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Alright, we're back, Buffalo Bread podcast, approaching a week 5 matchup in the UK with

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the Jacksonville Jaguars, but we won't be able to get there until we talk about the

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absolute slobber knocking drudgy that the Buffalo Bills put these squished fish Miami

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Dolphins through man. It was an absolute it was a wet market out there. How are you

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feeling Dan? And also how are you feeling you were on IR last week?

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I am feeling physically better. Like I am able to perform my duties as needed for this

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pod. And with regard to the Buffalo Bills, I am feeling like I owe a lot of people an

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apology. We're keeping the receipts again. We are we are we are we are reverting to ourselves

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to keep the receipts on ourself. I feel like Tony Stark and Iron Man three after he gets

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the crap kicked out of him by the Mandarin spoiler alert if you haven't seen this movie

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from like 10 years ago. I have a lot of apologies to make. I have to apologize I think first

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and foremost to this Buffalo Bills defense which we will get to in the second segment

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of the show where we check in on how some of our preseason predictions were going.

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And mine are not going well where I picked this defense to finish last in DVOA in the

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entire division. They are currently and I think there is still data at preseason you

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could have pointed to that would have supported that. We didn't know Terrell Bernardo was

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going to be this freaking amazing and we're going to talk about him in this game and the

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defense that that he executed that McDermott planned to perfection against Miami. But we

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didn't everybody thought we didn't have a middle linebacker turns out we do and then

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some. No one thought this defense was fast. This defense is I would say other than maybe

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some key spots in the secondary this defense is fast and this defensive line is starting

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to look as advertised week after week continuing to get better. I mean sacking to a four times

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when he had been sacked once in the previous three games I get it's a bad offensive line

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but that scheme in Miami literally plans for him to get the ball out in two seconds or

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less. The fact that the bills were able to confuse him to the point where their rush

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was getting home in two and a half seconds. It's what we've always wanted. It's what we've

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wanted to see the bills do against guys like to a guy's like borough with these really

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quick triggers. JJ I just I was so wrong in so many different ways and being wrong never

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felt so right. Let's put it that way. So yeah there's a lot to get to with this game on

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the offensive side of the ball in the masterpiece that was conducted by game manager and superstar

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Josh Allen in this game. Yes. And then of course the defensive side of the ball with

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just a brilliant defensive game plan and then spot on execution by this Buffalo Bills defense.

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So JJ where do you want to start? Do you want to start with the masterpiece on offense or

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the masterpiece on defense first? Let's throw the offensive flowers out there first and I

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think you know you got to start at the top. I think that Dorsey had an excellent plan.

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There was a lot of different things that we haven't seen in prior weeks which makes me

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hope and believe that he is going to kind of peel the layers of this onion as he goes

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through the season when he needs to pull pages out that he hasn't used in the playbook. So

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they did a lot of extra flash and different things with Stefan Diggs in motion and different

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things with different sets. You know Deonti Hardy in the backfield Stefan Diggs in the

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backfield at times. They actually did some things that remind me Dolphins ask you know

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this they may have even stole some some of the concepts to manipulate the defense move

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people around and get their playmakers into better angles at the snap of the ball. And

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I think that the team was coached extremely well. The actual coordination and the game

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plan was was excellent for the vulnerabilities in the Miami defense and then the execution

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on the part of the part of the players was really good. So you know hats off to Dorsey.

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I think that you know he got a lot of heat last year especially near the middle and

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end of the season for the bills offense being too predictable. And I think that he's showing

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that if they have you know knock on wood of course if they have a healthy offensive line

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if they have the skilled position players I think they're going to have and Josh Allen

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is playing within the scope of the offense. They're a special unit they can do a lot of

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things. Their efficiency right now is through through the roof like if they can keep this

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up and I know that this result in the last two weeks result are are substantial. But

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if they keep this kind of efficiency up or something close to it. They're going to they're

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going to also be a revolutionary offense in the league this season in terms of you know

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point differential in terms of third down efficiency in terms of ending drives with

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points it's going to be an excellent year. And so hopefully they're able to keep it up

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hopefully they have enough wrinkles that when counter punches from the best defensive coordinators

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and the best defenses in the league come they have plans for them. So yeah again start at

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the top I think that I can kind of we get scaffold right into Josh Allen at 27 just had a sixth

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game with you know four passing touchdowns 300 plus yards passing one of the stat that

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he's he's now set the NFL record and is likely to blow that record apart. He's behind just

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Patrick Mahomes and Dan Marino again for most touchdowns in his first six seasons in the

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league. Patrick Mahomes again is ahead of him having you know having his six season ended

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last semester last last semester last year. And Josh Allen is on pace you know I think

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he's like 19 behind Patrick Mahomes for the season so if he gets over 19 TV is between

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now on the end that records his as well it looks excellent when he plays within the scope

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when he doesn't make mistakes and when he's properly protected.

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And I want to start with the protection JJ because we have maligned this offensive line

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for for years and we got into it a little bit this season with them to especially after

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that Jets game it just it just didn't look like this was an offensive line that it improved

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in any kind of meaningful way. There are still questions about Spencer Brown Dawkins was kind

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of on the rebound from a subpar season from last year. We had this new piece in Osiris

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Torrance that we thought would fit well and he has been fitting well Mitch Morse with

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his health and then Conor McGovern of course being a new new expensive free agent piece

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this team brought in to rebuild this offensive line. But question marks were a bound especially

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at the tackle position in the preseason. I remember I remember after the Pittsburgh game

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when people are really starting to question if Dawkins still had it and whether or not

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he would have to slide inside to kind of finish his career as a bill.

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So the athletic has this great aggregate score. It's based off of their own algorithm PFF

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cell algorithm and it basically takes this rotten tomatoes as aggregate between all of

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these various ratings agencies for us offensive line play and JJ the best rated past protecting

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offensive line in the National Football League to date is the Buffalo Bills. Osiris Torrance

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has allowed zero sacks as a rookie and over 270 snaps. Mitch Morse and Deon Dawkins as

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well have allowed zero sacks this season for our beloved Josh Allen. This offensive line

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is balling out in the past protection game and we have seen what they've been able to

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do with this accelerated push that they get particularly on the right side with Brown

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and Osiris Torrance the holes that they can open up for their speed back in James Cook

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for the power backs that they're bringing with Amy and Harris and Latavius Murray. The

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offensive line really showed out. They gave up two sacks this game. It would that was

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something of an inevitability against a pass rush that is as effective as Miami's is even

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without Jalen Phillips in the lineup. But still this is a market improvement over last

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year and we have been saying that if you give Josh the requisite amount of time he is going

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to dice up an opposing defense and that's exactly what happened in this game. I agree

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with you Dorsey's game plan was incredible. And the way that he is decoying Hardy on some

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of these middle corner routes and freeing up those zone beaters on the sideline to Gabe

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Davis something this team couldn't do with any reliability last year because a they didn't

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have anybody in the middle of a field that was a viable threat that could catch the ball

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and be they simply weren't giving Alan enough time to hit those routes on the sideline. Very

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first tee pass to Davis. Beautiful play design where Hardy's running that middle and decoy

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freezes the safety for just the right amount of moments to open up that zone cornhole right

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in the top corner of the end zone. Beautifully executed play beautifully drawn up play. And

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we said this a couple of weeks ago that we it felt like Dorsey was beginning to layer

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on more stuff to the offense he wanted to build here. And that's the scary part for

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me is that I don't think this offense has topped out yet which is saying something for

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a unit that has scored 30 plus points over the last three weeks. But we still haven't

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seen Hardy meaningfully involved sure field meaningfully involved. They're trying to get

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Shakir more active. And we haven't really seen them turn up the juice on concave yet either

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at this point. This is a unit that definitely still has some tread on the tires as far as

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what it can roll out there. And I'm hoping that at the quarter pole, they're getting

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ready to turn some of those things on for the rest of the season.

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Well, and to points, you know, in this specific game with Miami and generally about the offense

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through four weeks and we're going to do like kind of quarterly stuff in a minute. They

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know Dorsey's offense, the way I've seen it so far in a season and a couple of games

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works if he has two things that are absolutely critical. One is interior protection so that

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there's not pressure. He has a quarterback who can mostly invalidate outside pressure,

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especially if it's wide and there are rushing in their lanes, there's escape lanes, and it's

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a muddled rush, you know, with everybody compressing the pocket, Jalen tends to do well and those

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two sacks he took, he took them as the smartest play on that down was live to fight another

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day. And so I think that, you know, if he has the interior protection one, and in two,

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if he has skilled players who can catch the ball at various, you know, various layers

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of the field, short, mid, intermediate and long, then he has what he needs. Those two

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things combined, I think he has right now. And that's why we're seeing this kind of

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efficiency is because it's giving Josh Allen options short with run after catch ability,

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medium with first out ability and then long with TD ability. And it's the most prime

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example of a pick your poison offensive attack, so that defenses they are facing, cannot turn

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to man coverage, even if they have talented corners, because Josh Allen is going to take

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off with his legs, you can't turn back on Josh Allen, he'll beat you with his feet.

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And everybody knows that at this point in the league. So they have to have complex zone

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schemes to try to delay his processing, and compress the roots that the the bills cat

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past catchers and talented, you know, receivers are going to run. And it's just not happening.

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I mean, Stefan Diggs is an absolute technician. He made cater co who look like complete, complete

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rookie out there, incapable of coverage with some of his footwork. And so it's, you know,

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things can continue like this. I don't know a defense that would be able to stop it. The

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kind of efficiency and decision making that Josh Allen is make is is bring into the table,

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kind of protection the line is providing and then the kind of scheme that Dorsey is using,

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in order to use angles and leverage to make sure that's always a good option for Josh

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Allen. It's great. It's great so far. And I think that we're never going to see a screen

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game because teams know they always have to have their eyes in the backfield with Josh

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Allen. But you don't need it if you have four yard hook to Dalton, Cade, five yard slant

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to, you know, Stefan Diggs, because they can make what you need to happen. And the auntie

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Hardy had that one first down in the game. That was just amazing. He caught it four or

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five yards short of the six crazy. Yeah, made two guys miss and got the first like, I mean,

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he's so shifty. Yeah, he's really with with those kinds of efforts, you know, I think

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that that's what that's all they need is excellent individual effort to make something happen

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after the catch and Josh Allen to keep to just keep guarding the thing. Honestly,

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yeah, again, another game where he completed completed a pass to eight or more past catchers.

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Yep. And they're not the drops, the drops that were a problem last year for this squad.

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That the Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver room has seemed to have found at this point

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are not a problem for this bills team this year, which is huge because that's consistency

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with the hands. I mean, it's incredible, right? And I think it's that his inspired confidence

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and Josh with his with a multitude of different past catchers. Last season, there was the

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UCL issue. He probably didn't trust a lot of these guys to catch the ball. He didn't

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feel like he could go to a multitude of targets. And he didn't have the time to go through

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a lot of his progressions because the offensive line protection was so middling. All of those

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things turned on their head. And you can you can make the argument and I will see to anyone

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who wants to say the Buffalo Bills haven't haven't played a great team yet. I would disagree

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for the defenses that they have faced. The Jets, I think everyone agrees, especially

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after seeing Patrick Mahomes also struggle against that defense in prime time this weekend.

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That is a defense that's just built to beat a lot of modern quarterbacks, right? The the

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Raiders, I will see that argument that is not a good defense. The Washington commanders,

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that is a four real unit. And they have played some pretty tough competition pretty well

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early on in the season. And then the Miami Dolphins, I understand where they are DVO a

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wise, but from a talent talent by talent point on the roster. This is a pretty talented pass

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rush. And for the most part, teams that have been able to give Josh Allen fits and will

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a little bit of foreshadowing as we we talk about a hopeful revenge game against Jacksonville

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coming up here. Teams that have given the bills fits have really only needed to have

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a solid defensive line and pass rush in order to disrupt Josh's timing. We've seen that

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happen before time after time, you could make an argument that these are maybe the four

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best defensive lines that they've played in the first four games of the season that

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they're going to see all year, especially with Matt Jude on now being out for New England

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and definitely you could make that argument. And this offensive line in this scheme has

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performed really well in circumstances this year were if the same circumstances that were

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facing the past with past personnel, they would have struggled greatly. What this means

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to me is real progress, progress and Josh's maturation, progress and Dorsey's play calling

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scheme and finally, finally, some of these draft picks and free agent investments on

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the line starting to hit, it feels like four games in these things are starting to come

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together in the right way. And in the way that I think everyone has hoped they would

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for the past couple of seasons.

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Yeah, absolutely. I think you're absolutely right. And I think, you know, kind of, we

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can put a bow in the offense and talk a little bit more about that defense in depth to wrap

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up wrap up the Miami game. I think that I'm sorry, I think Osiris Torrance pick is looking

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more and more like an absolute steal in the second round. And I think that, you know,

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I think Gabe Davis is he might get a contract to give to give exactly what he gives, which

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is a couple of catches a game one of them going to be a TD, you know, on a nice, a long

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arcing ball and that might be it. Like, and that's okay that he might be always the robin

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to Stefan Dick Batman. And that that can be enough. If he comes up in clutch moments,

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that's good enough for me. And there's enough other options that you don't need him to be

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a high volume passcatcher. So you know, I think that that's that's looking good. I think

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that, you know, flipping over to the defense in this Miami game.

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Tyrell Bernard and Matt Milano are just outstanding. I did not expect this. No, no one what I'm

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if anyone said they expected us there are liars. Right, like, it makes everybody in

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Bill's mafia and the media landscape who spent all summer talking about a ringing alarm

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bells about the bills not making enough profound moves to relate to replace Tremaine Edmonds.

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It makes us all look like fools. I was in that too. I was like, I don't know what they're

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going to do that I didn't see it in any other player to be able to come in with that level

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of consistency and replace the condor like wingspan and shoes of Tremaine Edmonds. But

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it looks like what we really needed all along was we needed coach McDermott Sean McDermott

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to be calling the defensive plays. They're more aggressive. They're doing way more simulated

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pressure. They're not blitzing. They're blitzing less than Leslie Fraser did, but they're

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getting more products production. They're getting the top pass rush win rate from the

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defensive front correct with the with the second lowest blitz rating in the in the NFL.

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So they are just it's exactly what Sean McDermott used in the amazing run that he he had with

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the Panthers as defensive coordinator when they went to a Super Bowl. It was, you know,

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being a terror to opposing quarterbacks because they never knew who was coming and it was

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never more than four people. And the four people were always counted on to win one on

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one matchups where they where they had them. And that that's happening. I think that you're

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ceiling you're seeing the yield on a contract for Ed Oliver. He's been a nightmare interior.

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And you're seeing Greg Rousseau look like what we hoped he would look like at this point

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in his career. I was so out on more consistent. I was so out on him like two weeks ago. I

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was so so or Oliver Rousseau. So I was so done with Rousseau. And then all of a sudden,

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ever since I said that, thanks for listening to the pod, Greg, he's had he's had four

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sacks, I think or something like that's crazy. It's crazy. I'm glad I could motivate him

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that way. That's crazy. He doesn't really did. You did a great job. Um, but yeah, I

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mean, I'm just wrong about everything. Well, and that's one thing. I mean, this is one

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of those things where, you know, you're like a you're like a misbehaving puppy. I'm going

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to rub your face in it, Dan. Um, this defense is is converting pressure to sex. The sack

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rates, the sack numbers are there. They're coming. They're they're starting to come and

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it's real. And you can't blame me though, for after seeing year after year of bills

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in the top like 10 and it and pressure rates, right? And then Jerry Hughes top five in the

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NFL pressure and then all all I'm watching are highlights of Patrick Mahomes side stepping

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that quote unquote pressure and like taking our souls from our body and the playoffs.

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You can't blame me for that. I can't but the sacks are starting to come and I get it.

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The Jets don't have a great offensive line. Neither neither do any of the other three

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teams we have played, including Miami, but all of those teams, I'd say with the exception

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of Washington scheme to get the ball out so quick so that they can negate the pressure

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and cover up the weaknesses of their offensive lines. McDermid is doing things with cover

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two and cover six deployments with the secondary. They're confusing opposing QBs making them

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hold on to the ball that half second to two thirds of a second longer, which is enough

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time for the speed and athleticism of this defensive line to finally get through. It's

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it is the the set the deployments in the secondary aren't just simulating pressure. They're

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disguising where their coverage is coming from without sacrificing what they need from

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their DBs to support the run game either. What I what I loved particularly about those cover

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six setups that McDermid was deploying is that so basically a cover six is cover two

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for those of you who don't know cover two on one side of the field cover four on the

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other side of the field, but it simulates and looks like you're putting two two deep

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safeties back right and then post snap your DB shift in a way to where you have some guys

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that are in the flat, some guys that are flashing into the box, and it allows those those other

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DBs to flash back into their deep assignments. While those other DBs are coming up and rubbing

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guys in that five five yard on box area. And there was not a free five yards to be had

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against that Miami offense. Every time someone wanted to get the the end of their five yard

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route, they're getting bumped or rubbed by a DB or a linebacker Bernard Milano, somebody

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was laying pads on these guys to disrupt timing, which allowed guys to get to their coverage

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assignments on time, and disrupted the timing of two is routes, it was a great use of what

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is real what could be misconstrued as a really soft coverage concept. But that credit goes

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to McDermid for the scheming, but then also that defense for execution, and particularly

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to rel Bernard, who was so active pre snap, calling out positions calling out pre snap

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motion for that Miami defense, he had grabbing DT's hips and moving them into different gaps.

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Like I saw that four or five times, I was like, that is awesome. That is a for a second

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year. Yeah, that that is a dude who didn't just study the tape. He was somehow in Miami's

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play. He got a PhD in the tape. Unbelievable. Like he knew he knew what was coming basically

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as to it was calling it at the line. It was crazy. Well, and I'll go even even one, you

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know, one step further with the depth of the cover two covers, cover two, cover four combo,

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cover six coverage in that essentially, okay, so coming into this game to two is in me into

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I think is an really excellent quarterback. And I still believe that after this game even,

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you know, you face some pressure, he made some errors. But he is he's an excellent quarter.

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He's going to torch a bunch of other teams this year.

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The top five to two is a top five keeping. Yeah, he's going to torch teams. And part

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of the reason he's going to torch teams and I got into this with Steve when we were doing

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the pre pod for this Dolphins game is that, you know, people may give him guff for throwing

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to his first read over 80% of the time. But he's making completions to that first read

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on 80% of those throws. And it's because he knows exactly where the void is going to be

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in the coverage pre and post snap. So it's like, boom, hit your back foot, falls out

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to the first read completion. And that's why they've been so strong on offense. And he

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was hitting that again, over 80% in every game prior to the bills game in the bills

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game, he only hit his first read about 40% of the time. Because that cover two cover

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four to make the cover six combo, basically, it erases of avoid in the zone on one half

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of the field. It covers one half of the field and has very small windows with DBs. And then

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that covers the other half of the field with safeties and linebacker play with bigger voids.

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So you're basically making your your your funneling all passes are going to have to

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go to that one side. And if you just continuously like Dermot did in this game, if you continuously

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flip the sides of the field that are doing the tighter coverage windows to what you've

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seen on tape as the route combinations that the opposing team likes to play, you're gambling

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that they're going to be in the in the tightest windows and unable to make the throws they

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like to make at that two to three second time period. It's a timing it's like a timing based

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defense. You are taking two thirds of the field and never getting to the area of the

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field he wants, which is the middle of the field. Yes, only ever giving him a boundary

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on one side with a big gap. And that one big gap is going to be a harder throw. It's going

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to be less likely that one of their players is in that window at the right time before

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your pass rush can get there. And so it makes the defense pretty infallible to even an excellent

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efficient offense such as the dolphins. And they needed two drives those first two touchdown

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drives by the dolphins to figure out which route combinations were coming at them with

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which offensive, you know, packages of players on the field at the time they're going to

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be. And once they had that the film once they had that on their tablets done. Yep, like

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done. Yep. They knew it after that first quarter they knew exactly how they wanted to play this

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particular offense. And you know, it's interesting. I don't I don't want to take away any credit

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from Buffalo. But I think I think to one of the things that one of the questions I asked

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pretty openly on the pod preseason was, can Mike McDaniel adjust when other teams take

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away what he wants to do? We saw last year that this team even when Tua was out kind

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of stubbornly stuck to the scheme that they had designed this year, their solution was

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well, we're we're simply going to we're going to run the ball, right? And they've developed

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this really great kind of San Francisco 49ers ask outside zone run game. What I loved about

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McDermot McDermot's counter that is he basically played his defensive line exceptionally wide.

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He was like, go ahead, take us up the air the B gap, right? And meet my friends Matt

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Milano and Terrell Bernard and potentially Micahide two of you dropping down into the

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box. By all means take that if you're going to beat us in the run, it's going to be in

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the power run game. And he played the defensive line so wide that we were able to set the

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edge and take away most of what they wanted to do from the outside zone concept. Now,

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the Buffalo Bills rush defense, which I have said is bad is statistically slightly average,

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okay. And it was only by virtue of McDaniel basically giving up on the run in the second

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half that really saved us, I think from being gashed a little bit more there. But that's

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again a credit to all three phases of the Buffalo Bills game plan working in unison,

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because the offense was so relentless. I think they scored on seven of their first eight

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possessions. They were just so relentless with the pressure they were putting on that

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there was no way McDaniel could continue to stick to the run game.

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Well, and I was just going to say that I was going to say, you know, one of the best rush

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defenses in the game is an offense that puts up 40 points, because it creates a situation

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where, you know, you could see it in the second half. McDermott was basically cluttering

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all of the passing lanes and being like, run, run however much as you want, like you don't

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have enough possessions. You cannot stop our offense from at least getting a few first

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downs. So we know we're going to take three at least three or four minutes off the clock

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every time we touch the ball. Go ahead and run it, take a six or nine minute drive, like

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get a touchdown by running the ball on us. That's fine. They were going to trade rushing

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productivity four time on the clock. And I think that that was a valid strategy. And

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I think that that's going forward. I think the bill's rushing defense is its most it's

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its biggest vulnerability, because they do have light linebackers and Milano and Bernard.

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They have, you know, corners and defensive backs who are definitely willing to jump

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up into the box and get their noses dirty, but they're also huge, you know, this isn't

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the Legion of Boom on the backside. And so you're going to have vulnerabilities there

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as well, especially if you can get a tight end or alignment on those players. So there's

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going to be the bills are probably going to be gashed by the run quite a lot this year.

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And I'm not at all worried about it if the offense can stay efficient, because essentially

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you're going to erase the running ability by being up by two or three scores late and

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saying, you know, you don't have time to move the ball down the field. The bills are likely

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going to stay in shell coverages. So they're going to have Poyer hide, rep, whoever the

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safeties are back there, cleaning up on those long, you know, 14, 15 yard runs. And that's

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going to also, you know, take time. So time is going to be an extra player on the defense

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this year, if the bill's offense can stay as aggressive as they are.

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Agreed. Agreed. Now, JJ, we can't move on from this defensive conversation without,

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of course, talking about Trey White. I know. I know Trey who was rounding back into form

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beautifully this season, lost for the rest of the year with an Achilles tear, which means

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we're likely going to see what kind of we have been asking for. And now I'm not going

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to lie, I'm a little scared to see it. We are going to see Kyar Elam very likely come

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off of the enact healthy, healthy scratch inactive list that he's been on for the first four

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weeks of the season, join the active dressed roster and likely back up Christian Benford

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and Dane Jackson. JJ, it's tough to predict that we have been through this and not so

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long ago, the loss of Trey White. The defense has been able to put it together. And you

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can make the argument that the last time we lost Trey, the cornerback room was not nearly

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as deep as it is now. We are deeper, we're somehow younger in that DB room. We're a little

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bit more athletic and we're a little bit faster. It's impossible to fully make up for the loss

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of someone as talented as Trey White. But JJ, what do you see as the path forward for

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the bills as they try to cope with the loss of their top DB?

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So I see a couple of things first for Trey White, I think that, you know, Bill's mafia,

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the team, everybody's absolutely gutted. It's, it's, you could see his frustration,

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his pain, his anger, sadness on the field when it happened, you knew it was something

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serious, non contact, he came up kind of lame and hopping and you knew something was wrong.

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First I think I thought it was ACL and then kind of Twitter or X fear started talking

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about how it was most likely an Achilles tear and that's what it ended up being. Season

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ending, my bigger concern with Trey before we talk about kind of the bills in our season,

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this is career ending, because only 40% of players who go out with an Achilles tear,

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especially at skill position burst bend type, you know, positions ever come back and start

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in the NFL. So it's in, if there's anybody in the world who can break the odds, it's

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Tridabious way. I think he's one of the hardest working players on that team. I hope his,

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you know, recovery goes well, goes famously and he's a trend breaker. Because yes, 60%

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of people never play as a starter again. The highest rate of return is tight ends, the

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lowest is wide receivers, running backs, DBs and LBs are all kind of in the middle,

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all less than 50% return to play. And so of the DBs whose careers have continued since

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the year 2000, after an Achilles rupture, 100% were worse statistically and never regained

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the capacity by any metric in their career. You know, that's meaningful for defensive

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back play. So he's unlikely to return to his levels. If he does, he'll be the first

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to return to all pro capacity with that type of injury, which is just absolutely heartbreaking.

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And so we'll we'll kind of see again, I hope he's he is the you know, outlier in this and

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does come back as we've seen him and has a long and productive career after the recovery.

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And as for the bills and their defense, I think Benford and and Dane Jackson are going

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to be fine. Because one of the things that's been so critical to the Sean McDermott slash

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Leslie Fraser screen scheme is even if you have, you know, less athletic outside corners,

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their technically sound, they use the side of the boundary as an extra defender, and

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they're always in the correct position to count on the defensive line to help them,

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you know, with sacks, right? And so I think that that's that's what will will do well.

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I think that's what we'll see as a difference and maybe not as severe a drop off is that

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if this defensive line can keep up this pressure rate, and the linebackers with with their pressures

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on the four man rush, I don't know that we're going to see the DBs get torched. And especially

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if Poyer and Hyde can stay mostly healthy for the season. I think that the top will stay

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on the defense. We've seen what the scheme scheme is, they tend to still do the same

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thing. You can propagate the ball down the field with four or five yard passes, we're

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going to attack the as soon as you have it in your hands, we're going to try to limit

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the big play. And it works excellently when you have playmakers like Milano and Bernard,

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you have at Oliver Greg or so, you know, Leonard Floyd, tear it up. The Quad Jones, the Quad

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Jones might be the unsung hero of the week. What a beast. He is having like a he is having

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that outstanding season. And so I think that the pass rush can save the backside and the

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boundary corners, not to not to say that they necessarily really need saving. I think that

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Benford or Benford's been great. And and Dan Jackson looked really good against an excellent

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team in the second half of that game. Dan Dan Jackson in spurts is better than Dan Jackson

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full time. So it'll be really interesting. We just know what Dane is, right? Yes. And

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what'll be interesting to see is who is who is technically our CB one coming out of this?

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Who is who is that that we are going to put on an opposing team's best player? Who is

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that we're going to put on Kelvin Ridley this coming week? Is it going to be Dan Jackson

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who to his credit when Trey went out a couple of years ago, he locked down that CV one spot?

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Did an admirable job, right? Definitely saw the limitations versus was vulnerable in the

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playoffs vulnerability, right? Got picked on by some some higher level QBs to put it lightly,

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but was serviceable. Will the bills, though, trust Christian Benford with some of those

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primary duties? It remains to be seen. And then you've got the X factor now of Kyre

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Elam, who one would assume is going to be activated for these games now and is going

394
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:31,320
to be used in a regular rotation with either Benford or with Jackson. It'll be very interesting

395
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:38,560
to see I don't have a good prognosis for what it's going to look like. But I think the bills,

396
00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:42,280
you can never be in a great place to lose one of your best players. But the bills are

397
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:46,480
in a better place to absorb this blow now than they were two years ago when it first

398
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:53,160
happened that I will say that that CB room is much deeper than it was before.

399
00:35:53,160 --> 00:36:00,400
Yeah, you know, and I do think that the defense as a whole working together is probably the

400
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:07,920
answer as to what protects the CBs on the outside from from being exposed. You know,

401
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:13,520
as best as we can, the bills are going to trudge forward. I think that, you know, Trey

402
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:17,680
was a huge guy in the locker room in terms of bringing the spirit and the juice to and

403
00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:23,200
so somebody's going to need to set up step up to to provide that sort of emotional energy.

404
00:36:23,200 --> 00:36:27,000
And we'll see what it looks like on the field, you know, this coming Sunday against Jackson

405
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:31,040
Bill Jaguars. Are you ready to talk about that?

406
00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:36,640
Before we get to that, I want to expend some emotional energy myself talking about where

407
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:42,840
we stand here at the quarter pole with our predictions. So, listen, man, we both talked

408
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:47,960
a lot of shit preseason about what we thought was going to happen. One of us has been much

409
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:52,720
more wrong than the other. And I think given that we're about accountability on the spot,

410
00:36:52,720 --> 00:36:57,000
I want to talk about four games and a quarter of the way into the season, where we stand

411
00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:03,680
with some of our preseason predictions. I have my handy dandy DVO a rankings list up

412
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:10,240
here, JJ, if you want to talk about and I know you do some of our divisional predictions.

413
00:37:10,240 --> 00:37:15,200
So yes, for those of you who don't remember, we made our divisional predictions at three

414
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:19,800
ways. Who we thought would overall win the division, which we both agreed we thought

415
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:26,600
the bills would win. And then who would be ranked one through four deep based on DVO

416
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:35,200
a the best best to worst offense and the best to worst defense. Those predictions JJ have

417
00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:42,080
not gone the way that I thought they would. user are much closer than I was to where we're

418
00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:48,000
at. So would you like to start with a check in on the offensive or defensive performance

419
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:54,000
of our a fc East rivals? Let's let's go with the offensive performance.

420
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:59,000
All right. So by DVO a I think we both said the bills would be did we both have the bills

421
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:04,240
would be number one, correct? We said we said bills number one on offense. Yep. And then

422
00:38:04,240 --> 00:38:09,960
I said Miami Miami to you had my Patriots and Miami number two, then I had jets, then I

423
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:17,240
had Patriots, you had bills, Patriots, Miami jets. I did. I was drinking the McCorkle Kool

424
00:38:17,240 --> 00:38:24,400
aid and I was believing the bill, the Bill O'Brien hype, the little Brian touch, like

425
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:29,120
he's better than Matt Patricia. You guys have no idea how bad Patricia was. It turns out

426
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:33,440
that while Patricia was the problem, it just looks like Mac Jones is not a good quarterback.

427
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:41,080
Mac Jones is also the problem. The Mac Jones is also the problem. And the lack of of a

428
00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:48,320
wide receiver separation ability on that offense is also a problem too. The way defenses are

429
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:55,360
playing the Patriots, they are not scared of Mac Jones making a play downfield for more

430
00:38:55,360 --> 00:39:00,480
than nine or 10 yards. They are putting everything in the box to shut down the run and they're

431
00:39:00,480 --> 00:39:05,080
daring McCorkle to beat them on the boundaries. And you just can't he's got nothing on his

432
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:10,160
throws. They can't put any play action into place because that offensive line is so banged

433
00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:16,760
up and so terrible. All of the hallmarks of a bill O'Brien offense and an offense the

434
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:20,880
place of the strengths of Mac Jones, they just haven't been able to do because Jones

435
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:25,880
is a really limited QB and they're really limited with the talent or lack thereof. They

436
00:39:25,880 --> 00:39:30,640
have on that offense. I also thought Miami was due for it down here. I'm not willing

437
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:35,840
to back off of that at this point, because I had them finishing fourth, I think in DVO

438
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:40,800
way in the division, that's going to be wrong. But I also I still think there's something

439
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:48,480
coming for the dolphins, but anyway, here are the DVO DVO a rankings for the AFC East,

440
00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:57,360
number one on offense and number one for number three, I'm sorry, hang on, number one on offense,

441
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:01,680
Miami Dolphins. Okay, Miami Dolphins, dolphins are number one on offense, which shouldn't

442
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:06,800
surprise anybody. Number two in the division and number three overall in the league, your

443
00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:13,920
Buffalo Bills fans. All right, then we get down to God, the New England, the New England

444
00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:19,560
Patriots and the New England and the New York Jets, the New York New England Patriots, while

445
00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:27,320
not second, are currently third, 19th overall in the league and third in the division. And

446
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:34,280
the New York New Jersey Jets are playing for dead last at this point. Yeah, dead last

447
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:42,360
27th in the league and fourth in the division. So I'm not terribly off, but there is a world

448
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:48,440
between being 19 and being third in the league, which is what separates New England and the

449
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:54,560
Bills. Defensively, let's rank this bad boy here, shall we? Oh, come on, come back to

450
00:40:54,560 --> 00:41:01,880
me. All right, so defensively, I said the Bills were going to be fourth. That is terribly

451
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:05,360
wrong. I had a brutally wrong.

452
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:11,440
You were also amongst the like smack smack in that panic button. I was. You know, Tremaine

453
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:16,080
Edmunds leaving. I what? Well, I mean, who knew that Tarell Bernard was like mini Bobby

454
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:21,680
Boucher like who didn't who knew that he like they just literally cloned Matt Milano and

455
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:26,960
then sent him back to the college seriously to a nut to Baylor so that they could draft

456
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:30,400
him in the third round is crazy. All right, so here's where we are. The Buffalo Bills

457
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:38,840
number one in overall defensive DVO a rank number two, number two in the NFL fans behind

458
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:44,800
ranking only behind the Dallas Cowboys. Next up on that list, I had the Patriots being ranked

459
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:49,080
number two. This is a really good defensive unit in New England. Unfortunately, it's about

460
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:54,480
to get worse with Jude on being out. And now they've just lost Christian Gonzalez today.

461
00:41:54,480 --> 00:42:01,520
And they are welcoming back the the Stefan Diggs accelerant that is JC Jackson by today

462
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:06,320
with the chargers. Oh, yeah. Okay. Yeah. And the chargers are eating a lot of his contract

463
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:10,520
this year to send him to New England to they're basically paying for him to play for a for

464
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:14,960
a conference rival that tells you anything. But the New England Patriots are second in

465
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:23,040
the division. And they're number eight overall. Let's see. Next up on the list, the New Jersey

466
00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:29,240
Jets third overall in division and 19th overall in the league. And then I think to not a lot

467
00:42:29,240 --> 00:42:35,720
of people surprised Miami Dolphins are last in the division 29th overall and DVO a better

468
00:42:35,720 --> 00:42:43,840
than only the juggernauts of Arizona, Chicago and Denver. Oh, no. Yeah.

469
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:50,520
That and you know, I get it. Phillips is out. Ramsay hasn't played yet. And we said this

470
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:58,360
to the splits on a fan geo and newly installed defense, the splits for the first eight games

471
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:03,680
for the last eight games based on a 16 game season, wildly different. And we are still

472
00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:08,880
in that install phase with this defense in Miami. And they do not have other pieces in.

473
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:15,120
So what I will say is that through three games in Josh Allen's career against a Vic fan geo

474
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:20,880
coach defense, he's putting up some pretty impressive numbers over three games, only

475
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:28,280
one pick. He's averaging over 300 yards per game against a fan geo fan geo led defense.

476
00:43:28,280 --> 00:43:34,200
And he's got nine. He's got 10 total TDs in three games. So it might not matter when

477
00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:38,800
they're healthy because Josh seems to not care what Vic fan geo seems to know what yeah,

478
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:43,520
seems to know what Vic fan geo is trying to do and does not get right. I will say this

479
00:43:43,520 --> 00:43:47,120
and we didn't really get into this, you know, when we're talking about the offense versus

480
00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:52,680
Miami, but it's worth mentioning it. And I'm sad I missed it under center. Josh Allen play

481
00:43:52,680 --> 00:44:00,680
action is like 20% more likely every snap this season than any time last year and is

482
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:08,080
crushing. Yeah, Shalon is like 27 of 33 with 158.3 perfect passer rating five touchdowns,

483
00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:13,240
no interceptions. He's the best play action QB in the league. Absolutely. And they just

484
00:44:13,240 --> 00:44:18,920
need to stick with it. And that all starts with James Cook being a threat out of the

485
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:24,480
backfield to bust one like they when he turns his back on the defense and goes to stuff

486
00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:29,680
that ball in James Cook's chest. When he's under center, it's believable. And he's excellent

487
00:44:29,680 --> 00:44:35,400
with ball handling. He's able to hide what he's doing. And the defensive linebackers

488
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:39,720
will suck up towards the line. The defensive linemen will stop their pass rush and try

489
00:44:39,720 --> 00:44:44,880
to set edge or get in their rush lane. And it's amazing because it changes the changes

490
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:48,680
the landscape for the defense to the bill's favor because when he turns background and

491
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:52,520
lets that thing, people are out of position. And so I just hope that keeps up.

492
00:44:52,520 --> 00:44:56,960
Well, and this is as we tie it back into what we're talking about with some of these defensive

493
00:44:56,960 --> 00:45:02,880
rankings for our divisional rivals. This is the thing that we've been saying all along

494
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:07,280
can be kind of that kryptonite to some of this cover two shell that Josh sees over and

495
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:12,400
over again. It's his maturity and his development and his patience. Yes. But it's also the

496
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:18,640
bills convincing teams that they have another way to win if Josh can't win it for them.

497
00:45:18,640 --> 00:45:22,800
And they have done that with real efficacy with the way that they have established James

498
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:27,600
Cook and that whole running back room and the way that they're choosing to use them.

499
00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:31,640
It makes the threat of play action, as you said, very, very real. And it makes a lot

500
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:36,800
of these DBs think twice when they're looking to recognize what play is happening in front

501
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:41,520
of them. And Josh, because the delivery time is delivery time is down almost a third of

502
00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:46,960
a second from last season to this season, because this delivery and his decision making

503
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:52,240
is just so much quicker and Dorsey's scheme is so much cleaner. I mean, it really makes

504
00:45:52,240 --> 00:45:56,920
it hard to scheme for this offense. Now, someone will write the bills are putting more and

505
00:45:56,920 --> 00:46:02,040
more on tape. Other guys get the guys on the other side of the ball get paid to someone

506
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:09,240
is going to figure this out. We're not going to win six the next 16 games in a row. But

507
00:46:09,240 --> 00:46:14,400
day in and day out weekend and week out the Buffalo Bills have a better chance to win

508
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:19,120
than they do lose because of the adjustments that they have made that are starting to take

509
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:23,080
on the offensive defense side of the ball. And that play action under center is just

510
00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:27,360
one of those one of those beautiful wrinkles that they can throw into the scheme that's

511
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:34,440
going to keep opposing defenses confounded. Absolutely. Yeah, I mean, speaking of keeping

512
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:38,800
opposing defenses confounded, do you want to talk about this upcoming matchup in London?

513
00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:43,680
I do. But hang on, where are you at with your predictions? I owned my McCorkle. Yeah, where

514
00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:50,400
are you at? So, um, okay, my predictions were that Greg or so is an individual sacks 10

515
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:54,400
plus on the season. Yeah, that's looking better now. It's looking better, especially

516
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:58,760
since von Miller is not back and he's already got three. I had that the bill's chiefs game

517
00:46:58,760 --> 00:47:02,960
will decide the number one seed in the AFC. I don't know what that's going to be. I don't

518
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:07,880
chiefs do not look as strong as they have in years. They don't get away and catch the

519
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:14,800
ball. I mean, but I will say this, though, they they usually have like a five game slow

520
00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:20,800
rumble, and then they become like absolute juggernauts in October, early November. So

521
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:26,480
yeah, I will see. We'll see. And again, I've said I've said so much wrong shit already

522
00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:31,720
this season. I don't know if I want to put more into the the internet ether. But I think

523
00:47:31,720 --> 00:47:36,640
a difference between the chiefs that we have seen versus the in the past versus the team

524
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:40,840
that we're seeing now is they legitimately just don't have guys that can catch the ball.

525
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:45,640
Yeah. And if you take if you take Kelsey up the board, you've you've stymied them and

526
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:48,960
for all the speed that they're rolling out there, these guys aren't getting separation

527
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:53,680
either. It's it's those things we haven't seen. We have not seen Kansas City struggle

528
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:59,720
to catch the ball. We have not seen those wide receivers struggle to get separation.

529
00:47:59,720 --> 00:48:03,920
And for all of Andy Reed's brilliant scheming and he is brilliant. He doesn't seem to be

530
00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:07,280
able to scheme anybody open except Kelsey right now.

531
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:11,400
Absolutely. I think that they're struggling. So that was my that was one of my predictions

532
00:48:11,400 --> 00:48:16,280
that we can't decide on right now. Yeah, I've got a couple that are looking pretty pretty

533
00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:22,080
dicey, though. Oh, Gabe David, Gabe Davis leading the team in reception TDs could still

534
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:26,320
happen. But I think Stefan Diggs is making a strong case to break his own record and

535
00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:31,080
probably the team record. Yeah. If he keeps the pace he's on right now. And then Dalton

536
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:36,760
Cankade breaking all tight end rookie records in franchise history, which at present, at

537
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:43,120
his current rate, magnified over 17 games, presuming he's healthy. He would double the

538
00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:49,320
receptions record of 35. But he would fall short on touchdowns and the urge.

539
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:53,880
Yeah, I think you also had Dalton Cankade as offensive rookie of the year for the NFL

540
00:48:53,880 --> 00:48:57,160
as well. I did. Yeah, you know, I just I was so bludgeoned.

541
00:48:57,160 --> 00:49:03,040
Never happened for a tight end in league history. And especially with like some of the who's

542
00:49:03,040 --> 00:49:08,120
the is a CJ Stroud who's playing for Houston and pretty solid. That's your AFC offensive

543
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:12,800
year right there. That dude is that dude could lose every other game this season and still

544
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:17,360
went walk away with that award. He's so he's so stupid. Good. He's very smooth with the

545
00:49:17,360 --> 00:49:22,120
ball and he's great surprising. All right, so I'm wrong about one thing and you're wrong

546
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:26,640
about a bunch. All right, no, that's good. I was I was I'm what I'm I'm wrong about the

547
00:49:26,640 --> 00:49:30,920
Bill's defense. Yeah, I'm wrong about the Patriots offense. I'm probably going to be

548
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:35,400
wrong about the the Dolphins offense too, but I'm not willing to back off it yet. Something

549
00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:39,920
just and I think I said the Miami Dolphins defense wouldn't be good this season either.

550
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:42,720
And I don't think they will be but I think they're going to get better from where they

551
00:49:42,720 --> 00:49:48,280
are right now. So yeah, okay, so we're both we're we're bad. We had some things here and

552
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:52,920
there. Yeah, we got some irons on the fire. All right. Sure. All right, speaking of I

553
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:57,480
have no transition for irons on the fire. So let's just talk about London and people

554
00:49:57,480 --> 00:50:03,600
named Josh Allen. That's right. Yeah. So Josh Allen is going to go against Josh Allen yet

555
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:09,360
again in his career. Of course, the Jaguars pass rusher leading the NFL or the NFL and

556
00:50:09,360 --> 00:50:14,840
sax I believe was the said that when we opened right? Is he leading the league in sex? Maybe.

557
00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:19,400
Okay, I'm gonna I'm gonna Google machine that because I'm not sure that's true and I'll

558
00:50:19,400 --> 00:50:22,960
start talking actually don't think anyone in that past rush is good but let me double

559
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:30,880
check. So yeah, the bills are going to face the Jaguars 9 30am Eastern time. Much later

560
00:50:30,880 --> 00:50:37,520
local time in London at Tottenham spur stadium which is actually the the blueprint for the

561
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:41,640
new build stadium that's being built Northridge Park, which is sort of an interesting wrinkle

562
00:50:41,640 --> 00:50:47,920
to see the bills on in a stadium that is similar to the design and style of the one that they'll

563
00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:54,760
be opening in 2026. I'm excited to see that. And so you know it's it's going to be an interesting

564
00:50:54,760 --> 00:51:00,920
matchup because to this point in the season, the Jacksonville Jaguars have the two and

565
00:51:00,920 --> 00:51:08,000
two, they've played some weird up and down games. They've played against, let's see,

566
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:13,720
they beat Indianapolis by 10 points in Indy to open the season. The weak ones always a

567
00:51:13,720 --> 00:51:18,840
player. They lost nine to 17 to Kansas City in a weird kind of defensive struggle. Kansas

568
00:51:18,840 --> 00:51:24,040
City absolutely shut down their offense. They had three, you know, field goals on the day.

569
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:31,080
They played a 37 to 17 stinker against Houston. And then just recently this past week, playing

570
00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:39,440
at Wembley, I believe they won 23 to seven against Atlanta. Atlanta looks like they're

571
00:51:39,440 --> 00:51:44,640
pretty rough to it. There's a number of turnovers in that game. And, you know, gas against the

572
00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:51,280
defense. So I think it's going to be an interesting matchup. I think that Buffalo is substantially

573
00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:57,400
the better team. They're coming in as 5.5 points favorites on the road in in sort of

574
00:51:57,400 --> 00:52:03,640
a neutral neutral site game, even though Jacksonville has a much stronger fan base should have a

575
00:52:03,640 --> 00:52:07,600
stronger fan base. They play a lot more games over there for you. But I know I know bills.

576
00:52:07,600 --> 00:52:11,040
Yeah, I know bills, mafia travels, though, and there's a number of people that were there

577
00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:19,040
to make that trip across the pond. The statistically, the Jaguars are middle of the road, basically

578
00:52:19,040 --> 00:52:23,800
in everything. Yeah, points per game, opponents points per game, they're kind of between the

579
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:30,680
12 and 22 in the rankings in a league on both offense and defense up and down across all

580
00:52:30,680 --> 00:52:36,920
kinds of things. Their best kind of components of their, you know, they're pretty good in

581
00:52:36,920 --> 00:52:41,760
keeping teams from scoring red zone touchdowns, eighth best in the league at that. They're

582
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:47,520
pretty good at keeping teams from rushing TDs, seventh best in the league at that. Their

583
00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:51,640
rush defense is probably their best part of their defense. Oh, yeah. They're passing

584
00:52:51,640 --> 00:52:58,320
defenses poor, except for except for their interception percentage. I think a lot of

585
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:03,120
that is skewed by this Atlanta game. Yeah, it doesn't matter. Throw him up some.

586
00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:08,800
Desmond Ritter was delivering, it was dicing out hot piles of crap in that game. And Andre

587
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:14,800
Cisco, their safety, he's good. Yes. He's a Syracuse. Yeah, he's Syracuse kid. So like

588
00:53:14,800 --> 00:53:20,240
the thing, you know, the Jags are one of those teams that they've got just enough guys to

589
00:53:20,240 --> 00:53:27,200
make this a problem. And they're above average in just enough places to really, especially

590
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:33,080
after the bills, was just a supercharged divisional win being poised for maybe a letdown game.

591
00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:38,880
Right. This is the team that could potentially do that. Josh Allen, the other Josh Allen

592
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:44,760
Jacksonville, you are correct. He had two and a half sex in that game against Atlanta,

593
00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:50,160
which tied him for the league lead with Khalil Mack, who had had zero sacks through his first

594
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:55,120
three games and then had six sacks in his fourth game. What a weird frequency is that

595
00:53:55,120 --> 00:53:59,520
we're having. I know. So he's tied with TJ Watt and Khalil Mack. And then he's a half

596
00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:04,600
sack above Miles Garrett, who is next on the list with five and a half sacks this season.

597
00:54:04,600 --> 00:54:10,560
So I stand corrected. That is a it's an interesting defensive line that Jacksonville is rolling

598
00:54:10,560 --> 00:54:15,320
out. There's a lot of draft capital and draft equity that they've invested in that line.

599
00:54:15,320 --> 00:54:20,320
And they have performed much better against the run than they have the pass. But the pass

600
00:54:20,320 --> 00:54:25,240
rush, this is going to be another one of those really solid defensive line units. And this

601
00:54:25,240 --> 00:54:31,240
is effectively a road game for the bills and offenses on the road, particularly ones that

602
00:54:31,240 --> 00:54:35,480
really value quick timing. They really tend to struggle against teams that have a really

603
00:54:35,480 --> 00:54:39,560
good pass rush. We saw this a little bit in Washington. I get what the final score was,

604
00:54:39,560 --> 00:54:44,840
but Josh's efficiency metrics in that game were his second worst through four games.

605
00:54:44,840 --> 00:54:48,680
Only only game that was worse was of course the the Jets game.

606
00:54:48,680 --> 00:54:53,320
Well, and that Washington game was a bit of a liar because it was there was still a two

607
00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:58,240
score game into the fourth quarter. Correct. Right. And it's blue open. Yep. So yeah, so

608
00:54:58,240 --> 00:55:02,160
that was a game that was close for really three, three and a quarter quarters, I would

609
00:55:02,160 --> 00:55:06,360
say. But still a great performance by Josh, nevertheless, not taking anything away from

610
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:12,160
them. But in order to properly contextualize where this game is going, it is effectively

611
00:55:12,160 --> 00:55:18,920
a road game added with the with the wrinkle of being in another time zone, playing at

612
00:55:18,920 --> 00:55:23,400
a much earlier time than they're used to and playing a team who has basically been there

613
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:27,640
for two weeks at the time that they snap the ball. Because Jackson Olof played already

614
00:55:27,640 --> 00:55:33,120
as you said against Atlanta in a 930 AM game. So a team that is effectively playing a home

615
00:55:33,120 --> 00:55:39,360
game that is better rested in a in a unique circumstance, I think is something that we

616
00:55:39,360 --> 00:55:46,080
shouldn't factor factor out too lightly. The bills are better on paper. But there are circumstances

617
00:55:46,080 --> 00:55:50,400
at play, including Trey Whites injury, and seeing what that adjustment in the secondary

618
00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:54,600
is going to look like for the first time. I think that are things that make it really

619
00:55:54,600 --> 00:55:58,840
hard to prognosticate what's going to happen. From a ranking standpoint, you're totally

620
00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:03,440
right about the Jags. From a DV away perspective, they're just outside the top 10 in defense,

621
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:10,440
11th overall, and then offensively, they're 17th. This is a team based on a product that

622
00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:16,000
they put on the field last season, that folks expected to be better. I don't think Jackson

623
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:20,480
ville has necessarily hit its roof on its offense yet. And what you need to hope for

624
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:25,120
is that this is not the get right game for the Jaguars, because they have historically

625
00:56:25,120 --> 00:56:30,560
gone to London. And after coming back from London, winner loss have gotten better after

626
00:56:30,560 --> 00:56:35,440
that as the season goes on. So they've already played one game in London. If they're going

627
00:56:35,440 --> 00:56:39,880
to stick with that historic trajectory, you got to wonder if this is this is a potential

628
00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:46,160
get right game for the Jaguars. Yeah, and I think that you hope it's not a get wrong

629
00:56:46,160 --> 00:56:50,880
game for the bills because everything's been going so right for a few weeks now. Yeah.

630
00:56:50,880 --> 00:56:55,880
And yeah, I think that, you know, again, on paper for what it's worth DV away for what

631
00:56:55,880 --> 00:57:02,000
it's worth. This will be a challenge. I think that this is going to be a good test for McDermot

632
00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:08,400
and Dorsey as to whether or not they can get their units to transition to a weird, you

633
00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:14,280
know, site for a game timing the flight all of that and really come with that intensity.

634
00:57:14,280 --> 00:57:18,400
Because I think that what you've seen with this bill's team over the past few years is

635
00:57:18,400 --> 00:57:23,800
that games like this like the London game, it's a non common opponent that they only

636
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:31,040
see every few years can sometimes they come they come up flat, or they miss a lot of big

637
00:57:31,040 --> 00:57:36,400
time of, you know, opportunities. And so I'm really hoping that's not it for the bills.

638
00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:40,280
I think that there's a the added wrinkles for the defense that I'm interesting to see

639
00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:47,360
how McDermot approaches them in Trevor Lawrence's legs and the rushing attack for for Jacksonville.

640
00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:51,360
They're not the best in the team in the league, but they have a fast I mean Travis Etn is

641
00:57:51,360 --> 00:57:52,360
very fast.

642
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:56,400
And he's the threat out of the backfield to catch it. He's a backfield to catch it.

643
00:57:56,400 --> 00:58:00,400
They're good screen team. And I think that that's a that's sort of a weakness of the

644
00:58:00,400 --> 00:58:06,280
bill's defense. So rushing the bills have not seen a mobile quarterback to the level of

645
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:11,320
Trevor Lawrence this season yet. So that's going to be interesting. That's one of those

646
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:16,040
things that extends drives it's all been kind of pocket passers up to this point. And so

647
00:58:16,040 --> 00:58:19,520
to have a quarterback who can really hurt you with his legs is going to be interesting

648
00:58:19,520 --> 00:58:26,200
for me as well. And the offensive line for the Jaguars is okay. I'd say they're better

649
00:58:26,200 --> 00:58:31,840
on their tackles than they are in the center of their line. But they do have Brandon Scherf

650
00:58:31,840 --> 00:58:39,360
who's a who's a solid guard Walker little from I think Stanford Stanford correct. Yeah.

651
00:58:39,360 --> 00:58:45,160
He's in his third season I think at this point at the other guard. So you know they've got

652
00:58:45,160 --> 00:58:50,040
some talent and it's going to be interesting to see how the bills approach stopping each

653
00:58:50,040 --> 00:58:54,360
end of the backfield and pass stopping each end as he rushes it out of the backfield. They

654
00:58:54,360 --> 00:58:59,880
also have tank Bigsby which is like the coolest name but I don't harbor that kid. Yeah. He's

655
00:58:59,880 --> 00:59:05,080
not he's not the most talented but he can he can he can hurt you. And so you know seeing

656
00:59:05,080 --> 00:59:09,400
how they shut down the run game make the offense one dimensional for the Jaguars and then how

657
00:59:09,400 --> 00:59:15,360
they contain Trevor Lawrence's legs because I think that having a number of weeks multiple

658
00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:20,960
weeks now against mostly pocket passers the defensive line has gotten into a certain kind

659
00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:25,960
of rush and they'll need to utilize a different kind of rush or they're going to get gashed.

660
00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:31,760
Yep totally agree. Lawrence is one of those athletic QB's that can really take advantage

661
00:59:31,760 --> 00:59:36,440
of an overly aggressive pass rush. It's going to be about maintaining your assignment maintaining

662
00:59:36,440 --> 00:59:41,080
your lanes and making sure that Lawrence is not using his legs to negate a lot of third

663
00:59:41,080 --> 00:59:46,560
and eights or third and nine's with some first down scrambles which he can do. And that's

664
00:59:46,560 --> 00:59:52,080
what the bills have been so good at this year is getting off the field when it comes to

665
00:59:52,080 --> 00:59:57,680
third and plus territory so third and five and more yards. They're one of the best most

666
00:59:57,680 --> 01:00:03,120
efficient defenses in the league at doing it. But a guy like Lawrence who's the same

667
01:00:03,120 --> 01:00:08,680
build and makeup as a scrambler like my homes for example can really lock a lot of that

668
01:00:08,680 --> 01:00:12,880
down and really make it difficult for the bills defense to transition off the field

669
01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:16,800
by keeping plays alive with his legs. This is going to be a this is going to be an interesting

670
01:00:16,800 --> 01:00:22,400
test and I wouldn't sleep on this game if I was Bill's fans for sure for sure. What

671
01:00:22,400 --> 01:00:25,880
about the offensive side of the ball. I mean it's got to start with the offensive line

672
01:00:25,880 --> 01:00:30,560
continuing to do what it's been doing and protecting Josh from the other Josh that's

673
01:00:30,560 --> 01:00:34,920
on the other side of the ball right. Well and especially because that Josh Allen the

674
01:00:34,920 --> 01:00:39,640
opponents Josh Allen will line up over Spencer Brown and I think that what we've seen through

675
01:00:39,640 --> 01:00:45,040
the last three weeks and the bills being successful on offense is that they've addressed Spencer

676
01:00:45,040 --> 01:00:51,520
Brown's deficiencies in the pen pass protection by helping him with the scheme by making sure

677
01:00:51,520 --> 01:00:55,400
that they're shifting protection giving him an extra chip from a tight end or helping him

678
01:00:55,400 --> 01:01:00,480
with the you know having the running back shift his way to help Max protect on that

679
01:01:00,480 --> 01:01:04,720
side. They've been helping him with scheme but also he's been performing better. You

680
01:01:04,720 --> 01:01:09,440
rewatched the game especially in all 22. He's actually been pretty solid at cutting off

681
01:01:09,440 --> 01:01:15,320
angles and using some of that athleticism to make sure that the pass rushers off the

682
01:01:15,320 --> 01:01:20,880
edge are not getting the easiest route to the quarterback. But then he's also shown

683
01:01:20,880 --> 01:01:26,600
a little bit better anchor. His weakness has always been when someone bull rushes him he

684
01:01:26,600 --> 01:01:31,560
gets too tall and gets driven back into Josh Allen and he's done a nice job a number of

685
01:01:31,560 --> 01:01:39,080
times you know this these last couple of days of anchoring down. It feels like almost I

686
01:01:39,080 --> 01:01:44,800
think it's it's crazy to say this is a as a rookie Osiris Torrance might have the best

687
01:01:44,800 --> 01:01:49,120
bull rush anchor on the entire line even better than beyond Dawkins is one of the best I've

688
01:01:49,120 --> 01:01:54,040
ever seen when it comes to you know really stifling a bull rush at the point of attack

689
01:01:54,040 --> 01:02:00,000
and not giving up more than half half yard or so when that rush hits Osiris Torrance's

690
01:02:00,000 --> 01:02:04,960
anchor is amazing and I mean who knows if he's coaching Spencer Brown on how to anchor

691
01:02:04,960 --> 01:02:08,800
better but it looks like he is because you know some of the technique stuff has changed

692
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:13,000
over the last two or three weeks. So yeah that's going to be the decider is if they

693
01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:17,760
can keep interior pressure off Josh Allen and they keep Josh Allen off Josh Allen. I

694
01:02:17,760 --> 01:02:21,200
think the bills have a chance to continue the efficiency that they've had because other

695
01:02:21,200 --> 01:02:29,320
than that defensive front and their safety Cisco they do not have a supremely talented

696
01:02:29,320 --> 01:02:33,320
middle you know middle of their defense and linebackers and outside corners right the

697
01:02:33,320 --> 01:02:37,960
spine of the defense the middle of the field is really where this defense is vulnerable

698
01:02:37,960 --> 01:02:43,200
this this could be and maybe helping your prediction potentially adult and concained

699
01:02:43,200 --> 01:02:48,160
breakout game. I mean they've got who they got they got the kid from Georgia they drafted

700
01:02:48,160 --> 01:02:53,560
number one last year Trevon Walker right yeah more he's more of a pass rush specialist coming

701
01:02:53,560 --> 01:02:57,840
out of they they were on a base three four I think and he's more of a pass rush specialist

702
01:02:57,840 --> 01:03:02,200
where he's coming from at that point. They don't have a lot else other than Cisco in

703
01:03:02,200 --> 01:03:05,760
the middle of the field they got Tyson Campbell on the boundary is one of their DB's he's

704
01:03:05,760 --> 01:03:11,480
halfway decent right but there's going to be opportunities for this offense to eat and

705
01:03:11,480 --> 01:03:16,480
in between the hashes if they can exploit it in the right way and it starts with keeping

706
01:03:16,480 --> 01:03:21,360
Josh clean but it also starts with maybe some of that 12 personnel maybe some more play

707
01:03:21,360 --> 01:03:27,920
action pass heavy sets coming out of that. Yeah I like where I'm headed with my game

708
01:03:27,920 --> 01:03:32,120
predictions I think I'm going to make adult and concained bold prediction for this. Yeah

709
01:03:32,120 --> 01:03:38,880
I like where I'm at go bullish. Yeah but this is also could be a sure field or hardy breakout

710
01:03:38,880 --> 01:03:43,840
game to we've talked about how they've run so many of those middle corner decoy routes

711
01:03:43,840 --> 01:03:47,360
to open up the boundaries. This could be a place where you actually hit some of those

712
01:03:47,360 --> 01:03:52,520
middle end crossers against a team that is so weak in the middle of their defense that

713
01:03:52,520 --> 01:03:56,080
there could be some really interesting things happening this game where some of these role

714
01:03:56,080 --> 01:04:01,280
players for the bills that were big for agent acquisitions or draft acquisitions that haven't

715
01:04:01,280 --> 01:04:07,880
quite found their role yet they really could find a home in this offense in this game given

716
01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:12,880
what the matchups against this particular defense will yield. This is also a good game

717
01:04:12,880 --> 01:04:17,440
for James Cook in terms of like some of the delayed handoff draws and different things

718
01:04:17,440 --> 01:04:24,160
that he's done because this is a this is a defensive line that can be had by over pursuit

719
01:04:24,160 --> 01:04:28,840
just like the bills are aggressive defensive line I think that the Jaguars are an aggressive

720
01:04:28,840 --> 01:04:33,720
defensive line that's probably the only knack or knock on Josh Allen the pass rusher is

721
01:04:33,720 --> 01:04:41,880
that he he tends to leave his lane in in seeking glory right like he's an athletic specimen

722
01:04:41,880 --> 01:04:46,880
so he can usually recover from those situations and make athletic plays to cover up his lack

723
01:04:46,880 --> 01:04:51,360
of technique but there are times where his technique puts him wildly at a place when

724
01:04:51,360 --> 01:04:55,160
he's trying to fit the run and so I think that there's some some delayed handoff maybe

725
01:04:55,160 --> 01:04:59,520
counter type opportunities for James Cook to make some hay as well.

726
01:04:59,520 --> 01:05:05,680
Yeah, I agree. I agree. It's it's going to be so fascinating to see what happens and

727
01:05:05,680 --> 01:05:09,800
while I should get out of the prediction game after what we just did in the last segment

728
01:05:09,800 --> 01:05:14,320
showing how bad I am at it. I think we want to get to some predictions for this particular

729
01:05:14,320 --> 01:05:19,920
game. What do you say? Let's start with score. Let's start with score because I'm still

730
01:05:19,920 --> 01:05:25,200
got some stuff marinating in my head about some player props that I want to do. So JJ

731
01:05:25,200 --> 01:05:28,040
what do you think the final score of this game is?

732
01:05:28,040 --> 01:05:35,640
So interesting stat I actually heard this on one bills drive one bills live that the

733
01:05:35,640 --> 01:05:41,040
Steve Tasker brought up the bills are so if you missed it here's a highlight. The bills

734
01:05:41,040 --> 01:05:47,400
are on the cusp of setting the NFL record for the most consecutive games one by 28 or

735
01:05:47,400 --> 01:05:54,480
more points. If they win this week by 28 or more points, they will take the record over

736
01:05:54,480 --> 01:06:00,080
from the 1954 Chicago Bears, which is kind of a wild statistic.

737
01:06:00,080 --> 01:06:07,320
Crazy. Yeah. So which I'm like so into. And I know this is like just a recipe for this

738
01:06:07,320 --> 01:06:12,480
is a recipe for the bills to lose in a nine six battle, right, like a defensive stalemate

739
01:06:12,480 --> 01:06:18,640
where it's field goals only. But I really you know I want this this record so badly

740
01:06:18,640 --> 01:06:30,880
that I'm gonna say the bills win 31 to three. Wow. Okay, 31 to three. Man, you don't think

741
01:06:30,880 --> 01:06:33,960
Trevor Lawrence is gonna do shit in this case.

742
01:06:33,960 --> 01:06:42,400
I mean, wow, I don't I don't see I don't see a team. I don't see a defensive unit that

743
01:06:42,400 --> 01:06:50,840
turned a team that scored 70 and had a chance to go to 77. I don't see the defensive unit

744
01:06:50,840 --> 01:06:54,920
that did that and turn them into you know turn their carriage back into a pumpkin in

745
01:06:54,920 --> 01:07:04,120
one week, doing much against it or letting much up against a team that couldn't score

746
01:07:04,120 --> 01:07:06,680
more than like 20 some points against the Falcons.

747
01:07:06,680 --> 01:07:12,520
Yeah. I mean, I tend to agree with you if the game is going to be any closer or any higher

748
01:07:12,520 --> 01:07:17,000
scoring, it's going to be because it's ugly, right? It's going to be like one of those

749
01:07:17,000 --> 01:07:23,320
20, 421 types of affairs and I'm not there. I'm kind of with you. You know, I think all

750
01:07:23,320 --> 01:07:26,880
the time when all of a sudden Donna do think the bills walk away with the victory here,

751
01:07:26,880 --> 01:07:31,480
I think they've got momentum on their side and we've seen even after losing a player

752
01:07:31,480 --> 01:07:36,160
like Trey White, we have seen teams rally together from an emotional standpoint and

753
01:07:36,160 --> 01:07:41,300
sometimes overperform in the first couple of weeks after a big injury like that before

754
01:07:41,300 --> 01:07:46,280
reality really sets itself in. I think this bills defense wants to do this for Trey. They

755
01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:50,280
want to prove that they are the best in the league and I see the bills defense playing

756
01:07:50,280 --> 01:07:55,680
very well here too. I think the final score for this particular game, I don't think the

757
01:07:55,680 --> 01:08:01,240
bills hang 30 and I think this crazy streak you mentioned does come to someone of an end,

758
01:08:01,240 --> 01:08:07,560
but just barely. I see the bills winning this game 24 to 10. So I see them covering, but

759
01:08:07,560 --> 01:08:09,720
I take the under for this game.

760
01:08:09,720 --> 01:08:13,920
Okay. What is the what is the points in this game?

761
01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:17,480
The points on this was 46 last time I looked. Yeah, 46.

762
01:08:17,480 --> 01:08:24,640
So I was also under. Yeah. So yeah. But all right, let's do some player props. I want

763
01:08:24,640 --> 01:08:29,080
to start with Dalton Kincaid and get this out of my system. Okay. Dalton Kincaid over

764
01:08:29,080 --> 01:08:35,240
under 55 and a half total yards. I'm going to take the over. I think Vegas has him at

765
01:08:35,240 --> 01:08:42,000
like 25 and a half yards. Like he has not been doing much. I think this given the vulnerabilities

766
01:08:42,000 --> 01:08:45,320
of this particular defense, this could be a breakout game for Kincaid. So I'm going

767
01:08:45,320 --> 01:08:48,240
to take the over on 55 and a half.

768
01:08:48,240 --> 01:08:55,640
So his his season average is 25 almost on the nose. So that's why I'm going to go under.

769
01:08:55,640 --> 01:09:02,480
I think he does better. His best game was 43 yards. And so I'm going to go under. But

770
01:09:02,480 --> 01:09:07,720
I think that it's it's going to be over his average if that's under your prediction,

771
01:09:07,720 --> 01:09:13,400
under my but over his average. So you're saying he's going to be somewhere in between 25 what

772
01:09:13,400 --> 01:09:18,760
Vegas has a man, which is 25 and a half. And what I have a man, which is 55 and a half.

773
01:09:18,760 --> 01:09:24,800
Yeah. Okay. That's fair enough. All right. Let's see. I got another one. Deontay Hardy

774
01:09:24,800 --> 01:09:29,280
over under four and a half total receptions. I'm also taking the over on this. I think

775
01:09:29,280 --> 01:09:33,040
this could be a finally be a Hardy game.

776
01:09:33,040 --> 01:09:38,400
Um, you're going to go over 4.5. Yep, I'm going to go over. And again, it's because

777
01:09:38,400 --> 01:09:42,640
he's such a unique weapon in the middle of the field. He's such a great weapon in the

778
01:09:42,640 --> 01:09:49,080
screen game, which can really negate an overly aggressive pass rush like this unit is. And

779
01:09:49,080 --> 01:09:54,840
again, they're vulnerable in the defense in the defensive backfield. So there's a lot.

780
01:09:54,840 --> 01:10:00,400
There's a lot that speaks well for Hardy finally getting going in this offense.

781
01:10:00,400 --> 01:10:05,400
So I, um, I love that prediction, but I'm just going to be, you know, I'm just going

782
01:10:05,400 --> 01:10:09,160
to be oppositional because I can be I'm going to say under. I'm going to say he's such a

783
01:10:09,160 --> 01:10:16,200
contrarian, freaking skip Bayless. He's going to continue to be a decoy. And, and it's not

784
01:10:16,200 --> 01:10:20,960
because I don't like Hardy. It's because I love sure field. My prediction is that sure

785
01:10:20,960 --> 01:10:25,600
field gets over 5.5 receptions. Oh, I'm totally taking the under on this. Okay. Yeah. No,

786
01:10:25,600 --> 01:10:31,480
this is he's basically a run blocking wide receiver for this team. Sure field is my horse.

787
01:10:31,480 --> 01:10:35,800
Hardy is yours. There it is. And give it, give me the tiny guy. Give me the tiny pass guy.

788
01:10:35,800 --> 01:10:38,480
Yeah. All right. All right. Cool. You got another one.

789
01:10:38,480 --> 01:10:43,120
Yeah. I got one. Another one on offense. And then I got one on defense. Mine on offense

790
01:10:43,120 --> 01:10:49,040
is James Cook receiving TD 0.5 or more. Ooh, I'm going to go, I'm going to go under only

791
01:10:49,040 --> 01:10:54,000
because he'd have to, he'd have to break one, right? Which he almost did against the dolphins,

792
01:10:54,000 --> 01:10:59,040
but they're just using him the place where it would be most rational for him to get one

793
01:10:59,040 --> 01:11:04,520
would be in the red zone, right? Coming up, leaking out of the backfield. And they're

794
01:11:04,520 --> 01:11:07,280
just not using him. They take him off the field.

795
01:11:07,280 --> 01:11:12,160
Yeah. They're just not, right? They're not using him in those sets. So he would have

796
01:11:12,160 --> 01:11:17,800
to break one, which is not out of the realm of possibility for someone of his speed and

797
01:11:17,800 --> 01:11:21,400
skill set, but I'm still going to take the under.

798
01:11:21,400 --> 01:11:29,760
Okay. So I got one more. The defense notches two takeaways.

799
01:11:29,760 --> 01:11:36,240
Oh, God. Can I push? Can I take because I think they I think they probably get exactly

800
01:11:36,240 --> 01:11:41,880
two. Yeah. I think this is a this is a deep a ball hawking defense, but man, the way they

801
01:11:41,880 --> 01:11:47,360
attack ball carriers to like the punchouts that they're doing. Oh, yeah. It's dude, I

802
01:11:47,360 --> 01:11:50,560
have not seen that level of aggression from this defense ever.

803
01:11:50,560 --> 01:11:56,720
Well, it's almost automatic. They like that's their first instincts. Yeah, especially Milano.

804
01:11:56,720 --> 01:12:02,560
Like that has a like right hook for the ball that is uncanny. Dude, it's crazy. It's under

805
01:12:02,560 --> 01:12:08,480
it. I cannot get over how fast this team looked against Miami. This defense look like we've

806
01:12:08,480 --> 01:12:17,200
been saying all along, they're slow, they're old places, right? But like, I mean, Bernard

807
01:12:17,200 --> 01:12:22,800
sideline to sideline that dude is a missile. We knew Milano was fast and the speed of that

808
01:12:22,800 --> 01:12:27,920
defensive line finally coming through in the way that it has like dear Lord.

809
01:12:27,920 --> 01:12:34,360
Well, and what I'll say too about the linebackers is what we're seeing is that instincts can

810
01:12:34,360 --> 01:12:40,840
overcome athleticism, you know, like Bernard and Milano are both premium athletes. I think

811
01:12:40,840 --> 01:12:44,880
they're a plus athlete. Yeah, you'd consider them match up linebackers, which means that

812
01:12:44,880 --> 01:12:50,320
they're like good in coverage against almost any assignment. And so they have the chops

813
01:12:50,320 --> 01:12:56,120
athletically. But I think that they are even better and faster than their athletic profile

814
01:12:56,120 --> 01:13:00,600
would allow because their instincts are that much sharper, like they have some of the best

815
01:13:00,600 --> 01:13:05,080
instincts for the ball, they're always around the ball. Bernard is leading the team and tackle

816
01:13:05,080 --> 01:13:09,720
solo tackles right now. And he just seems to always know where where a play is going

817
01:13:09,720 --> 01:13:13,600
and how to get there. And so whether that's their football intelligence, whether that's

818
01:13:13,600 --> 01:13:18,480
their film study, whether that's a combination of both whether it's an amazing preternatural

819
01:13:18,480 --> 01:13:24,040
ability to know what's happening on a play, they are both excellent in that way. And so

820
01:13:24,040 --> 01:13:27,160
they look faster, I think, than they even are. And they're already fast.

821
01:13:27,160 --> 01:13:33,440
Yeah, it's crazy. It's absolutely crazy. So for those reasons, I'm gonna, can you put

822
01:13:33,440 --> 01:13:37,240
this at like a one and a half and I'll take the over because I feel like I feel weird

823
01:13:37,240 --> 01:13:41,760
pushing. So yeah, I'll take the over at one and a half because I'm clearly not a better

824
01:13:41,760 --> 01:13:48,200
guy. I use whole numbers. Yeah, you're not a degenerate. Yeah, wait till you have kids.

825
01:13:48,200 --> 01:13:53,520
It takes you to all the dark places. Fair. It's coming. It's coming. Caesar Sportsbook

826
01:13:53,520 --> 01:13:58,800
is my new friend. But yeah. Yeah. So no, one, one and a half, I'll take the over for sure.

827
01:13:58,800 --> 01:13:59,800
What about you?

828
01:13:59,800 --> 01:14:02,920
So we're I'm sending it a one and a half. We're both gonna pick the over. I just think

829
01:14:02,920 --> 01:14:06,640
that they're just generating such and that's actually an area that the Jacksonville is very

830
01:14:06,640 --> 01:14:12,720
good at. They are. They're a plus one turnover differential in their favor on average throughout

831
01:14:12,720 --> 01:14:15,760
the season so far. So because their defense does turn the ball over.

832
01:14:15,760 --> 01:14:19,640
Yes. But again, you got the Atlanta game. It's a bit of an outlier, but their defense

833
01:14:19,640 --> 01:14:24,080
is pretty good in the turnover game as well. Let's let's hope our Josh Allen continues to

834
01:14:24,080 --> 01:14:27,440
mature and be patient and to be better than their Josh Allen.

835
01:14:27,440 --> 01:14:33,080
Yes, please be better. Please be better. Awesome. Well, speaking of being better, I got no good

836
01:14:33,080 --> 01:14:38,920
transition for this either. You better listen as after we pull your health is better. You

837
01:14:38,920 --> 01:14:41,560
know, speaking of being better, we'll come back Dan.

838
01:14:41,560 --> 01:14:46,680
Thank you. Yes, it's good to be back. Good to be back in the lineup this week, JJ. Yes.

839
01:14:46,680 --> 01:14:51,440
But for all of those of you listening at home, like, share and subscribe wherever you get

840
01:14:51,440 --> 01:14:56,680
your podcasts, Google, Apple Spotify. Feel free to drop us a review or hit us up on social

841
01:14:56,680 --> 01:15:02,960
media as well. All the fun platforms including Facebook, X and Instagram. And as always,

842
01:15:02,960 --> 01:15:27,960
go Bills. Go Bills.