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All right, Buffalo Brad podcast, we are in the championship round of these NFL playoffs

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and our Buffalo Bills have, you know, of course defeated the Baltimore Ravens at home in the

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divisional round to head to the inevitable.

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The train coming down the tracks, the enemy of destiny, Kansas City Chiefs, Patrick Mahomes,

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Andy Reed, Steve Spagnolo.

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And Dan, you lived you lived squarely in the middle of Nervous Mafia Town last last week.

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Where where you live in these days?

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I get more confident as the postseason goes on JJ for a couple of reasons.

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One, the Buffalo Bills have shown an incredible adaptability in each of their games, game

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planning, particularly on the defensive side of the ball for their specific matchup.

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They played a ton of dime, for example, against the Denver Broncos, and then they played a

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lot more base than we're used to seeing them play to really sell out and stop the run against

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Baltimore.

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And while Baltimore had success in the second half of that game and Jackson and Henry kind

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of found their groove, the Bills have found a formula defensively in this postseason JJ

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where they can take away what their opponent wants to do in enough consistent stretches

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to let the offense do their job and get the game script in their favor.

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So it's a formula JJ to me that feels like it's working and feels like it is reaching

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its peak efficacy as we roll into the matchup.

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We all kind of felt was inevitable a rematch with the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC championship.

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I hear you.

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And it's funny you mentioned, you know, the Buffalo Bills recipe for success is to play

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a conservative grain game script when they need to get ahead on the scoreboard bleed

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clock, you know, let the other team make mistakes, don't make mistake, play mistake free football.

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Josh Allen has played the most mistake free football season of any NFL quarterback since

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the merger in terms of the percentage of his total plays that result in something negative

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loss of yards, fumble, interception, et cetera.

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And so I think that that's absolutely part of it.

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And that may be the difference is Josh Allen's super clean play versus Patrick Mahomes who's

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had incredibly clean play, but only since the Bills game forward.

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Oh yeah, absolutely.

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And that was the difference in the Ravens game too.

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I mean, there's a lot of like, listen, the whole discourse leading into the Ravens game

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was so toxic online, the Lamar versus Josh stuff, the MVP talk.

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And then people are really trying to pin that loss on Lamar.

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Listen, the two turnovers in the first half were costly that Lamar had.

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But the reality is, is Lamar played lights out in the second half.

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Like he had that team on the precipice of tying the game.

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And how many times is Bills fans, if you want to remember?

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Have we been in that situation as we have experienced Josh's maturity arc where there's

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a there's a bad pitch and maybe the Houston game, there's a couple of picks against Kansas

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City, but then all of a sudden he turns it out at the right moment.

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That is just something and we forget how young Lamar is given how long he's been in the league.

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But that's just something that Lamar is going to figure out as he matures.

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The fact that he had the second half that he had, to me shows like the incredible skill,

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the incredible talent that's behind that dude.

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But it also showcased JJ, what you said, kind of like Lamar looking at what his future self

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could be and Josh and the way that he does not cost his team opportunities anymore to

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get six or get three or at the very least keep the opposing teams offense off the field.

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If you're a Ravens fan, you want to see the evolution that we have seen with Josh and

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Lamar and as a Bills fan, that evolution JJ to me is a reason why I feel.

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I can't believe I'm going to say this confident heading into the Chiefs game.

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These are two teams that have played historically clean football, particularly as you noted for

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the Chiefs playing a lot just figuring out the turnover thing since their last game against

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the Bills.

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But this has been a way of life for Buffalo all season.

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It's kind of like that Dark Knight Rises quote from Bane where you've only adopted the darkness.

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I was born into it.

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We have been born into this turnover free brand of football all season.

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And I still feel like as a result, there's some opportunities to force Casey into some

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bad habits that they experienced at the beginning of the season, particularly with some of the

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vulnerabilities they have on the offensive line.

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I think you might have the Bane quote a little twisted because I think Casey was born into

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it.

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The McStake free football has been since Tyree Kill was traded away.

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That has been their brand of winning.

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I think their brand of winning.

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All right, and I'm probably going to have to now go back and pull numbers on this and

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I feel a bourbon bet coming on.

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But I think with Casey, we've seen this a couple of times, particularly early on in

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their past two seasons, or I would even say the past three seasons, early on post Tyree

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Kill trade.

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We've seen Mahomes forcing things because he didn't know who necessarily to trust with

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the ball.

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Mahomes hasn't thrown a pick since that week 11 game against Buffalo, but he still has

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double digit picks and double digit turnovers this season.

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And it was the same thing last season and the same thing the season before.

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I think where I'm going with my analogy and the Bane quote is that the chief seem to have

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a gear when they can turn it on, right?

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And they can rise to every situation that has been thrown at them so far.

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But what we're seeing from the Buffalo Bills this season, as far as care for the football

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and on the flip side, reckless abandonment when going after the other team to try to

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turn it over, that to me is unprecedented.

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And that's something I don't think as good as Casey has been at taking care of the ball

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this year.

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I don't think they can replicate in this upcoming game or it'll be harder for them to replicate.

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Sure.

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Yeah, no.

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Okay, I get that.

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Yeah, I think that you're absolutely right.

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And that was the difference.

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And I think that will be the difference for the Casey game that was the difference for

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the Ravens, it will be the difference for the Casey game is which quarterback is able

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to maintain and sustain a drive at a critical moment to keep control of the ball in and

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play that super clean football.

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And then which defense is able to force things which either force the quarterback to make

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a decision, force, you know, a runner to cover up the ball because they're punching it, they're

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punching it out or attempting to.

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Those are the questions is which which kind of team is going to have more moments, individual

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moments because that's what this game is going to come down to just as the Ravens game did

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the, it was one by two, the Ravens missed two two point conversions and had had three

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other chances to score touchdowns ripped away from them by Bill Sternover.

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So it's going to be really about who makes the worst mistake last.

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Absolutely.

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I think it's going to be a, you know, I don't know that it's going to be a high scoring

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affair.

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This is going to be like Bill's throw Uno reverse and then Chief's throw Uno reverse.

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These are two teams that want to matriculate the ball down the field basically because

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of the way they play each other.

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And listen, Spags has been known for dialing up some really crazy Blitz packages.

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When it has come to Josh, his Blitz packages have had more efficacy in certain stretches,

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but overall less effectiveness throughout the course of the game because the way Josh

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is able to maneuver and adapt to the Blitz.

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This could very well be a game JJ where both and Mahomes is just, he feels like he's

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immune to pressure, right?

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Just so you can actually get the guy on the ground, like a lot of traditionally great

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passers, his pocket presence and his mobility in the pocket, his ability to throw off platform,

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like pressure just doesn't bother these two QBs in a lot of ways.

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Getting them on the ground, however, is a different story.

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So this is a game where I could really see potentially Spags just sitting back in zone.

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And even though that organic four man rush for Kansas City has been very weak this season,

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only 31st in overall efficiency when generating pressure from the four down linemen, I could

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absolutely see Spags maybe changing where some of that pressure is coming from, maybe

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dropping a line, maybe dropping the fourth linemen into coverage, having Chenal shoot

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the A gap.

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I mean, there's a there's a lot of ways that you can get some exotic confusing stuff with

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just four guys.

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And I could absolutely see Spags leaning into that because of his history against Josh

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and John's history against the Blitz.

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Well, I think you bring up a good point too, which is the four other than Chris Jones,

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the four down linemen are not going to they're not going to eat your lunch if you're a good

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offensive line.

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This is one of the best offensive lines.

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This is the best offensive line in the modern post drought era the bills have had in the

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season.

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And I think that one of the biggest things is Conor McGovern and Josh Allen's communication

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has to be on point, especially in a hostile environment, especially when it's loud to

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make sure their protections are right.

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Because I think you're absolutely correct in that spagnolo is going to lean on Leo

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Chenal on delayed Blitz or twist, twist stunts with down linemen.

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And he's going to he's might rely a little bit on Trent McDuffie coming out of the slot.

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And both of those individuals have top 10 at their position past rush win rates when

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coming from those those, you know, locations.

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So I think that, yes, the the down line for the the chiefs is really about control Chris

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Jones and you will, you know, control the game.

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I think Spencer Brown or Deon Dawkins can handle Carl Loftus one on one.

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They should.

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We've seen them handle better past rushers.

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But it's really going to come down to, you know, what what the bills can do in those

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key moments when that that twist or that fire, you know, from the slot comes if Spagnolo

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sends McDuffie and Josh doesn't have an answer with the ball immediately when that that shows

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up in his face.

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I think that's a that's a little bit of a downfall of everybody because, you know, I

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think that having as many targets as Josh has, he doesn't necessarily have Shakira,

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I guess in some regards is the no matter what I have that guy guy.

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But you know, as as these players develop in the system, hopefully one one emerges,

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that's like the third and Beasley, right?

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Like the third and Cole, where it's, you know that that guy is going to be in a good position.

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He needs his his Kelsey.

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Absolutely.

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And we thought his Kelsey was going to be concaved, but injuries and the development

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of people at the position is really kind of delayed that.

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I think you're absolutely right about McDuffie.

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And I think we have seen the Ravens run into this issue with Marlon Humphrey and the Broncos

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run into this issue with Patrick Sartain.

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You've got an elite cover corner, but you've got offense that is determined to spread the

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ball out.

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So what do you do with that elite cover corner, because chances are good, whoever you put

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him on, probably not getting the ball in that moment.

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And that's also probably not the person who can hurt you the most in that moment.

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I mean, I could honest to God, see a world.

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I mean, they've been playing McDuffie so much on the outside because of his his elite

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coverage abilities.

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I could absolutely see a world now that they have Watson back where McDuffie is in two

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positions glued to Shakira when Shakira is in the slot, because he is the closest thing

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that Josh has a go to in a release valve or a safety valve when he needs it and clutch

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moments.

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And when we're not in those moments, I could see a situation like you described where McDuffie

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is just rushing the passer as well.

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It'd be a unique way to use a DB, but at the end of the day, what this bill's offense

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tries to do is make you waste your best defensive weapon in the secondary.

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If Spags really wants to get crazy with it and show the bill something they haven't seen

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before, glue him to Shakira and then send him on the pass rush when Shakira when you

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don't think Shakira is a threat or when Shakira is off the field.

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Yeah, I think that that's, you know, it's an interesting twist and smart planning on

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Spagnolla's part.

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The good news is that if we've thought of it, likely Joe Brady has also thought of it.

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I would think so.

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Nothing is novel on this part.

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Exactly.

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But I think I want to like talk just for a moment about the, you know, the bill's offense

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and the way they're going to design this game plan, I believe is I think they're going

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to try, I think if they score on their first couple of drives, it's going to be a place

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election of like 30 runs to like seven passes.

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And it's going to be long plotting drives.

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I think that's, if that, if they can hit those, that's going to be the answer.

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If they can hit those and get a Kansas City punt in between them, look out world, we're

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coming right?

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Like that's, that's the recipe to get through this round because the chiefs, their run,

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I think you mentioned this before, their run efficiency early in the season was top 10,

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but it has absolutely tailed off in the latter half of the season.

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Dropped off a cliff.

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Yeah.

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And so, I mean, they were like fourth best when the bills met them in week 11 and they

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did poorly enough in the final remaining eight weeks of the season or seven weeks of the

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season to fall all the way to 11th, which you have to, you know, if you're a person

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who's ever had a GPA or anything like that, you have to really tank it to drop out a fourth.

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Absolutely.

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Yeah.

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Yeah, absolutely, dude.

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And I, you know, I think you're, I think you're correct.

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And I think that's the way the bills want to win, but that's also the way that teams

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have forced the bills to win over the past couple of seasons.

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They're like, we will invite you to run the ball.

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We are not going to let Josh and your wide receivers beat us over the top.

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Now the Buffalo Bills have an offense that is very suited to how defenses want to play

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them.

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And as a result of that, I too am expecting limited possessions in this game, unless there's,

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like we talked about a key turnover here or there that the bills or the chiefs can generate

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against the opposing unit.

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But I mean, listen, at the end of the day, I've been saying this all season and we talked

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about like, what does a bill's victory look like against the Ravens?

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I said, James Cook needed to have 20 touches.

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Ty Johnson probably has a touchdown, right?

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And all this other stuff.

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The reality is JJ, as much as I would love to see James Cook touch the ball 22, 25 times

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a game with the way this run game is built.

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And with this matriculation efficiency type of style built into this offensive scheme,

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the Buffalo Bills have an elite offensive line.

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And I would argue one of the best running back rooms in the league with what they can

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throw at teams.

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I think James Cook will obviously be a feature, but I think a part of the game plan here too

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is going to be feature all of those running backs and really wear down this KC team as

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the game goes on.

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Yeah, I would agree with that.

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And just I want, I need to throw some flowers at Ty Johnson's feet.

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He runs like a player who didn't get into the league as a low round draft pick and bounce

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around on people's practice squads and get caught and be on waivers.

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I just like, he just seems like such a talent every time he touches the ball.

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And he's the kind of player, the fact that he's the best pass blocking back they have

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and is in on all of those third downs means that you're, you're seeing him show up in

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all of these incredibly clutch moments, fourth downs as well.

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Like, like the pass to the back of the end zone against the Broncos, right?

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Like just wild, wild plays that he's in the center of.

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And it's clear that Josh Allen trusts him when it comes to throwing him the ball.

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And he also, you know, I mean, he iced the game with a first down run for 13 yards, which

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I thought I think it was exactly 13 yards.

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All right, JJ, let's flip it over to the offensive side, the defensive side of the ball for the

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Bills.

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First and foremost, what are you making of Xavier Worthy and his quote unquote personal

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vendetta against the Bills for passing on him in the draft in favor of Keon Coleman?

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Is there, is there any fire to that smoke?

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Can you even have that?

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Like, is that a thing?

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Yeah, I get that if you're a, you know, if you're a unanimous top five QB and the team

256
00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:06,960
trades out to pick somebody else or pick that you thought was going to pick you or they

257
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pick a different quarterback over you.

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Can you wait until the end of the round because you're the last QB like that's, that's

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00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:20,440
where I think that there's like a reasonable way to have a little bit of sauce on your,

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00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:22,880
you know, on your hate taco.

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00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:23,880
Worthy has none.

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Like he literally he the Bills, it's almost like he probably wasn't the top wide receiver

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on the board for every team.

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So that's why I think it's different.

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If this was Brian Thomas Jr. and the Bills were in prime position to pick him a unanimous

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top four wide receiver in the draft or Malik neighbors or Malik neighbors and they traded

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away from the opportunity to do so.

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Sauce that hate taco all you want.

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This one though, I don't know.

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It's weak sauce.

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Dude, you were at the end of the first round.

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There were three, four other viable options that were on everybody's big board at that

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point.

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You had Xavier Leggette still available, AD Mitchell still available, Keon Coleman and

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Worthy all still available at that point.

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Like it was not like to your point, Worthy was a clear cut up.

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The bills got to have them in that particular spot.

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The chiefs coveted him a lot.

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And I think the chiefs made the bills an offer that was very attractive for them in order

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to trade up and get him.

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But no one outside of the chiefs was coveting worthy in that way.

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They saw his value, just not his value at that particular spot.

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This is it's wild, dude, it's wild.

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But like this is what teams do.

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Andy Reed at the beginning of this whole press tour leading up to this game said, yeah, we're

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probably going to be the underdogs in this game.

287
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And that's fine.

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Like it's us against everybody.

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And this is just the shit that teams, players and coaches say to get themselves motivated.

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There is no greater motivator than no one believes in us.

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The chiefs by the way, open this thing is a one and a half point favorite.

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And that has gone up to two points and a lot of sports books since betting is open on this

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game.

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The chiefs are not underdogs in this game.

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It is wild to me that they continue to convince themselves that they are year in and year

296
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out when they are the reigning potential three times Super Bowl champions.

297
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That's just crazy to me.

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But this is the shit teams and players do.

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I don't I'm not reading anything into it, but I would also love to see Rizul Douglas

300
00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:24,320
and press man on Xavier worthy every time he's he's lined up against him and just put him

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in the ground.

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00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:31,640
Yeah, I'd like to see Rizul Douglas play Xavier worthy like Ligeria Snead played Terry

303
00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:34,680
Hill against the Dolphins last last offseason.

304
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,880
Just put him right on the ground every single time.

305
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:42,120
See if his if his release package is up to snuff as a rook.

306
00:18:42,120 --> 00:18:43,120
Yeah, absolutely.

307
00:18:43,120 --> 00:18:47,720
So yeah, I think that the injured there are interesting components of this bills defense

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00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:51,360
versus the the chiefs offense.

309
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A few of them.

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00:18:52,360 --> 00:18:58,040
So just like one quick note about the bills offense, Keon Coleman will have an opportunity

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00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:02,600
to try to match or or better Xavier worthy stats in this game, the stats don't matter,

312
00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:03,760
the wind matters, right?

313
00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:06,960
But Keon Coleman, I think probably has a chip on his shoulder to the bills, put a lot of

314
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:11,120
trust in him by trading out to get down there to get him.

315
00:19:11,120 --> 00:19:15,120
He seemed to be their target from the start of the trades and they made two of them.

316
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And so I do think that that this is an opportunity for him to step up.

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00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:24,840
And then to when we're talking before about Josh Allen having the guy, Dalton, Kate is

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00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:28,080
playing in this game and didn't play in the game prior, so that'll be an interesting

319
00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:29,080
component.

320
00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:33,840
But on the flip side of the ball, the bills will have Matt Milano and Trel Bernard, neither

321
00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,920
of whom they had last last season in this game.

322
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:40,520
Was Christian Benford also out in that matchup against the chiefs in the playoffs or was

323
00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:43,600
he in and Russell Douglas was just playing on like a busted knee.

324
00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:48,640
He was in that both Douglas and Benford were playing in that game if memory serves and

325
00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:50,480
Douglas was really banged up.

326
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He was not he was not 100% not even close to it.

327
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Okay.

328
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:56,160
Well, Bill's Mafia.

329
00:19:56,160 --> 00:20:00,520
It's the moment we've all been waiting for with the injury to tell a wrap holding him

330
00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:01,520
out for this game.

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00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:03,720
We're recording on Saturday the day before the game.

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00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:08,760
Micah Hyde will be putting on a headset and jacket and sitting on the sidelines coaching

333
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:10,240
Cole Bishop for the start.

334
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:11,960
Yes, absolutely.

335
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:14,640
And I, dude, Cole's going to have some opportunities.

336
00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:16,640
They're going to go after Cole, right?

337
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:21,840
Andy Reed and Patrick Mahomes and Matt Nagy, their offensive coordinator.

338
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They know how to target what they perceive as the opposing team's weak spot.

339
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:31,720
And I think back to that Nico that Nico Collins miscommunication in week five where Collins

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00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:36,960
just got behind everybody and it was Bishop's assignment to stay in front of them and took

341
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it to the house, right?

342
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:44,200
If I am Sean McDermott and Bobby Babbage, I am like keeling up that game film from Houston

343
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:47,800
being like, dude, this is what you can't let happen because they're going to try to get

344
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Hollywood Brown behind them.

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They're going to try to get Xavier worthy behind them.

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00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:55,480
And if you're Cole Bishop, you've got to let your speed and athleticism take over at that

347
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:56,480
point, right?

348
00:20:56,480 --> 00:21:01,800
And that's Taylor Rapp has been a really solid safety for us.

349
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:05,640
This is a moment that where I could see Cole Bishop's playmaking ability really factor

350
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:09,760
in, which is a lot of pressure to put on a rookie playing against Patrick Mahomes.

351
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But I believe this coaching staff can get him ready.

352
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:16,480
And listen, dude, this coaching staff has never had an athletic specimen like Bishop

353
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to work with against Patrick Mahomes.

354
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:23,960
I could actually see him used in some really, really, really important ways.

355
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:28,720
And I think that's that's one of the things too that, you know, if you're one of the benefits

356
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:34,080
to having two incredibly athletic kind of undersized as well as the description used

357
00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:40,400
often linebackers in Milano and Bernard is that you can do some switch stuff with safeties.

358
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:45,440
You don't have to send Milano to sugar the egg app and in threat and that blitz.

359
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:50,040
You can have Cole Bishop creeper up towards the line and go on a blitz and have one of

360
00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,600
them drop to the deep third.

361
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,760
And it's different opportunities to use them because I agree.

362
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,920
I think that we, we haven't even seen the tip of the iceberg of the ways that they could

363
00:21:57,920 --> 00:21:59,680
employ his usage.

364
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:06,600
I think the issue with his development this season is that Sean McDermott has said in

365
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,400
press availability in years past, usually in the off season when he's like a little bit

366
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:15,400
more open and candid that his defense is pretty complicated and it takes safety specific

367
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:19,920
specifically two to three years to be comfortable with it.

368
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:23,920
It's why we saw Dean Marlowe come back so many times early and Sean McDermott's coaching

369
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:27,880
tenure was because he was like one of the only guys in the literal world who understood

370
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:31,000
how to teach his peers that defense.

371
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:35,280
He was, you know, mostly a liability in coverage, but it was really just about like he knew

372
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:39,480
it top to top to bottom and was a good player coach in that room.

373
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:43,240
And that I think is why the bills, you know, signed Mike a hideback and that's because

374
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,800
they have Taylor Rapp is year two in the system.

375
00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:53,000
They have, um, DeMar Hamlin, who's year three or four, uh, in the system and in four because

376
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,640
DeMar Hamlin's I think is unrestricted free agent after this year.

377
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:56,640
Yep.

378
00:22:56,640 --> 00:23:00,120
And so they have a couple of people with some experience, uh, but it's really about making

379
00:23:00,120 --> 00:23:02,360
sure that Cole Bishop is ready for that moment.

380
00:23:02,360 --> 00:23:03,360
And I agree with you.

381
00:23:03,360 --> 00:23:09,040
I think that I worry a lot about this game because, um, Patrick Mahomes has been in the

382
00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:14,560
latter half of the season trying to push the ball down the field a lot more and it's,

383
00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:15,560
it's to worthy.

384
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:17,560
It's to Hollywood Brown in the last couple of games.

385
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:19,560
And then it's, it's to DeAndre Hopkins.

386
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:21,320
Um, Juju Smith Schuster is there.

387
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:25,440
I think he got like one target in the last game of 20 yards or more.

388
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,680
He has, he hasn't been effective of it, but I don't want this to be the game where all

389
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:30,560
of a sudden he is where the clicks, right?

390
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:31,560
Exactly.

391
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:36,320
And I have significant concerns about when Cole Bishop is in coverage shaded to the side

392
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:41,600
of the field that Russell Douglas is the primary corner because that's when he's been beat.

393
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,400
They've been beat on those seam balls like three times this season.

394
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:45,400
Yeah.

395
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:48,720
That's going to, it's going to be interesting to watch that alignment when it does come

396
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:53,920
up and you know that Reed and Mahomes are very well, well aware of that as, as well.

397
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:58,680
So I could absolutely see that communication and the importance of the communication between

398
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:02,040
your cornerback and your safety playing a huge role there.

399
00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:06,400
That's for some of that rookie jitters or the, the downside of playing a rookie could absolutely

400
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:07,760
come into effect.

401
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:12,280
JJ, let's close it out here before predictions with the talk about the bill's pass rush because

402
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:17,080
there are, there have been notable issues with this Kansas city offensive line.

403
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:21,760
They've moved Duneie and a lot of times over it to, uh, left tackle.

404
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:23,880
They have inserted Kaylee Endowicard.

405
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:29,240
Um, they have seen an improvement in their pass protection getting Joanne Taylor out

406
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:34,800
of that key left, left tackle spot, but their run game efficacy and their run game efficiency

407
00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:38,560
has taken a hit with Kaylee Endowin because he's just not the, he's not the greater that

408
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:39,680
Duneie is.

409
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:43,880
So JJ, what do you think the offensive line alignment for the chiefs is going to look

410
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:44,880
like?

411
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:51,240
And then where do you see some of the advantages for this bill's pass rush to get after Mahomes?

412
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,640
So I think that, um, I think they're going to keep tuning at left tackle.

413
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:57,200
I don't think, excuse me.

414
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:02,640
I think they, Humphrey's, I think is on, is a possibility, but no idea what they have

415
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:03,640
in that guy.

416
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:05,720
He played one game and that got hurt, right?

417
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:06,720
Yeah.

418
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:08,600
So, but he, I think he's, he's healthy again.

419
00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:13,440
So there's a chance you see him show up at, you know, um, at tackle, but I do think if

420
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:17,760
he's an unavailable or they just don't trust him in such a critical key moment, they're

421
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:19,280
going to have Humphrey left tackle.

422
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:24,480
It's, you know, one of the top five, top three, um, guards in the entire league.

423
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:28,520
And so they're going to have an opportunity to like lean on the guy they need because

424
00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:33,960
they deft desperately need protection from the exterior pass rush, the outside deese

425
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:37,760
from the bills, more than they do, um, from the interior pass rush.

426
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:42,600
Sadly, you know, um, Dequan Jones is not having the all pro level season.

427
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:45,080
He was having last season before he was hurt.

428
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:51,880
Um, and at Oliver has shown flashes, but only when he's in one on one matchups, he's not

429
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:53,920
been, you know, splitting double teams as much.

430
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:58,680
I will say though, he had, he hasn't been making huge splashes on the stat sheet, but

431
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,080
he has had an excellent post season that Oliver has to this point.

432
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:07,440
It's the kind of messy, gritty stuff that doesn't show up that on the, on the film or

433
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:08,440
it doesn't show up.

434
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:09,440
It shows up in the film.

435
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:14,200
It doesn't show up on the broadcast, but it's absolutely critical to keeping Matt Milano

436
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,920
and Terrell Bernard clean for a lot of their play.

437
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:21,800
And so for that, I think that there's a chance that, um, you know, we see at Oliver have

438
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:28,040
a nice game here, specifically if he has a matchup against, um, their, uh, their backup

439
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:32,960
guard, uh, whose name Kelly, I know Mike Kelly, I know.

440
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:33,960
Yeah.

441
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:36,040
Um, but yeah, DJ Humphries, I don't know.

442
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:37,640
He might go in at tackle.

443
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:44,480
Um, and if he does, I think that's a wonderful opportunity for either Greg Russo or, um,

444
00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:48,760
um, Tom Miller.

445
00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:49,760
Why am I blanking?

446
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:54,280
I'm just because, because Von has had very little impact for the bills since he was

447
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:55,280
signed.

448
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:56,280
He's so forgettable.

449
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:58,800
Um, and he probably no longer with the team after the season.

450
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:03,240
Well, and this is the kind of, this is the kind of moment where like, Von is, he cares

451
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,960
a lot about positively in like the universe and legacy and all this stuff.

452
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:12,560
Von, if you want your legacy to be established as a good pickup for the Buffalo Bills, make

453
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:17,320
two critical plays in this game and a Super Bowl, just two, doesn't even have to be a

454
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:21,120
full on sack, just forced to force the issue.

455
00:27:21,120 --> 00:27:25,760
Just push a runner outside in like, you know, an obvious situation where they had a crease

456
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:30,000
over your side, your side of the, the run fit and just, you know, force a negative play

457
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:31,000
that way.

458
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:36,840
Like just two, two good plays in this game and a future game, um, for the bills to, to

459
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:38,600
secure victories.

460
00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:41,120
And I don't think that even if he leaves this off season, people are people are going to

461
00:27:41,120 --> 00:27:45,000
probably say like, yeah, we overpaid, but they're not going to like, he's going to be

462
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:46,000
welcome back.

463
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:49,680
You get free wings if you ever, you know, Danes to come near Buffalo again.

464
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:50,880
Yeah, no, absolutely.

465
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:51,880
I agree.

466
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:59,360
Um, I, ah, dude, I would love to see more from this defensive line and the four down

467
00:27:59,360 --> 00:28:00,360
pass rush.

468
00:28:00,360 --> 00:28:01,360
I really would.

469
00:28:01,360 --> 00:28:06,840
Um, there were moments in that Ravens game where we were rushing for particularly in the

470
00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:11,120
second half because we just dropped everybody into zone because we were so afraid of Lamar

471
00:28:11,120 --> 00:28:14,440
like, you know, getting the 20 point touchdown and what have you.

472
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,860
But it was, listen, it was solid scheming defensively.

473
00:28:16,860 --> 00:28:19,960
That's the way you got to play at the end of a game, keep everything in front of you.

474
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:24,360
But man, that four man pass rush against the, against the Baltimore offensive line.

475
00:28:24,360 --> 00:28:25,640
I mean, it just got nothing.

476
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:26,640
It got nothing.

477
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:32,760
Um, and that was the moment in that game where it's like, oh yeah, our guys are really small

478
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:34,200
on the defensive line, right?

479
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:36,040
They really are undersized.

480
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:40,960
So that being said, you put a guy like Humphrey in, you put a guy like Duni in.

481
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:42,920
Um, that's where speed.

482
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:47,320
That's where the speed and the athleticism of some of these edge rushers could really

483
00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:50,960
potentially wreak havoc in Epinezza Miller, Andrew.

484
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:54,720
So, and that's what I'm going to be watching on the defensive side of the ball for sure.

485
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,120
And I want to see like, I want to see how Cole does.

486
00:28:57,120 --> 00:29:00,200
I want to see where Rizul Douglas is positioned, right?

487
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:05,640
He is him and Benford can be two really physical, uh, cornerbacks.

488
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:10,160
And we saw in week 11 where the bills played a lot more man against the chiefs and they

489
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,960
played a lot more press than they're used to seeing.

490
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:14,760
I, dude, I would dust that off again.

491
00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:16,040
I would dust that off again.

492
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:20,080
And I know Hollywood Brown is a bigger factor in the equation this time around, but I would

493
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:26,120
see if there is any continuation of success against these guys because worthy.

494
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:31,080
He is not a press beater and neither is Brown been throughout the course of his career,

495
00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:32,080
right?

496
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:35,520
And Hopkins as good as he is, he's not an elite separator and hasn't been for a few

497
00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:36,520
years.

498
00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:41,480
I think you can take your chances at man, if you really want to play some of that magnets

499
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:46,280
on to shut down Kelsey like we saw and see if the Kansas City Chiefs in between week

500
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:49,200
11 and now have come up with an answer for it.

501
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,680
When it really is, you know, that week 11, we described it in depth on the pod, but it

502
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:57,520
was really three down linemen replaced the fourth linemen with an extra DB have your

503
00:29:57,520 --> 00:30:00,160
two linebackers still on the field.

504
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:05,040
You know, so it's a dime coverage, uh, with six defensive backs, uh, two linebackers and

505
00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:07,360
three, three down linemen.

506
00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:11,200
It's the kind of thing where like when I was watching that Ravens game, I was like, why

507
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,840
are we even because they did what they did was they did the traditional dime where they

508
00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:20,320
dropped, um, they took a safe or I'm sorry, a linebacker off the field and replaced them

509
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,000
with a DB.

510
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:26,040
And so it was four down linemen linebacker and then six DBs.

511
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:27,720
Like why are we, why are we doing that?

512
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:28,720
Just got shredded.

513
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:30,360
Yeah, it's just not worth it.

514
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:34,520
And then the bills have also played a different dime where they keep linebackers in and take,

515
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:38,760
um, you know, they, they take the, the down linemen off in those situations when the three

516
00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:43,280
man organic pressure with this defensive line, you might as well take all of the defensive

517
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:48,520
linemen off the field because if it's a linebackers, well, if it's a passing situation, the, the

518
00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:52,480
offensive line can advance down the field anyway until the ball, you know, is in the hands

519
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:53,480
of somebody.

520
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:58,400
So yeah, you might get into trouble with a screen, but otherwise like freaking a third

521
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:00,840
and 25, take all of your defensive linemen off the field.

522
00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:04,960
It's probably because they just don't have enough capable, you know, DBs on the, on the

523
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:07,720
game day roster, but fill it with linebackers and DBs.

524
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:08,720
I don't care.

525
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,480
Like cause it's, that's how much effectiveness the bill's past rush has had when they're

526
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:15,680
overmatched five, five to four or five to three.

527
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:16,680
Love it.

528
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:17,680
Oh my God.

529
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:18,680
I love it.

530
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:19,680
All right, JJ.

531
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:20,680
Are you ready for some prediction?

532
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:21,680
Sure to go wrong on this one.

533
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,840
I mean, we didn't talk about the third most important phase of the game.

534
00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:28,600
Um, and that is not special teams, but it's refereeing.

535
00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:29,840
We'll get to that with my prediction.

536
00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:30,840
Sure to go wrong.

537
00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:32,040
I've got, I've got one for you.

538
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:33,040
I've got one for you.

539
00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:34,040
All right, JJ.

540
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:38,360
So as I mentioned, this line opened at one and a half, leaked up to two in favor of the

541
00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:42,360
Kansas City Chiefs has come back down to one and a half in a lot of sports books, but according

542
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:47,840
to DraftKings, it is in fact minus one and a half in favor of the Chiefs in Kansas City.

543
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:56,440
Over and around this game is 48 and a half JJ final score prediction.

544
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,560
So I'm, I'm, I am so hopeful.

545
00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:00,560
I'm so hopeful about this.

546
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:01,720
I'm so confident in this team.

547
00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:03,960
They're different than we've seen them this time.

548
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:04,960
It could be different.

549
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:10,480
I think it's a, um, that's one of our pod, you know, subtitles for a preview from a previous

550
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,320
I'm ready to be heard again.

551
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:13,320
Yeah.

552
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:14,320
Right.

553
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:15,320
Exactly.

554
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:19,320
So it's like this is the bills have, we're the only team during the regular season in

555
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:26,760
meaningful games to best this Chiefs recipe of mistake free football, causing other team

556
00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:30,320
to make mistakes and letting their refs push them over the goal line.

557
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:35,680
This, this game, I think is a chance for the bills to again put it out of the hands of

558
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:41,120
the refs to put it in a situation where the, the, you know, helpful calls, which are real

559
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:45,600
data points to, they are absolutely real, especially in the postseason, um, are not going

560
00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:47,720
to land at the feet of the Chiefs.

561
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:53,720
Um, I'm saying bills 31 because again, the bills are good at scoring over 31 points,

562
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:58,160
uh, over 30 points, 30 points or more, and the Chiefs have absolutely not.

563
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:05,600
They, I think they had one game where they got to 30, um, bills 31 Chiefs 24 go bills.

564
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:10,240
The bills were the only team to score 30 this season against this Chiefs defense when they

565
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:11,240
had their starters.

566
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:16,560
And I mean, the Broncos game at the end of the season, so it not, not a comparison point.

567
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:23,640
Um, that being said, if what holds true in our, our analysis is that these are the

568
00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:27,560
two teams are going to want to matriculate it and try to play mistake free football.

569
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:32,520
I see a lot of long drives, particularly hopefully for the Buffalo Bills offense.

570
00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:34,400
And I see just a limited amount of opportunities.

571
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:39,040
I mean, it really could be a situation where each team is getting three possessions, right?

572
00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:40,400
Three series and a half.

573
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,800
Um, unless again, turnovers factor in heavily here.

574
00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:51,120
Um, so I'm going to say bills, I'm going to say bills 24 Chiefs 20.

575
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:57,200
Um, I just think limited opportunities, the familiarity with both of these coaching staffs

576
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,680
have with what the other wants to do.

577
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:01,960
It lends itself to a very tense game.

578
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,460
I think a very well played game, but ultimately a pretty low scoring game.

579
00:34:05,460 --> 00:34:10,200
So I've got the bills obviously winning, but I also have the under on the point total.

580
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:11,200
Okay.

581
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:12,200
All right.

582
00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:13,200
All right.

583
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:14,200
What profits you got?

584
00:34:14,200 --> 00:34:15,200
All right.

585
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:16,200
Well, so let's get to the referees.

586
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:20,760
JJ over under one and a half sex by the Buffalo Bills.

587
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:24,640
Ever turned by a late roughing the passer call from these officials.

588
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:26,080
So you alluded to it.

589
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:31,940
Um, if you follow any of our socials, we have been spamming this narrative all week, attempting

590
00:34:31,940 --> 00:34:37,920
to gaslight the NFL officiating crew for this week into keeping that keeping their laundry

591
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:39,280
in their pockets.

592
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:46,480
But the Kansas City Chiefs JJ and 11 playoff appearances have benefited from the penalty

593
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,720
disparity 10 times.

594
00:34:48,720 --> 00:34:52,080
They have had less penalties than 11.

595
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:56,200
They have had less penalties 10 times 11 games than their opponent.

596
00:34:56,200 --> 00:35:02,000
They have also benefited from seven, seven roughing the pass recalls and those 11 games,

597
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:06,200
whereas their opponent has benefited from one.

598
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:11,720
Wild to think about in the era of quote unquote, protecting the QBs, but the Kansas City Chiefs

599
00:35:11,720 --> 00:35:18,680
somehow always seem to draw a favorable roughing the pass recall and also seem to defer responsibilities

600
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:22,560
to the possibility when they in due deed get a late head or rough the passer.

601
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:30,120
So JJ, that's my prop one and a half Buffalo Bill sex overturned by a roughing the passer

602
00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:31,320
call.

603
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:35,320
So I'm just like, again, I'm being hopeful I'm going to hit under, I think maybe one

604
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:37,280
because they're going to, they're probably going to get their due.

605
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:41,440
It's whenever people are like, Oh, the narrative about the Chiefs get all the calls is like

606
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:43,360
so bogus.

607
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:49,520
And like, sure, maybe it's just, it just happens to be a coincidence that all of the

608
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:55,880
data points to like them getting, you know, in 20 roughing the passers over turning sacks,

609
00:35:55,880 --> 00:36:01,200
you know, the opponent gets 18 and they get two, like, but that just, that looks like

610
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:02,680
a reasonable difference to me.

611
00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:06,600
That looks reportable in terms of, you know, statistical probability.

612
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:11,160
And so yeah, I'm going to say under, I think it's maybe, maybe one happens, but hopefully,

613
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:14,120
I mean, if two happens, then you know, the fix is in.

614
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:18,840
Yeah, I'm going to say, I'm going to say over, and there's a couple of reasons and none

615
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:22,240
of them are related to conspiracy theories.

616
00:36:22,240 --> 00:36:25,680
One, the Chiefs play a lot of playoff home games.

617
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:31,600
And the reality is, is that the home team just tends to statistically get the benefit

618
00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:32,600
of the call.

619
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:33,840
It just is what it is.

620
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:38,040
It happens in every sport happens in baseball, basketball and football.

621
00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:44,360
Two, Patrick Mahomes, who is like, not just because he beats the bills, I just find him

622
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,440
less and less likable every season.

623
00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:52,800
He plays this really snaky kind of like quarterback run game, and which he waits to the absolute

624
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:57,800
last moment ducking behind an offensive Lion man or a wide receiver until he finally decides

625
00:36:57,800 --> 00:36:58,800
to hit the ground.

626
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:03,440
And at that point as a defensive player, you're already in the tech leg motion, right?

627
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:09,600
But he absolutely stretches the limits of when a QB can go down and still draw that

628
00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:10,600
call.

629
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:11,600
It's sleazy to me.

630
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:13,000
I don't like it.

631
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:18,720
It has shades of Kenny Pickett's college football at pit, fake slide to to bait some defensive

632
00:37:18,720 --> 00:37:19,800
linemen to hold up.

633
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:20,800
I just hate it.

634
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:23,320
I hate the way he approaches it, but it works.

635
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:29,240
And until officials get on that train and understand that Mahomes is baiting this from

636
00:37:29,240 --> 00:37:33,400
a lot of teams and there's nothing the defensive player can do, I think ultimately it happens.

637
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:36,600
I and I could absolutely see it happening in this game.

638
00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:39,920
So I'm going to say over, I'm going to say two sacks get overturned because of roughing

639
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:40,920
the passer.

640
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:41,920
All right.

641
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,560
I mean, let's let's speak about those sacks.

642
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:50,840
If you have two sacks being overturned, my prop is the bills defense sacks Mahomes 1.5

643
00:37:50,840 --> 00:37:52,840
times or more over under.

644
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:55,000
I'm going to stand.

645
00:37:55,000 --> 00:38:00,800
I'm going to I'm going to take the under the bills just in the postseason have had zero

646
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:05,000
zero ability to sack Patrick Mahomes.

647
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:08,920
They do it great in the regular season, but in the postseason, dude is like unsacrable

648
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:10,760
for our squad for some reason.

649
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,760
That being said, I could see Teran Johnson recording a sack.

650
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:18,040
I could see Johnson shooting the gap like they like to use him a lot of times.

651
00:38:18,040 --> 00:38:21,600
I could see Milano even maybe getting one.

652
00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:26,720
But outside of that, I I'm so out on this edge group other than Rousseau.

653
00:38:26,720 --> 00:38:31,600
I have a hard time seeing someone in that traditional four defensive line set getting

654
00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:32,600
a sack.

655
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:35,960
I would love to be wrong, but this is the one thing that has proven true over the course

656
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:36,960
of the season.

657
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:39,080
The sack production has just been down for the defensive line.

658
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:43,200
Well, and I think too, with Rousseau specifically, I like him as a player too.

659
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:45,400
I think that's a good thing that the bills have him.

660
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:47,360
I'm interested in residing him.

661
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,480
He is not your premier pass rusher.

662
00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:51,160
He's not your TJ Watt.

663
00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:53,400
He's not your, you know, he's not the guy.

664
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:56,560
He's not your Max Crosby, the two players I want to trade for.

665
00:38:56,560 --> 00:39:04,680
Um, he's there to be an every down incredibly reliable run defender with an amazing length

666
00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:08,960
who tips balls at the line and then who occasionally has a burst where it's like, oh my gosh, like

667
00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:12,760
he just rocked that guy back on his heels and looped around for the sack of the sack

668
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:13,760
strip fumble.

669
00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:18,560
Um, yeah, he's he's the her big to somebody else's TJ Watt on this line and the bills

670
00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:19,800
still don't have that guy.

671
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:21,360
So I'm with you.

672
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:24,160
I I'm going to hit the under on the sacks.

673
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:29,920
I wanted I want to stick take the over, but if they get to I'm standing by my narrative

674
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:32,000
that one of the, at least one of them is overturned.

675
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,640
So yeah, yeah, absolutely.

676
00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:36,520
All right, JJ, I got one more for you.

677
00:39:36,520 --> 00:39:41,520
Cole Bishop over under half an interception.

678
00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:42,520
They're going to test him.

679
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:45,720
He's going to have the opportunity to make a play.

680
00:39:45,720 --> 00:39:53,080
Well, under under under under.

681
00:39:53,080 --> 00:40:00,800
I'll say under because I just if this was a different team and not my homes, I think

682
00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:04,760
that that like, I feel like if Cole Bishop was playing this entire game, he played the

683
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,360
you know, at least a half against the Ravens.

684
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:11,480
Um, but if Cole was just playing this entire game, was able to prepare all week like a

685
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:15,120
starter, I would say I could see him getting a interception against the Ravens or the Broncos

686
00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:16,120
or somebody else.

687
00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:19,680
I don't see him getting an interception in this one against my homes.

688
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:21,240
I just think that they're too careful.

689
00:40:21,240 --> 00:40:25,280
I think they are going to throw balls into his direction, but I just don't trust that

690
00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:30,080
his development as a rookie player is far enough along that he's like, it just seems

691
00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:33,720
he might drop an interception as far as I'm concerned, because like it's the kind of thing

692
00:40:33,720 --> 00:40:37,840
where like, I feel like having seen him play, he still looks like he's playing a little

693
00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:38,840
bit, hasn't it?

694
00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:42,960
He still looks like he's playing in his head, trying to remember his assignments.

695
00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:46,800
Um, and that's not players that usually get interceptions.

696
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:51,200
I'm going to say over because my heart is in this and Cole Bishop has been my, you know,

697
00:40:51,200 --> 00:40:54,200
my guy from the draft up until this moment.

698
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:57,400
And there are two things I would love to see happen in this game.

699
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,080
Can Coleman catch touchdown?

700
00:40:59,080 --> 00:41:00,880
Cole Bishop getting interception.

701
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:03,160
Bills win the Super Bowl or bills go to the Super Bowl.

702
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:04,400
That's what I want to see, man.

703
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:05,920
That's what I want to see.

704
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:08,640
Um, you brought up something interesting though.

705
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:12,520
Does the NFL just give the bills the Lombardi Trophy and cancel the Super Bowl for him in

706
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:13,520
this game?

707
00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:19,560
No, no, no, no, absolutely not the whole thing that Washington offense and I have been hesitant

708
00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:24,440
to give Cliff, Cliff Kingsbury has flowers, but you know, now I'm starting to think that

709
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:29,520
maybe having Kyler Murray, a QB who literally can't see over the line of scrimmage in Arizona

710
00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:32,560
to throw a deep ball, maybe had something to do with that.

711
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:34,400
That maybe that was the problem.

712
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:38,280
Maybe it wasn't Cliff after all, but, um, I think Washington's, I don't want to get

713
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:39,280
too far ahead of it.

714
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:43,520
Washington's got a real offense with real burners.

715
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:47,680
There are going to be a real problem for either the chiefs or the bills, whoever wins.

716
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:54,600
And then dude, I know Josh is like shredded Vic Fangio defenses before, but that Philadelphia

717
00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:59,800
defense, they got speed, they got athleticism, they're brutal against the run.

718
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,640
Jaylen Carter is a man amongst boys.

719
00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:07,240
Not neither of the, anybody who is saying the winner of this AFC championship is going

720
00:42:07,240 --> 00:42:09,160
to be a cakewalk in the Super Bowl.

721
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:10,600
They're not watching enough football.

722
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:13,280
Those are two really good teams on the other side in the NFC.

723
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:14,880
Yeah, I would agree with that.

724
00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:19,200
I think that, um, it's, uh, it's an interesting, it's interesting to see where we would be

725
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:20,880
at the end of this weekend.

726
00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:26,640
Um, if the bill should advance, gosh, I don't know who I, who I fear more actually.

727
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:32,080
I think I prefer Washington because of the stomach dermatability against a rookie quarterback.

728
00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:33,080
Yeah.

729
00:42:33,080 --> 00:42:36,080
And that defense is playing punch and way above its weight class for sure.

730
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,560
A lot of veteran guys that are stabilizing it.

731
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:43,600
I will say another prediction, sure to go wrong if the bills win, uh, and they, and their

732
00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:47,200
opponent is Philly, I would say the spread on that is probably one and a half in favor

733
00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:48,200
of the bills.

734
00:42:48,200 --> 00:42:51,960
And then if the commanders win in the bills, when I would say the bills are probably like

735
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:56,360
a four and a half, five and a half point favor, maybe reason I don't want Philly to win if

736
00:42:56,360 --> 00:42:59,440
the bills win or Philly to win then the bills win.

737
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:04,440
Um, is the Philadelphia Eagles are the only NFC team that hasn't beaten the bills in the

738
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:05,440
Super Bowl.

739
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:11,560
And that feels like just testing fate to be like, Oh, let's, let's go for the sweep

740
00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:12,560
guys.

741
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:13,560
Let's sweep NFC.

742
00:43:13,560 --> 00:43:15,280
Yeah, like that would be really anxious about that.

743
00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:16,280
I really would.

744
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:21,040
Plus, plus the run game is shown to be something that the bills would really struggle to stop.

745
00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:22,040
Right.

746
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:23,040
Right.

747
00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:24,040
We're talking dangerous, man.

748
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:25,040
We're talking dangerous.

749
00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:26,040
We're getting way ahead of ourselves.

750
00:43:26,040 --> 00:43:27,040
We got to stop it right here.

751
00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:28,040
All right, y'all.

752
00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:29,040
Thanks for joining us today on this wonderful Saturday.

753
00:43:29,040 --> 00:43:34,360
Prior to the game game, get our game day as always, like, share and subscribe or ever

754
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:35,360
get your pods.

755
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,680
Google Apple Spotify, YouTube and as always, go bills.

756
00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:49,480
Let's kick that thing out.

757
00:43:49,480 --> 00:44:02,020
Go Gãos.

758
00:45:02,020 --> 00:45:04,020
You

