1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:06,480 All right, welcome back to the Buffalo Bread podcast. 2 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:11,520 This is our week seven preview against the New England Patriots. 3 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:17,120 I used to say they hated New England Patriots, but I think it's it's safe, you know, lacking 4 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:21,280 six championships or seven championships to overcome them. 5 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:25,960 I still feel pretty comfortable calling them the pitied New England Patriots because they 6 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:33,080 look pretty pitiful right now. And and as much as I want to get excited for this match, 7 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:37,640 I am very afraid because the bills have looked kind of trash the last two weeks. 8 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:38,920 How are you feeling, Dan? 9 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:43,760 I was just I was just going to say, are you trying to hex us with this? 10 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:45,440 Like I don't hate the Patriots. 11 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:46,440 They're playing bad. 12 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:52,360 I'm a pitiful watch the Giants game any given Sunday, my friend, any given Sunday. 13 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,920 Dear God, I'm glad you came in with a different take than I thought you were. 14 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,480 I'm I'm feeling good. 15 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:00,760 I like remotes. 16 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,560 I'm I am right now non plus. 17 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:05,320 I've recovered from the Giants game. 18 00:01:05,320 --> 00:01:09,280 I think I think on our last pot, it was very therapeutic for me. 19 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:12,200 And I think I'm ready to talk rationally about the Patriots. 20 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:17,600 I think the Giants game looms large over this game because this is another sub sub part 21 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:23,800 of our team that like the Giants has some pieces that could make life difficult for 22 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:24,800 the bills. 23 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:30,080 And this is a team that recent history aside has been an absolute nightmare for this franchise 24 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:31,240 to deal with. 25 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:35,120 That being said, other than one weird weather game where Mac Jones was allowed to throw 26 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:41,920 the ball once three years ago, the bills have gotten the better of a post Brady Patriots 27 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:42,920 team. 28 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:46,760 And I'm expecting the same this Sunday, but I don't necessarily think it's going to 29 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:48,000 be an easy one. 30 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:51,600 So I'm very excited to talk about this, JJ. 31 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:53,040 Where would you like to start? 32 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:57,640 Because I have I have numbers to set the context, but I don't know which side of the ball you 33 00:01:57,640 --> 00:02:00,560 want to start on offense or defense. 34 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:04,760 Let's start on the Patriots offense versus the bills defense because I think that's 35 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:10,360 the easier matchup of the two for the bills to really to really own. 36 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:18,920 I agree, because you know, this this Patriots offense is pretty woefully underperforming. 37 00:02:18,920 --> 00:02:24,200 I think they're you know, like 29th in the league in yards for play, expected points 38 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:32,280 added added per play 31st points per game 31st, TDs per game 1.3 only 30th, you know, 39 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:38,240 the only then weirdly the only, you know, offensive statistic they're really good at 40 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,240 is 70% of the time they score when they're in the red zone. 41 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:47,800 And that's a kind of a BS stat because it's it's just that the one the times they have 42 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:50,440 been the red zone they scored touchdowns, but they've scored the least touchdowns in 43 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:51,440 the league. 44 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:55,800 So it just happens that the few times they've gotten there, they've actually punched it. 45 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:57,720 I was going to say, and they never get there at all. 46 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:01,000 No, this is the team that is 29th in the league and overall DVOA. 47 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:06,160 And in the past game, they are 32 out of 32 teams. 48 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:11,960 And this is these are rankings that include the Steelers, the Raiders, the Carolina Panthers, 49 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:16,760 32 out of 32 in EPA for the passing game. 50 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:19,720 I mean, this is not a good offense, JJ. 51 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:23,960 But it is an offense that is going to try to run the ball on the bills. 52 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:29,200 And we know defensively the weak spot for this defense, especially with Jones and Milano 53 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,200 out for the foreseeable future. 54 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:33,520 It's for sure in run defense. 55 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:37,840 Yeah. 56 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:46,200 So I if I were to summarize, because I like to do that, what my take on this matchup is 57 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:50,320 the bills defense versus the the Patriots offense is you got to make Mac Jones beat 58 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:51,320 you. 59 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:55,720 I mean, the bill of check is going to want to come out and he is going to want to establish 60 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:56,920 the run. 61 00:03:56,920 --> 00:03:59,920 This is a team that's been embarrassed its last few home games. 62 00:03:59,920 --> 00:04:01,080 But this is also a team. 63 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,400 I think we got to keep in mind a couple of things. 64 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:09,200 They have played the 11th heart of schedule by DVOA out of anybody in the league. 65 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:15,480 So close to a top 10 schedule when it comes to to to overall strength of schedule. 66 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:19,520 They have played some very good teams very closely. 67 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:23,800 It's only been in recent weeks where we have seen really the regression of Mac Jones equal 68 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:25,960 the regression of this offense. 69 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:29,760 This is an offense that even without Matt Patricia at the helm is still penalized at 70 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:34,720 one of the highest clips in the league, and this is a team that is among the league leaders 71 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:35,720 and drops. 72 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:40,040 Now, for a lot of people that could lend itself to confirmation bias. 73 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:43,280 Well, we knew the talent on the outside wasn't good enough. 74 00:04:43,280 --> 00:04:47,440 We know Mac can't throw to the to the boundaries anyway. 75 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:52,000 So this is a team that that these these are kind of a Rorschach test. 76 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:56,160 And this tells us that this team is who they thought they were. 77 00:04:56,160 --> 00:05:03,400 But if this unit can get Stevenson going in the run game, it'll open up a lot of what 78 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:05,520 they want to do in the passing game with Jones. 79 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:07,960 They don't want Mac Jones throwing to the boundaries. 80 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:12,360 They want Dorian Williams and they want Terrell Bernard playing close to the line of scrimmage 81 00:05:12,360 --> 00:05:17,200 to defend the run to open up the middle of the field for Jones to dink and dunk across. 82 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:19,440 That's what they want to do. 83 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:25,320 And the bill's defensive, if it is susceptible anywhere is susceptible to those things. 84 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:29,200 Add to the fact that they really don't people keep saying they do not have a true burner 85 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:34,040 to take the top off the defense on the New England Patriots. 86 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,040 But they've got Devonte Parker on the other side of the field and he's been dropping the 87 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:38,680 ball this season. 88 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:43,960 But in the very limited and I mean limited amount of times that Mac Jones goes 15 yards 89 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:45,680 or more down the field. 90 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:47,000 He's targeting Parker. 91 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:52,800 And we talked last part about the problems of Kyler Elam and his overall defensive capabilities 92 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:59,400 at J.J. and I really do think if the Patriots are going to exploit their advantages in this 93 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:03,320 game, they're going to have to set up Stevenson with the run. 94 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,840 Mac Jones is going to have to get comfortable throwing across the middle of the field when 95 00:06:06,840 --> 00:06:08,080 it is open. 96 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:12,000 And then when the limited amount of time they choose to take their shots, it's going to 97 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:13,640 be Parker on Elam. 98 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:19,520 And if any combination of those things work at a better than 60% success rate, this could 99 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:20,960 very well be a very close game. 100 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:23,640 It really could be. 101 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:25,680 And I think it definitely could. 102 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:30,800 You know that that Patriots offense, it's surprising because they pass sixth most in 103 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:31,800 the league. 104 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:37,280 For a team that you know many describe as not having any real weapons in the past game 105 00:06:37,280 --> 00:06:42,480 and definitely not having a quarterback that can get those weapons, the ball, they pass 106 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:44,160 68% of the time. 107 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:47,680 And it's largely because I think their offensive line has not been able to get a good push 108 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:48,680 in most of their games. 109 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:51,320 They have not been able to control the line of scrimmage and they've not been able to 110 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:52,760 establish the run. 111 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:55,520 Remandry Stevenson looks slow for some reason. 112 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:59,080 I don't think he's coming off of an injury or anything, but he doesn't look to be running 113 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:02,280 like he was at the end of last season when he was a force. 114 00:07:02,280 --> 00:07:04,440 And I wonder what's going there. 115 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:06,680 Something that's different about the way he runs. 116 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:08,880 Maybe it's just his confidence in his offensive line. 117 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:13,200 I think that, you know, the greatest loss in the Patriots offensive line over the past 118 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,560 three or four years was when Dante Skarnakia decided to retire. 119 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:20,840 Their offensive line cut retired and all of a sudden they needed elite talents. 120 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:26,280 They couldn't make it work with a bunch of scrubs and, you know, they have not drafted 121 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:28,760 or signed free agents as well as they have in the past. 122 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:29,760 They got Cold Strange. 123 00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:30,760 I don't know what you're talking about. 124 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:32,840 They got Cold Strange, man. 125 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:39,160 They got a, you know, consolidated opinion of the NFL fourth or fifth rounder in the 126 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:40,160 first round. 127 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:41,560 So that's what they did. 128 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:42,560 Yeah. 129 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:48,600 And I think part of the issue compounding that lack of run game is that teams are shutting 130 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:53,240 or they are playing for the run because no one is afraid of Mac Jones beating them. 131 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:54,240 No one at all. 132 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:58,680 I mean, the Philadelphia Eagles granted they've got their vulnerabilities up the spine of their 133 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:04,120 defense with all the defensive churn and personnel they've seen, but they were perfectly 134 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:08,880 happy to let Jones beat them across the middle of the field in short yardage situations in 135 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:10,000 Dink and Dunk. 136 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:11,680 And they were just shutting down everything else. 137 00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:16,080 They were shutting down any ability for Parker to get outside. 138 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:18,800 They were shutting down the run game and it was really just Jones. 139 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:23,200 I think he threw like 30, 31 pass attempts in that game. 140 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:24,600 It was a decent game. 141 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:26,360 He had multiple touchdowns in that game. 142 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:32,240 It was, but I mean, ultimately didn't do much because these were not explosive plays. 143 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:36,600 These were not high point differential different difference making plays. 144 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:40,540 These were just like what the Eagles wanted him to do. 145 00:08:40,540 --> 00:08:45,840 So and that's another issue this offense runs into is that even when Mac Jones is playing 146 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:53,360 his absolute best, he is so limited with where and how he can hurt you that Mac Jones at 147 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,840 his best is still a very beatable quarterback. 148 00:08:56,840 --> 00:09:01,920 If everything else on this offense is not going perfectly, if he doesn't have a perfect 149 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,800 pocket to throw from because we know he can't throw off script. 150 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:08,880 We've seen those wobblers that he throws when he's trying to throw on the run. 151 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:13,080 If the run game is not balancing out the quick game, which seems to be the only thing he 152 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:14,080 can do. 153 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:21,120 No, teams are perfectly happy to perfectly happy to allow Mac to play outside of his 154 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:26,280 comfort zone because they know he is not a QB that can play outside of the system. 155 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:32,040 Whatever the system is that the Patriots are trying to run it somehow this offense JJ looks 156 00:09:32,040 --> 00:09:35,200 worse than it did under Patricia. 157 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:36,200 It's unbelievable. 158 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:37,200 It's done it. 159 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:38,200 Right. 160 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,800 Well, and I think that was the big thing was I think, you know, many Bill's fans, if you 161 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:48,320 pay attention to the league in the game, you saw Patricia Lee, Bill O'Brien come in and 162 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:53,240 you probably had the same reaction Dan and I had, which is like, Oh, this this, you know, 163 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:56,520 Patriots offense, even with talent deficiency, could you see the average? 164 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:58,360 Yeah, it could look a little bit better. 165 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:02,560 They could have a really nice run game that could be really good with power and gap, which 166 00:10:02,560 --> 00:10:07,480 is what kind of Bill O'Brien brings to the table, mix it in with some wide zone and have 167 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:11,960 really good running with Romondesh Stevenson some play action, which Mac Jones is pretty 168 00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:12,960 good at. 169 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:15,280 Boom, bam, like we have a competitive team. 170 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:16,280 It's a division again. 171 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:21,000 Well, I thought that but then this happened and I agree with you that you have to kind 172 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,080 of adjust for the competition. 173 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:27,840 They've had a really tough slate of games to start the season. 174 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:33,080 But even with a tough slate of games, a competitive team that's capable of making a playoff run 175 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:37,240 would not look as pitiful as they've looked against these opponents. 176 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:40,600 They've just, I mean, they've what, three points in the past three weeks. 177 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:44,160 Yeah, I mean, it has not been, it has not been great. 178 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:45,280 It has not been good. 179 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:46,920 It's not it is just not been good. 180 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:50,400 I mean, this is a team that is anemic on offense. 181 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:58,440 But and you know, I keep looking at this team and I keep looking at the personnel and I 182 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:02,720 fully acknowledge I'm probably on an island with this and I'm the numbers guy. 183 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:03,880 I look at the spreadsheets. 184 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:05,920 I look at the stat packages. 185 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,560 All of the numbers say that this is a bad offense. 186 00:11:08,560 --> 00:11:13,960 But I look at that personnel and I keep trying to fool myself into believing that, well, 187 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:18,200 if they just cleaned up the penalties and if they just get a couple more guys healthy 188 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:23,240 and back into the rotation on the offensive line, maybe this offense can do what it is 189 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:25,480 that it wants to do. 190 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:29,720 And I think again, the vulnerability here for the bills is what this Patriots offense 191 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:36,160 wants to do is probably the one thing that this bills defense is the is it is the worst 192 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:40,560 it's stopping, which is the establishment of that power run game through the gap. 193 00:11:40,560 --> 00:11:43,880 We saw the Giants exploit it to great effect. 194 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:48,240 McDermott to his credit made some really nice adjustments by shifting Bernard into some of 195 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:49,240 those gaps. 196 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:54,040 And Bernard Bernard and William sitting those gaps as linebackers were great. 197 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:58,720 But then again, like you said, if you've got teams believing that you can do it with 198 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:04,040 efficacy, it opens up the play action game, which is what I think this Bill O'Brien scheme 199 00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:05,720 is designed to do. 200 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,240 And they just haven't gotten there yet. 201 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:12,680 But it's it doesn't feel like it's because other teams are shutting them down. 202 00:12:12,680 --> 00:12:14,800 It feels like they're getting in their own way. 203 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:15,800 Does that make sense? 204 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:18,240 Like this is very vibes for me. 205 00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:23,400 But it feels like this is an offense that if it got out of its way, could be average. 206 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:24,400 Could do some things. 207 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:28,840 Well, and I think that you're and I think that, you know, if you're a Bill's fan listening 208 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:33,720 to this, you probably really relate to that completely because this is what we've seen 209 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:37,080 from the last two weeks from the bills and when they've struggled and how they played 210 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:42,120 against the Jets earlier in the season is when the offense is committing penalties when 211 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:46,480 they're making stupid errors and they're not going anywhere, you could clearly say, 212 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:49,680 well, this is they're not being beat by the defense, they're just underperforming and 213 00:12:49,680 --> 00:12:50,680 not executing. 214 00:12:50,680 --> 00:12:55,440 I think you're seeing underperforming and not executing executing from the Patriots right 215 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:57,240 now. 216 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:00,760 The only difference between the two teams, I think is that if you look at the bills, 217 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:03,760 it's like a Ferrari with the thrown spark plug. 218 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:09,760 And if you look at, you know, the Patriots, it's like a, you know, Nissan Altima with 219 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:10,760 with no engine. 220 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:11,760 Yeah, with no engine, right? 221 00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:15,000 Like there's quite a difference in the cinder blocks on the side of the road. 222 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:16,000 The capacity. 223 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:17,000 Yeah. 224 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:18,760 The capacity of speed is different. 225 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:23,640 Probably, but both are just non-functioning at their capacity. 226 00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:28,280 And I think that's a great way to put it because the capacity or ceiling, if you will, for 227 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:31,760 this Patriots offense, I feel like is a lot lower. 228 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:35,280 But I don't think the floor should not be this low. 229 00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:36,440 It really shouldn't. 230 00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:41,560 And it's not for lack of effort for the Patriots trying to address the offensive line. 231 00:13:41,560 --> 00:13:42,880 They've tried in free agency. 232 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:45,240 They've tried in the draft. 233 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:49,560 And JJ, I think this brings me to my larger point about this team. 234 00:13:49,560 --> 00:13:53,400 It's the it's the roster management and it's the personnel build, particularly on the 235 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:55,880 offensive side of the ball. 236 00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:57,600 You've got to point the finger squarely. 237 00:13:57,600 --> 00:14:02,340 I think it bellichick the GM for where this team stands right now. 238 00:14:02,340 --> 00:14:07,920 We knew after last season that Patricia was 90% of the problem, but not the only problem. 239 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:12,000 This team needed to add depth and it needed to add talent on offense. 240 00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:18,520 And when you see all these organizations bending over backwards to try to accommodate the development 241 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:22,120 of their young QBs, I mean, look at look at the division. 242 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:23,920 Just look at where the division is. 243 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:26,940 Look at what the bills have done for Josh Allen. 244 00:14:26,940 --> 00:14:30,720 Look at what Miami has done for two a tongue of a low up. 245 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:33,920 And listen, I think to it is a is a great QB. 246 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:36,520 I have fully come over on the side of that. 247 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:41,720 But Stephen Ruiz, Stephen Ruiz, who's maybe my favorite QB analyst, he works at the ringer. 248 00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:48,320 He calls to his progressions performative progression because to is not actually going through progressions. 249 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:53,080 He knows where he wants to throw the ball and he is hellbound to determine to throw the ball 250 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:55,480 in that direction no matter what. 251 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:57,960 So he pretends to look. 252 00:14:57,960 --> 00:15:01,920 He looks he looks one way for like a split second. 253 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:06,080 And you know, that's the trickery of the eyes that the media says he is so adept at now. 254 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:08,360 And he throws it in the place that he was predetermined. 255 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,360 He was going to throw it no matter what. 256 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:11,360 No matter what. 257 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:16,400 Yeah. So but he has the ability to do that because he's got maybe the fastest roster 258 00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:22,000 in the league backing him up and getting to the windows where he is going to throw it. 259 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:24,480 So so all of that. 260 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:27,280 And even when you look at excuse me. 261 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,400 Oh my god. 262 00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:32,480 Even when you look around the league, the Jacksonville Jaguars and what they've built 263 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:36,760 around Trevor Lawrence, the Chicago Bears, there's a lot of things you can say about 264 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:41,200 the organization, but they have built around Justin Fields this season and they've invested 265 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:43,840 in that team around him. 266 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,840 The Houston Texans with some of these rookie draft picks. 267 00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:50,320 I mean, all of these teams, the list is the list is endless. 268 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:52,680 The list is endless. 269 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:56,840 And when you look at the Patriots, you could make an argument they have done the least 270 00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,760 to support their developing QB. 271 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:03,560 That's either a testament that goes one of two ways. 272 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:08,280 Mac Jones should not have been the pick and Belichick is aware of it and is just trying 273 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:14,560 to bide his time potentially until he can move on from Jones reasonably, or it is a 274 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:21,480 complete failure or ambivalence to changing with the times. 275 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:27,640 Other than Randy Moss, can you think of any do you think of any massive addition that 276 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:30,320 Bill Belichick made to help Tom Brady? 277 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:31,640 Yeah, we know Gronk. 278 00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:36,160 We know the story of Gronk got drafted in the latter rounds by by New England and got 279 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:37,160 developed. 280 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:41,600 Edelman, West Welker, Edelman and Welker. 281 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:45,840 You could make the arguments though that it was a Brady that made them into the weapons 282 00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,240 that they were and not because they went elsewhere and didn't come. 283 00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:51,400 They went elsewhere and were not the same players. 284 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:57,160 So other than Randy Moss, what did Belichick ever do from a free agency standpoint that 285 00:16:57,160 --> 00:16:59,720 really helped Tom Brady the QB? 286 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:08,320 So it's either a failure in talent evaluation at the QB position or it is a stubbornness 287 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:11,240 and commitment to this is the way we've always done it. 288 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:12,880 I gave Tom Brady jack shit. 289 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:14,640 Why do I need to give Mac Jones anything? 290 00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:15,640 Why can't he just be Brady? 291 00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:19,840 Tom Brady was a fifth round picker, sixth round picker winner. 292 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:23,520 When you said that, what's sad was the first thing that came to my mind. 293 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:28,040 You already took Randy Moss off the table in my mind by saying other than Randy Moss, 294 00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:29,040 right? 295 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,400 The first thing I thought of was Vince Wolkbork. 296 00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:32,400 Like Vince Wolkbork? 297 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:33,400 Yeah, I know, right? 298 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:38,880 Like, you know, it was nose tackle, like building a defense that gets the ball back to Brady 299 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:41,080 was really what Belichick focused on. 300 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:46,320 But that's also another perfect case in point because all those, that 20 year run that these 301 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:53,120 two guys were on, you're telling me in 20 draft classes, Gronk, Edelman and Welker, 302 00:17:53,120 --> 00:17:54,360 that's it? 303 00:17:54,360 --> 00:17:55,360 That's it? 304 00:17:55,360 --> 00:17:59,000 Well, Edelman and Welker, both picks of the Patriots. 305 00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:00,680 Welker for sure was. 306 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:01,680 Welker I don't think was. 307 00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:03,120 Did Welker start in Denver? 308 00:18:03,120 --> 00:18:04,920 Yeah, he came over from Denver. 309 00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:05,920 Did he come over from Denver? 310 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:06,920 I think I thought it was the other way around. 311 00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:08,920 Or did he go to Denver from, yeah. 312 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:12,760 Because I know, I know he played with Peyton Manning too in Denver. 313 00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:13,760 He did. 314 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:14,760 I can't remember. 315 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:16,000 I think it might have been the other way around. 316 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:22,600 I think, I think Welker, I think Welker was drafted by New England, then went to Denver. 317 00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:23,600 Okay. 318 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:24,600 Yeah. 319 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:25,600 Let me. 320 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:26,600 Yeah. 321 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:27,600 Well, you Google that. 322 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:28,600 But anyway, I'm going to Google it. 323 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:29,600 I'm going to Google that. 324 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:33,640 So yeah, so, but even if Welker was a free agent, right, Randy Moss and Wes Welker, 325 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,320 that's what you did for Tom Brady. 326 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:41,000 This feels, this feels like, well, Belichick is still a great defensive coach. 327 00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:47,240 It feels like the game and the way you build rosters in the standage has passed Belichick 328 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:51,000 the GM by, you got it. 329 00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:53,320 Do you have an answer? 330 00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:55,080 I do. 331 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:56,560 He started in Miami. 332 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:58,160 Oh, that's right. 333 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,520 So he was, he was picked up. 334 00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:03,920 He was drafted by the first year. 335 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:04,920 That's right. 336 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,160 I think he might have been even undrafted. 337 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:08,600 So he showed up in Miami. 338 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:11,760 He played for San Diego as well. 339 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:15,840 And then he played for Miami for two years and then came to New England in 2007. 340 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:19,480 So he came in the league in 04, went to New England in 07. 341 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:27,080 So two free agent pass catchers in 20 years and two draft pick pass catchers and Edelman 342 00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:28,360 and Gronk. 343 00:19:28,360 --> 00:19:29,360 That's it. 344 00:19:29,360 --> 00:19:30,360 That's the track record. 345 00:19:30,360 --> 00:19:31,360 You know what I mean? 346 00:19:31,360 --> 00:19:33,840 I mean, and that's a big reason why Brady left at the end. 347 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:35,840 He's like, there's just not enough around me. 348 00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:38,440 There's just not, not enough guys. 349 00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:41,600 There's not enough talent on this roster. 350 00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:47,320 And Belichick has almost doubled down on that in the years since. 351 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:48,320 Like Nikhil Harry. 352 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:49,320 I mean, that's whatever. 353 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:50,840 That was a huge failure. 354 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:51,840 Right. 355 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:53,480 And AJ Brown was sitting there. 356 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,680 Now listen, there are stories like that with every team. 357 00:19:56,680 --> 00:20:03,480 But it just seems like with, it seems like, we're going to chase Creed to the end of 358 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:04,480 this earth. 359 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:05,480 He's the one that got away. 360 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:09,680 Hey, what if we were to give Creed a friendship bracelet at a Taylor Swift concert that says 361 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,080 come play with the bills? 362 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:12,080 How about that? 363 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:13,080 Maybe that's what we do. 364 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:14,200 That's, I think that's what we should do. 365 00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:16,240 The next Taylor Swift concert, let's go. 366 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,000 Get the restraining orders ready, local authorities. 367 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:20,000 That's right. 368 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,560 We're coming to a Taylor Swift concert near you. 369 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:23,560 Meet Creed Humphrey. 370 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:24,560 To meet Creed Humphrey. 371 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:26,560 We don't even care about the concert. 372 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:27,560 Right. 373 00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:28,560 But I care. 374 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:29,560 I know. 375 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:30,560 I know. 376 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:33,400 I would actually kind of care for me and my daughter are very, me and my daughter are 377 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:34,400 Swifties. 378 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:38,120 I'm taking her to see the concert, the era's movie this week. 379 00:20:38,120 --> 00:20:39,120 The movie of the concert. 380 00:20:39,120 --> 00:20:40,120 The movie of, because I can't. 381 00:20:40,120 --> 00:20:41,120 It's about my price range too. 382 00:20:41,120 --> 00:20:42,120 I know. 383 00:20:42,120 --> 00:20:43,120 It's way more than my price range. 384 00:20:43,120 --> 00:20:45,240 I cannot afford to take her to that concert. 385 00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,240 But we're off track. 386 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:55,320 So again, in summary, if the Patriots offense is going to do anything, it's got to get out 387 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:58,840 of its own way and it doesn't have to do anything special. 388 00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:03,440 It's just got to do kind of what the floor of this offense dictates that it would, which 389 00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:09,200 is run the football, open up the middle of the field for Mac, get some design play action 390 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:14,000 going, and then exploit what has become a weakness of this bill's defense, which is 391 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:19,320 the ability of of Kyre Elum to guard anybody deep and see if you can get Devontae Parker 392 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:24,040 going and really change the levels that this defense needs to defend because right now 393 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:25,680 teams are just defending the run. 394 00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:29,200 They don't feel like they need to defend a relivell of the field against this new England 395 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:30,200 offense. 396 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:34,200 If those things happen, it's going to be a long day for the Buffalo Bills defense for 397 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:35,200 sure. 398 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:36,200 Yeah, absolutely. 399 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:37,840 I think that there are some risks there. 400 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:41,040 I think for the bills to win, they need to pressure Mac Jones. 401 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:42,800 They need to get in his face. 402 00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:47,960 If it's Mac Jones, if it's not Malik Cunningham or Bailey Zappi or something, like they benched 403 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:49,960 Mac Jones a couple of times this year. 404 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:55,280 So we'll see, but yeah, if they get up on him quick and make him uncomfortable, I think 405 00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:58,720 that you know, that is that is the key to victory in this game. 406 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:00,760 And hopefully we see Von Miller come back. 407 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:04,360 I think he's looked he's looked like he's playing in quicksand a little bit, which is 408 00:22:04,360 --> 00:22:05,360 to be expected. 409 00:22:05,360 --> 00:22:06,520 Somebody coming off an ACL. 410 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:11,160 He hasn't had the same kind of quickness or speed to power that he's shown in his illustrious 411 00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:12,160 career. 412 00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:13,600 And hopefully that just comes with time. 413 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:17,160 I think we saw the same with Tridabius White last year. 414 00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:22,080 He took him handful of games to look like he was kind of getting back into game speed. 415 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,440 So hopefully that recovers and we start see flashes of it. 416 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:31,000 And that's part of the process of shutting down Mac Jones, making him uncomfortable, 417 00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,520 getting in his face, maybe getting him on the ground a few times. 418 00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:37,880 Do you want to talk about the bills offense versus Patriots defense? 419 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,520 I do because I feel like there's more meat on this bone. 420 00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:41,680 I mean, I'm not going to lie. 421 00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:47,680 We just did what I thought was a great 19 minutes on the New England offense. 422 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:52,520 But I mean, listen, man, that whatever it is, whatever it is, but that's a strain for 423 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:53,520 me. 424 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:59,120 But I think I think this defense is a lot meatier and a lot juicier to get into. 425 00:22:59,120 --> 00:23:05,360 Like the defensive roster, even without Judan and even without Gonzalez is still pretty 426 00:23:05,360 --> 00:23:06,560 good. 427 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:12,880 And this is a team EPA per rush defense is top five in the league, the New England Patriots, 428 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:16,920 it's stopping the run, even without Judan and the lineup. 429 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:21,240 The Buffalo Bills, if we have talked about, if you can shut them down on their first few 430 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:26,800 run attempts, they tend to turtle, go away from the run and then turn into the pumpkin 431 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:32,840 that was the 2022 offense, run a bunch of run a bunch of 11 personnel out there and play 432 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:36,000 right into the defensive scheme that you want them to. 433 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:40,600 So I think the match up here, we talked about New England needing to run the ball on Buffalo. 434 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:44,680 I think Buffalo establishing the run game against this defense is going to be paramount 435 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:45,680 as well. 436 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:46,680 Yeah, absolutely. 437 00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:50,680 And I think that really, that's that's the story of this game. 438 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:56,120 And just like you said, with the 2022 offense, it never had a true identity as a rushing 439 00:23:56,120 --> 00:23:57,280 team. 440 00:23:57,280 --> 00:24:02,640 And this this year's team, when it has an identity in a game, when they make their presence known 441 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:07,880 to physicality in the run game, and really to kind of take it to an opposing defense, 442 00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:09,480 then it opens up the play action pass. 443 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:11,600 Then Josh Allen starts cooking because he's more comfortable. 444 00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:13,000 He's staying ahead of the sticks. 445 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,400 He's in manageable down in distance. 446 00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:19,680 How many times have we as Bills fans seen, seen Josh Allen throw, you know, a 40 yard 447 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:25,480 touchdown strike on third and two, because that is a great down for that type of attack. 448 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:29,480 It's, it's saying, you know, you expect us to hit something short, you're covering short 449 00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:31,760 zones, you're trying to cover the flats. 450 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:36,080 Well guess what, Stefan Diggs does a double move, and somebody bites hard on the inside 451 00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,640 expecting him to do a quick crosser for that first down. 452 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:40,440 Nope, we're going for the whole thing. 453 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,480 Boom, like that, I think that that rushing attack is so critical. 454 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:48,920 So I'm going to agree 100% with you that the Bills absolutely need to get it started. 455 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:54,680 And they need to get it started under center, letting James Cook approach the line with 456 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:58,280 a full head of steam, because that's when he does his best. 457 00:24:58,280 --> 00:24:59,280 Correct. 458 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:03,600 I mean, that's even the case for Latavius Murray, I know that you had a problem with 459 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:08,320 Murray starting the game over Cook this past week against the Giants. 460 00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:12,240 But I do think that he still has a lot of juice he's shown really well when they've 461 00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:13,800 given him opportunities. 462 00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:18,400 And so mixing them thunder and lightning throughout the course of this game, and doing some under 463 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:27,480 center power zone, power gap control running, and keep hit that hit that Dion Dawkins tackle 464 00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:32,960 gap power right over the guard slot, because that thing, it worked against the Giants like 465 00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:34,280 four or five times. 466 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:35,280 They tried to adjust to it. 467 00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:38,920 And even with their adjustments, the Bills were somewhat reliably still getting four 468 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:40,520 or five yards per snap. 469 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:43,200 So hit that till they can stop it. 470 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:45,320 And that's going to set you up for a lot more things. 471 00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:51,480 I think too that there's Dalton Cacade fully cleared back in practice full bore. 472 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:53,560 So he's out of the concussion protocol. 473 00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:58,680 It's going to be a good opportunity for him, I think, but they just really need to get 474 00:25:58,680 --> 00:25:59,680 him started. 475 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,560 He's got a decent amount of yards after catch, but he's been targeted in such a short zone 476 00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:08,200 area that I would like to see more out of Dalton Cacade this game. 477 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:13,160 Like I've said, every yeah, like we have said very consistently, we want to see Cook get 478 00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:16,440 19 over under 19 and a half touches per game. 479 00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:19,720 We want to see Cacade get some red zone looks and some red zone touchdowns. 480 00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:23,800 I just want to I want to see the guy that was advertised. 481 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:28,040 I want to see the guy who can find the soft spot in the zone and then turn and burn for 482 00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:29,440 a little bit of yak. 483 00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,160 Take a seven yard catch into a 17 yard catch. 484 00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:33,160 I want to see that. 485 00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:34,360 I want to see Dick Beasley. 486 00:26:34,360 --> 00:26:35,360 Exactly. 487 00:26:35,360 --> 00:26:36,360 That's what I was sold. 488 00:26:36,360 --> 00:26:37,360 That's the bill of goods I was sold. 489 00:26:37,360 --> 00:26:38,360 Small Beasley. 490 00:26:38,360 --> 00:26:39,360 Yes. 491 00:26:39,360 --> 00:26:40,360 We want to see Small Beasley. 492 00:26:40,360 --> 00:26:43,880 Is what I heard about in training camp and in the preseason. 493 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:50,400 And what we've seen instead is a slightly taller. 494 00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,760 Who's the running back that they got from the Panthers that was terrible that we all 495 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:54,760 hated? 496 00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:56,760 Oh, God. 497 00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:58,640 McDermott's first year. 498 00:26:58,640 --> 00:26:59,640 I can't remember. 499 00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:00,800 Are you was this was it a running? 500 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:02,520 Are you talking about Kelvin Benjamin? 501 00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,280 No, it was a running back. 502 00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:07,080 It was running back. 503 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:12,320 He's a really slow running back from the Panthers and he was a culture guy that did 504 00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:14,280 make their broad end anyway. 505 00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:18,480 All I remember is that he was always the kind of player that, you know, Tyrone Taylor would 506 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:23,680 check the ball down to and he would literally fall forward for a half yard from where he 507 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:24,680 caught it. 508 00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,160 And I'm going to go third and four. 509 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:28,160 You continue your story. 510 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:29,160 Yes. 511 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:32,640 This person he would catch the ball where he caught it on like a third and four check 512 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:35,400 down and get one yard and they'd have to put in. 513 00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:39,200 I oh my gosh, why can I not Jonathan? 514 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:40,200 No. 515 00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,880 It wasn't Jonathan Stewart that was the other running back that was good for them. 516 00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:48,680 Anyway, there was a big thick running back from the Panthers who came and played with 517 00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:53,360 the bills for one or two years was pretty massive disappointment. 518 00:27:53,360 --> 00:27:58,600 That's what I see when I watch Dalton Kincade catch the ball so far and it's just wildly 519 00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:03,480 under, you know, my expectations for that player when they use the first round pick 520 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:04,600 on him. 521 00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:08,640 And I'm sorry that he was hurt, but he really needs to come back and show us something to 522 00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:11,000 get this offense going. 523 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:12,200 You're still searching. 524 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:13,200 That's okay. 525 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:19,080 I don't know who I don't know who you're talking about. 526 00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:20,880 I'm in pro football reference right now. 527 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,680 I'm looking at the 2017 and 2018 roster. 528 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:29,480 I cannot identify a specific person is a free agent signing from Carolina in 2017. 529 00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:33,360 They still had LaShawn McCoy on the roster. 530 00:28:33,360 --> 00:28:34,360 Let's see. 531 00:28:34,360 --> 00:28:36,920 And then let me see here. 532 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,880 They've got Joe Banyard. 533 00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:42,120 Nope. 534 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:46,480 And then they've got, I mean, Calvin Benjamin who notably came for the Carolina Panthers. 535 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:47,480 He was terrible. 536 00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:48,480 Yeah. 537 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,640 Brutal, not a running back, but still brutal. 538 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:57,840 And then the only other running back on the 2017 roster that I can see is Taiwan Jones. 539 00:28:57,840 --> 00:28:58,840 Wow. 540 00:28:58,840 --> 00:28:59,840 Okay. 541 00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:00,840 Yeah. 542 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:01,840 What am I thinking of? 543 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:02,840 What are you thinking of? 544 00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:03,840 I'm so curious. 545 00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:06,800 I'm so curious what you're thinking of. 546 00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:07,800 Let me see. 547 00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:08,800 Yeah. 548 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,440 Because it says right here draft time and year on pro football reference. 549 00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:17,000 And the only person that's got a Carolina Panthers draft pedigree on the 17 roster is 550 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:18,000 Benjamin. 551 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:19,000 It might have been. 552 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:20,000 Who was terrible. 553 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:21,000 Yeah. 554 00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:22,000 All right. 555 00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:23,720 Who was also terrible for sure. 556 00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:24,720 So yeah. 557 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:26,800 But anyway, your point taken, right? 558 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:28,680 The analogy still plays out. 559 00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:35,600 Underperforming catch and run capabilities is really what I'm talking about. 560 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,400 Really New England. 561 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:39,520 They play a lot of man. 562 00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:40,520 Yep. 563 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:43,120 They've got JC Jackson back on the roster. 564 00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:51,760 Basically the little brother of Stefan Diggs when it comes to Diggs owning that matchup. 565 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:56,000 But they've got a really interesting roster of tweeners, which is something we said about 566 00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:58,000 them at the beginning of the season. 567 00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:03,000 There is a world JJ where Belichick just gets weird with it. 568 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:06,480 When you've got this 12 personnel matchup that the bills are going to be throwing out 569 00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:11,320 there, I could see a world where Belichick rolls out like four safeties. 570 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:16,240 He's got like peppers, hip checking, digs at the line and using his physicality there 571 00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,440 before passing him off to Jackson in the backfield. 572 00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:21,240 Duggar playing in the box. 573 00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:23,960 You've got Phillips who can play all over the field. 574 00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:29,120 I could see Belichick getting really weird with a lot of these matchups pressing some 575 00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:32,440 of these bills wide receivers at the line of scrimmage. 576 00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:38,280 And then using some of these tweener pieces that he's got to really confuse where pressure 577 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:39,920 and coverage are coming from. 578 00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:46,400 That is something that the Jaguars did with good efficacy for their entire game. 579 00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:51,360 The Giants did it for strong portions of their game where they would show a lot of blitz, 580 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:57,000 drop a surprising amount of guys into coverage, and that confused Josh for a couple of quarters. 581 00:30:57,000 --> 00:31:01,600 If there is a team built to replicate that scheme and slow down this offense, it's the 582 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:03,160 Patriots to me. 583 00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:04,920 Yeah, absolutely. 584 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:09,960 Well, and I think that that's, I, while you were talking about the Patriots defense and 585 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,040 how they shut things down, I found him. 586 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:13,640 His Michael, it's Mike Tolbert. 587 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:14,640 Oh, Tolbert. 588 00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:15,640 Yeah. 589 00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:16,640 Yeah. 590 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:17,640 I mean, such a, such a non-factor. 591 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:18,840 Such a niche, yeah, player. 592 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,120 But that's what I remember about Mike Tolbert is he brought him in. 593 00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:23,840 He's like, this guy's going to teach them the culture. 594 00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:28,080 And Mike Tolbert got, you know, like, maybe 20 or 30 touches the whole year and every 595 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:29,720 single one of them was a complete waste. 596 00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:30,960 You're so, you're so. 597 00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:33,680 I mean, he literally, I'm not looking at his stats. 598 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:38,720 He touched the ball 19 times that year, but it resonated as so offensive for you that 599 00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:39,720 you committed. 600 00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:40,720 It was. 601 00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:44,240 It was because I was like, this, every one of them is a lost snap. 602 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:46,120 So yeah, no, I think you're right. 603 00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:50,320 I think that the New England Patriots are going to do, they're going to do some of the 604 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:52,400 things that frustrate the Bills the most. 605 00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:56,800 They've proven throughout, throughout, you know, the many seasons that Belichick will 606 00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:01,680 look at what other teams have done successfully to shut down an offense and replicate them. 607 00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:03,040 I think that that's going to be true. 608 00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:08,360 So this is going to be a true test for Dorsey and for Josh Allen, honestly, is, is can they 609 00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:14,880 come up with a yet another counter punch in order to, you know, fix some of the problems 610 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:19,680 that have caused them to be so slow the last few weeks, specifically a slow start. 611 00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:23,640 Like you should have your scripted plays at the beginning of a, of a game really, you 612 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:27,120 know, cooking before the defense has a chance to adjust to you. 613 00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:30,480 And the last two weeks, they have looked super sluggish so weak. 614 00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:32,640 The opening script has been so weak. 615 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:33,640 It's been weak. 616 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:40,320 And to be honest, I don't think you can totally, you know, just I don't think you can wash 617 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:42,160 away the whole London effect. 618 00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:48,280 11 of 11 teams that did not choose to take their bi-week after they came back from playing 619 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:52,680 in London have been trailing in the fourth quarter of the game that they played the week 620 00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:54,480 after. 621 00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:55,480 It's 11 of 11. 622 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:56,480 Interesting. 623 00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:57,480 Wow. 624 00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:00,400 Since they started, since they started playing London games and they, you know, the teams 625 00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:01,400 always have a choice. 626 00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:04,880 Do you want to take your bi- after you come back from London to adjust the bills chose 627 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,080 not to because they didn't want to buy this early in the season. 628 00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:08,840 They wanted it later and I respect that choice. 629 00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:10,680 I think that's a smart choice. 630 00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:16,600 But 11 times out of 11 opportunities, the team that played the week after a London game 631 00:33:16,600 --> 00:33:21,160 was most of the time and the most of the time they lost the game, but every single time 632 00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:23,880 they lost, 100% of the times they were trailing in the fourth quarter. 633 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:29,840 Interesting because both the Jags and the bills played this week. 634 00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:32,880 And where the Jags trailing in the fourth quarter of their game against the Colts, I 635 00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:37,440 know the game was closer than it was supposed to be, but I know the Jags pulled away eventually. 636 00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:38,840 That's an interesting stat. 637 00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:39,840 That's fascinating. 638 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:43,880 I saw that on what I'm still going to call Twitter forever. 639 00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:50,480 The Jags were not trailing in the fourth, so maybe it's now 11 of 12. 640 00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:51,480 Maybe it could be. 641 00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:55,840 Yeah, because they were 21 to six at the half. 642 00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:59,200 Yeah, but that team, that doesn't count. 643 00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:01,400 London is literally their home field at this point. 644 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:02,400 So yeah. 645 00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:03,400 But no, interesting. 646 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:04,400 I mean, very interesting. 647 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:08,640 So there could be some of those effects, but I don't know, man. 648 00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:12,680 We talked about this in the post-game analysis with the Giants. 649 00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:18,760 I mean, this offense, and again, I don't want to lay all the blame at Dorsey's feet, but 650 00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:21,280 I want the right amount of accountability. 651 00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:25,320 The dude just reverts in turtles when the opening. 652 00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:30,400 I've never seen someone be so quick to deviate from an opening script in my life, as I've 653 00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:31,400 seen with Dorsey. 654 00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:37,000 He just kowtows so quickly to what other opposing defenses are doing. 655 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,200 And he put, I know Josh's comfort zone is not to be under signer. 656 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:44,600 He wants to be in shotgun, but he reverts to so much of that comfort food so quickly, 657 00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:46,920 it just makes this offense more predictable. 658 00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:53,600 I want to see this team stick with a balanced approach because it might not work right away, 659 00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:58,200 but it'll work like novocaine, especially against a team like Dwinglin that they've 660 00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:02,600 got a little bit of speed on the outside, but this is still not the fastest defensive 661 00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:06,160 unit that you're going to see, especially with Gonzalez out. 662 00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:09,440 So I think you can wear that unit down and then take advantage of some of the innate 663 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:11,760 speed you've got on your offensive roster. 664 00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:17,040 I want to see consistent adherence to what the installed offense looks like. 665 00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:19,960 And dude, they've got to get other pieces involved. 666 00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:23,520 You know, as good as Diggs is, is getting open. 667 00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:26,800 You know, Diggs is going to be double teamed for most of the game, especially because J.C. 668 00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:30,720 Jackson has proven he can't guard Diggs one-on-one. 669 00:35:30,720 --> 00:35:35,800 You know, you absolutely know that they're going to try to take away Gabe Davis as well. 670 00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:41,040 When Josh Allen this season throws to a player that is not Stefan Diggs or Gabe Davis, his 671 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:47,280 QB rating goes from 96 to 57. 672 00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:53,640 But here's the thing, unlike last season, there's actual depth and actual weapons at 673 00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:56,560 the pass catcher position that we didn't have last year. 674 00:35:56,560 --> 00:36:01,200 I loved how Hardy looked in his limited reps against the Giants. 675 00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:05,360 He is a crisp route runner that plays with a lot of speed. 676 00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:10,280 He looks like what we thought Isaiah Mackenzie was going to look like last year. 677 00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:14,520 You've got this riddle in Dalton Kincaid, this guy that you drafted to have this immediate 678 00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:15,880 impact that you could go. 679 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:20,360 I say if the Patriots are going to give you someone other than Diggs and Davis, I feel 680 00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:24,560 good about the options that they're going to be leaving open in their scheme. 681 00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:29,920 I just want to see Dorsey exploit it because again, we know that if Josh can play point 682 00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:36,080 guard, get the ball out in under 2.7 seconds and distribute to seven or more players, that 683 00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:38,800 is a recipe for a Buffalo Bills win. 684 00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:40,800 Absolutely. 685 00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:46,720 That's one of my predictions whenever we get to those. 686 00:36:46,720 --> 00:36:51,560 They have to be able to beat the New England Patriots and what they're not good at on defense. 687 00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:58,920 On defense, the places where New England has struggled is they give up points because they 688 00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:00,440 give up some explosives. 689 00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:04,760 They're really good when the team that they're playing is being forced to propagate the ball 690 00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:10,960 down the field, dink and dunk and execute efficiently, but they have given up some explosive 691 00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:11,960 plays. 692 00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:16,440 I think that that's a big spot for the Bills. 693 00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:23,160 Like you mentioned, the Patriots defense is almost top of the league in terms of yards 694 00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:31,640 per rush, but they tend to over the course of the game continue to get worn down because 695 00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:36,040 opponents are almost bottom of the league in number of times that opponents are rushing 696 00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:37,040 on them. 697 00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,320 And then rush yards per game is middle. 698 00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:42,160 People are averaging over 100 yards per game on them. 699 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:45,120 So there's some opportunities here and I think you're right. 700 00:37:45,120 --> 00:37:46,240 I think that's a good place to start. 701 00:37:46,240 --> 00:37:53,440 And I think also that's really important for Dorsey to stick to a script and not abandon 702 00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,920 his values at the first sign of trouble. 703 00:37:56,920 --> 00:38:01,640 Yeah, good news is it looks like Kinkade who has cleared concussion protocol and is back 704 00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:06,240 to practicing, it looks like he is going to play in this game, which means 12 personnel, 705 00:38:06,240 --> 00:38:10,200 which the Bills like to run at a very high clip is going to be back in the playbook. 706 00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:12,280 And it just it wasn't in that Giants game. 707 00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:17,000 They used it or usage rated that was single digits where usually they use it or clip just 708 00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:18,000 over 30%. 709 00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:19,000 Yeah. 710 00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:25,400 Well, and I think too, it's also interesting to me that the Bills run better out of 11 personnel 711 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:29,800 with a single back and one tight end and they pass better out of 12 personnel with two tight 712 00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:33,480 ends, which is opposite from your usual expectation. 713 00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:34,480 Right. 714 00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:38,440 But look at who they can run out there and 11 personnel like digs is almost always going 715 00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:39,440 to be out there. 716 00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:42,840 Gabe Davis is an excellent run blocking wide receiver. 717 00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:43,840 Sure. 718 00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:44,840 Sure. 719 00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:45,840 It is excellent. 720 00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:50,400 And Khalil Shakir has become one of the better run blocking receivers in the league. 721 00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:52,040 I remember scrappier. 722 00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:56,960 I remember last year in that Tennessee game in week two when Shakir when Shakir finally 723 00:38:56,960 --> 00:38:58,360 got on the field. 724 00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:03,400 And I remember watching the replay because it was a run play was like his first professional 725 00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:07,520 snap and he got absolutely blown up at the point of contact. 726 00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:08,520 I remember that too. 727 00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:12,200 And I was like, oh, dude, this kid's got a lot of work to do in the run blocking game. 728 00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:17,720 And he has gotten so good at it, which is why he is taking so much snap share away from 729 00:39:17,720 --> 00:39:18,960 Surefield. 730 00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:25,840 So they've got out of 11 personnel, you could argue three of the better blocking wide receivers 731 00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:27,560 in the league. 732 00:39:27,560 --> 00:39:31,320 So out of 11 personnel, they can be great at running the football. 733 00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:36,320 And then in 12 personnel, where the idea is you're forcing a lot of teams into base, you 734 00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:43,000 can get wildly and you can pass out of that when you've got digs, gave it Davis and Kincaid, 735 00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:47,720 who are all there three potential route trees that you can throw to it. 736 00:39:47,720 --> 00:39:50,080 And that dude, that's the dream, right? 737 00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:53,560 That is the dream for the bills to be multiple and unpredictable. 738 00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:56,400 And it just hasn't happened over the past couple of weeks. 739 00:39:56,400 --> 00:40:02,480 Well, and I think, yeah, their efficiency in running out of 11 and passing out of 12 740 00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:07,840 makes you believe that if they become super efficient and that teams will start, you know, 741 00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:14,400 loading the box in 11 and then all of a sudden the pass out of 11 is so much more lethal. 742 00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:19,040 Or they'll start dropping more players into coverage and 12, and then you have a empty 743 00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,480 box that you're running against out of 12. 744 00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:24,080 And that becomes, you know, big time plays. 745 00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:25,080 Yeah. 746 00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:26,080 And yeah, I agree. 747 00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:30,640 I think that there's so many different ways that they can play, but it seems like a deficiency 748 00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:37,080 of Ken Dorsey is that he doesn't have a plan B when his plan plan a falls apart. 749 00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:42,600 When the alignments and the different players he's rolling out in his packages are failing 750 00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:47,600 to execute the way he wants them to play, he tends to kind of scramble, go into scramble 751 00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:48,600 mode. 752 00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:51,240 He's a little bit like Josh Allen on any pass player, right? 753 00:40:51,240 --> 00:40:57,080 Like he stays within the script of the play for as long as he feels comfortable. 754 00:40:57,080 --> 00:40:59,600 The moment he doesn't feel comfortable, it's scramble drill. 755 00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:04,000 That's maybe why he and Dorsey get together, get along so well is that they both have the 756 00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:08,840 same kind of fight or flight response to initial action or reaction. 757 00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:09,840 Right. 758 00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:17,160 And listen, I think we're going to see teams continue to blitz Josh early in the game because 759 00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:22,840 they want to create discomfort with Josh lining up under center and they want to take away 760 00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:27,400 what the bills have so successfully installed, which is this play action ability of Josh 761 00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:29,120 when he lines up under center. 762 00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:34,320 They want him to feel unsafe lining up under center though and turning his back to the 763 00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:37,320 line when he's got to simulate play action. 764 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,080 They want to take that away. 765 00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:45,120 And Dorsey has allowed teams to do that over and over and over again over the past few 766 00:41:45,120 --> 00:41:46,120 weeks. 767 00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:47,760 And I think this week is going to be no different. 768 00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:52,920 JJ to summarize, if I were to expect anything from this New England Patriots team, because 769 00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:57,160 it's so hard to say like this is how they're going to scheme because it's really a week 770 00:41:57,160 --> 00:41:58,160 to week scheme. 771 00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:03,520 Like say what you want about Bill the GM, Bill the coach still does a great job of making 772 00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:06,480 very specific game plans for very specific teams. 773 00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:09,320 I think the Patriots are probably going to blitz early on. 774 00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:11,520 I think they're going to play a lot of man coverage. 775 00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:17,960 They're going to want the bills to second guess their use of their use of 12 personnel 776 00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:21,640 or I'm sorry of play action, Josh under center. 777 00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:23,400 And they're going to want to shut down the run. 778 00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:24,600 They're going to want to try. 779 00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:28,240 They're going to want to pull some of these early levers that other teams have pulled 780 00:42:28,240 --> 00:42:32,680 against this Buffalo Bill's offense and force them to revert to their 2022 selves, which 781 00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:36,640 is line up an 11 personnel and let Josh figure it the hell out. 782 00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:40,600 And up an 11 and force feed digs until he throws tips and interceptions. 783 00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:41,600 Exactly. 784 00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:42,600 I mean, that's really it. 785 00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:43,600 That's really it. 786 00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:45,080 So you want to do some prediction sure to go wrong. 787 00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:46,360 Yeah, let's let's get this. 788 00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:48,480 Let's get this thing buttoned up. 789 00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:53,040 I've got I've got I'll start with the score and the win. 790 00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:55,120 I think the bills do win. 791 00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:59,320 I think that it's a much tighter affair than any of us would like it to be because this 792 00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:02,280 is an excellent Patriots defense. 793 00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:03,880 Been missing some key pieces. 794 00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:07,080 I think the bills put up 23 points. 795 00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:12,880 I think Tyler Bass has six field goals or four field goals because I do think that the 796 00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:15,200 Red Zone defense for the Patriots intimidates me. 797 00:43:15,200 --> 00:43:18,960 I think that even if the bills are able to move it around between the 20s, I think they're 798 00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:22,680 going to experience some difficulties down close in the red area. 799 00:43:22,680 --> 00:43:28,040 And so I see Tyler Bass maybe having a redemption game and getting a number of field goals, 2317 800 00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:29,040 bills. 801 00:43:29,040 --> 00:43:30,040 How about you? 802 00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:34,640 I think Tyler Bass revenge game incoming. 803 00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:39,040 I I'm going to go 28. 804 00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:42,040 I'm going to go 28 13 bills. 805 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:46,880 So the spread on this game is eight and a half, right? 806 00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:47,880 It's interesting. 807 00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:51,120 This line opened at nine and a half, which tells you that there's some money going on 808 00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:54,440 the Patriots for the line to move a little bit closer to them. 809 00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:58,880 So there is at least a belief out there that the Patriots have shown enough over the past 810 00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:02,080 couple of weeks that maybe this is a get right game for them. 811 00:44:02,080 --> 00:44:06,360 Or that could be a testament to some of the betting public and some of the sharps that 812 00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:08,240 Buffalo is just inconsistent. 813 00:44:08,240 --> 00:44:11,800 They listen, they play to the level of their competition. 814 00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:14,520 They make good teams look bad. 815 00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:16,400 Think about that dolphins game. 816 00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:19,000 But then they just don't show up against bad teams. 817 00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:20,000 It's crazy. 818 00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:21,000 It's look amazing. 819 00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:22,500 It's absolutely crazy. 820 00:44:22,500 --> 00:44:28,400 The New York Jets literally have life because the Buffalo bills pissed that first game away. 821 00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:32,740 So this is a team that better or worse plays to its competition. 822 00:44:32,740 --> 00:44:39,440 That being said, the problems are so clearly identifiable and everyone at one bill's drive 823 00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:41,760 knows what those problems are. 824 00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:47,800 It is hard for me to believe that this coaching staff is going to let the same thing beat 825 00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:50,240 them week to week to week. 826 00:44:50,240 --> 00:44:52,400 I believe this is an adjustment game. 827 00:44:52,400 --> 00:44:55,720 These division games, they tend to be a little wonky and a little bit weird. 828 00:44:55,720 --> 00:45:00,640 And other than that, Weather Game, McDermott and Allen have absolutely owned New England. 829 00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:02,800 And I think this is still going to be a bill's walk away win. 830 00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:06,680 So I'm going to go 28, 13 Buffalo bills. 831 00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:11,440 I think they so we'll hit the under on this because the over is 41 and a half. 832 00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:14,840 So this will just be under, but the bills will cover the spread. 833 00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:18,760 Yeah, I've got them going under as well. 834 00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:21,400 And I do have them not covering. 835 00:45:21,400 --> 00:45:27,400 My first prop is that Greg Rousseau, one and a half sacks and I think over. 836 00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:34,640 And last time I took under against Rousseau, he had one and a half sacks. 837 00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:35,640 Exactly. 838 00:45:35,640 --> 00:45:36,640 Oh, do I push? 839 00:45:36,640 --> 00:45:37,880 No, I'm not going to push. 840 00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:39,880 You can't push on this. 841 00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:47,440 I am going to go under only because I think Von Miller is going to have a good game. 842 00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:50,480 I think Von is is on his way back. 843 00:45:50,480 --> 00:45:52,960 I think they're ramping up his snap count. 844 00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:58,840 And I just think listen that that New York Giants offensive line was non existent. 845 00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:04,320 But I think this New England Patriots offensive line, if they get some pieces back, it could 846 00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:05,880 be different. 847 00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:08,280 But it's not just that it's bad. 848 00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:09,280 It's also dysfunctional. 849 00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:14,400 Like this is still one of the most penalized offensive line units out there. 850 00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:17,800 And I just think it's going to be a good day for some of these ad rushers for the Buffalo 851 00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:18,800 bills. 852 00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:21,800 I think they're going to go under only because I think there's going to be a lot of guys 853 00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:24,080 making hay in the backfield against Jones. 854 00:46:24,080 --> 00:46:25,080 I like this. 855 00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:26,080 I hope so. 856 00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:27,080 Yep. 857 00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:28,080 Okay. 858 00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:30,680 Do you say that you say then Von Miller is going to get one or get a half? 859 00:46:30,680 --> 00:46:31,680 Yeah. 860 00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:34,680 I'm going to put it at half and I'm going to say Von Miller gets his first sack of the 861 00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:35,680 season. 862 00:46:35,680 --> 00:46:36,680 Cool. 863 00:46:36,680 --> 00:46:37,680 Yep. 864 00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:39,080 So yeah, I've got another one for you. 865 00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:40,080 You ready for this? 866 00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:41,080 I am. 867 00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:47,240 Chair Elam over, over, under, half an interception. 868 00:46:47,240 --> 00:46:49,800 I'm going over. 869 00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:51,600 He's going to, I'm saying he's going to get a pick. 870 00:46:51,600 --> 00:46:52,600 Yeah. 871 00:46:52,600 --> 00:46:55,680 I'm going to say under because I don't believe in him at all. 872 00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:58,080 Chair Elam revenge game loading. 873 00:46:58,080 --> 00:46:59,080 That's what I am saying. 874 00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:00,080 All right. 875 00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:01,520 Listen, they're going to pick on him. 876 00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:02,520 He's going to have opportunities. 877 00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:03,520 He's going to have opportunities. 878 00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:04,520 That's for sure. 879 00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:10,720 And everyone in that building, both organizations know that Elam is probably going to get targeted 880 00:47:10,720 --> 00:47:13,320 like 20 times in that game. 881 00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:16,920 If he wants to send a message early on, he's got it. 882 00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:20,600 If he wants to protect himself, he's got a pick on all in this. 883 00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:23,240 Listen, we forget how well he played at the end of last season. 884 00:47:23,240 --> 00:47:27,440 The Buffalo Bills do not beat the Miami Dolphins in the playoffs. 885 00:47:27,440 --> 00:47:28,440 That's true. 886 00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:29,440 Without Chair Elam. 887 00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:30,440 And so an interception. 888 00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:32,680 Playing at high level. 889 00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:36,320 So listen, I still have faith in this kid. 890 00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,440 I think this is a game where they're going to test him. 891 00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:45,560 And I think this is a QB who has shown that he is incapable of testing opposing DB's. 892 00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:47,600 Chair Elam is going to get his first pick this game. 893 00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:48,600 I like it. 894 00:47:48,600 --> 00:47:49,600 I like it. 895 00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:50,600 I hope for it. 896 00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:51,600 I hope for it. 897 00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:52,600 Honestly, I don't think it will happen. 898 00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:54,440 I think he's going to get roasted and we're going to be sad about it. 899 00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:56,440 But I'd really love for that to come true. 900 00:47:56,440 --> 00:47:58,160 I would love for that to come true too. 901 00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:00,960 I've got six or more pass catchers. 902 00:48:00,960 --> 00:48:06,440 Have three or more receptions is just a statement I'm going to put out there in the universe. 903 00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:08,800 That's an interesting one. 904 00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:11,320 The bill, because that didn't happen against Jacksonville. 905 00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:17,000 They had they had eight different pass catchers, but four of them only caught one pass. 906 00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:20,360 And then I'm looking at the stats from the Giants game. 907 00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:22,840 One, one, one, one. 908 00:48:22,840 --> 00:48:25,240 Only four players again had more than one catch. 909 00:48:25,240 --> 00:48:28,040 It was basically the diggers and Davis show. 910 00:48:28,040 --> 00:48:30,520 That's a really good one. 911 00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:31,840 You came prepared for this. 912 00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:32,840 God. 913 00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:36,200 Well, I want that so bad because I think that that's a recipe that's great. 914 00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:39,400 That's a recipe for the bills to win every game. 915 00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:44,680 Obviously, like if I just feel like that's a thing if six bills, players receive three 916 00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:47,320 or more receptions, bills win. 917 00:48:47,320 --> 00:48:50,000 We should do a deep dive on the statistics and see. 918 00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:51,000 Well, yeah. 919 00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:52,000 Yeah. 920 00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:53,600 I mean, that means every level of the field is working. 921 00:48:53,600 --> 00:48:56,920 That means Cook is involved in the passing game and the check down game. 922 00:48:56,920 --> 00:48:58,760 That means Diggs is doing his thing. 923 00:48:58,760 --> 00:48:59,880 Davis is doing his thing. 924 00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:01,120 Can Cade is involved? 925 00:49:01,120 --> 00:49:02,120 Nox is involved. 926 00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:04,480 It's a symptom of efficiency. 927 00:49:04,480 --> 00:49:05,480 That's what that is. 928 00:49:05,480 --> 00:49:06,480 A symptom of efficiency. 929 00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:07,480 Yeah. 930 00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:11,000 You're using all the tools in your tool belt, which we have been begging the bills to do 931 00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:15,200 all season because again, this is a talented group of pass catchers. 932 00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:16,200 It really is. 933 00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:17,200 Oh, man. 934 00:49:17,200 --> 00:49:18,200 Yeah. 935 00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:19,200 I like that. 936 00:49:19,200 --> 00:49:20,200 Is that an over under? 937 00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:21,200 Is that just a this is a thing that needs to happen? 938 00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:25,320 That's just the thing this is the thing that I would love to see that happen. 939 00:49:25,320 --> 00:49:26,320 Yeah. 940 00:49:26,320 --> 00:49:27,320 I would love to see that happen. 941 00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:28,320 Dan and JJ both vote for this. 942 00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:29,320 I would. 943 00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:30,320 I cosine. 944 00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:31,320 I cosine that one. 945 00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:32,320 That's a good one. 946 00:49:32,320 --> 00:49:33,320 All right. 947 00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:34,320 Cool. 948 00:49:34,320 --> 00:49:35,320 I'm good. 949 00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:36,840 I'm all out of props because the more of these things I put out into the universe, the 950 00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:38,440 worse the less like for me. 951 00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:39,680 The less like this. 952 00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:40,680 I'm good too. 953 00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:41,680 Excellent. 954 00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:42,880 And I'm excited for this weekend. 955 00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:46,360 I think it's, you know, I always get excited for Bill's games. 956 00:49:46,360 --> 00:49:52,240 I hope they come back and they have a strong showing and kind of sell it some of the doubters 957 00:49:52,240 --> 00:49:55,760 and, you know, make Bill's fans feel a lot better. 958 00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:57,520 I don't need a blowout win. 959 00:49:57,520 --> 00:50:01,640 But heck what I wouldn't give for one where they just control it from start to start to 960 00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:02,640 finish. 961 00:50:02,640 --> 00:50:03,640 Amen, dude. 962 00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:04,640 Amen. 963 00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:09,160 I would like a, I'd like a relatively stress fury viewing experience where the Buffalo 964 00:50:09,160 --> 00:50:12,720 Bills do not ruin a weekend with my children for me. 965 00:50:12,720 --> 00:50:13,720 So absolutely. 966 00:50:13,720 --> 00:50:14,840 Well, hopefully we'll get it, sir. 967 00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:18,880 And hopefully everyone listening at home has gotten what they have desired out of this 968 00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:19,880 pod. 969 00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:23,320 For those of you listening at home, like, share and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts, 970 00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:24,320 Google, Apple, Spotify. 971 00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:25,320 And as always, go Bill's. 972 00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:26,320 Go Bill's. 973 00:50:26,320 --> 00:50:36,320 Go Bill's.