WEBVTT

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Welcome back to the buffalo bread podcast. It

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is NFL week one We are recording on Thursday

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September 4th, which means there's actively a

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Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys game going

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on at this minute NFL football is back folks

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Dan. How are you feeling? I feel blessed to be

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alive at this moment in our in our sports timeline

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where NFL football after seven months is back

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on my television in a meaningful manner. And

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I am stoked for the farewell season for the Ralph

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man. I cannot wait to see kind of what what the

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season looks like generally. But regardless of

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where the season ends up, it's going to be an

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emotional one for the Bills closing a closing

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a big chapter in our fandom and hopefully opening

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a new one next season. But I mean, we have to

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stop. their start off the top with the most important

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topic. What did you think of the crackle ice

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uni combo that they're unveiling for that Patriots

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game? The rivals? So good. You love them? The

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cold front? Oh, I love them. That all white look

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is so clean. The like textured crystallized bill

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log bills logo on it. Honestly, it's perfect.

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I would say out of all those cold front rivalry

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uniform type deals, it's probably the best one.

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And I like that as heads and tails above the

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Patriots Blue Storm uniform, which is is god

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awful. That's just like a really drab mix. Yeah.

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And I would agree that the Bills is the best

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of the AFC East. I don't think I like it more

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than some of those NFC West teams. They got the

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Rams is pretty sick. The Rams, the Rams, the

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Seahawks. Some of those are pretty solid. I like

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it. My initial reaction was it is boring. When

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I first saw a photo of it, I was like, that is

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so freaking boring. Oh, my God. The detail was

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not that the detail was not perfectly apparent

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on first look. And I was like, that's super lame.

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And then. I got to see like the snow on the buffalo

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fur shoulder feature, the crackle logo, like

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you mentioned. I came around a little bit. I

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think they're, they're pretty, they're pretty

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cool. I think for me it was the fact that they

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added buffalo instead of bills to the front.

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There's like a lot of little touches that you

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don't see on the first. blush that I on a second,

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a second watch, I was like, all right, I can

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see it. I think that they they were very meaningful

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and thoughtful of putting in a lot of mafia friendly

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touches into the thing to honor the stadium,

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the people, the place. Um, and for that, I think

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that they're really nice. I was ready to give

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the NFL my money right then. I mean, I love that.

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No, I love those things. I was immediately taken.

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Didn't they delay the ability to buy them an

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NFL shop? Yeah. Until September 10th, they're

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going to sell out in literally one second. Yeah.

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Um, and they are what? Like $250 or something

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really like that. Yeah. September 10th is my

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daughter's birthday. So she is getting the present

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of a two XL Josh Hale and cold French. Happy

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birthday, daughter. That's right. Oh, I got the

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wrong size. It doesn't fit you. Geez. Yeah, this

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is custom too. It says Dan on the back. That's

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so weird. God, I can't believe I got that wrong,

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but it's cool. They knew who I was. All right.

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Right. All right. So we've moved on from number

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one topic into maybe the second most important

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thing, which is the Buffalo Bills are going to

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play football in a few days on Sunday evening

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against the Baltimore Ravens who have Claimed

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this is a revenge game. They've got revenge on

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the mind according to Lamar Jackson sure Where

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do you want to start with this game this team?

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The season to come the roster, you know, we haven't

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talked since the cut down day. We can start there

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as well Yeah, let's talk a little bit about the

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roster as it stands now and unfortunately what

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has been I think a sentiment for a lot of Bills

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fans for the entire preseason is we should probably

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start with the injury report and where things

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are at there particularly at the CB2 position

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for the Buffalo Bills Because right now Trey

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white as we speak on Thursday was a do not did

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not practice highly unlikely to go. Looks like

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we're going to get something of either the Jamarcus

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Ingram experience or the Dorian Strong is the

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Christian Benford of this year also has late

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legs entering the argument as well. Tyler Bass

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and all the veteran kickers that the Buffalo

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Bills have been trying out. They added I think

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Matt Prater to the practice squad today. Tyler

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Bass is an injury that concerns me. We all know

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unfortunately at this point about Duane Carter

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being done for the year. He has been officially

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moved to injured reserve. Kian Coleman, limited

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today, but then a little bit of bright news.

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Christian Benford, our clear CB1 was a full participant

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today. Kahlil Shakir for the second straight

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day, also a full participant in practice. Looks

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like we're going to get our top wide out, one

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of Josh Allen's top targets and our top, one

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of our top outside defenders back for this game.

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But JJ, as we saw in As we have seen time and

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time again, a lot of teams know how to target

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where the Bulls are weak. And it looks like this

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weekend, JJ, all conversations are going to start

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with CB2, because that is going to be an area,

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I think, that Lamar Jackson, Todd Munkin, and

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the rest of this aerial attack for the Baltimore

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Ravens are going to go after pretty significantly.

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So what's your read? Jamarcus Ingram, Dorian

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Strong, which way do you want to go? Or do you

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think they're going to end up platooning? Um,

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I think they're probably gonna go with Jamarcus

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Ingram until he starts getting cooked If he starts

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getting absolutely destroyed because I feel like

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if if it you know, Todd Munkin good coach Harbaugh

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good coach They are going to find him on the

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field I always, when talking about team, if you

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know what team I'm talking about, I'll just say

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Harbaugh, because I cannot keep straight which

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one's Jim and which one's John. John's Baltimore

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and Jim is LA. So now I gave up my secret. Anyway,

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Harbaugh. They will absolutely use matchup setups

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to find Ingram and put Zay Flowers on him. I

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think that... the problem with Ze Flowers versus

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Jermarcus Ingram is Jermarcus Ingram is a physical

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specimen at corner. He is tenacious. He is usually

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in the good place. He's more of a zone trigger

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downhill corner than he is a man match corner.

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And Ze Flowers is an absolute root technician

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and even faster, quicker in and out of his breaks.

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He's going to eat Jermarcus Ingram alive. Mark

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my words, if we see Jermarcus Ingram start the

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game. I could see Zay Flowers going for like,

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closing on 100 yards before the end of the half,

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if they're finding that matchup. And if the Bills

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don't have the capacity, because of whatever

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they're playing, to give him enough safety help

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to shut down that option. Oh, yeah. And Flowers,

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too. Munkin is so good about freeing up Flowers

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using motion as well and creating mismatches

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for Flowers, particularly across the field. You

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add to the fact that he can run clean routes,

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get in and out of his brakes so quickly, but

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that he's got that head of steam with all that

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speed coming out of whatever motion packages

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that Munkin's worked up for him. And Flowers

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is going to be a tough matchup for anyone, right?

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And this is really where you're going to see,

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like, listen, the Bills drafted the fastest cornerback

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in the in the at the combine and Maxwell Hairston.

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And this is where you're going to see like where

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they were figuring that speed was going to fit

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into their scheme. When you see what flowers

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is going to do particularly across the middle

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of the field. You know one thing I think that

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is gonna be a benefit for the Bills is that it

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looks like Isaiah Likely may not go for this

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game. He's a do not practice for Baltimore Yeah,

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it is that's that's honor. Yeah. Yeah, it's it's

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highly it's highly unlikely that he goes for

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this one because he I think he had a surgery

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a few weeks ago And so it's the kind of thing

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where they're if they want him for the season.

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They're probably not gonna play him this week

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Probably not. Right. So, so again, 99 % that

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likely doesn't go. And here's where that can

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be a benefit with some of that scheme is because

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likely they basically use likely as a, as a seam

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wide receiver in this particular offense. He,

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I think had the second deepest depth of target

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out of all tight ends last season. They love

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to use them to attack the second and even the

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third level of the fields, which mandates safety

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help across the top. And it's crazy when you

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have to shadow across the top for are streaking

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tight end, but that's the mismatch likely can

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provide. Without likely on the field, you've

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got Mark Andrews, you've got Zay Flowers, you

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do have the ability to try to bracket, try to

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cloud some sort of coverage towards Zay Flowers,

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a la the cover four and cover six packages that

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the Bills tend to roll out against the Miami

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Dolphins. So you could see some of that schematic

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sense applied here. Given the fact that you don't

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have to worry about a target as unique as likely

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streaking downfield and taking away resources

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at the point of attack there so so the bills

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Have a way to scheme for it But I think at the

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end of the day it does come down to do you have

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enough dudes to stop your dudes? And this is

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an advantage for Baltimore. It's absolutely an

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event advantage for the Baltimore Ravens I was

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chatting with some bills fans friends. I the

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way I described the roster matchup for this game

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is that Baltimore has a supremely more talented

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defense, a comparable offense, and that if the

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Bills play mistake, if Josh Allen, the X factor

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is Josh Allen is a much better quarterback than

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Lamar Jackson. I'll say that. I'll go to my grave

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saying that because look at, I mean, anyone wants

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to say, oh, Lamar should have been the MVP last

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year, Lamar's stats are better, et cetera. That's

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fine. You can say that. All I will do is point

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to the scoreboard of post -season play. Lamar

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Jackson is a turnover machine, unreliable quarterback

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in the playoffs. Josh Allen, comparably, is one

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of the best quarterbacks in the playoffs, bar

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none. Josh Allen playing with the Ravens defense

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in any of the playoff runs that the Bills have

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made would have ended in the Super Bowl. I can

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almost certainly see it, right? Like it's a matter

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of his supporting cast more than it is. One -on

00:10:09.629 --> 00:10:12.210
-one talent. I think he's better And so that's

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the X factor if he plays at the top of his ability

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the bills can take this game If all other things

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are equal and he and Lamar Jackson if similar

00:10:19.090 --> 00:10:21.909
games the bills will lose Yeah, without a doubt.

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I mean without a doubt and Because also you've

00:10:25.730 --> 00:10:28.460
got a factor in The just the straight up traditional

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run game that the Baltimore Ramons are bringing

00:10:30.379 --> 00:10:34.519
to the table as well Not to mention the the misdirection

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right and the sleight of hand that they do in

00:10:36.019 --> 00:10:38.059
the backfield between sending Lamar on design

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runs versus handing off to Derek Henry a lot

00:10:40.500 --> 00:10:43.480
of the RPO stuff they like to do the bills are

00:10:43.480 --> 00:10:47.500
simply going to if Unless they have all of a

00:10:47.500 --> 00:10:49.000
sudden fixed all the issues on their defensive

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line, which I think we all agree They haven't

00:10:50.980 --> 00:10:52.580
there's still a lot to be seen from some of these

00:10:52.580 --> 00:10:55.669
young D tackles in particular Like, they're going

00:10:55.669 --> 00:10:59.090
to have to load up the box in a lot of situations.

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I mean, last year in the AFC divisional round,

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I think they played man against the Ravens at

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a clip of like 49%, which was wild for a team

00:11:08.250 --> 00:11:11.289
that was only at about 20 % man coverage during

00:11:11.289 --> 00:11:13.789
the regular season. So they're going to man up

00:11:13.789 --> 00:11:15.450
some of these wide receivers, right? They're

00:11:15.450 --> 00:11:17.649
going to man up Mark Andrews, and they're going

00:11:17.649 --> 00:11:19.909
to try to sell out to stop Derek Henry and try

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to make Lamar Jackson as one -dimensional for

00:11:22.470 --> 00:11:26.220
as best as they can. I will say this, even though

00:11:26.220 --> 00:11:28.779
we don't think of the Buffalo Bills as a man

00:11:28.779 --> 00:11:32.179
defense, Lamar Jackson's success rate and EPA

00:11:32.179 --> 00:11:35.779
per play are much better against zone than they

00:11:35.779 --> 00:11:38.419
are man coverage across the board against any

00:11:38.419 --> 00:11:41.320
team that he plays. So there is something to

00:11:41.320 --> 00:11:43.789
consider there as far as If you're going to make

00:11:43.789 --> 00:11:45.350
Lamar uncomfortable, a lot of teams just try

00:11:45.350 --> 00:11:47.629
to blitz Lamar and then, you know, Lamar is excellent

00:11:47.629 --> 00:11:49.610
against the blitz because of his mobility and

00:11:49.610 --> 00:11:51.789
his second reaction throws. But if you're going

00:11:51.789 --> 00:11:53.730
to man up a lot of these guys, if you're going

00:11:53.730 --> 00:11:55.789
to jam them at the line of scrimmage, which,

00:11:56.190 --> 00:11:58.720
um, which is something I think the bills. should

00:11:58.720 --> 00:12:01.059
probably look to do so they're not getting outrun

00:12:01.059 --> 00:12:04.500
every single play. You can disrupt some of Lamar's

00:12:04.500 --> 00:12:07.820
timing in this passing offense. So I would expect

00:12:07.820 --> 00:12:09.360
that the Bills are going to roll out a lot of

00:12:09.360 --> 00:12:11.600
man. And in the preseason, we saw them roll out

00:12:11.600 --> 00:12:15.639
blitz packages that about 35 % clip much higher

00:12:15.639 --> 00:12:17.860
again than last season. I think they're putting

00:12:17.860 --> 00:12:21.179
a premium on getting to the QB. And I think despite

00:12:21.179 --> 00:12:24.279
the fact that Lamar is so good at neutralizing

00:12:24.279 --> 00:12:26.019
blitzes, I think they're going to mix in a lot

00:12:26.019 --> 00:12:27.700
of man looks. And I think they're going to mix

00:12:27.700 --> 00:12:29.639
in some exotic blitzes against Lamar just to

00:12:29.639 --> 00:12:32.279
try to throw him off his game. Well, and I think

00:12:32.279 --> 00:12:34.779
that, you know, I think that's absolutely true.

00:12:36.700 --> 00:12:40.419
And the problem of comparing last year's divisional

00:12:40.419 --> 00:12:43.820
playoff game to this year's opening game is that

00:12:43.820 --> 00:12:46.850
the the Ravens came into that game with literally

00:12:46.850 --> 00:12:49.269
Rashad Bateman and some practice squad receivers.

00:12:49.750 --> 00:12:51.490
Mark Andrews, Rashad Bateman, practice squad

00:12:51.490 --> 00:12:54.129
receivers. Players who I don't even know or I

00:12:54.129 --> 00:12:55.750
don't even think are on the roster presently

00:12:55.750 --> 00:12:57.370
for the Ravens. Wide receivers that you were

00:12:57.370 --> 00:13:00.129
comfortable manning up, right? Yes. And that

00:13:00.129 --> 00:13:02.490
is what I'm saying is that the Buffalo Bills

00:13:02.490 --> 00:13:05.889
would never be considered a team in the NFL with

00:13:06.730 --> 00:13:10.490
exotic or elite level talent at CB other than

00:13:10.490 --> 00:13:13.169
Christian Benford. Christian Benford, no question,

00:13:13.269 --> 00:13:15.370
top 10 CB in the league, can lock up anybody.

00:13:15.730 --> 00:13:18.409
Trust that guy. But when you have three receivers,

00:13:18.870 --> 00:13:21.250
when the Ravens added down Deandre Hopkins, they

00:13:21.250 --> 00:13:24.370
still have Mark Andrews, they have Ze Flowers

00:13:24.370 --> 00:13:27.669
and Rashad Bateman. Now Rashad Bateman is the

00:13:27.669 --> 00:13:31.710
fourth, you know, best target in the game. Whereas

00:13:31.710 --> 00:13:33.269
when they play them in the division round, he

00:13:33.269 --> 00:13:36.200
was the number one target that Jackson had to

00:13:36.200 --> 00:13:38.899
work with. And so I'm very, I'm very worried

00:13:38.899 --> 00:13:42.899
and I'm worried that the Bills are going to come

00:13:42.899 --> 00:13:45.580
out trying to protect Jamarcus Ingram, who I

00:13:45.580 --> 00:13:48.379
mentioned before is a better zone corner by playing

00:13:48.379 --> 00:13:51.679
some of their traditional zone looks. And that

00:13:51.679 --> 00:13:54.580
is exactly what Jackson wants as a passer to

00:13:54.580 --> 00:13:56.940
carve up because he's excellent at finding the

00:13:56.940 --> 00:13:59.480
first and second windows, especially with players

00:13:59.480 --> 00:14:02.559
like flowers, Hopkins running through those zones.

00:14:03.000 --> 00:14:05.399
Hopkins has also had a very good track record

00:14:05.399 --> 00:14:07.700
against the Bills when they play zone. He just

00:14:07.700 --> 00:14:11.440
finds the open spaces. He bodies people. I don't

00:14:11.440 --> 00:14:14.360
like a matchup where Taron Johnson is trying

00:14:14.360 --> 00:14:16.840
to defend Deandre Hopkins in a crossing route

00:14:16.840 --> 00:14:20.340
like that. Taron Johnson's a dog, but he cannot

00:14:20.340 --> 00:14:23.259
out body somebody four inches taller and about

00:14:23.259 --> 00:14:26.210
50 pounds heavier, so. Right, right. So I think

00:14:26.210 --> 00:14:28.830
we both agree mismatches all across the field

00:14:28.830 --> 00:14:30.830
before we switch to the offensive side of the

00:14:30.830 --> 00:14:33.049
ball for the Bills What are you expecting to

00:14:33.049 --> 00:14:35.490
see from? I mean these young kids are gonna play

00:14:35.490 --> 00:14:38.309
right like Sanders is gonna play Walker is gonna

00:14:38.309 --> 00:14:40.809
play This is a hell of a first test for your

00:14:40.809 --> 00:14:43.350
first real pro action What are you expecting

00:14:43.350 --> 00:14:45.529
to see from some of the young rookies on this

00:14:45.529 --> 00:14:47.450
defensive line against the Baltimore Ravens?

00:14:47.710 --> 00:14:51.509
I have a sneaky suspicion that TJ Sanders lines

00:14:51.509 --> 00:14:54.720
up next at Oliver to start over Daquan Jones.

00:14:55.419 --> 00:14:58.120
Interesting. I think, I know that TJ Sanders,

00:14:58.279 --> 00:15:00.340
of course, Daquan Jones was protected more in

00:15:00.340 --> 00:15:02.340
the preseason, but I don't know that he was protected

00:15:02.340 --> 00:15:04.919
by way of the pecking order. I think he was protected

00:15:04.919 --> 00:15:07.080
by way of his age. You know, it's his 12th season

00:15:07.080 --> 00:15:10.259
in the league. I think it's possible that TJ

00:15:10.259 --> 00:15:13.320
Sanders showed enough to have them line him up

00:15:13.320 --> 00:15:16.539
with Oliver as a pass rush heavy, especially

00:15:16.539 --> 00:15:20.159
against this front, because The weakness of the

00:15:20.159 --> 00:15:23.159
Ravens is actually Voorhees at left guard and

00:15:23.159 --> 00:15:25.679
Falele at right guard. Falele is actually coming

00:15:25.679 --> 00:15:27.840
off an injury, so he might even be a little bit

00:15:27.840 --> 00:15:30.840
more hampered than he might usually be. And either

00:15:30.840 --> 00:15:33.919
of them are average. Their center, Tyler Linderbaum

00:15:33.919 --> 00:15:36.279
is awesome. One of the best in the league, probably

00:15:36.279 --> 00:15:39.139
second or third best. And their tackles, you

00:15:39.139 --> 00:15:42.059
know, Ronnie Stanley and Rosengarten on the right

00:15:42.059 --> 00:15:45.039
tackle are elite. They're excellent. You know,

00:15:45.139 --> 00:15:47.889
they're top. Top 20, top 30, Rosengarten's okay,

00:15:48.309 --> 00:15:50.470
but Ronnie Stanley still in this advanced age

00:15:50.470 --> 00:15:54.029
is an excellent tackle. So really it's going

00:15:54.029 --> 00:15:56.590
to be on Oliver and Sanders to disrupt and make

00:15:56.590 --> 00:16:01.269
things happen in those early downs in order to

00:16:01.269 --> 00:16:04.250
stuff or stop Derek Henry in order to get after

00:16:04.250 --> 00:16:07.230
the option game that Jackson might do or the

00:16:07.230 --> 00:16:10.139
RPO game. And if they can do it, I think that

00:16:10.139 --> 00:16:11.720
it's gonna make a difference. That's gonna be

00:16:11.720 --> 00:16:13.379
an X factor for me too. That's a question mark

00:16:13.379 --> 00:16:16.500
is what can even Dion Walker do? Is he going

00:16:16.500 --> 00:16:19.299
to show up ragdolling guards like he was in the

00:16:19.299 --> 00:16:21.940
pre -season when they're no longer third or fourth

00:16:21.940 --> 00:16:25.789
stringers? We'll see dude. I'm telling you the

00:16:25.789 --> 00:16:27.789
apology card You're gonna write this kid at the

00:16:27.789 --> 00:16:29.830
end of the season is gonna be incredible not

00:16:29.830 --> 00:16:32.169
even in the season I promise week four if he's

00:16:32.169 --> 00:16:35.269
proven to me by week four that he is a Reasonable

00:16:35.269 --> 00:16:37.850
NFL talent who we can count on for some excellent

00:16:37.850 --> 00:16:40.889
snaps every game Card card will be in the mail.

00:16:40.889 --> 00:16:43.769
I'll cook that thing up with my Toddler at his

00:16:43.769 --> 00:16:45.590
little drawing table on the tiny little bear

00:16:45.590 --> 00:16:48.299
chair, and we'll send that thing off You know

00:16:48.299 --> 00:16:50.360
something that we have not talked a lot about

00:16:50.360 --> 00:16:53.120
there's been so much focus on the secondary and

00:16:53.120 --> 00:16:57.200
Cole Bishop and and Rap like are they gonna be

00:16:57.200 --> 00:16:59.539
good to go as a duo was there too much duplicity

00:16:59.539 --> 00:17:03.399
there redundancy Who is CB to what we have not

00:17:03.399 --> 00:17:06.279
talked a lot about is that Matt Milano not only

00:17:06.279 --> 00:17:10.480
had a healthy training camp and a healthy preseason.

00:17:11.599 --> 00:17:15.380
But he looks very close to old Matt Milano when

00:17:15.380 --> 00:17:16.799
you look at a lot of camp footage that we're

00:17:16.799 --> 00:17:20.019
seeing. How does Matt and I can't believe that

00:17:20.019 --> 00:17:21.880
we have to like make a special case to talk about

00:17:21.880 --> 00:17:24.900
this. But what do you expect from Matt Milano

00:17:24.900 --> 00:17:27.440
in this game? Because if we're seeing like 2022

00:17:27.440 --> 00:17:31.799
Matt Milano or even 80 % of that, I do feel good.

00:17:32.000 --> 00:17:34.599
about the Bills ability to at least take away

00:17:34.599 --> 00:17:37.460
portions of the middle of the field in both coverage

00:17:37.460 --> 00:17:40.599
and in some of that gap run game that the Baltimore

00:17:40.599 --> 00:17:43.779
Ravens like to run. So what is your sense for

00:17:43.779 --> 00:17:48.440
Milano's impact on this game? I think this is

00:17:48.440 --> 00:17:50.759
just my gut reaction after watching the few snaps

00:17:50.759 --> 00:17:54.059
he played in preseason and reading all of the

00:17:54.059 --> 00:17:56.359
beat reporters coverage of practice. My feeling

00:17:56.359 --> 00:17:58.519
is that Matt Milano is probably going to look

00:17:58.779 --> 00:18:02.400
Probably like you'd mentioned 80 % of prime best

00:18:02.400 --> 00:18:04.319
-case Matt Milano that we've seen in Buffalo

00:18:04.319 --> 00:18:07.180
and that is a scary Matt Milano like when we've

00:18:07.180 --> 00:18:09.940
seen Matt Milano play at his his best health

00:18:09.940 --> 00:18:12.279
and Highest skill and he's getting a little bit

00:18:12.279 --> 00:18:14.920
older He started the his career as a kind of

00:18:14.920 --> 00:18:16.859
an older rookie as well. And so he's getting

00:18:16.859 --> 00:18:20.099
a little bit later in his career even with not

00:18:20.190 --> 00:18:23.150
as many years in the league. But I could see

00:18:23.150 --> 00:18:25.829
him making a difference for sure. I think that

00:18:25.829 --> 00:18:27.930
the thing that we were all so excited about last

00:18:27.930 --> 00:18:30.130
year is a full season of Matt Milano and Terrell

00:18:30.130 --> 00:18:31.390
Bernard next to each other. And then all of a

00:18:31.390 --> 00:18:32.750
sudden he has the pectoral injury and training

00:18:32.750 --> 00:18:35.369
camp doesn't come back to week 10, doesn't look

00:18:35.369 --> 00:18:37.609
like himself until the playoffs, and then just

00:18:37.609 --> 00:18:39.910
barely started looking like himself. So it seems

00:18:39.910 --> 00:18:42.890
as if he is more back than he's been in three

00:18:42.890 --> 00:18:46.769
seasons. And for that, I think that I'm really

00:18:46.769 --> 00:18:50.890
excited. Bobby Babich during a presser this week,

00:18:51.049 --> 00:18:53.329
when they asked about Matt Milano, he said, stay

00:18:53.329 --> 00:18:55.549
healthy, he's awesome. That's all he had to say

00:18:55.549 --> 00:18:59.230
about Matt Milano because that's the thing, right?

00:18:59.390 --> 00:19:03.170
When he's 100%, there's few matchup linebackers

00:19:03.170 --> 00:19:05.490
like him in the league who can make a difference

00:19:05.490 --> 00:19:10.009
in splash plays, nose for the ball, ripping out,

00:19:10.269 --> 00:19:12.470
fumbles, all the stuff that we love about Matt

00:19:12.470 --> 00:19:14.869
Milano's play style, I think would really come

00:19:14.869 --> 00:19:18.190
through. I don't know that there's many people

00:19:18.190 --> 00:19:20.910
in the league that could like lay a lick on Derek

00:19:20.910 --> 00:19:25.730
Henry, but I trust Matt Milano to try. Yes, absolutely.

00:19:26.269 --> 00:19:28.430
You know, before while you were taking your hiatus

00:19:28.430 --> 00:19:30.369
from the pod and I was doing some of my, you

00:19:30.369 --> 00:19:32.910
know, god awful solo stuff. One of the questions

00:19:32.910 --> 00:19:36.730
I posited was like, are we sure given that Milano

00:19:36.730 --> 00:19:39.109
restructured his deal and that he is now financially

00:19:39.109 --> 00:19:41.549
committed to this team next year? Are we sure

00:19:41.549 --> 00:19:43.730
he is in line to be the starter or does he get?

00:19:43.980 --> 00:19:46.319
the Joey Bosa treatment this year where we bring

00:19:46.319 --> 00:19:49.059
him in, you know, in key clutch closing moments

00:19:49.059 --> 00:19:51.019
and we kind of save him for a deeper run into

00:19:51.019 --> 00:19:53.880
the playoffs. And, um, and I was like, you know,

00:19:53.900 --> 00:19:56.940
this could be the Dory, the Dorian Williams ascension

00:19:56.940 --> 00:20:00.000
year. Not only was that take proven completely

00:20:00.000 --> 00:20:01.980
wrong, I'm not even sure how much I want to play

00:20:01.980 --> 00:20:04.640
Dorian Williams in this game. He is, listen,

00:20:04.740 --> 00:20:08.819
he is, he is a, he is a magnet in the run game,

00:20:08.960 --> 00:20:11.720
right? Like he will heat seek on any running

00:20:11.720 --> 00:20:15.029
back. that you put in front of him. The problem

00:20:15.029 --> 00:20:17.029
is, is the Ravens are exceptionally good at not

00:20:17.029 --> 00:20:19.130
putting stuff directly in front of you. Lots

00:20:19.130 --> 00:20:22.150
of RPO, misdirection, play action, stuff that

00:20:22.150 --> 00:20:25.400
Williams tends to bite on. I could really see

00:20:25.400 --> 00:20:28.140
this being a game where it's Bernard and Milano

00:20:28.140 --> 00:20:30.720
on an island out there, and I'm actually very

00:20:30.720 --> 00:20:32.559
comfortable with that. I think Milano, where

00:20:32.559 --> 00:20:34.880
his health is, Bernard also, knock on wood, had

00:20:34.880 --> 00:20:36.619
a pretty healthy preseason and pretty healthy

00:20:36.619 --> 00:20:39.480
camp as well. If those two guys are at 100%,

00:20:39.480 --> 00:20:42.859
I feel better about our ability to stop the run,

00:20:44.279 --> 00:20:46.279
give some of these rookie D linemen some support,

00:20:46.440 --> 00:20:48.880
but also maybe take away key areas and coverage

00:20:48.880 --> 00:20:51.859
across the middle of the field too. cover for

00:20:51.859 --> 00:20:54.480
a guy like Jermarcus Ingram or Dorian Strong,

00:20:54.599 --> 00:20:56.319
should they be out there in the CB2 capacity?

00:20:57.339 --> 00:21:00.980
Yeah, I think I agree completely. I like the

00:21:00.980 --> 00:21:02.920
I like the middle of the Bills defense in this

00:21:02.920 --> 00:21:05.140
game. As long as everybody kind of stays up on

00:21:05.140 --> 00:21:08.099
their feet and it's good. I can see the defensive

00:21:08.099 --> 00:21:13.900
line. Bosa, Rousseau, Oliver Dequan, Jones or.

00:21:14.089 --> 00:21:17.609
Oliver and TJ Sanders making a difference and

00:21:17.609 --> 00:21:19.829
making it more difficult than the Ravens have

00:21:19.829 --> 00:21:21.750
had against the Bills to establish the run in

00:21:21.750 --> 00:21:24.670
this game. We have to remember the game last

00:21:24.670 --> 00:21:27.549
year, early in the season where the Ravens absolutely

00:21:27.549 --> 00:21:30.230
stomped the Bills. They were playing without

00:21:30.230 --> 00:21:33.269
either of their starting. It was Bailen Spector,

00:21:33.410 --> 00:21:36.390
Dorian Williams, and then Cam Lewis in the nickel,

00:21:36.730 --> 00:21:40.009
right? That is not the middle of the Bills defense.

00:21:40.710 --> 00:21:42.990
It's anyone who's like going to say that that

00:21:42.990 --> 00:21:45.190
that's, oh, the Bills, their defense can't stop

00:21:45.190 --> 00:21:47.750
the Ravens. No, the Bills backup defense like

00:21:47.750 --> 00:21:49.869
preseason defense can't stop the Ravens in that

00:21:49.869 --> 00:21:51.569
game. They beat the Ravens in the second game

00:21:51.569 --> 00:21:54.930
because of outstanding individual plays by the

00:21:54.930 --> 00:21:57.809
people who are missing. Taron Johnson, Terrell

00:21:57.809 --> 00:21:59.789
Bernard ripping out a fumble, you know, like

00:21:59.789 --> 00:22:02.569
all that stuff matters. The thing I'm most worried

00:22:02.569 --> 00:22:05.230
about isn't even Jamarcus Ingram, because I think

00:22:05.230 --> 00:22:08.400
that I think that Jamarcus Ingram can be helped.

00:22:08.740 --> 00:22:10.619
The thing I'm most worried about is freaking

00:22:10.619 --> 00:22:13.059
Cole Bishop and Taylor Rapp. Neither have been

00:22:13.059 --> 00:22:15.339
healthy for more than three consecutive weeks

00:22:15.339 --> 00:22:18.380
basically in the past year. And then on top of

00:22:18.380 --> 00:22:20.579
that, they're the people we're counting on to

00:22:20.579 --> 00:22:24.619
help Jamarcus Ingram or Dorian Strong if they

00:22:24.619 --> 00:22:27.079
start getting tested. And I don't know if I trust

00:22:27.079 --> 00:22:30.279
them to help. or know what to do to help, especially

00:22:30.279 --> 00:22:33.660
Cole Bishop. Like he gets pretty he he has proven

00:22:33.660 --> 00:22:36.180
even in the preseason on extended time when they're

00:22:36.180 --> 00:22:37.740
like, finally, he's healthy. Let's get him in

00:22:37.740 --> 00:22:40.259
there. He looked he was biting on a lot of stuff.

00:22:40.460 --> 00:22:42.960
He was not in position a lot of times. He wasn't

00:22:42.960 --> 00:22:45.740
playing his proper leverage in many coverages.

00:22:45.799 --> 00:22:48.359
That all worries me. And that I think is part

00:22:48.359 --> 00:22:51.940
of the reason that Damar Hamlin had so much play

00:22:51.940 --> 00:22:53.819
last year. Is there a waiting for it to click

00:22:53.819 --> 00:22:57.460
for Cole? And it didn't. I mean, his spot starting,

00:22:57.859 --> 00:22:59.359
he has all the talent in the world. He's got

00:22:59.359 --> 00:23:01.759
all the athleticism that you want for that position.

00:23:02.140 --> 00:23:04.220
It's just, he doesn't seem to be clicking with

00:23:04.220 --> 00:23:06.519
this defense. And whenever people are really

00:23:06.519 --> 00:23:08.339
frustrated, oh my gosh, we brought back Jordan

00:23:08.339 --> 00:23:10.500
Poirier for the practice squad. It's just another

00:23:10.500 --> 00:23:12.680
attempt to try to get somebody to help teach

00:23:12.680 --> 00:23:15.500
and train. He's just a tutor. He is in, he's

00:23:15.500 --> 00:23:18.839
remedial in this defense and Jordan Poirier is

00:23:18.839 --> 00:23:20.799
tutor. Like that's what's happening right now.

00:23:21.079 --> 00:23:24.710
Yeah, a hundred percent. Oh God, I might come

00:23:24.710 --> 00:23:27.410
to regret this. I'm less worried about Taylor

00:23:27.410 --> 00:23:30.049
rap just because of his familiarity with the

00:23:30.049 --> 00:23:32.690
scheme. And I mean, listen, these coaches, they

00:23:32.690 --> 00:23:35.549
really like rap. And there is an argument to

00:23:35.549 --> 00:23:37.509
be made last year that Taylor rap was actually

00:23:37.509 --> 00:23:39.970
an underrated piece of this defense, not just

00:23:39.970 --> 00:23:42.430
because of his havoc rating and his toxic differential

00:23:42.430 --> 00:23:44.549
with turnovers and all that kind of stuff he

00:23:44.549 --> 00:23:49.940
created. Like he, he is so essential. and coming

00:23:49.940 --> 00:23:53.119
from deep coverage and running downhill to stop

00:23:53.119 --> 00:23:56.079
crossing routes from being a 30 yard gain, he

00:23:56.079 --> 00:23:58.980
stops him at 14, you know what I mean? A run

00:23:58.980 --> 00:24:01.579
that he comes in and crashes for a seven yard

00:24:01.579 --> 00:24:05.579
gain, as opposed to a 17 yard game. He really

00:24:05.579 --> 00:24:08.680
is, in a lot of ways the teams choose to attack

00:24:08.680 --> 00:24:11.519
the Bills defense, he really is to me a suitable

00:24:11.519 --> 00:24:14.400
safety blanket for what they want to do. To me,

00:24:14.579 --> 00:24:16.700
like the unanswered question, I agree is Bishop.

00:24:17.839 --> 00:24:21.859
And I do, I do wonder if things are going poorly

00:24:21.859 --> 00:24:24.640
in the first couple of drives for Bishop. I wonder,

00:24:25.059 --> 00:24:28.079
I wonder how long it is before we see DeMar Hamlin

00:24:28.079 --> 00:24:30.880
who is, he is not a risk taker in that secondary,

00:24:31.140 --> 00:24:34.960
but he is perfectly capable of playing deep coverage.

00:24:35.930 --> 00:24:38.529
perfectly capable of, of being your second guy

00:24:38.529 --> 00:24:41.609
in a cover two situation. He knows all of the

00:24:41.609 --> 00:24:43.369
second looks that that secondary wants to give

00:24:43.369 --> 00:24:46.710
post snap. Like I could see the Buffalo Bills

00:24:46.710 --> 00:24:49.210
going with a higher floor option, depending on

00:24:49.210 --> 00:24:51.750
how things start out for Bishop. We'll see. We'll

00:24:51.750 --> 00:24:54.430
see. Yeah. Hamlin, I think there's a lot of.

00:24:54.400 --> 00:24:57.900
You know acid for Hamlin. I don't know why I

00:24:57.900 --> 00:25:00.019
don't know him very he's like suitable. He's

00:25:00.019 --> 00:25:01.960
good, right? Well, and then that's that that's

00:25:01.960 --> 00:25:04.140
what I was gonna get to is I think that I want

00:25:04.140 --> 00:25:06.440
better than I want an upgrade over to Mar Hamlin

00:25:06.440 --> 00:25:08.519
talent -wise sure I think most people would agree

00:25:08.519 --> 00:25:12.640
he is not a top 15 safety in the league Right,

00:25:12.859 --> 00:25:15.740
but I think he's probably in the top 30. He's

00:25:15.740 --> 00:25:18.099
a good starting safety every team needs to right

00:25:18.099 --> 00:25:21.420
like and he is a reasonable starting safety in

00:25:21.420 --> 00:25:24.319
the NFL, mostly because technically he knows

00:25:24.319 --> 00:25:25.960
where he's supposed to be. He's sound. He has

00:25:25.960 --> 00:25:29.039
enough athleticism to play the position. He is

00:25:29.039 --> 00:25:31.759
a good teammate. He's a good communicator back

00:25:31.759 --> 00:25:33.720
there. And I think that that's what they need

00:25:33.720 --> 00:25:36.660
is because that position, especially in the Sean

00:25:36.660 --> 00:25:38.400
McDermott defense and the people, people who

00:25:38.400 --> 00:25:40.420
get frustrated about Damar Hamlin, like not being,

00:25:40.420 --> 00:25:43.680
you know, an elite talent. Um, they have to understand

00:25:43.680 --> 00:25:46.859
that part of it, you have to play the defense

00:25:46.859 --> 00:25:49.420
that you have. Right. And the bills. the old

00:25:49.420 --> 00:25:53.440
defenses of the defense relies on those safeties,

00:25:53.700 --> 00:25:56.180
switching coverages, mixing and matching, handing

00:25:56.180 --> 00:25:58.940
things off. And if you're not a heady player

00:25:58.940 --> 00:26:01.059
who knows kind of what your keys are and where

00:26:01.059 --> 00:26:03.200
to be, you're not going to succeed even with

00:26:03.200 --> 00:26:05.619
all the elite physical talent in the world. And

00:26:05.619 --> 00:26:08.740
so for all that, yeah, I think that it would

00:26:08.740 --> 00:26:11.640
be a real, I'll have a real problem with it if

00:26:11.640 --> 00:26:13.519
Cole Bishop leaves this game for Damar Hamlin

00:26:13.519 --> 00:26:17.180
and not injury related because that. that says

00:26:17.180 --> 00:26:19.859
something to me that says okay they might be

00:26:19.859 --> 00:26:22.579
they might be pulling the ripcord on like almost

00:26:22.579 --> 00:26:25.819
the entire class behind keon colman which is

00:26:25.819 --> 00:26:30.779
like right like they already cut at a full on

00:26:30.779 --> 00:26:33.380
olifocio olifocio yeah yeah they brought him

00:26:33.380 --> 00:26:35.960
back to the practice squad he was our fifth um

00:26:35.960 --> 00:26:38.869
they have moved on in a lot of ways from DeWayne

00:26:38.869 --> 00:26:41.210
Carter, he was relegated to third string or worse.

00:26:41.690 --> 00:26:44.470
Yep. Very likely going to be cut when Ogan Jobe

00:26:44.470 --> 00:26:47.049
came back. Yeah. Yeah. It's not looking great

00:26:47.049 --> 00:26:49.970
for that, the middle part of that whole draft.

00:26:50.329 --> 00:26:52.670
It's not. And when you are paying a quarterback

00:26:52.670 --> 00:26:54.930
what we're paying a quarterback, despite the

00:26:54.930 --> 00:26:57.029
team friendly nature of the percentage of cap

00:26:57.029 --> 00:26:59.450
hit year after year. And when you're paying a

00:26:59.450 --> 00:27:01.509
wide receiver room, I looked this up the other

00:27:01.509 --> 00:27:03.529
day on spot rack because I couldn't believe it.

00:27:03.970 --> 00:27:07.329
The Buffalo Bills have the 18th highest salary

00:27:07.329 --> 00:27:09.210
cap hit when it comes to their wide receiver

00:27:09.210 --> 00:27:13.410
room this season and next season. And they're

00:27:13.410 --> 00:27:15.269
spending, I think, the third most percentage

00:27:15.269 --> 00:27:18.670
cap on the defense as well. Think about that

00:27:18.670 --> 00:27:20.630
in relation to all the rookies that they just

00:27:20.630 --> 00:27:23.029
drafted and are planning on playing, right? Like,

00:27:23.289 --> 00:27:25.349
I mean, when you're in a situation cap wise that

00:27:25.349 --> 00:27:26.789
the Bills are, you really can't afford to miss

00:27:26.789 --> 00:27:30.430
on an entire draft class. So we hope Cole Bishop

00:27:30.430 --> 00:27:32.869
shows up. We hope he is like this year's Terrell

00:27:32.869 --> 00:27:35.099
Bernard, because listen, There are parallels.

00:27:35.400 --> 00:27:37.119
We were saying this a lot after Tremaine Edmonds

00:27:37.119 --> 00:27:40.339
left that, you know, Bernard, like another third

00:27:40.339 --> 00:27:43.359
round linebacker that we decided to draft and

00:27:43.359 --> 00:27:45.220
all this other kind of stuff, kind of undersized.

00:27:45.240 --> 00:27:47.460
What's he going to do? And he came out like gangbusters

00:27:47.460 --> 00:27:50.940
after not having a great preseason, right? Maybe

00:27:50.940 --> 00:27:52.720
Cole Bishop does the same thing, you know, as

00:27:52.720 --> 00:27:54.359
a second year player. I don't know. We got to

00:27:54.359 --> 00:27:56.759
wait and see. But I think there's definitely,

00:27:56.759 --> 00:27:58.819
definitely calls for concern on the defense.

00:27:59.160 --> 00:28:00.599
But the reality is, is we're going to get some

00:28:00.599 --> 00:28:02.680
answers because this is a real offense. They're

00:28:02.680 --> 00:28:04.619
going to be facing in a real test for the bills.

00:28:05.140 --> 00:28:06.700
Um, final thoughts on the defense or you want

00:28:06.700 --> 00:28:09.880
to switch over the offense? Um, just one more.

00:28:09.960 --> 00:28:12.319
And it's like not defense specific. It has a

00:28:12.319 --> 00:28:14.940
defense flavor. Javon Solomon still, still may

00:28:14.940 --> 00:28:17.299
get some snaps in this game on the roster in

00:28:17.299 --> 00:28:21.299
the, in the team. Um, and I just had to look

00:28:21.299 --> 00:28:24.700
back at the 2024 draft. They took 10 players

00:28:24.700 --> 00:28:30.359
between the second and seventh round. And if

00:28:30.359 --> 00:28:33.019
Keon Coleman, Cole Bishop, Ray Davis, Cedric

00:28:33.019 --> 00:28:36.700
Van Pren Granger, if those four players hit and

00:28:36.700 --> 00:28:38.539
then Tylen Grable looks like he's going to hit,

00:28:38.700 --> 00:28:42.119
he's injured again. But so if they have that's

00:28:42.119 --> 00:28:44.759
a 50 % hit rate on players that are reasonable

00:28:44.759 --> 00:28:47.440
NFL starters, potentially, or at least, you know,

00:28:47.500 --> 00:28:53.339
solid backups. I won't be absolutely, you know,

00:28:53.480 --> 00:28:55.920
pitifully, pathetically sad about that draft

00:28:55.920 --> 00:28:58.680
if those five players actually pan out. Yeah,

00:28:58.680 --> 00:29:00.559
but I'm really sad about the Dwayne Carter stuff,

00:29:00.559 --> 00:29:03.859
man. Yeah, I liked I think he's likable as a

00:29:03.859 --> 00:29:06.400
player as a guy as a leader as a character person

00:29:06.400 --> 00:29:10.019
Yeah, I just I wish he would have had a chance

00:29:10.019 --> 00:29:12.380
to flip this narrative He cuz he was gonna they

00:29:12.380 --> 00:29:14.279
were gonna have to give him some run in this

00:29:14.279 --> 00:29:17.759
rotation Until Ogan Jobi came back and I love

00:29:17.759 --> 00:29:21.279
seeing a homegrown product flip a narrative and

00:29:21.279 --> 00:29:23.619
I know he didn't have a great Preseason and the

00:29:23.619 --> 00:29:26.059
Bills were playing him for extended stretches

00:29:26.059 --> 00:29:29.000
against scrubs just for him to show them anything,

00:29:29.299 --> 00:29:31.460
right? So I know I know it wasn't looking good,

00:29:31.460 --> 00:29:33.900
but I was still rooting for his success and this

00:29:33.900 --> 00:29:36.079
Achilles injury kind of sucks. So yeah, for sure.

00:29:36.099 --> 00:29:38.160
Yeah. Yeah. All right. Offensive side of the

00:29:38.160 --> 00:29:41.519
ball. So a couple of things here real quick.

00:29:41.619 --> 00:29:44.220
I want to tee up for you. I think the Ravens

00:29:44.220 --> 00:29:47.720
are going to play a lot of man against the Buffalo

00:29:47.720 --> 00:29:50.400
Bills. They're going to make Josh Palmer. and

00:29:50.400 --> 00:29:52.900
can Coleman prove that they can beat their outside

00:29:52.900 --> 00:29:55.799
wide receivers. And I think until they do, we're

00:29:55.799 --> 00:29:57.400
going to see a lot of cover one and we're going

00:29:57.400 --> 00:30:01.079
to see Marlon Humphrey, who was E of the third

00:30:01.079 --> 00:30:03.559
highest havoc rating in the league last year,

00:30:04.039 --> 00:30:08.539
wreaking havoc in the box, jamming, Dalton Kincaid

00:30:08.539 --> 00:30:10.480
coming across the middle, doing everything he

00:30:10.480 --> 00:30:13.940
can to stuff James Cook. Until either Keon Coleman

00:30:13.940 --> 00:30:16.740
or Josh Palmer can prove they can beat one of

00:30:16.740 --> 00:30:19.500
Wiggins or Alexander on the outside if Alexander

00:30:19.500 --> 00:30:22.940
plays which I'm not a hundred percent Convinced

00:30:22.940 --> 00:30:25.059
he is he was a full practice participant today,

00:30:25.339 --> 00:30:27.500
but up until this point He hasn't really practiced

00:30:27.500 --> 00:30:30.640
with the squad in like a month, right? Yep. So

00:30:30.640 --> 00:30:33.640
so my take right here that I want you to weigh

00:30:33.640 --> 00:30:36.130
in on is This game is going to be one, yes, in

00:30:36.130 --> 00:30:37.430
the trenches and the Bills are going to have

00:30:37.430 --> 00:30:39.549
some success running the ball more than likely.

00:30:39.990 --> 00:30:42.269
But to me, to unlock this offense against this

00:30:42.269 --> 00:30:44.630
potent Ravens defense, somebody's got to win

00:30:44.630 --> 00:30:47.049
on the outside. That's the key factor for me.

00:30:47.789 --> 00:30:50.710
Or Shakir has to win from the slot against the

00:30:50.710 --> 00:30:52.710
arguably best safety in the league, Cal Hamilton.

00:30:53.470 --> 00:30:55.250
I mean, and you know, here's the thing with that.

00:30:55.390 --> 00:30:58.150
And like we all love Khalil Shakir, right. But

00:30:58.150 --> 00:31:02.069
his man, his man success metrics, according to

00:31:02.069 --> 00:31:05.240
Reception Perception, way, way below what his

00:31:05.240 --> 00:31:07.539
own beater metrics are. Right. I mean, we love

00:31:07.539 --> 00:31:10.680
Shakir and he's crafty and he's like very sudden

00:31:10.680 --> 00:31:13.180
in his routes, but he's not a big time man beater.

00:31:13.180 --> 00:31:16.259
Yeah. He's not a physical specimen and he doesn't

00:31:16.259 --> 00:31:18.660
have the elite traits of somebody who can break

00:31:18.660 --> 00:31:21.240
away from man coverage speed wise. Yeah. So,

00:31:21.779 --> 00:31:23.539
and they'll, they'll put him in motion. Like

00:31:23.539 --> 00:31:25.940
Brady will do some creative stuff, a la as a

00:31:25.940 --> 00:31:28.599
flowers to, to get him some free releases off

00:31:28.599 --> 00:31:32.049
the line. Um, but by the same token, I mean,

00:31:32.069 --> 00:31:33.569
I think it was in the divisional game last year.

00:31:33.630 --> 00:31:35.789
I was looking through some of my stats, uh, stat

00:31:35.789 --> 00:31:38.369
packages, and I think he had eight targets and

00:31:38.369 --> 00:31:40.930
man last year and only one reception versus zone

00:31:40.930 --> 00:31:43.750
where he was seven for eight. I mean, listen,

00:31:43.930 --> 00:31:46.529
close Shakira and man, man to man situations.

00:31:47.190 --> 00:31:49.970
I almost want to see some of those, some of those

00:31:49.970 --> 00:31:52.329
slots snaps go to Kia and Coleman. You know,

00:31:52.430 --> 00:31:54.329
clearly Shakira is not going to be a 60 or 70

00:31:54.329 --> 00:31:57.240
% snap guy anyway. I'd love to see something

00:31:57.240 --> 00:31:59.599
creative where Coleman gets, gets into the slot.

00:32:00.059 --> 00:32:02.119
We do some things pre -snap to free up Coleman

00:32:02.119 --> 00:32:05.500
at the line because he is also not great at beating

00:32:05.500 --> 00:32:07.859
press coverage off the line. Get him some free

00:32:07.859 --> 00:32:09.740
releases across the middle and give Josh just

00:32:09.740 --> 00:32:12.460
a big ass target to go against. And I like Coleman's

00:32:12.460 --> 00:32:15.140
chances slightly better than Kyle Hamilton though.

00:32:15.299 --> 00:32:17.599
Kyle Hamilton is better, better defensively than

00:32:17.599 --> 00:32:19.220
I think we may have in that wide receiver room.

00:32:20.700 --> 00:32:23.000
Yeah, and to your point before of like how much

00:32:23.000 --> 00:32:25.740
the bill 19th most to the wide receiver room

00:32:25.740 --> 00:32:31.180
it If if this and other games go very badly with

00:32:31.180 --> 00:32:34.039
teams very easily Handling the bills passing

00:32:34.039 --> 00:32:37.680
attack and man coverage setups. It's going to

00:32:37.680 --> 00:32:42.579
prove That you know trading up, you know in the

00:32:42.579 --> 00:32:45.779
draft for an elite wide receiver is not a fool's

00:32:45.779 --> 00:32:47.980
errand and that Brandon Bean might have it wrong

00:32:47.980 --> 00:32:53.210
right like not using prime draft picks and resources

00:32:53.210 --> 00:32:57.170
or cap money to get one of the top receivers

00:32:57.170 --> 00:33:00.869
is potentially a problem for this offense. I

00:33:00.869 --> 00:33:03.930
think that that's the thing that they might encounter.

00:33:04.849 --> 00:33:06.789
It's cute that they traded down a bunch and got

00:33:06.789 --> 00:33:09.930
some extra picks and got Keon Coleman, but if

00:33:09.930 --> 00:33:12.750
he turns out to be a dud on the outside and unable

00:33:12.750 --> 00:33:15.789
to uncover against good coverage, That doesn't

00:33:15.789 --> 00:33:17.369
help in the playoffs because it's a lot of good

00:33:17.369 --> 00:33:20.890
coverage. And so, yeah, I think that there was

00:33:20.890 --> 00:33:25.690
another bills media outfit that covered the fact

00:33:25.690 --> 00:33:29.970
that the bills have the most, they pay the most

00:33:29.970 --> 00:33:33.029
money to middle and bottom of the roster contracts.

00:33:33.289 --> 00:33:36.130
And they have the biggest gap between their best

00:33:36.130 --> 00:33:38.869
paid player and their worst paid player, which

00:33:38.869 --> 00:33:41.750
you expect to see a major gap between Josh Allen

00:33:41.750 --> 00:33:44.779
and literally anybody. And anybody. Yeah. But

00:33:44.779 --> 00:33:48.420
the chasm is so big. And then the fact that they

00:33:48.420 --> 00:33:52.079
most, a great majority of their actual whole

00:33:52.079 --> 00:33:55.099
cap is paid to middle tier and below contracts.

00:33:55.900 --> 00:33:57.900
You're going to get middle tier and below talent

00:33:57.900 --> 00:33:59.859
for that, right? Like the fact that they're doing

00:33:59.859 --> 00:34:01.579
this approach of like, we're going to give everybody

00:34:01.579 --> 00:34:03.720
a reasonable, we're not going to overpay anyone.

00:34:03.779 --> 00:34:05.240
We're going to give everyone a reasonable deals.

00:34:05.359 --> 00:34:07.359
We're going to pay that's a one year deal to

00:34:07.359 --> 00:34:10.619
try to redeem their career here. You know, if

00:34:10.619 --> 00:34:12.840
it continues to not work, that might be Brandon

00:34:12.840 --> 00:34:15.389
Bean. looking looking for a job down the line,

00:34:15.489 --> 00:34:19.369
right? Like they're using the best years that

00:34:19.369 --> 00:34:22.769
Josh Allen has and and using a completely different

00:34:22.769 --> 00:34:25.630
approach from the rest of the NFL. Yeah. And,

00:34:25.829 --> 00:34:28.550
you know, and those are all things that if for

00:34:28.550 --> 00:34:31.610
whatever reason, Josh Palmer is not the the man

00:34:31.610 --> 00:34:33.889
beater separation guy on the outside that they

00:34:33.889 --> 00:34:36.409
have built him as and if can coma does they they're

00:34:36.409 --> 00:34:38.750
not step. I think all of those things are a fair

00:34:38.750 --> 00:34:41.429
game to talk about in this game in particular.

00:34:41.719 --> 00:34:45.619
I'm very interested to see, A, does Jai or Alexander

00:34:45.619 --> 00:34:49.920
play? Because if Alexander doesn't play, I do

00:34:49.920 --> 00:34:52.500
think we could see some early reps from Josh

00:34:52.500 --> 00:34:54.480
Palmer where they do take advantage of some of

00:34:54.480 --> 00:34:58.480
his route running ability. I am not sold on him

00:34:58.480 --> 00:35:00.920
as the elite separation route running specialist

00:35:00.920 --> 00:35:05.230
that he is billed as. But I do know he's successful

00:35:05.230 --> 00:35:07.590
on some in breaking routes, right? And the Bills

00:35:07.590 --> 00:35:10.190
really could use that to open up the middle of

00:35:10.190 --> 00:35:11.989
the field against this Baltimore Ravens defense

00:35:11.989 --> 00:35:15.429
too. Um, and take some pressure off the boundaries

00:35:15.429 --> 00:35:17.369
where they're going to, you know, put a couple

00:35:17.369 --> 00:35:18.889
of guys on an Island against her white house

00:35:18.889 --> 00:35:22.829
and see if they can win. Um, if Alexander does

00:35:22.829 --> 00:35:25.369
play, I'll be interested to see what that matchup

00:35:25.369 --> 00:35:28.610
looks like. If, if Alexander is following Palmer

00:35:28.610 --> 00:35:31.610
or if he's solely on Coleman or if the Ravens

00:35:31.610 --> 00:35:33.400
are like, Our dudes are better than your dudes.

00:35:33.559 --> 00:35:35.219
It doesn't matter who we put on. Line up wherever.

00:35:35.940 --> 00:35:39.139
Exactly. Right. Well, and I think that, you know,

00:35:39.239 --> 00:35:42.159
just based on the way that they approach the

00:35:42.159 --> 00:35:44.840
divisional matchup and the talent, the way the

00:35:44.840 --> 00:35:48.320
talent stacks, I expect to see Jackson Hawes

00:35:48.320 --> 00:35:51.159
and Dalton Kincaid in two tight end sets here.

00:35:51.159 --> 00:35:54.300
Yeah. Attacking the with James Cook. They have

00:35:54.300 --> 00:35:57.440
better tackles for the Bills. They have a reasonable

00:35:57.440 --> 00:35:59.860
center and they have solid, but not spectacular

00:35:59.860 --> 00:36:03.079
guards. I can see even against that front. I

00:36:03.079 --> 00:36:07.059
mean, that front is stacked, right? Like Matabuike,

00:36:07.300 --> 00:36:09.940
Jones, Washington up in the middle with Calvin

00:36:09.940 --> 00:36:13.000
Noyan and Odafiyue Owe on the outside, Jason

00:36:13.000 --> 00:36:15.659
Owe. And Mike Green, the Marshall kid they just

00:36:15.659 --> 00:36:17.719
drafted. Oh, right. Yeah. They have they have

00:36:17.719 --> 00:36:21.239
a stacked physical unit in the middle of their

00:36:21.239 --> 00:36:24.559
their defense and the defensive line. But they

00:36:24.559 --> 00:36:27.440
don't have. I mean, Rochon Smith is pretty awesome.

00:36:27.989 --> 00:36:30.610
They have such good talent. It's, it's frustrating.

00:36:31.150 --> 00:36:34.289
Malachi, Malachi Starks as a rookie free safety,

00:36:34.590 --> 00:36:36.730
who I kind of wish that the bills had drafted

00:36:36.730 --> 00:36:39.670
to like, it's just like Trenton Simpson's there.

00:36:39.670 --> 00:36:44.329
Like it's, it is a, it's a tough time to run

00:36:44.329 --> 00:36:46.630
against them, but I can see the bills trying

00:36:46.630 --> 00:36:48.789
it anyway. Cause they were, they were more successful

00:36:48.789 --> 00:36:51.889
than almost any team last year. in facing this

00:36:51.889 --> 00:36:55.130
Ravens defensive front and running on them. They

00:36:55.130 --> 00:36:59.230
ran 36 times with James Cook and others in the

00:36:59.230 --> 00:37:02.429
divisional game. And it worked for them to control

00:37:02.429 --> 00:37:04.550
the clock and try to keep the offense off the

00:37:04.550 --> 00:37:07.269
field for the Ravens. The Baltimore Ravens last

00:37:07.269 --> 00:37:10.269
season, 2024, were the number one team in the

00:37:10.269 --> 00:37:13.210
league in overall defensive rushing efficiency.

00:37:13.630 --> 00:37:17.090
So it was a tough team for any squad to run on.

00:37:18.110 --> 00:37:20.869
And I mean, not only have they Not only have

00:37:20.869 --> 00:37:22.550
they returned a lot of guys from last year, but

00:37:22.550 --> 00:37:24.789
they've bolstered it with some some really savvy

00:37:24.789 --> 00:37:27.530
draft picks, too. This is going to be one of

00:37:27.530 --> 00:37:30.010
those few matchups, I think, where in the rush

00:37:30.010 --> 00:37:33.730
game, the Bills might be at a disadvantage offensively.

00:37:33.730 --> 00:37:36.789
And they're going to have to. Again, to me, it

00:37:36.789 --> 00:37:38.289
all goes to that whiteout room. They're going

00:37:38.289 --> 00:37:41.210
to need somebody, somebody on the outside to

00:37:41.210 --> 00:37:44.710
step up. They need a light in the box. Kyle Hannibal,

00:37:44.769 --> 00:37:46.650
Hamilton and Malachi Starks playing up close

00:37:46.650 --> 00:37:50.679
to the line. You're so toast if you try to run

00:37:50.679 --> 00:37:52.800
on that front. Forget about it. Right. If you're,

00:37:52.800 --> 00:37:54.659
if you're not able to stretch them out and send

00:37:54.659 --> 00:37:57.719
them backpedaling in order to protect their,

00:37:57.719 --> 00:38:00.599
their deep metal or deep, deep sidelines, you're

00:38:00.599 --> 00:38:03.500
going to pay and your run game is never going

00:38:03.500 --> 00:38:06.119
to get established. Yeah, this is a tough one.

00:38:06.500 --> 00:38:09.139
And the Ravens, listen for all the Ravens quirks,

00:38:09.300 --> 00:38:11.699
like this is a team that costs itself a lot of

00:38:11.699 --> 00:38:13.340
games. And that's been something that's been

00:38:13.340 --> 00:38:16.329
very consistent. you know, for as long as Harbaugh

00:38:16.329 --> 00:38:18.889
has been the coach there. Like last year, they

00:38:18.889 --> 00:38:21.630
lost by Isaiah Lakely's toe in the end zone.

00:38:21.750 --> 00:38:25.130
You know what I mean? In the AFC divisional round,

00:38:25.369 --> 00:38:27.590
you know, turnovers that, yes, you can give credit

00:38:27.590 --> 00:38:30.530
to the Bills for generating, but also like Lamar

00:38:30.530 --> 00:38:32.530
Jackson letting himself get helicoptered and

00:38:32.530 --> 00:38:34.829
then losing the ball. I mean, you know what I

00:38:34.829 --> 00:38:37.969
mean? Like this is a team that has a lot of talent.

00:38:38.199 --> 00:38:40.719
but also lost to the Raiders in week two last

00:38:40.719 --> 00:38:43.239
year. Like they are a team that has some really

00:38:43.239 --> 00:38:46.599
frustrating kind of brain fart moments, particularly

00:38:46.599 --> 00:38:50.219
early on in the season. And you got to hope.

00:38:50.380 --> 00:38:52.019
And it's like, I know hope is not a strategy,

00:38:52.380 --> 00:38:55.019
but it does make you wonder if some of those

00:38:55.019 --> 00:38:58.150
habits. Not a bug but kind of a feature of how

00:38:58.150 --> 00:39:01.050
this team plays because the Buffalo Bills are

00:39:01.050 --> 00:39:03.309
the complete opposite of that they have become

00:39:03.309 --> 00:39:06.110
a very disciplined outfit particularly when they

00:39:06.110 --> 00:39:10.710
play at home and Like all games if this game

00:39:10.710 --> 00:39:13.010
is close and it comes down to a game of inches

00:39:13.010 --> 00:39:15.909
I really like the Bills in a close game more

00:39:15.909 --> 00:39:18.190
than I like the Ravens in a close game Because

00:39:18.190 --> 00:39:19.989
the Bills have shown they've got the chops and

00:39:19.989 --> 00:39:23.070
they know how to win those games to me This is

00:39:23.070 --> 00:39:25.789
this game is either a Ravens blowout or the Bills

00:39:25.789 --> 00:39:28.510
want a really close one But I don't see a scenario

00:39:28.510 --> 00:39:30.530
because of the Ravens track record where they

00:39:30.530 --> 00:39:32.769
can eke out a really close game And they're going

00:39:32.769 --> 00:39:34.510
through a lot of upheaval and special teams,

00:39:34.750 --> 00:39:36.969
too So if it cut, you know, no more Justin Tucker

00:39:36.969 --> 00:39:39.010
So if it comes down to a field goal situation

00:39:39.010 --> 00:39:41.190
for the Ravens, too They've got some untested

00:39:41.190 --> 00:39:43.650
talent at that position as well It's their rookie

00:39:43.650 --> 00:39:47.250
cooker kicker versus a washed veteran for the

00:39:47.250 --> 00:39:49.090
Bills and Matt Prater because I don't see Tyler

00:39:49.090 --> 00:39:51.619
Bass going I don't think he's gonna play Exactly.

00:39:52.000 --> 00:39:55.059
So, I mean, so this whole game, right? Should

00:39:55.059 --> 00:39:58.119
it come down to those moments? Who do you trust

00:39:58.119 --> 00:40:00.579
more? Do you trust the Ravens or do you trust

00:40:00.579 --> 00:40:03.820
the Bills? And for me, it all comes down to kind

00:40:03.820 --> 00:40:06.260
of what 2024 came down to, too. The Bills need

00:40:06.260 --> 00:40:08.820
to control game script. They need the offense

00:40:08.820 --> 00:40:12.500
to carry a lot of that load in controlling game

00:40:12.500 --> 00:40:15.059
script. And they need some favorable situations

00:40:15.059 --> 00:40:16.559
where they can get the Ravens away from the run

00:40:16.559 --> 00:40:19.340
game. Because if they can't... I could see this

00:40:19.340 --> 00:40:21.559
being a very long day for the Bills, a la what

00:40:21.559 --> 00:40:23.960
they experienced last season. Yeah, early in

00:40:23.960 --> 00:40:28.199
the season. I agree. I think that the real crux

00:40:28.199 --> 00:40:30.639
of it's going to come down to who makes more

00:40:30.639 --> 00:40:35.539
mistakes and can they force errors? If Josh plays

00:40:35.539 --> 00:40:38.920
clean, he only threw for like 127 yards in that

00:40:38.920 --> 00:40:41.079
divisional playoff game. They controlled the

00:40:41.079 --> 00:40:43.099
game script. They kept it on the ground. It was

00:40:43.099 --> 00:40:46.260
still super close. Two point win. Um, but they

00:40:46.260 --> 00:40:48.260
had, they won the turnover battle three to nothing.

00:40:49.059 --> 00:40:51.260
Like that was the difference. That's the recipe.

00:40:51.500 --> 00:40:53.780
That is like that. Sadly, that is the recipe

00:40:53.780 --> 00:40:57.599
is when you're facing a superior, talented opponent,

00:40:58.400 --> 00:41:00.579
you may own, you may, you have to make them make

00:41:00.579 --> 00:41:04.219
errors. I mean, it's, it's what the bills right

00:41:04.219 --> 00:41:08.280
now feel like the Patriots during their dynasty

00:41:08.280 --> 00:41:11.400
with Tom Brady being the one of one quarterback

00:41:11.400 --> 00:41:15.019
in the league. And then the rest of the team

00:41:15.019 --> 00:41:17.840
just being a bunch of guys but playing so disciplined

00:41:17.840 --> 00:41:19.840
that they let the other team beat themselves

00:41:19.840 --> 00:41:22.860
and Then it's it's it's a comparable. I hate

00:41:22.860 --> 00:41:25.460
hate making that comparison because of the Patriots

00:41:25.460 --> 00:41:28.579
But then we also haven't benefited from the Super

00:41:28.579 --> 00:41:31.260
Bowls. They did right there and we also haven't

00:41:31.260 --> 00:41:35.320
cheated That also true. Yeah, so also true. There's

00:41:35.320 --> 00:41:37.619
been no proven cheating that was happening for

00:41:37.619 --> 00:41:41.380
the bills, but But it's a similar recipe for

00:41:41.380 --> 00:41:44.079
winning. It's basically play strong, disciplined,

00:41:44.579 --> 00:41:46.639
and mistake -free football, have the best quarterback

00:41:46.639 --> 00:41:49.480
in the league, and then let the chips fall where

00:41:49.480 --> 00:41:51.119
they may, even if you don't have the most talented

00:41:51.119 --> 00:41:54.159
roster. Right. Absolutely. And listen, the Ravens

00:41:54.159 --> 00:41:58.860
have lots of matchup advantages up and down their

00:41:58.860 --> 00:42:01.000
individual positional rooms versus the Bills.

00:42:01.760 --> 00:42:05.019
So it's going to be, listen, I Was not excited

00:42:05.019 --> 00:42:07.500
for this matchup in week one the first the first

00:42:07.500 --> 00:42:09.900
game in the rel farewell tour I was like, uh,

00:42:10.099 --> 00:42:12.360
and I was surprised when the bills opened his

00:42:12.360 --> 00:42:15.199
favorites. I'm not gonna lie in this game But

00:42:15.199 --> 00:42:18.039
that line has since since shifted which I think

00:42:18.039 --> 00:42:21.639
is a good place for us to shift to Predictions

00:42:21.639 --> 00:42:23.820
sure to go wrong my friend. Let's talk about

00:42:23.820 --> 00:42:26.400
it. It is back, baby What is the what do we got

00:42:26.400 --> 00:42:29.860
for the line Ravens one and a half? Okay. Yep

00:42:32.099 --> 00:42:35.639
Ravens are plus one and a half here. That line

00:42:35.639 --> 00:42:38.239
shifted today. The over -under on this game is

00:42:38.239 --> 00:42:42.559
50 .5. So someone thinks this is going to be

00:42:42.559 --> 00:42:46.719
a score galore type of game. So, you know, whatever.

00:42:48.940 --> 00:42:53.739
Go ahead and make your prediction, sir. Listen,

00:42:53.840 --> 00:42:56.039
don't hate me, Bills Mafia. I have only picked

00:42:56.039 --> 00:43:00.360
against the Bills once, and they won that game.

00:43:01.119 --> 00:43:05.059
and I never picked against them again. But the

00:43:05.059 --> 00:43:09.059
Ravens, listen, the Ravens are to the Bills what

00:43:09.059 --> 00:43:12.920
the Bills are to the Chiefs. The Ravens really,

00:43:12.920 --> 00:43:14.800
really put together solid football against us

00:43:14.800 --> 00:43:17.059
in the regular season. Can't seem to get over

00:43:17.059 --> 00:43:19.059
that postseason help against the Bills. Whereas

00:43:19.059 --> 00:43:21.019
the Bills are the same way with the Chiefs, right?

00:43:21.460 --> 00:43:24.739
So there is a world where the Ravens are treating

00:43:24.739 --> 00:43:26.800
this like their Super Bowl, because that's what

00:43:26.880 --> 00:43:29.820
undisciplined teams tend to do. So, and the Bills

00:43:29.820 --> 00:43:33.699
have their eye on a longer type of play here.

00:43:34.260 --> 00:43:38.059
So I go Ravens, and you know, the Bills don't

00:43:38.059 --> 00:43:41.739
get blown out a lot, but I'm going to go Ravens

00:43:41.739 --> 00:43:49.139
27, Bills 20. Yeah. And I hate doing it. I hate

00:43:49.139 --> 00:43:52.329
saying it. But I think the Ravens, uh, not just

00:43:52.329 --> 00:43:54.449
cover their spread, but they, they win by a clear

00:43:54.449 --> 00:43:57.349
touchdown and an extra point. Um, I will take

00:43:57.349 --> 00:43:59.050
the under particularly because the weather is

00:43:59.050 --> 00:44:01.289
looking cold in Buffalo that night. And we all

00:44:01.289 --> 00:44:04.349
know that that plays a massive role in, in how

00:44:04.349 --> 00:44:07.369
offensive, offensive play, uh, in that environment.

00:44:07.610 --> 00:44:09.949
But I think the farewell tour for the Ralph here,

00:44:09.949 --> 00:44:12.369
uh, gets off to a bumpy start, though I think

00:44:12.369 --> 00:44:15.230
much more positive as the season goes on. Okay.

00:44:16.110 --> 00:44:18.789
Well, Bill's mafia, I'm not going to abandon

00:44:18.789 --> 00:44:21.730
you like Dan. That's terrible. You've picked

00:44:21.730 --> 00:44:23.889
against the Bills way more than I have. I know

00:44:23.889 --> 00:44:26.389
I have. I know I have, but not this time, because

00:44:26.389 --> 00:44:30.630
I've got that spirit of hope and positivity that

00:44:30.630 --> 00:44:33.289
surrounds us all pre -season, even though most

00:44:33.289 --> 00:44:35.429
of our secondary is injured and not playing well

00:44:35.429 --> 00:44:38.070
together. And we don't know if we have any answers

00:44:38.070 --> 00:44:40.349
at wide receiver. We don't know if anybody in

00:44:40.349 --> 00:44:42.289
the wide receiver room is capable of catching

00:44:42.289 --> 00:44:44.710
a pass over a good coverage person. And then

00:44:44.710 --> 00:44:47.769
also, we don't know how we're going to run against

00:44:47.769 --> 00:44:51.789
this front. So with that said, I can see the

00:44:51.789 --> 00:44:54.989
Bills winning 24 -20. over the Ravens. I'm also

00:44:54.989 --> 00:44:56.429
taking the under. I don't think this is going

00:44:56.429 --> 00:45:02.869
to be a shootout type game. And my 2420 is built

00:45:02.869 --> 00:45:07.110
on the foundation of the Bills forcing the Ravens

00:45:07.110 --> 00:45:10.269
into mistakes and playing a very, very clean

00:45:10.269 --> 00:45:13.130
game. And I think that, yes, the Ravens, like

00:45:13.130 --> 00:45:14.650
you said, are kind of treating this like they're

00:45:14.650 --> 00:45:16.630
Super Bowl. They're playing with all this emotion.

00:45:17.389 --> 00:45:19.670
I think emotion can be a double edged sword in

00:45:19.670 --> 00:45:22.420
a game like this. And if the Bills come in with

00:45:22.420 --> 00:45:26.639
that kind of cold operator mentality and play

00:45:26.639 --> 00:45:28.480
their their foot, their version of football,

00:45:28.659 --> 00:45:30.980
they can come out, they can force some errands,

00:45:30.980 --> 00:45:32.659
they can protect themselves from making errors

00:45:32.659 --> 00:45:34.920
of their own. Because I think that the Bills

00:45:34.920 --> 00:45:36.480
haven't been squawking in the media, but I think

00:45:36.480 --> 00:45:39.239
they're also taking this very seriously because

00:45:39.239 --> 00:45:42.780
they know from so many seasons past that. giving

00:45:42.780 --> 00:45:45.139
up this game or giving up a game to the Chiefs

00:45:45.139 --> 00:45:47.260
in the regular season, giving up a game to the

00:45:47.260 --> 00:45:49.179
Bengals in the regular season. That's how you

00:45:49.179 --> 00:45:51.820
lose the number one seed. And their goal is the

00:45:51.820 --> 00:45:53.639
number one seed home field through the playoffs.

00:45:54.059 --> 00:45:57.840
Let's send the Ralph, you know, into into demolition

00:45:57.840 --> 00:46:01.260
with a winning postseason. And so I know that

00:46:01.260 --> 00:46:03.619
they're locked in. I'm trusting them to be locked

00:46:03.619 --> 00:46:05.659
in. I'm a little bit worried that this is the

00:46:05.659 --> 00:46:07.320
first preseason that Josh Allen hasn't played

00:46:07.320 --> 00:46:09.820
a single snap of live game, you know, action.

00:46:10.969 --> 00:46:13.130
But we'll see how he does with that. I mean he

00:46:13.130 --> 00:46:16.150
is the MVP, right? Mm -hmm. Absolutely. Absolutely

00:46:16.150 --> 00:46:18.670
All right. So normally at this point JJ we would

00:46:18.670 --> 00:46:21.309
do prop bets for the game But because to your

00:46:21.309 --> 00:46:22.889
point we haven't really had a chance to connect

00:46:22.889 --> 00:46:25.550
and talk about the Bills overview of the season

00:46:25.550 --> 00:46:28.389
I want to take this opportunity to do some predictions.

00:46:28.389 --> 00:46:30.530
I want to do a record prediction for the Bills

00:46:30.800 --> 00:46:33.539
And then I want to do where we see the season

00:46:33.539 --> 00:46:36.099
ending for the Bills. All right. So let's start

00:46:36.099 --> 00:46:38.760
with record prediction. 17 game season. Where

00:46:38.760 --> 00:46:40.519
do you see the Bills landing record wise this

00:46:40.519 --> 00:46:46.219
year? I'm thinking they go 13 and four. All right.

00:46:46.320 --> 00:46:49.280
Who are the four losses out of curiosity? I think

00:46:49.280 --> 00:46:53.619
that they lose to the Chiefs, the Eagles, the

00:46:53.619 --> 00:46:57.019
Jets, the Jets in the last game of the season.

00:46:57.630 --> 00:46:59.829
It stinks to lose the last home game in the in

00:46:59.829 --> 00:47:01.869
the Ralph or, you know, Highmark Stadium. But

00:47:01.869 --> 00:47:04.710
I think that if they're going by my prediction,

00:47:04.710 --> 00:47:07.230
13 and four, they're going to probably not. They're

00:47:07.230 --> 00:47:09.230
going to rest all their starters, you know. And

00:47:09.230 --> 00:47:12.130
so because there are more important things at

00:47:12.130 --> 00:47:15.369
that point in time. So Jetson last game of the

00:47:15.369 --> 00:47:21.170
season, Patriots, Eagles. And I'm trying to think

00:47:21.170 --> 00:47:25.309
of another NFC foe. Maybe the Buccaneers. Yeah,

00:47:25.309 --> 00:47:26.829
I think it's going to be Bucks. They're a good

00:47:26.829 --> 00:47:30.610
team. Yeah, so yeah, I've got I also have the

00:47:30.610 --> 00:47:33.789
bills losing one to the Patriots I've got the

00:47:33.789 --> 00:47:36.710
bills losing one to the Jets to same thing that

00:47:36.710 --> 00:47:41.269
last game. I've got them losing to the Buccaneers

00:47:41.269 --> 00:47:46.670
the Eagles and then I Think that was it. Yeah,

00:47:46.670 --> 00:47:49.829
my prediction was also My prediction was 12 and

00:47:49.829 --> 00:47:52.030
five. I'm missing a loss. There's a loss you

00:47:52.030 --> 00:47:56.019
the pet the so you had jazz Jets, Patriots is

00:47:56.019 --> 00:47:58.840
a split. I had them losing to the Eagles, losing

00:47:58.840 --> 00:48:02.440
to the Bucs. And then I had them sweeping the

00:48:02.440 --> 00:48:05.079
Dolphins, even though, man, we got, at some point

00:48:05.079 --> 00:48:06.599
we got to talk about the Dolphins. Maybe we got

00:48:06.599 --> 00:48:08.360
to get Steve on here. That's like the highest

00:48:08.360 --> 00:48:10.500
variance team in the league. Who knows what they're

00:48:10.500 --> 00:48:12.219
going to be. I mean, no one knows. They don't

00:48:12.219 --> 00:48:13.920
know what they're going to do, right? They could

00:48:13.920 --> 00:48:15.980
be 11 and six. They could be six and 11. I have

00:48:15.980 --> 00:48:19.260
no idea what that team's about. Who was the fifth

00:48:19.260 --> 00:48:21.699
loss? Oh, I had them, I had them losing to the

00:48:21.699 --> 00:48:24.610
Bengals too. Okay. Yeah. The Bengals have some

00:48:24.610 --> 00:48:27.150
weird mojo about them that like the Bills just

00:48:27.150 --> 00:48:30.050
don't haven't and not not once since McDermott's

00:48:30.050 --> 00:48:31.650
been there have the Bills played the Bengals

00:48:31.650 --> 00:48:34.610
very, very strong. Yeah, the Bills like, yeah,

00:48:34.670 --> 00:48:36.889
the Bills versus the Bengals thing has been weird.

00:48:37.130 --> 00:48:39.130
And Burrow is just not afraid of that defensive

00:48:39.130 --> 00:48:43.230
front at all. And I love Christian Benford. But

00:48:43.230 --> 00:48:46.110
when he's got a man up a Garrett Wilson or a

00:48:46.110 --> 00:48:48.289
Jamar chase, like he, he has really struggled

00:48:48.289 --> 00:48:50.630
on an island. Those are situations where you

00:48:50.630 --> 00:48:52.590
see why he was a sixth round pick, right? Like

00:48:52.590 --> 00:48:54.489
there's a reason there's a height, weight, you

00:48:54.489 --> 00:48:56.670
know, speed type reason for somebody to drop

00:48:56.670 --> 00:48:59.050
that far in the draft. And those are the times

00:48:59.050 --> 00:49:01.590
that his tenacity can't necessarily overcome

00:49:01.590 --> 00:49:03.960
someone's physical gifts. Yep. So I've got the

00:49:03.960 --> 00:49:05.880
bills at 12 and five. Still a really good season,

00:49:05.880 --> 00:49:08.420
right? Still making the playoffs and then still

00:49:08.420 --> 00:49:12.340
winning the AFC East. So we both have the bills

00:49:12.340 --> 00:49:15.659
in the playoffs. J .J., where does the playoff

00:49:15.659 --> 00:49:19.380
run end or does it end? Is this finally the year?

00:49:19.719 --> 00:49:22.760
This is finally the year. I truly believe I got

00:49:22.760 --> 00:49:25.239
it. I got it. All my eggs are in this basket.

00:49:25.260 --> 00:49:28.840
If this doesn't go well, I it's just been a shit

00:49:28.840 --> 00:49:35.800
year. My mental health is right All well -being

00:49:35.800 --> 00:49:38.280
I have is wrapped up in this football team and

00:49:38.280 --> 00:49:41.280
how they end the season every bit of it Absolutely.

00:49:41.679 --> 00:49:44.920
No, I'm the the fan in me is like a hundred percent.

00:49:44.940 --> 00:49:47.139
This has to be the this is the year This is that

00:49:47.139 --> 00:49:49.900
this has has to be the one before I die, right?

00:49:50.039 --> 00:49:53.489
Yes because if it's not There's a lot of uncomfortable

00:49:53.489 --> 00:49:55.230
questions the bills have to ask themselves at

00:49:55.230 --> 00:49:57.190
the end of this year. So especially if it ends

00:49:57.190 --> 00:50:00.289
to the chiefs again, who, for whatever reason,

00:50:00.449 --> 00:50:01.750
people are sleeping on the chiefs. And I think

00:50:01.750 --> 00:50:03.489
the chiefs are going to be a good team, but we'll

00:50:03.489 --> 00:50:06.250
see. Yeah, we'll see. All right. I'm not sleeping

00:50:06.250 --> 00:50:10.500
on the chiefs. I am. Bullish on the AFC West

00:50:10.500 --> 00:50:13.079
bringing more thunder to that division than they

00:50:13.079 --> 00:50:15.420
have in the past four or five years I like I'm

00:50:15.420 --> 00:50:18.659
really trusting the I'm trusting the Broncos

00:50:18.659 --> 00:50:20.719
to do some business next you're trusting bonus

00:50:20.719 --> 00:50:22.980
Yes, I'm trusting the Broncos to get some stuff

00:50:22.980 --> 00:50:25.780
done I'm trusting Justin Herbert to finally like

00:50:25.780 --> 00:50:27.900
slay that dragon a little bit and even if they

00:50:27.900 --> 00:50:30.380
split with those teams You know each of those

00:50:30.380 --> 00:50:32.340
teams and I have a couple couple losses here

00:50:32.340 --> 00:50:33.719
or there I think that the bills can overcome

00:50:33.719 --> 00:50:36.639
that the Raiders are gonna be feisty that offense

00:50:36.639 --> 00:50:41.480
with Chip Kelly Uh, Gino Smith and, uh, and genti,

00:50:41.599 --> 00:50:43.360
the running back. That's gonna be interesting.

00:50:43.460 --> 00:50:45.079
Well, don't they, they also have Brock Bowers

00:50:45.079 --> 00:50:49.400
who's a fledgling star. Yes, absolutely. Um,

00:50:49.500 --> 00:50:51.679
I think, and Chip Kelly learned a lot from his

00:50:51.679 --> 00:50:53.960
first stint as a play caller in the NFL. He's

00:50:53.960 --> 00:50:56.079
just doing some funky stuff at Ohio state last

00:50:56.079 --> 00:50:58.639
year. So I think that could be interesting. I,

00:50:59.320 --> 00:51:00.900
um, I don't know, man, we do have to do like

00:51:00.900 --> 00:51:02.820
a quick NFL roundup at some point when we get

00:51:02.820 --> 00:51:06.539
a chance. I don't know that. Don't know. I don't

00:51:06.539 --> 00:51:08.760
know anything about football, but yet I do this

00:51:08.760 --> 00:51:12.659
but like Bo Nix was good against bad teams and

00:51:12.659 --> 00:51:15.320
bad against good teams And I don't know if that's

00:51:15.320 --> 00:51:17.840
over simplistic But he's the second year QB and

00:51:17.840 --> 00:51:19.340
I don't know what they're gonna do to make him

00:51:19.340 --> 00:51:22.000
good against good teams And the Broncos are playing

00:51:22.000 --> 00:51:24.739
a tougher schedule this year. So and for me,

00:51:24.739 --> 00:51:27.630
it's not even about Bo Nix Causing the problems.

00:51:27.849 --> 00:51:29.670
It's that the Broncos defense added some pretty

00:51:29.670 --> 00:51:31.949
good pieces and they were one of the best defenses

00:51:31.949 --> 00:51:34.210
in the league. And that can be enough. If you

00:51:34.210 --> 00:51:36.269
have a game managing quarterback and your defense

00:51:36.269 --> 00:51:38.949
is ferocious, look at the Minnesota Vikings going

00:51:38.949 --> 00:51:41.329
like 12 and five last year. That was purely built

00:51:41.329 --> 00:51:46.190
on an okay quarterback and offense plus a sick

00:51:46.190 --> 00:51:49.019
defense. And they have Justin Jefferson. It's

00:51:49.019 --> 00:51:52.639
just a defensive coordinator who knows exactly

00:51:52.639 --> 00:51:54.699
how to cover up the weaknesses on his defense

00:51:54.699 --> 00:51:57.079
by creating chaos. Like Brian Flores is that

00:51:57.079 --> 00:52:00.300
dude. Bills could use a little of that this year.

00:52:00.719 --> 00:52:02.940
Just create a lot of chaos and cover up your

00:52:02.940 --> 00:52:05.599
CB2 situation. Well, and I mean, that is a question

00:52:05.599 --> 00:52:07.820
too, is like that's a big question mark for this

00:52:07.820 --> 00:52:12.289
season is this is the second full year. Of the

00:52:12.289 --> 00:52:14.550
bills offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator

00:52:14.550 --> 00:52:18.889
and joe brader joe brady and bobby babbage Can

00:52:18.889 --> 00:52:21.769
they get it done? Right? Like are they are they?

00:52:22.030 --> 00:52:24.530
The at the end of the season when this all wraps

00:52:24.530 --> 00:52:26.869
up, especially if they have a super bowl victory

00:52:26.869 --> 00:52:30.869
I think both probably are gone But I think brady

00:52:30.869 --> 00:52:34.050
has gone Unless the bills have this massive offensive

00:52:34.050 --> 00:52:36.170
regression. I think brady is probably gone. No

00:52:36.170 --> 00:52:38.969
matter what no matter what. Yeah, I think babbage

00:52:39.320 --> 00:52:42.139
You know, Babich was a hot D .C. coordinator

00:52:42.139 --> 00:52:44.039
when the Bills decided to elevate him a couple

00:52:44.039 --> 00:52:48.619
of years ago. I think if the Bills' defense improves

00:52:48.619 --> 00:52:51.059
and the Bills take home the Lombardi, I don't

00:52:51.059 --> 00:52:54.059
know that Babich has gone necessarily, but I

00:52:54.059 --> 00:52:56.260
definitely think Brady has probably gone, again,

00:52:56.320 --> 00:52:58.519
no matter what. Yeah, it's always tough for a

00:52:58.519 --> 00:53:01.280
D .C. who has a head coach who's a defensive

00:53:01.280 --> 00:53:04.119
former D .C. to get a head coaching position

00:53:04.119 --> 00:53:06.019
because the question always is, was it you or

00:53:06.019 --> 00:53:08.510
was it your head coach? Was it your boss? Exactly.

00:53:08.730 --> 00:53:11.230
Yeah. So we'll see. I mean, lots of juicy stuff

00:53:11.230 --> 00:53:13.489
to talk about, man. I've got a really important

00:53:13.489 --> 00:53:16.449
Bills full season outlook question for you. OK.

00:53:16.849 --> 00:53:20.210
The season ends. The season ends. Who on the

00:53:20.210 --> 00:53:22.909
Buffalo Bills has the most sacks and how many

00:53:22.909 --> 00:53:33.449
is it? Greg Rousseau, nine. OK, like I I. I don't

00:53:33.449 --> 00:53:35.409
know what we're getting out of Sanders or Walker.

00:53:35.719 --> 00:53:38.360
I don't think we're getting another 10 sack season

00:53:38.360 --> 00:53:41.679
out of Oliver. Dequan Jones ain't that dude anymore.

00:53:42.380 --> 00:53:44.860
And Joey Bosa, I could see having a really solid

00:53:44.860 --> 00:53:47.039
season, but they're saving him for something

00:53:47.039 --> 00:53:50.059
bigger, right? So I could see the pass rush being

00:53:50.059 --> 00:53:52.500
improved from a pressure perspective this year.

00:53:52.880 --> 00:53:55.940
But as far as like getting home and massive sack

00:53:55.940 --> 00:53:58.260
totals, I think Greg Russo probably leads it

00:53:58.260 --> 00:54:00.559
with nine. Bosa trailing with like eight, eight

00:54:00.559 --> 00:54:05.059
and a half. Okay. My guess for this is TJ Sanders

00:54:05.059 --> 00:54:08.760
with 11. Dude, TJ Sanders on the interior is

00:54:08.760 --> 00:54:12.619
a rookie? Double digits. Yeah. Dude, that's defensive

00:54:12.619 --> 00:54:15.519
rookie of the year. I got a lot of hope for him.

00:54:15.860 --> 00:54:19.079
Well, he just looks special. He looks special.

00:54:20.639 --> 00:54:23.119
In the preseason, and we might have mentioned

00:54:23.119 --> 00:54:25.840
this on a previous pod, in the preseason, they

00:54:25.840 --> 00:54:27.300
were literally putting him out there for like

00:54:27.300 --> 00:54:29.820
a series. He was wrecking it. And then they were

00:54:29.820 --> 00:54:31.969
just pulling off the field. So like that... There

00:54:31.969 --> 00:54:35.030
I think they got a guy here. No, I I think we

00:54:35.030 --> 00:54:37.369
both agree. They got a guy I don't know if they

00:54:37.369 --> 00:54:40.309
got an 11 sack guy, but damn. I love your optimism,

00:54:40.329 --> 00:54:44.250
dude. I We will mark that down. We'll mark that

00:54:44.250 --> 00:54:45.969
I wrote I'm writing it in the prediction sure

00:54:45.969 --> 00:54:49.730
to go wrong Good got a new pod liner new liner.

00:54:50.010 --> 00:54:52.909
Yeah. All right Here's one for you and we'll

00:54:52.909 --> 00:54:55.710
close on this one Do the bills have a thousand

00:54:55.710 --> 00:54:58.369
yard pass catcher? I say pass catcher to include

00:54:58.369 --> 00:55:06.769
the Titans Huh? Yes. And that person is Khalil

00:55:06.769 --> 00:55:10.030
Shakir for me. Yeah, right. Because I think it's

00:55:10.030 --> 00:55:13.110
volume -based. I think he's average is like 11

00:55:13.110 --> 00:55:15.949
yards per reception, but he has so many targets,

00:55:16.210 --> 00:55:21.679
right? Yep, I think oh god. I want to say yes,

00:55:21.760 --> 00:55:23.780
but they've got this everybody eats mentality

00:55:23.780 --> 00:55:26.400
They've added Josh Palmer to the mix. I mean,

00:55:26.420 --> 00:55:28.440
I think they're top targeted wide out last year

00:55:28.440 --> 00:55:31.739
was wasn't it Matt Collins Yeah, no, right. He

00:55:31.739 --> 00:55:33.860
was the top tight. He was the top touchdown getter

00:55:33.860 --> 00:55:35.940
I think Shakira got the most targets though Shakira

00:55:35.940 --> 00:55:38.679
got the most targets and hop but Hollins let

00:55:38.679 --> 00:55:43.360
in snap share last year. Okay. Yeah I don't know,

00:55:43.440 --> 00:55:45.380
man. They do weird things with this wide receiver

00:55:45.380 --> 00:55:47.900
room as far as the groupings they run out there.

00:55:48.780 --> 00:55:51.079
We haven't even talked about Curtis Samuel or

00:55:51.079 --> 00:55:53.559
Elijah Moore either or Tyrell Shavers, right?

00:55:53.559 --> 00:55:57.900
I know, seriously. But I would love to see like

00:55:57.900 --> 00:56:00.519
a jumbo wide out unit where you've got Palmer

00:56:00.519 --> 00:56:03.380
Coleman in the slot and you've got Shavers in

00:56:03.380 --> 00:56:05.920
the X, right? And just make some hay with that.

00:56:06.360 --> 00:56:08.639
I don't think the Bills get a thousand yard wide

00:56:08.639 --> 00:56:10.079
receiver because they've proven that they can

00:56:10.079 --> 00:56:12.300
be an absolute wagon on offense without one.

00:56:13.630 --> 00:56:16.909
But I'll be interested to see like again Do they

00:56:16.909 --> 00:56:19.929
have a X receiver? Do they have an outside guy

00:56:19.929 --> 00:56:22.070
that can step up? I don't care who it is They

00:56:22.070 --> 00:56:24.429
can step up this year and pull some of these

00:56:24.429 --> 00:56:26.269
these defenses out of man coverage against the

00:56:26.269 --> 00:56:30.130
bills, right? I Mean that brings me to one final

00:56:30.130 --> 00:56:35.469
question Does does Dalton concave prove his draft

00:56:35.469 --> 00:56:38.829
draft pedigree in this this season? I think so

00:56:38.829 --> 00:56:43.920
like I I think a lot of people He had such lofty

00:56:43.920 --> 00:56:46.880
expectations heading into year two. Diggs is

00:56:46.880 --> 00:56:49.599
gone. And I think we forget that before he got

00:56:49.599 --> 00:56:52.559
hurt, he was getting number one wide receiver

00:56:52.559 --> 00:56:55.440
coverage looks early on in the season. Like he

00:56:55.440 --> 00:56:57.239
was getting bracket coverage. He was getting

00:56:57.239 --> 00:56:59.800
double teamed. Like he was getting jammed at

00:56:59.800 --> 00:57:01.460
the line of scrimmage. Like people are taking

00:57:01.460 --> 00:57:03.960
advantage of the fact that he's a undersized

00:57:03.960 --> 00:57:06.539
tight end, right? But he was absolutely getting

00:57:06.539 --> 00:57:09.260
number one target type of coverage. And then

00:57:09.260 --> 00:57:11.510
he got hurt. Right. And he didn't fully recover

00:57:11.510 --> 00:57:14.130
from that. And then he ended the season on like

00:57:14.130 --> 00:57:16.789
a tragic note with that drop pass and the AFC

00:57:16.789 --> 00:57:20.210
championship game. And I think the combination

00:57:20.210 --> 00:57:23.469
of teams over emphasizing him early on to lock

00:57:23.469 --> 00:57:27.909
him out of the game plan and the lack of expectations

00:57:27.909 --> 00:57:30.789
management for him really left a lot of people

00:57:30.789 --> 00:57:33.489
sour on him. I think he's a good player. I like

00:57:33.489 --> 00:57:36.090
his athletic profile, and I absolutely think

00:57:36.090 --> 00:57:38.550
he's got the chops to be tight end one this year.

00:57:39.190 --> 00:57:40.969
What does tight end one look like on this team?

00:57:41.610 --> 00:57:46.010
I would take a 750 yards, six or seven touchdown

00:57:46.010 --> 00:57:47.969
season out of the kid, right? And I would say

00:57:47.969 --> 00:57:52.489
that's good for me. OK, yeah. I don't think it

00:57:52.489 --> 00:57:56.250
happens. And and that's not just being pessimistic.

00:57:56.329 --> 00:58:00.900
I'm just like, I don't understand what. About

00:58:00.900 --> 00:58:03.460
the Josh Allen Dalton Kincaid chemistry is so

00:58:03.460 --> 00:58:06.360
broken or was last year other than we know he

00:58:06.360 --> 00:58:07.739
was dinged up We know he was playing on probably

00:58:07.739 --> 00:58:10.679
two bad wheels that can change your timing that

00:58:10.679 --> 00:58:13.280
can make a huge impact I'm hoping that was so

00:58:13.280 --> 00:58:15.980
off with him. I'm hoping that was just it right

00:58:15.980 --> 00:58:20.000
like but if he has no reported injuries or reason

00:58:20.000 --> 00:58:23.079
for Whatever it is and they still look like Josh

00:58:23.079 --> 00:58:26.519
can't throw him a catchable ball at that point.

00:58:26.519 --> 00:58:30.159
I'm like what What is the problem here? Like,

00:58:30.300 --> 00:58:32.440
why can it not work? Because you can see it.

00:58:32.460 --> 00:58:34.579
You can see as a pass cutter how talented he

00:58:34.579 --> 00:58:36.119
is. You can see as a route runner how talented

00:58:36.119 --> 00:58:39.179
he is. If he can't connect with his quarterback,

00:58:39.480 --> 00:58:41.840
then I don't know where we go from there. So

00:58:41.840 --> 00:58:45.719
I'm very hopeful. But it seemed weird last year

00:58:45.719 --> 00:58:47.739
that even when he was healthy, they didn't seem

00:58:47.739 --> 00:58:50.300
to connect very often. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, we'll

00:58:50.300 --> 00:58:52.840
see. I think I'm higher on him having a bounce

00:58:52.840 --> 00:58:55.539
back year than you are. And I think a lot of

00:58:55.539 --> 00:58:57.820
Bill's fans have kind of written him off. But

00:58:57.820 --> 00:59:00.519
damn, man, that dude had a really good preseason.

00:59:00.960 --> 00:59:03.860
Like the blocking still is not all the way there.

00:59:04.280 --> 00:59:06.340
But Listen, that's not what we're paying the

00:59:06.340 --> 00:59:08.480
man to do. Right. Go go catch a couple of scene

00:59:08.480 --> 00:59:10.300
balls. That's that's why we draft. That's why

00:59:10.300 --> 00:59:14.579
I drafted. What was his name? Hayes Jackson Hawes

00:59:14.579 --> 00:59:18.380
Hawes Jackson Hawes, who is going to be targeted

00:59:18.380 --> 00:59:22.360
four times, but is going to play 700 snaps blocking

00:59:22.360 --> 00:59:24.960
as the Alec Anderson extra offensive lineman

00:59:24.960 --> 00:59:27.900
who could possibly get one, you know, like look

00:59:27.900 --> 00:59:31.260
out red zone, six, six, baby. We deserve it this

00:59:31.260 --> 00:59:34.079
year. Absolutely. Excellent. Cool, man. All right,

00:59:34.119 --> 00:59:37.030
listen. Enjoy the game this Sunday. Enjoy football

00:59:37.030 --> 00:59:39.269
generally being back. All right. And for all

00:59:39.269 --> 00:59:41.110
of you listening at home, like, share and subscribe

00:59:41.110 --> 00:59:43.010
wherever you get your podcasts. Take a look at

00:59:43.010 --> 00:59:45.630
our faces on YouTube. We are also on Apple and

00:59:45.630 --> 00:59:47.929
Spotify. And as always, go Bills. Go Bills.