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All right, Dan, welcome back to the Buffalo Bread podcast.

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We are staring at week 10 at a matchup with the Indianapolis Colts in Indianapolis.

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And the bills successfully closed out last weekend, a season sweep of the Miami Dolphins.

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They squished those fish.

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It was a little bit clencher than I think anybody wanted and or expected.

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And it was a much closer game than either of our predictions would have had it.

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But have had it been.

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But what are your thoughts and what's going on with you, sir?

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Hang on.

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I'm right.

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So infrequently on this pod, I got a fact check something.

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Didn't I say this is going to be a three point game?

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Didn't I see like, say like 2724?

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I think I said like 2724.

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Maybe I'm reconstructing history to believe we both thought it'd be a blowout like me.

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No, no, no, no.

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It was you that thought it would be a blowout.

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I'm like, dude, this is their season.

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This is going to be a sweaty, sweaty game.

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And it was a sweaty, sweaty game.

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And glad the bills pulled it out.

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Lots to talk about, I think, though, that should give us pause for concern or cause for concern,

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rather halfway through the season or more than halfway through the season now.

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And I think some of the roster moves that the bills made earlier on in the week, trying

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to fortify the D line kind of confirms what we all saw with our eyeballs as we watch them

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play the dolphins, which is the defense defensive line is not very good at this particular stage.

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Gregor so having arguably an all pro season, and then no one else on that line at Oliver

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included is doing much of anything at this point.

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So I think a lot of good stuff to unpack JJ, but there are some real issues that are going

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to play the bills against better teams.

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Yeah, you're absolutely right.

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You did guess that it was going to be a 24 21 game three point win by the bills.

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So I'll give you that.

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I think it was going to be a two score blowout.

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And in my defense had Keon Coleman pulled down that slant instead of letting it popping

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it up for an interception and had Josh Allen's touchdown run not got called back on the most

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obnoxious holding call I've ever seen in my entire life of watching.

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Not.

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Yeah, it was not a hold.

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I want to break that one down in a minute.

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But yeah, if it had those two things happen, they would have won by two touchdowns.

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So we both were right.

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That's amazing revisionist history.

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I need a win.

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So well, here here here is where I think we can both celebrate a little bit.

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We both called it the moment Keon Coleman was on Jalen Ramsey.

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Josh went right to him.

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He went right to him.

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And it was just it was just so painful to watch that ball bounce right off of Keon's

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chest.

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Yes.

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And he was getting arms of a decrepit Jalen Ramsey.

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Yeah, that was my low point for the game.

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Honestly, just watching that happen.

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Oh, yeah.

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Well, I was hard on Keon for that because I think it ultimately is his fault.

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It's his job to catch the ball.

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But I think that it's fair also to say like, hey, Josh Allen, you're throwing the ball

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eight yards.

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It doesn't have to go 97 miles per hour.

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I know.

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But like he really wanted it.

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It was it was a quick check down like he wanted to get it out as quickly as possible.

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Yeah.

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And like so so I get it like this is this is why you would get a guy like Keon Coleman

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who's got a big body athletic receiver and he can catch those fastballs.

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Yeah, absolutely.

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So so yeah, I think that, you know, let's go right into the officiating was garbage.

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Terrible.

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What is this?

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I don't understand.

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I just don't understand.

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And then I think that there was like bad calls on both sides.

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But I think that the bills probably I would say the bills got more of the bad calls.

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I know I'm a Homer, I'm no I'm a bills fan, but being as objective as I can, the fact

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that Taylor wrap got called for for unnecessary roughness when he when Rehm Moester clearly

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speared him with the crown of his helmet was one completely ridiculous call.

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And then Dion Dawkins against chop Robinson on the on Josh Allen's not Josh Allen's touchdown

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run but the play prior literally completes a absolute textbook snatch trap where he grabs

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chop Robinson's hands uses his momentum against him and pulls him to the ground and then sits

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on him basically like I can't I would that's a clip I would use to teach somebody how to

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use somebody's momentum against them in the event that they're leaning too far into their

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rush.

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Absolutely.

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It was perfect.

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It was perfect offensive line play.

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And then of course the Osiris Torrance hold was a complete garbage as well.

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He had both of his hands inside the chest plate he had his elbows locked in and what

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he just was blocking too good.

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You can grab somebody on the inside because that a defensive lineman anyone worth their

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salt on the defensive line should be able to break out of a grasp if it's on your chest

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plate.

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It's only the I mean I guess it's against the letter of the law but in the in the NFL

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it's widely accepted that holds are called on people grasping or gripping outside of

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the frame kind of around the shoulders arms you know sides etc.

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Absolutely.

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The officiating JJ has been bad this season and for me it's skewed some of the penalty

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numbers that the bills have ranked up this season.

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I you know penalties on and off in the McDermott era have been a problem for this bills team

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and we've harped on this pod before because that kind of stuff ultimately is going to

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cost you against better teams.

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Like part of the reason why the bills are having so many so many issues converting on

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third down on offense this year has to do with the down in distance that they are in

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third down which is about 1.7 yards longer than it was last season.

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And I chalk a lot of that up to some of the penalties that they've been drawing here in

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key situations on offense.

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But it is also hard for me to put that on the coaching staff a lot of times because

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as we have seen the officiating has been atrocious in the NFL writ large but in bills games

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in particulars when we have seen these games play out fully.

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So I think the officiating is bad and it tied back to the narrative of how it impacts the

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bills.

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If you're the bills I don't know what the coaching staff can tell these guys to do differently

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right.

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And that's I think the most frustrating part if you're at one bills drive and I know it's

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a frustrating part for us as a fan base is that what are you instructing Torrance to

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do differently in that situation.

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What are you telling Dawkins to do differently in that situation.

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Like these are atrocious calls that hurt your team.

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But what's more is week to week that's not going to be the call that they're going to

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get.

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So prep your guys in technique and skill and scheme in a way that is going to be officiated

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inconsistently week in and week out.

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And that's a league wide problem right now.

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So it's hard for me to attribute the increase in penalties for the bills to anything else

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other than it's just been been a poorly officiated year.

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I don't as much as I'd like to take shot at the coaching staff as I tend to do on the

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spot.

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It's not on the coaching.

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It's not on the preparation what they're teaching these guys.

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It's on the officials.

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Yeah, and you know, oftentimes I put those put it squarely at the feet of the actual

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players too.

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But in those in those few instances, I think that it was they were doing everything perfectly

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textbook to the way that it's it's coached and the way it should be taught.

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And so yeah, it was that was garbage.

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The official is garbage.

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I think that the I actually think that the poyer hit because we saw Jordan poyer be called

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for things like that when he was a bill.

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He tends to come in hot.

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It's you know, is pointed out by somebody in the Buffalo media recently that he the

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fact that he's losing a step and that he's so much slower now than he was a couple of

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years ago means he's always late to a play, which means he's always lined up to get some

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pretty nasty, nasty hits in, which is just going to result in more more penalties, I

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think.

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Yeah, no, that's been called pretty consistently throughout the course of the season, like

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helmet on helmet, leading with leading with your helmet and the way that he did.

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Like that's always going to get flagged in it.

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It should be flagged, right?

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It should be flagged.

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JJ, outside of the officiating couple of things that I saw in the game that I thought were

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were solid.

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The defense did not have its best showing.

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And I think we're going to talk about this.

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But what I really liked, really, really liked was Babich was changing up the pressure packages

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that he was styling up at the line of scrimmage for his DBs.

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So the Buffalo bills, JJ, in this game pressed Miami Dolphins wide receivers on almost half

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of the total snap count, which was more than double what they did in the first game.

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You and I have been saying that the Miami Dolphins, they want to beat you downfield.

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If you play that soft zone, they're going to get one.

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They're going to get two eventually, right?

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Babich dialed up some great press looks for his outside DBs in this game.

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And it was interesting that Benford being out, he chose to go that high with Elam, who

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we know this is in his skill set.

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We know he's a press main corner guy.

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He went this way with Elam.

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And it was so interesting to see that differentiated skill set play out in the scheme of that way,

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because I thought it was a great addition.

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It really did a good job in locking down these Miami wide receivers.

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It gave them, I think, a different wrinkle and a different look than they've seen from

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this bill's defense before.

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And dude, I was kind of here for it.

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If the bills had any kind of run defense, that could have been a near total and complete

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defensive domination by that team.

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But unfortunately, their issues on the defensive line and their choice to continue to play

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light boxes and obvious rundown situations is something that teams are going to continue

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to pick on.

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I thought Babich did a great job, though, giving his putting his DBs, especially when

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an Elam in a position where he could be comfortable with the plays that were called, as opposed

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to relying on him to be like comfortable with the scheme.

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He just kind of met his players where he was at.

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And I was really cool with that.

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Yeah, no, I think that the scheme was pretty good.

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I think that it was interesting because after the game, of course, the Dolphins looked like

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they ran all over the bills.

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And we've seen that year over year from this bill's defense and the scheme.

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After the game, some of Terran Johnson's conversation or some of the feedback he gave

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to reporters was that that was the plan, that they were literally, they were just run on

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us, extend the game, extend your drives, take time, because they were basically saying,

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you're not going to hit, you know, Greek or Waddle over the top on us for 60 yards, which

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is the way they've played the Dolphins forever.

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The Devon A-Chains going to have a Hall of Fame career based on playing the bills twice

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a year because they're just going to let him run into a light box and find creases on the

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edges and trust that their offense in those crunch times, their defense in those crunch

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times is going to stand up to the pressure and the Dolphins are going to fold, which

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has been a gamble that they've been, you know, they've been right on for what, like 17 or

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15 of 17 attempts against this team.

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Yeah, no.

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And listen, it's the way they tend to play a lot of run heavy teams to begin with, where

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I don't think it is ultimately going to be successful is against teams like Baltimore,

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against teams like Kansas City, against teams, I would argue, even like Houston with Joe

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Mix and now back in the mix.

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I think those teams have more general talent around them at all phases of the ball.

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I know Riek and Waddle are amazing, right?

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Everyone knows they're amazing.

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But that offense of a lot of Miami stinks.

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They don't have great tight ends, right?

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Like there's a lot that that offense is lacking that the teams are going to be going up against

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in, I mean, I think it feels safe to say in January, because it looks like the bills are

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almost assured a wild card spot now.

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It's just not going to be as effective.

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So I trust in Babich.

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I trust in McDermott is the defensive coordinator.

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I just feel like they've got to dial something up different against those teams that are

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so successful at running the ball and that have other ways that they can attack this

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Buffalo Bills defense.

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Well, the fact that if you're like out there and you're just like, oh, the Buffalo Bills

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can't stop the run at all, just pay attention to the way that they stuff the run in fourth

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and one, third and one goal line situations.

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They have it in their repertoire.

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They have run blitzes.

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They have gap fill schemes where they spill linebackers into every available crease and

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make sure and make sure to stuff it down.

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It's by design that they there seems to be like four to six yards every single play available.

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Because like, you know, like we've been talking about the bills just let it happen.

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They just sort of, you know, they they stand back and they they don't stand back, but they

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depend on individual matchups or players splitting double teams to get run stuffs.

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And the fact that at Oliver Greg Rousseau, you know, occasionally to Juan Jones, any

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of them ever have that show up is actually an outlier.

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It's not the design.

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The design would be actually having help in all those creases with linebackers, which

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they didn't don't ever plan for.

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So I think it's going to be frustrating.

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It's going to be annoying, but it's something that we're going to watch.

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And you know, if they continues to, you know, play into the game script for the bills, the

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way they want to play it, essentially they're saying, you can run on us.

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We're going to try to score until you just won't be able to choose to run because you're

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too far behind.

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And that's when our defense is going to shine.

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And that's what we've seen in the bills blowouts of other teams.

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It's they've gotten far enough ahead on the scoreboard that the other team has abandoned

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the run and become one dimensional.

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And that's where the bills defense absolutely eats.

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JJ, from one defense to the other, I was, you know, I posted this on threads and I posted

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this on our socials.

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I was very impressed with the back and forth of Joe Brady and Anthony Weaver in this game.

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And I know, listen, the Buffalo Bill scored 30 points.

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I know people might think it's weird to laud a defensive coordinator whose defense gave

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up 30 points.

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But that it was so obvious to me that the Miami Dolphins had watched a lot of tape on

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what the bills like to do.

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They were ready for some of the key Josh Allen, Josh Allen boots and design QB runs that we

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haven't seen called a lot in the past couple of weeks, but Brady was dialing up.

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And what I liked was Brady's response when Weaver and that that depleted Miami defense

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would take something away.

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Brady was able to dial up something that would free up another player.

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I mean, dude, over the past couple of weeks, this has been low key impressive.

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The Buffalo Bill screen game, the way they're using Shakira in the screen game in particular,

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the way that they're using starting to use Ray Davis and some of that quick out game

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out of the backfield.

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Like it's it has been nice adjustments.

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And what's more is it's given Josh a lot more hot reads off of Blitz's.

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I thought we were was going to come in and blitz Josh a lot.

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And they did in the first half and Brady dialed up some really nice hot reads for Josh and

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that for in that first half in particular to where the dolphins had to reconsider their

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strategy and really dial it down and go into more of a zone type of coverage.

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I was very impressed with how Brady was countering Weaver.

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And I thought we were called a really good game that third and three, I think it was

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in the first quarter in the red zone, design QB boot outside to Josh, they were just ready

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for it and they had it smothered.

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And that's not an easy play to counter that the Buffalo Bills like to run because they're

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so proficient at it and they've got an alien QB that's so natural at running it.

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But that might be defense as down as they were talent wise.

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They really did step up in some key situations.

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The Bills like the Bills just made more plays and Josh just made more plays.

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That final touchdown to Quentin Morris in the end zone, including Mahomes dude, no one

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else can make that play.

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And you cannot script for that if you're a defensive coordinator and that's got to be

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the first most frustrating thing for Miami heading out of it.

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But I loved what Brady was doing, particularly in the screen game and some of these Blitz

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beaters JJ, what did you see from the offense?

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Yeah, I mean, I thought that they they what they approached was I agree with you that

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we ever called an excellent defensive game and the Bills had to overcome with kind of

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exceptional individual efforts and they were able to do so.

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Yeah, the the Quentin Morris touchdown is absolutely just bonkers like Josh Allen is

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being tackled by three people and shot puts the ball to somebody he can't see who catches

286
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it, you know, for an easy touchdown.

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It was those sort of bananas.

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But in general, what I saw was the Bills offensive line was doing their best with a pretty difficult

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match up when it came to the twist stunts simulated pressures and extra rushers.

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They were trying to keep Josh Allen clean and they did keep him clean for the most part

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for the throughout the game in the face of what I thought was an excellent pressure package

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and an excellent number of rushers at very key times.

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And so that was good.

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And I thought, you know, like you had noticed the screen game amazing Khalil Shakir still

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amazing.

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Key on Coleman didn't get so much play, but I feel like he's coming along.

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I hope he's he's healthy for this next match up because it's it's it's a time than they

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when they need him.

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But yeah, I mean, I don't know, Josh Allen had to put on the cape again for this one.

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I think we can both agree.

301
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:55,360
It felt a lot like the Arizona Cardinals game week one where these things weren't necessarily

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00:17:55,360 --> 00:17:56,360
going their way.

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00:17:56,360 --> 00:17:59,680
They were struggling a little bit on defense to slow down the opponent.

304
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So they just had to, you know, rely on their super alien quarterback.

305
00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:09,280
Yeah, I definitely picked up on some of that, particularly I will say towards the end of

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00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:15,160
the game where it felt like weaver was really dialed in and listen, as good a game as Brady

307
00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:21,240
called the play calling on that final drive that ended with Beth Bass's game winning 61

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yard field goal.

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I didn't love the timing of when they took the time.

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It was bad.

311
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It was really bad.

312
00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:28,520
Yeah.

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I mean, the dolphins at that point just dropped seven into coverage.

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00:18:33,120 --> 00:18:36,160
And there was nothing because they had been showing so many different looks throughout

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00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:37,560
the course of the game.

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00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:42,120
There's really nothing that Brady could dial up on that drive that was those working really

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00:18:42,120 --> 00:18:43,120
well.

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The poyer penalty bails them out on one play.

319
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And then you've got Tyler Bass with just the most amazing redemptive kick in NFL history

320
00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:57,480
maybe right or at least in Buffalo Bills history in that moment.

321
00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:01,080
Because if those two things don't happen, I think we're talking a lot about a really

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00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:06,040
good game, a really good game script called by an offensive coordinator who again kind

323
00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:07,880
of fumbles the bag at the end of the game.

324
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:12,440
And again, I'm happy the bills won and I'm optimistic.

325
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:16,560
But if that's against the chiefs or a better team, like I really wonder if the outcome

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00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:17,560
is going to be the same.

327
00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:18,560
Yeah.

328
00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:24,680
And I think too that the the offensive, you know, productivity, you cannot, you cannot

329
00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:32,200
like ignore the fact that Javon Holland and Sealer were both out for this game.

330
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:36,640
The bills shouldn't have had as much trouble as they did moving the ball in this team,

331
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:43,480
given how terrible the Miami Dolphins pass rush has been and how weak they've been in

332
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:45,480
coverage.

333
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:52,080
Yeah, dude, I mean, just the final numbers on this game.

334
00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:55,840
Yards per attempt from Josh, six yards per attempt.

335
00:19:55,840 --> 00:20:00,120
Like Josh has been great at attacking the intermediate parts of the field, but the dolphins were

336
00:20:00,120 --> 00:20:05,760
really, really clear about when they blitzed, we're going to we're going to man you up and

337
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,080
we're going to man you up hard.

338
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:11,520
And a lot of our wide receivers struggled to get separation, which has been the story

339
00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:12,520
of the season.

340
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:14,600
It comes down to player execution.

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00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:21,480
And Brady again, did some really nice creative things, particularly in the run game and particularly

342
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:25,800
with the screen game to kind of keep things moving and get things going.

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00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:31,640
But to your point, it shouldn't be so easy for a depleted defense to take away so many

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00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:33,440
of the things that you want to do.

345
00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:35,120
Again, we've recalled a great game.

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I thought Brady had the right counters.

347
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:43,480
Again, Tyler Bass, I think in more ways than one, bailed this team out on that last drive

348
00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:45,400
for a little bit of clock mismanagement.

349
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And then also, I think some some a lack of creativity and play calling to get things

350
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moving.

351
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:51,800
Yeah, absolutely.

352
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:57,760
But I mean, you can't you can't mess with the results, I think that, you know, offensively,

353
00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:01,160
they did what they needed to do to get this done.

354
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:06,560
And and I agree with you that the Tyler Bass redemption kick, it really like it kind of

355
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:13,240
wipes away so many ills that he's, I think he's not what is he 10 for 10 in fourth quarter

356
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,040
and game winning field goals at this point.

357
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:19,040
That's feels like you pay attention to that stat.

358
00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:23,680
If he can keep that perfect, I think a missed extra point here and there is not the end

359
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:24,680
of the world.

360
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:29,200
If it's not the deciding factor in a game, it's notable that that is a regular season

361
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:30,200
stat.

362
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:31,200
Yeah.

363
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:32,200
Oh, that's funny.

364
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:33,200
Yeah.

365
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:34,200
Yeah, regular season stat.

366
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:35,200
But yes, absolutely.

367
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,240
No matter what, T-Bass, we are happy for you for sure.

368
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:43,120
So listen, I think the result is the one that we wanted, the Miami Dolphins.

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I don't want to cross them off because like we saw what that offense could do.

370
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:51,120
But I also think a lot of that was because of familiarity with the Buffalo Bills and

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00:21:51,120 --> 00:21:53,440
they just knew what the bills were going to let them do.

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I don't think the Dolphins, despite having some of that talent on offense, are going

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to make any kind of real run here at the end of the season.

374
00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,000
I do think their season is effectively over.

375
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,520
So great job by the bills.

376
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:07,200
It was the result we wanted.

377
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:12,360
But again, continuing to see some trend lines in the run defense with the defensive line

378
00:22:12,360 --> 00:22:17,160
and also just with the ability of teams to cover our wide receivers that are going to

379
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:22,440
be a problem as the schedule gets tougher again later on in the season.

380
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:23,440
Yeah, no doubt.

381
00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:24,440
No doubt.

382
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:29,920
I did want to say one thing about the defensive line, kind of before we close out the Dolphins

383
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:33,200
game and move on to the Colts preview.

384
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:38,800
I was digging through some of the stats with the defensive line as we should expect.

385
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:44,480
Greg Rousseau is the 18th best defensive end in the league in terms of pass rush win rate,

386
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:49,400
off his speed to the QB.

387
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:54,640
He's having an excellent pass rushing season, even if his sack numbers aren't doing great.

388
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,840
I'll Jerry Hughes in his prime.

389
00:22:57,840 --> 00:22:59,720
But it matters.

390
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,680
When there's nothing else, that matters, right?

391
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:07,560
And he's always been exceptional in run fits and still is remaining in the top of the league

392
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:14,040
in terms of sealing the edge in the run and ending successful plays in the run when run

393
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,560
directly at him.

394
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:21,080
Even though he had some misses in this game when they were doubling him on the edge or

395
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,320
running directly at him.

396
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:25,640
That's something to note and pay attention to.

397
00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:31,440
DeKwan Jones, 7th best defensive tackle in terms of pass rush win rate.

398
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:36,320
And you'll notice an obvious miss in these stats.

399
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:38,400
Those are the only ones that are notable.

400
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:45,640
No Ed Oliver, no AJ Apanezza, two players who have at times been near the tops of the

401
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:49,280
charts in pass rush win rate.

402
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:54,640
Not seeing any pressure on Tua was really frustrating for me that entire game.

403
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:59,600
And I think it's because teams basically double DeKwan Jones, they're leaving at Oliver

404
00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:02,280
one on one.

405
00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:07,120
I think he's got something going on injury wise because his get off is like a step, a

406
00:24:07,120 --> 00:24:10,320
beat slower than it's been his entire career.

407
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:12,880
And his hand fighting is not as violent.

408
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,120
And we texted about this.

409
00:24:15,120 --> 00:24:19,960
When I rewatched the tape in the Alt 22, his hand fighting is not nearly as violent or

410
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:23,640
impactful as it has been for his entire career.

411
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,600
And I just don't understand what's happening with that.

412
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:31,800
Yeah, I saw the same thing on the rewatch Liam Eichenberg.

413
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:36,400
I mean, when he was meshed up on Oliver just absolutely dominated him, moved him wherever

414
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:40,920
he needed to to create whatever lane HN needed.

415
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:45,320
Greg Rousseau to your point earlier, fourth in the league this season, JJ and quick pressure

416
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:46,320
rate.

417
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:47,320
Those are pressures.

418
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:51,480
So QB hurries, hits or sacks that happened in 2.5 seconds or under.

419
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:56,400
That's exactly in a world where you play Tua twice a year where Joe Burrow is competition,

420
00:24:56,400 --> 00:25:00,480
Will Amara is getting the ball out quicker, where Mahomes is getting the ball out quicker.

421
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,400
That's exactly the type of asset and weapon you want on the defensive line.

422
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:08,880
For the rest of the performance from at Oliver down to your point is but really underwhelming

423
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:09,880
this season.

424
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:15,920
And again, we said this after the Baltimore game, outside of Groot, the defensive line

425
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:20,080
looks light, they look small, again, in certain matchups.

426
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:23,960
And I think that is something ultimately that's going to come back to bite them later on in

427
00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:28,200
the season when they will begin some elite offensive lines, most notably Kansas City

428
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:29,640
in a couple of weeks here.

429
00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:30,640
Yeah, absolutely.

430
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:31,840
I'm worried about that.

431
00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:36,400
I found while I was kind of digging through the stats to one interesting one, which is

432
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:43,880
Javan Solomon has the sixth fastest sack in the season in terms of them keeping track

433
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:48,360
of how fast from snap to quarterback on the ground.

434
00:25:48,360 --> 00:25:52,760
His sack earlier, I think it was week two or three, was the it still sits as the sixth

435
00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,680
fastest sack of any player of the season.

436
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:56,680
That's this game though.

437
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,480
He's like a pure speed edge rusher, right?

438
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:01,040
Like I would expect that out of him.

439
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:04,080
Yeah, his development over the next couple of years has me really excited.

440
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:05,080
It really does.

441
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:06,080
I think he's going to be good.

442
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:07,080
All right, man.

443
00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:13,920
Closing the books on another season of Finn's domination.

444
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,960
I'm just really happy with where the bills landed on that one.

445
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:21,920
And now we move into, I think, a winnable game, but one that's going to be sneaky, sweaty

446
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,160
and the Indianapolis Colts.

447
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:28,040
So the Indianapolis Colts JJ, yet another road came for the Buffalo Bills.

448
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:30,640
It feels like we're always on the road these days.

449
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:35,600
The Colts JJ are sitting at four and five and have the distinction of being the only

450
00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:43,000
team this season and the fourth team in NFL history to have their first nine games decided

451
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:44,720
by one possession.

452
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:48,400
So this team is four and five, as I mentioned earlier, and all those games to set up by one

453
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:49,400
possession.

454
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:55,600
The Buffalo Bills JJ are three and one in close games this season, which is a market improvement

455
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:59,920
as we noted earlier in the year from some of their past performances here.

456
00:26:59,920 --> 00:27:01,320
So you've got two teams.

457
00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:02,800
They love to play close games.

458
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,880
They're almost they're almost attracted to it.

459
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,880
They don't know how to play any other type of game other than a close game.

460
00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:12,440
JJ, where do you want to start offense or defense for the bills?

461
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:16,440
Let's start bills offense versus the Colts defense because I have a lot of I have a

462
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:17,760
lot of notes about the Colts defense.

463
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:23,640
I think the Colts, if we're talking about the opponent, the Colts, the Colts team is

464
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,640
more interesting to me.

465
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:27,920
Their defense is more interesting to me than their offense.

466
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:32,280
And it's funny because their defense is like very poorly rated across the board.

467
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,240
But watching it, it's bad.

468
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:39,560
That's the thing is the statistics and kind of analytics would tell you that this is like

469
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:40,680
an abysmal defense.

470
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:45,720
I saw some a lot of redeeming things on individual plays.

471
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:49,760
And I think that they the problem they have is they get they get roasted.

472
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:53,280
They have a lot of busted plays and big 20 plus yard plays.

473
00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:59,960
But in like play and play out game script stuff, they they have it.

474
00:27:59,960 --> 00:28:00,960
I'm afraid.

475
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:02,160
Okay, I'll phrase it this way.

476
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:07,080
I'm afraid the Colts defense is finally going to put it all together against the bills because

477
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,720
that's the kind of thing is that they have talented.

478
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:11,720
They have a handful of talented players.

479
00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:15,040
They tend to fly around and fly to the ball really well.

480
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:18,360
They have the best forced fumble rate in the entire league.

481
00:28:18,360 --> 00:28:20,760
So like they turn the ball over on you.

482
00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:27,160
They have some interesting splash play stuff, but they then will get absolutely destroyed,

483
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:33,280
you know, on a on a deep, deep pass on a run play that goes for like 36 yards.

484
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:37,960
And so I'm hopeful for the bills that this this continues that they get those big plays

485
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:42,880
because some of the defensive splash plays that they are able to accomplish are very

486
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,880
scary to me and some of their players are absolutely terrifying.

487
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:50,480
I think that some of their ratings and analytics have also been suppressed because de force

488
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:56,360
Buckner was out for a good portion of the year and he is their best defense defensive

489
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:58,760
player like bar none.

490
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:03,400
Even with people like Julian Blackman, who I very, very much like, I think divorce Buckner

491
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:07,480
is one of the best players at that position in the league, even in his kind of later

492
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:08,480
age.

493
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:14,920
Yeah, dude, I mean, their pressure rate is 14 percentage points better when when Buckner

494
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:16,720
is on the field.

495
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:20,840
When he has not been playing this season, their pressure rate sinks down to 30%.

496
00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:23,600
When he's on, it's almost 45%.

497
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:27,360
So I agree, I think that's going to make a difference because he's a player who if you're

498
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:30,960
if you're an offensive coordinator, you're an offensive lineman, you always need to know

499
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:35,280
where he is lining up in in the opposing team set.

500
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:37,320
So he's going to be wanting to keep an eye on for sure.

501
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:42,400
Then you've got Grover Stewart, who's his partner defensive tackle here in this cult

502
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:43,400
scheme.

503
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:44,400
I listen.

504
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:48,320
I'm the stats guy, I tend to believe in the numbers a little bit.

505
00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:53,160
I do think Buckner gives this team a boost for sure.

506
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:58,840
But I think to your point earlier, this is a defense that cannot consistently force teams

507
00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:00,760
to matriculate down the field.

508
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:05,560
That is the style of defense that teams play these days, they're going to force you to

509
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:09,160
dink and dunk and work your way down until you make a mistake.

510
00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:12,640
The Indianapolis Cults are not good at that, right?

511
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:17,480
And as a result, I think this Buffalo Bill's offense is going to find ways to really work

512
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:18,480
against them.

513
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:22,520
And I think this is going to be a big game, depending on if Cooper can play or not.

514
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:26,480
I think it's actually going to be a big game for whoever lines up in that, that traditional

515
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:28,760
number two spot opposite him.

516
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:32,800
Because the Indianapolis Cults have a really hard time guarding second and third options

517
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:36,960
and tight ends as well, according to DVOA.

518
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:41,080
They don't rank any better than 19th in any of those metrics JJ.

519
00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:44,920
So if Cooper is out there while I'd like to see Cooper have his first big game as a Buffalo

520
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:51,640
Bill, this could simply be another one where he is taking away coverage pressure from other

521
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:56,800
guys on the field and letting dudes like Coleman, should he play Shakir and I'm still waiting

522
00:30:56,800 --> 00:31:01,760
for it, Kincaid to have bigger games and play a bigger role in the offense.

523
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:09,800
So I don't think while there are some names on this Cults defense, I don't think there

524
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:14,960
has been enough that I have seen that tells me they can put it all together in this game.

525
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:15,960
Sure.

526
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:22,000
I think that's I mean, listen, Dan, I just think you're being incredibly disrespectful

527
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:25,640
to a demo, yeah, I'd have a war a.

528
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:29,040
Yes, who is a player they have.

529
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,720
That's exactly what I was going for.

530
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:39,520
Yes, that level of disrespected was trying to smash on a, let's see, he is a fourth round

531
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:47,440
pick from 2023 out of Northwestern, of course, 62 282, def, undersized defensive tackle.

532
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:50,800
Yeah, I just, I just, yeah, I'm playing.

533
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:54,040
I'm sorry, I'm sorry, Mr. Eddaboware.

534
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:59,200
But what I will say is they have a lot to who out of UCLA, who I really like coming

535
00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:00,200
out in the draft.

536
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:01,200
He's been solid.

537
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:04,000
And he looks like he's he's putting it together a little bit.

538
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:09,240
They've quitty pay, who is an absolute beast is not necessarily maybe living up to his

539
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:14,600
draft stock, but but I think still has, you know, some splash plays here and there.

540
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:17,040
I think just Zaire Franklin is a stud.

541
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:23,560
I think EJ speed is good in coverage, but can get washed out in the run as a linebacker.

542
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:27,160
This is going to sound like I'm playing with, you know, some back of the roster guys again,

543
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:28,320
but Grant Stewart.

544
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:29,320
Have you seen this guy?

545
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:30,840
He's got like the Palomalu hair.

546
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:34,040
Yeah, he's number 44 41.

547
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:36,920
Yeah, 41 Grant Stewart.

548
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,080
He might come in in three linebacker sets against the bills on the run.

549
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:42,080
And actually, I do not like that matchup.

550
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:45,540
I want them to stay in nickel when the bills run on them.

551
00:32:45,540 --> 00:32:49,440
Because what I saw from Grant Stewart is he is absolutely abysmal.

552
00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:53,760
If you pass it, Kincaid will like work him all day, if that's a matchup.

553
00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:58,560
But in the run game, he's got like, I think it's probably the Palomalu hair.

554
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:03,160
He's got this natural instinct to shoot into the gap and absolutely own anybody trying to

555
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:08,880
like stretch plays to the edges, which is a problem when you have to force Buckner basically

556
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,080
completely canceling the middle of the defense.

557
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:12,760
Yeah, he's our Dorian Williams.

558
00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:15,920
He's an absolute missile in the run game for sure.

559
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:20,280
And you want to you want to be able to take advantage with some of those pass out of heavy

560
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:24,200
sets situations to keep the cults a little bit off balance.

561
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:28,040
I want to go back to your point about Kincaid because I got a question for you.

562
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:35,800
Is that is this he is currently on pace JJ to have fewer yards and fewer receptions that

563
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:36,800
he did last year.

564
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:37,800
All right.

565
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:41,680
We are now over the half way point of the season.

566
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:44,360
Is there is this a scheme issue?

567
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:48,680
Are people simply based on what you're seeing on film, dedicating a lot of resources to

568
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:49,680
stopping him?

569
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:51,400
Is the way they're using him?

570
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:54,800
Like he feels like the piece that has not yet clicked for this offense.

571
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,080
I'm curious as to what you're seeing as to why.

572
00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:01,000
My answer is that they have unreliable outside wide receiver talents.

573
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,320
So he goes to intermediate and deep level routes.

574
00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:10,880
He is one of their best and fastest route runners at double moves at seam balls at deep

575
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:15,520
overs, which are all things that have not necessarily, especially in big moments and

576
00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:20,880
difficult games with really good pass rushes, all long developing plays that Josh Allen

577
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:23,960
has not been had enough pocket time for.

578
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,880
They've been using Kinkade on all of those routes that they do not have a Alpha dog,

579
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:32,680
a number one wide receiver to run because he has that receiving ability.

580
00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:36,400
And that's why you've seen you saw him in two games ago.

581
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:40,960
You saw him catch that ball that ended up being the weird challenge fumble out of bounds

582
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:44,000
situation along the right side line.

583
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:45,760
That's the kind of route that they've been using him on.

584
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,560
So it's definitely scheme.

585
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:51,320
I don't think it's that Josh Allen is not finding him.

586
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:59,440
If they used Kinkade like the chiefs use Kelsey and he was his only existence in life was

587
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:03,480
to be a check down safety valve for Josh Allen.

588
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:08,120
He would probably be leading the tight ends in the league in receptions and yards right

589
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:09,120
now.

590
00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:10,120
Yeah.

591
00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:16,600
His catch rate to your point is reflective of some of the more difficult high variance

592
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:17,920
routes that he is running.

593
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,680
I mean, I think he was targeted 10 times in that Miami game.

594
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:23,920
He only yanked in four of those catches.

595
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:25,880
So I do think that's a piece of it.

596
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,480
I'm just, I'm waiting.

597
00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:32,080
And this is why I hope Cooper is healthy and I hope he develops in this offense because

598
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:37,080
I think like he has opened up things quickly for Coleman, he's really going to open up

599
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:38,280
things for Kinkade too.

600
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:42,680
And I think that's an option that bills are going to need down the road because his presence

601
00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:49,400
is a point of focus for an opposing defense really does matter in a lot of different

602
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:51,040
sets that the bills are trying to run.

603
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,960
So I just want to see him have a hundred year game.

604
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:54,960
I just want to.

605
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:55,960
Me too.

606
00:35:55,960 --> 00:36:00,880
I want him to like to really step up into his, his birthright as the one of the top tight

607
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:04,640
ends of the league, you know, for the next five to 10 years.

608
00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:05,640
Absolutely.

609
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:06,640
Absolutely.

610
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:10,920
So you want to flip it to the bills defense against a Joe Flacco led Indianapolis attack?

611
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:11,920
Yeah.

612
00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:17,640
I do want to just like, let me wax on the defense for the Colts just one more moment.

613
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:26,880
I will say that they, the bills offense of line has to come snapped up because not because

614
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:30,040
necessarily they have like an exceptional pass rush.

615
00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:34,320
They're kind of middle of the pack, like 14, 15 and pass rush win, win right across the

616
00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:35,640
board as a team.

617
00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:40,160
The Colts are, but the bills do need to come snapped up because they send some curious

618
00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:43,160
and confusing stunts.

619
00:36:43,160 --> 00:36:48,520
They have some really fast linebackers and they have safeties who, who will come in on

620
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:49,800
pass rush.

621
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:53,760
And so it's the kind of thing that like, if they don't have their protection set set,

622
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:54,760
right?

623
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:59,720
The thing it reminds me of a little bit is the, the matchup against Houston and every

624
00:36:59,720 --> 00:37:04,080
single, it's felt like every play Josh Allen had somebody in his lap when he was trying

625
00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:06,480
to complete a pass.

626
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:12,040
That's the kind of thing that the Colts can do to kind of a less of an effect, but they're

627
00:37:12,040 --> 00:37:14,640
still kind of, they're still, they play the same way.

628
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:16,240
I guess if that makes sense.

629
00:37:16,240 --> 00:37:20,680
They're not as good at it as the Texans defense, but they, they're capable of it.

630
00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:23,800
And so that's something I'm a little bit worried about.

631
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:24,800
Yeah.

632
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:28,840
No, I think, I think it's definitely something worthwhile to be concerned.

633
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:32,760
And dude, while their pressure rate is not great again, going back to the point, Buckner's

634
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:35,040
been out quite a few games for them this season.

635
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:36,840
He makes a massive difference for them.

636
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:41,360
This is also a team JJ that's pretty good against the run because of that defensive line.

637
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,960
They're number five in rush stop efficiency this season.

638
00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:47,760
The bills are number six and overall rushing efficiency.

639
00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:51,920
So the run game for the bills could be strength on strength against the Cindy and apples called

640
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:52,920
Stephens too.

641
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:53,920
All right.

642
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:54,920
You're right.

643
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:55,920
Flip it.

644
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:56,920
Yeah.

645
00:37:56,920 --> 00:37:57,920
Let's talk about the, the corpse of Joe Flackel.

646
00:37:57,920 --> 00:37:59,200
Let's talk about that.

647
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:00,200
It's amazing.

648
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:03,960
They're still rolling with him after the absolute turd he laid last week, but they're good

649
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:04,960
to do it.

650
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:05,960
They're good to do it.

651
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:14,600
It's turd versus turd really because the alternative would be to go back to Richardson

652
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:18,120
who has a 44% completion rate.

653
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:19,120
Can I tell you though?

654
00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:24,120
And because I, when I was prepping for this pot, I didn't know if they were going to

655
00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:25,840
go back to Richardson or not.

656
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:30,000
So I watched some of Richardson's tape, particularly from his last game, the one that ultimately

657
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:32,120
got him benched.

658
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:34,400
There are throws he's missing.

659
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:39,240
And I expect that he's played what, 10 total games in his career so far.

660
00:38:39,240 --> 00:38:45,560
Dude, other throws he makes, you see the potential, particularly in his deep ball.

661
00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:51,720
And there were a lot of drops in that game that are look ugly on film too.

662
00:38:51,720 --> 00:38:54,880
When you rewatch them, that didn't help him either.

663
00:38:54,880 --> 00:39:01,360
It just seems like this weird concoction of a toxic mix of he's a rarely raw developing

664
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:06,160
QB that's high variance and he's got a lot of other high variance guys like Josh Downs

665
00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:09,280
around him too.

666
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:13,880
And I just don't know if Flacco is the guy for this team that's going to write that

667
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:16,960
shit because Josh Downs is still going to drop a ball.

668
00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:19,320
Pittman's still going to drop a ball.

669
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:25,400
Like Flacco can throw the same deep ball that Richardson does and these wide receivers are

670
00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:27,840
still very likely to not come down with it.

671
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:30,560
They've got one of the lowest catch rates in the league.

672
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:35,680
So if Flacco was coming in and that catch rate was improving, you could say that Richardson

673
00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:38,640
doesn't throw a catchable ball and it was right for them to sit him.

674
00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:40,400
But that hasn't been the case.

675
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:43,840
The catch rate is what it is when both of these guys are in.

676
00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:47,800
I'm thinking it's a more of a personnel problem and you don't have the right pieces around

677
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:49,440
a young developing QB.

678
00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:54,280
Oh, I mean, that's air.

679
00:39:54,280 --> 00:40:01,960
I just I also watched Richardson tape and I think that it's the unreliable wide receivers

680
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:03,200
can make a huge difference.

681
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:07,400
We know that from seeing the difference of Josh Allen's first year in the league, then

682
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:09,280
Josh Allen with stuff on digs, right?

683
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:14,600
Like even with Josh Brown, John Brown and Cole Beasley, massive difference just to get

684
00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:16,120
some professional wide receivers.

685
00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:19,880
Yeah, somebody who's going to be in the right spot and be reliably catching the ball.

686
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:20,960
So I guess I get that.

687
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:25,280
I think I worry a little bit too, I worry a little bit because we're seeing tape, right?

688
00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:30,120
Like that's all we can see for a team to make that substantial of a change from first round

689
00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:32,880
top of the round pick to a veteran.

690
00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:36,960
There has to be more to it than just the rookie bumps on the field, right?

691
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:40,440
Like I worry about the coaching staff down there.

692
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:43,320
I've paid attention to some of their media availability.

693
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:47,080
What they've been talking about is like maturity, professionalism.

694
00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:49,640
We need them to sit and kind of learn a little bit.

695
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:54,400
And so those are kinds of things that I think that you don't just say if your rookie quarterback

696
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:59,120
or your second year quarterback is just throwing a bunch of picks or being too over aggressive

697
00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:01,000
or not making the right check down.

698
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:06,920
I wonder about his fit generally, how things are going.

699
00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:14,320
There might be other contextual reasons that he's been benched beyond just his play on

700
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:15,320
the field.

701
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:16,320
Yeah, no.

702
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:18,080
I'm open to all those things.

703
00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:25,160
I think if you're a franchise like the Colts where for years Ballard has done a really

704
00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:31,480
good job of getting mostly everything else right on that squad, except the QB.

705
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:32,480
You know what I mean?

706
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:36,160
I think it's, I think it doesn't bode well.

707
00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:40,640
If the piece that you have needed to get right for so long when you finally take a big crack

708
00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:45,360
at it, you miss this badly or you develop this poorly.

709
00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:47,040
I don't think it bodes well.

710
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,840
For Ballard's longevity and I don't think it bodes well for Stikin's longevity either

711
00:41:50,840 --> 00:41:56,040
in this coaching staff and like, listen, the scheme that they want to run is the scheme

712
00:41:56,040 --> 00:42:00,720
that they ran and filly with Jalen Hertz, which is we're going to run the ball and then we're

713
00:42:00,720 --> 00:42:01,840
going to bomb it deep.

714
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:02,840
Right.

715
00:42:02,840 --> 00:42:05,880
We're going to do a little bit of play action and we're absolutely going to try to take

716
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:10,280
the roof off of a defense for you or against you.

717
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:16,160
And Richardson can deliver on that, but that is not the best scheme to develop a really

718
00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:22,840
raw QB who has accuracy issues, touch issues, um, pre snap read issues.

719
00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:28,880
Like the scheme fit feels like it is not core, but not QB friendly when it comes to Richardson.

720
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:31,720
The personnel fit doesn't feel like it's all there either.

721
00:42:31,720 --> 00:42:32,720
Like I get it.

722
00:42:32,720 --> 00:42:37,360
It sounds like there is stuff that's going on in the locker room, but this is a, this

723
00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:43,320
would be a hard environment for any young QB to succeed in because the scheme is so dependent

724
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:48,720
on hitting those explosive plays over and over and over again, and there's not much,

725
00:42:48,720 --> 00:42:50,720
much else layered into it.

726
00:42:50,720 --> 00:42:57,560
So I guess circling back to how this is going to impact the bill's defense, this is an offense

727
00:42:57,560 --> 00:43:01,720
come hell or high water that is going to want to test the deep parts of the field, which

728
00:43:01,720 --> 00:43:07,080
means this is going to be, it's very important for wrap and Hamlin to each do their one 11th

729
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:09,040
so that that doesn't get exploited.

730
00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:10,520
And actually this is a game JJ.

731
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:12,280
We've criticized Amar Hamlin.

732
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:18,000
He's had it reason reasonably good year, but he plays a little bit soft, a little bit nonaggressively.

733
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:21,960
Actually I think this is a game where some of his caution with the way he reads routes

734
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:25,600
is going to be warranted because you know the Colts are going to try to take a multitude

735
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:28,880
of deep shops down the field off of their run game.

736
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:34,400
Yeah, I think that, you know, they really, the thing that they hit the hardest that's

737
00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:39,200
probably their best skill with flakko is their play action deep passing game.

738
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:40,800
Flakko still got a freaking cannon.

739
00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:45,640
He might be a statue back there, but he can absolutely drop one in a basket over a shoulder

740
00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:47,720
for like 50 or 60 yards.

741
00:43:47,720 --> 00:43:53,920
And so I think that the unreliability of his wide receivers is the biggest flaw that that

742
00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:55,920
causes.

743
00:43:55,920 --> 00:44:01,400
And I think too that this offensive line for the Colts is solid but not spectacular.

744
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:06,840
And so if the bills can have a spectacular pass rush for one game, flakko is toast.

745
00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:08,680
Like he does not move well.

746
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:09,960
He gets gobbled up.

747
00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:14,280
We saw him go down a number of times this past week against the Vikings.

748
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:18,800
The Vikings were blitzing him like crazy and it was affecting it was affecting him very

749
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:21,200
well like for the Vikings favor.

750
00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:23,560
So I think there's opportunities there.

751
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:29,080
You know, I my biggest worry, honestly, Dan in this game is Jonathan Taylor, because I

752
00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:33,600
know he's later in his career, but the bills have seen him a few times and when they back

753
00:44:33,600 --> 00:44:41,880
what was it 20 21 when he went for 32 carries for 185 yards and four touchdowns and three

754
00:44:41,880 --> 00:44:48,680
receptions for an additional 20 yards in the touchdown, five touchdown day, like absolutely

755
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:49,680
own this team.

756
00:44:49,680 --> 00:44:52,800
And I know it's a completely different team three years later.

757
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:57,600
Different season, different makeup, but that was a humbling, humbling experience as a

758
00:44:57,600 --> 00:44:58,600
Bill's fan.

759
00:44:58,600 --> 00:44:59,600
Yeah.

760
00:44:59,600 --> 00:45:03,760
And Taylor, you know, it's been interesting first four weeks of the season, he looked very

761
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:04,760
spry.

762
00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:08,760
They were hitting a lot of outside runs with him and he was averaging over, I think seven

763
00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:10,840
yards a carry on his outside runs.

764
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:17,080
But since week four, he slowed down and he's only averaging about four yards a carry now.

765
00:45:17,080 --> 00:45:19,360
And I'm looking at NFL next gen stats.

766
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:25,520
He has one of the slowest speeds to the line of scrimmage at 8.6 miles an hour in the league

767
00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:26,520
right now.

768
00:45:26,520 --> 00:45:30,800
He's just not hitting holes at this stage of the season very quickly.

769
00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:31,960
It could be injury.

770
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:37,360
It could be wear and tear, but he is legitimately a step slower than he was three years ago

771
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:39,240
when the bill saw him the last time.

772
00:45:39,240 --> 00:45:40,960
So I'm worried about him too.

773
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:46,080
And just the bill's propensity to again, want to give up yards in the run game.

774
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:51,280
This could be a game where Jonathan Taylor is effective simply because of the then the

775
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:54,600
Ben but don't break scheme that the Buffalo bills are going to play.

776
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:55,600
Yeah.

777
00:45:55,600 --> 00:46:00,920
And I, you know, and that's, that's part of the worry too is just the fact that the

778
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:08,600
bill scheme as, as mentioned by, you know, by the bills players themselves invites, you

779
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:11,400
know, invites to run every, every snap.

780
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:15,360
The offensive line, you know, Bernard Raymond looks like he's going to come back from their

781
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:19,600
left tackle, come back from his concussion protocol.

782
00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:23,120
Quentin Nelson is consummate professional, definitely slowing down.

783
00:46:23,120 --> 00:46:29,080
I've seen him give up some pressures that he wouldn't have given up last year even.

784
00:46:29,080 --> 00:46:31,720
So I think he's on the decline in his career.

785
00:46:31,720 --> 00:46:36,360
Tanner Bordellini, who we both really, really appreciated coming out of what Wisconsin and

786
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:37,680
the draft Wisconsin.

787
00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:38,680
Yeah.

788
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:43,200
He had to step in because they're, they're starting center, Ryan Kelly, who's also an

789
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:47,640
excellent player went down early in the semester, early in the season.

790
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:53,040
Tanner Bordellini had to step right in and has, he had a kind of a rocky start with snaps

791
00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:59,120
and with some penalties, the first two games, but has since been like exceptionally quick

792
00:46:59,120 --> 00:47:00,120
on the uptake.

793
00:47:00,120 --> 00:47:05,120
So I think that their weakness, if there is a strong weaknesses on the right guard and

794
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:07,840
right tackle with Dalton Tucker and Braden Smith.

795
00:47:07,840 --> 00:47:12,240
So them being on the right side, again, this has to be a Greg or so game.

796
00:47:12,240 --> 00:47:13,240
Come on, Greg or so.

797
00:47:13,240 --> 00:47:17,960
They've been, the bills have been playing him on the left side more exclusively and

798
00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:22,840
this is an opportunity for him to get in a flow against some inferior competition against

799
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:23,840
this team.

800
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:24,840
Oh yeah.

801
00:47:24,840 --> 00:47:25,840
Yep.

802
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:29,360
To your point, they've been playing him on the left side by a two to one difference,

803
00:47:29,360 --> 00:47:32,320
left or left to right and a snap count difference.

804
00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:35,240
But this is a game where you've got to line them up on the right hand side.

805
00:47:35,240 --> 00:47:40,000
Absolutely and take advantage of that matchup because he is your best pressure guy.

806
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:44,320
And this is a game that it feels like if you could get home one or two times on Flacco,

807
00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:46,480
could change the dynamic of the game for sure.

808
00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:47,480
Yeah.

809
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:50,080
Well, that's the thing is Flacco under pressure will throw interceptions.

810
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:51,080
Always.

811
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:57,200
He's that's his like go to is he is so aggressive with the pass that he will take, you know,

812
00:47:57,200 --> 00:48:01,320
very poor, he'll take poor chances to avoid a sack.

813
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:02,320
Yeah.

814
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:05,840
And listen, I'm ready to move on a prediction.

815
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:08,120
Sure to go wrong if you are.

816
00:48:08,120 --> 00:48:12,040
Because I think I think the Colts as we have said in the lead up to this have played a

817
00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:17,520
lot of close games, but depending on the version of Joe Flacco we get, particularly early in

818
00:48:17,520 --> 00:48:23,200
this game, I think turnovers could play a real excuse me, a really make a really big

819
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:24,800
difference.

820
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:29,800
And this could be a game that if the bills do it right, could quickly go in their favor,

821
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:31,360
very quickly go in their favor.

822
00:48:31,360 --> 00:48:34,200
So JJ, let's talk about final score.

823
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:38,800
Right now, the bills are sitting as a four point favorite on the road against the Colts

824
00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:41,840
over under for this game is 47 points.

825
00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:43,480
What do you got for final score?

826
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:51,520
So I think it's going to be 2717 bills and I'm hitting the under because I do believe

827
00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:52,640
in this bill's defense.

828
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:58,520
I think that they're going to, you know, just as a quick note about the injury report.

829
00:48:58,520 --> 00:49:02,960
They will not have, of course, DeWon Carter, DeWayne Smoot.

830
00:49:02,960 --> 00:49:05,400
They've got some injuries in the center.

831
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:09,600
They, we didn't really talk about it too much, but signing Jordan Phillips and Quentin

832
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:15,320
Jefferson back to the squad after being cut by other teams is not, it's definitely not

833
00:49:15,320 --> 00:49:16,320
a cure all.

834
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:19,600
I know there are some bills mafia out there really Jordan Phillips is back.

835
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:21,600
I don't know who you are, what you've been watching.

836
00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:25,600
He's kind of a shell of the player that was impactful when he came when he was cut by

837
00:49:25,600 --> 00:49:29,160
Miami and signed by the bills four or five years ago.

838
00:49:29,160 --> 00:49:33,880
So, you know, I don't know if that's going to be helpful, but I do think that this bill's

839
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:44,920
defense, specifically Christian Benford, Terrell Bernard and Russell Douglas, they have what

840
00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:47,400
it takes to shut down the pass.

841
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:53,080
And if they can like really lock down the pass and man coverage and use some run blitzes

842
00:49:53,080 --> 00:49:56,680
even out of nickel, they'll be able to stop Jonathan Taylor.

843
00:49:56,680 --> 00:50:01,160
And that's, that's what I think you're pointing to is if there's a situation where they force

844
00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:06,840
the game onto Joe Flacco's shoulders and they're in pass first and pass only situations because

845
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:11,280
the bills are able to get up on the scoreboard a little bit, it might get really ugly for

846
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:14,040
the Colts and I have the bills winning by two scores.

847
00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:16,560
Yeah, no, I think that's that's valid.

848
00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:20,880
So I've got the bills 28 and I've got the Colts 14.

849
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:25,640
I do think this is going to be and this is going to be a couple of score when for the

850
00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:28,880
bills prediction sure to go wrong.

851
00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:31,000
Watch it be the sweatiest game in history.

852
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:33,120
But here's the other thing too.

853
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:38,840
Josh Allen in a dome throughout his career has had some of his best games.

854
00:50:38,840 --> 00:50:41,560
And I know, listen, Buffalo bills, they play outside.

855
00:50:41,560 --> 00:50:45,120
We've had this debate at nauseam on this podcast and every version.

856
00:50:45,120 --> 00:50:48,320
Should they put a retractable roof on the new stadium at Highmark?

857
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:49,760
Should they put a dome on it?

858
00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:50,760
Whatever.

859
00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:57,800
So this is a team JJ based on roster build that is its most effective when weather is

860
00:50:57,800 --> 00:51:01,000
not not having a massive impact.

861
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:06,800
Josh Allen in perfect conditions on turf inside a dome, I think is going to be pretty deadly.

862
00:51:06,800 --> 00:51:08,240
It's going to be a lot of fun to watch.

863
00:51:08,240 --> 00:51:11,000
So I've got the bills winning by two scores as well.

864
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:12,440
28 14.

865
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,040
So it's funny you mentioned Josh Allen deadly.

866
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:22,280
I've actually got Josh Allen moving into the NFL lead of games with two passing and one

867
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:28,800
rushing touchdowns, surpassing Cam, Cam Newton in this game.

868
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:31,200
I don't know if that's I'm just declaring that as a prediction.

869
00:51:31,200 --> 00:51:33,160
I don't think that the prop, there's no way to prop that.

870
00:51:33,160 --> 00:51:34,160
I don't think.

871
00:51:34,160 --> 00:51:35,160
Nice.

872
00:51:35,160 --> 00:51:36,160
Nice.

873
00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:37,160
I'd like to see it happen in this game.

874
00:51:37,160 --> 00:51:40,640
I think this is a hard matchup to have it done though, because as you mentioned the

875
00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:48,720
speed of the linebackers, the kind of very capable nature of this defensive line, I do

876
00:51:48,720 --> 00:51:50,160
think that's going to be a tough one.

877
00:51:50,160 --> 00:51:52,920
I mean, we saw the Miami Dolphin shut it down last week.

878
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:57,680
So I think it could be a little bit of a taller, but I'd love to see it happen in this game.

879
00:51:57,680 --> 00:52:05,080
I do have a prop for you and it's on the Colt side of things over under Anthony Richardson

880
00:52:05,080 --> 00:52:07,120
getting a snap in this game.

881
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:11,840
So Anthony Richardson over under half a snap, which is basically do you think he plays?

882
00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:16,960
Because I think there is a script where Flacco throws three interceptions in the first half

883
00:52:16,960 --> 00:52:20,520
potentially, and now there's a script where he could look good as well.

884
00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:24,320
But there is a script where he turns the ball over and the Colts go back to Richardson in

885
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:25,320
this game.

886
00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:34,520
Yeah, I mean, I'm going to take the under because I think that it'd be too wishful of

887
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:40,320
me to think that Joe Flacco is going to play so poorly that he'll get yanked because I

888
00:52:40,320 --> 00:52:42,640
don't think that this coaching staff wants to do that at all.

889
00:52:42,640 --> 00:52:44,160
I don't think they want to bounce back and forth.

890
00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:50,600
They don't want to do the Dolphins playbook from Flores where it was like

891
00:52:50,600 --> 00:52:53,760
Fits Patrick to a two of Fits.

892
00:52:53,760 --> 00:52:55,840
Yeah, I don't think they want to do that.

893
00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:58,880
I think that they're smart enough to recognize that we've already sat the Rook.

894
00:52:58,880 --> 00:53:02,640
We're going to keep them down unless it's absolute panic mode.

895
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:08,760
So I think I'm going to take under, I'm going to take under, but I'm going to hedge and

896
00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:12,800
say unless, you know, I can't do this.

897
00:53:12,800 --> 00:53:19,240
So I'm just thinking out loud unless Joe Flacco gets sacked and hurt, which I think is a likelihood.

898
00:53:19,240 --> 00:53:21,520
Yeah, that could that could have as well.

899
00:53:21,520 --> 00:53:23,120
Of course, you never want to wish it on anybody.

900
00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:24,120
Right.

901
00:53:24,120 --> 00:53:25,120
It could happen.

902
00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:27,880
Yeah, I think it's it's certainly a reasonable prediction.

903
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:35,160
I'm going to take the over because I think I I flak oh played so bad and like you can

904
00:53:35,160 --> 00:53:40,320
game plan for Joe Flacco at the stage of his career and Shane Stikin.

905
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:43,960
I think he's a good coach, but that scheme that's deep.

906
00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:47,880
That scheme has two gears, run the ball and then throw a deep off play action.

907
00:53:47,880 --> 00:53:48,880
Right.

908
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:54,320
And if you can plan for that with Flacco's obvious limitations, I think as a defense,

909
00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:56,200
you could be relatively successful.

910
00:53:56,200 --> 00:54:00,480
So I wouldn't be shocked if they go back to Richardson and then they stick with Richardson

911
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:03,080
for the rest of the season as I think they should.

912
00:54:03,080 --> 00:54:04,960
Yeah, I think they should and see what they got.

913
00:54:04,960 --> 00:54:05,960
Yeah, that's true.

914
00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:07,880
Yeah, you got a you got a prop for me.

915
00:54:07,880 --> 00:54:11,280
Yeah, I've got I do have one prop for you.

916
00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:19,680
It is Von Miller over under half a sack under under like I know one on this defensive line

917
00:54:19,680 --> 00:54:21,640
looks good except for Greg or so.

918
00:54:21,640 --> 00:54:25,000
I'm wish casting to come back.

919
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:28,760
No one like I'm just saying no, no one on this defensive line has been playing well

920
00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:30,160
except Greg or so.

921
00:54:30,160 --> 00:54:35,120
Dequan Jones is just eating a bunch of double teams at this point and at Oliver's getting

922
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:37,400
smashed by Liam Ikenberg.

923
00:54:37,400 --> 00:54:42,960
Yeah, for Dequan Jones, who's who's having a who's having a good year, not like an exceptional

924
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:47,080
year like he was before he went out with the injury last year, but he's having a good solid

925
00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:48,080
year.

926
00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:50,800
It's just nobody else is also stepping up.

927
00:54:50,800 --> 00:54:55,360
So he's struggling to get anything going at all because he's just they're sending

928
00:54:55,360 --> 00:54:58,160
every all that interior help in his direction.

929
00:54:58,160 --> 00:54:59,160
Yeah, absolutely.

930
00:54:59,160 --> 00:55:03,160
I'm just going to go under because I always I always take the Von Miller under it's always

931
00:55:03,160 --> 00:55:04,920
a solid bet for me.

932
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:07,120
I'm taking the over again.

933
00:55:07,120 --> 00:55:12,360
Maybe that's just wishful, but you know, I'd like to see him come back on and then look

934
00:55:12,360 --> 00:55:17,240
look like he's able to continue with fresh legs what he started the first three weeks

935
00:55:17,240 --> 00:55:18,240
of the season.

936
00:55:18,240 --> 00:55:20,240
Amazing against a statue of a quarterback.

937
00:55:20,240 --> 00:55:24,400
I think that's the bigger thing is if there's if there's anyone that Von Miller can sack

938
00:55:24,400 --> 00:55:28,000
at the stage in his career, it's somebody older than him.

939
00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:30,000
Flacco is older than everybody.

940
00:55:30,000 --> 00:55:31,000
So yeah, cool.

941
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:32,000
All right, man.

942
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:34,640
Well, we'll see how it plays out as always.

943
00:55:34,640 --> 00:55:39,040
So for all of you listening at home, like share and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts,

944
00:55:39,040 --> 00:55:41,360
YouTube next week, America.

945
00:55:41,360 --> 00:55:42,360
Get ready.

946
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:45,560
Apple and Spotify and as always go bills.

947
00:55:45,560 --> 00:55:46,560
Go bills.

948
00:55:46,560 --> 00:55:53,560
Go bills.