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Welcome back to the Buffalo Bread podcast.

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Here we are on week 18 and I apologize to everybody

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that we did not record last week.

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Happy New Year, we're in the New Year.

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And 2024 was the year of general,

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deathly ill sickness for the entire family under my roof.

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And this is the struck again.

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You know, I was counting it up and my young son

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has had four double ear infections, RSV, COVID,

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the flu and several colds just from August 5th to present.

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And so we were down low again on the injured reserve list

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for the last couple of weeks.

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So thank you all for your patience.

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And we're glad to be with you here this week to preview

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what can only be described as a preseason game

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for the Buffalo Bills and then look forward

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into the wildcard weekend and what that might

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spell for our beloved bills.

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Dan, tell me you're healthy

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because I need some good...

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I mean, I'm not sick.

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I don't know if my doctor would say I'm healthy

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but I'm definitely not sick.

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Man, shout out to Theo, little guy toughen it out.

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So he's in daycare, right?

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Yeah, dude.

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It's an incubator.

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I sent both of my kids to daycare, right?

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But by kindergarten, germs are gonna bounce off the kid,

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right?

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Unfortunately, you and your wife, given your age,

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like me and my wife experience,

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your immune systems won't benefit

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from that type of exposure.

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You're just gonna get sicker as you get older

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because of the kid.

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But the kid is gonna be impervious to germs pretty soon.

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Yeah, he's gonna be a walking antibody.

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It's gonna be great.

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I'll take all of it as long as he's good.

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He will be.

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He's definitely gonna be good.

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I wouldn't sweat it.

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Yeah, man, we got some catching up to do though.

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So I'm happy to report very briefly

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that one Brandon Bennett, friend of the pod,

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not friend of the bills,

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loved his time with Bill's mafia.

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Awesome.

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Dude, we hit Hammerslot.

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We hit a bunch of different tailgate spots.

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I've never seen anyone,

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and I've brought fans from opposing teams

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to those games before.

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I've never seen Bill's mafia embrace

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an opponent's fan in the way I saw them embrace Brandon.

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He just, we were carrying around a bunch of blue lights

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and we were shotgunning beers as a way to like,

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ingratiate ourselves to whatever crowd we were with.

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So I mean, we went through,

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must have gone through like a 30 rack or something like that.

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It was absolutely incredible.

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He loved it.

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He also found some of his people,

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not a lot of Pats fans out for this particular game,

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but he did find some of his people.

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And dude, it was a nail biter.

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It was a nail biting game.

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And I don't, it was a surprisingly good game

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for what was thought to have been a blowout,

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even by Brandon, the Pats fan, the resident Pats fan.

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40 to six, they weren't gonna score a touchdown,

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that's what I'm saying.

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I know, and then when he,

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we were texting while you guys are in the stadium

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about the, at the midpoint of being 14 nothing Patriots.

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And I was like, this is icky.

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Hang on, you and Brandon have your own text chain?

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No, you're replacing me?

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On ours, you're on the chain, man.

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You just weren't paying attention.

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Oh, I probably wasn't just paying attention.

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I mean, let's go back to the part

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where I said we shotgun 30 beers.

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Right.

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I probably wasn't paying attention.

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You may not have been in the state of mind

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to read at that point.

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Definitely not.

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That's fine, no worries.

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But yeah, I love that for him to be,

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and also, yes, Bill's mafia is wonderful.

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We both know this.

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Brandon is also, I can say this,

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a relatively likable guy from anybody's outgoing

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and charismatic, so I think that helps for sure.

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Oh, absolutely, yeah.

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He was in his element, let me tell you.

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If Bill's mafia could have adopted Brandon

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as like a spirit animal that day, they would have.

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So yeah.

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It's a great time though.

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Token Patriots.

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It was a great time of the game, that's for sure.

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And to your point about the Patriots fans

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not being present at the game,

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they all, a vast majority of Pat's Nation,

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not Brandon, but others,

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they hung up their Brady jerseys

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and then put on their Mahomes jerseys in like 2019.

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Are you calling Patriots fans, fair weather fans?

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Oh yes, absolutely.

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The same as the magnificent proliferation

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of Chiefs fans on both coasts of the United States.

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Of this nation and all over the world.

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It's just how it goes.

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Like every generation has had a team that gets super hot

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and people come out of the woodwork,

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oh yeah, I'm totally a Patriots fan.

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Oh yeah, I'm totally a Chief fan.

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Even now, I'm totally a Bill's fan.

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There are Bill's mafia wagoners for sure.

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Oh, absolutely.

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But for those of you in Patriots Nation,

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I'm happy to report there is no one more Boston than Brandon

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and he is for sure never straying

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from the path of the New England Patriots.

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And he's not, dude, he saw a lot to like with Drake May,

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the guys the Bill's are gonna be facing this week.

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But before we talk about the future of one franchise,

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shall we talk about the past of another?

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Shout out to the New Jersey Jets,

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oh and two against the Bill's this year.

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And Aaron Rodgers just looking worse

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with every subsequent game.

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Listen, I don't wanna spend a whole lot of time

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on this Jets game.

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I don't know that there's a lot to take away

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other than that is a franchise that needs to tear it down

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and rebuild it.

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And I don't think Rex Ryan is the guy.

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Do you?

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He's lobbying hard for that job, man.

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I don't think Rex Ryan is the guy.

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And it may be worthwhile for Woody Johnson's teenage son

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to rebuild it in Roblox or something

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and then see how that looks.

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God, that's awesome.

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Because of the news that came out

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that they snubbed a Cortland Sutton trade

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because Woody Johnson's son said his Madden rating

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wasn't very high.

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Which is just like.

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It was the Judy trade.

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It was the Jared Judy trade.

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Oh, it was Jared Judy.

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I thought it was Cortland's.

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I got the wrong Denver receiver.

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But it's just like, everything I hear about that franchise

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just makes me feel worse and worse for all

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of the Jets fans out there,

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the long suffering Jets fans and longer every day.

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There was a lot of quitting that team.

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I was watching that game and like the first couple

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of drives kind of went as we had predicted

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on our social medias, which is listen,

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Rogers is going to dink and dunk.

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He's going to find soft spots in the zone.

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Despite his like decrepit age and ability,

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he's still good enough to do that

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against an average NFL defense,

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which is what the bills are purely average

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and defense at this point.

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But the bills have a D did what it always does,

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get got turnovers.

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And after those first two drives,

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end of the way they did for the Jets,

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you could tell that team was ready to leave.

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Sauce Gardner said as much, he's like,

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listen, we're not going to the playoffs

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and there's definitely guys not giving it their all.

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I'm like, am I right?

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Yeah.

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Honesty.

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Honesty out of sauce.

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All right.

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All right, condiment.

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Well, so the thing that I'll say is like watching that game

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and I noticed watching the Jets game,

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there are two reasons that teams get chippy.

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And like one is like sincere hatred.

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I do think that there's some animosity

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between the Jets and the bills just because

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their confidence opponents to see each other,

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if Deondock and Squawkin and talking crap,

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which we all love.

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And so there is a little bit of that,

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but the two base reasons that teams will get chippy,

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one is that they're highly competitive

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and dislike each other.

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The second is that one team is so outmatched

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that it hates itself.

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And I think that's what we saw.

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The Jets players squawking after plays

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and getting in people's faces was their frustration

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at how abysmally their season went.

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A season of destiny where national pundits

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were saying that they were gonna take the East from the bills

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and go to the playoffs and break their playoff drought.

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And here they sit at three and 13,

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are they three and 13, four and 12?

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They're four and 12.

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I think they're four and 12, yeah.

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So yeah, to have three times as many losses

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as wins on a season where they were supposed

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to be contending for a Super Bowl is,

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they were fighting because they were mad at themselves

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just as much as they were mad at the bills.

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Yeah, I mean, what is attractive about this job?

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Like I really do wonder.

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It feels like Garrett Wilson is gonna be

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the next wide receiver to ask for a trade this off season.

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He just seems really discontent with that franchise

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and how things are going.

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You've got Quentin Williams,

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you've got Will MacDonald,

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who has shown out this year as a really good edge.

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You've got Jermaine Johnson,

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depending on how healthy he comes back.

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DJ Reed is already like, yep, I'm testing free agency.

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I mean, you don't have a quarterback, right?

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You may not have a wide receiver one,

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depending on what the team does with Wilson and Adams.

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What's attractive about this job

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other than it is one of 32, right?

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Like you could have said that

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about the Panthers job last year,

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but I would argue the Panthers at least at the time,

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they had a young QB, a pretty young defensive core,

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some stuff to build around, right?

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And then adequate draft capital and cap space.

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I mean, what are the Jets really have?

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Christian Gonzalez, I don't know.

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The Jets don't have anything.

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So the problem is, I think the biggest problem

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when you're a head coach looking for a position

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is you want to know that the front office is unified

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to let you do what you need to do to build a winner.

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And this team doesn't have that.

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They don't have strong leadership.

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They don't, I mean, I don't know

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that their owners even care about football really,

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like, because they don't seem to understand

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how to pick the right people to do the thing.

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And it even shows in their like weird, you know,

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getting a former GM to lead a search to find a new GM

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seems like a very strange approach.

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There's a reason that, yeah.

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Well, that's what I'm saying is there's a reason he's no,

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it's the reason it'd be like,

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oh, somebody even said this on X, you know,

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it's like having your ex-wife pick your new wife.

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Like that's, there's a reason that person

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might not have your best interest in it at heart.

265
00:10:03,060 --> 00:10:05,540
And it just seems, they're just silly.

266
00:10:05,540 --> 00:10:07,540
They just do Jetsian things all the time

267
00:10:07,540 --> 00:10:09,700
and poor, poor, long suffering Jared.

268
00:10:09,700 --> 00:10:11,460
I feel bad for him every time I see anything

269
00:10:11,460 --> 00:10:12,540
in the news about them.

270
00:10:12,540 --> 00:10:15,180
Oh God, thoughts and prayers for Jared, man.

271
00:10:15,180 --> 00:10:16,340
Like this season.

272
00:10:16,340 --> 00:10:18,500
But it went exactly the way he predicted it.

273
00:10:18,500 --> 00:10:20,420
I think of our friends of the pod,

274
00:10:20,420 --> 00:10:23,620
Brandon pretty much nailed the Pat season at this point.

275
00:10:23,620 --> 00:10:25,740
And as much as he enjoyed watching Drake May play,

276
00:10:25,740 --> 00:10:28,420
he's still like Drake May got the hell beat out of him

277
00:10:28,420 --> 00:10:30,940
this year, please leave him alone in week 18.

278
00:10:30,940 --> 00:10:32,060
Please don't play him.

279
00:10:33,540 --> 00:10:35,220
Jared nailed the Jets.

280
00:10:35,220 --> 00:10:37,780
Steve was the only one that was way, way off

281
00:10:37,780 --> 00:10:38,620
on his prediction.

282
00:10:38,620 --> 00:10:42,340
He screamed from the mountain tops, dolphin super bowl.

283
00:10:42,340 --> 00:10:45,460
Now in fairness, they still have a chance to squeak in,

284
00:10:45,460 --> 00:10:47,300
which we'll talk about here as we talk about

285
00:10:47,300 --> 00:10:49,420
potential bills opponents and the scenarios

286
00:10:49,420 --> 00:10:52,060
that they need in order to get a seven seed.

287
00:10:52,060 --> 00:10:56,820
But yeah, man, out of all of the coaching vacancies,

288
00:10:56,820 --> 00:11:00,420
this feels like the most full rebuild right now.

289
00:11:01,660 --> 00:11:05,300
Even if Jared Mayo gets canned in New England,

290
00:11:05,300 --> 00:11:07,740
you've got Christian Gonzalez on the defensive side.

291
00:11:07,740 --> 00:11:10,420
You've got Drake May on the offensive side.

292
00:11:10,420 --> 00:11:12,900
You've got a trio of young receivers

293
00:11:12,900 --> 00:11:14,700
that you can kind of do some stuff with.

294
00:11:14,700 --> 00:11:18,220
If you sign like a T Higgins, you've got cap space.

295
00:11:18,220 --> 00:11:19,780
You really just got to fix the offensive line

296
00:11:19,780 --> 00:11:20,860
in the pass rush.

297
00:11:20,860 --> 00:11:23,780
And that's a competitive team right away.

298
00:11:23,780 --> 00:11:27,460
The Jets, again, other than being one of 32,

299
00:11:27,460 --> 00:11:30,820
I mean, they seem very, very unattractive,

300
00:11:30,820 --> 00:11:32,540
particularly for a lot of the top candidates

301
00:11:32,540 --> 00:11:35,020
that are out there in Ben Johnson and Mike Rable.

302
00:11:35,020 --> 00:11:36,660
So I don't know, man.

303
00:11:36,660 --> 00:11:38,820
And now I realize that I said Christian Gonzalez

304
00:11:38,820 --> 00:11:41,820
when we were talking about the Jets, he's on the Patriot.

305
00:11:41,820 --> 00:11:42,660
Yeah.

306
00:11:42,660 --> 00:11:43,500
That's okay.

307
00:11:43,500 --> 00:11:45,380
You said at the very beginning of this,

308
00:11:45,380 --> 00:11:47,220
you have been illness addled.

309
00:11:47,220 --> 00:11:48,820
So it's so difficult for sure.

310
00:11:48,820 --> 00:11:50,620
Definitely have the flu right now.

311
00:11:50,620 --> 00:11:52,860
Let's be honest, other than the bills this season,

312
00:11:52,860 --> 00:11:55,060
all these AFC East teams kind of blend together

313
00:11:55,060 --> 00:11:56,180
with the same problems.

314
00:11:56,180 --> 00:11:57,180
Yeah, they do.

315
00:11:58,060 --> 00:11:58,900
They do.

316
00:11:58,900 --> 00:12:03,620
And, you know, we can roast Steve for his dolphins

317
00:12:03,620 --> 00:12:06,460
in the Super Bowl take if they get eliminated this weekend.

318
00:12:06,460 --> 00:12:07,580
But I think they're the only team

319
00:12:07,580 --> 00:12:08,940
that even looks differently.

320
00:12:08,940 --> 00:12:10,660
You know, they look competitive,

321
00:12:10,660 --> 00:12:13,220
but definitely the Jets and Patriots look,

322
00:12:13,220 --> 00:12:16,300
basically you just change the logos and I'm like, oh, okay.

323
00:12:16,300 --> 00:12:18,420
But I do think that there's so much more to see

324
00:12:18,420 --> 00:12:22,660
from the Patriots going forward than the Jets.

325
00:12:22,660 --> 00:12:23,860
The Jets are a mess.

326
00:12:24,940 --> 00:12:28,340
And I do think that talking about this weekend's

327
00:12:28,340 --> 00:12:30,220
upcoming matchup with the Patriots,

328
00:12:30,220 --> 00:12:34,580
should the bills win, bills backups win against the Patriots,

329
00:12:34,580 --> 00:12:36,420
the Patriots have locked in the number one

330
00:12:36,420 --> 00:12:38,140
overall pick in the draft,

331
00:12:38,140 --> 00:12:42,060
which if they trade even down to the second overall pick,

332
00:12:42,060 --> 00:12:45,580
could be worth like three number second round picks.

333
00:12:45,580 --> 00:12:46,420
Actually.

334
00:12:46,420 --> 00:12:47,380
Yeah, absolutely.

335
00:12:47,380 --> 00:12:49,340
That's the kind of ammunition you could use

336
00:12:49,340 --> 00:12:52,380
to rebuild an entire franchise in one draft.

337
00:12:52,380 --> 00:12:53,700
Oh yeah, for sure.

338
00:12:53,700 --> 00:12:57,020
If you feel like you got the right player personnel

339
00:12:57,020 --> 00:12:58,860
manager in there, which again,

340
00:12:58,860 --> 00:13:01,020
I don't think the Patriots know that they have.

341
00:13:01,020 --> 00:13:02,580
I mean, honestly, if I'm the Pats,

342
00:13:02,580 --> 00:13:04,060
what is stopping you from going out

343
00:13:04,060 --> 00:13:05,540
and hiring like a Lewis Riddick,

344
00:13:05,540 --> 00:13:08,220
who's had a really good run in this league?

345
00:13:08,220 --> 00:13:11,580
And then, or, you know, back up the Brinks truck

346
00:13:11,580 --> 00:13:14,940
for Mike Vrable, hope that he can,

347
00:13:14,940 --> 00:13:19,420
with his vast experience, hire the right offensive mind

348
00:13:19,420 --> 00:13:21,380
to work with Drake May,

349
00:13:21,380 --> 00:13:23,700
and then let him pick his GM of choice.

350
00:13:23,700 --> 00:13:25,660
I mean, at least be aligned, right?

351
00:13:25,660 --> 00:13:27,180
Like Kyle Shanahan.

352
00:13:28,540 --> 00:13:30,260
Oh God, now I'm gonna blank on it.

353
00:13:30,260 --> 00:13:32,260
Who's the, is it John Lynch?

354
00:13:32,260 --> 00:13:33,500
Who's the GM?

355
00:13:33,500 --> 00:13:34,860
John Lynch for the Broncos?

356
00:13:34,860 --> 00:13:35,700
Yeah.

357
00:13:35,700 --> 00:13:37,540
No, the GM for the 49ers.

358
00:13:37,540 --> 00:13:38,380
I think it's Lynch.

359
00:13:38,380 --> 00:13:39,860
Oh, is John Lynch the 49ers GM?

360
00:13:39,860 --> 00:13:41,580
Yeah, I'm almost positive it is, yeah.

361
00:13:41,580 --> 00:13:44,340
Former DB and big hit master, John Lynch?

362
00:13:44,340 --> 00:13:46,020
Yeah, that guy, yeah.

363
00:13:46,020 --> 00:13:48,980
So I don't know, we'll see, we'll see.

364
00:13:48,980 --> 00:13:50,860
But enough about talking about what's gonna happen

365
00:13:50,860 --> 00:13:52,900
in the off season with these teams that have been eliminated.

366
00:13:52,900 --> 00:13:54,740
We're gonna have plenty of time to do that.

367
00:13:54,740 --> 00:13:57,380
JJ, the bills do have a week 18 game,

368
00:13:57,380 --> 00:14:00,260
which they are more or less looking like

369
00:14:00,260 --> 00:14:02,180
they're going to treat as a buy.

370
00:14:03,260 --> 00:14:07,180
Josh Ailin will start in a very, very limited capacity

371
00:14:07,180 --> 00:14:10,220
to continue his consecutive start streak.

372
00:14:10,220 --> 00:14:13,020
And then I would imagine after the first series,

373
00:14:13,020 --> 00:14:15,260
we're gonna see a lot of the starters pulled

374
00:14:15,260 --> 00:14:18,140
and get some rest as they gear up for whoever

375
00:14:18,140 --> 00:14:21,420
their wild card matchup is gonna be.

376
00:14:21,420 --> 00:14:23,820
JJ, I don't know that there's a lot of value

377
00:14:23,820 --> 00:14:26,060
in talking about keys to victory

378
00:14:26,060 --> 00:14:28,700
because I think both teams are probably in a place

379
00:14:28,700 --> 00:14:31,300
where they're gonna rest some of their injured starters.

380
00:14:31,300 --> 00:14:32,860
Bills with a look on the playoffs,

381
00:14:32,860 --> 00:14:35,340
Patriots with a look on next season.

382
00:14:35,340 --> 00:14:37,340
What are you expecting out of this game?

383
00:14:39,060 --> 00:14:41,500
I do expect Josh Ailin, there's three things

384
00:14:41,500 --> 00:14:43,540
that I think they were talking about pre-pod

385
00:14:43,540 --> 00:14:45,940
when we're getting ready to record

386
00:14:45,940 --> 00:14:47,380
that I think the bills are mindful of.

387
00:14:47,380 --> 00:14:50,980
They say that this week is we're trying to go one and O.

388
00:14:50,980 --> 00:14:52,620
We don't care about this, we don't care about that.

389
00:14:52,620 --> 00:14:54,940
But I do think they of course care about the start streak

390
00:14:54,940 --> 00:14:56,460
because McDermott has said as much,

391
00:14:56,460 --> 00:14:58,060
Josh Ailin has said as much.

392
00:14:58,060 --> 00:15:01,300
Currently Josh Ailin is 13th on the NFL

393
00:15:01,300 --> 00:15:04,500
all-time quarterback start streak list.

394
00:15:04,500 --> 00:15:07,580
And he's behind three Tom Brady seasons,

395
00:15:07,580 --> 00:15:09,980
three streaks that Tom Brady accomplished.

396
00:15:09,980 --> 00:15:13,060
Tom Brady holds the 10th, 11th, and 12th positions

397
00:15:13,060 --> 00:15:15,380
on the list with streaks of 110,

398
00:15:15,380 --> 00:15:17,260
Josh Ailin's current streak 111,

399
00:15:17,260 --> 00:15:18,500
and 112.

400
00:15:18,500 --> 00:15:19,980
The thing that I think will be most funny

401
00:15:19,980 --> 00:15:22,060
is with this being the last regular season,

402
00:15:22,060 --> 00:15:23,900
because that's only talking about regular season,

403
00:15:23,900 --> 00:15:26,820
games in a row, with this being the last regular season

404
00:15:26,820 --> 00:15:30,060
game of the year, Josh Ailin will move up

405
00:15:30,060 --> 00:15:35,060
to tie Tom Brady at 11 with 111 with a start this weekend,

406
00:15:35,180 --> 00:15:37,020
and split up that block.

407
00:15:37,020 --> 00:15:39,180
So Tom Brady will be like 10th,

408
00:15:39,180 --> 00:15:42,500
tied with Josh Ailin for 11th, and then 12th and 13th.

409
00:15:42,500 --> 00:15:47,460
And so it's going to be an interesting thing,

410
00:15:47,460 --> 00:15:49,620
but that's gonna put Josh Ailin next season,

411
00:15:49,620 --> 00:15:54,620
could get all the way up to on the list with Joe Flacco

412
00:15:55,700 --> 00:15:58,660
being holding the streak of 122 games.

413
00:15:58,660 --> 00:16:01,380
And so it's an exciting time, I think they're gonna do that.

414
00:16:01,380 --> 00:16:03,140
That's one of the stats I think they're gonna be mindful

415
00:16:03,140 --> 00:16:07,180
of the second one is that James Cook is 19 yards away

416
00:16:07,180 --> 00:16:10,660
from two consecutive thousand yard rushing seasons.

417
00:16:10,660 --> 00:16:12,540
And so I think they're going to be thoughtful of that

418
00:16:12,540 --> 00:16:15,620
potentially, depending, I mean, if James Cook has anything

419
00:16:15,620 --> 00:16:19,020
going on medically, they'll sacrifice that particular

420
00:16:19,020 --> 00:16:22,020
statistical output for making sure he's healthy

421
00:16:22,020 --> 00:16:23,900
for the playoffs, but if he's good to go,

422
00:16:23,900 --> 00:16:26,180
I think that you might see Josh Ailin and the starters

423
00:16:26,180 --> 00:16:29,540
on offense get the first couple series with three, four,

424
00:16:29,540 --> 00:16:32,340
five, six handoffs to James Cook to try to get him

425
00:16:32,340 --> 00:16:33,700
those last 20 yards.

426
00:16:33,700 --> 00:16:34,540
Absolutely.

427
00:16:34,540 --> 00:16:39,540
And I would the third, just that third one is most different

428
00:16:39,540 --> 00:16:42,900
or most unique players on a team to catch a touchdown

429
00:16:42,900 --> 00:16:45,380
in a season, the bills are tied with a bunch of other teams

430
00:16:45,380 --> 00:16:49,140
for 13, if they get a 14th player, a passing touchdown

431
00:16:49,140 --> 00:16:51,820
in this game, which is likely given that all backups

432
00:16:51,820 --> 00:16:54,900
will be playing that they would set an NFL record

433
00:16:54,900 --> 00:16:56,020
for a season.

434
00:16:56,020 --> 00:16:58,220
So let's do prediction sure to go wrong.

435
00:16:58,220 --> 00:17:00,220
Who is number 14?

436
00:17:00,220 --> 00:17:02,580
Has Reggie Gilliam caught one yet this year

437
00:17:02,580 --> 00:17:03,980
because he's my guy?

438
00:17:03,980 --> 00:17:04,980
He has not.

439
00:17:06,460 --> 00:17:09,140
I would put money that he has number 14 for sure.

440
00:17:09,140 --> 00:17:10,380
Okay.

441
00:17:10,380 --> 00:17:14,500
I say it's gonna be like a dark horse, like a KJ Hamler.

442
00:17:14,500 --> 00:17:18,220
Oh yeah, I could see that happening for sure.

443
00:17:18,220 --> 00:17:19,780
Cause he could be a call up for sure.

444
00:17:19,780 --> 00:17:22,780
Cause I think he also plays defensive,

445
00:17:22,780 --> 00:17:24,340
or he plays special teams.

446
00:17:24,340 --> 00:17:25,100
So.

447
00:17:25,100 --> 00:17:27,660
Yeah, so he's got some added value there.

448
00:17:27,660 --> 00:17:30,180
I mean, based on what I've been reading

449
00:17:30,180 --> 00:17:34,100
from reports around the team, they're very cognizant

450
00:17:34,100 --> 00:17:37,340
of this record and wanting to own this record

451
00:17:37,340 --> 00:17:40,420
to really validate the everybody eats mantra.

452
00:17:40,420 --> 00:17:44,780
I just like, to me, Reggie Gilliam is the perfect guy

453
00:17:44,780 --> 00:17:46,700
that you want breaking that record.

454
00:17:46,700 --> 00:17:48,540
Some sort of little leak out of the backfield

455
00:17:48,540 --> 00:17:49,580
in the red zone, right?

456
00:17:49,580 --> 00:17:52,700
Gilliam time, I just let the dude do it.

457
00:17:52,700 --> 00:17:55,540
Let the dude do it and let him live on in the history books

458
00:17:55,540 --> 00:17:57,900
for the NFL and the Buffalo Bills forever.

459
00:17:57,900 --> 00:18:02,820
Well, one thing I love about the whole 13 different players

460
00:18:02,820 --> 00:18:05,700
that have a touchdown reception right now is that,

461
00:18:05,700 --> 00:18:06,700
well, two things I love.

462
00:18:06,700 --> 00:18:08,900
One is that Mack Hollins is number one on the list

463
00:18:08,900 --> 00:18:11,020
with five total TDs.

464
00:18:11,020 --> 00:18:13,380
And two is that Josh Allen is one of the players

465
00:18:13,380 --> 00:18:14,740
that has a receiving TD.

466
00:18:14,740 --> 00:18:16,020
Which is incredibly incredible.

467
00:18:16,020 --> 00:18:17,260
From the San Francisco game, yeah,

468
00:18:17,260 --> 00:18:19,700
like that's a really fun thing.

469
00:18:19,700 --> 00:18:21,180
It's just absolutely incredible.

470
00:18:21,180 --> 00:18:22,060
I freaking love it.

471
00:18:22,060 --> 00:18:24,020
Oh my God, unreal.

472
00:18:24,020 --> 00:18:25,660
But yeah, go ahead.

473
00:18:25,660 --> 00:18:26,780
Oh, I was just gonna say,

474
00:18:26,780 --> 00:18:31,100
my pick for that 14th touchdown is a fat guy touchdown.

475
00:18:31,100 --> 00:18:33,660
I think they have not,

476
00:18:33,660 --> 00:18:36,660
yeah, they have not done a tackle eligible leak

477
00:18:36,660 --> 00:18:37,780
in the red zone.

478
00:18:37,780 --> 00:18:39,060
And I could see that being a play,

479
00:18:39,060 --> 00:18:41,500
especially with somebody like Mitch Trubisky in,

480
00:18:41,500 --> 00:18:44,900
you could maybe an Alec Anderson or Ryan Van Damark

481
00:18:44,900 --> 00:18:46,420
who I think is six, seven, right?

482
00:18:46,420 --> 00:18:48,780
Like somebody like that who has some length

483
00:18:48,780 --> 00:18:50,300
could be sneaking out.

484
00:18:51,700 --> 00:18:52,540
We could see it.

485
00:18:52,540 --> 00:18:54,700
We could absolutely see it, that's for sure.

486
00:18:57,020 --> 00:18:57,940
All right, dude.

487
00:18:57,940 --> 00:19:00,700
I think we've, I think that satiates me

488
00:19:00,700 --> 00:19:02,900
for talking about this week 18 game.

489
00:19:02,900 --> 00:19:05,540
Cause in the regular season, we can button it up.

490
00:19:05,540 --> 00:19:07,100
We can absolutely button it up.

491
00:19:07,100 --> 00:19:11,700
It is 110% done for me.

492
00:19:11,700 --> 00:19:14,300
Wait, is Gilliam on the roster?

493
00:19:14,300 --> 00:19:15,300
Yes.

494
00:19:15,300 --> 00:19:16,540
Yeah, I'm looking at,

495
00:19:16,540 --> 00:19:18,060
I'm just looking at their active roster right now.

496
00:19:18,060 --> 00:19:19,860
I don't see him listed.

497
00:19:19,860 --> 00:19:23,740
He's listed, fullback is broken out from running backs.

498
00:19:23,740 --> 00:19:25,580
So it's probably a different line.

499
00:19:25,580 --> 00:19:26,580
I don't see him on there,

500
00:19:26,580 --> 00:19:28,140
but I know he's not the 53 man.

501
00:19:28,140 --> 00:19:28,980
Yeah, all right.

502
00:19:28,980 --> 00:19:30,260
I'm looking at the ESPN depth chart

503
00:19:30,260 --> 00:19:31,860
and he's definitely listed as a fullback.

504
00:19:31,860 --> 00:19:34,100
And he played, he's played way more snaps

505
00:19:34,100 --> 00:19:34,980
in the past three weeks

506
00:19:34,980 --> 00:19:36,460
than he did the rest of the season.

507
00:19:36,460 --> 00:19:38,700
I'm telling you, dude, they're lining it up for Reggie.

508
00:19:38,700 --> 00:19:39,700
Give it to Reggie.

509
00:19:39,700 --> 00:19:41,100
Let Reggie be the one.

510
00:19:41,100 --> 00:19:42,100
We, what do we want?

511
00:19:42,100 --> 00:19:43,420
Do we want to bet something on this?

512
00:19:43,420 --> 00:19:45,180
I feel like we should bet something on this.

513
00:19:45,180 --> 00:19:46,020
Yeah.

514
00:19:46,020 --> 00:19:46,860
Oh my gosh.

515
00:19:46,860 --> 00:19:48,260
See, this is tough because I don't know.

516
00:19:48,260 --> 00:19:49,420
I think I would only,

517
00:19:49,420 --> 00:19:52,780
I would only be betting either that it is

518
00:19:52,780 --> 00:19:53,860
or is not Reggie Gilliam.

519
00:19:53,860 --> 00:19:55,220
I wouldn't be able to put my money

520
00:19:55,220 --> 00:19:57,620
on any player of my own.

521
00:19:57,620 --> 00:19:58,740
I'll give that to you.

522
00:19:58,740 --> 00:20:00,420
I'll give you Reggie Gilliam or the field.

523
00:20:00,420 --> 00:20:01,260
I'll give that to you.

524
00:20:01,260 --> 00:20:03,580
I really do think it's going to be Gilliam.

525
00:20:03,580 --> 00:20:04,420
I like it.

526
00:20:04,420 --> 00:20:05,260
What are we betting?

527
00:20:05,260 --> 00:20:06,100
Is it bourbon?

528
00:20:06,100 --> 00:20:07,300
I think I'm right now, I owe you two

529
00:20:07,300 --> 00:20:08,140
and you owe me one.

530
00:20:08,140 --> 00:20:08,980
Bottle super.

531
00:20:08,980 --> 00:20:09,820
Yes.

532
00:20:09,820 --> 00:20:11,020
We still haven't settled that up yet.

533
00:20:11,020 --> 00:20:13,260
So it's a net gain of plus one for me

534
00:20:13,260 --> 00:20:17,020
and you owe me a wood chopping sword as well.

535
00:20:17,020 --> 00:20:17,860
Oh yeah.

536
00:20:17,860 --> 00:20:19,860
For, oh my gosh.

537
00:20:19,860 --> 00:20:22,660
Which I think is held up with customs right now

538
00:20:22,660 --> 00:20:24,660
for the last like six months.

539
00:20:24,660 --> 00:20:26,620
Cause they only make them in Siberia.

540
00:20:26,620 --> 00:20:28,620
There's like an old guy named Vlad

541
00:20:28,620 --> 00:20:30,540
who hand smiths them.

542
00:20:30,540 --> 00:20:32,980
It only cost me $100,000.

543
00:20:32,980 --> 00:20:33,820
Exactly.

544
00:20:33,820 --> 00:20:34,660
Thank you for that.

545
00:20:34,660 --> 00:20:35,740
You're welcome.

546
00:20:35,740 --> 00:20:36,780
So, all right.

547
00:20:36,780 --> 00:20:37,620
So, all right.

548
00:20:37,620 --> 00:20:38,900
I'll give you Gilliam or the field,

549
00:20:38,900 --> 00:20:40,580
bottle of bourbon, done and done.

550
00:20:40,580 --> 00:20:41,420
All right.

551
00:20:41,420 --> 00:20:42,260
Book it.

552
00:20:42,260 --> 00:20:43,100
All right, dude.

553
00:20:43,100 --> 00:20:45,940
So let's move on because we are not in a position

554
00:20:45,940 --> 00:20:48,620
where we can do a full wild card round preview

555
00:20:48,620 --> 00:20:50,580
cause we have yet to know who the bill's opponent

556
00:20:50,580 --> 00:20:51,580
is going to be.

557
00:20:51,580 --> 00:20:53,420
But there are options, JJ.

558
00:20:53,420 --> 00:20:56,260
There are options and going from least likely

559
00:20:56,260 --> 00:20:58,660
to most likely, this is what they are.

560
00:20:58,660 --> 00:21:00,460
We've got the Miami Dolphins.

561
00:21:00,460 --> 00:21:03,180
Which with a chief's win and a Bengal loss

562
00:21:03,180 --> 00:21:04,700
would find themselves in.

563
00:21:04,700 --> 00:21:05,860
So that's the-

564
00:21:05,860 --> 00:21:07,740
The Bengals are the least likely though.

565
00:21:07,740 --> 00:21:09,420
Oh, I thought the Dolphins were the least likely.

566
00:21:09,420 --> 00:21:12,860
No, cause the Dolphins get in if they win

567
00:21:12,860 --> 00:21:16,260
and Denver wins as long as the Bengals,

568
00:21:16,260 --> 00:21:18,980
no, they get in if Denver loses and they win.

569
00:21:18,980 --> 00:21:20,060
Denver's gotta lose.

570
00:21:20,060 --> 00:21:22,380
Even if the Bengals win.

571
00:21:22,380 --> 00:21:23,220
Right.

572
00:21:23,220 --> 00:21:24,060
Oh, interesting.

573
00:21:24,060 --> 00:21:25,380
So the Bengals need to win

574
00:21:25,380 --> 00:21:28,300
and have Denver and Miami lose.

575
00:21:28,300 --> 00:21:29,140
Yeah.

576
00:21:29,140 --> 00:21:31,820
Because of those, they have a strength of schedule,

577
00:21:31,820 --> 00:21:33,060
tiebreaker I believe.

578
00:21:33,060 --> 00:21:34,700
That's right, you are correct.

579
00:21:34,700 --> 00:21:38,340
Because the Bengal or the Dolphins had the privilege

580
00:21:38,340 --> 00:21:39,380
of playing the bills twice

581
00:21:39,380 --> 00:21:41,220
which boosts their strength of schedule quite a bit.

582
00:21:41,220 --> 00:21:42,140
That's correct.

583
00:21:42,140 --> 00:21:44,100
Even though they played the Patriots

584
00:21:44,100 --> 00:21:45,900
and Jets twice as well.

585
00:21:45,900 --> 00:21:48,060
Oh, and the Bengals got the Ravens

586
00:21:48,060 --> 00:21:49,540
and the Steelers and there as well.

587
00:21:49,540 --> 00:21:50,380
That's weird.

588
00:21:50,380 --> 00:21:51,340
Okay, anyway.

589
00:21:51,340 --> 00:21:52,740
Yeah, so all right, cool.

590
00:21:52,740 --> 00:21:54,980
So the Bengals, which seems to be the one

591
00:21:54,980 --> 00:21:57,540
Bill's mafia is most skittish about,

592
00:21:57,540 --> 00:22:00,620
they're not the one I want the most.

593
00:22:00,620 --> 00:22:03,620
But I wouldn't be afraid to play these Bengals.

594
00:22:03,620 --> 00:22:04,660
Just a different situation

595
00:22:04,660 --> 00:22:06,460
from what it was a couple of years ago.

596
00:22:06,460 --> 00:22:09,180
Then we have the Dolphins, familiar foe,

597
00:22:09,180 --> 00:22:10,980
which I wouldn't sleep on because,

598
00:22:10,980 --> 00:22:12,660
I mean, you know, Tua's not healthy

599
00:22:12,660 --> 00:22:15,860
but it is hard to beat a divisional opponent

600
00:22:15,860 --> 00:22:16,940
three times in one year.

601
00:22:16,940 --> 00:22:19,180
We have seen this happen in the playoffs before

602
00:22:19,180 --> 00:22:21,380
where an unlikely upset has occurred

603
00:22:21,380 --> 00:22:23,060
under these circumstances.

604
00:22:23,060 --> 00:22:26,060
Then we've got the Chargers

605
00:22:26,060 --> 00:22:28,380
and the only reason the Chargers are in,

606
00:22:28,380 --> 00:22:30,900
but they're a less likely seven seed

607
00:22:30,900 --> 00:22:32,740
based on their win scenario

608
00:22:32,740 --> 00:22:34,620
where they could go as high as the fifth seed.

609
00:22:34,620 --> 00:22:36,620
And then we've got the Denver Broncos.

610
00:22:36,620 --> 00:22:38,220
Am I missing anybody at this point?

611
00:22:38,220 --> 00:22:39,060
No, that's it.

612
00:22:39,060 --> 00:22:40,180
That's really it, right?

613
00:22:40,180 --> 00:22:44,620
So JJ, out of that foursome, that fearsome foursome,

614
00:22:44,620 --> 00:22:47,740
what's the team you would want to see the Bills face the most

615
00:22:47,740 --> 00:22:48,940
and what is the team you'd want to see

616
00:22:48,940 --> 00:22:50,820
the Bills face the least?

617
00:22:50,820 --> 00:22:53,940
So I would want to see

618
00:22:53,940 --> 00:22:56,740
probably, this is tough.

619
00:22:56,740 --> 00:23:01,740
I would want to see the Broncos the most, rookie QB.

620
00:23:02,220 --> 00:23:05,020
I would want to see the Dolphin the least,

621
00:23:05,020 --> 00:23:09,020
but that's very, it's a very close tie with the Bengals.

622
00:23:10,220 --> 00:23:12,220
Because, and here's the reason.

623
00:23:12,220 --> 00:23:15,420
So the Bengals have a terrible defense.

624
00:23:15,420 --> 00:23:16,540
They can't stop anybody,

625
00:23:16,540 --> 00:23:18,340
but they've been playing quite a bit better

626
00:23:18,340 --> 00:23:19,580
just the past few weeks,

627
00:23:19,580 --> 00:23:21,260
and I'll take the recency trends

628
00:23:21,260 --> 00:23:23,980
over the rest of the season,

629
00:23:23,980 --> 00:23:26,740
because seasons are long, a lot of things can change.

630
00:23:26,740 --> 00:23:28,940
I think that the Bengals offense

631
00:23:28,940 --> 00:23:32,140
is playing better than any of those four teams,

632
00:23:32,140 --> 00:23:34,940
and their defense is just doing enough to give them wins,

633
00:23:34,940 --> 00:23:36,340
because they're on a streak right now,

634
00:23:36,340 --> 00:23:38,460
and Joe Burrow is playing out of his freaking mind,

635
00:23:38,460 --> 00:23:40,940
and I'm most afraid in the playoffs

636
00:23:40,940 --> 00:23:42,940
of elite passing attacks,

637
00:23:42,940 --> 00:23:45,940
of which the Bengals have the most elite in the league right now.

638
00:23:48,060 --> 00:23:50,060
Okay, okay, I can go.

639
00:23:50,060 --> 00:23:53,460
Plus, for those who might be most afraid of a third matchup

640
00:23:53,460 --> 00:23:55,660
with the Dolphins who the Bills played tight

641
00:23:55,660 --> 00:23:57,180
in their most recent meeting,

642
00:23:59,180 --> 00:24:01,380
it would be in Buffalo, cold weather game,

643
00:24:01,380 --> 00:24:04,180
Tua is not good.

644
00:24:04,180 --> 00:24:05,780
Against a winning team, yeah.

645
00:24:05,780 --> 00:24:07,460
Tua's not good against a winning team

646
00:24:07,460 --> 00:24:08,980
in a very cold weather game.

647
00:24:08,980 --> 00:24:10,140
Right, absolutely.

648
00:24:10,140 --> 00:24:11,780
All right, interesting, interesting.

649
00:24:11,780 --> 00:24:14,260
Okay, so it's interesting,

650
00:24:14,260 --> 00:24:16,220
because the team you most want to play

651
00:24:16,220 --> 00:24:17,980
is the team I least want to play.

652
00:24:17,980 --> 00:24:20,220
Is it because Denver has an elite defense?

653
00:24:20,220 --> 00:24:22,820
So their pass rush is elite.

654
00:24:22,820 --> 00:24:25,620
I think they do have some, despite having Pat Sartan,

655
00:24:25,620 --> 00:24:28,460
I do think they got some holes in the secondary,

656
00:24:28,460 --> 00:24:31,460
but that pass rush is pretty elite.

657
00:24:31,460 --> 00:24:34,100
Their time to pressure, their getoff,

658
00:24:34,100 --> 00:24:37,060
and their sack percentage with organic,

659
00:24:37,060 --> 00:24:40,860
four down organic pressure

660
00:24:40,860 --> 00:24:44,660
is like somewhere between top five and top eight

661
00:24:44,660 --> 00:24:46,660
in the league in most of those categories.

662
00:24:46,660 --> 00:24:50,820
Their success rate on defense

663
00:24:50,820 --> 00:24:52,620
is also higher than you would expect,

664
00:24:52,620 --> 00:24:54,580
but dude, it's the offensive matchup.

665
00:24:54,580 --> 00:24:55,580
To me, that really scares me.

666
00:24:55,580 --> 00:24:58,380
This is not an efficient run team in Denver,

667
00:24:58,380 --> 00:25:00,380
but when it comes to the pass game,

668
00:25:00,380 --> 00:25:02,780
here's a couple of things I think we need to note

669
00:25:02,780 --> 00:25:04,060
about this squad.

670
00:25:04,060 --> 00:25:08,060
Their wide receivers are all big, fast, and tall,

671
00:25:08,060 --> 00:25:10,380
and our DBs for the most part,

672
00:25:10,380 --> 00:25:11,980
while they can play physical,

673
00:25:11,980 --> 00:25:13,500
they're a little bit undersized,

674
00:25:13,500 --> 00:25:15,260
and there's not a lot of difference

675
00:25:15,260 --> 00:25:16,820
between the two teams,

676
00:25:16,820 --> 00:25:18,660
but they're a little bit undersized,

677
00:25:18,660 --> 00:25:23,020
and there's not a ton of team speed in our secondary,

678
00:25:23,020 --> 00:25:24,660
outside of, I would say, Cole Bishop,

679
00:25:24,660 --> 00:25:27,060
who has really flashed the past couple of weeks.

680
00:25:27,060 --> 00:25:30,260
This is also, the Denver Broncos

681
00:25:30,260 --> 00:25:32,260
are the number three team in the league

682
00:25:32,260 --> 00:25:34,980
when it comes to getting wide receiver separation.

683
00:25:34,980 --> 00:25:37,260
Their wide receivers know how to separate

684
00:25:37,260 --> 00:25:39,060
and run crisp routes,

685
00:25:39,060 --> 00:25:41,460
which is another problem for us, right?

686
00:25:41,460 --> 00:25:44,660
And then finally, that offensive line pass protects, man.

687
00:25:44,660 --> 00:25:46,980
A percent of pressure allowed,

688
00:25:46,980 --> 00:25:50,460
a four bone necks is number four in the league.

689
00:25:50,460 --> 00:25:52,260
So they've got wide receivers

690
00:25:52,260 --> 00:25:55,140
that present individual matchup problems for us.

691
00:25:55,140 --> 00:25:57,780
They have a QB who's gonna have time

692
00:25:57,780 --> 00:26:00,220
to pick apart the zone when we lean on zone.

693
00:26:00,220 --> 00:26:02,540
He's got big targets to throw to,

694
00:26:02,540 --> 00:26:04,700
and listen, outside of Greg or so,

695
00:26:04,700 --> 00:26:07,740
our pass rush has been a problem all year.

696
00:26:07,740 --> 00:26:09,020
I don't care if it's a rookie or not,

697
00:26:09,020 --> 00:26:11,820
you give anybody three, three and a half seconds

698
00:26:11,820 --> 00:26:14,180
with those wide receivers that are gonna find targets.

699
00:26:14,180 --> 00:26:15,820
I think the Bills win that game,

700
00:26:15,820 --> 00:26:17,820
but I think it's like a 27, 24,

701
00:26:17,820 --> 00:26:20,620
and we're all like, Jesus, the season is over next week

702
00:26:20,620 --> 00:26:23,020
with whoever we play in the divisional rounds I became.

703
00:26:23,020 --> 00:26:25,820
So I don't wanna play Denver for those reasons.

704
00:26:25,820 --> 00:26:29,340
Counselor, I'd like to counterarguments

705
00:26:29,340 --> 00:26:32,780
with the Ed Oliver defense.

706
00:26:33,620 --> 00:26:35,300
He proved in the-

707
00:26:35,300 --> 00:26:38,100
This is a shaky defense, Counselor, but I'll allow it.

708
00:26:38,100 --> 00:26:39,740
I'll allow it. Thank you.

709
00:26:39,740 --> 00:26:42,660
He proved in the Lions game

710
00:26:42,660 --> 00:26:47,580
that he can make a fool of an elite interior offensive

711
00:26:47,580 --> 00:26:50,260
linemen when properly motivated,

712
00:26:50,260 --> 00:26:52,620
and I feel like this might be a game for that.

713
00:26:53,820 --> 00:26:57,100
Ragnar I think is as good or better a center

714
00:26:57,100 --> 00:27:00,820
than Denver has, and Ed Oliver was eating his lunch

715
00:27:00,820 --> 00:27:02,500
all day long.

716
00:27:02,500 --> 00:27:06,340
Plus the Denver Broncos have had great protection.

717
00:27:06,340 --> 00:27:09,060
They are good against organic foreman pressure,

718
00:27:09,060 --> 00:27:11,260
which is a problem for the Bills,

719
00:27:11,260 --> 00:27:14,100
but I think also the Bills playing seven in coverage better.

720
00:27:14,100 --> 00:27:16,460
They play seven in coverage better than a lot of defenses.

721
00:27:16,460 --> 00:27:18,740
Even though they're middle of the pack statistically,

722
00:27:18,740 --> 00:27:21,100
I think when they have their preferred outside corners

723
00:27:21,100 --> 00:27:24,340
and all the starters that they expect to play at safety

724
00:27:24,340 --> 00:27:27,420
and linebacker, this team can hold up against

725
00:27:27,420 --> 00:27:30,700
a rookie quarterback, particularly because he has not,

726
00:27:30,700 --> 00:27:33,780
he's probably not seen a defense as multiple

727
00:27:33,780 --> 00:27:37,060
as Buffalo Bills can put on the field.

728
00:27:37,060 --> 00:27:42,060
And I like the Babbage and McDermott kind of approach

729
00:27:42,500 --> 00:27:43,820
to rookie quarterbacks.

730
00:27:43,820 --> 00:27:46,340
They blitzed the hell out of Drake May,

731
00:27:46,340 --> 00:27:48,540
and he handled it incredibly well.

732
00:27:48,540 --> 00:27:53,540
So I could see them learning maybe,

733
00:27:53,740 --> 00:27:55,940
you win or you learn, and they thankfully won the game,

734
00:27:55,940 --> 00:27:59,180
but also probably learned that potentially blitzing

735
00:27:59,180 --> 00:28:01,620
the hell out of bow nicks might not be the answer,

736
00:28:02,660 --> 00:28:05,860
and that instead cycling and confusing coverage

737
00:28:05,860 --> 00:28:08,380
might be a better solution with more things

738
00:28:08,380 --> 00:28:10,540
muddying the passing windows.

739
00:28:10,540 --> 00:28:13,940
I do think the disguised coverage looks that the Bills do,

740
00:28:13,940 --> 00:28:15,420
and they're one of the best teams in the league,

741
00:28:15,420 --> 00:28:17,700
regardless of who's in there.

742
00:28:17,700 --> 00:28:19,260
I do think it'll matter,

743
00:28:19,260 --> 00:28:21,260
and I do think it'll have an impact,

744
00:28:21,260 --> 00:28:24,260
but at the end of the day, you've got to win matchups, right?

745
00:28:24,260 --> 00:28:26,740
And those are some big, fast, strong targets

746
00:28:26,740 --> 00:28:28,940
that he has to throw to their in space.

747
00:28:28,940 --> 00:28:31,220
I was watching some Broncos film,

748
00:28:31,220 --> 00:28:33,420
and the wide receiver trio,

749
00:28:33,420 --> 00:28:35,340
they were rolling out there, led by one court,

750
00:28:35,340 --> 00:28:37,300
and suddenly I'm like, they just look bigger

751
00:28:37,300 --> 00:28:39,140
than everybody else, what's going on?

752
00:28:39,140 --> 00:28:41,540
So I pulled their step, there's not a single person

753
00:28:41,540 --> 00:28:45,220
who's under six, three in their top four wide receivers.

754
00:28:45,220 --> 00:28:47,180
It's a huge wide receiver core,

755
00:28:47,180 --> 00:28:49,140
and they're not just possession guys,

756
00:28:49,140 --> 00:28:51,020
they got some speed guys there too.

757
00:28:51,020 --> 00:28:54,180
So listen, I hear all of that.

758
00:28:54,180 --> 00:28:57,380
On the Ed Oliver point, I think if Dan Campbell

759
00:28:57,380 --> 00:29:02,180
had to do it again, he would not put Ragnar on Oliver

760
00:29:02,180 --> 00:29:03,900
one on one as much as he did.

761
00:29:03,900 --> 00:29:06,340
So I mean, listen, Ed's been double teamed

762
00:29:06,340 --> 00:29:08,140
at a career high rate this year,

763
00:29:08,140 --> 00:29:10,020
which is why he's disappeared a lot.

764
00:29:10,020 --> 00:29:13,460
And because he is a lighter defensive tackle,

765
00:29:13,460 --> 00:29:14,940
he really does have a hard time

766
00:29:14,940 --> 00:29:17,020
if he doesn't have a really good get off,

767
00:29:17,020 --> 00:29:18,820
busting through a double team.

768
00:29:18,820 --> 00:29:21,660
I think Sean Payton is the experienced head coaches

769
00:29:21,660 --> 00:29:22,820
he is, is going to see that.

770
00:29:22,820 --> 00:29:25,060
He's going to be like, if Dequan Jones beats us

771
00:29:25,060 --> 00:29:26,900
on the inside, I can live with that.

772
00:29:26,900 --> 00:29:29,220
But if we allow Ed Oliver to do that,

773
00:29:29,220 --> 00:29:30,620
I would resign tomorrow.

774
00:29:30,620 --> 00:29:34,100
So I think Ed is just going to see a ton of double teams.

775
00:29:34,100 --> 00:29:36,340
But I want to get too far into a pregame analysis

776
00:29:36,340 --> 00:29:38,260
because we don't know if it's going to be the Broncos,

777
00:29:38,260 --> 00:29:40,860
though all they got to do is beat Carson Wentz

778
00:29:40,860 --> 00:29:43,500
and the backups for the Kansas City Chiefs and they're in.

779
00:29:43,500 --> 00:29:47,060
So they are the most likely seven seed for the bills to play.

780
00:29:47,060 --> 00:29:49,300
Let's talk a little bit about the Bengals.

781
00:29:50,580 --> 00:29:52,500
I put a comp out there on social media.

782
00:29:52,500 --> 00:29:55,340
The Bengals game would be a revisiting

783
00:29:55,340 --> 00:29:57,020
of the Rams game for me,

784
00:29:57,020 --> 00:30:00,140
where you've got two very vulnerable defenses,

785
00:30:00,140 --> 00:30:03,580
two elite QBs, and on the opposing side

786
00:30:03,580 --> 00:30:08,660
to all pro wide receivers and and Jamar Chase and T Higgins.

787
00:30:08,660 --> 00:30:10,900
Maybe for the last time is that dynamic duo

788
00:30:10,900 --> 00:30:13,460
in Cincinnati for Joe Borough to throw to.

789
00:30:13,460 --> 00:30:15,180
I feel that that game is a shootout,

790
00:30:15,180 --> 00:30:19,020
regardless of conditions, unless it's 70 mile an hour winds,

791
00:30:19,020 --> 00:30:23,220
that game becomes becomes the Rams game to me on steroids.

792
00:30:23,220 --> 00:30:27,460
And I worry about the bills in games like that

793
00:30:27,460 --> 00:30:29,220
in the playoffs, because we just haven't seen,

794
00:30:29,220 --> 00:30:31,260
we haven't seen them win a shootout

795
00:30:31,260 --> 00:30:32,940
against a really good team in the postseason

796
00:30:32,940 --> 00:30:34,020
in the McDermott era.

797
00:30:35,100 --> 00:30:37,580
Well, I think to, you know, the other thing that,

798
00:30:37,580 --> 00:30:42,460
and that's why that's my number one most worrying matchup

799
00:30:42,460 --> 00:30:45,220
is because Joe Borough is playing better than any

800
00:30:45,220 --> 00:30:47,860
of the other quarterbacks on the potential list

801
00:30:47,860 --> 00:30:51,540
and their outside weapons are the exact kind

802
00:30:51,540 --> 00:30:54,660
that have hurt the bills over and over throughout the season.

803
00:30:54,660 --> 00:30:57,580
Even if the bills haven't, you know, lost a lot of games,

804
00:30:57,580 --> 00:30:59,500
they have definitely given up a lot of yards

805
00:30:59,500 --> 00:31:02,620
and they've relied on turnovers and kind of fluky plays,

806
00:31:02,620 --> 00:31:04,900
penalties, different things to like give them,

807
00:31:04,900 --> 00:31:08,380
to either shut down drives, give them extra possessions.

808
00:31:08,380 --> 00:31:10,140
And that's the kind of thing in the playoffs

809
00:31:10,140 --> 00:31:12,420
we know you cannot count on.

810
00:31:12,420 --> 00:31:14,500
Teams play as clean as they possibly can.

811
00:31:14,500 --> 00:31:16,980
Refs tend to keep their flags in their pockets

812
00:31:16,980 --> 00:31:20,060
and, you know, the bills can't count on some randomness

813
00:31:20,060 --> 00:31:21,340
to save them.

814
00:31:21,340 --> 00:31:24,340
And so I'm most afraid of Borough and that offense

815
00:31:24,340 --> 00:31:27,780
coming into Buffalo and putting out a clinic

816
00:31:27,780 --> 00:31:31,900
because again, it's, you know, scar tissue,

817
00:31:31,900 --> 00:31:35,580
but the bills pass rush disappearing in big games

818
00:31:35,580 --> 00:31:38,460
and their coverage being too leaky, too soft

819
00:31:38,460 --> 00:31:41,620
in big games in the zone are,

820
00:31:41,620 --> 00:31:44,380
that's been every playoff exit to this point.

821
00:31:44,380 --> 00:31:47,700
So, yeah, that's why I'm really hopeful

822
00:31:47,700 --> 00:31:49,540
that Denver just takes care of business

823
00:31:49,540 --> 00:31:51,340
against the chief's backups

824
00:31:51,340 --> 00:31:53,900
and then they're walking into Buffalo next week.

825
00:31:53,900 --> 00:31:55,540
Yeah, yeah.

826
00:31:55,540 --> 00:31:57,260
I've got the bangles.

827
00:31:57,260 --> 00:31:59,060
I've got the bangles is number two

828
00:31:59,060 --> 00:32:01,180
that I wouldn't want to see on my list.

829
00:32:01,180 --> 00:32:03,260
I go Broncos, bangles.

830
00:32:03,260 --> 00:32:05,020
I'm not really rating the Chargers in here

831
00:32:05,020 --> 00:32:06,500
because I think the Chargers are gonna,

832
00:32:06,500 --> 00:32:09,980
I mean, again, they've got a chance to be a six or a five seed.

833
00:32:09,980 --> 00:32:12,620
There'd have to be some weird stuff happened in their game

834
00:32:12,620 --> 00:32:16,260
and the Broncos game for them to end up in the seven seed.

835
00:32:18,100 --> 00:32:20,620
I do it, I just don't want to play the dolphins, right?

836
00:32:20,620 --> 00:32:21,620
I don't want to play the dolphins.

837
00:32:21,620 --> 00:32:25,180
And it's not because they scare me for any particular reason.

838
00:32:25,180 --> 00:32:28,860
It is simply that they don't deserve to be there.

839
00:32:28,860 --> 00:32:32,500
They have shown all season they can't beat winning teams.

840
00:32:32,500 --> 00:32:37,060
I am sick of this team constantly chewing up media space.

841
00:32:37,060 --> 00:32:39,220
And because I have said all of those things,

842
00:32:39,220 --> 00:32:40,700
Karma will come to kill us.

843
00:32:40,700 --> 00:32:43,140
And the one win that the dolphins get this year

844
00:32:43,140 --> 00:32:44,460
will be in Buffalo in the playoffs.

845
00:32:44,460 --> 00:32:45,300
That's it.

846
00:32:45,300 --> 00:32:48,420
I'm just worried about my own negativity

847
00:32:48,420 --> 00:32:51,060
I've put into the universe and I want to play the dolphins.

848
00:32:51,060 --> 00:32:53,220
It is from a serious standpoint,

849
00:32:53,220 --> 00:32:55,860
two is not healthy, which is an advantage to the bills.

850
00:32:55,860 --> 00:32:58,700
Snoop Huntley, I don't care who he's playing on the bills team,

851
00:32:58,700 --> 00:33:01,580
probably not beating that bill's defense

852
00:33:01,580 --> 00:33:04,220
in Josh Allen in Buffalo in the playoffs.

853
00:33:05,260 --> 00:33:07,620
And dude, the rush game,

854
00:33:07,620 --> 00:33:10,220
the big vulnerability of this bill's defense,

855
00:33:10,220 --> 00:33:12,980
the dolphins have just not been able to get it going this year.

856
00:33:12,980 --> 00:33:16,300
Now, Isaiah Wayne did make a recent return to that lineup.

857
00:33:16,300 --> 00:33:17,140
And while he is,

858
00:33:17,140 --> 00:33:21,300
while I think he's overrated a bit in past protection,

859
00:33:21,300 --> 00:33:22,700
he's a great run blocker.

860
00:33:22,700 --> 00:33:26,700
So he does make that that Miami Dolphins run game

861
00:33:26,700 --> 00:33:28,380
go a little bit better.

862
00:33:28,380 --> 00:33:31,500
I just I worry that divisional familiarity,

863
00:33:31,500 --> 00:33:33,500
those games are always weird.

864
00:33:33,500 --> 00:33:36,100
The dolphins have played, including the playoffs,

865
00:33:36,100 --> 00:33:39,500
several close games in recent memory in Buffalo,

866
00:33:39,500 --> 00:33:41,260
in adverse elements.

867
00:33:41,260 --> 00:33:43,580
And it's taken, I think, last second field goals

868
00:33:43,580 --> 00:33:46,500
the last two times to put that team away.

869
00:33:46,500 --> 00:33:49,180
I just I don't want that, man.

870
00:33:49,180 --> 00:33:49,980
I don't want that drama.

871
00:33:49,980 --> 00:33:52,020
I don't want divisional weirdness

872
00:33:52,020 --> 00:33:54,100
leaking into my wild card weekend.

873
00:33:57,780 --> 00:34:01,380
I hear you and I remember the bills playing

874
00:34:01,380 --> 00:34:05,020
against Skyler Huntley two years ago in the playoffs.

875
00:34:05,020 --> 00:34:06,100
Skyler Thompson.

876
00:34:06,100 --> 00:34:06,900
Skyler Thompson.

877
00:34:06,900 --> 00:34:08,620
Yeah. Oh, Snoop Huntley is the current backup.

878
00:34:08,620 --> 00:34:09,140
Yeah.

879
00:34:09,140 --> 00:34:11,300
I see who they played when Jackson got hurt

880
00:34:11,300 --> 00:34:13,380
a couple years ago in that COVID season in the playoffs.

881
00:34:13,380 --> 00:34:14,340
Yeah.

882
00:34:14,340 --> 00:34:19,980
But yeah, I remember them playing against Skyler Thompson

883
00:34:19,980 --> 00:34:20,980
when I was on vacation.

884
00:34:20,980 --> 00:34:23,500
I'm actually, you know, if God willing,

885
00:34:23,500 --> 00:34:25,140
everybody is healthy enough to travel.

886
00:34:25,140 --> 00:34:26,700
I'll be flying out on Monday.

887
00:34:26,700 --> 00:34:28,980
And so we'll be doing I'll be all of a different backdrop

888
00:34:28,980 --> 00:34:31,060
for the next pod.

889
00:34:31,060 --> 00:34:34,820
But but to the same vacation destination

890
00:34:34,820 --> 00:34:37,500
that we were at the last time the bills played

891
00:34:37,500 --> 00:34:39,940
the dolphins in the playoffs, which I hope doesn't happen again.

892
00:34:39,940 --> 00:34:42,540
That's that the strong hope because I again

893
00:34:42,540 --> 00:34:43,300
don't want to see the dolphins.

894
00:34:43,300 --> 00:34:47,500
My my list is number one least the least desirable team

895
00:34:47,500 --> 00:34:49,980
is Cincinnati to Miami.

896
00:34:49,980 --> 00:34:52,300
I don't really count the chargers because I think

897
00:34:52,300 --> 00:34:54,820
like you said, a lot of stuff has to go really wonky

898
00:34:54,820 --> 00:34:58,020
this weekend for them to end up being the seven.

899
00:34:58,020 --> 00:35:01,340
And so it's really Bengals, number one, dolphins, two,

900
00:35:01,340 --> 00:35:02,420
and then Broncos three.

901
00:35:02,420 --> 00:35:05,620
I'd most like to see the Broncos in the playoffs.

902
00:35:05,620 --> 00:35:07,580
Put the chargers between the Broncos and the dolphins

903
00:35:07,580 --> 00:35:08,420
if you have to.

904
00:35:08,420 --> 00:35:09,540
But yeah.

905
00:35:09,540 --> 00:35:12,740
But yeah, I do remember that game and remember thinking,

906
00:35:12,740 --> 00:35:18,100
wow, this team looked pretty terrible against a backup

907
00:35:18,100 --> 00:35:23,300
QB in at a home game that they should be just absolutely

908
00:35:23,300 --> 00:35:24,380
walking over.

909
00:35:24,380 --> 00:35:26,820
Dude, oh, God, that whole game was a mess.

910
00:35:26,820 --> 00:35:28,740
That whole game was a mess.

911
00:35:28,740 --> 00:35:30,180
But again, it's the curse of Planet

912
00:35:30,180 --> 00:35:32,980
Divisional opponent three times in a single season.

913
00:35:32,980 --> 00:35:33,500
It's tough.

914
00:35:33,500 --> 00:35:35,060
It's tough to go three and oh, man.

915
00:35:35,060 --> 00:35:37,100
Even Belichick's to come to it a couple of times

916
00:35:37,100 --> 00:35:37,940
in the postseason.

917
00:35:37,940 --> 00:35:39,740
So yeah, man.

918
00:35:39,740 --> 00:35:44,180
For me, it is least likely Denver.

919
00:35:44,180 --> 00:35:46,540
Bonix is not a traditional rookie QB to me.

920
00:35:46,540 --> 00:35:49,940
He's had some games where he has looked terrible this season.

921
00:35:49,940 --> 00:35:54,380
But great offensive line, great pass protection, wide receivers

922
00:35:54,380 --> 00:35:57,620
that are a matchup problem for our secondary, especially

923
00:35:57,620 --> 00:36:00,060
given what our health situation is right now.

924
00:36:00,060 --> 00:36:02,820
I just I don't want to see that team.

925
00:36:02,820 --> 00:36:04,340
Number two, the Bengals.

926
00:36:04,340 --> 00:36:05,860
I think it's a shootout.

927
00:36:05,860 --> 00:36:08,060
I'm hesitant to think the Bills can win a shootout

928
00:36:08,060 --> 00:36:10,020
in the postseason because I haven't before.

929
00:36:10,020 --> 00:36:12,980
But if there is a squad bill for it, it is this squad.

930
00:36:12,980 --> 00:36:15,660
And then the team I least want to see the Dolphins

931
00:36:15,660 --> 00:36:18,060
because I've talked so much crap about it.

932
00:36:18,060 --> 00:36:22,460
It is what Steve needs for his moment of redemption.

933
00:36:22,460 --> 00:36:25,140
Like all the Karmic forces are just

934
00:36:25,140 --> 00:36:28,300
coming into a really bad focus for us if that happens.

935
00:36:28,300 --> 00:36:30,860
I just really need Denver to take care of business,

936
00:36:30,860 --> 00:36:31,580
even though I don't.

937
00:36:31,580 --> 00:36:33,540
I just really need Denver to take care of business

938
00:36:33,540 --> 00:36:34,020
at this point.

939
00:36:34,020 --> 00:36:34,340
So yeah.

940
00:36:34,340 --> 00:36:34,820
Same.

941
00:36:34,820 --> 00:36:36,020
That's what I choose.

942
00:36:36,020 --> 00:36:36,420
Yep.

943
00:36:36,420 --> 00:36:36,780
All right.

944
00:36:36,780 --> 00:36:37,460
Cool, man.

945
00:36:37,460 --> 00:36:38,620
All right.

946
00:36:38,620 --> 00:36:42,460
Do we want to do we care about scores for week 18?

947
00:36:42,460 --> 00:36:43,220
I don't.

948
00:36:43,220 --> 00:36:43,900
I don't.

949
00:36:43,900 --> 00:36:45,020
It doesn't matter.

950
00:36:45,020 --> 00:36:45,780
No, I don't.

951
00:36:45,780 --> 00:36:47,020
It's not.

952
00:36:47,020 --> 00:36:48,500
This game is a chance.

953
00:36:48,500 --> 00:36:50,660
The only thing that matters for Bill for the Bills

954
00:36:50,660 --> 00:36:53,380
is to get because they have to dress some of their starters,

955
00:36:53,380 --> 00:36:55,420
get those guys out of that game healthy.

956
00:36:55,420 --> 00:36:56,860
And then quickly as possible.

957
00:36:56,860 --> 00:36:58,100
Yeah, as quickly as possible.

958
00:36:58,100 --> 00:37:01,140
I expect to see the Bills running the ball and punting a lot.

959
00:37:01,140 --> 00:37:04,060
And so, you know, yeah, we'll see what happens.

960
00:37:04,060 --> 00:37:06,460
So then the only thing we really have

961
00:37:06,460 --> 00:37:10,020
a prediction sure to go wrong about is who, if anyone scores

962
00:37:10,020 --> 00:37:12,380
touchdown number 14, I've got Gilliam.

963
00:37:12,380 --> 00:37:16,020
You've got the field more specifically.

964
00:37:16,020 --> 00:37:18,620
Six, you got a you got an offensive lineman,

965
00:37:18,620 --> 00:37:19,660
maybe Alok Anderson.

966
00:37:19,660 --> 00:37:23,900
Yeah, Asterix, my field to say potential, you know,

967
00:37:23,900 --> 00:37:25,980
tackle eligible play in the red zone.

968
00:37:25,980 --> 00:37:26,580
Sounds good.

969
00:37:26,580 --> 00:37:27,500
Sounds good.

970
00:37:27,500 --> 00:37:29,180
Well, we will see how it goes, sir.

971
00:37:29,180 --> 00:37:32,220
And then after this week, it is on to the postseason.

972
00:37:32,220 --> 00:37:33,700
So for all of you listening at home,

973
00:37:33,700 --> 00:37:36,020
like, share and subscribe wherever you get your podcast.

974
00:37:36,020 --> 00:37:39,780
Google, Apple and YouTube and Spotify.

975
00:37:39,780 --> 00:37:41,100
And as always, go Bills.

976
00:37:41,100 --> 00:38:06,100
Go Bills.

977
00:38:11,100 --> 00:38:21,100
Go Bills.

