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Welcome back to the Buffalo Bread podcast. We have our week 10 recap of the Buffalo

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Bills burst the Indianapolis Colts, which was played this past Sunday in Indianapolis.

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That game, I think it turned out better in some ways than either of us expected, given

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the Colts history this season, Dan. What do you think about, you know, what are your general

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feelings about the way that game kind of shook that shook out?

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The Bills are the master of the ugly 30 point game. And it's something that I'm coming

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to accept at this point. What I do like about how this team can win is that similar to last

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season, they can find a multitude of different ways to beat you if you're a certain tier

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team. Now again, this is a group that's about to be tested with a five game stretch coming

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up here on the schedule that starts with Kansas City. But for the opponents that have been

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put in front of the Bills, they have done a really good job winning in a variety of ways.

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And JJ, the positive news of you're a Bills fan is that this is an eight and two team

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with an extended lead in the division. And it doesn't feel like yet they have put together

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a complete game of football. It feels like they're still fighting themselves a little

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bit in the past game in particular, which I'm sure we're going to get to in this recap.

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So if the Bills can hit the end of the season in stride with all of these components sliding

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into place on the defense and the offense, this could be a pretty scary team come playoff

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time.

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Yeah, absolutely. I think that that's one of the things that you kind of hear as a refrain

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from many of the Bills beat reporters is that this is a team that still hasn't played its

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best football. And once they do, it could be a scary team. But how many times have we

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heard that, you know, narrative throughout the Bills seasons under Sean McDermott? Sometimes

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Yeah, exactly. Hopefully. Sometimes it's a matter of, you know, you have to ask the

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question of like, we, is it just that they're always going to be inconsistent? I mean, in

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the playoff exits, they've had inconsistency in their, you know, stretches of losses at

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times they've had inconsistency is, is the answer that this team is always going to be

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just slightly inconsistent. I think there's a couple of things that in the past have held

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this team back from really reaching its ceiling. First, it's the general health of the squad.

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Like it feels like every year we're dealing with some sort of debilitating injury, be

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it on the offense or be it on the defense. This season in particular, well, I know a

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lot of the, the press and the attentionals on the Milano injury and some of the injuries

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on the defense. JJ, the health of this past catching room, I think has made it really

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hard week to week for Josh in a room full of basically new weapons outside of Concade

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and Shakir to really find a rhythm with this group offensively. And it's not going to

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get any better against KC in the coming week, because Keon Coleman, we know for sure is

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going to be out for that game. McDermott, sorry, ruled him out. And a Mari Cooper is

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a big question mark. So I think year after year, it's this a different version of the

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same story, which is why the bills struggle to often reach their ceiling and hit their

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stride when we want them to. Yeah, I mean, you're absolutely right. I think that maybe

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that's a better kind of thing to focus on with why this team always seems to be inconsistent

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is they are almost always missing key contributors. And that can be said about almost all teams

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at all times in the league. But it is it's peculiar with the bills because the misses

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are often such critical pieces of very important parts of their game in order to put a full

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and complete game together. In the Sean McDermott defense, you need your safety is healthy, you

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need your middle linebacker healthy. And you need kind of the kind of right up the gut

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of your defense, you need your defensive tackles healthy. And those are three areas that the

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bills have struggled with having injuries over the years linebackers, safeties and DBs

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in general, and then tackles. And so I yeah, I think it's it's interesting that that's

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kind of part of it that plays into it for sure. But I also think it's something that

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no team in the league can really count on no team can say, we're 100% healthy or we

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can count on being that the year the bills the 13 seconds year is one of the healthiest

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seasons the bills have had overall. And I think that that showed in their kind of absolute

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trouncing of the Patriots and the playoffs. And then of course, in playing the event there

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the eventual Super Bowl champion chief so hard in that game, I think that in the games

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that they were, you know, put all together, all three phases of football performances.

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I think of the first Dolphins game, I think of the Jaguars game. In those kind of efforts,

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in those complete victories. I don't know, not even the undefeated chiefs seem to be

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a team that could stand up to that level of precision and efficacy. And so I know we're

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going to talk about that down, you know, down the line and our chiefs preview later this

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week. But it's really a question of like, is this the team that can get it all done?

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And you're right, I think that maybe the biggest difference with so many teams we've seen who

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were absolutely considered contenders for good reasons, mostly because of Josh Allen,

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but also because of the way this operation has run, the defense and the way that they

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do not give up big plays. smartly coached smartly played. Is this the team that can finally

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kind of get hot at the exact right time and maybe not be completely derailed playing off

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the couch retired players as starting linebackers in the playoffs because they're so injury

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depleted they have no other option. No shaded AJ Klein, by the way, who who you are naming

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namelessly. I I would not expect him to have performed

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any better given his status in life. It's just they were in a pinch and that he was

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the only answer. Yep. Yeah, yeah, he was not put in a position to succeed. But where the

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bills did to see JJ was their game against the Colts this week. It was the first time

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the Colts this season in 10 weeks had lost a game by more than one score or participated

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in a game to conclusion that ended with them losing or winning by more than one score.

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And the bills, I think other than a garbage time touchdown at the end of the game, I think

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the bills held their own for a majority of that game. The run defense look shaky in the

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first half as it has in so many games this season. And then per the per the way it was

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designed, the game script on offense went more their way. The Colts had to rush less.

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Jonathan Taylor only seven rushes in the second half for a total of five yards, the bills

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absolutely locked him up. But also the offense was doing its job not as efficiently as we've

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seen it, but it was doing its job flipping the game script in a way that was going to

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be much more favorable to the bills defense complimentary football, as McDermott likes

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to say, and force the Colts to kind of play into their hands, which is ultimately what

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happened. JJ, we were also so close to nailing our prediction about flacco getting benched

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for Anthony Richardson. We literally said, this feels like a game where it could get

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away from flacco and he could throw like three picks. And then at some point we're seeing

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Anthony Richardson. So flacco did indeed throw three picks. And he had a fumble for total

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turnovers in this game, sacked four times by the bills as well under what seemed like

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constant dress and another big Gregor so game here. So JJ, it was not pretty at times, but

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it was exactly the type of when you expect this bills team to put together these days.

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Where do you want to start? Bill's offense or bills defense?

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Let's start with bills defense. And she already sort of kind of teed off on that a little

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bit with the flacco sacks, interceptions and fumble lost. I really liked what I saw from

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this defense. And while I was watching this game, the thing I kept thinking about is our

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conversation about the bills run defense and how but by the look test, it seems completely

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porous and miserable and terrible. But once you dig into the advanced analytics in terms

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of rush success rate, EPA per rush, that they've really been top five top 10 in the league,

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they've actually started in the last three or four games, hitting hitting beyond top

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and working their way towards the upper part of the league in success on stopping the rush.

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And this game, even with, you know, 100 and what was it, 121 rushing yards by the Colts,

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their ability to cancel successful rush pit plays by the Colts was at an all time high

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in terms of, you know, they were not Jonathan Taylor busted one big run, but for the most

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part, his yards per carry was pretty low. And he was not getting at least 40 to 50% of the

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expected yards on each play that he needed to get in order to help them stay ahead of

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the sticks. And so this was a perfect example of they they only played heavy boxes 28% of

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the time. And they still kept the rushing game down with who is a really excellent runner

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in this league still elite at his age.

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Yeah, absolutely. And you know, it, Greg Russo continues to impress in both the run game

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and the, and the pass rush game, I feel like we've lauded him a lot this season. I want

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to turn it over to Taryn Johnson, not only because he had that that awesome pick six

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to start the game, I mean, what a way to start the game on defense. But when I looked at

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a lot of the film from the Miami game last week, we had noted in that recap that at Oliver

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seemed to be getting pushed around by Liam Eichenberg, any chance he got. What the what

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Mike McDaniel did neutralizing Taryn Johnson in the run game, we're so often he kind of

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has that fit over third linebacker. I mean, finding a way to release a guard in the second

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level to neutralize Taryn Johnson, having a wide receiver erase Johnson from from run

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stop coverage was really well done. Johnson was way more on his game finding his run fits

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a lot quicker and defense. He to me JJ is such a crucial part of this defense. And it seems

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like he is even in in Bill's media world where he is so respected. It feels like game

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to game because Russo is coming up with these splash plays. We are forgetting how integral

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Taryn Johnson is to what they want to do not just in the past defense game, but in the

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run stop game as well. And this is a game where because he found his fit so quickly,

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he was really a difference maker, particularly in that second half and shutting down this

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cold rush offense.

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Yeah, Taryn Johnson is you know, I'll say he's the absolute best slot corner in the

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entire NFL at fitting the run. You don't need to remove him and add a third linebacker

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and they don't. Because he fills gaps like like he's Khalil man, he fills gaps like he's

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twice his weight and twice his strength. And it's excellent to I mean it's the most exciting

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thing to watch as a Bill's fan because you know you got your guy he was what like a fifth

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round pick that is such value in the draft to have to turn around a Weber state product

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into the best run support corner in the league and one of the best coverage corners in the

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league in the slot. So yeah, Taryn Johnson's game is massive. Just quick note on Greg Rousseau,

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his his ability to set the edge in the run is like just sexy as hell to watch game in

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game out, you watch him like he works. He's being actively engaged in blocks. And he's

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still just tackling running backs. He just like doesn't care that there's a human being

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who's like 320 pounds pushing on him with incredible you know, benches 600 pounds strength.

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He's just like now I'm just going to keep working my way towards the edge and turn

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this thing up inside and use my giant pterodactyl wingspan to bring this guy to the ground.

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It's amazing.

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It is he said he's having such a good season to at a time where we really needed him to.

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Now I know sack production has not been where folks would like to see it. But he is a difference

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maker on almost every play it feels like. Now we have joked and by we I mean me of putting

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Greg Rousseau in the Jerry Hughes zone where it's all pressure no sacks. But dude, his

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pressure is meaningful. He's laying hands on QBs. He's eating up double teams to your

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point earlier setting the edge on the run in a way we have not seen an edge defender do

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on this unit in a very, very long time. He is having he is having as good a season minus

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the sack production as one could have and he is an actual legitimate disruptor. And to

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me JJ it's it's made all the more amazing by the fact that no one else on the defensive

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line safer Dwayne Carter I think in spurts when he's been healthy has played up to the

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level we thought they could. I mean to Juan Jones we talked about it last week is getting

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erased and double teams at Oliver. You're you're coming last week about his little piston

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arms not pistoning anymore right. He seems a little bit slow on the get off. And it just

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is he's getting pushed around by interior offensive lineman. And then eponnes has always

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been inconsistent in his run fits but he's had some splash splash sacks. So Rousseau is

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doing this I don't want to make it seem like it's this Herculean effort where he's the

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only guy producing because there are other guys producing in spurts but he is the only

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one in my mind for my money JJ who's doing it consistently weekend and week out and in

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meaningful spots as well. So Greg Rousseau give everyone every all the listeners another

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analogy to Greg or to I'm sorry to at Oliver's hand fighting and Oliver last season was a

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expensive Vitamix blender. He was the blades in the bottom of a Vitamix blender. Anytime

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somebody tried to get hands on him in terms of how his little arms were swinging around

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in ferocious little circles. This season he's like your grandpa's Oster that has been hand

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down four generations cannot can no longer make a smoothie and only one half of the blades

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are still there. That is like that's it's so like people get their hands on him and

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they stick to him and that's never happened in his career. I don't know what happened

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to at Oliver. Also it. Go ahead. Yeah. I was going to say also as an aside. I think we

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both I think Dequan Jones was sort of playing out of his mind through week five last year

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and this is more accurate to what you see what Dequan Jones game is.

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Yeah. I listen I appreciate what Dequan Jones has meant to this defensive line. You could

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argue that since star LaTula lay was on the squad he has been the best running mate for

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Ed Oliver on that defensive line. My concern was always his age the the tread on the tires

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so to speak and how quickly at that position decline comes as you age out of it. And I

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just think we're seeing that with with with Dequan Jones especially when you take into

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account the severity of the injuries that he's had pile up over the past couple of seasons.

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I think his decline was somewhat inevitable that we hoped he could stave it off for a

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little bit of time. And listen he's a veteran player. Maybe he's got some juice left for

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a for a hopeful playoff run here but he looks pretty ineffectual at this point. JJ another

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area I want to point your attention to is in the secondary because while while this Buffalo

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Bill secondary Taryn Johnson the surprising playoff DeMar Hamlin Taylor wraps consistency

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and of course the lockdown nature of Christian Benford have all been really great stories.

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It result Douglas seems to be as as Benford's running mate seems to be struggling over the

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past couple of weeks and past coverage over the past and by couple I mean four weeks over

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the past four weeks QB's have an average QB rating of one 17.5 when they're targeting

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result Douglas. Now listen when you're going when you're going up against the Buffalo Bills

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you do not want to test Christian Benford too often. So of course Douglas is going to

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see his fair share of reps come his way but still JJ based on what we saw last year and

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the fact that this dude is an opportunistic corner who when he closes in separation seems

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to come away with a pick he hasn't been generating a ton of turnovers over this this latter part

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of the first half of the season and he's allowing a lot more separation on average than he did

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last year and he's giving up a lot more yak yak so far over the last four weeks than he

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did to start the season as well. JJ are you concerned about Rizul Douglas being right

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now maybe a sneaky weak link in that secondary.

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I am because I've noticed the same thing you have in that he has not been the kind of tenacious

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in your face corner that he showed out to be all last year after the trade deadline. I'm

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not sure what's going on he he hasn't really had any reported injuries of any kind or anything

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that would cause him to be like you know responding a little bit slower to coverage snaps.

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So yeah it's a curious thing but it also in a lot of ways you know it sort of makes the

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the makes the fact that the bills did not choose to extend him and that he's playing out the last

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year of his deal make a little bit more sense in that they might know know something of course

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seeing him every day in practice or in the game to say that what he was presenting last year with

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what was it like in an interception for consecutive games or something like that like that that was

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not necessarily his regular standard production and might have been sort of a you know a fluke

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a little bit that would make some more sense. I'm all I'm gonna say they have Kyrie Lym for one more

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year if they feel like Christian or Christian Benford is the guy right and then Russell Douglas

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is not getting it done maybe it's Kyrie Lym's opportunity to earn a starting job.

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He's played well in the limited reps we've seen him this season he's managed to I think

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maintain his physicality without getting flagged so much for his pure aggression and I think that

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was the thing by and large that was holding him back from being a regular part of this rotation

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but I agree with you listen ride with Douglas it wasn't too long ago we were calling Douglas and

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Benford the potentially the best cornerback duo in the league or at the very least in the AFC East

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ride with it but I do think it's a trend worth noting especially as we head into this stretch

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where we're going to be facing Casey Biowik San Francisco LA and Detroit those are teams with

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legitimate wide receiver weapons and it's going to be very very interesting to see how how Douglas

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holds up at the end of that stretch you could be looking at it's especially to JJ if the bills do

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in fact have the division locked up by early December you could be looking at Kyrie Lym getting a

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little bit more run to see what his usage is going to be like in the postseason and I like it because

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I think that Kyrie Lym a couple of things that I was always really upset about after the Kyrie Lym

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Elym pick when he would get on the field is that he didn't have a great feel for zone coverage he

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didn't know how to squeeze routes from his designated zone he would sort of hit his landmark and just

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sit there as people gained separation around him or he would hit his landmark stay there and then

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lock onto one target in his zone and not recognize that there was somebody sneaking behind him in

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coverage and so those things have actually improved quite a bit in kind of rewatching the Colts game

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in in all 22 for his few snaps and then just other times throughout the season that he's been on the

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field especially late in games when the bills are winning he's shown out pretty well and then of

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course the game that Christian Benford was was fully out Kyrie Lym has presented pretty well.

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Yeah absolutely JJ I want to flip it over to the offensive side of the ball here

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and kind of in the same way that we went good and bad on the defensive side of the ball I want to

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do the same thing offensively but I want to start with bad because I want to end at a high note

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because I think there was more to like about the bill's offensive effort than the tape and the

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stats would allow but I want to start with something and I want to get your take Dalton

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Kincaid now I know he's struggling with an knee injury looks like he got pretty banged up in this

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Colts game but this has not been the season we expected from Kincaid now granted tight ends it

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takes them a while to find their fit in the league and this is only his halfway we are only halfway

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through the second season but JJ I think it's fair to ask is Kincaid regressing at this point

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he is on pace for less total receiving yards than he had last season despite the fact that he's been

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targeted at a higher rate this year than he was in his rookie year over the past two weeks he has

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seen a total of six of 15 targets and he's only hauled in six of those catches for 56 yards over

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the last two weeks his catch rate this season is his catch rate over expected this season is minus

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12.5% now you pointed out various stootley I think last pod that they are using him in far more

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downfield situations than he they did in his rookie year and his air yards per target has increased

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from 5.5 yards last year to 7.6 yards this year which tells me yes they're using him further down

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the field but JJ is this a is this a skill thing or is this a scheme thing because some of these

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numbers for Kincaid they do point to a downward turn and not the growth and development we thought

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we would get I worry a little bit it's a you know it's a skill thing because you know as you mentioned

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hit scheme wise he's been asked to do more that he's unfamiliar uncomfortable with

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but uh skill wise I think that there's something to be said for this dude's been battling injuries

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it seems ever since he came into the league and that we've seen that from so many promising you

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know young football players off of their rookie first year second year that they start to like

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drag around these big time injuries because they're playing in a big time league and they look less

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effective and sometimes that they recover fine sometimes you know it's the kind of thing where

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they realize over time that they're always going to be injured and they play through it they they

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buck up and other times it's like oh well they were not able to rise up to the physicality of the

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league and um it was sort of too much for them so the question I have right now is like what

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what did the second half of this season look like for Kincaid and most specifically the biggest thing

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I'm interested in is what does Kincaid's usage look like in games if they can get some kind of a

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stretch where Amari Cooper and Kean Coleman are both on the field and that's the hard part to

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gauge too because as we have noted this wide receiver room has been a constant work in progress

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you had Mack Hollins through the first three games who seem to be your wide receiver one despite all

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logic pointing to the fact that he shouldn't um Khalil Shakir in and out early in the season

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banged up a little bit Kean Coleman is a rookie finding his way the Amari Cooper piece seemed so

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important because then everybody slotted exactly the way they needed it to be and it's it's no

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coincidence that in the one game this this pass catcher room has played together fully healthy

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Kincaid had one of the stronger games of the season so it could be it could be a skill thing

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but I'm thinking scheme not that Brady is scheming up poorly for Kincaid but I do think they have a

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vision for his skill set in this scheme but it does rely so heavily on everybody else doing

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their one 11th on that offense for it to work um so I've got I've got concerns JJ that we might not

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fully realize that vision because I don't know that this pass catcher room is going to be healthy

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we know they're not going to be healthy for the KC game and that's a big one right so if you're Joe

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Brady do you ask yourself I'm going to be without Kean Coleman against KC I'm potentially going to

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be without Amari Cooper do I need to use this young tight end weapon in a different way than I have

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been to maximize not just his role in the offense but try to maximize the offense because this was

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not a great Josh Allen game either right and we saw for one of the few times this season the

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Houston game being another notable one where his completion rate completion rate over expected

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was below where it should have been and I mean he missed uh on quite a few throws in this game

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that wide open look to Kincaid where it felt like Kincaid hitched a little bit on that first

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quarter route where Josh just missed him but outside of that that was a very very that was a

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that was a play that Josh should have connected on there just seems to be something JJ that is not

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yet fully realized in this passing offense that I can't quite put my finger on I am talking it up

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to health like I've been consistently throughout the course of this pod and I hope I'm right and I'm

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hoping they're healthy we see what this pass game could look like because that feels like the one piece

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of this offense they're lacking in identity their identity in the run game is very very clear very

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very well defined and that's also where they've been the healthiest on the offensive line and in

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the running back room this season the pass game though doesn't feel as quite well defined at this

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point in the season yeah I think you're absolutely right I think that it's the biggest thing is like

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who's available and how much reporter they have with Josh Allen it if I'm watching this team and

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having so much familiarity watching every snap of Josh Allen's career um what I see is a lot of

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players that he's not super comfortable with other than uh Kalo Shakir in the wide receiver room

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and other than Dawson Knox in the tight end room and that includes Kincaid I think that they

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not they being Allen and Kincaid put a lot of effort and energy this offseason into being more

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familiar with each other spending time on and off the field um building that rapport but it

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still doesn't seem like he perfectly knows you know how to hit Kincaid where he wants the ball and

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and and where to kind of throw in on certain routes he tends to sail balls on Kincaid a little bit

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more than than expected um and so I think that you know it's a question of where do we you know

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let if we take a snapshot of now and then take a snapshot of the final game of the season of the

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regular season that Josh Allen and the starting offense plays in what does that look like and

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who steps up who stands out on the receivers um specifically the receiver room and tight end room

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and who kind of fades into the background a little bit because I was actually I mean this colds game

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I know Keon Coleman's not out there and no uh you know Cooper's not out there

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Mack Hollins like impressed me I had said multiple times I didn't think he had any value to this

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team other than a fourth or fifth wide receiver and special teams but he you know when he when

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push came to shove he had a lot of very clutch moments and very excellent routes yeah absolutely

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um clutch I think is the perfect way to define Mack Hollins performance in that game and listen

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it through give the guy give the guy guy's flowers because we have been I think rightfully critical

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of his outsized role early on in the season in the passing game um I love the fact too

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that early on you saw Curtis Samuel Joe Brady try to get Curtis Samuel going as well I they're just

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kicking the tires on so many of these pass catchers still JJ you wonder if the clock isn't going to

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run out eventually because otherwise offensively this is a team that's got a pretty clear identity

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that offensive line continues to great in the run game and they've just they get better it feels

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like each and every game they're in addition to that their pass block win rate has gone all the

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way up to fourth according to ESPN stats and info this year so this is a crew that is winning at

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the point of attack in a way that we and by we I mean me didn't think could be replicated based off

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the stellar performance of last year's offensive line but this group while they still have not

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hit the statistical heights of last year's group they are approaching that point and they're approaching

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that point at the right time and do James Cook like I not his best game statistically of the

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season but when you watch it on film that dude is running fast he is running angry like he is

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as complete a back as there is in the league I put him up there with the macaferies and the

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Barclays as far as what his impact on this offense can be for the Buffalo Bills moving forward

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again a lot to like there we saw Brady go a little bit away from the run game

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in the second quarter which we've seen him do a few times in his play sequencing when it looks

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like the defense is sort of figuring something out on the run game but he very he very wisely

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went back to it particularly in the second half as the bills were starting to close things out

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it JJ game script and always go the way the bills wanted it but they all ended up pulling out the

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win in the end and again there's a lot to like about this off this team's offensive identity

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if they can figure if they can get a passing game that complements this run game it's gonna be

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it's gonna be a scary year to come play often yeah absolutely and that's I think the thing

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that we talked about when we kind of opened the pot about the team being inconsistent

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and variable game to game it's just like so many you know Josh Allen and Sean McDermott teams that

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we've seen in years past if they can put put together all the phases that they need to nobody

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will stop them it's just the reality of the talent that they've assembled and it's part of the reason

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that I trust Brandon being anytime he makes moves because he pays attention to depth he pays attention

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to the combination of players he's smart with his money and he's smart with his draft picks and I

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I like the team I like the roster construction I'm very happy this season with the integration of

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rookies into the lineup I can you know go for a little bit more specifically when it comes to

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Cole Bishop Cole Bishop yes red Cole Bishop let's see it let's make it happen let's see some more but

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I for the most part everybody else has played more than I believe they they normally would

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you know I think we both are Javon Solomon fans I think we both are interested in uh Cedric Van

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Prand Granger but without good this offensive line is playing don't mess don't mess with it just to

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try to get a rookie on the field let him cook let him cook behind you know behind the scenes

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and also you know when I look at James Cook and Ray Davis I see two two bell cow backs I don't see

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a 1a 1b I see two backs who could both handle the 20 plus touches a game and so what that looks like

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to me is that you know even as much as we might love James Cook if he commands a pretty big contract

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at the end of next year we could probably see him walk and the bills try to get a compensatory

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with Ray Davis and the wings ready to take that that workload absolutely and then plenty of draft

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capital here lining up for the 2025 draft as being a great job accumulating a stable of draft picks

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they could use to potentially build toward continue to build towards the future of this roster

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all right JJ great thoughts on the win for the bills great win overall for the bills

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we now head into chief's week my friend and I'm looking forward to talking about that one because

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it's going to be interesting for so many different reasons but for all of you listening at home this

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is the last time that you will have to listen only to this podcast because starting with our chief's

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preview we are heading to YouTube but until then stream or download us wherever you get your podcasts

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Apple Spotify and as always go bills go bills

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you

