35.740 --> 00:13:39.559 your biggest insecurity in Justin. Exactly. They 00:13:39.559 --> 00:13:42.059 know exactly what your deepest fear is, and they 00:13:42.059 --> 00:13:44.220 know how to exploit it. That's the Ravens for 00:13:44.220 --> 00:13:48.080 these bills, right? The Jets, again, and this 00:13:48.080 --> 00:13:49.919 is a credit to Aaron Glenn, this is a credit 00:13:49.919 --> 00:13:53.360 to that new regime in New York. And notice that 00:13:53.360 --> 00:13:55.580 I'm saying New York and not New Jersey, because 00:13:55.580 --> 00:13:58.059 even after week one, I've got a kind of a new 00:13:58.059 --> 00:14:00.259 respect for how this Jets team wants to operate 00:14:00.259 --> 00:14:04.039 now. But they're very clear -eyed that they need 00:14:04.039 --> 00:14:07.309 to win the division. There is a very clear blueprint 00:14:07.309 --> 00:14:09.490 that the bills have established for how they 00:14:09.490 --> 00:14:11.090 want to build their team, how they want to run 00:14:11.090 --> 00:14:13.070 their team, and then the personnel they want 00:14:13.070 --> 00:14:16.970 to put on the field. And this coaching staff 00:14:16.970 --> 00:14:20.149 and this personnel office for the Jets, they 00:14:20.149 --> 00:14:22.350 are starting to build out what looks like the 00:14:22.350 --> 00:14:24.730 early versions of something that is going to 00:14:24.730 --> 00:14:26.909 challenge the bills. And listen, the bills are 00:14:26.909 --> 00:14:30.350 going to get The absolute best shot from the 00:14:30.350 --> 00:14:32.370 Jets. This is no shade of the Jets. This is going 00:14:32.370 --> 00:14:34.710 to be the Jets Super Bowl this week to match 00:14:34.710 --> 00:14:40.009 up here in New Jersey. I think, I think this 00:14:40.009 --> 00:14:42.830 offense in particular is going to come to play 00:14:42.830 --> 00:14:45.929 and not just play, but repeat and to a large 00:14:45.929 --> 00:14:49.409 extent, a lot of the physical performance winning 00:14:49.409 --> 00:14:52.409 one -on -one matchups that did them so well against, 00:14:52.610 --> 00:14:54.450 uh, against Pittsburgh. I mean, dude, you mentioned 00:14:54.450 --> 00:14:57.629 Memboo. Like I'm pretty sure I saw a stat come 00:14:57.629 --> 00:15:00.350 across my social media accounts that said that 00:15:00.350 --> 00:15:05.149 Memboo's time to pressure allowed was 3 .8 seconds. 00:15:05.549 --> 00:15:08.529 He was, Justin Fields could have had a lunch 00:15:08.529 --> 00:15:11.090 in the pocket on Memboo's side of the field at 00:15:11.090 --> 00:15:14.370 3 .8 seconds. That is an eternity to keep pressure 00:15:14.370 --> 00:15:16.929 off of your quarterback. So I think they're going 00:15:16.929 --> 00:15:19.090 to want to come and play physical. And you know, 00:15:19.190 --> 00:15:22.909 man, after the physicality and the emotion and 00:15:22.909 --> 00:15:25.809 the way the Bills won week one, I don't want 00:15:25.809 --> 00:15:27.549 to say it because I'm always wrong about these 00:15:27.549 --> 00:15:29.090 things, but this is feeling a little bit like 00:15:29.090 --> 00:15:31.169 a trap game. Another physical game that I don't 00:15:31.169 --> 00:15:33.519 know if the Bills are up for yet. That, yeah, 00:15:33.620 --> 00:15:37.379 no, I'm worried about it, too. And I think that, 00:15:37.480 --> 00:15:39.379 you know, it's interesting you say, you know, 00:15:39.779 --> 00:15:43.840 Arman Membu is, it's like they have to cut a 00:15:43.840 --> 00:15:47.980 canal across Arman Membu to just, because transversing 00:15:47.980 --> 00:15:52.259 the bottom or top coast of his island is too 00:15:52.259 --> 00:15:54.139 long. Like, if we're going to get in nautical 00:15:54.139 --> 00:15:57.570 terms. homie is six foot four three hundred and 00:15:57.570 --> 00:16:00.990 thirty two pounds like he's a giant man he's 00:16:00.990 --> 00:16:04.009 a geographic mass in of an in and of himself 00:16:04.009 --> 00:16:06.470 okay he's got he's got nine and three quarter 00:16:06.470 --> 00:16:10.450 inch wide hands each of them right and then he's 00:16:10.450 --> 00:16:13.289 got 33 and a half inch arms so he's just this 00:16:13.289 --> 00:16:16.360 giant man yeah he's like his You know, somebody 00:16:16.360 --> 00:16:19.919 that big who can throw, you know, 225 pounds 00:16:19.919 --> 00:16:22.399 up 31 times is going to really cause you problems 00:16:22.399 --> 00:16:24.580 on the edge. Yeah, I mean, he made T .J. Watt 00:16:24.580 --> 00:16:26.980 look washed in that game. Yeah. Yeah. And so 00:16:26.980 --> 00:16:29.799 hopefully our guy who's also potentially washed 00:16:29.799 --> 00:16:32.519 doesn't look as washed. Hopefully not. Hopefully 00:16:32.519 --> 00:16:35.000 not. Bosa had some nice recovery there. And, 00:16:35.059 --> 00:16:37.799 you know, I've got a sneaking suspicion, too, 00:16:37.799 --> 00:16:40.240 that in obvious passing downs, I think we're 00:16:40.240 --> 00:16:42.419 going to see Rousseau matched up a little bit 00:16:42.419 --> 00:16:45.860 more on Membu just because from a Measurable 00:16:45.860 --> 00:16:48.960 standpoint. I think he offers membu a little 00:16:48.960 --> 00:16:51.100 bit of a tougher matchup than both. Yeah. Yeah 00:16:51.100 --> 00:16:53.980 Well, yeah, cuz he's he's been more traditionally 00:16:53.980 --> 00:16:57.679 cut. He's a slippery year slippery year Russia 00:16:57.679 --> 00:17:00.759 than Bosa is in some regards where Bosa's pure 00:17:00.759 --> 00:17:02.980 power and so I think they're gonna try to put 00:17:02.980 --> 00:17:05.319 They're gonna try to line both up in the weakest 00:17:05.319 --> 00:17:06.980 spot because that's where he can make the most 00:17:06.980 --> 00:17:09.700 damage Absolutely, without a doubt. All right, 00:17:09.759 --> 00:17:12.779 JJ, any final thoughts here on this MASH unit 00:17:12.779 --> 00:17:14.539 Bill's defense we're rolling out there? Do you 00:17:14.539 --> 00:17:17.000 want to switch to the JA -17 side of the ball? 00:17:17.259 --> 00:17:19.359 Let's get to the part that makes me feel a little 00:17:19.359 --> 00:17:21.660 bit more better. Yeah, let's get to the thing 00:17:21.660 --> 00:17:24.380 that is going to absolve me of the anxiety I 00:17:24.380 --> 00:17:26.819 have. Let's do it. Because Josh freaking Allen, 00:17:26.980 --> 00:17:29.799 dude, like, it didn't matter that they played 00:17:29.799 --> 00:17:31.480 three and a half quarters of terrible football 00:17:31.480 --> 00:17:34.900 and the defense gave up every yard that they, 00:17:34.900 --> 00:17:37.410 you know, that the Ravens wanted. At the end 00:17:37.410 --> 00:17:41.089 of the day, Josh freaking Allen and some other 00:17:41.089 --> 00:17:45.210 heroes emerged. James Cook, Ken Coleman, Josh 00:17:45.210 --> 00:17:47.369 Palmer to some extent, Elijah Moore a little 00:17:47.369 --> 00:17:52.369 bit. There were some bright shining stars of 00:17:52.369 --> 00:17:54.630 hope on that offense that made me believe they 00:17:54.630 --> 00:17:57.269 can get this thing done again. Now, my question 00:17:57.269 --> 00:17:59.390 is to you, I'll start here. If we're going to 00:17:59.390 --> 00:18:02.589 go from planning all the way down to execution, 00:18:04.009 --> 00:18:06.289 What do you think about the plan? Is it all whip 00:18:06.289 --> 00:18:08.210 screens all day because the Jets know that they 00:18:08.210 --> 00:18:11.789 can funnel those plays? No. And I'm, I'm really 00:18:11.789 --> 00:18:15.410 hoping we get away from, from some of this, uh, 00:18:15.490 --> 00:18:17.349 behind the line of scrimmage throws at the line 00:18:17.349 --> 00:18:19.990 of scrimmage stuff that, you know, the bills 00:18:19.990 --> 00:18:22.250 are rolling out there in week one. And to me, 00:18:22.549 --> 00:18:25.630 it wasn't necessarily surrender, but it was. 00:18:25.869 --> 00:18:28.069 To me, a clear acknowledgement early in the game 00:18:28.069 --> 00:18:30.210 that Joe Brady was like, I don't know if we've 00:18:30.210 --> 00:18:32.849 got the horses to win downfield against this 00:18:32.849 --> 00:18:35.750 secondary, right? So he went out and he did some 00:18:35.750 --> 00:18:37.869 stuff that he thought was going to put his team 00:18:37.869 --> 00:18:41.430 in the best possible position to, to attack the 00:18:41.430 --> 00:18:43.990 very limited weaknesses of this Baltimore Ravens 00:18:43.990 --> 00:18:47.269 defense. But we saw very early on, especially 00:18:47.269 --> 00:18:51.930 with Josh Josh's average. average yards per attempt 00:18:51.930 --> 00:18:55.390 in the first half versus the second half, 4 .4 00:18:55.390 --> 00:18:58.230 yards average per attempt in the first half, 00:18:58.789 --> 00:19:01.970 12 .1 yards in the second half. I think when 00:19:01.970 --> 00:19:06.400 they saw that Jair Alexander was not yet 100%. 00:19:06.400 --> 00:19:08.819 They felt good about targeting him. And there 00:19:08.819 --> 00:19:12.660 is a similar juicy target in one Brandon Stevens 00:19:12.660 --> 00:19:14.920 on the other side of the ball that I think should 00:19:14.920 --> 00:19:18.299 give the Bills and Joe Brady and Josh Allen some 00:19:18.299 --> 00:19:23.920 confidence in attacking downfield early on. Yeah, 00:19:23.920 --> 00:19:25.740 absolutely. And I think that that's probably 00:19:25.740 --> 00:19:28.519 where I would start as well as the downfield 00:19:28.519 --> 00:19:31.049 passing attack has to be the thing that they 00:19:31.049 --> 00:19:34.009 hang their hat on this, this week because you 00:19:34.009 --> 00:19:36.109 have, you know, you have some players in that 00:19:36.109 --> 00:19:37.710 secondary who are kind of questionable. You pointed 00:19:37.710 --> 00:19:40.230 out Brandon Stevens, who used to play for the, 00:19:40.230 --> 00:19:43.670 um, Ravens and was somebody that the Bills had 00:19:43.670 --> 00:19:46.250 success targeting in the past as well. And really 00:19:46.250 --> 00:19:48.569 that second and third level is the place for 00:19:48.569 --> 00:19:50.910 it. You know, outside of sauce Gardner, they 00:19:50.910 --> 00:19:53.650 do not have great coverage players. Andrea Cisco 00:19:53.650 --> 00:19:56.690 is way more of a downhill thumper. They've got 00:19:56.690 --> 00:19:59.789 Tony Adams who has always been kind of questionable 00:19:59.789 --> 00:20:03.569 for me and his defense grade is abysmal with 00:20:03.569 --> 00:20:06.890 his coverage grade even lower. So I think that 00:20:06.890 --> 00:20:08.390 they have a chance against these linebackers. 00:20:08.430 --> 00:20:10.930 They have lighter, faster, kind of more athletic 00:20:10.930 --> 00:20:14.190 linebackers kind of in the vein of the Bills, 00:20:14.809 --> 00:20:16.730 which is an advantage the Bills had over the 00:20:16.730 --> 00:20:18.410 Ravens a little bit because they have heavier 00:20:18.410 --> 00:20:21.230 traditional old school linebackers. But these 00:20:21.230 --> 00:20:23.829 Jess linebackers are not, you know, they're not... 00:20:24.279 --> 00:20:26.519 experts in coverage. I think that our guys are 00:20:26.519 --> 00:20:29.299 a little bit better at that. And so it's going 00:20:29.299 --> 00:20:31.740 to be interesting to see how the bills target 00:20:31.740 --> 00:20:33.480 those linebackers on the second level, because 00:20:33.480 --> 00:20:37.920 on the first level, you know, everybody knows 00:20:37.920 --> 00:20:40.880 who Quinn and Williams is at this point. The 00:20:40.880 --> 00:20:43.059 Jets picked up Harrison or traded for Harrison 00:20:43.059 --> 00:20:46.400 Phillips. So they have a former bill in the middle. 00:20:46.400 --> 00:20:49.940 He's kind of their weakest link on the line because 00:20:49.940 --> 00:20:52.880 Jermaine Johnson and Will McDonald both look 00:20:52.880 --> 00:20:55.980 like the real deal being top of the first round 00:20:55.980 --> 00:20:59.359 edge rushers that they're leaning on now. So, 00:20:59.359 --> 00:21:01.119 yeah, I think that there's some there's some 00:21:01.119 --> 00:21:03.059 places to target in the secondary, but you have 00:21:03.059 --> 00:21:05.279 to go pretty deep and you have to have time. 00:21:05.380 --> 00:21:06.799 That's going to be the biggest problem because 00:21:06.799 --> 00:21:08.960 this Jets pass rush looks legitimate with the 00:21:08.960 --> 00:21:12.039 front four. Yeah, absolutely. And that's where, 00:21:12.039 --> 00:21:15.559 you know, James Cook, as we say every week, is 00:21:15.559 --> 00:21:18.140 going to have to factor in big and keeping defenses 00:21:18.140 --> 00:21:21.759 honest. Now I will say this just defense for 00:21:21.759 --> 00:21:23.759 everything that we've seen about the adjustments 00:21:23.759 --> 00:21:25.279 that they have made, the personnel that they 00:21:25.279 --> 00:21:29.220 have. This is still a defense that struggles 00:21:29.220 --> 00:21:32.170 against running backs, catching the ball. out 00:21:32.170 --> 00:21:34.329 of the backfield. And a lot of it has to do with 00:21:34.329 --> 00:21:35.650 the fact that you mentioned the questions they 00:21:35.650 --> 00:21:37.589 have at the second and third level of their defense. 00:21:37.990 --> 00:21:40.690 So I think Cook factors in big into the into 00:21:40.690 --> 00:21:43.630 the pass catch game here, keeping the Jets offense 00:21:43.630 --> 00:21:47.089 honest, drawing more guys into the box to create 00:21:47.089 --> 00:21:51.230 advantages downfield as well. I want to see the 00:21:51.230 --> 00:21:53.009 play action game factored here too. And again, 00:21:53.049 --> 00:21:55.349 I know when you're rolling out a pass rush is 00:21:55.349 --> 00:21:58.369 ferocious as the Jets have. You are hesitant 00:21:58.369 --> 00:22:00.609 to have your QB turn his back to the line of 00:22:00.609 --> 00:22:02.369 scrimmage. But at the end of the day, and this 00:22:02.369 --> 00:22:05.230 has been a gripe I have had, the only limited 00:22:05.230 --> 00:22:07.470 minor gripe I've had about the Joe Brady offense 00:22:07.470 --> 00:22:10.849 is that. You've got arguably the best play action 00:22:10.849 --> 00:22:13.009 quarterback in the league, but under center and 00:22:13.009 --> 00:22:15.670 Josh Allen, and you are not mashing that play 00:22:15.670 --> 00:22:18.349 action button with the elite level that you have 00:22:18.349 --> 00:22:20.990 hit with this run game as well. So I want to 00:22:20.990 --> 00:22:22.609 see a little bit more play action. I want to 00:22:22.609 --> 00:22:25.049 see the bills dictate the terms of engagement 00:22:25.049 --> 00:22:28.009 more on offense than they did against the Ravens 00:22:28.009 --> 00:22:30.170 in that first half, because JJ, it's all going 00:22:30.170 --> 00:22:32.720 to come down to game script. If the Buffalo Bills 00:22:32.720 --> 00:22:35.140 offense, and I feel like we say this all the 00:22:35.140 --> 00:22:37.599 time, but if the offense can get a two score 00:22:37.599 --> 00:22:40.539 lead, get a 17 point lead, you basically take 00:22:40.539 --> 00:22:43.019 the run game for the Jets out of the equation 00:22:43.019 --> 00:22:45.980 and you make Justin Fields a full time passer. 00:22:46.279 --> 00:22:48.980 And that's where you can put your defense in 00:22:48.980 --> 00:22:51.559 an advantageous position to take advantage of 00:22:51.559 --> 00:22:54.940 a still developing QB who is finding his way 00:22:54.940 --> 00:22:58.450 in a brand new offensive scheme. Yep. Absolutely. 00:22:59.190 --> 00:23:01.509 And I think too that the, you know, I agree completely 00:23:01.509 --> 00:23:04.109 with play action. I think that that is absolutely 00:23:04.109 --> 00:23:07.349 one way to attack. I think taking advantage of 00:23:07.349 --> 00:23:10.650 these defensive ends, being really young and 00:23:10.650 --> 00:23:13.769 really aggressive and getting the screen game 00:23:13.769 --> 00:23:16.190 to running backs utilized a little bit can also 00:23:16.190 --> 00:23:19.670 be a tool you can, you can kind of deploy. Um, 00:23:20.009 --> 00:23:22.500 but yeah. It's so frustrating because I agree 00:23:22.500 --> 00:23:24.980 with you. We see the game the same way on offense 00:23:24.980 --> 00:23:27.220 for the Bills and half for a little while that 00:23:27.220 --> 00:23:30.039 Josh Allen is exceptional at play action. And 00:23:30.039 --> 00:23:33.220 yet Joe Brady over his career calling games does 00:23:33.220 --> 00:23:38.059 it like less than 7 % of times. And so really 00:23:38.059 --> 00:23:39.480 kind of getting into that some more. I think 00:23:39.480 --> 00:23:42.240 it was 3 % against the Ravens and all of those 00:23:42.240 --> 00:23:45.759 plays that they did play action, Josh was successfully 00:23:45.759 --> 00:23:48.920 finding people on. So lean into that more for 00:23:48.920 --> 00:23:52.109 sure. Uh, I think targeting the, you know, it's, 00:23:52.109 --> 00:23:55.289 it's weird to say, but, um, trying to run at, 00:23:55.329 --> 00:23:58.490 you know, straight up the gut at the nose tackle 00:23:58.490 --> 00:24:00.630 Harrison Phillips might be the way to go. If 00:24:00.630 --> 00:24:02.849 you can get some movement because we got, you 00:24:02.849 --> 00:24:05.170 know, Osiris, Torrance, McConaughey, not small 00:24:05.170 --> 00:24:07.609 guys, David Edwards, not a small guy. If you 00:24:07.609 --> 00:24:10.390 can get some movement there on the side opposite 00:24:10.390 --> 00:24:13.609 Williams, who the Jets now, unlike the Robert 00:24:13.609 --> 00:24:16.809 Sala Jets, they, they put Quinn and Williams. 00:24:17.160 --> 00:24:19.720 There's no way you can't manipulate where they're 00:24:19.720 --> 00:24:21.259 going to line him up on the line like you could 00:24:21.259 --> 00:24:23.680 against Salah. Against Salah it was like, oh, 00:24:23.960 --> 00:24:26.019 if we just go heavy to this side, we know Quentin 00:24:26.019 --> 00:24:29.160 Williams is going to be on the weak side without 00:24:29.160 --> 00:24:33.599 tight end help. And that was much easier because 00:24:33.599 --> 00:24:35.819 it was just like, well, we can kind of figure 00:24:35.819 --> 00:24:37.779 out by our alignment where we're going to put 00:24:37.779 --> 00:24:41.200 him. Now it's like, no, they're going to use 00:24:41.200 --> 00:24:42.940 tape study to figure out where he's going to 00:24:42.940 --> 00:24:46.230 be most effective against your looks. The bills 00:24:46.230 --> 00:24:48.450 can still do some of that can still manipulate 00:24:48.450 --> 00:24:50.390 in some ways on offense, but they have to win 00:24:50.390 --> 00:24:54.710 the 3d chess match by You know outsmarting the 00:24:54.710 --> 00:24:57.430 Jets in that regard and Aaron Glenn's no slouch. 00:24:57.690 --> 00:25:00.309 No No, this is a I mean you saw the difference 00:25:00.309 --> 00:25:03.089 in week one This is an exceptionally well coached 00:25:03.089 --> 00:25:05.529 Jets team and we have not been able to say that 00:25:05.529 --> 00:25:09.470 for quite a few years now I Again, I get real 00:25:09.470 --> 00:25:12.450 trap game feels out of this because the bills 00:25:12.450 --> 00:25:17.269 right now After overcoming that Ravens game now 00:25:17.269 --> 00:25:19.869 have the, the highest odds in the league to start 00:25:19.869 --> 00:25:22.670 the year seven and Oh, before their rematch with 00:25:22.670 --> 00:25:26.369 Kansas city. And I just think I get it. I get 00:25:26.369 --> 00:25:28.950 odds makers are very good at their job jobs, 00:25:28.950 --> 00:25:30.950 but if you look at this thing on a game to game 00:25:30.950 --> 00:25:34.670 basis. This Jets game is a very, very early test 00:25:34.670 --> 00:25:37.529 in week two after the Bills are coming off a 00:25:37.529 --> 00:25:40.529 bruising physical and emotional matchup against 00:25:40.529 --> 00:25:43.630 a conference rival on the Ravens too. Listen, 00:25:43.769 --> 00:25:46.069 the Bills are well coached too. You know, we've 00:25:46.069 --> 00:25:48.509 had our issues with McDermott over the course 00:25:48.509 --> 00:25:50.589 of the last almost decade that he's been at the 00:25:50.589 --> 00:25:53.529 helm, but this is a well coached unit too. They 00:25:53.529 --> 00:25:55.730 really believe in the philosophy of one game 00:25:55.730 --> 00:25:58.990 at a time. And I just want to see more from them 00:25:58.990 --> 00:26:01.329 in the first half year to dictate the terms as 00:26:01.329 --> 00:26:03.210 opposed to have the game dictated to them in 00:26:03.210 --> 00:26:06.009 the way that they did against the Ravens. Yeah, 00:26:06.009 --> 00:26:09.650 and I think that you can. It's interesting because 00:26:09.650 --> 00:26:11.890 it was last year that the bill no two years ago, 00:26:11.990 --> 00:26:14.029 the bills played better on the road than at home. 00:26:14.200 --> 00:26:16.720 The Bills have played exceptionally well at home 00:26:16.720 --> 00:26:19.819 last year. But we'll see if we can get back to 00:26:19.819 --> 00:26:21.759 that. It seemed like they had a cheat code for 00:26:21.759 --> 00:26:23.900 playing on the road. They had their stuff together. 00:26:23.940 --> 00:26:26.140 They came out faster. They played a little bit 00:26:26.140 --> 00:26:28.660 hotter in the first half. And then they were 00:26:28.660 --> 00:26:30.940 doing the procrastination thing back at home 00:26:30.940 --> 00:26:34.839 last season. And so maybe we see that. Let's 00:26:34.839 --> 00:26:36.640 remember that this is the same defense that the 00:26:36.640 --> 00:26:39.680 Bills hung 40 plus on when Aaron Glenn was coaching 00:26:39.680 --> 00:26:44.119 it in Detroit. Last season so it's gonna be man 00:26:44.119 --> 00:26:46.000 coverage heavy and we know what Josh Allen does 00:26:46.000 --> 00:26:49.279 to man coverage traditionally Expect him to get 00:26:49.279 --> 00:26:52.859 some some scrambles on the books and then on 00:26:52.859 --> 00:26:54.779 top of that they're gonna blitz you they're gonna 00:26:54.779 --> 00:26:57.339 try to bring extra heat and if you can if you 00:26:57.339 --> 00:26:59.700 have Answers dialed up for Josh Allen. We know 00:26:59.700 --> 00:27:02.819 he's fast enough to deliver them Without a doubt. 00:27:02.980 --> 00:27:05.539 All right, man Anything more on the Bills offense 00:27:05.539 --> 00:27:06.880 or do you want to get to some prediction sure 00:27:06.880 --> 00:27:08.900 to go wrong? Let's go ahead and predict this 00:27:08.900 --> 00:27:11.680 thing All right, let's start with score. So the 00:27:11.680 --> 00:27:14.839 bills last I checked were, I don't want to verify 00:27:14.839 --> 00:27:16.660 this, it was either six and a half or seven and 00:27:16.660 --> 00:27:19.099 a half point favorites. They are six and a half 00:27:19.099 --> 00:27:21.819 point favorites on the road. Over -under for 00:27:21.819 --> 00:27:27.799 this game is 47 .5 points. I took the under last 00:27:27.799 --> 00:27:30.720 week. I was wrong about that, though I will say, 00:27:30.960 --> 00:27:32.720 and listen, you should not listen to us for betting 00:27:32.720 --> 00:27:35.740 advice. This is a non -gambling podcast. But 00:27:35.740 --> 00:27:39.119 unders last week, We're finished. I think it 00:27:39.119 --> 00:27:41.500 like a 90 % clip. There were only two games that 00:27:41.500 --> 00:27:44.099 finished in the over It was the Jets against 00:27:44.099 --> 00:27:47.079 Pittsburgh and it was the Bills against the Ravens 00:27:47.079 --> 00:27:50.579 that being said This also feels like it could 00:27:50.579 --> 00:27:52.359 be another shootout just because I don't trust 00:27:52.359 --> 00:27:54.380 this Bills defense JJ So where are you at with 00:27:54.380 --> 00:27:55.799 final score because I'm still trying to figure 00:27:55.799 --> 00:27:58.839 stuff out Yeah, I'm gonna say that the Bills 00:27:58.839 --> 00:28:01.380 are gonna are going to get hit I think the over 00:28:01.380 --> 00:28:04.039 is gonna hit and I think it's gonna be Bills 00:28:04.039 --> 00:28:09.650 35 Jets 27 Nice. All right. So you've got the 00:28:09.650 --> 00:28:11.410 Bills winning by, God, what's the math on that? 00:28:11.490 --> 00:28:13.690 Is that eight points? Yeah. Just covering the 00:28:13.690 --> 00:28:16.170 spread. Excellent. So you got the Bills covering. 00:28:17.029 --> 00:28:20.069 I think this game is going to be close. I've 00:28:20.069 --> 00:28:24.069 been like Bills win, Jets cover type of territory, 00:28:24.309 --> 00:28:27.710 and I've been back and forth on like a 37 -35 00:28:27.710 --> 00:28:30.890 final score. I will tell you, there was a point, 00:28:30.930 --> 00:28:33.450 and please Bills Mafia forgive me because this 00:28:33.450 --> 00:28:36.029 is prediction sure to go wrong. I was wrong last 00:28:36.029 --> 00:28:38.730 week. And I'm tempted to pick the Jets here just 00:28:38.730 --> 00:28:41.670 to keep that good karma going of when I pick 00:28:41.670 --> 00:28:45.609 the Jets, the Bills win. But I am going to go 00:28:45.609 --> 00:28:49.609 Bills 37, Jets 35. I think it's another good 00:28:49.609 --> 00:28:52.849 showing for the Jets. JJ, this is not a team 00:28:52.849 --> 00:28:56.630 to me that deserves to start 0 -2, but I've got 00:28:56.630 --> 00:28:59.369 them starting 0 -2 here. Just because I think 00:28:59.369 --> 00:29:01.869 the Bills will have more answers on offense. 00:29:02.660 --> 00:29:05.619 for this Jets attack than Justin Fields will 00:29:05.619 --> 00:29:08.200 have for the Bills if the game script goes the 00:29:08.200 --> 00:29:10.160 way they need it to go. And listen, since Joe 00:29:10.160 --> 00:29:13.200 Breed took over play calling against the Jets, 00:29:13.539 --> 00:29:17.359 margin of victory versus this squad has been 00:29:17.359 --> 00:29:21.500 in the double digits consistently. With the exception 00:29:21.500 --> 00:29:24.440 of, I think, week six last season where, I mean, 00:29:24.619 --> 00:29:27.680 Garrett Wilson just went off in that game. Joe 00:29:27.680 --> 00:29:29.960 Brady has figured out a way to really trounce 00:29:29.960 --> 00:29:32.220 this Jets squad and run up the score on offense. 00:29:33.740 --> 00:29:35.359 Yeah. And that's, that's been a change too, is 00:29:35.359 --> 00:29:37.660 I think that this, this people say, Oh, well, 00:29:37.759 --> 00:29:39.559 Josh Allen's not good against the Jets defense. 00:29:39.920 --> 00:29:44.029 That was only true until. um joe brady took over 00:29:44.029 --> 00:29:46.009 his offensive coordinator and then he's just 00:29:46.009 --> 00:29:48.210 hasn't been quite a bit better and part of that 00:29:48.210 --> 00:29:50.109 is establishing the run game because i think 00:29:50.109 --> 00:29:52.109 the jets want you to be in third and long like 00:29:52.109 --> 00:29:54.210 most defenses that's where they kind of thrive 00:29:54.210 --> 00:29:56.569 and even this year with the change in leadership 00:29:56.569 --> 00:29:59.339 that's still it and so I think that they have 00:29:59.339 --> 00:30:01.940 a great opportunity if they can, again, keep 00:30:01.940 --> 00:30:04.279 ahead, manage the game script. The secret that 00:30:04.279 --> 00:30:06.579 we know that it is to the bill of success has 00:30:06.579 --> 00:30:09.460 been kind of staying ahead, forcing the other 00:30:09.460 --> 00:30:12.259 team into uncomfortable choices on offense so 00:30:12.259 --> 00:30:14.799 that they can maximize turnovers and things like 00:30:14.799 --> 00:30:17.339 that. So I'm hopeful for it. I'm looking forward 00:30:17.339 --> 00:30:18.859 to it. Do you have any prop bets for this one? 00:30:19.400 --> 00:30:21.380 I do. You mentioned turnovers. I want to talk 00:30:21.380 --> 00:30:25.779 about Josh. We know two things can be true. We 00:30:25.779 --> 00:30:30.440 know that he has been on a historic run for him 00:30:30.440 --> 00:30:33.019 relative to his own production of not turning 00:30:33.019 --> 00:30:34.819 the ball over. Didn't have a turnover against 00:30:34.819 --> 00:30:40.819 the Ravens. However, he has thrown 18 interceptions 00:30:40.819 --> 00:30:43.220 against the New York Jets over the course of 00:30:43.220 --> 00:30:47.200 his career. That is the highest amount of interceptions 00:30:47.200 --> 00:30:50.440 that any active QB has against a single team 00:30:50.440 --> 00:30:53.359 in the league right now. So I got this one for 00:30:53.359 --> 00:30:56.500 you, JJ, over, under. Half an interception for 00:30:56.500 --> 00:31:00.460 Josh Allen. I'm going to say under because I 00:31:00.460 --> 00:31:03.059 think that what we're seeing is MVP Josh. I think 00:31:03.059 --> 00:31:05.279 he's pretty. He looked incredibly dialed in. 00:31:05.279 --> 00:31:08.000 I think that some of the play calls did him dirty 00:31:08.000 --> 00:31:11.259 in the first game, but as we all know, he took 00:31:11.259 --> 00:31:13.880 over the end of that game and every throw was 00:31:13.880 --> 00:31:17.740 an absolute dot. So I'm going to say under interception 00:31:17.740 --> 00:31:20.700 on Josh. Nice alright. I'm also going to say 00:31:20.700 --> 00:31:25.900 under two. Only because like. I trust this version 00:31:25.900 --> 00:31:28.059 of Josh. This version of Josh has proven to me 00:31:28.059 --> 00:31:30.640 to be real. If he does throw a pick, I wouldn't 00:31:30.640 --> 00:31:32.839 be surprised because it also won't be the end 00:31:32.839 --> 00:31:35.079 of the world. Do you know what I mean? But God, 00:31:35.200 --> 00:31:37.640 man, he's so good at backyard football. Like 00:31:37.640 --> 00:31:40.339 just watching him in the uptempo moments when 00:31:40.339 --> 00:31:41.839 they were running the four minute, two minute 00:31:41.839 --> 00:31:44.700 offense for the for the squad, like calling his 00:31:44.700 --> 00:31:47.559 shots at the line of scrimmage. I just wish I 00:31:47.559 --> 00:31:49.039 wish the Bills would do that more. I know they 00:31:49.039 --> 00:31:51.079 got to protect this defense. I just wish they 00:31:51.079 --> 00:31:53.799 would do that more because if. If I felt like 00:31:53.799 --> 00:31:56.460 they were going to go up tempo, I would easily 00:31:56.460 --> 00:31:58.559 take zero interceptions because I just think 00:31:58.559 --> 00:32:01.480 Josh gets into a flow that I don't see a lot 00:32:01.480 --> 00:32:03.779 of other QBs get into in that mode. But yeah. 00:32:04.119 --> 00:32:07.480 Yeah. And I know it's like, oh, we want the G 00:32:07.480 --> 00:32:09.339 gun. I think I mentioned that before on the pod. 00:32:09.359 --> 00:32:11.319 We've talked about it a lot. We've talked about 00:32:11.319 --> 00:32:14.099 it a lot. And I get it. I want it. We all want 00:32:14.099 --> 00:32:17.059 it. I just don't know that modern. modern kind 00:32:17.059 --> 00:32:19.420 of defensive and offensive football allows you 00:32:19.420 --> 00:32:21.279 to do that for a whole game. I think that's the 00:32:21.279 --> 00:32:23.160 problem is, I think that they could definitely 00:32:23.160 --> 00:32:25.359 do more tempo and apply it in different parts 00:32:25.359 --> 00:32:28.640 of the game than just, just before half and just 00:32:28.640 --> 00:32:31.339 at the end of the game, sprinkling in a, you 00:32:31.339 --> 00:32:34.960 know, a huddleless drive in the first quarter 00:32:34.960 --> 00:32:37.559 would be awesome. Especially a huddleless drive 00:32:37.559 --> 00:32:40.259 where you're already up three or seven and you 00:32:40.259 --> 00:32:42.579 got a chance to push it to double digits right 00:32:42.579 --> 00:32:46.119 like an awesome quick strike drive to really 00:32:46.119 --> 00:32:48.940 put the opposing team on their you tire the defense 00:32:48.940 --> 00:32:51.920 out make them gassed for like a good long drive 00:32:51.920 --> 00:32:55.759 and then you know capitalize It's it's a moral 00:32:55.759 --> 00:32:59.660 victory It's demoralizing for them. It really 00:32:59.660 --> 00:33:03.190 can be it really can be you got a prop Yeah. 00:33:03.569 --> 00:33:08.109 So, um, mine is over under, uh, Joey Bosa half 00:33:08.109 --> 00:33:15.170 a sack. Oh God. I don't know, man. I just don't 00:33:15.170 --> 00:33:17.269 believe in anyone on the front line. I don't 00:33:17.269 --> 00:33:19.410 believe in it. I just don't. It's so hard. Like 00:33:19.410 --> 00:33:22.450 they should get sacks. They got sacks last week, 00:33:22.450 --> 00:33:25.230 right? They should get sacks. Um, especially 00:33:25.230 --> 00:33:29.599 on a guy as sackable as Fields is, but I just 00:33:29.599 --> 00:33:31.200 week in or week out, I have a hard time. I'm 00:33:31.200 --> 00:33:32.700 going to say over just because I want to be a 00:33:32.700 --> 00:33:35.359 little bit positive. And I like the adjustments 00:33:35.359 --> 00:33:39.779 Bosa made to his game. You saw like a wily power 00:33:39.779 --> 00:33:41.920 veteran do some stuff last week that I think 00:33:41.920 --> 00:33:44.640 was great. I'm going to say over, whatever. Yeah. 00:33:44.759 --> 00:33:46.880 And I brought it up, so I'm saying over as well. 00:33:47.039 --> 00:33:48.880 I'm just putting all my eggs in that basket that 00:33:48.880 --> 00:33:51.279 the Bills find somebody who can be a double -digit 00:33:51.279 --> 00:33:54.160 sack person this year. Just anyone. And that's 00:33:54.160 --> 00:33:57.829 my guy. Yeah. I think I... I think I was like, 00:33:58.009 --> 00:33:59.789 no, no one's going to be in double digits. Rousseau's 00:33:59.789 --> 00:34:01.549 going to lead the team with nine sacks, but yeah. 00:34:01.710 --> 00:34:03.730 You did say that. I don't think anyone's going 00:34:03.730 --> 00:34:06.630 to be in double digits on this defense. I have 00:34:06.630 --> 00:34:09.170 strongly pulled back on my TJ Sanders is going 00:34:09.170 --> 00:34:10.969 to get double digits sacks after watching him 00:34:10.969 --> 00:34:13.949 against a real team in real football. Oh no, 00:34:14.050 --> 00:34:17.030 he's a rook. I'm sorry, it's on the interwebs. 00:34:17.329 --> 00:34:20.110 I actually used that to advertise last week's 00:34:20.110 --> 00:34:23.190 spots. Now I'm going to look like a fool. It 00:34:23.190 --> 00:34:25.550 got a dude, it got it got thousands of views 00:34:25.550 --> 00:34:28.449 on our Instagram page and put it out there. So 00:34:28.449 --> 00:34:31.010 you're either wrong epically or you are going 00:34:31.010 --> 00:34:33.829 to be like the reason why somebody put down 100 00:34:33.829 --> 00:34:36.469 bucks for TJ Sanders to win that award and they're 00:34:36.469 --> 00:34:39.989 now a millionaire. Right. And it wasn't me. Yeah, 00:34:39.989 --> 00:34:41.710 no. So that's going to be that's going to be 00:34:41.710 --> 00:34:45.550 a fun thing. And hopefully, you know. I'm hoping 00:34:45.550 --> 00:34:47.710 he and Dion Walker both have a great showing 00:34:47.710 --> 00:34:49.730 in the next three weeks and then I'm writing 00:34:49.730 --> 00:34:53.389 a Apology card to Dion Walker Walker had some 00:34:53.389 --> 00:34:55.010 real we didn't we haven't talked about this. 00:34:55.090 --> 00:34:57.389 We didn't talk about it in the post game Because 00:34:57.389 --> 00:34:59.949 everything rightfully so was focused on how amazing 00:34:59.949 --> 00:35:03.690 Josh was Walker had some really good reps against 00:35:03.690 --> 00:35:06.349 the Ravens, right? particularly particularly 00:35:06.349 --> 00:35:12.610 in pass rush the the Oh God, what was it? Was 00:35:12.610 --> 00:35:15.849 it the Lamar like just running all over the place? 00:35:15.989 --> 00:35:18.989 No, it was the throw to DeAndre Hopkins, that 00:35:18.989 --> 00:35:23.449 dime that Lamar had. Walker got immediate penetration 00:35:23.449 --> 00:35:27.269 and Lamar had no choice but to go to Hopkins 00:35:27.269 --> 00:35:29.750 on that play. But Walker factored in big time 00:35:29.750 --> 00:35:31.590 last week in a lot of the pass rush game. Yeah, 00:35:31.829 --> 00:35:34.670 he looked solid. Yeah, I'm excited to see some 00:35:34.670 --> 00:35:37.889 more. Any other prop bets, dude? I got no other 00:35:37.889 --> 00:35:39.409 prop bets, sir. If you're ready to wrap this 00:35:39.409 --> 00:35:42.199 thing up, put a bow on it. Yeah, I'd say call 00:35:42.199 --> 00:35:44.519 it a day, and in a few hours, let's see the Bills 00:35:44.519 --> 00:35:47.000 vs. Jets. All right. For all of you listening 00:35:47.000 --> 00:35:48.800 at home, like, share, and subscribe wherever 00:35:48.800 --> 00:35:51.940 you get your pods. This is an ears -only version 00:35:51.940 --> 00:35:54.019 this week until we get our recording studios 00:35:54.019 --> 00:35:56.820 back here at our respective houses. So find us 00:35:56.820 --> 00:35:59.300 on Apple, Spotify, wherever you get your pods, 00:35:59.420 --> 00:36:01.460 and as always, go Bills. Go Bills.